Super Bowl 51 – How To Bet The Big Game

January 31st, 2017

The Super Bowl attracts more bettors than any other sporting event in America. Last year Nevada based casinos booked a record 4.2 billion in bets on the big game. They are expected to surpass that this year with a projected 4.7 billion. It’s my job to predict who’s going to win, and last year I delivered not only the winning side (Denver), but also the winning total (under 45).

If you ask me who’s going to win the Super Bowl this year, there’s only one way for me to answer that question. The only sure thing is that the bookmakers will win, they always do. Last year an estimated 59 percent of spread bettors picked Carolina. The overwhelming majority of action on the Super Bowl comes from the general public. These aren’t professional gamblers with years of experience, in fact for many people this will be the only bet they place all year.

If you’re one of those people, a guy that just wants to get in on the fun and risk a bit of money on the big game, then you should listen very carefully to what I am about to tell you. I am going to suggest that picking the team you think is going to win, and betting a few bucks on that team, would be a mistake.

At best you have a 50 percent chance of winning your bet, and you’re going to have to risk 10 percent more than you will win (vigorish). If the game is a blowout, your ticket could be worthless by halftime. My suggestion would be to pick the team you think will win, and bet on that team’s top three players to score touchdowns (player props).

Now if two of those three bets come in, you will be a winner. The beauty is, your team could easily lose the game, and two or even all three of those bets could still win. If your team wins the game, they are likely to score a lot of points, hence chances are good that their top players will score touchdowns. Even if the game is a blowout, all your bets are still live, and still have a chance to cash right up until the final whistle (that’s more fun).

I’ve done very well with player prop bets throughout my career, and I cashed in 67 percent of these wagers during the regular season. Prior to the NFC Championship game, I wrote two articles that described what I felt was a “Big Mistake” by bookmakers. When the Packers played the Falcons, we saw the highest projected total in NFL playoff history. Despite expectations of record scoring, the bookmakers failed to adjust the prices for individual players to score touchdowns, and offered low totals on receptions and total yards for receivers.

The result was a windfall of profits for myself, and those who chose to take my advice. Here we are two weeks later, and the projected total for the Super Bowl is the highest it’s ever been, and it will likely get higher. This makes the player prop market your best option for betting Super Bowl 51.

GL,

Jesse Schule

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Schule's Soccer AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER - Chelsea vs Leicester

**WARNING** Schule's SOCCER plays are known to cause increased heart rate and an overwhelming sense of euphoria. Playing these on a regular basis can result in an increase of disposable cash and can cause your bankroll to swell uncontrollably. It is not recommended to participate in these wagers if you have any allergic reactions to COLD HARD CASH!

Schule's Soccer AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER - Chelsea vs Leicester

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Sharks vs Blues	Blues -175	Premium	4-5	Win	100	Show
This is a 6* play on the Blues. St. Louis won their season opener at Colorado, but they were blown out by a score of 8-0 in their second game against the Avs. They won't like the stink of that embarrassing loss, and that will add a little extra motivation to beat up on an inferior San Jose team. The Sharks are 1-6 in their last seven road games, and they are 17-35 in their last 52 games as an underdog. The Sharks are 3-9 in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have lost five straight against the Blues. GL, Jesse Schule
Canucks vs Flames	Canucks +1½ -190	Premium	2-5	Loss	-190	Show
This is a 5* play on Van +1.5. I had the Canucks in their last game against the Flames, and they lost 3-0. I expect a better effort here tonight. This is what I said prior to the last game: "The Canucks got themselves a veteran goaltender this off-season, and some might consider Braden Holtby an upgrade from Jacob Markstrom. Holtby got the win in the Canucks season opener, stopping 28-of-31 shots against the Oilers. Markstrom was on the losing end of a 4-3 overtime loss at Winnipeg. The Canucks are 8-3 in their last 11 road games, and I like their chances of getting the best of their former netminder." GL, Jesse Schule
Florida State vs Louisville	Louisville -125	Premium	78-65	Loss	-125	Show
This is an 8* play on Louisville. Louisville is coming off it's first loss in conference play on the road at Miami, and they are back home to host Florida State on Monday. The Seminoles aren't quite as formidable as they were a year ago when they finished first in the ACC, but they are just a half game back in the conference standings. Louisville is 23-1 in 24 home games since the beginning of last season, and I like their chances of adding to that total. The Seminoles have only played once on the road this season, losing to Clemson. This spread should be 3-4 points higher than it is. GL, Jesse Schule
Wolves vs Hawks	Hawks -7½ -110	Premium	97-108	Win	100	Show
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks. The Minnesota Timbewolves are 3-8 overall, and six of their eight losses have come by double digits. Karl Anthony Towns has only played four games, and they are 2-2 when he plays. He's tested positive for Covid-19 and will not play Monday in Atlanta. The Timberwolves are 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games overall, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six versus the Hawks. Atlanta won it's last home game by a score of 112-94 versus Philly. They should be able to lay a similar beating on a short-handed T-Wolves team. GL, Jesse Schule
Blue Jackets vs Red Wings	Red Wings +1½ -173	Premium	3-2	Win	100	Show
This is a 6* play on the Wings +1.5. The Red Wings are obviously a young team in the middle of a rebuild, and it might be a few years before they can call themselves a contender. They have to be happy after splitting their first two games at home versus the Carolina Hurricanes. They host rivals Columbus on Monday afternoon, and six of the last 10 head to head meetings have been decided by just one goal. The Blue Jackets are 0-2 after losing both their games at Nashville. The Blue Jackets are 7-20 in their last 27 overall, and they had the most OT losses in the NHL last season. GL, Jesse Schule
Jets vs Maple Leafs	Jets +1½ -170	Premium	1-3	Loss	-170	Show
This is a 5* play on the Winnipeg Jets +1.5. The Toronto Maple Leafs are the favorite to win the North Division, but Winnipeg is still a contender. They have a veteran lineup and a Vezina winning goaltender. The Jets won their season opener in overtime against Calgary. The Jets have won two of their last three versus Toronto, and both of those wins came in games decided by one goal. The Leafs have lost five straight coming off a win, and they are 4-14 in their last 18 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.The road team has won five of the last six meetings between these teams. \ GL, Jesse Schule
Sabres vs Flyers	Sabres +1½ -165	Premium	6-1	Win	100	Show
This is a 6* play on the Sabres +1.5. Buffalo is off to an 0-2 start, losing back to back games to the Washington Capitals. The Flyers are off to a 2-0 start, winning back to back games against the Penguins. It's understandable that Philly is a heavy favorite, but I think the Sabres are going to be competitive here. The under is 4-1-1 in the Sabres last six games as an underdog, and they have gone under in four of their last five overall. This should be a close game that could go either way. GL, Jesse Schule

Super Bowl 51 – How To Bet The Big Game

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