10-26-19 |
Miami-FL +5 v. Pittsburgh | | 16-12 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
|
10-26-19 |
Illinois v. Purdue -9.5 | | 24-6 |
Loss | -107 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
|
10-20-19 |
Ravens v. Seahawks -3 | | 30-16 |
Loss | -110 | 56 h 44 m | Show |
|
10-20-19 |
Dolphins v. Bills -16.5 | | 21-31 |
Loss | -109 | 147 h 56 m | Show |
|
10-20-19 |
Texans v. Colts -1 | | 23-30 |
Win | 100 | 75 h 6 m | Show |
|
10-20-19 |
Rams -3 v. Falcons | | 37-10 |
Win | 101 | 46 h 20 m | Show |
|
10-19-19 |
Michigan v. Penn State -8.5 | | 21-28 |
Loss | -112 | 33 h 12 m | Show |
|
10-19-19 |
Florida State v. Wake Forest | | 20-22 |
Loss | -110 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
|
10-19-19 |
Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | | 45-27 |
Loss | -106 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
Baylor is getting a lot of credit in this spot and I’m not sure it’s deserved. OK State has been far from consistent but I fully expect them to score a pile of points in this Baylor D. Coming off the BYE week look for Grundy to come up with a good scheme and OK State to find the endzone early and often. 35+ points will be too much for Baylor to keep up with. I have this line at around a TD and will gladly lay the small points today PICK: OKLAHOMA STATE -3.5 |
10-19-19 |
Florida -4.5 v. South Carolina | | 38-27 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
|
10-17-19 |
Chiefs -3 v. Broncos | | 30-6 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
|
10-14-19 |
Lions v. Packers -3.5 | Top | 22-23 |
Loss | -110 | 92 h 13 m | Show |
|
10-13-19 |
Titans v. Broncos -2 | | 0-16 |
Win | 100 | 95 h 10 m | Show |
|
10-13-19 |
Cowboys v. Jets +7.5 | | 22-24 |
Win | 100 | 32 h 50 m | Show |
|
10-13-19 |
Falcons v. Cardinals +2.5 | | 33-34 |
Win | 100 | 90 h 60 m | Show |
|
10-13-19 |
Texans v. Chiefs -4.5 | | 31-24 |
Loss | -110 | 95 h 28 m | Show |
|
10-13-19 |
Saints +1.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 13-6 |
Win | 100 | 92 h 46 m | Show |
|
10-12-19 |
Florida v. LSU -12.5 | | 28-42 |
Win | 100 | 70 h 6 m | Show |
|
10-12-19 |
Penn State v. Iowa +3.5 | | 17-12 |
Loss | -109 | 69 h 27 m | Show |
|
10-12-19 |
Ole Miss +12.5 v. Missouri | | 27-38 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
|
10-12-19 |
Army -4.5 v. Western Kentucky | | 8-17 |
Loss | -102 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
|
10-12-19 |
Iowa State -10 v. West Virginia | | 38-14 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
|
10-12-19 |
Alabama -16.5 v. Texas A&M | | 47-28 |
Win | 100 | 70 h 28 m | Show |
|
10-12-19 |
Oklahoma v. Texas +11 | | 34-27 |
Win | 100 | 62 h 58 m | Show |
|
10-10-19 |
Giants v. Patriots -17 | Top | 14-35 |
Win | 100 | 31 h 49 m | Show |
The Giants are without their top 3 weapons - Barkley, Shepherd and Engram. Sure, the number kind of takes this into account but this game will be where the rubber meets the road for Daniel Jones. BB makes a living destroying young quarterbacks. This is going to be a disaster and I would likely bet the Patriots -24... PICK: New England -17 |
10-07-19 |
Browns +5 v. 49ers | | 3-31 |
Loss | -108 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
This matchup is a simple matter of value. I have this rated as even on a neutral site yet we catch 5 on the road implying a 2 pt differential. Not sure who either of the teams are yet but I expect the browns to play well enough to be in this with a chance to win |
10-06-19 |
Colts v. Chiefs -11 | | 19-13 |
Loss | -104 | 83 h 19 m | Show |
|
10-06-19 |
Packers v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 34-24 |
Loss | -125 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
The Cowboys are in a great spot in terms of public perception today. Coming off a poor performance is always a positive in terms of value and also, we have the bettors still loving Rodgers when he has really been pretty pedestrian. Dallas is simply the better team and they play at home. The loss of Adams is a big deal to this Packers passing game and it will show today. PICK: Cowboys -3 |
10-06-19 |
Vikings v. Giants +6 | | 28-10 |
Loss | -115 | 76 h 2 m | Show |
|
10-06-19 |
Bills +3 v. Titans | | 14-7 |
Win | 100 | 76 h 0 m | Show |
|
10-06-19 |
Falcons v. Texans -4 | | 32-53 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
|
10-06-19 |
Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 | | 26-23 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
|
10-05-19 |
Washington v. Stanford +16.5 | | 13-23 |
Win | 100 | 75 h 24 m | Show |
|
10-05-19 |
California v. Oregon -17.5 | | 7-17 |
Loss | -115 | 73 h 53 m | Show |
|
10-05-19 |
Tulsa v. SMU -12.5 | Top | 37-43 |
Loss | -110 | 52 h 27 m | Show |
This may be my squarest best bet of the year but sometimes a blowout presents itself and you have to accept that the number still isn't high enough. This is one of those cases. SMU is an offensive machine and there is little chance Tulsa can keep up with them. I don't think SMU has enjoyed enough success to be complacent and they should hang a big number today PICK: SMU -12.5 |
10-05-19 |
Auburn v. Florida +3 | | 13-24 |
Win | 100 | 68 h 24 m | Show |
|
10-05-19 |
Ball State v. Northern Illinois -4 | | 27-20 |
Loss | -108 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
Northern Illinois has had a tough start to the season with road games vs Nebraska, Utah, and Vanderbilt. The competition gets much easier Saturday and they are a good home team. Look for them to get an easy win here PICK: Northern Illinois - 4 |
10-05-19 |
Boston College v. Louisville -5.5 | | 39-41 |
Loss | -110 | 65 h 25 m | Show |
|
10-05-19 |
Kent State v. Wisconsin -36 | | 0-48 |
Win | 100 | 65 h 56 m | Show |
|
10-03-19 |
Rams v. Seahawks -1.5 | Top | 29-30 |
Loss | -105 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
I don't know if there are any teams I wouldn't bet against laying this short of a number in Seattle in prime time. This is one of the most difficult places to play and the line is here largely because of last season. I'm not sure if the bettors have fully realized how much this Rams team is struggling to protect Goff and in the secondary, It's important to note that there has likely been an overreaction to the Rams getting smoked at home and giving up 55 points. But the Rams have SERIOUS issues on their OL and this is not a good spot for them at all. I expect Seattle to move the ball enough when they need to ( when they let Wilson loose) and make life really tough on Goff. While there are a lot of different considerations in handicapping this game comes down to the one bad match up for me - that Rams OL is in for a bad night. PICK: Seattle -1.5 |
09-29-19 |
Vikings v. Bears -1.5 | | 6-16 |
Win | 100 | 69 h 30 m | Show |
|
09-29-19 |
Chiefs -6.5 v. Lions | | 34-30 |
Loss | -110 | 160 h 12 m | Show |
|
09-29-19 |
Raiders v. Colts -6.5 | | 31-24 |
Loss | -110 | 66 h 6 m | Show |
|
09-29-19 |
Titans +4 v. Falcons | | 24-10 |
Win | 100 | 66 h 5 m | Show |
|
09-28-19 |
Hawaii v. Nevada -1.5 | | 54-3 |
Loss | -105 | 84 h 11 m | Show |
|
09-28-19 |
Kansas State v. Oklahoma State -4 | | 13-26 |
Win | 100 | 81 h 47 m | Show |
|
09-28-19 |
New Mexico v. Liberty -7 | | 10-17 |
Push | 0 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
|
09-28-19 |
SMU v. South Florida +7.5 | | 48-21 |
Loss | -105 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
|
09-28-19 |
Clemson -27 v. North Carolina | | 21-20 |
Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
|
09-28-19 |
Ole Miss v. Alabama -37.5 | | 31-59 |
Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
|
09-28-19 |
Arkansas v. Texas A&M -21.5 | | 27-31 |
Loss | -109 | 135 h 48 m | Show |
|
09-28-19 |
Central Michigan +17.5 v. Western Michigan | Top | 15-31 |
Win | 100 | 74 h 43 m | Show |
|
09-27-19 |
Arizona State v. California -4.5 | | 24-17 |
Loss | -104 | 121 h 20 m | Show |
|
09-26-19 |
Navy +12 v. Memphis | | 23-35 |
Push | 0 | 95 h 50 m | Show |
|
09-23-19 |
Bears v. Redskins +5.5 | | 31-15 |
Loss | -110 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
Look, I know a lot of folks are expecting the Bears to make it nearly impossible for the Skins to move the ball. I realize the Bears won 12 games last year and Washington is basically directionless. That said, how can you lay 5+ points on the road with Trubisky leading an offense that can’t do anything? I’m all over the home dog in this scenario. We got a low total in what may be an ugly game and I will GLADLY take The points in a game the redskins will have a shot to win outrught PICK: Redskins +5.5 |
09-22-19 |
Texans +3.5 v. Chargers | | 27-20 |
Win | 100 | 126 h 0 m | Show |
|
09-22-19 |
Steelers +7 v. 49ers | Top | 20-24 |
Win | 100 | 54 h 37 m | Show |
|
09-22-19 |
Panthers v. Cardinals +3 | | 38-20 |
Loss | -125 | 124 h 41 m | Show |
|
09-22-19 |
Jets +23 v. Patriots | Top | 14-30 |
Win | 100 | 50 h 13 m | Show |
|
09-21-19 |
UCLA v. Washington State -18.5 | Top | 67-63 |
Loss | -107 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
|
09-21-19 |
Oklahoma State v. Texas -6.5 | | 30-36 |
Loss | -108 | 33 h 46 m | Show |
|
09-21-19 |
Temple -13.5 v. Buffalo | | 22-38 |
Loss | -109 | 101 h 8 m | Show |
|
09-21-19 |
Auburn v. Texas A&M -3.5 | | 28-20 |
Loss | -103 | 70 h 18 m | Show |
|
09-21-19 |
Washington -6 v. BYU | | 45-19 |
Win | 100 | 70 h 16 m | Show |
|
09-20-19 |
Utah -3.5 v. USC | | 23-30 |
Loss | -110 | 52 h 49 m | Show |
Utah is simply too physical for this USC team. Not a huge home field advantage as we all know going to LA. UTAH rolls USC on Friday night and continues their trek to the PAC12 championship PICK: Utah -3.5 |
09-19-19 |
Titans -1.5 v. Jaguars | | 7-20 |
Loss | -108 | 58 h 57 m | Show |
|
09-19-19 |
Houston v. Tulane -4.5 | | 31-38 |
Win | 100 | 58 h 41 m | Show |
|
09-16-19 |
Browns -2 v. Jets | | 23-3 |
Win | 100 | 175 h 11 m | Show |
|
09-15-19 |
Eagles v. Falcons | Top | 20-24 |
Loss | -104 | 151 h 18 m | Show |
|
09-15-19 |
Bears v. Broncos | | 16-14 |
Win | 100 | 147 h 22 m | Show |
|
09-15-19 |
Saints v. Rams -2.5 | | 9-27 |
Win | 100 | 75 h 43 m | Show |
This game comes down to value. I have the Rams rated slightly better than the Saints and they are only laying 2.5 at home. I realize the Rams don't really have a full home field advantage, the Saints are much worse on the road than the typical team. The Saints looked vulnerable defensively, giving up huge chunk plays to the Texans. McVay definitely took note and I expect the Rams to take advantage of some of the weaknesses in that secondary. Look for big plays from Woods, Cooks and Kupp PICK: Rams -2.5 |
09-15-19 |
Chargers v. Lions +3 | | 10-13 |
Win | 100 | 71 h 21 m | Show |
The Chargers are a mash unit. They are missing their TE, best safety, best RB, best OL... Detroit gets the points at home because they blew the lead to Arizona late. While it was a pretty pathetic loss, there is still a lot to like about Detroit in this spot. I see The Lions getting to Rivers enough and I like their offense at home. Week 2 is a great betting week as the public tends to overreact to week one results. Their is definitely value in the Lions Sunday PICK: Lions +3 |
09-15-19 |
Colts v. Titans -3 | | 19-17 |
Loss | -120 | 24 h 24 m | Show |
|
09-15-19 |
Bills v. Giants | Top | 28-14 |
Win | 100 | 144 h 58 m | Show |
|
09-14-19 |
Montana v. Oregon -35.5 | | 3-35 |
Loss | -120 | 2 h 46 m | Show |
|
09-14-19 |
Southern Miss +3 v. Troy | | 47-42 |
Win | 100 | 31 h 28 m | Show |
Even though Southern Miss got beat pretty badly at Miss St last week, there were things to like. This is a big step down in class for Southern Miss and a big step up for Troy. Troy is no pushover and sports a decent rushing attack but ultimately I have to take the field goal here' PICK: Southern Miss +3 |
09-14-19 |
UMass v. Charlotte -21 | | 17-52 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
UMASS cannot stop anyone - hell, they gave up 45 to Southern Illinois and made an offensively challenged Rutgers look like they were unstoppable. Charlotte is a high octane offense already scoring 49 and 41. While their defense is Swiss cheese, UMASS is a rebuilding squad with no downfield play ability Look for Charlotte to score 45+ and grab the 4 TD+ win Charlotte -21 |
09-14-19 |
Arizona State v. Michigan State -13.5 | Top | 10-7 |
Loss | -107 | 123 h 58 m | Show |
|
09-14-19 |
Alabama -25 v. South Carolina | | 47-23 |
Loss | -110 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
Here we have the blowout of the day. This is not a particularly talented South Carolina team and Alabama always travels well. Even if Bama stumbles a bit, they should put up 45 and South Carolina simply can't sustain drives against this Elite defense PICK: Alabama -25 |
09-14-19 |
East Carolina v. Navy -7 | | 10-42 |
Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
Navy has been a surprise thus far, playing solid defense, which was an expected weakness. The Midshipmen should have success on the ground with their triple option attack against an ECU defense that doesn't impress. PICK: Navy -7 |
09-14-19 |
Oklahoma State -13.5 v. Tulsa | | 40-21 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
OK State will prove to be too difficult a matchup for the Tulsa defense. They can attack via ground or air and they will score 40+. Tulsa isn’t a pushover but they would prefer to keep the ball on the ground. Eventually they will need to throw to keep pace and that’s when I expect it to get ugly PICK: Oklahoma State -13.5 |
09-14-19 |
Air Force +3.5 v. Colorado | | 30-23 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
|
09-14-19 |
Pittsburgh v. Penn State -17 | | 10-17 |
Loss | -106 | 119 h 52 m | Show |
|
09-14-19 |
NC State -6.5 v. West Virginia | | 27-44 |
Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
WVU is terrible this year. Their reputation seems to be what is keeping this number at below a TD. The West Virginia running game is the worst in the NCAA with 64 yards on 56 carries! The OL is bad and they are making major mistakes repeatedly. The new system under Neal Brown is not working or they simply haven't figured it out yet. Doubt they will this week NC State had a lot of questions heading into this year but they are looking good. New QB Matt Mckay is making plays and seems to have the offense under control. Their defense upfront is stout and they should smack this WVU team even as a road dog. PICK; NC State -6.5 |
09-14-19 |
Kansas State +7.5 v. Mississippi State | | 31-24 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 46 m | Show |
I really like the way kstate is playing offense this year. I think they will find enough success on the road to make this a pretty high scoring affair which should easily give them the cover and a shot at an outright road win PICK: Kansas State +7.5 |
09-13-19 |
North Carolina v. Wake Forest -3 | | 18-24 |
Win | 100 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
After having rode UNC early this year - last week cashing on an outright win at +5, this week I expect the party to end for Mack Brown. Wake Forrest has a dangerous offense led by QB Jamie Newman. Newman should pick apart this UNC secondary. Although Wake hasn't been dominant on the ground, Carolina hasn't had a good run defense in years and it's not much different this year. Look, UNC has found ways to win but this isn't sustainable. The better team gets the home win tonight by 7+ PICK: Wake Forrest -3 |
09-09-19 |
Broncos v. Raiders +3 | | 16-24 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
I don’t have to tell you anything about the Antonio Brown saga as it’s been all that we have been hearing about for weeks. While AB is no doubt a weapon, I still think the Raiders can score some without him. I really like the rookie running back, Jacobs and Carr has a lot to prove. On the other side of the ball we have Flacco, who is arguably the worst starter in the league. While the game should be close, I will gladly take the field goal handicap. PICK: Raiders +3 |
09-08-19 |
Steelers +6 v. Patriots | | 3-33 |
Loss | -115 | 104 h 0 m | Show |
|
09-08-19 |
Lions -2.5 v. Cardinals | | 27-27 |
Loss | -115 | 100 h 7 m | Show |
|
09-08-19 |
49ers v. Bucs | | 31-17 |
Loss | -110 | 70 h 20 m | Show |
I don't really know where the niners support is coming from. Jimmy G looked pretty awful in preseason and training camp and their defense is below average. Tampa should be involved in a lot of shootouts but this offense is for real. Arians and Winston look like a perfect match and Tampa will throw all over this secondary. Big big games from Evans, Godwin and co.. PICK: Bucs ( pickem) |
09-08-19 |
Ravens -7 v. Dolphins | | 59-10 |
Win | 100 | 98 h 6 m | Show |
The Dolphins are a train wreck. Their weakest unit is the offensive line and it recently got worse with the trade of Tunsil. The Ravens physical Defensive front will give Fitzpatrick trouble all day. While I'm not sure what to expect of this run heavy Ravens offense, generally when a new style is introduced you will find early season success. It's hard to know where Miami is motivation wise when the front office is obviously tanking but we do know that the Ravens will be ready to roll. And roll they will PICK: Ravens -7 |
09-08-19 |
Titans v. Browns -5 | | 43-13 |
Loss | -107 | 98 h 5 m | Show |
This is the "squarest" of my picks but I really believe in the Browns. While much of the press has gone to their potent offense led by Mayfield and now OBJ, it's their defense that should make them a contender. So much speed and talent and Garrett is an absolute monster. The Titans won't be able to keep up with Cleveland who should score 25+. I expect them to try to control the clock but not have much success on the ground. In the end, Cleveland will just be too much and will get the 7+ pt win at home. PICK: Browns -5 |
09-08-19 |
Redskins v. Eagles -9.5 | | 27-32 |
Loss | -110 | 97 h 46 m | Show |
Philly may be the most complete team in the NFL. The Redskins are looking like a bottom 3 unit. Week 1 is a good time to take advantage of teams that bettors assume aren't going to be terrible. I have a feeling if this game takes place mid season the line is over 10. While division foes typically favor the underdog, this Redskins team has a horrible QB situation and no real weapons to speak of. More concerning is their bad offensive line and now it looks like their starting left tackle, Trent Williams is going to sit this one out. The Eagles will cause trouble for the Skins' offense all day and this could be a big rout. PICK: Eagles -9.5 |
09-07-19 |
Arkansas State v. UNLV | | 43-17 |
Loss | -109 | 1 h 15 m | Show |
|
09-07-19 |
Miami-FL v. North Carolina +5 | | 25-28 |
Win | 100 | 31 h 37 m | Show |
I think Miami is the slightly better team and we aren't getting the best line here because of the fact that UNC found a way to beat SC opening week BUT I'm backing the home dog in this spot. UNC is fired up and rightfully so. They look solid on both sides of the ball and I expect them to get pressure against a suspect Miami offensive line. This game should be close and I'll gladly take the points at home. PICK: North Carolina +5 |
09-07-19 |
Tulane v. Auburn -17 | | 6-24 |
Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
So last week we got beat at the buzzer by a wounded duck throw by Nix since we had Oregon +4. While I didn't think the Auburn offense impressed much, their defense is even better than billed. This week Tulane rolls in and they do not have 1/10 the talent and speed of a team like Oregon. I don't see any way they can put drives together. Tulane relies heavily on an up tempo run game and Auburn sports a top 3 defensive line in the nation PICK: Auburn -17 |
09-07-19 |
Central Florida -10 v. Florida Atlantic | | 48-14 |
Win | 100 | 76 h 56 m | Show |
Consider this modest 10 pt spread a gift. UCF is primed to blow the doors off FAU. FAU relied heavily on now Buffalo Bill RB Devin Singletary and does not appear to have found a decent replacement. Their air attack won’t be enough to keep up with a UCF team that should score 35+ PICK: UCF -10 |
09-07-19 |
Southern Miss +16 v. Mississippi State | | 15-38 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 0 m | Show |
This line is too high for a Southern Miss team that should be competitive. Miss St had an amazing d last year but they only return 3 starters. While Southern may still struggle to run the ball, they should have enough success through the air to keep this one close enough. Bottom line is Southern Miss has the defense to keep this one competitive and we will gladly take the hefty points. PICK: Southern Miss +16 |
09-07-19 |
Texas A&M +17.5 v. Clemson | Top | 10-24 |
Win | 100 | 73 h 48 m | Show |
There is not doubt that Clemson is loaded but 17 and a hook is simply too much to lay on the road against a dangerous A&M team. Trevor Lawrence creates problems for any team and I expect him to connect on some big plays. That said, the Aggies have a talented and fast defense and they can create some problems in the pocket. Offensively, the Aggies will likely have to rely on the arm of Kelly’s Mond because Clemson is very tough to run on. If Mondperforms well, this could be a closer game than many expect. PICK: Texas A&M +17.5 |
09-07-19 |
West Virginia v. Missouri -13.5 | | 7-38 |
Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show |
Missouri got beat in a huge upset against lowly Wyoming week one while WVU just sneaked by James Madison. Mizz simply played incredibly sloppy and I expect them to clean this up quickly. WVU doesn't look to be very good team this year and scoring 20 v James Madison pretty much confirms this. Kelly Bryant should light up this weak Mountaineer secondary and Mizzou gets back on track. The number is good here at less than two TDs. PICK: Missouri -13.5 |