Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-08-22 | Astros v. Angels OVER 9.5 | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Astros/Angels OVER. I am on the over in the Houston Astros vs LA Angels game on Friday. The Astros started their year off on Thursday with a 3-1 win over the Angels but I am expecting a much higher scoring game here. The Astros still have tons of hitting power on their team and now that they have played in a real season game and have gotten the feel for it, I expect to see them put up a lot more runs today. Reid Detmers (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is the starter for the Angels and he finished the 2021 season 1-3 with a 7.40 ERA. He only had 5 starts last year but he gave up a ton of runs in a majority of the games he played in and he didn't even make it to the 4th inning in his 2 most recent starts. He got some work in Spring training this year but he didn't look great, only giving up 2 runs in his 6 innings played but he also gave up 6 hits and I think he will get rocked by a powerful Astros lineup here. The Angels also have their own big hitters though and I expect them to put up runs on the board to stay in this game and keep up with the Astros. Jake Odorizzi (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is starting for the Astros and he had a shaky season last year. He finished the 2021 season 6-7 with a 4.21 ERA and I think he's not going to get off to a great start here. The last few years he has started off really slow and last year he had a 10+ ERA through his 1st 3 starts. I think he is going to have another rough start to the season like his past suggests and I see both teams getting a lot more hits in this game after a low scoring game in their 1st of the year. I like the over in this game. T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Astros. | |||||||
10-29-21 | Astros v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Astros/Braves F5 OVER. I am on the over in the first 5 of the Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves game 3 on Friday. Both of the 1st 2 games of this World Series have had 8+ runs total in them and 6+ runs coming in the first 5 innings of the game. Both of these teams have been hitting the ball a lot in these playoffs this year and we have already seen both teams get off to a hot start early in each of the games of this series. These lineups are loaded with guys who are ready to destroy the ball out of the park. Luis Garcia (11-8, 3.30 ERA) is up for the Astros and he pitched well in his last start but he has mostly been struggling in these playoffs and to end off the regular season. He didn't give up any runs in his last start but he did give up 5 runs in each of his 1st 2 postseason starts this year and did not make it past 3 innings in either of those games, giving up those runs very early. Even in his last start to finish off the regular season, he gave up 6 runs in that start. He has been struggling and I think with the way the Braves are hitting, he is going to get beaten up early on the bump here. Ian Anderson (9-5, 3.58 ERA) is up for the Braves and he has also been giving up some early runs in his postseason starts this year not making it to the 5th inning in his last 2 starts. The Astros have already been down in this series once already and I don't think they are going to wait around in these games for things to happen. they are going to come out firing right out of the gate and so will the Braves. I like the over in the 1st 5 for this game. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Astros (after 1st 5). | |||||||
10-26-21 | Braves v. Astros OVER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Astros OVER. I am on the over in the Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros game on Tuesday. The Braves really kept up with the Dodgers in the NLCS, not just with their pitching or strategy but they were putting up a lot of runs in those games. They had 4/5 games with 9+ runs total in them to end off that series and they even put up 9 runs themselves in 1 of those games. Charlie Morton (14-6, 3.34 ERA) is up on the bump here and he has been consistent in these playoffs with 3 starts and has given up 2 runs in each of those starts. The Braves aren't the only ones that have been hitting well though, the Astros found their bats in the last 3 games of the ALCS and really put up a lot of runs. They put up 9 runs in 2 different games of the last 3 in that series and then finished the Red Sox off with a 5 run game. Morton has been pitching well but I think the Astros will be able to get to him for some runs here. Framber Valdez (11-6, 3.14 ERA) is up for the Astros and he has been a bit shaky this postseason. He redeemed himself in his last start only giving up 1 run through 8 innings but his 2 starts before that 1 he had given up 7 runs total between the 2 starts, only pitching a total of 7 innings in those 1st 2 starts. He has also been getting hit a lot giving up 16 hits in his 3 starts this postseason. I think he is going to give up a lot hits again in this game but this time the Braves will make him pay for it. Both teams have very hot bats right now and I think they are both going to put up a lot runs here. I like the over in this game. T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Astros. | |||||||
10-15-21 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Red Sox/Astros OVER. I am on the over in the Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros game on Friday. The Red Sox have really busted out their bats in the last series against the Rays. After a 5-0 loss in game 1, they had all 3 games that they won go over the total. They put up 6+ runs themselves in each of those games that they won. Chris Sale (5-1, 3.16 ERA) is starting this one and he did not pitch too well in game 2 of their series against the Rays. He gave up 5 runs in just 1 inning in that game. The Astros have had a similar thing happen in their ALDS. After their game 1 went under, the last 3 games of that series all went over the total, the Astros putting up 6+ runs in each of those last 3 games also. Framber Valdez (11-6, 3.14 ERA) is starting this one for the Astros and he did not pitch well in game 2 that he started in either. He started game 2 and he gave up 4 runs in that game. The Red Sox and the Astros have both been hitting the ball well and putting up a lot of runs in their last series. Both have pitchers that did not have good starts in the games they pitched in last series also. I like this game to go over the posted total here. T.M. Prediction: 8-6 Astros. | |||||||
10-14-21 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 7 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 41 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers/Giants UNDER. I am on the under in the LA Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants game on Thursday. This is the deciding game 5 of this series to see who goes to the NLCS and I think the pitching is going to be very tight in this game. There is no next time for the team that loses so any little sign that the starter is going to give up runs, both of these teams will be going to the best in their bullpens. Same goes if the reliever starts to get hit, both teams won't hesitate to make the switch. Julio Urias (20-3, 2.96 ERA) is starting for the Dodgers and he was their best pitcher all season. He has been very good only giving up 3+ runs in 1/14 starts in his last 14. He pitched in game 2 of this series getting the win for his team only giving up 1 run in that game. Logan Webb (11-3, 3.03 ERA) is starting for the Giants and he also pitched well all season for his team. He pitched in game 1 of this series and he almost made it to the 9th inning not giving up a single run in that game as he got the win for his team. Neither team can afford to make a mistake here so I like the under in this game. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-06-21 | Cardinals v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -103 | 36 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals/Dodgers OVER. I am on the over in the St. Louis Cardinals vs LA Dodgers Wild Card game on Wednesday. The Cardinals were easily the hottest team in the MLB to finish off the regular season this year. In the last week they were on a 17 game win streak at one point that was ended but they had been scoring so many runs along with it. When the Cardinals needed to win games to get here they didn't just win games barely or scrape by with good pitching, they won their games with force putting up run after run as they would bury teams. Adam Wainwright (17-7, 3.05 ERA) is starting and he has been a little shaky in his last couple of starts. He has given up 7 runs in his last 2 starts and he also faced the Dodgers in early September giving up 4 runs in that game. The Dodgers were another team that finished the season incredibly hot as they were trying to catch the Giants for the division. They put 8+ runs in each of their last 5 games to finish the season scoring a ton of runs. Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.46 ERA) is starting but he has not been at his best lately. He has had 2 bad starts in a row now giving up 5 runs in each game he pitched in. These are two of the hottest hitting teams in the MLB right now and both pitchers have seen better days lately. I think there will be a lot of runs scored here so I like the over in this one. T.M. Prediction: 9-5 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-05-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Yankees/Red Sox OVER. I am on the over in the New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Wild Card game on Tuesday. The Yankees finished the regular season on a very hot run to soar upward in the standings and snag this spot. I expect their momentum to carry over here and have them put up some runs. Gerrit Cole (16-8, 3.23 ERA) is starting and he has been shaky in his last few starts. He gave up 5 runs in his last start, 3 in the one before that, and 7 in the one before that for a total of 15 runs given up by him in just 3 games. One of those games was against the Red Sox and it is not the first time this season that Boston has beaten him up on the mound. The Red Sox also finished their season on a hot run scoring 4+ runs in each game of their last series. Nathan Eovaldi (11-9, 3.75 ERA) is starting and he has also been shaky lately. He pitched a shut out through 6 innings his last but in his start previous to that one, he gave up 7 runs through not even 3 innings... and they were playing the Yankees. These teams are both hot right now and hitting these pitchers have not been a problem for either team lately. I like this game to go over on Tuesday. T.M. Prediction: 10-6 Yankees. | |||||||
10-03-21 | Twins v. Royals OVER 10.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Pick: Twins/Royals over (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). 2 poor pitchers face off here in the final game of the regular season and I believe each will see limited time. The home side goes with Kris Bubic (6-7, 4.43 ERA), who comes in off a decent outing against the Tigers. Bubic hasn't been terrible over the last month, but he's still just 2-4 with an elevated 5.46 ERA in all day games. The Twins see Griffin Jax (4-5, 6.37), toe the slab and he was most recently blasted for 4 runs over four innings in a loss to the Jays on Sunday. Over his last 77 frames Jax has an ugly 6.78 ERA, 1.40 WHIP. Look for this one to sail well over the number. T.M. Prediction: 8-7 Twins. | |||||||
