Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-19-19 | Purdue v. Iowa UNDER 49 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iowa/Purdue UNDER Iowa has absolutely dominated defensively this season so far as they've held their opponents to a max. of 17 points in each of the first 7 games. The total has also gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 6 games this season. On the other hand, the Boilermakers have seen the total go UNDER in 11 of their L13 road games. I expect the Hawkeyes defense to shut down this Purdue team with ease on Saturday. Look for Iowa to dominate everywhere on the field as the win 27-10 AND for the total to go UNDER comfortably. T.M. Prediction: 27-10 Iowa | |||||||
10-16-19 | Sabres v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks/Buffalo Sabres UNDER Coming into this game, both the Ducks and the Sabres have winning records. Buffalo has only allowed an avg. of 2.6 goals per game while Anaheim has held their opponents to an average of 1.2 gpg. I expect both these teams to keep their defense rolling into this one as they both look to continue their success. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Ducks | |||||||
10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers UNDER 46 | Top | 22-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Green Bay/Detroit UNDER On Monday Night, the Lions will take on the Packers. Both of these teams come in to this game with a winning record. Detroit, fresh off their bye, has now seen the total go UNDER in 8 of their last 11 games (with an avg. combined score of 39.09). The Packers will have to deal with the absence of WR Devante Adams. That might give the Lions some energy on defense. I expect a tight low-scoring game on Monday Night with the Packers taking this close one. T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Packers | |||||||
10-13-19 | Steelers v. Chargers UNDER 42 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Chargers/Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER Both teams enter this game with a losing reocrd on the season. LA QB Phillip Rivers is off one of his worst games of his career. The Steelers are giving the nod to the undrafted rookie named Devlin Hodges. This will be Hodges first career start in Primetime. Note that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Chargers' last 5 at home vs. an East Coast team. Expect the two QB's to struggle putting point on the board on Sunday Night. Play the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 17-14 Steelers | |||||||
10-12-19 | Florida v. LSU OVER 55 | Top | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU/Florida OVER Both of these SEC teams have started this season off perfectly as they are both undefeated. Coming into this game, the Gators have seen the total go OVER in 6 of 8 road games the L3 years. The OVER also has a 7-3 record, when Florida is off a home win. The Tigers have also been seeing high-scoring games in the past. The total has gone OVER in 7 of LSU’s last 8 games, dating back to the end of last season. So far this season, LSU QB Joe Burrow now has a ridiculous 22-3 TD-INT ratio. LSU has now scored at least 42 points in each of their five outings YTD, leading the nation with an incredible average of 54.6 PPG. That number alone is enough for this OVER. The total is way too low here. This one has OVER written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 37-34 LSU | |||||||
10-12-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas OVER 75 | Top | 34-27 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma/Texas OVER Big-12 games usually find at least the 70+ mark with always a high total line. Here I believe that the line could be even higher. OK QB Jalen Hurts, who has been absolutely dominant this season, is throwing for 1,521 yards and 14 touchdowns and adding 499 yards and seven scores on the ground through the first five games. That's insane. Expect Hurts to destroy his opponent once again as the Sooners help the total go OVER with ease. Play the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 45-37 Oklahoma | |||||||
10-06-19 | Cardinals v. Bengals UNDER 47.5 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Cardinals/Cincinnati Bengals UNDER Two winless squads will battle it out on Sunday afternoon. Starting with the Cards, QB Kyler Murray has yet to get anything going in his rookie year so far. He's averaged a little over 230 passing yards a game. Looking at Cinci, they have also been terrible. As a matter of fact, I think they might be even worse. Last week, QB Andy Dalton was getting frustrated after every single possesion. He ended up getting sacked 8 times over the course of the game, AND he threw an INT. That just tells you that he isn't getting much help by his offensive line, but also that he isn't using his feet to motivate them to block better. I expect both of these offenses to be awful once again as they barely get any points. Play the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 14-6 Cardinals | |||||||
10-05-19 | Iowa v. Michigan UNDER 48 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 45 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Michigan/Iowa UNDER This will be one of the biggest games of the week, held by two strong Big Ten teams. So far this season, both of these teams have started out of the gate with winning records. Iowa is a perfect 4-0 while Michigan is 3-1. The Hawkeyes, the L3 years, have seen the total go UNDER 10 out of 14 times on the road where the total is in between 42.5 and 49. Thye've also seen the total go UNDER in 24 out of 34 games when off a home blowout win by 28 points or more since 1992. On the other hand, for Michigan, the UNDER is 7-14 after scoring 50 points or more last game. I expect much more of the same to happen here in this Big Ten matchup. Play the UNDER T.M. Prediction: 23-20 Michigan | |||||||
10-05-19 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech OVER 62.5 | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Texas Tech/Oklahoma State OVER Analysis: My projections are for this game to finish in the mid-high 70s. The reality is, they might get more than that. The Cowboys have already gone over the 50 mark themselves a couple of times. They average 40.8. At home, the Red Raiders are averaging 41.5. Last three total lines in this series were 87.5, 85.5 and 77. This one's too low! T.M. Prediction: 41-35 OKST | |||||||
10-04-19 | Twins v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NY Yankees/Minnesota Twins OVER (1st 5 Innings) Analysis to come. 10* play T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Yankees (1st 5 Innings) | |||||||
10-03-19 | Cardinals v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Braves/STL Cards OVER T.M. Analysis: Unders prevailed in the Wildcard games. But ... This is a hitters park with a pair of lineups that can hit the ball. Mikolas is terrible on the road and Keuchel got destroyed both career starts against Cardinals. The scores of those games were 5-8 and 5-13. Go Over. T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Braves | |||||||
10-02-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: VEGAS/San Jose OVER VEGAS and San Jose have always proven to be high scoring teams. The L3 years, VEGAS has seen the total go OVER 42 out of their 72 games in the first half of the season. Also, the total has gone OVER in 6 of Vegas' L8 games vs. an opponent in the Western Conference. San Jose has also seen the total go OVER in 41 out of 71 games vs. a Divisional Opponent. I expect the same to occur in this big Opening Night match to dictate the better team out of the gate. Play the OVER with no-doubt. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 VEGAS | |||||||
10-02-19 | Rays v. A's UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tampa Bay/Oakland UNDER One game to decide who's going to play the Houston Astros in the ALDS. I got the UNDER. Charlie Morton will take the mound for the Tampa Bay Rays tonight as he looks to shock the fans at the Coliseum in Oakland. Morton has been an absolute beast on the mound YTD as he pitched 16-6 with a 3.05 ERA and 240 punch outs. He allowed only one run over 13 1/3 innings (0.68 ERA) vs. the A's in two starts this year and he has a dominant 2.97 ERA vs. Oakland in his career. The guy who will be taking the mound for the Athletics is Sean Manaea. Since returning from the IL on September 1st, the southpaw is 4-0 with a mind-blowing 1.21 ERA. He has also been stellar vs. the Rays as he's got only a 2.70 ERA in his 3 career starts against them. Expect both of these pitchers to shine again as they both fight to stay alive. Play the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Oakland | |||||||
10-01-19 | Sun v. Mystics UNDER 171 | Top | 99-87 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington/Connecticut UNDER This is Game 2 of the WNBA Finals. Washington enters this game off a dominating performance in Game 1. Although the game went over, the Mystics have seen the total go UNDER 32 of their last 53 games after playing a division opponent. Connecticut on the other hand, has seen the total go UNDER 14 out of 20 times this season after allowing 75 points or more in their previous game. In their last 5 meetings against each other, 4 out of the 5 went UNDER the total. Expect both teams to clamp up on defense as this is the biggest game of the series so far. Play the UNDER T.M. Prediction: 81-76 Washington | |||||||
09-29-19 | Jaguars v. Broncos UNDER 38.5 | Top | 26-24 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNDER (Jax/Den) Both teams enter this matchup with a losing record and neither of them have looked sharp through the opening 3 weeks. Although they found a way to win last week, Jacksonville is now led by backup QB in Gardner Minshew II who has yet to throw for 210+ yards in his first 2 starts. Now, the Jags will try to bring their winning spirits to Mile High as they'll play the Broncos who have yet to win a game YTD. Vic Fangio's starting QB Joe Flacco has only reached the endzone twice. That's not how he planned to start his HC career at all. Expect both QB's to look shaky once again as Flacco has to go against a mighty Jacksonville secondary while Minshew II will have to deal with the thin air in Mile High. T.M. Predicted Final Score: 17-9 Broncos | |||||||
09-26-19 | Rockies v. Giants OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Rockies/San Fran Giants OVER T.M Analysis: Yesterday was a 2-1 final. Today, we will see 4 or 5 times that many runs. Maybe more. Recently back from injury, Freeland (6.84 ERA) is on a pitch count. Won't be around long. Bullpen shaky. Beede don't like pitching in the afternoon. Seven daytime appearances have resulted in a 1-5 record with a 6.19 ERA. He was pounded in those games, to a clip of a .333 opponent batting average. Number is low. You'll see. T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Giants | |||||||
09-21-19 | UCLA v. Washington State OVER 59 | Top | 67-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OVER (UCLA/WSU) Remember when the Pac-12, once known as the Pac-10, used to regularly feature wide-open aerial shootouts? Expect a case of deja vu from tonight's game. Bruins gashed for 48 last week and now face a Mike Leach offense. Will be ugly. They will score though. Cougs defense is suspect. Leach versus Kelly = Over. T.M. Selection: 44-34 WSU | |||||||
