Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-14-20 | Yale v. Princeton OVER 136 | Top | 88-64 | Win | 100 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Over 137. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history is quite significant. Key Trends: - The over is 6-0 in the Bulldogs last six overall. - The over is 5-1 in the Bulldogs last six road games. - The Bulldogs won the last meeting by a score of 83-77. The verdict: look for both teams to score 70+ here tonight. | |||||||
02-12-20 | Kansas v. West Virginia UNDER 133 | Top | 58-49 | Win | 100 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Under 133. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the previous history between these teams is significant. Key Trends: - The under is 10-3 in the Jayhawks last 13 overall. - The under is 40-16-1 in the Jayhawks last 57 road games. - The under is 6-2 in the Mountaineers last eight home games. The verdict: look for both teams to play strong defensively. | |||||||
02-08-20 | UCLA v. Arizona OVER 137.5 | Top | 65-52 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on over 137.5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the previous history between these teams is significant. Key Trends: - The total has been higher than 150 in each of the last eight meetings. - The Wildcats are averaging over 86 points per game at home. - The Bruins have scored more points on the road than they have at home. The verdict: look for both teams to score 70+ points. | |||||||
02-07-20 | Harvard v. Yale OVER 136.5 | Top | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 60 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on over 136. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. The previous history between these two teams is of particular significance. Key Trends: - The over is 25-9-1 in the Crimson's last 35 road games. - The over is 7-2 in the Bulldogs last nine home games. - The over is 4-0 in the Bulldogs last four overall. The verdict: look for a high score here in this marquee match-up in the Ivy League. | |||||||
02-04-20 | Virginia Tech v. Georgia Tech UNDER 131 | 57-76 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 3 m | Show | |
Ricky's free play on the under 131 in VT@GT. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this ACC rivalry game, the potential injury to Georgia Tech's leading scorer might be significant. Key Trends: - The under is 4-1 in the Hokies last five road games. - The under is 13-5 in the Yellow Jackets last 18 overall. - The under is 9-2 in the Yellow Jackets last 11 games following a straight up loss. The verdict: look for these ACC rivals to play tough on defense in a low scoring battle. | |||||||
02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 53 | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -115 | 324 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Over. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in the Super Bowl it's the Chiefs suspect defense and their high powered offense that are the key. Key Trends: - The over is 4-1-1 in the 49ers last six games overall. - The over is 7-2 in the Chiefs last nine versus a team with a winning record. - Mahomes has thrown for eight TDs and no INTs in two playoff games this season. The verdict: look for this game to go over as the scoring picks up in the second half. | |||||||
01-28-20 | Villanova v. St. John's OVER 143 | Top | 79-59 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Nova/St. John's. I'm expecting a faster paced affair and I look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Villanova comes in red hot by going 6-1 in its last seven conference games. St. John's not so much though, going just 2-6 in conference play, but coming off a huge 79-66 win over DePaul (Nova beat Providence 64-60 in its last action.) Villanova averages 74.3 PPG and it allows 66.2. St. John's averages 75.5 PPG and it allows 69. Key Trends: - Nova has interestingly seen the total go over the number in 16 of its last 25 after six or more consecutive SU victories. - St. John's has seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of its last five after having lost six or seven of its last eight games SU. The verdict: I expect a faster paced affair tonight and when the final horn sounds, look for these two offenses to then be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over! | |||||||
01-25-20 | Lakers v. 76ers UNDER 216.5 | Top | 91-108 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the UNDER Lakers/76ers. Philadelphia has had a couple days off to absorb a double-digit road loss in Toronto. The Lakers are coming off a double-digit win over the Nets, one night after beating the Knicks. Philadelphia doesn't push the pace, and neither do the Lakers. LA is one of the most under-rated defenses in the league in my opinion. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total go under the number in 11 of its last 15 after playing four straight on the road. - Philly has seen the total dip under in 17 of its last 24 after playing two straight divisional contests. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought game, where every possession is contested. I also expect half-court sets from each side as it looks to establish its low post paint game. This number is high, play the under! | |||||||
01-25-20 | Tennessee v. Kansas OVER 122.5 | Top | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH is on the OVER Tennessee/Kansas. This is the Big 12/SEC Challenge and while these two teams are both stout defensively, I believe that we'll see a faster pace and ultimately a higher-scoring affair once it's all said and done. The Vols have won two straight in blowout fashion, having won each by at least 20 points, most recently beating down Ole Miss 73-48. Jordan Bowden leads the nightly charge by averaging 12.3 points along with 3.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists. Kansas is 15-3 and it's coming off an 83-60 destruction of K-State, a contest which ended in an ugly brawl and a number of suspensions. The best way to forget about that game and quickly move on? By winning and winning big of course! Key Trends: - Tennessee has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 11 non-conference games and on a two-games or more unbeaten streak. - Kansas has seen the total fly over in eight of its last 12 non-conference home games as the favorite. The verdict: The overall situation and the trends all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! | |||||||
01-24-20 | Nuggets v. Pelicans UNDER 231 | Top | 113-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Nuggets/Pelicans. New Orleans was playing better before Zion Williamson returned to the line-up, but now that he's back, there's finally some excitement going on with the Pelicans. Williamson had 22 points in a loss to the Spurs in his debut. The Pelicans though are only 8-14 at home this year. New Orlean's turnaround of play has been because of its offensive play, but I think the visiting side will slow this one down and look to control the pace whenever possible. The Nuggets average 109.3 PPG and they concede just 106. Denver is 13-8 on the road and it'll look to close out its road-trip with a win here by containing this young Pelicans team. Key Trends: - Denver has seen the total go under the number in five of seven as a road underdog already this year. - New Orleans has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last six off an upset loss as a home favorite. The verdict: The Nuggets play at one of the slowest paces in the NBA and I believe this will ultimately help in pushing this total well below this sky-high number; play the under! | |||||||
01-23-20 | Lakers v. Nets UNDER 227 | Top | 128-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the UNDER Lakers/Nets. The Lakers ground out a win in New York last night, and I believe we'll witness another lower-scoring affair here tonight as well. The Lakers have been getting the job done this season with better than expected defensive play and clearly the last thing they'll want to do is turn this into a "track meet" in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Despite losing four in a row, the Nets are still in the eighth spot in the East. Offensive consistency, due to revolving injury issues from Day 1, from game to game continues to be their main issue though. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four when playing the second game of the back-to-back. - Brooklyn has seen the total go under the number in six of its last eight after a division game. The verdict: During their four-game slide the Nets haven't reached 110 points once and they failed to top 100 one time as well. When you add up all of the above factors, everything definitely points to the under as the savvy move in this one! | |||||||
01-22-20 | Spurs v. Pelicans UNDER 237 | Top | 121-117 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Spurs/Pelicans. Depending on when you played the O/U in New Orleans' last game, the Pelicans have seen the total go over the number in over 11 straight games. The Spurs have won two straight, while the Pels have won three of their last four, while going 8-1 ATS in their last nine overall as well. New Orleans' offense has been "firing on all cylinders" over the last three weeks, but now suddenly the team welcomes back rookie Zion Williamson into the fold. Chemistry doesn't happen automatically and I believe his addition will throw a temporary "monkey wrench" into the Pelicans well oiled offensive machine right now. Key Trends: - The Spurs have seen the total go under in five of six already this season off a road victory. - The Pelicans have seen the total fall under in ten of their last 15 vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: All signs point to this one falling well below the posted number once the final horn blares; play the under! | |||||||
01-20-20 | Raptors v. Hawks UNDER 231 | Top | 122-117 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Raptors/Hawks. Toronto is 28-14 and it most recently got the better of Minnesota 122-112. The Hawks are only 10-33 and they're coming off a 136-103 loss to the Pistons. The night previous to that ATL had won big in OT on the road over the Spurs. The Hawks though have had difficulties producing vs. Toronto, as the "under" is 6-2 the last eight in this series. Key Trends: - TO has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more consecutive overs. - ATL has seen the total dip under the number in three of four already this season after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more points. The verdict: The writing is on the wall and a tough-nosed defensive battle is finally in the cards here in my opinion; play the under! | |||||||
01-19-20 | Pacers v. Nuggets UNDER 211.5 | Top | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Pacers/Nuggets. Indiana has won four straight and this is the start of a five-game trip. Denver hits the road for a game in Minnesota tomorrow and it's won three straight. Denver beat Indiana 124-116 on the road last month, but I expect a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring affair this time around. Key Trends: - The Pacers have seen the total go under the number in seven of ten already this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent which also scored 110 points or more in that victory. - The Nuggets have seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of eight this year as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I think the writing is on the wall and a hard-fought, lower-scoring under is in the cards! | |||||||
01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers OVER 44.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 154 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Packers/49ers. If you're betting on this game, then I don't need to break down the strengths and weaknesses of each team. We all know the story lines here. These teams are similar. Each team has a better than average offense and defense. Both have dynamic, play-making QB's and explosive offensive weapons. Each is well coached. Special teams numbers are also close. The 49ers shut down Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in their regular season victory, but I believe that Green Bay will have to lean on Rodgers from start to finish if it has any shot at winning this game. If the veteran can put pressure on Garropolo, then perhaps the inexperienced pivot will have a letdown here. Regardless, I expect the visitors to air this one out early and often on offense. Key Trends: - Green Bay has interestingly already seen the total go over the number in three of four this year after a win by six points or less. - San Francisco has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten as a favorite. The verdict: When it's all said and done, look for these two gun-slinging QB's to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over! | |||||||
