01-23-19 |
DePaul v. Marquette -10 | | 69-79 |
Push | 0 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
Taking MARQUETTE. Think we actually have some line value here. DePaul in off big road win over Seton Hall dropping 97. That's good for us. They will be happy with a split when the wheels start falling off the bus in tonight's game. Giving up 93 to the Hall has to have this Marquette team very happy. At home, they are stingy. Allowing 68.66 and 52 to Big East opponents. Think this turns into a 15pt win for the home team. 4* Money Maker MARQUETTE |
01-23-19 |
Florida International v. Florida Atlantic | | 78-74 |
Loss | -105 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
Taking FAU. I know this is still in Florida, and not really a 'road' game. But, this is still 3 straight away for FIU. Lost by 1 at WKU. Tried to keep pace with Marshall and lost 105-97. Now face the Owls, who also just lost to WKU by 6, and Marshall by 12. Not fooled my the FIU scoring average. 4 games of 100 vs fake schools. In conference play, just 2 eclipsing 80, going 1-1. A team shooting 65% from the charity stripe and 29% from 3, on the road. I have to play the home team who I have rated at a minimum, 3-5 points better. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA ATLANTIC |
01-23-19 |
Lehigh v. Navy +5 | | 85-74 |
Loss | -105 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
Taking NAVY. Lehigh in off tough 85-83 loss to top dogs Bucknell. Now they face a tough Navy team. Navy won both games last year. So yeah, a revenge angle for the visitors. But I will grab the points. 4* Money Maker NAVY |
01-23-19 |
La Salle v. Fordham -2.5 | | 73-71 |
Loss | -109 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
Taking FORDHAM. So, I have this line nearly doubled. Small play on the home team. 4* Money Maker FORDHAM RAMS |
01-22-19 |
San Diego State v. Fresno State -7.5 | | 62-66 |
Loss | -105 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
Taking FRESNO. Yes, the underdog is on a 7-2 ATS run in this series. But that has been the Bulldogs. How about Fresno 8-2 ATS last 10 in the series. Aztecs had a nice time winning games in the MWC. But this is a different team. Losing at home to Brown by 21. 24 at Boise. 14 at Air Force. Those are 2 road beat-downs. How about their HC just came from the Aztecs as an assistant the last 5 years. Ya think he might the ins and outs of any guys playing tonight? How about the Fresno Assistant HC. 11 years as a player and coach for the Aztecs. Nah, they aren't looking to stick to their old club tonight. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE |
01-22-19 |
Wolves v. Suns +6 | | 118-91 |
Loss | -110 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
Taking the SUNS. Minny pulled out a 116-114 win at home on Sunday. Revenge time and we are getting a couple buckets. Phoenix beat these guys by 8 back in December as 7.5 dogs. I see more of the same tonight. 4* Money Maker PHOENIX SUNS |
01-22-19 |
Texas A&M v. Florida -11 | | 72-81 |
Loss | -107 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
Laying the big number with FLORIDA. Texas A&M showing some real problems. I mean. 43 points at home vs Missouri? I get losing at home by 20 to Auburn. But shooting 26% on your own court? This team has problems. They have lost to Cal Irvine and Texas Southern. And I like Irvine. But you can't invite them to your home court and lose. Gators at 10-7 but they are losing to legit schools. I think Florida wins this by 15. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS |
01-21-19 |
Kennesaw State +28.5 v. Lipscomb | | 57-86 |
Loss | -109 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
Taking KENNESAW STATE. Now. I do like Lipscomb. I think these guys should in the NCAAs. They are rated that high. But man. Nearly 30 points. 20, even 25 I might get behind. I just think this is too many points. I'm banking on Kennesaw getting 55 points. We get that or more, we should be good. 4* Money Maker KENNESAW STATE |
01-21-19 |
Maryland v. Michigan State -8.5 | | 55-69 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Not being fooled by Terps big win at Ohio State. Yes, nice win. But back to back spot. Tough having close with Sparty. 14-3 ATS run for Michigan State. MSU is a Final Four team in my book, and a double digit favorite. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN STATE |
01-21-19 |
Kings v. Nets -3.5 | | 94-123 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
Taking the NETS. Just like this bunch. Have been playing very good lately. Big win over the Celtics. Then a huge OT win at Houston. They could have easily mailed that one in. But no quit in these guys. Franchise looks like it is turning itself around. Another road game for the Kings, we will fade them with the short home faves. 4* Money Maker BROOKLYN NETS |
01-20-19 |
Patriots v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 37-31 |
Loss | -103 | 101 h 51 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS. So I would really be looking to move on the ML if it gets to about -130. But for the sites here, we will lay the 3 points. I think money will come in on Brady. I had the Chargers last week, and I wish I could have gotten out of it on the sites as by Friday, it seemed the entire world was fading the Patriots. I think the cold and travel was just too much to overcome when you have a NE team on a 16-0 13-3 ATS run at home over their last 16 games. We took that loss and look to bounce back today. KC is tough at home. I know the defense isn't that good, but here, they play a lot better. I think that is the difference maker. Brady and the Patriots haven't won a road playoff game since 2007! Ok, that is 3 Super Bowl losses and a loss at Denver - Look, we have seen NE struggle on the road this season. 3-5. Jags and Lions took it to them. Titans took it to them. 43-40 at home vs KC this year. Last year, Alex Smith 4 TDs 368 yards in a 42-27 KC win. I know Andy Reid doesn't get much love. But he has shown he is tough vs NE. I know it is tough taking Reid and rookie QB over Brady and The Hoodie. Pats scoring and defense all trend down on the road. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS |
01-20-19 |
Oral Roberts +7 v. Denver | | 58-74 |
Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Taking ORAL ROBERTS. Denver might be a small fave since they are home, but not this many points. I think we are getting about 4 extra points in this spot. Dog and road team on a 6-1-1 ATS run in the series. Last year Denver won by 2 in OT and by 1 here as 5pt faves. 4* Money Maker ORAL ROBERTS |
01-20-19 |
Missouri State v. Drake -3 | | 63-74 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Taking DRAKE. First, a tough Saturday of College Hoops. Sometimes it happens. Can't win every game or every day. Back to the grind today. - So I like Drake in this spot. I know they are without their guard Norton. 2-2 in MVC play without him. They are 7-1 at home this season. Home team 17-7 ATS last 24 in the series. Drake 23-8-1 ATS last 32 at home. Drake 12-3-1 ATS last 16 overall. Missouri State 11-23 ATS last 34 and 3-8 ATS last 11 on the road. They are 1-4 ATS last 5 vs Drake and 0-5 ATS last 5 here. I think this line should be double. 4* Money Maker DRAKE |
01-20-19 |
Rams v. Saints -3.5 | Top | 26-23 |
Loss | -100 | 97 h 8 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Pretty easy thinking here for me. Right off the bat, I though they would roll over Philly last week. That first quarter sunk any hope of a big win. But we move on. So home teams in Championship Round a perfect 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS. New Orleans defense also playing much better football. Forget that last game vs Carolina. That was an exhibition game for the Saints. We remove those 33 points and we see NO defense giving up 14.5ppg. Also. Rams at home, 1 team, Rams on the road, a different team. How about Goff with 10TD 9INTs on the road this year. I'll back Brees and Payton, the old guys, over the new kids on the block, McVay and Goff. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
01-20-19 |
Providence v. Marquette -5.5 | | 68-79 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 25 m | Show |
Taking MARQUETTE. 2 OT games the last 5. Last 6 games decided by 2-5-4-1-5-1. So, some tough battles. But we see the Friars just 4-14 ATS last 18 in this series. I see 1-3 and 4-1 conference play records. Tells me 1 team is for real. I think this line is off by about 3 points when all is said and done. 4* Money Maker MARQUETTE |
01-19-19 |
Murray State -14 v. SIU-Edwardsville | | 82-72 |
Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Taking MURRAY STATE. Still looks like these guys are the class of the OVC. 5-0 and looking to roll SIUE who gives up 80ppg. To score on a team that gives up 65ppg when you shoot 40% from the field. Murray 13-3 ATS last 16 on the road and 8-1 ATS L9 vs OVC. Races with edges across the board. Home the 24th vs Belmont,- though I don't think it is a look ahead with the time off and Murray being home. I have this number at 17. 4* Money Maker MURRAY STATE |
01-19-19 |
Furman v. Wofford -7 | | 54-59 |
Loss | -109 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Taking WOFFORD. Adding some late CBB today. Going against some of these moves. I have these final teams rated a minimum 2-3pts better than these number. I know Furman is tough. 24pt winners last game they played. But , 1-7 ATS last 8 here. Wofford 10-3 ATS last 13 vs SoCon foes. 4* Money Maker WOFFORD |
01-19-19 |
Tennessee-Martin v. Morehead State -6.5 | | 77-85 |
Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
Taking MOREHEAD. Not like either of these teams or lighting things up. Both not going anywhere. But Tenn Martin is flat out bad. Bad- Bad. 0-9 on the road bad. 0-5 in conference play. Morehead beat them by 17 here last season. In off a 24 road loss, Tenn Martin does have a pair of OT road losses under the belt, losing both by 5. Morehead far from a great shooting team. Just think that in their 2nd straight back to back, the home team will pull away from UTM. 4* Money Maker MOREHEAD STATE |
01-19-19 |
Massachusetts v. VCU -8.5 | | 50-68 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
Taking VCU. And another. Have this one at 12, and I can get it at 8.5. 4* Money Maker VCU |
01-19-19 |
Montana State +4 v. Eastern Washington | | 81-84 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 20 m | Show |
Taking MONTANA STATE. Will grab these guys getting a couple buckets. Value play for me here. I know that sometimes when seeing a 4 win team laying to a 7 win team I would look at that team. But the numbers show me Eastern Washington is what they are. A 4 win team that that shoots 39% from the field. Better shooting from the visitors, and we are catching a couple buckets. 4* Money Maker MONTANA STATE |
01-19-19 |
Arkansas State v. Texas State -12.5 | | 64-77 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS STATE. Grabbing the Bobcats. These guys playing very good out of the gate in Sun Belt action. Better shooting team gets it done this afternoon. Red Wolves 2-7 ATS run on the road, while Texas State 5-2 ATS last 7 at home. 4* TEXAS STATE BOBCATS |
01-19-19 |
Elon v. William & Mary -10.5 | | 76-71 |
Loss | -100 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
Taking WILLIAM & MARY. Tribe really control these guys with a 7-2 ATS run and 5-1 ATS here at home. How about a 8-22 ATS road run for Elon? 1-5 in CAA play with a 12 and 14pt road losses already under their belts. Scoring 64 a game on the road isn't a recipe for success, especially when facing a team that puts up 80 on their home court. 4* Money Maker WILLIAM & MARY |
01-19-19 |
Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina -5.5 | | 72-89 |
Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
Taking COASTAL CAROLINA. Appy in with 5 straight losses and 7 in their last 9. Neither team Sun Belt royalty. That being said, will take the home faves to get it done. Have them rated a couple points better than this line. 4* Money Maker COASTAL CAROLINA |
