Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-11-19 | Royals +146 v. White Sox | Top | 8-6 | Win | 146 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Royals (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Neither pitcher instills a ton of confidence, but I think that the Royals will bounce back here after last night’s loss. The visitors go with Glen Sparkman, who is 3-11 with a 5.97 ERA, while the home side goes with Reynaldo Lopez, who is 9-12 with a 5.17 ERA. Note that Sparkman threw his first ever shutout vs. the Sox in KC back on July 16th, striking out eight and walking only one. Lopez owns a 4.97 ERA in four starts vs. KC lifetime. Note though that KC is 16-10 in its last 26 vs. clubs with losing records, while Chicago is only 38-57 vs. right-handed starters. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Royals. | |||||||
09-11-19 | Diamondbacks v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs/Mets over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Last night’s game went “under” the number, but I think that runs will be plentiful here. Robbie Ray is 12-7 with a 4.03 ERA for the D-Backs, while Steven Matz is 9-8 with a 4.00 ERA for the Mets. New York gained ground in the Wild Card race with last night’s 3-2 victory, but I definitely expect a higher-scoring slug-fest in tho sone. Arizona is desperate for victories now as well after losing three straight (they won’t be lacking for motivation either after having scored just six runs in the past three games.) From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a high-scoring affair. Play the over. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 D-Backs. | |||||||
09-10-19 | Rays v. Rangers UNDER 10 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays/Rangers under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) For this selection I’m putting my full focus onto the starting pitchers. Ryan Yarbough is 11-3 with a 3.49 ERA this year for the Rays, while Lance Lynn has evolved into the Rangers’ ace this year by going 14-10 with a 3.81 ERA. Additionally note that TB has seen the total go under the number in 17 of its last 27 after a win by four or more runs, while Texas has seen the total dip under in nine of 13 already this season at home when the total in the contest is set at either 9 or 9.5. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Rangers. | |||||||
09-10-19 | Nationals +151 v. Twins | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Nationals (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Jose Berrios has been terrible. Anibal Sanchez has been terrific. I think the Nationals offer great value here to pull of the upset. Washington just lost three of four to the Braves, but salvaged the finale on Sunday. It can’t take the foot off the gas. The Twins on the other hand have a comfortable 5.5 game lead for the division crown and after this series they play out the remainder of the season vs. sub .500 teams. Sanchez is 6-6 with a 3.98 ERA in 23 career games vs. Minnesota. Berrios has just one win in his last six starts, most recently allowing six runs to the Red Sox on Wednesday. Great value on the visitors here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Nats. | |||||||
09-09-19 | Broncos v. Raiders +1 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 247 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oakland Raiders (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) When I released this pick, Antonio Brown was still a part of the Oakland Raiders. Regardless of that, I in fact say “good riddance” here. AB is an awesome player and he would have made Oakland better, but he was more of a distraction and now that he’s gone, I think that Jon Gruden and company are in fact better off in the short-term. Oakland looked decent in the preseason and AB wasn’t a part of that whatsoever. The Broncos have Joe Flacco under center now and he directs a team which went 6-10 last year. Denver also has a new head coach in Vic Fangio. With AB gone, keep your eyes on WR Josh Jacobs, who was selected in the first round of the 2019 NFL Draft. Two of Oakland’s three first-round picks were used on the defensive side of the ball as well and I believe the unit takes it to Flacco and company tonight. Play on the home side. T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Raiders. | |||||||
09-09-19 | A's v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-15 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A’s/Astros under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) These two teams are known for their offensive prowess, but I believe it’ll be the men on the mound who become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Mike Fiers is 14-3 with a 3.51 ERA for Oakland, while Zack Greinke is 14-5 with a 3.09 ERA for the Astros. Houston exploded for a 21-1 win over the Mariners yesterday, but I’m expecting a classic “duel” here between these two “studs.” Note that Oakland has seen the total go under the number in eight of 12 this year already as an underdog of +150 or higher, while Houston has seen the total dip under in ten of its last 14 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Astros. | |||||||
09-09-19 | Braves +126 v. Phillies | Top | 7-2 | Win | 126 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Phillies are in the mix for a wild card berth after a decent weekend. The Braves of course are looking to play spoiler and to add to their lead. Aaron Nola is 12-4 with a 3.63 ERA for Philadelphia and he’s had plenty of success vs. ATL in the past, but note that he comes in off a poor outing vs. the Reds, getting shelled for five runs over four innings. in his most recent start. The Braves had won nine in a row before falling 9-4 to the Nats yesterday. Foltynewicz has endured an uncharacteristically difficult season, but note that he’s still 7-3 with a 3.14 ERA in 14 career games vs. Philadelphia (also note that he enters off a gem, giving up on runs over five innings in a victory over the Blue Jays.) All signs point to a slight upset in this one. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Braves. | |||||||
09-08-19 | Giants +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 17-35 | Loss | -120 | 217 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants (10*) This is a big game for both divisional opponents. New York isn’t expected to do much this year. Dallas is hoping to compete for a Super Bowl. The Cowboys just signed RB Ezekiel Elliot to a long-term deal and they have to be feeling good about the future. But Eli Manning and company won’t be going down without a fight. Especially in Week 1. This isn’t Week 14, as Manning is well rested and ready to lay everything on the line. I think the wily veteran still has a few tricks up his sleeve. Look for New York’s improved defense to play a role here as well. Outright victory? Probably not. But I do definitely expect this one to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Cowboys. | |||||||
09-08-19 | Ravens v. Dolphins OVER 37.5 | Top | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 214 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ravens/Dolphins over (10*) Baltimore’s great pre-season (4-0), won’t mean much if it can’t continue to build momentum. Last year they fell 23-17 to the Chargers in the playoffs. The Fish were only 7-9 last year, but they went 3-1 in the preseason. These are two teams with big expectations and I believe we’re going to see a more wide open “shootout,” than a defensive “chess match.” Let’s throw the ATS stats out the window in Week 1. These are two teams which showed some of the most considerable “chemistry” in the preseason and while neither has been known for their offensive prowess the last couple of seasons, I believe the stage is set for an explosive offensive affair in Week 1. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Ravens. | |||||||
09-07-19 | Nevada v. Oregon -23 | Top | 6-77 | Win | 100 | 123 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oregon (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) Is there ever a “must win” game in Week 2? For the Ducks who were picked by many to win the Pac 12 and who lost 27-21 in Auburn last weekend, it has essentially turned into that for them. Oregon won’t be throwing in the towel on its season yet though. The Ducks still have a shot at a CFP berth, but they need to win and they need to win big. Nevada? It’s primed for a letdown here as well after it upset Purdue 34-31, capped off by a 56 yard field goal as time wound off the clock. Can anyone say letdown spot? The conditions are definitely correct for a home side rout. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-07-19 | West Virginia v. Missouri OVER 62.5 | Top | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: WVU/Missouri over (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Neither team is happy about its Week 1 performance and because of that, I believe each will open up the playbook in Week 2, which will in turn help in pushing this total over the number sooner, rather than later. WVU scraped by FCS opponent James Madison 20-13, while Missouri fell 37-31 at Wyoming. WVU has a powerful run game that’s led by Kennedy McKoy and Leddie Brown. Mountaineers’ QB Austin Kendall was 27 of 43 last weekend. Bryant was 31 of 48 for 423 yards for the Tigers and I think he’ll have plenty of opportunity vs. WVU at home. When you add it all up and based strictly from a “situational” stand point, I definitely think this one sets up as a “shootout.” Play the over. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-06-19 | CS Sacramento +33.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 7-19 | Win | 100 | 101 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento State (10*) The Sun Devils rolled to an easy victory in Week 1 over Kent State and in Week 2, they face an even weaker opponent. No outright here, but I do think this one sets up as a classic “look ahead” spot for Arizona State. And that’s because I find it impossible for Herm Edwards and the home side to not already be planning for a road tilt at No. 18 Michigan State in Week 3. The Hornets destroyed Southern Oregon 77-19 in Week 1 and while it was just an NAIA program, they still come in with confidence and momentum. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-06-19 | Marshall v. Boise State UNDER 55 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 100 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marshall/Boise State under (10*) From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up beautifully as a lower-scoring under. Marshall was untested in Week 1, easily rolling to victory over FCS opposition VMI. But now the Herd face a Boise State which comes in off a season opening upset win for the ages over Florida State. The Broncos looked incredible on the defensive end and I think they’re going to carry that momentum over here. As I stated off the top, I think from a situational stand point, looking at each team and what it did last weekend, that this weekend’s contest definitely sets up as more of a “chess match,” than a high-scoring “shootout.” Additionally note that Marshall has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 20 as a road dog in the 7.5 to 14 points range, while Boise State has seen the total go under in nine of its last 11 as a home favorite. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-05-19 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 46.5 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 150 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Packers/Bears under (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK) The Packers were just 6-9-1 last year, while the Bears went 12-4. Green Bay has a new head coach in Matt LaFleur, who is an offensive minded skipper, but I still believe that this number is too high. The Packers were terrible defensively in 2018, allowing 25.0 PPG and the team hopes that it’s addressed several issues on that side of the ball in the off-season, especially in the secondary. The Bears though return all of their main pieces from their league leading defensive unit which allowed only 17.7 PPG, led by Khalil Mack with 12.5 sacks and 13.5 tackles for a loss. I think the offenses come out flat on Opening night, leaving the door open for the defensive units to shine. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Bears. | |||||||
09-05-19 | Nationals v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nats/Braves under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Clearly these are two of the best offensive clubs, not only in the Senior Circuit, but in the entire league. That said, these are two very capable starting hurlers and when the smoke does finally clear at the end of this one, I believe they’ll be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Stephen Strasburg is 16-5 with a 3.47 ERA, while Atlanta’s Max Fried is 15-4 with a 4.05 ERA. Strasburg enters on top form, off one of his best outings of all time, striking out 14 and allowing two hits and zero walks over eight scoreless frames vs. the Marlins. Fried allowed four runs over seven innings in a win over the White Sox on Friday, posting a career high 11 in the process. Look for these two red hot starters to battle deep and play the under with confidence. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 ATL. | |||||||
09-05-19 | Phillies +151 v. Reds | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Phillies (10* TRADE-MARK) I think Jason Vargas and the Phillies have much more than just a “punchers chance” in this one. Vargas is so far 6-7 with a 4.31 ERA and he’ll square off against the Reds’ Sonny Gray, who is 10-6 with a 2.80 ERA. Gray was phenomenal in August, going 4-0 with a 0.74 ERA, but regression is imminent in my opinion. After last night’s 8-5 loss in Washington, the Phillies are now three games behind the Cubs. Vargas hasn’t been great at all for this new team, but he faced the Reds on April 30th and was dominant, allowing one run over six frames (five K’s.) Gray’s been great, but I believe his sparkling numbers are completely unrealistic and I think the fall back to mediocrity begins sooner, rather than later. Play on Philadelphia. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Phillies. | |||||||
09-04-19 | Twins v. Red Sox UNDER 11 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins/Red Sox under (10* TOTAL CASH MACHINE). Obviously these two line-ups feature plenty of offensive talent, but I think it’ll be the starting pitchers who become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Jose Berrios is 11-7 with a 3.57 ERA for the Twins, while Eduardo Rodriguez is 16-5 with a 3.97 ERA for the Red Sox. Rodriguez has been Boston’s best pitcher of late, going 3-1 with a 3.41 ERA over six August starts. Berrios struggled badly in August, but despite being 0-3 to the Sox lifetime, he still sports a sharp 3.20 ERA in those contests. I think Berrios bounces back and I expect Rodriguez to carry over his recent momentum as well. This one has “duel” written all over it, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Red Sox. | |||||||
09-04-19 | Giants +111 v. Cardinals | Top | 9-8 | Win | 111 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Madison Bumgarner is 9-8 with a 3.62 ERA for the Giants this year, while Michael Wacha is 6-6 with a 5.07 ERA for the Cardinals. The Cards have taken the first two games of this series, 3-1 and 1-0 and I expect the visitors to respond finally on Wednesday. Bumgarner comes in on top form, allowing just eight runs over his last 32 innings of work. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Giants. | |||||||
09-03-19 | White Sox v. Indians OVER 9 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox/Indians over (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK) Cleveland is desperate for victories after a recent scuffling stretch and I expect it to make the most of this opportunity. The Tribe made the most of yesterday’s 11-3 series opening win and I expect a similar final combined score here. Mike Clevinger has been awesome for Cleveland, but this pick is based primarily on the ineptitude of White Sox’ starter Dylan Cease (3-7, 6.92), who went just two innings in his last start vs. the Twins, getting shelled for eight runs off ten hits. Note as well that Chicago has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 14 in revenging a loss where an opponent score ten or more runs, while Cleveland has seen the total soar over in both games that it’s played in this season as a home fav in the -250 to -330 range. This one has “slugfest” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Indians. | |||||||
09-03-19 | Phillies +115 v. Reds | Top | 6-2 | Win | 115 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Phillies (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The Phillies upset the Reds last night and I expect the visitors to find a way to get the job done here as well. Vince Velasquez is just 6-7 with a 4.86 ERA this season for Philadelphia, but he’s 2-0 over his past three outings, most recently scoring the 12-3 victory over the Pirates on Wednesday, allowing two run over five frames. Lucas Sims (2-1, 4.99) will be called upon to make a spot start for the home side. As a reliever Sims is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA, but as a starter he’s 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA. The over night change greatly benefits the hungry visiting side. Lay the reasonable price. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Phillies. | |||||||
09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville +20.5 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 1353 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisville (GAME OF THE YEAR) I’m not calling for the outright victory, but I do believe that the stage is set for a much closer than expected battle. Notre Dame has a lot to live up to this season after posting 12 victories a year ago, including a par of 24-17 victory over Michigan and USC. The Irish’s season came to a crashing halt in the Cotton Bowl though, falling 30-3 to eventual Champion Clemson. Many key players return for Notre Dame, but there’s no question that the Irish lost a lot from last year’s squad in the offseason as well. The good news for Louisville fans? It’s practically impossible for this year’s team to do worse that last season’s (2-10). But Louisville has a new head coach in Scott Satterfield and I think he’ll have his team prepared to fight today. Notre Dame has the advantage with Ian Book under center, but his lines on both sides of the ball are a work in progress to open the season and I think that’s going to be the small opening that Louisville can use to keep this one competitive. Bryan Brown is the new defensive coordinator in Louisville and he is the beneficiary of seven returning starters. Louisville QB Jawon Pass now has a fall year under his belt and I think he’s going to be dramatically different in his second season in this offense. I believe the Irish come out flat to start and because of that, I’ll ultimately recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Louisville. T.M. Prediction: 33-24 Notre Dame. | |||||||
09-01-19 | Houston +26 v. Oklahoma | Top | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 1329 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston (10* CASH-MACHINE!) No outright victory, but Houston has the offense in place to keep pace. The Cougars have a dynamic play-making QB in D’Eriq King, who I think has a big advantage over Oklahoma transfer Jalen Hurts, who has plenty of weapons around him, but whose defense is still a big question mark (also note that Oklahoma brings back just one starter on the offensive line.) I think this one is going to come down to whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-01-19 | Indians +171 v. Rays | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Indians (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Tribe won’t be lacking for motivation here after losing five of the six meetings between the clubs this year. The Rays have taken the first two games of this series, but I expect the hungry visitors to find a way to get the job done on Sunday afternoon. The home side turns to Charlie Morton, who is 13-6 with a 3.11 ERA overall, but who fell to 0-2 in his last three starts after getting shelled for six runs off seven hits over four innings in a 15-1 loss to the Astros. The visitors counter with Adam Plutko, who is 6-3 with a 4.34 ERA this season and who is looking for a third win in his last four starts. All things considered, this is unreal value on a dangerous dog backed into a corner. Play on the Indians. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Tribe. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $599 |
Matt Fargo | $421 |
Ray Monohan | $400 |
Rocky Atkinson | $333 |
Jim Feist | $292 |
Kyle Hunter | $280 |
Ross Benjamin | $265 |
Marc Lawrence | $253 |
ProSportsPicks | $211 |
AAA Sports | $78 |