09-28-21 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cubs/Pirates OVER. I am on the over in the Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates game on Tuesday. The Cubs have had a lot of runs scored in their games lately with 13/14 in their last 14 games having 9+ runs total in them. Alec Mills (6-7, 4.83 ERA) is starting for the Cubs and he has not been great this season. He has allowed 10 earned runs total in his last 2 starts, and this has been a common them in his last 6 starts as he has been getting blown up on the mound. The Pirates just had a game where they let the Reds put up 13 runs against them in a single game. Mitch Keller (5-11, 5.96 ERA) is starting for the Pirates and he has been even worst than Mills this season. He has steadily been allowing 2+ runs in his last few starts. Both of these starting pitchers have been bad this year and it should lead to a lot of runs being scored in this game. I think it will be a high scoring one so I am on the over here. T.M. Prediction: 8-6 Cubs. | |||||||
09-27-21 | Royals v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Royals/Indians UNDER. I am on the under in the Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Indians game on Monday. The Royals have stayed under this posted total in their last 10 straight. Jackson Kowar (0-4, 11.45 ERA) is starting in this game and he has had a disappointing rookie season thus far. He has already gone head to head with the Indians earlier this year and it was the longest game he has ever lasted in his career making it through 6 innings and only allowing 2 runs. The Indians have also had their last 8 stay under this posted total. Cal Quantrill (7-3, 2.82 ERA) is starting here and he has been great lately only allowing more than 1 run in 1 game out of his last 5 starts. Both of these team have been ruled out of the playoffs with few games left in the season. I don't expect there to be a lot of energy in this game from either team so I like the under here. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Indians. | |||||||
09-24-21 | Nationals v. Reds OVER 9 | 7-8 | Win | 103 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Nationals/Reds OVER. I am on the over in the Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds game on Friday. The Nats have been scoring a lot of runs in their games lately. They have scored 7 runs themselves in 3/4 games of their last 4. Paolo Espino (5-5, 3.94 ERA) is starting for them and he has been involved in a lot of high scoring games when he pitches. In his last 10 starts, 7/10 of them have had 9+ runs total in them. He has a history this season of pitching a few good games back to back but then gets blown up and it has been a steady trend throughout the year. He has only allowed 1 run in his last 2 starts combines but allowed 5 in the start before those 2. I expect him to have a bad game and allow quite a few runs here. The Reds have also had a few high scoring games themselves lately. Sonny Gray (7-8, 3.84 ERA) is starting here and he has started to show some cracks lately. In his last 4 starts, he has allowed 2+ runs in each. He has also been allowing more runs in each game after during that time while his allowed hits have gone up too and his strikeouts have decreased in each game over his last 4 starts. I expect both of these pitchers to give up some runs in this one so I am on the over here. T.M. Prediction: 8-6 Reds. | |||||||
09-23-21 | Mariners v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Mariners/Athletics UNDER. I am on the under in the Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics game on Thursday. There has been less than 9 runs in the Mariners last 4 games, including the 3 games they have played against the A's in this series. Yusei Kikuchi (7-9, 4.32 ERA) is starting and he has not been good lately but I expect him to make a bounce back start here. The A's have had less than 9 runs in their last 5 games. Chris Bassit (12-4, 3.22 ERA) is starting for the A's and he has been solid lately not allowing more than 3 runs in his last 4 starts. I don't think the Mariners will be able to put up a ton of runs on the A's in this one with Bassit starting and the A's have not really been hitting the ball well lately. I like this game to stay under the posted total here. T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Athletics. | |||||||
09-19-21 | Indians v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indians/Yankees OVER. I am on the over in the Cleveland Indians vs New York Yankees game on Sunday. The Indians have some high scoring games lately. They have seen 8+ runs total in their last 4 games. Eli Morgan (2-7, 6.03 ERA) has also been involved in some high scoring affairs lately. His last 4 starts have seen 7+ runs total in them. He allowed 7 earned runs in his last time out and only played in a little more than 4 innings. Both of the 1st 2 games in this series both had 8+ runs in them. Gerrit Cole (15-7, 2.75 ERA) is starting and he has pitched well lately but his team has also been backing him up with lots of run support. The Yankees lost 11-3 to the Indians yesterday and have now put them in a position where they sit on the outside looking in just a half game out of the wildcard position. They will be looking to avenge that big loss and ensure they win this game with lots of runs to help boost their playoff chances. I like this game to go over the total here. T.M. Prediction: 10-4 Yankees. | |||||||
09-13-21 | Cardinals v. Mets UNDER 8 | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Mets/Cardinals UNDER. I am on the under in the St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets game on Monday. The Cardinals have had 3/4 games go under in their last 4. Adam Wainwright (15-7, 2.98 ERA) is starting for them and he has been great all year. He got blown up a bit in his last start allowing 4 earned runs but he has been solid this season allowing no more than 2 earned runs in 6 starts straight before that. The Mets have gone over in every game of their last series against the Yankees but i don't expect that to continue here as they had some low scoring games in the 2 series prior to that. Rich Hill (6-6, 3.82 ERA) is starting for them and he has been great since coming over from the Rays. He has only allowed more than 3 runs in 1/9 games he has started in for the Mets since joining. This will be a tense game as the Cards are just 1 game back of the wild card while the Mets are just 3 games out. This series becomes that much more important so this should be a pitching duel keeping this game under the total. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Cardinals. | |||||||
09-12-21 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Marlins/Braves UNDER. I am on the under in the Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves game on Sunday. The Marlins did go over in their last game but went under this posted total in 3 straight before that one. Edward Cabrera (0-1, 7.11 ERA) is starting on the mound for the Marlins and he has struggled in his 3 starts this year. He has only played in 3 games though so I expect him to put in a much better effort here and pitch a good game. The Braves have had quite a few games go over in their last 10 but I think that trend ends here. Max Fried (11-7, 3.42 ERA) is starting for the Braves and he has been great lately. He has only allowed 3+ runs on 1 occasion in his last 8 games. He also usually goes 6+ innings deep into the game so he will be sticking around for a while in this one especially if he is having a great game. I expect him to pitch very well here so I like the under in this one as it should be low scoring. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Braves. | |||||||
09-11-21 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 9 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Angels/Astros UNDER. I am on the under in the LA Angels and Houston Astros game on Saturday. The Angels have gone over the posted total in their last 2 games and I think that ends here. Jose Suarez (6-7, 3.74 ERA) and he has been pitching well lately. Only 1 game in his last 5 has gone over the total. He has also allowed more than 2 runs in just 1 of his last 5 games. The Astros have also gone over this posted total in their last 4 games. Luis Garcia (10-6, 3.29 ERA) is starting in this one and he has been pitching well lately. He has not allowed more than 3 runs in a game in his last 6 starts. Both of these pitchers have had some good starts in their last few and I think they will both have a good game here. I expect both of these little over streaks to come to an end as this game stays under the total. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Astros. | |||||||
09-09-21 | Twins v. Indians OVER 8.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Twins/Indians OVER. I am on the over in the Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Indians game on Thursday . They have gone under in their last 3 straight and I expect that to change here. Randy Dobnak (1-7, 7.64 ERA) is starting for the Twins and he has struggled all season. He allowed 5 earned runs in his last start and this has been a recurring them throughout his last 6 starts. The Indians have also gone under in their last 3 straight. Cal Quantrill (4-3, 3.15 ERA) is starting for the Indians. The last game he started in he allowed 5 earned runs as thta game shot over the total. I expect both of these pitchers to get beat up in this game so this one should fly over the total as both have not been pitching well lately. T.M. Prediction: 8-5 Indians. | |||||||
09-05-21 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/Yankees Over. I am on the over in the Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees game on Sunday. The Orioles have played 2 games in this series against the Yankees and both have ended with exactly 7 runs scored total in each. Keegan Akin (2-8, 6.90 ERA) will be starting on the mound for the Orioles today and he has not been good this season. He was credited with wins in his last 2 starts, 1 of those games being a 13-1 victory. He only allowed 1 run in each of those games but that has not been the case for most of his starts all year and I think he is due for another awful start. Corey Kluber (4-3, 3.61 ERA) is starting for the Yankees in this one. His last start had plenty of runs in it as his team lost 8-7. He allowed 5 of those runs and has been shaky lately allowing 2 runs in just 3 innings the game before that. I think that Akin is bound to get blown up again and Kluber has not been reliable this season. Both of these teams have shown they can put up lots of runs over the past week so I like this one to go over. T.M. Prediction: 10-5 Yankees. | |||||||
09-03-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 15-4 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Brewers/Cardinals UNDER (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). These teams struggle to plate runs on the best of nights, but with these two red hot starters going head-to-head, I have a hard time seeing any offense whatsoever in this one. The Brewers see Freddy Peralta (9-3, 2.45 ERA) toe the slab. He returns to action after a short break to limit his inning count. He's 5-2 with a 3.00 ERA on the road. Adam Wainwright is 13-7 with a 2.97 ERA for the Cardinals, and 6-2 with a 3.68 ERA on the road. Look for these two studs to grab all the headlines in tomorrow's summaries; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Milwaukee. | |||||||
