Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08-20-20 | Astros v. Rockies -103 | Top | 10-8 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies (10*). After losing three straight to the Astros, I think the Rockies find a way to deliver the goods in the finale. Cristian Javier is 2-1 with a 2.91 ERA for the Astros and so far he's made the most of his time in the rotation, most recently going six scoreless vs. the Mariners. Facing the Mariners is one thing, but facing this hungry Rockies team at Coors is quite another obviously. German Marquez is only 2-3 this year, but he sports a sharp 2.25 ERA. Marquez has 30 K's over 32 innings so far and he was 9-5 at home last year. Great value on the hard-hitting home side! T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Rockies. | |||||||
08-20-20 | Tigers +1.5 v. White Sox | 0-9 | Loss | -135 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tigers Run Line (8*). Detroit lost 5-3 yesterday, but I like it to respond on Thursday. The Tigers go with Spencer Turnbull, who is 2-1 with a 2.78 ERA and who comes in off his first loss of the year, allowing three runs over five innings to the hard-hitting Indians on Saturday. So far he has a 21:11 K:BB and his team will be leaning on him today to get deep into this one. Lucas Giolito is 1-2 with a 4.88 ERA for the ChiSox and he most recently was shelled for five runs over five innings in a loss to the Cardinals. Recent form has me all over Turnbull and the hungry Tigers on Thursday! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tigers. | |||||||
08-20-20 | Heat v. Pacers +4.5 | 109-100 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pacers (8*). The Heat have gone 4-1 against the Pacers overall this year, including taking Game 1 of this series. Indiana though is 6-0 ATS in its last six following a SU loss, while Miami is a poor 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games following a SU win of more than ten points. Outright? Of course (even sprinkle a little!), but my official play is to grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 120-119 Indiana. | |||||||
08-20-20 | Heat v. Pacers OVER 215 | 109-100 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pacers/Heat OVER (8*). Game 1 landed right on 214 and the O/U on the contest was 215. There was no scoring over the final minute of the game either, as Indiana for some inexplicable reason didn't foul. The Pacers lost by 11, but they still should have been trying until the final moments. Expect that to be the case today. I'll point out as well that the Pacers have seen the total eclipse the number in 14 of their last 22 after a playoff loss of ten points or more. This one flies WAY over! T.M. Prediction: 120-119 Indiana. | |||||||
08-19-20 | Mavs +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 127-114 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* SITUATIONAL MONEY-MAKER). If your'e wagering on this game, you know the strengths and weaknesses of each team. The Clippers have a couple of key players out(Harrel and Beverely) and now they face this revenge minded Mavericks team, which will definitely be playing with a chip on its shoulder here after the controversial ejecting of star player Kristaps Porzingis near the end of the game. The Mavs had the lead when Porzingis went out, but then stumbled mentally down the stretch. I'm expecting an outright victory for Dallas here, but in the end I'll recommend to grab up as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 117-110 Mavericks. | |||||||
08-19-20 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -140 | 23 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Coyotes (10* PUCK-LINE BEST OF BEST). The Avalanche have a chance to close out this series, but I think the veterans on Arizona won't go down quietly here. In a game which could very well see extra time, I'm going to lay this reasonable price for an extra 1.5 goals of insurance. Arizona actually outshot the Avs last time out. I expect a very tight game, the play is the COYOTES PUCK LINE! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Yotes. | |||||||
08-19-20 | Phillies v. Red Sox +130 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 130 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Red Sox (10* TRADE-MARK). I love the home side to pull off the slight upset here. Boston lost 13-6 last night and it's on the verge of its longest losing streak in club history. Suffice it to say, I believe the BoSox will collectively "dig deep" here and find a way to deliver. Kyle Hart is 0-1 with a 22.50 ERA for Boston, while Jake Arrieta is 1-2 with a 4.02 ERA for Phillies. The Phillies have won four straight and are back at .500, but note that they're just 1-5 in their last six after three games or longer unbeaten streak. I'm banking on Hart matching Arrieta and for the desperate Red Sox to come through here finally. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Red Sox. | |||||||
08-18-20 | Capitals +102 v. Islanders | Top | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Capitals (10* TRADE-MARK). I admit that I'm a little surprised at how well the Islanders have played in this series. The oddsmakers priced this series pretty evenly, but I definitely never expected Washington to be down 0-3 at this point. And I definitely don't think the Capitals will go down quietly here. Washington was among the league's best on both ends of the ice this season and it's loaded with proud, veteran talent (I'll point out as well that Washington is 7-2 in its last nine after three or more straight losses.) I say, NO SWEEP FOR YOU Islanders! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Capitals. | |||||||
08-18-20 | Blue Jays -135 v. Orioles | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Jays won 7-2 yesterday without Bo Bichette in the line-up, as Randal Grichuk drove in four runs, while Cavan Biggio knocked in the other three. Nate Pearson is 0-0 with a 5.11 ERA for the Jays, while Wade LeBlanc is 1-0 with a 7.13 ERA for the Orioles. Pearson is a 6 foot 6, 250 pound rookie that throws the ball hard and I believe he's a "wash" here with LeBlanc (note though that LeBlanc is a devastatingly poor 0-1 with a 6.88 ERA in four games vs. the Jays lifetime.) Toronto is 8-4 in its last 12 after a four-run or higher victory and I look for that trend to extend here; lay the short price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. | |||||||
08-18-20 | Indians v. Pirates UNDER 9 | Top | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tribe/Pirates UNDER (10* PITCHERS DUEL OF DOOM). I believe this one is going to sneak below the number. The Indians come off an 8-5 win Sunday at Detroit in which they blasted out five home runs. Suffice it to say, I expect a bit of a letdown here in this interleague park and facing the lowly Pirates. Pittsburgh has only played twice in the last eight days, so its bullpen is very healthy at the moment. Carlos Carrasco is 2-2 with a 3.22 ERA for the Indians, while JT Brubaker is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA for the Pirates. Look for these two stud pitchers to battle into the latter frames and for this total to fall under once it's all said and done! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Indians. | |||||||
08-18-20 | Heat v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers. Miami took three of four from Indiana in the regular season, but the Pacers looked great over their first eight games. Yes, the Pacers beat the Heat in their final regular season game 109-92 when Miami was resting most of its playres, but I think Indiana will once again be very competitive here. Jimmy Butler is a menace for any team to deal with, but I think the pieces around him are just not experienced enough (Nunn, Herro and Robinson.) Last year Indiana was swept in four games by the Celtics, so it'll feel extra pressure here to get out to a quick start in this series. I like the depth and experience Indiana brings to the table in Game 1. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 115-107 Indiana. | |||||||
08-18-20 | Flyers v. Canadiens +118 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canadiens (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). This has been an extremely even, back and forth series. Philly leads 2-1 after its 1-0 win last time out. Montreal won 5-0 previous to that. I think this back and forth pattern continues though on Tuesday as I look for Carey Price and the Canadiens to dig deep here and find a way to get the job done. Carter Hart looked good in Game 3, but he looked poor in Game 4 in net for the Flyers. The Canadiens though have been extremely consistent on the defensive end of the ice and I believe that will once again be the case here vs. this now stuttering Flyers offense (interesting to note that Montreal is 10-6-0 when outshooting its opponent on the road in its previous outing.) I'm banking on Montreal responding in Game 4! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Habs. | |||||||
08-17-20 | A's v. Diamondbacks +101 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 101 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams come in red hot, but I think that Arizona will take the first of this four game interleague series. The A's go with Chris Bassitt, who is 2-0 with a 2.42 ERA. He'll be opposed by Zac Gallen who is 0-0 with a 2.72 ERA. Gallen comes in off a gem at Coors Field of all places, giving up just two runs over seven innings and I expect him to carry that momentum over here. Furthermore note that the A's are just 2-5 in their last seven interleague road games as the favorite. Round 1 of this four round fight goes to Arizona! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 D-Backs. | |||||||
08-17-20 | Mavs +6 v. Clippers | 110-118 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Mavericks (8* MONEY-MAKER). I think the Clippers are great when they're at full strength, but they're not. The Mavericks may be without the services of Seth Curry here, but they have two super stars in Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis and a plethora of shooters around them. The injury to Montrezl Harrel is obviously a big detriment to this LA team. Also note that the Clippers are without Patrick Beverley and Landry Shamet as well. The Mavs are HUNGRY. Just as hungry or even hungrier than Kawhi Leonard. I think the outright is VERY possible, but I'm going to grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Dallas. | |||||||
08-17-20 | Bruins -123 v. Hurricanes | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Boston is going through some adversity off the ice with goaltender Tuuka Rask leaving the team due to Covid reasons, but it still has a 2-1 lead in this series. I think the Bruins are the better team in this matchup and I like them to take a strangle-hold here. Jaroslav Halak is 1-1 with a 2.59 GAA in the playoffs for Boston and he's 6-6-1 with a 2.61 GAA lifetime vs. the Hurricanes. Hurricanes' netminder Petr Mrazek is 4-2-1 with a 3.09 GAA lifetime vs. Boston, but note that the Canes are a poor 1-4 in their last five playoff games as an underdog and only 8-17 in their last 25 vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Bruins on the other hand 7-1 in their last eight when playing on one days rest. Great value on the "better" team! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Boston. | |||||||
08-17-20 | Nets +9.5 v. Raptors | Top | 110-134 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn (10* TRADE-MARK). Do I think that the Nets are going to win this game and this series? No I do not. However, I do think that the conditions are right in Game 1 for Brooklyn to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting. The Nets won five of eight games in the bubble, losing 134-133 to the Blazers in their finale, getting 37 points from Caris LaVert. Toronto also looked great in its first eight games and it's difficult to say anything negative about it, I simply believe it's going to get caught looking past its opponent in Game 1. Note that the Nets are 8-3 SU in their last 11 overall, while the Raptors are interestingly 0-5 ATS in their last five vs. the Atlantic. T.M. Prediction: 115-112 Raptors. | |||||||
08-16-20 | Blues v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Nucks UNDER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). While the first two games of this series have blasted past the number, Game 3 of this first round Western Conference series has "under" written all over it I think. St. Louis needs to get "back to basics" here if it has any hopes of getting back into this series. The Canucks have looked great up to this point, but they're in unchartered territory, led by players who are experiencing this stage for the first times in their careers. I believe St. Louis will try to grind out a victory here, and that means bodying up on the Canucks and aggressively back-checking. This total is too high in Game 3, I'm playing the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Blues. | |||||||
08-16-20 | Padres -114 v. Diamondbacks | 4-5 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Padres (9* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION.) These two teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions. The Padres once rosy start is in the rear view mirror now, as the team enters at 11-11 and on a four-game losing streak. The Diamondbacks are still under the .500 mark after their terrible start, but after four-straight wins, this one definitely has "letdown" written all over it in my opinion. Garrett Richards is 1-1 with a 3.74 ERA this year for San Diego and he's 2-0 with a miniscule 1.80 ERA in five starts vs. the Diamondbacks. Robbie Ray of Arizona is only 1-2 with a 10.59 ERA this year and he's a pedestrian 5-6 with a 4.90 ERA in 17 starts vs. the Padres. As stated off the top, this one has "BLOWOUT" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. | |||||||
08-16-20 | Rays v. Blue Jays +126 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* U OF THE U). Yonny Chirinos is 0-0 with a 1.04 ERA, but he comes in off a ten-day stint in the injured list. Chirinos looked great before his minor injury, but I'm still skeptical here, as I believe he'll be on a "short leash" from the Rays. The Jays go with Matt Shoemaker, who is 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA. Shoemaker enters off a good start vs. the Red Sox, allowing three runs (only two earned) off three hits while striking out six over six innings in an unfortunate no-decision on Sunday. The rain delayed game works in favor of Toronto in this one as well in my opinion. All things considered, I absolutely love this play! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. | |||||||
08-16-20 | Sky v. Dream +11 | Top | 92-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta (10* GAME OF MONTH). Both teams have been poor in the bubble. Chicago is coming off a loss to the Sun, as Cheyenne Parker was a lone bright spot with 17 points. The Dream though are desperate here, as after starting off the bubble with a victory, they now enter this contest having lost nine straight. These teams average nearly the same points (80.2 for the Dream and 83.8 for the Sky), but I do definitely think that the desperation level in which ATL plays with today will be the difference here. Outright win?! Anything is possible, but I'm grabbing up all these points! T.M. Prediction: POSTED SHORTLY | |||||||
08-16-20 | Capitals -107 v. Islanders | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Capitals (10* TRADE-MARK). The Capitals have been competitive throughout this series, but the Islanders now have a two-game lead. Washington is on the ropes here, as a 3-0 hole will clearly be too much for this team to climb out of. If the Capitals are going to make a move and get back into this series, they have to find a way to get the job done here. The Isles took out the Panthers in four games and a letdown definitely now seems inevitable to me at this point. I think the now desperate Capitals offer great value in Game 3! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Capitals. | |||||||
08-16-20 | Stipe Miocic -105 v. Daniel Cormier | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miocic (10* FIGHT OF MONTH). I think the taller Stipe Miocic will find a way to get the job done here vs. the aging Daniel Cormier. Cormier won the first fight in a first round stunner, but then Miocic won in a KO in the fourth round in the second fight. I think Miocic has the blue-print to beat Cormier, he was just got with a "lucky" shot in the first fight. Miocic won't get caught with another blow like that and I think he can absorb anything that Cormier tries to throw his way. All things considered, I think this is the very definition of "great line value." T.M. Prediction: KO/Decision/Submission. | |||||||
08-15-20 | Dodgers v. Angels +1.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Angels RUN LINE (8*). The Dodgers won 7-4 last night, but I like the Angels to bounce back here. Walker Buehler is 0-0 with a 4.40 ERA this year for the Dodgers and he most recently allowed two runs and four walks over five innings in a no-decision to the Giants on Sunday. Andrew Heaney is 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA for the Angels and while he gave up five runs over four innings in a loss to the Rangers on Sunday, note that he posted a sharp 3.49 ERA in all "night" games a year ago. I'm going to lay this very reasonable price and grab the extra runs just in case! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Angels. | |||||||
08-15-20 | Rangers v. Rockies -157 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -157 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies (10*). Kyle Gibson is 0-2 with a 4.11 ERA. He looked decent in his team debut, but then took a step back last time out vs. the Mariners on Monday, allowing four runs off nine hits over 4.1 innings. In my opinion, a date at Coors Field is not what the doctor ordered to get untracked. The home side counters with German Marquez, who is 2-2 with a 2.08 ERA and who will be eager to return to form after allowing five runs to the Mariners over seven innings in his last outing. Note though that only two were earned. Marquez had a winning home record last year and he sports a great 27/6 K/BB already this year, along with the miniscule 2.08 ERA. Expect Marquez to get the better of Gibson and lay this price! T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Rockies. | |||||||
08-15-20 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jackets (10* PUCK-LINE PLAY OF THE YEAR). Tampa won Game 1 of this seven game series in five OT's, but then Columbus bounced back in Game 2 and dominated from start to finish. The Lightning could easily be 0-2 right now and the Blue Jackets continue to get little respect from the public or oddsmakers. Columbus has four very strong lines and arguably the better goaltending here. It's also 7-2 in its last nine after a two goals or larger victory in its previous outing. I think this one could see extra periods, so that's why I'll recommend to lay this slightly larger price for the extra 1.5 goals (puck-line!) T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jackets. | |||||||
08-15-20 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -118 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OVER Mets/Phils (10*). Aaron Nola has been spectacular for the Phillies in the early going. The Phillies held on for a 6-5 win yesterday and I expect a similar final combined score here as well though, as note that this pick is primarily based upon the shoddy play of Mets' starter Steven Matz, who is 0-3 with an 8.20 ERA. Most recently he allowed three home runs and eight runs overall in a 16-4 loss to the Nationals on Monday. Look for these two talented offenses to push this total over as the game comes down the stretch! T.M. Prediction: 8-5 Phililes. | |||||||
08-15-20 | Grizzlies +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 122-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Grizzlies (10* RIM-RIPPER). I think the Blazers come in a bit dejected here. Damian Lillard and Portland have been one of the hotter teams in the bubble, but all of their hard work over their first eight games has resulted in a weird "play in" series with Memphis. If the Blazers win this game, they earn the eighth seed and play the Lakers. The Grizzlies need to win two games though in this series to advance. Can Ja Morant break out of his funk here and extend this one to a Game 2? I think the Grizz do match up well vs. Lillard and company and I wouldn't at all be shocked by an outright upset, but in the end I'll grab the points and expect this one to come right down to the wire! T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Grizz. | |||||||
