Matt Fargo Premium Picks

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Dallas is coming off a win over Houston at home as an underdog and now the Mavericks come in as a fairly significant road favorite. The road has not been kind as they are 3-12 which includes seven straight losses and it has not exactly all been against elite competition as losses include Portland, Sacramento, New Orleans and Utah. Dallas is 0-6 ATS this season following a home win. The Kings have struggled all season as they sit 8-28 following five straight losses while failing to cover any of those. Sacramento has not been as bad at home as it is on the road but it is getting a big number for a reason and the Kings have the confidence of beating Dallas not that long ago and now getting a number four points higher which is swayed with the presence of Anthony Davis. Here, we play against teams revenging a same season loss, off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. This situation is 70-34 ATS (67.3 percent) since 2022. 10* (528) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Boston College likely should have come through for us on Saturday as it was tied with Georgia Tech with 6:13 remaining but was outscored 17-5 the rest of the way as the Eagles missed 14 of their final 17 shots. They return home where they are 6-2 with the last loss here coming against No. 38 NET ranked LSU in overtime where it was getting seven points and is now catching up to 13 points in some spots against No. 37 NET ranked NC State. The reason the line is so high is that Boston College is 4-10 against the number. NC State is coming off a loss against Virginia so this is a bounce back opportunity but it makes it difficult on the road and while winning is not an issue, winning by this margin is as it only has one road game under its belt. Guard Tre Holloman is out after getting injured against the Cavaliers which is a tough blow as he is averaging 10.2 ppg. 10* (652) Boston College Eagles

This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CBB Bounceback Baller. Kansas returns home following a loss at Central Florida to fall to 10-4 with the other three losses coming against Duke, North Carolina and Connecticut, all of which were Quad 1 defeats. The Jayhawks go back to Quad 2 where they are 2-0, both wins coming on a neutral floor and now look to avoid a 0-2 start in the Big 12 Conference for the first time since 1982-83. Kansas is 46-8 under head coach Bill Self following a conference road loss, winning those games by an average of over 10 ppg. TCU won its sixth-straight game with a 69-63 win against Baylor in its Big 12 Conference opener and the Horned Frogs have moved to No. 47 in the NET Rankings which is all the way down to No. 9 in the conference. The three losses have all been by four points or less and while they are 3-0 on a neutral floor but this is the first true road game for the Horned Frogs. 10* (648) Kansas Jayhawks

This is a play on the SIUE COUGARS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Lindenwood was on a six-game winning streak before going to Missouri St. and losing by five points but has bounced back with a pair of victories and this nine-game run includes a 4-0 start in the Ohio Valley Conference. Three of the conference wins were at home while all four were against four of the five bottom NET ranked teams and all rated No. 303 or worse at KenPom so the schedule has played a big factor in the run. The Lions started the season 2-4 with one win at home and one win on a neutral floor and overall they are 2-5 on the road, the wins against teams No. 310 and No. 313 in the NET. SIUE is coming off a loss against Morehead St. to fall to 2-2 in the conference, the two losses by five points combined. The Cougars are 5-3 at home which is another reason why the line is as small as it is and they should end up 4-2 with Little Rock on deck. 10* (636) SIUE Cougars

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our Big 12 Game of the Month. Central Florida is coming off a win over Kansas and it turned into a court storm despite it being its 11th consecutive win and now it is the proverbial court storm fade time. The Knights are 12-1 to start the season with the lone loss coming against 14-0 Vanderbilt so they will once again be the betting choice by the public especially with the current 4-1 ATS run. They hit the road where they have only had one game and while it was a win over Texas A&M, it was all the way back on November 14th. Oklahoma St. is coming off a 22-point loss at Texas Tech on Saturday and it is back home to improve upon its 10-0 record in Stillwater. The Cowboys have one comparable opponent at home which was Texas A&M and that resulted in a 24-point win. Oklahoma St. is 7-0 in its last seven games following a double-digit loss and 14-3 in its last 17 games after an ATS loss. 10* (632) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

This is a play on the GEORGETOWN HOYAS for our CBB Rivalry Rout. After losing to St. John’s, Connecticut and Villanova, DePaul got into the win column in the Big East Conference with a win over Xavier on Saturday. The Blue Demons remain home where they are 7-3 with the one conference loss coming against Connecticut with the other two losses coming against Buffalo and Northwestern. The Xavier win was the best as the other six were against teams rated between No. 286 and No. 361 and they have a quick rematch with the Huskies on deck. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six. Georgetown is coming off a home loss against St. John’s to fall to 1-2 in the conference and it has been a rough stretch overall as after a 5-0 start, the Hoyas are 4-5 over their last nine games. It has been horrible at the window as Georgetown is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games which makes this the take opportunity in a buy low spot with the Hoyas. 10* (625) Georgetown Hoyas

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CBB Contrarian Crusher. There is only one team in the country that is 15-0 and that is the Miami Ohio RedHawks and while picked to finish No. 2 in the MAC no one saw this coming. They are off to a 3-0 start in the conference and this is a horrible spot as the RedHawks are coming off a three-point home win over conference favorite Akron on Saturday and have a game at Toledo on Friday which makes this the sleepy sandwich game and laying a huge number on top of it. The undefeated record is obviously the big reason but so is the fact they are on a 5-0 ATS run and 10-2 ATS on the season so it is sell high time. Western Michigan is coming off a five-point loss at Toledo which was its sixth road loss, two others coming against Iowa and Ohio St. while two others came by single digits. The two recent road losses against Toledo and Iowa came after a road win at SIUE by 10 points. 10* (621) Western Michigan Broncos

This is a play on the PENN ST. NITTANY LIONS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Michigan remains No. 1 across all polls and metrics rankings as it has done nothing but blow teams out as since beating Wake Forest and TCU by a combined five points, the Wolverines have won their last 10 games by an average of 34.5 ppg. They are the obvious betting side here but they are back on the road where they are 2-0, but one of the wins was against TCU and the other at Maryland by 18 points and are now laying much more than that. Michigan has covered nine straight games which puts it in the sell high spot and they have a game against No. 45 Wisconsin on deck. Penn St. is coming off a loss against Illinois by eight points and while it was considered a home game, it was played at the Palestra and now the Nittany Lions are back on campus at the Bryce Jordan Center where they are 7-1, the loss coming against Michigan St. by four points. 10* (618) Penn St. Nittany Lions