01-20-19 |
Patriots v. Chiefs -3 | | 37-31 |
Loss | -116 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
The Patriots having that big game last week against a Chargers team that simply fell apart gives us an opportunity to get a nice value on the Chiefs at home. I still don’t see the Pats being what we are used to from them and it’s tough to believe they have any chance of slowing down this machine of an offense. Home field is huge in the playoffs and the weather shouldn’t be too big a factor on Sunday. Mahomes should get the job done and advance to the Super Bowl PICK: CHIEFS -3 |
01-20-19 |
Rams v. Saints -3 | Top | 26-23 |
Loss | -105 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
There is a lot to like about the Rams this year and in almost any other spot I consider them....but man, if I have a chance at backing Brees at home with this small of a number I’m pounding it. Brees will find a way to get rid of the ball quickly enough to largely negate that nasty interior D and the Saints should be off and running from the start. I still think Goff can be pressured enough o make a few costly mistakes. The Saints roll by double digits Sunday PICK: SAINTS -3 |
01-13-19 |
Eagles v. Saints -8 | Top | 14-20 |
Loss | -105 | 53 h 51 m | Show |
The Saints are going to smash the Eagles and all the lore of Nick Foles dies Sunday. I fully expect this to be a 2 TD+ win as the crowd will be partying early and often and the home town Saints are waaaay too much for an average Philly team. Beating the Bears and their middling offense on a last second doinked FG is nice, but the Eagles take a huge step up in class. Brees is rested and will pick apart this secondary. Saints BIG PICK: Saints -8 |
01-13-19 |
Chargers +4 v. Patriots | | 28-41 |
Loss | -103 | 116 h 33 m | Show |
I'm really gonna buck recent trends with this one, but like I always say, teams change and past performance doesn't guarantee repeated success. The Patriots have won 15 straight at home and during that stretch are 12-3 ATS. The Chargers are again on the road, travelling across the country. All that said, the difference this year is the Patriots aren't that great. They could definitely piece together some wins here but it seems really unlikely they blow out the Chargers who have a far superior defense and a HOF QB of their own. The Pats have been relying on a really strong run game and I expect that to be limited by LA. I also expect Bosa and Ingram to put some serious heat on Brady and affect his play. PICK: Chargers + 4 |
01-12-19 |
Cowboys +7 v. Rams | | 22-30 |
Loss | -100 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
The second I saw we could catch 7 with the Cowboys I jumped on this one. I am a huge fan of the Rams and the way they play football and not so much the Cowboys, who are pretty lousy when it comes to decision making and the use of any modern analytics. However, the Cowboys are in such a perfect match up this week. I'm fading Goff. I know he has gaudy numbers but I think this Dallas defense poses real problems for the Rams. Dallas should do a decent job of controlling Gurley on the ground and this will put a lot on the inexperienced shoulders of Goff. Conversely, the Rams will have to load up the box to stop Zeke ( they allow 5.1 YPC ) and this will allow some big plays for this Dallas offense. PICK: Dallas +7 |
01-12-19 |
Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | | 13-31 |
Loss | -109 | 95 h 3 m | Show |
This is a great game in the making. Mahomes is electric and Luck is playing his ass off. Arrowhead will be rocking and I fully expect the Chiefs to come out firing on all cylinders. It stops at this spread though. 5.5 is simply too big a number for a team as hot as the Colts to be catching. I don't expect either team to have much fortune in stopping the other but the Colts are significantly better on defense and capable of making a big play or two where the Chiefs basically aren't. I'm gonna gobble up the points in what should be a fun game. Even if the Chiefs jump on top, I have a lot of faith in Reich and company to stay competitive. PICK: COLTS +5.5 |
01-06-19 |
Eagles +6.5 v. Bears | | 16-15 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Eagles |
01-06-19 |
Chargers +3 v. Ravens | | 23-17 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
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01-05-19 |
Seahawks v. Cowboys -2 | | 22-24 |
Push | 0 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
The Cowboys have a pretty big edge in matchups here. Mainly their run defense should stifle a Seattle team that runs more than anyone else in the league. I love giving up less than 3 at home with the superior team. Dallas gets it done tonight PICK: Dallas -2 |
01-05-19 |
Colts +2 v. Texans | | 21-7 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
There's a lot to like about both of these teams coming into today. Vegas rates these tams about even and I do as well. What it comes down to for me is the Colts have the edge at QB and coaching. I just don't see Houston having any success stopping Luck and this creative pass game., even if Clowney and Watt get off. Watson is a gamer, but it won't be enough. PICK: Colts +2 |
12-30-18 |
Raiders v. Chiefs -14 | | 3-35 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Chiefs |
12-30-18 |
Eagles -5.5 v. Redskins | | 24-0 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Eagles |
12-30-18 |
Browns +7 v. Ravens | | 24-26 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Browns |
12-30-18 |
Chargers -6.5 v. Broncos | | 23-9 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Chargers |
12-30-18 |
Falcons -2.5 v. Bucs | | 34-32 |
Loss | -108 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Falcons |
12-30-18 |
Jets +14 v. Patriots | | 3-38 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 12 m | Show |
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