Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-08-24 | Purdue +6.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 60-75 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 31 m | Show |
10* Purdue (GOM) The Boilermakers beat No. 11 NC State 63-60 and we're thinking that they'll give the Tourney defending champs a run for their money here. UConn pulled away for the 86-72 win over Alabama. Zach Edey is a beast, so far averaging 28 points and 15.4 boards through the five tournament games. Overall the Boilermakers average 82.9 PPG, while the Big East champs averaged 81.6. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Purdue! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-06-24 | NC State v. Purdue -9 | Top | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 124 h 55 m | Show |
10* Purdue (SIDE WINNER) NC State has been the Cinderella team so far in the NIT, is not in all of College Basketball right now. That said, we think this Fairy Tale run is about to come to an end. Purdue, led by Zach Edey though will prove to be just too strong now we feel. Despite hitting just 3-of-15 3-pointers, the Boilermakers held on for the 72-66 win over the Vols, and we expect a much more efficient game this time around. NC State is led by big man DJ Burns, who has been phenomenal and who has put his name on the map, but Purdue's depth will finally be just too much for NC State to handle. Purdue ranks among the nation's best in several offensive categories and we expect the Boilermakers to keep foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Purdue! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-04-24 | Indiana State -155 v. Seton Hall | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
10* Indiana State MONEYLINE. We're going to bypass the spread and lay the price for the Sycamores on the moneyline option. Seton Hall isn't putting the fear of god into anyone. Overall the Pirates average 73.6 PPG, while conceding 69.7. Indiana State averages 85.1 PPG, while conceding 73. Indiana State should in fact be in the NCAA Tournament if not for a bid stealer. The Sycamores are just too talented and we're expecting that to translate into a STRAIGHT UP win for Indiana State in the NIT Championship Game! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-24 | Utah +3.5 v. Indiana State | Top | 90-100 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* Utah (CBB GAME OF THE WEEK) In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Utah has defeated UC Irvine, Iowa, and VCU, while Indiana State got by SMU, Minnesota and Cincinnati. The Utes have a 7-foott 220-pound center in Branden Carlson and we feel he'll be the difference-maker in this one. Overall the Utes rank 49th in offensive efficiency and 36th in defensive efficiency. Indiana State ranks 16th in offensive efficiency, and 109th in defensive efficiency. At this point of the tournament, and considering that it's now finally shifted to a completely neutral venue at MSG, the old saying that "defense wins championships," could not be more apt in our opinion. Indiana State is now more popular with the public than its ever been, and the bookmakers know that. We're going the other way and grabbing the points, despite believing that Utah will in fact win this one OUTRIGHT! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-31-24 | NC State v. Duke OVER 142.5 | Top | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
10* NC State/Duke OVER (ELITE 8 TOY) NC State beat in the Conference Tournament, but it'll be hard for the Wolfpack to beat this Blue Devils side twice in two weeks. So far the Blue Devils have seen all of their postseason games go "under" the number this year, including the 74-69 setback to NC State back on March 14th. Note though that the Blue Devils have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss vs an opponent. The Wolfpack is versatile and can play any style of contest. We're expecting this one to finally be a bit more wide-open; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-24 | Illinois +8.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 52-77 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
10* Illinois (ELITE 8 GOY) These teams are really evenly matched. Illinois avetrages 84.2 PPG, while allowing 73.2, while UConn averages 81.6, while conceding 63.6. The Illini have been up to every challenge so far and know how to body up against big men. Terrance Shannon Jr. has scored agains the toughest defenses, scoring 30 points against KenPom's No. 1 Iowa State. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Illinois! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-29-24 | Creighton v. Tennessee UNDER 144.5 | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
10* UNDER Creighton/Tennessee (SWEET 16 TOY) The Blue Jays opened the tournament with a 17-point win over Akron, but hten needed double OT to knock-off No. 11 seed Oregon in the second round. We're expecting Creighton to now come out with "heavy legs" here in the Sweet 16 and to double down defensively after the offensive marathon last time out. Tennessee cruised by St. Peter's by 34 in the opening round of the Tournament, but then it had to hold on for dear life in its four point win over 7-seed Texas in the second. With each of these teams still "reeling" from their Round of 32 wins, this is the type of great "situational" play that we're always on the look out for at this point of the tournament. Considering all of the situational factors pointing to each of these sides being exhausted here on Friday, we're definitely rolling with the "under" as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-24 | Illinois +1.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
10* Illinois (SWEET 16 SIDE OF YEAR) It's the champs from the Big Ten and the Big 12 going head to head here and in this evenly matched contest, we're going to recommend that you grab as many points as you can. Illinois is back in the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2005. On the year the Illini average 84.6 PPG, while conceding 73.4. Iowa State is back in the Sweet 16 for the second time in three years. It averages 75.5 PPG, while allowing 61.2. Iowa State faces its stiffest test yet, and in our opinion, the Illini's efficient scoring will in the end prove to be too much for Iowa State to handle in this one; grab the points, the play is Illinois! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Norfolk State +1.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
10* Norfolk State (U OF THE U) This is the CIT Championship game and we like Norfolk State to figure out a way to come out on top. Purdue Fort Wayne averages 80.5 PPG this year, while allowing 71.5. The Mastadons though are ranked 408th in the country in rebounding. Norfolk State averages 74.5 PPG, but concedes just 67.6. They rebound a bit better at 315th in the country. They say "defense wins championships," and that saying could not be more apt in our opinion here in this Championship setting. While we clearly feel the outright win is possible, grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Norfolk State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-24 | Georgia v. Ohio State -8.5 | Top | 79-77 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (NIT QUARTERFINAL GOY) We say that home field advantage will prove to be the difference-maker for Ohio State in hit matchup. The Buckeyes ae 13-3 at home all-time in the NIT. Ohio State is off the 81-73 victory over Virginia Tech. Georgia went to Wake Forest and hit 14 three-points in the upset 72-66 victory. Can anyone say "letdown spot" here? The Buckeyes guard the perimeter extremely well, especially at home. Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-25-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne +5.5 v. Tarleton State | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
10* Purdue Fort Wayne (CIT GOY) Tarleton State is the favorite here, but note that it lost two of its last three games of the regular season. Purdue Fort Wayne won its CIT opener 77-75 on the road over Bowling Green, a 12-point half-time lead proving crucial in the end. The Mastodons average 80.8 PPG, while conceding 71.5. Jalen Jackson averages 16.2 PPG. Tarleton State cruised to an 86-59 win over Abiline Christian. The Mastodons are good on the road, 9-7 so far. Yes, Tarleton State is 13-3 at home, but we don't see the visitors going down without a fight, as this one is very evenly matched. Outright upset again for Purdue Fort Wayne?! Anything is possible, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Purdue Fort Wayne! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-24-24 | Texas A&M v. Houston UNDER 134.5 | Top | 95-100 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* UNDER Texas A&M/Houston (2ND RND. NCAA TOY) Both teams dominated in their opening round games behind tough defensive play, and we're expecting those trends to continue here. These two teams squared off on December 16h and Houston won 70-66. While we expect another competitive game here as well, we absolutely expect an even lower-scoring defensive "chess match" in this one. Texas A&M averages 75.5 PPG, while allowing 71.2, while Houston averages 73.4 PPG, while allowing a nation-low 56.7. The first game in December went "over" the number, but this one has defensive battle written all over; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-24-24 | Colorado +4 v. Marquette | Top | 77-81 | Push | 0 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
10* Colorado (ASSASSIN) "Momentum" is a very real thing in sports, and the Buffs enter with a ton of it after winning the first two games of the tournament to reach the round of 32. Marquette got the better of Boise State 87-69, but the Broncos were one of the other teams that had to play in the FIRST FOUR and which were clearly much more tired. Fatigue is an issue for both sides now equally in our estimation. Colorado has the edge in the middle anchored by 6-11 265-pound senior center Eddie Lampkin Jr. We feel an outright win is possible, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Colorado! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-23-24 | Oregon v. Creighton -5 | Top | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* Creighton (DESTRUCTION) Oregon got by SOuth Carolina, but we're expecting it to have its hands full here with Greg McDermott's Blue Jays. Creighton made the Elite Eight last year and its experiece at this time of year will prove invaluable. The Blue Jays are 8-2 ATS overall in their last ten and their "lights out" three-point shooting will be too much for the Ducks and Dana Altman to keep up to in the Round of 32; lay the points, the play is indeed on Creighton! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-23-24 | Texas +6.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
10* Texas (2ND RND SIDE OF YEAR) Texas may not win this game, but it won't be going down without a fight and because of that, we're indeed expecting an all out battle until the final horn and we'll be grabbing the points. Texas went on to demolish Colorado State in its opening round by a score of 56-44 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Vols went to to demolish Saint Peter's, but we just don't see Rick Barnes team being able to cover this larger spread. The Vols are perennial underachiever, and all signs point to that continuing; grab the points, the play is Texas! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-23-24 | Bradley v. Cincinnati -5 | Top | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (ASSASSIN) We feel that Bradley will be overmatched here finally on the road here in this difficult road venue. The Braves are off the 74-62 win over Loyola Chicago to advanced, while the Bearcats held on for the 73-72 OT win over San Francisco. Off that "near disaster," expect the home side to come out razor sharp right from the "get go" this time around. Overall Bradley averages 74.6 PPG, while the Bearcats average 74.6. The NIT is unique in that the early rounds are played at the home teams home arena, and now at this point in the tournament, we say that really does matter. Look for Cincinnati's defense to step up here and to also help in delivering the goods for us ATS; lay the points, the play is Cincinnati! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-22-24 | College of Charleston v. Alabama UNDER 173.5 | Top | 96-109 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
10* Charleston/Alabama UNDER (NCAA FIRST RND TOY) The 27-7 Charleston Cougars are going for their 13th consecutive win, but to do that the 13th seed will have to get by the No. 4 sedd in 21-11 Alabama. The Cougars did win the CAA in beating Stony Brook 82-79, but they didn't cover the 10.5-point spread. The Tide finished fifth in the SEC and lost to the Gators by a score of 102-88 in the quarterfinals of the Conference Tournament. If we delve a little closer into Charleston's numbers though, we find that it finished 88th overall, with a strength of schedule that was ranked 226th in the country. The Tide's weakness this year was their play on the defensive end, but they catch a break here in our estimation. We're expecting a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-22-24 | Colgate +14 v. Baylor | Top | 67-92 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
10* Colgate (BLOCKBUSTER) Outright victory?! We're not calling for that, but we do expect the 25-9 Colgate Red Raiders to give the 23-10 Baylor Bears everything they can handle. The Red Raiders won the Patriot League, while Baylor came in third in the Big 12. Colgate makes its fourth straight NCAA appearance. The Red Raiders are tenth overall in scoring defense this year as well. The Bears are 28th in the country in scoring. So it's strength vs. strength. The problem is, Baylor doesn't play defense, ranked 134th in the nation. No outright here, but closer than expected: grab the points, the play is Colgate! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State OVER 137.5 | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -112 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER Drake/Washington State. We're expecting a wide-open shootout here between No. 10 seed Drake and No. 7 seed Washington State. These teams matchup well. It won't be a cake-walk for Washington State. Both have "played down" at times to the level of their competition, but they've also stepped up their against tougher opponents, as evidenced by their winning seasonal records in Quad 1 games. Washington State has a tough defense, but Drake will be pushing the pace. Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-21-24 | South Dakota State v. Iowa State -16 | Top | 65-82 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
10* Iowa State (NCAA FIRST RND. GOY) We have the No. 15 seed South Dakota State (22-12), facing off against the No. 2 seed Iowa State (27-7), and in our opinion, this large spread isn't NEARLY large enough! South Dakota State was the best team in the Summit League all year and it beat Denver in the Conference Championship game, while Iowa State finished second in the Big 12 regular season, but then shocked everyone with the outright win over Houston in the Big 12 Championship. The Jackrabbits are making their third consecutive NCAA trip, but this is still going to be a super difficult matchup problem for them in our estimation. Overall South Dakota State averages 75.5 PPG, while allowing 71.6, while the Cyclones average 75.6 PPG, while conceding just 61.3 (second in the nation in steals!) The Cyclones have plenty of offensive depth as well with four players averaging double-figures in scoring. Look for the Cyclones to pull away for not only the win, but the comfortable ATS cover as well! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-21-24 | Michigan State -1 v. Mississippi State | Top | 69-51 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (BLOCKBUSTER) This should be a tight, lower-scoring game for most of the game, but then we're expecting Michigan State to pull away for the comfortable win and cover. The Spartans are ranked ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency, conceding just 93.7 points per 100 possessions. Mississippi State is ranked 18th. These teams both lost in their conference tournaments, but covered in their respective setbacks. The Bulldogs though are going to struggle to score here with their 62nd ranked offense in terms of effiency (113.6 points per 100 possessions.) The Spartans have the edge in several different categories (defense, guard play and coaching just to start!), and when you add it all up, I smell an ATS rout; lay the short points, the play is Michigan State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-20-24 | Colorado v. Boise State +2.5 | Top | 60-53 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 8 m | Show |
10* Boise State (BLOCKBUSTER) Colorado's eight-game win streak came to an end in its 75-68 loss to Oregon in the Pac 12 Tournament Title game, and we think it'll have a hard time finding that wining momentum here in this "tricky" matchup with Boise State. Boise State lost in its opening game of its conference tournament, but the Broncos had several big wins that pushed their resume over the top, including a non-conference win over Saint Mary's, while also going 2-1 over their last three vs. teams that are now in the NCAA Tournament. The Mountain West was incredibly competitive this year, as evidenced by the six teams in the NCAA Tournament. The Buffs struggled away from friendly confines this year, and all signs point to that continuing here vs. this tough Broncos side; grab the points, the play is Boise State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-20-24 | San Francisco v. Cincinnati -5.5 | Top | 72-73 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (NIT OPENING RND GOY) The Dons have lost three straight on the road, and we think they'll struggle here in this difficult away venue as well on Wednesday night. The Dons average 77.9 PPG, while conceding 66.3, while Cincinnati averages 74.6, while allowing 67.9. San Francisco was 6-5 on the road, but the Bearcats were 14-5 at home. The Dons lost 89-77 to Gonzaga in the conference tournament, while the Bearcats lost 68-56 to Baylor. Regardless, the home floor advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this one in our opinion; lay the points, the play is Cincinnati! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-20-24 | Grambling State v. Montana State OVER 134.5 | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 52 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Grambling/Montanta State. Two teams looking to advance past the First Four collide on Wednesday night and in our opinion, everything points to a wide-open and much higher-scoring affair than what this O/U line is suggesting. Both 16 seeds. Grambling State finally got past Texas Southern in the SWAC, avenging two-straight losses in the Conference Tourney Championship Game, while Montana State rode some hot 3-point shooting to win its final four games to win the Big Sky Conference Tournament and earn a third-straight NCAA Tournament bid. Coming into the regular season finale they were just 13-17. Momentum is a very real thing and it's a factor in which the oddsmakers often have a difficult time properly quantifying into a line, and that's the case here. Look for each side to push the pace and then look for this total to fly "over" the number before the final horn blares! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-19-24 | Colorado State -2 v. Virginia | Top | 67-42 | Win | 100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
10* Colorado State (FIRST FOUR GOY) The Rams and Cavaliers both lost in their conference tournaments, but they enter the First Four as the No. 10 seeds, with a date vs. No. 7 Texas for the winner. Virginia has a fantastic defense, which is ranked seventh in overall adjusted defensive efficiency. But note that the Cavaliers have conceded 60 or more points in four out of their last five games. And Colorado State featured a top-50 offensive unit this year that has scored 60 or more in nine straight and in 32 of 34 overall this season. We think Colorado State matches up well here and will find a way to win and cover once it's all said and done! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-19-24 | Minnesota +3.5 v. Butler | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* Gophers (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Minnesota averages 75.4 PPG, while allowing 71.8. Dawson Garcia is a matchup issue for most teams, as he averages 17.7 points per game. The Bulldogs have a great record against non-conference teams at Hinkle Fieldhouse, but the Gophers have won their last five NIT Tournament games. Butler averages 73.3 PPG, while allowing 73.7. The Bulldogs defense hasn't been up to par of late and the Gophers' superior offense gives them a legit shot at winning this one outright; that said, let's grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-19-24 | Wagner v. Howard OVER 127.5 | Top | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Wagner/Howard (TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER) The winner of this one will have the unenviable matchup of UNC right after, but regardless, these two hopeful 16 seeds have nothing to lose and we're definitely expecting a faster pace. Both teams managed to come together at the right time and win their conference tournaments. The Bisons though have one of the worst defenses in the nation and are notorious in turning the ball over (21.7% of possessions.) With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 149 | Top | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wisconsin/Illinois (BIG TEN TOURNEY CHAMPIONSHIP) These teams have played to some high-scoring games to reach the Championship game, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair with everything on the line here. Wisconsin managed to knock off No. 1 seed Purdue to reach this for this game for the first time since 2016/17, while Illinois beat Nebraska. These teams did have one game in the regular season, and it was a high-scoring one in the Illini's 91-83 victory, but note that Wisconsin has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. This number is now a little bit TOO high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-24 | San Diego State v. Utah State UNDER 137 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER SDSU/Utah State. Quick turn-arounds in these tournaments means that finding edges and angles wherever you can to exploit is the key to success, and as primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. SDSU finished 23-9, while Utah State was 27-5. They're pretty evenly matched. They split their regular season series 1-1 this year. But after each played to overtime yesterday, to advance to this contest, we're absolutely expecting each team to be fatigued here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Look for each to double down defensively after their difficult high-scoring contest yesterday; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-24 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina UNDER 147.5 | Top | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pitt/UNC (ACC TOURNEY TOY) Pitt beat Wake Forest 81-69 to advanced to the quarterfinal of the ACC, while UNC beat FSU 92-67. Both games went "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a much tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring battle here on Friday night. The strength of each side has been on the offensive end all season, and the oddsmakers know that. The public knows that. But now here at this point of the tournament, the value has swung the other way as far as the total is concerned in our opinion (and finally, note that UNC has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four off a SU/ATS win and playing with 0 days rest.) This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-24 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +3.5 | Top | 70-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
10* Northwestern (ASSASSIN) The Badgers are 20-12 after routing Maryland to advance to face the 21-10 Northwestern Wildcats, who are the fourth seed in the Tournament and who received a bye to this point. The Wildcats snapped a two-game slide at the end of the regular season to destroy Minnesota and we're expecting them to carry that momentum over here. The Wildcats also play with revenge after a 71-63 road loss at Wisconsin and note that Northwestern is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. While the outright is clearly possible, the official call will be to grab the points; the play is Northwestern! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-24 | Michigan State +8 v. Purdue | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (BLOWOUT WINNER) Let's GO Michigan State! These two teams faced off March 3rd and Purdue won 80-74. We can expect another competitive nail-biter here after the Spartans commanding 77-67 win over Minnesota. We say the quick turnaround here is just what the doctor ordered for Michigan State today. Zach Edey will get his points, but look for the revenge-minded and surging underdog side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door with all the points they've been afforded here; the play is indeed on Michigan State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-14-24 | St. Peter's +1.5 v. Rider | Top | 50-48 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
10* Saint Peter's (MAAC CONF. TOURNEY GOY) It's the opener of the MAAC Tourney and this is one that favors Saint Peter's in our opinion. The Peacocks finished 16-13, while Rider was 15-16. The Peacocks though lost both regular season games to the Broncs, both SU and ATS, and note that Saint Peter's is 7-3 (that's 70%!) ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent. It's difficult to beat a team three times in a year, and we don't foresee that happening here; the play is indeed on Saint Peter's! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-14-24 | Ole Miss +4 v. Texas A&M | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
10* Ole Miss (SEC TOURNEY GOY) No need to overthink this one. We base our picks on many different things, and this particular one is based upon the revenge factor. Ole Miss finished 20-11, while Texas A&M was 18-13. While these two teams did finish 1-1 against each other in the regular season, it was A&M that beat Ole Miss 86-60 on the road as a 1-point dog on the final regular season game of the year, and note that the Rebels are in fact 8-2 (that's 80% of the time they've cashed in this spot!), in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. And that's it, immediate revenge factor is the difference in this neutral site location for Ole Miss! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-14-24 | Kent State v. Toledo UNDER 152 | Top | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kent State/Toledo (MAC TOTAL OF YEAR) This is just a great situational play. Kent finished 15-16, while Toledo was 20-11. Kent finished the season with two straight losses, including an 86-71 setback to Toledo in the finale. Note though that the Flashes have seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. Toledo finished with three straight wins and all three victories went "over" the number, but note that's also important as the Rockets have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. We're expecting a MUCH more defensive battle between these foes here in the rematch; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-13-24 | Michigan +4.5 v. Penn State | Top | 57-66 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
10* Michigan (BIG TEN TOURNEY SIDE OF YEAR) Michigan was terrible this year, but the Wolverines can, for at least one game, put a lot of this season's misery behind them with a victory here against the less-than-impressive 15-16 Nittany Lions. The Wolverines play with revenge as well after falling 79-73 at The Palestra in Philadelphia on January 7th (note that the Wolverines are in fact still 8-4 ATS as well in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.) Michigan was aggressive out of the gate vs. Penn State early, taking a 12-2 lead less than five minutes into the game, and The Wolverines led by as many as 14 points at 36-22 with 3:15 left in the first half, before then completely falling apart in the second. But, we ultimatley feel that these two poor teams are very evenly matched, especially in this neutral site affair. We're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a battle until the final moments; grab as many points as you can, the play is indeed on the Wolverines! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-13-24 | Oklahoma +2.5 v. TCU | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
10* Oklahoma (BIG 12 TOURNEY SIDE OF YEAR) These two teams are similar in a lot of ways. Oklahoma finished 20-11. TCU finished 20-11. Both also closed out their seasons with losses. Both teams also spent time in the Associated Press Top 25 at different times during the season, but each was left off the final regular-season poll which was released on Monday. The Sooners though do play with the revenge factor after falling 80-71 at TCU as 5.5-point underdogs back in January, and note that Oklahoma is 7-3 against the spread in its last ten in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread conference road loss vs. an opponent. And now here we are at a neutral location in Kansas City Missouri in the second round of the Big 12 Confernece Tournament, and while we clearly believe an outright victory is possible, our official call will be to grab the points. To say this is a revenge game is a bit of an understatement as the Horned Frogs have won four of hte last five between the teams. The winner of this one gets the glorious prize of facing the No. 1 seed Houston Thursday in the quarterfinals, but taking a little closer look at these teams sees he Sooners average 75.5 PPG, while allowing 68.5, while the Horned Frogs average 80.4 PPG, while conceding 71.6. But for us, the revenge factor will prove to be the difference-maker in this game on Wednesday; grab the points, the play is Oklahoma! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-12-24 | New Hampshire v. Vermont -13.5 | Top | 59-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
10* Vermont (AMERICA EAST CONF. TOURNEY GOY) We like Vermont (26-6 overall and 15-1 in the America East), to send a message here and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish vs. New Hampshire (16-14, 7-9.) The Catamounts are big favorites here, but not nearly big enough in our estimation. Vermont averages 101.1 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 87.8 points per 100 possessions. Both are in the Top 50 in the country. The Wildcats' margin of error is small, averaging 74.6 PPG, and allowing 74.2. Vermont held on for the tight 75-72 win over Albany to advance, not even coming close to covering the 16.5-point spread, but this matchup and spread is much more manageable; so much so, that Vermont does indeed become our America East Conference Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-12-24 | Davidson v. Fordham OVER 133.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
10* OVER Davidson/Fordham (A-10 TOURNEY TOY) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much more wide-open affair this time around finally between Davidson and Fordham. The A-10 Tourney gets going here with 15-16 Davidson facing off against 12-19 Fordham. The Wildcats finished the year by losing five straight. The beat Fordham 68-53 on February 20th, and note that the Rams have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss in which they were held to 55 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-11-24 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 152.5 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER Milwaukee/UNK (Horizon League Tourney TOY) These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive battle here between Milwaukee and Northern Kentucky on Monday night. Northern Kentucky enters averaging 74.8 PPG, while allowing 72.9, while Milwaukee averages 79.5 PPG, while conceding 78.6. Milwaukee finished 19-14 overall, while UNK was 18-14. The Panthers lost 90-72 at Northern Kentucky on January 18th, but then bounced back and won 73-72 at home on February 17th. These two evenly matched sides have played to a couple of high-scoring affairs to reach this point of the tournament, but everything finally points to much more of a defensive battle in our opinion this time around; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-10-24 | Idaho State v. Northern Colorado -3.5 | Top | 83-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (BIG SKY TOUNEY GOY) Just a great situational play here. Idaho State is off the 68-60 win over Northern Arizona last night, but now here on the second game of the B2B, we're expecting fatigue to be a major issue. Northern Colorado has been off since March rth after beating NAU 82-74. The Bears have scored over 80 points in three straight games and we can't see the dead tired Bengals being able to keep pace; lay the points, the play is Northern Colorado! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-09-24 | Texas State v. Troy State -5.5 | Top | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
10* Troy (SUN BELT CONF. TOURNEY GOY) Texas State is 16-17, and Troy is 20-11. This is the quarterfinals of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament and we feel that the Trojans should for sure be larger favorites in this spot. Texas State beat Southern Miss 79-59 to advance, while Troy has received a bye into this spot. The Bobcats have won five straight, but note that Texas State is in fact just 3-7 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU victories in a row. The Trojans now get to avenge an 82-79 loss to Texas State in the final regular season game for both teams, and note that Troy is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss vs. an opponent. Lay the points, as everything points to a lop-sided victory for Troy this time around! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-09-24 | Gardner-Webb v. North Carolina-Asheville OVER 149.5 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
10* OVER Gardner Webb/UNC Asheville. This is a great situational play. Both teams ended the regular season with B2B UNDERS, and they both opened the Tournament with low-scoring victories as well. That's signficant for us to take note of though for two reason. Reason 1: Gardner Webb has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. Reason 2: UNC Asheville has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 11 in the same position. The last time these teams played, Gardner Webb managed the 78-77 victory in late February, and we're expecting an even higher-scoring "shootout" this time around; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-08-24 | South Dakota v. Oral Roberts -3.5 | Top | 62-77 | Win | 100 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
10* Oral Roberts(SUMMIT LEAGUE CONF. TOURNEY GOY) These are two bottom feeders in the Summit League. South Dakota is ninth, and Oral Roberts is 8th. Oral Roberts averages 73.6 PPG, while South Dakota averages 76.5. The bottom line here though is that the Golden Eagles play with revenge here after a tight 77-76 road loss to the Coyotes on February 24th. They won the other matchup, but note Oral Roberts is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU conference road loss vs. an opponent. Look for the Golden Eagles' superior defense to be the difference in this one and lay the short points with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-08-24 | Radford v. High Point OVER 150.5 | Top | 63-77 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Radford/High Point (BIG SOUTH TOURNEY TOY) We had a play on Radford in its 67-60 win over SCUS in its opening round of the Big South Conference Tournament. The Highlanders went on to cover the five points, but the total stayed well under the number of 139.5 in that one. Including its final two regular season losses, Radford has now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but that's significant to note as the Highlanders have in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. High Point finished 24-7 and No. 1 in the regular season in the Conference. It's three-game win streak to end the season was snapped in a 74-72 loss at Longwood, but note that High Point has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four when playing with five or more days of rest. Expect a much faster pace to this contest and then look for the total to sail well "over" the number before the final horn blares! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-07-24 | CS-Fullerton v. Cal-Riverside UNDER 136 | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cal State Fullerton/UC Riverside (BIG WEST TOY) As primarily situational handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheelhouse." These teams are needing a win here and we're expecting that to translate into a defensive battle. There are many reasons to believe it'll be a defensive war instead of a wide-open offensive shootout. UC Riverside averages 69.6 PPG, while CSU Fullerton averages just 67.6. Each team's defense catches a break this week. The Highlanders beat the Titans 81-73 as 1.5-point favorites on the road on February 15th, and note that Cal State Fullerton has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU and ATS conference home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. In our opinion, this one has defensive "war" written all over it; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-06-24 | Radford -5 v. USC Upstate | Top | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
10* Radford (BIG SOUTH TOURNEY GOY) The Radford Highlanders are 15-16, while the USC UpState Spartans are 10-19. These team are playing in Nido at the Mariana Qubein Arena. Overall the Highlanders average 72.5 PPG, while allowing 71.7. The Spartans are averaging 71.4 PPG, while conceding 73.1. These teams played twice. Radford won 64-61 at home as an 8-point favorite in the first one, and then lost 78-69 at SCUS on February 3rd as a 1.5-point favorite. Note that Radford is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Radford wasn't able to cover in either game vs. South Carolina Upstate this year, but in this neutral site affair, a "third times the charm" could not be a more apt phrase to describe this situation for us; the play is indeed on Radford! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-06-24 | East Carolina +12.5 v. SMU | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
10* East Carolina (AAC GOY) While we're not calling for an outright victory here or anything, we do definitely expect a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. This one sets up well for the visitors. ECU is 14-15 overall, including 3-6 on the road, while SMU is 19-9 overall, including 13-3 at home. The Pirates don't come in with a lot of momentum. They've lost three straight, both SU and ATS in a row. They were dogs in each game. But that for sure is significant for us to take note of here, as the Pirates are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five (80% of the time!) after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. ECU also plays with revenge after the 75-64 home loss as a four-point dog, and note that the Pirates are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. SMU has also lost three straight, both SU and ATS. It's not playing well at all right now, losing 77-73 at home to UTSA as a 17-point favorite last time out. With a game at UAB to end the season, we also believe it'll get caught looking ahead. Grab the points, the play is indeed on East Carolina! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-05-24 | Loyola Maryland +7.5 v. Navy | Top | 48-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* Loyola Maryland (PATRIOT LEAGUE TOURNEY SIDE OF YEAR). Conference Tournament time. While we're not calling for the outright victory here for the Greyhounds, we do think that revenge-minded Loyola Maryland can keep it close enough to earn the comfortable cover. Loyola ended a four-game slide at the end of the season with a 69-68 upset win over Army as a one-point dog. It does indeed play with revenge as well after a 69-62 home loss to Navy as a 1.5-point favorite back on February 21st, and note that the Greyhouds are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. a conference opponent. Navy closed the season on a roll, off four straight SU/ATS victories in a row, inclding a 71-65 over American as a seven-point dog in its regular season finale. That result is significant to note here though as the Midshipmen are just 1-3 ATS in their last four off an upset conference road win as an underdog. In what we anticipate will be a battle to the final moments, we're grabbing the points with Loyola Maryland! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-04-24 | Duke v. NC State +6 | Top | 79-64 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
10* NC State (ACC GOY) Outright win?! We're not counting anything out here, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the home side. Duke is 23-6 overall, including 6-4 on the road, while NC State is 17-12 overall, including 12-4 at home. NC State has lost back-to-back games at FSU and UNC as a dog, but it's been trading ATS victories and losses over its last five games and after the solid 79-70 road loss but cover at UNC, we like the home side to now keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe as well. Duke has won two in a row, both SU and ATS, but with a game at home vs. UNC this coming weekend, not only do we feel this is a natural "letdown" spot, but also a "look-ahead." This is a trap-game for the visitors, and we're looking for the home side to step up and make the most of it; grab the points, the play is NC State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-03-24 | Evansville +11 v. Belmont | Top | 66-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
10* Evansville (MISSOURI VALLEY GOM) While we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle here in our opinion than what this spread is suggesting. Evansville is only 4-10 SU away from friendly confines, but 8-6 ATS. The Purple Aces have lost five straight SU/ATS, but that's significant to note as Evansville is in fact 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Belmont is 11-2 SU at home, but a more modest 7-5 ATS. I believe the home side will be pushed to the brink here. In their final regular season game, look for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Evansville! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-02-24 | Oklahoma State v. Texas UNDER 144.5 | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER OKS/Texas (BIG 12 TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter, and lower-scoring battle finally here between these BIG 12 opponents on Saturday afternoon in our opinion. Oklahoma State is 12-16 overall, including just 1-7 on the road, while Texas is 18-10 overall, including 12-4 at home. The Cowboys are big underdogs after two straight home losses. OKS has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but that's significant for us to take note of as the Cowboys have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in nine of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Texas is off an upset 81-69 win at Texas Tech as a three-point dog, and note that the Longhorns have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four off an upset SU/ATS conference road win as a dog. Texas won't need to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, so expect this slower-paced affair to stay well "under" once the final horn blares! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-01-24 | Old Dominion v. Georgia Southern UNDER 152 | Top | 75-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
10* UNDER ODU/Georgia Southern. Overall we love the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. This one is all about the overall "situation," combined with a couple of strong O/U ATS stat that fully support us here. ODU is 7-23 overall, including only 1-11 on the road. Georgia Southern is 7-23 overall as well, but 5-6 at home. This is a game that each club will feel it has an opportunity to actually win in. Expect this to tranlsate into a defensive affair. Georgia Southern has seen the total go "over" in six straight now, but despite its most recent 83-73 victory over Marshall, note that the Eagles have still seen the total go "under" the number eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
02-29-24 | St. Mary's v. Pepperdine UNDER 138 | Top | 83-57 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saint Mary's/Pepperdine (WEST COAST TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to much more of a defensive affair in this contest finally here at Pepperdine on Thursday night. Just a great situational play overall for a few different reasons. Saint Mary's is 23-6, including a perfect 8-0 on the road. 6-2 ATS. Pepperdine is just 12-18 overall, but 9-7 SU and 8-6 ATS. The Waves play with revenge here after a humbling 103-59 loss at the Gaels in the middle of the month, and note that Pepperdine has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. Saint Mary's is off the 88-62 win over San Diego and it's now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is significant to note as the Gaels have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The overall situation that each team finds itself in points to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-28-24 | Missouri State +5 v. Illinois State | Top | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
10* Missouri State (MISSOURI VALLEY GOY) We base our picks on many different things. This one here is just a great situational play, that's also backed by some strong supporting ATS trends that can't be ignored. Missouri State is 15-14, but only 4-9 on the road, while Illinois State is 14-15 overall, including 9-6 at home. The Bears will be highly motivated here to stop a two game SU slide. Missouri State has now lost four straight ATS, but note despite a 93-78 setback at Belmont as a 7.5-point dog, the Bears are still 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after three or more ATS losses in a row. The biggest reason though behind this play is 'revenge.' The Bears lost 69-60 as seven-point favorites at home to Illinois State back in January, and note that Missouri State is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Redbirds three-game win streak came to an end last time out in a 48-45 loss at Bradley, and off that "near hit" as a 12.5-point dog, all signs point to a letdown here finally in our opinion. While the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Missouri State! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-25-24 | Youngstown State v. Green Bay UNDER 144.5 | Top | 71-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Youngstown State/Wisconsin Green Bay (HORIZON LEAGUE TOM) Youngstown State is 20-9, but just 7-7 on the road. Wisconsin Green Bay is 17-11 overall, including 10-3 at home. The Penguins are off an 84-80 OT win over Milwaukee Wisconsin. They've seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight now. They play with revenge after an 84-83 loss to the Phoenix as 11-point favorites at home back on February 10th, and note that Youngstown State has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Phoenix though have lost two straight since that upset, both as favorites. They've failed to reach the 60-point plateau in either. We have a hard time seeing them mustering much of an offensive attack this afternoon either; for all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
02-24-24 | Boston College v. NC State UNDER 149.5 | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
10* BC/NC State UNDER (ACC TOM) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is just a great "situational" play. We're primarily situational handicappers, and we're also contrarian at heart. This particular play definitely falls right into our "wheel house." Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring battle here between these two hungry sides. BC is 15-11 overall, but just 4-5 on the road, while NC State is 16-10 overall, including 11-4 at home. BC is off an 84-76 loss at FSU and it's now seen the total go "over" in three straight. Note thought that the Eagles have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. They lost 84-78 in OT at home to the Wolfpack, and note as well that BC has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. NC State is off an 87-73 home loss to Syracuse as a seven-point fav, and note that the Wolfpack have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite. With each side doubling down defensively like we suspect, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-23-24 | St. Peter's v. Mt. St. Mary's -2.5 | Top | 70-65 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
10* Mount St. Mary's (MAAC GOM) We love the way this one sets up for the home side. This spread should be a lot larger for the revenge-minded home side. The Mountaineers are 11-15, while Saint Peter's is 13-11. The Peacocks are off a 59-53 road win at Iona as seven-point dogs, but note that Saint Peter's is in fact just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS conference road win as an underdog. the Mountaineers return home off two straight road losses, but they play with revenge after a 70-64 loss at Saint Peter's back in early January, and that's definitely significant for us to take note of here as well as the Mountaineers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent; lay the short points with confidence, the play is Mount St. Mary's! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-22-24 | Sam Houston State v. New Mexico State +1.5 | Top | 79-58 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* New Mexico State (CONF-USA GOM) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one sets up well from a situational stand point. These teams are fairly evenly matched, but New MExico State has a clear "home court" advantage here, while also playing with the "revenge factor." Those two big factors working in favor of the home side will prove to be the difference in our opinion. Sam Houston State is 15-11, but only 4-9 on the road, while New Mexico State is just 11-15 overall, but 11-1 at home. The Aggeis play with revenge after a 79-67 SU/ATS road loss at Sam Houston State back in late January, and note that New Mexico State is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent; for all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on New Mexico State! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-21-24 | Illinois v. Penn State +7.5 | Top | 89-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
10* Penn State (BIG TEN GOW) We base our picks on many different things and this particular one just sets up really well for the hungry home side in our opinion. Illinois is 19-6 overall, while Penn State is just 12-14. But the Illini have looked really pedestrian on the road as they're just 4-4 straight up away from friendly confines. The Nittany Lions on the other hand Lenny are 9-4 in front of the home town crowd. Illinois is poor on the road, and Penn State is quite good at home. Also note that this is a big game for the Nittany Lions aside from needing to stop a three-game slide, most recently a 68-49 setback at Nebraska, as the men's basketball team will return to Rec hall in University Park Pennsylvania for the first time since December 2015. So they're out of the Bryce Jordan Center and back in the 6,502-seat bandbox and we believe it will for sure provide an extra boost for the home side here in this one. One of the reasons why the Nittany Lions are getting so many points here at home is that Coach Mike Rhoades announced on Monday that leading scorer Kanye Clary is off the team due to a coach's decision, but note that the Nittany Lions have responded well in this spot for bettors, as they're 8-2 against the spread in their last ten after a SU/ATS conference loss in which they were held to 50 or fewer points in. So here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against as this Illinois defense has conceded 83, 73, 96, 75, 88 and 80 points in six Big ten Road games this year. While we do think an outrigtht win is possible, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Penn State! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-21-24 | St Bonaventure v. La Salle UNDER 145.5 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saint Bonaventure/La Salle (A-10 TOY) This is a great "situational" play, which is backed by some strong supporting O/U ATS trends, and all of these factors collide here and make this play strong enough to become our one and only A-10 TOY. Saint Bonaventure is 16-9 overall, but just 4-4 on the road, while La Salle is 12-14 overall, including 8-6 at home. The Bonnies have won two straight, most recently holding on for an 81-80 OT thriller at home over Davidson. St. Bonaventure has now seen the total fly "over" the number in five straight, but that's signficant for us to take note of here, as the Bonnies have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. La Salle just snapped a five-game losing streak with an 82-81 win over UMass as a six-point dog, but note that the Explorers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS conference victory as an underdog. The overall situation that each team finds itself coming into this one, combined with the above listed trends, does indeed make the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-20-24 | Butler v. Villanova -6 | Top | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
10* Villanova (ASSASSIN) As primarily a situational cappers, this one falls right into our wheel house. The Wildcats have a lot working in their favor here, and there's actually more money on Butler in fact, or there was in the early going, so that also appeals to our contrarian side. But these teams are moving in opposite directions now over the last three weeks, and the Wildcats also play with revenge here after an 88-81 OT loss at Butler as 1.5-point dogs in late January. These teams have very similar overall win/loss records, but when you look a little closer at their numbers, we find that the Wildcats also enjoy more advantages in this position. Butler is 16-10 overall, while Villanova is just 14-11. The Bulldogs though are only 3-5 straight up and 4-4 against the spread on the road. The Wildcats are 8-4 straight up at home and 7-5 against the spread, so Villanova does enjoy the home court advantage here as well. So that's two really strong factors there, the revenge factor, coupled with the documented home court advantage here where Butler has definitely struggled on the road. And then you have to look at "current form;" Butler's lost two straight, both against good teams mind you and they were both dogs in each, falling 78-72 to Marquette and 79-57 to Creighton, but Villanova has won two straight, beating Seton Hall here 80-54 before then downing the Hoyas 70-54 in Georgetown. The Wildcats looked good last time out on both ends of the floor, they were led by 14 points from TJ Bamba, but it was the defense that stole the show, going on to hold its fourth straight opponent to less than 60 points. Conversely, in their most recent loss the Bulldogs missed 14 of their final 15 shots from 3-point range. Clearly they're a well coached team under Thad Matta, but now they're going to face another red hot defense that's capable of stopping the three-point ball as well (and which plays with revenge and the home court advantage!) We expect Villanova to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-19-24 | Southern v. Texas Southern | Top | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
10* TEXAS SOUTHERN (SWAC GOY) Here is a great "situational" play. Clearly, with a spread like this the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched, and for the most part they really are, but there are significant situational factors working in favor of the home side that swings the pendulum to its side. Southern is 16-9, but only 6-9 on the road. Texas Southern is only 9-14 overall, but 4-3 at home. Off B2B losses and three straight ATS losses, the Tigers will be risking life and limb to get back into the win column tonight, and note that Texas Southern is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. The Tigers also play with revenge after a 58-51 loss at Southern in January. The Jaguars have won seven straight SU, but now everything finally points to a letdown here in this difficult road venue in our opinion; lay the short points, the play is on Texas Southern! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-19-24 | Florida A&M v. Alcorn State OVER 138 | Top | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER FAMU/Alcorn State (SWAC TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now finally anticipating much more of a wide-open "shootout" here between these conference rivals on Monday night. FAMU is just 4-19, including only 2-12 on the road, while Alcorn State is only a slightly better 8-17 overall, including 3-3 at home. This is a game that each side will believe that it can actually win, and because of that, we're definitely expecting a faster-paced, wide-open affair. FAMU has lost five straight, but note that the Rattlers have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after five or more straight losses in a row. They play with revenge as well after a 76-67 home loss to Alcorn State as 2.5-point dogs back in January, and note that the Rattlers have seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. The Braves are coming off three straight SU/ATS victories, with all three games going "under" the number. That's also significant for us to take note of though, as Alcorn State has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This total is low in our opinion, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
02-18-24 | Utah +3 v. UCLA | Top | 70-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
10* Utah (PAC 12 GOY) Just a great situational play here, and while we do think the outright win is a very real possibilty, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Utah is 15-9, including only 1-6 on the road, while UCLA is 14-11 overall, including 8-4 at home. Off three straight SU/ATS losses in a row though, we're expecting the visiting side to risk life and limb here. Utah annihilated UCLA 90-44 at home back in January, as this is just a bad matchup for the home side. And with nearly 70% of the early public money on the home side, we're definitely going full on "contrarian" for this matchup. Note as well that the Utes are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. UCLA is off six straight SU wins and five straight ATS victories, but note that the Bruins are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after five or more ATS victories in a row. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Utah! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-18-24 | Murray State v. Drake UNDER 140.5 | Top | 72-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Murray State/Drake (MISSOURI VALLEY TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games lately, but all signs point to much more of a defensive battle here finally in our opinion. Murray State is 11-15, including 4-6 on the road, while Drake is 21-5, including 13-0 at home. The Racers won't be rolling over here despite being a big dog, as they come in off B2B convincing victories, most recently an 82-72 win over Missouri State (note though that Murray State has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Drake has won three straight, with two of the three games flying "over" the number, but note that the Bulldogs have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after three or more SU victories in a row. We think Murray State will do everything it can to slow down the pace of this one; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
02-17-24 | Florida International +14.5 v. Louisiana Tech | Top | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
10* FIU (CONF-USA GOY) With nearly 70% of the early public money on Lousiana Tech, we're going the other way on this one and going full-on contrarian. That's note the only reason we think that FIU can keep this one within striking distance until the final buzzer. FIU is 8-17 overall, including just 1-9 on the road, while Louisiana Tech is 17-8 overall, including 12-1 at home. The Panthers play with revenge after a humbling 93-53 home loss to Louisiana Tech at the start of the months, and note that FIU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. The Bulldogs just snapped a two-game slide with a tough 63-58 win over Jacksonville State as 11-point favorites, and we're predicting them having a very difficult time again here today in covering such a large spread. For all the reasons listed above, the play is FIU! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-16-24 | Villanova v. Georgetown +10.5 | Top | 70-54 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (BIG EAST GOM) This one sets up great from a situational stand point for the home side in our opinion. Villanova is 13-11 overall, but just 2-6 on the road. Georgetown is only 8-16 overall, but it's a slightly better 7-8 in front of the home town crowd. The Hoyas have lost nine straight. In each game they've been a sizeable dog. That's the case again here, but now we feel this spread is TOO large. Villanova has been trading wins and losses over its last four games and off a big 80-54 home win over Seton Hall as a six-point favorite, we think the Wildcats will once again have their hands full away from friendly confines. Yes, Villanova is the better team here, but this is a bad spot for it facing this now desperate Hoyas side. And with a home game vs. Butler up next, not only is this a potential letdown spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead." As stated off the top, a great situational play here on the Hoyas with the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-15-24 | Portland +6.5 v. San Diego | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* Portland (WEST COAST GOY) Here's a great situational play, and while we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to the visitors taking this one "right down to the wire." Portland is 9-17, including 2-9 on the road, while San Diego is 15-11, including 10-5 at home. The Torreros have won three straight. They've covered in six straight. The general betting public is clearly very quick to back the home side here, but we'll go full on contrarian and go the other way. And with Santa Clara coming to town next, not only is this a potential letdown spot, but perhaps also a "look ahead" position as well. And when you add those two factors together you get "trap game!" Portland plays with revenge as well after an 85-81 home loss to San Diego on January 23rd. In what we anticpate will be a similar competitive battle, we're grabbing the points; the play is Portland! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-14-24 | Presbyterian +10.5 v. North Carolina-Asheville | Top | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
10* Presbyterian (BIG SOUTH GOY) We base our picks on many different things. Many different methodologies are employed daily. This particular one is an unreal "situational" play in our opinion. Presbyterian is 12-14, including just 4-7 on the road, while UNC Asheville is 17-9, including 10-1 at home. The Blue Hose though have quietly been playing their best basketball of the season, and we expect that momentum to get carried over here another game, having won three of their last four and covered in four straight! They play with revenge as well after falling 84-80 at home to UNC Asheville back on January 6th, and note that the Hose are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a conference home loss vs. an opponent. No outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Presbyterian! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-13-24 | Air Force +3.5 v. San Jose State | Top | 66-73 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
10* Air Force (TOP CONTRARIAN) While we clearly feel the outright win is possible, in the end our official call here will be to grab as many points as you can between these evenly matched sides. This is one of, if not the biggest contrarian play on the board with nearly 80% of the early public money on the home side. That raises red flags for us here, as we do definitely feel that SJSU is overvalued in this spot. Air Force has been competitive on the road this year as evidenced by its 5-4 ATS road record. In comparison, the Trojans are 4-6 ATS at home. SJSU won this game 70-67 as a 1.5-point dog on the road last month, and now the visitors have a chance for some sweet redemption. As stated off the top, the outright is clearly possible, but in the end let's grab the points with the revenge-minded visitors; the play is indeed on Air Force! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-12-24 | Lehigh v. Bucknell UNDER 140 | Top | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lehigh/Bucknell. This is a fantastic "situational" play in our estimation. Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we feel that this particular battle here tonight will be a much tigher, and ultimatley lower-scoring affair here on Monday. These are two teams in need of a victory and we expect this great sense of competition to translate into a scrappy defensive-contest on the floor. Lehigh is 8-15 overall, including just 3-10 on the road, while Bucknell is a slightly better 10-15 overall, but only 4-7 at home. The Mountain Hawks are off a 94-90 OT win over Lafayette and we believe they'll still be fatigued here, so that definitely plays a big factor here. Bucknell actually upset Lehigh 86-80 on the road back in January, and note that the Mountain Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for the rematch to be a lower-scoring "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-11-24 | UAB v. Tulsa +3.5 | Top | 70-63 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (SUPERBOWL BANKROLL BUILDER) While we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can here. UAB is 15-8, but only 4-4 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the Blazers, we're definitely going full on contrarian here. UAB is probably the better overall team here vs. 12-10 Tulsa, but note that the Golden Hurricane are 11-3 at home. Tulsa comes in under the radar here after back-to-back losses, but super hungry to get untracked and we think this is the perfect opponent to do that against, as the Blazers have struggled at times on the road already this season. UAB is off a tough 76-73 OT win over FAU as a 5.5-point dog, and note that the Blazers are in fact just 1-4 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS conference win as a dog. Grab the points, the play is indeed on Tulsa! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-10-24 | USC +2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 68-99 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
10* USC (BAIL-OUT) While clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can in this one. With nearly 65% of the early public money on the home side, we're pulling a full on contrarian here. USC is 9-14 overall, including just 1-7 on the road, while Stanford is 11-11 overall, and 8-4 at home. The Trojans are off an 83-77 OT loss at Cal, but beat Stanford 93-79 the last time these teams faced off. The Cardinal have lost two straight, including an 82-74 setback here to UCLA as 4.5-point favorites last time out. The home side is the one overvalued here, as we expect the hungry Trojans to pull off the minor upset here on the road in what we feel is a very favorable matchup for them; grab the points, the play is USC! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-10-24 | NC State +8 v. Wake Forest | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
10* NC State (ACC GOM) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opionion. Wake Forest is 15-7, but 12-0 at home. It's now overvalued here though in our opinion. NC State is 15-8, but only 3-3 on the road. NC State beat Wake 83-76 at home in mid January and we're expecting another "nail-biter" here; grab the points, the play is NC State! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-09-24 | San Diego State +2.5 v. Nevada | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* SDSU (TOP CONTRARIAN) With nearly 70% of the early public money on Nevada, this one is simple for us here on Friday night, as this opportunity falls directly into our "wheelhouse." Both teams are 18-5 and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these hungry and talented sides has its hands on the ball last, we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. SDSU beat Nevada 71-59 at home in mid-January and this is simply a terrible matchup for the Wolfpack. Consider "sprinkling" a little on the ML, but the official call is to indeed grab as many points as you can with SDSU! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-08-24 | Drexel +3.5 v. NC-Wilmington | Top | 56-75 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Drexel (CAA DOG OF MONTH) Drexel is 15-8, but just 5-7 on the road, while UNC Wilmington is 16-6 overall, including a perfect 7-0 at home. The Seahawks managed a win last time out in a 77-74 victory over Campbell, but didn't even come close to covering the large 14-point spread. And now here they are having to cover another number which we feel is definitely too large as well. Drexel is 1-2 SU in its last three and 0-3 ATS, but note that the Dragons are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these evenly-matched sides has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points with Drexel! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-07-24 | Wisconsin v. Michigan +5.5 | Top | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
10* Michigan (BIG TEN GOM) Neither team has been playing great of late, but we think there are enough factors working in favor of the Wolverines here to pull off the cover at home here on Wednesday night. The Badgers are the better team for sure in this battle overall, but Wisconsin is playing poorly right now. It's 16-6 overall, but it's just 3-4 on the road. It's coming off back-to-back losses and now will have its hands full with this 7-15 Michigan side that's 4-7 at home after a 69-59 home loss to Rutgers last time out. That's five straight straight-up and against the spread losses for the Wolverines, but that's significant to note because Michigan has in fact responded really well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 against the spread in its last nine after five or more straight up and against the spread losses in a row. The Wolverines have a good offense still and we think that'll be a difference maker in this one as Michigan enters averaging 77 points per game. Wisconsin is decent defensively, allowing just 67.8 points per game, but as outlined at the start, this Badgers team isn't nearly as good on the road as at home. And that's going to be the case here we think as well facing this hungry and motivated home side. One other thing which swings the pendulum in Michigan's favor here is that the Wolverines for sure benefit from having their dynamic sophomore point guard Dug McDaniel available for this game. McDaniel is serving a six-game road suspension for academic problems and he's the Wolverines' leading scorer at 16.8 PPG. This one has all the makings of a "nail biter;" grab the points, the play is indeed on the Wolverines! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-06-24 | Rutgers v. Maryland OVER 128.5 | Top | 56-53 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Rutgers/Maryland (BIG TEN TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring affairs of late, but all signs finally point to much more of a wide-open "shootout" here on Tuesday in our opinion. Rutgers is 11-10, while Maryland is 13-9. The Scarlet Knights just snapped a three-game slide with a huge 69-59 win at Michigan as 4.5-point dogs, and note that Rutgers has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS conference road win as an underdog. Maryland has seen the total go "under" four straight now after its most recent 63-54 road loss at Michigan State, but note that the Terps have seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS conference road loss in which they were held to 55 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we expect, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-05-24 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Prairie View A&M UNDER 157.5 | Top | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
10* UNDER Arkansas-Pine Bluff/Prairie View A&M. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair here between these Conference rivals in our opinion on Monday night. Both teams really need a victory here, and we're expecting that sense of competition to translate into a very defensive affair. Akransas-Pine Bluff is 10-11 overall, including just 4-8 on the road, while Prairie View A&M is 8-13, including 4-2 at home. The Panthers have lost three of their last four, including an 80-69 loss here to Texas Southern last time out. While Prairie View A&M has now seen the total go "over" in four straight, note that the Panthers have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Golden Lions have won two straight. Both games went "over" the number. But with the home side doubling down on the defensive end like we expect, everything points to a much more methodical pace to this one than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
02-04-24 | Stanford v. Arizona -17 | Top | 71-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* Arizona (ATS BLOOD-BATH) We're expecting Arizona to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion, keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. Stanford is 11-9, including 3-3 on the road, while Arizona is 16-5, including 11-0 at home. This is a third straight game for the Cardinal. They're off a 71-62 win at Arizona State, but with upcoming home games vs. UCLA and USC, this one sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the overmatched visiting side. Basically we're expecting the visitors to send up the white flag early, as they get prepared for back-to-back important home games. Arizona somehow lost to Stanford as well 100-82 as a 12.5-point favorite on December 31st, so the home side plays with the added incentive of revenge as well. Look for the Wildcats to shake off that New Year's hangover and at the same time, win and cover here tonight; lay the points, the play is indeed on Arizona! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-04-24 | Youngstown State v. IUPU Ft Wayne +5.5 | Top | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
10* Purdue Fort Wayne (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) While we do feel an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Youngstown State is a fantastic 17-6 overall, but a much more pedestrian 6-5 away from friendly confines. PFW is 14-8 overall, but 8-3 at home. The Penguins enter complacent after four straight wins and seven straight covers. PFW though is looking to break a string of poor play, losing four of its last five, including a 68-65 loss here to Milwaukee as a 3.5-point favorite last time out. Note though that the Mastadons have responded well in this spot for bettors by going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points with Purdue Fort Wayne! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-03-24 | Mississippi State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 67-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
10* Mississippi State (SEC GOY) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright victory, everything does indeed point to a much tighter contest here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion, so will therefore be recommending to grab as many points as you can. Mississippi State is 14-6, while Alabama is 15-6. Alabama had to rally for its last win over Georgia, eventually pulling away for the 85-76 victory, but we feel that the Tide are now overvalued in this particular matchup. The Bulldogs on the other hand are hungry for an outright road win to help booster their NCAA chances. They're also hungry to atone for an 86-82 loss to Ole Miss, uncharacteristically turning the ball over 15 times, which was unfortunate, as it canceled out an overall sharp 53.6 percent collective field goal shooting effort. The visitors also play with revenge after falling 82-74 at home to Alabama back in January. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Mississippi State! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-03-24 | Navy +11.5 v. Colgate | Top | 64-88 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
10* Navy (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOM) The bottom line here is that we love the way this one sets up for the visiting side. Navy is 8-12, including only 1-9 on the road. The Midshipmen come in "under the radar," but they won't be rolling over. Colgate is 14-8, including 7-2 at home, but after five straight SU/ATS victories in a row, we're expecting a small letdown here from the home side (and note that the Raiders are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more SU/ATS wins in a row.) With back-to-back road games upcoming, expect the home side to take the foot off the gas in the second half and then look for the hungry visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is indeed on Navy! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-02-24 | Siena +11.5 v. Rider | Top | 50-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
10* Sienna (MAAC GOY) While we're not calling for an outright win or anything, we do definitely feel that all the factors are in place for Sienna to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting. The Saints, 3-17 overall, including 1-8 on the road, obviously come in "under the radar" here. Sienna is off four straight SU losses and three straight ATS losses, but note that the Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Sienna won this game 67-65 as a 3.5-point dog at home on December 1st, and we're fully expecting another competitive battle here on the road. Rider is 4-3 at home, but the Broncs are just 7-13 overall. After back-to-back road wins/covers, we're expecting the home side to come in a bit complacent here and get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent. The numbers and the overall situation point to a very tight battle here between these conference opponents; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Saints! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-02-24 | Columbia v. Harvard UNDER 151 | Top | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Columbia/Harvard (IVY LEAGUE TOM) Both sides have been involved in some higher-scoring "shootouts" out of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive battle here between these conference rivals in our estimation on Friday night. Columbia is 10-7 overall, including 2-5 on the road, while Harvard is 10-7 overall, including 6-3 at home. That's a stark contrast between winning and losing at home for each side. The Lions won't be rolling over here after snapping a three-game slide with an 84-81 win over Penn as 1.5-point dogs (note though that Columbia has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS conference home win as an underdog.) Harvard has lost three of its last four and it's seen the total go "over" in all three losses. That includes a 78-65 setback to Yale here last time out. With each team doubling down defensively like we're expecting, the "under" does indeed become the savvy call as far as the total is concerned in this one in our opinion! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-01-24 | Tulane v. SMU UNDER 157.5 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER Tulane/SMU (AAC TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating much more of a defensive affair here on Thursday night finally between these hungry conference rivals. Tulane is 12-8 overall, but only 2-3 on the road, while SMU is 13-6 overall, including 9-2 at home. The Green Wave won't be lacking for motivation here after back-to-back losses, most recently a 75-71 home setback to Charlotte as 3.5-point favs, but note that Tulane has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. SMU fans can empathize, as their team also enters off back-to-back losses, including a 77-72 loss at Wichita State as 5.5-point favorites last time out. But that's also important for us to take note of hee, as the Mustangs have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 off a SU/ATS conference road loss as favorites. With each team doubling down defensively like we expect, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the savvy call here as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-31-24 | Alabama v. Georgia +6 | Top | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Georgia (SEC GOW) Alabama is coming off two straight wins, including beating LSU 109-88 most recently. But both games were at home and the Tide are just 2-2 in true road games this season. Alabama has won eight of its last nine and it's back in the AP Top 25 poll for the first time since late November, but we think the Tide will have their hands full here against 14-6 Georgia, which is looking to bounce back after a 102-98 overtime loss to Floria on Saturday. But despite the setback the Bulldogs have been hot overall, winning 12 of their past 15. Last year the Bulldogs were humbled in this game falling 108-59, so they won't be forgetting that loss obviously. Georgia has been money in the bank at home this year, as so far it's 11-1 in front of the home town crowd. Everything is in place for an outright upset here, so you may want to consider "sprinkling a little" on the money line. That said, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Georgia! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-30-24 | Wyoming v. Air Force UNDER 137.5 | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wyoming/Air Force (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a defensive affair here finally in our opinion between these conference rivals. After their most recent 84-70 loss at Fresno State, the Falcons have now seen the total eclipse the posted number in five straight, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as Air Force has in fact seen the total "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five of more straight "overs" in a row. Wyoming is off a high-scoring 79-76 OT win over Colorado State and it's now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight. But that's also important for us to take note of, as the Cowboys have seen the total "under" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. These two teams are in need of a victory here and we're expecting that sense of competition to lead to a very defensive, and ultimately lower-scoring affair; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-29-24 | Houston v. Texas +5 | Top | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texas (BIG 12 GOW) We love how this one sets up for Texas from a "situational" stand point. Houston is 18-2, but just 2-2 on the road. Texas is 14-6, including 10-2 at home. Houston is coming off four straight wins, including a 74-52 victory over K-State last time out. Note though that the Cougars are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS home win in which they held their opponent to 55 or fewer points in. Texas beat Oklahoma 75-60 as a 4.5-point dog, then fell 84-72 at BYU as a 7.5-point dog in its most recent action. Now back at home though, the Longhorns do in fact match up well with their opponent here. Houston has a big target on its back and Texas won't be rolling over here. While I do think an outright is very possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Longhorns! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-28-24 | Temple +7 v. East Carolina | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
10* Temple (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Temple is 8-12 and ECU is 10-10. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the home side here, we're definitely going "contrarian" with this one. Temple though, off five straight SU/ATS losses, is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. ECU snapped a three-game slide with a win at Witchita State last time out, but with USF coming to town next, this sets up as a "look ahead" position as well for the home side. These teams numbers/metrics are very similar and in a contest that we foresee coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab up the points; the play is indeed on Temple! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-27-24 | UNLV v. San Jose State UNDER 147 | Top | 77-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER UNLV/SJSU (MW TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but everything points to much more of a defensive affair this time around in our opinion. UNLV is 9-9 this season, including 2-2 on the road, while SJSU is 8-11 overall, including 5-4 at home. The Spartans though have now seen the total go "over" the number in ten straight after their most recent 95-75 loss to New Mexico and note that SJSU has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to ten or more straight "overs" in a row. UNLV is coming off B2B high-scoring losses as well, most recently a 98-58 setback to Air Force as a 10.5-point favorite. Note though that the Rebels have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 59 or fewer points in. Look for this competitive battle to be a defensive one; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-26-24 | Ohio +3 v. Kent State | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* Ohio (MAC GOY) With nearly 85% of the early public money on the home side in this one, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way with this big play. Ohio is getting zero respect here from the oddsmakers because of its 0-5 SU/ATS road record. Kent is 10-9 overall, while Ohio is 9-10. The Golden Flashes are 5-4 SU at home, but just 2-5 ATS. These lop-sided trends are about to correct themselves here between these very evenly matched sides. Kent is off the 90-84 OT win at BGSU and is primed for a letdown here back at home. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Ohio! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-25-24 | UTEP v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 136.5 | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER UTEP/Louisiana Tech (CONF USA TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a defensive affair in this one in our opinion. UTEP is 11-8 overall, but 0-5 SU/ATS in true road games. Louisiana Tech is 13-6 overall, and a perfect 9-0 SU at home. The Miners come in off B2B home wins, with both victories flying "over" the number, but in their last road game, a 72-68 loss at FIU, the total stayed "under" the number. We suspect UTEP will once again struggle to find offensive consistency away from friendly confines. Louisiana Tech has won three straight SU/ATS, but note that the Bulldogs have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. The overall situation that each team finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends all do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call in our opinion! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-24-24 | Auburn v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* Alabama (SEC GOW) Auburn is 16-2 and Alabama is 12-6. The Tigers are 5-0 in conference play and the Tide are 4-1. Alabama will be the hungrier team here though, as it was tied with Auburn atop the SEC standings before making the trip to Knoxville on Saturday to challenge then-No. 6 Tennessee (Alabama fell a game behind Auburn in the league race after the 91-71 loss.) "They were tougher and more physical than we were," remarked Alabama coach Nate Oats after. "We weren't ready for it. They played harder than we did. When you give up 23 points off turnovers and 17 second-chance points, you won't win many games. They dominated us in a lot of ways." But back at home here we think the Tide are going to bounce back. Look for Mark Sears to have a big game here as he's so far averaging 19.8 points per game this year and he had 22 in defeat last time out. It's a classic strength vs. strength matchup in this one, as KenPom has the Crimston Tide ranked No 1 in offensive efficiency rating, while Auburn is ranked as the sixth-most-efficient defense. The Tigers are great offensively as well, but after an 82-59 home rout of Ole Miss we just think they're going to have their hands full here in this difficult road venue; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Alabama! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-23-24 | Air Force +11.5 v. UNLV | Top | 90-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* Air Force (ASSASSIN) This one sets up well for the visitors. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we definitely believe the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. The Eagles are 7-10, while UNLV is 9-8. Air Force is just 3-3 on the road, while the Runnin Rebels are 6-2 at home. UNLV is coming off a 78-75 loss at Colorado State and we're anticipating a similar tight battle here as well. The Rebels have been inconsistent and we just feel this number is a few points higher than it really should be. As stated off the top, Air Force won't be pulling off any epic upsets or anything, but everything definitely points to a war until the final whistle; grab the points, the play is indeed on Air Force! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-22-24 | Cincinnati +9.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (BIG 12 GOM) As primarily situational handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheel-house" so to speak. While the outright win isn't likely, we do definitely expect this one to be decidd in the final moments. Cincinnati is 13-5, while Kansas is 15-3. That includes 9-0 at home. It's no easy task obviously beating the Jayhawks on their own floor, but Cincinnati has responded really well in this spot for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite (fell 69-65 at home to Oklahoma as a 4-point fav.) Kansas actually suffered its second defeat in its last four games, falling 91-85 at WVU as a ten-point favorite last time out. And with a game at Iowa State up next, will the home side get caught looking ahead?! We say the conditions are right for a "battle until the end;" grab the points, the play is indeed on Cincinnati! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-21-24 | Chattanooga v. East Tennessee State +1.5 | Top | 81-74 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
10* East Tennessee State (MID-MAJOR MAULING) While we clearly feel that the outright win is going to happen, our official call will still be to grab whatever amount of points you can with the hungry home side here. Chattanooga is 11-7 overall, but just 3-5 on the road. East Tennessee State is 9-9, including 6-1 at home. We can't understate how important we feel that the home floor advantage will prove to be in the end for the Buccaneers. The Bucs are off four straight losses and will be risking life and limb to snap the slide. Chattanooga is off the 74-60 win at Mercer, but we think it'll take a step back on the road here; grab the points, the play is East Tennessee State! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-20-24 | Grand Canyon v. Seattle University UNDER 143 | Top | 79-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* Grand Canyon/Seattle UNDER (WAC TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a lower-scoring defensive battle in our opinion. Normally the eyes of the basketball world wouldn't pay much attention to a Western Athletic Game, but that won't be the case here, as Grand Canyon enters at 17-1. Seattle is 10-8 overall, but 9-2 at home. The Redhawks won't be rolling over here after three straight road losses (all went "over" the number, and two went to OT.) Note though that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Grand Canyon had seen the total go "under" in three straight before its most recent 78-65 win over Utah Valley. The Antelopes will have their hands full here and we're expecting them to once again double-down on the defensive end; when you add it all up, this number is indeed high in our opinion, so the play is on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-18-24 | Tenn-Martin v. Morehead State OVER 149.5 | Top | 66-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER Tennessee Martin/Morehead State (OHIO VALLEY TOY) These teams have both been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in this particular matchup here on Thursday night. Tennessee Martin is 10-8 and Morehead State is 13-5. The Skyhawks snapped a two-game slide with a win over Little Rock last time out, and despite now having seen the total go "under" in four straight, note that Tennessee Martin has still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Morehead State won't be taking anything for granted here after its five-game win streak came to an end last time out in a 61-48 loss at SIU Edwardsville. But note that the Eagles have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 49 or fewer points in. This number is indeed a little low when you take into account all of the above listed situational and trend-based factors; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |