Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08-30-19 | A's v. Yankees UNDER 11 | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under A’s/Yanks. Brett Anderson (10-9, 4.08 ERA) has struggled somewhat of late, but I think he’ll be able to match his counterpart CC Sabathia (5-8, 4.99) inning for inning. These two veterans have seen better days, but I expect them to fight deep into the latter frames tonight. Sabathia has thrown twice since returning from injury and he’s worked into the seventh inning in each contest. The veteran is now gearing up for one last playoff push and I expect him to carry over his recent form. Anderson got out to an unreal start and he’s since predictably come back down to Earth, but note that he’s still a sharp 6-3 with a 3.42 ERA on the road this season. Key Trends: - Oakland has seen the total go under the number in 16 of 19 of its “Friday Night” games this year. - New York has seen the total go under in five of its last six at home when the total in the contest is set between 11 and 11.5. The verdict: Clearly these teams have plenty of pop in the lineup, but the overall situation lends itself to more of a lower-scoring affair in my opinion; play the under! | |||||||
08-30-19 | Rice v. Army OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -125 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* total of the month on the over Rice/Army. Every team has “big” expectations coming into a new season and these two are no different. The Army Golden Knights though come in off a historic 2018 campaign, one which was capped by a 70-14 win over Houston in the Armed Forces Bowl (11-2 overall for the Cadets last year.) The Owls will be eager to prove themselves against the up-tempo Knights. Rice finished its season with a 27-13 upset victory over Old Dominion though (just 2-11 overall though.) Rice turns to Wiley Green, who was the QB in the ODU victory and who had 621 passing yards and three TD’s, to go along with 34 rushing yards and two more scores in four appearances last year. The Army offense welcomes back seven starters, including senior QB Kelvin Hopkins Jr. Key Trends: - Rice has seen the total go over in eight of its last nine non-conference games. - Army has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 as a favorite. The verdict: Rice has to open up the playbook here if it has any shot at pulling off the upset; look for this one to fly over early! | |||||||
08-28-19 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 10 | Top | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS on the Pirates/Phillies over. Neither of these starters instills much confidence. I believe runs are going to be plentiful as the Pirates try to play spoiler and the Phillies push for a playoff spot. The visitors see Mark Keller (1-2, 7.24 ERA) toe the slab, while the home side goes with the volatile Vince Velasquez (5-7, 4.93). Last Friday Velasquez saw a 7-0 lead in Miami go away in his team’s eventual 19-11 loss. Unfortunately a date vs. the Pirates isn’t what the doctor ordered for Velasquez to get back on track, as he’s 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA over 11 1/3’s innings opposed. Keller has been hit or miss this year and I think he’ll predictably struggle in this difficult road venue. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh has seen the total go over in seven of nine already this year when on the road and the total in the contest is set at either 10 or 10.5. - Philly has seen the total go over in 27 of its last 47 as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: Look for these two erratic starters to get the hook early and for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! | |||||||
08-27-19 | Cubs v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Cubs/Mets. Chicago sees Yu Darvish (4-6, 4.34 ERA) toe the slab tonight, while the home side counters with Marcus Stroman (7-11, 3.18). I think runs are going to be hard to come by as I expect these two starters to battle deep into the latter frames. Stroman most recently allowed one run over four innings vs. the Indians, while Darvish enters off an outing to forget, allowing seven runs over six innings in a 12-11 win over the Giants (Darvish has been solid overall this year though and note that he’s 1-0 with a 3.51 ERA in four starts vs. the Mets.) Key Trends: - The Cubs have seen the total go under in 12 of 17 already this year when playing with a day off. - New York has seen the total dip under in 14 of 23 this year following a loss by two runs or less. The verdict: I think Darvish gets back on track after his anomalous poor outing last time out. Stroman continues to throw decently for his new team as well and I expect that trend to carry over in this important matchup; play the under! | |||||||
08-26-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 12-2 | Loss | -101 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Cards/Brewers. This is an important game and when the smoke does finally clear at the end, I believe these competent starting pitchers will be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. The visitors hand the ball to Adam Wainwright (9-9, 4.51 ERA), while the home side goes with Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.64). Gonzalez faced these very card on Tuesday and allowed one run over five innings (he’s 3-4 with a respectable 3.11 ERA in 11 career starts vs. St. Louis.) Wainwright lost to the Brewers last week, but overall he’s 16-10 with a 2.48 ERA vs. them, including 7-4 with a 2.60 ERA in 19 career appearances in Milwaukee. Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in 34 of of 52 games this year when the total is 9 or 9.5. - Milwaukee has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 21 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: I expect these veteran hurlers to throw deep into the latter frames; this number is a little high, play the under! | |||||||
08-25-19 | Steelers v. Titans UNDER 40.5 | Top | 18-6 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL SUPER BLOWOUT on the under Steelers/Titans. The Titans beat the Eagles in Week 1, but they came up short at home vs. the Patriots in Week 2. Overall Tennessee is 2-8 SU/ATS in its last ten in the preseason. The Titans have a bit of a QB controversy going on right now with Marcus Mariota and Ryan Tannehill. Pittsburgh is 2-0 in the preseason and 8-2 SU/ATS in its last ten. Ben Roethlisberger sees his first action of the season for Pittsburgh and last year in Week 3 vs. these very Titans he was 11 of 18 passing in the 16-6 win. The verdict: These teams employ a similar game plan, with short crossing routes combined with a bruising running game; expect that to translate into another low-scoring battle between these clubs in their 2019 Week 3 preseason contest; play the under! | |||||||
08-25-19 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Braves/Mets. A couple of veteran starters go head-to-head in this important National League contest on Sunday afternoon. I believe that they’ll battle deep into the latter frames and I look for that to indeed help in keep this total under the number once it’s all said and done. Dallas Keuchel (4-5, 4.14 ERA) goes up against Steven Matz (8-7, 4.18) of the Mets. Keuchel earned a win last time out, giving up one run over six innings vs. the Fish, while Matz allowed two runs over seven innings vs. the Indians. The verdict: Atlanta’s taken the first two games of this series, including last night’s 9-5 victory. With these two surging starters squaring off, all signs do indeed point to the under as the savvy call here! | |||||||
08-24-19 | Florida v. Miami-FL OVER 50.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -108 | 730 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Florida/Miami Florida. Key Trends: - It’s interesting to note that UF finished with a 1-3 record last year when it scored less than 20 points, but it was 9-0 when scoring over 20. - Also note that the Hurricanes were 0-5 last year when scoring less than 20 points, while going 7-1 when eclipsing the 20 points plateau. The verdict: Florida was 10-3 last year under Dan Mullen’s first year as head coach and I believe it has a chance to duplicate that record. The home side won’t be going down without a fight though under Miami first year head coach Manny Diaz. When you add it all up, I think this one flies over the number sooner, rather than later! | |||||||
08-23-19 | Browns v. Bucs UNDER 42.5 | Top | 12-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 51 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Browns/Bucs. The Browns seem to be playing with a chip on their respective shoulders and I expect that momentum to be carried over in Week 3. So far Cleveland has beaten the Colts and Skins. The Bucs won 16-14 over the Dolphins in Week 1, but then fell 30-28 to the Steelers in Week 2. In last week’s win Cleveland QB Baker Mayfield was 5 of 6 for 77 yards and a TD. RB Nick Chubb is also expect to see a lot of time. But even more impressive that Cleveland’s offense to this point has been its defense, conceding only 14.0 PPG. The verdict: Tampa QB’ Jameis Winston was just 2 of 4 for 24 yards in last week’s loss. The defense though struggled, allowing three passing TD’s to the Steelers. I think Tampa struggles to put any points on the board and I look for Cleveland to dominate throughout all three phases; play the under! | |||||||
08-23-19 | Braves v. Mets OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS on the OVER Braves/Mets. Clearly Jacob deGrom (8-7, 2.61 ERA) has been exceptional this year, but his counterpart Mike Foltynewicz (4-5, 6.09) has had a hell of a time this season. But it’s the gravity of the situation for New York, combined with how hot each club is overall that makes me believe this total is going to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. ATL leads the season series 8-5, but New York is a major league-best 27-10 since the Mid Summer Classic, including going 13-1 in their last 14 at home. Key Trends: - Atlanta has seen the total go over the number in all four games it’s played in this year as an underdog of +150 or higher. - New York has seen the total go over the number in 12 of 20 as a home favorite of -150 or higher this season. The verdict: While both teams come in off low-scoring victories last night (New York 2-0 over Cleveland and the Braves 3-2 in Miami), I think the situation and the trends both point to the “over” as the correct call in this one! | |||||||
08-22-19 | Panthers v. Patriots OVER 42 | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -107 | 32 h 36 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Panthers/Patriots. New England has who seven of the past ten preseason games vs. Carolina, but it fell 25-19 in Charlotte last year. The Panthers won 23-13 in Chicago in Week 1, before then falling 27-14 at home to Buffalo. Carolina is finally going to start QB Cam Newton and RB Christian McCaffrey in this one. Carolina is expected to play most of its starters for at least half the game, as it tries to get a true judge of where it’s at vs. the defending champs and in this difficult road venue. The verdict: New England continues to roll as it hasn’t lost since Week 15 last year. So far it’s 2-0 in the preseason. Whether Tom Brady plays or not, I think New England pushes the pace here as well in front of the home town crowd (note that rookie QB Jarrett Stidham was 14 of 19 for 193 yards and a TD vs. the Titans.) The Pats are also expected to start Julian Edelman at receiver for the first time this year. When you add it all up, this one has “shootout” written all over it in my opinion; play the over! | |||||||
08-22-19 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* play on the under Marlins/Braves. I think both teams will struggle to score runs tonight. The Marlins go with Sandy Alcantara (4-11, 4.35 ERA), while the home side counters with rookie phenom Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.41). The verdict: Atlanta has won four straight, while Miami has lost 11 straight on the road and five in a row overall. Soroka has been an absolute beast vs. the Fish this year, going 2-0 with a 0.41 ERA. Alcantara has been hit or miss this year, but he’s posted a solid 3.86 ERA over 11 2/3’s inning opposed vs. Atlanta. Look for this total to fall well below the number once it’s all said and done! | |||||||
08-19-19 | 49ers v. Broncos UNDER 42 | Top | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under. Both teams looked shaky in their respective openers. Denver returns home after a 22-14 setback in Seattle. It’s interesting to note that the Broncos are just 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 preseason games at Mile High. 49ers’ QB Jimmy Garoppolo threw five INT’s in practice this week and suddenly San Francisco has more questions than answers on the offensive side of things (note that there 49ers scored a total of just 30 points in two preseason games a year ago.) Key Trends: - Denver has seen the total go under in three straight preseason games. - San Francisco has seen the total go under in four of its last six preseason contests. The verdict: I don’t think that a shift in venue to the thin air of Denver is going to help either of these scuffling offensive units; play the under! | |||||||