09-03-21 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankes/Orioles OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). The Yankees won't be taking this series at home against the Orioles for granted. Here's a great opponent to try and get the home sweep over as New York looks to gain ground on the now scuffling Rays, while also distancing itself from Toronto. Nestor Cortes (2-2, 2.77 ERA), gave up three runs in a loss over five innings to the A's on Saturday. Cortes has struggled to pitch late into games and that trend is almost certainly going to happen again here. The Orioles see John Means (5-6, 3.46) take the hill. He most recently gave up two runs over six innings in a no-decision to the Rays on Saturday. Previous to that Means had dropped three straight after returning from a stint on the IL. I say the book is still out on him. With both starters exiting early, look for this one to fly over the number sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 New York. | |||||||
09-01-21 | Rockies v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
I am on the over in the Colorado Rockies vs Texas Rangers game on Wednesday. The Rockies have been on a little under streak lately staying under in their last 5 straight. Kyle Freeland (5-6, 4.17 ERA) is starting for the Rockies and he has been alright this year. His last 3 starts have stayed under but the 2 starts before that both saw 13 runs scored and that was just for his team alone in each game. He has been solid in his last 3 but that won't last for long as he has been allowing quite a bit of hits lately. The Rangers have stayed under in the 2 games of this series but in their last game against the Astros that one shot way over. Kohei Arihara (2-3, 6.59 ERA) is starting for the Rangers and he has not been good this year. His last start flew over as his team won 9-8. He has also allowed at least 5 runs in each of his last 3 starts for them. Between this awful pitching from the Arihara and the shaky bullpens of both teams, there will be plenty of runs here shooting this one over the total. T.M. Prediction: 9-5 Rockies. | |||||||
08-31-21 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
I like the Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays game to go over on Tuesday. They have had 6/7 of their last 7 games see 9+ runs in them. In 4 of those games a single team has scored 10+ runs themselves. Keegan Akin (1-8, 7.26 ERA) is starting for the Orioles and he has been awful this season. He got a win in his last time out but before that his team lost 13 straight games with him starting. He has allowed tons of runs all year and will be in trouble here against a Blue Jays team that loves to hit the ball and put up the runs. The 1st game of this series had 10 runs as the Blue Jays won 7-3. Hyun Jin Ryu (12-7, 3.88 ERA) will be starting for the Jays and he has struggled lately. He allowed 7 runs in his last start and has been shaky allowing 4 and 7 again in 3/4 starts. The Jays can score lots of runs especially against a pitcher who has been so bad lately, Baltimore has also been putting up runs and if Ryu is going to be struggling again like he has lately, I like the over in this one as there should be lots of runs from both teams. T.M. Prediction: 13-7 Blue Jays. | |||||||
08-30-21 | Twins v. Tigers OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
I am on the over in the Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers game on Monday. The Twins have been involved in a lot of high scoring games lately. They have had 9/10 games see 8+ runs in their last little stretch, most of those seeing way more than 10 runs. Bailey Ober (1-2, 4.06 ERA) is starting for the Twins and he has been alright lately. He did not allow a single run through 5 innings in his last start yet that game still ended 9-6 going way over the total. The Tigers have been on a bit of an under streak as their last 8 games have seen 8 runs total or less. Casey Mize (7-6, 3.55 ERA) is starting for the Tigers and he has been involved in some higher scoring games lately. His last 3 starts had 7+ runs in them. He has allowed 9 runs total in his last 4 starts. In his last 9 starts there have been 8 games with over 7 runs total, most of those going 10+. Even if both of these starters play well it is the bullpens for both teams that have been giving up tons of runs. I like this one to go well over the total here. T.M. Prediction: 10-7 Twins. | |||||||
08-26-21 | Angels v. Orioles OVER 10.5 | 1-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
I am on the over in the Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles game on Thursday. The Angels have had a single team score at least 10 runs in each of their last 2 games played. They have also seen 4 games in their last 6 that had 10+ runs total in it. Jaime Barria (2-2, 5.87 ERA) is starting for the Angels and he has not been good lately. His team has lost his last 3 starts and the last 2 have had 10+ runs total in them. He has allowed 11 runs in those 3 games. The Orioles have had their last 2 games see 10+ runs total, both of them in this series. They have Keegan Akin (0-8, 7.92 ERA) starting and he has been awful this season. In 18 appearances this season, his team has lost 17 of them. He has allowed 12 earned runs in his last 3 starts and this has been a common theme for him all season. Both of these teams have had their bats wake up in this series and now there is a battle between 2 bad pitchers. This one is going to fly over the total. T.M Prediction: 11-7 Angels. | |||||||
08-25-21 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
I am on the under in the Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres game on Wednesday. The Dodgers have been in some lower scoring games lately as 4 of their last 5 have stayed under 8 total runs, with just 1 game seeing 9 runs in that span. Walker Buehler (13-2, 2.11 ERA) has been amazing allowing very little runs in his starts this season. Of his last 4 starts, 3 of them stayed under this posted total. He has not allowed 3+ runs against him in 8 straight games and has only given up more than 3 runs on 2 occasions this season. The Padres have also seen some lower scoring games lately with 3 of their last 4 staying under 8 runs. Blake Snell (6-5, 4.82 ERA) has given up 6 runs in his last 4 games and has not given up more than 3 in that span. Both of these pitchers have found a good streak lately and I expect that to continue here as both teams are looking to secure a playoff spot. This one will stay under with the quality of pitchers on the mound. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
08-24-21 | Mariners v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 105 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
I am on the under in the Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics game on Tuesday. After 4 straight games of having 9+ runs in them, the Mariners finally had less than 9 in the series opener on Monday. Chris Flexen (10-5, 3.65 ERA) is starting and his last start went way over the number. He has been pitching well himself though, averaging less than 2 runs allowed per game in his last 4 starts. The A's have had their last 2 games in a row stay under 9 runs total. Cole Irvin (9-11, 3.57 ERA) and his last 3 starts have gone over this posted total. He has also been good though, averaging about 2 earned runs per game in his last 4 starts. Both of these starting pitchers have pitched well despite the high scoring games. I expect this one to stay under the posted total. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Athletics. | |||||||
08-22-21 | White Sox v. Rays UNDER 9 | 0-9 | Push | 0 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
I am on the under in the Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays game on Sunday. The White Sox have had 9+ runs scored total in their last 3 straight. I think that ends here in this one. Reynaldo Lopez (2-0, 1.08 ERA) is starting for the White Sox. He has had a great season allowing just 3 earned runs in 11 appearances this year. In his last start he shutout the A's through 5 innings. The Rays have had 9+ runs scored total in 15 games in a row now. That is bound to come to an end here against a solid starter for the White Sox. Chris Archer (0-1, 6.23 ERA) will be starting for the Rays here. He has only played in 2 games this season allowing 3 earned runs total. In his last start he did not allow a run at all through 2 innings played. The Rays have been on a crazy over streak that is bound to end soon. The White Sox have a very good pitcher on the mound. This should be a low scoring game that stays under the posted total. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Rays. | |||||||
08-21-21 | Tigers v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
I like the over in the Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers game on Saturday. The Tigers have seen some high scoring games lately. Just 2 of their last 8 have had less than 10 runs in them. Wily Peralta (3-2, 3.70 ERA) is starting for the Tigers here. There have been 10+ runs in 3 of the last 4 games he has started in. He has allowed 17 runs in his last 5 games. He averages over 3 runs allowed per game in that span. The Blue Jays last game stayed under the total. The previous 4 all had 10+ runs in them though. Hyun Jin Ryu (11-6, 3.72 ERA) will be starting for the Jays here. The last 5 games he has started in have all see 9+ runs in them. He has been struggling lately, allowing 11 earned runs total in his last 2 starts. Both of these teams have been involved in some high scoring games lately and I expect that to continue here. I like this game to go over the posted total. T.M. Prediction: 9-4 Blue Jays. | |||||||
08-18-21 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 14 | 5-7 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
I am on the over in the San Diego padres vs Colorado Rockies game on Wednesday. The Padres have been involved in some high scoring games lately, their last 3 games having 10+ runs scored in them. Jake Arrieta (5-11, 6.88 ERA) will be making his Padres debut today, but he has not performed well in his last few games as a Cub. He was credited with 7 losses in a row and the Cubs have lost their last 7 when he started on the mound. He allowed 8 earned runs in his last game and has only had 2 games in his last 8 where he allowed less than 3 earned runs. The Rockies will be starting Chi Chi Gonzalez (3-6, 6.06 ERA) on the mound in this one and he has not had a good year either. The team has only won 2 games of the last 6 he has started in. In his last 4 starts, there were 12+ runs total in each of those games. He has allowed 14 earned runs total in his last 3 starts and has been blown up for more than 6+ runs in a game on multiple occasions this season. Both of these pitchers have struggled this season and, along with the Coors Field effect, I expect there to be plenty of runs in this game to get it over the posted total. T.M. Prediction: 10-7 Padres. | |||||||
08-17-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
I am on the under in the Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals game on Tuesday. The Brewers went 3 games straight scoring 10+ runs themselves, but their bats have cooled down a bit as their last 2 games stayed under 7.5 runs total. Corbin Burnes (7-4, 2.23 ERA) will be starting on the mound for the Brewers and he has pitched very well in his last few games. The team has won their last 5 straight when he has started for them. He has only allowed more than 1 earned run in a game just once in his last 8 starts. The Cardinals have gone over 7.5 runs in their last 2 games, but now they run into a pitcher who has been hot. Adam Wainwright (11-6, 3.27 ERA) has also been pitching well this season. The team has won their last 5 games when he has started. There was only 1 occasion in his last 5 starts where he allowed more than 2 earned runs. Both of these pitchers have been pitching very well in their last few games so I expect this one to go under the posted total. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Brewers. | |||||||
