Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-14-20 | Predators v. Oilers +106 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 106 | 22 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Edmonton Oilers Although Edmonton is the underdog in this one, I believe that they'll get the job done at home here today. Entering this game, Nashiville is only 5-6 after a game against a division opponent this season. They are also only 3-5 in their last 8 games. For the Oilers, they have looked sharp all season long. That Connor McDavid/Leon Draisaitl combo is money. Edmonton is 60% in January games this season. The Oilers are also 4-2 in their last 6 games. Expect an Edmonton victory on home ice tonight. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Oilers | |||||||
01-13-20 | Bruins v. Flyers OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Bruins/Philadelphia Flyers OVER In a huge game for both of these two teams, I believe that they'll score lots of goals on Monday Night. Entering this game, the Flyers have seen the total go OVER in 4 of their last 6 games. The total has also gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 14 games against opponents in the East Conference. The Flyers have seen the total go OVER in 7 of their last 8 games against opponents in the Atlantic Division as well. For the Bruins, they average a combined score of 5.94 goals per game. They have also score 3+ goals in their last 3 games. If the Flyers lose this game, that means they would have lost 6 of their last 7 games. Therefore, I believe that they'll play their guts out and score many goals on Monday. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Bruins | |||||||
01-11-20 | Stars v. Sharks +111 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 111 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Jose Sharks Off six straight wins, I believe that the Dallas Stars are due for a loss here on Saturday Night. Coming into this game, San Jose is 35-20 in games played on a Saturday the past three years. They are also 43-31 off a win by two or more goals. For the Stars, they are only 5-6 after 3 or more consecutive unders. They are also 0-1 this season after shutting out their opponent in their previous game. At home, expect a Sharks win. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Sharks | |||||||
01-10-20 | Senators v. Red Wings OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Red Wings/Ottawa Senators OVER Both of these two teams have been struggling out of the gates, and that's why they are both sitting at the very bottom of the standings. Detroit hasn't been scoring too much, but they sure have been giving up a lot of goals. The Red Wings are giving up a whopping 3.82 goals per game. Detroit has seen the total go OVER in 6 of their last 7 games at home this season. On the other hand, Ottawa has also given up massive amounts of goals (3.47 gpg.) They have seen the total go OVER in 10 of their last 11 games this season. The total has also gone OVER in each of Ottawa's last 5 games against opponents in the East Conference. Expect a lot of goals tonight as they go for many goals. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Red Wings | |||||||
01-09-20 | Devils v. Rangers -164 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NY Rangers Off a huge win, the NY Rangers are looking like a playoff team to could shock some people. Entering this game, New York is a dominant 7-1 in their last 8 games against opponents in the Metropolitan Division. They are also a ridiculous 6-1 in their last 7 games when playing at home against the Devils. For New Jersey, they have been struggling all season long and their record shows that. Off back-to-back losses New Jersey is only 6-12 SU in their last 18 games. The Devils are also 2-4 in their last 6 games against NY Rangers. With the Rangers looking confident and the Devils not on their best game, I expect to see a complete destruction on Thursday Night. Take New York. T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Rangers | |||||||
01-06-20 | Jets +137 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-2 | Win | 137 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnepeg Jets Although the Winnepeg Jets are the underdog in this game, I believe that they are by far the better side. The Jets have been struggling a little bit as of late, but, the Canadiens have been just as bad. In the past, Winnepeg is a dominant 60-34 when playing against a team with a losing record. They are also 48-34 after playing against a divisional opponent. On the other hand, Montreal is a terrible 0-5 SU in their last 5 games (1-6 L7.) Expect the Jets to dominate here on Monday, as the home crowd goes home crying. T.M. Prediction: 6-2 Jets | |||||||
01-03-20 | Capitals +109 v. Hurricanes | Top | 4-3 | Win | 109 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Capitals The Wshington Capitals come into today's game with a dominant 27-9-5 record. They have scored 3.5+ goals per game and they have looked very confident in every single game. Washington is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games. Even better, the Capitals are a wicked 16-5-1 on the road this year. On the other hand, Carolina has also had a pretty good start. Although having a good record, the Hurricanes are only 3-8 vs. opponents in the same division as them. On Friday, with the Capitals off back-to-back losses, expect them to bounce back in a huge a way. Take Washington an look for them to dominate from the opening face-off. T.M. Prediction: 3-0 Capitals | |||||||
01-02-20 | Blackhawks v. Canucks -147 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vancouver Canucks Off 5 straight victories, the Vancouver Canucks are starting to make a name for themselves. They are a perfect 3-0 off three or more days of rest this season. The Canucks have also scored a lot of points. They have an excellent 3.30 average of goals per game. On the other hand, the Blackhawks are only 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against Vancouver. They are also 9-15 when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Expect an easy win for the Canucks on Thursday Night. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Canucks | |||||||
01-01-20 | Predators v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nashville Predators/Dallas Stars UNDER Nashville may have seen a lot of "over's" this season, but I believe that both of these two teams will shut the door tonight. In the past, when these two teams have played, they have seen 5 goals or less in 9 of the past 13 games. Dallas has also seen the total go UNDER in 7 of their last 8 games played at home. I expect a very low-scoring game here on New Year's Day. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Stars | |||||||
12-30-19 | Senators v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 104 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penguins/Senators OVER Ottawa comes into this game just under .500. They'll be looking to score a lot of goals on Monday Night against the Pens. So far this month, the Senators have seen the total go OVER in 9 of their 11 games. The total has also gone OVER 60 of Ottawa's last 99 games when they are playing against a team with a winning record. For Pittsburgh, they are cruising right through almost every single team. They have scored 4+ goals in 5 of their last 6 games. I expect lots of goals tonight as well. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Pens | |||||||
12-29-19 | Flyers v. Ducks -101 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -101 | 21 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks Anaheim comes into this game having won their previous game 4-3 against the Golden Knights. The Ducks are a huge 52-31 in home games, when the total is 5.5. On the other hand, the Flyers just played a game last night against the Sharks. They are 5-9 in non-conference games this season.pect Philadelphia to be tired from last night for this big game. Take the Ducks. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Ducks | |||||||
12-28-19 | Avalanche v. Stars -133 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Stars Colorado comes into this game with the second best record in the Pacific Divison. Although having a good record, the Avalanche are only 13-27 in a road game when the total is 5.5 the past three years (1-2 this season.) On the other hand, the Stars also have a strong record (20-14-4.) Dallas enters this game with a nice 6-3 record this season in games played on a Saturday (30-19 L3 years.) The Stars are also 7-2 the past three years when they are off 3 or more consecutive games where the total has gone OVER. The Avs just played yesterday, so I expect them to be tired and lazy at the start of this one. Take the Stars. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Stars | |||||||
12-23-19 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights -119 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VEGAS Both teams have started off this season with a boom. They are well over .500 and they'll both look to stay that way. Although having such a good record, Colorado has lost their last 2 games and are only 1-3 in their past four. VEGAS is 3-1 in their last 4 games. Expect the Golden Knight to take this one with ease. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 VEGAS | |||||||
