Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-15-19 | Saints v. Rams -3 | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 147 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rams (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-15-19 | Bears +1 v. Broncos | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 147 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Bears (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-15-19 | Chiefs v. Raiders +10.5 | 28-10 | Loss | -130 | 147 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Raiders (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-15-19 | Cardinals +14 v. Ravens | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 144 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Cardinals (10* GAME OF THE YEAR) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 23-21 Ravens. | |||||||
09-14-19 | San Diego State v. New Mexico State +16 | 31-10 | Loss | -107 | 124 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico State (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-14-19 | USC v. BYU +5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 119 h 5 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: BYU (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-14-19 | Akron +4 v. Central Michigan | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Akron (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-14-19 | New Mexico +35 v. Notre Dame | 14-66 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 6 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-14-19 | Ohio State v. Indiana +16 | 51-10 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-14-19 | NC State v. West Virginia +7.5 | 27-44 | Win | 100 | 116 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: WVU (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-14-19 | Maryland v. Temple +8.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 116 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Temple (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-13-19 | Washington State v. Houston +8.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 101 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston (GAME OF MONTH) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-09-19 | Broncos v. Raiders +1 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 247 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oakland Raiders (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) When I released this pick, Antonio Brown was still a part of the Oakland Raiders. Regardless of that, I in fact say “good riddance” here. AB is an awesome player and he would have made Oakland better, but he was more of a distraction and now that he’s gone, I think that Jon Gruden and company are in fact better off in the short-term. Oakland looked decent in the preseason and AB wasn’t a part of that whatsoever. The Broncos have Joe Flacco under center now and he directs a team which went 6-10 last year. Denver also has a new head coach in Vic Fangio. With AB gone, keep your eyes on WR Josh Jacobs, who was selected in the first round of the 2019 NFL Draft. Two of Oakland’s three first-round picks were used on the defensive side of the ball as well and I believe the unit takes it to Flacco and company tonight. Play on the home side. T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Raiders. | |||||||
09-08-19 | Lions v. Cardinals +2.5 | 27-27 | Win | 103 | 217 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Cardinals (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Cards. | |||||||
09-08-19 | Giants +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 17-35 | Loss | -120 | 217 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants (10*) This is a big game for both divisional opponents. New York isn’t expected to do much this year. Dallas is hoping to compete for a Super Bowl. The Cowboys just signed RB Ezekiel Elliot to a long-term deal and they have to be feeling good about the future. But Eli Manning and company won’t be going down without a fight. Especially in Week 1. This isn’t Week 14, as Manning is well rested and ready to lay everything on the line. I think the wily veteran still has a few tricks up his sleeve. Look for New York’s improved defense to play a role here as well. Outright victory? Probably not. But I do definitely expect this one to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Cowboys. | |||||||
09-08-19 | Bengals +10 v. Seahawks | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 217 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bengals (8*) The Bengals aren’t expected to win the Super Bowl this year. This will once again be a transition, re-building year for Cincinnati as it tries to figure out if Andy Dalton has anything left in the tank. Cincinnati has a decent run game, but it’s main offensive weapon in AJ Green has been sidelined with injury. The Seahawks were competitive last year and they should be even better this season. Seattle is always tough at home, but I think the Bengals will do just enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 23-21 Hawks. | |||||||
09-08-19 | Chiefs v. Jaguars +4 | 40-26 | Loss | -110 | 214 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jacksonville Jaguars (8*) The Jags are missing their starting left tackle, but beyond that the team enters healthy. Jacksonville has a new QB in Nick Foles, whose ability is not to be questioned whatsoever. KC is also healthy, but defense remains a concern. Is there any team in the AFC that could suffer a bigger “letdown” than Kansas City? Patrick Mahomes had a break out season last year, but regression seems imminent for him as well in my opinion. Everything went right for Mahomes for the most part last year, but I think the hungry Jags throw a monkey-wrench in his plans early this season. That said, grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-27 Jags. | |||||||
09-08-19 | Titans v. Browns -5 | 43-13 | Loss | -110 | 214 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Browns (8*) Cleveland put together a great campaign last year (for its low standards) and with the acquisition of receiver Odell Beckham Jr. in the off-season, big things are now expected from the Dog Pound in 2019/20. Cleveland is expected to have one of the better defenses in the league as well. Tennessee has a solid defense as well, but question marks continue on the offensive side with Marcus Mariota under center. Throw the ATS stats out the window obviously in Week 1. I don’t expect any upsets here. I think Cleveland’s defense will prove to be too much for Mariota and I look for Mayfield and company to do the rest. Lay the points with confidence. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Browns. | |||||||
09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 214 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Panthers (8*) The biggest surprise (in my opinion) in the AFC last year was the Chiefs. The biggest surprise in the NFC was clearly the Rams. Did you know that Carolina actually started off the 2018/19 season by going 6-2? Then Cam Newton, who was on pace for his best statistical year ever, got injured. Both teams come in healthy, but I think that Carolina and Newton are the correct call in Week 1. The pressure is on the Rams after making it all the way to the Super Bowl and I believe regression is imminent. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-25 Panthers. | |||||||
09-07-19 | Nevada v. Oregon -23 | Top | 6-77 | Win | 100 | 123 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oregon (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) Is there ever a “must win” game in Week 2? For the Ducks who were picked by many to win the Pac 12 and who lost 27-21 in Auburn last weekend, it has essentially turned into that for them. Oregon won’t be throwing in the towel on its season yet though. The Ducks still have a shot at a CFP berth, but they need to win and they need to win big. Nevada? It’s primed for a letdown here as well after it upset Purdue 34-31, capped off by a 56 yard field goal as time wound off the clock. Can anyone say letdown spot? The conditions are definitely correct for a home side rout. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-07-19 | South Florida +6 v. Georgia Tech | 10-14 | Win | 100 | 117 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (8*) Both teams enter off blowout losses. USF’s Charlie Strong is desperate here though as dating back to last year the Bulls are now 0-7 after a 49-0 blowout loss at home to Wisconsin. Georgia Tech though looked equally as horrible in its 52-14 setback to Clemson. If recent history is any precedence though, then USF has to be liking its chances today because when these teams met last year, it was the Bulls who pulled away for the 49-38 win. Last week USF’s Blake Barnett was only 13 of 30 for 109 yards and two INT’s, but last year vs. Tech he completely dominated. Expect a similar style performance here, as this continues to be a matchup issue for the Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech completely re-did its offense in the off-season and I think it’ll once again struggle to keep pace here. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-07-19 | UAB v. Akron +9.5 | 31-20 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Akron (8*) UAB comes to town off a 24-19 win over lowly Alabama State, with Tyler Johnston III going for just 114 yards and a TD. Akron won’t be playing with any such satisfaction this weekend though after a 42-3 loss to Illinois in its opener. Kato Nelson had 122 yards passing and an INT. So what do we take from each team’s Week 1 performance? I’m not reading too much into either result. UAB scraped by Alabama State and I think it’ll have its hands full with this determined FBS home side. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-07-19 | Vanderbilt v. Purdue -7.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (8*) Both teams are 0-1. Vandy fell to Georgia, while Purdue was upset in Nevada. The late game had an effect on the Boilermakers, but they’re now back home for a noon EST contest and I think the shift in venue will be a big difference maker. Vanderbilt has plenty of talent, but it’s defense is a big question mark for me. Purdue turned the ball over a whopping six times in last week’s loss, but still almost won. Expect the Boilermakers to clear up their act and to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-06-19 | CS Sacramento +33.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 7-19 | Win | 100 | 101 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento State (10*) The Sun Devils rolled to an easy victory in Week 1 over Kent State and in Week 2, they face an even weaker opponent. No outright here, but I do think this one sets up as a classic “look ahead” spot for Arizona State. And that’s because I find it impossible for Herm Edwards and the home side to not already be planning for a road tilt at No. 18 Michigan State in Week 3. The Hornets destroyed Southern Oregon 77-19 in Week 1 and while it was just an NAIA program, they still come in with confidence and momentum. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-06-19 | Wake Forest v. Rice +18.5 | 41-21 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rice (9*) They say defense wins championships. That said, you have to score to win though. Rice didn’t look very good last weekend on the offensive side of things in its 14-7 loss to the Golden Knights in Week 1, but the Owls were tremendous defensively. Wake Forest allowed over 400 yards passing in its 38-35 come from behind to stave off a massive upset over Utah State in Week 1. The Demon Deacons posted 587 yards of offense, but averaged only 4.6 yards per play. The Owls offense benefits from friendly confines and while I’m not going to call for an outright upset, the conditions are definitely right for another “nail biter” in my opinion. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville +20.5 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 1353 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisville (GAME OF THE YEAR) I’m not calling for the outright victory, but I do believe that the stage is set for a much closer than expected battle. Notre Dame has a lot to live up to this season after posting 12 victories a year ago, including a par of 24-17 victory over Michigan and USC. The Irish’s season came to a crashing halt in the Cotton Bowl though, falling 30-3 to eventual Champion Clemson. Many key players return for Notre Dame, but there’s no question that the Irish lost a lot from last year’s squad in the offseason as well. The good news for Louisville fans? It’s practically impossible for this year’s team to do worse that last season’s (2-10). But Louisville has a new head coach in Scott Satterfield and I think he’ll have his team prepared to fight today. Notre Dame has the advantage with Ian Book under center, but his lines on both sides of the ball are a work in progress to open the season and I think that’s going to be the small opening that Louisville can use to keep this one competitive. Bryan Brown is the new defensive coordinator in Louisville and he is the beneficiary of seven returning starters. Louisville QB Jawon Pass now has a fall year under his belt and I think he’s going to be dramatically different in his second season in this offense. I believe the Irish come out flat to start and because of that, I’ll ultimately recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Louisville. T.M. Prediction: 33-24 Notre Dame. | |||||||
09-01-19 | Houston +26 v. Oklahoma | Top | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 1329 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston (10* CASH-MACHINE!) No outright victory, but Houston has the offense in place to keep pace. The Cougars have a dynamic play-making QB in D’Eriq King, who I think has a big advantage over Oklahoma transfer Jalen Hurts, who has plenty of weapons around him, but whose defense is still a big question mark (also note that Oklahoma brings back just one starter on the offensive line.) I think this one is going to come down to whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-31-19 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +3 | Top | 30-14 | Loss | -105 | 1305 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh (10* GAME OF THE MONTH) It’s an important conference matchup right out of the gate for both teams and I don’t think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor. Last year the Cavs were 8-5, but it lost at home to Pittsburgh and it lost three of its last four regular season contests. Pittsburgh went on to win the Coastal Division, but it fell apart down the stretch, losing to Clemson in the ACC Championship game and then 14-13 to Stanford in the Sun Bowl. Bryce Perkins is back under center for the Cavs and he had 2,680 rushing yards and 25 TD passes, along with 923 rushing yards and nine more rushing TD’s. The Cavs offensive line though is a weak point with seniors Marcus Applefield and Jake Fieler having moved on. Kenny Pickett is back as QB for the Panthers after finishing with 12 TD’s and six INT’s. The offensive line is s question mark as well for Pittsburgh, but its defense is the difference maker in my opinion. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-31-19 | South Carolina v. North Carolina +7.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 1301 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (9* BANKROLL BUILDER) After back-to-back nine loss campaigns, UNC went out and hired Mack Brown. South Carolina will prove a stiff season opening test with QB Jake Bentley back for his senior season. USC was 26th in the country in passing last year, but only 92nd in running the ball. That’s good news for UNC, as it struggled against the run last season, but was stout vs. the pass. Sam Howell will start for UNC and he has plenty of weapons at his disposal both in the back field and at receiver. I think the hire of Brown is significant in helping UNC making big strides this year. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-31-19 | East Carolina +20 v. NC State | 6-34 | Loss | -109 | 1298 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina (8* BLACK-LABEL) East Carolina has the advantage at QB with Holton Ahlers, who had 1,785 passing yards and 12 TD’s compared to just three INT’s last season. But Ahlers was just as deadly with his feet, finishing with 592 rushing yards and six major scores. The Pirates also have two very strong RB’s in Darius Pinnix and Hussein Howe. NC State is starting with a new QB and two new RB’s. The home side has the advantage in the trenches, but I think Ahlers keeps his team in this one late. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-31-19 | Ball State +17 v. Indiana | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 1298 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (8* MONEY-MAKER) Non-conference football action live from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis on Saturday and I think the Hoosiers make the most of this season opening “cream puff.” Indiana started the year 3-0, but it finished just 5-7 and clearly it’ll be hungry to punch eligibility this season. Peyton Ramsey is back under center for the Hoosiers and last year he had 2,875 passing yards and 19 TD’s. Overall Indiana allowed 29.9 PPG and it averaged 26.4. Last year the Ball State Cardinals allowed 45 PPG and they averaged 24.2. Ball State finished 4-8 last year and it starts a new QB and RB to open the new season. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-30-19 | Purdue -8.5 v. Nevada | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 1283 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (8*) Purdue was 6-7 in 2018, while Nevada went 8-5. The Boilermakers went 0-3 out of the gate last year, so recovered well, which led to a bowl berth in the end. Nevada went to the Arizona Bowl and defeated Arkansas State. Purdue averaged just under 30 PPG last season though and I believe it carries over that offensive momentum here in this favorable matchup. Elijah Sindelar had 2,547 passing yards with 20 TD’s last year for the Boilermakers. Nevada though has a new face under center this season in Christian Solano, who was 23 of 45 for 200 yards in limited time last season (note though, Solano just suffered a hand injury, which has forced the Wolfpack to go to Carson Strong to open the campaign.) Look for the better led Boilermakers to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-30-19 | Utah State v. Wake Forest -3 | 35-38 | Push | 0 | 1282 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Wake Forest (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-30-19 | Tulsa +21.5 v. Michigan State | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 1281 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tulsa (8*) Tulsa doesn’t have a great history of success, having posted more than six victories in a season just once in the past six years. MSU was just 7-6 last year, but it’s predicted to do much better this season. That said, I think the stage is set for a bit of a mental lapse on opening night. Definitely no outright upset, but I think the improved Golden Hurricane can make this much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Note that the Spartans actually dropped three of their last four games last year, scoring only six points in each of those setbacks. Tulsa has a powerful weapon in RB Shamari Brooks, who ranked second in the AAC last year in rushing attempts and play from scrimmage. MSU allowed the fewest yards per game on the ground last year, but I think they’ll have their hands full with Brooks. I’m grabbing the points and expecting a solid back door cover. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-29-19 | Utah v. BYU +6.5 | Top | 30-12 | Loss | -110 | 1260 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BYU (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The outright win is of course not out of the question, but in this Holy War, I’m going to ultimately recommend to grab the points. 15 returning starters are back for Utah, and it’s been picked by many to win the Pac 12 this year. The defense is stout and the offense should only be better with QB Tyler Huntley back, along with RB Zack Moss. BYU actually had a 20 point lead over the Utes in the third quarter in last year’s instalment between the schools, but it wound up falling 35-27. The “revenge” factor also definitely comes into play here for the home side. BYU has a powerful new RB in Ty-Son Williams, who came over from South Carolina after posting 799 yards and five major scores on 165 carries. Grab the points and expect a nail-biter. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-29-19 | Florida International +3 v. Tulane | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 1258 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida International (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Clearly an outright upset isn’t out of the question here. FIU is led by veteran coach Butch Davis, who has come in and won 17 games over his last two years. The Panthers weren’t over ally dominant on the offensive end, but they limited teams to just 194.1 YPG game through the air (just 25.2 points per game allowed.) Tulane was 7-6 and they averaged 218.2 rushing YPG. But FIU looks good to me with QB James Morgan back, as he had 26 TD passes last year, including completing 65% of his passes overall. The Green Wave have a strong defense, but the offense is once again expected to underwhelm. Justin McMillian is back under center for the Green Wave and he completed only 51.3 percent of his passes in 2018. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-29-19 | UCLA +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 14-24 | Loss | -100 | 1257 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UCLA (8* UPSET SPECIAL) UCLA opens up its second season under head coach Chip Kelly and I think the Bruins have a prime opportunity at the outright upset here (that said, I will be ultimately advising everyone to grab as many points as you can.) Luke Fickell and the Cincinnati Bearcats had a breakout 11-win season last year, which started with a victory over these very Bruins. UCLA only managed 17 points in that one, but the Bruins finished up the year strong and they return many key players. But a big difference between last year’s team and this one is the emergence of RB Joshua Kelley, who racked up 1,243 yards and nine TD’s over the final stretch. UCLA’s defense should improve significantly this season as well. The Bearcats have plenty of weapons as well (RB Michael Warren II and QB Desmond Ridder), but after last year’s letdown, I think UCLA will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-24-19 | Arizona -11.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -100 | 1140 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think Arizona comes in focused on the task at hand and I look for it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Khalil Tate is back to 100% health for the Wildcats and after finishing 5-7 in Kevin Sumiln’s first year as head coach, I’m expecting a dramatic reverse of fortunes this season. Conversely, after finishing 8-6 last year, I believe regression is imminent for the Warriors. True Cole McDonald is back under center for Hawaii, but I believe he’ll have difficult vs. this re-vamped Arizona defensive unit. The last time these teams faced off against each other, the Wildcats won 47-28 in 2016 and I believe a similar lop-sided blowout is in the card this time around as well. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-24-19 | Florida -7 v. Miami-FL | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 1137 h 7 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida (8*) No. 8 Florida looks to kick things off with a winner on Opening night. Dan Mullen went 10-3 in his first year for the Gators, leading them to a win over Michigan in the Peach Bowl. With veteran QB Feleipe Franks back under center, the Gators once again looking promising in 2019. True Florida features four new players on the offensive line, but for the most part the offensive weapons remain in tact for Franks. Miami though is just 1-4 as an underdog the last two season and I believe first year QB Jarren Williams struggles vs. the aggressive Florida secondary. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-25 Florida. | |||||||
02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams +2.5 | 13-3 | Loss | -115 | 324 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams (10* GAME OF MONTH) I could write a an award winning article, breaking down each team and every single statistic, but I don’t think that’s necessary. If you’re wagering on this game, then the history of each side and how they got to this point is well known. And with a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think it’s pretty much a “coin flip.” I could easily post strong ATS stats to support either side, so those are pointless at this point in my professional opinion. I think LA’s improved defensive play from the Conference round carries over though and I think the Pats’ defense is a fraud. Look for Todd Gurley and Jared Goff to possibly share “co-MVP’s” here. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 LA. | |||||||
01-20-19 | Rams +3.5 v. Saints | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 150 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams (10* PLAYOFF GAME OF YEAR) Both teams come in at 14-3. With a chance to avenge a 45-35 Week 9 matchup, I look for the Rams to at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door. LA comes to town off a 30-22 win over a dangerous Cowboys team in the divisional round. Todd Gurley had 115 yards and a TD, while CJ Anderson had 123 rushing yards and two TD’s. The Rams’ offense has to be respected both on the ground and in the air (note that the Cowboys gave up 273 rushing yards after finishing with the No. 5 rushing defense.) The Saints on the other hand looked pretty shaky in their win over the Eagles last weekend, one which saw them come back from a 14-point first quarter deficit. Drew Brees was sharp with 301 yards and two TD’s. I think the “revenge” factor is real. LA shot itself in the foot with turnovers in that one, but with a chance to redeem itself and to punch it’s ticket to the “big game,” I do indeed fancy the visitors to pull of the upset here (that said, grab the points!) T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Rams. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Cowboys v. Rams -7 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 127 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams (10* TRADE-MARK) The Rams stumbled a bit down the stretch, but their form throughout the rest of the season was more than enough to earn them a first round bye. With a week off to heal up and prepare, Rams’ RB Todd Gurley will be given the green light here. And that’s great news for Rams’ QB Jared Goff and the rest of the high-flying LA offense. Dallas improved dramatically on both sides of the ball as the season wore on, but after last week’s gruelling home win over the Seahawks, I believe that the Cowboys finally run out of gas here. The Cowboys were in risk of missing the playoffs in Week 10, but a few key trades, combined with an improved run game from Ezekiel Elliot, allowed Dallas’ QB Dak Prescott to recover after a rough start to the 2018/19 campaign. The Cowboys have been playing at an extremely high level for weeks now, but I have a hard time seeing them keeping pace with the Rams down the stretch. Note that Dallas is still just 3-4 ATS on the road this year, while LA is 2-0 ATS in its last two when playing with two weeks of rest. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-20 Rams. | |||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 132 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (10* TRADE-MARK) The two best teams in the country meet for a fourth straight year in the National Championship Game. Alabama leads the all time series 14-4 and it’s taken 14 of the last 15 in the series. That includes a 24-6 win in last year’s Sugar Bowl. To say the Tigers play with revenge would be an understatement obviously. But now Clemson has both the offense and defense to steal this one outright. The Tigers only allow 12.6 PPG (which is good because the Tide are second in the country in scoring with 47.7 PPG). The Tide defense looked pretty average in its 45-35 win over Oklahoma last week and I think that Tigers’ freshman QB Trevor Lawrence, who had 327 passing yards with three TD’s and no INT’s will have his opportunities today as well. Note as well that the Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine bowl games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-29 Clemson. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens -2.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -108 | 146 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Baltimore Ravens (10* MONEY-MAKER) I firmly believe that “home field” will prove to be the difference maker for dynamic rookie QB LaMar Jackson and the surging Ravens. The injury to Melvin Gordon III is serious for LA. He’s expected to suit up now in this one, but clearly his health has to be called into question. With the Ravens being able to focus more on Philip Rivers himself, I think the home side’s league leading defense is poised for a massive day. Jackson is the “X-Factor” on this selection, but I’ll point out as well that the Ravens are already 4-1 ATS this season following a home win. I’m banking on a blowout, so lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-14 Ravens. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -2.5 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -105 | 129 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Cowboys (10* GAME OF MONTH) Homefield advantage will prove crucial here in my estimation. The Hawks closed out their regular season with a harder than expected 27-24 hoe win over the Cardinals on Sunday, while Dallas rallied for an impressive 36-35 road win over New York last weekend. Note though that this is an “in season revenge game” for the Cowboys after they fell 24-13 in the Pacific Northwest back on September 23rd. Both teams feature dynamic play-making QB’s. The Hawks have Russell Wilson, who has benefited from the league’s No. 1 run game and a better than expected defense, while Dallas has Dak Prescott, who has gotten progressively better as the season has worn on and who also has plenty of weapons and talent helping on both sides of the ball. I think the revenge factor though, combined with the home field advantage in this crucial early wildcard scenario will be the difference for Dallas. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Cowboys. | |||||||
01-01-19 | Texas +13.5 v. Georgia | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 34 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas (10* GAME OF MONTH) Texas is 9-4 and it’s thrilled to be back in a New Years Day 6 game for the first time since 2014. The Bulldogs though are once again devastated after their loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship game. The Longhorns fell 39-27 to Oklahoma in the Big 12 title game, but QB Sam Ehlinger was a bright spot with 349 passing yards and two TD’s, along with two more rushing scores as well. Georgia is led by QB Jake room, who had 2,537 passing yards and a 27/5 TD:INT, but note that the Bulldogs are still just 2-3 ATS in their last five non-conference games. The Longhorns on the other hand a 4-0 ATS in their last four as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Georgia. | |||||||
12-31-18 | NC State +7.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 13-52 | Loss | -129 | 36 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NC State (10* TRADE-MARK) In a game which I think’ll be decided by whichever of these talented schools has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to recommend to grab the points. NC State comes in on top form with three straight wins. Texas A&M also won its final three games of the year. Both teams will be missing a few players due to the draft. NC State will be leaning on QB Ryan Finley, who had 3,789 passing yards and 24 passing TD’s. The A&M secondary was terrible, allowing 262.7 YPG through the air. The Aggies will in fact be down some key players on the defensive side of the ball, including LB Otaro Alaka and safety Donovan Wilson. Note as well that the Wolfpack are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference games as an underdog in the 3.5 to 7.5 points range. As mentioned off the top, this one has “war” written all over it. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-27 Aggies. | |||||||
12-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -6 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) In all honesty, I think the 6-6 Hokies would admit themselves that they shouldn’t be in this bowl vs. the 10-2 Bearcats. Cincinnati got smashed by UCF on November 17th, but it would close its season with a resounding 56-6 thumping of East Carolina. Bearcats’ QB Desmond Ridder has 2,359 passing yards and a 19/5 TD:INT. Cincinnati is especially potent in the run game, averaging 238.1 YPG. But the Bearcats are best on the defensive side of the ball, ranked seventh in the nation by allowing only 16.1 PPG. VT has Ryan Willis under center and he finished with 2,497 yards with a 22/8 TD:INT. But note that the Bearcats are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games, while VT is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on field turf. BLOWOUT! Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-19 Cincinnati. | |||||||
12-30-18 | Eagles v. Redskins +7 | 24-0 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington Redskins (8* UNDERDOG SUPER ROCKER) The Eagles have defied the odds to this point and pushed their luck to the brink. But now Philadelphia must win this game and have Minnesota lose at home to the Bears to get a wild card invitation. Philadelphia has looked great with backup QB Nick Foles under center, but Washington won’t be going down without a fight despite losing 25-16 in Tennessee last weekend. The Redskins were hit by the injury bug early this year and they were never able to recover. But note that the Eagles are a terrible 1-3 ATS already this season off a home victory, while Washington is already 4-1 ATS this season as a home underdog. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 21-20 Eagles. | |||||||
12-30-18 | Raiders v. Chiefs -13.5 | Top | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 78 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs (10* BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR) I think the Raiders simply go through the motions today after posting an emotional 27-14 home win over the Broncos on Monday Night Football. It was likely the team’s final game in Oakland and clearly the Raiders were riding a wave of emotion. The Chiefs on the other hand will be eager to get back into the winners circle after their 38-31 loss to the Hawks last week. The Raiders average 18.9 PPG and they allow 28.8. The Chiefs average 35.3 PPG and they allow 27.9. KC has in fact lost two straight and I think Patrick Mahomes and company will be risking life and limb tonight to try and reverse that slide before the Playoffs. Note as well that the Raiders are just 5-8 ATS this year as an underdog, while KC is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 25 points or more in two straight games. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 43-10 Chiefs. | |||||||
12-30-18 | Panthers v. Saints -8 | 33-14 | Loss | -104 | 75 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New Orleans Saints (8* MONEY-MAKER). Carolina lost 24-10 to Atlanta last week, while New Orleans posted a 31-28 home win over Pittsburgh. Last month the Saints posted a 12-9 road win in Carolina, but I’m expecting a much bigger beatdown this time around. The Panthers have lost seven straight and they’ve been eliminated from playoff contention. Carolina shutdown QB Cam Newton. The Saints have a bye and home field advantage throughout the playoffs, but they won’t want to take the foot off the gas quite yet. While Drew Brees and many of the offensive starters will be sitting, the home side will still be out to finish up strong. I’m banking on this happening. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-14 Saints. | |||||||
12-30-18 | Cowboys v. Giants -6 | Top | 36-35 | Loss | -105 | 75 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Giants (10* SHOCKER OF THE YEAR) Odell Beckham Jr. won’t be playing in this final Giants home game, but he wasn’t in the line-up either in last week’s 28-27 loss in Indianapolis. Eli Manning was competitive and he plays with revenge here as well after the Cowboys posted the 20-13 home win back in Week 2. But Dallas has already clinched its playoff spot and a win or a loss means nothing. And that means that Manning has one last chance to impress the New York faithful before perhaps calling it a career (or the team parts ways.) Dallas is expected to rest both QB Dak Prescott and RB Ezekiel Elliot and with nothing to play for whatsoever this week, I look for the visitors to simply “go through the motions.” Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-13 Giants. | |||||||
12-29-18 | Oklahoma +14 v. Alabama | Top | 34-45 | Win | 100 | 490 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma (10* BOWL SIDE OF YEAR) Am I calling for an outright upset? I am not. However I think that the 12-1 Sooners have the offense to put enough pressure on the Tide to keep this one more competitive than what Vegas would like us to believe. Oklahoma enters off a 39-27 win over Texas in the Big 12 Championship Game, while Alabama defeated No. 4 Georgia 34-27 in the SEC Championship. Oklahoma is the No. 1 offense in the league with 49.5 PPG, while the defense allows 32.4. Alabama averaged 47.9 PPG and it allowed only 14.8. Note that Oklahoma is 4-2 ATS in its last six when playing on two weeks or more of rest, while Alabama is 2-4 ATS in its last six non-conference games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 45-37 Bama. | |||||||
12-28-18 | Iowa State +3 v. Washington State | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 35 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iowa State (10* MONEY-MAKER) It’s the No. 24 Iowa State Cyclones vs. the No. 13 Washington Huskies and I smell an upset. Iowa State started slowly, but it’s since won seven of its last eight, including two straight. WSU comes in dejected, relegated to the Alamo Bowl after a disappointing 28-15 home loss to Washington in the Apple Cup. These two teams closed their respective regular seasons on completely opposite ends of the spectrum, and I think that carries over here. The Cyclones average 26.8 PPG and they allow 22.5. “We’re as healthy as we’ve been,” Coach Matt Campbell said. “That time off that we took for us was really, really important. I really feel like we’ll be 100 percent going into this bowl game.” WSU averages 38.3 PPG and it allows 23.1. Note though that Iowa State is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 as an underdog, while WSU is just 2-3 ATS in its last five when playing with two weeks or more of rest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 ISU. | |||||||
12-27-18 | Vanderbilt -3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vanderbilt (10* MONEY-MAKER) Baylor and Vanderbilt became bowl eligible late, but I think Vanderbilt has the momentum here. Also note that the Bears will be without star receiver Jalen Hurd, who played through a knee injury in his team’s 35-24 win over Texas Tech in its regular season finale, a victory which made it eligible. Note though that the Bears have turned in a Big 12 worst turnover margin of minus-9 and they’ve given up 37 sacks total, which is worst in the conference as well. Vandy on the other hand comes in with a lot of momentum with back-to-back wins to end the year over Ole Miss and Tennessee. The Commodores have a potent one-two punch on offense to between RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn (who had an SEC best 6.95 rushing yards per attempt) and QB Kyle Shurmur (23 passing TDs). Note as well that the Bears are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, while Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last six non-conference games. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-20 Vandy. | |||||||
12-24-18 | Broncos -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -116 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Broncos (10* MONEY-MAKER) Denver head coach Vance Joseph is expected to be removed at the end of the season, but he’s gone on record in saying that he’ll be playing hard until the end. Broncos’ QB Case Keenum has a few more weapons around him than Raiders’ QB Derek Carr. This is very likely the Raiders’ final game at Oakland Coliseum and the organization has already pulled retaliatory moves on the city, withdrawing its offer to pay $7.5 million in rent to the city to cover the 2019 home schedule. The Broncos feature the stronger defense and run game. If the QB’s are a “wash,” then these two factors are definitely working big time in favor of the visitors today. Additionally note that Denver is 3-1 ATS in its last four off an extremely close home loss of three points or less. In a war of bottom feeders, Denver fans win out this time. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Broncos. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Seahawks | 31-38 | Loss | -102 | 99 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs (8* SHOWDOWN) Both teams comes in off losses, but I have a hard time seeing the Hawks keeping pace with the high-flying Chiefs down the stretch. KC lost 29-28 at home to the Chargers on Thursday, while Seattle fell 26-23 in OT at San Francisco. Kansas City has been “money in the bank” as well for bettors in this spot, going 5-1 ATS on the road and 5-1 ATS in its last six off an upset loss as a favorite. Conversely the Hawks have struggled in this position for bettors by going 0-2 ATS in their last two as a home dog of three points or less and 1-3 ATS in their last four after a loss by three points or less. This one has blowout written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 35-20 Chiefs. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Falcons -3.5 v. Panthers | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 92 h 5 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Falcons (9* SUPER SHOCKER) No need to over think this one. The Panthers are still in playoff contention, but they’ve shut down starting QB Cam Newton this week due to injury. The Panthers have lost six straight and I think they’ve clearly thrown in the “white flag” to this point. The Falcons are out of playoff contention, but they still broke a five-game slide last week with a win over the Cardinals. Matt Ryan and company will now be looking to pad their stats and with a chance to put the final nail in the coffin for their hated division rival, I expect the veteran to get the job done. Note as well that Atlanta is 6-3 ATS in its last nine off a home win of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 27-18 Falcons. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Giants v. Colts -9 | 27-28 | Loss | -105 | 92 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indianapolis Colts (8* SUPER ROUT) The Giants are mathematically eliminated from contention. The Colts hold the AFC Wildcard and they’ll be looking to build off a dominant 23-0 home win over the Cowboys. The Giants come in completely deflated after a 17-0 home loss to Tennessee. New York had a slim playoff chance last week, but it came out completely flat and with nothing at all to play for here in this non-conference match-up, I believe the visitors will simply “go through the motions.” The Colts are averaging 26.6 PPG and allowing only 21.4. Note as well that the Giants are a horrible 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Lay the points with Indy keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 37-10 Colts. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Texans +2.5 v. Eagles | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 92 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Houston Texans (8* TOP DOG) This is a big game for both teams. The Eagles are still inexplicably alive in the wild card race after last week’s 30-23 upset win over the Rams. The Texans posted a 29-23 win over the Jets last weekend and they remain two games ahead of the Colts for the division lead. Houston will be laying everything on the line today to maintain that lead as Indianapolis has a “cream puff” at home vs. the Giants. Houston has put up at least 29 points in three out of its last four games and it’s 5-2 SU on the road. The Eagles have been getting “fortunate,” but I like the better team to come out on top here. That said, grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-18 Houston. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Louisiana Tech +1 v. Hawaii | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 34 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisiana Tech (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) It’s a clash of two styles. LT was 7-5 and Hawaii finished 8-5. The Warriors average over 32 PPG, while LT hold opponents to under 24. Hawaii is just 4-3 all time in the Hawaii Bowl, proving that home field doesn’t mean much in this situation. Louisiana Tech though is 5-1 ATS in its last six bowl games, while the Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games and just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 vs. teams with winning records. I’m grabbing the points but expecting an upset. T.M. Prediction: 33-28 Bulldogs. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Buffalo v. Troy | Top | 32-42 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Bulls finished 10-3 and the Trojans were 9-3. Buffalo will be extra angry here as it looks to atone for a 30-29 loss to NIU in the MAC title game, a contest in which it held a 29-10 lead at one point. Bulls’ QB Tyree Jackson will be given the green light after posting 2,857 passing yards and a 27/11 TD:INT. Buffalo is also strong rushing, ranked 45th in the FBS. In the end the Bulls averaged 34.8 PPG and allowed 24.7. Troy averaged just 29.8 PPG and it allowed 21.2. The Trojans are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven vs. the MAC though, while Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. With a few weeks off to prepare, I like the Bulls’ offense to win out over Troy’s tough defense. Play on Buffalo. T.M. Prediction: 27-23 Bulls. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Redskins v. Titans -10 | Top | 16-25 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee Titans (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Titans come in red hot, having won three straight. Washington got back into the winners circle with a win over the hapless Jags in Week 15, but I think it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here. Washington is still in the playoff hunt, but it’s down to its third-string QB and it suffered a big injury on the defensive side of the ball to CB Joshua Holsey, who suffered a torn ACL in the win over the Jags. Tennessee avoided a potential trap in last week’s 17-0 win over the Giants and I think it’ll take full advantage of friendly confines on the short week. Note as well that Washington is already 3-4 ATS this year after covering in its previous game, while Tennessee is 4-2 ATS at home and already 3-0 ATS vs. the NFC East this year. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-10 Titans. | |||||||
12-21-18 | Florida International v. Toledo -4.5 | Top | 35-32 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toledo (10* MONEY-MAKER) FIU was 8-4 and Toledo was 7-5. FIU averages 34.6 PPG and it allows 24.7. James Morgan has 2,727 yards and a 26/7 TD:INT. The Rockets averaged a whopping 41.1 PPG and they allowed 30.2. Eli Peters had 1,573 passing yards and 15/7 TD:INT. The Rockets though were money in the bank for bettors in the spot, going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 after allowing less then 275 total yards in their previous game, while the Golden Panthers are a poor 0-5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games. I’m laying the points and expecting a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 37-21 Rockets. | |||||||
12-20-18 | Marshall -2.5 v. South Florida | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marshall (10* BOWL MONEY-MAKER) What’s to like about USF here? The Bulls opened the year 7-0, but then a combination of injury and bad luck saw USF back into the bowl season on five straight losses. The Herd finished 8-4 and they’ve won their last six bowl appearances. The Bulls feature a strong run game with Johnny Ford and Jordan Cronkrite, but the uncertainty surrounding starting QB Blake Barnett is a major concern here in my opinion. If he can play, one has to wonder about his health and if he’s really at 100% capacity? The combination of Brett Kean and Chris Oladokun went for 113 passing yards in USF’s season-ending loss to UCF. Note as well that Marshall is 21-8-1 ATS in its last 30 non-conference games. This one has blowout written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Herd. | |||||||
12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +7 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 33 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Panthers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Carolina opened the year by going 5-1, but it’s since fallen on hard times and it enters this one at 6-7. However the Panthers are log-jammed with two other teams with the same record and each is only a 1/2 game back for the second wild card spot. This is a big game for the Saints as well as they look to keep pace for top spot in the NFC and the coveted first round bye and home field advantage that comes with that position, but a loss today would not jeopardize a playoff berth. Carolina though HAS to win this game if it has any hopes to salvage its season. And for me, that’s pretty much what I’m basing this pick on. Also note that New Orleans is just 1-3 ATS in its last four on MNF, while Carolina is 3-1 ATS in the same position. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Panthers. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Seahawks -4 v. 49ers | Top | 23-26 | Loss | -108 | 93 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seahawks (9* TRADE-MARK) With a win today the Seahawks will punch their ticket to the NFC Wildcard spot. Seattle missed the playoffs last year, but improved defensive play and a deeper offensive unit has turned things around in a hurry, as the Hawks come in on the heels of a four-game win streak. San Fran bounced back with a very satisfying 20-14 win over the Broncos last weekend, but an imminent return to mediocrity appears imminent in my opinion. Last week the Hawks held the Vikes to just 276 total yards of offense and I have a hard time seeing the offensively challenged 49ers mustering much of an attack here either. Also note that San Fran is just 1-5 ATS in its last six in this series in front of the home town crowd. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Hawks. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Titans +3 v. Giants | 17-0 | Win | 100 | 90 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee Titans (8* MONEY-MAKER) New York comes in off a convincing 40-16 win over division rival Washington, while Tennessee demolished the Jaguars last weekend. Titans’ RB Derrick Henry had 238 rushing yards and four TD’s. The Jags had held the high-scoring Colts scoreless the week before, so it was an impressive performance from Mariota and company obviously. I’ll caution in reading too much into the Giants win over the Redskins, who were playing without starting QB Alex Smith. Additionally note that Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last six after allowing 14 points or less in its previous game. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Titans. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Dolphins +7.5 v. Vikings | Top | 17-41 | Loss | -130 | 90 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Dolphins (10* BLOWOUT UNDERDOG OF YEAR) The Dolphins will be looking to play spoiler here against a Vikings team which enters off a disheartening 21-7 loss to the Seahawks. Miami though is trending in the opposite direction, now having won two straight after a miraculous 34-33 win over the Patriots at home last weekend. Miami is back in playoff contention now at 7-6 and the re-emergence of QB Ryan Tannehill will prove to be the difference maker here in my opinion. Minnesota is also 0-4 ATS in its last four vs. teams with winning records, while Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference road games following a two games or more unbeaten streak. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Fish. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -3 | Top | 17-16 | Loss | -105 | 74 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Broncos (10* MONEY-MAKER) I don’t think this one needs to be overanalyzed? The Browns have been a lot better than they were last year, but their inconsistency on the road and on the offensive end will prove to be their undoing here in my opinion in this difficult road venue. The Broncos had won three straight before last week’s 20-14 loss at San Francisco, but a date at Mile High vs. the lowly Browns is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track here in my opinion. The Browns average only 22.5 PPG, while allowing 25.5. The Broncos average 22.3 PPG and allow 21.7. Despite the improvement, note as well that Cleveland is still only 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a road dog of seven points or less. Lay the points on the still playoff hopeful Broncos. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Denver. | |||||||
12-15-18 | North Texas v. Utah State -7.5 | 13-52 | Win | 100 | 68 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Utah State (8*) Both teams had pretty good seasons, but I have a hard time seeing North Texas matching pace with the high-flying Aggies. North Texas was 9-3 this year, while Utah State was 10-2. The Mean Green averaged 36.4 PPG and it allowed 21.8. Utah State though averaged 47.2 PPG and it allowed only 23. The Aggies are elite on both sides of the ball and they’re also a perfect 4-0 ATS this year in non-conference games. Look for the high-powered Utah State offense to be the difference in this one. T.M. Prediction: 45-21 Aggies. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Tulane v. UL-Lafayette +3.5 | 41-24 | Loss | -106 | 68 h 34 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Louisiana Lafayette (8*) Tulane features the slightly better defense, but the Green Wave were horrible offensively and I think they’ll have a hard time matching pace with the Ragin Cajuns. Tulane averages 25.7 PPG. The Green Wave also struggled defensively against the pass, allowing 265.2 YPG. The Cajuns feature a more explosive offense and they’re 4-1 ATS in their last five bowl games, while Tulane is only 1-4 ATS in its last five on field turf. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked by an outright upset! T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Louisiana Lafayette. | |||||||
12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 52 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Chargers (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Chargers’ Philip Rivers hasn’t had a lot of success against the Chiefs throughout his career. The Chiefs beat LA 38-28 back in Week 1 and LA is still in a dog fight for top spot in the AFC West. Both teams come in on top form and the Chargers are going to be laying everything on the line to pull off the upset. And I think they can do it. Lots has changed since Week 1, including the Chargers improving dramatically on both sides of the ball. The Chiefs have a high-scoring offense, but they’ve been atrocious on the defensive side of the ball. This one sets up great for an outright upset. Note as well that LA is 5-1 ATS on the road this year. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Bolts. | |||||||
12-10-18 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Vikings (10* TRADE-MARK) This is clearly a very important game for both teams. Both teams currently hold the wild card spots in the NFC, so a victory today is paramount to keep pace to close out the regular season. The Vikes are desperate to regain their form after a 24-10 road loss to New England, while the Hawks look poised for a letdown here after their 43-16 destruction of the 49ers last weekend. The Vikes average 22.9 PPG and they allow 22.5. The Seahawks average 26.6 PPG and they allow 21.6. Minnesota has responded well in this spot for bettors though, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a road loss. The Hawks on the other hand are 0-2 ATS in their last two MNF games. In a contest which I think’ll be decided by whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Vikes. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Rams -3 v. Bears | Top | 6-15 | Loss | -112 | 103 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams (NON-CONF GAME OF THE YEAR) The Bears have a tremendous defense, but the biggest question comes on the offensive side of the ball. The Rams have question marks on the defensive side of the ball, but not many can keep pace with them on the offensive side. The Bears are running out of gas as evidenced by their 30-27 OT loss to the lowly Giants last week. The Rams on the other hand seem to be getting better after each weekend, most recently coming away with an easy 30-16 road win at Detroit. Take it for what you will as well, but the Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five after a win by ten or more points. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-21 LA. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Colts v. Texans -4.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 0 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Texans (8*) The Texans offense has put up 68 points over its last two games. The Colts come in off a 6-0 loss to Jacksonville. The Texans already beat the Colts 37-34 in Indianapolis and while “revenge” is always an angle I take into account, I don’t think it’s going to mean anything in this particular matchup. Indianapolis took a major step back last weekend offensively and I believe the Colts have run out of gas. The Texans hate the Colts and they’ll be eager to to deliver the “knock out blow.” Note that the Colts are just 5-9 ATS in their last 14 vs. the division, while the Texans are already 3-1 ATS this year as a home favorite of seven points or less. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-20 Houston. | |||||||
12-08-18 | Navy +7 v. Army | Top | 10-17 | Push | 0 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Navy (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) Army went into this game last year with an identical 9-2 record and after winning 14-13, it finished at 10-2. Now the Knights have a chance to do that again. Navy is only 3-9 and it’s going to suffer its first losing season since 2002. Clearly the Midshipmen aren’t happy: “It has obviously been disappointing,” lamented senior linebacker Hudson Sullivan recently. “It’s not the kind of season that any of us even remotely imagined we would have had,” continued Sullivan, who will be playing in his fourth Army-Navy game (the last two of which his team has lost.) “When the season started we were looking forward to having a winning season, beating Army, playing for the conference championship and going to a bowl game. That didn’t happen. So as big as winning the Army-Navy game usually is, it would mean more this year…. We’re going into the game to play as hard as we can and to beat Army and put a black mark on their season. As seniors, it would be a great way to end our career.” All of the pressure is now on the Knights, who are just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 20-17 Army. | |||||||
12-06-18 | Jaguars +4.5 v. Titans | Top | 9-30 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jacksonville Jaguars (10* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams have endured an up and down season. The Jaguars are down to their backup QB now and the only thing they have left to play for is the role of spoiler, and they did that in last week’s impressive 6-0 win over the Colts. Indianapolis came into that game on fire and the Jags’ defense posted its best performance of the year. No reason not to think the unit won’t carry that momentum over here. The Titans’ offense has been hit or miss, and last week the Titans had to rally for dear life to post a win over the lowly Jets. The Jags also play with revenge here, having dropped three straight in the series, including a 9-6 setback at home in the first one this season. Note as well that Jacksonville is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 as a road underdog. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Jacksonville. | |||||||
12-03-18 | Redskins v. Eagles -6 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Eagles (10* MONEY-MAKER) For me this one comes down to the starting QB’s. Both teams are hungry for a win (the Redskins are 6-5 and the Eagles are 5-6.) Washington lost the services of starting QB Alex Smith to injury and backup Colt McCoy had 268 yards, two TD’s and three INT’s in Thanksgivings 31-23 setback to Dallas. It was the fourth straight game that the Skins allowed at least 100 rushing yards. The Eagles rallied for a 25-22 win over the Giants last weekend and I think they carry that momentum over here. Carson Wentz was 20 of 28 for 236 yards and a TD. Note as well that Washington is 0-3 ATS in its last three after playing a “Thursday” game, while Philadelphia is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three off a home win vs. a division rival. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-18 Philly. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 151 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Chargers (10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH) Clearly this is a big game for both of these AFC opponents. LA is 8-3 and the Steelers are 7-2-1. LA comes in off a blowout win over the Cards, while the Steelers lost some momentum in a setback to Denver last week. The Chargers inconsistencies against the pass were evident last week, which I feel spells doom against Philip Rivers and company. Note that LA is 4-1 ATS on the road, while Pittsburgh is just 3-4 ATS as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Chargers. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Colts -4 v. Jaguars | 0-6 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indianapolis Colts (8*) With a chance to put the final nail in the coffin for the Jags season, I expect Andrew Luck and the surging Colts to lay the hammer down. Luck already has 3,112 passing yards with a sharp 32:11 TD/INT. Last Sunday he had 343 passing yards and two INT’s in the come back win over the Fish. The Jags won’t even be starting Blake Bortles this week, instead going with Cody Kessler. In last Sunday’s loss to the Bills he had 127 yards passing with one TD and two INT’s. Note that Jacksonville is 0-4-2 ATS in its last six following a SU loss, while Indianapolis is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five following a SU victory. T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Colts. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Ravens +1.5 v. Falcons | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Baltimore Ravens (8*) The Ravens can put the Falcons season to bed with a win today. Baltimore desperately needs a win as well sitting at 6-5. The Ravens once again turn to QB Lamar Jackson, who led his team to a 34-17 win over Oakland last weekend. Note that the Ravens still lead the NFL in yards allowed per game at just 295.4 per contest. Falcons’ QB Matt Ryan has already been sacked 33 times this year. Ryan has been decent for ATL, but inconsistencies on both sides of the ball have been the Falcons undoing. Note that Baltimore is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 25-23 Ravens. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Browns +7 v. Texans | 13-29 | Loss | -140 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Browns (8*) Cleveland looks to pull of an upset here against the red hot Texans. The Browns have won two straight, most recently a 35-20 win over the Bengals. The Browns have looked a lot better defensively of late, allowing just 18 PPG over their last two. The Texans have won eight straight, but one has to wonder when the inevitable letdown will occur? I think it happens this week against a Browns team with nothing to lose. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 25-23 Houston. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Rams v. Lions +10.5 | Top | 30-16 | Loss | -130 | 144 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Lions (10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR) The Rams posted a 54-51 win over Kansas City back on November 19th and they then enjoyed their bye week. So will “rest” lead to “rust?” I think the answer will in fact be “yes.” As good as LA looked offensively in that win over the Chiefs, was as horrible as the defense performed though. The Lions have been the victim of injury and some plain old “bad luck,” but they won’t be going down without a fight. QB Matt Stafford is only 159 yards shy of his eight straight 3,000 yard season. Note as well that LA is just 4-5 ATS this year as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Rams. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh +28 | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 20 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh (8*) Clemson is scoring 45.7 PPG and outscoring its opposition by 31.7 PPG this year. But the Tigers are starting to show signs of wearing down. Two of Clemson’s last three games by been decided by 21 points or less and last week vs. South Carolina the Tigers would go on to give up 510 yards through the air. The Panthers’ steady play on the defensive side is the difference here and keeps them competitive late. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Clemson. | |||||||
11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3.5 | Top | 30-29 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* GAME OF THE YEAR). Buffalo went 10-2 this year, including 7-1 in MAC actin, while the Huskies went 7-5 overall and 6-2 in conference play. Note that this is a big time revenge game for the Bulls after Northern Illinois won this game last year 14-13. Buffalo is rolling, having scored at least 30 points in all but three games this year. Overall Buffalo is averaging 35.2 PPG and allowing 24.2. NIU is averaging only 19.9 PPG and it’s allowing 20.9. The Huskies are over matched in all three phases and I’m expecting a blowout. Note as well that NIU is just 4-16-1 ATS in its last 21 neutral site games, while the Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. teams with winning records and 8-1 ATS in their last nine against the conference. NIU has lost two straight, managing just 28 points in those setback. I’m banking on the Bulls dominating from start to finish. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-21 Buffalo. | |||||||
11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Cowboys (10* TRADE-MARK) The Saints have the best record in the NFL, most recently coming off a 31-17 home win over the Falcons. The Cowboys though have turned things around, winners of three straight, including a 16-12 win on the road in Detroit on Thanksgiving. New Orleans has been on fire, but at some point the wheels are going to fall of the bus. And in my opinion, that happens this weekend. While I’m not calling for the outright upset, I’ll point out that the Cowboys are already 2-0 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 after two or more consecutive wins. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Saints. | |||||||
11-26-18 | Titans v. Texans -4 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 34 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Texans (10* TRADE-MARK) The Titans smoked the Patriots and then had a predictable letdown in a 38-10 loss to the Colts last weekend. Houston won its seventh straight last weekend with a tight 23-21 win over Washington. The Texans can match a franchise record today with an eighth straight win and I don’t think they blow it. Tennessee’s momentum is now gone after last week’s loss and note that it’s just 9-14 ATS on the road in its last 23 anyways. The Texans also play with revenge here after a Week 2 setback in Tennessee. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 31-10 Texans. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Packers v. Vikings -3.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 151 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Vikings (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Green Bay comes in off a deflating loss to the Seahawks last weekend and I think it’ll struggle to find the same intensity here against this desperate and hungry home side. The Vikes also enter off a tight loss in Chicago last weekend. The difference here though is that Minnesota is still very much in the thick of the playoff hunt with a win here today. Home field is going to be a major advantage in my opinion, as note that GB is just 1-5-1 TS in its last seven away from friendly confines. Minnesota on the other hand is 26-9 ATS in its last 35 following a loss. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Vikes. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Panthers | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 144 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Seattle Seahawks (8* SUPER SHOCKER) It’s a do or die game for the Panthers as they continue to lose ground the NFC South. After back-to-back losses, the Seahawks can put the nail in the coffin with another victory today. The Hawks have found their running game and it’s opened things up for Russell Wilson. Seattle comes in off a confidence building win over Green Bay last weekend and there’s no reason not to think it can’t carry that momentum over here as well. Note as well that Seattle is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 vs. teams with winning records and 9-5 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog. T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Hawks. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Giants +6 v. Eagles | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 144 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Giants (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think “momentum” in sports is a very real, almost tangible factor. “Revenge” is also an angle which I also take into account. The revenge minded Giants come into this one off back-to-back blowout wins as the offense continues to make big strides. The Eagles come in off back to back losses, including a humbling setback last Sunday. These teams are moving in opposite directions and I expect those trends to continue. The Giants are 4-1 ATS on the road already this year and the Eagles are just 1-4 ATS at home. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-25 New York. | |||||||
11-24-18 | Utah State +3 v. Boise State | 24-33 | Loss | -109 | 146 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Utah State (8* SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT) Utah State has won ten straight and after a near catastrophe against lowly Colorado State, I believe the Aggies come in focused on the task at hand and continue their red hot offensive campaign. Utah State plays with revenge and note that it’s been “lights out” in this spot for bettors all season by going 2-0 ATS as an underdog, 6-2 ATS after two or more SU wins and 3-1 ATS in its last four at home. Boise State on the other hand is still only 5-12 ATS in its last 17 at home and just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 vs. teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 37-29 Utah State. | |||||||
11-24-18 | Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -5.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 140 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Miami Florida (8* MONEY-MAKER) Pitt comes in off a very satisfying 34-13 road win over Wake Forest last Saturday and I believe it’ll have a predictable letdown here. With that win the Panthers won the Coastal Division title. Miami enters off a 38-14 blowout win over Virginia Tech, but the Hurricanes won’t be “looking past” their opponent today after the Panthers scored the upset 24-14 win last year. Pitt comes in averaging 30.3 PPG and allowing 28.1. Miami became eligible last weekend, but clearly the team will look to keep the foot on the gas in the final regular season home game. The Hurricanes average 31.5 PPG and they allow only 19.5. Note that Miami is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 following a SU win, while Pittsburgh is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five after a SU win of more than 20 points. T.M. Prediction: 28-19 Miami. | |||||||
11-24-18 | Georgia Tech v. Georgia -17 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 136 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Georgia (10* TRADE-MARK) The Yellow Jackets are off a tough 30-27 OT win over Virginia at home and I think they’ll suffer a letdown here. Georgia rolled to an easy 66-27 home win over UMass and I predict a similarly destruction here as well. Note that Georgia smashed GT 38-7 in this game last year. GT averages 36.9 PPG and it allows 27.5. At 10-1, the Bulldogs are back in the SEC title game, but they have one more opportunity for a “tune up” and I expect them to make the most of it. Georgia enters averaging 39.5 PPG and allowing only 16.8. Note as well that GT is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. T.M. Prediction: 45-15 Bulldogs. | |||||||
11-23-18 | Washington +3.5 v. Washington State | 28-15 | Win | 100 | 121 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington (8* BLOWOUT) I think many will be riding red hot Washington State in this one. But I think the pressure is on the home side here and I look for veteran Huskies’ QB Jake Browning to pull off the minor upset. But Browning beating WSU is no upset, as he’s already done it three times over his career, outscoring the Cougars 131-41 in the process. Washington State is rolling behind the Nation’s No. 1 offense, but the Huskies aren’t that far behind. Washington also has the upper hand defensively. Additionally note that the Huskies are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road conference games as an underdog in the +2.5 to +5.5 points range. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Huskies. | |||||||
11-23-18 | Central Florida v. South Florida +14.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Outright upset? I’m not saying that. But the desperate Bulls will be out to play spoiler today at home and while USF may come up short, I definitely expect this one to be a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. UCF won and covered against the Bearcats last weekend. The Bulls had a 17-0 lead at half time, but Temple scored 27 unanswered points in the second to steal the game. After four straight losses and with nothing to lose on seniors night though, I believe USF can put the pressure on the Knights today. Note that UCF is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 vs. teams with winning records, while USF is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. T.M. Prediction: 40-30 UCF. | |||||||
11-23-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State +13.5 | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 112 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kent State (8* MONEY-MAKER) EMU enters off a 27-7 home win over Akron in its latest action, while Kent Stat looks to bounce back off a 56-34 loss to Toledo at home last Thursday. The Eagles secured a bowl spot with the win over Akron prior to their “bye week.” Can anyone say natural letdown spot? Note that the Eagles have scored 27 or fewer points in three straight games. The Golden Flashes have struggled on both sides of the ball this year, but they won’t going down with a fight today. Note that Kent is 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss, while EMU is just 11-24 ATS in its last 35 following a SU victory. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 EMU. | |||||||
11-23-18 | Texas v. Kansas +16 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas (10* BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR) This is a big game for the Longhorns, because if they win this one they’ll earn a spot in the Big 12 Championship game next week to face Oklahoma. I’m not calling for an outright, but the stage is set for Kansas to keep this one competitive and try to score the outright upset as spoiler. Texas’ QB Sam Ehlinger was injured last week and he’s listed as probable for this one. Ehlinger is likely going to play, but one has to wonder about his overall health for sure? Kansas lost 55-40 last week vs. Oklahoma and I think it can carry that offensive momentum over here. Note that Texas is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 on the road, while Kansas is 6-4 ATS this season as an underdog. T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Texas. | |||||||
11-22-18 | Falcons +13.5 v. Saints | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -133 | 81 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Falcons (10* TRADE-MARK) Outright win? I don’t think it’s as crazy as it sounds! The Falcons are clearly the more “desperate” team here, most recently coming off an upset loss in Detroit. Another loss today and ATL is essentially out of the playoff race. New Orleans on the other hand is on top of the World, most recently destroying the defending champion Eagles 48-7. It’s hard to imagine the Saints taking the foot off the gas at this point as they try to lock down the first week bye in the playoffs, but Atlanta simply won’t go down without a fight here. Note as well that the Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine divisional road contests as an underdog in the +12 to +14 points range. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 New Orleans. | |||||||
11-22-18 | Redskins +8.5 v. Cowboys | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 77 h 21 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington Redskins (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Washington comes in as the more desperate team after falling 23-21 at home to Houston last weekend. The Cowboys come in off back-to-back road wins, including a tight 22-19 road victory over Atlanta last weekend. Washington took the first meeting of the year 20-17 and I do indeed believe that another outright win isn’t out of the question here either. Note that the Skins are 3-1 ATS on the road this year. The Cowboys are just 2-2 ATS at home and note that Dallas is only 1-4 ATS in its last five after two or more SU/ATS victories. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 21-20 Dallas. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Joseph D'Amico | $1,180 |
Tom Macrina | $979 |
Ricky Tran | $856 |
Joey Tron | $682 |
ProSportsPicks | $649 |
Jack Jones | $604 |
Dan Kaiser | $604 |
Sean Higgs | $524 |
Ray Monohan | $350 |
Nick Parsons | $256 |