Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-04-18 | Rockies v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Not expecting much offense in game 1 of this series. The Rockies go with Senzatela who was awesome down the stretch only allowing 1 earned run in each of his last 3 starts and only allowed 6 earned runs in his last 5 starts combined. The Brewers are pitching a bullpen game and with arguably the best bullpen in the postseason that doesn't sound promising for the tired Rockies. The Pick: Take The UNDER | |||||||
10-03-18 | Ducks v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -119 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Despite all the offensive star power on the ice when these two teams play they are actually two of the better defensive teams in the league with very good goaltenders. These two teams combined to go 68-92 against the total last season. Look For a tightly contested opener. The Pick: Take The UNDER 5.5 goals | |||||||
10-03-18 | A's v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
After 2 straight days of low scoring National League games get ready for a few fireworks in this matchup. The Yankees have the most dangerous offense in the postseason having set a record a for home runs this with 267. The A's featuring Major League leader Khris Davis finished 3rd with 227. It doesn't stop there. Both of these teams finished in the top 5 of RBI's and runs scored while the A's finished in the top5 in hits and doubles as well. Yankee starter Luis Severino was fantastic in the first half of the season but he was only 5-6 which and ERA pushing 6 in his last 12 starts including giving up 6 runs in a 8-2 loss to Oakland last month. Oakland is going with a bullpen game which is perfect for our OVER bet. These two teams played 6 times this season and 5 wOuld of eclipsed this total. The Pick: Take The OVER. | |||||||
10-03-18 | Bruins v. Capitals -121 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
The emotion will be high early in this one as the Washington Capitals raise their Stanley Cup Banner. Expect the Capitals to be flying around in the first period. When things settle down Washington is still the better team. The Bruins are young, missing some key pieces and Washington has 12 straight wins over them. The Pick: Take Washington On The Money Line. | |||||||
10-02-18 | Rockies v. Cubs -131 | 2-1 | Loss | -131 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
The fact the Cubs are even playing in this game is insane since they may still be the best team in the N.L. The Colorado Rockies had a nice season but it's going to end here. I just don't see what they will have left in the tank Tuesday evening after flying to L.A. Sunday night, losing to the Dodgers a Monday afternoon, then flying to Chicago to play the Cubs. Chicago has the better team, home field, slept in their own beds last night and have John Lester on the mound. The Cubs get the win and move on for another shot at the Brewers. The Pick: Take The Cubs Money Line | |||||||
10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos OVER 54 | 27-23 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
This OVER for me is all about the Kansas City Chiefs. The Denver Broncos have the kind of team with Case Keenum that they want to score 24 points and play great defense to win games. The problem with that kind of thinking is with Patrick Mahomes under center the Chiefs offense look nearly unstoppable. With weapons all over the field, the Chiefs have scored 38, 42 and 38. They need to score all those points because their defense can't seem to cover anyone anymore without lockdown corner Marcus Peters. The Chiefs defense has given up 27 or more points in all their games this season as well. Look for Andy Reid to keep his foot on the gas and the Broncos to be forced to throw the ball all game to keep up. The Pick: Take The OVER. | |||||||
10-01-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers -164 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
In game 163 for the NL West crown German Marquez squares off against rookie sensation Walker Buehler for the Dodgers. Marquez has pitched outstanding of late and the Rockies have been playing better baseball of late but I'm taking the more experienced team at home with Buehler and his nasty array of pitches. The Dodgers have won the division 5 straight years and most of these players played in the ultimate winner take all game last year in the World Series. Buehler pitches lights out and Dodgers get it done at a rocking Dodger stadium. The Pick: Take The Dodgers | |||||||
10-01-18 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
Chacin and Quintana were the obvious choice for both managers to pitch in game 163 for the division crown as both pitchers have been dominant against the other team this season. Chacin only gave up 4 earned runs in 23 innings against the Cubs this season. On the other side Quintana faced Milwaukee 6 times and posted an ERA of 2.17 and a WHIP of just 0.88. Look for a well pitched game and for the bullpens to be called at any sign of trouble. The Pick: Take The UNDER | |||||||
09-30-18 | Browns +3 v. Raiders | 42-45 | Push | 0 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
The Baker Mayfield era begins and count me on his bandwagon. Mayfield is deadly accurate and NFL ready. It's a tough spot, being on the road in your first full game start but the Raiders suck. The Browns have a ton of talent on defense and it's starting to show. Miles Garrett will be all over Carr and this dysfunctional Raiders offense will struggle. Browns should get the outright win in this one. PICK: Browns +3 | |||||||
09-30-18 | Seahawks -3 v. Cardinals | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
Rosen becomes the 4th rookie to get the nod as a starter. It's tough to expect much out of Arizona this week. They can't run or pass block and they are starting a rookie. It would take a lot of David Johnson to keep them moving the sticks. Seattle hasn't shown much but they should dial up enough on defense to walk out of here with a win. Wilson is still playing well and their defense has a few playmakers that could feast on a bad offense. PICK: Seattle -3 | |||||||
09-30-18 | Diamondbacks -118 v. Padres | 3-4 | Loss | -118 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
No analysis due to limited time. | |||||||
09-30-18 | Tigers v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 0-11 | Loss | -118 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
No analysis due to limited time. | |||||||
09-30-18 | Eagles -3 v. Titans | Top | 23-26 | Loss | -119 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
There isn't much to like about the Titans thus far and it won't look any better on Sunday as they face a tall task in defending super bowl champion Eagles. Philly still has a strong defense and I expect their offense to continue to improve with the return of Wentz. 3 points is more than fair in a game where one team is clearly more talented in every phase of the game. PICK: Eagles -3 | |||||||
09-30-18 | Bucs v. Bears -3 | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
Fitzmagic is starting to show signs of cracking. Although the Bucs still threw all over the field they step way up in competetion and with Winston breathing down is neck, Ryan Fitzpatrick is in for a customary meltdown. The Bears defense is legit and they will cause problems at home. The Bucs can't stop anyone, including this somehwat pedestrian offense of the Bears. Chicago controls this game from start to finish. PICK: Bears - 3 | |||||||
09-30-18 | Bengals +4 v. Falcons | 37-36 | Win | 100 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
Looks like I'm backing the Bengals again this week. There is a lot to like about the Falcons but these points are too good too pass up. There is a lot to like about the Cincy defense and they should make enough plays to make Ryan and company work. Atlanta will have their hands full with Green, Eifert and Boyd and they can't seem to get it together on defense. They will get their points but so will the Bengals. PICK: Bengals +4 | |||||||
09-29-18 | Nationals v. Rockies UNDER 10 | 12-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Strasburg and Gray are too good for this high total even at Coors Field. The Pick: Take The Under Limited Analysis Due To Time Restraints | |||||||
09-29-18 | Stanford +6 v. Notre Dame | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 31 m | Show | |
In one of the best match ups of the week, Stanford travels to Notre Dame following their huge comeback win against Oregon. Notre Dame has been very good this year as well. Look, I like Notre Dame a lot and think they have edges in key areas but this is way too many points to be laying in what is a very competitive series. Stanford has gone into this game two straight times as road dogs and won both outright. Not sure if this happens Saturday but more than willing to take the points. PICK: Stanford +6 | |||||||
09-29-18 | White Sox v. Twins -128 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
The Twins are playimg very good baseball of late winners of 4 in a row and 9 of 12. They also have the pitching edge in this one. The Pick: Twins Money Line
Limited Analysis Due To Time Restraints | |||||||
09-29-18 | Florida +7.5 v. Mississippi State | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 33 h 48 m | Show | |
Florida travels to Mississippi State as a touchdown + underdog. Make no mistake, Florida has not been good this year. They have failed to impress, particularly in an embarrassing loss to Kentucky. However, they are a reasonably talented team and have done a decent job upfront, protecting the QB and run blocking. Miss State has a high powered offense but was shut down last week by Kentucky and their stud defender, Josh Allen, who proved more than they could handle. This game should be a dogfight and be decided late. Take the points. PICK: Florida +7.5 | |||||||
09-29-18 | Pirates -128 v. Reds | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -128 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
Jameson Taillon has quietly been one of the best pitchers in baseball the last 2 months. This game looks like a mismatch. The Pick: Take the Pirates Money Line Limited Analysis Due To Time Restraints | |||||||
09-29-18 | Texas v. Kansas State UNDER 49 | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show | |
Texas at Kansas State was already looking like a snoozer, but add to this the fact that K-State is now starting Alex Delton at QB and this should really be a grind of a game. Delton is a running QB and Snyder had to turn to him because they basically have not been able to move the ball. Texas has been better than expected offensively but this is their first time on the road thus far and a bit of a letdown spot. Kansas State will look to make this a slow paced game. They know they need to limit Texas possessions. PICK: UNDER 49 | |||||||
09-29-18 | Kent State v. Ball State UNDER 64 | 24-52 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 12 m | Show | |
Kent State travels to their Mac rival Ball State in a battle of 1 win teams. Neither of these teams has been good on offense so I am a bit surprised that the total is 64. Add to this the fact that Ball State will look to pound the ball on the ground and we have a perfect recipe for the under. I don't generally look to closely at trends because teams change players/coaches etc but the UNDER is hitting 17-8 on the last 25 road games for this low powered offense. PICK: UNDER 64 | |||||||
09-29-18 | Virginia +6 v. NC State | 21-35 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a matchup of strength vs strength. Ryan Finley has been great throwing the ball for NC State, albeit versus lesser competition. Virginia has really done well stopping the pass thus far only allowing 55% completion rate. I expect this game to be close with Virginia having enough success on offense to take this into the 4th quarter and have a chance for the win. We will gladly gobble up the points as the home underdog in this spot. PICK: Virginia +6 | |||||||
09-27-18 | Vikings v. Rams OVER 48.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
The Rams have the most dangerous offense in the NFL outside of Kansas City and are licking their chops at a chance to face this Vikings defense at home after their dismal showing in Minnesota last year. The Viking defense hasn't looked as dominant this season and will probably get their act together but they will have a tough time containing the Rams for all 4 quarters. On the other side, the Viking offense is way better than they looked in that ghastly performance against the Bills. They have weapons all over the field and with Aqib Talib and Marcus Peters out for the Rams Stephon Diggs, Adam Thielen and Kyle Rudolph should have a big night. The Pick: Take The OVER. | |||||||
09-27-18 | Pirates v. Cubs UNDER 9 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
The Cubs have officially given away their lead on the Brewers in the Central and if they want to stay out of that Wild Card game they need a win here. Lester is the perfect guy on the mound as his resume as a big game pitcher is fantastic. Lester has been great down the stretch only allowing 9 earned runs in his last 7 starts. This game won't be easy for the Cubs as the Pirates Trevor Williams has been even better than Lester. Williams has been lights out since July 11th only giving up 8 earned runs over his last 12 starts. This total is too high for what will be a tight low scoring game. Take The UNDER. I've seen this total at 9.5 -125 or -130 this afternoon at some books but I'm betting it at 9 for a much better price. | |||||||
09-27-18 | North Carolina +18 v. Miami-FL | 10-47 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
The Miami Hurricanes host North Carolina in the ACC opener for both teams and this number looks a little high to me. Miami coach Mark Richt hasn't named a starting QB for this one but he seems dead set on replacing Malik Rozier with redshirt freshman N'Kosi Perry. Perry played a good game last week against Florida International but playing a nationally televised night game against Carolina is a different animal and Miami doesn't have the offensive firepower to overcome freshman mistakes. North Carolina finally got their first win last week against Pitt and looked pretty good doing it. Thursday will be the first time this season they have their full roster available as the players suspended for the first 4 games will back in uniform after the sneaker scandal. Look for the Tar Heels to play their best game of the season and easily cover the 18 point spread. The Pick: Take The Points and North Carolina. | |||||||
09-27-18 | Braves -112 v. Mets | 1-4 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
With all the madness going on in the NL Central and West the Braves are quietly on a little roll before the start of the playoffs. They had a 6 game winning streak snapped last night by Jacob Degrom but with the way the potential Cy Young winner pitched last night no team in baseball would of fared much better. The Mets Jason Vargas has pitched well of late but he's had some struggles against an Atlanta offense that rarely strikes out and lately seems like they make contact everytime they swing the bat. Julio Teheran has the distinction of being one of four pitchers in baseball with a batting average against of under 2 which is very impressive. He's cleaned up his home run problem from earlier in the season with only 1 allowed this month and has forced teams to string 2 or 3 hits together to score. This game is the most important one of Teheran's season as a good showing will all but guarantee him a spot in the NLDS rotation. The Braves offense will give him some run support against Vargas and Julio will do the rest. The Pick: Take Atlanta | |||||||
09-26-18 | A's +103 v. Mariners | 9-3 | Win | 103 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
The Athletics lost a heartbreaker Tuesday night and if they have any shot of hosting the Wild Card game they have to have this one. Edwin Jackson is the right guy on the mound. Jackson has been on fire all season since making his first start in late June. He has an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.16 and the A's have won 13 of his 16 starts including the last 5. Feliz Hernandez is one of the reasons why the Mariners weren't able to stay in the race. He can't strike anyone out, walks too many people, and gives up at least 1 home run in almost every start. Felix has lost his last 6 decisions and the Mariners have lost 9 of his last 10 starts. The A's red-hot offense will batter him tonight. The Pick: Take Oakland | |||||||
09-26-18 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +107 | 2-7 | Win | 107 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The NL races just keep getting tighter and tighter and the Dodgers are now in danger of dropping into the Wild Card game. Colorado is on a 5 game winning streak and this is not the pitching matchup the L.A. wanted in this important game holding only a half-game lead in the NL West. Since coming off the DL September 7th Ross Stripling has looked like his toe isn't 100 percent. The Dodgers don't trust him going more than a few innings as his velocity and control have clearly suffered. The Diamondbacks Zack Greinke is still an outstanding pitcher but has been let down by his offense all season. I think he will get the run support today and beat the Dodgers. The Pick: Take Arizona | |||||||
09-26-18 | Marlins +177 v. Nationals | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm getting a ton of value on the Marlins in this one. The books are still treating the Miami Marlins like the dumpster fire they were earlier in the season even though they aren't the worst team in baseball by a longshot. To have them this big of an underdog with a who I consider a pretty good pitcher on the mound, against a pitcher who has thrown less than 3 innings in his career is laughable. Wei-Yin Chen may be 6-11 this season but he has a career record of 59-49 and has a WHIP this season of 1.30, just above his career 1.25. The Marlins are 5-3 in his 8 starts since August and he has only given up a total of 13 earned runs in those starts. On the other side, Kyle Mcgowin is a promising pitcher who looked good in AAA Syracuse this season and may be in the rotation next season but I don't think he'll fare well here. The Pick: Take The Marlins | |||||||
09-25-18 | Padres v. Giants OVER 7 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm not quite sure what the books see in this pitching matchup to make the total this low but we're going to take advantage and pop the over. Besides one good outing here and there Straton has been below average since early in the season and Robbie Erlin hasn't been good since joining the starting rotation and will most likely go back to the pen in 2019. The Pick: Take The OVER | |||||||
09-25-18 | Brewers v. Cardinals -120 | 12-4 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 39 m | Show | |
With their loss to the Brewers Monday night combined with Colorado's blowout of Philly The Cardinals dropped into a virtual tie with The Rockies for the second Wild Card spot. This game isn't quite a must win for St Louis but with this pitching matchup in their favor, they have to take advantage and I think they will. Besides a bad outing against the Red Hot Dodgers on the 13th Austin Gomber has looked fantastic since joining the starting lineup compiling a 6-1 record with that lone loss to the Dodgers. During that time he's only given up 1 home run. The Brewers are throwing Gio Gonzalez who was a disaster for Washington before being acquired by Milwaukee in early September. Since then he's looked better but can't go deep in games because he lacks control. St Louis Gets the much-needed win. The Pick: Take The Cardinals on The Money Line | |||||||
09-24-18 | Padres v. Giants -130 | 5-0 | Loss | -130 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
The Giants are at home and have the better offense and the better pitcher on the mound. Holland has been let down by offense in a lot of starts this season but this game will be different. Brian Mitchell has an ERA over 6 and a whip of almost 2. The Giants will win this. Take San Francisco on the Money Line. | |||||||
09-24-18 | A's +118 v. Mariners | 7-3 | Win | 118 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
With the Yankees losing Sunday, Oakland missed a golden opportunity to move within a half game of the top Wild Card spot. That makes this game even more important as the Yanks are playing the dangerous Rays. If they were facing the James Paxton from earlier in this season this Pick might be different but Paxton hasn't been good for weeks. He's given up 3 or more runs in 6 of his last 8 games. Daniel Mengden has been good of late and The A's will get the win here. Take Oakland on the Money Line. | |||||||
09-24-18 | Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 101 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
The Brewers Chase Anderson was the scheduled starter Monday Night but was scratched due to their lack of confidence in him. Instead they are going to play a "bullpen game" and try to piece together all 9 innings with their bullpen and that includes Anderson who they lack confidence in. The Cardinals go with Jack Flaherty who has struggled with his control of late. Combine a parade of bullpen pitchers and a pitcher lacking control and you have high scoring game. Take The Over. | |||||||
09-24-18 | Steelers +2 v. Bucs | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Along with the Rams and the Chiefs, Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Bucs are the talk of the early NFL season. Beating the Saints and Eagles in the first two weeks will do that. Pittsburgh is a mess with LeVeon Bell on the trade block and Antonio Brown disgruntled with his lack of production. 1 game in the NFL can change everything and this will be one of those games. Fitzpatrick may have more weapons than he's ever had but he's still the mistake prone QB he's always been. Not only did Pittsburgh have an extra day to prepare for the Bucs deep passing game, but a big reason why the Chiefs carved up Pittsburgh's secondary last week was cornerback Joe Haden's absence. Haden will be back in action and will help slow down DeSean Jackson and the Bucs attack. Pittsburgh goes into Tampa and gets their first win. The Pick: Take the points and the Steelers. | |||||||
09-23-18 | Patriots -6.5 v. Lions | 10-26 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Not gonna lie, this game is simple guys. The Pats are coming off a humiliating loss to the Jags and they get to face Matt Patricia and the lowly Lions. Look for a pretty easy win today with Brady getting back on track and venting some of his frustrations at Detroit's expense. PICK: Patriots -6.5 | |||||||
09-23-18 | Cowboys v. Seahawks +1.5 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Neither of these teams has looked particularly promising this year. What a difference from a couple years ago. This bet basically comes down to the fact that Dallas is terrible offensively. Their pass rush may get to Wilson, but he has enough in the tank to make some big plays and beat a Dallas team that doesn't play well on the road. Seattle may not be what they once were but it's still a tough place to play which doesn't bode well for an underwhelming cowboys team. PICK: Seattle +1.5 | |||||||
09-23-18 | Rockies +103 v. Diamondbacks | 2-0 | Win | 103 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
09-23-18 | Brewers -119 v. Pirates | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
09-23-18 | Royals +110 v. Tigers | 3-2 | Win | 110 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
09-23-18 | Bengals +3 v. Panthers | 21-31 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
The Bengals are one of the better AFC teams this year. Their defense is strong, especially the front seven and their offense is humming. While they are missing Mixon today, they were likely going to have to rely on heavily on the pass against a stout Panthers run defense. There are things to like about the Panthers but overall their offense isn't consistent enough to really move the ball. The way they will need to win is big plays behind Cam's big arm and running. Don't see that being enough today. Take the points. PICK: Bengals +3 | |||||||
09-23-18 | Packers -2.5 v. Redskins | 17-31 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
The Redskins have showed early signs of a team not exactly knowing what they are trying to do. After last season's eye opening performance by Alex Smith, one in whihc he actually threw down the field, the skins let Cousins go for him. Now Smith is back to dink and dunk and they don't appear to have any offensive identity. Green Bay is no great shakes defensively but this Washington team can't score with them. Rodgers is too much in this spot, even if he is hobbled. Catching it at less than a FG is a bonus too. PICK: Green Bay -2.5 | |||||||
09-23-18 | Saints v. Falcons -2 | Top | 43-37 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
This might be the match up of the day. Two teams that have high powered offenses and are expected to be in the playoffs. The line opened with the Falcons being favored by 5, which is about where it should be. The fact that the line has gone to 2 is both baffling and potentially profitable for us. I would consider this an even game on a neutral field. Give me Atlanta at home and the edge goes way towards the Falcons. The Saints simply aren't the same on the road. PICK: Atlanta -2 | |||||||
09-22-18 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
There will be some runs in the nightcap as the Padres and Dodgers go with their 5th starters. Should be a lot of walks a few home runs and easily go,over this total. Take The OVER | |||||||
09-22-18 | Wisconsin v. Iowa UNDER 43.5 | 28-17 | Loss | -107 | 53 h 6 m | Show | |
This play is pretty straightforward. Wisconsin wants to run but Iowa has a very strong run defense. Iowa wants to run, but is bad at running/ Iowa hasn't really got their run game going and we don't expect that to change this week. If they have to rely on their passing game, that isn't good either. While Wisconsin losing to BYU at home last week was a disappointment, even worse was how BYU was able to stop them. Simply put, even with Jonathan Taylor, this isn't much of an offense Iowa has a solid defense and this should be close and very, very boring. PICK: UNDER 43.5 | |||||||
09-22-18 | Mariners v. Rangers -106 | 13-0 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
09-22-18 | Arkansas v. Auburn -29.5 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 52 h 10 m | Show | |
This might be the blowout of the day. Arkansas is coming off a game where they got smoked at home vs North Texas. Now they travel to an angry Auburn team that is loaded with talent, coming off a loss to LSU. Auburn will pour it on early and often, possibly scoring 55+ and Arkansas will have no answers. Jarrett Stidham goes off and so does this Tigers defense as Auburn takes out their frustrations. PICK: Auburn -29.5 | |||||||
09-22-18 | Cubs -1.5 v. White Sox | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
The Cubs got crushed last night as the Brewers moved to within a game and half of the Central lead. This game almost feels like a must win if the Cubs want to stay away from that Wild Card game. I don't like taking the run line but the Cubs have the clear pitching advantage and this game s the right situation. What better player to give he ball to than 3 time World Series champ John Lester. Lester cruises, the Cubs offense come alive against Lucas Giolito and they cover the 1.5. Take The Cubs on the run Line. | |||||||
09-22-18 | Tulane v. Ohio State -36.5 | 6-49 | Win | 100 | 48 h 42 m | Show | |
For the first time this season, Urban Meyer will be on the sidelines for Ohio State and this is just the matchup he needs to start feeling good. Tulane has been pretty decent thus far but they are taking a huge step up this week and it won't be pretty. Ohio State will look to run up the score and should score 50+ on Tulane. The Buckeye defense will be without Bosa, their D-line stud but have plenty of talent tomake up for it. Thier QB, Haskins has been lighting it up and that won't stop Saturday. The Tulane secondary is a bit of a joke in this spot. PICK: Ohio State - 36.5 | |||||||
09-22-18 | Georgia -14 v. Missouri | Top | 43-29 | Push | 0 | 45 h 32 m | Show |
I have been a big supporter of Missouri this season. I think Drew Lock and his weapons can be very dangerous. The Tigers don't have a great defense though and that will be a HUGE problem against a very talented Georgia team. Georgia hasn't had too put in much of an effort this year but they will be ready for this one. This step up in class is way too much and I see Georgia winning by 3+ TD. PICK: Georgia -14 | |||||||
09-22-18 | Minnesota +1.5 v. Maryland | 13-42 | Loss | -106 | 44 h 26 m | Show | |
Minnesota travels to Maryland on Saturday in what appears to be a pretty evenly matched game on paper. In reality, Maryland is far worse than they showed in that early win over Texas. Minnesota will slow the Maryland running game enough to make the Terps try to throw the ball. This is where they struggle. Tyler Johnson is a huge weapon for the Gophers and he figures to play a major role in their offense. Maryland has no one who can cover him. The better team wins outright on Saturday as Minnesota beats Maryland on the road. PICK: Minnesota +1.5 | |||||||
09-21-18 | Rockies +112 v. Diamondbacks | 6-2 | Win | 112 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks have fallen out of playoff contention in September simply because they started playing better teams. Zach Greinke has had a rough September for the same reason. Arizona is 4-10 in its last 14 games against the Cubs, Astros, Braves and these Rockies. Greinke pitched once against all 4 of those teams and gave up 26 hits, 5 walks, 5 home runs and 15 runs total. This game and series are huge for the Rockies as they sit 1.5 games back of the Wild Card. After taking 3-4 from Arizona last week the Rockies haven't played well losing 5 of 6 since. German Marquez pitched well in one of those losses but was let down by the offense. He pitched fantastic the start prior beating these Diamondbacks. He pitches well again and The Rockies get the win. The Pick: Take Colorado Money Line | |||||||
09-21-18 | Mets -137 v. Nationals | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
I don't know if anyone has pitched better than Jacob DeGrom this past month with little to show. In his last 5 starts, he's pitched 34 innings and only given up 22 hits and 9 runs. His offense usually lets them down but they won't in this one. Joe Ross is making only his second career start and after losing to the Cubs in his first, a strong outing by DeGrom and the Mets bats finally coming alive will give him loss #2. The Pick: Take The Mets on The Money Line. | |||||||
09-21-18 | Cubs v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 4-10 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
This total is too high for this matchup. You have an early start with Jose Quintana going for the Cubs and Reynaldo Lopez going for the White Sox. Quintana is solid every start it seems. He's good for 6 innings of 2 run ball. Lopez has been dominate the last month. This one will be close and low scoring The Pick: Take The OVER. | |||||||
09-20-18 | Jets v. Browns -3 | Top | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
The Jets came out of the gate strong, and that bodes well for their future especially with highly touted rookie QB Sam Darnold as their leader. Their defense, especially the secondary looks fast and physical. Offensively, the weapons are underrated. I particularly like Enunwa and Anderson. Darnold looks like a rookie, with both good and bad, but certainly encouraging. The Browns have had a strange start to the season. I'm sure they are disappointed that all they walked away with is a tie and a loss but there is no shame in losing in New Orleans, nor tying Pittsburgh, who has OWNED them over the years. While their future rests squarely on the shoulders of #1 pick, Baker Mayfield, this season (at least for now) is going to be Tyrod Taylor. The defense has a lot of talent ( albeit a sub par coach in Williams) and they should put it together tonight. Even though I think the Jets are slightly ahead of schedule, this looks to be Cleveland's first win. Taylor will limit mistakes and make enough plays to get the Browns to 20+ points and that should be enough to cover this modest number. The Jets numbers look good, but Detroit was horrible in that opening game and that has skewed the defensive stats to this point. While laying a few pts with Cleveland seems crazy, that's what we are doing tonight. PICK: Browns -3 | |||||||
09-20-18 | Phillies v. Braves -145 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Kevin Gausman has been a great addition for the Braves since coming over in a trade with Baltimore. After a full month of strong outings he has struggled a bit with his fatigue and control in the last 2 outings. After having his start pushed back a day for an extra day of rest and a start against the Phillies as opposed to the Cardinals, Gausman should be strong In this one. Velasquez has been very below average and hasn't gotten out of the 5th inning in his last 7 starts giving up 22 earned runs over that span. The Pick: Take The Braves Money Line | |||||||
09-20-18 | Rays -126 v. Blue Jays | 8-9 | Loss | -126 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
The Rays still have slim Wild Card hopes and if they have any chance to make up that 5 game deficit on Oakland this is a must win against the lowly Blue Jays. They are facing the right pitcher. Sam Gaviglio has only 3 wins on the season and none since May. He lacks control is not able to go deep in games which is not good news against the Rays red hot offense. I expect Rays reliever Ryan Stanek to pitch a flawless first inning and Yonny Chirinos to take over and continue his streak of strong outings. The Pick:Take The Rays Money Line | |||||||
09-19-18 | Angels +130 v. A's | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The A's are very good and will be dangerous if they can get past the Wild Card but I don't like them in this spot. Pitcher Brett Anderson threw a lot of innings in August then went to the DL with a shoulder strain. He came back and looked terrible against Baltimore. Angels pitcher Felix Pena hasn't gone under 6 innings in over a month due to better command and not many walks. Fade the Athletics here. The Pick: Take The Angels On The Money Line | |||||||
09-19-18 | Giants v. Padres OVER 7 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
The only reason I can think of for this total being this low is these two pitchers had good outings their last time out. Robbie Erlin is a reliever turned starter who can only give you maybe 4 innings. on the other side Chris Stratton was a complete disaster for months until his first complete game and shutout in his last start. Erlin gives up early runs and is pulled and Stratton is gets fatigued from last start and exits early as well. The Pick: Take The OVER | |||||||
09-19-18 | Royals v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
With Chris Archer and Heath Fillmyer on the mound this total makes no sense. Archer has been a major disappointment for the Pirates since coming over in a trade and Fillmyer has an ERA of 4.76, a WHIP of 1.43 and has given up 4 or more runs in 4 of his last 6 starts. The Pick: Take The OVER | |||||||
09-19-18 | Mets -118 v. Phillies | 0-4 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Went against Zack Elfin 5 days ago against the Marlins and didn't pick up the win as his offense exploded against the Marlins. That didn't change my thoughts on him. He's not very good and his offense won't be able to win the game for him against Syndergaard. The Pick: Take The Mets | |||||||
09-18-18 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a big game for both teams with the Braves looking to stay ahead of the NL East leader for home field in the 1st round and the Cardinals desperately trying to stay ahead of the NL West's second place team for a spot in the Wild Card game. This game features Anibal Sanchez for the Braves who has pitched better than his record indicates and Austin Gomber who has pitched much better as starting pitcher since becoming one in August. Sanchez has pitched very well since the start of August but his bats have let him down. Gomber has given up 15 earned runs in his last 7 starts but if you take out one 7 run disaster against the red hot Dodgers that earned run number drops to 8. Both guys will pitch well in this one. The Pick: Take The UNDER. | |||||||
09-18-18 | Mets +170 v. Phillies | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
In a way Philadelphia's Aaron Nola's season has started to mirror his teams season as a whole. Started strong for the first few months but has fizzled out of late. In game's that Nola started from April 21st to August 23rd The Phillies went 18-4. In Nola's last four starts they are 1-3 and he has been the culpri. Nola has allowed 14 hits, 7 home runs and 14 earned runs over that span. His slump couldn't have come at a worse time as his team folowed up a bad August with a horrendous start to September. Since September 1st the Phillies are 4-11. The Mets are actually playing very good baseball and are in my opinion the better team at the moment and are actually catching Philly in the standings. Matz doesn't have any wins to show for it but he has pitched well in last 5 starts only giving up 9 runs. I'm not sure if Nola is hurt or just fatigued but we're getting some good value here. The Pick : Take The Mets Money Line | |||||||
09-18-18 | Blue Jays -106 v. Orioles | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
Sometimes games involving 2 teams playing out the string gives some of the best value and this seems like a pitching mismatch with the clear better team having the advantag. The Blue Jays are 68-82 which is an incredible 25 games better than Baltimore. Aaron Sanchez is on the mound and after an awful start to this season he has pitched way better since June 1st. the Mets are 6-2 in games he's pitched in that span. For the Orioles Dylan Buddy takes the mound who has just been a disaster this entire season. The Pick: Take the Blue Jays Money Line | |||||||
09-17-18 | Seahawks v. Bears UNDER 43 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
Looking at these two teams and these two rosters, they are very similar in two ways. First there is a lack of star power on both offenses outside of Russell Wilson. The Seahawks lack any real threat at running back, their receiver corps doesn't scare anyone and to make matters worse their offensive line is garbage. The Bears are in the same boat they don't have a proven QB. Depending on who you listen to Mitchell Trubiskey and Jordan Howard are going to be very good players but they aren't quite there yet and the receiver corps are servicable group but they lack playmakers. On the otherhand both of these teams have very good defenses. The Bears defense is nasty and with the addition of Khalil Mack they may be as good as the Jaguars and Vikings by the time this year is over. The Seahawks defense is nowhere near as good as their Super Bowl days but they're still good enough especially up front to give the Bears offense some trouble. Take The UNDER | |||||||
09-17-18 | Rays v. Rangers UNDER 10.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
In his first career start on September 7th Adrian Sampson was a disaster an didn't make it out of the first inning Against Oakland. 5 days later vs the Angels he pitched well going 5 innings and only allowing 1 run and two hits. Sampson isn't as bad as his first start or as good as his second but he's good for 5-6 innings and only allowing a few runs. Glasgow had an awful start on the 5th against Toronto but other than that he's pitched well since being acquired at the deadline. This total is too high and should be 8 or 8.5. The Pick: Take The UNDER. | |||||||
09-17-18 | Royals v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 6-7 | Win | 111 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
This total shocked me a little when you look at the fact that Musgrave has been awful of late, allowing 4 or more runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. Keller is a fine pitcher who has feasted on the likes of the White Sox, Blue Jays and Orioles the last month. Pittsburgh's offense isn't anything special but it's better than those teams. The Pick: Take The OVER | |||||||
09-16-18 | Giants +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -102 | 49 h 4 m | Show |
Dallas is even worse off than I anticipated, which says a lot because I didn't think it would go well. Their offense doesn't seem to have a plan and even when they do, they can't execute. The line is good but not what it was and Zeke can't get it done alone. The Giants faced a tough take week one vs the Jags who have arguably the best defense in football. They should look better this week with Beckham and Barkley having nice outings. I will gladly gobble up these points in what should be in outright win PICK: GIANTS +3 | |||||||
09-16-18 | Patriots -1 v. Jaguars | 20-31 | Loss | -109 | 45 h 13 m | Show | |
Give me the Patriots at a virtual pickem any day of the week. This is not a look-ahead type game at all and I fully expect BB and his boys to be fired up for this one. The Pats basically have the blueprint on how to throw on the Jags but more importantly, their defense will be much more effective than it was in the playoffs last year. Bortles will struggle and their overrated running game can't carry them to enough points to stay with the Pats. Even if the Jags D really shows up, the Patriots are good for a 20+ PICK: Patriots -1 | |||||||
09-16-18 | Cardinals v. Rams -13 | 0-34 | Win | 100 | 45 h 31 m | Show | |
This isn't a typical Ryan Worden play. In fact, this is as square as it gets. But sometimes the public is right. This is one of those rare times I back a double digit NFL favorite ( they typically don't fare well ). The Rams defense is nasty. I mean NASTY. This will likely be Bradford's last game assuming Rosen is ready because it wont be pretty. Look for the Rams to coast in this one to a 3+ TD win PICK: Rams -13 | |||||||
09-16-18 | Colts v. Redskins -5.5 | 21-9 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 3 m | Show | |
Still not sold on Luck. He just isn't the same on some throws. We faded the Colts last week and will again Sunday. This Redskins squad is better than most think. I actually have a pretty large play on their season total ( over 7 ) as well. Alex Smith may not be the most exciting QB, but he knows how to win and they really seem to be running the ball well. Look for the Skins to take care of business at home. PICK: Redskins -5.5
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09-16-18 | Chiefs v. Steelers -4.5 | 42-37 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 35 m | Show | |
The Chiefs new offense, behind Mahomes sure looks like a high powered unit and the Steelers really couldn't have played much worse. But this my friends is why we get this beautiful point spread. Week 2 is overreactions everywhere. Big Ben has sucked on the road for years. He is completely different at home. The Chiefs have a horrific defense as evidenced by Rivers doing whatever he wanted. Mahomes is going to get a rude awakening and the Steelers are going to score big in Pitt. PICK: Steelers -4.5 | |||||||
09-15-18 | Missouri -6 v. Purdue | 40-37 | Loss | -102 | 49 h 46 m | Show | |
Purdue is exactly what we thought they would be. Uninspiring on offense and mediocre defensively. Losing to Eastern Michigan and Northwestern at home sure put a damper on any expectations they might have had for this year. Missouri, led by NFL prospect Drew Lock will get revenge from their embarrassing 35-3 loss last year as they pour it on scoring 30+ as WR Emanuel Hall lights up the Boilermakers secondary. PICK: Missouri -6 | |||||||
09-15-18 | Diamondbacks v. Astros OVER 8 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
Look for fireworks Saturday night between these two teams. These two offenses have been running hot lately, especially Houston who is getting healthy at the right time. The two pitchers taking the mound have nice resumes on paper but neither has been living up to their season numbers of late and both are in the top 20 in walks allowed (Godley 9th, Morton tied for 17th) Two hot offenses + walks = Over ticket cashed. The Pick: Take The OVER. | |||||||
09-15-18 | Houston -1.5 v. Texas Tech | 49-63 | Loss | -106 | 46 h 48 m | Show | |
In what may be the shootout of the weekend, we turn our attention to the road team in this spot. Houston is flat out dangerous on offense and there is no clear way Tech can slow them down. The difference here is Houston actually has some defensive play makers, particularly stud DT Ed Oliver who should cause major problems for Texas Tech. Look for Houston to be up for this game and show the nation why they are now the better Texas team. PICK: Houston -1.5 | |||||||
09-15-18 | LSU +10.5 v. Auburn | 22-21 | Win | 100 | 45 h 16 m | Show | |
LSU travels to Auburn on this classic SEC clash on Saturday. This match up is interesting because LSU hasn't shown much in the way of offense but their defense looks as stout as ever. For me, it comes down to 10.5 simply being way too many points. Look for LSU to shut down the Auburn running game, making them one dimensional. While Auburn obviously has the better passing attack, with Stidham at QB, that alone won't be enough to cover this double digit number. LSU puts up a fight. PICK: LSU +10.5 | |||||||
09-15-18 | SMU v. Michigan -35.5 | 20-45 | Loss | -106 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Michigan is a different team at home and it will show Saturday as they take out their frustrations on this hapless SMU squad. SMU is supposed to be known for their passing game but even that has struggled - last week totalling a paltry 111 yards vs TCU. Michigan looks like they may actually have some receivers and a competent passing game this year. This is a big number but Michigan will open up the passing game after establishing their punishing ground attack. Look for Patterson to hit some big plays early and Michigan to hang 50 on SMU. PICK: Michigan -35.5 | |||||||
09-15-18 | Dodgers v. Cardinals +132 | 17-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
The Dodgers took game 1 of this important series Friday night to pull into a tie with St Louis for the second Wild Card spot. That was a big win for L.A. because Saturday afternoons pitching matchup clearly favors St Louis. Old man Rich Hill is starting to show his age coming down the stretch. Even though he has won his last 2 starts he didn't pitch well in either game, bailed out by the offense both times. Hill has given up 5 home runs and 15 earned runs in his last 5 starts. He shouldn't count on the bats to bail him out Saturday as John Gant has been lights out at home. He's only given up a total of 5 earned runs in his last 7 home starts. Cardinals take game 2 Saturday. The Pick: St Louis Money Line. | |||||||
09-15-18 | Florida State v. Syracuse +3 | 7-30 | Win | 100 | 41 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm all in on Syracuse signal caller Eric Dungey. Their offense should have no problem moving the ball against this confused and toothless FSU defense. This is a big home game for Syracuse who has been searching for a decent football team for a while now. Expect the dome to be rocking. FSU is simply terrible. Yes, I realize they are theoretically the more talented team but they are not motivated and just escaped Samford after getting mauled by VT. Syracuse may give up some points in this one but will prevail and go to 3-0. PICK: Syracuse +3 | |||||||
09-14-18 | Nationals -142 v. Braves | 5-10 | Loss | -142 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Kevin Gausman has pitched well, going 4-2 for Atlanta since coming over from the Orioles at the trade deadline. Most of his starts have come against bad teams who have been out of contention for a while. When he faced a step up in competition, he struggled in his last start against the Diamondbacks. I'm not saying the Nationals are good by any means as they are probably the most disappointing team this season. But when you can get Max Scherzer at this price you take it. He'll go out and strike out 10+ batters and get the win. The Pick: Take The Nationals On The Money Line. | |||||||
09-14-18 | Tigers +163 v. Indians | 5-4 | Win | 163 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Indians are already preparing for the postseason and manager Terry Francona indicated he will tweak the lineup Friday night and move a few players around to insert Josh Donaldson at 3rd base. Josh Tomlin will get the spot start tonight after being sent to the bullpen May 15th for being terrible. He hasn't been much better coming out of the pen. With The Indians bats cold of late and Detroit pitcher Mathew Boyd winning 3 of his last 4 starts this is a great spot to fade the Indians. The Pick: Take Detroit On The Money Line. | |||||||
09-14-18 | White Sox -108 v. Orioles | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Both teams snapped long losing streaks in their last game but most important it was one game closer to the end of the 2018 misery. Chicago goes with James Shields tonight who is a shell of his former self but has always pitched well against the Orioles and has dominated at Camden Yards. More important than that though is the Orioles are fielding a minor league team with Ortiz making his first career start. Take Chicago On The Money Line | |||||||
09-14-18 | Marlins +166 v. Phillies | 2-14 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami is 3-7 in their last 10 games and has lost 3 straight. Unfortunately for the Phillies fans and their Wild Card hopes the Marlins are the hotter team coming into this series. Philadelphia has lost 5 straight, are 2-8 in their last 10 and are 6-17 in their last 23. This line is a little more outrageous when you factor in Chen is the better pitcher right now. Elfin has been a disaster for the better part of 2 months. Take The Marlins On The Money Line. | |||||||
09-13-18 | Ravens -1 v. Bengals | Top | 23-34 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Last year the Ravens, led by Flacco were woeful on offense. This was partly due to Flacco never being fully healthy and even more so the fact that they simply had too few weapons. This offseason has seen Flacco look much better and the addition of 3 important weapons in, Snead, Crabtree and Brown. The Bengals should also be much better this year but they are overmatched tonight. Baltimore will continue to impress on both sides of the ball and get the win tonight in what is a revenge game ( Bengals knocked them out of the playoffs in the final game last year). PICK: Ravens -1
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09-13-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 10 | 3-10 | Push | 0 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Going back to Coors Field for another total in this series. Same thought process as before. Bucholz and Freeland are both too good for a total this high. I don't care what stadium or altitude they are playing in. Take The UNDER 10. | |||||||
09-12-18 | Pirates -112 v. Cardinals | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Getting great value here on Taillon who has been Sensational since Late June. The last time the Cardinals faced Taillon was June 1st, back when he was still inconsistent. That didn't stop him from blanking the Cards over 8 innings that day. He has another great outing here. Take The Pirates On The Money Line. | |||||||
09-12-18 | Indians v. Rays +100 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a great pitching matchup on paper but if you look a little deeper Snell and the Rays have the advantage in this one. Carrasco seems to be wearing down a bit and has struggled against better teams. He hasn't beaten a team with a winning record in 2 months while Snell has beaten the Indians, Red Sox and Yanks in the last month alone. With how well they are playing at the Trop I'm taking the Rays. Take The Rays On The Money Line. | |||||||
09-12-18 | Dodgers v. Reds +183 | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Dodgers all star Ross Stripling is coming off dl and will have a pitch count of below 50, DeSciafani has pitched well of late and the Reds have the Dodgers number this season. Add those 3 factors up and this is a good spot to back the nearly 2-1 dog. Take The Reds On The Money Line | |||||||
09-11-18 | White Sox v. Royals -132 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
In this lost season for the Royals, Brad Keller has been one of the few bright spots. Since being moved from the bullpen to the starting rotation in June the 23-year-old has gotten better each start and seems to be pitch well every time out now giving the Royals a chance to win. Dylan Covey is the opposite. He has been bounced back and forth between the starting rotation and bullpen and is only making this start due to injury. Take The Royals Money Line | |||||||
09-11-18 | Brewers v. Cubs -122 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
The Brewers took game 1 of this all-important series Monday night to pull even in the win column atop the NL Central. In game 2 you have a pitching rematch from 6 days ago won by Jose Quintana and the Cubs. I think we'll have a repeat in the outcome in this one as well. Jhoulys Chacin has been shaky of late and was completely off his game against the Cubs at home in his last outing. Chicago is home here, in a game they desperately need after losing last night and Quintana has been dialed in for weeks now. The Cubs will get it done and tie the series. Take The Cubs On The Money Line | |||||||
09-10-18 | Rams -4.5 v. Raiders | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
The Rams shot up to the top of the NFC West last season and look to be even better this year. With Jared Goff in year 3, Todd Gurley fresh and ready to go after sitting out the preseason and Brandin Cooks joining an already good receiving corps the Rams offense looks to be explosive tonight against a Raider defense that was already suspect before they traded the best defensive player in the NFL to Chicago. The matchup on the other side of the ball is also a mismatch. This Rams defense looks like they will be better than last season with some fantastic off season additions and the Raiders haven't done Derek Carr any favors with the weapons they have put around him. The Rams cruise on opening night. Lay the points and take The Rams. | |||||||
09-10-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 10 | 2-13 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Going back to Coors field and a total that seems too high for this pitching matchup. German Marquez has pitched very well the last couple of months winning 6 of his last 7 decisions and allowing more than 2 runs just twice in his last 12 starts. He's also pitched well at home giving up 11 earned runs in his last 5 starts combined at Coors. Zack Godley has been good for Arizona all season and he will be fresh and ready to go after a missing his last start for the birth of his child. With a run total this high these two pitchers don't have to be great, just good. Take The UNDER 10. | |||||||
09-10-18 | Indians -142 v. Rays | 5-6 | Loss | -142 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay is one of the hottest teams in baseball. They swept the Oroles over the weekend, have won 16 of their last 19 and are an amazing 32-8 at home the last 3 months. All that doesn't mean much with Corey Kluber on the mound. Kluber, Verlander and Chris Sale are the best pitchers in the American League and Kluber is better than both his counterparts at the moment. Kluber is 7-1 in his last 8 starts and have been lights out in his last 2. I'm riding the Ace again tonight. Take Cleveland on the money line. | |||||||
09-10-18 | Jets v. Lions -7 | 48-17 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lione have the distinction of having the most regular season wins since 2014 without a playoff during that time. That means that they're good enough to win some football games but aren't quite good enough to get over the hump and join the upper echelon of teams. Just good enough will be plenty good in this opener against the Jets. With all the hype in NY surrounding Sam Darnold everyone needs to remember that he's about to become the youngest QB since the merger to start opening week and there will be growing pains. Darnold may turn out to be the The QB the Jets have dreamed of but going to Detroit on MNF with that offensive line, a lack of weapons (especially with an injury to possession WR Jermaine Kearse) and a defense that will struggle to get to the quarterback will be too much to overcome. Lay the points and take the Lions. | |||||||
09-09-18 | Cowboys v. Panthers -2.5 | 8-16 | Win | 100 | 53 h 52 m | Show | |
Siding with Carolina boils down to me having very little faith in the Cowboys offense. Prescott relies on the run game, especially since he has such an obvious lack of weapons. The problem on Sunday will be that staunch Carolina run defense. Expect the Panthers to really force the ball out of Zeke's hands and into Dak's arm. On the other side of the ball, Carolina should be able to put up 20+ which is plenty in a game like this. There are more questions than answers in this offensive unit (starting with Newton's inconsistency but we lay less than a FG and take the home team in this spot. PICK: Carolina -2.5 | |||||||
09-09-18 | Chiefs v. Chargers -3 | 38-28 | Loss | -130 | 52 h 3 m | Show | |
Every year I like the Chargers and they manage to screw it up. They may very well do so again but this team is LOADED. The bookends of Bosa and Ingram are the best in the league and they are going to make Mahomes have a tough start. The Chargers also sport a very solid secondary. Offensively, Rivers still looks great and he has weapons everywhere. The Chiefs, too, have a lot of firepower. Oddly, though, it's almost like the national narrative is that Mahomes is already a star. He had a lot of issues to work on and I'm not ready to crown him quite yet. Let's see how he does against a very good LA defense. The Chiefs may make some big plays with Hill and Watkins but it won't be enough. 3 is a gift and we will take it! PICK: Chargers -3 | |||||||
09-09-18 | Bengals +3 v. Colts | Top | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 49 h 18 m | Show |
While the long anticipated wait for Andrew Luck is over, this doesn't solve a lot of the other problems the Colts have. Even if Luck plays well, it should take him some time to find that old form. Unfortunately for the Colts, they are running into the wrong team on Sunday. The Bengals are coming off a bad year, riddled with injuries and inconsistent play. That should all change this year. Dalton looked great in the preseason/camp and he is a full arsenal of weapons including Eifert back from injury and Ross ( the first round WR that played under 20 snaps last year). I really, really like this Bengals team. I expect the D-line, mainly Dunlap and Atkins to really be in Luck's face all game and steal this one on the road. PICK: Bengals +3 | |||||||
09-09-18 | Jaguars -3 v. Giants | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 49 h 12 m | Show | |
The Giants backers are hopeful after the signing of Beckham and the drafting of Barkley - and rightfully so. However, they are nowhere near the team that the Jaguars currently field. Look, I don't like Marrone and this Jags offense anymore than the next guy but they are going to destroy the Giants in the trenches. It's very difficult to run on the Jags and when they make a team one dimensional, it gets ugly quick. The fact that Ramsey should neutralize Beckham is icing on the cake. Look for Eli to be on his back and the Jags to put together enough drives to put this one away. Going with the road chalk... PICK: Jaguars -3 | |||||||
09-09-18 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 44 | 21-21 | Win | 100 | 49 h 5 m | Show | |
The Browns are loaded with talent after all these years of drafting at or near the top. While this may or may not translate on the field, we do expect them to be steadier with Tyrod Taylor at the helm. While Taylor almost never turns the ball over, he is hesitant to pull the trigger as well. Other than turnovers, the one area that should see vast improvement is the defense - specifically because Miles Garrett is a beast - nearly unstoppable ala JJ Watt. The Steelers, with our without Bell, have a formidable offense. However the conditions are expected to be wet and windy and we expect Tomlin to try to run the ball a bit more than usual. While there will be some big plays, the consistent nature of Tyrod and the improved Browns defense lead us to believe that this total was simply priced too high. PICK: UNDER 44 |
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