03-05-20 |
Wichita State v. Memphis OVER 137 | | 60-68 |
Loss | -109 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
In database history, the Over is 83-40-2 67.5% in the game after a team played a game where >63% of their points were from three point shots. |
03-05-20 |
Tennessee State v. Eastern Kentucky UNDER 150 | | 48-58 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
In database history, the Under is 134-89-4 in games where a team is off of a back to back game that went to overtime. |
03-05-20 |
Lipscomb +8.5 v. North Florida | | 73-71 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
Teams off of 2+ straight home wins facing opponents who put up 75+ points in 2 or more straight games are 865-692-26 ATS 55.6% excluding Home dogs |
03-05-20 |
Bucknell v. American UNDER 139 | | 64-59 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
BUCK is 2-16-1 OU (-8.68 ppg) since Dec 28, 2019. BUCK is 1-8-1 OU (-11.05 ppg) since Dec 28, 2019 on the road. |
03-04-20 |
Coyotes -101 v. Canucks | | 4-2 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
In database history, second half of regular season, middle of the road .450 to .560 teams that have played under 80 games are 575-435 SU +111.08 units (+8.3% roi) on a 1 or 2 game win streak off a win against at least a .350 opponent. |
03-04-20 |
Georgetown v. Creighton -12 | | 76-91 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
Home favs revenging a same season loss off of an upset loss as road favorite: 128-27 (82.6%) SU and 92-57-6 (61.7%) ATS |
03-04-20 |
Grizzlies +1.5 v. Nets | | 118-79 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 2003, sub .500 road teams on a losing ats streak are 562-417-22 ATS (57.4%) against plus.500 teams on a winning ats streak. -- Take the Magic today! In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Active on the Grizzlies |
03-04-20 |
Magic +7 v. Heat | | 113-116 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 2003, sub .500 road teams on a losing ats streak are 562-417-22 ATS (57.4%) against plus.500 teams on a winning ats streak. -- Take the Magic today! In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Active on the Grizzlies |
03-04-20 |
Pacers v. Bucks -11 | | 100-119 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 2003, sub .500 road teams on a losing ats streak are 562-417-22 ATS (57.4%) against plus.500 teams on a winning ats streak. -- Take the Magic today! In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Active on the Grizzlies |
03-04-20 |
Mt. St. Mary's v. Sacred Heart -7 | | 59-61 |
Loss | -102 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Teams off of 2+ straight home wins facing opponents who put up 75+ points in 2 or more straight games are 865-692-26 ATS 55.6% excluding Home dogs |
03-04-20 |
LSU v. Arkansas -3 | Top | 90-99 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Home favs revenging a same season loss off of an upset loss as road favorite: 128-27 (82.6%) SU and 92-57-6 (61.7%) ATS In Database History, a team that is controlling the ball well at point guard ( |
03-03-20 |
Oilers +145 v. Stars | | 2-1 |
Win | 145 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
KEY NHL SYSTEM: In database history, second half of regular season, middle of the road .450 to .560 teams that have played under 80 games are 575-435 SU +111.08 units (+8.3% roi) on a 1 or 2 game win streak off a win against at least a .350 opponent. -- Take the Oilers today NHL RAW NUMBERS: now sit at 1013-675 SU +577.65 units since 2018 on all "Basics" |
03-03-20 |
Nets +7 v. Celtics | | 129-120 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 2004, teams seeking revenge for a loss off of a home game that broke a four or more game road game streak are just 280-366-8 ATS (43.3%, -1.42ppg). -- Fade the Celtics and Timberwolves today |
03-03-20 |
Syracuse -4.5 v. Boston College | | 84-71 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Buy at a low system: In database history, a team off of 3+ straight conference losses is only 62-113-5 ATS as a medium sized home dog rematching a same season loss to their current opponent. |
03-03-20 |
Wake Forest +8 v. North Carolina | | 83-93 |
