Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-19-20 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 21-28 | Loss | -121 | 37 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Cardinals. Arizona knocked off Seattle 37-34 at home in overtime as a 3.5 point underdog earlier in the season and I believe it has a legitimate shot at a repeat performance here. Arizona lost 34-31 to Miami two weeks ago, but it bounced back with a big win over Buffalo on Sunday and it's now won four of its last five. Seattle has dropped three of its last four. Arizona averages 29.6 points per game and it allows 23.3. Seattle averages 32.2 PPG, but it concedes a league worst 29.6. The Cards are also 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 as a road underdog, while Seattle is a poor 1-5 ATS In its last six vs. the division. Russell Wilson's early numbers are because of the competition he faced. Look for the "better" team to domiante this one from start to finish and while I do think the outright is possible, let's grab the points in the end! T.M. Prediction: 29-28 Arizona. | |||||||
11-19-20 | Tulane v. Tulsa -6 | Top | 24-30 | Push | 0 | 36 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tulsa (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Tulane is now 5-4 after three-straight victories, but I believe it'll finally stumble here in this difficult road venue. Tulsa is 4-1 and it's had three of its game postponed so far this season. The Golden Hurricane though enter off a big 28-24 win over SMU and I think they'll be too much for the Green Wave to handle. Tulane averages 36.7 PPG and it allows 27.6. Michael Pratt has 14 TD's and four INT's for TUlane, but he's also been sacked 20 times. Tulsa is averaging 29 PPG behind the solid play of QB Zack Smith, while the defense concedes only 21.8. Tulane is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven following a SU win, while Tualso is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. the AAC. Tulsa just held SMU's offense to only 24 points, so I have a hard time seeing the Green Wave have much success this week either; lay the points, expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 33-20 Tulsa. | |||||||
11-18-20 | Toledo -6 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toledo (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Toledo's offense has looked great through two games, averaging 38 PPG. The Rockets defense has looked good in one game and poor in last week's 41-38 loss to WMU (note that two of those TD's given up were unfortunate late ones though.) EMU is 0-2 and it's allowing 32.5 PPG in the early going. When looking at the two QB's though, there's no comparison in my opinion. I like Eli Peters here over his counterpart Preston Hutchinson. This is a big opportuinty for Toledo's defense to have a bounce back performance and I look for it to make the most of it; I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 40-21 Toledo. | |||||||
11-17-20 | Akron v. Kent State OVER 58.5 | Top | 35-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Akron/Kent State OVER. Akron is 0-2 and it has nothing to lose here (except another game of course!) Zach Gibson has struggled in the early going, but I believe he'll have some opportunties here vs. the Golden Flashes, who will also be looking to run up the score here and move to 3-0. The MAC is only playing six games, so every game counts and every performance matters. Dustin Crum is poised for a monster day of production for the Golden Flashes vs. this weak Zips' secondary; Crum so far has 490 yards, six TD's and just one INT (four of those TD's came in last weeks' blowut win over Bowling Green.) Note as well that the total has flown over the number in four of Kent State's last six at home, while Akron has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last 11 after back-to-back losses of 20 or more points. Look for this total to fly over shortly in the second half! T.M. Prediction: 47-25 Kent State. | |||||||
11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears OVER 44.5 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -109 | 156 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vikings/Bears OVER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUIILDER). Minnesota averages 27.1 PPG and it allows 29.3. Dalvin Cook has been unstoppable of late though and I think he'll be a difference maker here in Chicago as well. Cook had 858 rushing yards and 13 total TDs so far. The Bears will be leaning on QB Nick Foles to snap a three-game slide. Foles looked good in defeat to Tennessee in the Bears last game, going 36 of 52 for 335 yards and two TDs. Minnesota desperately needs a win here to keep its slim playoff hopes alive and the Bears are on the cusp of falling out of second after three straight losses. With both teams pushing the pace from start to finish, look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Minnesota. | |||||||
11-15-20 | Ravens -7 v. Patriots | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -105 | 132 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ravens (10* GAME OF THE YEAR). No upsets here. I believe that LaMar Jackson is going to take it upon himself to decimate Cam Newton on the National stage. The Ravens enter off a big 24-10 win over Indianpolis, while New England barely broke its four-game slide with a 30-27 win over the Jets. Jackson has 12 touchdown passes and three more rushing, with just four interceptions. The Ravens' defense though is about to have a feast here on this suspect Patriots' O-line; note that Baltimore has already posted 24 sacks, four interceptions, and made ten fumble recoveries. Newton has eight rushing TD's and just two through the air. Baltimore's strength on defense though is against the run, so expect Newton to have another long night. Additionally note that NE is just 2-6-1 against the spread in its last nine at home, while Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after allowing ten or less points in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout from start to finish! T.M. Prediction: 30-13 Baltimore. | |||||||
11-14-20 | Hawaii +12 v. San Diego State | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -118 | 100 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawaii (10* BEST OF THE BEST). SDSU was upset by SJSU last week. The Aztec defense remains among the best in the nation though, allowing just 13.7 PPG. SDSU QB Carson Baker had 261 yards passing, but now the Aztecs face a hungry and confident Hawaii offense which comes in off a 39-33 win over New Mexico. QB Chevan Cordiero had three second-half TD passes and I like the visiting side to carry that momentum over here. And with a game at currently 3-0 Nevada up next, this also sets up as a look-ahead spot for SDSU. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a solid cover down the stretch! T.M. Prediction: 27-25 SDSU. | |||||||
11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota +3.5 | Top | 35-7 | Loss | -107 | 79 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota (10* ELITE OF THE ELITE). Both teams enter at 1-2. In a contest which I see being decided by whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. Minnesota finally got off the schneid with a 41-14 win over Illinois last time out, while Iowa broke a two-game skid with a 49-7 victory over MSU. To say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement, as Iowa has won five straight in this series, including a 23-19 victory last season. Iowa QB Spencer Petras is just a game manager, as the focus is on Tyler Goodson at RB, who so far has 233 yards rushing and three TD's. The Gophers lost two tough/close games to open the season as well. In their win over the Illini they had 325 rushing yards and 216 yards through the air. RB Mohamed Ibrahim had 224 yards on 30 carries with four touchdowns. Minnesota is also 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records, while Iowa is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS victory. Both teams looked a lot better in their last outing, but Ibrahim is on a different level right now and I can't see the Hawkeyes keeping pace. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 29-27 Minnesota. | |||||||
11-12-20 | Colts v. Titans -125 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -125 | 61 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Titans (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Colts are ranked third in the league in defense. They're great at stopping the run, which is Tennessee's strength. The Titans broke a two-game slide with a win and cover over the Bears and I expect them to carry that momentum over here. Tennessee will still try to pound the ball, but this is a big moment for Ryan Tannehill to step up. The Colts' Philip Rivers looked poor in the second half of his team's 24-10 home loss to Baltimore, throwing for 227 yards and an interception. Tennessee's secondary is getting healthier and I think it's getting vastly underrated at home here. I expect a decisive Titans win and cover, so lay the points, or grab the points, it doesn't matter! T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Tennessee. | |||||||
11-12-20 | Colorado State v. Boise State -13.5 | Top | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 56 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boise State (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Boise State got hammered 51-17 at home last time out. The Broncos though were playing with their third-string QB in Cade Fennegan, who had 187 yards, two TD's and an INT. BYU streamrolled the Broncos, but I expect a bounce back here at home, even with Fennegan under center again. Fennegan was thrown to the wolves vs. BYU, but with that awkward adjustment game under his belt and now facing the lowly Rams, I expect a much different result here. CSU beat Wyoming 34-24, but it still allowed 465 yards of offense. The differene was that CSU managed to recover three turnovers. Turnovers are difference makers. Note that Boise State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after allowing 50 or more points in its last outing. Look for the Broncos to pull away down the stretch and lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 40-21 Boise State. | |||||||
11-11-20 | Central Michigan v. Northern Illinois +8 | Top | 40-10 | Loss | -107 | 32 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Illinois (10* TRADE-MARK). CMU comes in off a tight 30-27 win over Ohio last weekend. QB Daniel Richardson had a passing touchdown and a rushing touchdown in the victory. The Chips defense lost some key players over the offseason and I think they'll have their hands full with this hungry Huskies team, looking for its first win of the season. There's only six games being played in the MAC season, so every contest counts. NIU lost 49-30 to Buffalo in its opener. Ross Bowers took the majority of snaps and he had 202 passing yards and a touchdown. Let's not over-react to Week 1 results. These team's defenses are poor and I think that Bowers will have some opportunties tonight. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 31-27 CMU. | |||||||