01-19-20 | Manchester United v. Liverpool UNDER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 50 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER 3 goals scored between Man U and Liverpool. These are two of the top teams in the Premier League and while each is filled with exceptional offensive talent, I believe this total will stay well below the posted number once it's all said and done. Man U enters off a 4-0 destruction of Norwich City, but clearly it'll have its hands full here vs. the Reds, who have only dropped two points so far in the top flight English league. The Red Devils will be wary here as well, because the last time these teams met in Liverpool, the Reds came out on top by a score of 3-1. The verdict: While these team's last game here went over the number, the situation calls for much more of a defensive affair this time around in my opinion. I like the Red Devils to put up a fight and I expect that to help in driving this total under once it's all said and done! | |||||||
01-18-20 | Kings v. Jazz UNDER 222.5 | Top | 101-123 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the UNDER Kings/Jazz. Sacramento won't be going down without a fight here. The Kings are still in the mix for the eighth playoff spot and with the All Star break looming, I expect the visiting side to come to play tonight. Certainly the Kings won't be lacking for motivation after three straight close losses. The Jazz are 9-1 in their last ten games. Utah's lost loss came in its last game though, inexplicably falling to the Pelicans by a score of 138-132. Key Trends: - Utah averages 110.2 PPG. - Sacramento averages 106.8 PPG. The verdict: Both teams come in off higher-scoring contests, but this particular one has defensive battle written all over it; play the under! | |||||||
01-18-20 | Cornell v. Columbia OVER 135 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER Cornell/Columbia. This is the start of Ivy League play for both teams and as such, I'm expecting a spirited battle. Columbia comes in with momentum and confidence after hammering Mount Saint Vincent by a score of 86-56. Note that Mike Smith is actually 12th in the NCAA, averaging 21.4 PPG. The Big Red come in excited as well after back-to-back wins over Div. III competition. So far Cornell has lost five of its games by two buckets or less. Key Trends: - Cornell has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 12 conference road games on the heels of two or more SU victories. - Columbia has seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of its last 14 home games after scoring 85 points or more in its previous game. The verdict: Expect these conference rivals to push the pace from start to finish and expect this one to sail comfortably over once the final horn blares! | |||||||
01-16-20 | Magic v. Clippers UNDER 217 | Top | 95-122 | Push | 0 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Magic/Clippers. Orlando's surprisingly been one of the hottest teams in the league over the last two weeks, but after last night's 119-118 victory over the Lakers just last night in this same building, I believe the wheels finally come off the bus for the visiting side tonight. I think the Magic come out flat here, especially with much more "winnable" games at lowly Golden State and Charlotte to finish out their road-trip. The Clippers come in off a 128-103 win over the Cavaliers, but with a night off before a long six-game road trip, the home side also has a legitimate "look ahead" situation to overcome here. Key Trends: - The Magic have seen the total go under the number in five of their last six after two or more straight ATS/SU victories. - LA has already seen the total go under the number in 11 of its last 17 following a SU home win. The verdict: When taking into account all of the above factors, I definitely feel that this number is too high; play the under! | |||||||
01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU UNDER 70.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 226 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Clemson/LSU. Clemson had its hands full in its bowl win over Ohio State. The Buckeyes had a 16-0 lead at one point, but poise, veteran experience, talent and great coaching saw the Tigers then pull away for the hard-fought 29-23 victory. LSU steamrolled Oklahoma 63-28 to advance. I think it's interesting to note that Clemson' QB Trevor Lawrence had the biggest rushing game of his career vs. the stingy Buckeyes with 107 yards on the ground with one score. I can't see Joe Burrow duplicating his monster offensive performance in his previous game. Decimating the Sooners is one thing, but this Clemson defense is an entirely different animal. Key Trends: - Clemson has seen the total go under in its last three "dome" games. - LSU has seen the total dip under the numbber in three of its last four after a cover as a double-digit favorite. The verdict: Despite the offensive talent on the field, I envision this one as more of a "chess match" than a wide open "shootout." This number is indeed a little high; play the under! | |||||||
01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers OVER 46 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 129 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Hawks/Packers. It may be cold and wintery at Lambeau today, but I expect these two teams to easily combine to push this total over the posted number once it's all said and done. Seattle comes in off the 17-9 win at Philly in the Wild Card round. Green Bay ranks 23rd against the rush, so Travis Homer and Marshawn Lynch will have their opportunities today, which will also in turn open things up for Russell Wilson to operate. The Packers have had a week off to game-plan and heal up. The Hawks got "lucky" that Eagles' QB Carson Wentz went down with injury early, but I believe they'll have their hands full with Aaron Rodgers in this spot. Rogers and the offense finished sixth in the league in Red Zone efficiency as well. Key Trends: - Seattle has already seen both games it's played in this year go "over" the number after allowing 14 points or less in its previous outing. - The Packers have seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last eight as a home favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range. The verdict: I think the Hawks "break the mold" this week. Seattle can't wait for Green Bay to make the first mistake here and with the visitors pushing from the "get go," I do indeed expect this one to soar well over the number once it's finished; play the over! | |||||||
01-12-20 | Watford v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 164 h 1 m | Show |
My 2020 TOTAL OF THE YEAR is the OVER Watford/AFC Bournemouth. These are two clubs hungry for a victory today. Both teams are in the cellar, but Watford has looked a lot better of late by winning three and drawing two in its last five. Bournemouth though has lost three and drawn once in its last five and after getting blanked in three of those instances, I look for it to open up the playbook in front of the home town crowd. Key Trends: - AFC Bournemouth have over 1.5 goals in their last 4 games. - Watford have over 1.5 goals in their last 6 games. The verdict: These are two teams in dire need of a victory and as stated off the top, I believe this desperation will lead to a wide-open "shootout" once it's all said and done. This number is low, play the over! | |||||||
01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens OVER 47 | Top | 28-12 | Loss | -116 | 153 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on the OVER Titans/Ravens. Both offenses are firing on all cylinders as we head into the Divisional Round. Ryan Tannehill and the Titans had their hands full with New England's defense last weekend. It was RB Derrick Henry who posted a monster day and he will also be leaned upon heavily here as well. Tannehill had a monster second half for the Titans and while he was relatively quiet in New England last weekend, I think he'll be the focal point of the visitors offense today. And what more can be said about LaMar Jackson which hasn't been said a millions times at this point by all the talking heads out there. Jackson's innate need to constantly be the best and to win, is likely the best asset he possesses as well. Key Trends: - Tennessee has seen the total go over the number in three of four already this season as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. - Baltimore has seen the total soar over the number in five of its last six after two straight wins by ten points or more. The verdict: After last week's lower-scoring matches in the Wild Card round, I'm expecting some fireworks in the Divisional. Especially in this highly anticipated contest; play the over! | |||||||
01-10-20 | Maryland v. Iowa UNDER 146.5 | Top | 49-67 | Win | 100 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Maryland/Iowa. The Terps arrive in town after a 67-55 win over No. 11 ranked Ohio State on Tuesday. Iowa will be cautious here after its 76-70 loss to Nebraska on Tuesday as an 8.5 point favorite. The Hawkeyes are going to have trouble scoring here though in my opinion vs. the Maryland team which just held Ohio State to 31.3 percent shooting (the eighth time this season already the Terps have held a team under 60 points.) Key Trends: - Maryland has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last ten as a favorite. - Iowa has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of nine already this season when the total in the contest is set between 140 and 149.5. The verdict: Both teams play at a "medium" pace and when combined with the above information, I believe it does indeed all add up to a lower-scoring defensive battle; play the under! | |||||||
01-09-20 | College of Charleston v. Elon UNDER 139 | Top | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on UNDER Charleston/Elon. The 10-6 Charleston Cougars are going to have their hands full I think with this hungry 4-12 Elon Phoenix team. Charleston won both games last year (72-53 at home and 84-74 at Elon.) This is the first game between the schools this year and I believe it'll produce a final combined score like the first one between them last season. The Cougars have posted five straight double-digit wins and they're 4-0 in league play. Charleston though averages just 71.4 PPG, while conceding only 67.1. Grant Riller leads the nightly charge with 22.2 PPG. The Phoenix have lost five straight. Marcus Sheffield averages 17.1 PPG. Overall the Phoenix average 68.6 PPG, while conceding 72.8. Key Trends: - The Cougars have seen the total go under the number in three of their last four as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 9 points range. - The Phoenix have seen the total dip below the posted number in six straight following a road loss by 20 points or more. The verdict: This is a bit of a trap for the Cougars. The last thing the Phoenix want to do though is to turn this into a "track meet." I believe this one definitely sets up as a lower-scoring defensive battle; play the under! | |||||||
01-08-20 | Rockets v. Hawks UNDER 235.5 | Top | 122-115 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Rockets/Hawks. These teams mets back on November 30th and the Rockets annihilated the Hawks 158-111. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much lower-scoring defensive battle this time around. Houston comes in off back-to-back wins, most recently an impressive 118-108 win at Philadelphia. But with a game tomorrow night at Conference rival OKC on Thursday, the chance to look ahead is also very present for the visiting side. The Hawks have won two of their last four games, but they're out to redeem themselves after their most recent 123-115 setback to Denver. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under in eight of 12 as a road favorite this season. - Atlanta has seen the total dip below the posted number in nine of its last 13 as a home underdog. The verdict: I think the Rockets go up early and then take the foot off the gas as they prepare for tomorrow night's game vs. the Thunder. I also expect the home side to play with pride here as it looks to avenge the earlier blowout loss; this number is high, play the under! | |||||||
01-07-20 | Sharks v. Blues UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on the UNDER Sharks/Blues. The Sharks are just 8-10-3 on the road this year and they're coming off an OT loss. St. Louis is also coming off an OT loss and it's 13-4-3 at home so far this season. San Jose is ranked just 26th in the NHL in goals scored per game on the road. St. louis is ranked 18th in the NHL in goals scored per game at home. Key Trends: - San Jose has seen the total go under the number in 13 of its last 16 after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest. - St. Louis has seen the total dip under in 11 of 17 this season after scoring four or more goals in its previous outing. The verdict: Martin Jones and Jordan Binnington are set for a big time goaltenders battle here in my opinion. Look for these two competent netminders to indeed be the main focal point of this contest; play the under! | |||||||
01-06-20 | Miami-OH v. UL-Lafayette OVER 54.5 | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -107 | 33 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Miami Ohio/Louisiana Lafayette. I'm expecting a shootout here. Miami Ohio is led by Brett Gabbert, who had 2,163 passing yards, along with 11 TD's and eight INT's. Gabbert and company have their work cut out for them today as they'll look to keep pace with one of the highest scoring teams in the nation. UL Lafayette averages 38.8 points and 501.3 yards per game this year. That ranks it 14th and 11th respectively. QB Levi Lewis has 24 TD's and four INT's. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over in nine of its last 14 when the total in the contest is set between 49.5 and 56 points. - UL Lafayette has seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of its last 11 non-conference contests. The verdict: The Ragin Cajuns do not have a good defense. Look for these two teams to open up the playbook and to put on an offensive show for the nation tonight; play the over! | |||||||
01-06-20 | Pacers v. Hornets UNDER 209.5 | Top | 115-104 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on the UNDER Pacers/Hornets. While the Pacers still have one of the best records in the Eastern Conference, they'll be eager to return to form here after a "brain fart" loss to the Hawks in their latest action. Charlotte enters off back-to-back road wins, including an OT victory in Dallas last time out. Can anyone say "letdown spot?!" The Pacers are one of the top defenses in the league as well, holding opponents to just 106.2 PPG. Key Trends: - Indiana has seen the total go under the number in 21 of its last 34 as a road favorite (including in six of nine this season.) - Charlotte has already seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of 15 as a home dog this season. The verdict: I think Indiana is out to control the tempo of this one. I also believe that the young Hornets are poised for a bit of a letdown after their successful road trip. All of the above factors add up to my 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the under! | |||||||
01-05-20 | Vikings v. Saints OVER 48 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* TOP TOTAL is on the OVER Vikes/Saints. Minnesota posted the "The Minneapolis Miracle" vs. the Saints in 2018, which sent the Vikes to the NFC Championship Game, so now New Orelans has an opportunity to avenge that setback. The Vikes are expected to have Dalvin Cook back in the line-up this week, but I still don't think it'll matter in this difficult road venue. The Vikes' Kirk Cousins finished with 26 TD's and six INT's, while Saints' veteran Drew Brees finished with 27 TD's this season, despite missing several games with an injury. How does New Orleans gets its revenge today? Certainly not by playing conservatively or letting the Vikes dictate the tempo of play. If Brees is going to get the monkey off his back and earn another SB, he's going to have to put the pedal down from start to finish. Situationally I believe this one definitely sets up as a "shootout." Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go over the number in five of eight on the road this year. - New Orleans has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten when playing the role of favorite. The verdict: I believe these two veteran QB's in their primes will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over! | |||||||
01-03-20 | Ohio v. Nevada OVER 58.5 | Top | 30-21 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER in the Potato Bowl. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. | |||||||
01-02-20 | Flyers v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 105 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST is on the OVER Flyers/Knights. I'm expecting some offensive fireworks here. The Flyers have gone just 1-2 in their last three games and they've conceded three goals in that span. Philadelphia will be eager to get back on track and one player to watch is Travis Konecny, who leads the team in points with 35 points. Off a 5-3 loss to the Kings, the Flyers will once again have their hands full with another Western Conference team, but one which enters "firing on all cylinders." The Knights crushed the Ducks 5-2 in their last game. Key Trends: - The Flyers have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten after a loss by two goals or more in their previous game. - The Golden Knights have seen the total eclipse the posted number in nine of 13 already this season following a victory by two goals or more. The verdict: The writing is on the wall and a high-scoring blowout is in the cards in my opinion; play the over! | |||||||
01-02-20 | Hornets v. Cavs OVER 210 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Hornets/Cavaliers. Neither team is known for its offensive prowess, but each comes in hungry and looking for a win here. Fortunately for each, neither plays great defensively either. These are professionals and the chance to win a game when playing for one of these clubs doesn't come around too often. I believe each side is going to push the pace and open up the playbook. Key Trends: - Charlotte has seen the total go over in 11 of 17 as a road dog already this season. - Cleveland has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. The verdict: Both the ATS numbers/trends and the overall situation point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! | |||||||
01-01-20 | Baylor v. Georgia UNDER 42 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 418 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Baylor/Georgia. 11-2. That's the record of both teams in the Sugar Bowl this year. Baylor's 11 wins ties the most in program history. Overall the Bears average 35.2 PPG, led by dual threat QB Charlie Brewer, who had 30 TD's and six INT's. Defensively though is where Baylor made the biggest strides this season, it enters conceding just 19.3 PPG, led by LB Terrel Bernard, who has at least ten tackles in four of his last six games. Georiga was throttled by LSU in the SEC Championship Game, so it'l be plenty eager to bounce back here. Overall Jake Fromm had 22 TD's and five INT's. The Bulldogs average 31.2 PPG, but their strength this year has been on the defensive side, as they concede only 12.5 PPG. LSU was the only team to eclipse the 20 points plateu on them. Key Trends: - Baylor has seen the total go under in three of its las four as a neutral field underdog. - Georgia has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four following a SU loss. The verdict: Both teams concede less than 4.7 YPG and I believe these elite defensive units will become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! | |||||||
12-31-19 | Mavs v. Thunder OVER 219.5 | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Mavs/Thunder. The Thunder are 17-15 and are better than most thought they'd be. They come in off a big win over the Raptors as well and they'll be looking to kick this Mavericks team while it's down, as Dallas enters off a humbling loss to the Lakers. That said, clearly Luka Doncic and company will be out to atone for their lacklustre performance last time out. The Thunder average and allow right around 109 PPG. Dallas averages 116. Key Trends: - Dallas has seen the total go over the number in 11 of 16 on the road already this season. - OKC has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after playing two straight on the road. The verdict: I like the Mavs to push the pace from start to finish and I look for the home side to respond; play the over! | |||||||
12-30-19 | Mississippi State v. Louisville OVER 62.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 31 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the OVER in the Music City Bowl. Mississippi State had to win three of its final four to become eligible at 6-6, while Louisville was 7-5. The Cards love to run the ball, averaging 214.1 YPG, but that plays directly into the strength of the Bulldogs' defense. Instead though Louisville will turn to Micale Cunningham, who will test a porous Mississippi State secondary which concedes 241.2 YPG. The Bulldogs should have a balanced attack here as well. Mississippi State runs the ball as well, averaging 226.9 YPG and note that the Cardinals are terrible vs. the run, conceding 211.0 yards epr game on the ground. Louisville is also allowing 235.3 YPG through the air, so Bulldogs' QB Garrett Shrader will have his opportunities. Key Trends: - Mississippi State has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five as a favorite. - Louisville has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight following a loss by 21 points or more. The verdict: Yes both teams like to run, but each knows how to move the football. I see weaknesses on defense and strengths on offense. This one has "shootout" written all over it in my opinion; play the over! | |||||||
12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State OVER 63 | Top | 29-23 | Loss | -101 | 35 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Clemson/OSU. A couple of 13-0 teams collide in the Fiesta Bowl and the winner will be headed to the Championship Game. It's going to go one of two ways obviously, either a low-scoring defensive battle, or a high-scoring shootout. And in my opinion, obviously it's going to be the latter. Both teams rank among the best of the best in the country on both sides of the ball, but I've been most impressed by each team's offense. Note that Clemson has averaged 54.2 PPG over its last six games. Note that Ohio State is the No. 1 ranked offensive team in the nation by averaging 48.7 PPG. Key Trends: - The Tigers have interestingly seen the total go over the number in three of their last four after two straight covers as the favorite. - The Buckeyes have seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of their last 15 when the total in the contest is set between 56.5 and 63. The verdict: They say defense wins championships, and while that may be true, to reach the championship game, I expect these two teams to open up the playbook and push the pace from the opening kickoff, until the final whistle; play the over! | |||||||
12-27-19 | Washington State v. Air Force OVER 68 | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER WSU/Air Force. Yes the Cougars stumbled in their final game of the year vs. Washington, managing just 13 points in the setback, but I think that Anthony Gordon and this "Air Raid" offense take out their frustrations on the Falcons today. Gordon had 5,228 passing yards with 45 TDs and just 16 INTs. Air Force's defense is ranked better than its offense (20th and 40th respectively). The Falcons are the No. 1 ranked rushing offense in the nation with 292.5 YPG. WSU has a weak defensive front and I expect the Cougars to be "on their heels" from start to finish. Key Trends: - WSU has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after a two weeks or longer break. - Air Force has seen the total go over in six of its last eight as the favorite. The verdict: With WSU throwing the ball to the cows come home and with Air Force exploiting this weak Cougars' defense, look for this total to soar over sooner, rather than later! | |||||||
12-26-19 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 220 | Top | 115-121 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGERS is on the UNDER Blazers/Jazz. Two teams hungry for a victory collide in this one and when the smoke does finally clear, I believe this one will fall well below the posted number. Portland comes to town rested after its four game win streak was snapped inexplicably by the New Orleans Pelicans. The Jazz though are in the exact same boat, as their five-game win skein came to a crashing halt with a blowout loss to the Heat in their last outing. From an overall "situational" stand point, all signs point to a lower-scoring defensive battle in my opinion. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go under in 14 of 23 this year when the total is greater than or equal to 220. - Utah has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of four this year after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a run and gun "shootout." Play the under! | |||||||
12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 47 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -104 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH is on the OVER Packers/Vikings. Green Bay travels to Minnesota in a pivotal matchup on Monday night. The Packers can wrap up the division tonight with a victory. The Vikings though have earned a playoff spot already with the 49ers' victory over the Rams, but they still have a shot at earning the division crown as well. As long as they win tonight. These teams feature two dynamic QB's and when the dust does finally settle at the end of this one, I think they'll have "stolen the show." Note that Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers has a sharp 24:2 TD:INT, while Vikings' pivot Kirk Cousins has a 25:5 TD:INT. Key Trends: - Green Bay has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last seven after completing a two-game home stand (including both such instances this season.) - Minnesota has seen the total soar over in four of five already this year vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: The Vikes play with revenge here. Cousins plays with a chip on his shoulder as he's 0-8 on Monday Night games in his career. The first game of this series went "under" the number, but the numbers and the overall situation each team finds itself in coming into this contest all point to the "over" as the savvy call tonight! | |||||||
12-23-19 | Capitals v. Bruins UNDER 6 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Caps/Bruins. Two Eastern Conference heavyweights go head to head here and in my opinion, this one has "goaltenders battle" written ALL over it! For Washington it's Braden Holtby in net and he backs a defense which is ranked seventh in the league in goals allowed per game on the road. The home side counters with veteran Tuukka Rask, who anchors a defense which is ranked fourth in goals allowed per game at home. Key Trends: - The Bruins have seen the total go under the number in 11 of their last 14 after three straight losses in OT or the shootout. - Washington has seen the total go under the number in five of its last six home games following a home win by two goals or more. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! | |||||||
12-23-19 | Marshall v. Central Florida OVER 60 | Top | 25-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BONANZA is on the OVER Marshall/UCF. I'm expecting a complete shootout from start to finish between the 8-4 Marshall Thundering Herd and the 9-3 UCF Golden Knights this afternoon. Note these two teams had a similar opponent this year, as Marshall lost 42-17 to Cincinnati and the Knights fell 27-24 to the Bearcats. The Herd average 24.8 PPG and I think they're going to have to open things up here to keep pace with the high-flying Knights, who average 43 PPG. Key Trends: - Marshall has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 13 as an underdog (including in two of three this season.) - UCF has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten when the total falls between 56.5 and 63 points (including in three of four this season.) The verdict: I think these defensive units take a back seat to these capable offenses; play the over! | |||||||
12-22-19 | Chiefs v. Bears OVER 44 | Top | 26-3 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* SLAUGHTER-FEST is on the OVER Chiefs/Bears. Kansas City has clinched the division, but home field advantage in the playoffs is still up for grabs. The Bears are now out of playoff contention though and are just playing for pride and to play "spoiler" here. Bears' QB Mitchell Trubisky though will be plenty motivated here to try and finish out the season on a high note after struggling to start it. The Chiefs though will be looking to deliver the knock out blow on the National stage, note that they come in averaging the fourth most points in the NFL at 28.1 per contest. Key Trends: - Kansas City has seen the total go over the number in three of four already this year as a road favorite of seven points or less. - Chicago has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten after having won two out of its last three games SU. The verdict: I believe Mahomes and Trubisky will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over! | |||||||
12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State UNDER 49.5 | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEATDOWN is on the UNDER WSU/Boise State. These are two mediocre offenses and two very good defenses going head to head. When you add it all up, I think this number is too high. Washington beat Washington State 31-13 in its regular season finale. Note though that Huskies' QB Jacob Eason had just two TD passes over his last three games. Boise State is led by Jaylon Henderson, who became the starter in mid November and who finished with 1,032 yards and 11 TD's. But as stated off the top, it's been each team's defense which has been its strength, with the Broncos allowing only 20.6 PPG and leading the MWC with 37 sacks, while the Huskies concede 20.4 PPG, most recently holding the Cougars air raid offense to 308 yards. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 13 off a win by ten points or more over a conference rival. - Boise State has seen the total dip below the posted number in its last four games when the line in the contest is set between +3 and -3. The verdict: Look for these defensive units to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! | |||||||
12-21-19 | Bills v. Patriots OVER 37.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER Bills/Patriots. Buffalo plays with revenge here after falling at home to the Patriots earlier in the season. The Bills though come in off a big win over the Steelers and they now have ten victories in a season for the first time in two decades. Early on it was Buffalo's stifiling defense which "stole the show," but over the last month it's also been the improved play from QB Josh Allen and the offense. With nothing to lose today, I look for Buffalo to open up the playbook. The Patriots are 11-3, but many have doubts about the play of QB Tom Brady. New England's defense has shown some cracks in the armor of late and I believe it'll be pushed here by this hungry visiting side. Brady plays with a chip on his shoulder as well today as he tries to guide his team to two more victories and a final 13-3 record. Key Trends: - Buffalo has seen the total go over in six of its last eight after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. - NE has seen the total go over the number in three of four already this season after covering as a double digit favorite. The verdict: The overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into this one, combined with the above strong O/U ATS stats, does indeed make the "over" the correct call in this one in my opinion! | |||||||
12-20-19 | Penguins v. Oilers UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -112 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Pens/Oilers. Pittsburgh's won three straight, while Edmonton has gone just 1-5 in its last six. The visitors are out to keep the momenutm rolling and the home side is desperate to get off the schneid. The Pens average 3.29 GPG and they allow 2.65. The Oilers are averaging 2.89 GPG and they're conceding 3.00. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh has seen the total go under the number in 11 of 17 non-conference games already this season. - Edmonton has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of its last five after scoring one goals or less in its previous contest. The verdict: I think the Oilers are going to have another hard-time finding the back of the net tonight. I'm wary of laying the price on the road favorite, but considering all of the above situational and trend based factors, I absoultely feel that the "under" is the savvy call in this situation! | |||||||
12-19-19 | Canadiens v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER Habs/Flames. Montreal is 5-4-1 in its last ten and it enters off a big win. The Flames are 7-2-1 in their last ten. Montreal's Carey Price has been much better this season than last, but the biggest difference in my opinion in the "up tick" in play for the Habs has been on the offensive end this year, currently ranked eighth in the away from friendly confines. Calgary's recent turnaround has come on the defensive end, as the team is still only ranked 20th in the league on the offensive end. That said, clearly the team has looked a lot better during its recent winning streak and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas again here. Key Trends: - Montreal has seen the total go over in four of its last five after a win by two goals or more. - Calgary has seen the total soar over the number in four of its last five home games when the total is set at 5.5. The verdict: I exepct a wide-open, faster paced contest between these two hungry non-conference opponents; play the over! | |||||||
12-18-19 | Oilers v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 107 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the under Oilers/Blues. Edmonton is just 3-6-1 in its last ten. The Blues come in having won three straight. Edmonton averages only 2.79 GPG on the road, while ranked fourth in the NHL in goal allowed while on the road. The Blues rank 17th at home in goals per game average, while ranked ninth in goals allowed per game at home. Key Trends: - Edmonton has seen the total go under in seven of its last nine road games in which the total is set at either 5.5 or 6. - St. Louis has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 12 home games following a three games or more unbeaten streak. The verdict: Look for these goaltenders to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play on the under! | |||||||
12-16-19 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 102 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Avs/Blues. The Blues are 10-4-3 at home and they've won two straight. The Avs are 8-1-1 in their last ten. Colorado has the No. 2 ranked offense on the road. The Blues are only ranked 18th on offense at home, but that unit has started to come together of late and I expect that momentum to get carried over here. Key Trends: - Colorado has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - St. Louis has seen the total soar over the posted number in three of its last four home games where the total is six or higher. The verdict: Both teams push the pace and this one flies over sooner, rather than later! | |||||||
12-15-19 | Wild v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Wild/Hawks. Both teams come in off games just last night and because of that, I believe each will play more of a defensive style of play in the second game of the back to back scenario. Minnesota skated away with a 4-1 win in Philadelphia, while Chicago lost 4-3 in St. Louis, falling apart late and letting the defending champs come from behind. Minnesota though only averages 2.60 GPG on the road this season. The Hawks only average 2.82 GPG at home. Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 20 after three straight home games. - Chicago has seen the total dip below the posted number in 21 of its last 29 home games when the total is set at 5.5. The verdict: Two tired teams which have troubles scoring collide on Sunday night and in my opinion, the savvy wager is on the under! | |||||||
12-15-19 | Bears v. Packers OVER 40 | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL is on the OVER Bears/Packers. Two teams that are very familiar with each other collide in the frigid confines of Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon and in my opinion, this one has "shootout" written all over it. The Packers have been stalling of late, but they still have a chance for the No. 1 seed in the NFC at 10-3. The Bears though are 7-6 and they need to win this one to keep pace for a wildcard spot. Chicago though has won three in a row now, including probably its most impressive performance of the year in last week's 31-24 win over Dallas. More than anything, it's QB Mitchell Trubisky who has finally started to perform at a much higher level (244 passing yards and three TD's.) Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers has 23 TD's and only two INT's this season. Key Trends: - Green Bay has seen the total go over in 11 of its last 14 off a home victory. - The Packers have seen the total go over in eight of their last 12 as a home favorite of seven points or less. The verdict: Despite the conditions, I think it'll be these two competent QB's which become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over! | |||||||
12-14-19 | Fresno State v. Cal Poly OVER 134.5 | Top | 62-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Fresno State/Cal Poly. These are two teams hungry for a win. Fresno State is 2-7 and Cal Poly is 2-8. The Bulldogs come in off a tight 69-63 loss to Cal on Wednesay, led by 21 points from New Williams. For the season the Bulldogs average 70.6 PPG and they allow 70.2. The Mustangs broke a five-game slide with a 70-66 win over Sienna last time out and I think that first year coach John Smith's team can build off that performance at home. Key Trends: - Fresno State has seen the total go over the number in all three games it's played in this year as a favorite. - Cal Poly has seen the total soar over the number in 13 of its last 16 as a home dog. The verdict: This one has the feel of a wide open "shootout," rather than a slower-paced "chess match." Play the over! | |||||||
12-14-19 | Army v. Navy OVER 40 | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Army/Navy. Army got destroyed 52-31 at Hawaii in its regular season finale to finish the year 5-7. The Black Knights will be laying everything they have on the field of play today as they look to pull off the big upset and to erase the frustrations from a poor overall campaign. Navy finished 9-2 and it ended the regular season on a two-game win streak. Both teams run the triple option. Both teams have been decent on both sides of the ball, but especially on the offensive side. The Golden Knights average 30.3 PPG and they concede 22.3, while the Midshipmen average 39.3 PPG and concede 24.2. Key Trends: - Army has seen the total go over the number in five of its last six when playing with two weeks rest. - Navy has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last ten vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: Malcom Perry is one of the most dynamic QB's in the nation and I expect the Navy veteran to push the pace. Both teams know how to move the ball on offense and I look for that to translate into production on the field of play today; play the over! | |||||||
12-13-19 | Devils v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Devils/Avs. I think these teams easily combine to go over the number here this evening. New Jersey is desperate for a win here after six straight losses. The Avs have won seven of their last eight, so they'll have to be careful not to look past their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. Jersey' netminder Mackenzie Blackwood is just 8-9-4 this season with a 3.00 GAA and the Devils are 30th in the league in GAA with 3.57. The Avs' defense hasn't been particularly sharp, but its offense has. Especially at home. Key Trends: - The Devils have already seen the total go over in six of eight this year after scoring one goal or less in their previous contest. - The Avs have seen the total go over in six of their last eight non-conference games. The verdict: I expect a wide open, high-scoring shootout at the Pepsi Center tonight; play the over! | |||||||
12-10-19 | Maple Leafs v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 105 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the under Leafs/Canucks. Toronto's already been through a lot of drama this year with the firing of their head coach and a rocky peformance from night to night. The Leafs continue a difficult West Coast road trip tonight in Vancouver, followed by upcoming contests in Calgary and Edmonton. Before a road win over St. Louis, the Leafs had lost two straight, scoring one goal in each of the setbacks. Frederick Anderson is 14-7 with a 2.54 GAA this year. Vancouver comes in off a wild back and for 6-5 OT win over the Sabres, but I expect a much more subdued pace in this one. No. 1 netminder Jacob Markstrom is expected in net and he's 8-7-3 with a 2.70 GAA this season. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under in seven of ten non-conference games. - Vancouver has seen the total go under in six of its last ten non-conference contests. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring goaltenders battle; play the under! | |||||||
12-09-19 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 212.5 | Top | 104-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Thunder/Jazz. Oklahoma City comes in off a 108-96 win at Portland just last night, so I think it'll predictably struggle to put up much of a fight in this difficult road venue and in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Would anyone blame the Thunder for having a letdown here either after winning four of five? The Jazz have taken a step back on the defensive side of the ball of late, but they're still conceding only 106 PPG on average. Utah got back on track after a three-game slide with a win over the Grizzlies last time. With three whole days off to prepare for this one, I like the Jazz to come out and lock down on the defensive side. Key Trends: - The Thunder have seen the total go under the number in six of their last seven as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The Jazz have seen the total go under in all three games vs. division opponents already this year. The verdict: The numbers and the overall situation all point to the "under" as the savvy call here in my opinion! | |||||||
12-09-19 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Jackets/Capitals. Columbus had difficulty in its opening game of its four game road trip, falling 4-1 in Florida and frankly I think this inconsistent CBJ's offense will struggle to find the back of the net in the Nation's Capital as well. Washington is fresh off a hard-fought 3-2 win over Anaheim and I think a similar final combined score is in the cards for this one. Key Trends: - CBJ No. 1 goalie Joonas Korpisalo enters Monday with a 2.85 GAA and 0.90 save percentage in 22 games. - Washington netminder Braden Holtby has a 2.78 GAA and 0.91 save percentage. - The Jackets only average 2.42 GPG on the road. The veridct: I think every puck is contested and in a contest like that and when also taking into account the rest of the above factors, I think this one stays well below the posted number once it's all said and done; play the under! | |||||||
12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams UNDER 48 | Top | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 131 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Hawks/Rams. What's the first thing you think about when you look at these two teams? Clearly it has to start with each side's QB. LA turns to Jared Goff, who took the Rams to the Super Bowl last year and who will need to have a big day if his team is to win here. The Hawks turn to Russell Wilson, who has won a Super Bowl and is one of the favorites to win the MVP this season. Each team has an underrated defense though. The Rams allow 245 passing yards per game and 104 rushing. The Hawks allow 281 passing yards and 99 rushing yards per contest. Key Trends: - Seattle has interestingly seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after playing on Monday Night Football. - LA has seen the total go under in its last five games in revenging a loss where an opponent scored 28 or more points. The verdict: This is a big game for both teams. If Seattle wins, it clinches the division. The Rams HAVE to win to stay alive. I think each team tries to control the tempo of this one and put an added emphasis on ball control. These styles of contests invariably lead to lower-scoring games and that's exactly what I expect here; play the under! | |||||||
12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills UNDER 43.5 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Ravens/Bills under. The Ravens have won eight in a row behind the great play of QB Lamar Jackson and a steadily improving defense. The Bills are also putting together an exceptional season, behind a stellar defense and an improving offense. There are many story lines to this contest, but I think that in the end, this one will fall below the posted number. Key Trends: - The Ravens rank fifth in the league in points allowed with just 18.2. - Buffalo has given up just 38 points over its last three games. The verdict: Both teams depend on the run to score, with Baltimore ranked No. 1 and Buffalo ranked No. 5. Five of these team's last seven in the series have fallen under the number and everything points to another low-scoring battle on Sunday; play the under! | |||||||
12-07-19 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 241.5 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Suns/Rockets. These teams play little defense and each gets out and pushes the pace. That said, I still believe this number is too high. The Suns come in off a high-scoring OT win over the Pelicans in New Orleans, but they're still only 2-3 in their last five. After the marathon last time out, I think Phoenix takes a predictable step back here. The Rockets' James Harden is averaging 38.7 PPG this year. Russell Westbrook is coming off a triple double in a victory at Toronto. After the big win over the defending champs on the road, this does also potentially set up as a bit of a trap. Key Trends: - Phoenix has seeen the total go under in four of five thi syear when the total is greater than or equal to 230. - Houston has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 in the same position. The verdict: Addmitedly, these two teams are trash on defense. But I think the situation that each finds itself in coming into this one will help in contributing it to finally being a bit more of a defensive battle; play the under! | |||||||
12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson UNDER 54.5 | 17-62 | Loss | -105 | 106 h 3 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the UNDER UVA/Clemson. Clemson is 12-0 and it's led by QB Trevor Lawrence and RB Travis Etienne. The Tigers rolled through the confernece with a pefect 8-0 record, scoring 370 points in the process. However Clemson was more known for its defensive prowess, conceding just 84 points in those contests. Virginia is just lucky to be here after losing meetings to Notre Dame, Miami and Louisville. After upsetting Virgina Tech last weekend, I think the Cavs have a predictable letdown here. I also have a hard time seeing their offense genrating any sort of an attack vs. this nation leading Clemson defensive unit. Key Trends: - UVA has seen the total dip under the number in six of its last seven after a home win vs. a conference rival. - Clemson has seen the total dip below in its last three as a neutral field favorite. The verdict: Look for the Tigers to control this one on both sides of the ball; play the under! | |||||||
12-07-19 | Georgia v. LSU OVER 54 | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 43 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the OVER Georgia/LSU. Georgia is in its third straight SEC Conference Championship Game. The Bulldogs only allow ten PPG on average, but I think they'll get pushed here by the LSU Tigers. Georgia lost a double OT game to South Carolina as a 21-point favorite. It struggled at times to put points on the board, but I think that Jake Fromm and company carry over the momentum from last week's 52-7 destruction of Georgia Tech. LSU won't be resting on its laurels obviously as it makes its first Conference Championship appearance since 2011. Ed Oregon's offense is ranked No. 2 in the country and it enters off a 50-7 thrashing of Texas A&M. Key Trends: - Georgia has seen the total go over the number in its last two as a neutral field dog. - LSU has seen the total go over in three of four this year after allowing 14 points or less in its previous game. The verdict: I expect a competitive game which flies well above the posted number once it's all said and done; play the over! | |||||||
12-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis UNDER 57.5 | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 102 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Cincinnati/Memphis UNDER. The 10-2 Bearcats meet the 11-1 Tigers for the AAC Championship and in my opinion, this one sets up as more of a "chess match" than a "shootout." Note that the Tigers actually defeated the Bearcats 34-24 in these team's respective regular season finales. The victory earned Memphis the right to host this game. Bearcats' starting QB Desmond Ridder was held back in that loss because of an injured shoulder and if he does get the call today, one has to wonder about his health/form obviously? His backup Ben Bryant struggled for 229 passing yards and two INT's, while also getting sacked five times. Look for the Bearcats to once again run the offense through RB Michael Warren II. Memphis' QB Brady White has 3,307 passing yards this season with 32 TD's and eight INT's. But with the visitors looking to control the clock while they have the ball, I think today's re-match definitely sets up as much more of a defensive affair. Key Trends: - Cincinnati has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 15 as an underdog. - Memphis has seen the total dip under in three of its last four after scoring 31 points or more in five straight games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! | |||||||
12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah OVER 45.5 | Top | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Oregon/Utah. How will Justin Herbert and the Ducks upset the defensive minded Utes in the Pac 12 Championship Game? Definitely not by playing it safe and hoping for Tyler Huntley and company to make the first mistake. That'd be a recipie for disaster for Oregon. Instead, with the underdog airing it out from start to finish, I'm expecting a faster-paced affair overall and I ultimately believe this will then lead to a high-scoring "shootout" once it's all said and done. Key Trends: - The Ducks have seen the total go over the number in three of their last four vs. schools with winning records. - The Utes have seen the total soar over in four of its last five after two straight covers as a double-digit favorite. The verdict: Faster paced = more points in my opinion. This number is low, play the over! | |||||||
12-04-19 | Blues v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Blues/Pens. The Blues come to Pittsburgh off a 4-0 win at Chicago and they're now 18-5-6 on the season. Note that St. Louis has been exceptional on the road thus far, going 10-1-3. St. Louis netminder Jordan Binnington is 13-4-4 with a 2.26 GAA this season and he's 2-0-0 with a 1.99 GAA lifetime vs. the Pens. Pittsburgh has lost two straight, falling 5-2 to these very Blues in St. Louis, before a 5-2 defeat at Columbus. Clearly the revenge minded home side will be doublding down on the defensive end this evening after back-to-back beatdown losses. Goaltender Matt Murray is now 9-5-4 on the year with a 2.84 GAA. Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in eight of 12 already this season vs. clubs with winning records. - Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last ten non-conference games. The verdict: I'm banking on a slower-paced goaltenders battle between these two non-conference opponents; play the under! | |||||||
12-02-19 | Suns v. Hornets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Suns/Hornets. From both situational and trend based stand points, I think this sets up great for a lower-scoring defensive battle. The Suns are dire need of a victory here as they've lost three straight. The Hornets had won two in a row before falling 137-96 to the Bucks on Monday. Charlotte shot just 36% vs. Milwaukee. Key Trends: - Phoenix has seen the total go under in four of its last five on the road. - Charlotte has seen the total dip under in five of its last six as a home dog. The verdict: Two teams hungry for a victory battle tooth and nail and this one stays WELL under the number once the final horn sounds! | |||||||
12-01-19 | Rams v. Cardinals OVER 47 | Top | 34-7 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the OVER Rams/Cardinals. The Rams are coming off a terrible blowout loss at home to the Ravens. Baltimore has been playing incredibly tough defense of late though and I think that Jared Goff and company can rebound here vs. the porous Cardinals' defense. Arizona has lost four straight, but it comes out of its bye week and with nothing to lose (except another game), I look for Kyler Murray and company open up the playbook as they look to deal their divisional opponent another blow. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a "shootout" in my opinion. Key Trends: - The Rams have seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of their last five following a home loss. - The Cards have seen the total go over the number in four of five at home already. The verdict: A repeat performance to the Super Bowl is now out of the question for St. Louis, but Goff is playing for his career and pride for the rest of the season. The Cards are rested and focussed and in my opinion when taking into account all of the above information, everything does indeed point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! | |||||||
11-30-19 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 69.5 | Top | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 79 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* play on the UNDER Oklahoma/OK State. The Cowboys have only beaten the Sooners twice since 2010. Oklahoma has won ten of 11 games so far. Overall Oklahoma averages 45.3 PPG, led by Jalen Hurts, while allowing only 25.5 PPG. OKS has won eight of 11 games. The Cowboys average 35 PPG and they concede 26.5, led by Hawaii transfer Dru Brown, who makes his second start of the season in placed of the injured Spencer Sanders. Key Trends: - Oklahoma has already seen the total go under in three of four this season when the total is set between 63.5 and 70. - OKS has seen the total stay under in both games that it's played as an underdog this year already. The verdict: I think these under-rated defensive units become the mian story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! | |||||||
11-30-19 | Hornets v. Bucks UNDER 228.5 | Top | 96-137 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is the UNDER Hornets/Bucks. Charlotte only averages 105.7 PPG this year as it looks to find an identity after guard Kemba Walker left. Note that the Hornets have failed to score over 102 points in three of their last five. Devonte' Graham has been a bright spot by averaging 13.3 PPG. The Bucks average a league-leading 119.4 PPG, but note that forward Khris Middleton is expected to sit this one. Key Trends: - Charlotte has seen the total dip under in four of five off an upset win as an underdog. - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in interestingly its last five games after back-to-back no ATS cover where it won SU as the favorite. The verdict: Considering all of the above information, I do indeed feel this number is a tad high; play the under! | |||||||
11-29-19 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 48 | Top | 30-39 | Loss | -109 | 72 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* PLAY is on the UNDER VT/UVA. Both teams enter enter this rivarly game at 8-3. Each enters on a three game win streak as well. VT has won this matchup 15 times in a row, including a higher-scoring 34-31 win in last year's matchup. I think the overall situation that each finds itself in, coming into this contest will see a much more defensive affair this time around. This is a big game, as the winner take the ACC Coastal Division crown and will be in the ACC Championship game. VT's defense though is on top form, having posted back-to-back shutouts, including 28-0 over Pittsburgh last weekend. Tech QB Hendon Hooker has 1,134 passing yards, ten TD's and no INT's, along with 262 rushing yards and four rushing TD's. UVA beat Liberty 55-27 last weekend, but it was the first time since 2005 that the Cavs have eclipsed the 50 points plateau. Key Trends: - Virginia Tech has seen the total go under the number in its last three after three straight victories over conference rivals. - UVA has seen the total go under in four of its last five as a home dog. The verdict: While these teams have played to many high-scoring games in the past vs. each other, the overall situation and numbers/trends all point to the "under" as the correct call this year; play the under! | |||||||
11-28-19 | Bills v. Cowboys OVER 45 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -109 | 58 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the over Bills/Cowboys. This is a big game for both teams. Buffalo has been riding its red hot defensive play all year, as the Bills concede just 288.6 YPG, behind only the 49ers and Patriots. But of late it's been the more confident play of QB Josh Allen which has stuck out to me; Allen now has 2,360 yards passing with 15 TD's and eight INT's. Dallas is coming off a heart-breaking loss to the Patriots and at 6-5, this has essentially become a must win game. The Cowboys clearly can't sit back and hope that Buffalo makes the first mistake. I absolutely think this one sets up as a high-scoring game, rather than a defensive war. Key Trends: - Dallas has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 as a favorite. - The Cowboys have seen the total soar over in interestingly six of their last seven after a loss by six points or less. The verdict: I think Rosen can match pace with Dak Prescott and the home side this afternoon. In what I expect to be a faster-paced game, I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! | |||||||
11-27-19 | Pistons v. Hornets OVER 216.5 | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the OVER Pistons/Hornets. The Pistons beat the Magic last time out, allowing a season-low 88 points. Orlando was in a bad spot there though with a recent injury to star player Nikola Vucevic. Charlotte won't be resting on its laurels here though as it looks to break a five-game slide. Note that the Pistons play with revenge here as well afer a 109-106 loss to Charlotte at home at the start of the year. Key Trends: - Detroit has seen the total go over in four of five this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. - Charlotte has seen the total go over nine of its last 14 as a home underdog. The verdict: I think the overall situation finally points to more of a "shootout" between these two clubs which normally struggle to put points on the board; play the over! | |||||||
11-25-19 | Ravens v. Rams UNDER 47 | Top | 45-6 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Ravens/Rams. The Ravens are in the midst of a five-game win streak and they come to the West Coast with an 8-2 record. A prime-time game on the West Coast after such an extended run of stellar play could be viewed by some as a classic "trap" game. The Rams have won three of their last five, most recently holding on for a 17-7 win over the Bears. Clearly the last thing these Rams can do is get into a "shootout" with Lamar Jackson and company. With the home side trying to limit mistakes and control the ball on offense, all signs point to a lower-scoring under in my opinion. Key Trends: - Baltimore has seen the total go under the number in interestingly ten of its last 14 after allowing 14 points or less in its previous contest. - LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of four at home already this season. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought, lower-scoring UNDER once it's all said and done! | |||||||
11-24-19 | Steelers v. Bengals OVER 37.5 | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Steelers/Bengals OVER. Pittsburgh won five in a row before falling apart in Cleveland last weekend. JuJu Schuster Smith is questionable for this start, but I think Mason Rudolph, who had four INT's vs. the Browns last week, will push the pace and try to put the ugly fight with Myles Garrett behind him. The Steelers are still in the hunt for a playoff spot. The Bengals are clearly planning for next year and for the draft. That said, the organization doesn't want to go winless either. If ever this team was going to post a victory, I believe it's today. The Bengals have nothing to lose but another game. Last week they fought hard on the road vs. a tough Oakland team and came up short, but I think today's contest sets up as more of a shootout. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after a loss by ten or more points in its previous outing. - Cincinnati has seen the total eclipse the posted number in all three home games this year. - The Bengals have seen the total go over the number in five of their last six as a home dog. The verdict: I look for these teams to comfortably go over this extremely low total; play the over! | |||||||
11-23-19 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech OVER 55 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT OF THE NIGHT is on the K-State/Texas Tech OVER. K-State is 6-4. The Wildcats have beaten heavyweights Oklahoma and Mississippi State, but lost to Texas and West Virginia. Texas Tech is 4-6 and it needs to win out to become eligible. K-State though will look to stop the two-game slide this week vs. an atrocious Red Raiders' defense. The Wildcats have a balanced attack with Skylar Thompson under center, so far he has a 10:3 TD/INT ratio, while the run game produces 192.9 YPG. Texas Tech QB Jeff Duffey has only played in six games and he already has 2,100 passing yards and 14:3 TD:INT. Overall the Red Raiders put up 470.2 YPG on offense ranked 17th in the country. Defensively though TT allows 480 yards per game, including 309.8 per game through the air. Key Trends: - The over is 5-1-1 in the Raiders last seven conference contests. - The over is 9-3-1 in TT's last 13 at home. The verdict: I look for a faster-paced, wide open shootout between these two hungry schools; play the over! | |||||||
11-22-19 | Colorado State v. Wyoming OVER 50.5 | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -106 | 39 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Colorado State/Wyoming. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. | |||||||
11-22-19 | Spurs v. 76ers UNDER 224.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* play on the Spurs/76ers UNDER. What do you base your Over/Under picks on? Is it different for every sport? I use a number of different handicapping methodolgies when making my selections, but I think the overall "situation" that each of these teams finds itself in coming into this contest is going to lead to more of a defensive affair. The Spurs have lost seven straight and they'll be doing everything they can to try and get off the schneid. Clearly getting into a "shootout" with the home side is NOT what Greg Popovich and company will want though. San Antonio is thin after LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan, so instead the visitors will have to control the pace of this one throughout. And for the 76ers, they have the Heat coming to town tomorrow, followed by a game vs. the Raptors. This is a "trap game" for the home side and I do think it'll get caught looking ahead here. Key Trends: - SA has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 34 after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. - Philly has seen the total dip under in 14 of its last 22 off a win vs. a division rival. The verdict: This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a wide open "shootout." Play the under! | |||||||
11-21-19 | Pelicans v. Suns OVER 233 | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the OVER Pelicans/Suns. New Orleans is finally starting to find its footing after having to start the campaign with Zion Williamson. New Orleans comes in off an upset win at home over Portland and I like it to keep the foot on the gas here as it looks to take advantage of a suddenly struggling Suns side which has dropped three of five. Brandon Ingram has been playing strong offensively for the Pelicans, as he averages a team-best 25.4 PPG. Note though that NO's still allows an atrocious 118.9 PPG on average. The Suns' once rosey start to the 2018/19 campaign is gone. Phoenix will be leaning heavily on guard Devin Booker to help them break the slide here; so far Booker leads the nightly charge with 25.4 PPG. Key Trends: - NO's has seen the total go over in three of its last four as a road underdog. - Phoenix has seen the total soar over in six of its last seven home games. The verdict: This one has wide open "shootout" written all over it; play the over! | |||||||
11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans OVER 44.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -117 | 37 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Colts/Texans. I expect a shootout. The Colts are coming off a convincing win at home over the Jaguars and they have Jacoby Brissett back under center. True RB Marlon Mack is out, but fortunately the Colts still have capable RB's in Nyheim Hines, Jordan Wilkins, and Jonathan Williams. Indianapolis' defense has been stout of late, but I think the unit will definitely get tested here on the short week and vs. a Texans team which was embarrassed 41-7 last week by Baltimore. Yes Houston hasn't looked the same since losing JJ Watt to injury, but this has essentially become a "must win" for DeShaun Watson and company. The Texans also play with "in season revenge" after falling by 7 in Indy earlier in the campaign. Key Trends: - The Colts have seen the total go over in three of their last four after a home win by ten or more points. - The Texans have seen the total soar over in eight of their last ten vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: Both teams are 6-4. To say this is a crucial matchup would be an understatement. I think the offenses "steal the show" on Thursday night; play the over! | |||||||
11-21-19 | NC State v. Georgia Tech OVER 49 | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 37 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER NC State/Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech is coming off a terrible 45-0 road shutout loss at Virginia Tech and it's now just 2-8 on the year. Tech is only averaging 16.5 PPG this year, but it'll do its best to play the role of spoiler here, as 4-6 NC State has to win out for eligibility. This is it for the Wolfpack, who limp in having lost four straight. Both teams struggle offensively, but I think we'll have a shootout on our hands once it's all said and done tonight. Key Trends: - NC State has seen the total go over the number in six of its last eight after a loss by ten points or more vs. a conference rival. - GT has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49. The verdict: I think the home side opens up the playbook here to try and pull off the upset. And with the Wolfpack also laying everything on the line to keep their playoff hopes alive, I look for this one to indeed sneak above the posted number sooner, rather than later! | |||||||
11-19-19 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 222 | Top | 114-95 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Warriors/Grizzlies. The Warriors have lost seven straight, most recently a 108-100 loss to the Pelicans on Sunday. The Grizz have been better than expected this year, but they come in off a terrible 131-114 home loss to Denver. There's nothing positive to say about Golden State, as all of its star players are injured. The Warriors are terrible on both ends of the court, but especially on the offensive side. Memphis has also struggled defensively this year, but the hungry Grizz clearly catch a break here facing this terrible Warriors' offense. Key Trends: - Memphis has seen the total go under in 18 of its last 24 as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: With each side doubling down defensively, expect this total to stay well below the posted number; play the under! | |||||||
11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 52.5 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 14 m | Show | |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the under Chiefs/Chargers. Clearly with Patrick Mahomes and Philip Rivers under center for these teams, points shouldn't be too hard to come by. But I think the overall situation lends itself to more of a lower-scoring battle on Monday night. First off, this game is being played in Mexico City, which is difficult for players. Neither team's defense has been great, but there are significant O/U trends that support our theory as well. Key Trends: - As note that KC has seen the total dip under the number in three of its last four after allowing 35 points or more in its last game. - LA has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after an extremely close road loss by three points or less. The verdict: Both teams come in off high-scoring losses and each is hungry for a victory here. This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a "shootout." Play the under! | |||||||
11-17-19 | Sabres v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Sabres/Hawks. I think this is a great situational play. Buffalo broke a five-game slide last night with a 4-2 win at home over Ottawa, while Chicago beat the Predators 7-2. With both teams coming off high-scoring victories just last night, I believe that from a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as more of a defensive affair. Each will be tired, and neither will want to make the first mistake. Key Trends: - Blackhawks had 14 shots on net yesterday and scored 7 goals. They were outshot 41-14 and won 7-2. The verdict: I base my selections on many different things. I feel that being flexible with my approach works best. This total is high considering the overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into this contest; play the under! | |||||||
11-17-19 | Bills v. Dolphins OVER 40.5 | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER Bills/Dolphins. Miami has won two in a row and it'll now look to build and to try and give the Bills a second straight loss in a row. For Buffalo, it's blazing start to the season is going to be in the rear view mirror if it can't start putting some production on the board. When these teams met earlier in the year though, it was Buffalo that laid the hammer down in the 31-21 victory and I believe a similar final combined score is on deck here as well. Key Trends: - The Bills have seen the total go over the number in six of their last eight after a loss by six points or less. - The Fish have seen the total soar over in nine of their last 12 as a home dog. The verdict: Buffalo's pissed about its last second loss in Cleveland last weekend and knows it has to get out and push the pace here. The Dolphins are riding high after a two-game win streak and Ryan Fitzpatrick and company won't be backing down either. This one could go OVER by half time! | |||||||
11-16-19 | Arizona v. Oregon UNDER 68.5 | Top | 6-34 | Win | 100 | 36 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Arizona/Oregon. Arizona is 4-5 and it's running out of time to qualify for a berth. The magic number is of course six and winning on the road vs. the 8-1 Ducks likely isn't going to happen. Clearly though the only way that the Wildcats could pull off a monumental upset in this one would be to try and control the pace of this game. And that means keeping the ball out of Oregon's hands as much as possible. Arizona needs two more victories. After this its Utah and Arizona State. The Ducks are led by QB Justin Herbert, who has a 24:2 TD:INT. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go under in three of four already this year after playing a game at home. - Oregon has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 when the total is greater than or equal to 63. The verdict: Neither team plays great defensively, but I think the overall situation each finds itself coming in, combined with the above trends, do indeed make the "under" as the correct call here! | |||||||
11-15-19 | Spurs v. Magic UNDER 212.5 | Top | 109-111 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the under Spurs/Magic. The Magic did much better than everyone expected last year and Orlando had high hopes coming into this season. But the Magic haven't looked good to open the 2019/20 campaign. That said, Orlando enters off its best performance of the year in pulling away for a 112-97 win over the 76ers. Nikola Vucevic posted a double-double of 25 points and 12 rebounds. The Spurs come in off back-to-back terrible efforts, allowing 135 points in a loss to Boston, before then falling 129-114 to the Wolves. DeMar DeRozan led San Antonio with 27 points, five rebounds, and a couple of blocks. Key Quote: Spurs' coach Gregg Popovich clearly frustrated by his team's lack of defensive effort of late and said this after his team's last loss: "They executed, they were unselfish, and they made 3s. They had a lot of guys that played well, and they were aggressive. From our end, I think we were very challenged defensively, another poor outing." The verdict: I think both teams double down on the defensive end and I look for this competitive match to fall well below the posted number once it's all said and done; play the under! | |||||||
11-13-19 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Hawks/Knights. Chicago has won three of its last five, including a 5-4 win over the Leafs three nights ago. With two whole days off to prepare for this one, I like the hungry Hawks to keep the good on the gas here. Vegas on the other hand has lost three of its last five, including three straight. The Knights have also had two nights off to prepare for this one. Key Trends: - Chicago has seen the total go over the number in 16 of its last 25 when playing on two days rest. - Las Vegas has seen the total go over in 17 of its last 27 when playing on two days rest. The verdict: The situation and the numbers/trends are both pointing to the "over" as the savvy call in this one in my opinion! | |||||||
11-10-19 | Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 215 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ROAST is on the UNDER Raptors/Lakers. The Lakers face a stretch of "easy" competition after the Raptors tonight. Toronto comes to town with star Kyle Lowry injured as well. After this LA faces the Suns in Phoenix, followed by home games vs. Golden State, Sacramento and Atlanta. The Lakers aren't even at full health, but clearly the biggest difference from last year's team to this seasons is the tough defensive play. LA's defense is being vastly under-rated here vs. this under-manned Raptors side in my opinion. Toronto's road ahead is MUCH more difficult. After this they're vs. the Clippers in the same arena, followed by contests in Portland and Dallas. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total dip under the number in four of its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - LA has seen the total go under in 13 of its last 16 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Toronto is also without the services of big man Serge Ibaka due to injury. I have a hard time seeing the visitors adjusting and I believe they're going to get shutdown; play the under! | |||||||
11-10-19 | Oilers v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 104 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST is the Oilers/Ducks over. At 5.5, I think the "over" offers great value here. In this day and age, 5.5 is a very low total in the NHL. Both teams have winning records and each will be pushing the pace from start to finish. Key Trends: - Edmonton averages 2.83 GPG, while conceding 2.50. - Oilers power play is second best in the league with 27.5 percent. - Anaheim averages 2.65 GPG and it allows 2.53. The verdict: Both teams have been better than average defensively and very average offensively. That said, I believe the conditions are now finally right for a high-scoring affair and I'll take full advantage of this low-number; play the over! | |||||||
11-10-19 | Vikings v. Cowboys OVER 48 | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Vikes/Boys. I think this is a great "situational spot bet" on the total. These two teams absolutely dominate in stopping the run, so as such I'm fully expecting this to be a "shootout" at the OK Corral on Sunday night! The Vikes enter off a 26-23 loss to Kansas City and they can't afford to take the foot off the gas obviously. Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins was a bright spot in defeat, going for three TD's and 222 passing yards. The Cowboys are rolling right now though and there's no reason not to think that they can't keep the momentum trending in that direction. In last week's 37-18 win over the Giants, Dallas' QB Dak Prescott had three TD's. Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go over the number in its last two after two or more straight losses vs. the spread. - Dallas has seen the total eclipse the posted number in nine of its last 12 home games as the favorite. The verdict: With each offense focussed on airing it out, I do indeed expect this one to fly over sooner, rather than later! | |||||||
11-09-19 | CS-Fullerton v. Stanford OVER 139 | Top | 54-70 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST is on the OVER Cal State/Stanford. The three-point line in College Basketball was moved back at the start of the season. Has this truly effected totals early? Also note that the shot clock has been reduced to just 20 seconds on offensive rebounds, which is supposed to hurry the game up. Cal State Fullerton lost in a poor showing to BYU in its opener, so there's no question it'll be pushing the pace from the opening tip until the final horn here. The Cardinal enter off a victory over Montana to start their season. Cal State allowed BYU to shoot 49.1 percent from the field in its opener though, including 45.8 percent from range. Stanford is deep and I think its entire bench can produce today (note the Cardinal bench had 23 points in the season opening victory.) Key Trends: - Cal State has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten road games when the total is set between 135 and 140 points. - Stanford has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last six home games when the total falls between 135 and 140 points. The verdict: The writing is on the wall and a "shootout" is in the cards; play the over! | |||||||
11-09-19 | Nevada v. San Diego State OVER 38.5 | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -114 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Nevada/SDSU. SDSU is 7-1 and it comes in with plenty of momentum after having won four straight. Nevada won't be rolling over here though at 5-4 as it tries to pull off the upset and gain eligibility at the same time. Nevada beat New Mexico 21-10 last weekend, with Carson Strong going for 305 yards and two TD's. Overall Nevada averages only 19.3 PPG though, while conceding an awful 34.6. Last year the Aztecs won this game 28-24 and I expect a similar high-scoring affair here. SDSU is also rested out of its bye week. Key Trends: - Nevada has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last six after a home victory. - SDSU has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four as a home favorite in teh 14.5 to 21 points range. The verdict: I look for this total to fly well over the number, perhaps even before half time. This number is much too low, play the over! | |||||||
11-09-19 | Mavs v. Grizzlies UNDER 218.5 | Top | 138-122 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL TOMAHAWK is on the UNDER Mavs/Grizz. Dallas lost outright at home to the Knicks last night and I think the offense will struggle to score here as well. If you can't score againt the Knicks, then who can you score on? The Mavs get really thin after Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis and playing the second game of a back-to-back just doesn't bode well for the Mavericks already struggling offense. The Grizzlies don't have many offensive weapons either behind Ja Morant (Jaren Jackson Jr. averages 11 PPG.) If Memphis is going to pull off the slight upset here, it's going to because they clamped down and grinded it out. Key Trends: - Dallas has seen the total go under in 57 of its last 90 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. - Memphis has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 31 vs. division opponents. The verdcit: I expect a lot of half court sets from the home side while its on offense and when taking into account the rest of the above information, I'm absolutely expecting a hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring defensive affair. Play the under! | |||||||
11-09-19 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 107 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the UNDER Flyers/Leafs. Toronto started out on fire this year, but it enters this one sitting a 9-8. The Flyers were a mess to open the 2019/20 campaign, but they enter at 8-5-2 and off back-to-back victories over Carolina (4-1) and Montreal (3-2 in OT.) The Flyers have responded well defensively of late and I expect that trend to carry over here. Philly also plays with revenge here after falling to Toronto 4-3 last week. Key Trends: - The Flyers have seen the total go under the number in four of their last five in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in The verdict: I love this under. Philly comes to town confident and it's playing a lot better defensively. Look for the visitors to slow this one down and for this total to stay well below the posted number; play the under! | |||||||
11-08-19 | Washington v. Oregon State UNDER 65 | Top | 19-7 | Win | 100 | 82 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Washington/Oregon State. Washington is 5-4 and it's looking to snap a two-game slide. The Huskies come off consecutive losses to Oregon and Utah, so while the Beavers won't be afraid to open up the playbook, the Huskies clearly catch a break in the overall level of competition this weekend. I think the Huskies defense steps up here vs. Beavers' QB Jake Luton. Washington has already posted 20 sacks this year and the Beavers have conceded 16 thus far. Oregon State allows 176 rushing yards per game, so expect to see the visitors hand off to Salvon Ahmed early and often, to take off some of the pressure on QB Jacob Eason, who has been sacked 12 times this year, but who faces a Beavers unit which has produced 25 sacks this season. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under in its last three as a road favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. - Oregon State has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four off an upset win as a road dog. The verdict: I don't think the Huskies take many risks here. Instead I look for the visiting side to try and control this contest as to limit the time the Beavers have the ball on offense. This number is high, play the under! | |||||||
11-07-19 | Kings v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the under Kings/Sens. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. | |||||||
11-05-19 | Kent State v. Toledo UNDER 62 | Top | 33-35 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* MAC TOTAL BLOWOUT is on the UNDER Kent State/Toledo. Kent STate is 3-5 and in dire need of some victories if its going to go "Bowling." The Golden Flashes though have faced some incredibly tough competition this season in Arizona State, Auburn and Wisconsin. Kent State is led by QB Dustin Crum, who has ten TD's and one INT. Toledo though has a good pass defense, but a poor rush defense. That works well for Kent State, as it's run game is solid, led by the versatile dual-threat Crum. Toledo needs just one more win to become eligible and it did just enough to score a victory over EMU in OT last week. So far the Rockets have won five of seven games by six points or less. Toledo is also down to third string QB Eli Peters, who was an unremarkable nine of 18 for 138 yards last weekend. Key Trends: - Kent State has seen the total go under the number in five of its last six road games when the total is set between 56.5 and 63 points. - Toledo has seen the total go under in its last three off an extremely close win at home by 3 points or less. The verdict: Look for these two hungry teams to fight tooth and nail and for this total to fall "under" once it's all said and done! | |||||||
11-04-19 | Coyotes v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* total of the week is the UNDER Arizona/Edmonton. Arizona is coming off a 3-0 win over Colorado. The Oilers earned a 2-1 OT win over the Pens in their latest action. The goaltenders tonight are Antti Raanta for Arizona and Mike Smith for Edmonton and each has been exceptional of late. Key Trends: - Arizona has allowed just 28 goals this year, No. 1 in the Western conference. - Edmonton has already seen the total go under in seven of its last nine after a non-conference game. The verdict: Look for these two goaltenders to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries and play the under! | |||||||
11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants OVER 48 | Top | 37-18 | Win | 100 | 60 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Cowboys/Giants. The Giants are 2-6, but Daniel Jones and the home side won't be rolling over this weekend after falling 31-26 to the Lions in their last game. Dallas destroyed the Eagles 37-10 in Week 7 and they've had their bye week off to prepare for this matchup. Key Trends: - The Giants have allowed 121 points so far this year. - Dallas has seen the total go over in its last two following its bye week. The verdict: In Week 1 the Cowboys crushed New York 35-17. Look for the home side to play with pride and to make Dallas work for this "W." When you take into account all of the above factors, I'm playing the over! | |||||||
11-04-19 | Bucks v. Wolves UNDER 230.5 | Top | 134-106 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Bucks/Wolves. I believe the Wolves struggle with their offense here without Karl Anthony Townes in the line-up, who is serving a three-game suspension for fighting. The Bucks are 4-2, while the Wolves are 4-1. When making my O/U picks (in all sports), for the most part I look at the overall "situation" that each team finds itself in coming into the contest. The Wolves won their first game without Townes, but the last thing they can do here is turn this one into a "shootout" and expect to hang with the Bucks. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in five of its last six vs. clubs with winning records. - Minnesota has seen the total dip under in interestingly 23 of its last 30 contests played in the month of November. Does this stat matter? Probably not...but it doesn't hurt! The verdict: I expect the home side to try and slow the pace of this one down and as such, I'm on the "under!" |
Service | Profit |
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William Burns | $846 |
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
Dan Kaiser | $545 |
Joey Tron | $511 |
Sean Murphy | $430 |
Sean Higgs | $352 |
Ricky Tran | $301 |
Ray Monohan | $263 |
Matt Fargo | $220 |
Kyle Hunter | $71 |