Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-19-16 | Idaho State +11.5 v. Utah State | Top | 51-85 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Idaho State as they take on Utah State in CBB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho ST will lose this game by less than 9 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons; 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons; 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games; 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss. Utah ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons; 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Idaho State has the advantage of an inflated spread and that they outrebound Utah State. The Bengals are solid in Saturday games as the Aggies are horrible in Saturday games (as evidenced above). Take Idaho State Bengals. | |||||||
11-19-16 | Tulsa +1 v. Central Florida | Top | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tulsa as they take on Central Florida in American Athletic Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game by at least 4 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-10 ATS mark good for 79% winners since2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TULSA) excellent offensive team averaging >=440 YPG and is now facing an average offensive team gaining between 330 to 390 YPG. Here is a Money Line system that has produced a 118-26 mark good for 82% winners and has made 60 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play on road favorites vs. the money line (TULSA) and is a quick starting offensive team scoring 16+ PPG in the first half and after playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The key metric is the Tulsa ground attack noting they are 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games when they rush for 200 to 250 yards; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they are outgained by their opponents by 50-100 yards. Fundamental Discussion Points The Golden Hurricanes come into this game after a tough loss to Navy and controlling the option game which most likely cost them any chance of playing for a conference championship. Both squads look similar against their opponents on the year, however Tulsa brings the better offense today averaging over 42 points per game compared to 31 for Central Florida. Tulsa has a big play offense and lots of speed at the skill positions. Top three rushers average over 5 yards per carry to go with a good quarterback completing 58% of his passes with some big play wide outs. Central Florida has competed well, but does struggle to throw the ball which we think they will need to do to keep up with the high-powered Tulsa offense. Look for another big output from the Tulsa offense today and to cover the small number on the road. | |||||||
11-19-16 | Western Kentucky v. Belmont -7 | Top | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Belmont as they take on Western Kentucky in College Basketball action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Belmont will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 157-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.6% winners and made a HUGE 44.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (BELMONT) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. W Kentucky is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Ohio Valley conference. Fundamental Discussion Points The last 2 years in November Belmont has won this matchup. Although the season is young, we can use stats to see an obvious deficiency in W Kentucky's turnovers giving up 15 per game. Belmont will be playing with more fire after opening their season with a loss. Take Belmont Bruins. | |||||||
11-19-16 | Heat +4.5 v. Wizards | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-14 over the last 5 seasons good for 75.4% winners and made 27.6 unit/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%). Another proven system supports this play posting a 61-23 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.6% winners and made a nice 35.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home teams (WASHINGTON) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, on Saturday games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast; 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Washington. Spoelstra is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of Miami. Washington is 103-145 ATS (-56.5 Units) in November games since 1996. Fundamental Discussion Points Miami will use their defense to win this game with Hasaan Whiteside leading the NBA in rebounding (16 per game) and ranking second in blocks (2.73). He'll make it very difficult for John Wall or any Wizard to score in the paint or get offensive rebounds. The Heat outrebound, turnover less, and have the better bench. Take Miami Heat. | |||||||
11-19-16 | Jets +145 v. Bruins | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play on Winnipeg as they take on Boston in NHL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Winnipeg will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 80-49 since 1996 good for 62% winners and made a nice 36.7 units/unit wagered. Play against any team against the money line (BOSTON) - after a low scoring road game where both teams scored 1 goal or less, in November games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is 1-11 (-16.5 Units) in home games after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons; 3-9 (-11.1 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons; 1-8 (-13.1 Units) after getting shutout in their previous game over the last 3 seasons; 4-11 (-11.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Jets are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game and they are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Boston's offense sputtered on their recent road trip as the Bruins scored four goals on 100 shots. Forward David Pastrnak, second on the team in points (14) and among the league leaders in goals (10), did not play Thursday with an undisclosed injury and is day-to-day. Boston is ranked 23rd with only 2.35 goals/game and are an even 3-3 at home. Take Winnipeg Jets. | |||||||
11-19-16 | Washington State v. Colorado -5.5 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on Colorado as they take on Washington State in PAC-12 action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington State is a money burning 48-94 ATS (-55.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt; Colorado is a stout 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they gain 9 to 9.5 net passing yards/attempt; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears. Both of these teams can be considered surprise teams and could very possibly meet again in a couple of weeks to Determine the Pac 12 Champions. After losing their first two games Washington State has one eight in a row and sets up to play a game next week against Washington in the Apple Cup for a right to play in the Championship Game. If Colorado wins today the Buffaloes will also be going to the Pac 12 championship game. Colorado has two losses both on the road at Michigan and USC. The Buffaloes put up 35 points per game and have only allowed18. The Buffaloes have won both low and high scoring games this year. Colorado QB Liufau has been very efficient this year completing over 67% of his passes with 10 TD's with only 3 picks. The Buffaloes will need to contain one of this years best QB's no one mentions in Luke Falk who completes 74% of his passes and has thrown 33 passing TD's this year. Colorado's secondary has been good and the red zone defense has been strong this year. Colorado is at home and needs this game more today and we think that will be the big difference today. | |||||||
11-19-16 | Northwestern -3 v. Minnesota | Top | 12-29 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northwestern as they take on Minnesota in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NWU will win this game at least 7 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 84-43 ATS mark good for 66% ATS winners since 2010. Play on road favorites (NORTHWESTERN) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. Northwestern is a stout 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt. Fundamental Discussion Points Minnesota has been in all close games this year but has lost in the big tests against Penn State, Nebraska, and Iowa. Minnesota QB Leitner has struggled this year and the Gophers rely on a power running game with play action passing to go with a fundamentally sound defense. Northwestern QB has heated up since the Wildcats went to an up-tempo offense. Most Big 10 teams don't see this offense and are not prepared for this type of attack. Northwestern becomes bowl eligible with this one and showed they could hold their own on the road going toe to toe with the Buckeyes in Columbus. We also feel Minnesota has a big game on deck with Wisconsin in Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe. The Gophers haven't had the Axe since 2003 and may have more focus on the next game than the Wildcats schemes today. Take the Wildcats and lay the small number today. | |||||||
11-19-16 | Miami (Fla) v. NC State +2 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on NC State as they take on Miami in ACC action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NC State will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-26 ATS mark good for 72% ATS winners since 2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders’, good offensive team scoring 31 or more points/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points; 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by | |||||||
11-18-16 | Clippers v. Kings +7.5 | Top | 121-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Sacramento Kings as they take on the Los Angeles Clippers in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Kings will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.7% winners and made 23.5 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Clippers are 73-109 ATS (-46.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game since 1996; 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Rivers is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers as the coach of the Clippers. The Kings are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Kings. Cousins scored 26 points and posted season bests of 17 rebounds and six assists in the loss against the Spurs but it wasn't enough to deliver a victory. The big man has 10 20-point outings - including five in a row. Take the Sacramento Kings. | |||||||
11-18-16 | Ball State +8 v. Alabama | Top | 59-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ball State as they take on Alabama in NCAAB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Ball State will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win SU. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ball ST is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997 and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Alabama is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite since 1997; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Fundamental Discussion Points Tayler Persons is off to a sizzling start for the Cardinals, scoring more than 20 points in each of the first two games - 26 on 9-of-16 shooting last time out. Franko House was the other star of the game for the Cardinals, scoring 21 to go along with 14 rebounds, and he has drained 5-of-7 attempts from long range overall. Cardinals F Tahjai Teague has had two steals and two blocks in both games this season, adding averages of 7.0 points and 7.5 rebounds. I think bettors are too high on Alabama coming off a close loss to Dayton. Take Ball State Cardinals. | |||||||
11-18-16 | Red Wings +180 v. Capitals | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit as they take on Washington in NHL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit can win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-52 since 1996 (19-12, +12.5 units in L5 seasons) but made a HUGE 40.6 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (DETROIT) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is 10-5 (+8.9 Units) in road games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons and they are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Washington is 6-10 ATS overall this season and they are 3-4 ATS at home this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Red Wings. The Red Wings could get defenseman Niklas Kronwall (knee) back Friday. They are due for a win considering they started the season with 6 straight wins. Take Detroit Red Wings. | |||||||
11-17-16 | Saints +3.5 v. Panthers | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Saints as they take on the Carolina Panthers in Thursday Night NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Saints will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 71-33 since 1983 (9-3 L5 seasons) good for 68.3% winners and made 34.7 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (CAROLINA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. New Orleans is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC South; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Carolina. Payton is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a loss by 6 or less points as the coach of New Orleans and he is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game as the coach of the Saints. Carolina is a poor 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Road team is 21-9 ATS in their last 30 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Saints. The Saints' Brandin Cooks enjoyed a career day in his previous encounter with Carolina, highlighting his career-high 173-yard performance with an 87-yard touchdown. New Orleans RB Mark Ingram has recorded four touchdowns in his last three road contests. The Saints are a +2 in turnover ratio while the Panthers are -7 (fourth-worst in NFL). Take New Orleans Saints. | |||||||
11-16-16 | Grizzlies +12 v. Clippers | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Memphis as they take on the LA Clippers in Western NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Memphis will lose this game by less than 8 points and have an outside shot to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.2% winners and made a nice 35.6 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rivers is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents as the coach of Los Angeles. Clippers are 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1996. Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Grizzlies are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The one weakness that can hinder the Clippers so far this season is their 25th ranked free throws of 73.5%. For some reason they seem to always play down to Memphis and let them beat the spread a ton in this match-up. Take Memphis Grizzlies. | |||||||
11-16-16 | Coyotes +130 v. Flames | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona as they take on Calgary in action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arizona will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Calgary is 4-11 (-9.2 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game; 1-4 in their last 5 overall; 1-5 in their last 6 home games; 1-6 in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest; 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Coyotes are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Goaltender Mike Smith and Martin Hanzal, who have been sidelined with lower-body injuries since Oct. 18 and 29, respectively, both may return versus Calgary. Radim Vrbata, who leads the team with six goals, is riding a four-game point streak and has tallied in each of his last two contests. Calgary has scored fewer than two goals in six of its last eight contests. Take Arizona Coyotes. | |||||||
11-16-16 | San Francisco v. UC-Santa Barbara -8.5 | Top | 75-63 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on UC-Santa Barbara as they take on San Francisco in NCAAB action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCSB will win this game by at least 12 poits. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 153-95 ATS mark good for 62% winners since 2010. Play on a favorite (UC-SANTA BARBARA) with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SF is a money burning 19-45 ATS (-30.5 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 31-84 ATS (-61.4 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game; UCSB is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game; 45-14 ATS (+29.6 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game. | |||||||
11-16-16 | Warriors v. Raptors +6 | Top | 127-121 | Push | 0 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Golden State in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a good chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall; 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest; 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. GS is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons; 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games after 2 straight games making 85% of their free throws or better since 1996; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game; 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Raptor's shooting guard DeMar DeRozan leads the NBA in scoring (33.2) and has recorded 30 or more points in eight of Toronto's 10 games. GS can score but also give up over 108 PPG to opponents. Toronto at home is a very solid defensive team only allowing 96.2 PPG to opponents. Take Toronto Raptors. | |||||||