11-10-20 | Akron +27.5 v. Ohio | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Akron (10* TRADE-MARK). Both teams come in off losses. The Zips got rushed 58-13 to WMU, while the Bobcats dropped a tight 30-27 decision to Central Michigan. Do I think that Akron is going to win this game outright? I do not. But I also don't expect Ohio to run up the score in the second half if it does in fact have a lead. That's going to leave the back door wide open for QB Zach Gibson to get some garbage production. Ohio is at Miami Ohio next week, so this sets up as a "look-ahead" as well for the Bobcats. Suffice it to say, I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 37-21 Ohio. | |||||||
11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs UNDER 52 | Top | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 127 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saints/Bucs UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH). These defenses are both underrated. I think these units will absolutely become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries. The first game between these clubs went over, but this one has under written all over it. Tampa's run game is strong and the last thing the home side wants to do is to turn this into a "track meet" with Drew Brees. Note as well that the under has hit in nine of these teams last 12 against each other on this field. This number is too high! T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Tampa. | |||||||
11-08-20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Leicester +139 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 139 | 116 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Leicester City (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). Leicester City come into this game on the back of a 4-0 win over Primeira Liga side Braga on Thursday and I like its chances at home. Wolverhmapton comes in off a 2-0 win over Crystal Palace last weekend, but it was down to just ten men. I like Jamey Vardy and the Foxes, who continue to post impressive results, despite a few injuries. Home field is the difference. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 City. | |||||||
11-07-20 | Clemson -5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 40-47 | Loss | -114 | 103 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (10* ELITE OF THE ELITE). The ACC is playing a 12-game schedule. Both teams are very similar, undefeated and each features top notch defensive units. Clemson is 7- and is the No. 1 ranked team in the nation. QB Trevor Lawrence will miss his second straight game due to Covid 19 issues. Backup DJ Uiagalelei threw for 342 yards, completing 30 of 41 passes with two touchdowns in his first career start, in a come from behind 34-28 win over Boston College last weekend. With that nervous start out of his way, I think that Uigalelei settles down nicely here on the road. Travis Etinnie had two TD's last week and as good as ND's defense is, I think it'll have its hnads full. Brian Kelley and the Irish are 6-0 after defeating Georgia Tech last time out. Clemson though is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 as a road favorite. The Tigers only allow 3.0 YPC, and the run is the strength of Notre Dame's offense. If Lawrence were playing, this spread would be significantly higher. The value is on the visiting side to roll! T.M. Prediction: 30-20 Clemson. | |||||||
11-06-20 | San Jose State v. San Diego State -8.5 | Top | 28-17 | Loss | -108 | 84 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SDSU (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Both teams are 2-0. Their competition has been weak, and now each faces a stiffer test this weekend. SDSU was one of the best teams in the league last year though, while SJSU had a combined seven wins over its last three years. The Spartans and Nick Starkel have looked great in the early going, but I expect a predictable step back here in this difficult road venue. The Aztecs look fantastic on both sides of the ball. Last year they were among the defensive leaders and this season they're No. 1 in allowing just 6.7 PPG. The Aztecs dominant run game and defense are the difference makers for me; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 34-14 SDSU. | |||||||
11-05-20 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Colorado State | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -109 | 61 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wyoming (10* ELITE OF THE ELITE). Wyoming comes in off a relatively simple 31-7 win over Hawaii last Thursday and I like the Cowboys to carry that momentum over into another solid win and cover on the road in this favorable matchup. The Rams come in off a 38-17 loss to Fresno State, falling behind 24-10 at half-time and never able to recover after that. Wyoming held the ball for 17 more minutes than the Warriors in its opening victory, as QB Levi Williams had 339 passing yards and a touchdown. Colorado State allowed 348 passing yards in last week's loss, and that doesn't bode well facing the red hot Williams. This is a poor matchup for the Rams' defense and I like the deeper and more talented Cowboys to take advantage; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 33-20 Wyoming. | |||||||
11-05-20 | Packers v. 49ers UNDER 50.5 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Niners/Packers UNDER FIRST HALF (10* SUPER TOTAL). San Francisco has struggled this year, mainly due to injuries. Last week it's two-game win streak was snapped in a 37-27 setback at Seattle. The 49ers though lost the services of their two best offensive players in QB Jimmy G and TE George Kittle. Green Bay was upset at home to the Vikings last weekend, getting torched by Dalvin Cook for 187 rushing yards and three TD's on the ground. The 49ers will look to duplicate that same success vs. Green Bay here, as it looks to avoid putting the ball into Rodgers hands as long as possible. Look for these two teams to battle tough in the opening half and for this total to fall well under the number. T.M. Prediction: 13-7 Green Bay. | |||||||
11-04-20 | Buffalo v. Northern Illinois +11.5 | Top | 49-30 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Illinois (10* TRADE-MARK). Northern Illinois has plenty of new faces on both sides of the ball this year, but starting QB Ross Bowers is back under center. Clearly having stability at the QB position to open the year is a huge plus. Kyle Vantrease starts for Buffalo, but I see no advantage between these players. The QB position is a wash this week. Buffalo is the better team, but I expect it to get caught looking past its lowly opponent here and I believe it'll take the foot off the gas in the second half. No outright upset, but much closer than what this spread would suggest; grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Buffalo. | |||||||
11-02-20 | Bucs v. Giants +11 | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 156 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants (10* MONEY-TRAIN). Let's be honest, it would be A LOT easier to write a convincing argument for the Bucs to win and cover this game. Tom Brady is on fire and Tampa is off back-to-back big victories over the Packers and on the road last week at the Texans. New York has lost its last three games by three-points or less. The Giants won't be in the playoffs, but they remain competitive. First year coach Joe Judge won't be rolling over and playing dead, he'll continue to try and find ways to help his team win and a big upset at home over Tom Brady and company would be huge. That may not happen, but I think the Giants can keep this one very close. In what I expect to be a "nail-biter," I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Tampa. | |||||||
11-01-20 | Saints -2.5 v. Bears | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 154 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NO Saints New Orleans won this game 36-25 last October and I expect a similar final result here as well. New Orleans is coming out of a 27-24 win over Carolina in its last game. Drew Brees had 287 passing yards and two touchdowns. The Saints offensive line has been big this year, allowing just 1.3 sacks per game. That's also given Alvin Kamara room to operate on the ground. Chicago has now lost back-to-back games, most recently a listless 24-10 setback at the Rams last weekend. The Bears offense struggled and I expect that to continue here. Chicago's defense has been its strength in the early going, but I expect that unit to struggle to contain Brees and company. Note that New Orleans is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 games on the road when facing a team with a winning record at home, while Chicago is a poor 2-8 ATS in its last ten following a loss. I love New Orleans to run the score up early, but never take the foot off the gas. Lay the points, expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 31-21 Saints | |||||||
11-01-20 | Everton +104 v. Newcastle United | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 74 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Everton (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Newcastle comes into this game off a 1-1 draw with Wolverhampton last Sunday. Everton on the other hand enters off its second straight loss, a 2-0 setback to Southampton. Previous to that Everton had gotten out to a hot league start and I beleive it'll finally return to form here after back-to-back poor performances. These two teams played to a 2-2 draw earlier in the season, but despite a recent dip in form and also some key injuries, I look for the Toffees to get the job done here in this favorable matchup! T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Everton. | |||||||
10-31-20 | Anderson Silva v. Uriah Hall UNDER 4.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anderson Silva/Uriah Hall UNDER (10* TOTAL OF MONTH). Anderson Silva will be looking to go out in a blaze of glory here in my opinion, as this will be his final fight ever. Most recently he was beaten by TKO in the first round by Jared Cannonier in Mya. Uriah Hall on the other hand beat Antonio Carlos Junior last September: "Anderson has been someone I've idolized for years, so to me that's a trophy fight," Hall said. "It's a championship fight to me in my mind." With both men pushing hard from the start, look for this one to end quickly! T.M. Prediction: Under 4.5 rounds. | |||||||
10-31-20 | Oklahoma -14.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 62-28 | Win | 100 | 107 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Okalahoma (10* TRADE-MARK). Okalahoma enters having won two in a row after smashing TCU 33-14 on Saturday, covering as a 6.5-point favorite. Texas Tech improved to 2-3 after beating WVU 34-27 as a 2.5 point underdog. Oklahoma held TCU to just 351 yards of total offense and Desmond Ridder leads an offense which averages 39.8 PPG. The Red Raiders made a QB change last week and Henry Colombi had 169 yards and a touchdown. Overall Texas Tech though averages 32.2 PPG, but it allows 37. Oklahoma is also 4-1 ATS in its last five after posting more than 450 yards in its previous game. Rattler is coming off his best game ever and I think he carries that confidence and momentum over here. Lay the points, expect a rout! T.M. Prediction: 50-20 Oklahoma. | |||||||
10-30-20 | East Carolina v. Tulsa -17.5 | Top | 30-34 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tulsa (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). ECU lost to Navy 27-23 two weeks ago, but did not play last week. Tulsa is rolling along, as it's 3-0 ATS. Last year the Golden Hurricane smashed the Pirates 49-24 as seven-point road favorites and I expect a similar, or even bigger blowout here at home. The Pirates are 1-3 and they average 31 points, while conceding 37.8. ECU starting QB Holton Ahlers tested positive for Covid 19 and didn't play in his team's most recent loss to Navy two weeks ago, but he may see some time here. Regardless, the QB issue for the Pirates isn't a good one at the moment, as backup Mason Garcia will likely see some time as well tonight. Tulsa averages 27.7 PPG and it allows 18.3. The Golden Hurricane are also 4-1 ATS the last five in this series. In this abbreviated season, every game counts. Look for Tulsa to put the foot on the gas until the final whistle and lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 45-15 Tulsa. | |||||||
10-29-20 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern OVER 50.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -109 | 59 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Alabama/Georgia OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). South Alabama likes to air it out on offense, while Georgia Southern utilizes a triple-option attack. Contrasting styles collide here, but when it's all said and done I'm definitely expecting a shootout. Georgia Southern is coming off a 28-14 loss to Coastal Carolina, while South Alabama crushed Louisiana Monroe 38-14. South Alabama coach Steve Campbell utilizes a two-QB system and Desmond Trotter and Chance Lovetich have combined for 11 TD's so far. Georgia Southern QB Shai Werts has five passing touchdowns and another 333 yards rushing and a pair of scores. This one has the feel of whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to win and in a contest like that, expect the total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 33-27 Georgia Southern. | |||||||
10-27-20 | Rays +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -150 | 35 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays RUN LINE (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). This has been an interesting series and I'm predicting that it'll go one more game. Tampa finished ten games ahead of the next closest competitor in the American League and I'm not convinced at all that the Dodgers are the better team in this fight. And certainly Tampa has to be liking its chances today by sending its ace to the mound in Blake Snell. Snell will face Tony Gonsolin, who may only see one inning before making way for a slew of bullpen pitchers. Note that LA is just 1-5 in its last six playoff games as a favorite in the -110 to -150 range and only 1-4 in Gonsolin's last five starts as a favorite, while Tampa is 5-0 in Snell's last five starts and 5-0 in its last five after scoring five runs or less in its previous outing. Pay the price, grab the extra 1.5 runs just in case! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Rays. | |||||||
10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams UNDER 46 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 150 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rams/Bears UNDER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE). The Bears are out for their third straight win today, most recently beating Carolina 23-16. The Rams are off a 24-16 loss at San Francisco. Both teams only ask their quarterbacks to manage the game, instead relying on strong run games and elite defensive units to wear their opponents down. Chicago only averages 21.3 PPG, but makes up for it on the other end by conceding just 19.3. The Rams average 25.3 PPG and they allow only 19. Chicago has held three of its last four opponents to under 20 points. The Bears have a similar defense as San Francisco, so I look for a similar final combined score as what LA posted in its last game. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 21-14 Chicago. | |||||||
10-26-20 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Burnley/Tottenham OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The Spurs enter off a 3-3 draw at home to West Ham and I think they'll be out to take out their frustrations on Burnley. Burnley's been inconsistent, especially offensively, most recently holding on for a 0-0 draw with West Bromwich Albion. Previous to that Sean Dyche's side had lost three in a row. Look for Heung-min Son to coninue his hot start, as he already has seven goals in five games. The Spurs have already dominated both their road matches this year, winning 5-2 at Southampton and 6-1 at Man U. Expect another dominant performance, as I look for Tottenham to jump out to an early lead, and then keep the foot on the gas until the final whistle! T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Tottenham. | |||||||
10-25-20 | Dodgers v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). I had a play on the Dodgers in Game 4 and while that was an unfortunate setback, I look to bounce back here in this important Game 5 matchup. It's been each team's dynamic offenses which have been in the spotlight in the early going, but I expect a classic pitchers duel here between Dodgers' ace Clayton Kershaw (who gave up only one run and had eight K's in the Game 1 victory) and the Rays' Tyler Glasnow (who gave up four runs in the Game 1 loss, but who previously was arguably the hottest starter in the playoffs up to that point.) Tampa has also seen the total go under in eight of its last 11 after scoring eight or more runs in a victory in its previous outing. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-25-20 | Bucs -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 122 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucs (10* BEST OF THE BEST). I got down on this one early and have a favorable line, but regardless, I think that Tom Brady and the Bucs will handle their business on the road here and build off their impressive win at home over the Packers last weekend. Brady was great, but Tampa's defense was even better, forcing Aaron Rodgers into two interceptions and no touchdowns. Tampa's run game looks great and it catches this Las Vegas side which enters off its bye week after a huge upset on the road in Kansas City. I think the momentum off that big win is now gone and I expect the home side to come out flat here. Tampa is rolling and expect it to go up early and to keep the foot on the gas until the final whistle sounds! T.M. Prediction: 30-22 Tampa. | |||||||
10-24-20 | UNLV +13.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 6-34 | Loss | -105 | 104 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNLV (10* TRADE-MARK). SDSU lost its starting QB and RB from last year. The offense had a lot of turnover. SDSU's defense was its strength last year, but it also has a few new faces. The Aztecs are expected to do well again, but I think that UNLV will come out firing here and I like it to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Yes, the Rebels were just 4-8 last season, but they return starting QB Kenyon Oblad and several other starters on offense, which is a huge benefit. SDSU has question marks on offense and I don't think it should be laying this large number on Opening night. Grab up all these points! T.M. Prediction: 26-24 SDSU. | |||||||
10-24-20 | Dodgers -164 v. Rays | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -164 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Dodgers (10* GAME OF MONTH). I had the Dodgers in Game 1, the Rays in Game 2 and then the Dodgers in Game 3. I like LA to once again find a way to get the job done in Game 4 as well. Jose Urias and Ryan Yarbrough are a "wash" in this contest, but LA's dynamic hitting line-up is the difference here. The Dodgers are also 4-0 in their last four interleague contest vs. clubs with winning records. The Rays are going to have to turn to their bullpen early and I can't see it holding up to this hard-hitting Dodgers line-up. Look for Urias to get the win here! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-24-20 | Justin Gaethje +280 v. Khabib Nurmagomedov | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Justin Gaethje (10* PLAY OF THE WEEK). If you want to know the strengths and weaknesses of each of these fighters and don't know anything about MMA whatsoever, then there's plenty of websites and information out there to get you caught up on the ins and outs and of the sport and the cast of characters. I think that if you've bought this play off me, you know how Justin Gaethje and Khabib Nurmagomedov are. These are arguably the top two fighters on the planet right now and this is a huge fight. So why is Gaetheje going to upset Nurmagomedov tonight? Gaethje has the ability to ends fight early, but he also has the stamina to go five rounds. Gaethje has fought more recently than Nurmagomedov and I think that is definitely working in his favor as well. This one has upset written all over it for the American, which will then set up a great second fight for Dana White. Great value on the hard-throwing GAETHJE! T.M. Prediction: KO/SUB/TKO/DECISION. | |||||||
10-23-20 | Dodgers -155 v. Rays | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 37 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* TRADE-MARK). I like the Dodgers to bounce back in Game 2. Walker Buehler has been fantastic for LA during the playoffs. So too has Charlie Morton for the Rays. The difference maker for me though lies in the stats/trends today, as note that the Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine after a loss and a day off. I'm banking on LA's hitting depth to be the difference once it's all said and done. Great value on the Dodgers in Game 3! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-23-20 | Tulsa v. South Florida +10.5 | Top | 42-13 | Loss | -106 | 78 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (10* CA$H-BOMB). I think we're going to see a much tighter matchup than what this spread would suggest. Tulsa had its game vs. the Bearcats postponed last weekend due to covid 19 issues and previous to that it had its bye week. After two weeks off, I think the Golden Hurricane come out a bit flat-footed to start this contest, and that in turn will help in keeping this back door open just wide enough for USF to sneak through. The Bulls won't be lacking for motivation here either after a 39-37 loss to Temple last Saturday, their fourth straight loss. Note that USF is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after scoring 35 or more points in a loss in its previous outing. A great situational play on the home side, grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 26-24 Tulsa. | |||||||
10-22-20 | Giants v. Eagles -3.5 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eagles (10* TRADE-MARK). Both teams have struggled this year, mainly due to untimely early injuries. The Eagles though have been much more competitive each week and after nearly pulling off the upset over the heavily favored Ravens last weekend, I look for them to lay a beating on this disastrous Giants team, which is destined for a letdown here after is 20-19 win over Washington at home last weekend. Daniel Jones has struggled for the Giants, he has just three TD's and six INT's. Carson Wentz has too for the Eagles, but that's mainly due to his injured offensive line and lack of talent. But as mentioned above, despite that the Eagles have been competitive of late and on the short week and playing a division rival at home, I like them to go up early, keep the foot on the gas and then never look back. Lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Philadelphia. | |||||||
10-21-20 | Rays +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays RUN LINE (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). I had a play on the Dodgers on the run line in Game 1 and that provided a small plus-money return. In Game 2 though, I'm going to suggest laying this reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Blake Snell has arguably been the best pitcher in the AL over the last two years and he's already had to face the power hitting lineup of the Yankees all season. Snell brings veteran leadership and poise to this moment and after four straight victories, I think the Dodgers finally come back down to Earth here. Note as well that the LA is just 2-5 in its last seven after a four runs or greater victory in which it scored seven or more runs in. I'm laying the price for the 1.5 runs, but I would NOT be shocked by the straight up victory either! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Rays. | |||||||
10-20-20 | Rays v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 110 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* RUN-LINE GAME OF WEEK). If you're watching and wagering on this game, then you know the story lines. I don't think I need to tell you the strengths and weaknesses of each team. So if you want a "recap" of how these teams got here, or who is playing what position, or what the batting percentage or ERA of a player is, there's lots of places you can go to get that basic information. I'm here to tell you WHY the Dodgers are going to win Game 1. But, not only win it, but win it BIG time. I like Clayton Kershaw in this matchup against Tyler Glasnow. Kershaw had one hiccup in his performance last time out, but overall he's been fantastic this season and in the playoffs. I think his veteran presence will be the difference for LA and I expect it to pull away for a comfortable cover and victory in Game 1! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys UNDER 55 | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 175 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cards/Cowboys UNDER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE). The Cowboys have put up some unreal offensive numbers this year. Their defense has been terrible and Dak Prescott has had to play from behind several times this year to try and furiously make a come back. But now Prescott is injured and out for the season and Andy Dalton will be forced into the spotlight. As good as Dalton is, it's hard to imagine this Dallas offense operating at the same level moving forward. The Cowboys have been atrocious on the defensive end, so they'll be eager to try and improve in that department as well, to alleviate the pressure from Dalton. The Cards only allow 22 PPG and I think the last thing they want to do here is turn this into a "shootout." This number is high, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Arizona. | |||||||
10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers +3.5 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 151 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 49ers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). At 2-3, San Francisco is still in contention. Other than the Jets, no team has gone through as much turmoil as the 49ers have in the early going, mostly due to untimely injuries. Last week the Dolphins slapped Jimmy Garopolo by a score of 43-17. Garopolo left at half time of that blowout, but he's going to get the start here. San Francisco's strength in the early going has been its defensive play. The unit catches a break this weekend facing the Rams, who aren't an "explosive" offense, albeit a very effecient one. LA has been great defensively, conceding only 18 PPG, but I think it'll have its hands full with this determined home side on the national stage. Grab the points, expect a nail-biter! T.M. Prediction: 27-25 San Francisco. | |||||||
10-18-20 | Braves v. Dodgers -139 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* TRADE-MARK). The Dodgers have all the momentum after the Game 6 victory and I believe they'll figure out a way to complete the come back after going down 3-1 to start. Ian Anderson has been incredible in the playoffs for the Braves, but I don't see him having that much of an advantage over Dodgers' projected starter Tony Gonsolin. Whoever gets the start for LA, I think the Dodgers' deep bullpen will help in delivering the goods here as well. Jansen has been great closing out games for the Dodgers as well. Sorry ATL, you had your chance and blew it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama OVER 57.5 | Top | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 126 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bama/Georgia OVER (10* SEC TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST). These are the top two teams in the SEC and arguably in the nation. The Bulldogs have won three straight, most recently defeating the Vols by 23, a third straight win of 20 points or more. Georgia averages 36 PPG and it allows 12.3. The Tide average 51 PPG and they allow 30.3. I look for the home side to go up early and Alabama will have to keep the foot on the gas as well. Expect these high-flying offenses to take center stage in this one and hammer the over! T.M. Prediction: 33-30 Alabama. | |||||||
10-16-20 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Braves | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* RUN-LINE BANKROLL BUILDER). With their season on the line and with the vastly superior starting pitcher on the hill for them, I like the Dodgers to find a way to win here. But not only win, win BIG! Dustin May was 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA in ten starts this year for LA. In three appearances in the playoffs, spanning 4.1 innings, May has allone just one hit. The Braves turn to their bullpen to get the job done by committee, but I think that strategy will fail. Look for the NL champs to bounce back again here with another convincing victory. T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-16-20 | SMU -6.5 v. Tulane | Top | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SMU (10* TRADE-MARK). Tulane is horribly inconsitent on the offensive side of the ball. At least against stiffer competition. Shane Buechele and SMU average 44 points per game and they only allow 23.3. The Green Wave have averaged 37 PPG while allowing 31. But Tulanes' freshman QB Michael Pratt made his first ever start just last weekend and now facing this elite SMU defense, I definitely expect a major step back here. The Mustangs are having to deal with major injury issues to a couple of key players, but they have a deep and talented roster and I don't see much of a drop off. Lay the points, this one has "b-l-o-w-o-u-t" written ALL over it! T.M. Prediction: 40-24 Mustangs. | |||||||
10-15-20 | Dodgers v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST). After two straight overs, I expect this Game 4 total to stay well under the number. Wow, 11 runs in the top of the first inning for the Dodgers in Game 3! LA wasn't fooling around! After scoring 18 runs in Game 3 though, this Game 4 matchup absolutely sets up as a lower-scoring affair. Clayton Kershaw has been great for the Dodgers in the playoffs, going 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA so far. The Braves will start with Bryse Wilson on the mound and while he posted a 1.13 ERA over eight innings in two starts in teh regular season, the Braves are fully expecting to move to their bullpen very early. Atlanta has seen the total go under in eight of its last 12 after allowing 12 or more runs in a loss to an opponent as well. This one has "duel" written all over it; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-15-20 | Georgia State +4 v. Arkansas State | Top | 52-59 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Georgia State (10* ULTIMATE). Outright win? It's VERY possible, as note that Georgia State upset Arkansas State 52-38 as a 6.5-points underdog last year. Georgia State lost 34-31 to the Ragin Cajuns in Week 1, but on October 3rd they smashed East Carolina 49-29 as an underdog, outgaining the Pirates 485 to 286 in the process. So far the Panthers average 40 PPG and they allow 31.5. Arkansas State destroyed FCS opponent Central Arkansas 50-27 in its last game, but previous to that it dropped its lone conference game. Arkansas State is 0-3 in its last three vs. FBS opponents and its offensive attack revolves around the pass, and that doesn't matchup well vs. this Georiga State secondary which already has give interceptions in two games. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a battle until the end! T.M. Prediction: 38-35 Georgia State. | |||||||
10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 58.5 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: ULL/Coastal Carolina UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). CC is 3-0. The Chanticleers are averaging 44.3 PPG in the early going, but that's due to the competition they've faced. Last year Louisiana won this matchup 48-7, but note that CC brought back many on the defensive side as well from last year's team and so far the unit is allowing only 22.3 PPG. The Ragin Cajuns are also 3-0, but they've had an extra week off to prepare for this one due to covid issues last weekend. Louisiana though has allowed just 21 PPG in the early going. Look for these underrated defensive units to take center stage on Wednesday night! T.M. Prediction: 27-20 ULL. | |||||||
10-14-20 | New England -109 v. Montreal | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New England Revolution (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Revs sit five-points ahead of the Impact in the East. New England comes in with a ton of momentum after breaking New Yorks's three-game win streak. Bruce Arena’s side has fallen just once out of its last six trips to the pitch. Montreal had its two game win streak snapped last time out by Philadelphia and I think it'll have its hands full here as well. Montreal is struggling with consistency and I like the in form Revs to take advantage. Great price as well! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Revolution. | |||||||
10-14-20 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Braves | Top | 15-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers RUN LINE (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Enough is enough! The Dodgers haven't lost three games in a row all year and I don't expect that to happen here. Kyle Wright has been great in the playoffs so far, but so too has Julio Urias for the Dodgers. These starting pitchers are even, although Urias has more experience at this level and that does definitely work in favor of LA here. LA was down big and rallied to pull close, but it eventually fell 8-7 in Game 2. Look for the Dodgers to finally get back on track here and lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-13-20 | Bills -3.5 v. Titans | Top | 16-42 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* THROWDOWN). The Titans are 3-0, but they've had to deal with plenty of off-field issues over the last three weeks and I think the team will come out flat here. The Bills are 4-0 and while their defense has taken a bit of a step back here from last season, the offense behind Josh Allen has exploded, having scored at least 30 points in three straight games. The Titans playbook isn't vast, so look for Tennessee to pound the ball with Derrick Henry. However, as stated above, the weird covid scheduling is going to throw a monkey-wrench into the Titans chemistry in my opinion. Also note that Buffalo is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU victories in a row. I'm laying the points and expecting a comfortable SU/ATS victory. T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Buffalo. | |||||||
10-13-20 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The reason I like the under here? Simple, the starting pitchers. I look for these two studs to battle deep and ultimately I expect that will help in driving this total well under the number once it's all said and done. Ian Anderson was 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA in six starts in the regular season for the Braves and he has so far pitched 11.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. The Braves' bullpen has given up just one run over 23.1 innings and posted a 0.39 ERA in the process. Dodgers' starter Tony Gonsolin made ten regular season starts and posted a 2.31 ERA and 0.84 WHIP along with 46K's to just seven walks over 46 2/3's innings of work. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-12-20 | Chargers +7 v. Saints | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chargers (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST). The Saints had to come from behind in their 35-29 road win in Detroit. New Orleans is allowing an average of 30.8 PPG, while LA is conceding only 23.8. Brees has several receivers banged up, including top WR Michael Thomas. Justin Herbert was great in defeat last weekend, throwing for 300 yards and three TD's. The Saints are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven at home, while the Chargers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four on the road. I think the Saints issues on the defensive end continue and now their offense has taken a hit as well. Outright is possible, but in the end grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 26-24 Saints. | |||||||
10-12-20 | Braves +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves RUN LINE (8* MONEY-MAKER). Honestly, it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for either team. The Dodgers have met all expectations to this point and anything short of a World Series will be a major disappointment. The Braves have also met expectations, as they enter as the No. 2 team in the NL. Both starters are sharp tonight and enter in good form. Both teams have awesome bullpens and strong and experienced hitting line-ups. This really is one of those series where it's an "any given Sunday" type of thing. Either team could easily win, they just have to step up here and do it. In Game 1 though I think these starters will take center stage and battle deep and in a contest like that, I think the value swings to the dog. Just in case though, I'm going to lay the price for the extra insurance. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Braves. | |||||||
10-12-20 | Astros +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston RUN-LINE (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Astros uncharacteristically made base running mistakes yesterday and they also left ten men on base. Houston struggled against the lefty Snell, but now it faces the right Morton. Morton has been terrible vs. Houston throughout his career (4-6, 6.28 ERA lifetime), while Lance McCullers Jr. has been decent against the Rays (1-2, 3.79). Houston has the experience to bounce back here and I think it has a legitimate shot at taking this one outright. However, let's lay the price for the 1.5 runs! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Astros. | |||||||
10-11-20 | Vikings v. Seahawks -7 | Top | 26-27 | Loss | -105 | 106 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawks (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). Seattle won 31-23 in Miami last weekend and I like it keep the foot on the gas in Week 5 at home. The Vikes have been poor this year and they are primed for a letdown after their 31-23 win at Houston, their first victory of the season. I don't trust Kirk Cousins of Dalvin Cook in this difficult road venue. Hawks' QB Russell Wilson has 16 touchdowns and just two interceptions and his offense is firing on all cylinders right now. It's also interesting to note that the Hawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games played in Week 5, while the Vikes are only 1-5 ATS their last six in this series. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 37-20 Seattle. | |||||||
10-11-20 | Lakers v. Heat OVER 214.5 | Top | 106-93 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Heat/Lakers OVER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). The Heat want to slow this game down and spread the Lakers out. LeBron James though would love to see this one turned into a higher-scoring affair. Note that the over has now hit in six of Miami's last nine and in ten of its 15 games played in October. Expect the injutry to Lakers big man Anthony Davis to effect him more on the defensive end, than on the offensive. This Game 6 screams "shootout!" T.M. Prediction: 116-110 Lakers. | |||||||
10-11-20 | Astros +136 v. Rays | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The bottom line on this one is I think that the Astros' Framber Valdez will be able to match the Rays' Blake Snell inning for inning to open Game 1. Houston has been the better team offensively and I think that's going to matter in Game 1. Note as well that the Astros are 8-0 in their last eight as an underdog and 42-10 in their last 52 following an off day. I love getting the "plus money" here on this undervalued underdog! T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Astros. | |||||||
10-10-20 | Miami-FL +14.5 v. Clemson | Top | 17-42 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Florida (10* TRADE-MARK). This is a big game obviously. Both teams are 3-0. Miami Florida will have its hands full here, but I expect it to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the sizeable spread that it's been afforded in this one. The Hurricanes did not get caught looking ahead here in last week's 52-10 destruction of FSU. D'Eriq King had 267 yards and two TD's, before exiting the game early. RB Cam'Ron Harris was barely even used, so he'll be fresh today and I think that's a key factor. Miami averages 43.3 PPG and it concedes 19 PPG. Clemson is averaging 42.3 PPG and it's allowing 12. I think the Tigers are going to win this game, but I love King to keep his team in it late. Expect a much closer battle than what this spread is indicating! T.M. Prediction: 34-30 Clemson. | |||||||
10-10-20 | Iga Swiatek v. Sofia Kenin +151 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sofia Kenin. Sofia Kenin is the 21-year old from the USA and she already notched her first grand-slam title at the Australian Open earlier this year. Swiatek is the 19-year-old from Poland, and she's dropped just 22 games on her way to this finals matchup. Swiatek though has only reached one tour-level final during her career, while Kenin has been here before. And I think that matters here. I like Kenin to do just enough to beat out here younger counterpart here. T.M. Prediction: Straight sets. | |||||||
10-09-20 | Heat +7.5 v. Lakers | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Heat (10* TRADE-MARK). It was an all out war in Game 4 and the Heat only covered by a three-point shot at the buzzer. But now Miami is pushed firmly into the corner here, as it'll need to win outright to keep playing this year. Eric Spolestra has been magnificent with making adjustments and Jimmy Butler is a man on a mission. The Heat will be the aggressive ones here and I expect a battle until the final moment. I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 109-107 Lakers. | |||||||
10-09-20 | Louisville -4 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 27-46 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisville (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams enter at 1-2. The Cardinals returned 17 starters from last year's team which went 8-5, so they'll be desperate here to avoid an 0-3 start in ACC action. QB Malik Cunningham was awesome last year with 22 touchdowns and only five interceptions, but so far in the early going he's coughed up five picks over his first three games. Cunningham though faced a tough Pitt defense last week, but catches a break here facing GT. The Cards are averaging 29.7 PPG, but they're allowing 30.1. Fortunately Louisville's defense catches a break here facing a Yellow Jackets defense which is allowing 33 PPG. GT is only averaging 19 PPG itself. GT is also just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following an ATS loss and only 3-13 ATS in its last 16 at home, while Louisville is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a favorite. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout from start to finish! T.M. Prediction: 37-27 Louisville. | |||||||
10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears UNDER 44.5 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 55 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucs/Bears UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). Note that the under has hit in 17 of Chicago's last 25 games overall and in six of its last seven at home. Tampa has seen the total go under in eight of its last 11 after scoring 35 points or more in a victory in its previous outing. Nick Foles and this Bears offense looked out of sync last week vs. the Colts and I they'll have a difficult time as well here vs. this improved Tampa unit. And after slinging five TD's in a come from behind win last weekend, I think that old Tom Brady comes out flat and tired on the short week. This one has "u-n-d-e-r" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Tampa. | |||||||
10-08-20 | Tulane v. Houston OVER 59 | Top | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 54 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tulane/Houston OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The Green Wave come in having won two of three, but I think Tulane will have its hands full here with Houston, which enters playing its first game of the season due to early Covid issues. Tulane has averaged 39 PPG and it's allowed just 25. The Cougars have lost five-straight at home dating to last year and they'll be out to get this season started on the "right foot." Houston did play well offensively last year with Clayton Tune under center by averaging 30.7 PPG, but it was on the defensive side where the Cougars struggled, allowing 34 PPG. Look for these two high-flying offenses to keep the foot on the gas until the final whistle; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 37-30 Houston. | |||||||
10-08-20 | Rays +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -157 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays RUN LINE (10* TRADE-MARK). The Rays dominated this series in the regular season and they now have a 2-1 lead in this playoff series as well after an 8-4 win on Wednesday. Tampa goes with relief pitcher Ryan Thompson to start this one, he finished 1-2 with a 4.44 ERA in the regular season, but he'll be on a short leash and make way for the bullpen pretty quickly. So far the Tampa pitching staff has posted a 3.80 collective ERA in the playoffs. Besides, New York starter Jordan Montgomery was just 2-3 with a 5.11 ERA in the regular season. And in six career starts vs. the Rays he's an even worse 1-2 with a 5.14 ERA. New York hasn't pitched well in this series and I think it'll be letdown by the mound again tonight. Lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tampa. | |||||||
10-07-20 | Marlins v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves RUN LINE (10* TOP PAY-OUT PLAY!) The Fish had a 3-2 lead in the sixth inning, but Atlanta won Game 1 by a score of 9-5. Miami's bullpen is trash and the Braves' is elite. These two starting pitchers faced off in September and while Pablo Lopez did get the win in that game (4-2,) Anderson's numbers were better after the regular season ended. The Braves' bats were stymied early in Game 1, but then the entire line-up started to rake. Expect that trend to carry over in Game 2 and expect a complete lop-sided blowout from start to finish. The play is the Braves on the run line! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Braves. | |||||||
10-06-20 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers/Padres UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). There's no love loss between these clubs. LA won six of ten in the regular season series. Walker Buehler gets the start in Game 1 for the Dodgers and he's pitched just twice since September, but he did go four innings in the wild-card round vs. the Brewers. Zach Davies was 4-2 with a 3.03 ERA in the regular season, but he got knocked around hard by the Cards in the wildcard round, allowing four runs over two innings, fortunate to escape with a no-decision. Those types of outings have been few and far between for the veteran though and there's no reason not to think he won't be considerably better here. Note as well that San Diego has seen the total dip under the number in five of its last six after three or more days of rest. This number is high, play on the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-06-20 | Aces +8.5 v. Storm | Top | 59-92 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Las Vegas Aces (10* TRADE-MARK). The Storm have a 2-0 series lead after their 104-91 victory in Game 2 on Sunday. Sue Bird and Natasha Howard look primed for the championship, but I don't expect the Aces to go down without a fight here. Keep your eyes on A'ja Wilson, who is averaging 20.5 PPG for the Aces. Las Vegas averages 88.7 PPG, ranked No. 1 in the league, while Seattle is No. 2 at 87.5. Look for the revenge-minded Aces to at the very least, cover with the ample spread they've been afforded! T.M. Prediction: 86-84 Las Vegas. | |||||||
10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 57.5 | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -110 | 157 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Packers/Falcons OVER (10* TOP TOTAL). Green Bay is 3-0, but it'll have a fight on its hands here as Atlanta looks to get off the schneid with a victory here. The Falcons have given up sizeable leads in all three of their setbacks (which they've lost by a combined 12 points.) Atlanta is getting great production from its offense, but it's conceding 38 PPG. That's brutal and great news to the ears of Packers' red hot veteran QB Aaron Rodgers, who already has 887 yards passing, nine touchdowns and zero interceptions. The Green Bay defense has done just enough, but it's issues have been masked over by the great play of Rodgers and the offense. The over has hit in Green Bay's last four following a SU win and all signs point to this trend continuing in a big way this evening; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 37-27 Green Bay. | |||||||
10-05-20 | Astros +1.5 v. A's | Top | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros RUN LINE (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Chris Bassitt did great in the regular season and was fantastic in his lone wildcard start last week. He also had success vs. the Astros in the regular season. Lance McCullers Jr. though has plenty of experience at this level and he has a major advantage here in having not thrown since September 26th. I think McCullers can easily match Bassitt inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I love the underdog. Especially this experienced Astros hitting line-up, that overwhelmed the Twins completely in the Wildcard round. The A's needed all three to advance. Grab the 1.5 runs, but don't be shocked by an outright upset either! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Houston. | |||||||
10-04-20 | Lakers v. Heat +9.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK). The Heat line closed at +10.5 in Game 2 and they managed to cover the spread in that one. Now that Bam Adebayo is back in the line-up for Game 3, I think Miami will at the very least, keep this contest solidly within single digits. Even without Dragic and Abedayo in the line-up, Miami covered in Game 2, but note that LA is still only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. the Eastern Conference. Miami on the other hand is still a sharp 13-4 ATS in its last 17 overall. Miami's Jimmy Butler said that his team would have to play "damn near perfect" to win this series and while that hasn't even come close to happening, it's mainly been because of injury issues. Now that Spolestra has had some time to figure things out, I like Miami to throw its "best shot" at The King and company. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 110-108 LA. | |||||||
10-03-20 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -16 | Top | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 103 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Alabama (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). This is the SEC's first big game...which sees the No. 13 ranked Texas A&M Aggies travel to take on the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide. Both enter at 1-0. The Aggies squeaked by Vanderbilt 17-12 last Saturday as a 31.5 point favorite though, while the Crimson Tide rolled over Missouri 38-19. Alabama definitely took the foot off the gas late in the one though...as it had a 35-3 lead with about five minutes left in the third-quarter...before then easing up and looking ahead to this contest at home vs. A&M. And so I think the Tide come in fresh and prepared and ready to lay a beatdown on the Aggies here...who are clearly struggling on the offensive side of the ball. The Aggies had just 17 first downs last week and they were held to only 4 of 10 in third-down conversions. Kellen Mond had 189 yards a TD...and Isaiah Spiller was decent with 117 rushing yards...the defense though was pretty mediocre as well with just two sacks...and that's not going to get the job done here vs. Tide in my opinion...Mac Jones had 249 yards and two TD's last week..while NaJee Harris had 98 rushing yards and three touchdowns...the Tide also recorded three sacks and had two fumble recoveries in the win..the Aggies have struggled in this position for a while now...they're just 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. teams with winning records...I think Alabama goes up big early..but unlike last week it does't take the foot off the gas...I expect it to lay the hammer down and I'm going to suggest to lay the points in this one. T.M. Prediction: 37-15 Alabama. | |||||||
10-02-20 | Heat v. Lakers OVER 216 | Top | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Heat/Lakers OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). The Lakers can smell the blood in the water! The Heat are injured and look vulnerable and I expect LeBron James and company to domiante from start to finish and push the pace in a high-tempo contest. Miami has to now double-team Anthony Davis, which leaves The King free to operate. And for Miami, its only hope now is to start jacking up the three-ball, something that it's been extremely good at hitting during the playoffs. Miami has seen the total go over in four of their last five and I expect it to rebound from range in Game 2. This number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Lakers. | |||||||
10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech v. BYU UNDER 56.5 | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BYU/LA Tech UNDER (10* SUPER SPECIAL!) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
10-02-20 | Storm v. Aces UNDER 164 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Las Vegas/Seattle UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). These two teams went 18-4 in the regular season and they shared the Western Conference title. The Las Vegas Aces enter tired after needing all five games to get by the Connecticut Sun in their semifinals match (won 66-63 on Thursday, Sept. 29th). A’ja Wilson, the 2020 WNBA MVP, led the way for Las Vegas with 23 points and 11 rebounds. The Storm however swept the Lynx in three games. Seattle had a by into its semifinals match, so it had a full eight days between its first postseason game. The Aces’ Dearica Hamby is out with injury though and that's a big blow for Las Vegas, as she won Sixth Woman of the Year this season. The Storm will be without guard Sami Whitcomb in the Finals and she was their top-scorer off the bench. This one sets up great as a lower-scoring affair, the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 80-75 Seattle. | |||||||
10-02-20 | Marlins v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs RUN LINE (10* MONEY-MAKER). This game was postponed due to rain yesterday. Miami won Game 1, but I like the home side to bounce back here and deliver. I think the delay benefits the home side, as the players are able to adapt easier. I love Yu Darvish as well. Darvish finished with a 2.01 ERA and while he's struggled in the past in the playoffs, his current form leads me to believe that he's about to shake off those past troubles. This is a dream matchup facing the Marlins, who continue to over-achieve. Sixto Sanchez has been good in his limited time for the Fish, but clearly he's in unchartered territory here. I expect Chicago to not only win this game, but I expect it to win BIG. Lay the 1.5 runs! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cubs. | |||||||
10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets UNDER 40 | Top | 37-28 | Loss | -107 | 61 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Broncos/Jets under (10* O/U MONEY-MAKER). These defenses are terrible, but each unit catches a big break this week facing these terrible offenses. Both teams are equally as hungry to get off the schneid. Obviously neither is dillusional in thinking that they'll actually make the playoffs, rather these clubs need a victory to calm down their respective fan bases. I don't expect a high-scoring "shootout," rather I expect a "chess match." Sam Darnold needs to get back to basics for the Jets, so expect a lot of crossing routes and dumps. The Broncos are down to their third-string QB, so don't expect the visitors to be asking much of Rypien here either. I expect a boring, low-scoring affair once the final whistle sounds! T.M. Prediction: 17-13 Denver. | |||||||
10-01-20 | Reds v. Braves -128 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves (10* MONEY-MAKER). With a chance to move into the bubble format in LA, I like the Braves to dig deep here and eliminate Cincinnati. I'll call Castillo and Anderson a "wash" here. The Braves prevailed in 13 innings last night, but I expect the home side's line-up to be much better this time around, as note that ATL is 7-2 in its last nine after scoring one or less runs in a home victory in its previous outing. This line is way out of whack. The Reds are in over their head here. Lay the price, expect a blowout from start to finish! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Braves. | |||||||
09-30-20 | Heat +5 v. Lakers | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -108 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* GOW). Both teams have been great in the bubble, but Miami has consistently been overlooked by its opponents and by the oddsmakers in my opinion and that's the case again tonight. Miami is tough defensively and I think that head coach Eric Spolestra will have a brilliant game-plan to take out his former player LeBron James and company. Miami shoots and defends the ball well. The Lakers are also interestingly just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Eastern Conference, while Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as an underdog in the +4.5 to +6.5 points range. The Lakers are top heavy with LBJ and Anthony Davis and I think that in Game 1, the Heat's depth prevails! T.M. Prediction: 110-107 Miami. | |||||||
09-29-20 | Yankees -102 v. Indians | Top | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankees (10* TRADE-MARK). As good as Shane Bieber has been this year, I think he and Yanks' starter Gerrit Cole are a "wash" here. Bieber has been unbelievable, but honestly it wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either one. Look at this line, clearly the oddsmakers also think these teams are completely evenly matched and that the "home field" is not an advantage whatsoever. But New York has its sluggers back in the line-up and I think they're ready to tear the cover off the ball here. While the Yanks did struggle at times in the regular season, expect them to finally live up to expectations now that the playoffs are here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Yankees. | |||||||
09-28-20 | Chiefs v. Ravens OVER 53.5 | Top | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 154 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chiefs/Ravens OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). I think that both defenses will have trouble containing these high-powered offenses. Patrick Mahomes and LaMar Jackson would have had this game circled on their calendars before the season started. This is a prime-time matchup that the entire NFL is hoping will have huge ratings and as such, I definitely expect these two offenses to take center stage. Each is capable on the defensive end as well, but mostly any inefficiences on that end are masked by each side's dynamic offense. Baltimore has revenge on its mind after losing 33-28 at Arrowhead last year and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. This number is low, the play is the OVER! T.M. Prediction: 33-30 Ravens. | |||||||
09-27-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Heat (10* TRADE-MARK). Miami looked flat in its 121-108 Game 5 loss to Boston. Heat coach Eric Spolestra though has been a genius in the playoffs as his adjustments from game-to-game has kept his opponents guessing most nights. The Heat are getting a considerable amount of points again here and in a contest which I think'll be decided in the final moments, I think the prudent move is to definitely grab the points. If you're watching and wagering on this game, then the story lines and matchups are well known to you. These teams are evenly matched, but I think Miami does finally put the final nail in the coffin here, setting up the showdown with LeBron James and the Lakers. Miami had its worst shooting game of the series in Game 5 and I don't expect that to happen twice. Clearly the outright win is in play here, but in the end let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Miami. | |||||||
09-27-20 | Bucs -6 v. Broncos | Top | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 127 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucs (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Broncos are an interesting case, as they're 0-2 SU, but 2-0 ATS. Last week they lost starter Drew Lock under center, but back-up Jeff Driskel was excellent by throwing for two TD's. But note, besides Lock, both DT Dre'Mont Jones and WR Courtland Sutton were placed on the IL this week (along with several others.) The Bucs are loaded with talent and I think this is the week that Tampa dominates on both sides of the ball. Leonard Fournette had a big game last week for the Bucs and now Brady has a real back to keep opposing defenses honest. I expect Tampa to go up early and to keep the foot on the gas until the final whistle. Lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 28-14 Tampa. | |||||||
09-27-20 | Panthers v. Chargers UNDER 44 | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 126 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Panthers/Charges UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH). The Panthers are 0-2 and the Chargers are 1-1. LA looked decent in its loss to the Chiefs last time out, but it wasn't particularly spectacular in its Week 1 win over the Colts. Carolina is averaging 23.5 PPG, but clearly it'll be out to clean up its play on the defensive end after allowing 32.5 in the early going. However, Carolina catches a bit of a break here facing this Chargers offense. LA is only average 18 PPG, but the good news is it's only allowing 18 as well. With Christian McCaffrey out for the Panthers, their offense becomes even more one-dimensional. This one has UNDER written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 20-13 LA. | |||||||
09-27-20 | Paulo Costa +152 v. Israel Adesanya | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 111 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Paulo Costa (10* FIGHT OF THE YEAR). Israel Adesanya enters this fight with a 19-0 record. Adesanya is very disciplined and waits for his opponent to make the first mistake, but I think he'll have his hands full here with Paulo Costa, who comes in hungry at 13-0. Costa has won 85 percent of his fights by KO. Costa enters off a decision win which earned him fight of the night. Costa is a "big" fighter at middleweight and his strikes do significant damage. Costa likes to push the pace and has large cardio reserves. I don't think that Adesanya can handle Costa's power and I think the up and coming fighter will find a way to get the job done at the end of the night! T.M. Prediction: KO/SUB/DECISION/TKO. | |||||||
09-26-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 215 | Top | 107-117 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets/Lakers UNDER 10* (TOTAL TRADE-MARK). I think the Nuggets are mentally drained and I believe the Lakers will likely win today. That said, whoever does come out on top, I think this is going to be a very defensive contest. I understand that the Nuggets have come back from consecutive 1-3 holes to win their previous two series 4-3, but LA has beaten Denver in six of eight H2H matchups this year. This is a bad matchup for the Nuggets, who primarily run their offense through big man Nikola Jokic. LA has also enjoyed most of it success when Anthony Davis is able to assert himself. I think both teams come out tired and I think that'll translate into a lower-scoring under at the end of this one! T.M. Prediction: 106-100 Lakers. | |||||||
09-26-20 | Cubs v. White Sox -135 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 25 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). After six straight losses, I think the White Sox are going to bounce back here finally in the second to last regular season game of the year. The White Sox trail the Twins by a 1/2 game now and are tied with the Indians with two to go for the division title. The Cubs won't be rolling over, but starter Lester owns a pedestrian 4.91 ERA lifetime vs. the White Sox. Dane Dunning is 2-0 with a 3.19 ERA and clearly the rookie won't be lacking for motivation here. I think Chicago finally finds a way to break the streak as it looks to head into the playoffs on a high-note. Lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 White Sox. | |||||||
09-26-20 | Manchester United -134 v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Manchester United (10* MONEY-MAKER). Here's a game which Man U needs to win after getting upset at home at Old Trafford by Crystal Palace. Brighton & Hove Albion is in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Man U is filled with talent, but it came out flat last week and never recovered. This should be a blowout from start to finish. Lay the reasonable price! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Man U. | |||||||
09-25-20 | Reds v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins RUN LINE (10* MONEY-MAKER). Each team enjoyed a day off on Thursday and each has major playoff implications surrounding this final series of the regular season. Tyler Mahle is 2-2 with a 3.57 ERA for the Reds and he's been sharp of late, but I still give a big nod to the Twins' Jose Berrios, who is 4-2 with a 3.72 ERA overall this year and who is 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA in four September starts with 22 strikeouts and just six walks over 22 innings of work. The Twins have a slim lead in the AL Central, so I expect them to put the foot on the gas here; the play is the home side on the run line! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Minnesota. | |||||||
09-25-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. UTSA UNDER 60 | Top | 35-37 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UTSA/MTSU UNDER (10* TOTAL ANNIHILATION). These two teams struggle on both sides of the ball, but especially on the offensive end. The Blue Raiders have averaged just 7.0 PPG over their first two. The Roadrunners on the other hand averages 14.2 PPG two years ago and 20.3 PPG last year. They put up 41 points in a win over Texas State, only to then manage just 24 vs. a Division II team last week. UTSA is going to run the ball a lot and this will also help in driving this total well under at the end of the night! T.M. Prediction: 34-27 UTSA. | |||||||
09-25-20 | Red Sox v. Braves OVER 10.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Red Sox OVER (10* TOTAL UPPER-DECK). Boston won't be playing in the post-season, but it's gotten hot at the end of the season. The Braves are still trying to lock down the No. 2 spot in the NL, so this is an important game and series as well for them. And guess what?! Two gas can starters head to the hill here in Boston's Chris Mazza, who is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and Kyle Wright, who is 2-4 with a 5.74 ERA. Finally note that the Braves have in fact seen the total soar over the number in 11 of their last 17 interleague road games when the total is set between 10.5 and 11. This number is a tad low! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Braves. | |||||||
09-24-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 215 | Top | 114-108 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lakers/Nuggets UNDER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). LA looked great in Game 1, decent in Game 2 and poor in Game 3. LA was one of the most proficient defensive clubs in the regular season though, so I don't think there's any need to hit the panic button yet if you're a Lakers fan. LA's big men were dominated in Game 3, so expect the Lakers to try and establish those three players early and often. The Nuggets run their offense through Nikola Jokic, so this one definitely has the feel of a slower-tempo, methodically-paced affair, rather than a "run and gun shootout." This one has "u-n-d-e-r" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 106-100 Lakers. | |||||||
09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 59 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dolphins (10* TRADE-MARK). Jacksonville has been competitive, upsetting the Colts in Week 1, before then falling at Tennessee last time out. Gardner Minshew wno't roll over, but neither will Miami, who enters desperate after an 0-2 SU/ATS start. It's almost impossible for teams to even make the playoffs after starting 0-3 and note that the Fish are in fact 7-2 ATS in their last nine after losing two more SU in a row. The Jaguars on the other hand are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after back-to-back ATS victories. I'm grabbing the points, although won't be shocked by the outright win! T.M. Prediction: 25-23 Miami. | |||||||
09-24-20 | UAB -7.5 v. South Alabama | Top | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 58 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UAB (10* CRUSHER). UAB is down its starting QB in Tyler Johnson III, but I think that Bryson Lucero will step up here and get the job done. UAB comes in off a 30-15 loss to Miami two weeks ago. The Jags lost a 27-24 contest to Tulane two weeks ago as well. South Alabama also starts a new QB under center today, as Desmond Trotter is now out with injury, meaning that Chance Lovertich gets the call. This evens the playing field between these two offenses. I like UAB's defense and special teams better though and I expect that to be the difference maker. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 37-23 UAB | |||||||
09-24-20 | White Sox v. Indians -115 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Thee two teams are moving in opposite directions. The White Sox have lost four straight and they've now lost their grip on the division lead, sitting a 1/2 game back of Minnesota. The Indians have clinched a playoff spot, but the momentum they've been riding has been crazy (off back-to-back walk off extra inning victories over the ChiSox). These starting pitchers are both great, so I deem them to be equal here. Note though that Chicago is a disastrously poor 1-6 in its last seven as a road underdog in the +101 to +127 range. Considering the circumstances, I think this is the very definition of "great line value." T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Indians. | |||||||
09-23-20 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 210 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Heat/Celtics OVER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE). Miami finally stumbled in Game 3, but I think it's entirely premature to write this team off in any way. Eric Spolestra has been brilliant in making adjustments and with a couple of extra days off to prepare for this extremely important Game 4, I think he'll have something new for Boston to contend with. Clearly the Celtics can't sit back and relax, Boston is going to have to be the aggressor and I believe that's going to translate into production on the offensive end. Boston has also seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 after a victory and playing with two or more days of rest. This number is a tad low, play the over! T.M. Prediction: 117-114 Boston. | |||||||
09-23-20 | Orioles v. Red Sox -158 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston (10* MONEY-MAKER). Boston rolled to an 8-3 victory yesterday and while it won't be in the playoffs, it's still trying to close out on a positive note. I like the home side to lay the hammer down here as well in this favorable matchup. Over the last five games Boston's starters have combined for a 1.04 ERA. Nate Eovaldi is 3-2 with a 4.25 ERA this season and 5-1 with a 4.61 ERA in 11 career starts vs. the O's. Baltimore goes with rookie Dean Kremer, who is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA, but clearly the sample size is much too small and regression would seem imminent with these sparkling early numbers unsustainable over the long-term. The stage is set for a beatdown, so lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Red Sox. | |||||||
09-22-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). I think Denver is definitely being undervauled in this spot. The Nuggets have done extremely well in this position throughout the post-season, having already come back from two 3-1 series deficits to win in three games. The Lakers got a "lucky" three-point shot from Anthony Davis in Game 2 to win, but if he'd missed, then Denver had a legitimate shot at winning that game in OT and we'd be looking at Game 3 completely differently. The Lakers are going to be tested here now to see if they truly have that "killer" instinct, as Denver will be giving its "best shot" to try and avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole. Outright victory? Of course that's a very real possibility, but in the end I'm grabbing up all these points! T.M. Prediction: 108-106 Lakers. | |||||||
09-22-20 | Rays -127 v. Mets | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -127 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays (10* BEST OF THE BEST). The Rays won 2-1 last night and I think they'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Tampa wants to keep the foot on the gas with the Yanks breathing down its neck. And with a tough three-game series at home against the Phillies to end the season, Tampa does not have the luxury to relax whatsoever. Blake Snell is 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA and I give him a big nod over his counterpart Seth Lugo, who is 2-3 with a 4.34 ERA. Lugo most recently was shelled for six runs off eight hits over one inning against the Phillies on Thursday. Lay the reasonable price, but expect a massive blowout! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Rays. | |||||||
09-21-20 | Saints -5.5 v. Raiders | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -106 | 131 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saints (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). I look at these two teams and I look at what each did in Week 1 and I just can't get a firm read immediately on the Raiders. Oakland won 34-30 in Carolina in Week 1, but that was against a very weak Panthers team. The Saints beat the Bucs 34-23 in Week 1 and Tampa just went on to hammer Carolina 31-17. The Panthers are like an expansion team this year. New Orleans is the deeper and more talented team and I like Drew Brees and company to fire against this suspect Raiders' secondary early and often. Las Vegas is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven overall, while the Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last five overall. I like the better in form team to deliver on the National stage; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 29-19 New Orleans. |
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William Burns | $415 |
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ProSportsPicks | $107 |