08-15-20 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canes/Bruins UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). This series is tied at one game a piece, but Boston is "lucky" as it won Game 1 in OT. Carolina then made some necessary adjustments and locked down defensively in Game 2 and I think we're going to see a very similar game plan by the Hurricanes in Game 3 as well. Why turn this into a faster-paced "shootout," when you can slow it down and grind out a victory here? That's going to be the mentality for Carolina moving forward for sure. Will that result in victory here? The Bruins have some of the best defensive numbers in the league, so a slower paced game plays into their strengths as well. The defenses are going to tighten up and this one stays well below the posted number! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Bruins. | |||||||
08-14-20 | Dodgers v. Angels +1.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -111 | 26 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Angels RUN LINE (8* MONEY-MAKER). The DOdgers enter off a satisfying 11-2 thrashing of the Padres last night and I believe they'll suffer a bit of a hang over here. If you look at these teams OBPS, they are very similar. The Angels won't be lacking for motivation here either. Clayton Kershaw looked great in his debut vs. the toothless D-Backs, but he took a step back in his last start by allowing four runs over four innings (and note that three of the runs were of the solo home run variety, so clearly he's a bit "lucky" to have the numbers he currently does.) Patrick Sandoval was unfortunate to earn a loss in his last start, despite allowing only two runs over five frames. I think the home side on the run line is the savvy call here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Angels. | |||||||
08-14-20 | Islanders v. Capitals -120 | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 56 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Capitals (8*). Washington led this game 2-0, until the Isles exploded for four goals in a span of 13 minutes in the third period. It was a little unexpected, considering how well Washington looked up till that point. But the Caps are an experienced team and they've been through adversity and a little "hiccup" like that won't deter this veteran laden squad in my opinion. The Isles' strength is their depth across the four lines and comptent goaltending. But with their backs against the wall, I believe Alexander Ovechkin and the stars on Washington "steal the show" in Game 2. Lay the short price! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Caps. | |||||||
08-14-20 | Canucks v. Blues -134 | 4-3 | Loss | -134 | 26 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Blues (8*). I think the defending champs will bounce back here. St. Louis has been here before and it's still loaded with veteran talent that has been through the grinder and knows how to bounce back. The Canucks are largely in unchartered territory here and I do think that their inexperience will hurt them in trying to close out their opponent here. Also note that Van is a poor 3-8 in its last 11 after a three goals or more victory in its previous outing. All things considered, I believe this line could/should in fact be a lot larger, swinging the value in favor of the home side here! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Blues. | |||||||
08-14-20 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Avalanche | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Coyotes PUCK-LINE (8*). Game 1 of this series was in fact very evenly matched, but the Avs managed to score three goals mid-way through the third period to seal the deal. Arizona got by Nashville in five games in its opening round, and I think it has a very legitimate shot at bouncing back here. The Avs have been red hot since the re-start, but I believe they'll have their hands full with this Coyotes team, which features plenty of veteran talent that's been here and done that. In this evenly matched contest, which I think gets decided late, I'll lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Yotes. | |||||||
08-14-20 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams are locked into their respective playoff spots, so this game is meaningless. So how are you supposed to handicap a contest like this? For me it comes down to the fact that I expect Denver to be working on a few things, especially giving its bench some assignments to work on in prepartion for the upcoming tournament. The Raptors came from behind to knock off the 76ers 124-121 in their last game and they've proven to everyone that they're up to the task of defending their title. I look for Toronto to "go through the motions" this evening. That said, let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Nuggets. | |||||||
08-13-20 | Flames v. Stars -103 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 31 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Stars Game 1 was very entertaining and really the Stars had their chances to win, but in the end the Flames pulled away for the 3-2 victory. The Stars looked poor in their three round robin games, but they looked considerably better in Game 1, especially as the contest went on. The reverse though could be said for the Flames, who seemed to struggle as the contest progressed. Dallas is 7-3 in its last ten after a one goal loss in which it scored two or less goals in as well. Dallas is filled with veteran talent, which I expect to make the necessary adjustments to pull out a victory in Game 2! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Stars | |||||||
08-13-20 | Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | 2-11 | Loss | -156 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Padres (RUN LINE). The Padres took the first two games of this series before falling 6-0 last night. I think San Diego has a legitimate shot at winning this one outright, but in a game which could be decided late or even in extra innings, let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs! Chris Paddack is 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA so far for the Padres and he's 1-1 with a 5.31 ERA vs. the Dodgers over four starts. Julio Urias is 1-0 with a 2.40 ERA for LA, but note that the Dodgers are a poor 2-7 in their last nine NL home games after posting a shutout and a victory of five or more runs. Outright victory?! Obviously very possible, but grab the 1.5! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. | |||||||
08-13-20 | Pelicans v. Magic -4 | Top | 127-133 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* BANKROLL BUILDER!) The Pelicans were picked by many to make the playoffs, but the chemistry they had the regular season vanished and now New Orleans is hoping to leave the bubble without any significant injuries. The Magic haven't done too well either, but they have locked down the eighth spot and while their reward is a date vs. the Bucks, I still believe the team will put the hammer down here as it looks to gain a small amount of momentum befor the playoffs begin. It's a great overall situational play. Both teams are likely to rest a few starters here, but I'll give the upper-hand to the Orlando bench. I look for the playoff bound Magic to pull away down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Magic. | |||||||
08-12-20 | Canucks +135 v. Blues | Top | 5-2 | Win | 135 | 53 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canucks (10*) The defending champs come into this years playoffs as the #4 seed as they will face the flaming hot Canucks for a trip to the Quarter Finals. The Blues come into this game winless, since returning from the global pandemic with a 0-2-1 record. They will rely mostly on goalie, Jordan Binnington, to step up his game, just like last playoffs if they want to have a chance at another Stanley Cup. Also, they will need strong performances out of Vladimir Tararesenko and captain Ryan O’Reilly. On the other hand, the Canucks beat out the Minnesota Wild, in a very high scoring Qualifying Series. They will look to continue their success into this round and further. Brock Boeser (Canuck Forward) wasn’t at his best in the Opener, but has certainly stepped up his game in the last 3 games. They will rely on GK Jacob Markstrom to back them up as he played every single minute of the last series. He’s been rock solid, so they might as well ride the wave. I expect some low scoring games, but at least one or two high scoring ones here. Canucks take out the champs in Game 1. Prediction: 4-3 Canucks. | |||||||
08-12-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets +4.5 | Top | 124-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Clippers are now locked into their playoff spot. They're 3-3 in the bubble, looking brilliant at times and pretty pedestrian in others. The Nets just upset them 129-120. Kawhi Leonard was a bright spot with 39 points. The Nuggets are looking ahead to the post-season as well as they come in having split their first six games as well. The Nuggets enter off a 124-121 loss to the Lakers. The Nuggets do match up well against LA though. Denver is in fact 2-5 ATS in its last seven in this series and I believe it will be the "hungrier" dog in this fight. Look for the Nuggets to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and grab the ample points! T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Denver. | |||||||
08-12-20 | Canadiens v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 50 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Habs/Flyers UNDER (10*). How did Montreal pull off the upset over heavily favored Pittsburgh? Clearly star goaltender Carey Price played a big part, as he looked in vintage form. But the Habs did benefit from the long lay off to heal up and to formulate during the pandemic break. Philly went 3-0 in its round robin games and it looks really good on both ends of the ice. The strength of the Flyers this year to me has been their ability to adapt their style of game play to counter their opponent and in this case, I believe Montreal will be out to slow the pace of this one down and look for Philadelphia to make the first mistake. I think in this first game these heavy weight opponents "feel each other out" to begin with. When you add it all up, this one has UNDER written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Flyers. | |||||||
08-12-20 | Twins v. Brewers +131 | Top | 12-2 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brewers (10* TRADE-MARK). The Brewers came out on top with a 6-4 win last night and I believe they'll find a way to deliver on Wednesday as well. The Twins just got swept by Kansas City as this is a team which is now clearly trending in the wrong direction. Kenta Maeda is 2-0 with a 2.65 ERA for Minnesota and while he's had success vs. the Brewers in the past, I simply feel that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Eric Lauer is 0-1 with a 9.53 ERA, allowing six runs in his only start this year vs. the Reds. That's not indicative of Lauer's over form in these spots though, as he posted a 3.08 ERA in all "home" situations. Look for the Brewers to build off yesterday's four home run performance and for Maeda to finally regress! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Brewers. | |||||||
08-12-20 | Islanders v. Capitals -129 | 4-2 | Loss | -129 | 46 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Capitals (8*). I think the Isles will come out a bit flat here after their four-game series win over the Panthers. The Capitals only won one of their three round robin games, but much like Tampa Bay, I believe Washington was just "going through the motions" as it got ready for the playoffs. Tampa was 0-3 in its round robin games, but it held on for the 3-2 win in five OT's last night. Washington has no significant injuries like the Lightning though. I like the veteran super stars on the Caps to help Washington take Game 1! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Caps. | |||||||
08-11-20 | Cubs v. Indians -135 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -135 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* TRADE-MARK). Jon Lester has been brilliant so far for Chicago, going 1-0 with a 0.82 ERA thus far. Everything has gone right so far for the veteran, but I think that he'll have a "hiccup" here sooner than later (also note, Lester was a far from spectacular 5-6 with a 4.90 ERA on the road, while also posting a 5.99 ERA after the All Star Break.) Mike Clevinger has been sidelined with covid protocol here, so Adam Plutko gets the nod and he's 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA, most recently allowing two runs over six innings in a victory over the White Sox (note that Plutko was a sharp 4-2 with a 3.85 ERA at home last year as well). I think the tough road venue finally gets to Lester and I look for Plutko to edge his counterpart; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Indians. | |||||||
08-11-20 | Cubs v. Indians OVER 8 | Top | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs/Indians OVER (10* TOTAL U OF THE U). Jon Lester has been brilliant so far for Chicago, going 1-0 with a 0.82 ERA thus far. Everything has gone right so far for the veteran, but I think that he'll have a "hiccup" here sooner than later (also note, Lester was a far from spectacular 5-6 with a 4.90 ERA on the road, while also posting a 5.99 ERA after the All Star Break.) Mike Clevinger has been sidelined with covid protocol here, so Adam Plutko gets the nod and he's 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA, most recently allowing two runs over six innings in a victory over the White Sox. Plutko though is being forced into this spot, so he could be seeing only limited time on the hill this evening. I think these two talented offensive clubs eclipse this total in the early innings; play the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Indians. | |||||||
08-11-20 | Blue Jackets +155 v. Lightning | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jackets (10* MONEY-MAKER). Columbus took two of three from the Lightning in the regular season. The Blue Jackets also knocked out Tampa in the first round last year. The extra time off to heal up and address a few issues has absolutely benefited Columbus, as evidenced by its 3-2 series win over the Toronto Maple Leafs. Tampa is built almost identically to Toronto, however it's now missing both its top defenseman in Hedman and its top scorer in Stamkos as well. I love the depth of the Jackets top four lines and its defense and goaltending is likely better as well. This one has upset written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jackets. | |||||||
08-10-20 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -128 | 12-8 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Rockies (8* MONEY-MAKER). The Rockies return home off a 5-3 loss at Seattle, but the Rockies are 11-4 overall and I think they'll lay the hammer down here vs. this inconsistent D-Backs side. Jon Gray is 0-1 with a 3.31 ERA for the home side, while Robbie Ray is 1-2 with a 9.45 ERA for the visitors. Both veterans have had success against their respective opponents today, but clearly each enters on the other end of the spectrum as far as their current overall form is concerned. Combine that with the sluggish start that the D-Back are having at the plate (especially on the road!), and it makes this a price in which I have no issues at all in laying on this red hot home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Rockies. | |||||||
08-10-20 | Twins v. Brewers +102 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Brewers (10* BEST OF BEST). I like the home side to prevail in this Monday night interleague matchup. Minnesota goes with Randy Dobnak, who is 2-1 with a 0.60 ERA, while the Brewers counter with Adrian Houser, who is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA. Dobnak comes off a 5-2 win over th ePirates on Wednesday, going six innings. But after starting the season 10-2, the Twins have dropped four in a row. In fact note that the Twins' pitchers have a 6.12 ERA during the slide and now they face a Brewers side which just exploded for a 9-3 home win on Sunday. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value." T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Brewers. | |||||||
08-10-20 | Mavs -2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). If the NBA and NHL restarts have taught us anything, it's that to expect the unexpected. The Pandemic really has evened the playing field in both sports, as the lower-seeded teams in each sport seem to be playing at an extremely high level right now. In such a chaotic atmosphere, "situational" capping is critical in my opinion. Dallas is right behind Utah in seventh place. Both come off OT contests, but there's a big a difference in that Dallas won 136-123 over the Bucks in single OT, while the Jazz fell 134-132 in double OT to the Nuggets. I like the Mavs to build off that inspiring win and to take advantage of this tired and dejected Jazz side; lay the short points! T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Mavs. | |||||||
08-09-20 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Leafs/Jackets UNDER (10* This has been a very back and forth series. Columbus had a 3-0 lead going into the third period of Game 4, but somehow the Leafs managed to score four goals in that frame. Those type of "outlier" style of contests of course happen over the course of the playoffs, but I don't expect "lightning to strike twice" in this all important Game 5. Both teams have exceptional goaltending and blue lines and in this highly competitive affair, I believe this one falls under (just like the first two games of this series did.) This number is a tad high! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Toronto. | |||||||
08-09-20 | Stars v. Blues -133 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -133 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues (10* ANNIHILATION). This is the last game of the round-robin stage of the Western Conference and the winner of this gets the 3rd seed, while the loser gets the 4th. These teams are similar in many regards, as evidenced by the money line that Las Vegas has set. The Stars though have completely looked terrible in their two games, conceding a total of eight unanswered goals. Stars' goalie Anton Khudobin is 0-1 with a 4.00 GAA. The Blues are 0-2 as well, but they've looked more competitive to this point, losing 2-1 to Colorado and 6-4 to the Golden Knights. Blues' goalie Jordan Binnington is the more experienced netminder in this matchup and I think that matters here. Also note that the Blues are 6-1 the last seven in this series, while Dallas is 0-8 in its last eight overall. I'm laying the very reasonabel price on what I believe to be the much better overall team right now. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Blues. | |||||||
08-09-20 | Spurs v. Pelicans -3 | Top | 122-113 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Orleans Pelicans (10* MONEY-MAKER). This is a pivotal game for both of these bottom feeders in the bubble as each tries to run down a playoff spot. The Suprs are 3-2 in the bubble and the Pels are 2-3. With a loss here, the Pelicans will be eliminated from post-season contention though and with that massive motivating factor working in their favor, I think the more desperate club will indeed play with a sense of urgency from the opening tip until the final horn. I'll point out as well that the Spurs are just 7-13 ATS in their last 20 in this series, while the Pels are interestingly 5-2 ATS in their last seven vs. the Southwest division. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Pelicans. | |||||||
08-09-20 | Grizzlies v. Raptors UNDER 222 | Top | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Grizzlies UNDER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). This is a huge game for the Grizzlies, who are still fighting for a playoff spot. The Bucks have claimed the top spot in the East, meaning that win or lose the rest of the way, the Raptors can not better their second place spot in the East. Toronto is playing well, but at this point it's now about planning for the off-season in a week or two and trying to avoid any serious injuries. The Raptors though have held their three opponents thus far to 103 points or fewer, including the Lakers to just 92. Everything points to a very defensive affair in my opinion; play the under! T.M. Prediction: 108-106 Grizz. | |||||||
08-09-20 | Yankees +106 v. Rays | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Yankees (10* U OF THE U). Tampa won 2-0 on Friday and the then New York won 8-4 yesterday. I think the Evil Empire will build off yesterday's performance and find a way to get the job done here as well. Morton and Paxton are a "wash" here in my opinion, but note that the Yanks are 7-2 in their last nine AL road games after scoring eight or more runs ina victory in their previous outing. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Yanks. | |||||||
