Matt Fargo Premium Picks
Matt Fargo

CFB 2-0 This Week. 10 Premium Winners Saturday. +$50,730 MLB Run. 2-1 in baseball Friday, winning with the +182 Marlins and +138 Giants and we are 72-64 with underdogs over the last 51 days. TWO Winners on Saturday.
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
NFL Sides (+7635) 960-800 L1760 55%
MLB Money Lines (+6127) 171-168 L339 50%
All Sports Picks (+5911) 206-202 L408 50%
Top NHL Money Lines (+3936) 454-384 L838 54%
Top NBA Picks (+2702) 1821-1661 L3482 52%
CFL Picks (+2446) 120-88 L208 58%
Top Football Picks (+1586) 1433-1289 L2722 53%
Top Basketball Totals (+1361) 79-61 L140 56%
NCAA-F Totals (+868) 64-51 L115 56%
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yankees vs Red Sox | Red Sox +112 | Free | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | Show |
Tigers vs Marlins | Marlins +188 | Top Premium | 2-8 | Win | 188 | Show |
Dodgers vs Giants | Giants +142 | Top Premium | 1-5 | Win | 142 | Show |
Cardinals vs Brewers | Cardinals +170 | Top Premium | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | Show |
Kansas State vs Arizona | Arizona +1½ -110 | Top Premium | 17-23 | Win | 100 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. Time is starting to run out for Kansas City as it had a chance to split with Cleveland on Thursday but blew a 2-1 lead in the eighth inning and then dropped the opener of this series last night. The Royals are back to .500 after having dropped five of their last six games, scoring two runs or less in all five, and they are now six games back for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. Ryan Bergert is coming off his worst start since coming over from San Diego, his first start allowing more than three runs in 14 outings so we expect a bounce back. The Phillies have won five straight games following the Friday win which came after a four-game sweep of the Mets and their magic number for winning the National League East is down to three games. Philadelphia currently holds the No. 2 seed in the National League, which would give it a first-round bye and home-field advantage through the National League Division Series. The Phillies got a great start from Walker Buehler in his Phillies debut and turn to Taijuan Walker tonight who has struggled of late with a 7.80 ERA over his last three starts and while those were on the road, he brings in a 4.25 ERA in 14 home games including eight starts. 10* (923) Kansas City Royals
This is a play on the LIBERTY FLAMES for our CFB Saturday Signature Enforcer. We are backing Liberty again after it failed to win let alone cash for us in a 34-24 loss to Jacksonville St. It was a very skewed final score as the Gamecocks pulled out the 10-point upset win but were outgained 534-390. The Flames turned the ball over on two of their first four possessions which led to 14 Gamecocks points and they also turned the ball over on downs twice. Their four scoring drives were 95, 69, 72 and 82 yards but the mistakes were too much to overcome. No mistakes, or at least cut them down, means an easy win here against an overmatched Falcons team. Bowling Green is coming off a 14-point loss at Cincinnati and while it was outgained by just 439-372 but the Bearcats ran 18 fewer plays and outgained the Falcons by 3.0 yppl. They opened the season with an uninspiring win over Lafayette of the FCS 26-7 as they managed only 265 yards of offense. They had 15 returning starters last season but just six this year and are ranked No. 131 in the country in experience. 10* (151) Liberty Flames
This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES as part of our CFB Afternoon Dog Pack SWEEP. Arkansas St. got rolled by Arkansas in their first ever meeting last week although the Red Wolves hung around for a little bit. They returned a kickoff for a touchdown to make it 14-7 and then scored early in the second quarter to pull within 14 points at 28-14 but the Razorbacks took over by scoring 28 unanswered points. It was dominant as Arkansas outgained the Red Wolves 630-285 and that is going to deter bettors backing them this week but this line is nonsense as they were getting 23.5 points on the road last week and now catching 21 points at home against a team with a lower power ranking than Arkansas. Iowa St. is coming off a win over Iowa to capture its first home CyHawk win since 2011 so this is a big letdown spot. This is the first true road game of the season for the Cyclones and while they are our pick to win the Big 12 Conference, this certainly does not qualify and with a bye next week, it just wants to get out with a win without piling it on and showing too much for conference foes. 10* (146) Arkansas St. Red Wolves
This is a play on the MISSOURI ST. BEARS as part of our CFB Afternoon Dog Pack SWEEP. Missouri St. won its first ever FBS game in just its second try in what was a skewed final score as it jumped out to a 7-0 lead but the Thundering Herd scored the next 20 points. The Bears cut it to six points midway through the third quarter and then went 80 yards in nine plays and scored the go ahead touchdown with 2:12 remaining. Marshall then turned it over on downs as it managed only three yards. Missouri St. won the yardage battle 474-274 but missed two field goals and were sacked six times so it could have been a bigger win but the one point victory gives us value here. Baylor and SMU played an epic game last week as the Mustangs led by 14 points in the fourth quarter but Baylor came back and tied the game with 34 seconds left and then won in double overtime as the Mustangs missed the tying field goal. Baylor outgained SMU 601-458 so this is a tough recovery spot and making it tougher is the fact the Mustangs are at TCU next week for the 104th meeting of the Iron Skillet rivalry. 10* (142) Missouri St. Bears
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Dog Pack SWEEP. Oregon St. came up small for us last week as it lost by nine points against Fresno St. and that is what is being taken into consideration with this line but that was a misleading final score. Oregon St. doubled up the Bulldogs with first downs 30-15 and outgained them 528-318 but had two costly interceptions, one at the Fresno St. 34-yard line before halftime and the other near the end of the game as the Beavers were trying to drive for the winning score but gave up the pick six. Their five scoring drives were all 68 yards or more as they were able to control the clock by close to 15 more minutes while running 37 more plays. It is these misleading finals that we can take advantage of and that is why it is imperative to look at every boxscore. Texas Tech has rolled in its first two games but has played no one and their schedule is ranked No. 253 out of 265 FBS AND FCS teams. This team is loaded with talent but they are not going to show much here as they have a massive game at Utah next week. 10* (137) Oregon St. Beavers
This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE as part of our CFB Saturday Early Three-Pack SWEEP. A quick lesson in line comparison. Even though Alabama lost at Florida St., it was favored by 13.5 points on the road and now back home against another P4 team, the Tide are laying just over a touchdown more and against a much worse team than the Seminoles. We think that loss put some fire under some players you know what, as the Tide looked bored and lethargic in Tallahassee and they responded with a 73-0 win against Louisiana Monroe last week. It is a big step up in competition but are laying less that two touchdowns less in a spot that sets up great as Alabama has a bye on deck with Georgia after that so they want to keep things smooth here. Head Kalen DeBoer is 16-3 ATS in his 19 nonconference games here, at Washington and Fresno St. Wisconsin is 2-0 with wins over Miami Ohio and Middle Tennessee St. so the Badgers have not been tested until now. The 10 points allowed is impressive but this defense is going to be exposed, similar to how it allowed 42 points at home last year against Alabama. 10* (126) Alabama Crimson Tide
This is a play on the NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS as part of our CFB Saturday Early Three-Pack SWEEP. Oregon took last week very personal after Oklahoma St. head coach Mike Gundy seemed to put down the program based on their spending ability and the Ducks took it to the field and came away with a 69-3 annihilation. And it has not stopped there as they were chirping a lot during the week so we get the letdown aspect to go against. Oregon scored on its second play from scrimmage and never looked back as the Ducks racked up 631 total yards while gaining 10.2 yppl. It was the epitome of balance with 312 yards rushing and 319 yards passing and they scored a touchdown on eight of their first 10 possessions with the exceptions being a missed field goal and a turnover on downs and bettors will be all over that. The problem? The Civil War against Oregon St. is next week. Northwestern opened with a loss at Tulane and took that out on Western Illinois last week and the Wildcats get the benefit of hosting a west coast team at 12ET. Big overpriced number in a bad situation. 10* (118) Northwestern Wildcats
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS as part of our CFB Saturday Early Three-Pack SWEEP. Oklahoma came through for us last week as it won and covered at home against Michigan which was the only real marquee matchup of the weekend. The Sooners now head east to take on Temple, a team they beat 51-3 last season in their first game of the year and laying a massive number in trying to repeat. This time around, there are spots on both ends of the schedule that makes this a tough spot to lay any lumber as they are coming off that huge home win in a great night environment and have a game on deck next week they are looking ahead to as they host Auburn, the team former quarterback Jackson Arnold bolted to after last season. Temple is 2-0 with a pair of blowout wins over Massachusetts and Howard which are nothing special but the program looks and feels different with new head coach K.C. Keeler. There is a huge disparity in schedules but that is taken into account and Oklahoma comes in 4-11 ATS in its last 15 road games when favored by two or more touchdowns. 10* (116) Temple Owls
SERVICE BIO
Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's.
Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you.
Rating Scale
Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays.
Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted.
Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line.
Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright.
Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities.
Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports.