Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -4 | Top | 104-100 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Off back-to-back road losses, I think the Blazers bounce back at home. LA is 12-6 overall, but just 4-5 on the road. Portland is 12-7 overall and 7-2 at home. Additionally note that LA is just 3-6 ATS as an underdog this season, while Portland is 7-2 ATS at home and 6-3 ATS in its last nine vs. teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 119-108 Blazers. | |||||||
11-23-18 | Heat v. Bulls +2.5 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Bulls (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Neither team can be very happy where it sits at the moment. Miami though is ripe for the picking in my opinion as it comes in having lost six of seven. Miami is averaging 108.3 PPG and it’s allowing 110.2. All Star guard Goran Dragic is injured. Chicago has lost five of seven. The Bulls average 104.2 PPG and they allow 113.6. Zach LaVine averages 25.5 PPG. Note though that the Heat are just 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. the East, while Chicago is already 6-4 ATS at home and 6-2 ATS after allowing 115 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Bulls. | |||||||
11-21-18 | Nuggets +2 v. Wolves | Top | 103-101 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER) Denver is 10-7 and the Wolves are 7-10. Derek Rose and the Wolves have looked great of late, winning three of their last four since the Jimmy Butler trade, but I think the home side will come up short here. Denver is the “hungrier” team, as it’s lost two straight and six of its last eight. The Nuggets come in averaging 111.0 points per 100 possessions, while allowing only 105.2 per 100 possessions. Minnesota actually enters off a 100-87 loss at home to Memphis. Rose had 18 points. Minnesota is scoring just 106.3 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 111.1. Note that Denver is 17-10 ATS in its last 27 against the division, while Minnesota is just 17-18 ATS in its last 35 against divisional opponents. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Nuggets. | |||||||
11-19-18 | Nuggets +5 v. Bucks | Top | 98-104 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Bucks started the year as the hottest team in the league, but they’ve since come back down to Earth, trading wins and losses. Denver fans can empathize, as the Nuggets were equally as dominant over the first month, but coming into this one having lost five of their last six. Overall Denver is averaging 111.8 PPG and allowing 105.3. Milwaukee is averaging 115.3 PPG and it’s allowing 104.4. Note though that the Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference road games as an underdog in the +4.5 to +7.5 points range. Grab the points and expect a competitive battle. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Denver. | |||||||
11-18-18 | Lakers +2 v. Heat | Top | 113-97 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Lakers enter off a loss just last night in Orlando, but I think LBJ and company bounce back in the second game of the back to back as “The King” was caught looking ahead to this match-up in South Beach. Miami is just 6-9 and the Lakers offense is firing on all cylinders, averaging 117 PPG. Miami is averaging only 110.1 points. The Heat are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five against teams with a winning SU record. I look for James to lay the hammer down against his former team. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Lakers. | |||||||
11-17-18 | Warriors v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Warriors are ripe for the picking after losing three of their last five. They’re also fighting with each other off the court (Durant and Green). Most recently the Warriors were destroyed 107-86 by the Rockets. The Mavs are surging in the other direction though with three straight victories, most recently destroying Utah 118-68. Note that Golden State is just 2-5 ATS on the road this year, while Dallas is 5-2 ATS at home. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Mavs. | |||||||
11-16-18 | Raptors v. Celtics -1.5 | Top | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Toronto enters off a deflating 106-104 home loss to Detroit on Wednesday, while Boston comes in off a confidence building 111-82 beatdown of the Bulls. Note that this is an “in-season revenge game” after the Raptors won 113-103 at home back on October 19th. The Raptors started the season 12-1, but after back-to-back losses, the “wheels are coming off the buss” now for Toronto. Boston looks to take advantage. Note that it’s 46-25 ATS the last two seasons trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 114-100 Boston. | |||||||
11-14-18 | Cavs v. Wizards -11.5 | Top | 95-119 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (10* TRADE-MARK) Based entirely on the fact the the Wizards have looked a lot better of late after a terrible start and because the Cavaliers are on in action on Tuesday night. Cleveland has struggled with offensive consistency and the second game of a back to back against a focused and hungry Wizards side is not what the doctor ordered to get untracked. Note that Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games against an Eastern Conference foe as a favorite in the -10 to -15 points range. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 Washington. | |||||||
11-12-18 | Spurs v. Kings +3.5 | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Spurs enter off a satisfying 96-89 home win over Houston, while Sacramento came up short at home in a 101-86 setback to the Lakers. This is a revenge game for the Kings, as SA took all four games in the series last year. SA is averaging 109.5 PPG and it’s allowing 107.9. The Kings are averaging 115.3 PPG and they’re allowing 116.8. Sacramento can score with the best of them, its issues are on the defensive end of the floor. But SA prefers to run half-court sets and I think the Kings bounce back and take this one down to the wire with their up-tempo/improved offensive play. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Kings. | |||||||
11-11-18 | Celtics +2.5 v. Blazers | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Celtics have lost four of their last five. One night off an epic come from behind OT win in Phoenix, Boston had a predicable letdown in a 123-115 setback at Utah. Kyrie Irving returns to the line-up for Boston though and with their “floor genera” in the line-up, I think the Celtics end their road trip with a signature West Coast victory. Portland comes in off three straight wins, but with two nights off before a lengthy road trip, I think the home side comes out flat tonight. Note that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games after allowing 122 points or more in its previous contest. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Boston. | |||||||
11-10-18 | Knicks +14 v. Raptors | Top | 112-128 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* TRADE-MARK) The Raptors just swept their difficult West Coast road swing and they didn’t even have their best player in the line-up. Toronto is 11-1 and rolling across the board right now, but I think the home side will finally come in a tiny bit complacent here, leaving the back door open just enough for New York to sneak in through the down the stretch. With Anthony Davis and New Orleans coming to town next, this sets up as a “look-ahead” spot as well. New York comes in off a 112-107 win over the Hawks and it’ll look to build off that win with another strong effort here. No outright, but closer than expected. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Raptors. | |||||||
11-09-18 | Nets +9.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* HAMMER-TIME!) I think the Nuggets are primed for another letdown here after suffering a loss last time out. Brooklyn comes in off back-to-back victories and with a game tomorrow night in Golden State, clearly the Nets will be leaving everything they have on the floor tonight in trying to earn an upset in this more “winnable” matchup. With Milwaukee and Houston coming to town next, clearly the Nuggets could easily be caught “looking ahead” here as well. Note that the Nets are 9-0 ATS in their last nine after allowing 90 points or less and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 following a win by ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 Denver. | |||||||
11-07-18 | Pistons -1 v. Magic | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* TRADE-MARK) The Pistons are desperate, they’ve lost six straight, but with a game tonight against the Magic and then at Atlanta on Friday, Detroit will look to close its road trip on a high note. Orlando beat the Spurs on the road, before then returning home to come from behind for a 102-100 win over the Cavs. Can anyone say letdown spot here?! Note as well that the Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine on a four games or more unbeaten streak. T.M. Prediction: 110-100 Pistons | |||||||
11-06-18 | Nets v. Suns +1 | Top | 104-82 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Both teams come in off rare victories. The Nets smashed the 76ers 122-97 at home on Sunday, while the Suns got the better of the Grizzlies 102-100 that same night. I don’t think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup though. The Nets achilles heel has been their play on the road and I think that’ll again be the base tonight as well. The Suns don’t have the luxury to dwell on their most recent win after such a poor start and I like them to push the pace and find a way to get the job done in this favorable match-up. T.M. Prediction: 115-105 Suns. | |||||||
11-05-18 | Cavs +3.5 v. Magic | Top | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* GAME OF WEEK) No need to overthink this one. The Magic go into their game against the Spurs having lost three straight on Sunday night. Cleveland can empathize as it’s 1-8 overall, most recently coming off back-to-back losses, including a 126-94 setback in Charlotte Saturday. But Orlando on the second game of a back to back offers the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Note that Cleveland is still 7-2 ATS in its last nine following a two games or more SU unbeaten streak. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Cavs. | |||||||
11-04-18 | Magic +8 v. Spurs | Top | 117-110 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR) I think the Magic bounce back here on the road after three straight losses. The Spurs on the other hand look poised for a classic letdown here after their convincing 109-95 win last night at home over New Orleans. Note that the Magic are 25-18 ATS the last two years after three or more consecutive SU losses, while SA is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight non-conference games. T.M. Prediction: 205-203 Spurs. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Lakers +3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Lakers have looked great at times this year and really bad in others. That’s going to be the case all year long until the team develops some really chemistry, but I believe the visitors can keep this one competitive and do in fact have a real shot at taking this one outright. LA enters off a 114-113 home win over Dallas, with James posting 29 points, five boards and six assists. The Blazers come in on the other end of the spectrum, having won three straight, most recently a 132-119 rout of New Orleans. Can anyone say letdown spot? Note that LA 10-6 ATS in its last 16 when playing with two days rest, while Portland is still just 20-23 ATS in its last 43 after allowing 115 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 115-110 Lakers. | |||||||
11-02-18 | Knicks v. Mavs -6 | Top | 118-106 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Mavericks are desperate, they’re just 2-6 overall and they’ve lost five straight. It goes without saying that Dallas will be leaving everything it has on the floor tonight as it looks to get back into the winners circle. The good news is that’s it’s playing at home, where the Mavericks are a respectable 2-1 SU/ATS thus far. They also benefit in facing the Knicks, who are just 2-6 overall as well, including 0-3 on the road. Additionally note that Dallas is 7-2 ATSin its last nine following a four games or more unbeaten streak. T.M. Prediction: 113-100 Mavs. | |||||||
11-01-18 | Nuggets v. Cavs +6 | Top | 110-91 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* UNDERDOG GAME OF MONTH) Kevin Love is out, but the Cavs finally got off the schneid with a convincing victory at home over the Hawks last time out and I fully expect this veteran team to carry that momentum over here. Denver is the perfect opponent as well, because the Nuggets are in Chicago on Wednesday night. While I do in fact believe that the outright win isn’t out of the question here, I will in the end recommend grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Nuggets. | |||||||
10-31-18 | Jazz v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 125-128 | Win | 100 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota T-Wolves (10* TRADE-MARK) Utah enters off a 113-104 road win at Dallas, while Minnesota got back on track with a big 124-120 win over the Lakers on Monday. The Jazz are averaging 112.5 PPG and they’re allowing 106.2. The T-Wolves are averaging 114.3 PPG and they’re allowing 117.6. Clearly that’s not a recipe for success in the long-term, but I think Minnesota will build off its latest performance, while I expect a step back from Utah in this difficult road venue. Additionally note that Utah is just 10-15 ATS in its last 25 after playing three consecutive road games, while Minnesota is already 3-1 ATS this season against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest. T.M. Prediction: 115-108 Minnesota. | |||||||
10-30-18 | Heat v. Hornets -4 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* GAME OF WEEK) After a great start the Heat come in off a blowout loss at home to the Kings just last night and I think they’ll stumble again here in the second game of the back-to-back. Charlotte on the other hand will be risking life and limb to get back on track here after dropping three of its last four. The Hornets actually beat the Heat 113-112 back on October 20th, but this time around I’m expecting a much bigger victory. So far the Heat are averaging 111.2 PPG and allowing 105.4. The Hornets are averaging 114.1 PPG and they’re allowing 109. Note that Charlotte is 6-2 ATS in its last eight against the East, while Miami is just 2-5 ATS in the same position. This is in fact Miami’s third game in four nights. Lay the points as this one has “blowout” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 115-107 Charlotte. | |||||||
10-29-18 | Mavs +6 v. Spurs | Top | 108-113 | Win | 100 | 31 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TRADE-MARK) The Mavericks have no time to dwell on a 113-104 loss at home to Utah last night. Normally I wouldn’t play on a team in the second game of a back to back, but the beginning of the season nullifies the fatigue factor in my opinion. After three straight losses and with a tough game against the Lakers on Wednesday, the Mavs will obviously be desperate for a victory here. The Spurs come in off a solid win over the Lakers on Saturday, but with a game against the lowly the Suns on Halloween, the home side could easily be caught looking past its lowly opponent tonight. Note as well that the Spurs are just 16-27 ATS the last two years against the division, while the Mavs are 19-13 ATS against divisional foes in the same span. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Spurs. | |||||||
10-27-18 | Blazers v. Heat -1 | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Blazers are 3-1 to open the year and they come in off a road win in Orlando, but with upcoming contests and Indianapolis and Houston, before a home game against the Lakers, I think the visitors are going to get caught “looking past” their non-conference opponent tonight. Miami’s had two nights off to re-focus after a convincing 110-87 win over the Knicks and with two nights off again after this before a home game against the lowly Kings, the home side can indeed put their full attention onto the task at hand. Note as well that Portland is still only 34-36 ATS in its last 70 as an underdog, while Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine against poor defensive clubs which allow 106 plus points per contest. T.M. Prediction: 115-107 Heat. | |||||||
10-26-18 | Warriors -12 v. Knicks | Top | 128-100 | Win | 100 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* MONEY-MAKER) No upsets in the Big Apple, as I expect the two-time defending champs to come in focused on the task at hand. Golden State most recently destroyed Washington 144-122 on Wednesday, while New York returns home off a humbling 110-87 setback in Miami. Golden State is averaging 119.4 PPG and it’s allowing 109.6. New York is averaging 106.4 PPG and it’s allowing 110.2. Note as well that the Knicks are just 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 against teams with a winning percentage above .600, while GS is 5-1 ATS in its last six against teams with losing SU records. Lay the points and expect a blowout from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 125-105 Warriors. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $966 |
Ray Monohan | $762 |
Joey Tron | $604 |
Big Al McMordie | $501 |
Ross Benjamin | $475 |
Jesse Schule | $471 |
Ricky Tran | $360 |
Matt Fargo | $338 |
Tom Macrina | $260 |
Jimmy Boyd | $88 |