Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-23-17 | Cavs v. Pelicans +7.5 | Top | 122-124 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
25* graded play on the New Orleans Pelicans (514) as they take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Pelicans will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cavs are just 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cavs are 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cavs are just 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cavs are 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Take the Pelicans. | |||||||
01-23-17 | Rider v. St. Peter's -4 | Top | 51-56 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Peters (542) as they take on Rider in NCAAM MAAC Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that STP will win this game by more than 9 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rider is just 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Rider is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons Rider is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Rider is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. STP is 40-15 ATS (+23.5 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game STP is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. STP is a stout 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board St. Peters. | |||||||
01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots -6 | Top | 17-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
50* graded play on the New England Patriots (314) as they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in AFC Conference Championship action set to start at 6:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by 10 or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-8 mark good for 83% winners and has made 37.3 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play against road teams using the money line (PITTSBURGH) that are good passing teams averaging 6.7 to 7.3 PY/Attempt and is now facing an average passing defense allowing 5.9 to 6.7 PY/Attempt, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game. This is a money line system and I see no road blocks preventing anyone from playing a straight money line wager on the Patriots. The SIM projections essentially show that if the Patriots win the game they will also cover the spread. So, you could consider a combination wager using a 14* amount on the line and a 7* amount using the money line for a total of 21* amount. The reason it is 4* less, is to account for the increase vig using the money line and to optimize the ROI for the combination wager. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is just 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) in road games when they allow 22 to 28 points NE is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they rush for 3.5 to 4 yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. NE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last 3 seasons. NE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) racing good offensive teams averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots. Patriots’ defense ranks best in the NFL in scoring defense and best with a 0.25 points per play allowed ratio. They rank 9th in yards per play allowed, which reflects a bend and don’t break motif. This style of defense has served the Patriots quite well over the years. I do think they will bring more pressure on Roethlisberger early in this game to minimize the chances that Brown can execute vertical routes. Moreover, we believe that the Patriots defense will contain Bell and LB Hightower’s name is expected to be heard quite a bit from the announcers. We don’t need to get into the Patriots offensive scheme as they will have a great game plan in place that will attack all areas of the Steeler defense. We expect the Patriots to attack the perimeter early and often to loosen up the middle of the field. Once that occurs, Brady will look to his RB and WR in slants and crossing routes getting the ball to receivers in stride so that yards after the catch will be optimal. EXTRA Wagers: Play ‘NO’ that there will be three straight scores by the same team. -180 Shortest TD scored ‘OVER’ 1 ½ yards -105 Logan Ryan will intercept a pass +475 Total FG made 3 ½ ‘OVER’ -140 Longest FG made ‘UNDER’ 45 ½ -100 Patriots defense scores first +1800 (just have to play that one) | |||||||
01-21-17 | Bucks +2 v. Heat | Top | 97-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Milwaukee Bucks as they take on Miami Heat in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Milwaukee will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. The line is Milwaukee installed as a 1 ½ point dog. It is not likely that we do see a line move to 3. However, if it does, then the Combination Eager would be validated. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-4 ATS mark good for 89.2% winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs (MILWAUKEE) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game this season. Kidd is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more in all games he has coached | |||||||
01-21-17 | South Carolina v. Kentucky -13.5 | Top | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
50* graded play on Kentucky (584) as they take on South Carolina (583) in SEC action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Kentucky will win this game by more than 16 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SC is just 11-40 ATS (-33.0 Units) in road games when they allow 81 or more points in a game Kentucky is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Kentucky is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 2 seasons. Kentucky is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Kentucky is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Wildcats. Kentucky The Kentucky Wildcats play host to the South Carolina Gamecocks Saturday afternoon in an SEC matchup. The wildcats have been running through this conference with a 6-0 record. The Wildcats offense has been firing on all cylinders as they score 93 points per game. The Gamecocks are also undefeated in conference play at 5-0 and but have been averaging just 71 points per game. The Wildcats offense will be too much to handle for them Saturday despite South Carolina's good defense. Look for the Gamecocks to get worn down and not score enough to keep up with Kentucky’s multi-dimensional offense. Take the Wildcats as the favorite. | |||||||
01-21-17 | Rhode Island v. Duquesne +9 | Top | 90-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Duquesne (568) as they take on Rhode Island in A-10 Conference action set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Duquesne will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-69 mark good for 52.4% winners, BUT has made a whopping 49 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play against a road team vs. the money line (RHODE ISLAND) - a very good team (>=+8 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential) after 15 or more games and after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rhode Island is just 1-7 against the money line (-7.4 Units) in road games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Rhode Island is 2-9 against the money line (-8.2 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Rhode Island is 3-13 against the money line (-12.4 Units) off a home win over the last 2 seasons. | |||||||
01-21-17 | Butler v. DePaul +11.5 | Top | 70-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on DePaul as they take on Butler in Big East Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that DePaul will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-69 mark good for 52.4% winners and has made 49 units/unit wagered since 1997. It has averaged a very nice +155 DOG play. Play against a road team using the money line (BUTLER) that is aa very good team posting a +8 PPG differential and is now facing an average team posting a +/- 3.5 PPG differential after 15 or more games and after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Butler is BUTLER is 1-8 against the money line (-14.4 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Butler is 3-8 against the money line (-12.4 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board DePaul. | |||||||
01-21-17 | Tulsa -6 v. South Florida | Top | 79-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tulsa (593) as they take on South Florida (540) in NCAAM Basketball action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game by more than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tulsa is a solid 61-31 ATS (+26.9 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game Tulsa is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. South Florida is just 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game South Florida is 66-101 ATS (-45.1 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game Tulsa is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a home win this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Golden Hurricanes. The Tulsa Golden Hurricanes head to south Florida to take on the South Florida Bulls in an American Athletic Conference matchup on Saturday. These two teams are headed in opposite directions this season as Tulsa has won 3 straight games and are 4-1 in conference play. Meanwhile, the Bulls have dropped 6 straight games and are 0-6 in conference play. Look for Tulsa to stay hot and continue to score against the Bulls as they average 70 points per game this season. Take Tulsa as the road favorite in this matchup. | |||||||
01-21-17 | Fordham v. Massachusetts -9 | Top | 71-68 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on UMASS as they take on Fordham in A-10 action set to start at 12:30PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UMASS will win this game by 14 or more points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Fordham is just 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fordham is 46-106 ATS (-70.6 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game UMASS is a solid 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. UMASS is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a home win this season. Fundamental Discussion Points The Massachusetts Minutemen square off against the Fordham Rams on Saturday afternoon in an Atlantic 10 conference matchup. The Minutemen have taking advantage of home court advantage all season long as they have a 10-2 record at the William D. Mullins Center. Meanwhile Fordham has struggled on the road with a 1-5 record. Umass averages 73 points per game compared to the rams 66. Fordham is a very bad rebounding team averaging 29 per game compared to Massachusetts 37. Look for Umass to continue their domination at home against Fordham. Take Massachusetts as the home favorite in this Atlantic 10 matchup. | |||||||
01-20-17 | Cleveland State +2 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland State (875) as they take on Wisconsin-Milwaukee in NCAAM action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that CS will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 129-70 mark using the money line and has made 80 units/unit wagered averaging a +116 DOG play since 1997. Play against any team (WI-MILWAUKEE) off 2 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off an upset win as an underdog of 10 or more. This system has gone 4-0 making 6.5 units/unit wagered this season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wisconsin-MLW is just 4-10 against the money line (-14.4 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Cleveland State tonight. Although CS has not won a road game this season and won just three road games last season, this is truly an opportunity get one facing a struggling WM basketball team. | |||||||
01-19-17 | Rangers +108 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 5-2 | Win | 108 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Rangers (55) as they take on the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rangers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 58-37 mark good for 61% winners and has made a whopping 36.5 units/unit wagered averaging a +127 Dog play. Play on an underdog against the money line (NY RANGERS) good power play team scoring on more than 17.5% of their chances, hot offensive team with 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rangers are a solid 7-2 against the money line (+6.4 Units) in road games against good offensive teams averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season. Toronto is a money losing 16-43 against the money line (-22.7 Units) against poor power play killing teams where opponents score on more than 17.5% of their chances and with the game taking place in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Rangers are currently installed as +105/+110 DOGS. So, the system outlied above has a dog qualifier. If the line moves to making the Rangers a slight favorite, the system may not qualify, but the SIM Algorithm generated release is still 100% valid. | |||||||
01-19-17 | Suns +12 v. Cavs | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Phoenix Suns (701) as they take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Suns will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a modest shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. For this game, we obviously will have a money line above +135 so enjoy the opportunity. I never know when these live dogs are going to be the shocking headline news on ESPN. What I do know and have experienced over my 22 years of sports handicapping and deep learning computer predictive analytics is that over the course of a month and a season these combination wagers add a significant amount to the season ROI. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-16 ATS mark good for 70.4% ATS winners since 1996. Play against home favorites (CLEVELAND) after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games and now facing an opponent after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Suns. I rarely mention injuries in any game release as those news items are presumed to be already baked into the number. However, Kevin Love hurt his back – again – and is listed as questionable for this game. My hunch is that he will not play and will be rested. Should this be announced at any point today, I do think the lie will drop to possibly 9 ½. So, I suggest getting on this play right away. | |||||||
01-19-17 | Northeastern -8.5 v. Delaware | Top | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northeastern (713) as they take on Delaware in action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NE will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-5 ATS mark good for 84% winners since 2010. Play against home teams as an underdog or pick (DELAWARE) after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games and now facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Delaware is just 1-15 ATS (-15.5 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Delaware is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game since 1997. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Huskies. The Northeastern Huskies will face off against the Delaware Blue Hens Thursday evening. The Huskies enter this one 5-1 in conference play while the Blue Hens sit at the very bottom of the Colonial Athletic Conference at 0-6 in conference play. Northeastern will be too much for Delaware to handle just like in the first meeting between these two teams this season. The Huskies average 75 points per game which is 11 better than Delaware’s 64 and against the same SOS. Northeastern also shoots the ball at a high rate of 48% while Delaware shoots the ball at 41%. Look for Northeastern to win this one easy just like the first time these two met this season. Take Northeastern. | |||||||