08-13-21 | Reds v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
I like the under in the Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies game on Friday evening. The Reds have been involved in quite a few high scoring games lately, 8 in their last 10 going over 9 runs total. Tyler Mahle (9-3, 3.78 ERA) is starting for the Reds and the team has gone over 9 runs total in 4 of his last 5 starts. the last game he started went under where he only allowed 2 earned runs. The Phillies have seen much lower scoring games in their last 6, 5 of those featuring less than 9 runs total. The Phillies will be starting Zack Wheeler (10-6, 2.42 ERA) on the mound and he pitched a 9 inning shutout in his last outing. The last 4 games he started in all had 9 runs total or less in each and Wheeler should have a lot of confidence coiming into this game. The runs are bound to die down for these Reds and, against an already lower scoring Phillies team, I like both of these pitchers to keep this score low. I like this game to stay under the posted total. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Phillies. | |||||||
08-11-21 | Rockies v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
I am on the over in the Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros game. The Rockies have been involved in a lot of high scoring games lately with only 1 in their last 5 featuring less than 11 runs. Antonio Senzatela (2-8, 4.73 ERA) will be starting on the mound for the Rockies and he has not been that solid this season. His last 7 starts he has averaged a little over 3 earned runs per game and in his last 5 starts the games have gone over the posted total in 4 of them. The Houston Astros have been hitting their bats well in their last few games, scoring 4+ runs themselves in each of their last 4. Framber Valdez (7-3, 3.22 ERA) is starting for the Astros and lately he has been having a few starts where he has allowed some runs and lot of hits. He has allowed 4+ earned runs in half of his last 6 starts. In 13 starts this season, there has only been 2 occasions where he allows less than 4 hits, averaging well over 5 per game for this season. If he pitches like this on Wednesday he will give the Rockies plenty of opportunity to score some runs. The Astros have been hitting the ball very well lately too, so I think this game sees plenty of runs in it from both teams. I like this one to go over the total. T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Astros. | |||||||
08-10-21 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
I like the over in the Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners game on Tuesday night. The Rangers are on a 2 game losing skid, both of those games featuring 9+ runs total in each. Kolby Allard (2-10, 5.07 ERA) will be starting for the Rangers in this game. Allard has been having an awful year, credited with a loss in his last 8 straight, the team losing their last 9 when he has started. He has allowed 24 earned runs in his last 5 starts for the Rangers. After a 4 game slump, the Mariners have gotten back on track with a 2-0 win against the Yankees on Sunday. The Mariners have had just 1 game that has featured more than 8 runs total in it in their last 6, but i think that run ends here. Logan Gilbert (5-3, 4.14 ERA) will be starting for the Mariners and he has been involved in quite a few high scoring games this season. The team has only lost 1 game in his last 12 starts, only 4 of those featured less than 8 runs total. Considering the way the Rangers and Allard have been playing lately, they should be in for a beating here as this game flies way over the total. T.M. Prediction: 9-3 Mariners. | |||||||
08-08-21 | Mets v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
I am on the under in the New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies game. There has been no more than 8 runs scored total in the last 4 games that the Mets have played in. They will be starting Taijuan Walker (7-6, 3.86 ERA) on the mound in this one. After a great start to the season for Walker, he has hit a bit of a rough patch allowing 4+ runs in each of his last 4 starts. I think he bounces back in this game getting back to that good form that he has played most of the season. The Phillies will be starting Zack Wheeler (9-6, 2.57 ERA) on the mound and he has also been having a pretty good year this season. In his 22 appearances this season, over 66% of the games he has played in had less than 9 runs in them. The first 2 games of this series had less than 9 runs in them and I expect that to be the same on Sunday afternoon. I like this game to stay under the posted total. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Phillies. | |||||||
08-03-21 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 10 | 1-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
I like the Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees to go over the total Tuesday. The Baltimore Orioles haver had tons of runs scored in their recent games with their last 13 having at least 7+ runs in each. Alexander Wells (1-1, 5.28 ERA) has not been treated well in his 1st MLB season as teams have been just eating him up. In just 4 starts with the team this season, the Orioles have not seen a game with less than 8 runs in it when Wells is on the mound. The Yankees have not scored a ton of runs in their last few games but will be eager to hit their bats here after a 7-1 blowout by Baltimore in the last game. Nestor Cortes (0-0, 1.93 ERA) is starting for the Yankees and despite having a 0-0 record this season, he has made an appearance in 11 games this year, most of those games saw 7+ runs in each by either side. With these 2 pitchers there should be plenty of runs here so I expect this game to go over the total. T.M. Prediction: 8-5 Yankees. | |||||||
08-02-21 | Indians v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
I like the Cleveland Indians and the Toronto Blue Jays to go over the total in this one. The Indians are coming off of a 2-1 loss Sunday but had enough runs in each of their previous 3 to go over the posted total. Eli Morgan (1-3, 7.47 ERA) has had a tough first year in the MLB so far and he is about to go up against a Blue Jays side that have the bats to drive this score up. Every single game that Morgan has pitched in this season has seen 8+ runs except for 1. Robbie Ray (9-5, 3.04 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays have been hot winning their last 4 games scoring at least 4 runs in each. The Blue Jays finally get to be back in Toronto for their home games and I expect them to put up a show for their fans here. This one goes over 9.5 runs. T.M. Prediction: 8-3 Blue Jays. | |||||||
07-31-21 | Royals v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jays OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). The Royals have been playing really good baseball of late. Despite yesterday's 6-4 series opening loss, they've still won eight of their last nine. The opener went under, and the Royals have actually seen the total dip below the posted number in six straight. The Jays have returned to Toronto and I think that we're in for an even higher-scoring game on Saturday. I don't trust either starter. Mike Minor (8-8, 5.32 ERA) for the Royals has been consistently inconsistent all season. Alek Manoah (2-1, 2.90) hasn't pitched since early July due to injury for the Jays. I expect the starters to get the hook early and that'll ultimatley result in this one flying over the number sooner, rather than later; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 8-7 Toronto. | |||||||
07-30-21 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 9.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/Tigers OVER (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). While these teams played to a lower-scoring under in the Tigers' 6-2 series opening victory, all signs point to more of an explosive affair on Friday! Baltimore sees Matt Harvey (5-10, 6.65 ERA) toe the slab. Harvey is coming off a rare good outing, holding the Nationals scoreless over six innings. Starts like that have been few and far between for Harvey and I expect an immediate return to mediocrity (he's just 3-4 with a 6.62 ERA on the road.) Tarik Skubal (6-9, 4.42) gets the nod for the home side and he most recently gave up five runs over five innings in a loss to the lowly Royals in his last outing. He's just 2-7 with a 4.98 ERA in all night games this year; look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Detroit. | |||||||
07-28-21 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers/Giants UNDER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF ELITE). No need to over think this one. The Dodgers won here 2-1 last night and I expect a similar final combined score here as well. These are two of the most dominant starting pitchers in the league right now, and they're facing off tonight in this contest. The Dodgers go with Walker Buehler (10-1, 2.31 ERA) and the Giants see Anthony DeSclafani (10-4, 2.87) toe the slab; this one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Giants. | |||||||
07-23-21 | White Sox v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: White Sox/Brewers UNDER (8* MONEY-MAKER). A couple of stud pitchers here going head to here and I expect that to translate into a lower-scoring under. The ChiSox see Lucas Giolito (8-6, 3.90 ERA) toe the rubber; he is off a strong outing over Houston on Saturday, allowing one run and three hits over nine innings while also striking out eight (he's 4-1 with a 2.84 ERA in all night contests.) The Brewers hand the ball to Freddy Peralta (7-3, 2.39), who has a tiny 0.90 WHIP and 135/44 K/BB over 98 innings of work. Look for these two starters to steal the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 ChiSox. | |||||||
07-20-21 | Indians v. Astros UNDER 9 | 3-9 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Astros/Indians UNDER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Cleveland went 2-1 at Oakland to open the second half, but it fell flat in yesterday's series opening 4-3 loss here at Oakland. The Tribe have seen the total go under in three straight and I expect that trend to continue here. Houston has seen the total go under in two straith, bouncing back from a 4-0 defeat to the White Sox in its previous outing. Triston McKenzie (1-3, 5.47 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, and he comes in off a strong start in his final outing before the break, allowing one hit and striking out nine over seven scoreless against the Royals. He'll be opposed by Luis Garcia (6-5, 3.06), who gave up one run over five innings in a no-decision to the A's in his last start. Look for these two young starting hurlers to be the main focal point of tomorrow's summaries on this contest; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Astros. | |||||||
07-19-21 | Rangers v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rangers/Tigers OVER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). The Tigers are looking to build off their three-game sweep of the Twins. While two of those three went under the number, I think the opener of this one will soar well over. The Rangers are a desperate for a win here after losing 10-2 and 10-0 in Toronto over the weekend. Kirk Gibson (6-1, 2.29 ERA) has been a bright spot for Texas this year, but regression does seem imminent for the veteran. I expect that to occur here. Casey Mize (5-5, 3.59) has struggled with consistency this year. He's been decent, but I think he'll have his hands full with this determined Rangers' offense; this number is low the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Detroit. | |||||||
07-09-21 | Angels v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Angels/Mariners OVER (8* MONEY-MAKER). These are two teams itching for a couple more victories before the All Star break. There have been record setting temperatures in the Seattle area and I think that's going to help in pushing this total well over before it's all said and done. These two starter have been questionable of late sa well. Alex Cobb (6-3, 4.60 ERA) and Marco Gonzalez (1-5, 5.82) are poised for early exits in my estimation. This one has "over" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 LA. | |||||||
07-08-21 | Nationals v. Padres OVER 7 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Nats/Padres OVER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Despite each team's "ace" on the mound tonight, I expect this total to fly over the number in the latter innings. Max Scherzer (7-4, 2.10 ERA) of the Nationals and Yu Darvish (7-3, 2.65) will be careful not to have any lapses here in their final start before the All Star game. It's impossible to say too many negative things about either, but these teams have been mashing the ball of late and I think that trend continues here. The Padres have seen the total go over in four straight. The Nationals are off their big 15-5 win here yesterday and in my opinion, these offenses are going to continues to roll; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 San Diego. | |||||||
07-03-21 | Padres v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Padres/Philles UNDER (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Phillies had a 3-0 lead heading into the top of the ninth yesterday, before then allowing three runs to the Padres, which pushed the contest in extra frames. Philly ended up winning 4-3 in the bottom of the tenth and the number stayed well below the posted number. I think that'll again be the case here, as everything points to a bit of a "duel" again in my opinion. Yu Darvish (7-2, 2.44 ERA) gets the nod for the visiting side, he most recently gave up one run and struck out seven over six innings in a win over Arizona on Sunday. Darvish now owns a 0.94 WHIP with a 10.8 K/9 over 96 innings. Zach Eflin (2-6, 4.20), is coming off a strong start against the Mets, allowing one run and striking out four over six innings. He owns a very respectable 87:11 K/BB and I think he can match Darvish inning for inning. Look for these two starters to battle deep and for this total stay well under the posted number! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Philadelphia. | |||||||
07-02-21 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 8 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). These teams played to a lower-scoring under in the Dodgers 6-2 win last night and I'm expecting an even lower-scoring contest here. LA send Julio Urias to the hill. Urias (9-3, 3.95 ERA), gave up two runs and struck out 12 over 5.1 innings to the Cubs on Saturday (he's been great on the road as well with a 6-2, 3.64 ERA record.) The home side counters with ace Max Scherzer (7-4, 2.14), who gave up one run over six innings in a win over the Mariners. He's earned wins in three of his last four appearances, postinga 1.42 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in that span. Enough said! All signs point to this becoming a classic "duel." The play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 LA. | |||||||
07-01-21 | Cardinals v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rockies/Cards OVER (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). The Rockies beat the Pirates here 6-2 yesterday, but I think that today's game againstthe Cardinals will be much more high-scoring. Adam Wainwright (6-5, 3.59 ERA) has been sharp over the last month and he's coming off a win over the Pirates himself. I'd say that Wainwright has exceeded expectations to this point, but if he's had one glaring weakness, it's been his play on the road where he's just 2-2 with a ballooned 6.43 ERA. The Rockies counter with Antonio Senzatela (2-7, 4.76), who gave up four runs over seven innings in a win over the Breweres in his last outing. He's been better at home than on the road, but Colorado has still seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 11 after holding its previous opponent to two runs or less in a home victory in its last outing. Expect these two starters to get chased early and look for this one to fly over the number sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 St. Louis. | |||||||
06-25-21 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs/Padres OVER (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). The bottom line here is, I don't trust either of these starting pitchers. Corbin Martin (0-2, 8.62 ERA), has a 2.04 WHIP over four career apperances for the D-Backs. Padres' starter Chris Paddack (4-5, 4.10 ERA) gave up two runs over five innings in a win over the Reds in his last outing. Over his last four starts Paddack is 2-2 with a poor 5.06 ERA. Expect these starters to get "the hook" early and as a result, look for this total to fly over the posted number sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Padres. | |||||||
06-24-21 | A's v. Rangers OVER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A's/Rangers OVER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF ELITE). While yesterday's game stayed below the posted number in the Rangers 5-3 upset win, I think the stage is now set for more of an offensive contest on Thursday afternoon. The Rangers go with Kolby Allard, who gave up two runs over six innings in a no-decision against the Twins on Saturday. Allard has been a bright spot for the Rangers this season, I just think he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. The A's go with Chris Bassitt (7-2, 3.40), who gave up two runs over five innings in a win over the Royals on Sunday. Bassitt has also been good for Oakland, but note that the A's have seen the total go over in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Everything points to this one flying over sooner, rather than later; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Oakland. | |||||||
06-20-21 | Reds v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres/Reds OVER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). The Padres won 7-5 yesterday and I predict a similar final combined score here as well. Luis Castillo (2-9, 5.83 ERA), enters off his strongest start of the year, holding the Brewers scoreless over seven innings on Tuesday. Castillo has been better of late, but he's still only 1-4 with a 5.99 ERA on the road. Dinelson Lamet (1-2, 3.33) gae up one run over four innings in a loss to the Rockies on Monday. He's only pitched 27 innings, so the sample size is just too small to draw any final conclusions, but I will point out that the Padres have seen the total go over in eight of their last 11 after scoring seven or more runs in a home victory in their last outing. This number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Padres. | |||||||
06-20-21 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Nats/Mets UNDER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Two teams that normally have difficulties putting runs on the board face-off against two red hot hurlers and everything points to this one staying well under the number. The Mets see Taijuan Walker (6-2, 2.12 ERA) toe the rubber, and he most recently picked up a win over the Cubs on Tuesday, striking out 12 over seven innings. Walker has now allowed one run or fewer in six of his last seven starts. Patrick Corbin (4-5, 5.60) comes in off his strongest start of the year and I expect him to build off it, holding the Pirates to one run over 8.1 innings while striking out seven. Over 70.2 innings he has a decent 55/27 K/W. I'm banking on these two starters garnering most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries; this number is high, the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Mets. | |||||||
06-19-21 | Brewers v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rockies/Brewers OVER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Colorado won here 6-5 last night and I expect the Rockies to build off that victory with another here on Saturday night. Austin Gomber (6-5, 3.54 ERA) has been solid for the Rockies with a 75/23 K/W. Gomber enters on top form, having won three straight and all signs point to that progression rolling here going up against Adrian House (4-5, 3.62), who gave up two runs over five innings in a win over the lowly Pirates on Sunday. Houser has been great in all day games, going 1-1 with a 2.15 ERA, but he's been poor in all night contests, going 3-4 with a 4.90 ERA. Look for another high-scoring affair here after these starters exit the game; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 8-6 Rockies. | |||||||
06-15-21 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rangers/Astros UNDER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). The opener of this three-game series sets up as a "duel" in my opinion. The Rangers go with Kyle Gibson (4-0, 2.13 ERA), who last allowed two runs and struck out five over six innings in a no-decision to the Giants. He'll be opposed by Lance McCullers (3-1, 2.96), woh has been activated from the DL to make his return. NOte that he's been great at home thus far with a 3.19 ERA. Everything points to these two competent hurler fighting deep into the latter frames; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Astros. | |||||||
06-12-21 | Rangers v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 12-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rangers/Dodgers OVER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). The Dodgers won here 12-1 last night. I expect even more runs scored here, except I believe it'll be much more competitive this time around. Trevor Bauer (6-4, 2.40 ERA) has been great overall for LA, but note that the DOgers have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last 11 after scoring 12 or more runs in a home win in their previous outing. I don't trust Kolby Allard (1-2, 3.41) on the road; he's been great overall but he's 1-1 with a 2.22 ERA at home, and 0-1 with a 5.51 ERA on the road. This one has over written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Dodgers. | |||||||
06-08-21 | Mariners v. Tigers OVER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tigers/Mariners OVER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Marco Gonzalez (1-3, 5.01 ERA), is coming off a strong outing against the A's, allowing one run over four innings. Gonzalez though has been poor overall this year, especially on the road where he's just 1-2 with a 6.56 ERA. Matt Boyd is 2-6 with a 3.90 ERA, and while he's been better at home than on the road, he's coming off a poor start which I think is a precursor to further regression, allowing five runs over four innings to the Brewers. Everything points to these two starters getting chased early and I expect that to help in driving this total over the number! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Detroit. | |||||||
06-06-21 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yanks/Red Sox OVER (10* AL TOTAL OF MONTH). In my opinion, the Sunday night game has slug-fest written all over it. Garrett Richards (4-4, 3.75 ERA) owns a poor 14/12 K/BB over his last three outings. Domingo German (4-3, 3.27) has been a solid starter in this struggling Yankees rotation this year, but note that New York has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 after three or more straight losses in a row; this one has over written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Yanks. | |||||||
06-05-21 | Indians v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 10-4 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/Indians UNDER (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). I'm expecting an absolute pitchers "duel" here between two line-ups that struggle with offensive consistency. Aaron Civale is 7-2 with a 3.28 ERA. He hasn't been at his best over his last two starts, but that's only because he's set the bar so high so early. Civale is still 4-1 with a 3.37 ERA on the road. John Means (4-1, 2.05) has been spectacular this year. He's off his first loss of the year to the White Sox despite only allowing three runs over five innings. To go along with his tiny ERA, he also owns a great 0.80 WHIP. Everything points to these two studs battling into the latter frames; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Orioles. | |||||||
06-02-21 | Rangers v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies/Rangers OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). Colorado won 3-2 in extra innings here yesterday. After that low-scoring contest, I expect plenty of offensive fireowrks here on Wednesday. The bottom line is, I don't trust either Antonio Senzatela (1-5, 4.97 ERA) of the Rockies, or Jordan Lyles (2-4, 5.79) of the Rangers here as starting pitchers. Each has struggled with consistency from game-to-game this year and throwing at Coors is definitely not what the doctor ordered. Finally, note the Rangers have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten in trying to revenge an extra innings road loss to an opponent; this number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 8-7 Rockies. | |||||||
05-30-21 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE). The last two games of this four-game series have flown over the number, but everything points to a classic "pitchers duel" between each team's bonafide "ace" on the mound to start. The visitors go with Kevin Gausman (5-0, 1.53 ERA), who went five shutout innings in a victory over the D-Backs in his last start, striking out nine in the process (allowed 11 runs over 64.2 innings.) Clayton Kershaw (7-3, 2.94) counters for the LA, and he gave up one run and struck out six over eight innings in a win over the Astros on Tuesday (owns a ridiculous 71/10 K/BB this year as well.) This one will be decided by these two starters; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
05-24-21 | Cardinals v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cards/White Sox UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The White Sox are struggling at the plate right now. They enter off a three-game series loss at New York. Thankfully they're sending their ace to the mound in Lance Lynn (4-1, 1.55 ERA), who has a sharp 0.98 WHIP. The Cardinals are 26-20 and overall. Kwang Hyun Kim (1-1, 2.73), looks to bounce back from an off outing vs. San Diego and he's been sharp in all "night" games by going 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA. Look for these two hungry/capable starters to battle deep; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 ChiSox. | |||||||
05-19-21 | Tigers v. Mariners OVER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Mariners/Tigers OVER (8* SUPER TOTAL). The Mariners won't be lacking for motivation here off back-to-back low-scoring losses to Detroit, including yesterday's 5-0 setback (the M's though have seen the total go over in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which they were shutout in.) The Tigers can't look past any opportunity either after a slow start. Tarik Skubal is 0-6 with a 5.73 ERA for the Tigers, while Logan Gilbert is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA for the Mariners. Expect these two to get the hook early and look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 6-5 Mariners. | |||||||
05-17-21 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 9 | Top | 16-4 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox/Twins UNDER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). I think these starting pitchers are in line for a classic duel on Monday night. Chicago goes with Dallas Keuchel (2-1, 4.53 ERA), who comes in off his worst start of the season, allowing six runs off eight hits over 5.2 innings vs. these very Twins, but still managed to get the victory. Previous to that he delivered seven scoreless. The home side counters with JA Happ (2-1, 4.26), who will also be out to atone for last week's poor outing vs. the White Sox, as he threw opposite Keuchel, conceding nine runs off nine hits over 3.1 innings. Heading into that contest Happ had a 1.91 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over 28.1 innings. Expect these hungry and capable starters to get back on track; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 White Sox. | |||||||
05-13-21 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 8-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Reds/Rockies OVER (8* MONEY-MAKER). Coors Field is the great equalizer in sports. Now, both the Reds and the Rockies have struggled with offensive consistency this year, but each is primed for a big night at the plate facing these confirmed "gas can" starters in the opener of this series. Luis Castillo (1-4, 6.42 ERA) and Chi Chi Gonzalez (1-1, 5.97), are both struggling this season and I simply can't seem them "flipping a switch" and resolving their issues in this brutal pitchers arena. This one has over written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 8-7 Reds. | |||||||
05-09-21 | Rockies v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rockies/Cards OVER (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). The Rockies have lost seven of ten. Colorado can't be feeling too confident here either in sending confirmed "gas can" to the hill in German Marquez, who is 1-3 with a 6.21 ERA so far (10.45 ERA in all "day" games.) The Cards counter with the waining Adam Wainwright (1-3, 4.73 ERA); to go along with his elevated ERA, Wainwright also sports a pedestrian 1.34 WHIP. Expect lots of baserunners and plenty of runs; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 8-7 St. Louis. | |||||||
05-08-21 | Rockies v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 8-9 | Win | 101 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies/Cards OVER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). St. Louis won 5-0 yesterday. While that game stayed well under the number, I believe we'll see a much higher-scoring slug-fest between these two hungry clubs this afternoon. The Cardinals go with Carlos Martinez (2-4, 3.72 ERA), who went eight shutout vs. the Pirates in his last start. While he's 4-1 in 13 career appearances vs. the Rockies, he owns just a 5.57 ERA in that span. Chi Chi Gonzalez (1-0, 4.38) counters for the visiting side; he most recently was shelled for four runs off five hits over four innings in what turned out to be an 8-4 road loss to the D-Backs. Everything points to a similar final combined score here as well in my opinion; this number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 St. Louis. | |||||||
05-04-21 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals/Braves OVER (10* MONEY-MAKER). A couple of suspect starters go head to head in this one and in my opinion, every points to a "slug-fest!" The Braves turned to Huascar Ynoa, while the Nationals go with Joe Ross. Both are actually coming off strong showings, with Ynoa going 5.1 scoreless vs. the Cubs, while Ross gave up one run over six innings in a victory over the Mets. Let's take those performances with a grain of salt though, as neither is an offensive juggernaut. These teams are in the upper half in terms of OPS and everything points to this one flying over the number sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Braves. | |||||||
05-01-21 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Reds/Cubs OVER (10*). The Reds rolled to an 8-6 win yesterday and I expect a similar final combined score here. A couple of confirmed "gas cans" go head to head in thisone. The visitors hand the ball to the struggling Zach Davies, who has a 9.47 ERA over five appearances for his new team. The Reds counter with Luis Castillo, who has a poor 6.29 ERA over 24.1 innings of work this year. The over is 20-6-2 in the Cubs last 28 as a road dog and everything points to another slug-fest for sure here as well; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 8-7 Reds. | |||||||
04-30-21 | Royals v. Twins OVER 8 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
T.T.M. Selection: Twins/Royals OVER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). The Royals have been playing well of late, as they've won six of their last seven. they average 4.52 RPG. Singer has been sharp, he's 1-2 with a 2.95 ERA, but regression seems imminent vs. this hungry Twins side, which finally snapped a five-game slide with a big 10-2 win over the Tribe last night. Michael Pineda has been good as well, although he comes in off a poor outing, getting shelled for five runs over 4.1 innings in a loss to the Pirates. All signs point to these two starters getting chased early; as a result, look for this one to fly well over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. | |||||||
04-29-21 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yanks/Orioles OVER (10* MONEY-MAKER). The bottom line is, I don't trust either of these starters and that's why I LOVE the over in this one. Jordan Montgomery is 1-1 with a 4.57 ERA, most recently allowing three runs off four hits over four innings in a no-decision vs. the Indians on Friday for the Yankees. Jorge Lopez has been a complete disaster in the early going for the O's, as he's 1-3 with a ballooned 8.15 ERA. Look for these two to get the hook early here and for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 8-7 New York. | |||||||
04-27-21 | Red Sox v. Mets OVER 8.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Red Sox/Mets OVER (8*). An interleague series here. Both Boston and New York have gotten out to slow starts, but each has looked better at the plate of late. Both come in off wins. Both face terrible starting pitchers in the opener of this series. The Red Sox hand the ball to Garret Richards (0-2, 6.48 ERA), while the Mets counter with David Peterson (1-2, 6.75). This one has offensive "F-I-R-E-W-O-R-K-S" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Mets. | |||||||
04-23-21 | Marlins v. Giants UNDER 7 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marlins/Giants UNDER (10*). Miami is averaging 4.1 RPG, while San Fran is averaging 3.4. These teams limit the opposition, as Miami is fifth with a .209 batting average against, while San Fran is seventh at .215. Alcantara and Wood are primed for a big night, expect a classic "duel" to start. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 San Fran | |||||||
04-23-21 | Angels v. Astros OVER 8 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Astros/Angels OVER (8*). The last eight times these teams have gotten together, the total has gone over the number. Don't expect anything to change here either. Zack Greinke is 2-1 with a 2.81 ERA for the Astros, but Andrew Heaney is just 1-1 with a 5.65 ERA for the Angels. LA has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 11 as well after a loss in which it was held to under two runs in. This number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Houston. | |||||||
