01-16-21 |
Rams v. Packers -6.5 | | 18-32 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
Analysis will be added Saturday morning. The Pick: Take The Packers |
01-09-21 |
Rams v. Seahawks -4 | Top | 30-20 |
Loss | -101 | 87 h 8 m | Show |
Analysis Will Be Added. The Pick: I'm Betting Seattle Big |
01-09-21 |
Colts v. Bills -6.5 | Top | 24-27 |
Loss | -107 | 84 h 34 m | Show |
Analysis Will Be Added. The Pick: I'm Betting Buffalo Big |
12-27-20 |
Eagles -1.5 v. Cowboys | | 17-37 |
Loss | -112 | 124 h 28 m | Show |
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12-27-20 |
Giants v. Ravens -9.5 | | 13-27 |
Win | 100 | 135 h 3 m | Show |
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12-27-20 |
Falcons v. Chiefs -10 | | 14-17 |
Loss | -104 | 135 h 2 m | Show |
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12-26-20 |
Dolphins -2.5 v. Raiders | | 26-25 |
Loss | -115 | 104 h 28 m | Show |
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12-25-20 |
Vikings +7 v. Saints | | 33-52 |
Loss | -101 | 77 h 44 m | Show |
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12-20-20 |
Chiefs -3 v. Saints | | 32-29 |
Push | 0 | 125 h 50 m | Show |
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12-20-20 |
Patriots v. Dolphins -2 | | 12-22 |
Win | 100 | 122 h 31 m | Show |
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12-20-20 |
Seahawks v. Washington Football Team +6 | | 20-15 |
Win | 100 | 121 h 25 m | Show |
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12-20-20 |
Texans +7 v. Colts | | 20-27 |
Push | 0 | 121 h 24 m | Show |
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12-19-20 |
Panthers +9 v. Packers | | 16-24 |
Win | 100 | 105 h 47 m | Show |
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12-19-20 |
Bills -6 v. Broncos | Top | 48-19 |
Win | 101 | 29 h 45 m | Show |
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12-17-20 |
Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 30-27 |
Win | 100 | 57 h 53 m | Show |
The Chargers had a rough week against the Patriots and 2 games later bettors still seem to be holding it against them. There's not a whole lot to love about this Raiders team that can't play much defense. While The Chargers find ways to lose every week, they should be in this game and I expect Herbert to get back to his 300+ yard passing games. PICK: Chargers +3.5 |
12-14-20 |
Ravens -3 v. Browns | | 47-42 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 32 m | Show |
No Analysis Due To Limited Time. The Pick: Take The Ravens |
12-13-20 |
Steelers +2.5 v. Bills | | 15-26 |
Loss | -110 | 0 h 29 m | Show |
The Pick: Take Pittsburgh |
12-13-20 |
Falcons +1.5 v. Chargers | | 17-20 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 9 m | Show |
No Analysis Due To Limited Time. The Pick: Take The Falcons |
12-13-20 |
Saints -7.5 v. Eagles | | 21-24 |
Loss | -103 | 1 h 7 m | Show |
No Analysis Due To Limited Time. The Pick: Take The Saints |
12-13-20 |
Colts -2.5 v. Raiders | | 44-27 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
No Analysis Due To Limited Time. The Pick: Take The Colts |
12-13-20 |
Titans -7.5 v. Jaguars | | 31-10 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 43 m | Show |
No Analysis Due To Limited Time. Take The Titans |
12-13-20 |
Cardinals v. Giants +3 | | 26-7 |
Loss | -104 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
No Analysis Due To Limited Time. Take The Giants |
12-10-20 |
Patriots +5 v. Rams | | 3-24 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 12 m | Show |
No Analysis Due To Limited Time. The Pick: Take The Patriots |
12-08-20 |
Cowboys v. Ravens -8.5 | | 17-34 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 44 m | Show |
No Analysis Due To Limited Time. The Pick: Take The Ravens |
12-07-20 |
Bills +2 v. 49ers | | 34-24 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 54 m | Show |
No Analysis Due to Limited Time. The Pick: Take Buffalo |
12-06-20 |
Broncos v. Chiefs -14 | | 16-22 |
Loss | -100 | 128 h 41 m | Show |
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12-06-20 |
Raiders v. Jets +8 | | 31-28 |
Win | 100 | 120 h 22 m | Show |
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12-06-20 |
Jaguars +9.5 v. Vikings | | 24-27 |
Win | 100 | 120 h 34 m | Show |
Despite winning 4 of their last 5 games Minnesota is still one of the most frustrating teams in the NFL. They always seem to have a lot of talent but they always seem to be hovering around .500 because of bad losses like the one to Dallas two weeks ago. The Vikings go as Dalvin Cook goes and he seems to be accumulating little injuries here and there every week. Jacksonville fans may want and think the the team is tanking but someone forgot to tell the players. Other than a blowout loss to Pittsburgh two weeks ago Jacksonville has been playing well, losing to the Texans, Packers and Browns by a total of 8 points. Quarterback Mike Glennon played well last week and seems to have infused life into the offense. I like the Jags to cover the big number here. The Pick: Take Jacksonville |
12-06-20 |
Lions v. Bears -3 | Top | 34-30 |
Loss | -105 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
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12-02-20 |
Ravens v. Steelers -10 | | 14-19 |
Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
The Steelers were looking to put a beating on a Ravens team that isn't as good as last year before all hell broke loose. Now who knows who is going to dress for the Ravens. This game should be canceled but since it's not the only play is the Steelers. Without knowing exactly who is playing for the Ravens and the circumstances of a 3:40 start on a Wednesday, I'm going to tread lightly with the size of my bet. The Pick; Take The Steelers
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11-30-20 |
Seahawks -6 v. Eagles | | 23-17 |
Push | 0 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Seattle should be well rested and ready to go in this one after playing 11 days ago. Running back Chris Carson returns to make their offense even more balanced and dangerous. Look for Seattle to roll an Eagles team in turmoil and win by double digits. The Pick: Take The Seahawks |
11-29-20 |
Cardinals -1 v. Patriots | | 17-20 |
Loss | -120 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
No Analysis Due To Limited Time. The Pick: Take The Cardinals |
11-26-20 |
Texans -3 v. Lions | | 41-25 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 37 m | Show |
No Analysis Due To Limited Time. The Pick: Take The Texans |
11-23-20 |
Rams +4.5 v. Bucs | | 27-24 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show |
No Analysis Due To Limited Time. The Pick: Take The Rams |
11-22-20 |
Chiefs -7.5 v. Raiders | | 35-31 |
Loss | -100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
The Chiefs find themselves in a revenge spot but more importantly, coming off a bye. Why does this matter? Andy Reid is 18-3 coming off a buy and covers 65% of the time!
This Vegas defense is pretty bad and the Chiefs will have options everywhere. Look for Kelce and Hill to explode and the Chiefs to stifle Jacobs. Double digit win here. |
11-22-20 |
Packers v. Colts -1.5 | | 31-34 |
Win | 100 | 54 h 58 m | Show |
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11-22-20 |
Lions v. Panthers -1.5 | | 0-20 |
Win | 100 | 98 h 12 m | Show |
The Lions are, yet again, a disappointment. Last week they jump out to a huge lead only to allow Washington to come back from down 24-3. They did eke out the W, but Washington is bad. Detroit has to travel to Carolina and face a team that is competitive almost every week. Bridgewater has played above expectations and the offense has weapons everywhere. Even though neither team is going anywhere, the Panthers are the team that is focused and well coached while the Lions are coming to accept the reality that another failed year is upon them I'll lay the short price here with the home team |
11-22-20 |
Patriots -1.5 v. Texans | | 20-27 |
Loss | -110 | 70 h 25 m | Show |
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11-22-20 |
Falcons +5 v. Saints | | 9-24 |
Loss | -117 | 51 h 33 m | Show |
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11-19-20 |
Cardinals +3 v. Seahawks | | 21-28 |
Loss | -104 | 34 h 36 m | Show |
Looks like we are in for a fun one on Thursday night. So, Russell Wilson has come back to earth recently. He is starting to put the ball in harms way and that is largely because the Seattle defense is historically bad and the pressure rests solely on Wilson's arm. That said, I expect a better performance this Thursday, especially from Metcalf and Lockett. Arizona pulled off a miracle on Sunday but still outplayed the Bills the entire second half. The Cardinals can actually make some defensive plays where Seattle has a secondary that simply cannot stop the pass. To me this is the story of two teams going in different directions. While I expect this to be a shootout to some extent, I'd rather take the points in a game where the underdog clearly has a very good chance of winning. Hopkins and Kirk will expose Seattle's pathetic secondary and outscore the hawks. PICK: Arizona +3 |
11-16-20 |
Vikings v. Bears +3.5 | | 19-13 |
Loss | -115 | 1 h 5 m | Show |
The Vikings offense has been humming the last two weeks ripping the Packers and Lions terrible run defense with a powerful run game that featured the return of running back Dalvin Cook. The problem with this game is the Bears have one of the best run defenses in the NFL and one of the best pass rushes. That's not good news for Cook and Kirk Cousins. The Bears offense hasn't been good the last 6 weeks but they've been on the road 3 of their last 4. I think they'll play better at home. Home teams are 25-10 ATS in this series in the last 18 seasons. I think that trend continues. The Money Line is tempting. The Pick: I'm Betting The Bears. |
11-15-20 |
Chargers +1.5 v. Dolphins | | 21-29 |
Loss | -103 | 56 h 13 m | Show |
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11-15-20 |
Bills +2.5 v. Cardinals | | 30-32 |
Win | 103 | 56 h 11 m | Show |
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11-15-20 |
Washington Football Team +3.5 v. Lions | | 27-30 |
Win | 100 | 53 h 7 m | Show |
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11-15-20 |
Texans v. Browns -3 | Top | 7-10 |
Push | 0 | 53 h 10 m | Show |
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11-12-20 |
Colts v. Titans +1 | | 34-17 |
Loss | -103 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
The Titans and Colts play for the AFC South lead. I'm feeling good about the Titans at home in this spot after getting right vs The Bears last week. The Titans defense played better and although the Colts offense is better than the Bears, not by a whole lot. I look for the Titans and Colts to play a low scoring game that the Titans win by a field goal. The Pick: I'm Betting The Titans |
11-09-20 |
Patriots v. Jets +10 | | 30-27 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
NFL Bettors fading the Jets have made a killing this season as the jets are 1-7 against the spread. With Sam Darnold out with a shoulder injury it's only logical to take the Patriots. The problem with that is even though the Jets roster was very flawed before the season started, all of their projected starters at the wide recever position have been injured most of the year. This will be the first game that all 3 starters will be in the lineup. Joe Flacco will have the best chance to succeed than in any other game. With the Patriots not exactly playing well themselves I don't see another Jets blowout. I'm taking the points and betting the Jets tonight. The Pick: Take The Jets |
11-08-20 |
Dolphins v. Cardinals -4 | Top | 34-31 |
Loss | -115 | 52 h 29 m | Show |
We really benefit from those that are just following the scores rather than digging deeper into games on this one. The look ahead line was AZ -6 and we get a better number. Why? Because Miami had a ton of luck and wound up beating the Rams. Special teams scores and turnovers can't be relied on and neither can your QB throwing for under 100 yards. Tua is going to need to lead this team to at LEAST 20 pts in Arizona and I don't see how he does it. Arizona has been humming along and I expect Miami to struggle to contain Murray. Josh Allen lit up Miami with his feet by escaping the pocket and the same will happen again. Double digit win here by the Cards |
11-08-20 |
Texans -6.5 v. Jaguars | | 27-25 |
Loss | -114 | 49 h 60 m | Show |
I think I would have leaned Texans in this one even if Minshew was starting. Jacksonville has given up 30+points in 6 straight games and is now starting6th round rookie Jake Luton. While Houston has underperformedon defense, it's difficult to imagine the Jags keeping up in a shootout which I expect from Houston. This may be the blowout of the day with Watson finding Fuller and Cooks early and often against anon existent pass defense. Houston BIG here |
11-08-20 |
Panthers +10.5 v. Chiefs | | 31-33 |
Win | 100 | 49 h 56 m | Show |
This is a good spot for the Panthers to make this a competitive game. McCaffrey is back and while Davis filled in admirably, the same 8yard dumpoffs the Panthers love to work into their offense will now become big plays. The Receivers - mainly Anderson and Moore will keep the Chiefs honest enough for the Panthers to run the ball well. Look, no one is shutting down the Chiefs so there's not much to say on this front. However, the Panthers should score enough to cover this big number, even if it's in garbage time. |
11-05-20 |
Packers -6.5 v. 49ers | | 34-17 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
In a Thursday Night Football game that probably shouldn't be played, the Green Bay Packers have a clear advantage over the sick and hobbled 49ers. Not only do the 49ers have the most players on injured reserve, they have had outbreaks of Covid and lost their quarterback and best players Kittle to injuries against the Seahawks last week. Aaron Rodgers may be short on weapons but he's still Aaron Rodgers and will find a way to get it down and cover the number. Look for a double digit win by Green Bay. The Pick: Take The Packers |
11-01-20 |
Cowboys v. Eagles -3.5 | Top | 9-23 |
Win | 100 | 127 h 59 m | Show |
The cowboys are done, if they ever really started. It's hard to imagine them winning more than one or two more games this year. They can't throw the ball now and they literally can't stop anyone. I don't love the Eagles but this early line is too good to pass on. Wentz has been erratic but the emergence of Fulgham still makes this attack somewhat dangerous. I look for the Philly defense to put heavy pressure on the cowboys while neutralizing Zeke. Unless the Eagles take a big lead, they should hang 30 in a blowout win |
11-01-20 |
49ers +3 v. Seahawks | | 27-37 |
Loss | -100 | 103 h 51 m | Show |
This has been Russel Wilson at his best - the sure frontrunner MVP and truly amazing to watch. Metcalf and Lockett are tough to stop and Wilson is still great on the ground. This week is going to be a bit tougher for the Hawks though. San Fran will pound the ball against this mediocre run defense and if Seattle tries to stack the box, Kittle will feast. I think San Fran getting off to a rocky start has scared away bettors and I like the Niners to compete for the win so I will definitely be grabbing the points. |
11-01-20 |
Steelers +4 v. Ravens | | 28-24 |
Win | 100 | 99 h 27 m | Show |
With a very good defense, offensive line and skill players, everyone knew Pittsburgh would be very good this season but we had to wait and see if Ben Roethlisberger would be the Big Ben of old to see how good. Despite throwing 3 picks last week Roethlisberger has looked great this season. He looks good in the pocket has been very accurate and his quick release has been getting the ball to skill players with time to run after the catch. With Pittsburgh's depth and skill at receiver it has made the Steelers arguably the best offense in football thus far. The Ravens are still a team to be feared with reigning MVP Lamar Jackson and a devastating running game but something seems missing this season. They've beaten 4 bad teams but haven't dominated them like the 2019 Ravens would have. Their offensive line isn't as good and the defense looks susceptible to big plays in the passing attack. Those two things are not a good combination against this Steeler team. Both of these teams are really good and should be dangerous in the playoffs. But at this point of the season, The Steelers look like the better team. Taking the points on the road is the right play here. The Pick: I'm Betting The Steelers. |
11-01-20 |
Rams -4 v. Dolphins | | 17-28 |
Loss | -105 | 99 h 7 m | Show |
SO the Tua era begins. The Dolphins make a bold move by benching Fitz despite still being in the AFC East race. Predicting the success of rookie QB's is next to impossible and pretty random ( as evidenced by the steady flow of busts every year). I won't pretend to know how good Tua will be but I don't think the Rams are a great team to play in your first start. Donald is going to destroy the interior of this Miami line and Tua should make some mistakes. Ramsey will also be waiting for any bad judgment throws and he too is very dangerous. The Rams offense is clicking and they seem to be getting better. I expect Kupp and Woods to be open often and the play action to cause problems for the Miami secondary. While I do like the direction of the Dolphins, I don't expect them to have a great showing this Sunday |
11-01-20 |
Jets v. Chiefs -19 | Top | 9-35 |
Win | 100 | 100 h 33 m | Show |
Typically 14+ pt favorites do poorly against the spread but the Jets are not a typical team. Look, I did lose on the Bills last week BUT they outgained the Jets 420-191 and won the turnover battle. In fact, the Bills are the first team in modern football to never punt or score a TD. Point being - the Bills won by 8 but the numbers show an absolute blowout. The Chiefs are going to really blitz and pressure Darnold so there is a good chance the Jets score under 10. This is a monumental blowout and 19 is a very good number. Look for Hill to hit on a couple big plays then the Chiefs to let Bell and CEH do the rest of the work. |
10-26-20 |
Bears +6.5 v. Rams | | 10-24 |
Loss | -100 | 2 h 54 m | Show |
This is a Monday Night Football matchup featuring two teams with shiny records but not alot of respect as of yet. That's because as we are now getting a sense of who's good and who isn't, most of the wins on these teams resume looks like they were against bad teams. The Bears started the season with wins against the Lions, Giants and Falcons which we all can agree are pretty bad. Then they suffered a loss in a defensive struggle against the Colts, an impressive win against the Bucs and a respectable one vs the Panthers. The Rams 4 wins are against the entire NFC East who are all terrible, with losses to the Bills and 49ers who are both good. This line is high because the Rams have played well at home and are 2-0. But beating Dallas and the Giants at home does not impress me. The Bears defense is still a monster and with Nick Floes steadying the quarterback position their offense has shown flashes and are getting better every week. This line should be Rams -3 in my opinion so I'm taking the points and betting the Bears. The Pick: Take The Bears |
10-25-20 |
Bills -13 v. Jets | | 18-10 |
Loss | -109 | 98 h 9 m | Show |
There isn't much to say about the Jets. They are rebuilding on the fly with an old QB that shouldn't be in the NFL. They can't score or stop anyone. The Bills are coming off back to back losses and will get right against this Jets team. Even after the Bills get out to a lead, look for them to get something going on the ground, an area where they have been surprisingly meager. If the Bills had managed to upset the Chiefs, perhaps this would be a game where they may look ahead but they simply cannot afford a loss and will be out for blood Sunday. Bills HUGE in this one |
10-25-20 |
Steelers -1.5 v. Titans | Top | 27-24 |
Win | 100 | 98 h 10 m | Show |
The Steelers are currently the best team in the NFL. In a year where there is almost no defense, the Steelers have performed well pn that side of the ball, pressuring QBs at a 44% rate. Offensively, Ben appears to be back in decent form and he has a nice array of weapons with the emergence of Claypool and Johnson. The Titans are a very good team. Tannehill may be a top 3 QB since he replaced Mariota last year. This is a very smart and efficient offense, featuring a ton of play action and Derek Henry. That said, I just don't see it being quite so comfortable for the Titans on Sunday. Henry will be neutralized and the passing game won't carry them - at least not enough. Pitt can score on this mediocre Titans and will remain undefeated. and serious SB contenders. |
10-19-20 |
Cardinals +1 v. Cowboys | | 38-10 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
The Cowboys were not good with Dak Prescott in my opinion. At the time of his gruesome injury the Cowboys only win was a miracle they should have lost to the Falcons and they were well on their way to losing to the winless Giants. Andy Dalton played well leading the Cowboys back for an unimpressive win (again, it was the Giants) Dalton has now had a full week to prepare, on the flip side the Cardinals defense had a full week to prepare as well. The very talented Cardinals secondary has a week to prepare for a quarterback who was a turnover machine in Cincinnati the last couple years and The pass rush has a week to prepare for a statue in the backfield. Dalton and the Cowboys will get some wins this season and contend for a playoff berth due to the NFC East being awful, but Kyler Murray and the Cardinals will get a much needed win in this one to keep pace with Seahawks, and Rams out west. I'm betting the Cardinals. The Pick: Take The Cardinals. |
10-18-20 |
Packers -1.5 v. Bucs | | 10-38 |
Loss | -110 | 120 h 14 m | Show |
This is a fun matchup between two of the greatest QBs of all time. While Brady has looked much better than I expected ( nice to finally have weapons ), Rodgers is looking unstoppable. We have seen these type of runs from the Pack before and it’s best to ride them while you can. Devante Adams is unstoppable and he makes his return Sunday. The Bucs have an excellent run defense but they are going to struggle stopping the air attack. On the other side of the ball, Green Bay has been surprising decent on defense, in a year where defense has been non existent across the league. In the end, this could be a back and forth game but my obvious play is to ride the hot hand with Rodgers and get the money |
10-18-20 |
Broncos v. Patriots -9 | | 18-12 |
Loss | -100 | 117 h 51 m | Show |
The Patriots are slightly overrated with the public right now but they find themselves in a really good matchup and look like one of a couple double digit winners on the card this Sunday.
The Broncos are having a lot of trouble moving the ball consistently to say the least. Drew Lock returns but he really hasn’t proven to be an upgrade over Rypien or Driskel and in this case he is actually a downgrade. Belichick OWNS young QBs/rookies and this game is going to likely be a mess for Lock. The Patriots will confuse him all day. I don’t love the Broncos normally good running game either. The Patriots with 2 weeks to prepare are pretty scary. Cam is playing good football and should easily put up 25+ especially as they grind the Broncos down with the run game.
Look for a dominant performance from the Pats D and a 2+ TD win. |
10-18-20 |
Falcons v. Vikings -3 | | 40-23 |
Loss | -125 | 117 h 49 m | Show |
There are a couple games on the slate where The line seems to be an overreaction to recent games. This is one of them. The Vikings are a pretty good team and Atlanta hasn’t been able to figure it out in over a season. Yes, Cook is out and he is excellent but Mattison is a very good backup. Atlanta cant stop the run or the pass. I mean, they REALLY can’t stop anyone. Thicken and Jefferson should put up big numbers if they have the chance. Atlanta still has a dangerous offense but they can’t seem to put it together. The Vikings are starting to blitz more and this is really helping to mask some of their issues in the back end of this d. I like the Vikings to cover this small number and Atlanta to continue to spiral. |
10-18-20 |
Browns v. Steelers -3.5 | | 7-38 |
Win | 100 | 117 h 48 m | Show |
The Browns have gotten off to a nice start, outperforming expectations. They have done so largely wish a strong run game and an efficiency start for Mayfield. The defense is solid as well. I don’t think things are going to go smoothly for Baker on Sunday though. The Steelers are getting pressure on about HALF of opposing teams drop backs. Chubb is out so the workload goes to Kareem Hunt who is good, but unlikely to have much success in this matchup. On the other side of the ball, Big Ben looks string this year and has weapons everywhere. The Browns will put up some resistance but ultimately this Steelers team OWNS the Browns and I don’t expect this Sunday to be any different. I like the Steelers to win by mire than a TD |
10-18-20 |
Texans v. Titans -2 | Top | 36-42 |
Win | 100 | 117 h 50 m | Show |
The Texans defense can’t really stop the run or the pass which puts them in a tough position facing a team that can run you over or throw incredibly effective play action. The Titans are still somehow undervalued despite being a real contender in the AFC. Houston‘s offense has been mediocre this year. I actually didn’t expect this big a drop off after Hopkins but after 4 games I think we have a big enough sample size to judge. The offensive line is again a problem with Watson facing way too much pressure. I expect Henry to have a big game. That said, if Houston loads the box, look for lots of wide open receivers running all over their secondary. Titans are simply a much better team and this is a fair price. |
10-11-20 |
Vikings v. Seahawks -7 | | 26-27 |
Loss | -102 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
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10-11-20 |
Giants +9.5 v. Cowboys | | 34-37 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
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10-11-20 |
Bengals +13 v. Ravens | | 3-27 |
Loss | -118 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
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10-05-20 |
Patriots v. Chiefs -10.5 | | 10-26 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
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10-04-20 |
Colts v. Bears +3 | | 19-11 |
Loss | -113 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
I'm not on the Colts bandwagon at all. I just think Rivers is no longer particularly good and Taylor, although a great college RB, doesn't strike a ton of fear in me. The Bears are a BETTER team with Foles, and not by a little. Look for Foles to use the TE more as well as make less bad throws. The Bears defense is good enough to get stops at home. Catching 3 is a bonus in a toss up game PICK: Bears +3 |
10-04-20 |
Bills -3 v. Raiders | Top | 30-23 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
The Bills have had a strange year and I think that works in our advantage this weekend. They have basically blown out 3 straight opponents but let the games get close in the second half. The offense, led by Josh Allen and a bevy of weapons has been on fire but the defense has not been playing well. This week McDermott and Frazier will get that back on track against a Raiders team that is injured at WR and will rely heavily on Jacobs I expect the Bills to dare the Raiders to throw by stacking the box and slowing Jacobs. Look for the Raiders to score closer to 20 this week which isn't nearly enough PICK: Bills -3 |
10-04-20 |
Browns +4 v. Cowboys | | 49-38 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
We haven't seen much out of either of these teams yet but patterns are starting to emerge. The Browns appear to be a team that will rely heavily on the run, despite having talent at WR. Dallas can't stop anyone but has plenty of firepower. I'm expecting the Browns to stay in this game by pounding the ball to Chubb and utilizing play action to make a few big plays. Their d line ca cause enough problems to keep the Cowboys from lighting them up and they may even have a shot to get the upset PICK: Browns +4 |
10-04-20 |
Chargers +7 v. Bucs | | 31-38 |
Push | 0 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
So, this line was originally set at 4.5 a week ago. After last week's results, we get a huge swing. Basically, unless there is a major injury, I'm always going to pounce on something like this. It's short term bias and a strategy that fools follow closely. We aren't going to put more into last week than any other week. The Chargers looked terrible as a big favorite and the Bucs looked solid. I am not sold on the Bucs and they will pressure Brady enough to make this a game. Tampa without Godwin and Fournette so you should expect a lower scoring game which makes 7 a big line. I'll gladly take the TD PICK: Chargers +7 |
10-04-20 |
Ravens -14 v. Washington Football Team | | 31-17 |
Push | 0 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
I'll be the first to admit this is an insane line. I can count the number of times I have laid double digits in NFL on two hands BUT Washington simply cant score enough in this spot to make it a game. I love the Ravens coming off that Monday night embarrassment Washington has almost no firepower and the Ravens may hold them to under 10. I expect Baltimore to stack the box and dare Washington to throw on them. Thus far, Washington has been solid on defense but this is where that ends. BLOWOUT PICK: Ravens -14 |
09-28-20 |
Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 34-20 |
Win | 100 | 105 h 25 m | Show |
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09-27-20 |
Lions v. Cardinals -5.5 | Top | 26-23 |
Loss | -108 | 113 h 15 m | Show |
This is a pretty square pick, admittedly. That said, I still think Kyler Murray and the Cards are underrated and Detroit is exactly as bad as they seem. There are so many terrible match-ups for Detroit but look for Drake to go off against this soft defense that has been getting run all over. DVOA has the Lions ranked 31 in rush defense and they have to deal with both Murray and Drake. Offensively, without Golloday, the Lions aren't much of a threat and they would need 25+ pts to be in this one. PICK: Cardinals -5.5 |
09-27-20 |
Panthers v. Chargers -6.5 | | 21-16 |
Loss | -110 | 113 h 53 m | Show |
While I like the Chargers more if here if Herbert starts ( I have no idea what Lynn is thinking), I like them either way. The Panthers can be had on the ground or through the air with a bottom 3 rush and pass defense. We all know how the Chargers can get after the QB with Bosa and Ingram and I expect Bridgewater to be a LOT less comfortable than he has been. CMC is out, which makes the threat of the big play much, much less likely and it's hard to imagine a scenario where Carolina slugs this out with the LAC PICK: Chargers -6.5 |
09-27-20 |
Jets +11 v. Colts | Top | 7-36 |
Loss | -110 | 113 h 54 m | Show |
The common opinion among sports writers and bettors alike is that the Jets are the worst team in the NFL. While I don't have high hopes for the Jets they opened the season vs the NFC champion 49ers and the playoff Bills. The colts are, no doubt, a solid team but I am NOT sold on Rivers at this stage of his career. Also, despite that 80 yard run by Mostert in week 2, the Jets are a good run defense. This means a lot of the game will be determined through the air. The Jets offense has been miserable but as they proved last year, they can also sprinkle in some good games. Darnold should do enough to keep this close. 11 is simply way too much for a mediocre offense to lay. PICK: Jets +11 |
09-27-20 |
Bears v. Falcons -3.5 | | 30-26 |
Loss | -108 | 110 h 50 m | Show |
This is an easy pick for me. The Falcons come in and 0-2 and the Bears at 2-0 but a closer look reveals a much different story. The Falcons lost to Seattle and Dallas - two offensive juggernauts. The Bears eked out wins against 2 of the worst teams in the NFL - Detroit and NYG. It's highly unlikely the Bears can keep up with the Atlanta offense which has the better QB and weapons all over the place. If not for their respective records, Atlanta would be favored by 6 so we have some value here PICK: Atlanta -3.5 |
09-27-20 |
Rams v. Bills -2.5 | | 32-35 |
Win | 100 | 110 h 48 m | Show |
The Bills opened at 3-3.5 but have since gone down to below 3. This movement seems largely reactionary to a poor Bills defensive performance in week 2. There are two major factors that make that week 2 performance seem worse than what we will actually see this Sunday. Firstly, the Bills were missing 2/3 of their best defensive players - Milano and Edmunds. Fitz is a smart QB and he exposed the normaly stout passing defense in the middle of the field repeatedly. Secondly, Fitz made great throws into very tight windows that simply aren't normally made. The Rams look more like the "good" Rams with their offense humming. WHile Higby and Kupp will likely cause some problems for the Bills, the match-up for the Bills offense looks promising. With Ramsey likely to draw Diggs, look for John Brown to have a couple big plays and force the Rams to be less aggressive Using advanced stats like DVOA, which takes into account the opponents, these teams stack up fairly evenly. The Bills have the home field ( even without fans) and I expect the Bills to give Goff a rougher time than he has had this year with the return of Edmunds and possibly MIlano PICK: Bills -2.5 |
09-24-20 |
Dolphins v. Jaguars -2.5 | | 31-13 |
Loss | -123 | 35 h 38 m | Show |
The Dolphins aren't the easiest team to handicap because Fitz is one of the streakiest QBs of all time. He played very well last week against a top notch Bills pass defense. He was throwing darts with pinpoint accuracy. Miami also has some good weapons. I like the Jags in this spot because the match-up of their offense against this Dolphins defense is solid. The Dolphins will be without Byron Jones, their top corner, and I expect the Jags receivers to get going here. The defenses both stink but the offensive edge clearly goes to the Jags and Minshew, who has been very efficient. PICK: Jaguars -2.5 |
09-20-20 |
Patriots v. Seahawks -4 | | 30-35 |
Win | 100 | 106 h 46 m | Show |
It's strange seeing the Patriots as underdogs. It's even stranger to side against them getting over a FG but that's what I'm going to do here. Look, I'm sure BB will make the best out of this team but their offense is pretty bad. Scoring 21 against Miami with almost no pressure from the other offense isn't really a great accomplishment. I still view the Pats as a 7-9 win team. This Seattle team probably won't run all over the solid Patriots D but they certainly have enough offense to get it done. It seems that Wilson is going to be given more throws which is great news. Seattle wins this pretty big in a statement game. PICK: Seattle -4 |
09-20-20 |
Ravens -7 v. Texans | Top | 33-16 |
Win | 101 | 102 h 55 m | Show |
I'm going to keep this short. Houston cannot stop the run. They are playing the Ravens. End. No, but seriously, Houston probably isn't as bad as they looked last week but there is no way they get right against Baltimore. Watson is going to be under constant pressure and his weapons just aren't that great. The line is around 7 because Watson is still one of the best, but this is a bad team with a bad coach in a terrible matchup PICK: Ravens -7 |
09-20-20 |
Washington Football Team v. Cardinals -6.5 | Top | 15-30 |
Win | 100 | 102 h 43 m | Show |
So here we get the perfect betting opportunity. The Redskins pull off a strange upset over the depleted Eagles and we get to lay less than a TD at home. Haskins is certainly not a big threat and this week he travels across the country to play a team that can put up big points. Arizona moved the ball efficiently against the Niners, who may have the best unit in the league. Hopkins was targetted early and often - quelling the fears that it may take time to develop chemistry. AZ should score 27+ and it's hard to imagine Washington keeping up This is my play of the week Arizona -6.5 |
09-20-20 |
Panthers v. Bucs -9 | | 17-31 |
Win | 100 | 99 h 42 m | Show |
Brady looking kinda washed up in week 1 gives us a decent value with the Bucs here. While his best years are behind him, I expect Brady to figure out things pretty quickly against a terrible Panthers defense. Look for Godwin and Ronald Jones to go off. The Bucs have a very good run defense so they should neutralize CMC to some extent. Bridgewater and co looked good enough in vs Vegas but the Raiders are soft defensively. This will be a much more challenging opponent. In the end this should be a double digit win for Tampa PICK: Bucs -9 |
09-20-20 |
49ers -7 v. Jets | | 31-13 |
Win | 100 | 99 h 34 m | Show |
I had this game circled as JETS before week one because I assumed SF would be coming off a win and also that the Jets were like a 5-6 win team, not what they now appear to be. With Niners coming off a tough loss to an underrated AZ team, I expect they will bludgeon the Jets. Week 1 the Bills pressured the Jets on 43% of passing attempts. This Niners D line is even better and Darnold doesn't appear up for the task. While the Jets do have a stout run defense, I suspect that Shannahan will use the screen game and move the ball through the air against a putrid secondary. It's a lot of points on the road, no doubt, but SF will romp the Jets here PICK: 49ers - 7 |
09-17-20 |
Bengals v. Browns -6 | | 30-35 |
Loss | -105 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Browns |
09-14-20 |
Titans -3 v. Broncos | | 16-14 |
Loss | -115 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Titans |
09-14-20 |
Steelers -6 v. Giants | | 26-16 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Steelers |
09-13-20 |
Cowboys -3 v. Rams | | 17-20 |
Loss | -103 | 139 h 9 m | Show |
The Cowboys are an explosive team this year and it's going to show on Sunday night. We expect Dallas to score early and often. The Rams are a strange team where you never know exactly what you will get out of Goff. I'd expect him to connect with Kupp for some big plays but Dallas will get enough pressures to keep them down Look for Dallas to win this one by double digits now that they have removed the enormous dead weight named Jason Garrett PICK: Dallas -3 |
09-13-20 |
Cardinals +7.5 v. 49ers | | 24-20 |
Win | 100 | 135 h 14 m | Show |
I think we are catching a good number with the Niners coming off an amazing year and a super bowl appearance. These teams should play a competitive game. Kyler Murray is due to have an explosive year with he addition of Hopkins and another season under his belt. The niners running game is of concern but I still think that AZ will find the offense to make this a game and will gladly gobble up over a TD PICK: AZ +7.5 |
09-13-20 |
Dolphins +6.5 v. Patriots | | 11-21 |
Loss | -102 | 132 h 51 m | Show |
The Patriots are one of the more intriguing teams in the league. If the departure of Brady wasn't enough, they also had key players leave that tough defense. That said, we don't know how Newton will perform and we definitely can't count BB out. The Dolphins loaded up on young talent but aren't quite there. FOr me this game comes down to the fact that the Dolphins and Fitz have never had that much trouble with NE. I expect the fins to cause enough problems to keep this close and will take the points. PICK: Dolphins +6.5 |
09-13-20 |
Jets v. Bills -6.5 | | 17-27 |
Win | 100 | 132 h 50 m | Show |
The Bills and Jets are two franchises moving in different directions. Gase seems discontent with the players he was given ( including his young QB) and the Bills are a team on the rise. Of course the Bills will need Josh Allen to play better but Diggs will help here. The bottom line on this game is the Jets can't score enough to keep pace, even with an everage Bills offense. The Bills have an elite secondary and the Jets are depleted at WR. Look for a dominant performance from the Bills and a double digit win PICK: Bills -6.5 |
09-13-20 |
Raiders -3 v. Panthers | | 34-30 |
Win | 102 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
The Panthers are retooling and are looking pretty rough on defense. That is not good news because they are facing a Raiders offense that should put up major numbers this season. While we don't know how either defense will perform, it's hard to imagine a scenario where the Raiders don't score big in this one so we will take Vegas to cover the short number. Look for Jacobs to run wild and Waller to find his spots as well. PICK: Raiders -3 |
09-13-20 |
Bears v. Lions -2.5 | | 27-23 |
Loss | -105 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
I really see the Lions being much better than their record last season. The Bears still have a ton of question marks, not the least of which being Mitchy Biscuits. The late scratch of Golloday doesn't help the Lions any but they have enough weapons to score a reasonable amount. The home field isn't worth much but it's worth enough to take the better of the two teams in an early big game for both franchises. Stafford and co pull this one out PICK: Lions -2.5 |
09-13-20 |
Packers v. Vikings -2.5 | | 43-34 |
Loss | -107 | 22 h 19 m | Show |
It's hard to know exactly what to make of either team given their respective off-seasons but what we do know is for a decade the Packers have been mediocre on the road. You may say, "well home field isn't as important this year" and that's generally true except the Packers home field is normally so important that it skews their perception. I'm surprised this line hasn't moved to 3 and will gladly bet at 2.5. Cook should have a big game and the Vikings defense will do enough to get this W PICK: Vikings -2.5 |
09-10-20 |
Texans +10 v. Chiefs | | 20-34 |
Loss | -130 | 67 h 11 m | Show |
If you take away the few lousy games Watson still has every year, his production isn’t that much different than Mahomes. I absolutely love the Texans in this spot. The Chiefs are coming off their championship high while the Texans have something to prove. Add in the fact that there are gonna be about 20k fans ( not a traditional home field) and we will gladly gobble up these points in what should be a shootout. even if the Chiefs get off to a big lead, I’d still expect a fight. I’m pretty excited about Watson sans Hopkins as weird as that sounds. Big day coming from Fuller and the backs. PICK: Texans +10 |
02-02-20 |
49ers v. Chiefs -1 | | 20-31 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Chiefs |
01-19-20 |
Packers +7.5 v. 49ers | | 20-37 |
Loss | -110 | 143 h 10 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Packers |
01-19-20 |
Titans v. Chiefs -7 | | 24-35 |
Win | 100 | 140 h 36 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Chiefs |