08-08-20 | Rockies v. Mariners -110 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seattle Mariners (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Rockies won last night, but I think the home side will dig deep and find a way to get the job done on Saturday. Ryan Castellani is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA has been called up to replace Chi Chi Gonzalez for the Rockies, who tore his biceps. This is Catellani's MLB debut after posting an 8.31 ERA and 1.95 WHIP over 10 starts at the Triple-A level last season. Nick Margevicius is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and while he's struggled with consistency early, I still give him a big nod in this particular matchup. Additionally note that the Rockies are just 2-7 in their last nine interleague games after a three runs or higher margin of victory in their previous outing. Great value on the home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Mariners. | |||||||
08-08-20 | Bucks v. Mavs +5.5 | Top | 132-136 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). The Bucks have earned top spot in the East after starting 2-2 in the Bubble. Milwaukee would have seen Toronto take the foot off the gas last night as well, so with nothing to play for here, I believe the Bucks will indeed simply "go through the motions" this afternoon. The Mavericks will also be in the playoffs, but they so far haven't played up to expectations and I think they are the much more motivated dog in this fight. Dallas is just 1-3 so far in the bubble, but it can still improve its positioning with a few more wins. I'm grabbing the points, but wouldn't be shocked by an outright! T.M. Prediction: 116-114 Mavs. | |||||||
08-08-20 | Golden Knights +113 v. Avalanche | Top | 4-3 | Win | 113 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden Knights (10* MONEY-MAKER). These two teams play out their final round robin contest before the real playoffs start and I think it favors the Golden Knights. Las Vegas enters off a 6-4 win over the Blues. Note that Knights' netminder Marc Andre Fleury is 11-5-2 with a 2.50 GAA lifetime vs. the Avs. Colorado comes in off a 4-0 win over Dallas. Pavel Francouz is 1-0 with a 3.00 GAA liftime vs. Vegas. These teams are very similar, but the Knights' superior offense wins the day in this matchup in my opinion! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Knights. | |||||||
08-07-20 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -117 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Diego Padres (10* U OF THE U). San Diego starter Zach Davies is 1-1 after two starts, allowing five earned runs with seven K's spanning ten innings. For his career he's 3-2 with a 4.13 ERA vs. the D-Backs. Davies hasn't been fantastic, but he's been grinding. Luke Weaver on the other hand has been an absolute "gas can" for Arizona, going 0-2 with a ballooned 14.73 ERA so far, allowing 12 runs off 14 hits over just 7 1/3's frames of work. I'm banking on Davies easily going longer than his struggling counterpart and that definitely swings the favor in the under-valued home side; lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. | |||||||
08-07-20 | Maple Leafs -140 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Maple Leafs (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). It's do or die for Toronto here, who was the favorite to win this series going into the five game event. The Jackets erased a 3-0 deficit in Game 3 to win, but I don't see lightning "striking twice" in this case, as I think Toronto will go up early again, except this time I expect it to keep its foot on the throat of Columbus today. Even though Columbus has scored more goals at 5-on-5, Toronto has attempted more shots, created more expected goals and generated more high-danger scoring chances. I'm rolling with the more desperate team! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Leafs. | |||||||
08-07-20 | Jazz v. Spurs -1.5 | Top | 111-119 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* MONEY-MAKER). Here's a great situational play. The Spurs desperately need some victories, while the Jazz are already assured a playoff spot. This line opened as the Jazz as -2.5 point favorites, but that line has since swung the other way because of the news that Utah is expected to sit many of its starters today. Whether you got down early, or later, I love the Spurs to take advantage of this spot and to easily pull way for a comfortable cover. It's do or die for San Antonio here as it looks to avoid a third straight defeat, most recently coming off a close 132-126 setback to the Nuggets on Wednesday. This one has ATS "BLOWOUT" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Spurs. | |||||||
08-06-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 126-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* U OF THE U). The Clippers are 1-2 in the Bubble, most recently coming off a last second loss to the Suns. LA lost a key piece in the setback as well as Patrick Beverely injured his leg. Also note that Montrezl Harrell remains out as well with a family issue. The Mavericks have been struggling somewhat as well since the return, but they come off a come from behind 114-110 win over the Kings on Tuesday and I believe Luca Doncic and company will keep the momentum rolling here. The Clippers have struggled defensively and with Beverely out, I have a hard time seeing them contain this explosive Mavs offense. Outright win is obviously possible, but let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 118-114 Dallas. | |||||||
08-06-20 | Reds v. Indians -112 | Top | 0-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Cleveland won 2-0 last night and I think it'll find a way to get the job done here as well and win this four game series 3-1. Luis Castillo gets the nod for the Reds and he enters off a terrible start vs. the Tigers, allowing five runs off eight hits. Carlos Carrasco heads to the hill for the home side and he has so far allowed five runs over 12 innings of work this season. Carrasco has two quality outings under his belt and I think he continues his progression here. Note as well that the Reds are 0-4 in their last four as an underdog, while Cleveland is interestingly 6-0 in Carrasco's last six starts vs. the NL Central division. Overall, great value on the home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tribe. | |||||||
08-06-20 | Canucks +107 v. Wild | Top | 3-0 | Win | 107 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vancouver Canucks (10* MONEY-MAKER). This series is tied 1-1, but I think that Vancouver will build off its most recent 4-3 Game 2 victory. JT Miller was big in Game 2, posting a goal and an assist for Vancouver. Canucks' netminder Jacob Markstrom has been solid as well with a 2.54 GAA thus far. Eric Staal has been leading the way for Minnesota with four points in this series so far and Alex Stalock does have a 2.03 GAA, but note that the Wild are just 2-7 in their last nine after allowing four or more goals in a loss in their previous game. The Canucks on the other hand are 8-4 in their last 12 after scoring four or more goals in a one goal victory. I'm banking on these trends continuing! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Canucks. | |||||||
08-05-20 | Dodgers -135 v. Padres | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Dodgers The Padres early big start to the season is starting to dwindle away. The Dodgers won 5-2 last night and I think the offer great value here to win again. Ross Stripling is so far 2-0 with a 2.92 ERA for LA, most recently allowing three runs off four hits over 5.1 innings in a victory over the D-Backs on Thursday. Previous to that he struck out seven in a win over the Giants. Garrett Richards is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA and he most recently was rocked for four runs off eight hits with one walk over 5.2 innings in a fortunate no-decision vs. the Rockies on Friday. Richards was dealing with injuries last year and he's yet to "get up to speed" in 2020 either. Expect LA to step up and take advantage tonight and lay this reasonable price! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Dodgers | |||||||
08-05-20 | Islanders v. Panthers +113 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 113 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida Panthers (10* MONEY-MAKER). It's DO OR DIE time for the Panthers, who lost 2-1 and 4-2 to the Isles over the first two games of this five-game "play in" series. It's difficult to beat any team three times in a row. Yes the odds are completely against the Panthers to come back here in this series, but I also don't expect them to get swept. The Isles have generated ten power plays in two games, but note that they'd finish 31st in power-play opportunties during the regular season. These teams are in fact very evenly matched (a sentiment still shared by the oddsmakers, despite the Isles being up 2-0 in this series!), but I look for the "hungrier/more desperate" one to prevail. Great value on the Panthers this afternoon! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Panthers. | |||||||
08-04-20 | Rockets v. Blazers +4.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blazers (10* TRADE-MARK). This game without question "means more" to the Blazers and while clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can. The Blazers are 1-1 in the NBA re-set and they went 2-1 vs. the Rockets in the regular season. Portland had time to heal up some injuries, especially to its big men, which I think will play a big part in this particular matchup. The Rockets are always going to put up a fight with James Harden and Russell Westbrook in the line-up, but I like Portland's size and determination to neutralize them this evening. I'm grabbing the points, but as mentioned off the top, I wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset! T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Houston. | |||||||
