Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-24-21 | California Baptist v. Texas -22 | Top | 44-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TEXAS Texas is 3-1 and ranked #8 in the country. That one loss came to Gonzaga, so no one is going to fault them for that. Tonight the Longhorns host an undefeated Cal Baptist team that is playing on the road for the first time in 2021. The Lancers’ previous five games - against San Francisco St, Miss Valley, Jackson St, San Jose St and Northern Colorado have simply not adequately prepared them for what’s in store here. Texas is giving up just 47.3 points/game when not facing Gonzaga this year. They play at one of the slowest tempos in the nation, but have an efficient offense that is 16th in points per possession. On Saturday against San Jose State, the ‘Horns led by 18 just nine minutes into the game and by 30 at halftime. They ended up winning by 34 and held SJSU to 31.9 percent shooting from the floor. Even more impressive is that Texas forced 27 turnovers and had a season-high 16 steals. At the same time, they connected at just over 51% at the offensive end and had 36 points in the paint. The home team is simply going to overwhelm the opposition in this one. Play on TEXAS AAA | |||||||
11-23-21 | Lakers v. Knicks -4 | Top | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NYK So there’s no LeBron James tonight for the 9-9 Lakers, who visit Madison Square Garden to face the Knicks. James is suspended for getting into a fight with the Pistons’ Isaiah Stewart on Sunday. The Lakers went on to win in Detroit, but were actually behind by 15 entering the fourth quarter against one of the worst teams in the NBA. That doesn’t bode well for tonight. The Lakers have lost six of their last 10 games, most of those without James, who had been out with an abdominal strain. The Knicks, who are 4-7 their past 11 games, thought they had a win Sunday when they were leading the Bulls going into the fourth. But they gave up 37 points in the final quarter to lose 109-103 as 5.5 point road underdogs. Expect New York to play better at home tonight - for a full four quarters - and take advantage of the Lakers not having LeBron. On the road, the Lakers have been very bad defensively, giving up 117.3 points/game. Play on NEW YORK AAA | |||||||
11-23-21 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois +3.5 | Top | 42-21 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* on NIU The MAC West has been turned upside down this year as Northern Illinois has gone from an 0-6 record in 2020 to division champs in 2021! The Huskies are 8-3 SU this season and while a majority of those wins have been close games, they already have their spot booked in next week’s MAC Championship Game. Close wins don’t matter when you’re always an underdog and Tuesday’s game vs. last place Western Michigan marks the 9th time in 12 games that the Huskies are getting points this season. They were favored last week (by two) when they beat Buffalo in overtime. It is insane to us that Western Michigan would be favored on the road here as - again - they are the last place team in the MAC West. Yes, coming into the year, the Broncos were the favorites to win this division. But they have sputtered down the stretch, losing three of their last four games. The only win came against Akron by a score of 45-40. Northern Illinois continues to be disrespected by the linesmakers, even though the offense has averaged 547 yards over the last three games. We will grab the points in this one as NIU is the better team, playing at home. Play on NORTHERN ILLINOIS AAA | |||||||
11-22-21 | Pacers v. Bulls -3.5 | Top | 109-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CHI Tied with Brooklyn for first place in the East, the Bulls should continue to roll Monday when they host Indiana. Chicago is 12-5 and has won six of its eight home games. They came from behind to win last night, 109-103 over the Knicks. Because it’s the second night of a back to back, oddsmakers have set a low number here and we think that’s a mistake. Indiana is 2-9 on the road. While they only lost by three in their last road game, they were actually down 25 at one point. That was against Charlotte. The Pacers did bounce back to defeat New Orleans on Saturday, but that was at home. The Bulls have covered both times they’ve been in a back to back this year, winning those two games by a combined 33 points. Lay the points in this one. Play on CHICAGO AAA | |||||||
11-22-21 | Butler v. Houston -9 | Top | 52-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* on HOUSTON This is a first round matchup in the Maui Invitational (which is being played in Las Vegas). We’ve got Butler facing Houston, two programs that have been to Final Fours. Of course, it’s been a decade since Butler advanced that far. Houston was in the Final Four last year and bowed out to eventual National Champion Baylor in the Semifinal. The Cougars are ranked #15 in the poll right now and is 3-0. They just wasted Virginia 67-47 in their last game, which was six days ago. Butler lost the following day (Wednesday), 73-52 to Michigan State, and is now 3-1 on the year. Our view is that Butler just isn’t in Houston’s class. Houston leads all AAC teams with 10.3 three pointers made per game. Defensively, the Cougars are just as impressive. They held Virginia to 34.9% shooting and forced 17 turnovers. The game was never close as UH jumped out to an early 14-2 lead and was up 13 at halftime. They led by double digits the entire second half. As for Butler, the loss to Michigan State was their largest margin of defeat at home in 29 years. They shot 28.6% and had only eight assists. The size of the Spartans was clearly an issue and it should be the same thing here with Houston. This is a bad matchup at a bad time for Butler. Play on HOUSTON AAA | |||||||
11-21-21 | Raptors v. Warriors -10 | Top | 104-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GSW Golden State is once again the best team in the league as they are 14-2. They’ve only been beaten once in regulation and perhaps the most impressive thing about them is that they are 12-4 against the spread. They are 10-1 SU/ATS L11 games and tonight host a Toronto team that will be playing its fourth straight road game and third in four nights. The Raptors snapped a three-game losing streak Friday in Sacramento. But they are outclassed here with Steph Curry set to return from a one-game absence. Curry sat out the Warriors’ 105-102 win in Detroit Friday. Though that game ended up being close, the Warriors led by 16 going into the fourth quarter. We know Detroit is bad, but the fact the Warriors were up 16 without their best player is still impressive. Golden State is winning at home by an average of 16.5 points/game and we just can’t see Toronto staying within the number in this one. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA | |||||||
11-21-21 | Steelers v. Chargers -5 | Top | 37-41 | Loss | -107 | 34 h 50 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LAC Ben Roethlisberger passed COVID-19 protocols on Saturday and the expectation is that he will start tonight. But the Steelers aren’t a very good team. Without Big Ben, they tied the Lions last week in a very ugly game. While their record is 5-3-1, the Steelers have been outscored. We mentioned last week that none of their five wins this year have come by more than eight points. So they are probably a bit lucky to have a winning record coming into this game with the Chargers, who are looking to bounce back from a loss to Minnesota that leaves them at 5-4. The Chargers also have a slightly negative point differential on the year. But they’ve impressed us more as they’ve played only one bad game (at Baltimore). West coast teams usually have the edge in night games. The Steelers are banged up on the defensive side of the ball (no TJ Watt) while the Chargers may be getting Joey Bosa back. The Steelers average only 18.3 points/game on the road. The Chargers average 27.3 points/game. Justin Herbert is simply a much better QB than Big Ben at this stage of the game. Herbert will take advantage of that banged up Steelers defense. Lay the points. Play on LA CHARGERS AAA | |||||||
11-21-21 | Cardinals v. Seahawks +2 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SEA It’s looking like Kyler Murray won’t play for Arizona. That’s bad news for a Cardinals team that lost last week to Carolina, 34-10. If Murray can’t go, then Colt McCoy will again be at the helm. McCoy suffered a pectoral injury in the loss last week, so Arizona is really banged up at QB. They’ve also lost two of their last three games after a 7-0 start. Now Seattle obviously has its own set of problems as they are 3-6 and were shut out by the Packers 17-0 last week. Russell Wilson’s return to the lineup proved to be a real ‘dud’, but at least he’s back. Wilson threw two interceptions in the end zone against the Packers, which really proved to be the difference in the game. We expect Wilson will play a lot better this week in a game the Seahawks really “have to have.” The Seahawks’ offense scored 28 or more points in three of the first four weeks of the season, all with Wilson healthy. Having their starting QB back at the same time Arizona has major injury issues at the position is pretty fortuitous. We will take advantage of the situation here by taking the Seahawks, who are 36-15-4 ATS their last 55 games off a loss. Play on SEATTLE AAA | |||||||
11-21-21 | Lions +13 v. Browns | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
This is an 8* on DETROIT The Lions are still winless, but they covered for us last week in Pittsburgh. We had them as nine-point underdogs in a game that ended up being a 16-16 tie. Now that line came down, by a lot, when it was announced Ben Roethlisberger wouldn’t play for the Steelers. But no matter what number you got the Lions at, it was an ATS win. The opponent this week (Cleveland) doesn’t have a backup QB, but they are a mess (lost 45-7 at New England last week) and should not be this large of a favorite against anyone right now. The Browns are 2-4 ATS in their last six games and one of the two games they covered was a three-point win. They did not cover the previous time they were double digit favorites (-13.5 vs. Houston). They have just two wins by more than 10 points this season. Meanwhile, as poor as this season has gone for the Lions, they’ve lost by more than 10 points only three times. They are 5-1 ATS when getting four or more points and have covered three straight road games. Play on DETROIT AAA | |||||||
11-20-21 | Colorado State v. Hawaii +2.5 | Top | 45-50 | Win | 100 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 9* on HAWAII We can’t see a Colorado State team that’s lost four straight games and has no shot at a bowl performing very well out in Hawaii this week. The home team is 2-0-1 ATS as a dog in Honolulu this year. That record could be 3-0 ATS depending on your closing line for the San Diego State game. The Rainbow Warriors are on a three-game losing streak themselves, but unlike CSU, they still have a chance to become bowl eligible if they win the final two games. This is also the final home game of the year, which is always a special atmosphere. Injuries are starting to pile up for the visitors and the defense just gave up over 500 yards last week in a loss to Air Force. Hawaii is the healthier team at this juncture of the season and has a winning record at home. The only team that Colorado State has beaten on the road is New Mexico, who is the worst team in the Mountain West. Play on HAWAII AAA | |||||||
11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -3 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UTAH Oregon, despite being the #3 team in the College Football Playoff Rankings, is an underdog this week at Utah. We agree with the linesmakers on this one. The Utes are #23 in the country, so they’re obviously a team to be respected. They average (ever so slightly) more points per game than do the Ducks. They give up only slightly more. The number of yards gained per game by the two offenses is nearly identical. The Utes have scored 34 or more points each of their last six games. So, despite what the rankings say, you’ve got two pretty identical teams here. Both offenses will look to establish the run. But Utah has the home field edge. They’ve won 17 of their last 18 games in Salt Lake City. In the last three head to head meetings between Utah and Oregon, whomever has been at home has won. Oregon has lost a game in the month of November each of the previous six seasons. If you’re like us and you don’t think that the Ducks are going to make the Playoff, then it stands to reason that this is the game they are likely to lose. Play on UTAH AAA | |||||||
11-20-21 | Washington -6.5 v. Colorado | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* on WASHINGTON Washington has had a rough couple of weeks with coach Jimmy Lake being fired. The Huskies are 4-6 and one of the most disappointing teams in the nation. But they can still make a bowl game if they win out for interim coach Bob Gregory, who previously served as defensive coordinator. Such motivation does not exist in Boulder where Colorado is 3-7 following a 44-20 defeat at the hands of UCLA last week. Two key players - LB Gustav and WR Lemonious-Craig - both suffered season-ending injuries in that game. So a bad team just got worse. Since joining the Pac 12, the Buffaloes have beaten UW just one time - back in 2019 as 14-point underdogs. Prior to that, it had been seven consecutive double digit losses by an average of 28.9 points/game. Washington seemingly was on its way to a win over Arizona State last week before giving away the game in the fourth quarter. The defense has allowed the second fewest yards in the Pac 12. We think the Huskies keep their bowl hopes alive with a big win on Saturday. Play on WASHINGTON AAA | |||||||
11-20-21 | New Mexico State v. Kentucky -35.5 | Top | 16-56 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show |
This is an 8* on KENTUCKY New Mexico State, one of the worst teams in the country, heads to Lexington this week to face a Kentucky team that was once ranked as high as #11. NMSU just got done facing another SEC team, Alabama, and that went about as poorly as you’d expect. The Aggies lost 59-3 and thus didn’t even cover as 50.5 point underdogs. It’s been a long season in Las Cruces as the team is 1-9 and that one win was against South Carolina State, who is not even a FBS program. The nine games versus FBS foes have not only all resulted in defeat, but seven of them have been decided by two touchdowns or more. Kentucky started the year at 7-0 (this is when they were ranked 11th), but then lost to Georgia, Mississippi State and Tennessee. They got back in the win column last week with a 34-17 win over Vanderbilt. That game was 31-3 at halftime. The Wildcats are on a 14-game win streak against non-conference teams and are done with SEC play for the year. Because they are honoring the 22 seniors beforehand, UK will be “up” for this game. A defense that’s quite good could pitch a shutout here. The offense will have no problem scoring 40 or more points. Play on KENTUCKY AAA | |||||||
11-19-21 | Southern Miss v. Louisiana Tech -15 | Top | 35-19 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on La Tech Our view is that Louisiana Tech should roll in this Friday night Conference USA battle. Their opponent, Southern Miss, is one of the worst teams in the entire country. The Golden Eagles have just one win all year and that was against a FCS school (Grambling) back in September. Eight of their nine losses this year have been by double digits, five of them coming by 24 points or greater. USM did hang tough last week in a surprising showing at UTSA. But they used a “gimmicky” offense to do so and it resulted in their best player (RB Frank Gore Jr) getting injured. The offense still only gained 189 yards vs. UTSA and would have lost by 17 if not for the defense returning an interception for a touchdown. Louisiana Tech at least has some confidence after beating Charlotte 42-32 last week. This is their final home game, so the Bulldogs should be plenty motivated to go out and win big. They are 12-5 ATS following a straight up win. Louisiana Tech had over 500 yards of offense last week and a similar effort is quite possible tonight, which would likely mean a comfortable victory. Play on LOUISIANA TECH AAA | |||||||
11-18-21 | Patriots -6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 25-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NE It seems safe to say that all signs point to a New England blowout tonight. The Patriots have won their last four games by a combined 100 points. They beat Cleveland 45-7 on Sunday, outgaining the Browns 2:1 and not allowing any points after the opening drive. Going on the road has not been a problem for these Patriots as they are 4-0 SU away from Foxboro with those four wins coming by an average of 10.5 points/game. Atlanta is 0-3 straight up and against the spread at home. They just got beat 43-3 in Dallas. Their top receiver Calvin Ridley is out and running back Cordarrelle Patterson is a game-time decision. Even if Patterson plays, we expect the Falcons offense to be ineffective in this game. They are 25th in scoring and 29th in rush yards. It doesn’t help that the defense is also 29th in points allowed. Though the 4-5 record doesn’t seem bad, Atlanta has been outscored by 85 points this year. This is a top five team against a bottom five team. Lay the points. Play on NEW ENGLAND AAA | |||||||
11-18-21 | Louisville -19.5 v. Duke | Top | 62-22 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on L'ville Louisville should not have any problem beating up on a sorry Duke team Thursday night. The Cardinals enter this game off an impressive 41-3 win over Syracuse. That was a Syracuse team that had covered its previous seven games. As impressive as last week’s performance was, the Cardinals are still in need of one more win to become bowl eligible. Next week is the final regular season game and it’s against Kentucky. While at home, that is by no means a guaranteed win. So we look for L’vile to handle it’s business on Thursday against a Duke team that is 0-6 its last six games. Five of the six losses have been by 25 points or more! On Saturday it was a 48-17 loss at Virginia Tech. We see no reason to expect the Blue Devils to keep this one any closer. They are dealing with injuries at quarterback. The win over Syracuse may have been Louisville’s largest over a FBS team in six years. But we see no reason why they can’t repeat the effort tonight against a much worse team. After facing six straight opponents that had winning records, this should be a “walk in the park” for the road team. Play on LOUISVILLE AAA | |||||||
11-18-21 | Ohio State -2 v. Xavier | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OHIO ST In-state rivals play Wednesday in Cincinnati as Xavier hosts #17 Ohio State. As short home underdogs, the Musketeers are probably thinking upset here, but we like the Buckeyes to handle their business in their first “real” test of the 2021-22 season. So far OSU has gone through Akron, Niagara and Bowling Green. Their margins of victory have continued to grow, culminating in a 31-point triumph over BG on Monday. Ten players scored for the Buckeyes in that win, five finishing in double digits. The bench scored 39 points and the team shot over 50%. It was their best game to date. Xavier is 2-0 with wins over Niagara and Kent State. The Musketeers could only beat Niagara by three while OSU beat them by 10. While that’s just one common opponent, you’ve also got the fact that OSU is 9-1 ATS in its previous 10 road games. Xavier hasn’t shot the ball well so far and figures to get outworked on the glass. Play on OHIO STATE AAA | |||||||
11-17-21 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo +1.5 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BUFFALO The won-loss records of these two teams are quite misleading. Northern Illinois is 7-3 but has allowed more points than it has scored. Buffalo is 4-6 but has scored more than it has allowed. Hence the short number for this bit of Wednesday night “MAC-tion.” We’re going to side with the home team here, even though it is coming off back to back losses. Buffalo still has something to play for; if they were to win the next two games, then they become bowl eligible with six wins. The Bulls were MAC East Champs last year and would love to spoil Northern Illinois’ dreams of getting to the Conference Championship Game. The Huskies have won four games this year by a total of five points, which is nothing short of incredible and also very lucky. Last week was their third one-point win of 2021 as they kicked a last season FG to get by Ball State 30-29. But that was at home. The Huskies’ defense ranks ninth in the MAC in yards allowed (448.3 ypg) and seventh in scoring (30.8 points/game). Two weeks ago, they surrendered 52 points and 688 yards to Kent State! Buffalo’s defense is first in sacks while NIU is last (among MAC teams). Play on BUFFALO AAA | |||||||
11-17-21 | Boston College v. Rhode Island -5 | Top | 49-57 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
This a 10* on RHODE ISLAND Rhode Island has been an 8.5-point favorite for both of their games thus far. They covered the spread each time, beating Boston U 71-62 and then Bryant 83-64. While that first game ended up being relatively close, at least as far as the pointspread was concerned, the Rams led the whole way and were never really threatened. It was a more complete performance in the second game with them blowing out Bryant in the second half. Over the last 15 minutes of the game, URI went on a 37-18 run. Boston College comes in at 3-0 and also covered the number in its first two games. But then they failed as 10-point favorites against Fairfield, winning only 72-64. This is the Eagles first time playing on the road. They are 0-4 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points the last two years. Rhode Island has won 20 of its previous 26 home games. Somebody is going to lose for the first time and we believe it will be BC as Rhode Island’s defense is #1 in the nation right now, holding teams to 30.6% shooting! Play on RHODE ISLAND AAA | |||||||
11-16-21 | Creighton +3.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 77-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CREIGHTON In-state rivals get set for their annual meeting as Creighton makes the drive from Omaha to Lincoln to take on Nebraska. Obviously, we know which school has more of a “national presence.” But when it comes to basketball, Creighton has taken over the Cornhusker State. While they trailed at halftime in both games, the Bluejays do enter this game at 2-0 on the young season. Nebraska is 1-1 and lucky not to be 0-2. After losing at home to Western Illinois last week, the ‘Huskers were down 10 early to Sam Houston State on Friday. That was also a home game. Creighton and Nebraska are a combined 0-4 ATS so far but the Bluejays have not been underdogs previous to this. The defense effort in their last game (just 44 points allowed) was the best by any Creighton team in eight seasons, at least against a D-I opponent. These teams played in Omaha last year and Creighton won by 24. Not enough has changed in a year to justify Nebraska being favored here. Play on CREIGHTON AAA | |||||||
11-15-21 | Suns -3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PHOENIX Phoenix, the Western Conference Champions from last season, once again finds itself as the hottest team in the NBA. The Suns have won eight in a row entering Monday and have covered the spread seven straight times. This has them at 9-3 for the year and the only team ahead of the Suns right now (in the West) is Golden State). Tonight the Suns head to Minnesota to face a Timberwolves team that has experienced very different results over its last eight games. The T’wolves are 1-7 straight up and against the spread since Oct 30 with five of the seven losses coming by double digits. Even though Phoenix played last night, we can’t see Minnesota keeping this game close. It’s not as if last night was a difficult game for the Suns; they won 115-89, their third straight double digit win. There’s just no reason not to lay this short number as the Timberwolves have failed to cover the last five times they’ve been an underdog. Play on PHOENIX AAA | |||||||
11-14-21 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 48 h 41 m | Show |
This is an 8* on KANSAS CITY It was ugly but Kansas City got a 13-7 win last week over Green Bay (who was without Aaron Rodgers). The Chiefs could not cover the inflated number though, so they are now 4-16 against the spread in their last 20 games. It may seem risky to lay points with Patrick Mahomes on the road right now, but we’re going to do it Sunday night in Las Vegas. The Raiders were exposed a bit in last week’s 23-16 loss to the Giants. It is true that they had 156 more total yards than their opponent. But this is a team that has now lost to the Giants and Bears, plus needed overtime to get by the lowly Dolphins. Looking at this pair of five-win AFC West teams, we are more confident in the Chiefs making a second half run than we are the Raiders. Play on KANSAS CITY AAA | |||||||
11-14-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets -6.5 | Top | 95-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 9* on DENVER We think Denver is the right side in this Western Conference NBA matchup. The Nuggets will be looking to wrap up a perfect 5-0 homestand tonight when they host Portland. The Blazers have not been good on the road so far, losing six of seven while being outscored by roughly 8.7 points per game. So laying the points doesn’t bother us. Not with Denver leading the league in scoring defense. Through 12 games, the Nuggets are allowing an average 98.3 points/game. There have been only three times they’ve allowed triple digits and if you take away the one time Utah scored 122 (it was the second night of a back to back for Denver), then the defensive numbers look even more phenomenal. At home, the Nuggets are giving up just 93.4 points/game. Nikola Jokic has recorded a triple double in the last two games he’s played. Play on DENVER AAA | |||||||
11-14-21 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Packers | Top | 0-17 | Loss | -116 | 47 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SEATTLE So the Seahawks are set to get Russell Wilson back. We do not yet know if the Packers will have Aaron Rodgers on the field. What we do know is that without Rodgers, the Packers could only score seven points against a Chiefs defense that is terrible. We also know that the Seahawks are a much better team with Wilson under center. Wilson is 24-12-2 ATS in his pro career as an underdog. When getting four or more points, he is 10-1 against the spread with seven outright wins. If Rodgers cannot play Sunday, then this line is a steal. Even if we knew he was playing, we’d still take the points. Why? All things considered, these teams are pretty even. Seattle’s point differential is +12. Green Bay, despite being 7-2, has a point differential of +19. The Packers are not as good as their straight up record and their ATS win streak, currently tied for the longest in the last three NFL seasons, is due to end. It won’t be until late Saturday that Rodgers’ status for this game becomes official. So even if he does play, that’s less than 24 hours to prepare. By the way, the Seahawks are coming off a bye. Play on SEATTLE AAA | |||||||
11-14-21 | Lions +9 v. Steelers | Top | 16-16 | Win | 100 | 41 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* on DETROIT Coming out of a bye, is this the time for the Lions to finally win? The league’s only winless team (0-8) visits Pittsburgh this week. If you think the Steelers are as good as their 5-3 SU record, then you’re crazy. They nearly threw the game away Monday night vs. Chicago. By the way, how about the nice little scheduling advantage for the road team? They’re not coming off a bye, but also facing a team on a short week. The Steelers are only averaging 20.1 points, so why would you lay a big number with them? The Bears outgained them 414-280. It was the third game in a row that Pittsburgh won by five points or less. None of their wins this year have come by more than eight points. Going back to the end of last season, the Steelers have failed to cover the last eight times they were favored. Not only is Detroit 8-1 ATS coming off a bye week the last nine seasons, but teams 0-5 or worse coming off a bye are 18-6 ATS all-time. Definitely grab the points in this one. Play on DETROIT AAA | |||||||
11-13-21 | Celtics -2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 89-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BOS Cleveland is 8-5 and coming off a 20-point win, but we’re still a bit skeptical. The 20-point win last night was against the Pistons, who are one of the NBA’s worst teams. The Cavs are now 9-3-1 ATS overall, tied with the Warriors for the best mark in the league. But they’ve pulled out quite a few narrow wins so far, including three in a row by three points or less to start the month. We’re about to find out how “for real” Cleveland is as they host Boston tonight. The Celtics also won last night, needing OT to get by Milwaukee 122-113. It was their fourth win in five games. The Cavs do have the better record coming into tonight’s game, but oddsmakers still don’t respect them that much as they are underdogs at home. We’re going to lay the short number with Boston. Though they had to go to overtime to get the win last night, Cleveland is probably in worse shape heading into the second game of the back to back. They’re missing Colllin Sexton (who averaged 23.3 points/game last year), Kevin Love, Lauri Markkanen and possibly Lamar Stevens. Boston is pretty healthy coming into this game, save for the Jaylen Brown injury. Play on BOSTON AAA | |||||||
11-13-21 | Notre Dame -5 v. Virginia | Top | 28-3 | Win | 100 | 45 h 25 m | Show |
This is an 8* on NOTRE DAME People seem to have forgotten about Notre Dame? The Irish have won four straight since losing to Cincinnati. They’ve covered the spread in all four of those wins as well. That Cincinnati game is their only loss and we certainly don’t see them losing Saturday night in Charlottesville to Virginia. The Hoos had their own four-game winning run snapped two weeks ago. They gave up 66 points in a loss to BYU. While they did score 48 or more for a third straight game - and are now coming off a bye - we just don’t see the home team having enough to stay inside the number against a clearly more talented football team. Even with the bye, Virginia may not have QB Brennan Armstrong, who sustained a rib injury against BYU. That would be a crushing blow to the home team’s hopes here. Notre Dame is already 3-0 this season vs. ACC teams need a big win to impress the playoff committee. They get it here. Play on NOTRE DAME AAA | |||||||
11-13-21 | Georgia State v. Coastal Carolina -10.5 | Top | 42-40 | Loss | -107 | 40 h 7 m | Show |
This is an 8* on COASTAL CAROLINA Coastal Carolina starting quarterback Grayson McCall is out with an injury. He missed last week’s game against Georgia Southern, but the Chanticleers still won 28-8. We liked them in that game and will take them again here, laying the points as this line is a bargain. Backup QB Bryce Carpenter didn’t have to do much last week. However, he ended up completing 66% of his passes. Were McCall in the lineup, we’d project this spread to be close to three touchdowns. Is McCall really worth almost 10 points? Probably not! Georgia State has the 103rd ranked pass defense in the country as it gives up 257 yards/game through the air. Carpenter will probably play well. Coastal has scored 27 or more points in all nine games this season. Georgia State has topped 28 just once. The Chants have won 12 straight home games and last year they beat GSU on the road by 51 points. AAA | |||||||
11-13-21 | Dartmouth v. Georgetown -16 | Top | 69-60 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on G'town This is Georgetown’s first game. In case you’d forgotten, the Hoyas made an incredible run to the NCAA Tournament last March by winning the Big East Tournament as an 8-seed. They won four games in four days. However, it ended up being a short stay in the Big Dance as G’town was bounced in the opening round by Colorado, 96-73. A lot of the top talent from that team is now gone, but we still expect the Hoyas to handle their business here against Dartmouth. The Big Green have already played a game this season and it was a 72-57 loss to Boston College. They were never really in it as the halftime score was 42-19. Dartmouth shot just 37.5% overall from the field and 20.7% from behind the arc. As was the case with Iowa yesterday, we don’t think the dropoff with Georgetown will be quite as severe as the oddsmakers seem to. This should be a very easy opening game for the more talented side. Dartmouth hasn’t finished with a winning record in over 20 years. Georgetown is 7-0 ATS L7 home games against teams with a losing road record. Play on GEORGETOWN AAA | |||||||
11-13-21 | Oklahoma -5.5 v. Baylor | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OKLAHOMA November is when Oklahoma typically starts to roll. The Sooners haven’t lost a November game since 2014, well before current head coach Lincoln Riley first arrived in Norman. They’ve won 23 straight November games, including 21 when favored. OU enters this game against Baylor with an undefeated record in 2021 (9-0) and we think they’ll stay that way. This is the second shortest line for one of their games all year. They were four point favorites for the Texas game, which they came back and won 55-48. At the time, that was the Sooners third straight close victory. Since then, they’ve won by double digits three straight times. It was 52-21 over Texas Tech two weeks ago. Last week they were off. Baylor suffered just its second loss of the year last weekend as they went down 30-28 at the hands of TCU. Coming off a loss and facing a rested OU team is not what we’d call a “good situation” for the Bears. Since the switch at quarterback to Caleb Williams, the Sooners have averaged 48.5 points/game. They are still only 8th in the CFP rankings, so look for them to make a definitive “statement” to the committee here. Lay it! Play on OKLAHOMA AAA | |||||||
11-12-21 | Wyoming v. Boise State -13.5 | Top | 13-23 | Loss | -107 | 36 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BOISE STATE Boise State is 14-1 all-time vs. Wyoming with the lone loss taking place in Laramie back in 2016. The first 10 meetings, all won by Boise, were decided by an average of 26 points/game. The last five have been closer games with four decided by single digits. The visiting team has covered 11 of the last 15 times. While we do acknowledge that this Boise team isn’t as good as years past, they are coming off their two most impressive wins of the 2021 season. They went to Colorado State and won 28-19 then last Saturday went to Fresno State and won 40-14 as a 4.5 point underdog. Wyoming also won as an underdog (+3) last week. They beat Colorado State 31-17. But the Cowboys’ previous four conference games had all ended in defeat and they went 0-4 ATS as well. This is a team that also struggled to beat UConn. While Boise has the same 5-4 SU record as Wyoming, the Broncos are at least 3-2 in conference play. They’ve lost two games this year where they had a double digit lead. So their record could be better. We like this to be a three touchdown win for the home side. Before last week’s win, Wyoming had not scored more than 21 points in any conference game. Play on BOISE STATE AAA | |||||||
11-12-21 | Mavs -2.5 v. Spurs | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DAL Dallas is off a loss while San Antonio is off a win. But with a 7-4 record, the Mavs are having the better overall start to the year. The Mavs went down in Chicago Wednesday night, losing 117-107 as they could not keep up in the second half. But they’d won three in a row prior to that loss with one of the wins coming here in San Antonio. The win was by a single point, 109-108, but Dallas didn’t even shoot the ball well. Expect them to tonight. The Spurs picked up just their fourth win of the year when they beat Sacramento 136-117 Wednesday night. They hit 18 threes in the win, something that you won’t see them do again anytime soon. The Spurs have yet to win two straight games this year and they lost to OKC the most recent time they were coming off a victory. San Antonio is actually 0-2 vs. Dallas this year as they also lost to them by five points back on Oct 28. They did cover the spread in both losses, but that won’t be the case here as the Mavericks have yet to lose two straight games this season. It all adds up to a third win over the Spurs and this time Dallas covers. Play on DALLAS AAA | |||||||
11-12-21 | UMKC v. Iowa -20 | Top | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* on IOWA UMKC (Kansas City) will really be up against it on Friday as they travel to Iowa City to face the heavily favored Hawkeyes. This is already the second game against a Big 10 team for UMKC. They lost to Minnesota by a score of 71-56 on Tuesday. In that game, the Roos did not cover the spread as they were only 6.5 point underdogs. Oddsmakers like their chances here even less and so do we. Iowa is not the same team they were last year (no Luke Garza) but should certainly “handle its business” in this game. The Hawkeyes scored 106 points in the season opener vs. Longwood, so there’s not going to be that big of a dropoff at the offensive end. Iowa did cover the number vs. Longwood, so they are now 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games. This should be another big win for them as they look to start the season strong. Play on IOWA AAA | |||||||
11-11-21 | Ravens v. Dolphins +7.5 | Top | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MIAMI The history between the Ravens and Dolphins has been very one-sided. Baltimore has won eight of the last nine meetings and gone 9-0 ATS! The three most recent meetings (2016, ‘17 and ‘19) have seen the Ravens win by a combined score of 137-16! However, lets not forget what happened just three weeks ago. The Ravens played a Cincinnati team they were known for dominating. We said to take the points with the Bengals and sure enough THEY won the game 41-14! Miami probably is not capable of doing the same thing. But we do expect them to keep this Thursday night game within one score. Most Ravens’ wins this year have been close. Like last week when they beat Minnesota in overtime after trailing by two touchdowns. It was the fourth Baltimore win this year by fewer than seven points and second in overtime. Remember the Monday night game vs. Indianapolis where we played against them? That should have been a loss for the Ravens (they won, but did not cover). Miami was also a winner last week, with Jacoby Brissett as the starting QB, so that should give them some confidence heading into Thursday night. The Ravens, 0-5 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, are not as good as their record. Play on MIAMI AAA | |||||||
11-11-21 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -6.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PITT Pittsburgh is having a better season than North Carolina. The Panthers are 7-2 straight up and against the spread while the Tar Heels are just 5-4 straight up and 4-5 against the spread. But UNC is coming off an impressive come from behind win over Wake Forest, who was undefeated. Impressive as the win was, the Tar Heels still gave up 55 points. They’ve allowed an average of 47 points their last three games. That is never good, but going up against a Pitt offense that scores 45 per game means real trouble. There have been four times this year that the Panthers have scored 50 or more points. One of those was last week as they beat Duke 54-29. That game would have ended up as an even bigger blowout had Pitt not allowed a kickoff to be returned for a touchdown. It hasn’t been just the last three games where UNC has struggled on the defensive side of the ball. They are allowing 33.4 points/game for the entire season and that number is second worst in the entire ACC. The Tar Heels haven’t won on the road in 2021 (0-3), are 1-5 ATS their last six games as an underdog and 1-7 ATS their last eight games following an ATS win. Lay it. Play on PITTSBURGH AAA | |||||||
11-10-21 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois +2.5 | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NIU Northern Illinois suffered its first conference loss of the season last week. It was 52-47 to Kent State. The Huskies sure don’t seem to have the oddsmakers’ respect. They were underdogs at Kent State and they are underdogs here to Ball State, even though they’re at home. Ball State is just 3-6 ATS. The Cardinals did not cover the spread in a 31-25 win over Akron last Tuesday. The week before that saw them lose at home to Miami OH. We remember BSU winning the MAC Championship last season, but this year’s team hasn’t been as good. NIU put up season highs in points and yards last week, despite losing. The Huskies have been in every game besides the loss to Michigan. They’re looking to end a two-year losing streak to Ball State. Before losing the last two meetings, they’d won 10 in a row. This game is going to go a long way in deciding the MAC West. We believe the home team gets the job done as they are 9-2 ATS L11 games after an ATS loss. Play on NORTHERN ILLINOIS AAA | |||||||
11-10-21 | Robert Morris v. UCF -18 | Top | 59-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UCF This is the first ever meeting between Robert Morris and UCF. The home team is a big favorite and justifiably so. RMU had a tough maiden year in the Horizon League last season. They won only four games total and finished with their worst overall record in 11 years. Improving this season will be tough, at least early on, as the team’s best player from last year (AJ Bramah) transferred to Nevada. Bramah averaged 21 points and 10 rebounds for the Colonials. There are four new starters overall as the second leading scorer from last year is also gone. RMU ranked 324th in points allowed in 2020-21 so it’s not just the offensive end where they will struggle in this game. Central Florida returns most of its roster and should be healthier than they were a year ago when injuries were a problem. RMU has covered only one of the last six times it’s been a road underdog of 18.5 to 24 points. Lay it! Play on UCF AAA | |||||||
11-09-21 | Ohio +6 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OHIO Home field advantage has not meant much in previous Ohio-Eastern Michigan meetings. Each of the last three times these teams have met, whoever has been the road team has covered the spread. The last two times the road team was an underdog and won straight up. So recent history is on Ohio’s side tonight. Long-term history is as well with the Bobcats owning a 10-2 SU/9-3 ATS advantage over EMU going back to 1997. Ohio can’t make a bowl this year, but has covered four of its last five games and pulled an upset last Tuesday against Miami. They were 35-33 winners as seven point home underdogs. The defense shut Miami out in the first half. Eastern Michigan was also an upset winner last Tuesday as they downed Toledo 52-49 as a nine point dog. But their defense yielded a somewhat shocking 672 yards. With four losses by seven points or less, Ohio is better than its 2-7 record. We like them to keep this one close. Play on OHIO AAA | |||||||
11-09-21 | Siena v. St Bonaventure -19.5 | Top | 47-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ST. BONAVENTURE St. Bonaventure opens its season at home against Sienna. The Bonnies won the Atlantic 10 last season with an 11-4 record in conference play and were 16-5 overall. They won the Conference Tournament to earn an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. There they would lose in the first round to LSU 76-61. This team has all the ingredients not just to get back to the NCAA Tournament, but to be even better in 2022. The Bonnies have five seniors on the roster including two All-Conference selections in Lofton and Osunniyi. They are 22-7-2 against the spread in their previous 31 home games. While it's a somewhat sizable number tonight, we think they cover. Siena did share the regular season MAAC championship last year, but doesn’t look as strong coming into the new season. Play on ST. BONAVENTURE AAA | |||||||
11-08-21 | Hornets v. Lakers -3 | Top | 123-126 | Push | 0 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LA LAKERS It’s been quite the disappointing start to the season for the LA Lakers, who are just 5-5 straight up and 2-8 against the spread. They’ve lost their last two games. Not only did LeBron James not play on Saturday, but teammate Anthony Davis (sprained thumb) was on the court for only seven minutes. The result was a 105-90 loss to Portland. It wasn’t even that close as the Lakers trailed by 31 going into the fourth quarter. We were happy as we were on the Blazers. But here we’re going with the Lakers. Yes, they played a bad game the other night and still won’t have James. But they are facing a Charlotte team that just got blown out last night in this building by the Clippers. Charlotte is 0-4 straight up and against the spread in its last four games and this is their third road game in the last four nights. That’s a bad situation. There have been multiple games this year where the Lakers blew a big lead and lost. We bring that up to illustrate that they should have a better record. Even without James (and maybe Davis?), we’re confident they can down the Hornets. Play on LA LAKERS AAA | |||||||
11-08-21 | Bears +7 v. Steelers | Top | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CHICAGO Chicago is 1-5 ATS as an underdog this season and 0-3 ATS the last three games overall. But Pittsburgh is 0-3 ATS when favored in 2021, losing two of the games straight up. So something is going to have to give on Monday Night Football. This is actually the most points that the Steelers have been favored by in any game all season. It was a wacky Sunday in the NFL and a Bears win here would certainly follow the pattern of results we saw yesterday. We’re not confident enough to predict the underdog winning outright here, but we do like the points. All four of the Steelers’ wins this year have been by one score. Chicago’s 3-5 SU record is not all that surprising when you consider they have faced six teams that have winning records. They didn’t have coach Matt Nagy on the sidelines last week because of COVID. Nagy is the play caller on offense. Rookie QB Fields showed some flashes last week vs. the 49ers when he ran for more than 100 yards. When it comes to number of completed passes, Fields’ last two games have been his best. We think this ends up being a close, albeit low-scoring affair. Play on CHICAGO AAA | |||||||
11-08-21 | Sabres v. Capitals -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 101 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASH -1.5 (PUCK LINE) The Caps are on a three-game losing streak. But they host Buffalo on Monday and the Sabres are one of the worst teams in the NHL. So we feel pretty confident in calling for the home team to win this game by at least two goals. Buffalo has lost four straight and six of its last eight. They lost to Detroit, in overtime, on Saturday after blowing a two-goal lead. It was the second time in the last five games that the Sabres lost after holding a multi-goal lead. Those are the kind of games they need to win, if they are to have any hope of contending for the playoffs. This is not likely to be a win as it’s a road game and the Sabres have just one win away from home thus far. Watch for Washington to get its power play going tonight. They are just 2 for their last 15 with the man advantage. The Capitals’ last five wins have all been by two goals or more, so the puck line seems like a sensible option here. Play WASHINGTON -1.5 (PUCK LINE) AAA | |||||||
11-07-21 | Titans v. Rams -7 | Top | 28-16 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LA RAMS The Rams don’t need any help right now. They are 7-1 and clearly look to be one of the best teams in the league. But facing Tennessee when the Titans don’t have Derrick Henry is a HUGE break. The Titans have pulled three straight upsets, beating the Chiefs, Bills and Colts. Every game they were an underdog. We had them last week in Indy. But now there’s no Henry, who was the NFL’s leading rusher. Adrian Peterson, who is now 36 years old, is simply not an adequate replacement on that front. The Rams are averaging more than 30 points/game and they were up 38-0 last week. Their defense just got Von Miller, so now they’re even stronger on that side of the ball. History says the Titans are not likely to win this game. Only five teams since 1990 have started a season by winning their first five times as an underdog. Only four teams in HISTORY have won four straight times as an underdog of three or more points. So we will lay the points with a Rams team that was already superior to a Henry-led Titans team. Play on LA RAMS AAA | |||||||
11-07-21 | Cardinals +3 v. 49ers | Top | 31-17 | Win | 105 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ARIZONA So both QB Murray and WR Hopkins are officially “game-time decisions” for Arizona. If one - or both - does not play, that obviously changes the game in a dynamic way. But remember what happened last Sunday night? The Cowboys announced they were resting Dak Prescott. The line shot the other way. The Cowboys won anyway. We believe the Cardinals can win this game, with or without Murray and/or Hopkins. The 49ers are a bit of a mess right now. They’d lost four in a row before defeating Chicago last week. And it wasn’t easy beating the Bears either. The Niners are typically terrible when favored (so we love getting Arizona as an underdog with all the uncertainty) and they have won just once in their new stadium since it opened last year. All the uncertainty over who will be the starting QB (Colt McCoy is Arizona’s backup) makes it tough for San Francisco to prepare. Arizona already beat SF once this year and still has the advantage. Play on ARIZONA AAA | |||||||
11-07-21 | Browns v. Bengals -1 | Top | 41-16 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 9* on CINCINNATI Cleveland is a mess right now. Odell Beckham Jr was just waived, Baker Mayfield is both injured and ineffective. If that’s not enough, the Browns have won just one of their last four games and that was a Thursday nighter vs. Denver. Cincinnati is coming off an embarrassing loss to the Jets, so they won’t be taking the Browns lightly. Despite what happened last week, the Bengals are an improved team in 2021. They’d won back to back games by a total of 47 points before losing to the Jets. One was a 41-17 win at Baltimore. Browns coach Kevin Stefanski is 0-7 ATS in AFC North Games. This year, the Browns are 0-3 ATS vs. teams that have winning records. Cincinnati has covered 10 of the last 12 games in this AFC North rivalry. Joe Burrow is already better than Mayfield. The Browns offensive line has been banged up all year and the defensive front is the strength of this Bengals team. Cleveland has been held to 17 points or fewer in four of its last five games. Lay the points with the favorite. Play on CINCINNATI AAA | |||||||
11-07-21 | Falcons v. Saints -6 | Top | 27-25 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NO New Orleans upset last week, but it was a costly win as Jameis Winston was lost to a season ending injury (ACL). There’s been some debate over who will be the Saints starting quarterback this week. We expect it will be Trevor Siemian, who was in for a good amount of last week’s game. Siemian did a fine job vs. the Bucs. He should do fine against the Falcons, who are one of the league’s worst teams. Atlanta is coming off a 19-13 home loss to Carolina. It was their fifth straight one-score game, but really it wasn’t close as the Falcons trailed the whole way. All three Atlanta wins have been close over bad teams. We just cannot see them going on the road and beating the Saints. New Orleans still has a great defense that is #1 in the red zone. Atlanta’s defense gave up more than 200 yards rushing last week. A run game would really be beneficial to Siemian. The Saints are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 division games. They’ve covered five of six over Atlanta. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA | |||||||
11-06-21 | Lakers v. Blazers -4.5 | Top | 90-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND Portland is playing the second night of a back to back on Saturday, but may be catching a huge break in that the Lakers could be without both of its superstars in tonight’s game. We know LeBron James won’t play. James suffered an abdominal strain in Tuesday’s game vs. the Rockets. He missed the Lakers last game, which was a loss to Oklahoma City. That game saw Anthony Davis sprain his thumb. Davis is questionable for tonight. Look for the Blazers, who won by four against Indiana on Friday, to take advantage of their banged up visitors. They are a different team where their record is 4-1. (They are 0-4 on the road). Damian Lillard is having an awful start to the year. But the fact that Portland still won even with him shooting 2 for 13 last night is probably a good thing. There’s just no way Lillard won’t start to shoot the ball better. The Lakers are not a terribly deep team. Without James and Davis, they’re pretty bad. LA’s ATS record is 2-7, worst in the league. Even if Davis plays, we don’t see them covering this number. Play on PORTLAND AAA | |||||||
11-06-21 | UTSA -11 v. UTEP | Top | 44-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UTSA There are six undefeated teams left in College Football. Five of them sit among the top nine in the first College Football Playoff rankings. The sixth is little-known UTSA out of Conference USA, who did not even make the Top 25. Now the Roadrunners are in the Top 20 of both the AP and Coaches Polls. They are 8-0 and - for the most part - blown out the teams on their schedule. They’ve played three games decided by seven points or less. The last one was not one of those. In their first game ever as a ranked team, UTSA crushed Louisiana Tech 45-16 two weeks ago. Coming off a bye, the Roadrunners next face UTEP, another surprising team at 6-2. The Miners have covered five in a row, but lost last week 28-25 at Florida Atlantic. UTSA is actually better than UTEP against the spread, holding a 7-1 season mark in that regard. We think the bye week is big for them coming into the Sun Bowl and they’ve already beaten UTEP four years in a row. Three of the wins have been by double digits. The last time they visited, UTSA was also off a bye and they won handily. Play on UTSA AAA | |||||||
11-06-21 | Old Dominion v. Florida International +3 | Top | 47-24 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on FIU Yes, we’re taking a team that has not won a game all season. Butch Davis’ Florida International Panthers are 0-7 currently. They host a 2-6 Old Dominion team this week. FIU has been on quite the nosedive for some time now. They didn’t win a game last year either. Although that’s somewhat misleading as they played only five games in the pandemic shortened season. It’s been 14 straight losses (including a bowl) for FIU since they pulled a shocking upset over Miami FL (Davis’ former employer) as 20-point underdogs in the second to last game of the 2019 regular season. But Old Dominion has only three wins during that same time frame and two were against FCS programs. The other came last week against Louisiana Tech when they were four point home underdogs. The Monarchs have not won a road game since midway through the 2018 season. (They opted out of 2020). ODU is 1-15 straight up its last 16 road games. Now they are favored on the road. No thank you. Old Dominion has gone 25 straight games without winning by more than a field goal. FIU has won the last two meetings by 7 and 8 points. Play on FIU AAA | |||||||
11-06-21 | Coastal Carolina -17.5 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 28-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 8* on COASTAL CAROLINA Coastal Carolina was in a tough spot in their last game. They were coming off a crushing last second loss to Appalachian State, which cost them an unbeaten season. Facing Troy, the Chanticleers overcame a slow start to win 35-28 but did not cover the 17-point spread. It was the first game this season where they did not score on their opening possession. But they still racked up over 500 yards of offense. With a couple extra days to prepare (Troy game was on a Thursday), Coastal should come out and lay it to Georgia Southern this week. At least that’s what we think. Georgia Southern is a program in flux right now. Earlier this week, they announced Clay Helton will take over as coach … next season. So acting coach Kevin Whitley is a bit of lame duck these last four games. The Eagles have won only once in their last seven tries. It was a tough loss last week to Georgia State and Coastal will be arguably the toughest opponent of the year. Earlier in 2021, the Eagles lost 45-10 to Arkansas. It’s probably going to be “one of those kinds of games” for them again here as Coastal Carolina averages 44.4 points/game. Play on COASTAL CAROLINA AAA | |||||||
11-06-21 | Army +2.5 v. Air Force | Top | 21-14 | Win | 101 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ARMY This game takes place in Arlington, Texas. Army marches into this week’s combat with a 4-3 record. But they’ve also lost three in a row. The most recent loss was two weeks ago against Wake Forest. It was a 70-56 game that featured more than 1,200 yards of offense. Typically, the kind of performance that Army turned in would be most teams. Two of the Black Knights’ losses have been to Power 5 teams. The other was to Wisconsin. Air Force is 6-2 and its losses came to Utah State and San Diego State. The San Diego State loss was two weeks ago and that’s the last time the Falcons have taken the field. So both service academies are coming off losses. As always, you’ve got to figure this will be a low scoring game. Underdogs have covered 12 of the previous 15 meetings of service academy teams (Army, Navy, Air Force) and won outright eight times. The last seven Army-Air Force games have averaged only 28 points. So you’ve almost got to take the points. Especially with Army beating Air Force three of the last four times they have played. Army needs two more wins to become bowl eligible, so this one matters more to them. Play on ARMY AAA |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |