Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-16-19 | Grizzlies v. Wizards -2.5 | 128-135 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (8*) The Wizards stumbled on Friday at home to Charlotte, but I think it’ll bounce back here and avenge a 107-95 loss to the Grizzlies that it suffered at the start of the season. Memphis enters off a 132-11 loss at Atlanta on Wednesday. Memphis averages only 101.8 PPG, while allowing 104.1. The Wizards are an impressive 8-4 in the second game of back to backs this season, averaging 115 points and allowing 114.4 in those contests. The Wizards are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. teams with losing SU records, while the Grizz are only 6-15 ATS in their last 21 on the road. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 118-104 Wizards. | |||||||
03-14-19 | Lakers v. Raptors -9.5 | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 27 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (8*) The Lakers have been hit or miss this year. They’ve been terrible against the “better” competition. They’ve struggled against “deep” teams, and that is exactly what Toronto is all about. The Raptors are one game behind the Bucks in the standings now after dropping two of three. I expect the home side to come in very focused and to take advantage here. Note that LA is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven when playing on one days rest, while the Raptors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five after a SU loss of more than ten points. T.M. Prediction: 130-115 Raptors. | |||||||
03-14-19 | Lakers v. Raptors OVER 231 | Top | 98-111 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lakers/Raptors over (10*) LA still has an extreme outside shot at making the playoffs. It won’t be going down without a fight here. After losing two of three, Toronto also won’t be taking anything for granted here. I expect a faster paced, wide open affair. A faster paced game = more shots and more shots = more points. Note as well that LA has seen the total go over the number in four of five in trying to revenge a home loss of ten points or more to an opponent, while Toronto has seen the total go over in five of its last six overall this month. T.M. Prediction: 130-115 Raptors. | |||||||
03-14-19 | Thunder v. Pacers -1 | 106-108 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (8*) A family emergency has me scrambling this morning an unable to do my normal detailed analysis. This pick is based upon the fact that the Thunder played a tough game at home last night vs. the Nets, one which the were forced to play catch up in the entire night. OKC came out on top, but I think it’ll struggle here in the second game of the back-to-back. Note that the Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten at home, while the Thunder are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight when playing the second game of a back-to-back. T.M. Prediction: 114-107 Pacers. | |||||||
03-13-19 | Jazz v. Suns +7 | Top | 114-97 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10:05 EST). The Jazz have been playing terribly of late and the Suns have been playing great. I think those trends continue here. Utah enters off consecutive losses to the Thunder and Grizzlies, while the Suns come in off an epic road win at Golden State. Devin Booker had 37 points, eight boards, 11 assists and two steals in the win over the Warriors. The Suns are healthy and confident. The Jazz are in complete disarray and note that they’re a terrible 5-8 ATS in their last 13 as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Utah. | |||||||
03-12-19 | Bucks v. Pelicans UNDER 237.5 | Top | 130-113 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucks/Pelicans under (10* O/U BLOWOUT) Milwaukee comes to town focused here after its 121-114 road loss to San Antonio on Sunday. New Orleans is also hoping for a bounce back here after falling 128-116 on the road in Atlanta on Sunday. The Bucks won this matchup at home 123-115 back on December 19th, but I’m expecting a much more defensive battle this time around. Milwaukee averages 117.4 PPG and it allows 108.4. The Pelicans have dropped three straight. They average 115.6 points and they allow 115.4. The Pelicans won’t be playing in the postseason and the whole Anthony Davis fiasco, along with further injuries to other key players, has sent NO’s in to a tail spin. The Bucks will look to take advantage, but there’s no need to get into a “shootout” here. Note that Milwaukee has seen the total go under the number in 18 of its last 28 after scoring 105 points or more in five straight games also. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 117-110 Milwaukee. | |||||||
03-11-19 | Hornets +9 v. Rockets | Top | 106-118 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK) Clearly the Rockets are the better team, but I think the home side will lets its guard down enough to allow the hungry Hornets to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Charlotte has no more room for error at this point after losing three of its last four. While the outright upset is likely out of the question, we don’t have to question the visitors resolve and focus this evening. But after winning eight straight, including a tiger than expected win over the Mavericks on Sunday, I think the Rockets do come out flat here vs. their lowly non-conference opponent. Note as well that Charlotte is 6-3 ATS already this season revenging a home loss vs. an opponent, while the Rockets are just 11-14 ATS in non-conference contests. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Rockets. | |||||||
03-10-19 | Suns +17 v. Warriors | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Suns had won four of five before a 127-117 setback in Portland last night. Phoenix won’t be resting anyone tonight though, but Golden State most likely will. After losing badly to Boston, the Warriors bounced back with a big win over the Nuggets in their last outing. The one thing that Golden State though has shown this season (especially in the second half) is inconsistency from game to game and it’s also often played down to the level of its competition. I think the Suns got caught looking ahead to this more high profile contest last night. Outright win? Nope. But closer than expected. Note that Phoenix is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while Golden State is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after leading its previous game by 15 or points at the half. T.M. Prediction: 120-114 Warriors. | |||||||
03-09-19 | Wizards v. Wolves UNDER 243 | Top | 130-135 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wizards/Wolves under (10* TRADE-MARK) This number is high. The Wizards come in off an exhausting one point loss in Charlotte just last night and I think the team will struggle to muster up any sort of energy in the second game of the back-to-back. The Wolves on most nights push the pace from start to finish, as defense is normally an afterthought, but Minnesota is going to be able to control this one facing its tired non-conference opponent. These teams met in DC last weekend, and the Wizards won 135-121, but all signs point to more of a lower-scoring defensive affair this time around. T.M. Prediction: 125-110 Wolves. | |||||||
03-08-19 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5.5 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (8* FIST FIGHT) Both teams come in off victories. Utah held on for a 114-104 road win over New Orleans, while the Grizzlies got the better of the Blazers 120-111 at home on Tuesday. Memphis has taken two of three in the season series, but Utah won last time out 96-88 on the road back on November 12th. Utah averages 110.3 PPG and it allows 106.8. The Grizzlies got 40 points from Mike Conley in their latest win as the super star finally starts to round into his own after a significant injury and with the focus of the team shifting now that big man Marc Gasol is gone. Overall the Grizz have averaged 101.5 PPG and allowed just 103.8. Note that Utah is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 105 points or more in five straight games, while Memphis is 9-3 ATS this season when playing with two days of rest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Utah. | |||||||
03-08-19 | Mavs +7 v. Magic | Top | 106-111 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* GAME OF MONTH) Both teams are on the outside of the playoff picture looking in. Chances are pretty slim for either obviously. Dallas comes in off a 132-123 road loss in the nation’s capital, while Orlando lost 114-106 in Philadelphia on Tuesday. Dallas beat Orlando 101-76 at home in early December and I believe it has a legitimate shot at the outright upset here as well. The Mavericks certainly won’t be lacking for motivation after losing three straight and eight of their last nine. Dallas averages 108.2 PPG and it allows 109.8. But a date against the equally as inept Magic is just what the doctor ordered in my opinion. Orlando has now lost two straight. The Magic average 105.9 PPG and they allow 106.8. Dallas though is still a solid 17-9 ATS in non-conference games, while Orlando is just 2-8 ATS when playing with two days rest and only 12-14 ATS in non-conference games this season. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Orlando. | |||||||
03-06-19 | Celtics v. Kings +1 | Top | 111-109 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Kings have been a nice surprise in the Western Conference, but clearly the Celtics are the better team. Boston has been waffling of late, but after its big blowout win at Golden State just last night, I think the visitors will stumble here in the second game of the back to back. The Kings are desperate for a win, as they’ve gone 2-4 since the All Star break, moving them back into the ninth spot in the West. Note as well that the Kings are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 at home and 7-2 ATS in their last nine vs. a team with a losing road record. Expect the hungry home side to step up and take advantage here. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Kings. | |||||||
03-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 107-95 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10*) It would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these teams. Both come in playing at a very high level. Toronto has won ten of its last 12 and Houston has won five in a row, including a convincing win in Boston last time out. Toronto though plays with revenge here after falling 121-119 in Houston earlier in the season and I think that’ll be the difference this evening. Houston stumbles finally in this difficult road arena and at the end of its lengthy Eastern trip. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 Toronto. | |||||||
