Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-18-19 | Golden Knights +108 v. Sharks | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden Knights (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think the Sharks are done. San Jose backed its way into the playoffs, but it took Game 1 by a score of 4-0. Since then though the Knights have outscored the Sharks 16-6. Las Vegas veteran Marc Andre Fleury is now 3-1-0 and he comes in with a ton of confidence after posting the shutout. San Jose had been sliding for many weeks previous to this, while Las Vegas had been surging to end the regular season. These trends have clearly carried over into the playoffs. Look for the visitors lay it all on the line as they close out the Sharks in the playoffs for a second straight year. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Knights. | |||||||
04-17-19 | Bruins +109 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 6-4 | Win | 109 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Bruins (10* MONEY MAKER) The playoffs are all about making adjustments. Same thing for handicapping a series. Whatever preconceived notion you may have had going in, if it doesn’t happen to pan out the way you originally thought, making adjustments and attacking the following games accordingly is what it’s all about. I thought Boston would steam roll the Leafs, but Toronto has definitely surprised me to this point. However, I think that Boston will calmly turn the page after the Game 3 loss and get back on track with a victory here. Note that the Bruins are still 5-2 in their last seven on the road, while the Leafs are only 2-5 in their last seven at home. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Bruins. | |||||||
04-16-19 | Islanders +150 v. Penguins | Top | 3-1 | Win | 150 | 33 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Islanders (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) With a chance to end this series here and now, I look for the Islanders to come out and give their best effort of the series. The Penguins are on the ropes and I think they’ll throw in the white flags early if punched in the mouth. “It’s been the storyline for the last couple of games: they score and we come back,” Isles’ offensive star Jordan Eberle noted. “Playoffs are all about momentum. When you can take some teams [momentum] away and continue to build yours, it’s key.” Momentum can in fact be a very real, almost “tangible” factor in sports and especially in the playoffs. Look for New York to put the final nail in the coffin tonight. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Islanders. | |||||||
04-15-19 | Flames v. Avalanche +111 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 111 | 34 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Avalanche (10* GAME OF WEEK) This series is all knotted up at one game apiece. The Flames and Avalanche are very evenly matched. Clearly with a line like this, the oddsmakers agree. Therefore, it wouldn’t be hard to write a convincing argument for either of these teams to come out on top tonight. For me the difference lies in the numbers, as note that Calgary is just 13-15 (-4.5 units) in its last 28 after playing three straight at home, while Colorado is 4-2 in its last six after playing three straight on the road. Home ice is the difference in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Avs. | |||||||
04-14-19 | Jets +145 v. Blues | Top | 6-3 | Win | 145 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg Jets (10* TRADE-MARK) Unlike the other two games attached in this three game report, I think the 0-2 team is going to bounce back and respond in this spot. The Jets are 7-3 in their last ten played on one days rest, while the Blue are only 2-7 in their last nine as a home favorite in the -150 to -200 range. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Jets. | |||||||
04-14-19 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +121 | 1-3 | Win | 121 | 32 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Columbus Blue Jackets (8*) I think the Lightning’s confidence has been completely taken away here. The demoralized Bolts come to Columbus down 0-2 and I think the Blue Jackets can smell the blood in the water. The Blue Jackets have now won nine of their last ten, outscoring their opposition 43-18 over that stretch. Columbus is playing at an elite level right now and I think the Lightning get caught up in the buzzsaw! Great value on the hungry home side here. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jackets. | |||||||
04-14-19 | Islanders +172 v. Penguins | 4-1 | Win | 172 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders (8*) The Penguins were favored to win this series despite starting on the road. They come back home down 0-2 and they’re once again favored. True Pittsburgh’s back is against the wall, but the Islander can now smell the blood in the water. I say the momentum is clearly on New York’s side and I have a hard time seeing Pittsburgh recovering from this one, despite playing at home. The Islanders were road warriors and they’re getting the better goaltending at the moment. I look for New York to put the second to last nail in the coffin with a big effort here. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Islanders. | |||||||
04-11-19 | Hurricanes +135 v. Capitals | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 79 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Hurricanes (10* GAME OF MONTH) Washington broke a long history of futility in the playoffs by winning the Stanley Cup last year. The Capitals struggled over the first half, but closed strong and now face a Hurricanes team which also enters the postseason with considerable momentum, having gone 31-12-2 since New Years. Like most playoff series, this one is going likely be decided by whichever team’s goaltender “gets hot.” Carolina goaltender Petr Mrazek won 11 of his last 13 starts. The main goal of any visiting team in the first round is to earn at least a split over the first two games. I think Carolina offers great value to earn that victory in Game 1. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Hurricanes. | |||||||
03-26-19 | Kings +180 v. Oilers | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Kings (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Kings hammered the Flames 3-0 in Calgary last night and I think they carry that momentum over here vs. this inept Oilers club. LA has won three straight and it has a chance to put a fork into the Oilers playoff dreams with a victory today. Edmonton comes in off a deflating 4-3 OT loss at home to the Senators and I think it’s ripe for the picking here. I’m banking on the Kings coming to play tonight as they look to send Edmonton to the golf course in a couple of weeks. Great value on the visitors here. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Kings. | |||||||
03-11-19 | Lightning +103 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 6-2 | Win | 103 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tampa Bay Lightning (10* SUPER) Clearly it wouldn’t be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these teams to win this game. The Lightning have been far and away the best team in the league all year and while they’ve been prone to having letdowns at times, at any moment the team is capable of destroying an opponent in the league as well. The Leafs have also been one of the better teams in the league and Eastern Conference and they have the advantage of playing at home. So where does the advantage lie in this one? The Bolts come in having won 13 of their last 15. They average 3.8 goals and they allow 2.6. Tampa has given up three goals or less in 13 of its last 14. The Leafs have won six of eight. They average 3.6 goals and allow 2.9. Toronto has given up three or less goals in ten of its last 11 games. But I think it’s the price that drive this selection. Tampa won’t want to take the foot off the gas in this prime time contest and for this price, I love the visitors to pull off the minor upset. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Bolts. | |||||||
03-10-19 | Jets v. Capitals -125 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Capitals (6:05 EST). Winnipeg comes in off two straight upset road wins. I think it has a predictable letdown here. After beating Tampa Bay and then an 8-1 win at Carolina, I believe the Jets come out flat in the Nation’s capital. Washington has also been playing well of late, most recently posting a 3-0 win over New Jersey. The Capitals have won six in a row and they won’t be taking the foot off the gas here vs. their dangerous non-conference opponent. Winnipeg is just 3-4 (-3.4 units) after playing three consecutive road games, while Washington is 14-8 (+3.9 units) after a win by two goals or more. I don’t think that home ice advantage can be overlooked as a major advantage here. Lay the short price. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Capitals. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $846 |
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
Dan Kaiser | $545 |
Joey Tron | $511 |
Sean Murphy | $430 |
Sean Higgs | $352 |
Ricky Tran | $301 |
Ray Monohan | $263 |
Matt Fargo | $220 |
Kyle Hunter | $71 |