01-18-17 | Thunder +13 v. Warriors | Top | 100-121 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Oklahoma City Thunder (517) as they take on Golden State in NBA action set to start at 10:30PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and does have a shot win this game. We recommend adding a 3* amount using the money line to the 25* play using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-9 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 1996. Play on road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OKC is a solid 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game this season. OKC is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season. OKC is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season this season. OKC is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. OKC is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. GS is just 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Thunder. Even with the elite Warriors there is always a tendency for a below average effort following a highly emotional win like they had over Cleveland. OKC is a solid team and their defensive strength matches up quite well against GS offensive strengths. OKC ranks best in the NBA allowing opponents just 10.6 fast break points per game. OKC ranks second in the NBA scoring 50.2 points in the paint while GS defense ranks 18th allowing 43.5 points in the paint per game. This one is expected to go down to the final minutes. | |||||||
01-18-17 | UC-Irvine -5.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 70-48 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on UC-Irvine (565) as they take on Cal Poly-SLO action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-12 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an favorite or pick (UC-IRVINE) in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams attempting 20 or more per game, after a game shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCI is a robust 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. UCI is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. UCI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. UCI is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when they force 9 or fewer turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. UCI is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game since 1997. UCI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. CPS is just 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. CPS is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points We head out to San Luis Obispo, California for this next Wednesday night matchup between the Cal Poly Mustangs and the UC Irvine Anteaters. UC Irvine enters this one at the top of the Big West Conference at 4-0 as the Mustangs are at the bottom at 0-3. The Anteaters average just 4 more points than the mustangs but only allow 66 per game which is 6 better than Cal Poly’s 72 per game. UC Irvine shoots the ball at 45% compared to Cal Poly’s 40% shooting. Most importantly the Anteaters average 39 rebounds per game compared to the Mustangs 31 per game. Look for UC Irvine to play solid defense, gather rebounds, and control the pace of this game. Take UC Irvine as the favorite. | |||||||
01-18-17 | Duquesne +9 v. George Washington | Top | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
25* graded play on Duquesne (527) as they take on George Washington in A-10 action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Duquesne will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Duquesne is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Duquesne is 6-1 against the money line (+9.8 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Duquesne is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points For this matchup, we head to the nation’s Capital as the visiting Duquesne Dukes take on the George Washington Colonials. Both teams enter the contest with the same record at 9-9. Duquesne 2-3 in conference play and George Washington just 1-4. We look for a close game in this one as both teams score just about 70 points a game and both shoot around 42% from the field. Expect a close game from these two Atlantic 10 conference foes. Take Duquesne as the live underdog. | |||||||
01-18-17 | VCU -11 v. Fordham | Top | 67-69 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on VCU (523) as they take on Fordham in A-10 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that VCU will win this game by more than 15 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. VCU is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. VCU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. VCU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fordham is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fordham is 45-106 ATS (-71.6 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Fordham is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they grab 10+ fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board VCU. We see two Rams go head to head in this one as The Virginia Commonwealth Rams take on the Fordham Rams in an Atlantic 10 matchup Wednesday evening. VCU enters the game 4-1 in conference play while Fordham has struggled at just 1-4. VCU 75 points per game compared to Fordham’s 66. VCU shoots a solid 47% from the field while Fordham shoots just 41%. VCU also averages 36 rebounds per game compared to Fordham’s 26. VCU is the more experienced team and have proven themselves yet again this year with another hot start in conference play. Look for VCU to dominate this game against Fordham. Take VCU as the favorite. | |||||||
01-17-17 | Wichita State -11 v. Evansville | Top | 82-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
50* graded play on Wichita State (747) in NCAAM action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wichita State will win this game by more than 15 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WS is a solid 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) in games attempting around the same number of free throws (+-3) as opponents over the last 3 seasons. WS is 72-41 ATS (+26.9 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game Evansville is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. WS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game over the last 3 seasons. WS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. WS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. WS is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Shockers. The Evansville Aces host the Wichita St. Shockers in a Missouri Valley Conference matchup. Wichita St. enters this one 5-1 in conference play which is 2nd in the MVC. Meanwhile the Aces are struggling this season with a 1-5 record in the conference. The Shockers are a much better scoring team averaging 82 points per game compared to the Aces 68. Evansville is a young team with not a lot of experience and it's showing here in conference play. Their lack of chemistry and experience will hurt them especially against an experienced team like Wichita St. Take Wichita St in this one. | |||||||
01-17-17 | Raptors -11.5 v. Nets | Top | 119-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto (701) as they take on Brooklyn in NBA action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game by 15 or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-16 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 1996. Play on road favorites (TORONTO) off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Brooklyn is just 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Brooklyn is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Brooklyn is just 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in games where they force 12 or fewer turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points this season.
Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Toronto Raptors. | |||||||
01-16-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 91-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on Golden State as they take on Cleveland in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Golden State will win this game by more than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Warriors are a solid 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) when they make 39% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Cavs are a money losing 101-307 ATS (-236.7 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game Warriors are 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus good 3-point shooting teams making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Warriors are 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Warriors are 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. | |||||||
01-16-17 | Blazers +4 v. Wizards | Top | 101-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Portland as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Portland will lose this game by fewer than four points and has an excellent chance to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-25 ATS mark good for 68.4% winners since 2010. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) off a home win by 10 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is a money losing 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Washington is just 75-140 ATS (-79.0 Units) when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game Washington is 19-46 ATS (-31.6 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Portland is a solid 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. | |||||||
01-15-17 | Thunder v. Kings +1.5 | Top | 122-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Kings (862) as they take on the Thunder in NBA action set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Kings will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OKC is just 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games in up-tempo games where they attempt 84 or more shots over the last 3 seasons. OKC is 17-42 ATS (-29.2 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Kings are a near-perfect 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Sacramento Kings. | |||||||
01-15-17 | Steelers +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Pittsburgh (305) as they take on Kansas City (306) in AFC Divisional Playoff action set to start at 1:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game by more than four points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 34-12 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 2005. Play against favorites (KANSAS CITY) revenging a loss against opponent, after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points this season. Pittsburgh is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) facing inconsistent defensive teams allowing more than 350 yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Pittsburgh is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. Roethlisberger is 20-11 ATS in all games played over the last five seasons with lines ranging between -2.5 to 4.5. Fundamental Discussion Points This is a rematch of the Week 4 blowout Steeler win at Pittsburgh in Week 4. The teams are significantly different than that Week 4 game and most dominant change has been the development of Le’Veon Bell, who now can take over a game. The KC defense will face a monumental challenge to contain all of the Steeler weapons. Their ability to stop the best running back in the game will be a lot more difficult without the services of future Hall of Fame linebacker Derrick Johnson and starting interior defenders Jaye Howard and Allen Bailey, all of whom have been placed on IR since the first meeting. Pittsburgh running back Le’Veon Bell has been outrageous of late, generating 78, 139, 60, 88 and 110 yards after contact in his last five games, forcing 24 missed tackles during that time. On offense, KC has their own big-gun version Kelce, who is certainly a playmaker and game changer. He has accumulated 652 yards after the catch, which is more than all but 12 TE have in total receiving yards in the NFL. The Steelers defense has done extremely well in underneath man coverage situations, which would have a LB on Kelce. Further, the transition in ‘over-under’ coverages has been disguised pre-snap and Alex Smith will have to make incredibly fast reads downfield to locate the safety and if that safety is providing deep help in Kelce vertical routes. That hand-off in coverage between LB and safety occurs at 20 yards downfield and it is that precise timing that Smith will have the best opportunity to deliver the ball to Kelce in space. However, if Smith has to rely on this type of minutia detail to move the chains, it will be a very long day at Arrowhead. Take the Steelers. | |||||||
01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
50* graded play on Dallas (308) as they take on Green Bay (307) in NFC Divisional Round Playoff action set to start at 4:40PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a a 44-18 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 2010. Play on favorites (DALLAS) after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record and with the game taking place in the second half of the season. Here is a money line system that has gone 34-2 for 94.4% winners and has made 30.4 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on home favorites of -160 to -475 using the money line (DALLAS) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread and with a winning record on the season playing another winning record team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Dallas is a solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they rush for 125 or more yards over the last 3 seasons. · Dallas is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play this season. · Dallas is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dallas Cowboys. If you play Fantasy Football, definitely add Elliott to your team. It is not secret that the Cowboys front office and recent coaching and GM interviews have made it a point to say this is Elliotts’ time and he will be the dominant force in their offensive schemes and game plans. Ok, so if the Packers look to stop and contain Elliott, then they are exposed to the likes of Dez Bryant, Cole Beasely, Williams, and other weapons. Dak Prescott is a duel threat too, and with a make shift secondary, we do not see the Packers being able to stop the Cowboys. If Jordy Nelson was playing, then this matchup discussion would be a bit more evenly matched. However, what most observers do not know, is that the Cowboys have the number 1 ranked secondary in the NFL and this despite having a mediocre pass rush. So, the dominant edge goes to the expectations that a relatively-clean Aaron Rodgers cannot keep up with a Cowboys’ offense that is averaging the fifth-most yards per carry before contact facing a Green Bay defense surrendering the seventh-most yards per carry before contact. Take the Cowboys. | |||||||
01-15-17 | George Washington +6.5 v. La Salle | Top | 69-79 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on George Washington (875) as they take on LaSalle (876) in A_10 Conference action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that GW will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great opportunity to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GW is a solid 72-35 ATS (+33.5 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game GW is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. LaSalle is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. | |||||||
01-14-17 | UCLA -3 v. Utah | Top | 83-82 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on UCLA as they take on Utah in PAC-12 action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by at least 7 points.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · UCLA is a solid 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they make 46% or more of their three point attempts in a game this season. · UCLA is 135-54 ATS (+75.6 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game · UCLA is 75-18 ATS (+55.2 Units) when they score 87 or more points in a game · Utah is just 39-83 ATS (-52.3 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a gam · Utah is just 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bruins. | |||||||
01-14-17 | Seahawks v. Falcons -5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Atlanta Falcons (302) as they take on the Seattle Seahawks (301) in the NFC Divisional Round of playoff action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Atlanta is 76-19 ATS (+55.1 Units) when they gain 8 or more net passing yards/attempt Atlanta is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt Seattle is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) when they allow 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt Seattle is 17-58 ATS (-46.8 Units) when they allow 8 or more net passing yards/attempt. Here are the supporting systems for this Titan release on Atlanta. Play on any team vs the money line (ATLANTA) mistake-free team with less than 1.25 TO/game committed and is now facing a team averaging less than 1.25 TO/game forced, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.