03-05-19 | Bulls +8.5 v. Pacers | 96-105 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Bulls (8*) The Bulls come in “under the radar” here. Chicago comes in as the highest scoring team in the league over the last ten games. The Bulls are finally healthy, led by Lauri Markanen with 25 points and 12.9 boards during the recent offensive surge. Chicago also plays with “triple in-season revenge” here. The Pacers are heading in the opposite direction now having dropped three of four, most recently an upset loss at home to the lowly Magic. Note as well that Chicago is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points, while Indiana is just 2-3 ATS this year after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 106-102 Pacers. | |||||||
03-05-19 | Bulls v. Pacers UNDER 220 | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bulls/Pacers under (8*) The Bulls come in “under the radar” here. Chicago comes in as the highest scoring team in the league over the last ten games. The Bulls are finally healthy, led by Lauri Markanen with 25 points and 12.9 boards during the recent offensive surge. Chicago also plays with “triple in-season revenge” here. The Pacers are heading in the opposite direction now having dropped three of four, most recently an upset loss at home to the lowly Magic. These are two hungry teams, but I believe we’re in store for more of a “chess match,” rather than a wide-open run-and-gun shootout. Note that Chicago has seen the total go under in 16 of 24 following a home loss, while Indiana has seen the total dip under in eight of 11 this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. This number is high, play the “under.” T.M. Prediction: 106-102 Pacers. | |||||||
03-04-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs +1 | Top | 103-104 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK) These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions. The Nuggets come to town having lost two straight, most recently a 120-112 upset at home to New Orleans. San Antonio crushed OKC 116-102 at home on Saturday and it’s now won two straight after a poor road trip. These teams have split a pair of games this year, but I think the momentum that the Spurs have created recently gets carried over. Note as well that Denver is a terrible 2-8 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while San Antonio is 12-2 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Spurs. | |||||||
03-03-19 | Blazers v. Hornets +3 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Blazers big post All Star run came to a crashing halt in a 119-117 road loss in Toronto on Friday and I think they’re ripe for the picking here as their marathon road trip comes to an end. The Hornets also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 127-96 on the road in the first meeting on January 11th. The Hornets broke a three-game slide with a quality road win in Brooklyn in their last game and they still hold the final spot in the Eastern Conference playoff race. It’s a golden opportunity for the home side here and I expect it to make the most of it. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Hornets. | |||||||
03-02-19 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -13 | Top | 120-112 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER) No need to overthink this one. The Pelicans’ big man Anthony Davis is sitting out after New Orleans’ 130-116 win over Phoenix, so we can expect the home side to lay the hammer down from start to finish in the thin mountain air. Denver comes in off a loss to the Jazz, but previous to that it had won five straight. Denver is also 8-2 ATS in its last ten at home,. while New Orleans is just 2-7 ATS in its lats nine in the second game of a back-to-back after winning the first by ten or more points. This one has blowout written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 128-108 Denver. | |||||||
03-01-19 | Hornets +3.5 v. Nets | Top | 123-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK) Both teams come in off losses. The Hornets fell 118-113 at home to the Rockets, while the Nets were upended 125-116 at home to Washington. The Hornets play with revenge here though after falling 117-115 at home to the Nets on February 23rd. Both teams need victories and clearly they’re very evenly matched (as evidenced by their game last week and by tonight’s spread.) The Hornets though are 5-1 ATS in their last six revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Sometimes, not always, the “revenge” angle “works.” That’s the case here. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-113 Hornets. | |||||||
02-28-19 | Warriors -6 v. Magic | Top | 96-103 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (7:05 EST). Orlando comes in off a deflating 108-103 road loss to the Knicks. The Warriors come to town off a 126-125 loss in Miami just last night. Golden State let the Heat back into the game late and an improbable last second 3-point shot by Dwayne Wade sealed the defending champs fate. A loss like that can be devastating for some teams, even in the middle of the regular season, but for the defending champs, it’s just another day at the office. The Warriors’ veterans quickly turn the page in my opinion and bounce back with a big effort in this favorable spot. Note that the Warriors are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after playing two consecutive road games, while the Magic are just 6-7 ATS as a home underdog of six points or less. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: 120-106 Warriors. | |||||||
02-27-19 | Clippers +9.5 v. Jazz | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 10* play on the LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams come in off wins over the Mavericks. Neither side has been playing particularly well since the All Star break though. But LA has many ATS advantages working in its favor today and I think that’ll be the difference. Note that the Clippers are 5-1 ATS revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, while Utah is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a home win by ten points or more. I’m banking on the hungry visiting side taking this one down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Jazz. | |||||||
02-26-19 | Thunder +3.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-121 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder (10* GAME OF HTE WEEK) It’s a big divisional game, but the Thunder play with double revenge here after dropping both previous meetings. Both teams have been playing well over the last two months, but I think that OKC has made bigger strides in that time. The Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the league since the start, but its early wins over OKC are skewed. That was then and this is now. Note that the Thunder are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent. And note that the Nuggets are just 1-2 ATS this season after two straight wins by ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 120-117 Thunder. | |||||||
02-25-19 | 76ers v. Pelicans UNDER 238 | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 76ers/Pelicans under (10* O/U TRADE-MARK) This can still be a relatively high-scoring game and stay below this sky high number and that’s exactly what I expect here. The 76ers look to get back on track after a loss at home to the Blazers. The 76ers have still won five of their last seven and they’ll be eager to get back to their winning ways despite having to once again play without the services of big man Joel Embiid. The Pelicans didn’t have AD in the line-up in their upset win at home over the Lakers last time out and while the NO’s big man will be suited up this evening, one has to wonder where his overall effort level will be at this evening? Davis’s presence is awkward and I think it disrupts the chemistry. Note as well that Philadelphia has seen the total go under the number in all four road games it’s played in this year when the total is greater than or equal to 230, while NO’s has seen the total go under three of four already this season after playing to three or more consecutive “overs.” This number is a little high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Pelicans. | |||||||
02-24-19 | Spurs v. Knicks +8.5 | Top | 118-130 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* MONEY-MAKER) San Antonio has looked great at time this year. It’s also looked downright atrocious. Injuries have once again been an issue for Greg Popovich this season, but after their 120-117 road loss in Toronto last time out, I think that the Spurs have a mental letdown here. The Knicks have been a “work in progress” all year and that’s the case again tonight after their most recent 115-104 home loss to the Wolves. But San Antonio has been at its worst on the road and I think the hungry home side has a very real shot at an outright upset. The Spurs are just 1-5 during their current road trip. San Antonio is also only 4-6 ATS this year as a road favorite. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 San Antonio. | |||||||
02-23-19 | Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 215.5 | Top | 109-125 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mavs/Jazz under (10* O/U BANKROLL BUILDER) This particular selection is based entirely around the fact that both teams played just last night. Dallas fell 114-104 at home to Denver, while the Jazz come in off a disheartening 148-147 loss at OKC. The last thing Utah will want to do is to turn this one into a “track meet” with the Mavericks after last night’s marathon. From a situational stand point, all signs definitely point to these two teams playing to a much more defensive and slower paced affair this evening. Note as well though that Dallas has seen the total go under in seven of its last nine road games following a home loss of ten points or more, while Utah has seen the total dip under in eight of its last 11 home games in the second game of a back to back after allowing 145 points or more in the first contest. This number is definitely high in my opinion considering the circumstances and ATS history. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 107-100 Utah. | |||||||
02-22-19 | Nuggets v. Mavs +4 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -113 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TRADE-MARK) I think the time off does the Mavs good and I believe the break came at a bad time for the Nuggets. Denver scored the 120-118 home win over the Kings in its final game before the All Star festivities. Dallas lost 112-101 at home to the Heat last Wednesday. Dallas plays with the added incentive of revenge here as well after falling 126-118 in Denver back on December 18th in the first meeting between the clubs. I believe the extra time off throws a monkey wrench into the Nuggets chemistry. The Mavs though can’t take anything for granted here after losing three of their last four. Note as well that Denver is just 1-4 ATS this year when playing with three or more days rest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Mavericks. | |||||||
02-21-19 | Heat +6.5 v. 76ers | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think Miami comes in under the radar here and takes advantage of a Philadelphia team which will be without the services of big man Joel Embiid. Miami enters off a 112-101 road win over Dallas on Wednesday, while the 76ers knocked off the Knicks 126-111 in their final game before the break. This is a revenge game though for the visitors after Embiid and company took care of business in Miami 124-114 back on November 12th. Miami comes in motivated as its locked in a tie for the eighth spot in the East currently. The Heat come in rested as well and note that they’re a money-making 12-7 ATS as a road underdog already this season. The 76ers come in undermanned and note that they’re a money-burning 5-9 ATS already this year after a blowout win by 15 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Philadelphia. | |||||||
02-13-19 | Rockets v. Wolves +3 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves (10* TRADE-MARK) Houston is 4-1 in its last five, but it comes in off a loss to Dallas and I think it’ll stumble here against the hungry home side, which broke a four-game slide with a win over the Clippers in its most recent action. The Rockets have been playing fantastically overall of late, but one has to wonder how long James Harden can play at such a high level? If the diminutive shooter takes the foot off the gas for even a moment, then the Rockets are in trouble. The Wolves won the first matchup between the clubs 103-91 on December 3rd and clearly they also have a legitimate shot at taking this one outright as well. Houston is only 6-11 ATS as a road favorite this year, while Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home dog. T.M. Prediction: 117-113 Wolves. | |||||||
02-12-19 | Lakers -5 v. Hawks | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The Lakers hit a buzzer beater to sink the C’s in Boston, but they came out flat in the second half of their last game vs. the 76ers and got blown away in the end. With this much more “winnable” contest up next, I fully expect “The King” to bring his A game tonight and to take full advantage. The Hawks enter off a 124-108 home loss to Orlando. The Lakers won’t be taking anything for granted here either as when these teams met in LA back on November 11th, they barely escaped with the 107-106 victory. So far LA averages 112.2 PPG, while allowing 113.4. The Hawks average 110.9 PPG and they allow 118.5. I’ll point out though that the Lakers are still 5-2 ATS in their last seven on the road and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss, while Atlanta is interestingly only 7-20 ATS in its last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 126-110 Lakers. | |||||||
02-10-19 | Heat +14.5 v. Warriors | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* BLOOD-BATH) Miami upset the Blazers in Portland, but they’d run out of gas in a loss in Sacramento in its last outing. The Heat though come in “hungry” as they cling to the eighth spot in the East. The Warriors are off a 117-107 win at Phoenix, but I think they’ll suffer a bit of a letdown here vs. their lowly non-conference opponent today. The Warriors have big upcoming games against Western conference opponents Utah, Portland, Sacramento and Houston up next, so I think the home side also gets caught “looking ahead.” I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I do absolutely feel that the stage is set for a very competitive battle. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-107 Warriors. | |||||||
02-09-19 | Clippers +12 v. Celtics | Top | 123-112 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) LA came out flat in a 116-92 road loss in Indiana, but I believe this talented visiting side will bounce back with a much better effort here vs. a Celtics team which enters off a deflating 125-124 home loss the Lakers. And it was the way in which the C’s lost to the Lakers, as ex-Boston star Rajon Rondo would hit the game winning jumper with time winding off the clock. I absolutely believe that Boston will be still hung up on that game mentally. LA on the other hand comes in razor focused after losing four of its last six. Note as well that LA already 9-4 ATS this year off a road loss, while Boston is a terrible 8-12 ATS in non-conference games. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-110 Boston. | |||||||
02-08-19 | Heat v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* TRADE-MARK) The Heat come in off a big road win over the Blazers and I think they’ll suffer a predictable letdown here vs. the up-tempo and hungry Kings, who are looking to bounce back after a loss to Houston in their most recent action. The Heat average 105.2 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Kings average 113.5 PPG and they allow 115.1. From a situational stand point, this one sets up great for the Kings in my opinion. Also note that Miami is 0-4 ATS in its last four after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game, while Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss and 13-3 ATS in its last 16 vs. a team with a losing record. Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Kings. | |||||||
02-07-19 | Raptors v. Hawks +9 | Top | 119-101 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: ATL Hawks (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I do definitely believe that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. The Raptors look poised for a letdown here after their big 119-107 win at Philadelphia on Tuesday. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well, as Toronto has taken six straight in the series, including both this year. However, the Hawks are playing some of their best ball of the season right now and I believe they carry that momentum over here (just beat Washington 137-129 on the road!) Note that Toronto is just 2-6 ATS this year following a divisional contest, while the Hawks are 6-4 ATS in the same position and 4-1 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Raptors. | |||||||
02-06-19 | Spurs +11 v. Warriors | Top | 102-141 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK) I got down on this one early and the line has since gone up after the news that the Spurs will be resting both DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge. I’m stuck with the pick obviously, but I do think that the undermanned Spurs can keep this one interesting, against a Warriors team who will also be looking to get its starters a lot of rest after securing a lead. San Antonio had won five straight before a 127-112 loss at Sacramento, but I think it comes in “under the radar” here. The Warriors get caught looking past their opponent, complacent after winning ten of their last 11. San Antonio is still 15-8 ATS as an underdog this year, while GS is only 10-14 ATS as a home favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-115 Warriors. | |||||||
02-05-19 | Lakers -3 v. Pacers | Top | 94-136 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Despite all of the turmoil that some of the players have had with head coach Luke Walton and putting aside all of the supposed trade rumours for Anthony Davis, I think that LeBron James and company will find a way to get the job done on the road here against a Pacers team which continues to soldier on without its best player, Victor Oladipo, who was lost to injury. LA comes in focused after a 115-101 road loss to the Warriors, while the Pacers come in complacent after their big road in New Orleans just last night. Note that the Lakers beat the Pacers 104-96 back on November 29th and I think an even bigger blowout is in store this evening. Additionally note that the Pacers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. teams with winning SU records, while LA is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games vs. teams with a winning home record. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 LA. | |||||||
02-04-19 | Nuggets v. Pistons +4 | Top | 103-129 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* GAME OF WEEK) Denver’s won six straight, but I think it’ll have its hands full vs. the desperate Pistons team which enters off a poor setback at home to the Clippers. Detroit fell 111-101, but had the lead in that game for most of it. The Pistons now sit three games back for the eighth spot in the East. With much more “high profile” games upcoming against the Nets and Philadelphia during this Eastern swing, I also believe that this sets up as a look ahead spot for the visitors. Note as well that Denver is still only 5-8 ATS this year as a road favorite, while Detroit is 3-1 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 109-100 Pistons. | |||||||
02-03-19 | Thunder v. Celtics -3 | Top | 129-134 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think the correct call here is on the home side. After seven straight victories, I believe the Thunder finally have a letdown in this difficult road arena. OKC comes in off a 118-102 road win over Miami, while Boston rolled to a 113-99 win over the Knicks on the road in their most recent action. Boston posted a 101-95 road victory in the first matchup this year and I think an even bigger blowout is in the cards here. The Thunder have difficulty against the better defensive clubs, and the C’s have been strong at the end of the floor, allowing just 105.5 PPG (ranked fifth). The numbers support us here as well, as note that OKC is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak, while Boston is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 vs. teams with a winning road record. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-110 C’s. | |||||||
02-02-19 | 76ers v. Kings +3.5 | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) The 76ers are just 13-13 on the road. Note that Philadelphia is resting both Wilson Chandler and JJ Reddick in this contest, two of the team’s best shooters. Off a huge road win over the defending champs, can anyone say “letdown spot” here?! The Kings have been better than expected this season and they’ve been at their best at home (15-10). In fact Sacramento has won five straight at home, winning by at least seven points each time. Note as well that the Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last six at home, while Philly is just 2-5 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less. Clearly I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 125-110 Kings. | |||||||
02-01-19 | Grizzlies v. Hornets -4.5 | Top | 92-100 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* GAME OF MONTH) The Grizzlies enter off a deflating 99-97 OT road loss in Minnesota on Friday and think they’ll have their hands full here against a Hornets team also coming off a terrible road loss, falling 126-94 in Boston on Wednesday. But if recent history is any precedence, then for sure Charlotte has to be feeling confident here, because the first time these teams met in Memphis on January 23rd, the Hornets left with a convincing 118-107 road victory. The Grizz are just 10-16 ATS on the road overall this year. Memphis averages only 100.5 PPG, while allowing 103.8. Charlotte is 14-10 ATS at home and it averages 111.5 PPG, while allowing 111.4. Note as well that the Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. the West, while Memphis is just 2-10 ATS in its last 12 vs. the East. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: 108-98 Hornets. | |||||||
01-31-19 | Pacers v. Magic -2 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* TRADE MARK) No need to over think this one. The Magic have lost four straight, but they were competitive in a loss to the Thunder last time out. Orlando plays with revenge here though and it catches a Pacers team which was demolished in Washington just last night and which has lost three in a row itself. Indiana is tired and it’s playing out the rest of its season without its superstar Victor Oladipo, who was lost to injury. This one sets up beautifully for the home side, note as well that it’s 7-4 ATS in its last 11 in revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 111-100 Magic. | |||||||
01-30-19 | Nuggets -8 v. Pelicans | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Pelicans posted an improbable 121-116 road victory in Houston last night without Anthony Davis in the line-up and I believe they’ll suffer a letdown here vs. the deep and talented Nuggets. Davis announced he won’t resign with New Orleans, but the Pelicans still managed to gut out a victory on the road in a difficult road venue. Can anyone say letdown spot?! Denver is tough on both ends of the floor and just held Memphis to 92 points in its most recent victory. After their big offensive outburst last night, I do indeed expect the Pelicans to take a predictable step back this evening. Note as well that Denver is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. Everything points to a lop-sided destruction, so lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 Nuggets. | |||||||
01-29-19 | Wizards v. Cavs +6.5 | Top | 113-116 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Wizards look ripe for a letdown here in my estimation after their 132-119 loss in San Antonio on Sunday. Cleveland on the other hand looks poised to build off its confidence building 104-101 road win in Chicago over the weekend. These clubs have split two meetings and the Cavs won at home, 116-101 back on December 8th. The Wizards are a poor 7-18 ATS on the road. The Cavs are only 9-15 ATS at home, but note that they’re 6-2 ATS in their last eight after a division game and 2-0 ATS in its last two off a road victory, while Washington is a disastrous 4-13 ATS this year after a non-conference contest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Cavs. | |||||||
01-28-19 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +5 | Top | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Nuggets have emerged as one of the best teams in the league. When healthy the Nuggets are going to be able to compete with any team. They come into this one having won five of their last six. Denver averages 112 PPG and it allows 106.2. The Grizzlies broke an eight-game slide vs. the Pacers last time out and I think they’ll build off that effort with another decent performance here. Memphis has struggled offensively this year averaging only 100.8 PPG, but it’s been sharp defensively in allowing only 104. Note that Denver is still just 9-13 ATS on the road this season (and only 2-7 ATS vs. the Southwest division), while Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing four consecutive home games. I’m banking on a competitive affair, so grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 105-104 Grizzlies. | |||||||
01-27-19 | Raptors -4 v. Mavs | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER) Toronto comes in off back-to-back losses. The Mavericks come in off back-to-back wins. When these teams played North of the border back on October 26th, it was the Raptors though who came out on top 116-107. I believe that the 36-15 Raptors enter this one as the “hungrier” team vs. the 22-26 Mavericks. This is simply a bad match-up for Dallas, as Toronto comes to town healthy for the first time in a long time. Toronto averages 113.9 PPG and it allows 108.5. Dallas averages 109.4 PPG and it allows 109.3. Clearly the margin for error is pretty slim most nights for the Mavs. Additionally note that Toronto is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 after two or more consecutive road losses, while Dallas is a poor 4-8 ATS this season trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 Toronto. | |||||||
01-26-19 | Hawks +10.5 v. Blazers | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 30 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I like the improving visiting side to sneak in under the radar and through the back door down the stretch. ATL enters off a confidence building 121-101 road win in Chicago on Wednesday, while Portland comes in off a 120-106 road win over the Suns. The Hawks average 109.9 PPG and they allow 117.5. The Blazers average 112.6 PPG and they allow 110.1. I think Atlanta will have its chances here to match pace offensively. Note as well that the Hawks are already 10-4 ATS in their last 14 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-112 Portland. | |||||||
01-26-19 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 229.5 | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Warriors/Celtics under (8* O/U MONEY-MAKER) This one looks like more of a defensive affair than a wide open shootout between these top leading non-conference opponents. The Warriors have been surging of late and they enter off a 126-118 road win over Washington. Boston comes in off a 123-103 home win over Cleveland. The Warriors are just 9-13 ATS on the road still though after their slow start. Overall GS averages 118.9 PPG, while allowing 112. The Celtics though allow only 105.7 PPG (ranked fourth in the league), while averaging 112.2. Clearly the last thing the C’s can do is turn this one into a “shootout” and expect to hang with the sharp-shooting defending champs. So with the home side indeed trying to slow the pace of this one down whenever possible, I definitely am expecting a lower-scoring affair. Note as well that GS has seen the total go under the number in 18 of its last 26 off a road no cover where it won straight up as a favorite. This number is a little high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 116-114 Golden State. | |||||||
01-25-19 | Kings v. Grizzlies | Top | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* TRADE-MARK) The Kings come in off a 120-105 road loss in Toronto on Tuesday. The Grizzlies enter off a 118-107 home loss to Charlotte. The Grizzlies though play with revenge here as Sacramento has taken two of three in the series already between the clubs, including a 102-99 victory in the most recent at home on December 21st. The Kings though are now just 1-3 on their current road trip. Overall Sacramento is just 11-13 ATS on the road. The Kings average 113.4 PPG, and they allow 115.3. The Grizz are only 10-13 ATS at home and while Marc Gasol and Mike Conley could be on the move shortly, I still think this one favors the hungry home side. Note that Memphis is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Play on the Grizz. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
01-24-19 | Wolves v. Lakers +1.5 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* TRADE-MARK) This is the fourth time these teams will have met this year and the Wolves own the 2-1 advantage thus far. I think the home side evens that record tonight though. Note that the Lakers won the only game at the Staples Center so far 114-110. Minnesota has been hit or miss all year, but more miss than hit on the road, going 7-16 SU and 10-13 ATS. The Lakers are only 10-14-1 ATS at home, but they’re a solid 15-10 SU. I think the home side finds a way to get the job done here. T.M. Prediction: 116-113 Lakers. | |||||||
01-24-19 | Warriors -9 v. Wizards | 126-118 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 1 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors. (8* MONEY-MAKER) I think the defending champs keep the foot on the gas in the Nation’s capital on Thursday night. The Warriors enter having won seven straight. They won’t be “looking past” their lowly non-conference opponent tonight either, as the Wizards have won two in a row. But the Warriors are at full health right now and over their last five games they’ve averaged 130 points. Washington’s been playing a lot better of late, but it’s averaged just 115 points over its last five games. Note as well that Golden State is 9-4 ATS this year off a road win, while Washington is 0-6 ATS this year when playing with two days rest. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: 125-110 Warriors. | |||||||
01-24-19 | Pelicans v. Thunder UNDER 238 | 116-122 | Push | 0 | 28 h 1 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pelicans/Thunder under (8* TOTAL BLOWOUT) Anthony Davis is out and the Pelicans are playing the second game of a back-to-back. The last thing the visitors can afford to do here is to turn this one into a “track meet” and expect to hang with the Thunder. OKC will look to take advantage and control the pace of this one. It definitely sets up well from an overall situational stand point to be a lower-scoring contest, but note as well that OKC has seen the total go under in 30 of its last 42 following a divisional contest, while NO has seen the total go under in 21 of its last 36 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 Thunder. | |||||||
01-23-19 | Cavs +16.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-123 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* MONEY-MAKER). Of course I’m not predicting an outright upset, but I do definitely expect the Celtics come out flat here and even rest some of their starters vs. the lowly Cavs. Cleveland won’t be lacking for motivation today as it’s lost four straight and 16 of its last 17. Not surprisingly this is a “revenge” game as well for Cleveland after it fell 128-95 in the first meeting between the clubs back on November 30th. The Cavs are 12-10-1 ATS in their last 23 on the road. The C’s have had a lot of success at home this season, but note that they’re just 33-34 ATS in their last 77 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. Note that the Cavs have already dominated in this spot for bettors this year as well, going 10-3 ATS after failing to cover three of their last four vs. the spread. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-106 C’s. | |||||||
01-22-19 | Wolves -6 v. Suns | Top | 118-91 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) These teams played in Minnesota on Sunday night and the Wolves escaped with the 116-114 win. I believe that Minnesota will put the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one though. These clubs have now split two games this season. The Wolves average 111.6 PPG and they allow 112. The Suns come in reeling after four straight losses. Phoenix is just 11-13 ATS at home and it averages 106.3 PPG, while allowing 115. Additionally note that Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games vs. teams with a losing home record, while Phoenix is a poor 2-6 ATS in its last eight when playing on one days rest. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Wolves. | |||||||
01-21-19 | Rockets v. 76ers UNDER 234 | Top | 93-121 | Win | 100 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockets/76ers under (10*) Two teams which like to push the pace collide on Monday night, but I think the conditions are finally right for more of a defensive affair. The Rockets come to town “gassed” in my estimation after their 138-134 OT win over the Lakers at home on Saturday. The 76ers come in off a deflating 117-115 loss at home to the Thunder in their previous action. Houston though is just 9-12 on the road. Overall the Rockets average 112.6 PPG, while allowing 110.5. The 76ers average 115.4 PPG and they allow 112.2. Note though that Houston has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 20 as a road underdog of six points or less, while Philadelphia has seen the total dip under the number in both games it’s played in this year off a close home loss of three points or less. This number is a little high. T.M. Prediction: 115-111 Philly. | |||||||
01-21-19 | Kings +3 v. Nets | 94-123 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (8*) In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these two hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. After three straight wins, I think the Nets get caught looking past their non-conference opponent tonight. And that’s a mistake, as Sacramento comes to town having won four of its last five. Overall the Kings average 114 PPG, while allowing 115.1. Brooklyn is averaging 111.6 PPG and it’s allowing 112. Note though that the Kings are 11-4 ATS this year in non-conference games, while the Nets are only 3-7 ATS this year after covering three of their last four vs. the spread. I’m grabbing the points, but won’t be shocked if the visitors win outright. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Kings. | |||||||
01-21-19 | Mavs v. Bucks UNDER 227.5 | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Mavs/Bucks under (8*) I like the Bucks to control the pace of this one and to pull away for the comfortable ATS cover. Dallas enters off a deflating 111-99 loss in Indiana on Saturday, while Milwaukee comes in off a 118-108 road win over Orlando in its latest action. Dallas comes in having lost three straight. Overall it’s just 11-12 ATS on the road. The Mavs average 109.6 PPG and they allow 109.6 as well. The Bucks have won four straight and six of seven. Milwaukee averages 117.6 PPG and it allows 107.6. The Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, while Dallas is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game. Additionally note that Dallas has seen the total go under the number in ten of 14 non-conference games this year, while Milwaukee has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last six off a road win of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 111-95 Bucks. | |||||||
01-21-19 | Mavs v. Bucks -11.5 | 106-116 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bucks (8*) I like the Bucks to control the pace of this one and to pull away for the comfortable ATS cover. Dallas enters off a deflating 111-99 loss in Indiana on Saturday, while Milwaukee comes in off a 118-108 road win over Orlando in its latest action. Dallas comes in having lost three straight. Overall it’s just 11-12 ATS on the road. The Mavs average 109.6 PPG and they allow 109.6 as well. The Bucks have won four straight and six of seven. Milwaukee averages 117.6 PPG and it allows 107.6. The Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, while Dallas is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game. Additionally note that Dallas has seen the total go under the number in ten of 14 non-conference games this year, while Milwaukee has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last six off a road win of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 111-95 Bucks. | |||||||
01-21-19 | Bulls v. Cavs +2 | 104-88 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers. (8*) Two poor teams collide on MLK Day. The Bulls fell 117-103 at home to the Heat on Saturday, while the Cavs enter off a 124-102 road loss in Denver. Note though that this is a “double revenge” game for the Cavs as Chicago has taken both so far in the season series, including a 112-92 road victory in the latest on December 23rd. Chicago averages 101 pints per game and it allows 111.6. Cleveland averages 102.8 PPG and it allows 113.9. The double revenge factor comes into play here though for Cleveland and note that Chicago is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite, while the Cavs are 3-0 ATS this year revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite. T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Cavs. | |||||||
01-20-19 | Suns v. Wolves -10 | Top | 114-116 | Loss | -113 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves (10* ATS BLOOD-BATH) No need to delve too deeply into this one, as I think the Suns will suffer a letdown here after their loss in Charlotte yesterday. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Wolves after they fell 116-113 at home to the Spurs. Note as well that this is a “revenge” game for Minnesota after it fell 107-99 in Phoenix back on December 15th. The Suns average 106 PPG and they allow 114.5. The Wolves average 111.5 PPG and they allow 112. Minnesota though is 14-9 ATS at home and I fully expect it to make the most of this opportunity. Additionally note that the Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last five when playing on one days rest. I’m laying the points with confidence. T.M. Prediction: 127-100 Wolves. | |||||||
01-19-19 | Lakers +7 v. Rockets | Top | 134-138 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Rockets come in off a loss to the lowly Nets and I think the improving Lakers will push the pace and keep this one interesting late. LeBron James remains out of the line-up, but LA has started to figure things out without The King, with four wins out of its last six. LA has won two straight and it comes in averaging 111.9 PPG and allowing 110.8. Houston averages 112 PPG and it allows 110. LA has done well in this spot for bettors of late though, going 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road underdog. Conversely note that the Rockets have struggled by going just 6-9 ATS after a non-conference game this year. Grab the points and don’t be shocked by the outright. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Rockets. | |||||||
01-18-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +6 | Top | 112-94 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Warriors are starting to “hit their stride,” and the Clippers are starting to scuffle. LA enters off a 129-109 defeat at home to Utah, while the Warriors enter off a 147-140 win over New Orleans. The Clippers are the “hungrier” team though and they also play with the added incentive of “revenge” after falling 129-127 to the Warriors in Golden State back on December 23rd. DeMarcus Cousins makes his season debut tonight for the Warriors and it’s reported that he’ll be moved immediately into the starting the line-up. What will this do to the chemistry the defending champs are enjoying right now? Overall I think from a situational stand point that this one sets up fantastically for the home side. Note as well that GS is already just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite of six points or less, while LA is 7-1 ATS vs. the division and 11-5 ATS in its last 16 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 100 point or more in. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 122-120 LA | |||||||
01-17-19 | 76ers v. Pacers -3 | Top | 120-96 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 117-107 Pacers. | |||||||
01-16-19 | Jazz +2 v. Clippers | Top | 129-109 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Jazz enter off a solid 100-94 win at home over Detroit on Monday, while the Clippers look poised for another letdown here in my opinion after their 121-117 loss at home to the Pelicans on Monday. This is the first meeting between the clubs this season. Utah enters having won four straight and they’ll be eager to avoid a letdown here as they hit the road. The Jazz average 107.8 PPG and they allow 105. LA got out to an unpredictably fantastic start to the 2018/19 campaign, but I think clearly it’s now predictably starting to fall apart. The Clippers have lost three straight after the crummy loss to the Pelicans. LA averages 115.3 PPG, but it allows 114.3. Note as well that LA is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 100 points in its previous game, while the Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Jazz. | |||||||
01-15-19 | Warriors -1 v. Nuggets | Top | 142-111 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The 29-14 Warriors are on the road to face the 29-13 Nuggets and I believe that the defending champs will be out to send a message here. Both teams come in hot and on win streaks. Golden State averages 117.4 PPG and it allows 111.7. Denver averages just 110.4 PPG, while allowing only 105.5. Golden State plays with revenge here after losing to the Nuggets earlier in the year though (that was without Steph Curry in the line-up) and note that it’s 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a close loss vs. an opponent of three points or less. Clearly Denver has exceeded all expectations to this point this year, but note that it’s a poor 4-10 ATS in its last 14 off a home no covers where the team won straight up as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Warriors. | |||||||
01-14-19 | Celtics v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* MONEY-MAKER) While the outright win is obviously not out of the question, I’m going to grab the points in a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last. The Celtics come off a 105-103 road loss in Orlando and I think it’ll stumble here as well against this vastly improved Nets side. And to say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as Boston has won ten straight in the dries, including a 116-95 home rout in the most recent on January 7th. Boston averages 111.9 PPG and it allows 105.6. Brooklyn averages 110.7 PPG and it allows 111.5. Note though that Boston is already a poor 3-7 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less, while Brooklyn is already 17-10 ATS this season trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Nets. | |||||||
01-13-19 | Cavs +9.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Cavaliers have struggled without LeBron James in their line-up. No big surprise there though. Kevin Love played a few games and he’s been out with injury every since. There’s some talent left on the Cavs and while they won’t have to face James here, the remaining teammates will still want to try and send some sort of feeble message here. The Lakers though have also struggled without James in the line-up for the most part, as The King remains out with injury. The Cavs have struggled to put points on the board this year, but the Lakers have struggled to keep teams from scoring. Cleveland is 3-1 ATS this season off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, while LA is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-107 Lakers. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Grizzlies v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK) I think the Heat will find a way to protect home court and I look for them to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Memphis enters off a highly satisfying 96-86 home win over San Antonio and I think it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here in this difficult non-conference road venue. Miami on the other hand broke a slide with a convincing 115-99 home win over the Celtics and I think the home side keeps the foot on the gas here. Miami beat Memphis 100-97 on the road back in early December, but I’m expecting a much bigger blowout here. The Grizz average only 100.9 PPG, while allowing 102.5. The Heat average 106.5 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Grizz are 0-6 ATS in their last six vs. the East, while Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following an ATS victory. T.M. Prediction: 106-90 Heat. | |||||||
01-11-19 | Hornets +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 96-127 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER). After losing six of their last nine, we don’t have to question the resolve or focus of the Hornets tonight. Overall Charlotte is averaging 112.9 PPG and allowing 112.4. Portland comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having won seven of its last ten. The Blazers are averaging 111.5 PPG and they’re allowing 110. Suffice it to say, despite their overall recent form, I think these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. And their season long numbers support that. I’ll also argue that the the Hornets are the much “hungrier” team between the two considering their recent form. Additionally note that Charlotte is already 3-1 ATS this year after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games, while Portland is just 2-3 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. I think the home side leaves the back door open. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-111 Blazers. | |||||||
01-10-19 | Celtics v. Heat +1 | Top | 99-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK) There’s no need to over think this one in my opinion. The Celtics have been playing a lot better, but after a big home win over the Pacers (who were playing the second game of a back to back after a big win in the first), I believe the visitors will suffer a classic “letdown” here. Miami won’t be lacking for motivation here either after a lacklustre 103-99 home loss to the Nuggets. Note that the C’s are just 2-4 in the second game of a back-to-back scenario already this year, averaging just 105 points in those contests. Boston also allows 109.5 PPG in those games (normally they average 111.9 on the season and allow 105.3). Additionally note that Boston is just 3-6 ATS as a road favorite this year, while Miami is 4-2 ATS this season as a home dog of six points or less. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-100 Heat. | |||||||
01-09-19 | Magic v. Jazz OVER 206 | Top | 93-106 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Magic/Jazz over (10* O/U MONEY-MAKER) Orlando won’t be lacking motivation here as it’s lost eight of its last 11. The Magic will be desperate to avoid a four-game slide after a listless 111-95 road loss in Sacramento on Monday. Nikola Vucevic was a stand-out in that one with 18 points, 13 boards and three assists. Utah has gone 6-4 in its last ten, but the Jazz are also looking to bounce back here after falling 114-102 in Milwaukee on Monday. Donovan Mitchell had 26 points in a losing cause for the Jazz. With both teams hungry for a win, I’m expecting a faster pace. Note as well that the Magic have seen the total go over in six of their last eight after three or more consecutive road losses, while Utah’s seen the total soar over in six of its last eight in revving a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 116-108 Jazz. | |||||||
01-08-19 | Hawks +14.5 v. Raptors | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* MONEY-MAKER) I’m not predicting an outright victory, but I think that the hungry visiting side can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. ATL has been playing better of late, snapping a three-game slide with a convincing 106-82 destruction of the Heat. I think the Hawks carry that momentum over here. Toronto comes in off a satisfying 121-105 home win over Indiana on Sunday. Not surprisingly this is a “revenge” game for the Hawks, who have lost five straight in the series, including the first one this year 124-108 on November 21st. Overall ATL averages 109.1 PPG, while allowing 117.6. Toronto though is just 9-11 ATS at home. The Raptors average 113.4 PPG and they allow 108. The Hawks though are already 6-2 ATS this season trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Toronto. | |||||||
01-07-19 | Magic v. Kings -5 | Top | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) This is a tough spot for Orlando and I think it’ll predictably stumble here. After falling at Minnesota, the Magic collapsed and lost last night to the Clippers as well. Sacramento on the other hand was competitive in a 127-123 home loss to Golden State on Saturday. If recent history is any precedence, then the Kings have to be loving their chances today as they easily handled the Magic in Orlando 107-99 earlier in the year. Overall the Magic average 103.6 PPG, while allowing 107.2. The Kings are averaging 115.2 PPG, and they’re allowing 117. Sacramento though is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with losing records, while Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road. T.M. Prediction: 117-105 Sacramento. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Nets v. Bulls +2 | Top | 117-100 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Bulls (10* TRADE-MARK) The Nets have been better than advertised this year, but I think they stumble here after their satisfying 109-100 road win over memphis. Chicago on the other hand will be out to avenge a 96-93 loss to the Nets here on December 19th, while also looking to build off its quality 119-116 OT home loss to Indiana on Friday. Brooklyn is playing over its head, as it averages 111 PPG, while allowing 111.7. Those are a lot better than Chicago’s numbers, but I think the overall situation favors the improving and revenge minded home side. Note as well that Brooklyn is already just 1-5 ATS this year after two consecutive non-conference contests, while Chicago is already 4-1 ATS this season after a closs home loss by three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 108-100 Bulls. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Hornets +9.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 110-123 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER) Denver has won four in a row. The Hornets come in off perhaps their worst loss ever in a 122-84 setback at home to the Mavs. There’s no question in my mind which of these two teams is the more motivated. Charlotte’s had plenty of success in this matchup as well, having won four of the last five inlacing the first matchup at home 113-107 back on December 7th. Overall thought these teams are evenly matched, as the Hornets average 112.9 PPG, while allowing 111.4, while Denver averages 110.3 PPG, while allowing 105.1. Additionally note that Charlotte is 9-5 ATS vs. teams with winning records, while Denver is already just 4-6 ATS this season after having won four out of its last five games. I’m expecting a “nail biter,” so grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Hornets. | |||||||
01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers +1 | Top | 111-109 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think home court advantage will prove to be the difference maker in this one. This is the first time these teams have played this season, but last year the Blazers won all four match ups. OKC enters off a 107-100 road win over a LeBron James-less Lakers team. Russell Westbrook and Paul George had big games, but I think they’ll struggle in this difficult road venue vs. this vastly deeper and more skilled opponent. Portland comes in on top form as well, as it enters having won two straight and seven of its last ten overall. Additionally note that OKC is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage above .600, while Portland is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 vs. teams with a win percentage above .600. T.M. Prediction: 115-108 Blazers. | |||||||
01-03-19 | Raptors v. Spurs OVER 216 | Top | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Over Raptors/Spurs (10* O/U BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Kawhi Leonard and the Raptors are out to destroy the Spurs. DeMar DeRozan and San Antonio want to annihilate Toronto off the face of the Earth. With each team pushing the pace from start to finish, I’m expecting this total to blast past the posted number sooner than later. Leonard comes in on top form as well, exploding for 45 points in his team’s 122-116 home win over Utah. DeRozan leads the Spurs in scoring as well this year with 22.9 points and 6.3 assists per game. SA averages 111.5 PPG, while Toronto averages 113.1. Toronto has seen the total go over the number in ten of 14 already this season off a home victory, while SA has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight non-conference contests. This number is low. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Spurs. | |||||||
01-02-19 | Thunder -5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 107-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma City (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Lakers are without LeBron James tonight and I think that Paul George and Russell Westbrook will take advantage. OKC comes in off a blowout win over the Mavericks, as Westbrook went off for 32 points, 11 boards, 11 assists and four steals. George had 22 points, four boards and four steals. The Lakers come in off a spirited win at home over the Kings, but with the “step up” in competition, I expect a “step back” for the “rudder-less” home side. Note as well that LA is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five when playing on two days rest, while OKC is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 after a SU win of more than ten points. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Thunder. | |||||||
01-01-19 | Jazz v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* GAME OF WEEK) Utah enters off a 129-97 win over the Knicks on Saturday, while the Raptors held on for a 95-89 win at home over the Bulls on Sunday. Note that Toronto has won five of the last six in this series, including a 124-111 road victory in the first meeting this year in early November. The Jazz are great at home, but they’re just 9-11-1 ATS on the road. Overall the Jazz average 107.5 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Raptors are 11-7 ATS at home and they average 112.9 PPG and they allow 107.2. Additionally note that Utah is just 1-5 ATS already this year after covering four or five out of its last six games, while Toronto is a perfect 4-0 ATS already this season after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. Despite Kyle Lowry sitting, I think the Raptors come in as the more motivated team here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-100 Toronto. | |||||||
12-31-18 | Warriors v. Suns UNDER 228 | Top | 132-109 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Under Warriors/Suns (10* O/U MONEY-MAKER) These are two teams which normally push the pace on offense and pay little attention on the defensive end, but I think the conditions are finally right for more of a defensive affair. Phoenix won’t want to turn this into a “shootout” with the sharp-shooting Warriors. The Suns have lost two straight. The Warriors have split their last four games. Overall the Warriors average 115.4 PPG and they allow 111.3. Phoenix only averages 105.4 PPG and it allows 113.9. Golden State though has seen the total go under in seven of nine already this year after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 110-100 Warriors. | |||||||
12-29-18 | Celtics v. Grizzlies OVER 199.5 | Top | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Over Celtics/Grizzlies (10* O/U MONEY-MAKER). Two teams which pride themselves on their tough defensive play collide on Saturday night. I still think this number is low and I look for the total to sneak over once it’s all said and done. Boston enters off a terrible 127-113 road loss to Houston, while Memphis comes in off a 95-87 home win over the Cavaliers. Overall the C’s average 111.6 PPG and they allow 105.7, while Memphis averages 101.7 PPG and allows 101.7 as well. Memphis is injured and it’s going to have to match pace. This can still be a lower-scoring defensive battle and go over the number and that’s exactly what I’m expecting to see happen. Additionally note that Boston has seen the total go over in nine of its last 11 off an upset loss as a road favorite, while Memphis has seen the total go over in six of its last nine non-conference contests. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 C’s. | |||||||
12-28-18 | Spurs v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 99-102 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK) This one has blowout written all over it in my opinion. It’s an immediate revenge game for the Nuggets, who fell 111-103 in San Antonio on Wednesday. Previous to that victory though the Spurs came in ranking in the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. With the Warriors loss last night, the Nuggets can take top spot in the West with a revenge victory today. Note that they’re 13-3 on home floor. Additionally note that Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when playing one one days rest, while SA is just 4-13-1 ATS in its last 18 vs. teams with winning home records. T.M. Prediction: 114-100 Denver. | |||||||
12-27-18 | Knicks +14.5 v. Bucks | Top | 96-112 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Knicks came up short at home against the Bucks on X-Mas Day, but with the home side expected to rest some players in this one, I think the visitors will comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. With a shot at evening up the series for the 2018/19 campaign, I think the visitors will risk life and limb to try and pull off the upset. New York is 9-9-1 ATS on the road. The Knicks average 108.2 PPG and they allow 115.7. The Bucks average 116.6 PPG and they allow 108.1. Note though that New York is already 7-3 ATS this year in revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent, while Milwaukee is just 1-3 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more and just 1-3 ATS in its last four after a cover as a double digit favorite. No outright, but a tight battle. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Bucks. | |||||||
12-26-18 | Pelicans v. Mavs -2 | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (8*) Home floor advantage will prove to be big in this matchup in my opinion. The Pelicans come in with zero momentum, having lost four straight. The Mavs have lost six straight though and they’ll be risking life and limb to try and get back into the winners circle here. This one comes down to the “numbers” for me though, as Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when playing on two days of rest and 10-2 ATS in its last 12 at home, while New Orleans is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 100 points or more in its last game. I’m banking on a blowout, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-110 Mavs. | |||||||
12-26-18 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10*) Denver enters off a 132-111 road loss to the Clippers on Saturday. The Spurs also come in off a loss, falling 108-101 in Houston in their last contest. Despite their overall success this year, note that Denver is still just 7-8 ATS on the road this year. Denver averages 110 PPG and it allows 104.3. SA averages 111.3 PPG and it allows 109.5. Note though that the Spurs are 12-6 ATS at home this year. Look for the Spurs to defend home floor. T.M. Prediction: 114-100 Spurs. | |||||||
12-26-18 | Pacers v. Hawks UNDER 217.5 | 129-121 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pacers/Hawks under (8*) I think the overall situation that each team finds itself in lends itself to a lower-scoring defensive battle. The Pacers enter off a commanding 105-89 home win over the Wizards on Sunday in an impressive defensive performance, while the Hawks also come in off a victory, also looking sharp on the defensive end in a 98-95 road win over the Pistons. I’m expecting each team to come out and plays just as hard on the defensive end of the floor in this one. Indiana averages 106.1 PPG and it allows only 1006. That’s No. 1 in the NBA. The Hawks average 108.7 PPG and they allow 117.9. However as noted above, ATL has looked significantly better defensively of late and I’m expecting that trend to carry over. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 108-100 Pacers. | |||||||
12-25-18 | Blazers v. Jazz OVER 214 | 96-117 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Over Blazers/Jazz (8* O/U BANKROLL BUILDER) Portland comes in red hot having won four of its last five. However, Utah handed it its worst home loss since 2004 in a crushing 120-90 defeat just last week. Suffice it to say, the Blazers are out to atone for that disastrous effort and with the visitors pushing the pace from start to finish, I’m expecting a higher-scoring affair. The Jazz will be hungry here as well as their two-game win streak was snapped in a loss to the Thunder on Saturday. There’s no question this one sets up as a higher-scoring “shootout,” but note as well that Portland has seen the total go over in four of six already this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Play the over. T.M. Prediction: 114-108 Utah. | |||||||
12-25-18 | Thunder +1.5 v. Rockets | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder (10* TRADE-MARK) In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I’m grabbing the points. Houston’s been playing a lot better, but Chris Paul won’t be playing in this one and I think Paul George and Russell Westbrook will take advantage. OKC now sits a half game back of the Nuggets after their loss to the Wolves most recently. OKC averages 112 PPG and it allows 105.6. Houston has won five of six, but it still comes in averaging just 109.2 PPG, while allowing 108.5. Note that the Thunder are not surprisingly already 16-9 ATS this year vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest, while Houston is still only 8-13 ATS in its last 21 revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Play on OKC. T.M. Prediction: 118-103 Thunder. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Grizzlies v. Lakers OVER 207 | Top | 107-99 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Grizzlies/Lakers over (10* O/U MONEY-MAKER) Two teams hungry for a win collide in LA on Sunday night and I think points will be plentiful. The Grizzlies will be desperate to get back into the winners circle, most recently falling 102-99 in Sacramento. The Lakers will be looking to take advantage and to build off their most recent 112-104 home win New Orleans on Friday. Memphis plays with revenge here as well after a listless 111-88 home loss to the Lakers on December 8th. The Grizz are in a funk and they’ll have to get out and match pace with LBJ and company, so there’s no question this sets up as a shootout from a situational stand point in my opinion. But also note that Memphis has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while LA has seen the total go OVER in 12 of its last 20 after scoring 110 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 112-106 Lakers. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Clippers | Top | 111-132 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK) The Nuggets enter off a 126-118 home win over Dallas on Tuesday, while LA comes in off a 125-121 win over the Mavericks on Thursday. Denver comes in well rested and I think it’ll score the outright upset. Denver took the first meeting between the clubs here 107-987 back on October 17th and I think the Clippers will once again struggle with this difficult matchup. Denver has won four straight and it averages 110 PPG and it allows just 103.4. LA averages 114.7 PG and it allows 114.3. Note as well that the Clippers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five when playing on one days rest, while the Nuggets are 4-0 ATS In their last four vs. teams with winning SU records. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Nuggets. | |||||||
12-21-18 | Cavs v. Raptors UNDER 206 | 110-126 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Under Cavs/Raptors (8* O/U BANKROLL BUILDER) Cleveland comes in off a 110-99 road loss in Charlotte on Wednesday and I think the Cavs will have a hard time producing much offense tonight either in this difficult road venue. The Raptors are looking strong defensively of late, most recently coming off a come-from-behind 99-96 home win over the Pacers on Wednesday. Cleveland averages 102.9 PPG and it allows 111.1. Toronto averages 114.4 PPG and it allows 107. Note though that Cleveland has seen the total go under in ten of 15 as a road dog this season, while TO has seen the total go under in eight of its last ten. T.M. Prediction: 100-88 Raptors. | |||||||
12-21-18 | Pistons v. Hornets -3.5 | Top | 86-98 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK). I think the Pistons have a predictable letdown here after their 129-123 OT road win in Minnesota on Wednesday. The Hornets come in off a 110-99 home win over Cleveland and they’ll be looking to keep the foot on the gas after a poor stretch themselves. So far the Pistons average 109.7 PPG and they allow 110.3. Charlotte averages 113.7 PPG and it allows 111.4. Charlotte won’t be taking anything for granted here after its recent four-game slide. Note that the Hornets are already 8-4 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records, while Detroit is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 after scoring 120 or more points. T.M. Prediction: 116-100 Hornets. | |||||||
12-20-18 | Mavs +3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 121-125 | Loss | -102 | 30 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TRADE-MARK) Both teams have played better than what most believed would be the case. I think LA though has farther to fall considering its hotter/quicker start and its lack of overall talent. Dallas has a deeper and more skilled team in my opinion and its major issues early have been chemistry related for the most part. Both teams come in off losses. This is going to be a war to the end and I think that grabbing the points is the savvy call. Note as well that the Clippers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, while Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last six after allowing more than 125 points in its previous game. The Mavs are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 following an ATS loss. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-109 Mavs. | |||||||
12-19-18 | Cavs v. Hornets UNDER 219 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Under Cavs/Hornets (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The Cavs come in off an improbable low-scoring win over the Pacers in Indiana just last night and if they have any hopes at pulling off another upset, they’re going to have to duplicate the same game-plan, and slow things down whenever possible. Clearly the Cavs are going to be gassed here as well in the second game of the back to back. The Hornets aren’t likely to mess this one up and are almost 100% assured the SU victory, but the home side also doesn’t need to over exert itself to win this one. Instead, I expect the home side to control the pace of this one and dictate the action. Note as well that Cleveland has seen the total go under in 23 of its last 36 when playing the second game of a back-to-back. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 112-100 Hornets. | |||||||
12-18-18 | Lakers v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* TRADE-MARK) The Lakers enter off a 128-110 road loss to Washington. The Nets won their fourth straight in a 144-127 destruction of the Hawks. LA is now just 1-2 on its four-game road trip. It’s just 6-9 ATS on the road overall this year. LA averages 113.4 PPG and it allows 111.6. The Nets average 111 PPG and they allow 111.8. Note though that LA is just 3-7 ATS this year in non-conference games, while Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last eight off a home win by ten points or more. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked by the outright upset. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Nets. | |||||||
12-17-18 | Kings +8 v. Wolves | Top | 105-132 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* TRADE-MARK). The young Sacramento Kings could arguably be the biggest surprise this year. They come in off a big 120-113 road win in Dallas last night and while I do normally always take fatigue/scheduling into account, I don’t think it’s going to matter here. It’s still very early in the season and Sacramento’s youthful line-up is firing on all cylinders. Sacramento has already taken both earlier meetings this year as well, including a 141-130 home win just last week. The Wolves are moving in the opposite direction with four straight losses and simply look terrible on both ends of the floor right now. Note that the Kings are now 10-6 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is already 0-2 ATS this season revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as the favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Wolves. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 229 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kings/Mavs under (10* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think this one sets up as a defensive affair. Behind great play from rookie Luka Donic, the Mavericks are 15-12 overall and in the playoff picture. Sacramento is only a 1/2 game back of the eighth spot in the West at 15-13. Sacramento comes in off a 130-125 loss to Golden State and there’s no question that this sets up as a natural “letdown” spt now. The Mavs had been playing very well as well until a collapse against the lowly Suns last time out. With both teams eager to return to the winners circle off a loss, as stated off the top, I’m expecting more of a defensive affair here. Also note that the under is 7-0 in the Kings last seven vs. teams with a winning SU record. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 110-106 Mavs. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Lakers +1 v. Hornets | Top | 128-100 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Lakers opened their current road trip with a disappointing 126-111 setback at Houston on Thursday, but a date against a Hornets team which comes in off a deflating 126-124 OT loss at home to the Knicks just last night is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track for the visitors in my opinion. LA averages 113.1 PPG and it allows 110.9, while Charlotte averages 113.9 PPG, while allowing 110.7. But the numbers also support LA here, as note that the Lakers are 7-2 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records and 7-4 ATS in their last 11 after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, while Charlotte is already just 2-4 ATS in non-conference games. T.M. Prediction: 115-112 Lakers. | |||||||
12-14-18 | Knicks v. Hornets -11 | Top | 126-124 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) New York enters off a 116-106 road loss in Cleveland and I have a hard time seeing it keeping pace with this hungry Charlotte team, which comes in off a momentum building 108-107 home win over Detroit. Last weekend the Hornets crushed the Knicks 119-107 and I’m expecting an even bigger blowout this time around. New York averages 108.3 PPG and it allows 114.9. Charlotte averages 113.9 PPG and it allows 110.7. The Knicks are also just 4-7 ATS this year following a road loss, while the Hornets are already 3-1 ATS this season as a home fav in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The Knicks play with revenge and the Hornets come in off a win, but I’m not predicting any letdowns here. Charlotte can ill afford to take the foot off the gas after a terrible stretch and I expect it to make the most of this opportunity. T.M. Prediction: 123-100 Charlotte. | |||||||
12-13-18 | Lakers +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 111-126 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Lakers play with revenge here as Houston won the first meeting of the year 124-115 in LA on October 20. LA was trying to “find” itself then, but since then it’s come a long way, having won two straight and six of seven, most recently a 108-105 home win over the Heat. The Rockets have for the most part been terrible this season, and they looked primed for another letdown here in my opinion after their 111-104 home win over the Blazers. Before that victory the Rockets had lost three straight. LA plays with revenge and it’s 6-1 ATS in its last seven after an ATS loss. Houston has struggled with consistency and it’s only 1-5 ATS in its last six when playing on one days rest. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Rockets. | |||||||
12-12-18 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -3 | Top | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Grizzlies have lost two straight. They’re hungry for a win and the Blazers come to town off an exhausting loss in Houston just last night. It’s a perfect “situation” for Memphis to bounce back in. Also note that Portland is just 18-28 ATS in its last 46 as a road dog of six points or less, while Memphis is already 4-1 ATS this year as a home favorite of six points or less. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-95 Memphis. | |||||||
12-11-18 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 103-111 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER) These two teams are moving in opposite directions and I look for those trends to continue here. The Blazers have won two straight and they enter averaging 112.3 PPG and allowing 110.4. Houston has lost seven of nine and three straight, averaging just 108.3 PPG while allowing 109.7. The Blazers are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 off a home win vs. a division rival, while Houston is already just 3-5 ATS this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. I’m expecting this one to come right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Rockets. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ricky Tran | $868 |
Will Rogers | $491 |
William Burns | $415 |
Nick Parsons | $345 |
Joseph D'Amico | $282 |
Ross Benjamin | $255 |
Sean Murphy | $226 |
Tom Macrina | $149 |
Joey Tron | $113 |
ProSportsPicks | $107 |