09-05-19 |
Packers +3 v. Bears | | 10-3 |
Win | 100 | 47 h 49 m | Show |
I'm still not sure what to expect from the Packers. They have added some talent on the defensive side of the ball and a new head coach but seem to lack real weapons for Rodgers, outside of Adams. That said, I am not a big believer in the Bears. They won a lot of games with a turnover margin that typically doesn't translate from year to year. While their defense should be very good, I expect GB to be able to score enough to keep this one tight. Also, Trubisky has simply been average at best. I'd way rather have Rodgers + points in a close game. PICK: Green Bay +3 |
09-02-19 |
Notre Dame -18 v. Louisville | Top | 35-17 |
Push | 0 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
This Notre Dame team is for real. There is a ton to love on both sides of the ball starting with signal caller, Ian Book who should take this offense to another level. Lousiville is going to have a really tough time handling the talented Irish front. Okwara and Kareem are gonna be all over Jawon Pass who, ironically, cannot pass the ball ( last year he threw 8 TD and 12 picks). This looks like a straight up rout PICK: Notre Dame -18 |
09-01-19 |
Houston +23.5 v. Oklahoma | | 31-49 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
OU is playing at home in front of what will be loud raucous crowd. They have transfer Jalen hurts, some of the best offensive weapons in the country and a coach that is as good as any in the country. All that being said this is too many points for a team with a brand new offensive line, a new defensive system and a QB that has to prove he can win by throwing the ball. Houston has a ton of offensive weapons, and new coach Dana Holgorsen will bring his high powered offensive style from West Virginia to Houston. Look for a high scoring game and an Oklahoma win, but Houston will cover the large number. The Pick: Take Houston |
08-31-19 |
Fresno State v. USC -13.5 | | 23-31 |
Loss | -108 | 36 h 44 m | Show |
I flat out LOVE the combo of new USC offensive coordinator Graham Harrell with QB JT Daniels. USC should be able to flat out score. The reason we get this game at under two TD's is because of two factors. The first is that Daniels didn't perform too great his freshman year. The second is Fresno State had an amazing year, winning 12 games! I expect a huge step forward for Daniels in his second year as starter and Fresno only returns nine starters. PICK: USC - 13.5 |
08-31-19 |
Oregon +4 v. Auburn | | 21-27 |
Loss | -108 | 33 h 31 m | Show |
Admittedly, it's not easy to side with the PAC 12 vs the SEC. However, I think Oregon is up to the task, especially getting the 4 point handicap. Bo Nix gets the nod at QB for Auburn. I'm not sure what to expect out of him but it would be difficult to see him really lighting it up. Oregon should key on the run, which Auburn will likely lean on. Conversely, Oregon is starting an elite QB with experience in Herbert. While I do expect him to be harassed by solid Auburn defense, he will also make some big plays. I just don't see how this isn't at least a close game. PICK: Oregon +4 |
08-31-19 |
Virginia v. Pittsburgh +3 | | 30-14 |
Loss | -115 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
The Pick: Take Pittsburgh |
08-31-19 |
South Carolina -10.5 v. North Carolina | | 20-24 |
Loss | -110 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
Man, I don't know if the hiring of Mack Brown has skewed this line or if the nature of the rivalry has but this is a colossal mismatch. UNC is going with the true freshman, Sam Howell and that does not bode well for the Tarheels. Conversely, S. Carolina has Bentley, the proven player who should lead a bunch of scoring drives. While the Gamecocks struggled to run consistently in 2018, they are up against a porous UNC run defense so I expect a balanced attack. PICK: South Carolina - 10.5 |
08-31-19 |
Florida Atlantic v. Ohio State -27.5 | Top | 21-45 |
Loss | -105 | 86 h 47 m | Show |
Ohio State is going to absolutely trample the Florida Atlantic run defense. They simply cannot compete with the power and speed at all. The way a team like Florida Atlantic would typically cover a spread like this is to compete on offense but I'm not seeing that either. With Singletary now playing for the Bills, they will have to rely on an inexperienced backfield that is over-matched in every way. Lane Kiffins FAU squad going to be embarrassed opening day. I fully expect 50+ from the buckeyes. Last two years they started with 77 and 52 points... PICK: Ohio St -27.5 |
08-31-19 |
Boise State +7 v. Florida State | | 36-31 |
Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
The ACC is yet again overrated. This FSU team should be improved but that doesn't warrant this line. In terms of value, FSU, largely based on name recognition moved from about 3 to 7. That's simply too much. Boise State has a stout defensive line and they are going to cause problems for a middling offense. When Boise has the ball, they have enough experience and talent to keep up. This may even be an outright win for Boise PICK: Boise St +7 |
08-31-19 |
South Alabama v. Nebraska -34 | Top | 21-35 |
Loss | -121 | 596 h 27 m | Show |
South Alabama is a joke. The lowly Jaguars posted a 3-9 record against pitiful competition and haven't improved in any obvious way. Nebraska, on the other hand is loaded offensively. Vet QB Martinez should start the season in full attack mode and Frost would love nothing more than to provide the home fans an absolute blowout to open the year at home. I also like the new D coordinator, Tony Tuioti, and expect some improvement there. This is looks to be something like 55-10 or worse and you should comfortably lay the points PICK: Nebraska -34 |
08-30-19 |
Colorado State v. Colorado -13 | | 31-52 |
Win | 100 | 72 h 49 m | Show |
Once again Colorado looks to crush their rivals having won the last 3 by an average of 21.5 points. These teams looks vastly different in training camp and I expect Colorado to come out fast and never look back. While the Rams do have talented QB Collin Hill healthy at QB, he simply has no one to throw to. OTOH, Montez should move the ball with ease against a weak secondary - targeting a few really high level receivers. I also look for a big game from Sophomore Alex Fontenot on the ground. CSU will have no answers in Denver and this should be an easy 2 TD win for the Buffaloes PICK: Colorado - 13 |
08-30-19 |
Wisconsin -10.5 v. South Florida | | 49-0 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
So what we have tonight is a matchup of one of the biggest most mauling offensive lines in FBS against a defense that ranked 2nd worst against the run in the lowly AAC. Simply put, Jonathon Taylor is gonna have a DAY. I don't know what to expect from Jack Coan at QB as he doesn't have much work to look at but when he is throwing, he will often be facing pretty easy looks with the Bulls stacking the box to stop the run. South Florida isn't terrible on offense (if Blake Barnett gets going it could be a close game) but this Wisconsin team looks more solid than their rare off year last season. At the end of the day, Wisconsin won't have much trouble get a 2 TD victory in this relatively easy opener Last note: Since the game is at night, I don't expect the Florida heat to be as much of a factor but if it rains/storms, that definitely favors Wisconsin, who can win the battle in the trenches. PICK: Wisconsin -10.5 |
08-29-19 |
Kent State v. Arizona State -24.5 | | 7-30 |
Loss | -106 | 48 h 47 m | Show |
Week one in college football always features some MAJOR blowouts. Luckily, this one happens for us on Thursday night. TO say this is a colossal mismatch would be an understatement. Kent State finished at or near the bottom in nearly every statistical category last year. They have an experienced team but they are going to get BULLIED by this ASU offensive line and Eno Benjamin should have his way on the ground. Herm Edwards will have this team ready to roll in the desert. ASU BIG! PICK: ASU - 24.5 |
08-29-19 |
UCLA v. Cincinnati -3 | Top | 14-24 |
Win | 100 | 259 h 27 m | Show |
Look, there is no doubt that there should be huge improvement for this UCLA team. They have size and speed on both sides of the ball. But this just isn't the spot for the Bruins to start. Cincinnati hasn't lost a home opener since 2001. There are a couple distinct advantages the Bearcats hold in this match up. One is the newly revamped UCLA offensive line is going to struggle at times. This should create turnovers and negative plays. The second is the run game, behind Warren II will be enough to move the sticks against a young but talented UCLA team. PICK: Cincinnati -3 |
08-24-19 |
Arizona v. Hawaii +12 | | 38-45 |
Win | 100 | 143 h 58 m | Show |
I don’t like much about this Sumlin lead Arizona team. They disappointed last year and I don’t see this Swiss cheese defense getting any better. Last year they allowed 32.6 points a game and they open the season in Hawaii, a team that can put up numbers especially at home. While I expect Arizona to score and Tate to produce, I would definitely not be shocked if Hawaii picked up where they left off last year when they won three times as a double digit underdog. The Rainbow Warriors score enough in this game to keep it within the spread and we start off the NCAA season with a bit of a cushion. PICK: Hawaii +12 |
01-20-19 |
Patriots v. Chiefs -3 | | 37-31 |
Loss | -116 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
The Patriots having that big game last week against a Chargers team that simply fell apart gives us an opportunity to get a nice value on the Chiefs at home. I still don’t see the Pats being what we are used to from them and it’s tough to believe they have any chance of slowing down this machine of an offense. Home field is huge in the playoffs and the weather shouldn’t be too big a factor on Sunday. Mahomes should get the job done and advance to the Super Bowl PICK: CHIEFS -3 |
01-20-19 |
Rams v. Saints -3 | Top | 26-23 |
Loss | -105 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
There is a lot to like about the Rams this year and in almost any other spot I consider them....but man, if I have a chance at backing Brees at home with this small of a number I’m pounding it. Brees will find a way to get rid of the ball quickly enough to largely negate that nasty interior D and the Saints should be off and running from the start. I still think Goff can be pressured enough o make a few costly mistakes. The Saints roll by double digits Sunday PICK: SAINTS -3 |
01-13-19 |
Eagles v. Saints -8 | Top | 14-20 |
Loss | -105 | 53 h 51 m | Show |
The Saints are going to smash the Eagles and all the lore of Nick Foles dies Sunday. I fully expect this to be a 2 TD+ win as the crowd will be partying early and often and the home town Saints are waaaay too much for an average Philly team. Beating the Bears and their middling offense on a last second doinked FG is nice, but the Eagles take a huge step up in class. Brees is rested and will pick apart this secondary. Saints BIG PICK: Saints -8 |
01-13-19 |
Chargers +4 v. Patriots | | 28-41 |
Loss | -103 | 116 h 33 m | Show |
I'm really gonna buck recent trends with this one, but like I always say, teams change and past performance doesn't guarantee repeated success. The Patriots have won 15 straight at home and during that stretch are 12-3 ATS. The Chargers are again on the road, travelling across the country. All that said, the difference this year is the Patriots aren't that great. They could definitely piece together some wins here but it seems really unlikely they blow out the Chargers who have a far superior defense and a HOF QB of their own. The Pats have been relying on a really strong run game and I expect that to be limited by LA. I also expect Bosa and Ingram to put some serious heat on Brady and affect his play. PICK: Chargers + 4 |
01-12-19 |
Cowboys +7 v. Rams | | 22-30 |
Loss | -100 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
The second I saw we could catch 7 with the Cowboys I jumped on this one. I am a huge fan of the Rams and the way they play football and not so much the Cowboys, who are pretty lousy when it comes to decision making and the use of any modern analytics. However, the Cowboys are in such a perfect match up this week. I'm fading Goff. I know he has gaudy numbers but I think this Dallas defense poses real problems for the Rams. Dallas should do a decent job of controlling Gurley on the ground and this will put a lot on the inexperienced shoulders of Goff. Conversely, the Rams will have to load up the box to stop Zeke ( they allow 5.1 YPC ) and this will allow some big plays for this Dallas offense. PICK: Dallas +7 |
01-12-19 |
Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | | 13-31 |
Loss | -109 | 95 h 3 m | Show |
This is a great game in the making. Mahomes is electric and Luck is playing his ass off. Arrowhead will be rocking and I fully expect the Chiefs to come out firing on all cylinders. It stops at this spread though. 5.5 is simply too big a number for a team as hot as the Colts to be catching. I don't expect either team to have much fortune in stopping the other but the Colts are significantly better on defense and capable of making a big play or two where the Chiefs basically aren't. I'm gonna gobble up the points in what should be a fun game. Even if the Chiefs jump on top, I have a lot of faith in Reich and company to stay competitive. PICK: COLTS +5.5 |
01-06-19 |
Eagles +6.5 v. Bears | | 16-15 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Eagles |
01-06-19 |
Chargers +3 v. Ravens | | 23-17 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
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01-05-19 |
Seahawks v. Cowboys -2 | | 22-24 |
Push | 0 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
The Cowboys have a pretty big edge in matchups here. Mainly their run defense should stifle a Seattle team that runs more than anyone else in the league. I love giving up less than 3 at home with the superior team. Dallas gets it done tonight PICK: Dallas -2 |
01-05-19 |
Colts +2 v. Texans | | 21-7 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
There's a lot to like about both of these teams coming into today. Vegas rates these tams about even and I do as well. What it comes down to for me is the Colts have the edge at QB and coaching. I just don't see Houston having any success stopping Luck and this creative pass game., even if Clowney and Watt get off. Watson is a gamer, but it won't be enough. PICK: Colts +2 |
01-01-19 |
Texas v. Georgia -13 | | 28-21 |
Loss | -110 | 0 h 20 m | Show |
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12-31-18 |
NC State v. Texas A&M -7 | | 13-52 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
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12-31-18 |
Northwestern +7 v. Utah | | 31-20 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show |
The Pick: Take Northwestern |
12-30-18 |
Raiders v. Chiefs -14 | | 3-35 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Chiefs |
12-30-18 |
Eagles -5.5 v. Redskins | | 24-0 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Eagles |
12-30-18 |
Browns +7 v. Ravens | | 24-26 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Browns |
12-30-18 |
Chargers -6.5 v. Broncos | | 23-9 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Chargers |
12-30-18 |
Falcons -2.5 v. Bucs | | 34-32 |
Loss | -108 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Falcons |
12-30-18 |
Jets +14 v. Patriots | | 3-38 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 12 m | Show |
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