12-20-19 | Stars v. Panthers -121 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida Panthers Off a back to back in a highly competetive game that went past 3 periods, I like the Panthers here. Florida is going to come in extremely confident as they are off a huge 6-1 victory over the Ottawa Senators on Monday. On the other hand, the Dallas Stars are only 2-2 in their last 4 games. Yesterday's game went to OT, and I believe that the amount of travel in the night will not treat them well. Expect the Panthers to take advantage of a sleepy Stars team on Friday. T.M. Prediction: 3-0 Panthers | |||||||
12-19-19 | Stars v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas/Tampa UNDER Both of these two teams have had great starts to the season. The Stars have seen the total go UNDER in 24 of their first 35 games this year. They have also seen the total go UNDER in each of their last 5 games. On the other hand, Tampa has been scoring a lot. But if they are going to stay close with this Stars team, they have to play smart, as well as play good defense. The number is high. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Lightning | |||||||
12-17-19 | Hurricanes v. Jets +106 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg Jets Both of these two teams come in with identical records. Winnipeg enters this one 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home. They are also 10-4 SU in their last 14 games. On the other hand, Carolina hasn't done well against the Jets. They are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road as well as 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against the Winnipeg Jets. Expect an easy Jets win on Tuesday. T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Jets | |||||||
12-15-19 | Kings -120 v. Red Wings | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Kings Neither team has had a great start to the season, but the Red Wings have bee absolutely awful. Coming into this game, Detroit is 2-12 SU in their last 14 games. They also have a terrible 1-6 SU record in their last 7 games at home. Now, they'll go up against a Kings team who have won back-to-back games with ease. Los Angeles is also 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Detroit. Expect the Kings to destroy them right from the start here. T.M. Prediction: 3-0 Kings | |||||||
12-12-19 | Rangers v. Sharks -151 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -151 | 24 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Jose Sharks The NY Rangers come into this game with an awful 1-11 SU record in their last 12 games against opponents in the Pacific Division. The Rangers are also only 5-13 SU in their last 18 games against opponents from the Western Conference. On the other hand, San Jose is 7-3 SU in their L10 games at home. Off 5 straight losses, the Sharks will be hungry, looking to turn it around with their home crowd behind them. Take San Jose. T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Sharks | |||||||
12-03-19 | Stars v. Jets +100 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg Jets Both teams have had nearly identical starts to this season. Both decent. Winnipeg comes in to this matchup 7-1 in their L8 games when playing at home against Dallas. They are also 6-2 in their L8 games this season. On the other hand, the Stars have gone 4-10 in their last 14 games against Winnipeg. They have also lost their last three games. With the Stars coming in with their haeds down, and the Jets coming in confident, I like the Jets on Tuesday Night. Expect an easy winner. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Jets | |||||||
12-02-19 | Islanders v. Red Wings +1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -149 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit RedWings The Islanders have had a dominant start to the season, but they have lost 3 of their L4 games and the Red Wings come hungry for a win. Detroit may be awful, but here, they'll be looking to snap this losing streak in a big way. With the Red Wings getting 1.5 points, I like Detroit on Monday. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Red Wings | |||||||
12-01-19 | Stars v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Stars/Wild UNDER The Stars have had a decent start to the season while the Wild are sitting at .500. Coming into Sunday game, the total has gone UNDER in 12 of Dallas' L18 games. They have also seen the total go UNDER 5 out of their L7 games on the road. On the other hand, Minnesota has seen the total go UNDER in 6 out of their L9 games. In this matchup, over the years, the UNDER is 5-2 the L7 games. Expect a low-scoring game here on December 1st. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Stars | |||||||
11-29-19 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Stars Under Stars off a 3-0 loss and have been an under team all season. They always go under against the Blues. Last four games between these teams: 3-2 Blues, 2-1 Blues, 4-1 Blues, 2-1 Stars. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Stars | |||||||
11-28-19 | Devils +1.5 v. Canadiens | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New Jersey Devils +1.5. I don't often take an extra +1.5 goals because I don't often lay chalk, but this value is too good to pass up. Montreal is a mess. Boston beat them 8-1 last game and that makes 5 straight losses. One was a 4-3 loss against New Jersey. In total Montreal has given up 25 goals during the losing streak. Deja Vu? T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Devils | |||||||
11-26-19 | Wild v. Devils -132 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -132 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Jersey Devils Both teams have losing records coming into this game. Although having a rough start, the Devils won their last game 5-1 and showed lots of promise. In previous matches between these teams, New Jersey is 8-3-1 SU in their L12 games when playing at home (vs. the Wild.) Minnesota, on the other hand, is only 2-11-2 as an underdog this season. The Wild are also only 4-10-1 on the road ytd. I like the Devils to win this one, and to make a march up the standings in the time coming. Take New Jersey and expect an easy winner. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Devils | |||||||
11-25-19 | Islanders -117 v. Ducks | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -117 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders The red hot Islanders will travel to Anaheim, where they'll take on the not so good Ducks on Monday Night. NY comes in with a ridiculous 16-3-2 record while the Ducks only have a 10-11-3 record. Coming into this game, Anaheim is 1-8 SU in their L9 games. They are also 0-5 SU in their L5 games at home. I expect the Islanders to destroy this weak team. Take New York. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Islanders | |||||||
11-14-19 | Hurricanes v. Sabres +122 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo Sabres We will see a determined Sabre unit tonight. This is a team that badly wants to break a losing skid. Buffalo plays with some extra rest and in front of its home crowd. Buffalo = 5-3 at home. Carolina = 3-5 away from home. I wont consider it an upset when Buffalo takes it. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Sabres | |||||||
11-13-19 | Maple Leafs +107 v. Islanders | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Maple Leafs John Tavares, the Toronto captain, will once again play against his old team who has dominated ever since trading him. The Islanders have started 12-3-1, but they are just 30-33 when playing a home game, and when the total is 6 or more. I expect John Tavares to step up against his old team, and lead the way to victory on Wednesday Night. Take Toronto. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Maple Leafs | |||||||
11-11-19 | Coyotes v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 105 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Coyotes/Washington Capitals UNDER Both of these two teams have started off the new season with a winning record over the first three weeks. Arizona has seen the total go UNDER in 10 times, with 1 push in 17 games this season so far. They've averaged 2.9 goals per game and have only allowed 1.9 gpg. Now, they play a Washington who have only seen the total go UNDER once in 18 games. With Bradon Holtby having only allowed 2 goals or less in 3 of his last 4 games, I expect that O/U ratio to turn around here for the Capitals. Take the UNDER, and expect a low-scoring affair, on Monday Night T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Capitals | |||||||
11-08-19 | Devils v. Oilers -155 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Edmonton Oilers One of the best teams on the league will play one of the worst on Friday Night. The Oilers have had the start that many would have liked to have, as they're sitting at the top of the Pacific Division with ease. On the other hand, the Devils keep losing and their confidence level is continuing to drop like a rock. Earlier this season, Edmonton stole the show at New Jersey, where they won 4-3. Expect them to do it again, at home this time. Take the Oilers. T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Oilers | |||||||
11-07-19 | Canadiens v. Flyers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Montreal Canadiens/Philadelphia Flyers UNDER Montreal will travel to Philadelphia, where they'll face a Flyers team who are off a big win. Both these teams have averaged under 3 goals scored in their last 10 games. They have both also seen the total go UNDER 6 out of 9 times in their last 9 games. I expect the goalies to be strong and hold their ground again tonight in a big game. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Flyers | |||||||
10-20-19 | Canadiens v. Wild -108 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Wild Great spot for the home team. Wild are rested. Montreal off upset win over Tampa yesterday. Why does that matter? Because Canadiens are 9-20 in back-to-back situations the last 3 years. A loss at Detroit is included from this season. Teams meet again at Montreal in a few days but Canadiens will face Blues in between. Wild will take advantage of the scheduling gift and I will too. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Wild | |||||||
10-16-19 | Sabres v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks/Buffalo Sabres UNDER Coming into this game, both the Ducks and the Sabres have winning records. Buffalo has only allowed an avg. of 2.6 goals per game while Anaheim has held their opponents to an average of 1.2 gpg. I expect both these teams to keep their defense rolling into this one as they both look to continue their success. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Ducks | |||||||
10-14-19 | Wild v. Senators +120 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Senators Both of these two teams enter today's action with a losing record. Although you may think Ottawa has been pretty bad, look at the Wild. Minnesota comes into this one winless with 21 goals against in their first four games. That's awful. Also, the Wild are a terrible 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road. Expect the Ottawa Senators to come out with confidence on Canadian Thanksgiving. Take Ottawa. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Sens | |||||||
10-08-19 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -119 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida Panthers Florida will welcome the Hurricanes to their house in their first meeting of the year. Although Carolina is undefeated, they've won every single game in OT. In the past, the Hurricanes are an awful 13-24 on Tuesday Nights. The home team comes in with a 1-1 record. They just beat the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday and they'll be looking to bring that same mentallity tonight. Florida is now 35-23 in a home game where the total is 6 or more. Expect the Panthers to win on home ice tonight. Play Florida. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Panthers. | |||||||
10-07-19 | Blues +115 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 3-2 | Win | 115 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues The season is fully underway, and teams have mostly gotten settled into the new campaign. Entering today's action, the Stanley Cup Champs are off a big win against the Dallas Stars. In two games, the Blues have scored 5 goals. In the past, STL is 45-27 in non-conference games. Toronto, is off a heart-breaking loss in a shootout to the Montreal Canadiens in a game where they would have like to get back. They led that game 4-1 five minutes into the 3rd period. Expect that tough loss to still be in their heads as they face the defending champs. Take St. Louis. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blues | |||||||
10-02-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: VEGAS/San Jose OVER VEGAS and San Jose have always proven to be high scoring teams. The L3 years, VEGAS has seen the total go OVER 42 out of their 72 games in the first half of the season. Also, the total has gone OVER in 6 of Vegas' L8 games vs. an opponent in the Western Conference. San Jose has also seen the total go OVER in 41 out of 71 games vs. a Divisional Opponent. I expect the same to occur in this big Opening Night match to dictate the better team out of the gate. Play the OVER with no-doubt. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 VEGAS | |||||||
06-09-19 | Bruins v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 58 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Blues over (10* TOTAL MONEY MAKER). Boston’s been the second highest scoring team in the playoffs with an average of 3.32 GPG. It’s also been the stingiest in allowing only 2.09. But the Bruins have struggled on both ends of the ice over the last two games. The Blues have arguably been the hottest team in the entire league since the All Star break and their now one win away from the Stanley Cup, riding the red hot play of rookie goaltender Jordan Binnington. St. Louis averages 2.92 goals in the playoffs, while allowing 2.67, but I think it’s going to have its hands full with this fired up Bruins side looking to stave off elimination. Note that Boston has seen the total go over in five of its last seven road games with a total of five or less, while St. Louis has seen the total soar over in five of seven so far in the playoffs when leading in a series. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Bruins. | |||||||
06-06-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 59 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Bruins under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). So far every game of the SCF’s has gone “over” the number, but I look for that pattern of high-scoring shootouts to end in this crucial Game 5 scenario. Both of these clubs rode hot goaltending to reach the Finals, but the Blues’ Jordan Binnington and the Bruins’ Tuukka Rask have been exchanging good starts with sub-par ones. St. Louis averaged just 2.83 goals on the road this year (went 29-29), while allowing only 2.42. Boston averages 3.40 goals at home (is 36-15 at home), while allowing only 2.40. Note that St. Louis has seen the total go under in 28 of its last 46 when playing on two days rest, while Boston has seen the total dip under in 13 of 21 in the same position. This number is a little high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Bruins. | |||||||
06-01-19 | Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Blues under (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) Game 1 went over, Game 2 went under. In Game 2 the score was tied 2-2 after the first period, so the fact that it stayed “under” despite the early huge offensive outburst speaks volumes to the adjustments each team made. And I think that gets carried over here. The primary reason these two teams are where they are right now is because of their goaltenders. I think that Tuukka Rask and Jordan Binnington are lined up to “steal the show” in Game 3 with the shift in venue. The Blues are one of the stingiest teams in the league, and even more so at home. Boston is 6-2 in its last eight on the road and in my opinion, everything once again points to a tight, lower-scoring “under” in Game 3. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Blues. | |||||||
05-27-19 | Blues +145 v. Bruins | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 130 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Blues have surprised everyone to this point and I believe that trend continues here. The Bruins have struggled against tough defensive teams and I think they’ll have their hands full with St. Louis goaltender Jordan Binnington. Note that Boston is just 1-6 in its last seven as well when playing on three or more days rest, while the Blues are 24-11 in their last 35 vs. teams with winning records. Boston’s been off since May 16th and rest leads to rust. Look for a decisive St. Louis win here in Game 1. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Blues. | |||||||
05-21-19 | Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -119 | 36 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sharks/Blues under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) When it comes to money line sports, 99.9 percent of the time I either play underdogs or totals. The rare occasion though I’ll lay chalk. And after taking the Blues as an underdog in Game 5 on the road in San Jose, I believe they’re going to carry over their recent momentum and end this series here and now. St. Louis was dominant on both ends of the ice in the 5-0 Game 5 victory. The Sharks appear to be on fumes, mustering a single goal over the last two games. San Jose is MUCH better at home as well, coming into this one at 24-24 on the road, averaging 3.29 goals and conceding 3.46. St. Louis is 27-22 at home, averaging 3.10 goals and allowing 2.98. Blues’ goaltender Jordan Binnington went 14-2 with a 2.02 GAA at home in the regular season. Take it for what you will as well, but SJ has seen the total go under the number in five of its last eight when trailing in a playoff series, while St. Louis has seen the total dip under in seven of nine this year after shutting out its opponent in its previous game. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blues. | |||||||
05-19-19 | Blues +115 v. Sharks | Top | 5-0 | Win | 115 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Blue have taken back control of this series in my opinion after their 2-1 Game 4 victory. St. Louis is 27-22 on the road, averaging 2.80 goals and allowing just 2.45. Goaltender Jordan Binnington went 10-4 with a 1.72 GAA on the road. The Sharks are better at home than on the road, now 32-19 there with averaging 3.67 GPG and allowing 2.86. Martin Jones is 22-12 with a 2.78 GAA at home, but I think his rookie counterpart steals the show here again on the road. I like Binnington and the Blues’ sting defense to win the day. Play on St. Louis. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blues. | |||||||
05-16-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes +105 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Hurricanes (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I thought Boston was the better team before this series started, but I didn’t think the B’s would sweep the Hurricanes and I don’t think that’ll be the case tonight either. With their backs against the wall, I Carolina digs deep and delays the inevitable for at least one more game. The numbers support our theory as well, as note that Boston is just 6-12 in its last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Carolina is 5-1 in its last six when playing on one days rest. Game 3’s loss was Carolina’s first home loss in the playoffs to this point. Boston has been a mediocre team at best on the road this season and I think that it packs up its tents early and prepares for Game 5 on home ice. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Hurricanes. | |||||||
05-15-19 | Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sharks/Blues under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). This series is all knotted up at one game apiece. The sharks won 6-3 in Game 1 and the Blues won 4-2 in Game 2. So far each contest has gone “over” the number, but I believe with the shift in venue and with each side not wanting to make the first mistake at this point in this crucial contest, that we’re finally going to see a lower-scoring under. San Jose has the better overall offense between these tams, while St. Louis has the better defense. And probably goaltending in rookie Jordan Binnington, who for the most part has carried his team to this point. The Sharks though will definitely be leaning on net minder Martin Jones, who has also been spectacular overall. I think the netminders will be the main story line in tomorrow’s summaries, but note as well that San Jose has seen the total go under in 21 of its last 31 after playing three straight home games, while St. Louis has seen the total go under in three of four so far in the playoffs when tied in a series. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Blues. | |||||||
05-14-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 38 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Hurricanes under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Boston has blown out Carolina over the first two games of this series, but I think Game 3 sets up as much more of a defensive affair. The playoffs is all about making adjustments from game to game and if Carolina can’t figure out how to slow down the B’s, then this series is all but over obviously. After going down 6-0 in Game 2, I expect a much more concerted effort at home from Carolina. Note that the home team is 9-2 in the last 11 in this series. Boston only allowed the Canes 23 shots in Game 2 and Carolina has in fact been held to just 29 shots over its last four periods of play. Additionally note that Boston has already seen the total go under in 14 of 22 road games this year when the total in the contest is set at 5.5, while Carolina has seen the total dip under in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more consecutive “overs.” This number is a tad high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Canes. | |||||||
05-13-19 | Blues v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -116 | 35 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Sharks under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) I think St. Louis has a very real shot at earning an upset here in Game 2. It was an uncharacteristically poor defensive performance from the Blues in their 6-3 Game 1 loss, but I don’t think we should over-react to one poor effort. Blues’ net minder Jordan Binnington is still 8-6 with a 2.57 GAA in the playoffs (note he was 10-4 with a 1.72 GAA on the road in the regular season.) Martin Jones looked good for the Sharks in the Game 1 victory and he’s now 9-5 with a 2.74 GAA in the playoffs. Note as well that St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in 14 of 21 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest. All signs point to Game 2 being a very defensive affair. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Blues. | |||||||
05-12-19 | Hurricanes +138 v. Bruins | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 51 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Hurricanes (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Game 1 was tight until midway through the third period. Carolina hasn’t shown any quit in the playoffs so far though and I think the visitors offer great value to bounce back and steal Game 2. Note that the five goals the Hurricanes gave up in Game 1 equals the total amount of goals they gave up to the Islanders in their four game sweep of that series. Note that Carolina did actually have a 2-1 lead heading into the third period, before then falling apart as I mentioned above. Boston exploded in the third period, but it’s inconsistency comes back to haunt it in Game 2 is my prediction. Additionally note that Carolina is already 3-1 (+2 units) when trailing in a playoff series, while Boston is just 3-6 (-4.6 units) in its last nine when leading in a playoff series. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Hurricanes. | |||||||
05-11-19 | Blues +118 v. Sharks | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 58 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues (10* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams advanced after going seven games in their previous round. While San Jose took two of three between the clubs in the regular season, I think the stingy visiting side offers great value to pull off the upset in Game. St. Louis’ goaltender Jordan Binnington has been unstoppable, he enters 8-5 with a 2.39 GAA. Note that he’s 10-4 with a 1.72 GAA on the road. San Jose goaltender Martin Jones is 8-5 with a 2.72 GAA in the playoffs and he went 22-12 with a 2.78 GAA at home. Note as well that St. Louis is 7-3 (+2.5 units) this year when playing with three or more days rest, while San Jose is just 10-11 (-7.9 units) in its last 21 in the same position. I like Binnington and the Blues’ suffocating defense to slow down the Sharks. In Game 1 anyways. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blues. | |||||||
05-09-19 | Hurricanes +135 v. Bruins | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Hurricanes (10* GAME OF MONTH) Carolina has surprised everyone and I think it has a very real shot of surprising the Bruins here as well in Game 1. After a gruelling seven game series win over the Leafs, Boston needed six games to get by a tough Columbus team. Carolina got the better of Washington in seven games in Round 1, but then it took care of the Islanders in four games in Round 2, meaning that it enters very well rested at the most opportune of times. I believe fatigue does finally catch up to the Bruins here, who looked less than spectacular on home ice in their win over Toronto. Great value on this under-rated underdog. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Hurricanes. | |||||||
05-08-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Avs/Sharks over (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) While last night’s Game 7 was a lower-scoring “under,” I think this one will be a much more offensive affair. Both clubs have great goaltending, but this series has been defined more by the offensive stars and I believe that trend carries over here in this pivotal affair. San Jose has made it into the playoffs in 19 of the last 21 years, but it’s still to win a cup. The Sharks won’t be taking anything for granted here and I’m expecting a frenzied back-and-forth pace. The numbers/trends support that hypothesis as well, as note that Colorado has seen the total go over in five of its last seven road games after an OT win in which it scored four or more goals in, while San Jose has seen the total go over in 20 of its last 32 after allowing four or more goals. This number is a little low. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Sharks. | |||||||
05-07-19 | Stars v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Stars/Blues over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) This has been a great back and forth series. I’ve cashed out playing both the over and the under in this one. For Game 7 though I’m expecting a wide open affair. Dallas has traded good games with bad of late, and I do expect that trend to continue here. St. Louis broke out of its offensive slump in Game 6 and there’s no reason not to think that it won’t try to duplicate the identical game plan here. A great situational play on the over. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Blues. | |||||||
05-06-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 31 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Blue Jackets under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) I think Columbus “gets back to basics” in Game 6. It had better, or this series is over. Boston is up 3-2 and it’ll also be looking to continue its stellar play, especially on the defensive end of the ice. Boston goaltender Tuukka Rask is 7-5 with a 2.19 GAA in the playoffs, while Columbus net minder Sergei Bobrovsky is 6-3 with a 2.33 GAA in the postseason. Note as well that Boston has seen the total go under the number in 13 of 21 road games this year when the total is set at 5.5, while CBJ has seen the total dip under in 25 of 38 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent this season. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 CBJ. | |||||||
05-05-19 | Blues v. Stars OVER 5 | Top | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Stars over (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) These two teams sport two of the best goaltenders in the league. Rookie net minder Jordan Binnington of the Blues and veteran goaltender Ben Bishop of the Stars are largely responsible for their respective teams being where they are at the moment. St. Louis took the first game, but since then it’s been all Dallas. The Blues are going to be forced to open up the playbook and indeed push the pace of this one from the outset. Dallas will also be out to end it here and now as it looks to avoid Game 7. This one sets up great as a higher-scoring game in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Stars. | |||||||
05-04-19 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 112 | 32 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: CBJ/BOS over (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) This has been a competitive series and I don’t think anything is going to change here either. So far it’s also been a very defensive series, which doesn’t come as a big surprise considering the level of talent in net for each team. The Jackets are 13-2 in their last 15 games, allowing just 2.00 GPG over that time. But if CBJ doesn’t start scoring (having just eight total goals in this series thus far), then clearly it’s going to struggle moving forward. The Bruins have only allowed 2.10 goals over their last ten games, but with the shift back to Boston, I’m finally expecting a more wide open affair in this important Game 5. Note as well that Columbus has seen the total go over in 13 of its last 21 after a loss by two goals or more, while Boston has seen the total go over in four of its last six after a win by two goals or more. This number is low. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Bruins. | |||||||
05-03-19 | Stars +130 v. Blues | Top | 2-1 | Win | 130 | 36 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Stars (10* TRADE-MARK) This has been a back and forth series between two pretty evenly matched clubs. Clearly with a line like this the oddsmakers would agree. Dallas though has the more experienced goaltender in Ben Bishop and as the series and playoffs go on, I think that matter vs. the Blues’ Jordan Binnington, who has pretty much carried his team to this point of the season. Dallas features the better and deeper offense and once again, as this series continues, that’s going to matter. I believe Bishop and the Stars offer great value to pull off the upset here. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Dallas. | |||||||
05-02-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets OVER 5 | Top | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 34 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Blue Jackets over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The first three games of this series have fallen under the number, but I think that Game 4 finally sets up as a high-scoring shootout. Despite the setback in Game 3, note that the Bruins have seen the total go over in seven of its last ten on the road. In fact note that despite these teams have played to three straight “unders” in this series, they’ve still seen the total go over in nine of their last 13 in the series. I think the visitors push the pace from start to finish and I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Columbus. | |||||||
05-01-19 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Stars under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) These two teams were two of the best defensive clubs in the league in the regular season and that momentum was carried over into their respective first round victories. But this round 2 series has been higher-scoring, including the Blues 4-3 win in Game 3. I think thought that Game 4 will finally be a lower-scoring defensive/goaltenders battle. This is the second straight series that Dallas now finds itself in a 2-1 hole. St. Louis has interestingly now gone 4-0 on the road in the playoff so far. Note as well that St. Louis has seen the total go under in five of its last seven after scoring four or more goals in its previous outing, while Dallas has seen the total dip under in 12 of 18 this season after allowing four or more goals. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Dallas. | |||||||
05-01-19 | Islanders +111 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m shocked that Carolina has a 2-0 lead in this series. I’m fully expecting the Islanders to respond here. Carolina somehow knocked off the Capitals in seven games in its opening round series, including a double overtime win in Game 7. Can anyone say letdown spot here? It’s now do or die for the Islanders, who were solid on the road all year. I think Robin Lehner returns to form in net for the Isles as well (note that NY was 26-17 on the road, averaging 2.67 goals and conceding 2.33 in those contests.) New York is 13-7 (+7.1 units) after scoring one goal or less in its previous game, while Carolina is 6-7 (-2.6 units) following a three game unbeaten streak. I look for the “hungrier” team to deliver the goods tonight. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Isles. | |||||||
04-30-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 36 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Sharks/Avs over (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) So far this has been a higher-scoring series. The Avs managed a 4-3 win in Game 2 and I think each team is going to keep the foot on the gas in Game 3. Both clubs feature plenty of scoring talent and depth and defense and goaltending has been adequate at best. And the numbers support that theory, as note that San Jose has seen the total go over the number in 13 of 19 this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while Colorado has seen the total soar over in six of its last eight after playing three straight road games. This number is low, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Sharks. | |||||||
04-30-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Jackets over (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Game 1 was a 3-2 win for Boston in OT, while Game 2 was a 3-2 double OT win for the Blue Jackets. With the change of cities though, I’m finally expecting a more wide open and ultimately higher-scoring shootout in Game 3. Boston went 2-1 on the road in its opening round win over the Leafs, winning the final two by scores of 6-4 and 4-2. The Blue Jackets destroyed the Lightning in two games at home in their four-game sweep, winning handily by scores of 3-1 and 7-3. The Bruins are 4-1 in their last five road games, while Columbus is 7-1 in its last eight at home. This one screams “over.” T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Bruins. | |||||||
04-29-19 | Blues v. Stars -113 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 33 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Stars (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Blues managed a 3-2 win in Game 1 despite getting outshot, but the Stars’ superior offense and equal goaltending and defense proved to be too much in their 4-2 Game 2 victory. I’m expecting a lower-scoring dominant victory for Dallas at home though. St. Louis was 0 for 5 on the power play in Game 2 and rookie goaltender Jordan Binnington allowed three goals on 34 shots. Ben Bishop made 32 saves in Game 2 for Dallas. Note as well that the Stars are 7-2 in their last nine home games vs. a team with an above .500 road record. Great value play. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dallas. | |||||||
04-28-19 | Avalanche +120 v. Sharks | 4-3 | Win | 120 | 35 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Avalanche (8* MONEY-MAKER) The Avs jumped out to a 1-0 lead over the Sharks in Game 1, but then San Jose eventually pulled away for the 5-2 victory. The Sharks had their hands full in the first round, while Colorado was easily able to dispatch the Flames. San Jose struggled with consistency vs. the Knights and I think that trend continues here. Colorado is also 4-1 in its last five after a loss by two goals or more, while San Jose is just 2-5 in its last seven home games following a win by three or more goals in its previous outing. These teams are clearly very evenly matched, as evidenced by this line, however I expect the “hungrier” team to get the job done at the end of the night. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Avs. | |||||||
04-28-19 | Hurricanes v. Islanders OVER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hurricanes/Islanders over (10* TOTAL BEST OF BEST) Carolina managed a 1-0 win in double OT in Game 1. I was shocked by the energy levels of Carolina after its gruelling seven game series victory over the Capitals. I was also surprised by the lack of energy from the Isles after they steamrolled the Penguins in their first round series. New York was better at home than on the road, so a return to the norm is in order in my opinion. You can’t have a lower-scoring game than what we saw in Game 1, but I expect Game 2 to be a much more wide open offensive affair. And the numbers support our theory, as note that Carolina has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last nine after a three-game unbeaten streak, while New York has seen the total go over the number in five of its last six after scoring one goal or less in a home loss in its previous game. This number is low, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Isles. | |||||||
04-27-19 | Blue Jackets +125 v. Bruins | Top | 3-2 | Win | 125 | 32 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Columbus Blue Jackets (10* TRADE-MARK) I had a play on Columbus in Game 1. Boston jumped out to an early lead, but Columbus scored two goals late and looked as if it would pull off the upset, but the Bruins managed a late goal in regulation and then they’d go on to win in extra time. After going needing seven games to take care of the Leafs, Boston’s energy was frankly shocking to me. I thought Columbus would benefit greatly from a few extra days off, but it in fact had the opposite effect, leading to rust it would take the Blue Jackets until the third period to really “wake up.” Boston though looks primed for a letdown here in my opinion. Columbus though has shaken off the rust and offers great value in the underdog role. I’m banking on the “fresher” team securing the split. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Blue Jackets. | |||||||
04-26-19 | Avalanche +125 v. Sharks | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 38 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Avalanche (10* MONEY-MAKER). With a line like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are pretty evenly matched. If this year’s playoffs (both the NHL and in the NBA) have shown us, parity is pretty rampant at the moment. The Avs looked great in extinguishing the Flames in five games and they come in rested and focused on the task at hand. They also play with triple revenge after losing all three regular season games vs. the Sharks. San Jose is likely the “better” team, but it’s “dog tired” after its epic come from behind series win over Las Vegas. This one has “upset” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Avs. | |||||||
04-26-19 | Hurricanes v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 33 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canes/Isles under (10* SUPER TOTAL) Isles’ goaltender Robin Lehner comes in with the best save percentage after the first round. The Islanders steam rolled the Penguins and I think they’ll control the tempo in Game 1 as well vs. a Hurricanes team which comes in off an impressive seven game series win over the defending champs. Carolina managed a win in Game 7, but it lost the other three in the nation’s capital and offensive consistency was a big reason why. A fatigued and satisfied Carolina side will double down defensively in Game 1 in my estimation. This one has defensive battle written all over it. Note though that Carolina has in fact seen the total go under in six of its last eight after playing to three or more consecutive “overs,” while New York has seen the total go under in 11 of 14 this season after a three-game unbeaten streak. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Isles. | |||||||
04-25-19 | Stars v. Blues UNDER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 36 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Stars/Blues under (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK) A red hot veteran goaltender in Dallas goes head to head with a red hot rookie net minder in St. Louis in Round 2 of the Stanley Cup playoffs. These are two of the most defensive-minded clubs in the league, backed by two of the best goaltenders. Jordan Binnington of St. Louis finished with a 2.63 GAA and a .908 save percentage in Round 1. Overall during the regular season he posted a league league 1.89 GAA. The Blues Ben Bishop owns a .945 save percentage and a 1.89 GAA after the first round of the playoffs. During the regular season he posted a .934 save percentage and a 1.98 GAA and seven shutouts. This one has “goaltenders battle” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Blues. | |||||||
04-25-19 | Blue Jackets +137 v. Bruins | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jackets (10* MA$$ACRE) For very obvious reasons, I like Columbus to “steal” Game 1. The Blue Jackets steam rolled the Tampa Bay Lightning in four games and have been resting and preparing for this series. The Bruins were pushed to the brink and needed a Game 7 to take care of Toronto. Boston is tired and banged up, while Columbus is full of energy and healthy. Both teams feature great goaltending, plenty of scoring depth and experience. The difference for me is the extra time for Columbus. The series sweep over TB can’t be taken lightly either. “Momentum” is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports and especially in the playoffs. But the fact of the matter is, Columbus has been playing fantastic hockey for well over a month now. Expect the visitors to make the most of this one. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Jackets. | |||||||
04-24-19 | Hurricanes +127 v. Capitals | Top | 4-3 | Win | 127 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hurricanes (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think the Capitals run ends here. Trends were made to be broken and I look for the Hurricanes to indeed by the first team to break through and win on the road in this series. Carolina averages 2.8 GPG and it allows 2.8 as well. The Capitals have averaged 2.8 GPG in the playoffs as well, as well as allowing 2.8. These teams are evenly matched. The Hurricanes have the Capitals on the ropes, pushing them to the brink and I like the underdog to come through here. Note as well that Carolina is 21-11 (+6.2 units) this year after a win by two goals or more, while Washington is just 2-5 in its last seven home games following a road loss of three goals or more. I’m calling for the upset! T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Hurricanes. | |||||||
04-23-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Leafs/Bruins under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) I had a play on the “over” in Game 6 (check out that full analysis right here: I’m expecting a wide open offensive affair here. Boston was favored to win this series, but the Leafs have caught fire and they have an opportunity to pull off the big upset right here and now. Boston clearly won’t be going down without a fight though and it’ll be forced to push the pace from the outset. In my opinion, this is going to be a completely wide-open and faster paced battle. So with that in mind and coupled with the fact that Boston has already seen the total go over the number in 18 of its last 28 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, with Toronto having also seen the total soar over in five of its last seven home games after holding its previous opponent to two goals or less, the “over” is definitely the correct move in my professional opinion. Game 7 though sets up as more of a defensive affair in my opinion. Both Boston goaltender Tuukka Rask and Toronto net minder Frederik Anderson have plenty of success vs. their respective opponent throughout their careers and with each side not wanting to make a mistake first, I believe the overall situation also lends itself to a lower-scoring affair. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Bruins. | |||||||
04-21-19 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Leafs over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) I’m expecting a wide open offensive affair here. Boston was favored to win this series, but the Leafs have caught fire and they have an opportunity to pull off the big upset right here and now. Boston clearly won’t be going down without a fight though and it’ll be forced to push the pace from the outset. In my opinion, this is going to be a completely wide-open and faster paced battle. So with that in mind and coupled with the fact that Boston has already seen the total go over the number in 18 of its last 28 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, with Toronto having also seen the total soar over in five of its last seven home games after holding its previous opponent to two goals or less, the “over” is definitely the correct move in my professional opinion. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Leafs. | |||||||
04-20-19 | Stars v. Predators OVER 5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 110 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Over Stars/Predators (10* O/U TRADE-MARK). It’s a big game. Neither team has been able to assert itself as we head into Game 5 tied at 2-2. So far this series has been dominated by strong defensive play and exceptional goaltending. However each team also plenty of offensive talent (note that Stars Alexander Radulov has 20 shots on goals, while John Klingberg has five assists. PK Subban has 14 shots on goal for the Predators. I think the narrative gets turned in this series in Game 5; play the over. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Predators. | |||||||
04-19-19 | Avalanche +155 v. Flames | Top | 5-1 | Win | 155 | 35 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Avalanche (10* TRADE-MARK) The Flames are completely getting avalanched by the Avalanche in this series and with a chance to end it here and now, I think the surging visiting offers great value in the upset role. Colorado has 173 shots on net in this series so far, including 108 in its two wins at home. The Avs have also given up just five goals over 12-plus periods of action. The Flames have been getting spectacular goaltending from Mike Smith, but one has to wonder how much gas the veteran has left in the tank after getting so many shots directed on him at this point? This one has upset written all over it. The Flames have lost 11 of their last 13 playoff games overall and they’ve never overcome a 3-1 series deficit in franchise history. I think that the writing is on the wall. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Avs. | |||||||
04-18-19 | Golden Knights +108 v. Sharks | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden Knights (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think the Sharks are done. San Jose backed its way into the playoffs, but it took Game 1 by a score of 4-0. Since then though the Knights have outscored the Sharks 16-6. Las Vegas veteran Marc Andre Fleury is now 3-1-0 and he comes in with a ton of confidence after posting the shutout. San Jose had been sliding for many weeks previous to this, while Las Vegas had been surging to end the regular season. These trends have clearly carried over into the playoffs. Look for the visitors lay it all on the line as they close out the Sharks in the playoffs for a second straight year. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Knights. | |||||||
04-17-19 | Bruins +109 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 6-4 | Win | 109 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Bruins (10* MONEY MAKER) The playoffs are all about making adjustments. Same thing for handicapping a series. Whatever preconceived notion you may have had going in, if it doesn’t happen to pan out the way you originally thought, making adjustments and attacking the following games accordingly is what it’s all about. I thought Boston would steam roll the Leafs, but Toronto has definitely surprised me to this point. However, I think that Boston will calmly turn the page after the Game 3 loss and get back on track with a victory here. Note that the Bruins are still 5-2 in their last seven on the road, while the Leafs are only 2-5 in their last seven at home. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Bruins. | |||||||
04-16-19 | Islanders +150 v. Penguins | Top | 3-1 | Win | 150 | 33 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Islanders (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) With a chance to end this series here and now, I look for the Islanders to come out and give their best effort of the series. The Penguins are on the ropes and I think they’ll throw in the white flags early if punched in the mouth. “It’s been the storyline for the last couple of games: they score and we come back,” Isles’ offensive star Jordan Eberle noted. “Playoffs are all about momentum. When you can take some teams [momentum] away and continue to build yours, it’s key.” Momentum can in fact be a very real, almost “tangible” factor in sports and especially in the playoffs. Look for New York to put the final nail in the coffin tonight. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Islanders. | |||||||
04-15-19 | Flames v. Avalanche +111 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 111 | 34 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Avalanche (10* GAME OF WEEK) This series is all knotted up at one game apiece. The Flames and Avalanche are very evenly matched. Clearly with a line like this, the oddsmakers agree. Therefore, it wouldn’t be hard to write a convincing argument for either of these teams to come out on top tonight. For me the difference lies in the numbers, as note that Calgary is just 13-15 (-4.5 units) in its last 28 after playing three straight at home, while Colorado is 4-2 in its last six after playing three straight on the road. Home ice is the difference in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Avs. | |||||||
04-14-19 | Jets +145 v. Blues | Top | 6-3 | Win | 145 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg Jets (10* TRADE-MARK) Unlike the other two games attached in this three game report, I think the 0-2 team is going to bounce back and respond in this spot. The Jets are 7-3 in their last ten played on one days rest, while the Blue are only 2-7 in their last nine as a home favorite in the -150 to -200 range. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Jets. | |||||||
04-14-19 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +121 | 1-3 | Win | 121 | 32 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Columbus Blue Jackets (8*) I think the Lightning’s confidence has been completely taken away here. The demoralized Bolts come to Columbus down 0-2 and I think the Blue Jackets can smell the blood in the water. The Blue Jackets have now won nine of their last ten, outscoring their opposition 43-18 over that stretch. Columbus is playing at an elite level right now and I think the Lightning get caught up in the buzzsaw! Great value on the hungry home side here. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jackets. | |||||||
04-14-19 | Islanders +172 v. Penguins | 4-1 | Win | 172 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders (8*) The Penguins were favored to win this series despite starting on the road. They come back home down 0-2 and they’re once again favored. True Pittsburgh’s back is against the wall, but the Islander can now smell the blood in the water. I say the momentum is clearly on New York’s side and I have a hard time seeing Pittsburgh recovering from this one, despite playing at home. The Islanders were road warriors and they’re getting the better goaltending at the moment. I look for New York to put the second to last nail in the coffin with a big effort here. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Islanders. | |||||||
04-13-19 | Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hurricanes/Capitals under (10* SUPER TOTAL) Carolina lost all four regular season games vs. Washington and it came out flat in Game 1’s 4-2 setback. The Hurricanes have had their hands full with this matchup. Washington on the other hand looked great on both ends of the ice, but it figures to have a much tighter battle on its hands in Game 2. Or at least I absolutely personally expect that to be the case. Note that the Hurricanes have seen the total go under the number in 14 of 23 already this year after allowing four goals or more. also in 28 of 42 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and still in 20 of 28 vs. divisional opponents. The Capitals on the other hand have seen the total go under in 17 of 28 this year after a win by two goals or more and in 18 of 29 vs. the division. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Capitals. | |||||||
04-12-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Knights/Sharks under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) The Knights fell part in Game 1 and lost 5-2. This series is going to be essentially over if Las Vegas can’t rebound here and find a way to slow down the Sharks. Las Vegas is tenth in the league in allowing only 2.78 GPG, while San Jose is ranked 21st in conceding 3.15. Martin Jones though looked sharp in Game 1 for the home side and I’m expecting a similar performance here as well. While he stumbled in Game 1, look for Knights’ veteran star goaltender Marc Andre Fleury to return to form as well. This one has “grind” written all over it. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Sharks. | |||||||
04-11-19 | Hurricanes +135 v. Capitals | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 79 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Hurricanes (10* GAME OF MONTH) Washington broke a long history of futility in the playoffs by winning the Stanley Cup last year. The Capitals struggled over the first half, but closed strong and now face a Hurricanes team which also enters the postseason with considerable momentum, having gone 31-12-2 since New Years. Like most playoff series, this one is going likely be decided by whichever team’s goaltender “gets hot.” Carolina goaltender Petr Mrazek won 11 of his last 13 starts. The main goal of any visiting team in the first round is to earn at least a split over the first two games. I think Carolina offers great value to earn that victory in Game 1. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Hurricanes. | |||||||
04-10-19 | Blues v. Jets OVER 5.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 57 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Jets over (8*) Winnipeg took the regular season series 3-1. St. Louis was terrible over the first two months, but it closed out strong and finished third in the conference. The Jets got bounced by the Golden Knights last year and while they struggled with consistency at times this season, clearly they won’t be lacking for motivation now that the playoffs are here. I think the home side comes out with a ton of energy and pushes the pace from start to finish. With the visitors forced to match pace, look for this total to go over sooner, rather than later. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Jets. | |||||||
04-10-19 | Penguins v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 57 h 52 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pens/Isles over (8*) Overall Pittsburgh averages 3.32 goals per game, while allowing 2.76. The Isles average 2.80 goals per game and they concede 2.27. New York goaltender Robin Lehner though is just 2-6 with a 2.99 GAA lifetime vs. the Pens. Note that the Pens have seen the total go over in 17 of 25 when playing with three or more days rest, while the Isles have seen the total go over in three of their last four after playing to three or more consecutive “unders.” This number is low, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Isles. | |||||||
04-10-19 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 56 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jackets/Lightning under (8*) The Lightning took all three regular season meetings. Both teams feature plenty of offensive talent, but each is backed by World class goaltending as well. Columbus goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is 19-11 with a 2.43 GAA on the road this year, while Tampa net minder Andrei Vasilevskiy is 23-8 with a 2.34 GAA at home. Columbus has seen the total go under in 23 of 34 this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Tampa has seen the total dip under in five of its last eight when playing with three or more days rest. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Bolts. | |||||||
04-01-19 | Rangers v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rangers/Devils under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) The Rangers won 3-0 in Philadelphia yesterday afternoon, but with nothing to play for here, I believe the visitors will simply go through the motions today. The Devils play with double revenge, but they’ve struggled with consistency all season, especially on the offensive end of the ice. This one sets up great as a defensive game. Also note that the Rangers have seen the total go under the number in seven of their last nine in the second game of a back to back in which they shut out their opponent and won by two or more goals. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Devils. | |||||||
03-26-19 | Kings +180 v. Oilers | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Kings (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Kings hammered the Flames 3-0 in Calgary last night and I think they carry that momentum over here vs. this inept Oilers club. LA has won three straight and it has a chance to put a fork into the Oilers playoff dreams with a victory today. Edmonton comes in off a deflating 4-3 OT loss at home to the Senators and I think it’s ripe for the picking here. I’m banking on the Kings coming to play tonight as they look to send Edmonton to the golf course in a couple of weeks. Great value on the visitors here. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Kings. | |||||||
03-25-19 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Panthers/leafs under (10* O/U BANKROLL BUILDER) Florida’s out of the playoff picture of all intents and purposes (barring the team sweeping the board.) The Panthers come in off a terrible 7-3 home loss to Boston, but with Roberto Luongo expected in net for the visitors, I expect the Panthers to play with a concerted effort on the defensive end of the ice tonight (note that Luongo is 24-14 with a 2.28 GAA vs. Toronto lifetime.) Toronto is backing its way into the postseason, most recently off a 2-1 him loss to the Rangers. Overall the Leafs have gone just 2-5 in their last seven. Florida has seen the total go under in eight of its last 12 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game, while Toronto has seen the total go under in 16 of its last 26 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Toronto. | |||||||
03-23-19 | Predators v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nashville/Winnipeg under (10* O/U BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) These two teams are battling for top spot in the Central division with just a handful of games left to go. The Jets have taken two of three in the season series, but they come in off a 5-0 road loss in Vegas. The Predators fell 2-1 in a shootout at home to the Penguins on Thursday. The Preds are 3-0-1 in their last four. The Jets had won four in a row previous to their “dud” in the desert. Nashville has seen the total go “under” the number in 13 of 21 vs. the division this year, while Winnipeg has seen the total dip under in seven of its last ten vs. teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Jets. | |||||||
03-20-19 | Jets v. Ducks OVER 6 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jets/Ducks over (10* O/U MONEY-MAKER) The Jets come in on top form as they press towards top spot in the Central division as they’ve won three straight, most recently a 3-2 victory on the road over the Kings. Goaltender Laurent Brossoit faced just 17 shots total in that one. Anaheim has been playing better of late and most recently upset Florida 3-2 at home on Sunday. Ryan Getzlaf has found his stride finally and he’d have a pair of assists in the victory. The Ducks aren’t going down without a fight. With each team pressing, I’m expecting a more wide-open affair. Note as well that the Jets have seen the total go over in 22 of 35 this year vs. teams with losing records. This number is a little low. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Jets. | |||||||
03-19-19 | Maple Leafs v. Predators UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Leafs/Predators under (10* O/U TRADE-MARK) This is a big game for both teams. This is going to have a “playoff like atmosphere.” The Leafs are off a crummy 6-2 loss to the Sens, but with two whole nights off to prepare for their road trip, I expect a much better effort here. Note that the visitors also play with revenge here after falling 4-0 at home to Nashville earlier in the season. The Predators have won two straight but are now two games behind the Jets for the Central division lead. I’m expecting a hard-fought battle from start to finish. Note as well that the Leafs have seen the total go under the number in 14 of their last 22 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while the Predators have seen the total go under in 17 of 26 this season after scoring four or more goals in their previous outing. Look for this total to sneak under the number once the final horn sounds. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Predators. | |||||||
03-17-19 | Devils v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Devils/Avs under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) I’m expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle here. New Jersey comes in off a 3-2 shootout road win over Edmonton, while Colorado comes in off a 5-3 home loss to Anaheim. The Devils are one of the worst road teams in the league and after back-to-back victories to open their Western swing, I believe a predictable letdown is imminent here. NJ is still only 10-27 on the road, averaging 2.62 goals in those contests. Colorado is just 15-20 at home averaging 3.03 goals and allowing 2.97. Avs’ net minder Semon Varlamov though is 4-2 with a tiny 1.64 GAA lifetime vs. NJ. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Avs. | |||||||
03-11-19 | Lightning +103 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 6-2 | Win | 103 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tampa Bay Lightning (10* SUPER) Clearly it wouldn’t be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these teams to win this game. The Lightning have been far and away the best team in the league all year and while they’ve been prone to having letdowns at times, at any moment the team is capable of destroying an opponent in the league as well. The Leafs have also been one of the better teams in the league and Eastern Conference and they have the advantage of playing at home. So where does the advantage lie in this one? The Bolts come in having won 13 of their last 15. They average 3.8 goals and they allow 2.6. Tampa has given up three goals or less in 13 of its last 14. The Leafs have won six of eight. They average 3.6 goals and allow 2.9. Toronto has given up three or less goals in ten of its last 11 games. But I think it’s the price that drive this selection. Tampa won’t want to take the foot off the gas in this prime time contest and for this price, I love the visitors to pull off the minor upset. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Bolts. | |||||||
03-10-19 | Jets v. Capitals -125 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Capitals (6:05 EST). Winnipeg comes in off two straight upset road wins. I think it has a predictable letdown here. After beating Tampa Bay and then an 8-1 win at Carolina, I believe the Jets come out flat in the Nation’s capital. Washington has also been playing well of late, most recently posting a 3-0 win over New Jersey. The Capitals have won six in a row and they won’t be taking the foot off the gas here vs. their dangerous non-conference opponent. Winnipeg is just 3-4 (-3.4 units) after playing three consecutive road games, while Washington is 14-8 (+3.9 units) after a win by two goals or more. I don’t think that home ice advantage can be overlooked as a major advantage here. Lay the short price. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Capitals. | |||||||
03-09-19 | Blues +133 v. Sharks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues (10* MONEY-MAKER). I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the talented visiting side. Both teams come in of victories. The Blue won 4-0 at LA, while the Sharks posted a 5-2 home win over the Habs in their most recent action. Blues’ goalie Jake Allen owns a lifetime 2.17 GAA in eight games vs. the Sharks. He also has a 2.25 GAA on the road this season. The Sharks have won three straight, but I think they finally stumble here. Martin Jones has plenty of success vs. the Blues throughout his career (2.01 GAA in eight career match ups), but note that St. Louis is already a money-maker 20-16 (+5.5 units) this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blues. | |||||||
03-08-19 | Devils v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Devils/Capitals under (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) The Devils come in off a 2-1 shootout loss to Columbus, while Washington bested the Flyers 5-3 on the road in its latest action. The Devils are only 8-24 on the road this year and they won’t be playing in the postseason. NJ goaltender Cory Schneider though has a competitive 2.68 GAA in 14 career match ups vs. the Capitals. Washington continues its late push towards the playoffs coming into this one having won five straight. Caps’ net minder Braden Holtby is 16-6 with a 2.03 GAA lifetime vs. New Jersey. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Capitals. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,310 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Joey Tron | $512 |
Ross Benjamin | $483 |
Ricky Tran | $405 |
Jimmy Boyd | $370 |
Sean Murphy | $269 |
Sean Higgs | $214 |
Kyle Hunter | $176 |
Mike Lundin | $162 |