11-16-16 | Wizards -4 v. 76ers | Top | 102-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Philadelphia in Eastern NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-13 over the last 5 seasons good for 76.4% winners and made a nice 27.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Philly is 7-17 ATS in their last 24 vs. NBA Southeast. Fundamental Discussion Points Starting point guard Sergio Rodriguez and backup T.J. McConnell combined for six points in Monday's loss and neither did much on the defensive end while going up against Harden. Rodriguez scored in double figures in each of the first four games but went for 10 or more one in the last six contests. Washington took the last six in the series, including three in Philadelphia. Take Washington Wizards. | |||||||
11-15-16 | Bulls +3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 113-88 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Chicago as they take on Portland in NBA action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will win this game outright. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.2% winners and made a nice 35.6 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (PORTLAND) - an excellent offensive team (over 102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Portland is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons; 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games with Stotts as the coach; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game; 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win; 10-4 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The visiting team took both meetings last season, with Chicago earning a 93-88 victory in Portland on Nov. 24. Chicago can win this game with their defense. They are ranked 9th only allowing opponents just over 100 PPG, while the Blazers are 28th letting 111 PPG. The Bulls are best in the NBA in two interesting categories that can play a factor: opponents FTM/game (12) and FTA/game (17). There will not be many free points for Portland. Take the Chicago Bulls. | |||||||
11-15-16 | Oilers +125 v. Ducks | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on Edmonton as they take on Anaheim in Pacific Division action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Edmonton will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-25 since 1996 good for 62.1% winners and made 24 units/unit wagered. Play on a underdog against the money line (EDMONTON) - off a home loss by 2 goals or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The road team is 4-1 in the last 5 head-to-head meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Edmonton boasts five players with at least five goals that include lumbering forwards Milan Lucic (five) and Patrick Maroon (team-most six), who was traded to the Oilers last season after spending the first four-plus years of his career with Anaheim. Anaheim is 0-for-12 on the power play over the last three games. This is a contrarian pick because at some point Edmonton will beat Anaheim and that will be tonight. Take Edmonton Oilers. | |||||||
11-15-16 | Hawks -6 v. Heat | Top | 93-90 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Miami in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-12 over the last 5 seasons good for 77.8% winners. Play against home underdogs (MIAMI) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games. another proven system supports this play posting a 24-5 over the last 5 seasons good for 82.8% winners. Play on road teams (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a bad team (25% to 40%). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a poor 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons; 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Fundamental Discussion Points The Hawks are outscoring foes by 11.2 pts per 100 possessions and are giving up only .958 points per possession. The Heat really figure to struggle to score against Atlanta, not only because of the Hawks' defensive prowess, but also due to their own offensive ineptitude as they are 29th in offensive efficiency. All signs and research point to an easy ATS win for the Atlanta Hawks. | |||||||
11-15-16 | Lightning -106 v. Red Wings | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on Detroit in Atlantic Division action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 202-115 since 1996 (33-17 in last 3 seasons) good for 63.7% winners and made a HUGE 66.8 units/unit wagered. Play against any team against the money line (DETROIT) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals, off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is a poor 18-29 (-26.8 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons; 5-12 (-14.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons; 1-4 in their last 5 home games; 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 1-7 in their last 8 vs. Atlantic. The Lightning are are 5-1 in their last 6 Tuesday games; 7-1 in the last 8 head-to-head meetings; 79-36 (+33.6 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days with Jon Cooper as their coach. Fundamental Discussion Points Defenseman Niklas Kronwall, who has been dealing with chronic knee issues this season, is expected to sit out Tuesday's contest. As these teams rank close to each other in Goals Against/game, it's a big advantage the Lightning rank 7th (15 places ahead of Detroit) scoring slightly over 3 goals a game. Take Tampa Bay Lightning. | |||||||
11-15-16 | Raptors +5.5 v. Cavs | Top | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Cleveland in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a solid chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-19 over the last 5 seasons good for 69.8% winners. Play on any team vs the money line (TORONTO) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, playing with 2 days rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons; 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games with Casey as the coach; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Cavaliers are a poor 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall; 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games; 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win; 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points The Raptors were within 3 points in their last meeting on October 28th. These two teams rank next to each other in many categories, but Toronto stands out only allowing opponents 99.2 PPG. Toronto C Lucas Nogueira is 15-of-17 from the floor in the last four games. J.R. Smith may not play or if he does will be hindered by his injury. Take Toronto Raptors. | |||||||
11-15-16 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets +125 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 125 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
25* graded play on Columbus as they take on Washington in Metropolitan Division action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Columbus will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-8 over the last 5 seasons good for 75% winners. Play on home teams against the money line (COLUMBUS) - poor closing team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period, after a blowout win by 4 goals or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Columbus is 16-8 (+13.7 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons; 12-7 (+7.4 Units) in November games with John Tortorella as their coach; 5-0 in their last 5 home games; 5-2 in their last 7 overall. Capitals are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Metropolitan. Fundamental Discussion Points The Blue Jackets posted at least eight goals for the second time in five games Saturday in the victory over St. Louis and lead the league in power-play percentage while standing second in scoring. The Blue Jackets have outscored opponents 27-10 during their five-game home winning streak. The Caps have managed only four goals in the last three contests after winning five in a row. Take Columbus Blue Jackets. | |||||||
11-14-16 | Bengals v. Giants | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cincinnati as they take on the NY Giants in MNF action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cincinnati will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-7 over the last 10 seasons good for 76.7% winners. Play against home teams (NY GIANTS) - terrible rushing team - averaging 70 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cincinnati is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the last 2 seasons; 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992; Bengals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Giants are 34-60 ATS (-32.0 Units) in November games since 1992; 31-55 ATS (-29.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games; 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record; 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 10. Fundamental Discussion Points The biggest problem for the Giants has been a stagnant running game led by Rashad Jennings that ranks last in the league with a meager average of 68.3 yards per game. Rookie Paul Perkins could see more time this week to help work the clock and protect a defense that yields 277.4 yards passing. Eli threw 3 interceptions last week in a game that the Giants didn't win but that the Eagles lost. Giants are a 1 dimensional team on both sides of the ball and their quarterback is known for throwing interceptions in the regular season. Take Cincinnati Bengals. | |||||||
11-14-16 | Thunder v. Pistons -3 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit as they take on OKC in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit will win this game by more than 4 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Northwest. OKC is a poor 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games; 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Detroit. Fundamental Discussion Points Detroit has been balanced in the scoring department all season with point guard Reggie Jackson still recovering from a knee injury. Tobias Harris led the way with 19 points on Saturday and tops the Pistons at 16.5 overall while Morris is next at 15.2 and inside force Andre Drummond averages 14.9 points to go along with 14.3 rebounds, which rank him second in the league. The Pistons rank fourth in points allowed (97) while OKC allowed an average of 113.7 points in their last 3 games. Take Detroit Pistons. | |||||||
11-13-16 | Packers v. Titans OVER 49.5 | Top | 25-47 | Win | 100 | 52 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on the OVER in Tennessee-Green Bay action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that this game will go OVER 51 points scored. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Green Bay is 41-18 OVER (+21.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992; 23-9 OVER (+13.1 Units) in road games versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game since 1992; 14-1 OVER (+12.9 Units) in road games after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992; 23-9 OVER (+13.1 Units) in road games off a home loss since 1992. Tennessee is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games this season; 6-0 over in Titans last 6 games overall; 9-1-1 over in Titans last 11 games on grass; 6-1-1 over in Titans last 8 home games. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The Green Bay Packers are springing holes in their defense as they dropped three of the past four while allowing at least 30 points in each of the losses. Clay Matthews (hamstring) missed practice Thursday and could sit out his third straight game. Marcus Mariota, accounted for four touchdowns and threw for a season-high 313 yards at San Diego, has connected on five scoring passes to Rishard Matthews in the last five games. Rodgers has 10 TD passes and one interception in his last three contests. Take the OVER. | |||||||
11-13-16 | Texans v. Jaguars OVER 42 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
50* graded play ‘OVER’ Jacksonville-Houston in AFC action et to start 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 50 points will be scored in this game. I also have a 25* graded play on Jacksonville and this opens up the rare opportunity to combine the ‘over’ and JAX into a reverse parlay. A reverse bet is essentially just two ‘if’ bets, so it makes sense that we start with looking at what an ‘if’ bet is. An ‘if’ bet is a bet on two or more teams - like a parlay is. The difference between a parlay and an ‘if’ bet, though, is that you have to win all of your games in a parlay or you lose your entire bet, while in an ‘if’ bet you can get some money back if you win just once. So let’s define the outcomes for our game today. We have already placed a $500 reverse parlay bet with JAX and the ‘OVER’. So, if JAX wins ATS and the ‘OVER’ loses we lose $600 factoring in 20% vig. Many books are now going to a 10% vig to encourage more parlays of this type. Next scenario is that the ‘OVER’ wins and JAX does not cover ATS. That too loses $600. If both JAX and the ‘OVER” lose then our worst case scenario is realized with a $1200 loss. If both the ‘OVER’ and JAX win, then the payout is 4:1 and $2,000 is realized. Under a normal parlay, the payout is 13:5, so if both plays win, a gain of $1300 is realized and if either one of the parts of the parlay lose, then a loss of $550 or $600 is realized dependent on the vig percentage. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-18 mark good for 71.4% winners since 2010. Play ‘Over’ with any team against the total (JACKSONVILLE) slow starting offensive team scoring 7 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. Fundamental Discussion Points Houston is not a good team ranking 30th in scoring offense, 30th in yards-per-game, and 32nd in points-per-play. They score just 1.5 TD-per-game ranking dead last at 32nd by a large margin. JAX defense is a solid unit despite playing far too many downs due to the offense struggles and inconsistencies. The defense ranks 6th allowing 5.0 Yards-per-play and 5th in red zone scoring opponent percentage. Houston ranks 32nd in RZ scoring at just 38% of all possessions. Think about that for a minute. That stat means that Houston can’t even execute a FG success in most situations and TD % is pathetic. JAX offense ranks 16th in RZ scoring at 56% of all possessions. JX QB Bortles has done a solid job with the limited talent he is working with and the lack of consistency the skill players have demonstrated. JAX ranks 14th gaining 256 passing yards per game and third in passing attempts, which reflects playing from behind in the majority of their games. Houston run defense is horrid ranking 28th allowing 126 per game. T.J. Yeldon may have a break-out game today and this too would open up play action, which is where Bortles is at his best. So, I am looking for a 31-17 or 35-21 type game. | |||||||
11-12-16 | USC +9.5 v. Washington | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
50* graded play on USC as they take on Washington in PAC-12 action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at upsetting No.4 Washington. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 40* play on the line and a 10* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-9 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2005. Play on a road team (USC) that is an average defensive team allowing between 330 and 390 YPG and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 280 to 330 YPG after 7+ games of the regular season, and after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. Over the L3 season this system has gone an incredible 10-1 ATS. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is in good form noting they are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games. Here is a bonus money line system that is one you truly should archive and keep track of for future qualifying plays. It has gone 23-14 SU for 62% winners and has made 41 units/unit wagered averaging a +240 DOG play since 2010. Play on road underdogs vs. the money line (USC) in a game involving two good rushing teams both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. Fundamental Discussion Points Arguably the two best QB’s in the Conference and possibly the nation square off in this huge PAC-12 matchup. Jake Browning leads Washington with very impressive numbers that are worthy for the Heissman. He has throw for 2,273 yards with 34 TD, and 3 INT, but has yielded 11 sacks. USC has Darnold under center and he has been excellent in his own right passing for 1,874 yards with 20 TD and 4 INT. The key to this game, though is I fully expect the Trojan OL and DL to outperform Washington’s editions. Moreover, I expect USC DL to squash the run and force Browning into third down pass situations where USC has elite speed in either man coverage or zone schemes. USC OL will be strong enough to establish the run and then Darnold will have play action pass where he will have man coverage on the perimeter with highly skilled WR. | |||||||