Slicing this system to include only favorites produces a 62-9 record for 87% winners since 2005 good for 87% winners making 45.6 units/unit wagered averaging a -181 ML favorite wager. SIX Point TEASER Opportunity: Atlanta and Louisville in CBB
Play on any team in a 6-point teaser (ATLANTA) that is a mistake-free team averaging less than 1.25 TO/G committed and is now facing a team averaging less than 1.25 TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
The Falcons have the 6th best OL in the league supporting the 2nd best overall offense and best scoring offense at 33. . Moreover, they are playing at home with the week of rest. Matt Ryan is remarkably accurate and makes solid decisions under pressure. He is averaging a league-best 8.8 yards per pass attempt while the Seattle defense ranks 15th allowing 6.7 yards per pass attempt. Further, the Seattle defense is missing Earl Thomas and his replacement Terrell is simply making too many coverage mistakes. The Falcons feature Julio, but you will see two TE sets, where both TE run vertical routes and then send Jones underneath to vast open areas in the middle of the field. Seattle may be able to take that underneath route away, but then Ryan will know he has either TE in man coverage without safety help. Sounds like a perfect situation for big scoring plays. | |||||||
01-14-17 | Florida State v. North Carolina -8.5 | Top | 83-96 | Win | 100 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on North Carolina (566) as they take on Florida State (565) in ACC action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UNC will win this game by more than 10 points.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. UNC is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. UNC is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board North Carolina . | |||||||
01-14-17 | Duke v. Louisville -4.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
50* graded play on Louisville (514) as they take on Duke (513) in ACC Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by at least 8 points.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. Duke 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams committing less than 12 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Louisville is a solid 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus explosive offensive teams scoring 84+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Louisville Cardinal. Duke does not possess a true point guard and you be assured that Louisville will look to bring immense pressure on any Duke ball handler to generate poor decisions and create turnovers leading to fast break scores. So, the key is for Louisville to make this a fast game and force Duke players into a near panic playing style. Tae Louisville. | |||||||
01-13-17 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 204.5 | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ Miami-Milwaukee in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 200 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 29-17 UNDER (+10.3 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is solid 23-11 UNDER (+10.9 Units) when they make 65% to 70% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 40-18 UNDER (+20.2 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 23-10 UNDER (+12.0 Units) in road games when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. Miami is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) when they score 93 to 98 points in a game this season. Miami is 24-8 UNDER (+15.2 Units) when they allow 93 to 98 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER” for this matchup. | |||||||
01-13-17 | Hornets -5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Charlotte as they take on Philadelphia in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charlotte will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 111-59 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1996. Play against home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) off a close home win by 3 points or less, with a losing record. Here is a second system that has gone 93-45 ATS for 67.4% winners since 1996. Play against home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Charlotte is a solid 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Philadelphia is just 61-134 ATS (-86.4 Units) when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game Philadelphia is 21-46 ATS (-29.6 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Philadelphia is a money burning 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team posting a win percentage between 51% to 60% in games played over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Charlotte is simply a better team across many statistical metrics. They rank 2nd in the NBA with an impressive 1.981 assist-to-turnover ratio while the 76ers rank 26th with a 1.361 ratio. Further, Charlotte does a great job getting to the foul line ranking 2nd making 20 free throws per game. Here again, the 76ers rank 26th making 15.5 FT per game. We could go on and on, but it is clear that Charlotte can dominate at both ends of the court and cruise to an easy ATS win. | |||||||
01-13-17 | Maple Leafs +125 v. Rangers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 125 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on the NY Rangers in NHL action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-13 mark good for 71% winners since 1996. Play against home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (NY RANGERS) off a road win against a division rival, well rested team playing 3 or less games in 10 days. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rangers are just 1-9 against the money line (-12.2 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons. Rangers are 8-15 against the money line (-16.8 Units) in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
Take the Maple Leafs
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01-12-17 | UCLA -5.5 v. Colorado | Top | 104-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
25* graded play on UCLA as they take on Colorado in PAC-12 action set to start at 11:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by at least 10 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is a solid 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game since 1997. Colorado is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in games attempting around the same number of free throws (+-3) as opponents over the last 3 seasons. Colorado is just 38-90 ATS (-61.0 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game since 1997. UCLA is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games off a home win against a conference rival since 1997. UCLA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bruins. The UCLA Bruins take on the Colorado Buffaloes in PAC-12 action on Thursday evening. Colorado enters this game 0-3 in PAC-12 action and have proved they haven't been able to play with any PAC-12 team so far this season. Meanwhile UCLA has been very solid this season averaging 93 points per game, 19 points better than Colorado who averages just 74 a game. The Bruins shoot the ball at a rate of 53% and average 22 assists per game to the Buffaloes 43% shooting and just 13 assists per game. UCLA has proven that their offense can score at a high rate. Colorado won't be able to keep up with the Bruins offense in this matchup. Take UCLA in this PAC-12 matchup. | |||||||
01-12-17 | Pistons +13 v. Warriors | Top | 107-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Detroit Pistons as they take on the Golden State Warriors in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. If you have access to a money line, we recommend adding a 3* amount juts in case we catch lightning in a bottle tonight. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is a solid 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Warriors are a money losing 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Detroit is a solid 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Detroit Pistons. | |||||||
01-12-17 | Drexel v. Northeastern -10 | Top | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Drexel in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Northeastern will win this game by more than 14 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Drexel is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Northeastern is a solid 55-27 ATS (+25.3 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game Northeastern is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Northeastern is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game Northeastern is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Northeastern. It’s simple. Drexel defense ranks 284th in scoring defense allowing 78.5 PPG and 226th with a 1.076 assists-to-turnover ratio, and allow opponents to shoot 38.4% from beyond the arc that ranks 297th in the nation. Northeastern will exceed 81 points and that is very good news pointing toward an easy cover as documented above. Take Northeastern. | |||||||
01-11-17 | Knicks v. 76ers +2.5 | Top | 97-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Philadelphia 76ers as they take on the New York Knicks in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the 76ers will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NY is just 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Philadelphia is a solid 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) facing poor foul drawing teams attempting less than 24 free throws/game this season. Philadelphia is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The 76ers are playing some of the best basketball of this season and arguably in the past five seasons. They have won 3-of4 games and covered all four. They are coming off a game where they defeated the lowly Nets 105-95 and shot just 39.4% from the field. Now, in games following a poor shooting night the 76ers are an extremely resilient 8-1 ATS this season. The Knicks are essentially falling apart having lost 8 of the last 9 games and covered just 3 of those games. Their defense has been horrid during this losing streak and the youthful 76ers will have far more energy and excitement playing in front of a sell-out enthusiastic crowd. | |||||||
01-11-17 | Panthers v. Islanders -121 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -121 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Islanders (52) as they take on Panthers (51) in NHL action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Islanders will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Panthers are just 7-18 against the money line (-12.8 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season. Panthers are 2-9 against the money line (-8.9 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game this season. Islanders are a near-perfect 10-1 against the money line (+9.3 Units) after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Islanders tonight. | |||||||
01-11-17 | Dayton v. Massachusetts +6 | Top | 55-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
25* graded play on UMASS (730) as they take on Dayton (729) in A-10 action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability UMASS that will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UMASS is a solid 10-5 against the money line (+8.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Dayton is a money losing 12-22 against the money line (-20.4 Units) facing good passing teams, averaging more than 16 assists/game after 15+ games Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Minutemen. | |||||||
01-11-17 | South Carolina v. Tennessee +1 | Top | 70-60 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
50* graded play on Tennessee (718) as they take on South Carolina (717) in SEC action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game by four or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SC is just 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. SC is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. Tennessee is a solid 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Tennessee is 35-11 ATS (+22.9 Units) as a home underdog or pick since 1997. Tennessee HC Martin is a money burning 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team posting a win percentage between 51% to 60% after 15 or more games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Volunteers. SC is essentially the UVA of the SEC Conference dependent and focused on the defensive end and using that defense to score points in transition. However, Tennessee plays at a faster pace and we believe they will look to take quality shots early in possessions before SC can set up their zone-man defense. Further, SC can really struggle during long stretches of time on the offensive end. Tey rank 236th in effective FG percentage. Tennessee gets a very important win. | |||||||
01-11-17 | George Washington +10.5 v. VCU | Top | 55-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
25* graded play on George Washington (713) as they take on VCU (714) in Colonial Athletic Conference action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that GW will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a modest shot at winning SU. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 91-46 ATS mark good for 66.4% winners and has made 40.4 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on road underdogs of 10 or more points (GEORGE WASHINGTON) off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GW is a solid 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game. GW is a stout 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. VCU is a near-imperfect 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games facing good free throw shooting teams making better than 72% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points GW is the vastly better rebounding team and the greater the differential of offensive boards, the greater the chances that GW could get a big-time upset win. | |||||||
01-10-17 | Canisius v. Fairfield -4 | Top | 86-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on Fairfield (564) as they take on Canisius (563) in NCAAM Basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Fairfield will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-14 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 2010. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FAIRFIELD) that are solid offensive teams scoring between 74 and 78 PPG and is now facing a horrible defensive team allowing 78 PPG. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Fairfield is a solid 73-34 ATS (+35.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game · Fairfield is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. · Fairfield is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game · Fairfield is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Fairfield Stags. The Fairfield Stags play host to the Canisius Golden Griffins Tuesday Night. The Stags enter the game 3-1 in MAAC play (2nd in the conference) and Canisius 3-2 in MAAC play (4th in the conference). Fairfield has played just one home conference game and have won. Meanwhile Canisius isn’t a great road team as they are 1-2 on the road in MAAC play. Canisius gives up 81.2 points per game while Fairfield scores 78 points per contest. Canisius will struggle to stop the Stags efficient offense who shoot 46% from the field and hit 52% of their 2-point shot attempts. Canisius has great ball movement as evidenced by posting a 0.671 assist-FG made ratio that ranks second-best in the nation. However, Fairfield’s defense does a great job in defensive rotation and rank 28th in the nation with a 0.452 opponent assist-FG made ratio. Look for Fairfield to win this one and stay at the top of the MAAC division. Take the Stags as a favorite at home. | |||||||
01-09-17 | Clemson +6.5 v. Alabama | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
50* graded play on Clemson (151) as they take on Alabama (152) in the CFP National Championship set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Clemson will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-15 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ALABAMA) with a great scoring defense allowing 14 or less points/game, after allowing 17 points or less in 5 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clemson is a solid 17-6 against the money line (+12.7 Units) in road games when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards Clemson is 28-9 against the money line (+24.7 Units) when they gain 5 to 5.5 total yards per play Alabama is just 16-22 against the money line (-20.4 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points Clemson is 12-1 against the money line (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Clemson is a near-perfect 10-1 against the money line (+9.7 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. Clemson is 11-1 against the money line (+10.7 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons. Clemson is 12-1 against the money line (+11.7 Units) vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons. Clemson is 16-10 against the money line (+22.3 Units) versus excellent defensive teams - allowing =5.9 yards/play over the last 3 seasons. Clemson is 15-1 against the money line (+14.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons. Swinney is 17-3 against the money line (+14.1 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of Clemson. Swinney is 27-9 against the money line (+21.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play as the coach of Clemson. Clemson installed as a road dog has won four straight games and is 27-11 L38 situations. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clemson Tigers. Clemson shutout Ohio State in their last game, which was a monumental feat and one that the media has not emphasized nearly enough in this matchup. Alabama is ranked best defensive team in the nation, but Clemson has narrowed the gap. Clemson ranks 8th in scoring defense, 7th with a 0.257 opponent points per play ratio, 6th allowing 4.5 YPP, and 7th allowing just 5.9 YP pass. This last metric is the one that will win the game for Clemson tonight. Alabama ranks 35th allowing 7.8 Yards per pass and have allowed a sack on 5.71% of pass plays. Clemson’s defense ranks 7th in the nation recording a sack on 9.36% of pas plays. It will be the elite speed and athleticism of the Clemson front seven that will pressure the Alabama OL and will get penetration and containment on that unit. This will contain Hurts and also reduce the amount of time he has to scan the field to make plays down field. Watson is bar none the most athletic and talented QB that the Alabama defense will face this season. You can be guaranteed that HC Swinney, with his track record outlined above, will have a tremendous game plan in place tonight. Last, I also think the dismissal of Kiffin, whether for good or bad reasons, has had an impact on the players. As a side show, it will be quite interesting to see how Sarkisian reacts to Saban’s verbal attacks on him after Bama goes a 3-and-out possession. | |||||||
01-08-17 | Cavs v. Suns +9 | Top | 120-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Phoenix Suns (512) as they take on the Cleveland Cavaliers (511) in NBA action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Phoenix will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and has an opportunity to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is just 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 11-33 ATS (-25.3 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Suns. | |||||||
01-08-17 | Giants +5.5 v. Packers | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Giants (107) as they take on the Green Bay Packers (108) in NFC Wild Card action set to start at 4:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Giants will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-16 ATS mark good for 72% winners since 2005. Play on road teams (NY GIANTS) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) in the second half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Giants are a solid 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt since 1992. Giants are 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games when their defense forces 2 turnovers since 1992. Giants are 54-27 ATS (+24.3 Units) after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game since 1992. Giants are 5-1 against the money line (+6.1 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 total yards this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Giants. Weather will be a factor with cross winds in the 8 to 12 MPH range throughout the game. Game time temps will start at 12 degrees and steadily move into single digits during the game. However, we strongly believe this will give the Giants an added edge since they are the better rushing team and have a vastly better rushing defense. Giants have won all season with their defense and it will be no different today. Giants rank 3rd in scoring defense, 2nd posting a 0.267 opponent points per play ratio, and third with a 35% opponent third down conversion percentage. Green Bay led by Rogers is an elite offensive unit once again this season. Green Bay ranks 2nd with a 46% third down conversion percentage, BUT we believe that the Giants defense will keep that number under 33% today. Giants will be successful in keeping first down gains to low numbers and forcing Rogers to move the chain on third and long distances. Rogers is one of the best ever, however, this Giants defensive unit has steadily gotten better over the second half of the season and arguably are now the best defensive units left in the playoffs. Further, the Giants are a mistake free team ranking 2nd in the league averaging just 5.5 penalties per game. Packers secondary is a mess right now due to injuries. They have safeties playing corner in dime packages and this is a HUGE advantage for Beckham and Shepard in man coverage. If Beckham gets double teams, then it will open up high percentage pass completions to other WER and the TE. Take the Giants. | |||||||
01-08-17 | Canisius v. Iona -5.5 | Top | 75-98 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on Iona as they take on Canisuis in NCAAM action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Iona will win this game by at least 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-14 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 1997. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IONA) a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a horrible defensive team allowing more than 78 PPG. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Canisius is 48-73 ATS (-32.3 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game Iona is a solid 92-52 ATS (+34.8 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game Canisius 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. | |||||||
01-08-17 | Dolphins +12 v. Steelers | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Miami Dolphins (105) as they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (106) in AFC Wild Card action set to start at 1:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dolphins will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has an outside shot at getting a shocking upset win. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-7 ATS mark good for 79% winners since 2005. Play against any team (PITTSBURGH) off 1 or more straight ‘overs’ against opponent off 6 or more consecutive ‘overs’. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a solid 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games off in 2 straight division games since 1992. Pittsburgh is just 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992. Tomlin is a miserable money losing Tomlin is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) revenging an upset loss against opponent as a road favorite as the coach of Pittsburgh. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dolphins. Steelers have struggled to stop the run this season. They rank 20th allowing 4.3 YPR while Miami ranks 8th gaining 4.5 YPA. Ajayi has been a major factor and was just named the team MVP. His success will open play action where Moore can target a vastly underrated receiver corp in man coverage. | |||||||
01-07-17 | Raptors v. Bulls +2 | Top | 118-123 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Chicago Bulls as they take on the Toronto Raptors in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-6 mark using the Money Line good for 81% winners and has made 19.6 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) that are off a road win against a division rival, playing with two days of rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Chicago is a quite goodToronto is just 14-30 against the money line (-28.1 Units) after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents since 1996. 10-3 against the money line (+15.2 Units) when playing against a good team posting a 60 to 70 win percentage over the last 2 seasons. | |||||||
01-07-17 | Ole Miss v. Auburn -2.5 | Top | 88-85 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Auburn as they take on Mississippi in SEC action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will win this game by more than 7 points.. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Auburn is a solid 30-11 ATS (+17.9 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game since 1997. Mississippi is just 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game since 1997. Auburn is a solid 24-8 against the money line (+17.1 Units) in home games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds since 1997. Auburn is a stout 22-15 against the money line (+26.6 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half since 1997. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Auburn Tigers. Mississippi defense is just not good ranking 253rd in scoring defense, 313th in opponent assists per game, 322nd with a 0.611 assists to FG made ratio. Auburn does shoot from beyond the arc more than the average team and Mississippi will have a difficult time defending the arc. Auburn can spread their defense and then look to get the ball inside the paint for high percentage scorig opportunities. Take Auburn. | |||||||
01-07-17 | Raiders +4 v. Texans | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oakland (101) as they take on Houston (102) in AFC Wild Card action set to start at 4:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. We also have a 10* graded play on the ‘over’ for this matchup. So, in addition to the combination wager, consider playing a 10* amount on the ‘over’ and then a reverse action parlay using the money line and the ‘over’ for a 5* unit play. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 95-48 ATS for 66.4% winners since 1983. Play against home favorites (HOUSTON) off a road loss against opponent off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more. Here is a second system that has gone 34-13 ATS for 72.3% winners since 2005. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OAKLAND) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a good team sporting a 60 to 75 win percentage and now playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 to 6 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. Oakland is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Oakland is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Oakland is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raiders. History has been made before this game even starts. Connor Cook will be the first QB in NFL history to make his first career start in a playoff game and we think he will also be the first to win his first start in a playoff game. We performed an 11-game example of rookie quarterbacks playing in playoff action and their record is just 4-7 SU, but the spread record is 8-3 ATS. The first time a rookie was uder center in a playoff game was back in 1976 when Pat Haden played for an injured James Harris in a 14-12 win over Dallas. The last game, was in 2015 when A.J McCarron played for starter Andy Dalton in a 18-16 loss to Pittsburgh. Since 2000, the performance levels have been far more impressive, although just a 5-game sample size. So, these data examples do provide support for Connor Cook to perform well this afternoon. An added reason is that Houston is dealing with their own QB injuries and numerous injuries on the defensive side of the ball. Given the very talented and elite quality of the Oakland WR led by Amari Cooper, we strongly believe that Cook will be able to make plays , move the chains, and score points. . | |||||||
01-07-17 | East Carolina v. Temple -9 | Top | 62-81 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on Temple (722) as they take on East Carolina (721) in American Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Temple is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Temple is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Temple is 112-50 ATS (+57.0 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997. East Carolina is just 38-84 ATS (-54.4 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997. Temple is 47-20 ATS (+25.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams possessing a shooting percentage defense of | |||||||
01-06-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee +10 v. Green Bay | Top | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play on Wisconsin-Milwaukee (521) as they take on Wisconsin-Green Bay (522) in Horizon Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · WM is a solid 69-39 ATS (+26.1 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game · WM is a strong 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. · WM is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. · WM id 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Milwaukee. | |||||||
01-06-17 | Maple Leafs v. Devils +106 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
25* graded play on New Jersey as they take on Toronto in NHL action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that New Jersey will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 59-31 mark good for 66% winners and has made 29.2 units/unit wagered since 1996. Play against any team against the money line (TORONTO) after having won 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams posting win percentages between 40 to 49% with the current game taking place in the first half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Toronto is just 6-18 against the money line (-15.6 Units) against poor defensive teams allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons. · Toronto is just 13-24 against the money line (-15.9 Units) against struggling offensive teams scoring Toronto is just5-22 against the money line (-18.2 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons. · Toronto is an imperfect0-11 against the money line (-11.0 Units) in road games after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 3 seasons.
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01-05-17 | Spurs v. Nuggets +7.5 | Top | 127-99 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Denver Nuggets (716) as they take on the San Antonio Spurs (715) in NBA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Denver will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great opportunity to win this game.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Systems: This system has gone 38-16 ATS for 70.4% winners since 1996 and supports the SIM Algorithm grading. Play against favorites that are excellent offensive teams scoring more than 102 PPG and is now facing a struggling defensive team allowing more than 102 PPG, after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games. Here is a second system that has gone 41-12 using the Money Line good for 77.4% winners and has made 29.3 units/unit wagered since 1996. Play against road teams using the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games. Game Situations: San Antonio is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games in up-tempo games where they attempt 84 or more shots over the last 2 seasons. San Antonio is 36-102 ATS (-76.2 Units) when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game San Antonio is 2-18 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Nuggets. | |||||||
01-05-17 | Iowa +2.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 90-93 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on Iowa (753) as they take on Nebraska (754) in BIG TEN Conference basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Nebraska is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Nebraska is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a good team posting a 60% to 80% win percentage over the last 3 seasons. Nebraska is just 3-11 against the money line (-16.8 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Nebraska is 15-40 against the money line (-25.9 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game Fundamental Discussion Points Iowa is a solid offensive team that has struggled at times on the defensive end. Nebraska is one of the worst offensive teams in the nation ranking 223rd at 70.3 PPG, 302nd averaging only 11.0 assists per game, and 333rd with a 0.435 assists-per-FG made. So, we see Iowa looking to still play fast on the offensive end, but making a focused effort to stop the ball on defensive transitions. Take Iowa. | |||||||
01-05-17 | Hurricanes +141 v. Blues | Top | 4-2 | Win | 141 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on Carolina (57) as they take on St. Louis (58) in NHL action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Carolina will win this game.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Game Situations: Carolina is a solid 10-3 against the money line (+10.6 Units) in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. St. Louis is 5-10 against the money line (-10.3 Units) in home games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Carolina. Carolina is off two straight 3-1 losses and will be looking to execute with greater efficiency in the offensive end of the ice. St. Louis is off the Winter Classic win over the Blackhawks and we think there could be a bit of a ‘hangover’ effect on the team. Carolina has significant ‘value’ at money levels above +140, so look to be patient with this wager and look for even more attractive levels later today. | |||||||
01-04-17 | Hawks v. Magic +3.5 | Top | 111-92 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Orlando Magic as they take on the Atlanta Hawks in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Orlando will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations and/or systems match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Systems: Supporting the graded play is a powerful system that has gone 52-26 for 67% winners since 2010. Play against favorites (ATLANTA) after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games. Game Situations: Atlanta is just 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Orlando is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Orlando is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. | |||||||
01-04-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Syracuse +1 | Top | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
35* graded play on Syracuse (520) as they take on Miami (Fla) (519) in NCAA ACC Conference Basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Syracuse will win this game by at least four points.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations and/or systems match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.
Miami is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when they commit 3 to 7 more turnovers than their opponents over the last 2 seasons. Syracuse is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Syracuse is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Syracuse. Miami is off to a great start to the 2017-17 season, but this is a very difficult matchup for them to overcome. They shoot just 32% from beyond the arc and scoring just 69.4 PPG in three road games. In ten home games, the Orange are 8-2 and scoring 83.7 PPG and hitting 42.4% of their shots from beyond the arc. Moreover, their defense is holding opponent to just 26.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Without hitting the three, Miami is goig to have immense difficulty scorig from the paint. Take Syracuse. | |||||||
01-02-17 | Avalanche +130 v. Canucks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on as they take on action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vancouver is 8-18 against the money line (-15.1 Units) against poor power play teams - scoring on < 14.5% of their chances over the last 3 seasons. Colorado is a solid 18-11 against the money line (+16.4 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. Colorado is 18-11 against the money line (+16.4 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Vancouver is an imperfect 0-12 against the money line (-13.1 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Canucks. | |||||||
01-02-17 | Auburn +3 v. Oklahoma | Top | 19-35 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
50* graded play on Auburn (281) as they take on Oklahoma (282) action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-43 mark for only 43% winners, BUT has made a whopping 52.5 units/unit wagered since 1992. This impressive system has averaged a +299 DOG and underscores the value of applying this system to future qualifying games. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line that is a dominant team outgaining their opponents by 1.5 or more yards/play and after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. Here is a second system that has gone 55-25 for 69% winners since 1992 and has made 33 units/unit wagered. Play against all teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (OKLAHOMA) excellent rushing team gaining more than 4.8 YPR and is now facing a team with an average rushing defense allowing between 3.5 to 4.3 YPR and after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. This system is a perfect 5-0 this season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Auburn 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Auburn 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play Oklahoma is just 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards since 1992. Oklahoma is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. Fundamental Discussion Points Auburn’s ground attack was stopped by Alabama’ defense in their last game, but they will not be stopped by the Sooner defensive edition. Auburn ranks 8th in the nation gaining 263 rushing yards per game and they run the ball 68% of all plays. Sooners rank 49th allowing 161 rushing yards per game and 69th allowing 4.6 YPR. The solid ground attack has opened up easy to complete pass plays in play action or using ball fakes in the read-option scheme. Auburn ranks 18th in the nation completing 63% of their passes and 30th throwing an INT on just 2% of their plays. We just do not see the Sooner defense holding up to this power attack. Take the Auburn Tigers. | |||||||
01-02-17 | Jazz v. Nets +7 | Top | 101-89 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
25* graded play on Brooklyn as they take on Utah in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Brooklyn will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a modest shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-26 ATS mark good for 66% winners since 1996. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) and is a solid offensive team scoring 103+ points/game on the season and after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Brooklyn is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons. Utah is just 10-17 against the money line (-16.1 Units) in up-tempo games where they attempt 84 or more shots over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Lakers, Phoenix, Brooklyn, and the 76ers are all at the bottom of the barrel in the NBA power rankings. We have Utah as 29th with the 76ers nearly tied with them, but ranked dead last in 30th position. However, Utah is a team that relies on suffocating defense and a slower pace of game. Brooklyn certainly has the capability to make this a much faster game and exploit Utah’s weaknesses. For example, Brooklyn ranks 7th in the NBA scoring 45.4 points in the paint and this is exactly where Brooklyn can have strong success. | |||||||
01-02-17 | Rice -3 v. Charlotte | Top | 89-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Rice as they take on Charlotte in NCAAM action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Rice will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Charlotte is just 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Charlotte is 8-42 ATS (-38.2 Units) when they grab 10+ fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Charlotte is 34-65 ATS (-37.5 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game since 1997. Rice is 34-9 ATS (+24.1 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game since 1997. Rice is 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Charlotte is just 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half since 1997 Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rice Owls. | |||||||
01-02-17 | USC v. Penn State +7 | Top | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State (280) as they take on USC (279) in the Rose Bowl set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and have a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · USC is 1-6 against the money line (-7.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. · Penn State is a solid 42-19 against the money line (+19.0 Units) when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards · Penn State is 14-1 against the money line (+13.2 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt · Penn State is 8-1 against the money line (+7.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. · Penn State is 39-4 against the money line (+32.1 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points · USC is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. · USC is 9-30 ATS (-24.0 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points · USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. · Penn State is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Penn State. From Week 3 on to the end of the season, Penn State was definitely a contender for the Playoff Semifinals, but was hardly given the respect they deserved for that consideration. They rank 22nd in scoring offense, 13th in yards/point, 18th in yards/play, 10th in yards per pass play attempt, and third in interception percentage at just 1.38% of all pass plays run. USC is also a hot team down the stretch having won 8 straight games and if the last week of the regular season in the Pac-12 would have played out their way, then it would have been arguably USC playing Alabama instead of Washington. The difference in this game will be the PSU ground attack and then the ability of QB McSorely to look to the deep vertical routes in play action. If USC takes those deep routes away, the TE #88 will have a huge day for the Lions. McSorely is very smart and rarely ever forces any throw. Take the Lions. | |||||||
01-01-17 | Ohio State +1 v. Illinois | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ohio State (713) as they take on Illinois (714) in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by more than 4 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Illinois is a money losing 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Matta is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread as the coach of OHIO ST. Groce is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots as the coach of ILLINOIS. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Ohio State. | |||||||
01-01-17 | Chiefs v. Chargers +4.5 | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
50* graded play on San Diego as they take on Kansas City in NFL action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SD will lose this game by four or fewer points and has a great opportunity to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-21 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1983. Play on home teams (SAN DIEGO) off 2 or more consecutive ‘unders’, in a game involving two good offensive teams scoring between 23 and 27 PPG. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. KC is just 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game KC is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Chargers. Even without Melvin Gordon in the lineup, we see San Diego ending the season with a great effort for the home crowd. Rivers is a veteran player, who never gives up and that will be demonstrated in this matchup. We expect him to exceed the SIM projections of 325 passing yards and obviously the higher that total goes, the greater the chances of the upset win too. | |||||||
01-01-17 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 46 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER” Carolina (317) – Tampa Bay (318) in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 45 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-17 ‘UNDER’ mark good for 73% winners since 1983. Play ‘Under’ with home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games and with the game occurring the second half of the season. Here is a second system that has gone 39-14 ‘under’ for 74% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with any team against the total (CAROLINA) off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tampa Bay is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Tampa Bay has had a great season under first year coach Dirk Koetter, but they will fall short of the playoffs. They are technically still in contention, but need SEVEN game outcomes to go their way including the 49ers defeating the Seahawks. However, this is a team that believes in their HC and has played very well recently. They have won five straight until B2B losses at Dallas and at New Orleans. Those are not the type of losses, where the Bucs simply did not play well – it was more that the opponent did more to win the game. The Bucs defense has done well in many different styles of games. They rank 2nd in the NFL allowing opponent to convert on just 35% of third down conversions. Carolina ranks 11th in the same category and as a result we believe this will be a game of field position leading to below average scoring opportunities. Take the ‘UNDER’. | |||||||
12-31-16 | Knicks +11 v. Rockets | Top | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Knicks as they take on Houston in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability the Knicks that will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a modest probability to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-38 ATS mark good for 65.8% winners since 1996. Play on underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Knicks are a solid 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Knicks are 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when they make 78% to 83% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they score 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Knicks tonight. | |||||||
12-31-16 | Ohio State -2 v. Clemson | Top | 0-31 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ohio State (273) as they take on Clemson (274) in College Playoff action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Ohio State will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ohio State is 104-3 against the money line (+112.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. Clemson is just 24-56 against the money line (-59.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. Ohio State is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Clemson is just 27-60 ATS (-39.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points Fundamental Discussion Points Ohio State will score at least 28 points in this game and as the history lessons shown above indicate this is very good news for the Buckeyes. Ohio State has the second-best defense in the nation that ranks 3rd in scoring defense, third in opponent yards-per-game, 2nd with a 0.208 opponent-points-per-play ratio, and third allowing 4.2 yards-per-play. Clemson ranks 24th with a 0.477 points per play ratio and just 64th averaging 4.4 yards per rush. Ohio State can run the ball against the Clemson defense, and in so doing can control the pace of the game to detriment of Clemson’s wishes. Take Ohio State. | |||||||
12-31-16 | Northern Colorado +6 v. Portland State | Top | 73-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northern Colorado as they take on Portland State in NCAAM Basketball action set to start at 5:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NC will win this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-8 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2010. Play on a road team (N COLORADO) off an upset win by 10 points or more as a road underdog and with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NC is a solid 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game PS is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games | |||||||
12-31-16 | Washington +14.5 v. Alabama | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Alabama in the Chick-Fil-A Bowl in the College Football playoff set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a modest shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is a solid 6-2 against the money line (+10.3 Units) when their defense allows 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. Washington is 7-1 against the money line (+12.8 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62% or better over the last 2 seasons. Washington is 6-1 against the money line (+11.8 Units) in road games facing good offensive teams averaging greater than 5.9 yards/play over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Washington Huskies. No one is giving Washington even a glimmer of hope to defeat Alabama. Only 35% of all bets made, which exceeds 40,000 tickets, that we monitor at 7 different sportsbooks have been on Washington. This line opened at 14 ½ and based on the money flows, the line could be much higher. The fact that it isn’t is a key metric reflecting the larger so-called ‘Smart Money’ is on Washington. Let’s not forget too, that Washington is an elite team. Period. They rank best in the nation posting a 0.645 points per play ratio, third in scoring offense, and 17th in yards-per-rush. No doubt that Alabama defense is the best in the nation, BUT that does not imply that Washington can’t move the ball successfully against them. Washington defense ranks 10th in scoring defense, 8th in points per play allowed, and 5th allowing 4.5 opponent yards per play. We strongly believe that this game will be much tighter than any talking media head will lead you to believe and it just might be Washington winning the game. | |||||||
12-31-16 | LSU -3 v. Louisville | Top | 29-9 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on LSU as they take on Louisville in the Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl set to start at 11:00 AM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are quality teams outscoring opponents by seven or more points/game and after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. LSU is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play Louisville is just 33-74 ATS (-48.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points Louisville is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers Fundamental Discussion Points Louisville ranks best in scoring offense, but let’s face it, they have not played the most difficult schedule, especially when compared to LSU. Ohio State was ranked hardest in SOS and Louisville a rather distant 19th. The margin between them is significant and we believe it will quite evident in this matchup. The most glaring advantage for LSU is their defense that ranks 5th in scoring defense, 5th in points per play allowed, and 14th allowing opponents to convert just 33% of their third down conversions. Lamar Jackson is the Heissman Trophy winner, but he was contained and confused by a Houston defense that ranks 39th in scoring defense allowed in the nation and 45th in opponent points per play. Take LSU. | |||||||
12-30-16 | Bucks v. Wolves | Top | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Milwaukee in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game by at least three points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 172-109 ATS mark good for 61% winners since 2010.Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) off an upset win as a road underdog. Here is a second system that has gone 23-11 using the money line for 68% winners and has made 12.8 units/unit wagered since 1996. All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MINNESOTA) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is just 123-191 ATS (-87.1 Units) when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game since 1996. Minnesota is a solid 199-144 ATS (+40.6 Units) when they grab 53 to 57 rebounds in a game since 1996. Minnesota is 190-133 ATS (+43.7 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1996. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Timberwolves. | |||||||
12-30-16 | Northwestern v. Michigan State -2 | Top | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on Michigan State (728) as they take on Northwestern (727) in BIG TEN Conference Hoops action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that MSU will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northwestern is just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. MSU is a solid 90-56 ATS (+28.4 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game MSU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Spartans. | |||||||
12-30-16 | South Alabama v. Air Force -14 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Air Force as they take on South Alabama in the NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl set to start at 5:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that AF will win this game by at least 20 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-10 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 1992. Play on any team with an excellent rushing attack gaining more than 4.8 YPR and is now facing a terrible rushing defense allowing more than 4.8 YPR and after 7 or more games, and after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. South Alabama is an imperfect 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. · AF is a solid 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they allow 50 to 100 rushing yards. · AF is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards over the last 3 seasons. · South Alabama is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams averaging more than 425 yards/game over the last 3 seasons. | |||||||
12-30-16 | Valparaiso -8 v. Illinois-Chicago | Top | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on Valparaiso (725) as they take on Illinois-Chicago (726) in NCAAB action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Valpo will win this game by 14 or more points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Valpo is a solid 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game · Chicago-Illinois is just 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game · Valpo is a solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. · Valpo is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons. · McCalin is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more in all games he has coached. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Valparaiso. | |||||||
12-30-16 | West Virginia -2.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 92-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on West Virginia (723) as they take on Oklahoma State (724) in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that WVU will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · West Virginia is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. · W VIRGINIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a The · W VIRGINIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. · W VIRGINIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they attempt 30 or more free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. · W VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. · W VIRGINIA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. | |||||||
12-30-16 | TCU -3.5 v. Georgia | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on TCU (257) as they take on Georgia (258) in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that TCU will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-5 ATS mark good for 84% winners since 2010. Play against all teams in a non-conference matchup where the line is +3 to -3 that is an average offensive team scoring between 21 and 28 PPG and is now facing a good offensive team scoring between 28 and 34 PPG after 7 or more games.in non-conference games The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · TCU is a strong 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. · Georgia is just 21-64 ATS (-49.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. · TCU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) facing excellent punt coverage teams that are allowing less than 7.5 yards per return over the last three seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Both teams fell far short of expectations for this season. TCU is tied with Oklahoma in the Big-12 with a 29-9 overall record over the past three seasons, but won just 6 games this season. However, there are only 13 Seniors on this team, so this is the first audition, if you will, for the underclassman to make a statement to the coaching staff in this Bowl game. The spotlight will certainly be on Texas A&M transfer and Junior QB Kenny Hill. He massed 3,062 passing yards with 15 TDs, but three 13 INTs. He was without his NO. 1 receiver KaVontae Turpin, but that can longer be a reason for Hill not to take another big step forward in leading the offense into next season. So, we expect a huge game from him today that will spill over to the rest pf the team. Take TCU. | |||||||
12-29-16 | Oklahoma State +3 v. Colorado | Top | 38-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma State (255) as they take on (256) Colorado in in the Valero Alamo Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-41 record for only 51% winners, But has made a whopping 45.3 units/unit wagered since 1992. Play on neutral field underdogs using the money line that are off a road loss against a conference rival and with the current game taking place after November 30. The average play for this system has been a +200 dog, making it one of the most powerful money making systems. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Oklahoma State is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. · Colorado is 44-97 ATS (-62.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. · Colorado is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. · OSU is a near-perfect 13-1 against the money line (+15.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cowboys tonight. | |||||||
12-28-16 | Raptors v. Warriors -9.5 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
25* graded play on Golden State (720) as they take on Toronto (719) in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 80-200 ATS (-140.0 Units) in road games when they allow 105 or more points in a game Toronto is 40-139 ATS (-112.9 Units) in road games when they allow 110 or more points in a game Golden State is 201-105 ATS (+85.5 Units) when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game Golden State is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games when they attempt 18 to 22 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Golden State is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points This will certainly be a game to watch with GS ranked best and Toronto third in our NBA power rankings. In fact, this may very well be an early preview to the NBA Championship too. This is also a matchup of offense versus defense among the best teams in those categories. GS ranks best in scoring offense averaging 117 PPG, 17th in scoring defense (104.2), and best in scoring differential. Toronto ranks third in scoring offense (111.4 PPG), 9th in scoring defense (102.4), and second in scoring differential. The GC fast break will be a dominant force in this game. They rank best in the NBA averaging 20.5 fast break PPG. Another matchup advantage for GS will be in the paint. They rank 3rd averaging 47 PPG from the pain while Toronto has struggled at times allowing 42.8 PPG ranking 14th in the league. After coming off their Christmas Day loss in Cleveland, where the game ended on a horribly bad ‘no-call’ that arguably changed the outcome of the game, we think GS, now with three days of rest, will be completely focused and play one of their best games of the season. | |||||||
12-28-16 | Kansas State +3 v. Texas A&M | Top | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
25* graded play on Kansas State as they take on Texas A&M in the Advocare V100 Texas Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that K-State will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The one caveat is that we need to have a money line of at least 135. If it is not at that level or higher, then simply wager a 25* amount using the available line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-7 mark using the money line good for 84% winners and has made 29.6 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on all teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (KANSAS ST) after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game and is now facing an opponent after being outgained by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This system is 7-2 this season an 22-5 over the past three seasons. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · K-State is a solid 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards · K-State is 33-9 ATS (+23.1 Units) when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt · A&M is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards · A&M is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt · A&M is 6-25 ATS (-21.5 Units) in road games when they commit 2 turnovers · A&M is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards · A&M is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games when they allow 5 to 5.5 total yards per play Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board K-State. These teams are somewhat similar with a strong ground game that has overwhelmed many DLs this season. In this matchup, we believe it will be the K-State groud attack that proves to be the difference maker. K-State ranks 14th in the nation averaging 46.1 rushing plays per game and 12th running the ball on 62% of their plays. K-State had a season low of 110 rushing yards in their 38-17 loss at Oklahoma, but since have gained at least 237 rushing yards and averaged 290 rushing yards over those last 6 games. The A&M defense has been exposed to the ground game havig allowed 298 rushing yards in their last game against LSU and 365 rushing yards on 58 plays at Mississippi State, November 5. We strongly believe K-State OL and pounding run game that will also attack the perimeter will gradually wear down the A&M defense. Take K-State. | |||||||
12-28-16 | UCLA -1.5 v. Oregon | Top | 87-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
50* graded play on UCLA (761) as they take on Oregon (762) in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. This game will be televised on ESPN2. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by at least 7 points. Key projection is that UCLA will exceed 50% shooting while Oregon may not exceed 45% shooting. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Oregon is just 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. · Oregon is 51-106 ATS (-65.6 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game · Oregon is 40-87 ATS (-55.7 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game. UCLA is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus very good defensive teams shooting percentage defense of | |||||||
12-28-16 | Hurricanes v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 104 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Pittsburgh-Carolina NHL matchup set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 6 goals will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 108-62 ‘under’ mark good for 64% winners since 2010. Play ‘Under’ with a home team against the total (PITTSBURGH) after having won 3 of their last 4 games and is now facing an opponent after having won 4 of their last 5 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Carolina is a solid 50-25 UNDER (+22.1 Units) against excellent power play teams scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 3 seasons. · Carolina is 31-16 UNDER (+15.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons. · Carolina is 8-1 UNDER (+7.1 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons. · Carolina is 10-2 UNDER (+8.4 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. · Carolina is a perfect 6-0 UNDER (+6.1 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games this season. | |||||||
12-27-16 | Sharks +100 v. Ducks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play San Jose on as they take on Anaheim in NHL action set to start at 10:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Jose will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Jose is a solid 19-9 against the money line (+13.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. San Jose is 19-8 against the money line (+14.8 Units) as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. San Jose is 18-8 against the money line (+13.2 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. San Jose is a perfect 8-0 against the money line (+8.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons.
Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the San Jose Sharks . | |||||||
12-27-16 | Rockets v. Mavs +6.5 | Top | 123-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play on Dallas as they take on Houston in NBA action set to start at 8:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 65-24 mark using the money line and has made 34.4 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on home teams using the money line (DALLAS) after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games and now facing division opponents. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is a money losing 25-31 against the money line (-22.7 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Houston is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dallas Mavericks. | |||||||
12-27-16 | Wake Forest v. Temple -11.5 | Top | 34-26 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Temple as they take on Wake Forest in Military Bowl action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will win this game by 17 or more points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Wake Forest is just 34-91 ATS (-66.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points · Wake Forest is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 1.5 to 2 yards/play · Temple is a solid 22-5 ATS (+16.5 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points · Temple is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 net passing yards/attempt · Temple is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards over the last 2 seasons. · Temple is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. · Temple is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) when they allow 4 to 4.5 total yards per play Fundamental Discussion Points Temple has had a fantastic season given that they had low expectations after losing 19 seniors from last year’s team. However, they have won 12 straight games ATS after losing ATS in Week 1 to Army and that by just one point. They have also won seven straight games and destroyed a then-ranked No. 20 Navy team in the Conference Championship 34-10 as 1.5 point dogs. Back in Week 3 they played Penn State and that game was special for both teams. PSU did not lose a game the rest of the way and Temple also began their 9-1 win streak. Temple also covered against Penn State losing 34-27. WF lost 5 of the last 6 games and the last three games. This team has a new interim coach as well, BUT a win this bowl game would make them the winniest team in Temple history. There is a great article in the Philadelphia Inquirer if you are interested to see how this team was built and how much they grew over the last four seasons. It is a great read. http://www.philly.com/philly/sports/colleges/temple/20161227_Jensen__Temple_is_beating_the_odds_from_start_to_finish.html Take Temple. R | |||||||
12-27-16 | Northwestern v. Penn State +3.5 | Top | 87-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Northwestern in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The one mandatory requirement is that the Money Lie must be at least 135. If is not +135 or higher, then simply wager a 25* amount using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Penn State is a very strong 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Penn State is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Penn State is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games Fundamental Discussion Points This is a late breaking release, which is rare, but always strong opportunities. One of the reasons is that more than 78% of all bets wagered have been on Northwestern and anything over 70% becomes a ‘red flag’ parameter. I call it the public’s irrational exuberance to draw upon the famous quote made by former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan in 1998 prior to the 2000 bubble busting of the NASADAQ and the ‘Dot Com’ bubbles. When this consensus metric ties into the SIM grading it serves to reinforce the strength and validity of the SIm grading. | |||||||
12-26-16 | Bucks v. Wizards -4.5 | Top | 102-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on The Washington Wizards as they take on Milwaukee Bucks in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Milwaukee is just 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. · Milwaukee is just 123-191 ATS (-87.1 Units) when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game. · Milwaukee is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons. Take Washington. | |||||||
12-26-16 | Maryland v. Boston College +2.5 | Top | 30-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
25* graded play on Boston College as they take on Maryland in the Quick Lane Bowl set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that BC will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, we have one mandate and that is the money line portion of the combination wager must be at a minimum of +135. If is not there, then simply wager the 25* amount on the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 83-44 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play against any team (MARYLAND) after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games against opponent after having won 2 out of their last 3 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Maryland is a money burning 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt Maryland is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Bowl favorites under the leadership of first year coaches are 5-16-1 ATS when facing an opponent off a ATS and SU win. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Boston College. Maryland started off 4-0 and then won just more games against an injury riddled Michigan State team and lowly Rutgers. Boston College has a strong defense that is battled tested in the ACC. The Eagles rank 11th in the nation allowing 328 yards per game, 13th allowing opponents 33% third conversion success, and 11th allowing just 3.4 yards per rushing attempt. Maryland relies on the run and we feel strongly BC will dominate the LOS, get penetration, and stop the Maryland ground attack. Without play action and the weapons to attack the BC perimeter defense, it may prove to be a very long afternoon for Maryland. Take BC. | |||||||
12-25-16 | Clippers v. Lakers +7 | Top | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Lakers as they take on Clippers in Christmas Day NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Lakers will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great opportunity to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 5-25 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 1996. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) explosive offensive team scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Clippers are just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. Clippers are 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. Lakers are a solid 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Clippers are a horrid 4-6 against the money line (-27.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds this season. Take the Lakers | |||||||
12-25-16 | Ravens v. Steelers -6 | Top | 27-31 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play on Pittsburgh as they take on Baltimore in AFC North Division action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game by more than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-22 ATS mark good for 68% winners since 2005. Play on favorites (PITTSBURGH) good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG and is now facing an average team (+/- 40 YPG differential after outgaining opponent by 150 or more total yards in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they allow 3.5 to 4 rushing yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points this season. Pittsburgh is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) in home games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Pittsburgh Steelers. Normally, our analysis centers on the most common personnel alignment (single back, 3 WR, slot receiver and/or TE), but in this matchup keep your eyes peeled to Baltimore’s fullback Kyle Juszczyk. Baltimore’s use of the FB is unique in this modern-era of spread offenses and it certainly works for them. Without the lead FB blocker, Baltimore averages 3.9 YPR, which ranks 24th in the league in all formations, but with the FB 5.0 YPR. However, Pittsburgh is a divisional rival, who already knows Baltimore’s tendencies better than anyone in the league. Pittsburgh defense ranks third allowing 89.2 rushing yards per game. We strongly believe that Pittsburgh will force Baltimore into third-and-long situations, which all but eliminates the power FB scheme. Take the Steelers. | |||||||
12-25-16 | Ravens v. Steelers UNDER 46.5 | Top | 27-31 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Pittsburgh-Baltimore (127-128) showdown set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 45 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-34 ‘UNDER’ mark good for 69% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with any team against the total (PITTSBURGH) versus division opponents, off a win against a division rival. Here is a second system that has gone 39-12 ‘under’ for 76% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with any team against the total (PITTSBURGH) revenging a loss against opponent, off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Baltimore is a near-perfect 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons. · Pittsburgh is a solid 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. · Pittsburgh is 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last 2 seasons. · 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Normally, our analysis centers on the most common personnel alignment (single back, 3 WR, slot receiver and/or TE), but in this matchup keep your eyes peeled to Baltimore’s fullback Kyle Juszczyk. Baltimore’s use of the FB is unique in this modern-era of spread offenses and it certainly works for them. Without the lead FB blocker, Baltimore averages 3.9 YPR, which ranks 24th in the league in all formations, but with the FB 5.0 YPR. However, Pittsburgh is a divisional rival, who already knows Baltimore’s tendencies better than anyone in the league. Pittsburgh defense ranks third allowing 89.2 rushing yards per game. We strongly believe that Pittsburgh will force Baltimore into third-and-long situations, which all but eliminates the power FB scheme. And if you haven’t figured already, the battle of the power games and control of the LOS will take large chunks of time off the clock leading to a lower scoring game. Take the Steelers. | |||||||
12-25-16 | Celtics v. Knicks +3 | Top | 119-114 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Knicks as they take on the Boston Celtics in Christmas Day action set to start at 12:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Knicks will win this game. If the money lie gets to +135 or higher, which will need to see the line go to Knicks + 3 ½, consider making this wager a combination wager consisting of a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-41 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play on home underdogs (NEW YORK) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points and is a well-rested team playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: NY is a solid 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. NY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game this season. NY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they score 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Knicks. | |||||||
12-24-16 | Middle Tennessee State v. Hawaii +7 | Top | 35-52 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on Hawaii (228) as they take on Middle Tennessee State (227) in the Hawaii Bowl set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Hawaii will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great opportunity to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-21 mark using the money line for 58% winners and has made 37 units/unit wagered since 1992. This system has averaged an +200 DOG, which makes it a very powerful tool to use for qualifying games in the future. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Hawaii is a solid 36-13 ATS (+21.7 Units) when their defense forces 3 turnovers · Hawaii is 97-42 ATS (+50.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points · Stockstill is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored as the coach of MTST. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Hawaii. Strength of schedule is meaningful for this matchup with Hawaii playing a far more difficult schedule. MDST defense has not been all that good this season and has been largely inconsistent down the stretch. They rank 108th in scoring defense and 107th posting a 0.506 opponent points per play ratio. Hawaii defense ranks 48th posting a 5.4 opponent yards per play and 64th allowing opponents to convert 40% of third down situations. Conversely, MTST ranks a horrid 126th allowing opponents a 51% third down conversion percentage. Take Hawaii. | |||||||
12-24-16 | Vikings +7 v. Packers | Top | 25-38 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota (11) as they take on Green Bay (12) in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-6 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2005. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) after a game where they forced one or less turnovers and is now facing an opponent after two consecutive games where they forced three or more turnovers. Here is a second system that has gone 23-4 ATS for 85% winners since 1983. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after scoring 9 points or less last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Minnesota is a solid 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 net passing yards/attempt · Minnesota is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. · Minnesota is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons. · Minnesota is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Green Bay defense is just not good and reflects all of the injuries the unit has had to endure this season. Minnesota’s defense remains one of the best in the NFL and they will certainly have the skills to contain Rogers. Vikings rank 2nd in the NFL allowing just 5.9 yards per pass play, third allowing 205.6 yards per game, and fourth overall allowing 5.0 yards per offensive play. Moreover, they are excellent at bringing pressure ranking 7th in sack percentage. Take Minnesota. | |||||||
12-24-16 | Falcons v. Panthers | Top | 33-16 | Win | 105 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Carolina in NFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-5 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play on road teams (ATLANTA) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Atlanta is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt · Atlanta is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt · Atlanta is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 1 to 1.5 yards/play · Carolina is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when they allow 8 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Falcons. | |||||||
12-23-16 | Warriors v. Pistons +6.5 | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit as they take on Golden State in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great opportunity to win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-9 mark using the money line good for 71% winners and has made 26.7 units/unit wagered averaging a +162 DOG play. Play on home teams using the money line (DETROIT) that have been cold shooting teams posting three straight games making less than 42% of their shots and is now facing an opponent after a game making 12 or more 3-point shots. Here is a second system that has gone 84-39 using the money line good for 68% winners and has made 49.5 units/unit wagered averaging a +105 DOG since 2010. Play on any team using the money line (DETROIT) that are off a double-digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more. Here is a third system that has gone 55-25 ATS good for 69% winners since 2010. Play against any team (GOLDEN STATE) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Detroit is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they grab 53 to 57 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Golden State won and covered at Brooklyn last night and now have to play B2B road games before a day –off to then face the Christmas Day matchup in Cleveland. Remarkably, given this lineup, the Warriors have posted NINE straight ‘under’ results. This is evidence that the public has created artificially high betting lines on totals involving the Warriors. Detroit has lost four straight games SU and ATS. Given the matchup, I do believe you will see a possible lie move to as high as 8 points. However, it is very interesting to note this line opened at 8 points and quickly went to 6 ½ adjusting to ‘smart money’ bets. The consensus presently shows 77% of bets are on the Warriors and the line has moved lower; counter to the public consensus, which is powerful combination for us. Even the Warriors get and battle road fatigue and we expect that to be evident on tonight’s game. Detroit may struggle on offense, but they have the third best scoring defense, rank 5th allowing just 10.6 fast break points, and 4th allowing just 39.4 points in the paint. | |||||||
12-22-16 | Spurs v. Clippers +1.5 | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Clippers (510) as they take on the San Antonio Spurs (509) in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2010. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) that are off a home win by 10 points or more and is now facing an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · SA is just 36-101 ATS (-75.1 Units) when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game · SA is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. · Clippers are a solid 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clippers tonight. | |||||||
12-22-16 | Giants -2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Giants (101) as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles (102) in a major NFC East matchup set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NY will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-3 mark good for 91% winners using the Money Line since 2010. Play on favorites using the money line in the second half of the season (NY GIANTS) hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games. Here is a second amazing system that has gone 22-4 ATS for 85% winners since 2010. Play on road teams (NY GIANTS) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · NY Giants are a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 to 6 net passing yards/attempt · NY Giants are 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt · Philadelphia is a near-imperfect 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the NY Giants. Two teams heading in opposite direction face off tonight on Thursday Night Football. Of note, is the fact that this is the first Thursday Night Game between these two teams in their 84-year history. Giants have won eight of the past nine games and in large part due to a very staunch defense. The Giants ‘D’ ranks third in scoring defense, second in opponent points per play, and third allowing opponents to convert just 35% of third down situations. Eagles offense is really struggling, but head coach Pederson has his team playing all 60 minutes and there is yet to be any ‘give-up’ yet. Doubtful, they will give up in this heated Division rivalry either. However, the Giants defense presents so many very difficult matchups to the Eagles offense, that lacks any significant receiver threat. Over the last 3 games, the Giants defense ranks best in the NFL forcing opponents to gain 26.3 yards to score just 1 equivalent point on the scoreboard. Take the Giants. | |||||||
12-22-16 | Colorado State v. Idaho UNDER 65 | Top | 50-61 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (219 and 220) set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 59 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-4 ‘under’ result good for 85% winners since 2010. Play ‘Under’ with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (COLORADO ST) after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games and is now facing an opponent after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: CSU is a solid 11-2 ‘UNDER’ (+8.8 Units) in road games after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game. Fundamental Discussion Points Idaho has to be the MOST UNLIKELY bowl participant this season. After more than two decades of losing ways and a school admin decision to go to the FCS after being dismissed from the Sun Belt Conference, the Vandals make only their third bowl appearance at the top level of College Football. Both teams have been hot with CSU winning 5 of the last 7 games and covering the spread in all 7 games. Idaho has won 6 of the last 7 games and has covered all 7 games. Idaho is not going to stop the CSU offense, however, they are capable of making stops and making the game a field possession type competition. The Idaho defense limited three of its last four opponents to 14 or fewer points and season-lows in the stats too. Sophomore middle linebacker Tony Lashley recorded a team-best 99 tackles. Although not big in size, they are fast to the ball and are above average making open field tackles. No play on the side, but we do think confidently the ‘under’ is the strong play. | |||||||
12-21-16 | Virginia -3 v. California | Top | 56-52 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
25* graded play on Virginia (747) as they take on California (748) in NCAA basketball action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UVA will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · UVA is a solid 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons · CALIFORNIA is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game since 1997. · CALIFORNIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. · CALIFORNIA is 34-62 ATS (-34.2 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board UVA. UVA is once again dominating teams with an amazing defense this season. They rank first in the nation allowing 46.7 PPG, second allowing just 8.7 assists per game, 3rd with a 40% effective opponent FG percentage, and 2nd with a 0.876 opponent shooting percentage. We expect Cal to struggle to score given that they rank 175th scoring 72.5 PPG, 193rd with an average of only 13 assist per game, and 156th posting a 0.993 assist-to-turnover ratio. Take the Cavaliers. | |||||||
12-21-16 | Rockets -6 v. Suns | Top | 125-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
25* graded play on Houston as they take on Phoenix in NBA action set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Houston will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 50-22 ATS mark good for 69% winners since 2010. Play against home underdogs (PHOENIX) that are struggling defensive teams posting a shooting percentage defense that is greater than 46% on the season, averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Houston is a solid 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) when they make 71% to 77% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Houston is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers this season. Houston is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season. Houston is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they score 110 or more points in a game this season. Phoenix is just 22-43 ATS (-25.3 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. 14-36 ATS (-25.6 Units) when they allow 110 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |