Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06-04-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 216 | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 1 h 60 m | Show |
Back to 216... With the BIG plays on the Nuggets to go up 2-0... With Caleb Martin a GO and he HAS to step up his game....damn near ECF MVP and a debacle of a game 1... Lowry contribution not to be understated... Oh and the Nuggets showed in game 1 the AD domination was NOT Brow related....Bam gonna feast again and Jimmy Buckets should be BACK! ALL OF THIS ...and that doesn't account for Joker and Murray going for a nearly CERTAIN 50 themselves combined This has 225 written ALL over it and I'm not even ruling out a solid chance at OT! | |||||||
05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 203 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
PLAY OF THE PLAYOFFS SO FAR!!
Those totals landed 200 and 196 so what the hell are we doing going Over? Jimmy. Buckets. III. This has been a seriously insane series....with the likely beleaguered Celtics opening.this series after a nasty tough one against the Sixers...with a little bit of an oversight...and honestly ...fair...this was not the 2022 Heat right? No PJ, no Dipo, ZERO Herro, and a functional Lowry. What could go wrong...then before they knew it...the far superior team attempting to defend the East..down 0-3! 203, down from 206, but likely tick back up...makes for a Total I consider to be the best play in a while....and I WILL need some of.the chucking TO REALLY WORK OUT for us...and will need a full 48 minute effort from the road team as well...and this is why I trust Jimmy and Spo! Philly gave it up in the 3rd and scored just 30ish points in the second half...while only 39 points were scored in the 4th quarter a season ago to head to.the NBA Finals. My numbers have us in need of just 90-95 points in the second half...and the winner of the game approaching 110 points here rather than 100. Clutch shots from the "others" will be necessary a la the ones Robinson missed late in Game 6...but I also think the +7 is nearly a GOTY type spread as well...with a 16-5 trend to back the dog here...and yes...a year ago the dog win outright! Wishful thinking here for myself as a Sixers fan...Heat win this narrowly in an epic Game 7 by a score of 110-109!!! | |||||||
04-28-23 | Grizzlies +5 v. Lakers | Top | 85-125 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
Grizz ain't won a SINGLE GAME ALL SEASON as a road dog... But I mean then being a 2 seed was never a fluke...they have the talent...oh and by the way...we have an entire handful of points...we don't NEED a win...but a win I think they have a really close to 50/50 chance at winning the game outright... However...no worries....the 0-17 and 2-15 ATS run on the 2022-2023 season in this spot is too good to pass up!!! | |||||||
04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors OVER 235.5 | Top | 118-99 | Loss | -112 | 1 h 42 m | Show |
Just far far too short....for what WON'T be a defensive battle? | |||||||
04-18-23 | Clippers +8.5 v. Suns | Top | 109-123 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
What WORLD IS THIS???? Sure I'm probably breaking my own fade the beg rules here... But I'll be damned I sure do think the Clips might sweep the first 2 games here... CP3 Over points....probably my FAVORITE prop of the playoffs period so far!! | |||||||
04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
Am I crazy here? Maybe....but there is just NO way this team should go down...at home...0-2 in a series facing any Eastern team not named Boston/Milwaukee/Philly...and especially when they can score at will at times.... everything will be put into this effort from all things Cleveland tonight and while I'd rather be safe (chicken shit) and parlay the ML with some other low hanging fruit... BUT the systems say this is a cover and I Love a ton of it! | |||||||
03-15-23 | Celtics v. Wolves OVER 233.5 | Top | 104-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Oh baby this is a nice spot... Boston INEXPLICABLY, in a race for the 1 seed...lost a game... OUTRIGHT...and never led...against HOUSTON...yes that Houston...the Rockets people! TWolves host this after bludgeoning ATL and back home I love the lack of defensive focus and ANGER from Boston....and while a tighter effort is likely....no Time Lord and the C's will probably shoot more threes tonight than maybe ever before! Last 3 seasons...this spot here has provided , aside from all the stuff I wrote above, with a 46-21 Over record....nearly 70% and an average of 9.5 more total points than 233.5!!! Hammer time!!! | |||||||
03-15-23 | Grizzlies v. Heat -170 | Top | 119-138 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Take the -3.5 if you would like....BUT... Quick quiz: Name the team (healthy AND unhealthy regardless) that doesn't have a SINGLE SU win this season as a dog...there's only 1... They hail from Memphis, Tennessee and maaaaybe you've heard something about their franchise player recently? Miami is THE WORST favorite going....covering just 29% of the time as chalk...but fun facts are the name of this write up, amirite? They win OUTRIGHT 70% of the time! Boom goes the Jimmy Buckets dynamite! | |||||||
03-10-23 | Nets v. Wolves OVER 226 | Top | 124-123 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
Holy COW..... I liked this play at open.... I liked this play after the line got NUKED downward... Now it's moved MORE than 7 points from 233.5! Oh and didn't even mention yet my 27-9 Over system last 36 for this VERY specific....but also team agnostic play?! Thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?! | |||||||
03-05-23 | Suns v. Mavs +1.5 | Top | 130-126 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 51 m | Show |
Thank you Sir may I have ANOTHER?! DeAndre Ayton announced as in for this game and we have the much anticipated Kyrie/KD "showdown" but meh.... Don't threaten me with a good time....Luka barely played last time and CP3 couldn't capitalize on an Ayton 20/20 game... Now he has a running mate and CP3 ain't looking any younger... Holy COW I love this play as I make this a regular HCA spot where the Mavs healthy v the Suns healthy should be laying the triple!!! ML maybe... basically the same....run away W...maybe! | |||||||
03-04-23 | Wolves v. Kings OVER 237.5 | Top | 138-134 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
Alright.... we're BAAAACK Let's take a quick inventory of this spot...no real injuries AT ALL aside from KAT... Both teams on NO rest and both need every game like blood... Twolves in this spot are 8-1 to the Under Kings are a nearly 60% Under team in the same spot... NBA games north of 237 are going Under at a 60+% clip... Still....what do the bookmakers do with recklessness and abandon and an uncaring attitude?! They slam a monster total and BEG our butts to bet Under.... 121-116 the Vegas books say...I think I shall fade BOTH of those #s!!! | |||||||
03-01-23 | Bulls -5.5 v. Pistons | Top | 117-115 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
2-0 in this spot... DeMar is IN.... BULLS are NOT gonna blow this chance here...and the Pistons aren't as healthy either! Game of the day! | |||||||
02-28-23 | Kings -2 v. Thunder | Top | 123-117 | Win | 100 | 1 h 1 m | Show |
Apparently this will qualify me as a NUT JOB...but I'm gonna get after backing a team in a same team twice in a row sweep spot....SANS Fox... And why am I crazy? Well...because I THINK Davion Mitchell is finally gonna step up in a no Fox spot and NOT look like the bust he appears to be solidifying as his status! Sabonis will EAT...and is worth some.props....but no SGA AGAIN...and the system here....is a 65+% win rate system...even on the back to back where the world wants to back the team that JUST LOST! | |||||||
02-16-23 | Bucks -7.5 v. Bulls | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 1 h 57 m | Show |
Play this is ALLLLLL the possible ways you can find ALERT folks! Bucks are heading into the All Star Break at home and on rest....inviting in the Bulls...missing DeMar, Caruso, Dragic, Green, Jones,.and of course Lonzo....oh.... They are NOT on rest...as they played in Indy last night...got off to a RIP ROARING HOTTER THAN | |||||||
02-15-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets OVER 233.5 | Top | 109-118 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
Late to this party? Holy cow yes... Should it matter AT ALL? Not one bit... Health has been an issue for both these teams...but the pertinent basket pourers should be a go....even Murray it appears... 13-6-1 to the Over last 20 system.spot... 5-2 Over for JUST the Mavs... Oh and add to that (I could write and write) the fact Denver just got back home off a 3 game road trip winning the last 2...perfect spot to fade the laying a handful...but we will do it via the defensive end! Finally....ONLY the Clippers with 1 have fewer 234 or higher Vegas point totals on the season....up high and up high for a REASON! | |||||||
02-13-23 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
Battle of attrition here in South Beach...as the Joker will be down Murray and the suddenly insanely hot Aaron Gordon! Jimmy Buckets will have Bam but be down Herro, Lowry, Duncan, Dipo among others.... Heat have been an ATS abomination at home this season... 8-18-2 in fact....and that 30ish% record is the NBA's worst at home... The Nuggets are tough to pin down when not healthy....but focused and wanting to end the short roadie with a 2-1 record, I think they jump out early and the Heat don't have the firepower to.keep up, let alone come back if down! Playing this HUGE!!!! ML as well is amazing VALUE!!! | |||||||
02-10-23 | Spurs v. Pistons UNDER 236 | Top | 131-138 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
What a CRAZY number this here is...hmmm...head scratching...and I sure wonder if it's a mistake...so we delved in before just hammering home what I see as a snoozey winner! 75 Unders and 50 Overs in this "spot" per our database...so there's that... 10 Under and 5 Overs making it more exclusive... Both teams are Over plays per the public...but the team Pop is sending on the floor in Detroit tonight is a MESS....with Devonte Graham the likely starting PG... Teams at home after scoring 90 or less points in the previous game....ick Thank you Sir may I have ANOTHER?! I would have loved this Under 230 or 232 honestly!!! | |||||||
02-09-23 | Bulls -135 v. Nets | Top | 105-116 | Loss | -135 | 1 h 39 m | Show |
Let us just NOT overthink anything today folks.... We are 14-3 with our NBA plays since joining Sportscapping and 15-3 might as well just get CHALKED UP! Ben Simmons and his role players extraordinaire roster for Jacque Vaughn's suddenly meaningless NBA afterthought...gosh I wonder what kind of cigar Steve Nash has lit right now ....welcome to NYC, the INTACT AFTER THE DEADLINE Chitown Bulls! Healthy and with DeMar to boot.... Yes sir.... 1st quarter ML 1st half ML Team total (Way) Over.....not just a trifecta....a superfecta tonight baby! | |||||||
02-08-23 | Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 221.5 | Top | 85-113 | Win | 100 | 1 h 58 m | Show |
Welp...whole write up went kablooey AND we lost the 222 in the offing... Sorry in advance Quick version is Cavs allowing an EPIC EDG% against of late....might be missing Garland AND Spida... Oh and they only allowed 88 to the Pistons WITH Cade! | |||||||
02-07-23 | Hawks v. Pelicans -130 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
Pels 8-2 SU and 8-2 ATS in this spot... Dejounte might miss this game....and big B.I. is baaack... Control Trae and frustrate and win going away!! | |||||||
02-06-23 | Celtics v. Pistons OVER 229.5 | Top | 111-99 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
1) Disclaimer: this is a REALLY solid line... kudos to the bookmakers 2) 18-6 last 24 trend (team agnostic) to the Over going back to 2021 with a >228 total combined with double digits chalk! 3) C's are a MONDO over team as chalk...backing up the trends 4) trend #3 averages 241 points here... 5) trend #4 averages an Over play of +10 (similar) I think the Pistons are more LIVE as many would think...but either way...this Boston team is putting up 130...if the Pistons can't even get to the century mark then we DESERVE to lose... WE WON'T!! | |||||||
02-05-23 | Magic v. Hornets UNDER 236 | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 0 h 28 m | Show |
236 for a stand alone game on the NBA card with NO NFL anywhere to be found?!?! Yowsa....what do you think the bookmakers' WANTED to hang here... I made this about 226!! | |||||||
02-04-23 | Clippers -155 v. Knicks | Top | 134-128 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Sure I would LOVE to know the actual status of Jalen Brunson here...as he hit the GTD spot but will take part in shoot around and see if he can go... However.... This SPOT is epic....and the Knicks are in a situation where the home dog in this spot, regardless of health or team...as a team with a better record at the halfway or close point....15-40 last 55 times....and that's against the SPREAD!!! SU here we have 11-44 good for 25% chance at winning! Kawhi and PG and company might still have some.lingering pathetic-ness within them after SOMEHOW blowing the game in Milwaukee...but not only is there no Giannis on the Knicks....if Brunson is out there ain't even a Middleton-esque player to stop tonight! I'm playing the -3.5 and playing the -5.5 as well as this ML...but this is likely gonna be a play where they impose their will to the extent we look back and wish we'd backed up the whole Brinks truck to the book for.this snoozer! Play of the week here if Brunson sits!!! | |||||||
02-03-23 | 76ers v. Spurs OVER 233 | Top | 137-125 | Win | 100 | 1 h 57 m | Show |
14-6 to the Over last 20... Sixers BOUND to let down on defense with this spot in the schedule....and let's be honest...the 6ers can score at will period.....the Spurs are an epically poor defense and fast up and down the court....will go ALL OUT... Philly has scored 119 or more each of the last 4 system fits here! Cruise to a 240+ total! | |||||||
02-01-23 | Kings -7.5 v. Spurs | Top | 119-109 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
Kings - 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS Spurs off 2 straight home losses....against the Suns and Wizards....and while they didn't cover EITHER...they were ALSO dogs getting less points!!? Absurdity and thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?!?! | |||||||
01-31-23 | Lakers +2 v. Knicks | Top | 129-123 | Win | 100 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
Plain and simple.... NYK as home chalk this season....average a nearly 5 point line La La Land as road dog this season ....averages getting a FULL TD from Vegas Now here we ALSO have the no rest factor...no PatBev....and the Knicks look like the much better current team... Yet...AT MSG...they are NOT even full home court advantage chalk?!?! Faaaaade MONSTER Thank you sir may I have another....LBJ and AD combine for 60+ and the Lakers win this going away!! | |||||||
01-30-23 | Hawks v. Blazers -5 | Top | 125-129 | Loss | -110 | 0 h 30 m | Show |
No Trae Dame time.... Oh and while this IS HONESTLY enough to play this spot....we ALSO backed the Blazers the other night and suffered our first SC NBA betting loss! Dejounte and Co. on the road in this spot....of course I wish I had gotten the -3 from earlier....but this roster v the Blazers...still a 6/7 point difference in cap! | |||||||
01-30-23 | Wizards -4.5 v. Spurs | Top | 127-106 | Win | 100 | 1 h 36 m | Show |
Well I CERTAINLY like to think I'm no dummy and this is an obvious enter numbers into the database and see what spits out GEM! Healthy Wiz still in the road and 5/5 last 5 ATS and SU... Meanwhile.the endeavor that is Coach Pop and Co. circa the 2023 calendar is GRIM...and they are as poor...even home....ATS as they come of late... Snagging Wemby as he readies for retirement sure would be a swan song... This....will....NOT....BE...CLOSE... HELL...I would lay 10 points here folks!! | |||||||
01-29-23 | Pelicans v. Bucks -11 | Top | 110-135 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
Ain't NO way the Bucks... healthy as they come...didn't learn a thing or 2 how to go about a FULL 48 minutes or winning hoops! Indy came allllllllll the way back from 35+ down to have it a couple.of possessions game at the end of the day 4th the other night! Tonight....against a similarly lowly and injury-riddled team...the visiting Pels...Coach Bud will NOT allow such a letdown! 30ish point lead... ✅ 5-6 point game late....NO EFFING WAY thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?! | |||||||
01-28-23 | Raptors v. Blazers -4 | Top | 123-105 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
5-0 Start to our NBA career at Sportscapping and we ain't stopping here... Dame & Co. on 2 days rest...take on the lowly, always looking to trade key pieces before the deadline, Raptors and only have to lay a single point MORE than a Lillard or Simons triple? Thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?! Raps lost last night...no rest....no OG...Hart & Nurkic should go...and this is gonna be an UGLY game from start to finish by my numbers! | |||||||
01-27-23 | Grizzlies v. Wolves UNDER 238.5 | 100-111 | Win | 100 | 1 h 51 m | Show | |
Grizz without a few key pieces....and while I would LOVE to know if Gobert and Bane were in or out...a lot of our aspect of this DEAD nut Under spot is not pertaining to these specific players. TWolves as home dogs in this spot is WROONG....and while Ja will certainly get his (HAMMER the Overs on his points and PRA!) and the Grizz are a perfect 8/8 to the Under as road chalk this season....5/5 if short faves and just 2-6 ATS and 1-5 ATS respectively, in these games... 15 Overs and 23 Unders as the NBA and not these 2 teams...average final score in this spot...a measly 223! If you account for just Memphis's perfection regarding and we get an average final score of 222....with a 4-14-1 record! My prediction is Twolves 118 and Grizzlies 114 to play conservative devil's advocate! | |||||||
01-27-23 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +3 | Top | 100-111 | Win | 100 | 1 h 51 m | Show |
Grizz without a few key pieces....and while I would LOVE to know if Gobert and Bane were in or out...a lot of our aspect of this DEAD nut Under spot is not pertaining to these specific players. TWolves as home dogs in this spot is WROONG....and while Ja will certainly get his (HAMMER the Overs on his points and PRA!) and the Grizz are a perfect 8/8 to the Under as road chalk this season....5/5 if short faves and just 2-6 ATS and 1-5 ATS respectively, in these games... 15 Overs and 23 Unders as the NBA and not these 2 teams...average final score in this spot...a measly 223! If you account for just Memphis's perfection regarding and we get an average final score of 222....with a 4-14-1 record! My prediction is Twolves 118 and Grizzlies 114 to play conservative devil's advocate! | |||||||
01-27-23 | Bucks -6.5 v. Pacers | Top | 141-131 | Win | 100 | 1 h 44 m | Show |
This FEELS like trickery...mehopes it's just NBA betting fatigue and/or the books and sharps hoping for some revenge? Milwaukee is healthy and should be starting Jrue/Allen/Middy/Freak/Lopez...meanwhile the Pacers were on a long roadie...came and got a much needed win over the Bulls...but then went back to Florida and lost to the MAGIC!!! 13 points was the margin in Milwaukee 2 weeks ago...and the spot here is MASSIVE considering the travel...and lest we forget... Halliburton (my BOY!) is still out for the home team and this is gonna be UGLY. The Bucks allow the LOWEST EFG% to opponents on the road at 51.6% and they ALSO are top 3 on defense against the 3 ball on the road! Coming down to earth...HARD...is what the Pacers will continue to do and this is a spot where I will be on the 1Q -2.5 and the 1H -4 and the full game team total Over for Milwaukee as well as the Under 240 for the game... Thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?! | |||||||
01-25-23 | Hawks -1 v. Thunder | Top | 137-132 | Win | 100 | 1 h 37 m | Show |
Hawks a STAUNCH 7-2 ATS on the road off a road loss this season...healthy...only missing Hunter tonight...and the OKC Thunder...the Vegas darlings of this season to date... Overall 31-16 ATS on the year...this is the EXACT OPPOSITE of the spot to back such a team....as they are 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS in tight spread home games.. Give SGA and Co. a solid bunch of points and they'll cover...not here though... Take the Hawks -1 or ML or even hell....lay a bucket or 2! |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Matt Fargo | $1,108 |
Dr. Chuck | $1,048 |
Tim Michael | $978 |
ProSportsPicks | $867 |
Alex Smart | $722 |
Jim Feist | $609 |
Jimmy Boyd | $535 |
Rocky Atkinson | $384 |
John Martin | $378 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |