Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-08-23 | Hawks +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
10* Hawks (EAST-CONF GOM) Atlanta is 9-11, including 6-5 on the road, while Philadelphia is 13-7 overall, including 7-3 at home. ATL has lost two straight, and five straight ATS, but that's significant to note as the Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Hawks play with revenge here as well after a 126-116 loss at home back in mid-November, and that's also important to note here as Atlanta is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Hard to say anything negative about Philly, but this is just a bad spot for the home side; grab the points the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-08-23 | Army v. Harvard -13.5 | Top | 64-70 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
10* Harvard (BLOOD-BATH) Harvard's up-tempo pace will prove to be too much for Army to keep up to down the stretch in this one. The Black Knights are just 2-7, while the Crimson are 6-3. Army is 0-4 SU on the road, while Harvard is 3-0 at home. The Crimson are 0-3 ATS in their last three, but that's significant to note as they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. We believe that the numbers/trends all overwhelmingly point the Crimson as the correct call as far as the side is concerned in this matchup; lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers -5.5 | Top | 21-18 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
10* Steelers (AFC GOW) New England is 2-10, while Pittsburgh is 7-5. Pittsburgh has been trading wins/losses over its last four games and off the listless 24-10 loss at home to Arizona, we're expecting this pattern to continue. New England is just in shambles and the issues are greater than just the players on the field or the "X's" and "O's." With the loss of RB Rhamondre Stevenson, the Pats offense is a complete bust. Over their last three games the Pats have scored a combined 13 points, getting shutout twice already this season. Mitch Trubisky is the best player on the field of play in this one, so just take that into consideration. Either way, Pittsburgh's defense, which concedes 19.1 PPG, will be able to deliver the victory here in our opinion; so lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on Pittsburgh! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-07-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis +5.5 v. Eastern Illinois | Top | 58-75 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
10* IUPUI (MID-MAJOR MAULING) We base our picks on many different things. We've always believed that being flexible with your approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term, rather than following just one single handicapping methodology/strategy. And so with that in mind, we think this one sets up really well for IUPUI from a "situational" standpoint. The Jaguars are 3-6, while Eastern Illinois is 4-5. The Jaguars have faced a few good teams. One of their three wins came as an underdog a Valparaiso at the start of the year. The other two came over lower-tiered competition. In every loss they've been the underdog, and they've faced some good teams. Eastern Illinois has also faced some stiff competition, but ultimately we feel these teams are extremely evenly matched. So in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is IUPUI! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-06-23 | DePaul +19.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 64-89 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* DePaul (ASSASSIN) We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we just like the way this one sets up for the now desperate visiting side to keep it close enough to cover with the points. The Blue Demons are 1-6, and the Aggies are 6-2. Texas A&M is ranked 21st, but it's now lost two of its last three, including a 59-47 loss to Virginia last time out. DePaul isn't a great team and we're not trying to make excuses for it as it's lost four in a row. But it was an underdog in three of those games. The Aggies are kind of a one man team. Henry Coleman III had 16 points and 14 rebounds in their most recent loss, but the rest of the team combined to go just 9 of 42 from the floor (which is just 21.4 percent.) This is the Blue Demons first true road game of the year, which can't be a bad thing considering how terrible the start of the season has been. In the 99-80 loss to Iowa State, Jeremiah Oden made six of seven from three-point range and finished with 25 points. As stated off the top, we're not going to call for an outright upset here or anything, but we think the Blue Demons have been improving of late, while the Aggies are going in reverse. Grab the points, the play is DePaul! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-06-23 | Jazz v. Mavs -8.5 | Top | 97-147 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
10* Dallas (WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOM) Dallas is 11-8, including 5-4 at home, while Utah is 7-13, including 1-9 on the road. Dallas has lost three of its last four, so it won't be taking anything for granted here. It hits the road for two straight after this as well, putting added importance onto this contest for Luka and company to get things turned around here at home tonight. Utah broke a two-game slide with a 118-113 OT win over Portland, but everything points to another letdown here in our opinion vs. this well-rested and focused home side; lay the points, the play is on the Mavericks! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-05-23 | Seton Hall +11.5 v. Baylor | Top | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* Seton Hall (NON-CONF GOY) Outright victory?! We're definitely not calling for that, but we do also definitely believe that this is WAY too many points for the home side to be giving up, as this one sets up well from a situational stand point for the visitors in our opinion. Seton Hall is 5-2, while Baylor is 8-0. The Pirates are off the 88-75 win over Northeastern, stopping a two-game slide which came against USC and Iowa in tournament action. Note that while Seton Hall is 0-3 ATS in its last three, the Pirates are in fact a near-perfect 4-1 ATS for bettors after three or more ATS losses in a row. Baylor is rolling, but with big upcoming games vs. Michigan State and Duke before X-Mas, we're expecting the home side to take the foot off the gas here in the second half. The overall situation, combined with the above supporting O/U ATS trends does indeed make Seton Hall our CBB NON-CONFERENCE GOY! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-04-23 | Bengals +10 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
10* Bengals (ASSASSIN) The Bengals are 5-7 and they come to town with Jake Browning under center. Are we calling for an outright upset?! No, we're not. But we do think the Bengals won't smiply "roll over" here. Instead, we're expecting this team to give its best shot over four quarters and to give the home side everything it can handle. Jacksonville is back on track at 8-3 and B2B victories, but note that Trevor Lawrence and company are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine after three or more ATS victories in a row. We're not counting out the Bengals quite yet. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Cincinnati! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 53 h 10 m | Show |
10* Packers (NON-CONF GOM) The Chiefs are 8-3, including 4-1 on the road. Green Bay is 5-6, including 3-2 at home. We think that the Chiefs will have their hands full and while we'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, in a contest that we see coming down to the wire, we're grabbing the points. The Chiefs offense is going in reverse, as they've averaged just 19.5 PPG over their last five games. The Chiefs have been held together by their tough defense which concedes just 16.5 PPG. Green Bay though has looked great of late, winning three of its last four, behind some great offensive play from QB Jordan Love. The defense has been sharp too, allowing just 20.4 PPG this year. With a home game vs. the Bills up next, look for the visitors to get caught "looking ahead" here as well; grab the points, the play is Green Bay! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-03-23 | Minnesota v. Ohio State -12.5 | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (BIG TEN GOM) Minnesota is 5-2 and Ohio State is 6-1. The Gophers are off the 97-64 win over New Orleans, while the Buckeyes beat CMU by a score of 88-61 in their most recent action. This is the first of two meetings between the schools and we think that Ohio State will take full advantage of the home court. Both teams have looked good to this point, but now the real competition gets underway. The Gophers have had a lot of turnover though from last year's team that won this game outright 70-67 as 14-point dogs. Ohio State's depth and incredible defensive play turns out to be the difference this year though; lay the points, the play is the Buckeyes! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-03-23 | Lions v. Saints +4.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) New Orleans isn't out of the fight yet. The Saints though have lost two straight SU and three straight ATS after last week's 24-15 divisional loss to the Falcons. Detroit was last seen losing 29-22 to Green Bay on Thanksgiving. We'll point out though that the Saints have responded well in this spot for bettors, going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. In the loss to the Falcons, the Saints actually outgained Atlanta. Derek Carr was 24 for 38 for 304 passing yards. Despite some injuries, we're looking for the hungry home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover; so grab the points, the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-02-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee -2.5 v. Green Bay | Top | 58-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* Milwaukee (HORIZON LEAGUE GOY) The Panthers are 3-4 after a 90-84 setback to Southern Miss last time out. Note that Milwaukee though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They sit in sixth in the Horizon League, while the 3-4 Phoenix are in eighth. They're coming off a listless 75-71 loss to Purdue Fort Wayne. After four straight covers though, we feel the oddsmakers are giving the home side too much respect in this one. These teams played last February, and it was a nail-biter until the end, with Green Bay coming out on top 80-79. Now favored here because of their superior offense, look for the Panthers to exact a little revenge and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-02-23 | SMU v. Tulane -3 | Top | 26-14 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
10* Tulane (AAC GOM) Tulane is 11-1 and SMU is 10-2. Tulane is looking to beceome the third program to repeat as AAC Champions. SMU stands in the way. When these teams played last year though, the Green Wave rolled to an immense 59-24 victory and we're expecting a similar blowout here. SMU has been playing some great football, winning eight in a row. But in the only two AAC teams they faced during that stretch, the Mustangs went 0-2 ATS. The fact that Tulane has been here and done this already really does matter; lay the points, the play is the Green Wave! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-01-23 | Fresno State +15.5 v. BYU | Top | 56-85 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Fresno State is 3-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. BYU is 6-0 SU/ATS. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we do now definitely think that the Cougars are getting TOO much respect from the oddsmakers here, as we look for the Bulldogs to comfortably cover with the large spread they've been afforded. Fresno State is off the 69-65 loss to UC Santa Barbara. So far the Bulldogs are averaging 73.2 PPG. BYU is off a 95-86 win over NC State. Overall BYU is averaging 92.3 PPG. Clearly, BYU is the better team here, but this is definitely a few too many points to be giving up. Fresno State has poor defense, but look for its above-average offense to keep it competitive late; grab the points, the play is indeed on Fresno State! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-01-23 | Knicks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 119-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ATLANTIC DIVISION GOM) This is the first game of the season between these Atlantic Division foes, and we think the hungry visiting side is the correct call in this matchup tonight. New York is 11-7, including 5-4 on the road, while Toronto is 9-10, including 6-4 at home. The Raptors just snapped a three-game slide with a win over Phoenix and after this game it has five nights off before a home game vs. the Heat. New York is off back-to-back wins, including a 118-112 victory at home over Detroit last night. The Knicks have a few days off after this before a home game vs. the Bucks. New York is a bad matchup for the Raptors and we expect it to draw "first blood" in the season series; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-01-23 | New Mexico State +10.5 v. Liberty | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 38 m | Show |
10* New Mexico State (CONF. USA GOM) The Aggies finished 10-3. The Flames finished a perfect 12-0. One of New Mexico State's losses came in Week 2 vs. Liberty, falling 33-17 as a 9.5-point underdog. The Aggies though got progressively better as the season went on, posting eight straight victories to close the season, including three straight as an underdog, which includes road wins at WKU and Auburn as a 25-point dog. New Mexico State is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. No matter what your schedule is, going 12-0 is unbelievably impressive. We have all the possible respect you can have for Liberty and its perfect season. But that now said, the Flames' didn't face murderer's row or anything this season. There were no massive double-digit underdog road wins vs. Power 5 Conferences or anything. Throw in the revenge-factor and everything points to, at the very least, a comfortable ATS cover for the Aggies! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-30-23 | Bucks v. Bulls +8.5 | Top | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
10* BULLS (CENTRAL DIV GOW) Clearly, the Bulls have issues this year. They're just 5-14. The Bucks haven't been perfect either, but they've looked great overall at 13-5. Chicago is clearly the more desperate team in this fight, as they've lost five straight SU/ATS. Chicago though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Bulls catch Milwaukee off three straight victories, and all signs finally point to a bit of a letdown here on the road in our estimation. Situationally this one definitely sets up well for the home side and that's primarily what we're basing this pick off. No outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-30-23 | Illinois State +6.5 v. Illinois-Chicago | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (MISSOURI VALLEY GOM) In what we feel is an evenly matched contest, we're going to grab the points. Illinois State is 3-3 SU, while UIC is 5-2. The Redbirds have been competitive for the most part, but now returning to conference play here, everything points to a "nail-biter" in our opinion. UIC is 7-0 ATS, but that fact has only helped in driving this spread a little higher than it normally would/should be. We're seeing a lot of the early public money on the home side here, but when comparing these teams numbers, we're expecting a dog-fight until the end (Illinois State won the last matchup 68-62 in OT last season.) Grab the points, the play is Illinois State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-29-23 | Prairie View A&M v. Tulane -13.5 | Top | 77-98 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
10* Tulane (BLOOD-BATH) Prairie View A&M is 4-2 overall and 5-0 against the spread, so that now tells us two things looking at these numbers: the Panthers are a pretty good team. They're No. 1 overall in the SWAC and they're coming off three straight road victories as an underdog (and really BIG underdogs in every one of them, most recently they were an 11.5-point dog vs. Eastern Kentucky on the road and won 76-64.) Obviously Prairie View A&M is a pretty good team, not to be overlooked, but at 5-0 against the spread, that now tells us that they're likely going to be really overvalued here moving forward. Tulane is similar in that it's a really good team as well. It's 4-1 in a tough AAC conference and it's also coming in off a big win..beating Cal 84-81. But unlike their opponent today, the Green Wave UP UNTIL THIS POINT have been the overvalued team as they're just 1-4 against the spread. But now the situation has flip-flopped for these teams, and the value now swings the other way. We think Tulane, which now returns home where its already 3-0 this season after two straight Tournament games, is where the value lies; lay the points, the play is Tulane! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-28-23 | Missouri +6 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* Missouri (NON-CONF GOW) Missouri is 5-2 SU, while Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU. The Tigers though are an unrealistic 0-7 ATS, while the Panthers are an unrealistic 5-1 ATS. Look for these lop-sided trends/numbers to start correcting themselves here immediately tonight. Outright win?! With a smaller spread like this, clearly, anything is possible. But in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. On the season Missouri is averaging 75.1 PPG, while allowing 67, while Pittsburgh is averaging 88.2, while conceding 63.2. Of course, the level of competition for each side has to be called into question at this point. Missouri shoots the ball well from three and is going to be able to stretch this Pittsburgh defense; grab the points, the play is the Tigers! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-27-23 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 112-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOY on New Orleans. Here's a great "spot" wager, one so strong that it's qualified as our No. 1 WESTERN-CONFERENCE NON-DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR. New Orleans is 9-8 after a 105-100 loss here two nights ago. Note though that the Pels have responded well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Utah is just 5-11. That victory snapped a four-game slide. But with an upcoming road trip starting at Memphis, not only is this a letdown spot for the home side, but also a look-ahead. And when you add up those two factors together, you get TRAP GAME. This is now a trap for the contented home side, well all signs point to New Orleans keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish in this revenge-scenario; lay the points, the play is indeed on New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
10* Bears (NFC NORTH GOY) The Bears play with revenge here after falling 19-13 at home back in Week 6. They were a 3-point dog in that one, and they're a 3-point dog here. But now they catch the Vikes at the exact correct time in our estimation. Note that the Bears are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent as well. The Bears lost 31-26 at Detroit last weekend, but covered with the 7.5-point spread. Minnesota is coming off a close-but-no-cigar 21-20 loss at Denver and we think it's ripe for an upset here; that said, let's grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-27-23 | Manhattan v. Fordham -11.5 | Top | 61-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Fordham (MID-MAJOR MAULING) The MAAC takes on the A-10 here. Manhattan got smashed 90-60 on the road by No. 5 UConn last time out and we think the Jaspers will once again have their hands full here vs. the Rams, who are looking to rebound themselves after a competitive 79-72 loss to Kent State. Overall Manhattan is averaging 65.6 PPG, while allowing 75.6, while Fordham is averaging 67 PPG, while allowing 68.8. Of course, both team's numbers are skewed because of the early competition. That said, Fordham's defes is definitely on another level here and we just can't see the offensively-challenged Jaspers keeping pace down the stretch; lay the points with confidence, the play is Fordham! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-26-23 | Ravens v. Chargers +3 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Chargers (ASSASSIN) Baltimore is 8-3, but we think it'll have its hands full here with this now desperate 4-6 LA side. The Ravens are off the 34-20 win over the Bengals, but with their bye week next week, all signs point to this team getting caught "looking ahead" in our opinion, as that's then followed by a fairly easy home game vs. the hapless Rams. the Chargers are for sure desperate here after two straight losses, but we think they catch the Ravens at a great time here, a late night West Coast game on the national stage and while we do absolutely believe the outright victory is a possibility, the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on LA! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-26-23 | College of Charleston +7.5 v. Kent State | Top | 84-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
10* Charleston (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Charleston is 2-3 SU, but 0-5 ATS. We're expecting the Cougars to battle tough here and, at the very least, post the solid ATS cover this time around. Kent State is 4-2. Charleston is off the 80-72 win over Coastal Carolina, whole the Golden Flashes are off a 79-72 win over Fordham. So far in the early going Charleston is averaging 69.4 PPG, while allowing 74.2. Kent State has averaged 83.6 PPG, while allowing 74.4. The Cougars have only played one true home game. They're battle-tested here and we think completely undervalued in this matchup. We really respect Kent State, but we don't see the Flashes covering this larger number; so grab the points, the play is Charleston! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +1.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
10* Texans (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) Jacksonville is 7-3 SU/ATS, including 3-0 SU/ATS on the road. Houston is 6-4 SU, including 4-1 SU at home. It's 2-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd, but while we'll still be grabbing the points, we're expecting the home side to in fact find a way to win this one outright. Jacksonville bounced back with a 34-14 win over Tennessee at home last week after falling 34-3 at home to the 49ers. While only 1-2 ATS in its last three, Houston though is 3-0 SU. That includes an impressive win on the road at the Bengals as a dog. It's Houston which is still flying under the radar here, as we expect the Jags to finally take a step back on the road this season; grab the points, the play is Houston! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-25-23 | Sabres +1.5 v. Devils | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
10* Sabres PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN) Both teams played just last night. The Devils have taken a big step back in the early going after a great year last season, as they're just 8-9 after last night's 2-1 loss here to Columbus. Buffalo though won its second straight in a 3-2 home win over the Penguins. The Sabres are now 9-9 and they play with revenge after a 5-4 loss here at the end of October. In what we anticipate will be another competitive affair, we're going to lay the price with Buffalo here on the puckline option and grab those extra 1.5 goals in the process! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-25-23 | Tulsa v. Arkansas-Little Rock +4.5 | Top | 82-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
10* UALR (MAULING) It's the AAC traveling to take on the Ohio Valley Conference. The Golden Hurricane are 4-0, while the Trojans are 1-4. In a contest that we see "coming down to the wire" though, we're grabbing the points with the desperate home side here. Tulsa is off the 90-70 win over South Carolina State. The Trojans blew a 17-point lead in their last game and lost 93-90 to Georgia State in overtime. We like the Trojans to bounce back here after that disaster, as they just had a mental-lapse. Look for the tempo the home side sets to be too much for the Golden Hurricane to handle today, and while I do think an outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with UALR! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-25-23 | Northern Illinois -19 v. Kent State | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 10 m | Show |
10* Northern Illinois FIRST HALF (MAC GOW) If you can't get a FIRST HALF line, we also like NIU for the entire game. This is a great "situational" play in our opinion, and at this time of year, we're basing our picks off of "situations" in College Football. There's no need to overthink this one. The primary reason we like NIU is that we expect it to risk life and limb here to secure its sixth victory of the season, and thus become "eligible." Kent State is just 1-10 and a complete disaster. It won't win this game and we're not expecting the Flashes to put up any sort of fight whatsoever. We expect NIU to really push the pace in the FIRST HALF, but as we said off the top, if you can't find a FIRST HALF line, we also like the HUSKIES for the FULL GAME! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-24-23 | Merrimack v. Samford -11.5 | Top | 71-79 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
10* Samford (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Samford is 3-2 and Merrimack is 3-1. Samford is known for its tough defensive play, while Samford is known for its high-scoring offensive prowess. It's a classic strength vs. strength here. The Bulldogs are balanced overall, averaging 78.8 PPG, while allowing 72.8. The Warriors average 73.4 PPG, while allowing 70.6. Merrimack's competition to this point though needsd to be called into question. Look for the high-scoring home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to comfortably pull away for the win and ATS cover; the play is indeed on Samford! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-24-23 | UTSA +4 v. Tulane | Top | 16-29 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 35 m | Show |
10* UTSA (UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR) When betting College Football at this time of year, it's really important to first look at each team's record, because that plays a big part in their motivation. For example, Iowa is 9-2 in Nebraska this weekend, but the Hawekeyes are already playing in the Big Ten Championship game against either Michigan or Ohio State. So do the Hawkeyes really care if they win or lose against the 5-6 Huskers? Nebraska though will be risking life and limb of course to try and pull off the victory. But these two teams here in Tulane, along with SMU, are tied for first place in the AAC, so this is a really big game obvoiusly for each side here despite each already being eligible. In fact the winner of this game will almost assuredly go on to play in the AAC title game. The Green Wave average 33.1 points per game and it's been their offense which has led the charge this season. The Roadrunners are the exact opposite, as they've been getting the job done with a fantastic defense that allows just 18.5 points per game. They say "defense wins championships," and that's the angle we're going with here for sure; grab the points, the play is UTSA! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-24-23 | Utah State -6 v. New Mexico | Top | 44-41 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 2 m | Show |
10* Utah State (MOUNTAIN WEST GOW) The Utah State Aggies are 5-6 and the New Mexico Lobos are 4-7. With a win Utah State will become "eligible," and with a victory, New Mexico will win on Senior's Day. The Lobos can only play spoiler here and we don't think that'll be enough of a motivating factor to get the job done here. Utah State is off a 45-10 loss to Boise State, wile the Lobos are off a satisfying 25-17 victory over Fresno State. If recent history is any precedence, then the Aggies have to be loving their chances as Utah State has won the last two head-to-head matchups by a combined score of 62-20. Jalen Royals is one of the best offensive players in the country and we believe the dynamic WR will be a difference-maker for the visiting side; lay the points, the play is Utah State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-24-23 | Iowa v. Nebraska -2 | Top | 13-10 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 38 m | Show |
10* Nebraska (BIG TEN GOW) No need to overthink this one. Iowa is already in the Big Ten Championship game and it'll just be going through the motions here and trying not to sustain any serious injuries before a date with either Michigan or Ohio State. Nebraska is 5-6 and needs one more win here on Senior Night to become eligible. The Huskers have gone 0-3 SU/ATS in their last three, but note that Nebraska is 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. In what we expect will be a rout from start to finish, lay the points the with confidence; the play is Nebraska! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-24-23 | BYU v. Arizona State +11.5 | Top | 77-49 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
10* Arizona State (NON-CONF GOW) The Sun Devils are 2-1 and on a two-game win streak after a 71-69 victory over UMass Lowell River. BYU is 4-0, most recently off a commanding 93-50 victory over Morgan State. Aside from SDSU, a game the Cougars won 74-65 as two-point favorites, BYU has not played anyone of note. They've been massive double-digit favorites in every other game. This is the "Vegas Showdown" Tournament and we think that the improving underdog side offers great value in this spot to pull off a comfortable ATS cover. Look for ASU to put up a similar fight as to what the Aztecs gave; grab the points, the play is indeed on Arizona State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +6.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 51 m | Show |
10* Seahawks. Seattle has been trading wins and losses over its last four games. It fell 17-16 at the Rams last week. It's the first game of the year vs. the 49ers, who have gotten back on track with B2B wins and once look pretty dominant. With a game at Philadelphia after this, followed by a home re-match vs. the Hawks, we say that San Fran gets caught "looking ahead." Seattle is 4-1 SU at home. San Fran is just 2-3 ATS on the road. We're not calling for an outright upset, but all signs point to this one being much more competitive than what this spread would suggest; grab the points, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-23-23 | Commanders +11.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 10-45 | Loss | -111 | 72 h 1 m | Show |
10* Commanders. As mentioned in the play on Green Bay, we're going "contrarian" here on Thanksgiving, taking all three dogs. Washington is 4-7 and it's lost two straight after an upset 31-19 setback to the Giants. Previous to that they fell short in a competitive 29-26 loss at Seattle as a six-point dog. We like the Commanders to bounce back here with their effort though after they got caught looking ahead to this one. These teams play in the Nation's capital in the final regular season game and we like the visitors to keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Dallas has always had a way of playing down to the level of its competition in big moments, and we say that pattern of futility continues here on the short week. No outright, but way closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-23-23 | Packers +8 v. Lions | Top | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 68 h 1 m | Show |
10* Packers. We're going contrarian here. While the majority of the public goes one way on this early game on Thanksgiving, we're going the other. In fact, that's the theme of this three-game report, a Thanksgiving Contraian 3-Pak! Cleary, Detroit is the better team. After three straight wins, it's now in lines for its fourth. It beat Green Bay 34-20 back in September, but we're expecting a much better fight from their division rival here on the National Stage. Detroit was "lucky" to move past Chicago 31-26 last weekend. It plays its next two on the road, so it could be caught "looking ahead" here as well. Green Bay plays with revenge and it comes in off a huge 23-20 home win over the Chargers as three-point dogs. Everything points to a much tigher battle than what this line is suggesting in our opinion; grab the points, the play is indeed on Green Bay! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-22-23 | Cal-Riverside +4 v. Montana State | Top | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* UC Riverside (MID-MAJOR MAULING) UC Riverside is 2-3 SU and 0-4 ATS. We expect the Highlanders to, at the very least, finally get off the schneid here in the ATS department. They're actually coming off a 74-68 win over Wisconsin Green Bay and despite not covering the spread last time out, note that UC Riverside is still a wallet-expanding 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Montanta State actually lost 54-53 to Wisconsin Green Bay in OT as an 11-point favorite here at home two nights ago. These teams are in fact evenly matched and in a battle that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is UC Riverside! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-21-23 | Eastern Michigan +6.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 24-11 | Win | 100 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
10* EMU (MAC DOMINATION) This is a FANTASTIC "situational" play in our opinion. EMU is 0-5 SU on the road and it's a big dog here, but at 5-6, the Eagles still have one more opportunity to try and punch their ticket to "eligibility." Despite being 0-5 SU on the road, EMU is a competitive 3-2 ATS away from friendly confines. they kep their hopes alive with a huge 30-27 OT win over Akron last week, and we're expecting another all-out effort here in Buffalo as well. The Bulls have lost three straight SU/ATS, including a 23-10 setback at Miami Ohio last week. Playing spoiler can only go so far, and we think that the Eagles' determination will prove to be the difference; grab the points,teh play is EMU. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-21-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County v. Maryland -20 | Top | 68-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* MARYLAND (ATS CURB-STOMP) Maryland is 1-3, while UMBC is 3-2. The Terps are heavily favored here to snap their three game slide and we think they'll do just that by being merciless here on the Retreivers. Note that Maryland is in fact 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. UMBC now looks primed for a letdown after winning and covering in three straight (note that the Retreivers are in fact just 2-4 ATS in their last six after three or more straight SU victories in a row.) Look for Maryland to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-20-23 | Eagles +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
10* Eagles (BLOOD-BATH) The Eagles play with revenge after losing to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl last year. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. If you're betting on this game, then you know the cast of characters on each side and you're also very familiar with each team's strengths and weaknesses. Despite the Chiefs being the defending champs though, Philadelphia "feels" like the more complete team to us at this point of the season. Honestly, it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these sides to take this one. We think the revenge factor will prove to be the difference-maker; grab the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-20-23 | Knicks v. Wolves -3 | Top | 100-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* Wolves (NON-CONF GOW) New York is 8-5, including 5-3 on the road. But after three straight SU/ATS road victories, and with four days off after this before game vs. rival Miami, we say this absolutely sets up as a "trap" for the visitors. Minnesota has won eight in a row, but it's lost three straight ATS. Note that the Wolves are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. We expect the visitors to "go through the motions" here; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-20-23 | Wisconsin +3.5 v. Virginia | Top | 65-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Wisconsin (TOURNEY GOW) Virginia is 4-0 and Wisconsin is 2-2. The Badgers are off a 76-68 win over Robert Morris, while UVA is off a 63-33 win over Texas Southern. This is UVA's first "real" test though and Wisconsin ultimately has the offensive fire-power to match pace. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Wisconsin! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-19-23 | Thunder v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 134-91 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* Blazers (NORTHWEST DIV. GOM) Here's a great situational wager on Portland. OKC is 9-4 and it's won four in a row, including two straight at Golden State, including last night's 130-123 OT victory. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! Portland has lost six straight. It's lost three straight ATS, but note that the Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS setbacks in a row. With a couple days off after this, followed by a home game vs. the Bulls, this one has "trap" written all over it for the visitors; grab the points, the play is the Blazers! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-19-23 | St. John's +5 v. Utah | Top | 91-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* St. John's (ASSASSIN) This is for the third-place in the Charleston Classic. The Red Storm are off an 88-81 loss at Dayton, while the Utes fell 76-66 to Houston on Friday. St. John's is now 2-2 on the year, but battle-tested. They average 74.3 PPG, while allowing 75.8. Utah is averaging 71.5 PPG, while allowing 66.3. The Utes struggled defensively last time out though and we think they'll have their hands full here too in this neutral site affair. We think the Red Storm will do more than enough to, at the very least, post the comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is St. John's! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-19-23 | Bucs +12.5 v. 49ers | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
10* Bucs (ASSASSIN) Tampa isn't going to win this game outright, but it also won't be rolling over. Yes, the 49ers looked sharp in last week's 34-3 win over Jacksonville, bouncing back from three straight losses after their bye week, but we're expecting them to get caught "looking ahead" here to their divisional matchup in Seattle next week. And that's then followed by a game at Philadelphia, followed by two more straight divisional matchups. This really does feel like a "trap" for San Francisco. Tampa broke a four-game slide last week as well with a 20-6 home win over Tennessee. The Bucs have now covered in three straight, and we're expecting that trend to follow through one more time in this favorable "spot" as well; a great situational play on Tampa Bay! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-18-23 | Heat v. Bulls +3.5 | Top | 97-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
10* Bulls (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Despite having just played and lost 103-97 to Orlando last night, we like the Bulls to bounce back and take the first game of this two-game series here vs. the Heat. Chicago lost both games to orlando and it's now lost three in a row. Note though that the Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. Miami has won seven straight, but we expect it to have its hands full here today vs. this underachieving home side. And while the outright win is obviously poossible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-18-23 | Texas State v. Arkansas State +4 | Top | 31-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (SUN BELT GOM) Texas State is now 6-4 after last week's 31-23 upset loss at Coastal Carolina as a three-point favorite. The Bobcats are once again going to have their hands full here vs. the 5-5 Arkansas State Red Wolves, who had their two-game win streak snapped in last week's 21-14 loss at South Alabama as a 15.5-point dog. The Red Wolves will be looking to pull off the outright upset here, but really the oddsmakers have been underestimating this team for a while now, entering having covered the spread in three straight. And that's the case once again here in our opinion, as we feel an outright upset is in fact a very real possibility; that said, let's grab the points with Arkansas State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-18-23 | Columbia +12.5 v. Temple | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
10* Columbia (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Temple is 3-0, and Columbia is 2-2. Columbia is averaging 78 PPG, and we think its impressive offense will keep it competitive late in this one. Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa is one of four players averaging double-figures. Temple averages only 66.3 PPG, but it has been getting the job done with its impressive defensive play, holding teams to just 38.5 percent shooting. Hysier Miller leads the way offensively for Temple. With Ole Miss coming to town next, we're expecting the home side to take the foot off the gas in the second half as well; grab the points, the play is Columbia! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-18-23 | Tulane v. Florida Atlantic +9.5 | Top | 24-8 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 58 m | Show |
10* FAU (AAC GOM) Tulane is 9-1 and has big aspirations here, but FAU won't be rolling over, coming into this contest 4-6, needing to sweep its final two games to become "eligible." Clealry the odds are against it, but we think the Owls will, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough down the stretch to comfortably sneak in through the back door with the large spread that they've been afforded. Tulane is really in unchartered territory here atop the AAC. Tulane has a way of letting teams hang around late. The Green Wave also have some injuries in the receiving corps. When you add up all of these factors, eveything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Florida Atlantic! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-17-23 | Colorado v. Washington State -4 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 34 h 11 m | Show |
10* WSU (PAC 12 GOM) We say that home field advantage proves to be a difference-maker here. Both teams are 4-6 with two games remaining to try and become eligible. Colorado has lost four straight, but it's 3-1 ATS in that span, most recently falling 34-31 to Arizona as an 8-point dog. After four straight wins to open the year, WSU has now lost six straight. It's lost three straight ATS, but note that the Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. Colorado has been downright terrible of late though, now allowing 33.9 PPG. The Cougars have only been slightly better by allowing 30.9, but again, the home-field advantage simply can not be ignored as a very real deciding factor in our opinion. Everyone and their grand-mother wants to beat Coach Prime, and that includes WSU; lay the points, the play is the Cougars! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-17-23 | Butler v. Michigan State -8 | Top | 54-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (ATS BEATDOWN) The Butler Bulldogs are 3-0 SU/ATS, while Michigan State is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS. The Spartans lost their last game against 9th ranked Duke, but we're expecting them to now take out their frustrations on the Bulldogs. Butler has looked great in its three straight home wins, but now they hit the road for the first time and we're predicting a predictable letdown. The bottom line here though is that Butler hasn't played anyone difficult yet, and the Spartans are already battle-tested and now a little pissed off; look for MSU to run up the score and keep the foot on the gas until the final horn! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-16-23 | Missouri -2 v. Minnesota | Top | 70-68 | Push | 0 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
10* MISSOURI (NON-CONF GOM) Here's a great situational contrarian-based selection. Missouri is 2-1, while Minnesota is 2-0. The Tigers are 0-3 ATS to open the season, but note that Missouri is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. And with nearly 65% of the early public money on the Gophers, we naturally will lean to the opposite side no matter the situation. So far Missouri averaged 78.9 PPG, while allowing 74.4 last season, while Minnesota averaged 62.9 PPG, while allowing 71. The Tigers won't be as good as they were last year with plenty of new faces, but their defense will be the difference-maker in this one; lay the points, the play is Missouri! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-16-23 | Boston College +3 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
10* Boston College (ACC GOW) Pittsburgh is terrible. It's going through its worst season in 30 years. Pitt is 2-8 and can't even play spoiler here, as BC is 6-4. The Eagles lost badly to Virginia Tech last weekend, one week after punching their ticket. But BC has great numbers against bad teams and we can't see the Panthers putting up much of a fight here on Thursday night. While BC stumbled last week, expect an immediate response here in this favorable matchup on Thursday night; clearly the outright win is a possibility, but in the end let's grab the points with Boston College! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-15-23 | Evansville v. SE Missouri State -2.5 | Top | 76-57 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
10* SEMO (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Evansville is 2-0, and Southeast Missouri State (SEMO), is 0-2. We think that the Purple Aces will be caught a bit complacent here and get caught looking ahead to their game at home vs. Ball State this weekend. The Redhawks have been blown out in each of their first two games, but they were huge dogs in each. They were 16 points at Grand Canyon, and lost 88-67. Then they were 20-point dogs at Butler and lost 91-56. Now back at home for the first time this year and battle-tested, we're expecting an all out effort from the home side here to "get off the schneid," the play is SEMO! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-15-23 | Central Michigan +11.5 v. Ohio | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
10* CMU (MAC GOY) We've reached the point of the season where the win/loss record for teams really matters. CMU is 5-5 and it has two games left in which to try and become eligible. Ohio is 7-3 and it's already eligible, although now looking to improve its bowl berth. Still lots to play for for the Bobcats, but it's all hands on deck for CMU here, which has a home game vs. 9-1 Toledo next week, a contest in which it'll be another large dog. It's now or never, do or die essentially and while that may not translate into a SU win for the Chips here on Wednesday night, we do fully expect that effort be more than enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Central Michigan! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-14-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3.5 | Top | 110-131 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN) The Pelicans come in desperate to snap a five-game slide, both SU and ATS. Note that New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last ten though after five or more SU losses in a row. The Pels also play with the immediate "revenge" factor after falling 136-124 to Dallas here two nights agao, and note that New Orleans is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. Dallas is firing on all cylinders right now, but with a game in the Nation's capital tomorrow night, followed by a contest in Milwaukee, not only is this a "letdown" spot for the Mavs, but also a "look-ahead." And when you add those two factors together you get TRAP GAME. While the outright is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-14-23 | Mercer v. Morehead State -3 | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
10* Morehead State (MID-MAJOR MAULING) 1-1 Mercer hits the road to take on 1-2 Morhead State and in our opinion, the home court advatage can not be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in the outcome of this one. This is a "trap" game for the Bears, who are off the 66-61 SU/ATS win over Chicago State, and who have a big nationally televised game at Alabama this weekend. Morehead State lost 105-73 at Alabama to open the season, then bounced back with a 96-40 win SHAST, which was then followed by an 87-57 loss at Purdue. Morehead State has played some tough competition and catches Mercer here at the right time; lay the points with confidence, the play is Morehead State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-13-23 | Long Island +16.5 v. Pepperdine | Top | 53-88 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
10* LIU (BOB) Are we calling for the outright victory?! We're not obviously! But in a contest that we predict being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe, we're grabbing the points. Pepperdine is 2-1, while LIU is 0-1. The Sharks fought hard, but eventually fell 82-67 to Air Force as ten-point dogs in their most recent matchup. The Waves are coming off a 76-53 winm over the Leopards. LIU was amazingly just 1-15 ATS on the road last year, but we think the Sharks can comfortably sneak in through the back door this time with Pepperdine caught looking ahead to a series of neutral court tournament contests, starting with UC Irvine. Regardless, no outright upset or anything, but expect a comfortably back door cover down the stretch; grab the points, the play is LIU! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-13-23 | Broncos +7 v. Bills | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
10* Broncos (ASSASSIN) Denver is 3-5. It went into its bye week last week off two straight victories, including an impressive 24-9 win over Kansas City. With a week off to prepare, we think that the Broncos are poised for another big performance. Buffalo is just 5-4 and it's been more "miss" than "hit" of late, coming offa 24-18 loss at Cincinnati last weekend. Buffalo has lost five straight ATS, but with over 65% of the public money backing the home side, we are definitely going to play contrarian here and grab up all these points; and that's the play, Denver! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-13-23 | Bulls v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* Bucks (CENTRAL DIV. GOW) After B2B SU road losses, and six straight ATS setbacks, we're liking the Bucks to not only win this game here on Monday night vs. their division rival, but to do so in blowout fashion. Chicago has been trading wins and losses over its last four games, and off a 119-108 home win and cover over the Pistons just last night, we're expecting the Bulls to predictably suffer here in the second game ofthe B2B scenario. Overall this play is a super solid "situational" selection; lay the points, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-12-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 136-124 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (SOUTHWEST GOY) We love the way this one sets up for New Orleans. We really respect the Mavericks and think they are a very dangerous team. This is just a great spot for the hungry home side. The Mavs are 7-2, while the Pels are 4-5. This is the opener of two straight here between the teams. If the Pels lose this one, we'll almost assuredly be on them in the next game, but we just don't see that happening. Dallas is off the big 144-126 home win over the Clippers, but two days previous it fell 127-116 at home to the Raptors. New Orleans and Toronto have similar line-ups that can keep Luka Doncic busy. The Pels won't be messing around here after four straight losses. This is a great situational play and while clearly we believe the outright upset is a very real possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-12-23 | Northern Arizona +19.5 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 55-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Northern Arizona (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Grand Canyon is 1-0, while Northern Arizona is 0-1. The Lumberjacks fell 95-52 to a tough UConn team, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS non-conference road loss. The Antelopes pulled away for the 88-67 win and cover over Southeast Missouri State, but with an upcoming neutral site tourney game vs. San Francisco, we expect the home side to get caught "looking ahead" and to take the foot off the gas in the second half; grab the points, the play is Northern Arizona! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-12-23 | 49ers -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
10* 49ers (ASSASSIN) At the start of the season we believed that Jacksonville was really undervalued, but now we think the Jags are getting a little too much respect here vs. an underachieving 49ers team that's off three staight SU/ATS losses in a row. Note that San Fran is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. San Fran comes out of its bye week, and there are now no excuses. The Jags come in complacent off their sixth straight win, a 20-10 victory over a listless Pittsburgh side. Look for the "hungrier" team to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here and to not only win this game, but do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is San Francisco. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-11-23 | Texas v. TCU +10 | Top | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 98 h 30 m | Show |
10* TCU (BIG 12 GOM) Will 8-1 Texas get caught "looking past" 4-5 TCU on the road here? Probably not. But that said, we're expecting a battle until the final moments and because of that, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. It's three straight winnable games to close out the year for the Longhorns, but no such luxury for the Horned Frogs, who have lost two straight and who are running out of chances to become eligible, with a game vs. Baylor next week, followed by a contest at Oklahoma to close things off. The Longhorns looked shaky in last week's 33-30 OT win over K-State, and we feel they're holding on here. Backup quarterback Maalik Murphy has now started two games in place of the injured Quinn Ewers and he hasn't been great. They won't need or want to rush back Ewers and if he does play here, it will be as a game manager to get back into the "groove" of live-action play. No matter which way you cut it, we say this is a few too many points to be giving; so grab the points, the play is indeed on TCU. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-11-23 | Bucknell +10.5 v. Niagara | Top | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
10* Bucknell (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Outright victory?! We're not calling for that, but in a contest that we see being a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe, we're grabbing the points. Bucknell is 0-2 SU/ATS after an 80-61 loss at Penn. Niagara is off the 70-63 loss at Notre Dame. These teams played last year and Bucknell posted the 68-50 win, and while there's been plenty of turnover for both teams, we still think the Bison will be competitive here vs. what we feel is an over-rated Purple Eagles side. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Bucknell! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-11-23 | Memphis v. Charlotte +11 | Top | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (SHOCKER) At this time of year, we're always looking for great "situational" plays. This one falls directly into the "great situational play" category. Memphis is 7-2 and 3-0 on the road, but 3-6 Charlotte won't be rolling over today. And why's that you ask? The 3-6 49ers only have three games left to become eligible. Last week Memphis held on for a 59-50 shootoutwin over USF, but with a home game vs SMU up next, we're expecting the visiting side to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Charlotte came from behind to bea Tulsa 33-26 in OT in its most recent action, and we're expecting it to be competitive here as well; grab the points, the play is indeed on Charlotte! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-23 | Wyoming +5.5 v. UNLV | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* Wyoming (MW GOY) Both teams are already eligible, but each now has bigger aspirations moving forward. Wyoming is 6-3, while UNLV is 7-2. Wyoming is led by 10th year head coach Craig Bohl. Last week the Cowboys beat Colorado State 24-15 for the Bronze Boot int he annual Border War. QB Andrew Peasley had 140 yards passing, while Harrison Waylee had 128 rushing. The Rebels are enjoying a great year under first year coach Barry Odom, who smashed New Mexico last week by a score of 56-14; QB Jayden Maiava had three TD passes. Wyoming's dual threat QB is going to keep his team in this one late; grab the points the play is on the Cowboys! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-23 | Clemson v. UAB +6.5 | Top | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* UAB (TOURNEY THROW-DOWN) We like the hungry underdog to, at the very least, keep this one close eough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Clemson is 1-0, and UAB is 0-1. Clemson is off the 78-56 win over Winthrop, while UAB enters off a tough 73-71 OT home loss to Bradley as a 4.5-point favorite. But note that the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss. UAB was competitive even in defeat and while the Blazers may not win this game outright, everything points to another "nail-biter" in our opinion; grab the points, the play is UAB. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-23 | Wolves v. Spurs +6.5 | Top | 117-110 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* Spurs (ASSASSIN) The Wolves are 5-2 and the Spurs are 3-5. Minnesota though is 0-2 on the road. It's won four straight SU/ATS, but note that it's still just 3-7 ATS in its last ten after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. With B2B games at Golden State up next, will Minnesota get caught "looking ahead?!" The possibility is there for sure obviously. The Spurs enter off three straight SU/ATS losses in a row, but note that they're 3-1 ATS in their last four after three straight SU/ATS setbacks in a row. The Wolves have looked solid overall in the early going. The Spurs have shown flashes of brilliance. We think this is a great spot for San Antonio to finally bounce back in though. This is a few too many points; we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, so the official call is to grab as many points as you can with San Antonio! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-09-23 | Northern Kentucky +12.5 v. Washington | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* Northern Kentucky (BLOOD-BATH) Are we predicting an outright upset? Don't be silly! But we do think there are enough external factors working in UNK's favor here to easily cover with the large spread that it's been afforded in this one. The Norse are off a 74-57 loss to to MTSU, led by Marques Warrick with 18 points in a losing cause. Washington is 1-0 in contrast after pulling away for a comfortable 91-57 victory over Bellarmine. Koren Johnson led the charge with 25 points. Washington only averaged 69.2 PPG last year, hwile Northern Kentucky averaged 67.8. No outright here, but much closer than expected; grab the points the play is Northern Kentucky! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-09-23 | Panthers +3.5 v. Bears | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
10* Carolina (ASSASSIN) Carolina is 1-7 and Chicago is 2-7. These teams stink, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Carolina comes in off a 27-13 loss to Indianapolis, while Chicago comes in off a second straight loss, this time in a 24-17 setback at New Orleans. Both teams have struggled in every facet of the game, but this in our opinion is a great "situational" play. Bryce Young is the best player on the field and we feel he'll bounce back here on prime-time; grab the points, the play is the Panthers! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-09-23 | Virginia v. Louisville -20 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOW) Typically we don't side with the public. We're contrarian at heart, but of course, that's not always the case. And of course, the public does indeed win nearly 50 percent of the time anyways. For sure here we're not expecting any upsets as we think 8-1 Louisville will keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this favorable matchup vs. 2-7 Virginia. Virginia somehow did mange to upset a ranked UNC team on the road and then it forced overtime vs. Miami the following the week, but the Cavaliers definitely came crashing back to reality in the 45-17 home loss to Georgia Tech allowing 515 yards of offense in the humbling setback. The Cavaliers are a great defensive team on the College Basketball court, but they're terrible on the gridiron (they allow 32.4 points per game, which is last in the conference.) Virginia also only managed 351 yards of offense against a Georgia Tech defense which is conceding an average of 455.2 yards per game (overall the Cavaliers only average 23.1 points per game this season. The Cardinals do have the dissapointing loss to Pitt, but last week they blew out Virginia Tech 34-3, and that gave them consecutive wins by at least 20. We think they're going to win in similar fashion to what we saw last weekend. The Cardinals limit their opponents to just 88.8 yards per game rushing and overall they allow just 16.3 points per game (while the offense is averaging 32.9.) We think Louisville will run up the score here and keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Louisville! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-09-23 | Bucks -2.5 v. Pacers | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
10* Bucks (CENTRAL DIVISION GOY) We think this is a great situational spot for Milwaukee. Both teams come in off games just last night. Milwaukee is now 5-2 after a 120-118 win over Detroit, while Indiana is 5-3 after a 134-118 win here last night over Utah. Look for Milwaukee's experience to play a roll here. If this were the end of the season, we'd probably even lean towards Indiana here, but this is an important early season divisional matchup which we absolutely expect Milwaukee to take very seriously; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Bucks! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-08-23 | Bowling Green -9.5 v. Kent State | Top | 49-19 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bowling Green (ASSASSIN) Typically we're contrarian. When the public all goes one way, we almost always go the other. But...not ALWAYS. And that's the case here this week on Wednesday night with 5-4 Bowling Green travelling to Ohio on Wednesday to take on the 1-8 Golden Flashes. Kent State would love to play spoiler, but we just don't see the Green Falcons leaving anything to chance this weekend and we're expecting them to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. The Flashes are 0-5 in conference play and there's no way Bowling Green wants to be the one that actually loses to this terrible team. The Falcons come in with a TON of momentum as well: after losing each of their first two conference games, they've now posted three straight wins, including last week's 24-21 victory over Ball State in which Connor Bazelak had 128 yards passing and two touchdowns. The defense though stole the show in allowing just 283 total yards of offense. Kent State is off the tight 31-27 road loss at Akrkon and we think it's definitely thrown in the towel at this point. The defense gave up 393 yards, including 298 through the air and that doesn't bode well now facing Bowling Green's offense, which is firing on all cylinders by averaring just under 30 points per game over their last three games. That momentum carries over here in this favorable spot; lay the points, the play is Bowling Green! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-07-23 | Cal-Irvine +1 v. San Jose State | Top | 64-72 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* UC Irvine (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. San Jose State finished 21-14 last year, including going 12-3 at home; the Spartans only averaged 67.5 PPG though. UC Irvine was 23-12 overall last year, and a highly-respectable 9-7 on the road. The Anteaters also averaged 74.8 PPG last year and were much better from range, hitting 37.7 from beyond the arc, compared to San Jose State's 32.6. As stated off the top, grab as many points as you can, the play is UC Irvine! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-23 | Long Beach State v. Portland +3 | Top | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* Portland (NON-CONF GOW) Here we go with another exciting CBB season. For the first couple of weeks, we'll take it easy as we try to get a "feel" for the teams again and how everything looks. To begin with, we're going to find a team that we feel is undervalued, and that's the case here with Portland being a home dog. These teams are very evenly matched, but the home court advantage will prove to be the difference-maker in our opinion. The clincher though is that nearly 80% of the early public money is on LBSU, which is always a very public team. The value in our eyes though swings the other way and while clearly the outright win is a possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Portland! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +4 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
10* Jets (BLOOD-BATH) In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has it hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. The Jets believe they can beat anyone right now and the Chargers are going to have their hands full in our estimation. LA is just 3-4 overall, including 1-2 on the road. New York is 4-3 overall, including 2-2 SU at home and 3-1 ATS. The Jets have extreme momentum right now after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, against quality teams and in difficult situations. The Chargers lost two straight before last week's 30-13 home win over Chicago, but with a home game vs. Detroit next week, we feel the visitors will also get caught "looking ahead" here; a great "situational" play on New York! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-23 | Mavs +1.5 v. Magic | Top | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Mavericks (NON-CONF GOW) Both teams are playing great, but we feel this is a great spot for the Mavericks. Dallas is 5-1, including 2-1 on the road, while Orlando is 4-2, including 2-0 at home. After losing at Denver, the Mavericks bounced back with a 124-118 home win over Charlotte. Orlando has won two straight, most recently pulling away for a 120-101 victory over the Lakers here at home. But with a neutral court game vs. red hot Atlanta up next, followed by Milwaukee, we say the overachieving home side finally gets caught "looking past" its opponent here; grab the points, the play is the Mavericks! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-05-23 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Blazers | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
10* Grizzlies (ASSASSIN) The Grizz had a ten-point lead in the fourth quarter here two night ago, but they still lost 115-113 in OT. Memphis is now 0-6, its worst start since losing 13 straight in 2002. The Grizz are without several key players right now, but the Blazers are also injured and after three straight victories, all signs finally point to a letdown here (note that Portland is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU victories in a row.) Look for the more "hungry" team here to dig deep and finally deliver on the road, while at the same time all signs do definitely finally point to major letdown for the overachieving home side; lay the points, the play is Memphis! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-05-23 | Bills +2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bills (UNDERDOG GOY) After a dreadful start, the Bengals are suddenly the hottest team in the league after three straight victories and covers (4-3 overall)?! We think they're now overvalued here big time though (note that Cinncy is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row.) Buffalo is 5-3 after last week's 24-18 tougher-than-expected victory against Tampa. But when you look a little closer at the Bucs, they really are one of the better defensive teams. The same can't really be said about the Bengals. They did score the 31-17 upset win at San Francisco, but something is "fishy" with that 49ers offense all of a sudden, so we'll caution in reading too much into that victory. Buffalo has two favorable home games after this, so a three-game win streak is a very realistic goal for this hungry visiting side. And that's how we see this one playing out, the Bengals finally taking a step back here and the Bills finally taking a step forward; grab the points, the play is Buffalo! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-05-23 | Rams v. Packers -3 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
10* Packers (BLOOD-BATH) It's a big game for both of these NFC opponents, but more so for the 2-5 Packers in our opinion. LA is 3-5. The Rams have lost two straight, last week falling 43-20 at Dallas, and we think they'll have difficulty containing this now desperate home side. The only win in LA's last four games came against Arizona. At home. This is a look ahead spot as well for the Rams, who have a bye next week, followed by b2b divisional contests. It's been four straight SU/ATS losses for the Packers, and that's why nearly 80% of the early public money is all over LA here. The good news for Packers fans? There is still time to try and turn things around. It's now or never, do or die for Green Bay in our opinion and we're expecting it to step up and play like that; lay the points the play is indeed on Green Bay! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-05-23 | Seahawks +6 v. Ravens | Top | 3-37 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
10* Seahawks (NON-CONF GOM) Two good non-conference opponents collide in Baltimore on Sunday afternoon, and in our opinion, everything points to this one coming down to whichever of these talented sides has its hands on the ball last. Despite going 0-3 ATS in its L3, Seattle is 2-1 SU in that span, beating Arizona and Cleveland. The Hawks are 2-1 on the road as well. The Ravens are off three straight wins, but with B2B divisional home games starting next week, not only does this set up as as "letdown" spot for the Ravens in our opinion, but also a "look-ahead" position (and when you add those two factors together, you get "trap game.") This spread is definitely "off." Grab the points, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-04-23 | Illinois +2 v. Minnesota | Top | 27-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
10* Illinois (BIG TEN GOM) The 3-5 Illini are running out of time to become "eligible," while the 5-3 Gophers are just one win away from punching their ticket. One week after upsetting Maryland 27-24, Illinois lost 25-21 at home to Wisconsin. That was two weeks ago. With time to prepare for this one, I expect the Illini to find a way to come out on top here against the less-than-impressive Terps. Minnesota is off B2B wins, but with a game at 2-6 Purdue next week, they still have time to recover and earn a bowl if they happen to stumble here. No such luxury for Illinois though. This line is "fishy," but we're ALL over it; while the outright is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Illinois! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-03-23 | Boston College v. Syracuse -2.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 35 m | Show |
10* Syracuse (ASSASSIN) Boston College has definitely been playing well, as it's now 5-3 after winning four straight. Most recently the Eagles beat UConn 21-14 as 14.5-point favorites, so didn't come close to covering the spread. Clearly, BC will be looking to keep the good times rolling needing just the one more win to become bowl eligible. But it's Syracuse that comes in super desperate now to snap a four game straight up and against the spread slide. After four straight wins to open the season, the Orange have now dropped four straight. But all four losses were against really good competition and in every case they were the underdog, losing to Clemson, North Carolina, Florida State and Virginia Tech (and the last three were all on the road.) Now back home and desperate to snap the slide, Syracuse is finally favored here, but not nearly by enough in our estimation. Boston College's four-game win streak has come against much more suspect competition, including Virginia, Army, Georgia Tech and UConn last week. Look for the more motivated home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover; the play is indeed on Syracuse! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-02-23 | Canucks v. Sharks +1.5 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -135 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
10* Sharks (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things. This particular selection is a great situational play, based upon unrealistic and lop-sided trends/numbers. The Canucks are 6-2-1-0 overall, but 8-1 to the puckline. San Jose is 0-8-0-1, including just 1-8 to the puckline. At some point the Sharks are going to win in regulation, and that could even be tonight, but at this price we think we're getting fantastic value here on the puckline option. Vancouver is clearly the better team, but with a much more exciting and difficult upcoming schedule, with games at home vs. Dallas and Edmonton, followed by an Eastern road swing, would anyone fault the overachieving Canucks for looking past their lowly opponent tonight?! It's the first matchup of the year between the teams and we're expecting a tighter than expected battle; the play is SJ on the "puckline" option! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-02-23 | Titans +3 v. Steelers | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
10* Titans (AFC NON-DIV GOY) Pittsburgh is 4-3 after a listless 20-10 home loss to Jacksonville last week, while Tennessee snapped a two-game slide with an impressive 28-23 home win over Atlanta as a 2.5-point underdog. These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions and now here on the short week, we're expecting those trends to continue here on Thursday night. Will Levis was 19 for 29 for 238 yards and four TD's for Tennessee last week. Zero INT's. Derrick Henry was rumbling as well for 101 yards on 22 carries. And WR DeAndre Hopkins caught four passes for 128 yards and three TD's. The Steelers lost starting QB Kenny Pickett to injury in their loss last week and Mitch Trubisky came in and finished 15 of 27 for 138 yards, one TD and two INT's. He was also sacked twice. As good as Pittsburgh's defense is, we're expecting the now "firing on all cylinders" visiting side to continue that progression here on the road; grab the points, the play is Tennessee! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-02-23 | Wake Forest +12.5 v. Duke | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
10* Wake Forest (ACC GOM) Duke is 5-3 and needing just one more win to become "eligible." Wake Forest is 4-4 and is a big underdog here. The Deacons won't be rolling over though. That said, we're not calling for the outright upset or anything, but we're definitley expecting the visiting side to keep this one tight down the stretch. Wake Forest has dropped three of its last four and is coming in under the radar here. Duke is reeling and has lost back-to-back games. Desmon Claiborne, Mitch Griffis and company will have some opportunities here on the road, especially in the second half in our estimation. Wake only allows 25.6 PPG and as we said off the top, we're not calling for an outright upset, but this one is definitely going to be a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Wake Forest! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-01-23 | Nets v. Heat -6 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
10* Heat (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Neither team has gotten out to a very good start this year. Brooklyn is 1-2, while the Heat are 1-3. We think that basing your picks on "situations" early on in the season is a great approach, and it's one that we're using here. The Heat are also just 1-3 ATS, while the Nets are 3-0 ATS. Now we're xpecting a bit of a letdown here from Brooklyn after its big 133-121 road win at Charlotte last time out. The Heat are also 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. This is the start of three straight winnable home games for Miami, and we believe it'll be out to "set the tone" for the rest of the home stand with a monster beatdown effort here for the home town crowd; lay the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports | |||||||
10-30-23 | Bulls +3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* Bulls (EAST-CONF GOW) While we feel the outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can. The Bulls are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS. Note though that Chicago is 7-2 ATS in it last nine after three or more ATS losses in a row. Indiana is 2-0, but is now overvalued here. And with a game at Boston up next, not only does this set up as letdown spot, but also a look-ahead. As mentioned off the top, we feel the outright is a possibility, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
10-30-23 | Ducks v. Penguins -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Penguins puckline (DESTROYER) This is a great situational play. After three straight road wins as a sizeable underdog, we're expecting the Ducks to stumble here in this difficult road venue. Note that Anaheim is just 2-6 in its last eight after a three games unbeaten streak. The Pens are just 3-5 after a 5-2 home loss to Ottawa, but note that Pittsburgh is 7-3 in its last ten off a home loss as a favorite in its previous outing. We expect the Penguins to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; the play is Pittsburgh! AAA Sports | |||||||
10-29-23 | Lakers +3 v. Kings | Top | 127-132 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
10* Lakers (SIDE ROUT) Both teams are 1-1. LA stumbled in Denver on Opening Night, but no team would have stood in the way of Jokic and company getting that victory on the ring ceremony. LA looked a lot better in its 100-95 victory at home over the Suns two nights later though (granted it was without D-Book, but it was still a good bounce back victory.) Sacramento opened with a big 130-114 road win at Utah, but then it stumbled at home two nights later in a 122-114 setback to the Warriors, failing to get revenge for the playoff exit last year. Now with a game at Golden State up after this, we believe that the home side gets caught "looking ahead." The outright is possible, but grab the points; the play is LA! AAA Sports | |||||||
10-29-23 | Patriots +9 v. Dolphins | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOW) New England salvaged its season last week with a huge 29-25 home win over Buffalo as an 8.5-point underdog and now New England can take another step towards relevance with another upset here on the road against another division rival. Miami lost 48-20 at Buffalo this year, and it lost 31-17 at Philadelphia last weekend. We feel these clubs are moving in opposite directions. MIami's defense needs to be questioned here and we simply feel this is a few too many points to be giving up to this improving and desperate Patriots team; grab the points, the play is New England! AAA Sports | |||||||
10-28-23 | UNLV v. Fresno State -8 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -111 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (MW GOM) UNLV is 6-1 and its riding a five-game win streak, but we expect it tohave its hands full here on the road. Overall the Rebels average 209.6 yards per game on the ground, which ranks 14th in the country. Fresno State is also 6-1, and 2-1 in league play. Last year Fresno State won this game on the road by a score of 37-30, but we're expecting an even bigger blowout here at home. Note in UNLV's six victories, one is against a non-FBS team and the other five were ALL against sub .500 teams. In other words, we absolutely believe that UNLV's numbers, on both sides of the ball are completely "skewed." Fresno State was outgained in its 37-32 win over Utah State last week, but it won the turnover battle 2-0. It also posted 461 yards of offense. They ranks 15th in the nation in passing yards per game. UNLV's pass defense ranks 123rd in the country. This is going to be a blowout of epic proportions in our estimation; lay the points the play is Fresno State! AAA Sports | |||||||
10-28-23 | Colorado v. UCLA -17 | Top | 16-28 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 43 m | Show |
10* UCLA (PAC 12 GOY) Colorado is 4-3, while UCLA is 5-2. With a chance to become "eligible," while at the same time handing Coach Prime and the Buffs another loss, we're expecting UCLA to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here and to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion, going on to ultimately easily cover this larger spread. If recent history is any precedence, then UCLA has to be loving its chances, as it's won the last two in this series, including a 45-17 blowout road victory last year. Colorado is coming off a bye after a hugely-disappointing 46-43 double-overtime loss to Stanford in Week 7. It was Colorado's third straight defeat, and it was a terrible one as they held a 29-0 lead at half time. They allowed 399 receiving yards to the Cardinal, and now face this high-octane Bruins' offense. UCLA most recently destroyed Stanford by a score of 42-7, outgaining the Cardinal 503-292. QB Ethan Garbers threw for 240 yards and two TDs' in his first start since Week 1. Overall the Bruins are scoring 31.3 PPG, but we're expecting them to run up the score here on this terrible and completely dejected Buffs' defensive unit; lay the points, the play is UCLA! AAA Sports | |||||||
10-28-23 | Knicks +3.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 87-96 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ULTIMATE CONTRARIAN) While most everyone goes one way, we're going to go the "other" on this one! The Knicks are now 1-1 SU/ATS after last night's 126-120 win at Atlanta as 1-point favs. If this were the end of the season, or even in the middle of the season, then obviously the second game of the "back-to-back" scenario would play a big factor in this contest, but because it's at the start of the season, it's absolutely not. New Orleans beat Memphis 111-104 on the road as a 1-point dog, but with Golden State coming to town next, this sets up as a "look-ahead" spot for the home side as well; a great early season situational contrarian play on New York! AAA Sports | |||||||
10-26-23 | Bucs +9 v. Bills | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
10* Bucs (GOW) Tampa Bay is 3-3, while Buffalo is 4-3. Both teams come in off defeats. The Bucs fell 16-13 to the Falcons in a tight division battle, while Buffalo fell 29-25 at New England. Buffalo started the year posting some crazy defensive numbers, but the unit looked pretty terrible last week, and we believe that'll leave the door open for Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield, who has 1,363 yards passing, eight TD's and four INT's. His counterpart today Josh Allen has 1,841 passing yards and 15:7 TD/INT. With a much more high-profile game at Cincinnati next weekend, the Bills could very easily be caught "looking past" their lowly non-conference opponent here today at home. We're expecting Mayfield to fight until the bitter end; grab the points, the play is Tampa Bay! AAA Sports | |||||||
10-24-23 | Suns +1.5 v. Warriors | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 31 h 16 m | Show |
10* Suns (ROUT) Neither team was "itself" last year. Each has some new faces this season. Kevin Durant has had a full off-season now to acclimate himself in Phoenix and we don't foresee any chemistry issues for the visiting side out of the gates. The Warriors had a ton of chemistry issues last year, and that could again be the case this season, with the likes of veteran Chris Paul now in the mix. The Suns added Bradley Beal and we believe they have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. Note as well that Draymond Green is listed as questionable for the home side, and without him playing at 100% capacity, the Warriors usually have a hard time beating the better teams in the league; grab the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports | |||||||
10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings +7 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
10* Vikings (ULTIMATE ROUT) The 49ers are 5-1, and are off their first loss of the year in a shaky 19-17 setback at Cleveland. Now they're once again a huge road favorite, and once again they're facing a non-conference team that's completely desperate as the Vikes enter at 2-4. Minnesota though comes in on the opposite end of the spectrum to San Francisco though, entering off a solid 19-13 road win at Chicago as a 3-point favorite. It was a crucial divisional victory, and now the Vikes have a golden opportunity to continue to gain ground today. And with a home game vs. the Bengals next, we feel that the visitors could also get caught "looking ahead" here. Look for Kirk Cousins to do more than enough to keep his team competitive down the stretch; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports | |||||||
10-23-23 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Sabres | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* Canadiens PUCKLINE (PUNISHER) In a contest that we seeing being decided late, or even in extra periods or shootout, we're going to grab the hungry visiting side on the "runline" option. Montreal is 2-1-0-1, this year, while Bufflao is just 2-3. The Habs enter off a 3-2 OT win at home over Washington, and we're expecting a similar sort of highly-competitive contest here as well. The Sabres are off a 3-1 home win over the Islanders, but all signs point to these two teams battling until the bitter end on Monday night. While the outright win is possible,the official call is to grab the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Montreal on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |