Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-08-23 | Ravens -4 v. Steelers | 10-17 | Loss | -120 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers host the Baltimore Ravens in an AFC North battle. The Ravens lead the division at 3-1 while the Steelers come in at 2-2. Pittsburgh is struggling right now, especially on offense, Pickett seems to have taken a step back and was replaced last week after getting banged up. I wouldn't be worried about Mitchell Tribynski taking his job just yet but he can't afford too many more games like the last couple. To make matters worse, the Ravens have the third-best pass defense in the NFL. The Ravens have been getting it done on the ground with a top 5 rushing offense. Pittsburgh's defense ranks 29th in rushing yards allowed. The road team has won the last three games between the two. The last 6 games have been decided by an average of 3 points. The underdog has covered in the last 10 games but has won 8 of them. Jackson did not play in the two games last season and this season he is having a year that is close to or better than his MVP season. Pckett is listed as probable but even at 100% it is a tall order for Pittsburgh to come away with a win in this one. Play on Baltimore. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
10-05-23 | Bears v. Commanders OVER 44.5 | 40-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Bears have gone over the total in all four games this season. Chicago games are averaging 53.1 total points this season. Washington has gone over in two of their four games and is coming off a 34-31 battle against Philadelphia. Both defenses are bad, as Washington ranks 29th in scoring defense, and Chicago ranks 31st. Washington comes in off of a physical conference game and has two of the team's top three receivers, Samuel and Dotson, on the injury report. The Bears' secondary is banged up and Howell should be able to get some big plays down the field. I think Fields will use the confidence from last week and the Bewars offense will improve. This is a low number and I can see this game being 24-21 and going over the number. Play on the OVER. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
10-02-23 | Seahawks -120 v. Giants | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks have to take thier chances coming into New York to take on the Giants. The Giants have been woeful on both sides of the ball. Offensively the Giants rank 31st in scoring and on the defensive side, they rank 29th in points allowed. To make matters worse, they could be without one of their best offensive weapons in Saquon Barkley. The Seahawks offense comes into this game as the 4th highest-scoring team in the league. They have a lot of weapons on the offensive side of the ball in DJ Metcalf and Kenny Lockett. and Kenneth Walker III. Seattle is also dealing with injuries and should be getting back some key players even if for limited roles. Daniel Jones is 1-11 in prime-time games as a starting QB. The Giants have dropped seven straight Monday night games. Play on Seattle on the money line. This is a 4% play | |||||||
10-01-23 | Chiefs -8 v. Jets | 23-20 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
This Chief's defense has been dominating and the Jets' offensive line has been struggling to block in both the passing game as well as the running game. Zach Wilson is not good but he is also not getting a lot of help from the offense. Trevor Lawrence is a much better quarterback than Wilson, but the Jags could only put up 9 against this defense. The Jets need to run the ball but it will be hard against a Chiefs defense that is ranked 11th against the run. Mahomes injured his ankle last week but still played most of the second half. Kelce is back and the Wide Receivers are finding their spots. This is not a game to overthink. Play on KC. This is a 4% play | |||||||
10-01-23 | Patriots v. Cowboys -5.5 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
The Cowboys looked dominant the first few weeks of the season and they were talking Duper Bowl in Big D and then they laid an egg against Arizona. As home favorites under Mike McCarthy, the Cowboys have posted a 6-2 ATS record. The New England Patriots are 2-4-0 ATS on the road since Brady left and are just 8-11-1 ATS overall since last season. Speed kills and the Cowboys have that advantage on both sides of the ball. I look for the Dallas defense to cause a lot of problems for Mac Jones and for the Dallas offense to get things going in both the passing and running game. Dallas puts last week behind them and picks up an easy win in this one. Play on Dallas. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
10-01-23 | Bengals -142 v. Titans | 3-27 | Loss | -142 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Cincinnati's defense finally stepped up and held the Los Angeles Rams to under 300 yards of total offense and held them without a touchdown until the last minute of the game. The Tennessee Titans had one of their worst offensive performances in franchise history last week. They scored a measly three points and just 96 total yards against a strong Brown's defense. There is just not one problem with the offense. Ryan Tannehill ranks 30th out of 34 qualifying quarterbacks in passer rating. Derrick Henry was limited to just 20 rushing yards on 11 carries versus Cleveland. Wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins is averaging slightly over 50 receiving yards per game and has not scored this season. Burrow should be able to get the ball down the field against the Titans' 28th-ranked pass defense. The Titan's offensive line has struggled all season in keeping Tannehill upright and opening holes for Henry. The Bengals defense will hold the Titans down and Burrow will do enough to get the win. Play on Cincinnati on the Moneyline. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
10-01-23 | Broncos v. Bears +3.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos and Chicago Bears are the worst two teams in the NFL. How bad do the Bears have to be to come in as a 3.5 point underdogs at home to a team that gave up 70 points last week? It is getting very close to make-or-break time for Justin Fields and the Bears' offense. Chicago is 31st in passing yards per game. The defense is not without their share of blame either as they are last in third-down defense and are giving up 410 yards per game. The Broncos haven’t covered in five of six, and have lost six in a row on the road going back to last season. The Bears have won four of six at home against the Broncos. You have two bad teams here and a tie would only be fitting. The Bears at home will keep this one close. Take the points and the Bears. Play on Chicago. This is a 3% play | |||||||
09-28-23 | Lions -130 v. Packers | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
The NFC North rivals the Detroit Lions go on the road to take on the Green Bay Packers on Thursday night. The Lions swept the Packers in their two games last season and have won three in a row. . Green Bay came back from 17 points down in their last game but Love completed just 50% of his passes, no Packer ran for more than 40 yards, and they were playing against a backup quarterback at home. The Packers are dealing with injuries to key skill position players. Aidan Hutchinson looked like the player from last season as he recorded his first two sacks of the season. St. Brown is doing his thing but they have found a weapon in rookie tight end LaPorta. I like Detroit in this one and will take care of the Packers on the road. Play on Detroit. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
09-24-23 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4.5 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Seahawks came from behind to beat the Lions in overtime last week. Carolina will take on a Carolina team that will be without starter Bryce Young and will be going with Andy Dalton at quarterback. The Panthers lost their first two games and they struggled offensively in those games and I don't feel like Dalton will do any better. The Seahawks have given up 30 points a game but the Carolina offense cannot be compared to the offenses the Seahawks have faced. Seattle has more big play opportunities on offense and I look for them to come away with a win and cover. Play on Seattle. This is a 3% play | |||||||
09-24-23 | Falcons v. Lions OVER 47 | 6-20 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
I am looking for a lot of points in this one. Goff will have players to throw to even if Brown can't go. The Falcons should be able to score against a Lions defense that has struggled a bit and is dealing with injuries. I am looking for a fast-paced game. I am looking for the Lions to get off to a fast start and force the Falcons to throw the ball and not rely so much on the rushing attack. I am looking for a shootout in this one. Play on the over. This is a 3% play | |||||||
09-24-23 | Falcons +3.5 v. Lions | 6-20 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
The Falcons are a surprising 2-0 coming into this game with the Lions. to improve to 3-0. The Lions are banged up on both sides of the ball so I give the Falcons a chance in this game. The Lions could be without Amon-Ra St. Brown and will definitely be without David Montgomery and CJ Gardner-Johnsob. While the Falcons come into this matchup with the second-best passing defense, this will be their first test against a real quarterback. The Only problem is Detroit may be without their best receiver. Detroit has the 9th best-rushing defense and will need to force the Falcons into third-and-long situations and harass Ridder. Play on Atalanta. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
09-24-23 | Titans v. Browns -2.5 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
You could argue that the Browns were the better team last week even though they got the loss despite leading on the stats sheet. The loss was even worse for the Browns as they lost Nick Chubb for the season with a knee injury. Watson has struggled since returning from a nearly two-year absence. Kareem Hunt returned this week but it will take some time to get worked back into the offense. The Titans’ offense has not been good and the Browns’ defense has been fantastic and should shut them down. The Tennessee Titans are 1-1 after two games but have not looked great. The Cleveland Browns looked dominated against the Bengals in the opener. The Titans rely heavily on Derrick Henry and the running game. The Browns rush defense has been among the best in the NFL. They rank fifth in the NFL in rush defense after containing Najee Harris and the Steelers last week. I will take the Browns' defense in this one. Play on Cleveland. This is a 3% play | |||||||
09-18-23 | Saints -155 v. Panthers | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints go on the road to take on the Carolina Panthers in a battle of NFC South foes. The Saints opened the season with a 16-15 win over Tennessee at home. The Panthers lost 24-10 in Atlanta to the Falcons. The Panthers won both matchups last season. Both teams have new quarterbacks but the Saints have a veteran in David Carr and the Panthers will have to go through growing pains with rookie Bryce Young. The Saints' defense was excellent in week one and will give Bryce Young problems in this one. I am looking for the Saints to try and establish a running game, which will open up the passing game. The Panthers lacked explosive plays in week one and could find it difficult again this week against the Saints' defense. The Saints have more explosive weapons on offense, a stronger defense, and a far better quarterback. Take the Saints in an easy cover. Play on New Orleans on the money line. This is a 4% play | |||||||
09-17-23 | Dolphins -2 v. Patriots | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
The home team tends to win these games (five of the last six), but Miami has won against the spread in five straight. The Patriots threw the ball 55 times last week and it is something they don't want to have to do this week. I look for them to come out and try to run the ball against the Dolphins defense. The Dolphins' offense showed last week how explosive their offense can be. The Dolphins have won their previous four games against the spread overall. They have also won their last four games against the spread on the road. New England has lost five straight games against the spread and seven of their previous eight. They have also lost five straight games at home against the spread. The Dolphins have scored 20 or more points in four of the previous five matchups with the Patriots while New England has averaged only 16 against Miami's defense in their last five games. As long as Tua can stay healthy the Dolphins offense can get the job done. I like them to go on the road and take down the hoodie. Play on Miami. This is a 4% play | |||||||
09-17-23 | 49ers -7 v. Rams | 30-23 | Push | 0 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
The Rams surprised many last week, going into Seattle and pounding the Seahawks. They were able to get it done without Cooper Kupp in the lineup but this week they face a different monster. They will be facing what could be the best team in football at the moment. The 49ers have both an outstanding defense and offense. I think it will be the San Fran defense that will be the difference in this one. I think they will be able to slow if not shut down the Rams' offense, especially without Kupp in the lineup. San Francisco's offense is loaded with weapons as Christian McCaffrey can hurt you on the ground and receiving passes from Brock Purdy. Through in Aiyuk, who caught eight passes for 129 yards when defeating Pittsburgh last week. San Francisco's defense, which gave up just seven Samuel and Kittle and that is a lot for the Rams' defense to cover. A touchdown is a lot in the NFL but I like the 49ers to cover the number. Play on San Francisco. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
09-17-23 | Bears v. Bucs -2.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
The Buccaneers got a surprising win over Minnesota and Baker Mayfield looked decent as their quarterback. Justin Fileds and the Bears' play calling in general looked confused and inconsistent. Tampa Bay got outgained 369-242 against Minnesota and still won the game. After a dismal season last year, the Bears are almost in must-win mode early in the season. They need to find a way to get the ball to DJ Moore, who was invisible in game 1, as Fields was incapable or scared to throw the ball downfield. Evans and Godwin should have good days for the Bucs and I like thier defense over the Bear's defense. Play on Tampa Bay. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
09-17-23 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Jaguars | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Last season the Chiefs had the top-scoring offense in the league. They struggled in game one but that could be expected without Kelce in the lineup. They were also playing a fired-up Lions defense and throwing in multiple dropped passes and I look at that game as an anomaly and not of things going forward. Jacksonville’s offense looked good in week 1, scoring over 30 points. The Chiefs didn’t get a lot of pressure on Goff but even if Chris Jones just plays a number of snaps, they should get better pressure on the QB. Kansas City will have their best pass rusher and best receiver back this week and will be looking to make up for last week's performance. The last time Jacksonville beat Kansas City was in 2009, and they have lost seven straight since. Kelce adds to the Chiefs offense and you can't expect Toney to drop wide-open passes every week. I like the Chiefs to bounce back in this one. Play on Kansas City. This is a 3% play |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Joseph D'Amico | $1,260 |
Jack Jones | $1,014 |
Tom Macrina | $979 |
Ricky Tran | $711 |
Jimmy Boyd | $485 |
Joey Tron | $353 |
Kyle Hunter | $290 |
ProSportsPicks | $272 |
Jim Feist | $187 |
Dan Kaiser | $159 |