09-19-19 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Tigers/Cleveland Indians OVER Yesterday was a 2-1 game. Today, you will see the bats wake up. Norris (3-12, 4.62 ERA) won't be around long. He's gone 3 innings in 6 straight starts. The Tiger pen has an ERA of roughly 5, a WHIP of roughly 1.5, and it converts barely more than half its save chances. Clevinger's last 2 home starts against Detroit have had finals of 7-2 and 15-0. This number is low. T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Indians | |||||||
09-15-19 | Chargers v. Lions UNDER 47 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 144 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chargers/Lions under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 51 | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 79 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucs/Panthers under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Carolina got a big game from RB Christian McCaffrey, who had 128 yard rushing, two TD’s and ten catches in Week 1. That performance however wasn’t good enough to earn the Panthers the victory unfortunately as they’d fall 30-27 at home to the Rams. After that high-scoring affair and on the short-week, I expect much more of a “chess match” between these NFC South opponents. The Bucs look completely inept offensively last week in their 31-17 loss at home to the 49ers and I believe they’ll struggle again here vs. this Panthers defensive unit playing with a chip on its shoulder this week. Five of their last six in this series have fallen under and I expect that strong trend to continue in their first matchup of 2019/20. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Carolina. | |||||||
09-12-19 | Yankees v. Tigers UNDER 10 | 10-4 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: NY Yankees/Detroit Tigers UNDER (10* TOTAL TORTURER) We've got a very high O|U line to work with in the opener of today's double-header. J.A. Happ (12-8) has been great recently. Entering this matchup vs. the Tigers, Happ has thrown 12 straight scoreless innings of baseball. That makes him 4-1 his L5 starts (including 2 straight road wins.) Boyd is off 2 straight wins and he held the Yankees to 1 run through 6.3 innings back in April. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Yankees. | |||||||
09-11-19 | Diamondbacks v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs/Mets over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Last night’s game went “under” the number, but I think that runs will be plentiful here. Robbie Ray is 12-7 with a 4.03 ERA for the D-Backs, while Steven Matz is 9-8 with a 4.00 ERA for the Mets. New York gained ground in the Wild Card race with last night’s 3-2 victory, but I definitely expect a higher-scoring slug-fest in tho sone. Arizona is desperate for victories now as well after losing three straight (they won’t be lacking for motivation either after having scored just six runs in the past three games.) From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a high-scoring affair. Play the over. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 D-Backs. | |||||||
09-10-19 | Rays v. Rangers UNDER 10 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays/Rangers under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) For this selection I’m putting my full focus onto the starting pitchers. Ryan Yarbough is 11-3 with a 3.49 ERA this year for the Rays, while Lance Lynn has evolved into the Rangers’ ace this year by going 14-10 with a 3.81 ERA. Additionally note that TB has seen the total go under the number in 17 of its last 27 after a win by four or more runs, while Texas has seen the total dip under in nine of 13 already this season at home when the total in the contest is set at either 9 or 9.5. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Rangers. | |||||||
09-09-19 | A's v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-15 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A’s/Astros under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) These two teams are known for their offensive prowess, but I believe it’ll be the men on the mound who become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Mike Fiers is 14-3 with a 3.51 ERA for Oakland, while Zack Greinke is 14-5 with a 3.09 ERA for the Astros. Houston exploded for a 21-1 win over the Mariners yesterday, but I’m expecting a classic “duel” here between these two “studs.” Note that Oakland has seen the total go under the number in eight of 12 this year already as an underdog of +150 or higher, while Houston has seen the total dip under in ten of its last 14 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Astros. | |||||||
09-08-19 | Ravens v. Dolphins OVER 37.5 | Top | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 214 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ravens/Dolphins over (10*) Baltimore’s great pre-season (4-0), won’t mean much if it can’t continue to build momentum. Last year they fell 23-17 to the Chargers in the playoffs. The Fish were only 7-9 last year, but they went 3-1 in the preseason. These are two teams with big expectations and I believe we’re going to see a more wide open “shootout,” than a defensive “chess match.” Let’s throw the ATS stats out the window in Week 1. These are two teams which showed some of the most considerable “chemistry” in the preseason and while neither has been known for their offensive prowess the last couple of seasons, I believe the stage is set for an explosive offensive affair in Week 1. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Ravens. | |||||||
09-07-19 | LSU v. Texas OVER 52.5 | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 123 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LSU/Texas over (8* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) This is a massive non-conference matchup and I believe each side comes out firing. LSU will look to take advantage of a Longhorns defense that’s breaking in some new faces. The Tigers’ offense looked great in its season opening win over Georgia Southern and I think they keep the foot on the gas here as well. Last year LSU won ten games and it was invited to a New Year’s Six bowl. Last week LSU averaged 6.6 yards per play in its 55-3 win over Georgia Southern. Texas won ten games last year as well and it brought back one of the best QB’s in the nation in Sam Ehlinger. With the eyes of the College Football world on this one, look for each team to push the pace from the opening kick off, until the final whistle. Play the over. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-07-19 | Army v. Michigan OVER 48 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Army/Michigan over (8*) The Golden Knights and Wolverines are both 1-0 after Week 1. Both teams however come off sloppy performances last weekend and because of that, I’m expecting a much more wide open affair this time around. Michigan had its hands full with MTSU, making several mistakes on both sides of the ball and while it did eventually pull away for a sizeable victory, clearly the Wolverines can’t be happy. Army on the other hand was a big favorite vs. Rice last weekend, but it only managed a 14-7 win. Army gave up 181 yards on the ground last week to the Owls and I look for this determined home side to hit that weakness early and often. From an overall situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up as a “shootout” Play the over. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-07-19 | West Virginia v. Missouri OVER 62.5 | Top | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: WVU/Missouri over (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Neither team is happy about its Week 1 performance and because of that, I believe each will open up the playbook in Week 2, which will in turn help in pushing this total over the number sooner, rather than later. WVU scraped by FCS opponent James Madison 20-13, while Missouri fell 37-31 at Wyoming. WVU has a powerful run game that’s led by Kennedy McKoy and Leddie Brown. Mountaineers’ QB Austin Kendall was 27 of 43 last weekend. Bryant was 31 of 48 for 423 yards for the Tigers and I think he’ll have plenty of opportunity vs. WVU at home. When you add it all up and based strictly from a “situational” stand point, I definitely think this one sets up as a “shootout.” Play the over. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-06-19 | Marshall v. Boise State UNDER 55 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 100 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marshall/Boise State under (10*) From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up beautifully as a lower-scoring under. Marshall was untested in Week 1, easily rolling to victory over FCS opposition VMI. But now the Herd face a Boise State which comes in off a season opening upset win for the ages over Florida State. The Broncos looked incredible on the defensive end and I think they’re going to carry that momentum over here. As I stated off the top, I think from a situational stand point, looking at each team and what it did last weekend, that this weekend’s contest definitely sets up as more of a “chess match,” than a high-scoring “shootout.” Additionally note that Marshall has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 20 as a road dog in the 7.5 to 14 points range, while Boise State has seen the total go under in nine of its last 11 as a home favorite. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-05-19 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 46.5 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 150 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Packers/Bears under (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK) The Packers were just 6-9-1 last year, while the Bears went 12-4. Green Bay has a new head coach in Matt LaFleur, who is an offensive minded skipper, but I still believe that this number is too high. The Packers were terrible defensively in 2018, allowing 25.0 PPG and the team hopes that it’s addressed several issues on that side of the ball in the off-season, especially in the secondary. The Bears though return all of their main pieces from their league leading defensive unit which allowed only 17.7 PPG, led by Khalil Mack with 12.5 sacks and 13.5 tackles for a loss. I think the offenses come out flat on Opening night, leaving the door open for the defensive units to shine. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Bears. | |||||||
09-05-19 | Nationals v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nats/Braves under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Clearly these are two of the best offensive clubs, not only in the Senior Circuit, but in the entire league. That said, these are two very capable starting hurlers and when the smoke does finally clear at the end of this one, I believe they’ll be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Stephen Strasburg is 16-5 with a 3.47 ERA, while Atlanta’s Max Fried is 15-4 with a 4.05 ERA. Strasburg enters on top form, off one of his best outings of all time, striking out 14 and allowing two hits and zero walks over eight scoreless frames vs. the Marlins. Fried allowed four runs over seven innings in a win over the White Sox on Friday, posting a career high 11 in the process. Look for these two red hot starters to battle deep and play the under with confidence. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 ATL. | |||||||
09-04-19 | Twins v. Red Sox UNDER 11 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins/Red Sox under (10* TOTAL CASH MACHINE). Obviously these two line-ups feature plenty of offensive talent, but I think it’ll be the starting pitchers who become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Jose Berrios is 11-7 with a 3.57 ERA for the Twins, while Eduardo Rodriguez is 16-5 with a 3.97 ERA for the Red Sox. Rodriguez has been Boston’s best pitcher of late, going 3-1 with a 3.41 ERA over six August starts. Berrios struggled badly in August, but despite being 0-3 to the Sox lifetime, he still sports a sharp 3.20 ERA in those contests. I think Berrios bounces back and I expect Rodriguez to carry over his recent momentum as well. This one has “duel” written all over it, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Red Sox. | |||||||
09-03-19 | White Sox v. Indians OVER 9 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox/Indians over (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK) Cleveland is desperate for victories after a recent scuffling stretch and I expect it to make the most of this opportunity. The Tribe made the most of yesterday’s 11-3 series opening win and I expect a similar final combined score here. Mike Clevinger has been awesome for Cleveland, but this pick is based primarily on the ineptitude of White Sox’ starter Dylan Cease (3-7, 6.92), who went just two innings in his last start vs. the Twins, getting shelled for eight runs off ten hits. Note as well that Chicago has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 14 in revenging a loss where an opponent score ten or more runs, while Cleveland has seen the total soar over in both games that it’s played in this season as a home fav in the -250 to -330 range. This one has “slugfest” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Indians. | |||||||
08-31-19 | New Mexico State v. Washington State UNDER 64.5 | Top | 7-58 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico State/WSU under (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) The Aggies averaged only 25.2 PPG last year, while conceding 41.3. New Mexico State is expected to be much better defensively though with its entire line returning and the unit led by standout Javahn Ferguson. WSU averaged 37.5 PPG last year and it allowed only 23.3. I have a hard time seeing the Aggies mustering much of offensive attack today vs. this experienced WSU secondary. This total is much too high in my opinion, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 41-15 WSU. | |||||||
08-30-19 | White Sox v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | Top | 7-10 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox/Braves under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The Braves are in the drivers seat right now after winning nine of their last 11. Chicago’s Ivan Nova is 9-10 with a 4.37 ERA and he’ll be trying his best to slow down surging Atlanta. He’ll have a difficult time throwing opposite Max Fried, who is 14-4 with a 4.03 ERA. Note though that Nova is on fire, literally the best pitcher in all of MLB right now, going 5-1 with a 0.94 ERA since July 22nd. Also note that over four career starts vs. the Braves he’s 3-1 with a 1.98 ERA. Look for these two starters to throw into the latter innings and for this total to sneak below the posted number once it’s all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Braves. | |||||||
08-28-19 | Cubs v. Mets UNDER 8 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -113 | 28 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs/Mets under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Two desperate teams square off on Wednesday night and each will trot out a competent starting pitcher. Suffice it to say, I believe that runs will be at a premium tonight. The Cubs turn to Kyle Hendricks, who is 9-9 with a 3.20 ERA, while the home side goes with Noah Syndergaard, who is 9-6 with a 3.71 ERA. Chicago earned a crucial 5-2 win in yesterday’s series opener, snapping a three-game losing streak. I believe that today’s contest sets up as even more of a “duel.” Both Syndergaard and Hendricks come in on top form, having earned victories with scoreless outing in their most recent starts on Thursday. When you add it all up, this one has “under” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 New York. | |||||||
08-27-19 | A's v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A’s/Royals over (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Oakland is surging towards the post-season with a 75-55 record. The A’s turn to Mike Fiers in this one and he’s so far 12-3 with a 3.46 ERA and a big reason why Oakland is where it is right now. The home side counters with Mike Montgomery, who is just 3-6 with a poor 5.01 ERA. Oakland won the opener of this series 19-4 last night and I believe a similar final combined score is in the cards on Tuesday as well. Fiers has been downright filthy over the last two months (1-0, 2.44 ERA over his past 19 trips to the hill), however it’s very interesting to note that he’s a poor 2-3 with a 5.30 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Royals. Note that Oakland has seen the total go over the number in 21 of 33 this years a -150 favorite or higher already, while KC has seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of four already this year in revenging a home blowout loss of eight or more runs. This one has “slug-fest” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 9-5 A’s. | |||||||
08-26-19 | Pirates v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pirates/Phillies under (10* SUPER TOTAL) The Phillies’ just lost two of three in Miami and they’ll be desperate to get things turned around here. Jason Vargas is 6-6 with a 3.99 ERA and while he’s 0-1 over four starts for Philadelphia, he’s still posted a sharp 3.61 ERA. Pittsburgh is only 8-30 since the All Star break, thanks in part to poor starting pitching and an anemic hitting lineup. And after sweeping three straight over the Reds, an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. Musgrove won’t go down without a fight though, as he faced the Phillies on July 20th, giving up no earned runs and striking out eight over six frames of work. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up beautifully for the a lower-scoring “duel.” Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Phillies. | |||||||
08-25-19 | Yankees v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yanks/Dodgers over (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Clayton Kershaw is 13-2 with a 2.71 ERA and he’s been the model of consistency for the Dodgers this season. Domingo German is 16-3 with a 5.14 ERA for the Yanks and he enters off an uncharacteristically poor outing in which he allowed six runs over six innings. These are two great pitchers, but there’s no question that each faces a challenging line-up. Game 1 went well over the number in New York’s win, but Game 2 was a rule in last night’s 2-1 victory for the Dodgers. Note though that New York has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine interleague road games after being held to one run or less in its previous game. The writing is on the wall and a slug-fest is in the cards. T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Dodgers. | |||||||
08-24-19 | Saints v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | Top | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 126 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saints/Jets under (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Jets’ Sam Darnold and the Saints’ Drew Brees are both expected to only see a couple of series in this one. After that it’s back to the back-ups and wannabe’s for both sides. With that in mind, I believe it’s going to be each side’s defensive units which end up “stealing the show.” Note as well that the Jets have seen the under hit in seven straight preseason home games, limiting their opposition to just 12.4 PPG over that stretch. Not only that, but New Orleans has seen the under hit in ten of its last 13 preseason match ups, with nine of those coming well below the 40 point mark. This number is a tad high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 17-14 Saints. | |||||||
08-24-19 | Florida v. Miami-FL OVER 50.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -107 | 1137 h 7 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Over Florida/Miami Florida (8*) No. 8 Florida looks to kick things off with a winner on Opening night. Dan Mullen went 10-3 in his first year for the Gators, leading them to a win over Michigan in the Peach Bowl. With veteran QB Feleipe Franks back under center, the Gators once again looking promising in 2019. True Florida features four new players on the offensive line, but for the most part the offensive weapons remain in tact for Franks. Miami though is just 1-4 as an underdog the last two season and I believe first year QB Jarren Williams struggles vs. the aggressive Florida secondary. I also believe that the Hurricanes are going to have their hands full with Frank, who will be looking to alleviate the pressure of his line by dominating from the “get go.” This one has “shootout” written all over in my opinion, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 35-25 Florida. | |||||||
08-23-19 | Yankees v. Dodgers OVER 9 | Top | 10-2 | Win | 105 | 31 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yanks/Dodgers over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Hyun-Jin Ryu is 12-3 with a 1.64 ERA this season for the Dodgers, while James Paxton is 9-6 with a 4.53 ERA for the Yankees. Ryu though enters off his worst start of the season, allowing four runs over five innings in a loss to the Braves. The Yanks’ bats have quieted down some of late, but clearly they’re going to be focused on this particular opponent this weekend. Paxton most recently allowed five runs over six innings in a no-decision at Dodger Stadium back in 2015. I think the stage is set for some offensive fireworks between MLB’s best teams in what is very likely going to be a World Series preview. Play the over. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Dodgers. | |||||||
08-23-19 | Bills v. Lions OVER 41.5 | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 103 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bills/Lions over (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) The Lions are 0-2. They have a competition for the No. 2 spot behind Matthew Stafford between Josh Johnson and David Fales. Detroit will be pushing the pace here, but note that it’s already allowed an average of 30.5 PPG over the first two games. Buffalo is getting huge production from rookie QB Josh Allen and backup Matt Barkley. With both teams opening up the playbook, look for this total to fly “over” sooner, rather than later. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-20-19 | Royals v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Royals/Orioles under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). Two pitchers who would like a “mulligan” on their respective seasons collide in this American League matchup of cellar dwellers. But both Brad Keller and Dylan Bundy greatly benefit in facing their respective soft-hitting opponents this evening and when the smoke does finally clear, I believe they’ll be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Last night the Royals managed a 5-4 win, but I think we’ll see much more of a “duel” here. Keller has lost four in a row, but note that the anemic Royals have scored only five runs in those contests. Additionally note that Keller is a spectacular 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in one career starts vs. the O’s. Bundy’s had a terrible overall season, but he’s been better of late and he has a big opportunity today facing the lowly Royals. Look for this one to sneak under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Orioles. | |||||||
08-19-19 | Padres v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -101 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres/Reds over (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK) The recent form of each starting pitcher is the deciding reason why I like the “over” in this one. The Padres’ Eric Lauer is 6-8 with a 4.55 ERA and he’s been particularly ineffective on the road by going just 3-5 with a 6.20 ERA. Trevor Bauer is 10-9 with a 4.12 ERA for the Reds and while he had a strong start for his new team, he comes in off one of his worst outings of his career, getting shelled for nine runs off eight hits with two walks over 4.1 innings. I believe each starter gets the hook early and as a result, I’m playing the over. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Reds. | |||||||
08-18-19 | Seahawks v. Vikings UNDER 42 | Top | 19-25 | Loss | -108 | 152 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawks/Vikes under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) The Vikings took advantage of a terrible New Orleans Saints defense in Week 1 as they exploded for the 34-25 victory in The Big Easy. The Seahawks though present an entirely different challenge. The Hawks lost this game 21-20 last year. Seattle has already named its No. 1 starting RB in Chris Carson, leaving it wide open for the RB2 spot. The Vikes’ got great play out of their backup offensive players last week, but I’m expecting a more conservative approach in Week 2. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-17-19 | Patriots v. Titans UNDER 41 | Top | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 127 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pats/Titans under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The Patriots destroyed the Lions 31-3 in Week 1, but they could be get caught looking ahead here to their first home game of the season in Week 3. That’s when Tom Brady is going to finally see some action. With the backup offense already firing on all cylinders, I believe an added emphasis will be put onto the defensive side of things for the visitors. Last year Mike Vrabel’s Titans went 0-4 in the preseason, but last week they crushed the Eagles 27-10. These team’s defenses are excelling early and I look for that trend to continue. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-16-19 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 12 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/Red Sox under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) I’m expecting this total to sneak under once it’s all said and done. The Orioles hand the ball to Aaron Brooks, who is 2-6 with a 6.35 ERA. Brooks comes in off back-to-back poor outings and now owns a 59:21 K:BB over 71.2 innings. Brooks will be opposed by Rick Porcello, who is 10-9 with a 5.67 ERA. Porcello is sticking in the starting rotation out of necessity, but the veteran clearly has the track record and pedigree to get things turned around before the end of the season. So while both pitchers haven’t been great to this point, I will point out that Baltimore has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 road games as an American League underdog in the +150 to +200 range. I think Porcello comes in focused and takes advantage of this favorable matchup. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Red Sox. | |||||||
08-16-19 | Bills v. Panthers UNDER 40 | Top | 27-14 | Loss | -108 | 103 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bills/Panthers under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) After going 9-7 in 2017, the Bills fell to just 6-10 last year. Buffalo is expected to produce a similar result here, with more questions than answers on both sides of the ball, but especially on the offensive end. The Panthers also took a major step back after making the Playoffs in 2018, falling to 7-9 last year. Note that these teams are practicing vs. each other on Tuesday and Wednesday and when that happens before a game in the preseason, those contests often are much more competitive. And I absolutely believe that’s going to be the case here. From a situational stand point I believe this sets up great as a lower-scoring affair. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-14-19 | Orioles v. Yankees UNDER 11 | Top | 5-6 | Push | 0 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/Yankees under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) So far every game in this series has flown over the number, with the Yanks continuing their domination of the Orioles, but I believe that the finale finally sets up as more of a “duel.” Dylan Bundy is just 5-12 with a 5.04 ERA for Baltimore this year, but he enters off a decent outing vs. Houston Friday, allowing two runs over six innings, making it the third time in four trips to the hill that he’s allowed two runs or fewer. JA Happ gets the nod for the home side and he’s 9-7 with a 5.48 ERA this season. Happ for the most part has been a major disappointment for New York this year after coming over from the Blue Jays, but the veteran has the experience and tools in place to finish up strong before the playoffs (note as well that Happ is a solid 8-7 with a 3.60 ERA in 24 career appearances vs. the Orioles.) When you add it all up, I think this one sneaks below the posted number once it’s all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Yanks. | |||||||
08-13-19 | Orioles v. Yankees UNDER 10 | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/Yankees under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) I had a play on the “under” in Game 1 of yesterday’s double-header between these teams and unfortunately, that was a loser. Both games blasted past the posted number, with the Yanks resuming their dominance of the lowly Orioles with a couple of blowout victories. I believe today’s contest sets up as more of a “duel” finally. John Means is 8-7 with a 3.36 ERA for the Orioles this year and while he enters off an outing to forget, note that he’s a sharp 6-4 with a 3.34 ERA in all “night” contests this season. The Yanks’ Domingo German is 15-2 with a 4.05 ERA this season and has a sharp 1.12 WHIP and a whopping 117/25 K/W as well. I expect the starters to go deep and for this one to stay well under once it’s all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Yanks. | |||||||
08-12-19 | Orioles v. Yankees UNDER 10.5 | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/Yanks under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) New York leads the season series 13-2. The Yanks enter on a 12-game win streak vs. the Orioles. But after hitting 16 homers in Baltimore last week, I think the opener of this double-header sets up as more of a “duel.” James Paxton comes in on top form for New York, going 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA over his last two starts (note that Paxton is 4-1 with a 3.38 ERA in six career outings vs. Baltimore.) Gabriel Ynoa is just 1-6 with a 5.57 ERA for Baltimore this season, including 0-1 with a 3.99 ERA in two career starts vs. New York. Note though that the Orioles have seen the total go under the number in 15 of their last 20 American League day road game as an underdog in the +175 to +275 range. This number is a tad high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Yanks. | |||||||
08-11-19 | Cubs v. Reds UNDER 9 | Top | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 21 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs/Reds under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) I think that Jon Lester and Luis Castillo are primed for a classic “duel” on Sunday afternoon. Cincinnati won 10-1 on Saturday behind three home runs from 25 year old Aristides Aquino. Lester is 9-8 with a 4.39 ERA and he enters off his worst start of his career, allowing 11 runs off ten hits over four innings in an 11-4 loss to the A’s. The 35-year old has to be feeling good about a bounce back here though as he’s 7-2 with a 3.53 ERA in 17 career starts vs. the Reds. Castillo is 11-4 with a 2.63 ERA and he’s 2-1 vs. the Cubs this year and 4-2 with a 3.29 ERA in nine career starts against them. I think the finale of this series sets up as a “duel.” Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Reds. | |||||||
08-09-19 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 32 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs/Dodgers under (10* TOTAL OF YEAR) These are two really good pitchers going up against two really good hitting line-ups. When the smoke does finally clear at the end of night though, I do indeed believe it’ll be the starting hurlers who are the “main story-lines” in tomorrow’s summaries. Arizona ace Robbie Ray is 10-7 with a 4.03 ERA this year and so far he owns a sharp 178:58 K:BB over 134 innings of work. Walker Buehler gets the nod for the home side and he’s 10-2 with a tiny 3.22 ERA. Buehler comes in off a strong outing vs. the Padres on Saturday, allowing one run while striking out 15 over a complete nine innings. So far over 131.1 innings the 25-year old had 152 strikeouts. Look for these two horses to battle deep and for this total to stay well below the posted number. T.M. Prediction: D-Backs/Dodgers. | |||||||
08-09-19 | Vikings v. Saints UNDER 37 | Top | 34-25 | Loss | -108 | 220 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vikes/Saints under (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) New Orleans is stacked with talent once again this year. The Saints have been knocked out of the playoffs in back to back seasons, both times on heart-breaking controversial calls. The Sainst picked up ex Viking Teddy Bridgewater and Latavius Murray, who will see time today in a backup role to Alvin Kamara. Minnesota won’t be lacking for motivation this season either though, as it was just 8-7-1 last year. The Vikes had a horrible run game and that lack of firepower clearly effected the play of QB Kirk Cousins. Minnesota has bolstered its offensive line and it’ll be focusing heavily on establishing its run game throughout the preseason. With the star players of each team seeing limited or no time at all, I do definitely expect this total to stay well under once it’s all said and done. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-09-19 | Norwich City v. Liverpool UNDER 3.25 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -112 | 246 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Norwich City/Liverpool under (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) The Premier League returns tonight with Champions League winner Liverpool taking on Norwich City at Anfield. Norwich City is one of three teams that has been promoted from the second division. The Reds finished second in the EPL last year behind eventual champion Manchester City. Liverpool is stout, with Alisson in goal and Virgil van Dijk on defense. I simply have a hard time seeing Norwich City mustering any attack today. And I don’t see Liverpool pressing the matter either. This one has the feel of a lower-scoring defensive affair in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Liverpool. | |||||||
08-08-19 | Colts v. Bills OVER 34.5 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 196 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colts/Bills over (10*) The Colts made the playoffs last year behind a resurgent season from Andrew Luck. But Luck won’t be playing today. Instead it’s former Bills’ backup Frank Reich under center. Both teams put “stock” into the preseason, as the Colts were 3-1 last year and the Bills were 2-2. Indianapolis has plenty of competitions going on at every offensive position, so this definitely already lends itself to more of a higher-scoring shootout, than a lower-scoring defensive battle. The Bills re-worked their offensive line completely to make sure that sophomore Josh Allen has more protection. I believe each club focuses on the offensive side tonight. Play the over. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-07-19 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 10 | Top | 14-2 | Loss | -112 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yanks/O’s under (10* TOTAL BEST OF BEST) While yesterday’s Yankees’ victory resulted in an “over,” I believe tonight’s contest sets up as more of a “duel.” John Means is 8-6 with a 3.12 ERA for Baltimore this year and he has to be feeling confident, as he’s 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA in three relief appearances vs. the Yanks. New York’s James Paxton is only 6-6 with a 4.61 ERA this season, but he’s 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA lifetime vs. Baltimore. Note as well that the Yanks have seen the total go under in five of their last seven AL road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Yanks. | |||||||
08-04-19 | Tigers v. Rangers UNDER 11.5 | Top | 4-9 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tigers/Rangers under (10*) Jordan Zimmermann won’t be lacking for motivation tonight. The veteran was 7-8 with a 4.52 ERA last year, but he took a major step back this season by going just 1-8 with a 7.23 ERA. Zimmermann though enters off his best start of the year (easily), allowing two runs off four hits over six inning with two strikeouts and on walk in a 7-2 win over the Angels on Monday. He’ll be opposed by Pedrao Payano, who is 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA. Payano most recently gave up three run over six innings in a no-decision vs. the dangerous A’s on Sunday. I expect these two hungry starters to be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. This number is just a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Rangers. | |||||||
08-03-19 | White Sox v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox/Phillis over (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) I think the stage is set for a “slug-fest” in this one. Last night these teams played to a 4-3, 15 inning contest in which the White Sox came out on top of. Chicago might not feel as confident with Ross Detwiler on the mound as he’s so far 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA, and he’s a brutal 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA in 6 2/3’s career innings vs. Philadelphia. Aaron Nola continues to be a bright spot, but note that the Phillies have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last 11 interleague home games after scoring three runs or less in a loss that occurred in extra frames. This number is a little low. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Phillies. | |||||||
08-02-19 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -101 | 32 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres/Dodgers over (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) I just don’t trust either of these starting pitchers. The Padres Eric Lauer is 5-8 with a 4.52 ERA and he most recently was shelled for four runs off six hits with three walks and a K over 2.1 innings in a loss to the Mets on Thursday. The Dodgers hand the ball to Dustin May (0-0, 0.00) who makes his major league debut tonight. Over five starts in Triple A he posted a 2.30 ERA, but clearly the book is still out on the rookie at the major league level. In a contest in which I expect each starter to “get the hook” early, I’m expecting this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Dodgers. | |||||||
08-01-19 | Broncos v. Falcons UNDER 34 | Top | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 33 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Broncos/Falcons under (10* TOTAL). Both teams are coming off crummy seasons and each once again has more questions than answers as we head into the 2019/20 campaign. That said, in Week 1 of the NFL preseason, don’t expect to see to many of those questions getting answered tonight. In a contest in which I see both teams going through the motions, I believe this total will in fact stay well below the posted number once it’s all said and done. Denver has missed the playoffs three straight years and the Broncos have since gone out and hired head coach Vic Fangio, who was the defensive coordinator for the Bears the last four seasons (note that Denver was 24th in the league in averaging only 20.6 PPG.) The Falcons were just 7-9 last year. How much gas do Matt Ryan and Julio Jones have left in them? Who knows, but neither will see any time in this game. Each of these teams gets five warm up games in the preseason this year, but in the first one, I’m expecting each to come out “rusty.” This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 14-10 Broncos. | |||||||
08-01-19 | Twins v. Marlins UNDER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins/Marlins under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). Jordan Yamamoto is 4-2 with a 3.64 ERA and while he’s struggled over his last three starts, I believe he’ll settle down here vs. Michael Pineda and the Twins. Minnesota has taken the first two games of this series and I’m expecting a bit of a “duel” in the finale. Pineda comes in on top form having gone 3-2 with a 2.87 ERA over his last eight starts (Pineda is 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA in one start vs. Miami.) As mentioned above, Yamamoto has struggled over the last month, but note that he’s been at his best in all “night” games this year by going 3-1 with a tiny 2.48 ERA. I think this one sneaks under once it’s all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Twins. | |||||||
07-31-19 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs/Cards under (10*) For a number of different reasons I think this one sets up as duel between the Cubs’ Kyle Hendricks, who is 7-8 with a 3.26 ERA and the Cards’ Miles Mikolas, who is 7-10 with a 4.19 ERA. St. Louis took the series opener 2-1 last night and I expect a similar final combined score here as well. Mikolas comes in off a strong start vs. Pittsburgh, allowing three runs over six innings (Mikolas is also 3-1 with a 1.88 ERA in eight career games vs. Chicago.) Hendricks is 7-2 with a 2.93 ERA in 16 career starts vs. St. Louis. This one sets up as a “duel.” T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Cardinals. | |||||||
07-30-19 | Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs/Cards over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) These clubs are both pushing for a playoff spot. Neither starter has been great this year either, as Yu Darvish is just 3-4 with a 4.54 ERA for Chicago, while Adam Wainwright is only 7-7 with a 4.63 ERA. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up great as a higher-scoring slug-fest, but the numbers/trends also point that direction as well, as note that Chicago has seen the total go over the number in 12 of 20 as a road dog this season, while St. Louis has seen the total go over in five of its last six after scoring two runs or less in two straight games. This number is low. T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Cards. | |||||||
07-29-19 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Nationals under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Two teams known for their offensive prowess go head to head in this series. Two pitchers who come in red hot also collide though and in my opinion, runs are going to be at a premium. The Braves’ Dallas Keuchel has had issues with the Nationals in the past, but in his last start he gave up two runs over six innings to go along with 12 strikeouts in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision vs. the Royals. The Braves lost two key sluggers as well recent in Nick Markakis and Dansby Swanson. Nationals’ starter Patrick Corbin is 8-5 with a 3.25 ERA overall, but he’s 5-1 with a 1.85 ERA in ten games vs. Atlanta lifetime (Corbin also enters off a strong performance, going six scoreless vs. Colorado in front of the home town crowd.) I look for these starter to battle deep and for this total to fall under the number once it’s all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Nationals. | |||||||
07-26-19 | Pirates v. Mets OVER 9 | Top | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pirates/Mets over (10* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL). Neither of these starters instills much confidence. Zach Wheeler is 6-6 with a 4.69 ERA for the Mets, while rookie Dario Agrazal is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA for the Pirates. Wheeler last pitched on July 7th, allowing six runs over five innings in an 8-3 loss to the Phillies. Pittsburgh will be desperate to break a six-game slide, but Agrazal is likely to have his hands full here, as note that the Pirates have seen the total fly over the number in 25 of 38 this year when the total in the contest is set between 9 and 9.5. Additionally note that the Mets have seen the total eclipse the posted number in 11 of 17 this season in the same position. This number is a tad low, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Mets. | |||||||