04-23-21 | A's v. Orioles OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: A's/O's OVER (8*). Oakland's current win streak has been because of a power surge at the plate. So far Oakland is tied for the AL lead in HR's with 25 and it's now slugging .400 as a team. Cole Irvin is 1-2 with a 4.60 ERA in three starts for Oakland, while Jorge Lopez is 1-2 with an 8.56 ERA for the Orioles. Everything points to this total flying over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Oakland. | |||||||
04-22-21 | Diamondbacks v. Reds OVER 8.5 | Top | 14-11 | Win | 105 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: DBacks/Reds OVER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Taylor Widener has been superb in the early going for Arizona. He lost to Cincinnati earlier already, allowing four runs over five innings. Jeff Hoffman goes for the home side, and he's 1-4 with a 9.29 ERA in 11 career starts vs. Arizona. Hoffman has also been good in the early going for the Reds, but the sample size is still way too small here. The Reds are on the ropes early, desperate to break their three-game slide. Cincy has seen the total go over in three straight and everything points to that continuing here; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 8-7 Reds. | |||||||
04-21-21 | Braves v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yanks/Braves OVER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). The Yanks managed a 3-1 win the opener of this interleague series yesterday, but I expect a much higher-scoring contest here in Game 2. Note that NY has seen the total go over in eight of its last 11 after playing to back to back unders as well. Ian Anderson and Corey Kluber have both struggled for their respective clubs this year. These line-ups have for sure underperformed to start the season, but here's the game where they each explode. These are two teams which were picked by most to compete for the World Series, but so far each has been a major disappointment. Expect a high-scoring slug-fest in this one! T.M. Prediction: 8-7 New York. | |||||||
04-19-21 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 7 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres/Brewers UNDER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). All signs point to a classic "duel" here between the Padres Joe Musgrove (2-1, 0.47 ERA) and the Brewers Brandon Woodruff (0-0, 2.12 ERA.) Both teams have also struggled with offensive consistency from game-to-game this year. This play is also supported by some strong stats though as well, as note that Milwaukee has seen the total go under in eight of its last 11 whne playing on no days rest and allowing six or more runs in a loss in its previous outing, while the Padres have seen the total stay below the posted number in five of their last seven after playing to back-to-back unders themselves. This number is high, the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Padres. | |||||||
04-18-21 | Giants v. Marlins OVER 8 | 1-0 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Marlins/Giants OVER (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). Alex WOod makes his Giants debut today. Last year he went 0-1 with a 6.39 ERA. Wood's had plenty of success against the Marlins in the past, but that was then and this is now. Miami is a different team now, and it comes in havnig won two straight. Pablo Lopez counters for the home side and he was unspectacular in allowing six runs over four innings in a loss to the Braves in his last outing. The Giants are desperate to break their two-game slide and here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. While yesterday's game went under, everything points to a classic slug-fest on Sunday! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. | |||||||
04-16-21 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pirates/Brewers UNDER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). I think this one sets up as a bit of a duel between JT Brubaker and Adrian Houser. Brubaker has by far been the Pirates best pitcher this year, as he has a tiny 1.80 ERA over 9.1 innings to go along with ten K's. The Brewers will be without slugger Christian Yellich still in this one. The Brewers hitting has been terrible, as they're 28th in the league with a collective .204 hitting average. Look for these two competent starting pitchers to dominate this game and for this total to fall under at the end of the night. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Milwaukee. | |||||||
04-07-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 0-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies/DBacks OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). Madison Bumgarner is old. He's coming off a poor 2020 and he was bad in Spring. He is also coming off a terrible opening start againt the Padres, allowing six earned runs and thre walks over four innings (13.50 ERA). While he's had success against the Rockies in the past, clearly that was then, and this is now. Antonio Senzatela is coming off a crummy opening start, which is uncharacterisitc. Still, until he can prove that he's gotten things under control, I believe all signs point to these two volatile starters getting the hook early, which will in turn help in driving this total well over the number at the end of the night; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 10-8 Colorado. | |||||||
04-02-21 | White Sox v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 12-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Angels/White Sox OVER (8*). The Angels held on for the 4-3 win last night and I think they offer great value to do it again on Friday. I would classify Chicago starter Dallas Keuchel and Angels' starter Andrew Heaney as a wash in this contest, meaning that other variables come into play here. I have a play on LA as part of my three-game report, but after yesterday's lower-scoring "duel," I'm also expecting a much higher-scoring game this time around as well. As note that Chicago has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 11 road games in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it scored three or less runs in; this number is low, time to hammer the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Angels. | |||||||
04-02-21 | Rays v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rays/Marlins OVER (8*). I have nothing negative to say about either Rays' starter Ryan Yabrough or Marlins' starter Pablo Lopez. Each is coming off a decent campaign from last year and both had efficient spring showings. This pick isn't based on the starting pitchers. This number is just a little too low and after yesterday's low-scoring 1-0 win for Tampa, everything points to this one being a much higher-scoring contest on Friday night. Because note, the Marlins have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last 11 interleague home games when the total in the contest is set between 7.5 and 8. The Rays have seen the total go over the number in 12 of their last 17 when playing with no days rest and off a shutout victory the day before. This number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Rays. | |||||||
10-27-20 | Rays v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 35 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UNDER 4.5 Rays/Dodgers (8* TOTAL BASE-CLEANER). For the most part this series has been dominated by these line-ups, as all but one game so far has flown over the posted total. Game 6 though I think will be a very tightly contested affair. The Dodgers' lineup has its work cut out for it today facing Blake Snell, who has a 3.45 ERA in the playoffs and who has been one of the best and most consistent AL pitchers over the last couple of seasons. I look for Snell to help in driving this total under the number over the first five innings! T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Rays. | |||||||
10-25-20 | Dodgers v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). I had a play on the Dodgers in Game 4 and while that was an unfortunate setback, I look to bounce back here in this important Game 5 matchup. It's been each team's dynamic offenses which have been in the spotlight in the early going, but I expect a classic pitchers duel here between Dodgers' ace Clayton Kershaw (who gave up only one run and had eight K's in the Game 1 victory) and the Rays' Tyler Glasnow (who gave up four runs in the Game 1 loss, but who previously was arguably the hottest starter in the playoffs up to that point.) Tampa has also seen the total go under in eight of its last 11 after scoring eight or more runs in a victory in its previous outing. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-21-20 | Rays v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rays/Dodgers UNDER (9* TOTAL BEST OF BEST). Blake Snell has been one of the best pitchers in the American League over the last three years. He's faced some stiff competition, including facing the daunting New York Yankees many times. Snell isn't going to be intimidated here, note that he's 2-2 with a 3.20 ERA and 19 K's so far in this postseason. Tony Gonsonlin will get the call here for the Dodgers and while he's allowed seven runs over 6.1 innings in the playoffs, note that LA has seen the total dip under the number in 11 of its last 17 after scoring 8 or more runs in its previous outing, while also winning by four or more runs. This number is high considering the circumstances and listed information above; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Rays. | |||||||
10-17-20 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Dodgers UNDER (8*). Walker Buehler and Max Fried were not perfect in Game 1, but the total in that contest was the only one that's gone under the number so far. After four straight overs, I do finally expect this one to fall under. Note that the Braves have seen the total drop under the number in 14 of their last 21 after a three runs or greater setback in which they allowed six or more runs in. This number is high, the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-15-20 | Dodgers v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST). After two straight overs, I expect this Game 4 total to stay well under the number. Wow, 11 runs in the top of the first inning for the Dodgers in Game 3! LA wasn't fooling around! After scoring 18 runs in Game 3 though, this Game 4 matchup absolutely sets up as a lower-scoring affair. Clayton Kershaw has been great for the Dodgers in the playoffs, going 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA so far. The Braves will start with Bryse Wilson on the mound and while he posted a 1.13 ERA over eight innings in two starts in teh regular season, the Braves are fully expecting to move to their bullpen very early. Atlanta has seen the total go under in eight of its last 12 after allowing 12 or more runs in a loss to an opponent as well. This one has "duel" written all over it; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-13-20 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The reason I like the under here? Simple, the starting pitchers. I look for these two studs to battle deep and ultimately I expect that will help in driving this total well under the number once it's all said and done. Ian Anderson was 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA in six starts in the regular season for the Braves and he has so far pitched 11.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. The Braves' bullpen has given up just one run over 23.1 innings and posted a 0.39 ERA in the process. Dodgers' starter Tony Gonsolin made ten regular season starts and posted a 2.31 ERA and 0.84 WHIP along with 46K's to just seven walks over 46 2/3's innings of work. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
10-06-20 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers/Padres UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). There's no love loss between these clubs. LA won six of ten in the regular season series. Walker Buehler gets the start in Game 1 for the Dodgers and he's pitched just twice since September, but he did go four innings in the wild-card round vs. the Brewers. Zach Davies was 4-2 with a 3.03 ERA in the regular season, but he got knocked around hard by the Cards in the wildcard round, allowing four runs over two innings, fortunate to escape with a no-decision. Those types of outings have been few and far between for the veteran though and there's no reason not to think he won't be considerably better here. Note as well that San Diego has seen the total dip under the number in five of its last six after three or more days of rest. This number is high, play on the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
09-30-20 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 31 h 2 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers/Brewers UNDER (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). The bottom line is, I think these two starters will battle deep and I think that will ultimately help in driving this total well under the posted number. Walker Buehler was 1-0 with a 3.44 ERA and he's backed by the best bullpen in the NL with a 2.74 ERA. Buehler has faced the Brewers once in his career and he allowed one run over seven innings. Milwaukee starter Brent SUter was 2-0 with a 3.13 ERA this year and the Brewers finished sixth in the NL with a staff ERA of 4.16 (Milwaukee though struggled offensively, batting .223 collectively, ranked 26th.) The stage is set for a classic "duel." This number is high, play the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. | |||||||
09-25-20 | Red Sox v. Braves OVER 10.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Red Sox OVER (10* TOTAL UPPER-DECK). Boston won't be playing in the post-season, but it's gotten hot at the end of the season. The Braves are still trying to lock down the No. 2 spot in the NL, so this is an important game and series as well for them. And guess what?! Two gas can starters head to the hill here in Boston's Chris Mazza, who is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and Kyle Wright, who is 2-4 with a 5.74 ERA. Finally note that the Braves have in fact seen the total soar over the number in 11 of their last 17 interleague road games when the total is set between 10.5 and 11. This number is a tad low! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Braves. | |||||||
09-17-20 | Indians v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 107 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians/Tigers OVER (10*) The Indians have lost eight straight and they're coming off another low-scoring loss at the Cubs just last night. Clearly this is a "do or die" series for the Tribe and while their ace Shane Bieber is likely going to dominate here, I think that Tigers' rookie starter Casey Mize, who is winless over his first six stars with a 5.85 ERA, will get the hook early in this one. Look for this one to fly WAY OVER once it's all said and done! T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Indians. | |||||||
09-16-20 | Diamondbacks v. Angels OVER 9 | Top | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 30 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels/D-Backs over (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Yesterday's series opener blasted past the posted number in the D-Backs 9-8 victory and I think a similar final combined score is in the cards in the second between these clubs on Wednesday night. The visitors go with Caleb Smith, who is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA and who gave up one run over three innings in his debut vs. Seattle last week. Smith has always shown promise, but I think the larger workload here isn't going to help his peripherals one bit. Angels starter Dylan Bundy is 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA and he's been one of the lone bright spots for the Angels this season. That said I find it interesting to note that the Angels have seen the total go over the number in ten of their last 16 after allowing nine or more runs in a one run loss to an opponent at home in their previous outing. This number is a little, let's hammer the over! T.M. Prediction: 10-6 Angels. | |||||||
09-11-20 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 10.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nats/Braves OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH). The Braves are tearing the cover off the ball right now. ATL came from behind to win 7-6 last night and I think an even bigger combined score is in the cards for Friday's contest. And that's because a couple of confirmed "gas cans" are squaring off against each other. The Braves Josh Tomlin has actually been decent, as he's 2-2 with a 3.77 ERA. It's interesting to note thought that ATL has had 25 games in which its starter has completed four or fewer innings. The Nats counter with Erick Fedde, who is 1-3 with a 5.29 ERA and who is 0-1 with a 17.36 ERA in three career appearances vs. the Braves. And note that ATL has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 11 after scoring 7 or more runs in its previous outing, while also winning by a single run. This number is low, expect another slug-fest! T.M. Prediction: 9-7 Atlanta. | |||||||
09-09-20 | Royals v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tribe/Royals UNDER (10*). While yesterday's game sailed well over the number, I expect more of a "duel" on Wednesday. The Royals turn to Danny Duffy, who is 2-3 with a 4.83 ERA, while the home side goes with Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-3 with a 3.43 ERA. Carrasco has to be feeling confident today as he's 12-7 with a 3.86 ERA in 26 career appearances vs. the Royals, including striking out ten over six frames on July 26th. Duffy faced the Tribe on July 24th and allowed two runs over five innings in the 2-0 setback. Expect these two starters to battle deep and look for this one to stay well UNDER once it's all said and done! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Indians. | |||||||
08-30-20 | Dodgers v. Rangers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rangers/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). While yesterday's game flew well above the posted number, I expect more of a duel in the finale of this interleague series. Tony Gonsolin is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and it's not because he hasn't played, it's because he's thrown 14.2 scoreless innings so far this season for the Dodgers, posting a 12/2 K/W in the process. I love Gonsolin to continue his progression here. Kyle Gibson is 1-2 with a 4.73 ERA so far and he'll be eager to return to form here after getting shelled for the A's in his last start (note though that Gibson is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in three starts vs. NL teams this year.) Additionally note that Texas has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 after allowing seven or more runs in a home loss in its last outing. This number is a little high! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Dodgers. | |||||||
08-30-20 | Indians v. Cardinals OVER 8 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cards/Indians OVER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). While yesterday's game stayed well under the number in the Indians' 2-1 victory, I believe the finale of this interleague series is going to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. Both Civale and Wainwright have been sharp for their respective clubs, but note that St. Louis has seen the total fly over the number in ten of its last 12 interleague home games after scoring one or less runs in a loss in its previous outing. This number is a little low! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 St. Louis. | |||||||
08-27-20 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cards/Pirates UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). Pittsburgh comes in off a 10-3 loss to the White Sox yesterday afternoon, while St. Louis had the day off. This is a make up game for an earlier postponement. The Cards have to be feeling confident here with Kwang Hyun Kim, who is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA so far. Kim threw six shutout innings in a 3-0 win over the Reds on Saturday. Cody Ponce gets the nod for the Pirates and he's 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA. Ponce makes his first start of the year here, but he's reportedly look great the Pirates' alternate training site. I have a hard time seeing the offensively challenged visiting side mustering much offense here, this number is too high! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Cards. | |||||||
08-25-20 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs/Rockies UNDER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). The Rockies enter off a 3-2 win last night and I think another low-scoring "under" is in the cards on Tuesday night as well. German Marquez is 2-4 with a 4.38 ERA and he comes in off a very uncharacteristicly poor start, getting rocked for ten earned runs off ten hits over five innings vs. the Astros on Thursday. It was one of the worst starts of his career and I'm not reading too much into it. Alex Young is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA for the Diamondbacks and he so far has nine K's over eight innings of work as a starters. With "Mad-Bum" still injured, Young has an opportunity to further showcase his potential and I expect him to make the most of it. This number is high, I'm hammering the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Arizona. | |||||||
08-21-20 | Rockies v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -117 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies/Dodgers OVER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). I look for this total to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. The visitors go with Jon Gray, who is 1-2 with a 5.74 ERA and who comes in off his first win of the year, allowing three runs over seven innings vs. the lowly Rangers on Sunday. Gray though conceded two home runs and three earned runs over the first four innings, before settling down. The home side counters with Walker Buehler, who is 0-0 with a 5.21 ERA. Buehler looks terrible in the early going and I don't think he's going to be able to just "throw a switch" here. Note that he was shelled for five runs over 4.2 innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Angels on Saturday. Recent form of these two "gas can" starters points to the OVER as the right move in this one! T.M. Prediction: 9-5 Dodgers. | |||||||
08-20-20 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: RedSox/Orioles OVER (10*). I had a play on the Red Sox last night as they finally broke out of their losing slide with a 6-3 upset home win over the Phillies. Now the Red Sox look to make it two in a row vs the lowly Orioles, who will be eager to atone for a 5-2 home loss to the Jays yesterday afternoon. I'll point out that the Orioles have seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last nine after scoring two runs or less in a home loss in their previous outing. This number is low, hammer the over! T.M. Prediction: 8-4 Red Sox. |
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