08-19-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Brewers/Cardinals. These teams are embroiled in a wild card hunt and while each has plenty of firepower to put runs at the board at any given moment, I believe it’ll be the starting pitchers of tonight’s game who become the main story line’s in tomorrow’s summaries. The visitors see Zach Davies (8-5, 3.74 ERA) toe the slab, while Dakota Hudson (11-6, 3.82) gets the nod for the home side. Davies faltered in the second half, but he now returns refreshed after a stint on the DL (note that Davies has been at his best on the road this season as well, going 4-2 with a very respectable 2.97 ERA.) Hudson comes in off a gem, holding the Royals scoreless over six innings, allowing only five hits, two walks, while also striking out five (note that Hudson has been at his best at home this year as well with a 4-2, 3.60 ERA record to this point.) Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total dip under the number in eight of its last 11 National League road games in which the total is set between -135 and +135. - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in five of its last seven National League night home contests in which it’s a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: I’m expecting these staters to throw deep and for this total to stay well below the number once it’s all said and done; play the under! | |||||||
08-18-19 | Seahawks v. Vikings UNDER 42 | Top | 19-25 | Loss | -108 | 151 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Hawks/Vikes. I think the Vikes take the foot off the gas here after their high-scoring 34-25 road win in New Orleans. Certainly Minnesota is going to face a much better defense in the Seahawks. Last year the Vikes won this game 21-20, but I’m expecting a much lower-scoring “battle” this time around. Seattle has already said that Chris Carson is going to the be the No. 1 RB, so now it’s a battle at that position for the rest of the preseason. The Hawks have their QB, but a strong run game is essential for Russell Wilson obviously. The top spots are filled in Minnesota, so the team is just trying to fill in some weak spots at this point. The verdict: With Seattle committed to focusing on its run game in the preseason and with the expected letdown here from the home side after last week’s road offensive explosion, all signs point to this one sneaking below the posted number once it’s all said and done! | |||||||
08-17-19 | Cowboys v. Rams OVER 42 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -140 | 129 h 19 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Cowboys/Rams. This game is being played in Hawaii. I believe both teams keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and I look for this total to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. The Rams lost 14-3 in Oakland last week, electing to sit their entire starting line-up. Dallas will be out to get things turned around on the offensive end as well after its 17-9 setback at San Francisco. The verdict: Both teams aren’t expected to play their starters much, or at all in this one either. But that won’t mean there won’t be an extreme sense of competition and urgency on the field of play today. After each team “laid an egg” offensively last week, I expect each to “open up the playbook” on Saturday; this number is low, play the over! | |||||||
08-16-19 | Giants v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 10-9 | Loss | -119 | 30 h 51 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Giants/Diamondbacks. Two playoff hopeful clubs go head-to-head on Friday night and in my opinion, runs will be at a premium. Jeff Samardzija (9-9, 3.55 ERA) toes the slab for the visitors and he most recently gave up one run off two hits over eight innings in a victory over the Phillies on Saturday. Samardzija enters this on fire, posting 1.95 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and a 43/10 K/W over his last 50.2 innings of work. The home side counters with Mike Leake (9-9, 4.58) and he comes in off an outing to forget allowing eight runs on ten hits to the Dodgers on Sunday (note though that Leake owns a respectable 7-2, 3.04 ERA record in all “home” games this season.) Key Trends: - San Francisco has seen the total dip under the number in eight of its last 12 National League road games in which the line is set between -125 and +125. - Arizona has seen the total go under the number in 12 of its last 20 National League home games as a favorite in the -110 to -140 range. The verdict: I like Leake to bounce back and expect Samardzija to carry over his recent momentum; this one has “duel” written all over it! | |||||||
08-16-19 | Mets v. Royals OVER 9 | 1-4 | Loss | -116 | 28 h 26 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Mets/Royals. The Mets will look to take advantage of this favorable interleague matchup and in my opinion, everything points to a “slug-fest” on Friday night. New York sees Noah Syndergaard (8-5, 3.89 ERA) toe the slab for the visitors and he most recently gave up two runs off seven hits over seven innings in a no-decision to the Nationals. Overall “Thor” has been solid this year , but note he’s owns a 4.94 ERA in all “night” games thus far. Mike Minor (11-6, 2.90) has posted 15 shutout innings to open August, after posting a 6.59 ERA in July. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total go over the number in 14 of its last 22 interleague road games as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. - KC has seen the total fly over the number in eight of its last 12 interleague home games as an underdog in the +125 to +175 range. The verdict: These pitchers have been solid this year, but the overall situation and the numbers point to a higher-scoring affair in my opinion; play the over! | |||||||
08-16-19 | Dolphins v. Bucs UNDER 43.5 | Top | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 103 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the UNDER Dolphins/Bucs. Tampa Bay hired Bruce Arians in the offseason and he’ll be hoping that Jameis Winston will be on top form this season, as the controversial QB is in the final year of his contract. The Dolphins also have a new coach in Brian Flores, after Adam Gase went 7-9 in 2018. These teams are very familiar with each other because of the proximity and while last year’s 26-24 Tampa victory flew well above the total, I think this year’s contest sets up as much more of a defensive battle. The verdict: Miami comes in off a 34-27 home win last Thursday, but I expect to see a much more vanilla unit hit the field in Week 2. The Bucs lost 30-28 in Pittsburgh last Friday. With both sides putting more of an added emphasis onto the defensive end of the field, look for this total to stay well under once it’s all said and done! | |||||||
08-16-19 | Dodgers v. Braves UNDER 10 | 8-3 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Dodgers/Braves. Two teams which will be competition for the NL crown get together on Friday night and because of the talent level on the mound between the starting pitchers, I do indeed believe that runs will be at a premium. The visitors go with Kenta Maeda (8-8, 4.12 ERA) who comes in off a gem vs. the D-Backs on Saturday, going seven scoreless and striking out six. Overall Maeda has been solid this season with a 128/39 K/W over 122.1 frames of work. The home side sees Michael Soroka (10-2, 2.32) toe the slab and he most recently went seven scoreless in an unfortunate no-decision to the Fish on Saturday. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 24 National League night road games when the total in the contest is set between -135 and +135. - Atlanta has seen the total dip under the number in seven of its last 11 night home games in which the line is set between -135 and +135. The verdict: The stage is set for these two starters to fight deep into the latter innings; play the under! | |||||||
08-16-19 | Indians v. Yankees UNDER 10.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Indians/Yankees. Aaron Civale (1-1, 1.00 ERA) has been “lights out” for the Indians and I think that the rookie carries that momentum over into this difficult matchup. Most recently Civale allowed one run off four hits over six innings in a no-decision to the hard-hitting Twins on Sunday (overall Civale has an 18/4 K/W over 18 innings.) The home side sees Masahiro Tanaka (8-6, 4.64) toe the slab and he most recently went eight scoreless and struck out four in a win over the Jays on Sunday. Overall Tanaka has been solid this year, entering this one with a 114/34 K/W over 137.2 innings of work. Key Trends: - Cleveland has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 13 as a road American League underdog in the +125 to +175 range. - New York has seen the total dip under the number in seven of its last 11 home games vs. an American League opponent as a fav in the -125 to -200 range. The verdict: These are two of the hardest hitting clubs, not only in the Junior Circuit, but in all of MLB, but I believe Friday’s contest definitely sets up as a classic “duel.” This number is a little high, play the under! | |||||||
08-16-19 | Padres v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | 4-8 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Padres/Phillies. I think this National League contest sets up as a “duel.” The visitors hand the ball to Chris Paddack (7-5, 3.26 ERA) who gave up three runs off five hits with one walk while striking out five over six innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Rockies on Saturday. Over 20 starts Paddack now owns a minuscule 0.93 WHIP. Vince Velasquez (4-7, 4.30) comes in off a hard-luck loss, giving up three runs over six innings vs. the Giants. Note that Velasquez enters on top form, posting a 2.78 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and a 21/8 K/W over his last 22.2 innins of work spanning four starts. Key Trends: - San Diego has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 National League road games when the line in the contest is set between -150 and +150. - The Phillies have seen the total dip under the number in 15 of their last 25 National League home games as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: I’m expecting these hungry and clearly hot starters to battle deep into the latter frames and as a result, I look for this total to stay well below the posted number! | |||||||
08-15-19 | Jets v. Falcons OVER 41 | Top | 22-10 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the over Jets/Falcons. Falcons’ starting QB Matt Ryan will see his first action of the preseason. So far the Falcons are 0-2 in the preseason, after losing in the Hall of Fame Game as well. Amazingly Atlanta is 0-10 in its last ten preseason games. The Falcons clearly won’t be lacking for motivation here. The Jets fell to the Giants last week, but starter Sam Darnold looked great in his only drive of the game, finishing 4 of 5 for 68 yards and a TD. The Jets’ defense took a couple of major hits, with top CB Trumaine Johnson out with a hamstring injury and his back-up Kyron Brown also going down with a leg issue. The verdict: With each team seeking its first victory, I’m expecting a wide-open affair; this number is a little low, play the over! | |||||||
08-14-19 | Cardinals v. Royals UNDER 10 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS on the under Cards/Royals. I had a play on the Cardinals last night and they ended up winning 2-0. I think that runs are going to once again be at a premium here as well. The visitors see Dakota Hudson (10-6, 4.01 ERA) toe the slab, while the home side counters with Brad Keller (7-12, 4.09). Hudson has conceded more than three earned runs only once in his past 20 starts. Keller enters having lost three straight, most recently getting shelled for five runs off ten hits over six frames in a loss in Detroit last week. Keller clearly won’t be lacking for motivation today and note that he’s 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA lifetime vs. the Cards. Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 as a road favorite of -110 or higher. - Kansas City has seen the total dip under the number in seven of its last ten interleague games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! | |||||||
08-13-19 | Rays v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Rays/Padres. Two suspect hurlers collide in this one and I expect runs to be plentiful. The Rays hand the ball to Brendan McKay (2-2, 4.55 ERA) who gave up three runs over five innings in a loss to the Jays on Wednesday. McKay has impressive strikeout numbers in the early going, but clearly the book is still out on the rookie to this point. The home side sees Eric Lauer (6-8, 4.51) toe the slab for the home side and he most recently allowed three runs off ten hits over four innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Rockies on Thursday (note that Lauer has been particularly ineffective in this spot all year as well, going just 4-6 with a 4.64 ERA in all “night” games. Key Trends: - Tampa has seen the total fly over in seven of its last 11 interleague road games when the total in the contest is set at either 8 or 8.5. - San Diego has seen the total fly over the number in 15 of its last 25 interleague home games as a favorite. The verdict: Look for these starters to get the hook early and look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! | |||||||
08-11-19 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 10 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 21 h 28 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the over Yanks/Jays. These are two decent starting pitchers, but I still think this game is going to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. The visitors go with Masahiro Tanaka (7-6, 4.93 ERA), while the home side goes with Trent Thornton (4-7, 5.55). Tanaka is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts vs. Toronto this year, while Thornton is 0-0 with a 9.72 ERA in two starts vs. New York. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed five or more runs in. The verdict: New York last two of three at Toronto from June 4-6th and after dropping yesterday’s contest 5-4, I believe the heavily favored visiting side “comes to play” today. I think these starting pitchers get the hook early; play the over! | |||||||
08-10-19 | Cowboys v. 49ers OVER 36 | Top | 9-17 | Loss | -105 | 244 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Boys/49ers. These NFC clubs are familiar with each other. Neither team though has been given much of a chance to earn a Super Bowl championship by the oddsmakers this year. Each will be out to prove them wrong and both have plenty of issues on both sides of the ball to work through. The verdict: These teams met in last year’s pre-season opener as well and San Fran won 24-21. I’m expecting a similar final combined score here as well. At some point Ezekiel Elliot will sign with Dallas, but even if he was officially on the roster at this point, he wouldn’t be suiting up today anyways. Both teams have plenty of key position battles going on and I believe this is going to lead to a higher-scoring shootout once it’s all said and done; play the over! | |||||||
08-10-19 | Everton v. Crystal Palace UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 264 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Everton/Crystal Palace. Marco Silva came over to Everton via the transfer market in order to bring the glory days back to Goodison Park. Crystal Palace star player Wilfried Zaha was reportedly sent him on Thursday with personal issues and he’s not expected to be in the line-up here. ames Tomkins (groin), Jeffrey Schlupp (ankle) and Mamadou Sakho (knee) are all out of contention for Palace as well. Everton will be missing Cenk Tosun and Tom Davies. The verdict: Everton has gotten strong over the three month window, but the home side won’t be going down without a fight. This one has the feel of a “chess match,” not a “shootout.” Play the under! | |||||||
08-09-19 | Bucs v. Steelers OVER 37 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 219 h 57 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Bucs/Steelers. There’s no more meaningless game the Game 1 of the preseason. Neither side’s star players are expected to see much (if any) playing time today. Tampa Bay debut’s its new coach Bruce Arians though, who will be eager to try and make a statement early. Pittsburgh got rid of Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown, meaning that there’s going to be some serious competition at these offensive skill positions throughout the pre-season. When you add up all these situational factors for both teams, I believe it points to more of a high-scoring “shootout,” than a lower-scoring “chess match.” The verdict: Both teams come in off disappointing campaigns and each has a lot to work through over these first four preseason games. I think each open up the playbook; play the over! | |||||||
08-08-19 | Patriots v. Lions UNDER 37.5 | Top | 31-3 | Win | 100 | 195 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Pats/Lions. Tom Brady won’t be playing in this one. Neither will any of the starting offensive line or the starting RB’s. Bill Bellichick is expected to start try-outs and wannabe’s on both sides of the field today. While most of Detroit’s star players will also obviously be sitting this one out, the difference is that this one clearly “means” much more to Detroit after its sub-par season a year ago. Lions head coach Pat Patricia used to be the defensive coordinator of the Patriots and he’s reportedly on the “hot seat” coming into this season. The Lions have plenty of new faces auditioning for a role on the starting line-up and I believe this is a big difference maker in Week 1 as well. The verdict: Additionally note that when New England did come to Detroit last year, the Lions won 26-10, as Patricia masterfully dominated the play-calling. This one sets up as a defensive “under” in my opinion! | |||||||
08-08-19 | Braves v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF MONTH on the UNDER Braves/Marlins. A couple of capable hurlers go head-to-head in this one and in my opinion, everything points to runs being at a premium. Dallas Keuchel (3-4, 3.86 ERA) toes the rubber for the Braves, while the home side counters with Elieser Hernandez (1-4, 5.66). Hernandez comes in confident after his best start of the year, holding the hard-hitting D-Backs to one run off three hits with two walks over four innings on Sunday. Keuchel most recently allowed three runs off four hits and a walk over seven innings while striking out four in a no-decision to the Reds. Over 56 innings Keuchel has a 42/19 K/W. Key Trends: - The Braves have seen the total go under in eight of their last ten vs. teams with a losing record. - Miami has seen the total dip under in five of six this year after two straight losses by four runs or more. The verdict: I think that the Fish have a difficult time posting any offense here; this number is a little high, play the under! | |||||||
08-05-19 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Jays/Rays. Jacob Waguespack (2-1, 4.80 ERA) comes in off a victory over the Royals on Wednesday, allowing one run off three hits with two K’s over six frames. Over 30 innings the 25 year old has a sharp 24:9 K:BB and he continues to improve with each outing. Charlie Morton (12-3, 2.78) gave up four runs to the Red Sox on Tuesday, but he’ll be feeling confident that he can bounce back here as he’s 6-1 with a 2.55 ERA at home. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under the number in eight of 11 American League road games in which it’s an underdog in the -175 to -225 range. - Tampa Bay has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last 11 home AL contests as a favorite in the -150 to -200 range. The verdict: This one has “duel” written all over it; play the under! | |||||||
08-04-19 | Reds v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Reds/Braves. Sonny Gray is 6-6 for the Reds, while Julio Teheran is 6-7 for the Braves. Gray though sports a respectable 3.45 ERA and 1.13 WHIP, while Teheran has a 3.38 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Gray got an early lead vs. the Pirates in his last start and then cruised to the victory on Monday after allowing four runs off six hits. Overall Gray enters August on fire, having posted a 2.24 ERA and a 39/7 K/W in July. Teheran enters off a gem as well, giving up two runs off seven hits over seven innings, striking out six and walking two. Over his last six starts Teheran has posted a 1.87 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP and a sharp 33/10 K/W. Key Trends: - Cincinnati has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 National League road games in which the total in the contest is either 9 or 9.5. - The Braves have seen the total dip below the posted number in 13 of their last 21 at home when the total in the game is set at either 9 or 9.5. The verdict: All signs point to a classic “duel” in this one; play the under! | |||||||
08-02-19 | Mets v. Pirates OVER 9 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Mets/Pirates. Two suspect starters go head-to-head in this one and I believe that runs are going to be plentiful. Steven Matz (6-6, 4.32 ERA) gets the all for the Mets and he’ll be opposed by Trevor Williams (3-4, 4.77) of the Pirates. Pittsburgh got swept in New York just last weekend and it’s now firmly in the basement of the NL. The Mets come in with plenty of momentum after winning seven straight. Matz dominated the Pirates at home last weekend, but note that while he’s 4-0 with a 2.06 ERA at home, he’s a poor 2-6 with a 6.40 ERA on the road this season. Williams looked sharp against the Mets last week, but note that he’s a poor 1-1 with a 5.71 ERA at home this season. Key Trends: - The Mets have seen the total go over in eight of 12 already this year on the road with a money line in the -100 to -150 range. - The Pirates have seen the total fly over in 16 of 21 already this season when the total is set between 9 and 9.5. The verdict: All signs point to a high-scoring slug-fest in my opinion; play the over! | |||||||
08-01-19 | Astros v. Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -113 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Astros/Indians. It’s Gerritt Cole (12-5, 2.94 ERA) of the Astros, vs. Danny Salazar (0-0, 0.00) of the Indians in this one. Houston made some moves at the deadline to acquire sluggers Yasiel Puig and Franmill Reyes and each is expected to make his debut tonight. Cole’s been phenomenal, but the book is out on his counterpart obviously. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go over in nine of its last 12 as a road favorite of -175 or higher. - Cleveland has seen the total soar over in seven of its last ten as an underdog go +150 or higher. The verdict: I believe we’re going to see an explosive finish in the finale of this important American League contest; play the over! | |||||||
07-30-19 | Mets v. White Sox OVER 9 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Mets/White Sox. Noah Syndergaard is 7-5 with a 4.33 ERA this year, while Reynaldo Lopez is 5-9 with a 5.52 ERA. Neither starter can be happy with their overall record, but each has admittedly looked a lot better over the last month or so. Despite that though, I think this interleague contest sets up as a slug-fest and I expect each of these guys to “get the hook” early. Key Trends: - As note that New York has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 12 interleague night road games in which it’s a favorite in the -140 to -160 range. - Chicago has seen the total eclipse the posted number in nine of its last 16 home games as an underdog in the +140 to +160 range. The verdict: I think this interleague contest eclipses the posted number sooner, rather than later; play the over! | |||||||
07-29-19 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins OVER 8 | Top | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the over D-Backs/Marlins. Neither of these starters instills a ton of confidence and in my opinion, this line is going to fly over sooner, rather than later. Caleb Smith (6-4, 3.30 ERA) goes for Miami, while Arizona turns to Merrill Kelly (7-10, 4.22). Miami won the opener of this four-game series 3-2, while Arizona took the second game 9-2. Miami then won 5-1 on Sunday. I believe all signs point to a higher-scoring affair here though. Smith has never faced the D-Backs in his career and while he’s been solid overall, it’s interesting to note that he has a poor 5.06 ERA in the first inning this year. Kelly has allowed 19 homers in 21 starts. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go over the number in 31 of 54 on the road already this year. - The D-Backs have seen the total soar over in 18 of 27 vs. southpaws. - Miami has seen the total go over in 12 of 17 already this year at home when the total is between 8 and 8.5. The verdict: Note as well that Kelly has been much worse on the road (4.98 ERA) than at home (3.57). This one has “slugfest” written all over it, play the over! | |||||||
07-27-19 | Cubs v. Brewers OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Cubs/Brewers. Cubs’ starter Jon Lester (9-6, 3.87 ERA) comes in struggling, having allowed four or more runs in six of his last 12 starts. These teams are fighting for positioning and after yesterday’s 3-2 Milwaukee victory, I’m expecting much more of a “slug-fest” on Saturday. The Brewers go with Chase Anderson (5-2, 3.90) to toe the slab. Anderson has been sharp of late and while both pitchers have enjoyed success over their respective opponent today in the past, I believe that the situation and the numbers point to a higher-scoring affair this time around. Key Trends: - Chicago has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 14 as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range. - Milwaukee has seen the total go over in 12 of its last 20 overall. The verdict: I think these normally steady starters get chased early; play the over! | |||||||
07-26-19 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 104 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Dodgers/Nationals. I’m expecting an all out “duel” here between these capable hurlers. Hyun-Jin Ryu (11-2, 1.76 ERA) gets the call for the Dodgers, while the home side counters with Anibal Sanchez (6-6, 3.80.) The Nationals come in off an 8-7 loss to the Rockies on Thursday, but it was just its fourth setback in its last 17 home games. Ryu though has dominated the Nats throughout his career, going 2-1 with a 1.35 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP in four career starts vs. them. Sanchez though has been equally as hot of late, going 6-0 with a 2.70 ERA over his last nine starts. While just 1-3 vs. the Dodgers, note that Sanchez does own a very respectable 3.69 ERA in eight career match ups vs. LA. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total dip under in 12 of 18 already this season when the total is set between 9 and 9.5. - Washington has seen the total go under the number in 15 of 23 this year when the total is set between 9 and 9.5. The verdict: Ryu comes in on fire across the board as he is 2-0 over his last three starts, giving up one run off our hits over seven innings in a 2-1 win over Miami on Friday. As mentioned off the top, I expect these red hot hurlers to battle deep and as such, I look for this total to stay well below the posted number! | |||||||
07-26-19 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | 9-2 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 59 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Braves/Phillies. Two teams which have no issues plating runs go head-to-head on Friday night, but I believe it’ll be the starting pitchers who become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. The Braves go with rookie phenom Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.46 ERA), while the home side counters with veteran Jake Arrieta (8-7, 4.40). Arrieta has allowed just two earned runs over his last 11 innings of work. Key Trends: - Atlanta has seen the total go under the number in 14 of 21 this year on the road with a money line in the -100 to -150 range. - Philadelphia has seen the total go under in 16 of 24 this year after two or more straight victories. The verdict: Playoff positioning aside, I believe all signs point to a classic “duel” between these two hungry teams on Friday night. Play the under! | |||||||
07-25-19 | Cardinals v. Pirates UNDER 9 | Top | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* BIG TIGER on the under Cards/Pirates. A couple competent hurlers go head-to-head in this one, with Miles Mikolas (6-10, 4.17 ERA) getting the nod for the visitors and Joe Musgrove (7-8, 4.08) toeing the slab for the home side. Mikolas comes in off a decent start vs. the Reds on Saturday, but still took the loss despite allowing three runs over six frames, while also striking out four. Overall Mikolas owns a respectable 82:19 K:BB over 114.1 innings of work this year. Musgrove also enter off a strong start, giving up one run with two walks and eight K’s over six innings in a win over Philadelphia on Saturday. Key Trends: - Note that St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 23 National League day road games in which the total is set at either 9 or 9.5. - Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 11 at home when the money line in the contest is set between -135 and +135. The verdict: Both Mikolas and Musgrove come in off strong performances and neither will be lacking for motivation here after a poor first half. When you add it all up, this number is a high in my opinion; play the under! | |||||||
07-23-19 | Padres v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Padres/Mets. These teams are a combined 14 games below .500. Neither has given up, meaning this is a very important series. Each had yesterday off. I believe the situation points to a higher-scoring affair between two clubs who often struggle at the plate. The visitors go with Chris Paddack (6-4, 2.70 ERA) to toe the slab, while the Mets go with Jason Vargas (4-5, 4.25.) Key Trends: - San Diego has seen the total go over the number in nine of 13 this year as a road favorite. - New York has seen the total go over in nine of 11 this year when playing with a day off. The verdict: As mentioned off the top, I think this one sets up as a “slug-fest.” Play the over! | |||||||
07-22-19 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 10 | 3-7 | Push | 0 | 31 h 53 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Rangers/Mariners. The Rangers have lost seven in a row after Sunday’s 5-3 defeat at Houston. The Mariners have lost ten of their last 11 and have been out of the playoff picture for a long time. Two teams with more questions than answers collide on Monday night and in my opinion, I think runs will be at a premium. Adrian Sampson (6-6, 4.92 ERA) toes the slab for the Rangers and he’s 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in four career appearances vs. the Mariners. The home side counters with Marco Gonzales (10-8, 4.48), who is 4-3 with a 3.35 ERA in eight career starts vs. Texas. Key Trends: - Texas has seen the total go under the number in 28 of 35 already this year vs. clubs with losing records. - Seattle has seen the total go under the number in six of its last eight vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: I think these starters “battle deep.” This number is a little high, play the under! | |||||||
07-22-19 | Yankees v. Twins UNDER 11 | 6-8 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 53 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Yankees/Twins. It’s a battle of division leaders in Minnesota on Monday night and while both teams are known for their offensive prowess, I believe that the starting pitchers will be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. New York sees CC Sabathia (5-4, 4.06 ERA) toe the slab, while the home side counters with Martin Perez (8-3, 4.10). Sabathia is 20-9 with a 3.09 ERA in 39 career starts vs. the Twins. Perez has had issues with the Yanks over the years, but he’s been at his best at home this season, going 4-2 with a 3.19 ERA. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total go under the number in ten of 14 so far in the second half of the season. - Minnesota has seen the total go under in six of nine as a home underdog this year. The verdict: Note that Sabathia is also 12-1 in his last 16 starts vs. the Twins. | |||||||
07-22-19 | A's v. Astros UNDER 9 | 1-11 | Loss | -125 | 29 h 53 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under A’s/Astros. Homer Bailey (1-0, 3.00 ERA for the A’s) beat the Mariners 10-2 in his Oakland debut and I think he’ll carry that momentum over here. Bailey would go on to give up two runs over six innings, walking none and striking out six. The home side counters with Gerrit Cole (10-5, 3.12), who has conceded more than one run just once in his last six starts. Key Trends: - Oakland has seen the total go under the number in 16 of 26 this year as a road dog. - Houston has seen the total go under the number in 23 of 34 this year when the total in the contest is set at either 8 or 8.5. The verdict: Additionally note that Bailey is 3-0 with a minuscule 1.46 ERA in eight career starts vs. Houston, while Cole is 3-1 with a 3.30 ERA in seven career starts vs. the A’s. This one has “duel” written all over it; play the under! | |||||||
07-21-19 | A's v. Twins UNDER 11 | 6-7 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under A’s/Twins. I’m expecting a “duel” between these two hungry American League clubs on Sunday afternoon. Michael Pineda (6-5, 4.38 ERA) goes for Minnesota, while Daniel Mengden (5-1, 4.21) gets the nod for the visitors. Pineda has conceded more than three runs in a games just once in his last 12 starts and he’s 4-1 with a tiny 2.75 ERA in six career starts vs. Oakland. Mengden comes in having won four straight. Key Trends: - Oakland has already seen the total go under the number in 23 of 35 this year vs. teams with winning records. - Minnesota has seen the total go under in nine of 12 home games already this year with a total of either 10 to 10.5. The verdict: Look for these two competent hurlers to battle deep into this one, and play the under! | |||||||
07-21-19 | Royals v. Indians UNDER 11 | 4-5 | Win | 105 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Royals/Indians. After scoring 43 runs over six games, the Tribe were held to just three hits in their last outing, a 1-0 Royals victory on Saturday. I think we’ll see a few more runs than that today, but all signs once again point to a lower-scoring “duel” in the finale of this three game set in my opinion. Kansas City goes with Glenn Sparkman (3-5, 4.54 ERA) who comes in off his best start of his career, scattering five hits and striking out eight in his first career shutout vs. the White Sox on Tuesday. The home side sees Zach Plesac (3-3, 3.56) toe the slab, who also comes in off a strong outing vs. Detroit in his last start, allowing no runs or hits over a rain-shortened three innings of work. Key Trends: - KC has seen the total go under in eight of its last 12 as a road dog in the +150 to +200 range. - Cleveland has seen the total go under in 22 of its last 37 “day” games. The verdict: In my opinion, the overall situation combined with the above strong O/U trends exhibited by each side, do indeed point to the under as the correct call in this one! | |||||||
07-20-19 | Marlins v. Dodgers OVER 8 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 11 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the over Marlins/Dodgers. LA Dodgers’ starter Clayton Kershaw (8-2, 3.00 ERA) is enjoying another solid year, but he’s just 5-5 vs. Miami in 11 career match ups. LA won’t be taking anything for granted here either in my opinion after it’s lacklustre 2-1 victory last night. And that’s bade news for Marlins’ starter Sandy Alcantara (4-9, 3.94), who has lost three straight and posted a ballooned 6.11 ERA (Alcantara was most recently shelled for four runs off nine hits over six innings in a loss to the Mets.) Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over the number in 9 of its last 14 after allowing three runs or less in three straight games. - LA has seen the total soar over in 20 of its last 32 as a home favorite of -150 or higher. The verdict: The situation and the numbers point to a “slug-fest” in my opinion; play the over! | |||||||
07-19-19 | Mets v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Mets/Giants. A couple of pitchers who I expect to start and go deep go head to head in this one on Friday night and I think runs will be at a premium. The visitors see Jacob deGrom (5-7, 3.21 ERA) toe the slab, while the home side goes with Tyler Beede (3-3, 5.44). deGrom enters off a gem, allowing one run off six hits with three walks over five innings vs. Miami on Sunday. Overall the Mets’ ace has a stellar 144:28 K:BB this year (note that he’s 4-3 with a 2.80 ERA on the road this season.) Beede enters off a strong outing as well, allowing three runs while striking out seven over seven innings vs. the Brewers on Sunday. Overall Beede is 2-0 in July, striking out 11 and allowing four runs over 14 frames of work. The verdict: I’m expecting these starters to continue their recent form and as such, everything points to the under as the correct call in this one! | |||||||
07-19-19 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 40 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Rangers/Astros. Two All Stars square off on the mound Friday night and in my opinion, runs will definitely be at a premium. Mike Minor (8-4, 2.73 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, while the home side counters with Justin Verlander (11-4, 2.98). Minor took a no-decision vs. the Astros last weekend, allowing four runs off seven hits with seven K’s over five innings. Note though that Minor is 7-3 with a 2.47 ERA in all night games this year. Verlander started the second half with another victory, giving up two runs and one walk with seven K’s over six innings vs. these very Rangers last Sunday. Note that Verlander is 7-3 with a 2.81 ERA in all “night” contests this season. Key Trends: - Texas has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 13 road games as an underdog in the +175 to +225 range. - Houston has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 15 home games in which Verlander is throwing and in which the total is either at 8 or 8.5. The verdict: With these two battling deep into the latter frames, all signs point to the under as the correct call here! | |||||||
07-19-19 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 9.5 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 28 h 36 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Red Sox/Orioles. Two decent hurlers go head-to-head in this one, but I believe that runs will still be plentiful on Friday night. The visitors hand the ball to David Price (7-2, 3.16 ERA), while the home side counters with John Means (7-5, 2.94). Price has unquestionably been the most consistent starter in Boston’s rotation this year, but he most recently gave up four runs over five innings in a no-decision to the Dodgers on Sunday. Means enters off a poor start as well, allowing six runs off eight hits over six frames in a loss to the Rays last weekend. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 12 American League road games as a favorite in the -125 to -200 range. - Baltimore has seen the total go over in eight of its last nine at home with a money line in the -175 to +175 range. The verdict: Recent form displayed by these two starters suggests that further regression in imminent in my opinion. Coupled with the above trends/numbers/stats and all signs do indeed point to the over as the correct call in this one! | |||||||
07-18-19 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 39 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the UNDER Brewers/D-Backs. Considering the talent on the mound tonight, I think this total is a little high. The visitors go with Zach Davies (7-2, 2.89 ERA), while the home side counters with Merrill Kelly (7-9, 3.93). Davies most recently allowed one run with five K’s over six innings in a win over the Giants on Saturday. Over 102 innings Davies now has a 2.89 ERA and 68:32 K:BB. Kelly gave up four runs (only one earned) while striking out five over five innings in a loss to the D-Backs on Saturday, undone by his defense. Overall Kelly has an 86:31 K:BB over 110 frames of work. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go under the number eight of its last 12 National League night road games in which the line is set between -125 and +125. - Arizona has seen the total go under the total in seven of its last nine home games as a favorite in the -105 to -125 range. The verdict: I expect these two starters to fight deep into the latter frames and as such, all signs doing indeed point to the under as the correct call in this one! | |||||||
07-18-19 | Cardinals v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Cards/Reds. I think these starters are going to fight each other deep into the latter innings and because of that, I’ll recommend making a play on the “under” in this one. St. Louis goes with Daniel Hudson (8-4, 3.48 ERA) who struck out five and picked up a victory in Saturday’s 4-2 win over Arizona on Saturday, giving up two runs off three hits with four walks over six innings. The home side counters with Tanner Roark (5-6, 3.99), who is looking to bounce back after allowing seven runs over 4.2 innings in a loss to Colorado. Despite a 1-5 record at home, Roark owns a very respectable 3.18 ERA in such instances though. Key Trends: - Note that St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 night National League road games in which it’s an underdog in the +105 to +135 range. - Note that Cincinnati has seen the total dip under in five of its last seven home games as a favorite in the -100 to -150 range. The verdict: As stated off the top, I’m expecting the starters to throw into the latter frames; play the under! | |||||||
07-18-19 | Dodgers v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Dodgers/Phillies. Two competent hurlers go head-to-head in this one, with Ross Stripling (4-3, 3.65 ERA) getting the nod for the visitors and Aaron Nola (8-2, 3.63) toeing the slab for the home side. I think that runs are going to be at a premium in this one as I expect these two starters to battle deep. Striping most recently allowed one run off four hits over five innings while striking out seven and walking no one in a victory over the hard-hitting Red Sox on Saturday. Nola comes in off a strong outing as well, allowing one run off five hits with nine K’s over six innings in what turned out to be a no-decision to the Nationals on Saturday. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last 11 National League day road games in which it’s an underdog in the +100 to +135 range. - Philadelphia has seen the total dip under the number in eight of 12 home games as a favorite in the -100 to -150 range. The verdict: Recent form displayed by these starters points to this total falling below the posted number; play the under! | |||||||
07-17-19 | Dodgers v. Phillies UNDER 10.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Dodgers/Phillies. Two capable hurlers collide in this National League contest on Wednesday night and in my opinion, runs are going to be at a premium. Kenta Maeda (7-6, 3.82 ERA) took an unfortunate loss in Boston last Friday, allowing three runs while striking out seven over six frames. Nick Pivetta (4-4, 5.81) who gave up three runs over five innings in in a loss vs. Washington on Friday. Key Trends: - Note though that Philadelphia has seen the total go under in seven of its last ten National League home games in which the total in the contest is set at either 10 or 10.5. - Also note that LA has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 road night games as a favorite in the -105 to -150 range. The verdict: Look for these two hungry starters to battle deep and play the under! | |||||||
07-17-19 | Braves v. Brewers UNDER 10 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Braves/Brewers. Two capable pitchers go head to head in this National League contest on Wednesday afternoon and in my opinion, runs are going to be at a premium. The Braves go with Dallas Keuchel (3-2, 3.09 ERA), while the home side goes with Chase Anderson (4-2, 4.27). Anderson has a 72:23 K:BB over 71.2 innings of work this year and he’s 1-0 with a 3.68 ERA in all “day” games. Keuchel gave up one run off six hits with four walks over seven innings in a win over the Padres in his last outing. Key Trends: - The Braves have seen the total go under the number in seven of their last 11 road games as an underdog in the +105 to +135 range. - The Brewers have seen the total go under in ten of their last 16 home day games with a money line in the +125 to -125 range. The verdict: Once again I’m expecting the starting pitchers to throw deep and as such, look for this one to stay well below the posted number! | |||||||
07-17-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Pirates/Cardinals. Two pitchers who won’t be lacking for motivation collide in this one Wednesday afternoon and I think that runs will be at a premium. Chris Archer (3-6, 5.42 ERA) toes the slab for the visitors, while the home side counters with Daniel Ponce de Leon (0-0, 1.99). Archer gave up three runs off three hits with two walks and ten K’s over six innings in a no-decision vs. the Cubs last time out. de Leon comes in off a strong start too, giving up one run off three hits over seven innings. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh has seen the total dip under in seven of its last 11 road “day” games. - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 day home games in which it’s a favorite in the -135 to -155 range. The verdict: I expect these starters to battle deep into the latter frames and as such, look for this total to stay under once it’s all said and done! | |||||||
07-16-19 | Giants v. Rockies UNDER 14 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* play on the under Giants/Rockies. After yesterday’s 19-2 “slug-fest” win for San Francisco, the Giants followed it up with a 2-1 win in the second game of the double-header last night. I believe the finale tonight will follow more of Game 2’s “suit.” Peter Lambert (2-1, 6.67 ERA) gets the call for Rockies, while the Giants counter with Drew Pomeranz (2-9, 6.42). Pomeranz has to be feeling confident he can produce a decent start here, as he’s 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA in six career games vs. Colorado. Key Trends: - San Francisco has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four on the road when the total is 12 or higher. - Colorado has seen the total go under in 16 of its last 26 with a money line in the -100 to -150 range. The verdict: A couple of high ERA pitchers here, but the numbers and the overall “situation” point to more of a “duel” in my opinion. This number is a tad high, play the under! | |||||||
07-15-19 | Braves v. Brewers UNDER 10.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 9 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Braves/Brewers. I think these starters will battle into the deep innings and as such, I look for this total to sneak below this sky-high number. Max Fried (9-4, 4.29 ERA) gets the call for the Braves, while the Brewers turn to Adrian Houser (2-3, 4.01). Fried is 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA lifetime vs. the Brewers, but he’ll be eager to get back on track after scuffling down the stretch of the first half. Houser also struggled in his last couple of starts before the break, but overall he’s been solid this season (note that he’s faced the Braves once in relief and he’d allow three hits over three innings.) Key Trends: - The Braves have seen the total go under the number in 13 of 20 this year on the road when the money line is in the -100 to -150 range. - The Brewers have seen the total go under in 16 of 25 vs. southpaws already this season. The verdict: Additionally note that Brewers’ slugger Ryan Braun won’t be in the line-up tonight as he attends the funeral of Tyler Skaggs. This number is a little high, play the under! | |||||||
07-15-19 | Dodgers v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | 16-2 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 5 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Dodgers/Phillies. Zach Eflin (7-8, 3.78 ERA) squares off against the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw (7-2, 3.09). Both teams enter off Sunday victories. Eflin was rocked in his final start before the break, but overall he’s been solid this year. With the extra time off, there’s no reason not to think that he can’t match Kershaw inning for inning. Kershaw has a 2.84 ERA in 14 career regular season starts vs. the Phillies. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total go under the number in eight of 12 already this year on the road when the total is set between 9 and 9.5. - Philadelphia has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 following a win by two runs or less. The verdict: This one has “duel” written all over it in my opinion; play the under! | |||||||
07-15-19 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 27 h 5 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Rays/Yankees. New York leads the season series 9-4, but Tampa took two of three in a series right before the All-Star break. However the Rays have lost four straight in the Bronx, allowing 34 runs in the process. New York enters having gone 12-0-1 in its last 13 home series after securing the 4-2 win over Toronto on Sunday. James Paxton (5-4, 4.01 ERA) gets the nod for the home side and he’s 3-1 with a 3.24 ERA over four career match ups with the Rays. The Rays go with Blake Snell, who is 0-2 with a 5.29 ERA vs. New York this year. Clearly Snell won’t be lacking for motivation. Key Trends: - Tampa Bay has seen the total go under in nine of 12 already as a road do this season. - New York has seen the total go under in 11 of 17 already this season as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: Look for these hungry and capable starters to battle into the latter frames and for this total to fall under the number once it’s all said and done! | |||||||
07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton OVER 52.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 48 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* CFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR is the over Stamps/Ti-Cats. This is a big game for both teams. Hamilton opened the year 3-0, holding its first three opponents to just 41 total points, but it got caught looking past the Alouettes last weekend, falling 36-29. Calgary got back on track last weekend with a rout of Saskatchewan and I believe it carries that momentum over here (note that the Stamps posted 43 points on Hamilton the last time these teams met in September of 2018.) But the Ti-Cats offense has been downright awesome so far this year, producing 151 points through four games. Key Trends: - Calgary has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 non-conference games. - Hamilton has seen the total go over in eight of its last 12 as a home favorite. The verdict: Calgary’s offense finally got untracked last weekend and I think it keeps the foot on the gas here vs. a Ti-Cats offense which was exposed in its loss last week. Hamilton’s offense has been “Firing on all cylinders” all year long and I don’t think there’s any reason not to expect it to produce here as well. Expect this one to fly over sooner, rather than later! | |||||||
07-11-19 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 10.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 33 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Astros/Rangers. The Astros have a 7.5 game lead in the American League West, but I think they come out flat here to open the second half. Houston faces a tough opponent in veteran Lance Lynn (11-4, 3.91 ERA) as well, as he’s 4-2 with a 2.20 ERA in eight career appearances vs. Houston. Houston counters with Framber Valdez (3-4, 4.57) who has struggled in the big leagues this year for the most part, after going 4-1 with a 2.19 ERA last season. Key Trends: - Note though that Houston has seen the total go under the number in 27 of 44 this year vs. teams with winning records. - Additionally note that Texas has seen the total dip under in both contests it’s played in this season in which trying to revenge two straight losses where opponent scored eight or more runs in. The verdict: Based primarily upon Lynn’s recent form, look for this total stay well under once it’s all said and done; play the under! | |||||||
07-09-19 | National League v. American League UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 53 h 42 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under All Star Game. The AL has won six straight in this series. Both line-ups feature plenty of home-run power, but I think that after last night’s historic home run derby battle, that the Mid-Summer Classic will be dominated by the pitchers. Hyun-Jin Ryu and Justin Verlander square off to open things up and they’ve been nearly untouchable over the first half. The “pitchers” on both sides come in with a chip on their collective shoulders after Verlander blasted the league yesterday about what he feels to be “juiced balls.” The home run rate over the first half is at 2.74 per game, which ranks the highest since the “steroid era.” The verdict: But while most are probably reckoning on a higher-scoring slug-fest, I’m going the other way and expecting the men on the mound to dominate tomorrow’s summaries. This number is just a little high, play the under! | |||||||
07-06-19 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 9 | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Phillies/Mets. Two hungry veteran hurlers collide in their final starts before the All Star break and I’m expecting a classic “duel.” Philadelphia took the opener of this series 7-2. New York has gone just 13-23 since May 27th, but despite last night’s win, Philadelphia has just nine victories in its last 24 games (five of which have come vs. the Mets.) Noah Syndergaard gets the call for the home side and he’ll be asked to “throw deep,” as Mets relievers have an atrocious 8.01 ERA since May 27th (Syndergaard is 5-3 with a 3.71 ERA in 11 starts vs. Philadelphia.) Phillies’ starter Jake Arrieta own a sharp 2.85 ERA in 13 career regular season starts vs. the Mets. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go under the number in 26 of its last 41 following a victory. - New York has seen the total go under the number in three of four already this year when the total in the contest is set at either 9 or 9.5. The verdict: I think the writing is on the wall and a classic “duel” is in the cards; play the under! | |||||||
07-04-19 | Angels v. Rangers UNDER 11 | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Angels/Rangers. Both the Angels and Rangers are known for their prowess at the plate, but I think it’ll be the starting pitchers who will grab the headlines in tomorrow’s summaries. Griffin Canning (3-4, 3.79 ERA) toes the slab for the Angels, while the Rangers counter with Lance Lynn (10-4, 4.00). Canning got back on track in his last outing with a 8-3 win over the A’s, allowing two runs off three hits with six K’s over six innings of work. Lynn though is the difference maker overall here, as he arguably comes in as the hottest pitcher in all of MLB, going 4-0 with a 2.90 ERA in June, most recently throwing eight shutout innings in a 5-0 victory over Tampa Bay on Friday. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total go under in 22 of its last 37 following a victory. - Texas has seen the total go under in 13 of its last 19 as a home favorite of -110 or higher. The verdict: I expect these two hot hurlers to continue their recent form. Play the under! | |||||||
07-04-19 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 10.5 | 6-12 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 51 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Phillies/Braves. Two very competent hurlers collide in this one and I think they’ll be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. The visitors turn to Zach Eflin (7-7, 3.34 ERA), while the home side sees All Star Game bound rookie phenom Mike Soroka (9-1, 2.13) toe the slab. These two teams are in a battle right now, with the Braves sitting 5.5 games ahead of the second-place Phillies. Soroka most recently allowed two runs over seven innings in a win over the Mets. Eflin comes in off a strong outing vs. the Marlins, giving up three runs over six innings. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go under the number in 12 of 17 already this year after having won five or six of its last seven games. - Atlanta has seen the total go under the number in 16 of its last 26 vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: Game 1 of this series went well below the posted number and the finale also sets up great as a “duel” in my opinion. Play the under! | |||||||
07-04-19 | Cubs v. Pirates UNDER 9.5 | 11-3 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Cubs/Pirates. The Cubs will be desperate to get back on track here after losing the first three games of this four game set. Pittsburgh has outscored them 29-11 in the process. The Pirates clearly won’t be “rolling over” though, as they’re now just two games behind slumping Chicago. Jose Quintana (5-7, 4.21 ERA) toes the slab for the visitors, while the home side counters with Jordan Lyles (5-4, 3.71). Quintana certainly won’t be taking anything for granted here either after breaking his six-game losing streak last time out, going six scoreless vs. the Reds: "I needed an outing like that to get my confidence back," Quintana said. "My focus was on one pitch at a time. ... I had confidence. My stuff worked really good.” Note that Quintana is 2-1 with a 2.31 ERA in six career starts vs. Pittsburgh. Lyles comes in off a loss despite pitching well, giving up three runs over six frames in a 3-1 loss to Milwaukee. Lyles is a sharp 3-2 with a 3.59 ERA in 13 career match ups vs. Chicago. Key Trends: - Chicago has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 25 vs. the division. - Pittsburgh has seen the total go under the number in six of its last ten vs. southpaws. The verdict: Note that Cubs’ slugger Jason Heyward is questionable for this one. When you add it all up, this one sets up as more of a “duel” than a “slugfest.” Play the under! | |||||||
07-04-19 | Brewers v. Reds UNDER 9 | 0-1 | Win | 105 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Brewers/Reds. Considering the talent level on the mound, I believe this total is much too high. The Brewers hand the ball to Brandon Woodruff (10-2, 3.79 ERA), while the Reds go with Luis Castillo (7-3, 2.47). The Brewers lost 3-0 yesterday and they’ve now lost ten of their last 16, just 4.5 games ahead of the last-place Reds. Castillo is 2-3 with a 4.08 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Brewers. Woodruff though enters on top form as he posted his second straight on Saturday by allowing one run off six hits spanning eight frames of work in a victory over the Pirates. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in 22 of its last 37 vs. clubs with losing records. - The Reds have seen the total dip under in nine of 14 as a home dog this year. - Cincinnati has seen the total go under in 32 of 59 vs. teams with winning records this season. The verdict: Expect these hungry starters to battle deep and for the above trends to continue strong. This number is high, play the under! | |||||||
07-03-19 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 10.5 | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Phillies/Braves. Both Nick Pivetta (4-2, 5.63 ERA) of the Phillies and Brian Wilson (0-0, 8.31) of the Braves will be eager to get untracked here. Philadelphia won for the fifth ten in seven games last night behind eight shutout innings from Aaron Nola. Pivetta will be coming in confident though as he’s 4-1 with a sharp 3.48 ERA in ten career outings vs. Atlanta. Wilson received a no-decision vs. the Phillies already this year back on March 30th, giving up four runs over four innings. Wilson’s been called up from Triple-A Gwinnett to make this start. Key Trends: - Atlanta though has seen the total dip below the number in 15 of its last 22 vs. teams with winning records. - Philadelphia has seen the total dip under in 13 of its last 19 as a road underdog. The verdict: I like these two pitchers to battle deep into the latter frames and as such, I definitely think that the under is the correct call! | |||||||
07-03-19 | Marlins v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Marlins/Nats. A couple of competent hurlers collide in this one on Wednesday night and I’m expecting a bit of a “duel.” Sandy Alcantara (4-7, 3.86 ERA) gets the nod for the Fish, while Stephen Strasburg goes for the Nationals. Strasburg has dominated the Marlins throughout his career, going 19-7 with a 2.97 ERA over 33 lifetime meetings (he’s already 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA vs. them in two starts this season.) Alcantara was 0-2 vs. Washington last year and he’s 0-2 vs. them this season. Clearly he’s not going to be lacking for motivation. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go under the number in six of eight this year as a road dog of +200 or higher. - Washington has seen the total go under the number in five of its last six at home when then total is either 9 or 9.5. The verdict: Expect these starters to battle each other deep into the latter frames and play the under! | |||||||
06-30-19 | Braves v. Mets OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Braves/Mets. Max Fried (9-3, 3.96 ERA) gets the call for the Braves, while Noah Syndergaard (5-4, 4.55) gets the nod for the Mets. Atlanta’s taken the first two games of this series after rallying for a 5-4 win last night. New York won’t be lacking for motivation either as it comes in on a seven-game losing streak. The Mets’ bullpen has been a disaster, as set-up man Seth Lugo has allowed seven runs over his last 3 1/3’s innings of work. Syndergaard is being thrown to the wolves here after a two week stint on the DL (just gave up three runs over five innings in Triple-A re-hab.) Key Trends: - Atlanta has seen the total go over in 28 of 43 vs. teams with losing records. - New York has seen the total go over the number in 26 of 42 this year vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: I expect Syndergaard to get the hook early and for the Mets bullpen to continue to get exposed. When you add it all up, the “over” is definitely the correct call here in my opinion! | |||||||
06-29-19 | A's v. Angels OVER 9.5 | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 46 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over A’s/Angels. The Angels line-up is healthier than its ever been with Justin Upton, Andrelton Simmons and Shohei Ohtani all now back in the line-up. That’s bad news for A’s starter Brett Andreson (7-5, 4.26 ERA) who is 3-3 with a 3.19 ERA in 14 games vs. the Angels. The home side counters with Tyler Skaggs (7-6, 4.30) who has been shelled for eight runs spanning 8 2/3’s innings over two starts vs. the A’s this year. Key Trends: - Oakland has seen the total go over in 14 of 23 already this season after allowing two runs or less in its previous outing. - LA has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of 11 in trying got revenge a loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite. The verdict: I think these suspect starters get the hook early and as such, look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! | |||||||
06-29-19 | Mariners v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 56 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under M’s/Astros. The Astros won 2-1 in ten innings last night and I think that runs will be at a premium in this one as well. The Astros give the nod to ace Justin Verlander (10-3, 2.67 ERA), who broke his team’s seven game slide with a dominant effort over the Yanks last time out, holding them to three runs with nine K’s over seven innings. Verlander leads the AL in WHIP (0.75) and batting average allowed (.157) and he’s 13-9 with a 3.27 ERA in 27 career starts vs. the M’s. Seattle counters with southpaw Yusei Kikuchi (4-5, 5.11), who comes in off a strong outing vs. Baltimore, allowing three runs with three K’s over six frames in the victory. Key Trends: - Seattle has seen the total dip under in three of its last four as an underdog of +200 or higher. - Houston has seen the total go under in 14 of 22 this year vs. left-handed starters. The verdict: I expect these competent hurlers to battle deep. This number is high, play the under! | |||||||
06-29-19 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 12 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Dodgers/Rockies. Colorado won 13-9 as a sizeable underdog last night and it’s combined to score 134 runs with its opponents over the past six games at Coors Field. While offensive production has been plentiful of late in Denver, I think the stage is finally set for more of a “duel” on Saturday night. LA goes with ace Clayton Kershaw (7-1, 3.07 ERA), while the home side counters with Jon Gray (8-5, 3.92). Kershaw is 10-4 with a 4.57 ERA and one shutout at Coors lifetime. In seven starts at home Gray is 2-1 with a 4.14 ERA vs. the Dodgers. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total go under in three of its last four after allowing seven runs or more in two straight games. - Colorado has seen the total go under in eight of its last 12 after allowing nine or more runs in two straight games. The verdict: I think these two veteran starters battle into the latter frames and I expect this total to sneak under this sky-high number once it’s all said and done! | |||||||
06-28-19 | Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 60 | Top | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 99 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Als/Ti-Cats. It would be easy to write my analysis on the “over” here, as Hamilton has been “on fire” so far on the offensive end to open the 2019 campaign. But I think the Ti-Cats are going to have a more difficult time moving the ball vs. the focused and rested Alouettes team. Montreal had a Week 2 “bye,” so it does indeed come in focused and fresh. Montreal lost its starting QB Antonio Pipkin in its Week 1 loss to Edmonton, so Vernon Adams Jr. will make the start this week. Key Trend: - In these team’s last five vs. each other, Hamilton has gone 4-1 and in its victories it’s allowed a total of just 42 points, which works out to an average of only 10.5 PPG conceded. The verdict: Hamilton doesn’t need to run up the score to win this game. Montreal will be doing everything it can to slow the pace of this one down. I think when you add up all of the above factors, that the under is indeed the savvy call on Friday night! | |||||||
06-27-19 | Nationals v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 30 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Nationals/Marlins. Stephen Strasburg (8-4, 3.79 ERA) has dominated the Marlins throughout his career. Miami has been shutdown at the plate over the first two games of this series, so it won’t be lacking for motivation as it tries to break the slide. It won’t be easy for the home side though with Sandy Alcantara (4-5, 3.51 ERA) on the mound, as he’s 0-3 with a ballooned 9.00 ERA in three starts vs. the Nationals. Key Trends: - The Nationals have seen the total go over in 11 of 15 already this season after two or more consecutive wins. - The Marlins have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten in trying to revenge two straight home losses vs. an opponent. The verdict: I think the stage is set for an explosive finish to this series; play the over! | |||||||
06-27-19 | Rangers v. Tigers OVER 9.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Rangers/Tigers. These teams played to a lower-scoring under yesterday, but I think the stage is set for more of a slug-fest in the finale. The Tigers won’t be lacking for motivation here as they’e now lost six straight after falling 4-1 to the Rangers yesterday. The home side hands the ball to Spencer Turnbull (3-7, 3.29 ERA), who is a poor 0-5 with a 4.89 ERA in nine starts in Detroit this year. The visitors counter with Ariel Jurado (4-3, 4.44), who has been shelled for 11 runs over his last nine innings of work, spanning two starts. Key Trends: - Texas has seen the total go over in 16 of its last 24 “day” games. - Detroit has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 at home as a favorite in the -100 to -150 range. The verdict: A couple of confirmed “gas cans” going head to head, everything point to a slug-fest in the finale. Play the over! | |||||||
06-26-19 | Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 9 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Rangers/Tigers. The home side turns to ace Matt Boyd (5-5, 3.61 ERA), who looks to bounce back after giving up three home runs in a loss to the Indians on Friday. Boyd though posted six K’s and he’s now recorded at least six in each of his past seven starts. The rangers look to build off yesterday’s 5-3 win by handing the ball to Mike Minor (7-4, 2.52) who is a sharp 3-2 with a 3.04 ERA on the road this year (Minor’s won back-to-back starts and has a tiny 1.93 ERA over his past four outings.) Key Trends: - The Rangers have seen the total go under the number in 18 of 23 already this season after two or more consecutive victories. - The Tigers have seen the total dip under in 25 of their last 40 following a loss. The verdict: I think these hungry starters battle deep; all signs point to the under as the savvy call in this one! | |||||||
06-26-19 | Rockies v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Rockies/Giants. Colorado won 2-0 on Monday and San Francisco won 4-2 on Tuesday. Runs have so far been hard to come by in this series, but I think the finale sets up as more of a “slug-fest.” The hungry Rockies hand the ball to German Marquez (7-3, 4.32 ERA), while the hungry Giants counter with Jeff Samardzija (4-6, 4.23). Marquez is 1-3 with a 4.95 ERA in six starts vs. the Giants, while Samrdzija is 5-6 with a 3.91 ERA in 18 games vs. the Rockies. Key Trends: - Colorado has seen the total go over in 18 of its last 28 vs. the division. - The Rockies have seen the total soar over in 15 of 25 “day” games this season. - San Francisco has seen the total go over the number in 18 of its last 31 at home. The verdict: I think these hungry teams combine to push this total over this tiny number; play the over! | |||||||
06-25-19 | Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 9.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Rangers/Tigers. The Rangers send veteran Jesse Chavez (2-2, 3.18 ERA) to the hill and he’s been efficient of late, posting a tiny 0.58 ERA over his past 21 appearances. Chavez faces a terrible Tigers team which has gone 8-27 since May 12th. The home side goes with Jordan Zimmermann (0-4, 6.03) who makes his second start since returning from injury. Zimmermann comes in with confidence here though as he’s 1-1 with a sharp 2.25 ERA in two career outings vs. the Rangers. Key Trends: - Texas has seen the total go under the number in 15 of 19 this season as a -110 favorite or higher. - Detroit has seen the total go under in 13 of 20 this year following a loss by four runs or more. The verdict: Chavez and Zimmermann battle deep and this one sneaks under the posted number; play the under! | |||||||
06-24-19 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 10.5 | 8-10 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 24 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Jays/Yanks. Aaron Sanchez (3-9, 5.49 ERA) has struggled this year and since he’s returned from injury overall. He’s also struggled vs. the Yankees throughout his career. CC Sabathia (4-4, 4.14) though has had plenty of success vs. Toronto lifetime, going 18-12 with a 3.65 ERA in 35 match ups (Sabathia earned his 250th career win last time out, giving up one run over six innings vs. Tampa on Wednesday.) The Jays took two of three from Boston over the weekend and look primed for a predictable letdown at the plate here in my opinion (note that slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 0 for 5 on Sunday and he’s hitting only .246 with 20 RBI’s over his first 48 games.) Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under in 13 of its last 21 vs. southpaws. - NY has seen the total dip under in 14 of 23 this year as a home favorite of -150 or higher. The verdict: I think Toronto takes a predictable step back offensively after its big series in Boston. This number is a little high, play the under! | |||||||
06-24-19 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 10 | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Mets/Phillies. Both Steven Matz (5-5, 4.28 ERA) and Zach Eflin (6-7, 2.83) have looked brilliant at times this year and pedestrian in others. Both the Mets and Phillies are in desperate need of victories and I think these teams will chase these suspect starters early. Philadelphia enters off a three game series loss vs. the lowly Marlins, while the Mets are just 37-41 after splitting a four-game series over the weekend with the Cubs, including a 5-3 loss yesterday. Eflin lost his second straight start last Wednesday, giving up three runs over six frames to the Nats. Matz also lost last Wednesday, getting shelled for five runs over five innings in a 7-2 loss to the Braves. Key Trends: - Eflin is 2-4 with a 5.40 ERA in eight career starts vs. the Mets. - Matz is 1-3 with a 5.02 ERA in seven starts vs. the Phillies. The verdict: The situation points to a “slug-fest” in the opener of this important series in my opinion, play the over! | |||||||
06-23-19 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 23 h 30 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Rockies/Dodgers. The Rockies go with Antonio Senzatela (6-5, 5.09 ERA), while the home side counters with Kenta Maeda (7-4, 3.87.) LA has taken the first two games of this series. The Dodgers are now 5-0 in the season series vs. Colorado. Maeda has struggled a bit of late, but a date vs. the Rockies is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as note that he’s 6-3 with a 2.26 ERA in 16 outings vs. them. Senzatela enters on top form, giving up one run over seven innings in a win over the hard-hitting Diamondbacks in his last trip to the hill. Key Trends: - Colorado has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten as a road dog of +150 or higher. - LA has seen the total dip under in eight of its last 11 as a -200 favorite or higher. The verdict: I think these starters battle into the latter frames; this number is high, play the under! | |||||||
06-23-19 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Jays/Red Sox. Boston came from behind to win Game 1 of this series and then Toronto returned the favor in last night’s come from behind 6-5 victory. While the first two games have produced a copious amount of offense, I think the finale sets up as more of a lower-scoring “duel.” The Jays hand the ball to Marcus Stroman (4-9, 3.23 ERA) who already has a victory over the Red Sox this year, holding them to one run with four K’s over six frames at home back on May 21st (Stroman is 5-3 with a respectable 3.70 ERA lifetime vs. Boston.) The home side counters with Rick Porcello (5-6, 4.31) who went seven scoreless vs. the Twins on Monday. Note that Porcello has a 3.31 ERA over his last 11 starts. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 14 as a road underdog in the +125 to +175 range. - Boston has seen the total go under in 15 of its last 25 when the total in the game is set at either 9 or 9.5. The verdict: Expect the finale of this series to dominated by these hungry starting pitchers. This number is high, play the under! | |||||||
06-22-19 | Rockies v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Rockies/Dodgers. Clearly this pick isn’t based up on the Dodgers’ Hyun-Jin Ryu (9-1, 1.26 ERA), who is 6-0 with a 0.87 ERA over his last seven starts (it’s interesting to note though that Ryu is just 4-6 with a 4.97 ERA in ten starts vs. the Rockies lifetime.) I think that Rockies’ rookie right-hander Peter Lambert (2-0, 6.00) though will struggle in this difficult road venue. This is just Lambert’s fourth career start. Key Trends: - The Rockies have seen the total go over the number in 17 of 28 vs. the division already this season. - The Dodgers have seen the total fly over the number in 16 of their last 26 vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: Look for this one to sneak over this tiny number; play the over! | |||||||
06-22-19 | Orioles v. Mariners UNDER 9 | 8-4 | Loss | -113 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* play on the under Orioles/Mariners. Whoever the Mariners open with in the first inning (Gerson Bautista most likely), they’ll then quickly make way for Tommy Milone (1-1, 3.03 ERA), while the visitors go with Andrew Cashner (6-3, 4.48.) The Mariners came from behind to win 10-9 last night, but I expect a much lower-scoring “duel” on Saturday afternoon. The Orioles were without leading hitter Trey Mancini in yesterday’s loss and his continued absence is going to be felt here in my opinion. Note as well that Milone is 2-1 with a 2.23 ERA in six appearances vs. the Orioles, while Cashner has a 4.01 ERA vs. the Mariners over 11 lifetime appearances. Key Trends: - Baltimore has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 21 after playing three or more consecutive road games. The verdict: After last night’s “slug-fest,” expect this one to stay well under once it’s all said and done! | |||||||
06-20-19 | Giants v. Dodgers OVER 7 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Giants/Dodgers. Madison Bumgarner (3-6, 3.87 ERA) gets ready to square off against Jose Urias (3-2, 3.05) at Chavez Ravine on Thursday night and in my opinion, this total is a little low. Bumgarner is expected to be shipped out from San Fran finally by the end of July; note that he’s just 2-4 with a 4.85 ERA in all “night” games this year. Urias makes a spot start in place of Walker Buehler; Urias has a 1.76 ERA on the road and a 4.01 ERA at home this season. Key Trends: - San Francisco has seen the total go over in nine of its last 12 as an underdog of +150 or higher. - LA has seen the total soar over in seven of nine this year when the total in the contest is set at 7 or less. The verdict: The Giants won’t be going down without a fight here; look for this one to eclipse the posted number, sooner rather than later! | |||||||
06-19-19 | Royals v. Mariners UNDER 9 | 2-8 | Loss | -114 | 26 h 42 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Royals/Mariners. Brad Keller (3-8, 3.97 ERA) of the Royals squares off against Marco Gonzales (7-6, 4.50) of the Mariners to open this one. Kansas City has taken the first two games of this three game series. KC won the opener 6-4 and then 9-0 last night. Keller just went seven scoreless vs. the Twins on Friday (over his last three starts spanning 22 innings he’s posted a tiny 2.04 ERA.) Gonzales comes in on top form as well, having won two straight after losing six in a row. Key Trends: - KC has seen the total go under the number in 11 of 15 already this season as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range. - Seattle has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last seven when trying to revenge two straight home losses vs. an opponent. The verdict: The Mariners’ offense doesn’t catch a break here facing the red hot Keller. I also expect Gonzales to carry over his recent performance. This one has “duel” written al over it, play the under! | |||||||
06-18-19 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 10 | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Rockies/D-Backs. It’s interesting to note that Arizona is the only team in the majors with an above .500 record, but with a losing record at home (14-16.) The D-Backs kick-off a nine-game home stand tonight. Colorado is 5-2 so far in the season series, but this is the first time the teams will have met in Phoenix. The Rockies just combined for 92 runs in a four-game series with the Padres and I think that the shift in venue will lead to a letdown in production at the plate. The home side goes with Merrill Kelly (7-6, 3.73 ERA) on the mound tonight and he enters on fire, having allowed two runs over his past three starts spanning 22 1/3’s innings of work. The visitors go with Antonio Senzatela (5-5, 5.48), who faced the D-Backs on May 28th and would give up two runs over six innings. Key Trends: - Colorado has seen the total go under in seven of its last ten as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range. - Arizona has seen the total dip under in seven of ten at home already this season when the total is either 9 or 9.5. The verdict: After their historic run production over the weekend, I think Colorado’s bats “cool off” in this difficult matchup. This number is high, play the under! | |||||||
06-18-19 | Marlins v. Cardinals OVER 8 | 6-0 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 53 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Marlins/Cards. Marlins rookie Jordan Yamamoto (1-0, 0.00 ERA) made his MLB debut at home vs. the Cards last week and he’d strike out five and go seven scoreless. I think there’s only one way Yamamoto’s performance can go in his second start though and I believe the rookie will indeed struggle in this difficult road venue. The home side sees Jack Flaherty (4-3, 4.28) toe the slab; he most recently was shelled for four runs over five innings vs. the Mets on Thursday. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 as an underdog in the +175 to +250 range. - St. Louis has seen the total soar over in eight of 13 this season after allowing three runs or less in two straight. The verdict: The book is still out on Yamamoto and I have a hard time seeing the rookie duplicating his debut performance. This one has “slugfest” written all over it. Play the over! | |||||||
06-18-19 | Red Sox v. Twins UNDER 10 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 48 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Red Sox/Twins. Two veteran hurlers who won’t be lacking for motivation collide in this one on Tuesday and everything points to a classic “duel” in my opinion. The visitors go with their best pitcher in David Price (4-2, 3.52 ERA), while the home side goes with Michael Pineda (4-3, 5.04). Minnesota was actually shut out for the first time this season in last night’s 2-0 loss (snapping a 14-game home win streak.) Note as well that Price is 10-4 with a minuscule 2.62 ERA in 18 career games vs. the Twins. Pineda owns a 4.13 ERA in 12 career starts vs. Boston. Pineda has been much better of late and he’s now allowed three runs or fewer over six straight starts. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in six of seven as a road dog this season already. - Minnesota has seen the total dip under in five of six already this season at home when the total is set at either 10 or 10.5. The verdict: The writing is on the wall and a classic “duel” is in the cards. This number is a little high, play the under! | |||||||
06-17-19 | Astros v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Astros/Reds. This is an interesting interleague series and an interesting head-to-head matchup on the mound in the opener. The Astros’ Wade Miley (6-3, 3.14 ERA) will be opposed by the Reds’ Luis Castillo (6-1, 2.20). Houston has been getting production at the plate of late despite key injuries to its line-up. Miley has been “on point” of late as well, most recently going six scoreless vs. the Orioles on Monday. The Reds won’t be lacking for motivation here after losing six of their last nine. Cincinnati though has hope with Castillo on the hill; he most recently allowed one run over six innings in a 2-1 loss to the Indians. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under the number in five of its last seven interleague road games as an underdog in the -105 to -145 range. - The Reds have seen the total dip below the posted number in five of their last seven at home as a favorite in the -105 to -150 range. The verdict: I think Miley and Castillo will fight deep into the latter frames and as a result, I look for this total to stay well under once it’s all said and done! | |||||||
06-15-19 | Ottawa v. Calgary UNDER 52.5 | Top | 32-28 | Loss | -115 | 104 h 50 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* total of the month on the under Ottawa/Calgary. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Missing many key pieces on offense. For Ottawa that is. This is a rematch of the Grey Cup in which the Stamps won. But this season, while the Stamps welcome back many familiar faces, including QB Bo Levi Mitchell, the Redblacks lost their top QB, a top WR and a star offensive line-man. Dominique Davis makes his first start in the CFL for Ottawa and clearly he’ll be facing one of the best defenses he’s ever seen in his life tonight. Key Trends: - Ottawa has seen the total go under in four of its last five on the road. - Calgary has interestingly seen the total go under in 21 of its last 26 games played in the month of June. The verdict: The Stamps are favored to win the West and the entire thing again and while they’ve had some turnover on the defensive side, I still expect the unit to put up some big numbers vs. this suspect RedBlacks offense. This number is high, play the under! | |||||||
06-15-19 | Brewers v. Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Brewers/Giants. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Suspect starting pitching. The Brewers hand the ball to Jimmy Nelson (0-1, 12.00 ERA), while the Giants go with Madison Bumgarner (3-6, 3.83). Nelson gave up five runs off four hits over three innings in a home loss to Miami in his lone start this year. Nelson is a poor 2-2 with a ballooned 5.28 ERA in five career outings vs. SF (Nelson has a shot at a victory today though based entirely upon his team’s offense though, which puts up 5.09 RPG.) Bumgarner is an unremarkable 1-2 with a 4.01 ERA in seven starts at home this year. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go over in three of four already this year in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent when it was a favorite. - San Francisco has seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of its last 14 after a win by two runs or less. The verdict: I’m expecting these veteran hurlers to get the hook early and I believe that will help result in pushing this total well above the posted number! | |||||||
06-14-19 | Cubs v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Cubs/Dodgers. Two red hot veteran hurlers collide on Friday night and I think that runs will be hard to come by in this one. The Cubs go with Kyle Hendricks (7-4, 3.00 ERA), while the home side goes with Rich Hill (3-1, 2.40). Chicago lost 7-4 in last night’s opener, but this one has “duel” written all over it in my opinion. Hendricks though enters on top form, having gone 3-0 over his last three starts, while posting a tiny 1.99 ERA over his last eight trips to the hill. Hill hasn’t given up more than two runs in any of his last five starts. Key Trends: - Chicago has seen the total go under in four of five after a loss by four runs or more. - LA has seen the total dip under in 24 of its last 39 following a victory. The verdict: Look for these two red hot pitchers to battle deep and for this total to fall under once it’s all said and done! | |||||||
06-14-19 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 3-7 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under D-Backs/Nats. Two great pitchers go head to head in this one. Everything points to a “duel” in my opinion. Arizona scored the 5-0 victory last night and I believe runs will be at a premium for both clubs this evening. The Diamondbacks’ Robbie Ray (5-3, 3.54 ERA) has struggled with the Nationals in the past, but he enters on top form, most recently giving up two runs with ten K’s over six innings in a win over Toronto. The home side hands the ball to ace Max Scherzer (4-5, 2.83) who enters off a gem vs. the Padres on Saturday, going seven scoreless (note that Scherzer is 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, three walks and 30 K’s over his last 21 innings, spanning a three start stretch.) Scherzer is also 29-21 with a 2.91 ERA in 72 career starts at Nationals Park. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go under in 20 of its last 30 following a victory. - Washington has seen the total go under in 17 of its last 27 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: I think Ray and Scherzer will battle deep into this one. Play the under! | |||||||
06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 210 | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 62 h 25 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Raptors/Warriors. I had a three game report in Game 5 as well and I played the exact same three plays. The Warriors for the FIRST HALF, Golden State for the game and the “over.” What more can be said about these two teams which hasn’t literally been said a million times by every talking head out there? These team’s strengths and weaknesses are well know to even the most casual basketball fan and if you’re wagering on this contest, you don’t need me to break down individual player match ups or to tell you how many rebounds Draymond Green had in Game 5. I like Golden State in Game 5 whether KD played or not, and I do here as well. I simply can’t see Toronto taking all three games from the Stephen Curry in his own building. The improved play of DeMarcus Cousins in Game 5 is big heading into Game 6. I like the Warriors for the FIRST HALF, Golden State for the game and the OVER in Game 6. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over the number in 11 of 17 this year as a road underdog of six points or less. - The Raptors have seen the total go over in 19 of 30 this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent which scored 100 or more points in. - Golden State has seen the total go over in 20 of its last 30 following a road victory. The verdict: I think the Warriors have to “shoot” their way to a victory in Game 6. This number is low, play the over! | |||||||
06-11-19 | Padres v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 32 h 44 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Padres/Giants. Chris Paddack (4-4, 2.97 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors and while he hasn’t been at his best over his last two starts, I still think he’ll have more than enough in the tank to get the better of his inconsistent counterpart. Tyler Beede (0-2, 8.15) is coming off a decent outing, giving up one run over six innings in a 3-1 win over the Fish on May 30th, but I still think he’s in over his head here. Key Trends: - San Diego has seen the total go over the number in four of five this year as a road favorite. - The Padres have seen the total soar over in 12 of 18 this year in all games when the total is either 8 or 8.5. - San Francisco has seen the total go over in both games it’s played in so far this year off two straight home losses vs. a division rival. The verdict: Two hungry teams. This number is low, play the over! | |||||||
06-11-19 | Tigers v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Tigers/Royals. The Royals have gone a disappointing 0-14-2 in the past 16 in this series. So far Detroit is 5-1 at home vs. the Royals, but this is the first time the teams will meet in Kansas City. Detroit won’t be lacking for motivation here though either after losing three straight series itself. Detroit goes with Spencer Turnbull (3-5, 3.01 ERA), while the home side goes with Jakob Junis (4-6, 5.63.) Turnbull has faced KC twice already this year and has given up three earned runs over 13 innings. Note that Junis is 6-1 with a 3.27 ERA vs. Detroit in eight starts vs. Detroit. Key Trends: - Detroit has seen the total go under the number in six of seven this year as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range. - Kansas City has seen the total go under the number in 15 of 22 this season vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: Both teams enter off blowout losses. I expect these pitchers to battle deep and for the opener of this series to fall well below the posted number. Play the under! |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $846 |
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
Dan Kaiser | $545 |
Joey Tron | $511 |
Sean Murphy | $430 |
Sean Higgs | $352 |
Ricky Tran | $301 |
Ray Monohan | $263 |
Matt Fargo | $220 |
Kyle Hunter | $71 |