07-25-19 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 11 | Top | 3-19 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankees/Red Sox under (10*) Masahiro Tanaka is 7-5 with a 4.00 ERA for the Yankees, while Rick Porcello is 8-7 with a 5.61 ERA for the Red Sox. This is the first time the teams have met in Boston this season. These two pitchers met in London in a two-game series and neither made it out of the first inning. Porcello gave up six runs, while Tanaka was also rocked for six as well. Clearly something about the atmosphere/surroundings played a part in each of these normally steady hurlers performance that day. Both sides feature plenty of home run power, but I think the overall situation points to a lower-scoring “duel,” as I look for these hungry hurlers to battle deep into the latter frames as they set out to atone for their earlier disappointing performances. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Yanks. | |||||||
07-24-19 | Royals v. Braves UNDER 10 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Royals/Braves under (10* TRADE-MARK) Two red hot hurlers collide in this interleague contest and I believe that runs will be at a premium. The Royals’ Brad Keller is 6-9 with a 4.18 ERA, while the Braves’ Julio Teheran is 5-6 with a 3.61 ERA overall this year. Keller though is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA with 16 K’s over 20 innings of work this month, while Teheran has posted a tiny 1.53 ERA in June spanning 17 2/3’s innings of work. I think the writing is on the wall and a classic “duel” is in the cards. Considering the recent form of these starters, I think this number is a little high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Braves. | |||||||
07-23-19 | Padres v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres/Mets under (10*) I’m making a play both on the “under” and on the home side in this game. I simply feel that the veteran Jason Vargas is going to match Padres rookie Chris Paddack inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I definitely believe that the value swings to the underdog. Paddack blanked the Mets over eight innings on May 6th. Vargas comes in off a win over the Twins, allowing three runs over six innings. Note though that San Diego has seen the total go under the number in 12 of its last 18 vs. left-handed starters, while New York has seen the total dip under in seven of 11 as a home underdog. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Mets. | |||||||
07-22-19 | Orioles v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/D-Backs under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Aaron Brooks is just 2-3 with a 4.69 ERA and while he’s been “hit or miss” in a starters role for the lowly Orioles, this play is almost entirely based upon Arizona starter Robbie Ray, who is 8-6 with a 3.92 ERA this year and who is rumored to be on the trading block. Ray will want to be at his best for any possible suitors, which includes the Yankees. Ray comes in on top form, having won three straight trips to the hill, allowing a combined six runs over 19 innings with eight walks and 23 K’s in that span. Note that Baltimore has seen the total go under the number in 12 of 14 this year after allowing one run or less, while Arizona has seen the total go under in ten of its last 14 at home when the total is set between 9 and 9.5. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 D-Backs. | |||||||
07-05-19 | Brewers v. Pirates UNDER 9.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Brewers/Pirates under (8*) The Brewers come in struggling at the plate, having been shutout in back-to-back games. That’s unfortunate news for Milwaukee, as it has to face red hot Pirates’ starter Steven Brault, who is 3-1 with a 4.29 ERA overall, but who is 2-0 with a 2.01 ERA since joining the rotation in May. Brault faced Milwaukee last weekend and he gave up one run over five innings. The struggling visiting side counters with Zach Davies, who is 7-2 with a 3.24 ERA overall and who is already 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA in three match-ups vs. Pittsburgh this season. Considering the Brewers form as the first half closes and how well these pitchers have faired of late, I do indeed feel this total is much too high. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Brewers. | |||||||
07-04-19 | Marlins v. Nationals UNDER 10 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Marlins/Nationals under (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). I think this number is a little high. The home side hands the ball to veteran Anibal Sanchez, who is 4-6 with a 3.82 ERA overall, but who enters on top of his game right now with four straight victories (note that in six games vs. the Fish lifetime he owns a 3.33 ERA.) Most recently Sanchez allowed one run over six innings in a win over the Tigers. The Marlins counter with Elieser Hernandez, who is 1-2 with a 4.07 ERA, but who also comes into this contest off a strong performance, giving up two runs off seven K’s with two walks over 5 2/3’s innings in a win over the Phillies on Friday. Note as well that Miami’s seen the total go under in 20 of 28 this year as a road dog of +150 or more, while Washington has seen the total dip under in 17 of its last 27 as a -150 favorite or higher. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Nationals. | |||||||
07-03-19 | Cardinals v. Mariners UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cards/M’s under (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) Adam Wainwright is 5-7 with a 4.35 ERA this year for the Cards, while Mike Leake is 7-7 with a 4.63 ERA vs. the Mariners. Seattle came from behind to win 5-4 last night, but I think runs will be at a premium in this one. The loss dropped the Cards to 41-42 on the season, while the victory snapped a four-game slide for the M’s. Wainwright is 0-2 over his last three trips to the mound, despite not giving up more than three runs in any outing (note that Wainwright is 1-0 with a 2.40 ERA in two lifetime starts vs. Seattle.) Leake’s four-game win streak was snapped last time out vs. Milwaukee, allowing four runs over six innings. I’ll point out thought that the last placed Mariners have seen the total go under the number in ten of their last 13 home games after scoring five or more runs in a victory in their previous contest. I definitely feel that tonight’s contest sets up as a “duel,” rather than a high-scoring “slug-fest.” Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Cards. | |||||||
07-02-19 | Cubs v. Pirates UNDER 9 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cubs/Pirates under (8* MONEY-MAKER) A couple of competent hurlers go head-to-head in this one and I think that runs will be at a premium. Pittsburgh pounded out 23 hits in Monday’s 18-5 win, dropping Chicago to 16-24 on the road, including only 4-13 in its last 17 away from friendly confines. The Cubs turn to Kyle Hendricks to stop the bleeding. Hendricks, who is 7-5 with a 3.36 ERA, will be opposed by Pittsburgh’s Joe Musgrove, who is 6-7 with a 4.27 ERA. Hendricks returns from a shot stint on the DL; note that he’s 6-1 with a 2.52 ERA over his last nine appearances. Musgrove has won his last two starts, giving up only a single run over 13 innings with 13 strikeouts and zero walks. I’m expecting these two red hot starters to battle deep and for this total to stay well below the posted number. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Cubs. | |||||||
07-01-19 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan OVER 53.5 | Top | 7-32 | Loss | -110 | 154 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Argos/Riders over (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Toronto won back-to-back pre-season games, but then had to sit through a Week 1 “bye.” Whatever momentum it may have had coming out of the pre-season was clearly lost in last week’s embarrassing 64-14 setback at home to Hamilton. Toronto’s offense wasn’t terrible, it actually produced 322 yards. The defensive side of things though was a complete disaster for the Argos, as they were gashed for 604 yards by the Ti-Cats (James Franklin was 16 of 26 for 211 yards and one INT, while McLeod Bethel-Thompson was 9 of 16 for 99 yards with one INT and one TD.) The Roughriders are sizeable favorites here and they’ll be eager to bounce back in front of the home town crowd after last week’s tight 44-41 setback at Ottawa (the Riders conceded 447 yards of offense, while producing 468. QB Cody Fajardo was 27 of 34 for two TD’s and no INTs). I have a hard time seeing the Argos fixing all of their problems in a week. Saskatchewan has issues as well, but Fajardo is so far fitting in seamlessly for the injured Zach Collaros and I believe his progression continues in this favorable matchup. When you add it all up, I think this has “shootout” written all over it. Play the over. T.M. Prediction: 35-23 Riders | |||||||
07-01-19 | Royals v. Blue Jays UNDER 10.5 | Top | 4-11 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Royals/Jays UNDER (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Glen Sparkman is 2-3 with a 4.07 ERA this season for the Royals, while Clayton Richard is 0-4 with a 6.89 ERA for Toronto. The Royals exploded for a 7-6 victory last night, but I think it’ll be a much lower-scoring affair in the finale on Canada Day this afternoon. Sparkman has faced the Jays once and he’d give up two runs over four innings and his team won 6-2 last season. Richard has struggled somewhat of late, but note that he owns a 3.91 ERA in eight career games vs. KC. Note that KC has already seen the total go under the number in all four games it’s played in this year following a one run victory, while Toronto has seen the total dip under in 11 of 15 as a home favorite in the -110 to -150 range. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Jays. | |||||||
06-29-19 | Rangers v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rangers/Rays over (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Brendan McKay makes his MLB debut tonight for the Rays. McKay was called up after the Rays 5-2, 18-inning win over the Twins on Thursday out of necessity. Tampa will be eager to return to form here after getting shutout 5-0 last night. The Rays have now lost 12 of their last 17. Texas looks to keep the good times rolling as it comes in having won six straight. Adrian Sampson is 6-4 with a 4.14 ERA for the visitors and he’s been hit or miss this year. Note that Texas has seen the total go over in 17 of 28 this season vs. teams with winning records, while Tampa has seen the total soar over in 13 of 20 this year at home when the total is set at either 8 or 8.5. This number is a tad low. T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Rangers. | |||||||
06-27-19 | Mariners v. Brewers UNDER 10.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Mariners/Brewers under (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Seattle’s won six of its last seven. The M’s have averaged 7.4 runs over that stretch, but I expect more of a pitchers duel between these interleague foes on Thursday afternoon. Seattle’s turned things around of late by going 6-1 in its last seven, thanks to some big production at the plate, but I think it’ll have its hands full Chase Anderson, who is 3-2 with a 4.70 ERA thus far. Anderson comes in highly focused here after going 0-2 over his last four starts. Mike Leake of the Mariners is 7-6 with a 4.54 ERA and he enters on top form, having gone 4-0 over his past five starts. I think the situation points to a lower-scoring under on Thursday afternoon. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Mariners. | |||||||
06-25-19 | Pirates v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pirates/Astros under (10* TOTAL BEST OF BEST) The Astros finally broke their seven game slide with a win in New York on Sunday. The home side looks to carry that momentum over in the opener of this interleague series by handing the ball to Gerrit Cole, who is 6-5 with a 3.54 ERA so far this season. Cole is 1-0 with a 2.16 ERA over his past four starts and he clearly won’t be lacking for motivation facing his former team for the first time. The visitors go with Trevor Williams, who is 2-1 with a 4.12 ERA. Williams struggled in his first start back from injury vs. the Tigers, but he’ll come in confident knowing that he’s a sharp 5-1 with a 3.09 ERA in 11 interleague starts. Note that Pittsburgh has seen the total go under in eight of its last 12 after allowing ten runs or more in its previous contest, while Houston has seen the total dip under in five of its last seven as a home favorite in the -175 to -250 range. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Astros. | |||||||
06-25-19 | Royals v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | 8-6 | Loss | -111 | 27 h 53 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Royals/Indians under (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Two hungry and competent starters collide in this one and I think that runs will be at a premium. The royals go with Glenn Sparkman, who is 2-3, 3.62 ERA, while the home side goes with Shane Bieber, who is 6-3 with a 3.86 ERA. Bieber comes in off a loss despite allowing only two runs with eight strikeouts over six innings vs. the Rangers on Thursday, while Sparkman comes in off a gem as well, conceding one run over seven innings vs. the hard-hitting Twins on Thursday. Note that the Royals have seen the total go under in four of their last five after allowing three runs or less in two straight games, while Cleveland has seen the total dip under in 22 of its last 37 at home. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Indians. | |||||||
06-24-19 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 10.5 | Top | 8-10 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jays/Yanks under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The Yanks eight-game win streak came to an abrupt halt vs. the Astros yesterday and I think the offense falters here as well in the opener of this three-game series vs. the Jays. Toronto is already looking ahead to next season, but it comes in off back-to-back wins in Boston. The Yankees go with CC Sabathia, who earned his 250th career win last time out, giving up one run over six innings vs. the Rays on Wednesday. Overall Sabathia is 18-12 with a 3.65 ERA in 35 career starts vs. the Jays. Aaron Sanchez has struggled for the Jays this year, but note that he’s 2-4 with a 3.24 ERA in 15 appearances vs. New York. Toronto’s seen the total go under in seven of its last nine after back-to-back road victories, while NY has seen the total dip under in 14 of 23 already this season as a home fav of -150 or higher. This number is a tad high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Yanks. | |||||||
06-23-19 | Reds v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Reds/Brewers under (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Milwaukee rallied from a three-run first-inning deficit on Saturday to beat Cincinnati 6-5, breaking its five-game losing slide in the process. That loss snapped the Reds season-best six-game win skein. After yesterday’s slug-fest, I expect more of a “duel” in Sunday’s rubber match. The home side turns to Brandon Woodruff, who has had issues with the Reds in the past, but who is 8-2 with a 4.02 ERA this season. The visitors turn to Anthony DeSclafani, who is 4-3 with a 4.22 ERA this year. Note though that the Reds have seen the total go under the number in 14 of 20 already this season when playing as a road underdog in the +125 to +175 range, while the Brewers have seen the total dip under the number in nine of their last 12 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Brewers. | |||||||
06-22-19 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 10 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros/Yankees under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The Yankees have won seven straight, while Houston has dropped six in a row. These teams are moving in opposite directions, but for this particular selection I’m focusing entirely on the starting pitchers. The home side goes with Masahiro Tanaka, who is 5-5 with a 3.23 ERA and who comes in off a commanding performance vs. the Rays on Monday, going the distance and allowing just two hits. Tanaka comes in on top form off back-to-back victories. The Astros are only hitting .189 collectively during their slide and they counter with Wade Miley, who is 6-4 with a 3.52 ERA, most recently allowing three runs over five innings in a loss to the Reds. Note that Houston has seen the total go under in 14 of 19 vs. AL East opponents this season, while NY has seen the total dip below the number in eight of 12 this season as a home favorite in the -150 to -200 range. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Yanks. | |||||||
06-22-19 | Hamilton v. Toronto UNDER 52 | Top | 64-14 | Loss | -108 | 101 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: T-Cats/Argos under (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The Argos struggled last year, but they got the better of Hamilton 30-23 in a preseason game earlier in the month. Toronto actually won two pre-season games in a row, only to then go through a rare “bye” in Week 1. I think that rest is going to lead to rust and that Toronto’s early pre-season momentum is now clearly gone. Hamilton looked decent in its 23-17 win over the Riders last week and I think it carries that defensive momentum over here. It’s interesting to note as well that Hamilton has seen the O/U going 6/21 in its last 28 games played in the month of June, while Toronto has seen the total go 6-22 in its past 28 in the same position. Considering the situation, this number is much too high in my opinion. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Hamilton. | |||||||
06-21-19 | Padres v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 1-2 | Win | 107 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Padres/Pirates under (8* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL). The Padres look poised for a letdown here after sweeping the Brewers and facing the lowly Pirates. Two pitchers who have struggled for the most part this year, but who won’t be lacking for motivation tonight collide and I believe it all adds up to a lower-scoring “under” in the opener of this three-game series. The visitors go with Eric Lauer, who is 5-6 with a 4.60 ERA, while the home side goes with Joe Musgrove, who is 4-7 with a 4.87 ERA. The Pirates have gone 3-2 in their last five games. Both teams had yesterday off after posting identical 8-7 victories on Wednesday, but all the numbers/trends point to a “duel,” as note that SD has seen the total dip under the number in five of its last seven when trying to revenge a same season three game sweep at home vs. an opponent, while Pittsburgh’s seen the total dip under in four of its last five at home when the money line is set between -125 and +125. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Pirates. | |||||||
06-20-19 | Indians v. Rangers UNDER 9.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indians/Rangers under (8* BLACK-LABEL). A couple of competent hurlers collide in this one on Thursday afternoon and I believe runs are going to be at a premium. After losing the opener of this four-game series, the Indians have scored ten runs in each of their past two victories. But while the Indians have plated at least eight runs in six of their past 13, I think they’ll have their hands full with veteran Mike Minor, who is 6-4 with a 2.63 ERA and who has struck out 99 over 95 2/3’s frames of work this year (note that over six relief appearances vs. the Tribe he’s struck out 14 and conceded four hits over 8 1/3’s scoreless innings.) The visitors go with Shane Bieber, who is 6-2 with a 3.92 ERA and who is looking to win a fifth straight decision (most recently struck out 12 over eight innings and agave up two runs and one walk in a victory over the Tigers.) Note that Cleveland has seen the total dip under in 11 of 17 on the road already this year as a favorite in the -100 to -150 range, while Texas has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 at home when the money line in the contest is set between -125 and +125. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Tribe. | |||||||
06-18-19 | Mets v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 10-2 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Mets/Braves under (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The Braves have been putting runs on the board at a prodigious rate of late, but I think they’ll struggle vs. Mets’ ace Jacob deGrom, who has been sharp himself and who has dominated this matchup throughout his career. Braves’ starter Julio Teheran is also in fine form right now and he’s also had success vs. the Mets in the past. I think these two veterans will fight deep into the latter frames. deGrom, who is 3-6 with a 3.38 ERA, has a 2.29 ERA in three appearances in June. He also has a 1.86 ERA in 116 frames vs. the Braves. Teheran is 5-4 with a 2.92 ERA overall this season and he’s 10-7 with a tiny 2.35 ERA in 26 career appearances vs. the Mets. All signs point to a low-scoring pitchers duel. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Mets. | |||||||
06-15-19 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | 10-3 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 37 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs/Nationals under (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) The visitors hand the ball to Taylor Clarke, who is 1-2 with a 5.26 ERA. The home side counters with Stephen Strasburg, who is 7-3 with a 3.36 ERA. Strasburg has always fared well vs. the D-Backs, going 5-3 with a 3.36 ERA in 11 career match ups. Arizona looks to get back on track after last night’s 7-3 loss, with Nats’ co-ace Max Scherzer striking out ten. Note that Arizona has seen the total dip under the number in 16 of its last 24 “day” games, while Washington has seen the total go under in for of its last five following a victory. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Nationals. | |||||||
06-13-19 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton OVER 47.5 | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Riders/TiCats over (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) Two teams with something to prove in 2019 collide on Opening Night and in my opinion, this one has all the makings of a wide open shootout. Hamilton ended up losing to Ottawa in the East final, but it’s still a slight favorite to come out on top this year. The Roughriders won 12 games in total last year, but they ended falling in the division semifinal. Zach Collaros is the new QB in Saskatchewan. Collaros had a poor season for the Ti-Cats last year, so he’ll be extra motivated to stick it to his former team tonight. Hamilton though is loaded at the QB position with Jeremiah Masoli, who had 5,200 yards and 28 TD’s last year. I believe the stage is set for a high-scoring over. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Hamilton. | |||||||
06-12-19 | Rangers v. Red Sox UNDER 10 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rangers/Red Sox under (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). Texas has pulled off back-to-back upsets to open this series. I had the Rangers as a +200 dog in the first game. The visitors go with Lance Lynn, who gave up two runs over six innings in a win over the A’s last time out. Lynn comes in on top form, having posted six straight quality starts. The home side goes with Rick Porcello, who gave up four runs off eight hits over six innings vs. the Rays in his last starts. Boston will clearly be leaning heavily on the veteran today to break the two-game slide and help improve upon its sub-par 15-16 record at home. Note that Texas has still seen the total go under the number in 20 of its last 33 following a win and in 16 of 20 this year following two or more consecutive wins. This number is a tad high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Red Sox. | |||||||
06-11-19 | Mariners v. Twins UNDER 10 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Under Mariners/Twins (9* BLACK-LABEL) I think this number is a little high despite these being the top two teams as far as “home runs” are concerned. The home side hands the ball to Martin Perez, who is 7-2 with a 3.72 ERA and who is a sharp 8-5 with a 3.26 ERA in 22 career appearances and 20 starts vs. the Mariners. The visitors counter with Mike Leake, who is 5-6 with a 4.30 ERA. Leake enters off one of the best starts of his career, off a complete-game 14-1 win over the Astros, allowing six hits and two walks while striking out five. Note that Leake is 2-0 with a 4.32 ERA in four career starts vs. Minnesota. Additionally note that Seattle has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 16 off a win of six runs or more over a division rival, while Minnesota has seen the total go under in 17 of 27 at home so far this season. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Twins. | |||||||
06-11-19 | Nationals v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 101 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nats/Sox over (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) The Nationals won 12-1 in the series opener last night and while I’m not expecting such a lop-sided margin of victory here, I do think that these teams will combine to put the same or even more runs on the board. Patrick Corbin gets the call for the Nats and he’s 5-4 with a 3.59 ERA. But Corbin has been terrible of late, giving up eight runs over two innings to the Reds, before then allowing five runs over five innings to the Padres on Thursday. The White Sox will be eager to get some production tonight after yesterday’s humbling defeat. Chicago goes with the erratic Manny Banuelos (3-4, 7.36 ERA) who actually earned a victory in his last start, giving up three runs over five innings vs. the Indians. Despite that though I’ll point out that the White Sox have seen the total go over the number in all three games so far this year in which they’re a +175 or higher underdog. Also note that Washington has seen the total go over in all three games so far this year after allowing three runs or less in two straight games. This number is a little low. T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Nationals. | |||||||
06-09-19 | Bruins v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 58 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Blues over (10* TOTAL MONEY MAKER). Boston’s been the second highest scoring team in the playoffs with an average of 3.32 GPG. It’s also been the stingiest in allowing only 2.09. But the Bruins have struggled on both ends of the ice over the last two games. The Blues have arguably been the hottest team in the entire league since the All Star break and their now one win away from the Stanley Cup, riding the red hot play of rookie goaltender Jordan Binnington. St. Louis averages 2.92 goals in the playoffs, while allowing 2.67, but I think it’s going to have its hands full with this fired up Bruins side looking to stave off elimination. Note that Boston has seen the total go over in five of its last seven road games with a total of five or less, while St. Louis has seen the total soar over in five of seven so far in the playoffs when leading in a series. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Bruins. | |||||||
06-08-19 | Yankees v. Indians UNDER 10 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yanks/Indians under (10* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL) CC Sabathia gets the nod for the Yanks and he’s so far 3-2 with a 3.61 ERA. Sabathia is expected to retire at the end of the season, but he’s after his 250th victory tonight. Sabathia is 4-3 with a 3.57 ERA in 13 career starts vs. the Indians. Sabathia will look to help his team bounce back from yesterday’s 5-2 setback. The home side goes with Adam Plutko, who is 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA and who has been called up from Triple-A Columbus to make this start. Note though that New York has seen the total dip under in three of four already this year after having lost four of its last five games while the Indians have seen the total go under in four of five this season as a home dog. New York’s blistering start to the year despite a rash of injuries appears to now definitely be heading in the opposite direction. Until those big bats do finally return, I expect that trend to continue at the plate for the Yanks. This total is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Yanks. | |||||||
06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 216 | Top | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 37 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Warriors under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Golden State is still without Kevin Durant, but it is set to welcome back shooter Klay Thompson, who sat out Game 3 with injury. Toronto got out to a blistering start in Game 3 and Golden State was never able to catch up or hold it back. The Warriors took control of Game 2 in the second half of that contest behind a spectacular defensive performance and in my opinion, Golden State is going to be out to duplicate the performance here as it looks to avoid dropping into a 1-3 hole. Toronto looked great on both ends of the court in Game 3 and while it was unable to slow down Stephen Curry, the Raptors would do more than enough to slow down the rest of the role players. I think the Warriors body up from start to finish and I expect the visitors to follow suit. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 107-102 Golden State. | |||||||
06-07-19 | White Sox v. Royals UNDER 10.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: White Sox/Royals under (8*) Both of these teams enter at under .500 after the first two months of the season. Note though that only the Tigers have fewer that KC’s 65 home runs among teams with more than its 543 K’s (8.75 per contest.) Note that the Royals have now struck out 129 times over their past 13 games. Ivan Nova is 3-5 with a 6.24 ERA for Chicago this year, while Home Bailey is 4-6 with a 6.05 ERA for the Royals. Look closer though and we see that Nova has a sharp 3.32 ERA over his past three trips to the hill. Bailey has been “hit or miss” the last few seasons, but note that KC has seen the total dip under the number in 13 of its last 18 vs. clubs with losing records. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Royals. | |||||||
06-06-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 59 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Bruins under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). So far every game of the SCF’s has gone “over” the number, but I look for that pattern of high-scoring shootouts to end in this crucial Game 5 scenario. Both of these clubs rode hot goaltending to reach the Finals, but the Blues’ Jordan Binnington and the Bruins’ Tuukka Rask have been exchanging good starts with sub-par ones. St. Louis averaged just 2.83 goals on the road this year (went 29-29), while allowing only 2.42. Boston averages 3.40 goals at home (is 36-15 at home), while allowing only 2.40. Note that St. Louis has seen the total go under in 28 of its last 46 when playing on two days rest, while Boston has seen the total dip under in 13 of 21 in the same position. This number is a little high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Bruins. | |||||||
06-06-19 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Reds/Cards under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Last night’s game was postponed and the two starters which were supposed to go in that one, will now get the call here. I’m basing this pick primarily on the form of Cardinals’ starter Dakota Hudson, who comes in on the top of his game. Hudson is 4-3 with a 3.94 ERA overall and he went 2-2 with a 2.80 ERA in six starts in may. The Reds won Tuesday’s series opener 4-1 and they’ll go with Anthony DeSclafani, who is just 2-3 with a 4.97 ERA this year, but who is 6-2 with a 3.45 ERA litetime vs. St. Louis. Cincinnati has seen the total go under in 13 of 22 this year as a road dog, while St. Louis has seen the total dip under in nine of 15 vs. clubs with losing records this season. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Cards. | |||||||
06-05-19 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers/Diamondbacks over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) LA has taken the first two games of this series. The Diamondbacks have been stifled early by LA’s dominant pitching and it won’t get too much easier facing Kenta Maeda, who is 7-2 with a 3.61 ERA. He’s won four straight starts, but I think he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time here facing this desperate Arizona team. Note as well that Maeda is just 5-5 with a 4.75 ERA in 16 appearances vs. Arizona lifetime, which includes an atrocious 7.31 ERA over 28 1/3’s innings at Chase Field. The D-Backs trot out rookie right-hander Jon Duplantier, who is 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA. He made his debut on Friday and gave up three runs over five innings in a no-decision to the Mets on Friday. Clearly the book is still out on Duplantier at this point and shutting down anemic New York is one thing, but slowing down this offensive juggernaut in LA is definitely another. LA has seen the total go over in 11 of 17 already this year as a road favorite, while Arizona has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 16 of 27 vs. the division this season. This number is a tad low. T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Dodgers. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $599 |
Matt Fargo | $421 |
Ray Monohan | $400 |
Rocky Atkinson | $333 |
Jim Feist | $292 |
Kyle Hunter | $280 |
Ross Benjamin | $265 |
Marc Lawrence | $253 |
ProSportsPicks | $211 |
AAA Sports | $78 |