Loss | -101 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Teams off of 2+ straight home wins facing opponents who put up 75+ points in 2 or more straight games are 865-692-26 ATS 55.6% excluding Home dogs |
03-03-20 |
Eastern Michigan -2 v. Western Michigan | | 54-70 |
Loss | -115 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
In database history, Home teams off of a game with 3 or fewer steals, over 10 turnovers allowed, and fewer points scored in their last game than current opp's last game are just 265-376-16 (40.5%) ATS. |
03-02-20 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff +11.5 v. Jackson State | | 56-76 |
Loss | -109 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Since 2008, double digit, sub .200 road dogs are 138-78-8 (63.9%) ATS re-matching a home loss vs opponent. |
03-02-20 |
Mississippi Valley State +16.5 v. Grambling State | | 61-81 |
Loss | -107 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Since 2008, double digit, sub .200 road dogs are 138-78-8 (63.9%) ATS re-matching a home loss vs opponent. |
03-02-20 |
Mavs v. Bulls +7.5 | | 107-109 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off of a win where the opponent's free throw pct was less than 55% (lucky win?) are just 103-148-3 ATS (41.0%) against a team off of a loss. -- Fade the Mavericks today |
03-02-20 |
Bethune-Cookman +5.5 v. North Carolina Central | | 68-71 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
Teams off of 2+ straight home wins facing opponents who put up 75+ points in 2 or more straight games are 865-692-26 ATS 55.6% excluding Home dogs |
03-02-20 |
North Carolina A&T -1 v. South Carolina State | | 76-65 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Teams off of 2+ straight home wins facing opponents who put up 75+ points in 2 or more straight games are 865-692-26 ATS 55.6% excluding Home dogs |
02-29-20 |
Blazers +2 v. Hawks | | 117-129 |
Loss | -110 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off of a win allowing over 25 assists are just 299-425-12 ATS next game against opponents off of a loss. -- Fade the Hawks today In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Play on the Blazers |
02-28-20 |
Mavs v. Heat -4 | | 118-126 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 2012, one points dogs or favorites ( |
02-27-20 |
Knicks +7 v. 76ers | | 106-115 |
Loss | -115 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Road dogs averaging 103 or more points allowed per game off of 2+ games trailing 10 points or more at the half are solid against the spread in their next at 177-110-2 ATS (61.7%) in database history. -- Take the Knicks today |
02-26-20 |
Mavs -4.5 v. Spurs | | 109-103 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 2006, home dogs of greater than 4 points are just 230-320-17 41.8% ATS after games where 200+ pts were scored. -- Fade the Spurs |
02-25-20 |
Pelicans +7.5 v. Lakers | | 109-118 |
Loss | -109 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, home teams off of a home win that just allowed over 10 three pointers last game are just 121-161-2 ATS (42.9%). -- Fade the Lakers |
02-25-20 |
Stars v. Hurricanes -106 | | 4-1 |
Loss | -106 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road dogs are 684-758 SU +192.08 units +13.3% roi when the total is 5.5 -- Play on the Hurricanes NHL RAW NUMBERS: now sit at 1009-623 SU +573.77 units since 2018 on all "Basics" |
02-24-20 |
Bucks v. Wizards +13.5 | | 137-134 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, extreme lined home teams (double digit dogs or over 15 pt. favorites) off of a loss are 185-105-5 63.8% ATS under a couple other minor conditions. -- Take the Wizards today |
02-23-20 |
Oilers v. Kings +125 | | 4-2 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: A team off a loss as a favorite in which the previous opponent scored between 4 and 7 goals is 287-317 -79 units -- Fade the Oilers
NHL RAW NUMBERS: now sit at 1002-621 SU +567.31 units since 2018 on all "Basics" |
02-22-20 |
Suns -2.5 v. Bulls | | 112-104 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off of a win allowing over 25 assists are just 299-425-12 ATS next game against opponents off of a loss. -- Fade the Rockets |
02-21-20 |
Nuggets +2 v. Thunder | | 101-113 |