01-19-19 |
Oakland v. Detroit -3.5 | | 79-73 |
Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
Taking DETROIT. Both teams surprising me in conference play so far. But I am taking Detroit in a triple revenge spot. Oakland is the better shooting team. But when I see this number, not like Detroit has some overwhelming home court edge. I think they are trying to get us to grab that ole 'low hanging fruit' for something that looks easy. Detroit looking strong at home so far vs Horizon foes. I'll lay it. 4* Money Maker DETROIT |
01-19-19 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Indiana State +4 | | 75-67 |
Loss | -110 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
Taking INDIANA STATE. A little home dog action in the Valley. Last time these two played - 79-44 Loy Chi. Ramblers in off of crushing Valpo and I think we have a bit of an inflated line. Huge revenging dog angle, plus a let-down off monster win. Sycamores the call. 4* Money Maker INDIANA STATE |
01-19-19 |
Niagara v. Quinnipiac -5.5 | | 75-72 |
Loss | -110 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
Taking QUINNIPIAC. Niagara with 3 straight wins over the home team. Time for payback. Looking at their conference play and who they have played already this year, I think this line is short at least a bucket. 1-4 for Niagara with 3 double digit road losses already on the ledger. Add another to the list. 4* Money Maker QUINNIPIAC |
01-19-19 |
Kansas -3.5 v. West Virginia | | 64-65 |
Loss | -111 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
Taking KANSAS. I have this number at nearly 7. Kansas might be down a bit, but West Va is 0-5 in conference and looks lost. 4* Money Maker KANSAS |
01-19-19 |
Canisius v. Fairfield -2.5 | | 73-68 |
Loss | -115 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
Taking FAIRFIELD. Nice line here as I have this one nearly double. We get the Stags home after a pair of road losses - We now they will be extra motivated. Canisius a poor shooting team barely hitting 41% of their shots, including 30% from 3. We are at 45 from the field and 37 from deep. Small home faves early in this spot. 4* Money Maker FAIRFIELD |
01-17-19 |
Hawaii v. CS-Northridge | | 84-79 |
Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
Taking HAWAII here. I am just not a fan of this CSN team. I know Hawaii on the mainland is normally not a big recipe for success. But, the Warriors have won here the last 2 years. We'll grab who I have as the better team in this spot. 4* Money Maker HAWAII |
01-17-19 |
Gardner-Webb v. Radford -4 | | 58-75 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
Taking RADFORD. 4* Money Maker |
01-17-19 |
Portland State v. Southern Utah -1.5 | | 69-83 |
Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
Taking SOUTHERN UTAH tonight. Portland State has won the last 10 in this series. But, there are always buts, sometimes big ones - Not trusting this team in this spot. I can never back a team that shoots less than 40% from the field on the road. This group, shoots 37%. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN UTAH |
01-17-19 |
Austin Peay -9 v. SIU-Edwardsville | | 79-71 |
Loss | -109 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
Taking AUSTIN PEAY. I have Peay as a 20+ win team, while SIUE won't crack double digits. Govs play defense and have one of the better OVC offenses. Let's just say the Cougars of SIUE are not as good as the visitors. 4* Money Maker AUSTIN PEAY |
01-17-19 |
Murray State -12.5 v. Eastern Illinois | | 83-61 |
Win | 100 | 22 h 38 m | Show |
Taking MURRAY STATE. Have these guys as one of the Top 50 schools in the country. They will have a tough game or 2 with OVC Jax State, Belmont and Peay. But the Racers are good. I do have to say I don't like this is their 3rd straight road game. But 18 and 21pt wins show me they handle the road just fine. They did lose by 5 at Auburn and 6 at Alabama. The 2 other road games in between - 18 and 22 point wins. Lay it- 4* Money Maker MURRAY STATE |
01-17-19 |
Florida International v. Western Kentucky -12 | | 77-76 |
Loss | -110 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
Taking WESTERN KENTUCKY. Do not be swayed by FIU putting up over 80ppg. There is a lot of fluff in their early schedule. Dropping 100+ on teams like Florida Memorial, Ave Maria, Webber (Not that Weber) and Johnson and Wales is not a testament to being an offensive powerhouse. CUSA play will separate the men from the boys. WKU will be fighting for a top spot in conference, while FIU will be floundering with a sub .500 record. WKU has knocked off Wisconsin, St Mary's, Arkansas and West Virginia. They are battle tested. 4* Money Maker WESTERN KENTUCKY |
01-17-19 |
Arkansas-Little Rock v. Texas State -8.5 | | 62-80 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS STATE. These guys and Georgia State should be 1-2 in the Sun Belt. At best Little Rock is a .500 team in conference play and possibly, 18-20 losses on the year. Going to find out just how good this defense is. 61ppg looks pretty stingy. ALR comes in off 91 points and is shooting nearly 50% from the field. The number tells me that the defense comes to play. 4* Money Maker TEXAS STATE |
01-17-19 |
Maple Leafs v. Lightning -1.5 | | 4-2 |
Loss | -100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Taking TAMPA and going PUCK LINE. Thought about over 6.5 but now they are hitting us with -140 juice. Leafs in a bit of a slump dropping 2 straight, 3 of 4 and 5 of 7. Tampa just a monster this season. 4* PL Money TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING |
01-17-19 |
Texas-San Antonio -3.5 v. Middle Tennessee | | 86-89 |
Loss | -109 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
Taking SAN ANTONIO. This is not the old Mid Ten State teams. This team is a whole new bag. It is evident by their 2-13 ATS number. UTSA, 10-3 ATS. Back to the Blue Raiders. New coach in town. Have this time outside of the Top 300 schools in the country. We will lay the small number with the as of now leaders of CUSA. 4* Money Maker UTSA ROADRUNNERS |
01-17-19 |
76ers v. Pacers -2.5 | | 120-96 |
Loss | -103 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Taking the PACERS. 4* Money Maker |
01-17-19 |
NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra -10.5 | | 72-87 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
Taking HOFSTRA. Wilmington gives up way to many points. I know double digits is tough with a back-door, but Pride scoring over 80 a game. I can't see NCW keeping within 15- especially here on the road. NC Wilmington won both games last year, but we get our revenge tonight. 4* Money Maker HOFSTRA |
01-17-19 |
Tennessee-Martin v. Eastern Kentucky -6 | | 73-97 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
Taking EASTERN KENTUCKY. Not that EKU is some huge power out of the Ohio Valley, they will be a sub .500 club. But Tenn Martin could be the worse team in conference play. Skyhawks 0-8 on the road and give up nearly 82ppg. EKY likes to push the pace- They will give up points, but I don't think Tenn Martin has enough guns to pull it out. 4* Money Maker EASTERN KENTUCKY |
01-16-19 |
Cavs v. Blazers -12.5 | | 112-129 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
Taking PORTLAND. Will lay the big number tonight. Look. Cavs left it all in LA. They had dropped 12 straight. You know they wanted to beat the Lakers. Forget that LeBron wasn't playing. That team is everything Cleveland ins't. Which is... - LeBron's team. That was the game they were going to let it all hang out. They had given up 140 in back to back games! Look for a return to the norm, and that is Cleveland getting drilled on the road. 4 wins. Trailblazers looking to get back on track after dropping 2 straight on the road at Denver and Sacramento. 4* Money Maker PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS |
01-16-19 |
Iowa State v. Texas Tech -5 | | 68-64 |
Loss | -108 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS TECH. Like this bunch. The defense is great. They did cost me against K-State when they stopped scoring. I don't think that happens in this spot. Iowa State on a 2 game slide after beating Kansas. And 2 close, crushing losses. 73-70 and 59-58. I think the Red Raiders are the real deal. And they need to take care of teams like this if they are a serious contender. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH |
01-16-19 |
Evansville +5.5 v. Missouri State | | 70-64 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
Taking EVANSVILLE. So- I try to put up games the night before, or early in the morning. And everything I had circled moved. Except this one. This moved in the other direction. But Presbyterian went from Pk to -3, Auburn 4 to 6, Liberty 15 to 17, New Orleans 1-3, Winthrop 10-12. And here we have Evansville from +2.5 up to 5.5. Frustrating to say the least. 4* Money Maker EVANSVILLE |
01-16-19 |
Lipscomb -6 v. NJIT | | 70-52 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Taking LIPSCOMB. A rare game that did not move on me. If you didn't read my Evansville write up, you can see my frustration with this college hoops season. 4* Money Maker LIPSCOMB |
01-15-19 |
Davidson -4 v. St. Joe's | | 60-61 |
Loss | -109 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
Taking DAVIDSON. This is a tough little squad. I have them in the mid-major Top 10. They are good. These are just 2 teams going in opposite directions. Davidson winners of 3 straight. 2 of those, George Mason 5 on the road, and Duquesne 4pt wins. But for Joe's, A 25pt home loss to Mason, and 1pt road loss to Dukes. Also, a 14pt home loss to GW. A 26pt loss at the Bonnies. Then that 1pt Dukes road loss where they played with a little prided after getting ripped. This isn't a huge number and Wildcats with ample time off before Saturday's game vs Richmond. Not really a look ahead spot. 4* Money Maker DAVIDSON |
01-15-19 |
Lightning -1.5 v. Stars | | 2-0 |
Win | 178 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
Taking TAMPA BAY and going PUCK LINE. I would say that if you want to go ML, that this -145, -150 is really the top of my limit. Possibly -160. I am just gonna go PL for the bigger payday. Tampa in off a rare loss. Just think the way these guys have played all year, they are looking to come out strong. Last time they lost, they rebounded at home with a 4-0 win. I can see a 4-1, 4-2 game tonight. 4* PL Money TAMPA BAY |
01-15-19 |
Devils v. Blue Jackets -1.5 | | 1-4 |
Win | 130 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
Taking COLUMBUS and going PUCK LINE. Won't lay a huge number here. Blue Jackets 14-3 last 17 in the series and 6-2 last 8 at home over the Devils. 4* PL Money COLUMBUS |
01-15-19 |
Buffalo -16 v. Western Michigan | | 88-79 |
Loss | -108 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
Taking BUFFALO. Big number, yes. But they have really been taking care of business their last few games. 18pt road win over the Bonnies, 12 at Syracuse, 15 at Canisius, 16 at EMU - 30 and 24 point home wins. Clearly on a mission this season - 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BULLS |
01-15-19 |
Miami-OH v. Toledo -9 | | 59-71 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
Taking TOLEDO. My models show this from 12-24 win for the Rockets. I'll grab them with the value. I have Toledo as one of the better MAC teams and they should be able to score a double digit win tonight. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO |
01-14-19 |
Pistons v. Jazz -8 | | 94-100 |
Loss | -105 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
Taking the JAZZ. Utah has been methodical lately. Winning by an average of 13ppg. 7-3 their last 10. Wins by 8-18-13- 5(road)- 25(road) -32-21 -- Pistons had lost 4 straight before beating the Clippers 109-104. I'm looking for the Jazz to wrap up a nice 4-0 home-stand by winning this by double digits. 4* Money Maker UTAH JAZZ |
01-14-19 |
Texas +8 v. Kansas | | 78-80 |
Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS. I'm not high on Kansas. You should know this over the last couple games. The loss of their C will take it's toll. Texas with some size inside to exploit that loss. Horns on a 4-0 ATS run in Kansas and road teams on a 8-0 ATS streak. 4* Money Maker TEXAS |
01-14-19 |
Florida State v. Pittsburgh +4.5 | | 62-75 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
Taking PITT. Will sprinkle some ML in on the home dogs also. Tough spot for Florida State. Let's look at this stretch of games. Virginia - rival Miami - Duke. And oh what a heart-breaker vs Duke. Now, a little bit of a let down, step-down vs the Panthers. Don't see Pitt short though. Tough loss at NC State on the road. But they did beat Louisville in OT on this court. Again, just a tough scheduling spot and the way the chips fell in that Duke game. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS |
01-14-19 |
Nebraska +2.5 v. Indiana | | 66-51 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
Taking NEBRASKA. No ML up or I would be taking that. 2.5 will be fine though. Look. I say this all the time. If a team can't lay a 3 for home court, they aren't the better team. Then we add in a team that shows up in some Top 25 'rankings' and they aren't laying 3 - well, we are on the visitor like white on rice. Nebraska 11-4 ATS last 15 on the road. 4* Money Maker NEBRASKA |
01-13-19 |
Eagles v. Saints -8 | Top | 14-20 |
Loss | -105 | 78 h 9 m | Show |
Taking SAINTS. So 3rd straight road game and 5th in 6 weeks for Eagles. That is a tough run. Especially when every game is a playoff a game. Saints at home, rested, very dangerous. Yes, we can say, oh 48-7, should be just as easy. Well. I do think this is a 2 score win for New Orleans. Will it be a 40 pt win, that would be nice, but I don't think so. Now, Could the Saints get 48 again. Of course. Look. Mitch Trubisky just passed or 300 yards on this defense. Brees could have 250 at the half. Please throw out their final loss at home to Carolina. That was a pre-season finale game with the players they used. Saints getting knocked basically for a 3 game run of losing at Dallas, a sluggish game at the Bucs. And a horrible win over the Panthers 12-9. They go 2-1 and win ugly. They won ugly at Minnesota. That is what a great team will do. Eagles defensive backs to not put any scare into me. Brees will do Brees in the dome Playoff stuff. 3-4 TDs 325+ yards. - Back to Philly. I like Foles. Thought he should have gotten the nod the entire season or most of it. Guy can play a bit, and it's clear the players rally around him. But that being said - Eagles a great Cinderella story last year. But Cinderella only goes to the ball once. Season turns into a pumpkin this evening. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
01-13-19 |
Chargers +4 v. Patriots | Top | 28-41 |
Loss | -108 | 134 h 7 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS, again. Cashed last week and a little too close for comfort. But that is what happens when you are in cruise control most of the game. That won't be the case vs the Patriots. Who needs extra motivation to play these guys? Look. I have been on the Chargers numerous times this year. We have seen these guys win at Seattle, Pitt, Baltimore and KC. Technically, undefeated on the road since they had a 'road' loss at the Rams. It isn't like they have a great home field in that joke Center they play in. Bosa and Ingram can and will get pressure on Brady. He will be whining early when he starts getting knocked around. They say maybe snow. It won't matter. Chargers can run the ball or just do the short passing thing to move the chains. This is not a vintage Patriots team. We know this. Loss at Jacksonville and Detroit in back to back weeks. Lost at Tennessee. That crazy loss at Miami. The loss at Pittsburgh. This is a tough, all around talented visitor coming to down. Not a pair of rookie QBs like the Pats have faced the last 2 weeks. This is a HOF QB getting points with arguable the better defense and offenses that aren't that far apart. Sprinkle some ML. 5* Best Bet LA CHARGERS |
01-12-19 |
Cowboys +7.5 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 |
Loss | -115 | 118 h 32 m | Show |
Taking DALLAS. Had these guys last week, back on them. Dak a total beast last week with the game on the line. But he is not new to comebacks. I think people forget a couple years ago he went toe to toe with a healthy, good Aaron Rodgers and just ran out of time as his terrible coach cost the team a win. Rams a good team. Coming in off bye, but before that taking Arizona and San Fran. But those QBs aren't Dak. And neither team has Zeke. Or even Amari. This team really changed with the arrival of Cooper. But let us not forget this defense either. Both teams with strong Ds - But maybe the Rams really peaked early. Is Gurley 100%? I know everyone is banged up after a season of football. Basically 3 weeks off. Will he be rusty? Good? Who knows? Let's not forget the Cooper Kupp loss. This is a lot of points for the Rams and Goff. Only his 2nd playoff start. 1st one wasn't that good. Dallas with house money getting a TD. Can eat clock and keep offense off the field. I think we have a live dog here. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
01-12-19 |
SIU-Edwardsville v. Jacksonville State -14.5 | | 54-90 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
Taking JACKSONVILLE STATE. Think there is still some value on these guys. Have this at almost 17 points. SIUE in off 2 straight road OT losses. Cougars won on their home court last year. I think payback is in order with a 20pt win on tap. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS |
01-12-19 |
USC Upstate v. Gardner-Webb -12 | | 59-64 |
Loss | -108 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
Taking GARDNER-WEBB. Not going to back Upstate at really any number on the road. Just a poor shooting team. I like the back-court, and they should be able to get us the win this afternoon. 4* Money Maker GARDNER WEBB |
01-12-19 |
Texas Tech -1 v. Texas | | 68-62 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS TECH. Uh. Will grab the low hanging fruit. You know I hate games like this and usually am grabbing the home dog in this spot. I am just high on Texas Tech. Defense travels. And in a what amounts to nearly a Pk, I will take the Red Raiders. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH |
01-12-19 |
Jacksonville v. Liberty -16.5 | | 53-69 |
Loss | -109 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
Taking LIBERTY. Everybody but 1 player from a 22-15 CIT semi-final team last year. First year for them in the A-Sun coming over from the Big South. Jax lost an all conference defensive POY and another all conference 2nd teamer. Even with those guys, this was a bad overall team. Defense for Liberty the key. They are on a 10-4 ATS run and 8-2 ATS run at home. 4* Money Maker LIBERTY |
01-12-19 |
Rutgers +10.5 v. Minnesota | | 70-88 |
Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
Taking RUTGERS. Think this line is a bit inflated. We have Rutgers off a big win over Ohio State. Now hitting the road to face Minny off a loss. 6-7 points maybe. 10+. I will grab the big dogs. Rutgers won here last year after Minny won at the RAC. Scarlet Knights haven't been pushovers on the road 3pt win at Miami. 5pt loss at Wiscy. 8pt loss at Fordham (tough sandwich) 6pt loss at Seton Hall. 4* Money Maker RUTGERS |
01-12-19 |
Kent State +2.5 v. Eastern Michigan | | 61-95 |
Loss | -109 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
Taking KENT STATE. Well. EMU is in off a huge OT road win listed as 11pt dogs. I know that since I had the other team. I still don't think EMU is a good team. When I see 12-3 teams getting points from 7-8 teams, normally I take the sub .500 or leave it off the ticket. But the EMU offensive numbers are just that - Offensive. Barley 40% FG. 28% 3pt 60% FT. 62ppg. Don't be fooled by EMU 8-1 ATS run in MAC play. That was last year, and they were dogs in some of those. Currently on a 1-7 ATS run. Kent 8-3 ATS last 11 here. 4* Money Maker KENT STATE |
01-11-19 |
Iona +1 v. Niagara | | 90-95 |
Loss | -108 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
Taking IONA. So. We look at these teams and see Niagara 0-2 in conference play, both losses on road and 7-8 overall. Iona comes in 2-0 after going 2-9 out of conference. Last year Niagara win 85-84 at Iona and Iona win here 98-93 in OT. Just have the Gaels rated a bit higher. 4* Money Maker IONA |
01-10-19 |
UC-Davis v. Cal-Irvine -11 | | 69-71 |
Loss | -104 | 21 h 48 m | Show |
Taking IRVINE. So Cal-Davis has won 3 straight over Irvine, yet, are catching double digits. Maybe it has to do with their 0-7 road mark. Or their 39% FG shooting. Their 29% 3pt shooting ability? Maybe it's cause they average less than 60ppg. Don't be fooled by Davis winning the regular season title. This team is a bit different. You can tell by their 4-10 record. I know you are thinking Big West teams just go and get payday from Power 5 schools. Not really. They play other mid-major type programs. And Davis was getting beat often. 3 of their wins - Holy Names, William Jessup, Texas A&M CC (not the real A&M). Irvine and some of their 12 wins include away from W's at St Mary's and the real Texas A&M. We will lay it with the home team. 4* Money Maker CAL IRVINE |
01-10-19 |
UCLA v. Oregon -3 | | 87-84 |
Loss | -109 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Taking OREGON. I know that UCLA got a little shot in the arm with their coaching change. I know Ducks banged up a bit. Both teams were preseason picks to be the top programs in the PAC 12. Underwhelming start for sure. My numbers show Oregon 5-7 points better. Better defensive at home. Visitors a poor FT shooting team. 4* Money Maker OREGON |
01-10-19 |
Northeastern -9 v. Elon | | 81-70 |
Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
Going to lay the big number, on the road, with NORTHEASTERN. So I had these pegged as the top dogs of the Colonial. Back to back losses for NE. Not a good look. And each was a tough one. Loser in OT by a bucket to the Blue Hens. Then a tough 3pt loss at Hofstra. A game they gave away. I think they will be extremely focused today. They can't slip vs a weak Elon team. Need to get those 2 losses out of their heads. 4* Money Maker NORTHEASTERN |
01-10-19 |
St. Peter's v. Fairfield -5 | | 57-60 |
Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Taking FAIRFIELD - Peter's winless on the road. Lost by 9 here last season. We had Fairfield on Monday night. And will cash them again in this spot. 4* Money Maker FAIRFIELD |
01-09-19 |
TCU +5.5 v. Kansas | | 68-77 |
Loss | -109 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Taking TCU. Hate to be going against Kansas. But this just does not seem like a vintage Bill Self team. TCU I believe will be right in this thing to the end. 4* Money Maker TCU |
01-09-19 |
New Orleans +6.5 v. Lamar | | 78-71 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Taking NEW ORLEANS. Not sure why this is so high. Not much difference in these Southland teams. NO won by 10 last year. Won on the road by 2 in OT in 2017. Won by 2 at Lamar in 2016. Won by 5 the year before that. I might get some ML down if I can find it. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS |
01-09-19 |
Vanderbilt +1.5 v. Georgia | | 63-82 |
Loss | -109 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Taking VANDERBILT. 4* Money Maker |
01-09-19 |
Georgetown v. Xavier -5 | | 75-81 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Taking XAVIER. X has really dominated the series, going 13-4 SU and more importantly 4-1 ATS last 5. 4* Money Maker XAVIER |
01-08-19 |
UNLV +4.5 v. New Mexico | | 80-69 |
Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
Taking UNLV. Prime let-down spot for New Mexico. Off a total beat down of Nevada. Crowd rushing the court. That's a big win. And playing here is no easy task for visitors either. But off that win, maybe a little value on the dog. Going back last 5 games we see wins by 1pt - 4pts - 3pts -5pts- 4pts. Pretty tight games. Oh, and we see 3 straight New Mexico wins and 4 of 5 for the Lobos. Doggy revenge. 4* Money Maker UNLV |
01-08-19 |
Purdue v. Michigan State -8.5 | Top | 59-77 |
Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Like this team a lot. Forget about Purdue rolling a 'ranked' team as a 10pt faves. Sparty is a totally different animal. This is a complete Final Four team. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN STATE |
01-08-19 |
Pacers -10 v. Cavs | | 123-115 |
Loss | -107 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Taking the PACERS. Will lay it here in Cleveland. You would think this could be a spot that the Pacers get ambushed. In off loss at Toronto. Celtics on deck. But, they lost to the Raptors. And to add insult to injury, they lost to the Cavs, at home, as 12pt faves, 92-91. They aren't go take them lightly. They are looking to revenge that game. And get the bad taste of their previous loss out of their mouths. Cavs have been absolute putrid. 35pt loss, 26pt loss, 25pt loss, 3pt loss (Hawks), 18pt loss, 12pt loss, 20pt loss, 16pt loss, 11pt loss. Do we sense a trend the last 9 games. 4* Money Maker INDIANA PACERS |
01-08-19 |
St. John's v. Villanova -6 | | 71-76 |
Loss | -107 | 21 h 1 m | Show |
Taking VILLANOVA. Not sure what St John's has left in the tank. Tough OT win on the road at Georgetown. Now on the road at Nova. And looking at them on the road, well the 14-1 record looks a bit padded. Playing at MSG and the Barclays isn't really traveling. I will give them credit for a big win at the RAC vs Rutgers. That's a fun court. But they lost at the Hall. This is a tough spot. Nova not like previous teams- but, still dangerous. Think the Cats pull away and this is a double digit win. 4* Money Maker VILLANOVA |
01-08-19 |
Toledo +9.5 v. Buffalo | | 80-110 |
Loss | -110 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
Taking TOLEDO. These guys just got rolled at home as 4pt faves over Ball State. Now, Ball State was probably picked a bit more to lead the MAC West over Toledo. So it is not a terrible loss. But I am expecting a better game vs the reigning champs. Buffalo a good team. Now the 'ranked' number next to their name. Just think this a big number. Bulls with a pair of 10pt wins over the Rockets last season. Think we keep it closer here. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO ROCKETS |
01-08-19 |
Iowa State -3 v. Baylor | | 70-73 |
Loss | -103 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
Taking IOWA STATE. Kicking myself for missing them over Kansas. That is what happens with 130 games. Sometimes a couple slip through the cracks. Won't happen again. No let down. You don't have let down when you are favored over a team and win. Cyclones can name their score. I know winning on the road is tough. And they will have the old bulls-eye on their backs after their win. Just think that Baylor won't be able to keep pace. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE |
01-08-19 |
Eastern Michigan v. Ball State -11.5 | Top | 84-82 |
Loss | -108 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
Taking BALL STATE. Now. Everyone knows Buffalo as the MAC darlings. But this is a sneaky good team. 4 top scorers back from last year. Every year getting better. They are the #1 team out of the West. EMU is a poor shooting team. When your top 2 scorers are 37 and 38% from the field and 36 and 27% from 3, you are going to have problems keeping pace with the Cardinals putting up nearly 85ppg. Last year, 58-41 EMU as Ball State shot 27%. Payback in big fashion. 8* Sure Shot BALL STATE |
01-07-19 |
Niagara v. Fairfield -3.5 | | 59-77 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show |
Taking FAIRFIELD. A 3-11 team favored at home, where they are winless, over a 7 win club. Sign me up. Stags have won 7 straight in the series, so we have that going for us. Also, and more importantly, Niagara not a good shooting team. Under 40% on the year. 31% from 3. Fairfield has played the tougher schedule, that is why I mention the records, there is a method to the madness. 4* Money Maker FAIRFIELD |
01-06-19 |
Hornets v. Suns +2 | | 119-113 |
Loss | -107 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the SUNS. Hornets come in out of Denver on a b2b. Charlotte still a 4-12 road team. Don't care how bad Phoenix is, have to grab the home dogs in this spot. 4* Money Maker PHOENIX SUNS |
01-06-19 |
Pacers +2.5 v. Raptors | | 105-121 |
Loss | -109 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Taking the PACERS. Just a bad spot for Raptors here. We have them in on a back to back, after beating the Bucks. Another top Eastern Conference team. That on the heels of them getting beat in San Antonio. Indiana ready for revenge, a 99-96 loss back in mid December. 4* Money Maker INDIANA PACERS |
01-06-19 |
Eagles v. Bears -6.5 | | 16-15 |
Loss | -105 | 51 h 3 m | Show |
Taking the BEARS. It is a tough call fading Foles. I think Philly really rally's around the guy. But something tells me this is all Chicago. I faded the Bears last week thinking they would rather face Minny who they have controlled this season, over the defending champs and St Nick at QB. But the coach has the players behind him and this team is really a tough club on both sides of the ball. I just think the Bears defense will maul this team. And the Philly defense is average on its best day. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
01-06-19 |
South Dakota State -3 v. South Dakota | | 79-61 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Taking SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 4* Money Maker |
01-06-19 |
Devils v. Golden Knights -1.5 | | 2-3 |
Loss | -100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
4* PL Money VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS |
01-06-19 |
Rhode Island v. St. Louis -5 | | 53-60 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
Taking ST LOUIS 4* Money Maker |
01-06-19 |
Nets -2.5 v. Bulls | | 117-100 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
Taking the NETS. Maybe a big of a square play. But these guys are a tough little bunch. This is a pretty good under the radar ATS team. And believe it or not, are in the playoff hunt. 4* Money Maker BROOKLYN NETS |
01-06-19 |
Seton Hall v. DePaul +2.5 | | 74-75 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
Taking DEPAUL 4* Money Maker |
01-05-19 |
Pacific v. San Diego -7.5 | | 64-73 |
Win | 100 | 23 h 13 m | Show |
Taking SAN DIEGO. Somehow I pulled out a miracle cover or a push on Pacific vs BYU the other night. BYU covering by 17 at one point. No way we should have salvaged that one. But laying it all out leaves little in the tank for today. San Diego off a bad loss to Santa Clara. They will want to get right at home. One thing we know. Pacific won't be taking 38 FT attempts here on the road. San Diego couldn't do anything right last game. I think things go their way and will lay the points. 4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO |
01-05-19 |
Tennessee-Martin v. SE Missouri State -3.5 | | 69-74 |
Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
Taking SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE 4* Money Maker |
01-05-19 |
Northeastern +7.5 v. Hofstra | | 72-75 |
Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
Taking NORTHEASTERN. I know Huskies struggled a bit early, but this line. I dunno. Maybe it's the square play of the day. But I am taking the points in what should be a tough game for Hofstra. 4* Money Maker NORTHEASTERN |
01-05-19 |
Georgia v. Tennessee -14 | Top | 50-96 |
Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
Taking TENNESSEE . This isn't football in January. Georgia beat these guys last year 73-62 at home, and hung tough 66-61 on the road blowing a nice half-time lead. Well. You caught them off a close game with Florida on deck. Then you got them off a pair of b2b road games. No such luck as this is a Vols team rested. This team is good. Georgia in a rebuild with a new HC. Vols can name their score, and I am thinking it should be 20. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE |
01-05-19 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Drake +5 | | 85-74 |
Loss | -112 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
Taking DRAKE. I like these Bulldogs. Should be a 20+ win team this year out of the Missouri Valley. Double revenge on our side from last year and Loy Chi has won 3 straight in the series. I have this game rated as a PK, and yet, here I am getting 5 points at home. I'll take it. 4* Money Maker DRAKE |
01-05-19 |
Kansas State v. Texas Tech -11 | Top | 57-63 |
Loss | -108 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
TEXAS TECH gets the call as our Top Rated 10* MONEY BOMB Game of the Week. Red Raiders crushed these guys last year 66-47 on the road and 74-58 at home. Kansas State down 2 key contributors. I get it. The next guy steps up. But good luck vs Texas Tech who brings the D. I don't think K-State gets more than 50 today. If Tech doesn't win by 20 I will be disappointed. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS TECH |
01-05-19 |
Cincinnati -14.5 v. East Carolina | | 71-73 |
Loss | -108 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
Taking CINCINNATI. Will lay the big number. But Cincy should maul these guys. This is what Cincy does. It crushes bad teams and gets you thinking their 25-2 record means something. Then they can't find the basket vs a good team. Well, ECU isn't a good team. They are a bad team. Another road game on deck vs Tulsa next. This is the game they want to really swarm though. After Tulsa, it is home vs UConn. We will look to fade the Bearcats in that Tulsa game. ECU with 7 wins. Let me run down some of these juggernauts of College Hoops. Lamar, OT at home!, Delaware State, Praire View, NC A&T, Maryland Eastern Shore. Lost to Charlotte who won't win 10 games this season. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BEARCATS |
01-05-19 |
Eastern Washington v. North Dakota State -15.5 | | 24-38 |
Loss | -111 | 24 h 21 m | Show |
Taking NORTH DAKOTA STATE and will be on the OVER (60.5)in this game also. We had these guys a couple weeks ago. I wrote how this is the swan song for their HC. This program has won 6 of the last 7 FCS Titles and is looking to give said coach, Chris Klieman his 4th ring. 131-31 the scores in NDST 3 playoff games. We'll lay the number. 4* Money Maker NORTH DAKOTA STATE |
01-04-19 |
Buffalo -10.5 v. Eastern Michigan | | 74-58 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Taking BUFFALO. Not a big fan of laying points like this on the road, but EMU is pretty bad on offense. The biggest drawback is that Buffalo has Toledo at home on deck. I just don't think the coach lets these guys look even a game ahead. They are ranked. They have a nice win at Syracuse under their belts. Reigning MAC Champs will look to get out of the gate fast. Think this should be a comfortable win. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO |
01-04-19 |
Ball State +5 v. Toledo | | 79-64 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Taking BALL STATE. I do like this Toledo team. And they have double revenge fro last year losing 75-63 at home and 99-71 on the road. Ball State has actually won 4 straight in this series. I have to grab the points in this spot. 4* Money Maker BALL STATE |
01-03-19 |
BYU v. Pacific +3 | | 90-87 |
Push | 0 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
Taking PACIFIC. 4* Money Maker |
01-03-19 |
Rockets v. Warriors -8 | | 135-134 |
Loss | -108 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
Taking the WARRIORS. Rockets already with a win over the Warriors. I thought GS would show up at home on Christmas. They got beat by the Lakers. TNT for the world to see. I expect Steph Curry to be the big difference maker tonight. Double digit win for home team. 4* Money Maker GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS |
01-03-19 |
Eastern Washington v. Idaho +1 | | 71-74 |
Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
Taking IDAHO. 4* Money Maker |