11-12-16 | South Florida -3.5 v. Memphis | Top | 49-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Florida as they take on Memphis in American Athletic Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SFU will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S FLORIDA) excellent offensive team scoring 35 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SFU is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. Memphis is just 11-32 ATS (-24.2 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 since 1992; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards; 13-42 ATS (-33.2 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board South Florida. South Florida -3.5 at Memphis The South Florida Bulls hit the road to take on the Memphis Tigers at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. South Florida enters the game at 7-2 and Memphis enters at 6-3. The big factor in this game is Quinton Flowers, South Florida’s duel threat QB. Flowers has thrown for 1,900 yards and 19 TD’s as well as ran for 921 yards and 10 TD’s. The Bulls average 272 rushing yards per game and the Tigers give up 194 yards on the ground per game. Flowers is the key to the Bulls success offensively and the Tigers will have their hands full trying to just slow him down. The Tigers QB Riley Ferguson is quite the player himself throwing for 21 touchdowns this year. The Bulls secondary must be good in this one and their front 4 will need to get a pass rush on Ferguson. South Florida’s offense will be too much to handle for the Tigers in this one. Take South Florida as a favorite on the road. | |||||||
11-12-16 | Penn State -7 v. Indiana | Top | 45-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Indiana in BIG Ten Conference action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-11 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a stout 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt; 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt; 110-37 ATS (+69.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points In this week’s Big Ten action between 10th ranked Penn State and Indiana, our SIM predict Penn State will emerge victorious once again and cover the spread. Following last week’s defeat of Iowa, many are confident Penn State will be able to win out the rest of their schedule, in the hopes of getting a top bowl game, and potentially playing in the Big Ten Championship. PSU running back Saquon Barkley is surging right now, and the PSU offense in turn is doing well because of him, as he makes a late season push for Heisman contention. He ran for 100 yards in the past 3 out of 4 games, and ran for over 200 in 2 out of those 3 games. The Penn State defense has been progressing throughout the past few games as well, allowing 314 yards per game against Purdue and then 234 yards per game against Iowa. The key for the defense this weekend is to shut down QB Richard Lagow and RB Devine Redding. Once they close down the running lanes and take advantage of mistakes made by Lagow (who is tied for most interceptions in Big Ten), the PSU defense will dominate. PSU has the edge in all of the aspects of this game, including team chemistry, and look for them to beat Indiana handily this Saturday. | |||||||
11-12-16 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -14 | Top | 36-49 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Tennessee in SEC action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game by 17 or more points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is just 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards; Tennessee is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons; 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Volunteers. Tennessee -13.5 vs Kentucky Kentucky (5-4) travels to Knoxville, Tennessee to play the Volunteers (6-3). In this one we look for Tennessee’s offense led by QB Joshua Dobbs to score some points against Kentucky’s defense who gives up 30.4 points per game. Dobbs has thrown for 1,800 yards and 18 touchdowns this season. The key to Tennessee’s success defensively is to stop Kentucky’s running game. Kentucky averages 215 yards per game on the ground. If Tennessee can slow down their running game and keep the ball in Joshua Dobbs hands they should have no problem in this one. Take Tennessee as the home favorite. | |||||||
11-11-16 | Indiana +6.5 v. Kansas | Top | 103-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Kansas in Armed Forces Classic action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will lose this game by less than 4 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Crean is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in November games as the coach of Indiana. Indiana is 9-1 (+8.1 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 2 seasons. Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Jayhawks are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 vs. Big Ten. Fundamental Discussion Points Indiana has a pretty darn good team coming back from an excellent 2015 campaign led by center Thomas Bryant and guard James Blackmon Jr. Sophomore forward OG Anunoby had 25 points in an exhibition and could be a breakout player for the Hoosiers. Take the Indiana Hoosiers. | |||||||
11-11-16 | Stars +143 v. Oilers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 143 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Dallas as they take on Edmonton in NHL action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Edmonton is 69-76 (-49.6 Units) against horrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game since 1996; 6-23 in their last 29 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Dallas is 11-2 (+10.0 Units) in road games off a road win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons; 16-6 (+12.0 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons; 13-5 in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Stars are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Edmonton. Fundamental Discussion Points Tyler Seguin notched an assist on Thursday to push his team-leading total to 15 points and has had some success against Edmonton, recording six goals and 10 points in 10 games. Oilers goalie Cam Talbot has surrendered three or more goals in his last four outings. The Stars have at least a point in seven of their last eight meetings (5-1-2) with the Oilers. Take Dallas Stars. | |||||||
11-11-16 | Pacers v. 76ers +5 | Top | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on Indiana in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Philly will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a game where they made 50% of their free throws or worse since 1996. Brown is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after a game where they made 50% of their free throws or worse as the coach of the Sixers. 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Indiana is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Fundamental Discussion Points The 76ers left Joel Embiid at home to rest and instead got a standout performance from another belated rookie in Dario Saric, who was drafted along with Embiid in 2014, made his NBA debut this season and recorded his first double-double with 14 points and 12 rebounds on Wednesday against Indiana. Philadelphia SF Robert Covington is 8-of-13 from beyond the arc in his last two games. We are looking for improvement from the last game on the side of the Sixers which they beat the spread and will now have Embiid. Take Philadelphia 76ers. | |||||||
11-10-16 | Utah v. Arizona State +6 | Top | 49-26 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on Utah in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ASU is a strong 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992; 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Utah is a poor 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992. Whittingham is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of Utah. Graham is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a home underdog of 7 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992. Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Sun Devils are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games. Sun Devils are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Utes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points ASU's sophomore quarterback Manny Wilkins will be back after he missed two of the last four contests, and missed most of one of the other games due to injuries. Junior tailback Demario Richard has a team-best 532 rushing yards and is expected back after missing the last game because of injury. Never underestimate the starting QB and HB in football coming back from injuries to boost the team to a victory. Sun Devils senior K Zane Gonzalez is 20-of-21 on field goals this season and his 93 career field goals are the most in FBS history. Take Arizona State University Sun Devils. | |||||||
11-10-16 | Browns v. Ravens -7.5 | Top | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Baltimore as they take on the Cleveland Browns in NFL Thursday Night action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baltimore will win this game by more than 13 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland has not done well against struggling passing defenses like Baltimore’s edition this season. They are a terrible 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) vs. poor passing defenses allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons; Cleveland is also just 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.5 or less rushing yards/carry. Fundamental Discussion Points The Browns are yielding 421.7 yards and 30.3 points per game, each ranking 31st in the league. Baltimore's defense came up big in the win over bitter rival Pittsburgh, holding the Steelers to 277 total yards and 36 on the ground to build a 21-0 lead in the third quarter. The Ravens have won 15 of the past 17 meetings. Ravens TE Dennis Pitta had nine catches for 102 yards (both season highs) in Week 2's Cleveland contest. Take Baltimore Ravens. | |||||||
11-09-16 | Blackhawks v. Blues -118 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Louis as they take on Chicago in NHL action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that St. Louis will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 58-19 over the last 5 seasons good for 75.3% winners and made a nice 32 units/unit wagered. Play against an underdog against the money line (CHICAGO) - off a win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the first half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. Louis is 11-7-0 (+4.3 Units) against the money line versus Chicago over the last 3 seasons. Blackhawks are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings. Quenneville is 25-41 (-21.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals as the coach of Chicago. Blackhawks are 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games. Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Central. Blues are 5-2 in their last 7 Wednesday games. Blues are 5-2 in their last 7 home games. Fundamental Discussion Points St. Louis RW Vladimir Tarasenko recorded two goals and an assist in the first meeting with the Blackhawks and has collected 16 points (10 goals, six assists) in as many career encounters. St. Louis is 5-1-0-1 at home mainly due to their goals against average at home being a really low 1.57. Take St. Louis Blues. | |||||||
11-08-16 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies UNDER 201 | Top | 107-108 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ in the Denver Memphis NBA game set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 200 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 over the last 5 seasons good for 81.6% winners and made 23.3 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) coming off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog. Another great proven system supports this play posting a 140-76 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.8% winners and made a huge 56.4 units/unit wagered. Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MEMPHIS) - good ball handling team from last season - committed 14 or less turnovers/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Denver is 74-44 UNDER (+25.6 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents since 1996. Memphis is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 overall. Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 14-6 in Nuggets last 20 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Memphis. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Memphis scored over 100 points in each of its first three games but is averaging 87.8 over the last four contests. Combining these teams current points per game the total would be 200 points. Denver is an extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. Take the UNDER. | |||||||
11-08-16 | Kings +102 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 7-0 | Win | 102 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Los Angeles Kings as they take on the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LA will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-16 mark good for 66% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on an underdog against the money line (LOS ANGELES) and is a struggling team getting outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game, after a blowout win by 4 goals or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is an awful 18-44 (-24.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons; 56-87 (-46.1 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996; 51-86 (-51.0 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1996. Darryl Sutter is 24-11 (+13.9 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996. Kings are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Atlantic. Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Maple Leafs are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points The Kings ranked 26th in the league on the penalty kill, but have shored that up as they were 6-for-6 in the last two games. Maple Leafs F Tyler Bozak scored twice Saturday but does not have a goal in eight games versus Los Angeles. Toronto's defense is awful allowing 3.33 goals against per game ranking 26th in the NHL. LA is best in the NHL with only 25 shots against per game as Toronto is 25th with 32.5. Take Los Angeles Kings. | |||||||
11-08-16 | Hawks v. Cavs -8.5 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland as they take on Atlanta in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-4 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 1996. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) good shooting team making between 45.5 to 47.5% against an average defensive team allowing between 43.5-45.5% shooting, and is a dominant rebounding team posting a +5.5 or more reb/game differential and is now facing an average rebounding team posting a differential of +/-3 reb/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games. Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central. Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Howard hasn't exactly given James or his teams in the past problems before. Cleveland is scoring 3.4 more fastbreak points a game than Atlanta. They can also take advantage of turnovers as Atlanta has 14.6% (23rd) turnovers/play and the Cavs boast an 11.4% (4th) turnovers/play. Take King James and the Cleveland Cavaliers. | |||||||
11-07-16 | Bills +7 v. Seahawks | Top | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on Buffalo as they take on Seattle in Monday Night Football action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Buffalo will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-23 mark good for 66% winners and has made 23 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play against home teams using the money line (SEATTLE) after 1 or more consecutive losses, when playing on Monday night. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Buffalo is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. For this matchup, it clearly shows solid reasons to get on board the Buffalo Bills. We use numerous statistical measures of efficiencies to identify opportunity. Buffalo ranks 8th in overall offensive efficiency. Seattle, as we saw in their 13 points scored against anemic Saints defense are not nearly as strong. Seattle ranks 18th in overall offensive efficiency and are trending downward in most offensive categories. Both teams have solid defenses with Buffalo given a slight edge with their front seven over Seattle. Buffalo can definitely stop the Seattle ground attack and force Wilson to try then to move the chains with his arm. Seattle’s receivers have not been able to generate space on their routes and have created forced desperate throws by Wilson. Buffalo is the play. | |||||||
11-07-16 | Rockets v. Wizards -1.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Houston in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 3 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-11 over the last 5 seasons good for 80% winners and made 31.9 units/unit wagered. Play against road underdogs (HOUSTON) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Brooks is 100-67 ATS (+26.3 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in all games he has coached since 1996 and he is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) after a close loss by 3 points or less in all games he has coached since 1996. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast. Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points A rejuvenated John Wall will be back in the lineup for the Wizards. The Rockets rank in the mid 20s in both forcing opponents fouls and fouls per game, while the Wizards rank in the high teens in both those categories. Early season NBA games can be a toss up, but this is a contrarian pick with the SIM Algo matching this win perfectly. Take Washington Wizards. | |||||||
11-06-16 | Suns +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 108-119 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Phoenix Suns as they take on the Los Angeles Lakers in NBA action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Phoenix, currently lined at +2 ½) will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-6 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2010. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Lakers are a miserable 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) when they make 25% to 31% of their three-point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. | |||||||
11-06-16 | Broncos v. Raiders OVER 43.5 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 62 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘OVER’ Denver-Oakland in AFC West action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 49 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 109-55 over the last 10 seasons good for 66.5% winners and made a nice 48.5 units/unit wagered. Play Over - Any team against the total (OAKLAND) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) when they allow 4 to 4.5 rushing yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons; 16-6 OVER (+9.4 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better over the last 3 seasons; 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Denver is 117-76 OVER (+33.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992. Del Rio is 30-10 OVER (+19.0 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in all games he has coached since 1992. Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games in Week 9. Over is 10-4 in Broncos last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 45-21-2 in Broncos last 68 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 games in Week 9. Over is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games overall. Over is 12-3 in Raiders last 15 games following a straight up win. Over is 17-6-3 in Raiders last 26 games in November. Over is 14-6-1 in Raiders last 21 vs. AFC. Over is 34-15-2 in Raiders last 51 games following a ATS win. Fundamental Discussion Points Carr leads the AFC with 17 touchdown passes while Cooper had 12 catches for 173 yards and a touchdown last week to boost his team-leading total to 52 receptions while Crabtree hauled in his NFL high-tying sixth touchdown catch. Defense has been a nightmare for the Raiders, who are ranked 31st in the league, surrendering a total of 410.4 total yards while being equally generous against the run and pass. If Bradley Roby can get another pick-6 that will also add to the total. Combining these two teams' points/game averages, they will total over 51 points. Take the OVER. | |||||||
11-06-16 | Panthers v. Rams +3 | Top | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 58 h 16 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Rams as they take on the Carolina Panthers in NFC action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-24 over the last 10 seasons good for 69.2% winners. Play against road favorites (CAROLINA) - with a good rushing defense - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rams are 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games versus good rushing defenses - allowing less than 3.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992. Fisher is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against NFC South division opponents in all games he has coached since 1992 and he is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play as the coach of the Rams. Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC. Panthers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games. Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week. Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Carolina's offense can move with ease, although they've been set back by a league-worst 17 turnovers. Their revamped secondary has turned in a couple of dreadful performances ranking 29th in opponents pass yards/game (286.9). As good as the Panthers are on offense, they have their awful record because of two defensive stats: they allow their opponents more yards/play than their offense gains, and they allow more points/game than their offense scores. Yes, They'll stop the run this game, but so has everyone else against the Rams so it's not an advantage. Take LA Rams. | |||||||
11-06-16 | Eagles v. Giants UNDER 43 | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -108 | 78 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ NY Giants-Eagles in a huge NFC East game set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 40 points will be scored this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 81-43 over the last 5 seasons good for 65.3% winners and made 33.7 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (PHILADELPHIA) - versus division opponents, off a division game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 vs. NFC. Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games overall. Under is 14-6 in Giants last 20 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Philly and New York are ranked FOURTH and TENTH respectively in fewest points allowed per game. Just looking at their average per game defense stats this game would total 36.8 points. The Giants rank a lowly 26th in offensive points per game, so if we combine both offenses' points stats they should score about 44.6 in total. These two teams are built on defense, so I don't see why they wouldn't lean more towards a 37 point total than a 45 point total. Philly will stab themselves in the foot ranking 30th in both penalties per play and per game nearing almost 9 penalties a game. Despite those great numbers they have, they get in their own way. Take the UNDER. | |||||||
11-06-16 | Lions v. Vikings -6 | Top | 22-16 | Loss | -107 | 55 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Detroit in NFC North action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game by at least 10 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-19 over the last 5 seasons good for 70.3% winners. Play on favorites (MINNESOTA) - off a road loss, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game over the last 3 seasons; 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons; 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons; 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is 12-35 ATS (-26.5 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Lions are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC North. Vikings are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC. Fundamental Discussion Points Armonty Bryant received a three-game suspension for violating the league's substance abuse policy, so with the Lions will lose his production recording three sacks in four games. Vikings defense is permitting a league-low 14.9 points. Bradford is better in this situation, recording five touchdowns and zero interceptions in four home games. Stafford was sacked seven times in the last meeting by Minnesota, which swept the season series a year ago. Stafford may have his career high in passer rating, but he hasn't faced this defense yet this year. Take Minnesota Vikings. | |||||||
11-05-16 | Clippers +4.5 v. Spurs | Top | 116-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Clippers as they take on the Spurs in NBA action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 since 1996 good for 72.7% winners. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days. Another proven system supports this play posting a 101-56 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.3% winners and made a nice 39.4 units/unit wagered. Play against home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Saturday games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rivers is 29-10 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots in all games he has coached since 1996. Rivers is 160-108 ATS (+41.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game in all games he has coached since 1996. Popovich is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game as the coach of San Antonio. Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Clippers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Southwest. Spurs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clippers. Los Angeles has held three of its last four opponents to 88 or fewer points and leads the NBA by allowing just 90.4 per outing.Los Angeles C DeAndre Jordan collected a season-best 21 rebounds against Memphis and is averaging 13.2 per game. San Antonio PG Tony Parker (knee) missed Friday’s game and coach Gregg Popovich said he will be “out for a week or so.” Take Los Angeles Clippers. | |||||||
11-05-16 | Alabama v. LSU +7.5 | Top | 10-0 | Loss | -108 | 37 h 58 m | Show |
50* graded play on LSU as they take on Alabama in SEC action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great opportunity to win the game and upset no.1 Alabama. Given this compelling projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 40* play on the line and a 10* play using the money line. We never know when these dogs will win the game. What we do know is that if you we play these dogs as combination wagers it serves to add another 11% in total return to overall profitability spanning an entire season. Every season for the past 8 seasons, we have had a dog of greater than 17 points win the game outright. This year we had Kansas at 28 ½ against TCU and TCU needed a last-minute score to come away with a 1-point win. Although LSU is not a 17-point dog, it is one that certainly qualifies for the combination wager. The key part of this combination wager is that we MUST have a money line => +140 for the ROI to be validated. If ever, you cannot get that line, simply play the dog on the line only. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-5 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 1992. Road favorites (ALABAMA) with an excellent rushing defense allowing 2.75 or less rushing yards/carry, after gaining 275 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. Here is a second system that supports LSU and has gone 26-6 ATS for 81% winners since 1992. Play on a home team (LSU) in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games.
Now onto the technical that match the SIM projections for the outcome of this game. · Alabama is just 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points. · Alabama is just 13-39 ATS (-29.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. · Alabama is just 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards. · LSU is a stout 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards. · LSU is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt. · LSU is a solid 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Alabama rolls into Baton Rouge as the top team in the nation again and takes on a hot LSU Tiger team. The Tigers are 5-2 with both losses being on the road by a total of 7 points against Wisconsin and Auburn with a late TD being pulled off the board against Auburn. This should be another classic Alabama and LSU slugfest. Alabama Quarterback has struggled some in big games throwing at least one pick in each of the big games this year, but the Defense has bailed the offense out and the Tide eventually wore down the opponent. Both teams come off a bye and should be fresh in this one. Leonard Fournette is heating up lately and the Tiger ground game has been rolling Fournette is averaging 8 yards per carry and this should keep the Tigers defense off the field and have some legs late in this one. If LSU can keep the Bama defense from scoring this one should be a dog fight all afternoon. Geaux Tigers today. Titan). | |||||||
11-05-16 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 3-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Nebraska in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by at least 21 points. It is rare that you get the public enamored with a DOG, but they are with Nebraska. At first glance, it is natural to think a strong team like Nebraska is getting far too many points and think it is a gift. Only 22% of bets have been on OSU, BUT the line has moved 4.5 points higher. This clearly reflects numerous large bets made on Ohio State that more than offset the public’s irrational exuberance on Nebraska. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OSU is a strong 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they rush for 250 to 300 yards over the last three seasons.; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt over the last three seasons.; 132-44 ATS (+83.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points; 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 1.5 to 2 yards/play Fundamental Discussion Points Ohio State -17 versus Nebraska The Buckeyes come off a tough three-game stretch where they were in tight games each week; Nebraska took its first loss last week in Madison against the physical Badgers. We look for Nebraska to come into this one with a little hangover and the horseshoe is not the place for that. Look for the Buckeyes to get the train rolling again this week. JT Barrett comes into this one complete INC 64% of his passes for 272 yards per game, and we look for another strong effort from the Buckeye defense today. Nebraska has not had a signature win as of late, and we look for Tommy Armstrong and the Cornhusker Offense to struggle in Columbus today. Armstrong has 11 TD passes but seven picks to go with that. Ohio State has averaged over 42 points per game, and we look for more of the same as Brutus flexes his muscles today. | |||||||
11-05-16 | Hurricanes v. Predators -164 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -164 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on Nashville as they take on Carolina in NHL action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Nashville will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Carolina is 6-18 ATS (-26.6 Units) when they allow their opponents to get 27-31 shots on goal over the last 2 seasons; 2-9 ATS (-8.0 Units) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons; 0-7 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons. Nashville is 155-120 ATS (+283.0 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games since 1996. Hurricanes are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Hurricanes are 2-9 in their last 11 overall. Hurricanes are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Hurricanes are 0-7 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Predators are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. Predators are 42-13 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. At home Nashville is 9-2 (+7.3 Units) against the spread versus Carolina since 1996 . Fundamental Discussion Points Cam Ward (six games) and Eddie Lack (three) have not been able help the Hurricanes pull out games while turning aside just 87.4 percent of the shots faced. Nashville went into Friday tied for the league lead with 12 power-play goals and stood second in percentage (30.0). Nashville G Pekka Rinne has been outstanding against the Hurricanes with a 6-1-0 record and .940 save percentage in seven games. Take Nashville Predators. | |||||||
11-05-16 | Iowa v. Penn State -6.5 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Iowa in BIG TEN action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa is a money losing 19-61 ATS (-48.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; PSU is a stout 109-37 ATS (+68.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992; 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play since 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points After PSU’s recent rankings, many in the college football community believe they were over ranked, and the Penn State football team has a lot to prove this weekend. Coming off of wins the past four weeks, the PSU squad has a ton of momentum going into this game. Trace McSorley (55.2% completion percent, 12 TD, 3 Int) and Saquon Barkley (888 rush yds, ten rush TD, 213 receiving yds, 1 receiving TD) have been carrying the offense for the team, and will likely be a force again this week against Iowa. Iowa’s offense has been largely inconsistent throughout the year, and might put up a struggle to the PSU defense, but will likely not be able to overpower them. Lastly, the chemistry of the Penn State team gives them an added edge – another white out game under the lights at Beaver Stadium and a team that is clicking on all cylinders with its coach is going to be a force to be reckoned with. Expect PSU to continue their winning streak in this Big Ten action this week versus Iowa. | |||||||
11-05-16 | Devils v. Lightning -165 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
The New Jersey Devils head south Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning. It’s the third and final meeting between these two teams in the 2016-2017 season and thus far they have split 1-1. The Lightning come into the game averaging 3.18 goals per game and the Devils sit at just 2.22 goals per game. The Lightnings Power Play is third best in the league scoring on 26.7 percent of power plays. The Lightning need to get back on track and after a 6 game road trip they finally come home and this is the perfect time for them to do so. Look for the Lightnings high powered offense to get the job done at home today. Take the Lightning at -175. | |||||||
11-05-16 | Oregon v. USC -17 | Top | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Southern Cal as they take on Oregon in PAC-12 action set to start at 4:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2005. Play on home favorites (USC) after gaining 575 or more total yards/game over their last two games, with five defensive starters returning. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last three seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points As defined and graded by the SIM we are back with the Trojans taking on Oregon this week. USC has the ground game going lately, and the Duck stop units haven't been seen lately. Oregon is giving up over 42 points per game and the Trojans bring a solid running game, and the passing game has been good as Darnold has completed67.4 % of his passes and has thrown 18 touchdown passes with only three picks on the year. USC has one of the top OL in the nation ranking 19th in our S&P style metrics this season. Note too that when playing against the better offenses Oregon has given up over 50 points per game, and we see more of that today as the Trojans take out some frustrations on the Ducks while they are down. Fight On tonight. | |||||||
11-05-16 | Navy v. Notre Dame -7 | Top | 28-27 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Notre Dame as they take on Navy in NCAA action set to start at 11:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Notre Dame will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Navy is just 20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play; 47-21 ATS (+23.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. ND is a solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt. Fundamental Discussion Points This game will be played in Jacksonville and we look for more of what we seen from Navy last week as the Defense gave up 52 points. Notre Dame has too many skilled players and should move the ball with ease today. The strength of the Irish is the run defense which should help today and not put the pressure on the weak secondary. Navy throws for 147 per game but that requires the running game to help the passing game, ND secondary can match up against this class. ND typically wins this one with ease when laying the small number at neutral sites and struggles when laying the big numbers. Look for Deshone Keizer to have a big day with a lot of receivers running free today. The Irish should also be able to control the ground game in this one. | |||||||
11-04-16 | Hornets v. Nets UNDER 206 | Top | 99-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
25* graded play ’UNDER’ Brooklyn-Charlotte in set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 200 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 126-75 over the last 5 seasons good for 62.7% winners and made a nice 43.5 units/unit wagered. Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHARLOTTE) - good ball handling team from last season - committed under 14 turnovers/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Brooklyn is 56-37 UNDER (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons; 79-49 UNDER (+25.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 since 1996. In Brooklyn 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER the total over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-0 in Hornets last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 6-1 in Nets last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Fundamental Discussion Points “It all starts on the defensive end for us," Zeller told the team's website after the win over Philadelphia. "We had 15 deflections in the first half and 17 in the third quarter alone. Deflections are a big thing in charting our defensive activity. That’s what we’re going to need moving forward." With this defensive focus and a rash of injuries at the point guard spot for the Nets, they won't reach 200 points total this game. Take the UNDER. | |||||||
11-04-16 | Heat +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 87-96 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami as they take on Toronto in NBA action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Spoelstra is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of Miami. Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 Friday games. Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Tyler Johnson was injured and then buried behind Joe Johnson and Wade in the playoffs last season but is getting a chance as the sixth man this season and scored in double figures in each of the first four games, including 22 points on 7-of-11 shooting in 32 minutes on Tuesday. Heat G Dion Waiters had his first 20-point outing since joining the team with 20 against the Kings. Take the Miami Heat. | |||||||
11-04-16 | Hawks +2 v. Wizards | Top | 92-95 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 62-29 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.1% winners and made 30.1 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs (ATLANTA) - horrible foul drawing team from last season - attempted under 21 free throws/game. Another proven system supports this play posting a 309-213 since 1996 good for 59.2% winners and made a huge 74.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home favorites (WASHINGTON) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, first half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Atlanta is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons. Budenholzer is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) on Friday nights as the coach of Atlanta. Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Wizards are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Wizards are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Hawks are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Washington. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Dwight Howard played his best game of the early season against LA while posting a team-high 31 points to go along with 11 rebounds. Howard is averaging 15.5 points per game and was tied for fifth in the NBA in rebounding (12.0) through Wednesday. Atlanta leads the league in steals per game (11.3) and ranks second in assists (28.3) entering Thursday. Washington is last in the NBA in opponents’ field-goal percentage (49.8 percent). Take Atlanta Hawks. | |||||||
11-03-16 | UCLA v. Colorado -13 | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Colorado as they take on UCLA in Thursday PAC-12 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game by at least 17 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Colorado is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season. UCLA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 2 seasons. MacIntyre is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games as the coach of Colorado. Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Bruins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Bruins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Buffaloes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Buffaloes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Fundamental Discussion Points UCLA's Fafaul is coming off a wild, up-and-down outing Oct. 22 against Utah in which he threw for 464 yards and five touchdowns while also tossing four interceptions and losing a fumble in a 52-45 home loss. Buffaloes have been particularly tough against opposing passers, notching 11 interceptions while allowing only eight aerial TDs behind a secondary featuring safety Tedric Thompson (Pac-12-most four interceptions) and cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon (Pac-12-most 13 passes defensed). The Buffaloes are getting it done on both sides of the ball, joining Alabama, Ohio State and Louisville as the only teams to rank in the top-20 nationally in total offense and defense at 19th and 12th, respectively. With this all-around strong team against a struggling UCLA, Take Colorado Buffaloes. | |||||||
11-03-16 | Falcons -4 v. Bucs | Top | 43-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Atlanta Falcons as they take on the Tampa Bay Bucs in Thursday NFL action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tampa Bay is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse since 1992 and they are 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992. Atlanta is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992. Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. Buccaneers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass. Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Favorite is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Matt Ryan leads the league in both yards (2,636) and touchdowns (19), has thrown for 1,000 yards and five scores in his last three encounters with Tampa Bay and faces a Buccaneers defense that ranks 23rd in the league (274.7 yards per contest). The Bucs won't have nearly the same offensive lineup they had around quarterback Jameis Winston in the first meeting. Doug Martin and Charles Sims, the team's top two running backs, are injured as is No. 2 receiver Vincent Jackson, Jacquizz Rodgers (another running back), and tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins. This will be Atlanta Falcons' game. | |||||||
11-02-16 | Cubs v. Indians +109 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Cleveland Indians as they take on Chicago Cubs in Game 7 of the 2016 MLB World Series set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win Game 7 and the 2016 World Series. I also like adding a 5* play using the – 1 ½ RUN LINE and also a 5* play using the -2 ½ RUN LINE. So, safe to say the projections call for the Indians to get out fast and never look back. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 66.3% winners and made 36.5 units/unit wagered. Play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is 24-8 (+18.7 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season. Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cubs are 3-7 in Hendricks' last 10 Wednesday starts. Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 11-3 in their last 14 games on grass. Indians are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Indians are 13-4 in their last 17 overall. Indians are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. National League Central. Indians are 15-5 in their last 20 interleague games. Indians are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 16-6 in their last 22 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 24-9 in their last 33 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 46-18 in their last 64 home games. Indians are 5-0 in Kluber's last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 7-1 in Kluber's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 6-1 in Kluber's last 7 starts vs. National League Central. Indians are 6-1 in Kluber's last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 11-2 in Kluber's last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Indians are 22-5 in Kluber's last 27 starts on grass. Indians are 4-1 in Kluber's last 5 Wednesday starts. Indians are 4-1 in Kluber's last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 20-6 in Kluber's last 26 starts. Fundamental Discussion Points There will be at least 40 million viewers for Game 7 and is certainly very good for the sport given the declining viewership in the NFL this season. Kluber is attempting to be the second pitcher to record 3 wins in a single WS and if he does win, he will be the unaminous MVP choice. One situation is certain in this game. The longer Cleveland is in the game and the more likely Cubs will have to use an uncertain bullpen, the better the chances for the Indians. Twitter went ‘nuts’ last night when Chapman entered the game with a 5-run lead. He threw 20 pitches over a 2 inning span, but gave up a 2-run HR to Napoli. It is rare that Maddon ever gets caught with his pants down, but when the HR occurred and he had NO ONE warming up in the bullpen it forced Chapman to throw more pitches. It certainly points to the current lack of confidence Maddon has with his middle relief. Of the available bullpen pitchers, they have combined for a 5.40 ERA and 1.54 WHIP over their last 3 games. Now, its’ Game 7 and all hands will be on deck, but it will be very interesting to see how Chapman is greeted by the Indian hitters if the game is close. There have been 36 winner-take-all World Series Game 7s, most recently two years ago when the Giants defeated the Royals. The National League has the edge over the American League in Game 7s, having won 22, and four of the past five, dating back to 1997. The home team has gone 18-18, but before the Giants won the title at Kauffman Stadium two years ago, the home team had won nine straight dating back to 1982. This would be the second World Series Game 7 for both the Cubs (1945, lost to the Tigers at home) and Indians (1997, lost to the Marlins on the road). Four World Series -- in 1903, '19, '20 and '21 -- were played under a best-of-nine format, and none reached a rubber ninth game. Interesting fun facts for sure. Home field and Kluber will be too much for the Cubs to overcome tonight. I also do not see any significant impact to the Indians with Kluber starting on his third straight short-rest start. The total number of innings with Kluber and Andrews combined will be at least 7 innings with Andrews on full rest. | |||||||
11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5.5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on Portland as they take on Golden State in Western Conference action set to start at 10:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Portland will lose this game by less than 4 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-5 over the last 5 seasons good for 82.8% winners. Play against any team (GOLDEN STATE) - off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Golden State is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games. Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Trail Blazers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Portland will take the floor with some extra motivation after losing to the Warriors in the Western Conference semifinals last spring in five games despite Lillard averaging 31.8 points and 7.6 assists. C.J. McCollum is a strong second scoring option and the Blazers are getting more from center Mason Plumlee in the early going. Portland handed Golden State one of its nine regular-season losses last year with a 137-105 home triumph on Feb. 19 in which Lillard scored 51 points. Take Portland Trailblazers. | |||||||
11-01-16 | Cubs v. Indians +137 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland as they take on Chicago Cubs in World Series action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game and win the World Series as the SIM Algo stated before game 1. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 81-67 over the last 5 seasons good for 54.7% winners and made a nice 48.8 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - excellent defensive catchers - allowing under 0.35 SB's/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less. Another proven system supports this play posting a 117-86 over the last 5 seasons good for 57.6% winners and made 29.8 units/unit wagered. Play Against road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - good offensive team - scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Cubs are 15-22 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game this season. Cleveland is 25-12 (+16.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game this season; 24-7 (+19.7 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season; 46-17 (+20.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season; 14-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season Tomlin's team's record is 13-5 (+9.9 Units) against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season and they are 17-4 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 11-2 in their last 13 games on grass. Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff home games. Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. National League Central. Fundamental Discussion Points Tomlin surrendered two hits in 4 2/3 scoreless innings in Game 3 and the Indians went on to win 1-0. Tomlin allowed two or fewer runs in each of his last eight appearances going back to the regular season and yielded only one home run in that span. Tomlin is going on three days' rest in Game 6 but only threw 58 pitches in Game 3. Indians SS Francisco Lindor is batting .421 in the World Series and hit safely in four of five games. Both teams' pitching stats remain consistent from throughout the playoffs to the World Series with Cleveland posting a 1.80 ERA and a 1.84 ERA respectively, while Chicago is posting a 3.04 ERA and a 3.27 ERA respectively. Take Cleveland Indians. | |||||||
11-01-16 | Blues v. Rangers -129 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Rangers as they take on St. Louis in NHL action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that New York will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. Louis is 0-4 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. The NY Rangers are 76-36 ATS (+25.3 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons and they are 36-12 ATS (+22.5 Units) against poor offensive teams - scoring under 2.55 goals/game over the last 3 seasons. Blues are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 home games. Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Rangers are 19-7 in their last 26 Tuesday games. Fundamental Discussion Points The Blues have been held to one goal in five of their last six games, and they're running into a hot offensive team at MSG tonight. New York's offense is sizzling and they're playing outstanding hockey at home in the early going. The Blues will look to muck it up and slow the hosts down tonight, but I'd rather have the team that's finishing off their plays as opposed to one that's mired in a scoring slump. Take the New York Rangers. | |||||||
10-31-16 | Vikings v. Bears +5 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Chicago Bears as they take on the Minnesota Vikings in MNF action set to start at 8:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a 68% probability that Chicago will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 39-7 mark good for 86% winners using the money line and has made 37 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play against struggling teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) that are good passing teams (6.7-7.3 PY/Att.) and is now facing an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PY/Att.), after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Bears are a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Vikings are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Monday games. Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this game it clearly shows strong reasons to get on board the Bears tonight. | |||||||
10-31-16 | Nuggets +7 v. Raptors | Top | 102-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
25* graded play on Denver as they take on Toronto in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Denver will lose this game by less than 6 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Denver is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons; 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) where both teams score 98 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Malone is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996. Raptors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. Raptors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Toronto. Nuggets are 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings. Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Kyle Lowry is having some trouble finding his form with an 8-of-29 effort in the first two games this season and only four assists and six turnovers on Friday at home against the Cleveland Cavaliers. The bright spot for the Nuggets is the young frontcourt pairing of 22-year-old Jusuf Nurkic and 21-year-old Nikola Jokic. Nurkic took the lead with 23 points and nine rebounds in the opener and Jokic stepped up to deliver 23 points and 17 boards on Saturday. Take Denver Nuggets. | |||||||
10-30-16 | Eagles v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
50* graded play on Dallas as they take on Philadelphia in a mammoth NFC showdown set to start at 4:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game by 10 or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 164-89 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1983. Play against any team (PHILADELPHIA) off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Eagles are just 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) when they allow 150 to 175 rushing yards; 30-62 ATS (-38.2 Units) when they allow 150 or more rushing yards; Dallas is a stout 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they rush for 125 or more yards over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points As the technical point out, the key to this win is the play of the Dallas OL, who have arguably put themselves into the discussion of best all-time. Although, much of the talk entering this game is on the solid play of two rookie QBs, it has been the Eagles defense that has led them to a 4-2 record. However, I do not see this Eagles defensive unit holding up for 60 minutes against the constant ground game pounding. The SIM projects that Dallas will have at least 160 rushing yards and this also control the clock and the pace of play. Also, Zak Prescott will have play action pass play opportunities where he can have a few extra seconds to scan the field. Beasley may ned up being a coverage nightmare for the Eagles, who will be forced to have their LB focused on the run first. This opens up quick hit slant routes in space. Take Dallas. | |||||||
10-30-16 | Packers +3 v. Falcons | Top | 32-33 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on Green Bay as they take on Atlanta in NFC the action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Green Bay will win this game this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-17 ATS mark good for 72% winners since 1983. Play against home teams (ATLANTA) after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game against opponent after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GB is a stout 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points While the Packers’ offense may not be what it once was, Green Bay’s defense continues to impress, especially in the front-seven. First-round pick Kenny Clark is currently fourth in run-stop percentage among 3-4 DEs, veteran Mike Daniels is seventh in pass-rushing productivity among the same group, and former first-round pick Nick Perry is sixth in pass-rushing productivity among 3-4 OLBs. I do believe the GB secondary will disguise coverages involving Julio Jones periodically creating the illusion that Jones is in an ‘under/over’ bracket coverage. I also believe GB will bring pressure more than in past games limiting the time for Ryan to connect with Jones on deep routes. Take Green Bay. | |||||||
10-30-16 | Patriots v. Bills +6.5 | Top | 41-25 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Buffalo as they take on New England in AFC East action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Buffalo will lose this game by less than 5 points and have a chance to pull off the upset AGAIN. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-16 since 1983 (4-0 last 5 seasons) good for 73.8% winners and made 27.4 units/unit wagered. Play on underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. Another proven system supports this play posting a 33-11 over the last 10 seasons good for 77% winners. Play Against favorites (NEW ENGLAND) - revenging a loss against opponent, after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Patriots are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East. Bills are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on turf. Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Bills are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Bills are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC East. Bills are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss. Underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings head-to-head. Fundamental Discussion Points The Bills will get Pro Bowl defensive tackle Marcell Dareus back to sure up their rushing defense their poor performance last week. Buffalo will look to play well over their level in their disappointing loss last week. I believe too much is being made on the Patriots revenge factor in this game. Rex Ryan coached teams have always given Brady a hard fight. The spread is too high and is climbing. Take the Buffalo Bills. | |||||||
10-30-16 | Cardinals +3 v. Panthers | Top | 20-30 | Loss | -117 | 73 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona as they take on Carolina in NFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arizona will win this game to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they rush for 100 to 125 yards over the last 3 seasons; 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing over 350 yards/game since 1992; 53-30 ATS (+20.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing over 5.65 yards/play since 1992; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992. Arians is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of Arizona. Cardinals are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8. Cardinals are 21-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Cardinals are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS loss. Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. Panthers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC. Fundamental Discussion Points Arizona has the second-best defensive rating in the NFL by holding opponents to 289.6 yards per game. The Cardinals haven't surrendered a touchdown in their last two games. Carolina's offense has cranked out 371.5 yards per game for the fourth-best mark in the league. Panthers left tackle Michael Oher stayed in concussion protocol at the beginning of the week, so he may not play. Carolina hasn't been playing well at all and I don't think a bye week will help them. Take Arizona Cardinals. | |||||||
10-29-16 | Washington -10 v. Utah | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Utah in a critical PAC-12 matchup set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 14 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-3 ATS for an amazing 89% winners since 2005. Play against home underdogs (UTAH) after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after 3 straight wins by 21 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is a solid 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Utah is a money losing 21-60 ATS (-45.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) when they allow 35 to 41. Fundamental Discussion Points The Huskies come into this one at 7-0 averaging 43 points per game and only giving up 14. However, the Utes are 7-1 and will be the best team the Huskies have faced this year. Last week UCLA was able to put up a lot of points and exposed the Utah defense. We look for Jake Browning to do more of the same today with plenty of weapons in the skull positions. Browning comes into this game with 26 TD passes and only 2 interceptions. The Huskies also have balance in offense bringing a solid running game averaging 227 yards per game. Washington also can match Utah physically and we don't see Utah keeping pace today and eventually wearing down an the Huskies to control this one and make another statement in the PAC 12. Take the Huskies and lay the points. | |||||||
10-29-16 | Baylor v. Texas +4 | Top | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
50* graded play on Texas as they take on Baylor in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 42* play on the line and a 8* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Note that all of them are using the money line and reflect my strong belief that Texas wins SU. Baylor is just 25-79 against the money line (-71.5 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 7-13 against the money line (-13.1 Units) when they allow 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt; Texas is 31-3 against the money line (+31.7 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards; 30-4 against the money line (+26.4 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards. Fundamental Discussion Points The Baylor team has not really been tested this year, and this is a game that will show how great of a team that they really are. Also, Texas coach Charlie Strong is on the hot seat so far this season, so this is a perfect game for him to prove he can lead this team to victory. With both teams having a lot to prove, expect this game to be hard-fought and difficult. Texas seems to be doing well offensively this year, and expect a big performance from their running back D’onta Foreman this week. The Baylor defense has given up 200 rushing yards to Rice, Oklahoma State, and Iowa State so far this year, so definitely expect Foreman to have a great game. However, it would not be fair to not mention that Texas’ defense is also having trouble. They have allowed 200 rushing yards per game in 2/3 of the past games they have played, on top of struggling to defend the pass or come up with big turnovers. Despite their defensive struggles, I think Texas will capitalize on offense this week in a shootout with Baylor, and will ultimately emerge victorious. | |||||||
10-29-16 | Georgia +7.5 v. Florida | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Georgia as they take on Florida in SEC Cocktail action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Georgia will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting 31-36 mark good for 46% winners and has made 57 units/unit wagered averaging a huge +300 DOG play since 1992. Play against neutral field favorites vs. the money line (FLORIDA) dominant team outgaining their opponents by 1.5 or more yards/play, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgia is a solid 18-5 against the money line (+12.4 Units) in road games when they allow 5 to 5.5 total yards per play. Fundamental Discussion Points Going to the Cocktail Party today and using the Bulldogs of Georgia getting a little over a TD against Florida. Gators have controlled this one lately but we look for another slugfest in this one. Gators come into this one at 5-1 and look to be headed to the SEC Championship game. The Gators bring a solid Defense into this game only allowing 12 points per game, but the offense has not been anything special. Georgia comes in with a 4-3 record with a strong running game and the best running back on the field with Nick Chubb. The Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart was brought here to win these type of games. After getting beat by Vandy at home the defensive minded Smart had two weeks to prepare for this one. Look for a lot of emotion from the Bulldogs today and keep this one a dogfight all day. In a dogfight we want UGA. | |||||||
10-29-16 | Kentucky v. Missouri -6 | Top | 35-21 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
25* graded play on Missouri as they take on Kentucky in SEC action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Missouri will win this game by at least 9 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is a money losing 44-96 ATS (-61.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 20-44 ATS (-28.4 Units) when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 to 6 rushing yards per attempt; Missouri is a stout 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt; 105-33 ATS (+68.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points; 36-10 ATS (+25.0 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards; Fundamental Discussion Points Kentucky comes into this game winning 3-of-4 and have covered all four ATS. Missouri has lost 3 straight and lost those games ATS as well. Kentucky’s rushing defense is not good period. Missouri runs the ball a ton. Tigers have gained 613 rushing yards in their last 2 games against Florida and Middle Tenn. State. Kentucky ranks 91st in the nation allowing 207 rushing yards per game. On the other side of the ball, we see that Kentucky, too, runs the ball and ranks 38th in the nation gaining 202 rushing yards per game. However, the Missouri defense is capable of containing that ground attack and forcing Kentucky to throw the ball to move the chains. Kentucky ranks a terrible 108th averaging 178 passing yards per game. Take the Missouri Tigers. | |||||||
10-29-16 | Penn State -14.5 v. Purdue | Top | 62-24 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Purdue in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by at least 20 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 59-25 ATS mark good for 70% winners since 2010. Play on road favorites (PENN ST) after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a solid 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt; 108-37 ATS (+67.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points; Purdue is just 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt; 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when they allow 400 to 450 total yards. Fundamental Discussion Points. Penn State is coming off an incredible victory against Ohio State last weekend at home, and last week Purdue lost 14-27 to Nebraska. Penn State clearly has the momentum going into this game. Though Penn State offense has been struggling recently, this week they will get reignited against one of the most defenses in the Big Ten, Purdue. Whether it is offensively, defensively, special teams, or coaching, Penn State should win on all fronts. Penn State’s offense will have a field day this Saturday, as Barkley and McSorley will team up against a defense that is allowing on average 441 yards per game. Also, PSU special teams have been excellent recently, and were the reason they were able to upset Ohio State last week. Lastly, last weeks win was definitely huge for Coach Franklin of PSU. Many thought him to be on the hot seat for a while, but this game was huge for building team confidence around him, and this will show throughout the rest of the season. | |||||||
10-28-16 | Indians +190 v. Cubs | Top | 1-0 | Win | 190 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Cleveland Indians as they take on the Chicago Cubs in MLB WS action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 72-78 record good for 48% winners, BUT has made 63 units/unit wagered averaging a +195 DOG play since 1997. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (CLEVELAND) with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest. If we slice this data to include ONLY road dogs the record over the same span becomes 59-62 for 49% winners making 55 units/unit wagered and averages a 197.4 DOG play. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is a stout 23-11 (+14.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Tomlin starts for Cleveland and his team record is a solid 16-4 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Santana will be playing LF for the Indians in order to keep his big bat in the lineup. You will hear a lot of media noise focused on the Santana playing an unfamiliar position tonight. He is the DH for the Indians and Francona has stated that he hopes MLB comes to their senses and makes a rule change that applies to all MLB teams. Either have a DH or do not have a DH. Santana has played four innings in LF back in 2012 so it I s certainly a risk, but one that I do not see having a direct impact to the outcome of the game. I fully expect, though, to see Francona replace Santana in LF once he gets a multi-run lead. Given the SIM projections that CLV will win this game this always implies that Cleveland will get out to a fast start against Kendricks tonight. | |||||||
10-27-16 | Spurs v. Kings +8.5 | Top | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on Sacramento as they take on San Antonio in Western Conference action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Sacramento will lose this game by less than 7 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Spurs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Spurs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 Thursday games. Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Kings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Kings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference. Fundamental Discussion Points Sacramento built a 19-point halftime lead and was never threatened while throttling Phoenix in the opener. All-Star center DeMarcus Cousins scored 24 points and small forward Rudy Gay added 22 to provide the offense while Gay had four of the Kings' five blocked shots. I feel this line is way too inflated because of who these teams just played and that the Kings just played last night. As shown above, the Kings are better with no rest and the Spurs are worse with 1 day of rest. Also C Pau Gasol had just two points in 18 minutes against Golden State in his San Antonio debut. Take the Sacramento Kings. | |||||||
10-27-16 | California v. USC -16 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on USC as they take on California in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game by 21 points or more. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 60-26 ATS mark good for 70% winners since 1992. Play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (CALIFORNIA) with a poor first half defense allowing 16 or more points per game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored. Here is a second system that has produced a 44-17 ATS mark good for 72% winners since 1992. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (USC) after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is a stout 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards; 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt; 118-58 ATS (+54.2 Units) when they score 28 or more points; 28-8 ATS (+19.2 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play. Fundamental Discussion Points Based on the predictive algorithms, USC is a Top-20 team and is playing extremely well right now. They are riding a strong three game win streak and easily defeated Arizona last week. They also knocked off a ranked Colorado team the week before. Cal’s defense is poor ranking 120th allowing 41.3 PPG and 121st allowing 5.7 rushing yards per game. The matchup advantage for USC is pounding the ball on the ground where they rank 33rd gaining 4.9 yards per rush. They have rushed for 501 yards on 86 carries in their last two wins. This has not only worn down a defensive line, but also opened up play action pass plays where USC’s elite receivers have been in man coverage. The same again tonight. | |||||||
10-26-16 | Rockets v. Lakers +6.5 | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Lakers as they take on Houston in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Lakers will lose this game by less than 5 and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is 124-181 ATS (-75.1 Units) when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game since 1996. Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Rockets are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 Wednesday games. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Los Angeles added veterans in center Timofey Mozgov, forward Luol Deng and point guard Jose Calderon. Second-year point guard D'Angelo Russell (13.2 points) experienced a star-crossed season as a rookie while young power forward Julius Randle (11.3 points, 10.2 rebounds) displayed that he's ready to take on a bigger role. For the Lakers it's no longer the Kobe show and they can get to play ball. Take LA Lakers with the points. | |||||||
10-26-16 | Thunder v. 76ers +9 | Top | 103-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on Oklahoma City in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Philly will lose this game by less than 7 points and have a small chance to pull off the upset. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons and they are 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Thunder are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Atlantic. Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. 76ers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Northwest. 76ers are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 vs. Western Conference. Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings head-to-head. Fundamental Discussion Points The Sixers have surprised the betting public over the past few years with how close other teams let them play and by how well they play despite tanking. They always fight hard as a team. Take Philadelphia 76ers. | |||||||
10-26-16 | Nuggets v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 107-102 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on New Orleans as they take on Denver in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that New Orleans will win this game by more than 5 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. New Orleans is 41-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games. Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Fundamental Discussion Points The Pelicans won the last two meetings after the Nuggets won five of the previous six encounters. Even with an injured roster, the Pelicans can come out on top, as they are still favored in this matchup. Take New Orleans Pelicans. | |||||||
10-25-16 | Spurs +9.5 v. Warriors | Top | 129-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on San Antonio as they take on the Golden State Warriors in NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Spurs will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a nice shot at upsetting the Warriors on opening night. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 58-27 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.2% winners and made 28.3 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - horrible foul drawing team from last season - attempted less than 21 free throws/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Antonio is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Just a few years back a high prize free agent joined a team and they didn't mesh well until the end of the season (Cavs). I believe the same will happen with Durant joining the Warriors this season especially when it comes to against the spread. San Antonio is always a good team and likes to play close with Golden State. Take San Antonio Spurs. | |||||||
10-25-16 | Senators v. Canucks -110 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on Vancouver as they take on Ottawa in NHL action set to start at 10:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Vancouver will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vancouver is 21-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Senators are 1-4 in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Senators are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Senators are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Canucks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Canucks are 6-0 in their last 6 home games. Canucks are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Atlantic. Canucks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Senators are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings. Senators are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Vancouver. Take Vancouver Canucks. | |||||||
10-25-16 | Jets +140 v. Stars | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Winnipeg as they take on Dallas in Central Division action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Winnipeg will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Winnipeg is 11-5 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. Jets are 5-2 in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. Jets are 13-6 in their last 19 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals. Stars are 1-5 in their last 6 home games. Stars are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Take Winnipeg Jets. | |||||||
10-25-16 | Cubs v. Indians +105 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 105 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland as they take on the Chicago Cubs in World Series action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game and take the championship. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 39-16 since 1997 good for 70.9% winners and made 24.7 units/unit wagered. Play on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - average AL offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game. Another proven system supports this play posting a 59-30 over the last 5 seasons good for 66.3% winners and made 24.7 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, a top-level team (62% or higher) playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass. Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff home games. Indians are 10-1 in their last 11 overall. Indians are 8-1 in their last 9 games following a win. Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 playoff games. Indians are 12-2 in their last 14 interleague games. Fundamental Discussion Points Kluber has an ERA of 1.17 and a WHIP of 0.522 when starting against the Cubs. Andrew Miller was ALCS MVP and is proving his worth in the playoffs with 21 strikeouts and five hits allowed in 11 2/3 scoreless innings over six games - in each of which he recorded at least four outs. The ALCS went much better for the Indians than the NLCS did for the Cubs taking 2 more games to close out. So far in the playoffs Cleveland has a 1.77 ERA, .208 average against, and 81 strikeouts pitching, while the Cubs have a 2.93 ERA, .222 average against, and 10 less strikeouts despite playing more games. Some may believe in the Cubs' curse to say that's why they had to take 6 games in the championship series to even get here. Take Cleveland Indians. | |||||||
10-25-16 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs +125 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Tampa Bay in Atlantic Division action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 24-10 ATS (+37.4 Units) when they allow 2 or less goals over the last 2 seasons. Tampa Bay is 20-35 ATS (-23.9 Units) against terrible starting goalies - saving less than 88% of shots against since 1996 and they are 18-25 ATS (-16.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons. Lightning are 20-49 in their last 69 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Maple Leafs are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Home team is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings head-to-head. Take Toronto Maple Leafs. | |||||||
10-24-16 | Texans +9 v. Broncos | Top | 9-27 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
50* graded play on Houston as they take on Denver in MNF action set to start at 8:20 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Houston will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-5 mark based on the money line good for 82% winners and has made 22.3 units/unit wagered since 2005. Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, when playing on Monday night. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is a solid 34-10 ATS (+23.0 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points. Denver is a near-imperfect 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons. Texans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games on grass. Texans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Texans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Broncos are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 Monday games. Fundamental Discussion Points The media is making far too much of the return of Osweiler and how GM Elway has had this game circled. Denver's C.J. Anderson has failed to rush for 50 yards in four consecutive games and is starting to lose touches to rookie Devontae Booker. Houston gains 4.1 yards per rush ranking 7 teams higher than Denver, while Denver is known for their defense they rank only 16th in allowing opponents yards per rush of 4.0. Houston also gets called by less penalties as they're ranked 4th in both penalties per game and per play. Denver is ranked 23rd and 25th respectively in those categories. Take Houston Texans to win. | |||||||
10-23-16 | Seahawks +2 v. Cardinals | Top | 6-6 | Win | 100 | 58 h 16 m | Show |
25* graded play on Seattle as they take on Arizona in NFC West action set to start at 8:30 PM ET Sunday. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seattle will win this game and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons and they are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. Arizona is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) off a home blowout win by 21 points or more since 1992. Arians is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after allowing 9 points or less last game as the coach of Arizona. Carroll is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of Seattle. Seattle is 2-0 against the spread at Arizona over the last 3 seasons. Seattle is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 against the division. Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 7. Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Cardinals are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 7. Cardinals are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Fundamental Discussion Points Seattle owns the league's No. 1 defense and is third in points (15.6) and rushing yards (74.6) allowed. Quarterback Russell Wilson, who has a passer rating of at least 121.9 in three of the last four meetings with the Cardinals, guided Seattle to a 36-6 rout at Arizona in the regular-season finale in January. We like the Seahawks in this matchup, despite Palmer being back, we think Arizona still has a lot of question marks on the offensive side of the ball, a unit which led the league in scoring last year. Seahawks DE Cliff Avril has four sacks and a forced fumble in the last four games versus Arizona. Take Seattle Seahawks with the points. | |||||||
10-23-16 | Vikings -3 v. Eagles | Top | 10-21 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota Vikings as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in NFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game by 11 or more points. How to best this game I also have a 25* play on the UNDER of this game where the SIM Algorithm projects that fewer than 35 points will be scored in this game. Given the strength of both plays consider adding a 5* reverse parlay wager that pays 4:1. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 62-27 mark good for 70% winners since 2005. Play on any team (MINNESOTA) off 1 or more straight overs, a good offensive team (23-27 PPG) against a good defensive team (14-18 PPG). Here is a second system supporting the ‘UNDER’ play and has gone 60-26 ‘under’ for 70% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vikes are a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons.; Eagles are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons. Vikes are a near-perfect 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Eagles come into this game losing two in a row after a hot start. Losing right tackle Lane Johnson really had a big effect on the offensive game plan last week for the Eagle Offense. Keeping tight ends in to block and using Running backs to chip will not help the Eagle offense as they now go against the NFL's best defense. The Vikings come into this game suffocating offenses and are also plus 11 in turnovers on the season. After a good start the Eagles Defense looked a lot like last years’ defense the last two weeks. Sam Bradford returns to Philadelphia playing well for the Vikings completing 70% of his passes for 247 yards per game, but more importantly has not had any interceptions this year while throwing for 6 Touchdowns. Minnesota has been a real money maker the last two years and come into this one covering the first 5 weeks this year and we look for the Vikings to make it 6 straight wins. | |||||||
10-23-16 | Vikings v. Eagles UNDER 39.5 | Top | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota Vikings as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in NFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game by 11 or more points. How to best this game I also have a 25* play on the UNDER of this game where the SIM Algorithm projects that fewer than 35 points will be scored in this game. Given the strength of both plays consider adding a 5* reverse parlay wager that pays 4:1. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 62-27 mark good for 70% winners since 2005. Play on any team (MINNESOTA) off 1 or more straight overs, a good offensive team (23-27 PPG) against a good defensive team (14-18 PPG). Here is a second system supporting the ‘UNDER’ play and has gone 60-26 ‘under’ for 70% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vikes are a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons.; Eagles are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons. Vikes are a near-perfect 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Eagles come into this game losing two in a row after a hot start. Losing right tackle Lane Johnson really had a big effect on the offensive game plan last week for the Eagle Offense. Keeping tight ends in to block and using Running backs to chip will not help the Eagle offense as they now go against the NFL's best defense. The Vikings come into this game suffocating offenses and are also plus 11 in turnovers on the season. After a good start the Eagles Defense looked a lot like last years’ defense the last two weeks. Sam Bradford returns to Philadelphia playing well for the Vikings completing 70% of his passes for 247 yards per game, but more importantly has not had any interceptions this year while throwing for 6 Touchdowns. Minnesota has been a real money maker the last two years and come into this one covering the first 5 weeks this year and we look for the Vikings to make it 6 straight wins. | |||||||
10-23-16 | Giants v. Rams +3 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Los Angeles Rams as they take on the NY Giants in NFC action set to start at 9:30 AM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will lose this game by less than 2 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Rams are 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games when both teams score 20 or more points since 1992. Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf. Giants are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Giants are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Giants are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC. Rams are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points The Rams' passing attack was incredible against the Lions, and quarterback Case Keenum had a career day. Keenum threw for 321 yards and two touchdowns, and at one point he completed 19 straight passes.The Rams will keep that formula going against a Giants passing defense that is ranked 22nd in the NFL and gives up an average of 266.8 yards per game. New York S Nat Behre (concussion) had to be removed from practice on Wednesday and remains in the league's protocol. OBJ suffered a hip pointer in the win over the Ravens and was able to return to the game, but he has been receiving treatment for the injury this week and sat out practice on Wednesday. Eli is a different quarterback when away from home. Take LA Rams with the points. | |||||||
10-22-16 | Washington State v. Arizona State +7.5 | Top | 37-32 | Win | 100 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on California in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will lose this game and may win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-11 ATS good for 75% winners since 2005. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARIZONA ST) that is a struggling team outgained by their opponents by 75 or more yards/game, after gaining 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ASU is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when their defense allows 400 or more net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points For this game we head out to the desert in Tempe, Arizona at Sun Devil Stadium where the Washington State Cougars take on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Arizona St. comes into this game at 5-2 on the season and 4-0 at home where they average 46.5 points per game and average 463 yards of offense in those games. Meanwhile Washington St. sits at 4-2 but have won their last 4 games after starting the season 0-2. Washington St. averages 542 passing Yards per game and the Arizona State defense gives up an average of 385 yards through the air each week. We look for Washington St. to air the ball out on offense and score some points but Arizona State loves to play in front of their home crowd and they too can score some points. Look for this to be a more offensive type game with a decent amount of points being scored but Arizona St. should keep it close at home. Take Arizona State at home with the points. | |||||||
10-22-16 | Dodgers -130 v. Cubs | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on the Chicago Cubs in NLCS action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game and take the entire series. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 93-38 over the last 5 seasons good for 71% winners and made 42 units/unit wagered. Play against all underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, a top-level team (62% or more) playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cubs are 5-12 (-10.4 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season and are 187-206 (-68.0 Units) against the money line in home games after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span since 1997. Dodgers are 11-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. Maddon is 22-33 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games in all games he has managed since 1997. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 Saturday games. Dodgers are 12-5 in their last 17 games following a loss. Dodgers are 17-8 in their last 25 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Cubs are 3-9 in their last 12 League Championship games. Cubs are 2-6 in their last 8 Saturday games. Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 League Championship home games. Fundamental Discussion Points Kershaw is 6-3 when starting against the Cubs with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 0.972. Kershaw allowed two hits in seven scoreless innings to earn the win in Game 2 at Wrigley Field. Dodgers 3B Justin Turner has reached base safely in 15 straight postseason games. Chicago RF Jason Heyward is batting .071 in the postseason, including 1-for-16 in the NLCS. Los Angeles committed five errors, leading to five unearned runs, in the last two games. I have confidence they've shored that up. Take LA Dodgers. | |||||||
10-22-16 | Utah v. UCLA -6.5 | Top | 52-45 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
50* graded play on UCLA as they take on Utah in PAC-12 action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by at least 10 points. The 50* play is the strongest possible play identified by the algorthims. Applying many machine learning and predictive modeling tools (Beyasian probabilities) to 30-years of historical results provide the most optimal forward looking predictive tools available right now. Unlike traditional probability, which uses a frequency to try to estimate probability, Bayesian probability is generally expressed as a percentage. In its most basic form, it is the measure of confidence, or belief, that a person holds in a proposition. Using Bayesian probability allows a researcher to judge the amount of confidence that they have in a particular result. As you readily see, these technologies are useful in many industries including insurance, banking, investment banking, human clinical trial analyses, biochemical based research, and of course sports predictive modeling. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Utah has been a money losing 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points; UCLA is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games when they allow 3.5 to 4 rushing yards per attempt; 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when they allow 4 to 4.5 total yards per play. Betting consensus figures also show a rather rare situation where the public has reached ‘red flag’ levels on the DOG. As we know, the public loves betting the favorites, so when betting levels exceed 70% on a dog it only adds more support to the Algorithm projections. 71% of all best have been on Utah. However, the line has moved from UCLA -6 to UCLA -7 at most of the major books I monitor. This too is a positive, since it reflects the large ‘smart money’ is more than offsetting the public’s irrational exuberance for Utah. Fundamental Discussion Points UCLA has a very strong passing game that has not been held in check in any game this season. Utah has been pounded by the ground game in their last two games and I believe there will be ample running room for the Bruin RB. Although, not necessary, if UCLA does establish the run early in this game, it will put the Utah secondary in man coverage on the perimeter and will be greatly mismatched against faster, quicker, and bigger playmakers. | |||||||
10-22-16 | Texas A&M +18 v. Alabama | Top | 14-33 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
25* graded play on Texas A&M as they take on Alabama in SEC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas A&M will lose this game by fewer than 17 points and has an outside shot a major upset of No. 1 Alabama. If you get access to a money line, then simply add a 3* amount to the 25* play using the line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-6 ATS mark good for 82% winners and has made 21 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play on road underdogs (TEXAS A&M) after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams posting win percentages >= 80% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Alabama is a money burning 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when the total is between 56.5 and 63; 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games after allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Texas A&M +18 versus Alabama The Aggies head to Tuscaloosa to take on the Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Aggies come into this game at 6-0 with quality wins over Auburn, Arkansas, and Tennessee. Texas A&M comes into this game averaging 274 rushing yards per game and 6.8 yards per carry. This powerful rushing game includes Trayveon Williams (5 TD’s) and also a very versatile QB in Trevor Knight who has 9 rushing touchdowns this season. Look for A&M’s power rushing to slow down this game and keep their defense off the field and well rested to match up against that Alabama offense that averages just over 500 yards of offense per game. Playing Alabama at home is never a small task but look for Texas A&M to give it all they got for this big SEC matchup in Tuscaloosa and for them to keep it close and give Alabama a fight at home. Take Texas A&M with the points. | |||||||
10-22-16 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +4 | Top | 17-9 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Iowa as they take on Wisconsin in Big Ten action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Iowa will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-3 mark good for 90% winners and has made 23 units/unit wagered since 1992. Play against a road team vs. the money line (WISCONSIN) off 2 covers where the team lost as an underdog against opponent off a road win. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa is a solid 20-7 against the money line (+16.1 Units) in home games when they score 22 to 28 points; 22-4 against the money line (+18.2 Units) in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. Fundamental Discussion Points The Wisconsin Badgers take a trip to Iowa City, Iowa this weekend to take on the Hawkeyes at Kinnick Stadium. Iowa sits at 5-2 on the year and 3-1 in conference play just one game behind Nebraska in the Big Ten West Division. We look for this to be a lower scoring affair so look for turnovers and field position to play a big part in this game. Wisconsin has turned the ball over 11 times this year while Iowa has only turned it over 5 times. Wisconsin QB’s have thrown 7 touchdowns this year but have thrown 8 interceptions and in a Conference game like this, turnovers must be at a minimum. Look for Iowa’s offense to move the ball steadily with running back Akrum Wadley who averages 7.4 yards per carry and also in the air with QB C.J. Beathard who has a 60% completion percentage and 11 touchdowns this year. The Hawkeyes have a great shot at winning this game at home against 10th ranked Wisconsin. Take Iowa with the points. | |||||||
10-21-16 | Oregon +150 v. California | Top | 49-52 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oregon as they take on California in PAC-12 the action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oregon will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 1992. Play on road underdogs (OREGON) after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games. Here is a money line system that has produced an amazing 100-30 mark good for 77% winners and has made 82 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on a road team vs. the money line (OREGON) excellent rushing team (>=4.8 YPR) against a team with a terrible rushing defense (>=4.8 YPR), in conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oregon is a solid 41-14 ATS (+25.6 Units) when they rush for 300 or more yards; 50-14 ATS (+34.6 Units) when they gain 550 or more total yard; Cal has been a horrid 3-24 ATS (-23.4 Units) when they allow 42 to 48 points; 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) when they allow 550 or more total yards. | |||||||
10-20-16 | BYU +7 v. Boise State | Top | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on BYU as they take on Boise State in NCAAF action set to start at 10:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that BYU will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a solid opportunity to win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting 36-11 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1992. Play against home favorites (BOISE ST) after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. BYU is 4-2 against the spread versus Boise State since 1992. Cougars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Cougars are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 vs. MWC. Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Broncos are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Boise State’s last 3 wins have not been as dominant as one would have thought and the Broncos are only 2-4 ATS on the season. On the other hand, BYU is 4-0 ATS as an underdog. BYU has had close games this year and also Boise has not been a good covering team. BYU's Jamaal Williams is ranked 4th in the nation with 134 yards a game rushing. Senior quarterback Taysom Hill threw three touchdown passes in Friday's 28-21 double-overtime victory over Mississippi State and has accounted for 13 touchdowns (nine passing, four rushing) this season. Senior running back Jamaal Williams (3,468) became the school's all-time rushing list in the Mississippi State contest - surpassing Harvey Unga (3,455 from 2006-09) - and has rushed for 942 yards (second-most nationally) and 10 touchdowns this season. Nacua, a senior, is tied for the national lead with five interceptions and has 13 in his career while sophomore linebacker Francis Bernard (48 tackles) racked up a career-best 16 tackles against the Bulldogs. | |||||||
10-20-16 | Miami (Fla) v. Virginia Tech -6 | Top | 16-37 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on Virginia tech as they take on Miami (Fla) in ACC Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that V-Tech will win this game by 10 or more points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. V-Tech is a solid 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards. Miami has been a money burning 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) off 2 or more consecutive ‘unders’; 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Hokies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Hokies are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 Thursday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Miami's Brad Kaaya-led offense has struggled (32 points in the losses) with the line shouldering much of the blame. Coach Justin Fuente's defense was ranked No. 3 nationally in yards allowed per game before Syracuse totaled 561 yards, ran 100 offensive plays and scored on its final two possessions. Evans (ACC-best 170.7 QB rating, 17 touchdown passes, 319 yards rushing) is the third straight quarterback Miami faces who is as dangerous as a runner as he is passer, with the previous two having success both ways against the Hurricanes. VT's Travon McMillian posted 16 carries, 99 yards, averaging 6.2 YPC in the last Miami game and Isaiah Ford is doing well posting 32 catches and five TDs. Take Virginia Tech. | |||||||
10-18-16 | Cubs v. Dodgers +114 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 114 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on the Chicago Cubs in NLCS Game 3 action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. There has been the emergence of alternate and -2 ½ Run Lines this season and they will offer added opportunity for many of our releases. For this play consider playing a 20* amount on the money line and a 5* play using the alternate –1 ½ run line, which you will see in the +175 range for the Dodgers lined at -1 1/2. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 105-61 over the last 5 seasons good for 63.3% winners and made 41.5 units/unit wagered. Play against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, a top-level team (62% or more) playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dodgers are 36-15 in their last 51 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 16-5 in their last 21 Tuesday games. Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cubs are 1-4 in Arrieta's last 5 starts vs. National League West. Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Cubs are 1-8 in their last 9 League Championship games. Arrieta's team's record is 1-3 (-3.4 units) when starting against the Dodgers. Fundamental Discussion Points Kershaw was amazing in Game 2 and now the Dodgers enter this game with the bullpen completely rested with the exception of Jansen. We anticipate that Hill will go 5 innings and then the bullpen will be engaged. Dodgers pen posted a 2.50 ERA with a 1.018 WHIP in 83 games spanning 302 2/3 innings of work. This is not to say Hill will not pitch longer than 5 innings. After all, he did post a skimpy 2.38 ERA with a 1.048 WHIP in 22 starts spanning 117 2/3 innings with an impressive 142 K’s. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |