09-22-18 |
Padres +275 v. Dodgers | | 2-7 |
Loss | -100 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: *MAIN LATE SEASON SYSTEM : 291 - 316 +121.08 units SU +19.9% roi - Very late season or playoffs +115 to +270 conference dog; total is 8.5 or 9 (Active tot take the Padres, Blue Jays and Phillies today) The Padres are 18-15 ON since Aug 05, 2018 as a dog |
09-22-18 |
Saskatchewan v. Toronto UNDER 51.5 | | 30-29 |
Loss | -110 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
CFL TOTAL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Under System: 1. You have a road team. 2. They just had a bad turnover margin of 2+ 3. Total is over 49 - comes to 72-27-0 (72.7%) for the Under (Active on the Unders in Winnipeg, Toronto, and BC)
ADDITIONAL TREND: The OU is 96-141-3 (59.4% for the Under) when the average totals of each two teams' last games plus 1 is less than this game's total. Active on the Unders in: Winnipeg and Ottawa
CFL SIDES SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road dogs of +4 to +13 and Home dogs between -1 and +2 that finished last season at least 2 games below .500 are 88-44-4 ATS. (Take Montreal) |
09-22-18 |
Edmonton v. Ottawa UNDER 54 | | 15-28 |
Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show |
CFL TOTAL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Under System: 1. You have a road team. 2. They just had a bad turnover margin of 2+ 3. Total is over 49 - comes to 72-27-0 (72.7%) for the Under (Active on the Unders in Winnipeg, Toronto, and BC)
ADDITIONAL TREND: The OU is 96-141-3 (59.4% for the Under) when the average totals of each two teams' last games plus 1 is less than this game's total. Active on the Unders in: Winnipeg and Ottawa
CFL SIDES SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road dogs of +4 to +13 and Home dogs between -1 and +2 that finished last season at least 2 games below .500 are 88-44-4 ATS. (Take Montreal) |
09-22-18 |
Ohio v. Cincinnati -7.5 | | 30-34 |
Loss | -110 | 93 h 20 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. (Active to Play on ALA, CIN, MEM, WVA this week)
EXTRA SYSTEM: Playing a home favorite of 34 or fewer points off of a 35+ pt. blowout is 107-40-3 ATS (72.8%) facing a sub .660 team off of a high scoring game. (Play on Cinci this week) |
09-21-18 |
Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | | 5-3 |
Win | 120 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
|
09-21-18 |
Montreal v. Winnipeg UNDER 54 | | 14-31 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
CFL TOTAL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Under System: 1. You have a road team. 2. They just had a bad turnover margin of 2+ 3. Total is over 49 - comes to 72-27-0 (72.7%) for the Under (Active on the Unders in Winnipeg, Toronto, and BC)
ADDITIONAL TREND: The OU is 96-141-3 (59.4% for the Under) when the average totals of each two teams' last games plus 1 is less than this game's total. Active on the Unders in: Winnipeg and Ottawa
CFL SIDES SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road dogs of +4 to +13 and Home dogs between -1 and +2 that finished last season at least 2 games below .500 are 88-44-4 ATS. (Take Montreal) |
09-18-18 |
Red Sox +152 v. Yankees | | 2-3 |
Loss | -100 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Fade plus .600 Favorites at the end of regular season: 218-185 -93.44 units SU +15.5% roi fade. Very simple, very powerful. Fade the Yankees
The Yankees are 14-12 AGAINST since Jul 28, 2018 as a home favorite |
09-17-18 |
Cubs v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | | 5-1 |
Loss | -100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In recent database history, favorites or road dogs lined more expensive in their last 3 games including current are 117-688 63.1% SU +238.62 units against a team the books have made cheaper in price in their last 3 games including this one. (Active on the Mets and Cardinals today)
EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 2015, in the second half of the season + playoffs, home favorites -120 to -250 are 797-438 +109.49 units as long as they didn't just shut out their last opponent and their last game's margin was between -6 and 4 (now extreme blowout wins or losses; just a normal situation) -- Astros, Braves, Braves, Brewers, D-Backs, Dodgers, Pirates today |
09-17-18 |
Mets +110 v. Phillies | | 9-4 |
Win | 110 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In recent database history, favorites or road dogs lined more expensive in their last 3 games including current are 117-688 63.1% SU +238.62 units against a team the books have made cheaper in price in their last 3 games including this one. (Active on the Mets and Cardinals today)
EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 2015, in the second half of the season + playoffs, home favorites -120 to -250 are 797-438 +109.49 units as long as they didn't just shut out their last opponent and their last game's margin was between -6 and 4 (now extreme blowout wins or losses; just a normal situation) -- Astros, Braves, Braves, Brewers, D-Backs, Dodgers, Pirates today |
09-16-18 |
Cardinals +13.5 v. Rams | | 0-34 |
Loss | -125 | 97 h 23 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). Active to fade the Cowboys, Titans and Bears this week.
TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: STL010: The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season. Note: The Browns are 0-21 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road The Browns are 0-14 since Dec 21, 2014 on the road off a home game |
09-16-18 |
Dolphins +3 v. Jets | | 20-12 |
Win | 100 | 94 h 28 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). Active to fade the Cowboys, Titans and Bears this week.
TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: STL010: The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season. Note: The Browns are 0-21 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road The Browns are 0-14 since Dec 21, 2014 on the road off a home game |
09-16-18 |
Colts +6 v. Redskins | | 21-9 |
Win | 100 | 94 h 28 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). Active to fade the Cowboys, Titans and Bears this week.
TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: STL010: The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season. Note: The Browns are 0-21 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road The Browns are 0-14 since Dec 21, 2014 on the road off a home game |
09-15-18 |
Alabama -21 v. Ole Miss | | 62-7 |
Win | 100 | 77 h 35 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. (Active on ALA, and CFL this week) |
09-14-18 |
Mets +106 v. Red Sox | | 8-0 |
Win | 106 | 1 h 44 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2012, Dogs facing teams (likely clinched) with over 33 more wins than losses, in regular season from 9/1's on, are 57-49 +39.06 units, +36.8% roi SU! (Take D-Backs, Mets, and Jays) The Mets are 11-9-1 ON since Jul 04, 2018 as a road dog EXTRA SYSTEM: Fade plus .600 Favorites at the end of regular season: 218-185 -93.44 units SU +15.5% roi fade. Very simple, very powerful. (Fade Astros, Red Sox and Yankees today) |
09-13-18 |
Blue Jays +1.5 v. Red Sox | | 3-4 |
Win | 125 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2012, Dogs facing teams (likely clinched) with over 33 more wins than losses, in regular season from 9/1's on, are 57-49 +39.06 units, +36.8% roi SU! (Take the Jays today!) |
09-12-18 |
Rangers +158 v. Angels | | 1-8 |
Loss | -100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Split three game series September Road dog - 44-35 +30.14 units, +38.2% roi (Take the Rangers!) -- System now at +37.97 units SU (+33.9% roi) -- also active on the Brewers today... The Athletics are 14-32 since Jul 09, 2014 as a favorite after a win as a favorite EXTRA SYSTEM: After August, Road favorites -105 to -190 are just 72-81 -36.01 units (+18.1% roi to fade) SU after 4+ games without any errors. (Fade the A's) |
09-12-18 |
A's v. Orioles +174 | | 10-0 |
Loss | -100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Split three game series September Road dog - 44-35 +30.14 units, +38.2% roi (Take the Rangers!) -- System now at +37.97 units SU (+33.9% roi) -- also active on the Brewers today... The Athletics are 14-32 since Jul 09, 2014 as a favorite after a win as a favorite EXTRA SYSTEM: After August, Road favorites -105 to -190 are just 72-81 -36.01 units (+18.1% roi to fade) SU after 4+ games without any errors. (Fade the A's) |
09-10-18 |
Rams v. Raiders +4.5 | | 33-13 |
Loss | -110 | 77 h 35 m | Show |
|
09-10-18 |
Braves -1.5 v. Giants | | 4-1 |
Win | 140 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off of a road win with at least one extremely big inning are 272-193 +87.2 units and solid on the runline 209-120 +67.57 units under a few extra small conditions. (Take the Braves) |
09-09-18 |
Angels -1.5 v. White Sox | | 1-0 |
Loss | -100 | 0 h 27 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Runline (profitable Moneyline) System - Road Favorites off of a road win with at least one extremely big inning go 89-56 +52.9 units on the -1.5 runline and 142-66 +51.06 units SU. (Angels) EXTRA:: In the Last game of a 3 game series, NL road teams have gone 301-509 (+133.11 unit fade) SU on Sunday if it a is a day game after a night game. (Fade the Cardinals)The Tigers are 6-3 ON since Aug 30, 2018 as a dog The Cardinals are 0-4 AGAINST since Sep 01, 2018 as a favorite |
09-08-18 |
Connecticut v. Boise State -31.5 | | 7-62 |
Win | 100 | 29 h 9 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Plus .600 Road dogs of 57 total points and current opponent just blew out their last opponent 35 points or more. (Fade Connecticut and Wyoming) |
09-08-18 |
Yankees v. Mariners +106 | | 4-2 |
Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2012, Dogs facing teams (likely clinched) with over 33 more wins than losses, in regular season from 9/1's on, are 57-49 +39.06 units, +36.8% roi SU! (Mariners and Astros) The Yankees are 36-24 AGAINST since Jun 22, 2018 as a favorite |
09-07-18 |
Angels -104 v. White Sox | | 5-2 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
I think it might sound like non-sense, but I'm doing two trends of the day, just because they're very different in that: one is a team based trend, the other a league wide broad system; and secondly, they synergize because they pinwheel off of an uncannily similar MLB TREND OF THE DAY: 491-683 -210.5 units, +10.5% roi to fade SU. Take a team that isn't a huge favorite off of a massive 8+ run loss and fade them in the second half of the season. (Fade the White Sox) MLB TREND OF THE DAY #2: While under Brad Ausmus (Tigers) teams that just played his squad haven't ever done well against opponents that just crushed it 6+ run margin in their last game. Just 26-42 SU +21.0% roi.
However, if we we make sure that the opponent isn't off of some kind of flukey win (p:SII!=0 + p:margin!=-1) < no high flying scored 1 run loss margins that could have easily landed on some score like 6-7 loss and p:SII!=0 rules out those pitcher duals where a tight margin like 1-0 is proportionally much larger a thing than a fluke) There wasn't just one weird inning where the opponent dialed up a bunch of runs skewing the number, making the win look like a bigger deal that it probably was / setting conditions more indicative of a situation where the opponent is playing well-rounded and on the ball fully and not just one hot player or something).
Lastly, if the opponent was not well rested and still crushed a win like that (over 6+ run win margin), AND neither was the previous opponent of the Tigers (Under 2 days rest each), the team is just 33-64 SU 34.0% and -31.6% roi to fade! (Fade the White Sox! Take the Angels) |
09-07-18 |
Cardinals v. Tigers +150 | | 3-5 |
Win | 150 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
I think it might sound like non-sense, but I'm doing two trends of the day, just because they're very different in that: one is a team based trend, the other a league wide broad system; and secondly, they synergize because they pinwheel off of an uncannily similar MLB TREND OF THE DAY: 491-683 -210.5 units, +10.5% roi to fade SU. Take a team that isn't a huge favorite off of a massive 8+ run loss and fade them in the second half of the season. (Fade the White Sox) MLB TREND OF THE DAY #2: While under Brad Ausmus (Tigers) teams that just played his squad haven't ever done well against opponents that just crushed it 6+ run margin in their last game. Just 26-42 SU +21.0% roi.
However, if we we make sure that the opponent isn't off of some kind of flukey win (p:SII!=0 + p:margin!=-1) < no high flying scored 1 run loss margins that could have easily landed on some score like 6-7 loss and p:SII!=0 rules out those pitcher duals where a tight margin like 1-0 is proportionally much larger a thing than a fluke) There wasn't just one weird inning where the opponent dialed up a bunch of runs skewing the number, making the win look like a bigger deal that it probably was / setting conditions more indicative of a situation where the opponent is playing well-rounded and on the ball fully and not just one hot player or something).
Lastly, if the opponent was not well rested and still crushed a win like that (over 6+ run win margin), AND neither was the previous opponent of the Tigers (Under 2 days rest each), the team is just 33-64 SU 34.0% and -31.6% roi to fade! (Fade the White Sox! Take the Angels) |
09-06-18 |
Braves v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | | 7-6 |
Loss | -100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: FILTER: Since 2010, Zack Greinke; home favorite |
09-05-18 |
Orioles +1.5 v. Mariners | | 2-5 |
Loss | -100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Weekday Rubber Game: Take the sub .580 Road Dog facing a plus .360 team. Ignore situations where the opponent won by 3+ runs last game and very low pitcher dual totals for 175-179 +59.69 +16.9% roi. (Take the Tigers and Orioles)
Since 2012, teams that lose by an average 0.5 rpg on the season for -145 to -200 are 16-26 -27.52 units, +58.2% roi SU after allowing over 7 runs. (Fade the White Sox) |
09-05-18 |
Tigers +161 v. White Sox | | 10-2 |
Win | 161 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Weekday Rubber Game: Take the sub .580 Road Dog facing a plus .360 team. Ignore situations where the opponent won by 3+ runs last game and very low pitcher dual totals for 175-179 +59.69 +16.9% roi. (Take the Tigers and Orioles)
Since 2012, teams that lose by an average 0.5 rpg on the season for -145 to -200 are 16-26 -27.52 units, +58.2% roi SU after allowing over 7 runs. (Fade the White Sox) |
09-04-18 |
Rays v. Blue Jays +115 | | 4-0 |
Loss | -100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2004, sub .500 home division dogs, +100 to +145, off of a loss as a home favorite are 145-114 +49.56 units SU +19.1% roi. - Take the Blue Jays today! |
09-03-18 |
Edmonton v. Calgary UNDER 53 | | 20-23 |
Win | 100 | 98 h 55 m | Show |
The Under is 52-22-0 (70.3%) when the home team is off of a 2+ games going over the total and the total is set high (>52). |
09-02-18 |
Angels v. Astros -1.5 | | 2-4 |
Win | 115 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2004, road dogs between +270 and +140 are just 726-1550 -336.17 units (+211.21 units to fade) SU with a few extra minor filters. (Take the Astros) |
09-01-18 |
Old Dominion v. Liberty +6 | | 10-52 |
Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
Home dogs that finished above .500 last season now between +5 and +9.5 before week 6 are 62-21-0 (75%) ATS. (Take Liberty this week) |
09-01-18 |
Tigers +313 v. Yankees | | 1-2 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 5 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Fade plus .600 Favorites at the end of regular season: 218-185 -93.44 units SU +15.5% roi fade. Very simple, very powerful. (Fade the Yankees)
The Yankees are 12-9 AGAINST since Jul 28, 2018 at home |
09-01-18 |
Florida Atlantic v. Oklahoma -20 | | 14-63 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: MAIN NCAAF Favorite System: Since 1989, 21 to 27 points home favorites are 234-131-10 (64.1%) ATS where the total is between 74 and 47.5.Since 2006, (Active on MCST, NEB, OKLA, PNST, and USC) this week. |
08-31-18 |
Orioles +116 v. Royals | | 2-9 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Home teams that lost last matchup allowing 10+ runs now starting a pitcher that allowed 1 or 0 runs last start fail: 95-150 -84.5 units SU. (Fade the Royals
EXTRA SYSTEM: After the beginning of regular season and filtering out the last month as well, dogs or very small favorites off of 3+ straight games where they score over 6 runs are 103-96 +31.9 units |
08-30-18 |
Red Sox v. White Sox +1.5 | | 9-4 |
Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: An underdog off of a win and off of two+ straight games as >+180 dogs is 67-67 +50.68 units (Take the White Sox) |
08-28-18 |
Rays +117 v. Braves | | 5-9 |
Loss | -100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In August, take an underdog between +110 and +220 whose opponent has been stranding ten or more runners in their last two or more games. In database history this is SU: 60-52 (+0.0 rpg, 53.5%, +30.6% Roi) (Take the Rays!) |
08-27-18 |
Nationals -1.5 v. Phillies | | 5-3 |
Win | 145 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Home Dogs under +148 in August choke at 82-164 -65.84 units, +18.1% roi since 2004 when the total is set between the keys (9 and 7). (Fade the Phillies)
Road Favorites that scored 15 to 20 runs last game go 52-14 +33.57 units, +35.6% roi SU; total |
08-26-18 |
Astros -1.5 v. Angels | | 3-1 |
Win | 135 | 1 h 20 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: A home team, 25 cents of pickem, off of 2+ games lost by 4 or more runs vs. a team that just blasted 8+ runs goes 62-108 -49.42 units (Fade the Angels) The Astros are 100-41 ON since Aug 09, 2016 as a road favorite |
08-25-18 |
Pirates +130 v. Brewers | | 9-1 |
Win | 130 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Team scores in 1 to 2 more innings than opponent and loses by a single run. Money next game at 397-316 +95.15 units. (Pirates)
Plus .500 Teams off of a walk off win are 433-356 SU -103.72 units (+54.12 units to fade) against sub .500 teams. (Fade the Brewers) |
08-25-18 |
Winnipeg v. Calgary UNDER 53.5 | | 26-39 |
Loss | -109 | 95 h 16 m | Show |
CFL KEY TREND: The OU is 96-141-3 (59.4% for the Under) when the average totals of each two teams' last games plus 1 is less than this game's total. Can sell some points to the big handle (51) for a good deal. Don't take less than +111 for 51.5 or +120 for 51 if your book has it. Otherwise, roughly equivalent value on 53.5, but a bit better going down around 51 or 52.... |
08-24-18 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Rays | | 3-10 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: 1. It is August. 2. You have a home dog of +110 or more 3. Off of a home loss or 1 run squeak by win where 3 to 10 runs were scored. 4. Not the last game of a series. This team comes out with a false sense of self and a resulting flat performance next game going just 69-168 (29.1%) SU -75.15 units and a huge +19.0% roi to fade (Take the Red Sox) |
08-22-18 |
Royals +1.5 v. Rays | | 3-6 |
Loss | -125 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
Since 2013, the Tampa Bay Rays are 15-31 -26.29 units SU after they've limited opponents to 2 or fewer runs in two games straight. |
08-22-18 |
Phillies v. Nationals -1.5 | | 7-8 |
Loss | -100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Fade the +150 and up road July / August dog starting a pitcher giving up 5.8 hits or fewer per start.. In database history this is SU: 174-51 (+2.0 rpg, +16.6% Roi, 77.3%). (Take the Nationals today) Since 2013, the Tampa Bay Rays are 15-31 -26.29 units SU after they've limited opponents to 2 or fewer runs in two games straight. |
08-21-18 |
Padres v. Rockies -1.5 | | 4-3 |
Loss | -100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
The Rockies are 14-3 ON since Jun 19, 2018 as a home favoriteSince 2015, in the second half of the season + playoffs, home favorites -120 to -250 are 797-438 +109.49 units as long as they didn't just shut out their last opponent and their last game's margin was between -6 and 4 (now extreme blowout wins or losses; just a normal situation) (Take the Rockies today!) |
08-20-18 |
Astros -1.5 v. Mariners | | 4-7 |
Loss | -109 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2009, division road favorites of 150 or more are 233-87 +80.77 units from July to September. (Take the Astros) The Mariners are 17-32 AGAINST since Apr 11, 2017 as a home dog |
08-19-18 |
Astros -1.5 v. A's | | 9-4 |
Win | 105 | 1 h 11 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Road Favorites over -147 since 2010 (total |
08-18-18 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Mariners | | 4-5 |
Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Home Dogs of +100 to +170 are just 35-93 SU -48.51 units +25.6% roi to fade after allowing over 8 runs vs a team that just won by 7+ runs. (Fade the Mariners) |
08-17-18 |
Ottawa +7 v. Winnipeg | | 44-21 |
Win | 100 | 32 h 1 m | Show |
CFL KEY SU TREND: Road dogs of +4 to +13 and Home dogs between -1 and +2 that finished last season at least 2 games below .500 are 88-44-4 ATS. (Take the Red Blacks) |
08-17-18 |
Ottawa v. Winnipeg UNDER 54 | | 44-21 |
Loss | -108 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
CFL KEY TREND: Under System: 1. You have a road team. 2. They just had a bad turnover margin of 2+ 3. Total is over 49 - comes to 72-27-0 (72.7%) for the Under- Redblacks / Blue Bombers Under |
08-17-18 |
Orioles +1.5 v. Indians | | 1-2 |
Win | 170 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In database history, dogs with a team win record 26% less than opponent are SU: 304-356 (-0.48, 46.1%) avg line: 146.2 / -161.0 on / against: +$6,950 / -$10,981 ROI: +10.5% / -10.3% if that opponent is off of a win. (Take the Orioles for big return today)
The Indians are 9-10 AGAINST since Jul 07, 2018 at home |
08-16-18 |
Blue Jays v. Royals +130 | | 2-6 |
Win | 130 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: A that just lost by a single run and had scored runs in more innings than the other team goes 552-473 +82.44 units SU. (Take the Royals) |
08-14-18 |
Indians v. Reds +1.5 | | 8-1 |
Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
For 608-831 -157.32 (+89.06 units to fade) 1. Last season, the team made backersover +$1,200 ($100 bets) as favorites. 2. Now, they're a cheap look road favorite of -130 or more or road underdog. |
08-13-18 |
Diamondbacks v. Rangers +1.5 | | 3-5 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2012, Bartolo Colon is 20-6 +15.16 units SU after his team lost 2+ straight. |
08-12-18 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | | 3-4 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 15 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Road Favorites playing on Sunday off of 3+ division games are 161-85 (+38.89 units) SU. Take the Dodgers today! |
08-11-18 |
Cardinals -1.5 v. Royals | | 8-3 |
Win | 110 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Road Favorites over -147 since 2010 (total |
08-11-18 |
Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | | 3-2 |
Loss | -100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Road Favorites over -147 since 2010 (total |
08-10-18 |
Hamilton +6 v. Winnipeg | | 23-29 |
Push | 0 | 53 h 38 m | Show |
Road dogs of +4 to +13 and Home dogs between -1 and +2 that finished last season at least 2 games below .500 are 88-44-4 ATS. |
08-10-18 |
Hamilton v. Winnipeg UNDER 58.5 | | 23-29 |
Win | 100 | 53 h 37 m | Show |
The OU is 96-141-3 (59.4% for the Under) when the average totals of each two teams' last games plus 1 is less than this game's total. |
08-10-18 |
Indians -1.5 v. White Sox | | 0-1 |
Loss | -100 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In the second half, Road AL pitchers with WHIPs of 1.4 to 1.5 have gone 209-175 (54.4%) SU +85.9 units post steroid era. The Indians are 10-3 ON since Jul 01, 2018 as a road favoriteUnder Ventura, the White Sox are just 95-124, -58.78 units at home facing divisional opponents. |
08-09-18 |
Edmonton v. BC +3.5 | | 23-31 |
Win | 100 | 30 h 52 m | Show |
002ats - A favorite on a win streak of 3 or more is 34-69-4 (-3.32, 33.0%) ATS as long as the opponent isn't on a 5+ winning streak themselves. |
08-09-18 |
Edmonton v. BC UNDER 54 | | 23-31 |
Push | 0 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
|
08-09-18 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Blue Jays | | 5-8 |
Loss | -105 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Home teams that lost last matchup allowing 10+ runs now starting a pitcher that allowed 1 or 0 runs last start fail: 95-150 -84.5 units SU. (Fade the Blue Jays today)
The Red Sox are 43-13 ON since Jul 26, 2017 as a road favoriteThe Blue Jays are 7-21 AGAINST since Sep 23, 2017 as a home dog |
08-08-18 |
Padres +190 v. Brewers | | 4-8 |
Loss | -100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Teams off of 10 or more runs are 639-472 (57.5%) SU +138.81 units playing at the same site; non-division game; not last month of regular season. (Take the Padres today) |
08-07-18 |
Cardinals -1.5 v. Marlins | | 3-2 |
Loss | -100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Road Favorites over -147 since 2010 (total |
08-06-18 |
Cardinals -1.5 v. Marlins | | 1-2 |
Loss | -100 | 2 h 5 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Home Dogs under +148 in August choke at 82-164 -65.84 units, +18.1% roi since 2004 when the total is set between the keys (9 and 7). (Fade the Marlins today!)
The Cardinals are 8-2 ON since Jul 15, 2018 as a favoriteRoad Favorites over -147 since 2010 (total |
08-05-18 |
Astros +106 v. Dodgers | | 2-3 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 37 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Home teams that lost last matchup allowing 10+ runs now starting a pitcher that allowed 1 or 0 runs last start fail: 95-150 -84.5 units SU. (Fade the Dodgers today) |
08-04-18 |
BC v. Calgary -11 | | 18-27 |
Loss | -110 | 124 h 15 m | Show |
CFL TREND OF THE WEEK: Since 2011, the Stampeders are 38-7-0 84.4% SU and 32-12-1 72.7 ATS on less than a week |
08-04-18 |
Yankees v. Red Sox -1.5 | | 1-4 |
Win | 130 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: 491-683 -210.5 units, +10.5% roi to fade SU. Take a team that isn't a huge favorite off of a massive 8+ run loss and fade them in the second half of the season. (Fade the Orioles today) |
08-03-18 |
Royals v. Twins -1.5 | | 4-6 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In database history, favorites between -150 and -250 with a team 0.26 batting average or lower are 1218-577 +202.58 units SU against a starter with an ERA less than or equal to 4.5 (regular season, excluding the first month when stats like this don't mean much). -- Take the Twins today!
Road dog Starters with zero wins go 46-105 -37.55 units in August; (Fade the Royals) The Twins are 47-31 ON since Aug 06, 2017 at homeThe Angels are 8-22 AGAINST since May 27, 2018 on the road In recent database history, favorites or road dogs lined more expensive in their last 3 games including current are 117-688 63.1% SU +238.62 units against a team the books have made cheaper in price in their last 3 games including this one. (Take the Indians) |
08-03-18 |
Hamilton v. Montreal +7 | | 50-11 |
Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
CFL KEY TREND: Road dogs of +4 to +13 and Home dogs between -1 and +2 that finished last season at least 2 games below .500 are 88-44-4 ATS. (Take Montreal) |
08-03-18 |
Angels v. Indians -1.5 | | 7-4 |
Loss | -100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In database history, favorites between -150 and -250 with a team 0.26 batting average or lower are 1218-577 +202.58 units SU against a starter with an ERA less than or equal to 4.5 (regular season, excluding the first month when stats like this don't mean much). -- Take the Twins today!
Road dog Starters with zero wins go 46-105 -37.55 units in August; (Fade the Royals) The Twins are 47-31 ON since Aug 06, 2017 at homeThe Angels are 8-22 AGAINST since May 27, 2018 on the road In recent database history, favorites or road dogs lined more expensive in their last 3 games including current are 117-688 63.1% SU +238.62 units against a team the books have made cheaper in price in their last 3 games including this one. (Take the Indians) |
08-01-18 |
Rockies v. Cardinals -1.5 | | 3-6 |
Win | 170 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: The Orioles are 188-147 +79.71 units since Aug 22, 2011 after a game as a dog |
07-31-18 |
Blue Jays v. A's -1.5 | | 2-6 |
Win | 125 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Road Dog off of a division win as a dog with a sub .380 team record goes 102-104 +58.65 units +28.5% roi SU (Take the Orioles today!)
The Yankees are 16-12 AGAINST since Jun 22, 2018 as a favorite
The Orioles are 188-147 +79.71 units since Aug 22, 2011 after a game as a dog
EXTRA KEY TREND: 491-683 -210.5 units, +10.5% roi to fade SU. Take a team that isn't a huge favorite off of a massive 8+ run loss and fade them in the second half of the season. (Fade the Jays today) |
07-31-18 |
Orioles +280 v. Yankees | | 3-6 |
Loss | -100 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Road Dog off of a division win as a dog with a sub .380 team record goes 102-104 +58.65 units +28.5% roi SU (Take the Orioles today!)
The Yankees are 16-12 AGAINST since Jun 22, 2018 as a favorite
The Orioles are 188-147 +79.71 units since Aug 22, 2011 after a game as a dog
EXTRA KEY TREND: 491-683 -210.5 units, +10.5% roi to fade SU. Take a team that isn't a huge favorite off of a massive 8+ run loss and fade them in the second half of the season. (Fade the Jays today) |
07-30-18 |
Phillies v. Red Sox -1.5 | | 1-2 |
Loss | -100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In database history, road dogs >+125 lines are just 380-772 -194.68 (+7.5% roi fade) SU starting a pitcher with a |
07-29-18 |
Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | | 4-3 |
Loss | -115 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2004, road dogs between +270 and +140 are just 726-1550 -336.17 units (+211.21 units to fade) SU with a few extra minor filters. (Fade the Rangers today) |
07-28-18 |
Blue Jays v. White Sox +116 | | 5-9 |
Win | 116 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Home Favorites are money on the blind in July; the heart of the season; They have been 820-453 +186.87 units SU under the following conditions: it isn't Monday or Tuesday; No extreme lines; it isn't series game 1; no 1 or 2 game series; no games that start very late at night and they didn't just have game with a lot of errors. (Take the White Sox and Cardinals today) |
07-28-18 |
Cubs v. Cardinals -105 | | 2-6 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Home Favorites are money on the blind in July; the heart of the season; They have been 820-453 +186.87 units SU under the following conditions: it isn't Monday or Tuesday; No extreme lines; it isn't series game 1; no 1 or 2 game series; no games that start very late at night and they didn't just have game with a lot of errors. (Take the White Sox and Cardinals today) |
07-28-18 |
Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 55.5 | | 21-15 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 2 m | Show |
The OU is 96-141-3 (59.4% for the Under) when the average totals of each two teams' last games plus 1 is less than this game's total. (Take the Under in Hamilton) |
07-28-18 |
Ottawa +6 v. Hamilton | | 21-15 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 1 m | Show |
CFL SYSTEM: Road dogs of +4 to +13 and Home dogs between -1 and +2 that finished last season at least 2 games below .500 are 88-44-4 ATS. Take the RedBlacks |
07-27-18 |
Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 54 | Top | 14-40 |
Push | 0 | 53 h 54 m | Show |
CFL SYSTEM: The Under is 75-26-1 (65.3%) when the road team just coughed up 3+ turnovers and the total is set high, over 50 now. (Take the Under in Winnipeg as our Top play this week)
Pre-Week 10 Road dogs >+2 pts., no more than 3 games below .500 not off of a close win or loss go 60-22-1 73.2% ATS as long as they aren't on extremely short rest and the opponent isn't extremely well rested. (Take the Argonauts) |
07-27-18 |
Cubs v. Cardinals -110 | | 2-5 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: The Cardinals are 335-201 +77.78 units since Apr 07, 2004 after a loss as a favorite |
07-26-18 |
Diamondbacks v. Cubs -102 | | 6-7 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2004, Non-divisional Home Favorites have gone 828-491 SU for +93.82 units in July after the first game of series. (Take the Cubs today!) |
07-24-18 |
Nationals v. Brewers -105 | | 4-5 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2004, Sub .600 Underdogs against plus .600 teams off of a win go 623-715 +153.71 units. (Orioles)
The Brewers are 112-89 ON since May 01, 2016 at homeThe Nationals are 6-17 AGAINST since May 31, 2018 on the road |
07-24-18 |
Red Sox v. Orioles +1.5 | | 6-7 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2004, Sub .600 Underdogs against plus .600 teams off of a win go 623-715 +153.71 units. (Orioles) |
07-23-18 |
Red Sox v. Orioles +1.5 | | 5-3 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Team scores in 1 to 2 more innings than opponent and loses by a single run. Money next game at 397-316 +95.15 units. (Take the Orioles) |
07-22-18 |
Cardinals v. Cubs -1.5 | | 2-7 |
Win | 167 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
Home Favorites are money on the blind in July; the heart of the season; They have been 820-453 +186.87 units SU under the following conditions: it isn't Monday or Tuesday; No extreme lines; it isn't series game 1; no 1 or 2 game series; no games that start very late at night and they didn't just have game with a lot of errors. |
07-22-18 |
Twins v. Royals +136 | | 3-5 |
Win | 136 | 1 h 55 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Home underdogs (sub .400) are 94-91 +33.17 units SU and solid on the runline after winning SU as home underdogs against the same opponent as last game. (Royals) |
07-21-18 |
Red Sox v. Tigers +1.5 | | 0-5 |
Win | 105 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2004, Sub .600 Underdogs against plus .600 teams off of a win go 623-715 +153.71 units (Active on the Angels, White Sox and Tigers today) |
07-20-18 |
BC +7 v. Ottawa | | 25-29 |
Win | 101 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
CFL SYSTEM: Top System: Road dogs of +4 to +13 and Home dogs between -1 and +2 that finished last season at least 2 games below .500 are 88-44-4 ATS. -- (Take the Lions) |
07-20-18 |
Red Sox v. Tigers +173 | | 1-0 |
Loss | -100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: An underdog off of a win and off of two+ straight games as >+180 dogs is 67-67 +50.68 units (Take the Tigers) |
07-15-18 |
Angels v. Dodgers -1.5 | | 3-5 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show |
MLB SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Fade the +150 and up road July / August dog starting a pitcher giving up 5.8 hits or fewer per start.. In database history this is SU: 174-51 (+2.0 rpg, +16.6% Roi, 77.3%). (Fade the Angels today!)
The Angels are 8-18 AGAINST since May 27, 2018 on the road EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 2015, in the second half of the season + playoffs, home favorites -120 to -250 are 797-438 +109.49 units as long as they didn't just shut out their last opponent and their last game's margin was between -6 and 4 (now extreme blowout wins or losses; just a normal situation) |
07-14-18 |
Winnipeg v. BC UNDER 55.5 | | 17-20 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
CFL SYSTEM:The Under is 52-22-0 (70.3%) when the home team is off of a 2+ games going over the total and the total is set high (>52). (Take the Under in BC today) |
07-14-18 |
Rangers v. Orioles -109 | | 0-1 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
MLB SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Home Favorites are money on the blind in July; the heart of the season; They have been 820-453 +186.87 units SU under the following conditions: it isn't Monday or Tuesday; No extreme lines; it isn't series game 1; no 1 or 2 game series; no games that start very late at night and they didn't just have game with a lot of errors. (Take the Orioles) The Rangers are 3-8 AGAINST since Jul 01, 2018 |
07-13-18 |
Cubs -122 v. Padres | | 5-4 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
MLB SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Team scores in 1 to 2 more innings than opponent and loses by a single run. Money next game at 397-316 +95.15 units. (Take the Chicago Cubs today! |
07-13-18 |
Toronto v. Edmonton -7 | | 15-16 |
Loss | -106 | 82 h 7 m | Show |
|
07-12-18 |
Mariners v. Angels +100 | | 2-11 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
MLB SYSTEM OF THE DAY: A team in danger of falling back onto .500 off of a loss playing at the same site as the loss goes 524-437 +73.98 units. (Take the Angels) |
07-12-18 |
Calgary v. Ottawa UNDER 55 | | 27-3 |
Win | 100 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
The OU is 96-141-3 (59.4% for the Under) when the average totals of each two teams' last games plus 1 is less than this game's total. (Take the Under in Ottawa. |
07-11-18 |
Cardinals -1.5 v. White Sox | | 0-4 |
Loss | -100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
MLB SYSTEM OF THE DAY: 491-683 -210.5 units, +10.5% roi to fade SU. Take a team that isn't a huge favorite off of a massive 8+ run loss and fade them in the second half of the season. (Fade the White Sox) |
07-10-18 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Padres | | 1-4 |
Loss | -100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
MLB SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 2009, division road favorites of 150 or more are 233-87 +80.77 units from July to September. (Take the Dodgers today) |