Loss | -112 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off of a win allowing over 25 assists are just 299-425-12 ATS next game against opponents off of a loss. -- Fade the Thunder and Lakers today Since 2002, home teams off of road losses in overtime are just 103-154-4 ATS 40.1% the next game. -- Fade the Lakers |
02-20-20 |
Hornets v. Bulls -4.5 | | 103-93 |
Loss | -104 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history (since 1995), Favorites are 118-76-3 ATS (60.8%) when facing teams off of two or more wins as road dogs. take the Bulls today |
02-18-20 |
Hurricanes +110 v. Predators | | 4-1 |
Win | 110 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams on 5 game or worse losing streaks are 147-135 +47.34 units SU +14.8% roi. - Blue Jackets NHL RAW NUMBERS: now sit at 996-616 SU +564.79 units since 2018 on all "Basics" |
02-17-20 |
Lightning v. Avalanche | | 4-3 |
Push | 0 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off a 1,2 or 3 goal average margin win in which their shots on goal / goals scored was fewer than 7.5 are just 1172-1314 47.1% SU -279.81 units (+148.25 units to fade). Fade the Lightning NHL RAW NUMBERS: now sit at 996-616 SU +564.79 units since 2018 on all "Basics" |
02-16-20 |
Maple Leafs -140 v. Sabres | | 2-5 |
Loss | -140 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: The Maple Leafs are 43-20 ON since Dec 22, 2016 as a road favorite. NHL RAW NUMBERS: now sit at 996-616 SU +564.79 units since 2018 on all "Basics" |
02-15-20 |
Islanders +160 v. Golden Knights | | 0-1 |
Loss | -100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, a home favorite that just had 2 or more power play goals and won by 1,2 or 3 goals has gone 335-293 -139.37 units (+15.8% fade). -- Fade the Knights The Islanders are 118-127 ON since Nov 26, 2011 as a road dog.
NHL RAW NUMBERS: now sit at 996-616 SU +564.79 units since 2018 on all "Basics" |
02-14-20 |
Canadiens +169 v. Penguins | | 1-4 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, plus .600 teams playing a late regular season (post 40 games played) game as large 170+ favorites are just 410-261 -161.74 units (+112.80 units to fade / +16.8% roi) SU -- Fade the Penguins NHL RAW NUMBERS: now sit at 996-616 SU +564.79 units since 2018 on all "Basics" |
02-13-20 |
Flyers +110 v. Panthers | | 6-2 |
Win | 110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off a 1,2 or 3 goal average margin win in which their shots on goal / goals scored was fewer than 7.5 are just 1172-1314 47.1% SU -279.81 units (+148.25 units to fade). -- Fade the Panthers today NHL RAW NUMBERS: now sit at 996-616 SU +564.79 units since 2018 on all "Basics" |
02-12-20 |
Pistons +8 v. Magic | | 112-116 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, Sub .500 Road Dogs on an ats losing streak are 520-399-19 (56.6%) ATS against teams on zero rest (or road dog on 1 day rest) that are on small 1 or 2 games ATS winning streaks. -- Take the Pistons today |
02-11-20 |
Rangers +110 v. Jets | | 4-1 |
Win | 110 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off a 1,2 or 3 goal average margin win in which their shots on goal / goals scored was fewer than 7.5 are just 1172-1314 47.1% SU -279.81 units (+148.25 units to fade). - Take the Rangers NHL RAW NUMBERS: now sit at 996-616 SU +564.79 units since 2018 on all "Basics" |
02-11-20 |
Bulls +3.5 v. Wizards | | 114-126 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: None. Technical raw number play here. |
02-10-20 |
Hawks v. Magic -8 | | 126-135 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off of a win allowing over 25 assists are just 299-425-12 ATS next game against opponents off of a loss. -- Fade the Hawks today |
02-08-20 |
Nets +6.5 v. Raptors | | 118-119 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Nets today |
02-07-20 |
Hawks +10 v. Celtics | | 107-112 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, home teams off of a home win that just allowed over 10 three pointers last game are just 121-161-2 ATS (42.9%). -- Fade the Celtics |
02-05-20 |
Cavs +13.5 v. Thunder | | 103-109 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, Sub .500 Road Dogs on an ats losing streak are 520-399-19 (56.6%) ATS against teams on zero rest (or road dog on 1 day rest) that are on small 1 or 2 games ATS winning streaks. -- Take the Cavaliers |
02-04-20 |
Oilers v. Coyotes -120 | | 0-3 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, dogs with at least 1 day of rest off of a win game as a dog that went under -- Fade the Ducks NHL RAW NUMBERS: now sit at 992-615 SU +561.25 units since 2018 on all "Basics" |
02-04-20 |
Ducks v. Senators -107 | | 3-2 |
Loss | -107 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, dogs with at least 1 day of rest off of a win game as a dog that went under -- Fade the Ducks NHL RAW NUMBERS: now sit at 992-615 SU +561.25 units since 2018 on all "Basics" |
02-03-20 |
Warriors +6.5 v. Wizards | | 125-117 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, sub .400 teams with at least 50 games in the bag on the season, off a win averaging over 200 total ppg (total in their games) are just 223-303-10 ATS -- Fade the Warriors Road Favorites that allowed 100 or more points in their last 4 games are 310-229-10 57.5% ATS. -- Play on the Magic |
02-03-20 |
Magic -4.5 v. Hornets | | 112-100 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, sub .400 teams with at least 50 games in the bag on the season, off a win averaging over 200 total ppg (total in their games) are just 223-303-10 ATS -- Fade the Warriors Road Favorites that allowed 100 or more points in their last 4 games are 310-229-10 57.5% ATS. -- Play on the Magic |
02-02-20 |
49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 |
Loss | -109 | 316 h 37 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Chiefs
BONUS SYSTEM: In the playoffs, road teams off a home game line between +6 and -6 are 33-17-1 66.0% ATS -- Active on the 49ers The Fortyniners are 11-0 ATS (+9.36 ppg) on the road off a game as a favorite when they are facing team that forcing less than four punts per game.The Fortyniners are 9-3 OU (9.92 ppg) since Oct 27, 2019. |
02-01-20 |
Knicks +11 v. Pacers | | 92-85 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY:In database history, teams off of a win allowing over 25 assists are just 299-425-12 ATS next game against opponents off of a loss. -- Fade the Pacers |
01-31-20 |
Grizzlies +8 v. Pelicans | | 111-139 |
Loss | -115 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Take the Bull and Grizzlies today!
The Grizzlies are 18-7-1 ATS (5.67 ppg) since Dec 09, 2019. |
01-31-20 |
Bulls +6 v. Nets | | 118-133 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Take the Bull and Grizzlies today!
The Grizzlies are 18-7-1 ATS (5.67 ppg) since Dec 09, 2019. |
01-30-20 |
Warriors +12.5 v. Celtics | | 104-119 |
Loss | -102 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Take the Warriors today |
01-29-20 |
Rockets -2.5 v. Blazers | | 112-125 |
Loss | -108 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Road Favorites that allowed 100 or more points in their last 4 games are 310-229-10 57.5% ATS. -- Take the Rockets today The Trailblazers are 0-5 ATS (-8.90 ppg) since Oct 23, 2019 as a home dog.The Trailblazers are 3-12 ATS (-4.43 ppg) since Nov 18, 2019 as a dog. |
01-28-20 |
Celtics +2 v. Heat | | 109-101 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, home teams off of a home win that just allowed over 10 three pointers last game are just 121-161-2 ATS (42.9%). -- Fade the Heat! Nuggets active as well (as a PLAY ON -- And they also came prettty close. Worth a shot if you like the Nuggets; however, my reason for passing is: I almost never take a public dog. The Knicks are 5-0 ATS (7.00 ppg) since Jan 18, 2020.The Celtics are 6-1 ATS (7.14 ppg) since Nov 09, 2019 as a road dog. BONUS SYSTEM: In database history, road dogs off of a road blowout (13+ pt) loss average 100 or more ppg have gone 118-62-3 ATS (65.6%) against plus .600 teams that aren't on a back to back game. -- Pretty strong system here active to play on the Wizards; however, and again: better, in my opinion to pass on public dogs so I am going to stick with the Heat and Knicks only today as my two official selections. |
01-28-20 |
Knicks +2 v. Hornets | | 92-97 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, home teams off of a home win that just allowed over 10 three pointers last game are just 121-161-2 ATS (42.9%). -- Fade the Heat! Nuggets active as well (as a PLAY ON -- And they also came prettty close. Worth a shot if you like the Nuggets; however, my reason for passing is: I almost never take a public dog. The Knicks are 5-0 ATS (7.00 ppg) since Jan 18, 2020.The Celtics are 6-1 ATS (7.14 ppg) since Nov 09, 2019 as a road dog. BONUS SYSTEM: In database history, road dogs off of a road blowout (13+ pt) loss average 100 or more ppg have gone 118-62-3 ATS (65.6%) against plus .600 teams that aren't on a back to back game. -- Pretty strong system here active to play on the Wizards; however, and again: better, in my opinion to pass on public dogs so I am going to stick with the Heat and Knicks only today as my two official selections. |
01-25-20 |
Lakers v. 76ers +4 | | 91-108 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off of a win allowing over 25 assists are just 299-425-12 ATS next game against opponents off of a loss. -- Fade the Lakers today |
01-24-20 |
Hawks +9.5 v. Thunder | | 111-140 |
Loss | -107 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Home teams off of two or more straight road wins are just 194-247-7 ATS since 2008. -- Fade the Thunder
In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Active on the Hawks today |
01-23-20 |
Mavs -5.5 v. Blazers | | 133-125 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off of a win allowing over 25 assists are just 299-425-12 ATS next game against opponents off of a loss. -- Play on the Mavericks |
01-22-20 |
Wolves +1 v. Bulls | | 110-117 |
Loss | -112 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road favorites, excluding sub .320 and plus .780 team record extremes, are 560-469-18 ATS (54.4%) after a game where they failed to cover the spread, now against a team that covered the spread in their last game. -- Take the T-Wolves today |
01-22-20 |
76ers v. Raptors -7 | | 95-107 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road favorites, excluding sub .320 and plus .780 team record extremes, are 560-469-18 ATS (54.4%) after a game where they failed to cover the spread, now against a team that covered the spread in their last game. -- Take the T-Wolves today |
01-21-20 |
Clippers +2 v. Mavs | | 110-107 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Take the Clippers |
01-20-20 |
Nuggets v. Wolves -2.5 | | 107-100 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, Sub .500 Road Dogs on an ats losing streak are 520-399-19 (56.6%) ATS against teams on zero rest (or road dog on 1 day rest) that are on small 1 or 2 games ATS winning streaks. -- Take the Bulls |
01-20-20 |
Bulls +15.5 v. Bucks | | 98-111 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, Sub .500 Road Dogs on an ats losing streak are 520-399-19 (56.6%) ATS against teams on zero rest (or road dog on 1 day rest) that are on small 1 or 2 games ATS winning streaks. -- Take the Bulls |
01-19-20 |
Packers +9 v. 49ers | Top | 20-37 |
Loss | -130 | 97 h 39 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Fade the 49ers and Chiefs this week The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS (9.62 ppg) since Dec 01, 2019 as a home favorite.The Fortyniners are 0-14 ATS (-10.29 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a game in which they threw at least nine fewer passes than their season-to-date average.The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS (9.42 ppg) since Nov 18, 2019 as a favorite. |
01-18-20 |
Cavs v. Bulls -7 | | 116-118 |
Loss | -104 | 1 h 49 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: No major systems on this one for today. Technical raw number play plus a couple of minor team trends here:
The Cavaliers are 4-33 SU (-14.00 ppg) since May 15, 2018 on the road off a road game.The Cavaliers are 35-138 SU (-10.00 ppg) since Apr 23, 1999 as a road dog after playing as a road dog off a loss. |
01-17-20 |
Blazers +9.5 v. Mavs | | 112-120 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 1 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Take the Trailblazers |
01-16-20 |
Celtics +10.5 v. Bucks | | 123-128 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off of a win allowing over 25 assists are just 299-425-12 ATS next game against opponents off of a loss. -- Fade the Bucks today! |
01-15-20 |
Nets v. 76ers -7 | | 106-117 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Dogs on back to back games on 3+ game win streaks for the current site are just 168-238-5 41.4% ATS against teams off of a game that went under the total. -- Fade the Nets today The Seventysixers are 380-185 SU (5.00 ppg) since Jan 13, 1998 as a home favorite. |
01-14-20 |
Knicks +17 v. Bucks | | 102-128 |
Loss | -110 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Home teams off of two or more straight road wins are just 194-247-7 ATS since 2008. Fade the Bucks |
01-13-20 |
Hornets +9.5 v. Blazers | | 112-115 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: None. Technical raw number play on Hornets. |
01-12-20 |
Hornets +8.5 v. Suns | | 92-100 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, Sub .500 Road Dogs on an ats losing streak are 520-399-19 (56.6%) ATS against teams on zero rest (or road dog on 1 day rest) that are on small 1 or 2 games ATS winning streaks. -- Take the Hornets today |
01-11-20 |
Vikings +7.5 v. 49ers | | 10-27 |
Loss | -130 | 25 h 39 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. -- Active this week on the Vikings
The Packers are 19-0 ATS (+13.13 ppg) as a home favorite off a road win when they are facing a non-divisional opponent that is averaging at least 31.5 passes per game.The Texans are 11-0 ATS (+8.55 ppg) on the road on grass off a game as a favorite in which they had more third down conversions made than punts.The Packers are 12-0 ATS (+10.21 ppg) as a favorite when they are off a road win against a team that was seeking same-season revenge.The Texans are 0-14 ATS (-10.73 ppg) in franchise history the week after a home win when they are an underdog to a team that is averaging less than 1.30 turnovers per game.The Seahawks are 5-0-1 ATS (6.83 ppg) since Oct 28, 2018 as a road dog.Since 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. - Fade the 49ers |
01-10-20 |
Warriors +15 v. Clippers | | 100-109 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, home teams off of a home win that just allowed over 10 three pointers last game are just 121-161-2 ATS (42.9%). - Take the Warriors today |
01-08-20 |
Nuggets +3 v. Mavs | | 107-106 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Nuggets today!
The Mavericks are 1-6 ATS (-5.79 ppg) since Dec 08, 2019 at home. |
01-07-20 |
Thunder +1.5 v. Nets | | 111-103 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Road Favorites or small dogs that allowed 100 or more points in their last 4 games are 310-229-10 57.5% ATS. -- Go with the Thunder today |
01-06-20 |
Celtics -8.5 v. Wizards | | 94-99 |
Loss | -107 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY:In database history, road favorites between -4 and -11 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 105 points or more are 197-117-8 ATS (62.7%)-- Active on the Celtics today
The Celtics are 269-106 SU (6.00 ppg) since Nov 07, 2007 as a favorite off a road game.The Wizards are 43-137 SU (-9.00 ppg) since Mar 03, 1999 as a dog off a game as a dog off a win. |
01-05-20 |
Pistons +15 v. Lakers | | 99-106 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, home teams off of a home win that just allowed over 10 three pointers last game are just 121-161-2 ATS (42.9%). -- Fade the Lakers The Lakers are 2-7 ATS (-4.28 ppg) since Dec 13, 2019 as a favorite.In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Grizzlies today |
01-04-20 |
Spurs +12 v. Bucks | | 118-127 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Take the Spurs
In database history, home teams off of a home win that just allowed over 10 three pointers last game are just 121-161-2 ATS (42.9%). -- Fade the Bucks |
01-04-20 |
Bills v. Texans -1 | Top | 19-22 |
Win | 100 | 96 h 58 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20200104, 'Texans'), (20200104, 'Titans') BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active on the Saints this week The Titans are 0-21 ATS (-11.17 ppg) when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game.The Vikings are 13-0 ATS (+11.27 ppg) as a dog when their opponent is off two double-digit wins and they are not off a double-digit win.The Bills are 11-30 OU (-4.74 ppg) since Nov 10, 2013 as a road dog.The Titans are 9-1 OU (8.55 ppg) since Oct 20, 2019. |
01-02-20 |
Thunder +3 v. Spurs | | 109-103 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, home teams off of a home win that just allowed over 10 three pointers last game are just 121-161-2 ATS (42.9%). -- Fade the Spurs
The Spurs are 5-16 ATS (-4.71 ppg) since Mar 20, 2019 as a home favorite.The Thunder are 7-2 ATS (5.00 ppg) since Nov 18, 2019 as a road dog. |
01-01-20 |
Blazers -4 v. Knicks | | 93-117 |
Loss | -109 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road favorites, excluding sub .320 and plus .780 team record extremes, are 560-469-18 ATS (54.4%) after a game where they failed to cover the spread, now against a team that covered the spread in their last game. -Trailblazers and Magic |
01-01-20 |
Magic -3.5 v. Wizards | | 122-101 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road favorites, excluding sub .320 and plus .780 team record extremes, are 560-469-18 ATS (54.4%) after a game where they failed to cover the spread, now against a team that covered the spread in their last game. -Trailblazers and Magic |
12-31-19 |
Nuggets v. Rockets -4.5 | | 104-130 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, teams off of a win allowing over 25 assists are just 299-425-12 ATS next game against opponents off of a loss. -- Fade the Nuggets The Nuggets are 1-6-1 ATS (-0.38 ppg) since Dec 15, 2019. |
12-31-19 |
Kentucky v. Virginia Tech UNDER 46.5 | | 37-30 |
Loss | -109 | 360 h 20 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A double digit favorite off of a game with over 300 rushing yards yields an O/U of 223-344-15 (-2.44, 39.3%) - opp. put up more that 45 rushing yards last game; team is off of 6 or more days rest. - BUF and KTKY unders |
12-30-19 |
Bucks -8.5 v. Bulls | | 123-102 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road favorites between -4 and -11 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 105 points or more are 197-117-8 ATS (62.7%) -- Bucks and Heat The Bucks are 12-3 ATS (7.57 ppg) since Nov 30, 2019 as a favorite.The Bulls are 8-22-1 ATS (-7.34 ppg) since Dec 08, 2018 as a home dog. |
12-30-19 |
Heat -8.5 v. Wizards | | 105-123 |
Loss | -108 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road favorites between -4 and -11 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 105 points or more are 197-117-8 ATS (62.7%) -- Bucks and Heat The Bucks are 12-3 ATS (7.57 ppg) since Nov 30, 2019 as a favorite.The Bulls are 8-22-1 ATS (-7.34 ppg) since Dec 08, 2018 as a home dog. |
12-29-19 |
49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 26-21 |
Loss | -115 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Take the Seahawks The Cowboys are 0-15 ATS (-7.97 ppg)as a favorite on turf when they are off a game as a favorite and they are facing a team that has a third down conversion percentage of less than 40%.The Seahawks are 12-1-1 ATS (7.96 ppg) since Jan 02, 2011 as a home dog.
3RD DOWN SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191229, 'Redskins'), (20191229, 'Dolphins'), (20191229, 'Texans')
The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. - Unders in Detroit and Panthers -- System is now one of our best at 53-15 to the UNDER! |
12-29-19 |
Redskins +13.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 16-47 |
Loss | -125 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Take the Seahawks The Cowboys are 0-15 ATS (-7.97 ppg)as a favorite on turf when they are off a game as a favorite and they are facing a team that has a third down conversion percentage of less than 40%.The Seahawks are 12-1-1 ATS (7.96 ppg) since Jan 02, 2011 as a home dog.
3RD DOWN SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191229, 'Redskins'), (20191229, 'Dolphins'), (20191229, 'Texans')
The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. - Unders in Detroit and Panthers -- System is now one of our best at 53-15 to the UNDER! |
12-29-19 |
Packers v. Lions UNDER 43.5 | | 23-20 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Take the Seahawks The Cowboys are 0-15 ATS (-7.97 ppg)as a favorite on turf when they are off a game as a favorite and they are facing a team that has a third down conversion percentage of less than 40%.The Seahawks are 12-1-1 ATS (7.96 ppg) since Jan 02, 2011 as a home dog.
3RD DOWN SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191229, 'Redskins'), (20191229, 'Dolphins'), (20191229, 'Texans')
The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. - Unders in Detroit and Panthers -- System is now one of our best at 53-15 to the UNDER! |
12-29-19 |
Saints v. Panthers UNDER 45 | | 42-10 |
Loss | -109 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Take the Seahawks The Cowboys are 0-15 ATS (-7.97 ppg)as a favorite on turf when they are off a game as a favorite and they are facing a team that has a third down conversion percentage of less than 40%.The Seahawks are 12-1-1 ATS (7.96 ppg) since Jan 02, 2011 as a home dog.
3RD DOWN SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191229, 'Redskins'), (20191229, 'Dolphins'), (20191229, 'Texans')
The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. - Unders in Detroit and Panthers -- System is now one of our best at 53-15 to the UNDER! |
12-28-19 |
Mavs -11 v. Warriors | | 141-121 |
Win | 102 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 2006, home dogs of greater than 4 points are just 230-320-17 41.8% ATS after games where 200+ pts were scored. -- Fade the Warriors |
12-27-19 |
76ers -3.5 v. Magic | | 97-98 |
Loss | -110 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, home favorites or road favorites off a home game off a win where they >76% of their points were not free throw made are 306-222-14 58% ATS against a team with a 30% or better team win percentage. -- Take the 76ers |
12-26-19 |
Grizzlies +6 v. Thunder | | 110-97 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 2003, sub .500 road teams on a losing ats streak are 562-417-22 ATS (57.4%) against plus.500 teams on a winning ats streak. -- Take the Knicks |
12-26-19 |
Knicks +8 v. Nets | | 94-82 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 2003, sub .500 road teams on a losing ats streak are 562-417-22 ATS (57.4%) against plus.500 teams on a winning ats streak. -- Take the Knicks |
12-23-19 |
Wolves -1 v. Warriors | | 104-113 |
Loss | -112 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road favorites, excluding sub .320 and plus .780 team record extremes, are 560-469-18 ATS (54.4%) after a game where they failed to cover the spread, now against a team that covered the spread in their last game. --Spurs and Timberwolves today |
12-23-19 |
Spurs -1 v. Grizzlies | | 145-115 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road favorites, excluding sub .320 and plus .780 team record extremes, are 560-469-18 ATS (54.4%) after a game where they failed to cover the spread, now against a team that covered the spread in their last game. --Spurs and Timberwolves today |
12-22-19 |
Pacers +7.5 v. Bucks | | 89-117 |
Loss | -102 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history (since 1995), the road teams averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. -- Take the Pacers |
12-22-19 |
Bengals +1.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 35-38 |
Loss | -110 | 145 h 47 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Without a doubt, both the best trend and best System of the week by strict metrics. Also a very simple and straightforward trend which, when combined with excellent results, is nothing but $$$ This one is active on the Buccs, Bears, Chargers, Bengals, Jets, Titans and Vikings this week! Whew.... That's a lot, but I say: If you looked at NOTHING else this week, hitting each one of those bets would yield at least a modest profit.
Let's see though what matches up with Raw numbers and other important systems to boil down our Top play for the week, but, just like in NCAABB, I really always feel a lot better giving you guys the full rundown. One thing I've pounded into everyone's head is: the more you overthink it, the more you're, 9 times out of 10 just hurting yourself. But ultimately, I know you'll all pick your own poison so just the cold hard facts.... The Steelers are 5-25-1 OU (-6.61 ppg) since Oct 13, 2013 as a road favorite.In full database history, road teams off of road losses seeking revenge this game are 88-53-3 ATS (62.4%) against an opponent that just lost their last game as well, CLOSE, by less than one Touchdown. -- Active on the Rams Since 1992, road favorites in the last month of the year are just 40-72-3 ATS (64.3% to fade) off of a home win now facing a team off of a road loss. -- Fade the RavensSince 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Seahawks The Redskins are 11-0 ATS (+12.27 ppg) when they are off a game as a dog and they are on grass seeking same-season revenge vs a divisional opponent for a loss in which they committed three-plus turnovers.
Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Giants The Bengals are 8-1-1 ATS (2.20 ppg) since Nov 18, 2018 as a road dog. |