08-04-20 | White Sox v. Brewers -120 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brewers (10* U OF THE U). One of these starting pitchers has struggled to open the year, while the other has done well. I'm expecting these trends to continue on Tuesday night. Lucas Giolito is 0-1 with a 6.52 ERA, putting together one lousy start and one great so far. Giolito was sharp in all day games last year with a 2.18 ERA, but it raised to 5.01 in all "night" contests. Brandon Woodruff is 1-1 with a 1.59 ERA and he comes off a gem in which he struck out ten opponents over 6.1 scoreless frames of work vs. the Pirates on Wednesday. Other than a two run home run in his first outing, Woodruff has been perfect and note that he was particularly tough at home last year by going 11-3 with a 2.93 ERA. Look for Woodruff to outlast his counterpart and lay this reasonable price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Brewers. | |||||||
08-04-20 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs -143 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Leafs (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Edmonton was a favorite in its Game 1 matchup vs. Chicago and lost, but the Oilers rebounded to win their Game 2 matchup 6-3 last night. Same thing happened to Pittsburgh vs. Montreal, as the Pens fell in their opener, only to recover and win 3-1 last night. This is a similar case, as the Leafs were one of the true clear cut "favorites" in their opening round matchup this year, with many teams sitting closer to the "pick em" range. However, just like the Pens and the Oilers, I absolutely expect this deep and talented Toronto side to bounce back here. Note that the Leafs are interestingly 10-3 in their last 13 when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game, while Columbus is only 2-6 in its last eight vs. the Eastern Conference. Look for the Leafs to respond in Game 2! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Toronto. | |||||||
08-03-20 | Lakers -6 v. Jazz | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lakers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). After a 107-92 loss to Toronto, I believe LA will come out and easily handle the Jazz. The Raptors were on a mission in their first game, while the Lakers were coming off an emotional Opening Night win over rival Clippers. The Jazz barely held on to beat the Pelicans, before then stumbling 110-94 to the Thunder on Saturday. The Lakers have the better and more skilled players and they're also deeper. Look for these two key factors to be the difference maker once the final horn blares! T.M. Prediction: 118-108 Lakers. | |||||||
08-03-20 | Dodgers -133 v. Padres | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). I like Walker Buehler and the Dodgers to get the job done on Monday night. Buehler is 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA, who gave up two runs over 3.2 innings while striking out three in a no-decision to the Astros on Tuesday. Buehler is now cleared to work a full game, which I believe will pay dividends for the Dodgers this evening. Chris Paddack is 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA after allowing twor runs over five innings in a win over the Giants on Wednesday. The Padres come in having lost two in a row at Coors Field and I believe they'll struggle again here vs. the league's best. Lay the short price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Dodgers. | |||||||
08-03-20 | Capitals v. Lightning -125 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lightning (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Lightning play with "triple revenge" here after losing all three games to the Capitals in the regular season. The last time these teams met in the playoffs, the Caps won 4-3 in the Eastern Conference Finals en route to their Stanley Cup win in 2018. Both teams have a plethora of talent at every position, this one comes down to the pure "revenge factor" for me and that's what I'm rolling with. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Bolts. | |||||||
08-02-20 | Wild v. Canucks -116 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -116 | 174 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vancouver Canucks It's the youth and skill of Vancouver vs. the experience of Minnesota in this first round matchup. The Wild took two of three from the Canucks in the regular season. The Wild were injured for most of the year and they endured a tough start to the campaign, but the long lay off has given the team time to heal. Despite that though, I don't think that Minnesota will be able to keep pace with the high-flying and much "hungrier" Canucks in my opinion. Elias Petterson leads a young group of Canucks, who actually finished top 5 on the power play. This is the first time in the playoffs for Petterson and for most of the young guns that he leads and that just adds fuel to the fire. I think these goaltenders are a "wash," but I'll give a major advantage to Vancouver's talent level over its first two lines. Look for that to be the difference maker (in Game 1 anyways!). T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Canucks. | |||||||
08-02-20 | Kings +2.5 v. Magic | Top | 116-132 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kings (10* NON-CONF ELITE OF THE ELITE). The Kings come in as the more motivated club here in my opinion after falling 129-120 to the Spurs in their opening game. The Magic on the other hand look poised for a predictable letdown after their 128-118 win over the short-handed Nets in their first game back. De'Aaron Fox had 42 points for the Kings and I think he'll be a difference maker here as well. The Kings are 3.5 games back of the Grizzlies, who also lost their opener. That make this a crucial spot for Sacramento, basically "do or die." The Magic are locked into seventh spot, as they sit eight games back of the sixth spot with no chance of moving up. I'm expecting the hungrier side to deliver here! T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Kings. | |||||||
08-02-20 | Astros v. Angels +127 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Angels won 5-4 last night and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas in the closer of this three-game set as well. Josh James is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA for the Astros after allowing three runs off three hits over three innings while also walking five in a no-decision vs. the Mariners on Sunday. Shoehei Ohtani is 0-1 with a 0.00 ERA and he also struggled in his first start of the year. Ohtani showed electric stuff in camp though and I expect him to settle down in this second start at home. Also note that LA is 7-2 in is last nine home games following a home victory by a single run. Good value on the hungry Angels! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Angels. | |||||||
08-01-20 | A's -142 v. Mariners | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oakland A's Oakland fell 5-3 in the opener of this series yesterday, but with what I believe to be the superior starting pitcher on the mound today, I look for it to bounce back large on Saturday night. The A's are now 3-4 and the Mariners are 4-4. Mike Fiers (0-0, 9.00 ERA) allowed four runs over four innings vs. the Angels in his debut last week, but thanks to a five run lead in the first, Fiers avoided a loss. Fiers though was 15-4 with a 3.90 ERA last season and 11-2 with a 3.67 ERA in all "night" games. The M's go with the volatile Yusei Kikuchi, who was 6-11 with a 5.46 ERA last year and who was shelled for five runs and four walks over 3.2 innings in a fortunate no-decision vs. the Astros on Sunday. Note that he was just 2-9 with a ballooned 5.79 ERA in all "night" games last year as well. After falling last night, look for the A's to respond on Saturday night! T.M. Prediction: 6-1 A's | |||||||
08-01-20 | Dodgers -143 v. Diamondbacks | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Dodgers (8* MONEY-MAKER). LA lost 5-3 yesterday, but I look for it to get back on track here. The visitors go with Julio Urias, who is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA after allowing one run while striking out three over five in a 3-1 loss to the Giants on Sunday. It was a mediocre start, however note that he did have ten swinging strikes on 78 pitches. Luke Weaver (0-1, 16.20) was horrible in his season debut though and I believe he'll struggle again here vs. the hard-hitting visiting side. Weaver was rocked for six earned runs off seven hits over 3.1 innings in loss to the Friars on Monday. Finally note that the Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine NL road games following a road loss of two runs or more. I'm laying the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Dodgers. | |||||||
08-01-20 | Blackhawks v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -130 | 142 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blackhawks/Oilers UNDER These teams played three times in the regular season, with the Hawks winning 3-1 in October, the Oilers winning 5-3 in February and the Hawks winning 4-3 in March. Two of these three games went "over" tonight's posted number, but for a number of different reasons, I look for this total stay well under once it's all said and done. And that's mainly because I believe that "rest" will indeed lead to "rust" to open things up in the Playoffs. The Oilers are the "better" team, and they no reason to push the pace from the outset. I believe Edmonton clamps down and controls this game and series from the outset. This number is much too high! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Oilers | |||||||
08-01-20 | Heat v. Nuggets -140 | Top | 125-105 | Loss | -140 | 581 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK). It's going to be interesting to see how teams play over the first eight games. Take the Miami Heat for example. Miami is 42-24 and they have an 11 game lead over the Magic for the Southeast crown. The Heat's strength is their depth, but with little to play for at the start of this "re-start," I believe the team will simply "go through the motions" this evening. Denver is 43-22 and atop the Northwest, but the Nuggets play in a much more competitive division and Conference. Denver can ill afford to get out to a slow start and as such, I look for it come fully mentally prepared to play on Opening Night! T.M. Prediction: 103-94 Nuggets | |||||||
07-31-20 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -131 | Top | 135-140 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers Justise Winslow will not be suiting up for the Grizzlies in this one. Ja Morant is a sublime talent, but I think he lacks the experience to get his team over this deeper and more veteran Blazers side. Portland is in ninth spot, so it has to hit the ground running over these final eight games. Damian Lillard is a big X factor overall and I look for the All Star to be a main focal point in this contest. That said, in a contest that could come right down to the wire, I'll recommend to lay the money line here for the straight up victory! T.M. Prediction: 117-102 Blazers | |||||||
07-30-20 | Padres v. Giants +165 | 12-7 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
MICHAEL'S 10* UNDERDOG ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE! I've located an underdog which is going to EASILY win outright at the ballpark on Thursday night! Hop on board to get the winning side RIGHT NOW! T.M. Selection: Giants (UNDERDOG U OF THE U). The Giants held on for a 7-6 victory last night and I look for them to get the job done at the end of the night here too. Dinelson Lamet (1-0, 1.80 ERA) gets the call for the Padres and he allowed one run off five hits while striking out eight over five innings in a win over the toothless D-Backs on Saturday. Lamet was limited to 80 pitches and he'll be under a count tonight as well. Kevin Gausman (0-0, 4.50) came on in relief in a loss to the Dodgers last week, allowing three runs (just two earned) over four frames of work. I think Lamet struggles in this difficult road venue and I expect this hungry home dog to step into the batters box and deliver a grand slam! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Giants. | |||||||
07-30-20 | Clippers v. Lakers -1 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 727 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). Both teams are still vying for top spot in the Western Conference, but the Lakers only need to go 1-7 to secure their position. Clearly the Lakers though won't want to lose to the Clippers, who are their next closest competitor in that race. All teams will be looking to hit the ground running and to keep that momentum rolling through the tournament, so I don't anticipate the Lakers to "roll over" and be satisfied over the first eight games. It wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for either side and clearly the oddsmakers agree with that sentiment. Let's be straight, the playoffs have essentially begun and I think Anthony Davis will prove to be a big matchup issue for teams early. I'm banking on a blowout, so play the Lakers! T.M. Prediction: (Coming shortly) | |||||||
07-30-20 | Rays v. Braves -134 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Braves (10* U OF THE U). The Braves and Rays continue their intense interleague series and after coming out on top at home last night, I believe the Braves are going to find a way to get the job done again here as well. Ryan Yarbough (0-0, 0.00 ERA) goes for the Rays opposite the Braves Max Fried (0-0, 3.60). Yarbough went five scoreless vs. the Jays in his opener, while Fried allowed two runs off two hits while striking out five over six innings in a 5-3 win over the Mets. Yarbough though is just 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA in eight career interleague appearances. He's also 0-3 in his last nine appearances since August 2019. Conversely, Fried is 3-0 with a 2.55 ERA in three interleague starts. When you add it all up, I do definitely think we're getting great value on the home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Braves. | |||||||
07-29-20 | Cardinals v. Twins -147 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins (10* TRADE-MARK). Minnesota appears to be on a mission to open the new season as it continues to pound the ball, last night winning the opener of this series 6-3. I believe tonight's game will be an even bigger blowout. Daniel Ponce de Leon (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is filling in for the injured Miles Mikolas for the Cards today. Sure Ponce de Leon has shown plenty of promise, but he's being thrust into a difficult spot on short notice here and I believe he'll predictably struggle. Rich Hill (0-0, 0.00) was 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA last year. Hill was scratched from Saturday's start for no particular reason, so the veteran will clearly be extra rested and focussed here, benefiting from the home field advantage, despite no fans in attendance. This is a price in which I have no qualms whatsoever in laying! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Twins. | |||||||
07-29-20 | Rays v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -101 | 21 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays/Braves UNDER (10* TOTAL OF MONTH). At the best of times these two teams have issues plating runs, but with these two very competent starting hurlers squaring off to open, I do indeed expect this strong trend of offensive futility to continue. The Rays go with Charlie Morton (0-1, 13.50 ERA) who gave up six runs off seven hits over four innings in a horrible start to the year vs. the Blue Jays on Friday. Morton had a mediocre camp, but after getting that first awkward game out of the way, I believe the veteran will settle down nicely here (owned a 3.11 ERA on the road last year.) Mike Soroka (0-0, 0.00) was brilliant in his first start though for the Braves, going head to head with Jacob deGrom, allowing no runs off four hits while striking out three over six innings. As stated off the top, these starters look poised for a classic battle here and I believe that will help in driving this total well under the posted number! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Rays. | |||||||
07-29-20 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Mets | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Red Sox RUN LINE (8* MONEY-MAKER). I can't say anything negative about Jacob deGrom, so I won't even bother. The veteran looked dominant in his first start of the year, going six scoreless opposite Mike Soroka of the Braves. deGrom has a history of success at home as well. The one knock against deGrom isn't actually his fault, as he's famously been one of the biggest victims of poor run support throughout his career. Nathan Eovaldi is 2-4 with a 4.40 ERA in ten starts vs. the Mets. Eovaldi has been a bright spot early on for Boston's rotation though, as he comes in sporting a 1-0, 1.50 ERA thus far. I like the big bats of Boston to do some damage in the Big Apple tonight! T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Sox. | |||||||
07-28-20 | Mariners +1.5 v. Angels | 2-10 | Loss | -114 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Mariners RUN LINE (8* BEST OF BEST). Seattle won't be lacking for motivation here after coming up empty in Houston to open the season. The Angels also struggled in their opening series in Oakland, falling 3-0 last night. But in a contest which I ensvision being decided late or even in extras, I'll gladly lay the pick-em price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The Angels have been forced to go with Patrick Sandoval here, as Matt Andriese was used in relief on Sunday. Sandoval was 0-4 with a 5.03 ERA in ten appearances (nine starts) as a rookie last year. The M's go with Justus Sheffield, who was 0-1 with a 5.50 ERA for the Mariners last year. These teams are evenly matched here. I wouldn't be shocked by the outright victory, but in the end I believe the value is the visitors on the RUN LINE here! T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Mariners. | |||||||
07-28-20 | Minnesota United v. Columbus +125 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 101 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Columbus Crew (10* MONEY-MAKER). Columbus won all three of its opening round matches and I like for the Crew to keep the pedal on the medal here vs. Minnesota United. Perhaps most impressively about its opening round sweep was that Columbus would go on to keep a clean sheet throughout. Minnesota had two draws and a win over Sporting KC in the opening round. The Crew also play with revenge here after falling to Minnesota 1-0 last time they played. Given their current form though, I look for the Crew to deliver the goods here. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Crew. | |||||||
07-28-20 | Brewers -143 v. Pirates | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -143 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Brewers (10* GAME OF WEEK). Milwaukee held on for a 6-5 victory last night and I think it'll deliver here as well. Josh Lindblom (0-0, 0.00 ERA last year) completed a full spring tune-up and he won't have any limitations put on him to open the campaign. Lindblom has spent four of the last five years pitching in Korea. In fact over the past two seasons he's gone 35-7 with a 2.68 ERA in 56 starts and he won the KBO's equivalent of the Cy Young Award. Derek Holland posted a deplorable 8.10 ERA between the Giants and Cubs as a starter last year and a slightly better 4.83 ERA in 43 relief outings. This is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what this line is suggesting. I'm laying the price with confidence! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Brewers. | |||||||
07-28-20 | Braves v. Rays OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -125 | 23 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Rays OVER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). These teams combined for 19 runs yesterday and I expect a similar final combined slug-fest as well here. Kyle Wright (0-3, 8.69 ERA last year) who has shown promise, but who unfortunately arrived to camp late because of travel issues caused by the pandemic. Wright was terrible in the second half last year as well, going 0-1 with a 13.85 ERA. He'll be opposed by the Rays' Yonny Chirinos (9-5, 3.85 ERA last year), who didn't report to camp until last Sunday due to a positive coronavirus test. Chirinos has been cleared to play and while he's also looked decent in his practice sessions, the book is still clearly out on his form/health. Look for both Wright and Chirinos to only survive a few innings, before making way for the bullpens and expect this total to fly OVER the number! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Rays. | |||||||
07-27-20 | Braves +138 v. Rays | Top | 5-14 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Braves (10* U OF THE U). Both Mike Foltynewicz of the Braves and Tyler Glasnow of the Rays have "something to prove" this season. The Braves come in off a big win ove the Mets and the Rays come in off a big win over the Jays. Atlanta's hitting line-up has looked better over the first three games though and I think that'll play a factor. Foltynewicz (8-6 with a 4.54 ERA last year), taking a step back from a tremendous 2018 showing. Note though that he was his best on the road last season, going 5-3 with a 4.10 ERA. Also note that he was 6-1 with a 2.67 ERA after the All Star break. Glasnow (6-1, 1.78 ERA last year) gave up two hits and four walks over three innings in his final tune-up last week. Glasnow revealed recently that he had tested positive for Covid a few months ago, so it'll be curious to see if that effects him or not. Either way, I look for the hard-hitting Braves to get the job done in this one. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Braves. | |||||||
07-26-20 | Braves v. Mets +100 | Top | 14-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
NOTE: WRONG SIDE SELECTED. Please make note that the actual play on this game is on the BRAVES...the wrong side was unfortunately chosen during the pick creation stage. T.M. Selection: Atlanta Braves The Braves broke out with a win last night and I look for them to carry that momentum over here. Rick Porcello (14-12, 5.52 ERA in 2019) gets the call for the home side. The Braves counter with left Sean Newcomb (6-3, 3.16 ERA in 2019). Edwin Diaz gave up a late home run to the Braves' Marcell Ozuna and then Atlanta would go on to score three more times in the top of the tenth. It's the same old story for the Mets though, who continue to get confounded at the plate. Porcello has had success against the Braves in the past (3-1, 3.00 ERA in four career starts). Newcomb though is 3-3 with a 3.29 ERA in 13 games vs. the Mets. Ultimately I think the Braves' line-up has severely underperformed to this point and I like it to finally break out in this favorable matchup. Look for Newcomb to get the better of his veteran counterpart. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Braves | |||||||
07-26-20 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -109 | 4-3 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Diego Padres San Diego has easily taken the first two games of this series and I look for it to keep the pedal to the metal on Sunday afternoon as well. Zac Gallen (3-6, 2.81 ERA last year) was not good in his final spring tune-up, giving up five runs off four hits over 52 pitches. Garrett Richards is on the tail end of his career, but I think the wily veteran has more than enough in the tank to help his team move to a perfect 3-0 to open the campaign (note that he's 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in four career starts vs. Arizona as well!) This line could/should easily be much larger, great value on San Diego today! T.M. Prediction: 8-1 Padres | |||||||
07-26-20 | Twins -122 v. White Sox | 14-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Twins Minnesota destroyed the White Sox 10-5 in the opener, before then falling 10-3 yestreday. While I expect a much closer affair overall after those b2b blowouts, I do expect Minnesota to answer here in the finale. Kenta Maeda went 10-8 with a 4.04 ERA last season and he was sharp in his final spring training session, allowing three runs over six innnings, including seven K's off 85 pitches. Maeda's aggressiveness gives him the advantage here over his counterpart Reynaldo Lopez in my opinion, who was an unspectacular 10-15 with a 5.38 ERA last year. Lopez throws hard, but his command issues are going to be a major issue vs. this talented Twins line-up this afternoon. Lay the short price! T.M. Prediction: 6-2 Twins | |||||||
07-25-20 | Darren Till v. Robert Whittaker -110 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 129 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Robert Whittaker (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Whittaker is ranked No. 1 in the middleweight division, while Darren Till is ranked No. 5. Both fighters moved up from 170 lbs, but Whittaker has been much quicker than most of his opponents, while still retaining his KO power. Whittaker has been around a while and this is a chance to move back into championship contention. Till looked decent vs. Gastelum in his last fight, but I believe he'll struggle in this step up in competition. I think the Aussie carries over his recent momentum to a solid victory here. T.M. Prediction: Knock-out/Decision/Submission. | |||||||
07-25-20 | Montreal v. Orlando City SC -106 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando City (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). This is the opener of the MLS Knockout stage and I believe the Orlando City could/should easily be a much bigger fav in this match. Orlando City won its first two games and drew the third in the opening round, while Montreal barely even made it in to the knock out round by losing its first two and then holding on for a vicotry over DC United in its third. Note that Montreal has so far only managed four goals as well, including only two from open play. Orlando won 1-0 the last time these teams met (a friendly), but all signs point to a much bigger discrepancy in the final score once it's all said and done this time around. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Orlando City. | |||||||
07-25-20 | Brewers v. Cubs -135 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -135 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Cubs (10* STRIKEOUT). Yu Darvish left Texas to come to the Cubs and then injured himself and struggled. Many in Chicago wondered if he was going to be a complete bust, but all of a sudden at the all star break last year, Darvish finally found his groove, posting a 3.58 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and a 192:29 K:BB over his final 24 starts. He's looked pretty good in Spring training too. Corbin Burnes on the other hand was 1-5 with an uninspiring 8.82 ERA in 2019 for Milwaukee. Burnes is being pressed into the starting rotation out of necessity, with Brett Anderson starting the season on the IL. I'm not going to over think this one. Lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-2 Cubs. | |||||||
07-24-20 | Angels +1.5 v. A's | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -150 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Angels +1.5 The A's dominated this series last year, but I think that trend ends tonight. Andrew Heaney gets the nod for the visitors and he was 4-6 with a 4.91 ERA last year. Frankie Montas was 9-2 with a 2.63 ERA over six starts last season. Montas though seems doomed for regression in my opinion, and he draws a tough opponent out of the gate in facing Mike Trout and company. I believe the Angels got better in the offseason and I expect that to pay dividends for them in the early going. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Angels | |||||||
07-18-20 | Jack Hermansson v. Kelvin Gastelum -120 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -120 | 277 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kelvin Gastelum (10* UFC PLAY OF THE MONTH). Both fighters are coming off a loss, but I feel that this is a matchup which highly favors Kelvin Gastelum. Note that Gastelum is ranked sixth and Jack Hermansson is ranked ninth. Hermansson is 20-5 overall, but after winning four in a row, he enters off a loss to Jared Cannonier in September. Gastelum comes off a tough split decision loss to Darren Till at UFC 244 in November, but I beleive his superior punching power will be the difference maker in the end in this one. Lay the short price on the hard-hitting southpaw! T.M. Prediction: Knock-out/submission/decision. | |||||||
07-13-20 | Portland v. LA Galaxy +156 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 77 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Galaxy (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). This is a tough group no doubt, but the LA Galaxy play with double revenge here after losing the last two H2H matchups by a score of 4-0 each time. Guillermo Barros Schelotto’s men have struggled defensively at times, but the Galaxy have no issues at all in scoring. The extended time off and the tournament format is also working in favor of LA here in my opinion. I'm banking on a minor upset in this one! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 LA Galaxy. | |||||||
07-11-20 | Max Holloway +200 v. Alex Volkanovski | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 126 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Max Hollaway (10* UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK). They say that "revenge" is a dish best served "cold." While Max Holloway fell to Alexander Volkanovski last time out, I think he'll bounce back here on Fight Island. Volkanovski is 21-1 overall and 8-0 in the UFC. Three of his last four fights have come by unanimous decision though, with one being by KO vs. Chad Mendes. Holloway is 21-5, but he's lost two of his last three fights. Holloway is still the No. 1 contendor and I think he's going to learn from his first loss vs. Volkanovski and use his endurance and patience to find his spot for the upset in this one. Great underdog value here! T.M. Prediction: Knock-out/Decision/Submission. | |||||||
07-11-20 | Columbus -105 v. FC Cincinnati | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Columbus Crew (10* MONEY-MAKER). FC Cincinnati is 0-0-2 and the Columbus Crew is 1-1-0. Cincinnati's goal differential is -2, which puts it 22nd in MLS. Cincinnati has been sloppy in its limited action, posting 22 fouls in two games. FCC netminder Spencer Richey is average at best as well. The Crew sit in fifth in the East in goal differential at +1. Netminder Eloy Room is a "wash" with his counterpart. The mismatch on paper will also translate into a big mismatch on the field of play here. I'm laying the price! T.M. Prediction: 3-1. | |||||||
07-11-20 | Jiri Prochazka v. Volkan Oezdemir -160 | 1-0 | Loss | -160 | 124 h 2 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Volkan Oezdemir (8* MONEY-MAKER). Volkan Oezdemir is the seventh ranked fighter in the light heavyweight division. His counterpart Jiri Prochazka is unranked. Oezdemir is in fact 17-4 overall and he enters on top form, having won two fights in a row. Skilled on both his feet or on the mat, Oezdemir last got the better of Aleksandar Rakic in December of 2019. This is a tough spot for Prochazka though, who is making his UFC debut in this unique environment. Prochazka is 26-3 and while he does possess a ton of power, I don't think he's nearly as well rounded as Oezdemir. I'm laying the price! T.M. Prediction: Knock-out/Decision/Submission. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |