Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-05-19 | Jets +163 v. Lightning | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg Jets (10* MONEY-MAKER) Winnipeg is just 3-5 in its last eight, but the Jets come in off a 5-2 road win over Columbus and I thnk they offer great value to score the upset here against the league leading Lightning. Winnipeg is 17-14 on the road and goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 28-20 with a 2.96 GAA. The Lightning will have Andrei Vasileskly in net tonight and he’s 2-3 with a 3.94 GAA lifetime vs. Winnipeg. Look for the hungry visiting side to pull off the upset. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Jets. | |||||||
03-04-19 | Maple Leafs v. Flames UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Leafs/Flames under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Two teams headed to the playoffs collide from separate conferences in Alberta on Monday night. Both teams come in off high scoring affairs, but I think this one sets up as more of a defensive battle. The Leafs beat the Sabres 5-2, while the Flames lost 4-2 to the Wild. Previous to that the Flames had won seven straight. Two normally high-scoring clubs, note that Toronto has seen the total go “under” the number in 14 of 23 already this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Calgary has seen the total go under in six of its last eight after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Flames. | |||||||
03-03-19 | Canucks +210 v. Golden Knights | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vancouver Canucks (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) When picking money line underdogs, looking at the overall “situation” is often the best way to approach it. And that’s the case here. Vegas gets caught “looking ahead” to its game at home against conference leading Calgary next. Vancouver comes in under the radar and desperate to break a two-game slide. I think the conditions are definitely right for an upset. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Canucks. | |||||||
03-02-19 | Senators +363 v. Lightning | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Senators (10* TRADE-MARK) The Lightning are the best team in the league, but they come in off a 4-1 road loss to the Bruins. That marked the end of a road trip and the second game of a back-to-back. The Bolts have been excellent in the third game in four nights scenario, but the stage is definitely set for a letdown. Ottawa comes into its first game after firing coach Guy Boucher and a coaching change more than often can shake up a team and produce a big winning effort (even if only for one game.) This is a great situational play, as I believe that the home side is drastically over-priced. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Senators. | |||||||
03-01-19 | Predators +105 v. Jets | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nashville Predators (10* GAME OF THE MONTH) The Predators have a one game lead over the Jets in the division, but Winnipeg has three games in hand. Nashville plays with revenge from an earlier loss. The visitors catch the Jets at the right time, as they’re just 3-6-1 in their last ten. The Predators won’t be lacking for motivation here after a 2-0 shutout loss to the Blues. Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne is a very respectable 8-7-3 with a 2.78 GAA on the road this year. Jets’ goaltender Connor Helebuyck has had success vs. Nashville in the past, but he’s just 4-4-1 with a ballooned 3.55 GAA in nine starts since the All Star break. I’m banking on Rinne being the difference maker here. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Predators. | |||||||
02-28-19 | Maple Leafs v. Islanders -110 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think the hungry home side finds a way to get the job done here. The Leafs are off a satisfying 6-2 home win over Edmonton, while the Islanders are off a 3-1 home loss to Calgary. The Leafs have won three straight, but I believe they’ll have a difficult time in this difficult road arena. Note that Leafs’ net minder Garret Sparks is 3-3 with a 3.05 GAA on the road. New York has lost three of four and is now tied with the Capitals for the Metro division lead. Clearly this is a big game for the home side as it looks to bounce back with a quality victory. Isles goaltender Robin Lehner is still 9-5 with a 1.83 GAA at home. Note as well that the dog is 1-6 the last seven in this series, while the Isles are 6-1 in their last six when playing on one days rest. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Isles. | |||||||
02-27-19 | Lightning v. Rangers +160 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Rangers (10* BLACK-LABEL) I think the hungry home side catches the visitors “napping” here. Tampa comes to town content as the No. 1 team in the league, but it barely held on for a 4-3 shootout win over the lowly Kings last time out. The Rangers come in hungry here after a competitive 6-5 OT loss to the Capitals. Note that New York is 15-12 (+8.4 units) this year after allowing four or more goals. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Rangers. | |||||||
02-26-19 | Sabres v. Flyers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sabres/Flyers under (10* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL) Buffalo comes in “dog tired’ after its 5-3 road loss in Toronto just last night. The Flyers also come in tired (and content) after their come from behind 4-3 OT win at home over the Penguins. These two teams struggle with defensive consistency most nights, but the overall conditions point to more of a low-scoring, grind-it-out defensive affair, rather than a wide-open shootout. Note as well that Buffalo has seen the total go under in seven of 11 already this year when playing on back-to-back days, while Philadelphia has seen the total go under in 17 of 29 vs. teams with losing records this season. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Flyers. | |||||||
02-25-19 | Sabres +210 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo Sabres (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger against the over-valued home side. Toronto comes in off a highly satisfying 6-3 home win over the rival Canadiens and I think it’s primed for a classic “letdown” here. The Sabres come in under the radar off their impressive 5-2 home win over the defending champion Capitals. Note that Sabres’ goaltender Carter Hutton is 3-0 with a 1.99 GAA lifetime vs. Toronto. Additionally note that Buffalo is 12-8 (+7.4 units) trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent this year, while Toronto is just 4-6 (-7.2 units) in its last ten vs. teams with losing records. Great value on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Sabres. | |||||||
02-24-19 | Flames v. Senators +226 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Senators (10* BLACK-LABEL) I’ve hit a couple of big underdogs on the ice over the last couple of nights and I like our chances here as well. Clearly the Flames are the better team, but I think they’re getting far too much respect in this spot. The Flames have won four in a row, but I think they’ll get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. The Senators are in rebuild mode, but after back-to-back shutout losses, we don’t have to question that home sides’ motivation levels this evening. I think that’ll be the difference here. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Senators. | |||||||
02-23-19 | Avalanche +166 v. Predators | 5-0 | Win | 166 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Avalanche (10* TRADE-MARK) Colorado comes in off a convincing 5-3 road win in Chicago last night and I think it offers great value here to carry over that momentum and knock off an over confident Predators side. Nashville barely got by the lowly Kings 2-1 at home in its most recent action. I think the home side is going to have its hands full here as well vs. its hungry Central division rival. Note that the Avs are 10-7 (+4.3 units) in their last 17 following a three games or more unbeaten streak, while the Predators are just 15-16 (-12.2 units) vs. teams with losing records this year. Great value, play on Colorado. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Avs. | |||||||
02-22-19 | Wild v. Red Wings -105 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Red Wings (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Wild come in off a highly satisfying 4-1 win in New York just last night and I think they’ll suffer a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back. Detroit comes in as the hungrier side after its 5-4 OT loss at home to Chicago. Note that before their win against the Rangers last night, the Wild had lost five straight. Can anyone say letdown spot here?! The Wings won’t be rolling over or taking this opportunity for granted after losing three in a row and six of their last eight. Note that Minnesota is just 3-7 in its last ten in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation, while the home team si 6-1 in the last seven in the series. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Red Wings. | |||||||
02-21-19 | Coyotes v. Canucks -135 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vancouver Canucks (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Canucks play with double revenge here, with Arizona having taken both earlier meetings between the clubs. The Canucks lost a tough one 3-2 in San Jose on Saturday, so they’ve had significant time off to prepare. The Coyotes have been playing decently, but I think they stumble after their shootout road win in Edmonton. Vancouver is still in the playoff hunt and I expect the home side to make the most of this golden “situation.” Lay the price. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Canucks. | |||||||
02-20-19 | Islanders +135 v. Flames | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders (10* BLACK-LABEL) The Isles are 17-10-0-2 on the road this year. After clobbering Columbus 3-0 on the road, New York stay focused with a convincing 5-2 win over the Oilers next. With a tough game at Edmonton tomorrow night though, followed by a game in Vancouver on Friday, I believe the visitors will leave everything on the ice in this one. Calgary has been one of the best teams in the league this year, thanks in part to its stellar 18-5-3-2 home record. However with much more “winnable” games upcoming against Anaheim on Thursday, followed by at Ottawa, I think this also sets up as a “trap” game for the home side. Great value on the undervalued visiting side. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Isles. | |||||||
02-19-19 | Maple Leafs v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Leafs/Blues under (8* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL) Toronto finishes a long road trip here and it’s already run out of gas as evidenced by its 2-0 loss at Arizona on Saturday, managing just 22 shots in the setback. A game vs. the red hot Blues, who come in having won 11 straight, is not what the doctor ordered to get back on track. I think the visiting side will just “go through the motions” tonight. The Blues though will look to keep the good times rolling, behind their stellar goaltenders who have posted three straight shutouts. This number is much too high as expect the home side to control the tempo from the outset. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blues. | |||||||
02-19-19 | Rangers +181 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-1 | Win | 181 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Rangers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Carolina has been playing great, but I think it’s getting far too much respect with such a steep price here. The Rangers offer great value in the massive upset role in my opinion. The Canes enter off a 3-0 home win over Dallas, while the Rangers fell 6-5 at Pittsburgh in their most recent action. Note that Rangers’ goaltender Henrik Lundqvist is 29-13 with a 2.00 GAA lifetime vs. Carolina. Canes’ goaltender Curtis McElhinney is just 2-3 with a 3.37 GAA lifetime vs. the Rangers. Note that New York is 10-7 (+5.8 units) this year following a divisional contest, while Carolina is just 18-25 (-11.5 units) in its last 43 when playing with two days rest. Great value on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Rangers. | |||||||
02-18-19 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +116 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Columbus Blue Jackets (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Lightning look poised for a letdown here in my opinion. They have a game in Philadelphia tomorrow night and I believe they caught get “looking ahead” and come in complacent after their 3-0 home win over Montreal. Columbus can’t afford to look past anyone though. The Blue Jackets though come in off a confidence building 5-2 road win in Chicago and I like them to carry that momentum over here. Note as well that the Blue Jackets play with revenge today and that they’re 13-10 (+1.9 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Jackets. | |||||||
02-17-19 | Blues +113 v. Wild | Top | 4-0 | Win | 113 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Sure they Wild are “hungry” for a victory, but they unfortunately now run into the “hottest” team in the league. The Blues come in off a confidence building 3-0 road win over Colorado, while Minnesota enters off a deflating 5-4 OT home loss to New Jersey. Blues’ goaltender Jordan Binnington is 11-2 with a 1.69 GAA on the year. St. Louis is 15-12 on the road, averaging 2.67 goals and allowing 2.37 in those instances. Minnesota is only 13-16 at home, averaging 2.97 goals and allowing 2.97 as well in those ones. Wild goaltender Devan Dubnyk is only 9-14 with a 2.74 GAA at home. The Blues big run will end at some point, but I look for them to keep the foot on the gas for at least one more game. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blues. | |||||||
02-16-19 | Maple Leafs v. Coyotes +155 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 155 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Coyotes (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Looks like a great spot to pull the trigger on the undervalued home side. Toronto comes in complacent after back to back wins, including a 6-3 victory in Vegas last time out. This is the finale of a long trip for Toronto and I expect a letdown here. The Coyotes don’t have that luxury though after they fell at home to a red hot St. Louis team most recently. Note though that Arizona is 9-4 (+7.5 units) in its last 13 after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. All signs point to an upset. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Coyotes. | |||||||
02-15-19 | Bruins v. Ducks +149 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Ducks earned a much needed victory last time out and I think they’ll carry that momentum over and catch the Bruins, who have won three straight, flat footed in the opener of their Western swing. Anaheim has a new bench boss and it clearly can’t take the foot off the gas or take anything for granted at this point. Boston is also just 3-4 (-2.7 units) this year after playing three straight home games, while Anaheim is 2-0 (+2.2 units) this season after shutting out its opponent in its previous game. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Ducks. | |||||||
02-14-19 | Blues v. Coyotes +131 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Coyotes (10* MONEY-MAKER) It would be easy to write a convincing argument for the Blues to win this game, as they enter having won seven straight games, most recently demolishing the Devils 8-3. But all good things must come to an end and I think the visitors finally have a letdown here. The Coyotes are dangerous and they’re hungry, as they are only four points back of Minnesota for the final playoff spot. This one “means” so much more to the home side. But note that St. Louis is still a terrible 7-11 (-4.2 units) this year after a win by two goals or more, while Arizona is 9-3 (+6.8 units) this year after a victory by two goals or more. This one has upset written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Coyotes. | |||||||
02-12-19 | Devils +175 v. Blues | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Jersey Devils (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Devils come in off a 3-2 home win over the Hurricanes, while the Blues come in off a 5-4 road win over Nashville. I think that New Jersey carries that momentum over here in the opener of its road trip, while I think the Blues suffer a classic letdown after their big road upset. The Blues have in fact won six straight and I think this is the perfect spot to the pull the trigger on their “letdown” spot. Note that New Jersey is 7-2 in its last nine non-conference road games after a home win, while St. Louis is just 8-13 (-6.2 units) this year after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Devils. | |||||||
02-11-19 | Kings v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Under Kings/Capitals (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Both teams come off high-scoring OT heartbreaking losses. The Kings fell 5-4 in OT to the Bruins on the road, while Capitals lost 5-4 in OT to Florida at home in their latest action. LA had won its previous four games and it has to be feeling confident here with Jon Quick in net, as he’s 9-2 with a 2.23 GAA lifetime vs. the Caps. Washington goalie Braden Holtby is only 1-3 vs. the Kings, but he does own the respectable 2.51 GAA (also note that he’s 12-11 with a 2.86 GAA at home this year.) LA has seen the total go under in ten of 13 this year already after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Capitals. | |||||||
02-10-19 | Hurricanes v. Devils +123 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 123 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Devils (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Hurricanes come in complacent after their 3-0 road win over the Rangers. The Devils come in hungry after their 4-2 home loss to the Wild. After winning five of their last six, I do indeed expect the Hurricanes to finally have a letdown here vs. this hungry home side. Carolina is 14-14 on the road, averaging 2.82 goals and allowing 3.00. Enough is enough for the Devils, who have lost five straight at home. New Jersey will be risking life and limb to get back into the winners circle here. Now only 13-14 at home, the Devils average 3.11 GPG and allow 2.93 in those contests. Note that Carolina is just 7-13 (-7.8 units) after a three-games unbeaten streak, while New Jersey is 7-2 in its last nine following a four games or more losing streak in front of the home town crowd. I expect the more desperate team to come out on top tonight. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Devils. | |||||||
02-09-19 | Sharks v. Oilers +135 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Edmonton Oilers (10* BLACK-LABEL) After winning 11 of their last 14, including a highly satisfying 5-2 road win over Calgary to move within two points of the conference lead, I believe the surging Sharks finally have a letdown here vs. this hungry Oilers team. The Oilers are clearly desperate, as they’re 2 points behind the eighth place Blues. Edmonton won’t be resting on its laurels either after its 4-1 win over the Wild, as the victory snapped a brutal six-game slide. Everything points to the Oilers defending home ice tonight. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Oilers. | |||||||
02-07-19 | Islanders v. Devils +114 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Jersey Devils (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Isles enter off a 3-1 loss to Boston, and New Jersey was upset 5-1 at home by the lowly Kings. While they got caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent in their last game, I think the Devils come in focused on the task here and find a way to get the job done in front of the home town crowd. New York has in fact lost three of its last four. Isles’ netminder Robin Lehner is 3-7 lifetime vs. the Devils. New Jersey won’t be taking anything for granted after three straight home losses. Cory Schneider has a lifetime 2.08 GAA in ten games vs. New York. The Isles are also just 18-20 in their last 38 after scoring one goal or less in their previous contest, while the Devils are 7-2 in their last nine following a home loss in which it was outscored by four goals or more in. Everything points to New Jersey finally getting off the schneid here. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Devils. | |||||||
02-06-19 | Bruins v. Rangers +129 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 129 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Rangers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Boston comes in off a satisfying 3-1 home win over the Islanders just last night and I think they’ll suffer a letdown here finally in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. the Rangers on the other hand come in as the much more hungry team in my estimation after falling 4-3 in OT to LA in their most recent action. Note that Boston goaltender Tuukka Rask is still only 4-8 with a 2.65 GAA on the road this season. The Rangers have struggled overall this season, but they’ve been at their best at home, averaging 2.93 goals and allowing 2.67 in those contests. Note as well that New York is 5-2 in its last seven when playing on one days rest, while Boston is just 2-5 in its last seven when playing the second game of a back-to-back and following a win by two goals or more in the first. Great value on the home side tonight. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Rangers. | |||||||
02-05-19 | Blue Jackets +109 v. Avalanche | Top | 6-3 | Win | 109 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jackets (10* TRADE-MARK) I think the Blue Jackets have much more than just a “punchers chance” in this one vs. the “on again, off again” Avs. Columbus comes in desperate to break a five game slide. Columbus still sits in fourth in the Metro and the team has to be feeling confident it can get back on track here with goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky between the pipes, as he’s 6-2-1 with a 2.34 GAA in nine starts vs. Colorado. The Avs are just 1-3-0 to open their five-game home stand, coming in with zero momentum after three straight losses, including a 5-1 loss to the Canucks on Saturday. Everything points to an upset on the road here. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Jackets. | |||||||
02-04-19 | Ducks +215 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks (10* GAME OF WEEK) I think the hungry Ducks offer great value to pull off the big upset in Toronto Monday night. Anaheim won’t be lacking focus after it’s 9-3 loss to Winnipeg, while the Leafs get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent and off their hugely satisfying 3-2 home win over Pittsburgh. Can anyone say letdown spot/trap game?! Note that the Ducks are 63-45 (+15.5 units) the last two years trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Toronto is just 1-4 (-6.9 units) in its last five vs. teams with losing records. The stage is set for the upset. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Ducks. | |||||||
02-03-19 | Oilers +150 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Edmonton Oilers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams come in off OT losses. The Oilers fell 5-4 to the Flyers on the road, while the Habs lost 3-2 to the Devils at home. Edmonton enters as the “hungrier” team as it’s now lost four in a row. Note that Edmonton goaltender Mikko Koskinen is 2-0 with a 2.41 GAA lifetime vs. Montreal. Canadiens net minder Carey Price is a terrible 2-8 with a 3.73 GAA lifetime vs. Edmonton. It’s been a struggle for the Oilers of late, but I think that Koskinen is the “X-Factor” in today’s upset. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Oilers. | |||||||
02-02-19 | Ducks +188 v. Jets | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks (10* TRADE-MARK) Anaheim went into the All Star Break with 14 losses in 16 games. But the Ducks get a big boost in the second half with the return of offensive star Corey Perry, who will team up with Ryan Getzlaf and Rickard Rakell in his season debut tonight. The Jets are 2-1-0 since the All Star break, but I think they get caught “looking past” their lowly opponent here after back-to-back wins over Boston and Columbus. I think the conditions are definitely right for an upset. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Ducks. | |||||||
02-01-19 | Golden Knights -105 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Las Vegas Golden Knights (10* GAME OF MONTH) Both teams enter the second half with playoff aspirations. The Preds haven’t played since a 2-1 home loss to Nashville over a week ago. The visitors go with Marc Andre Fleury in net and he’s 27-14-4 overall this year with a 2.41 GAA and .911 save percentage. Fleury was spectacular at home vs. the Hurricanes in a shutout victory earlier in the year and I think the wily veteran will come up big again here. Overall the Knights are scoring 3.00 GPG and allowing 2.67. The Hurricanes beat the Canucks 5-2 in their last matchup. Canes’ goaltender Curtis McElhinney is 11-6-1 with a 2.50 GAA on the year. Overall Carolina averages 2.78 GPG and it allows 2.94. Additionally note that Carolina is a terrible 16-37 in its last 53 when playing on three or more days rest, while Las Vegas is 7-1 in its last eight vs. teams with losing records. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Knights. | |||||||
01-31-19 | Blue Jackets +131 v. Jets | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Columbus Blue Jackets (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). These two teams are very competitive, but I think this is a great time to pull the trigger on the hungry visiting side, who have winning six straight, enter this one having lost three in a row. Columbus though has been solid on the road this year, going 14-9, averaging 3.00 GGP and allowing 2.96. Jackets’ goaltender Joonas Korpisalo is 5-2 with a 2.71 GAA on the road this year. Winnipeg has been one of the most consistent teams at home, but note that it’s just 2-3 (-2.8 units) this year after playing three consecutive road games. For all the reasons listed above, play on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Jackets. | |||||||
01-29-19 | Jets v. Bruins -140 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Bruins (10* TRADE-MARK) I had a play on the “under” in the Jets/Flyers last night (a 3-1 victory!) and I think Winnipeg comes in “gassed” in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Boston returns for its first game since the break, it left off with a 3-2 home loss to the Rangers. Note that Jets’ net minder Connor Hellebuyck is an unremarkable 1-3 with a 3.26 GAA lifetime vs. the Bruins, while Bruins’ goalie Jaroslav Halak is 7-4 with a 3.07 GAA lifetime vs. Winnipeg. Boston is 17-8 at home, averaging 3.48 goals and allowing 2.44. Look for the home side to take advantage. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Bruins. | |||||||
01-28-19 | Jets v. Flyers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jets/Flyers under (10* O/U BLACK-LABEL) Winnipeg left off with a 4-2 road loss in Dallas before the break and comes in hungry, while Philadelphia enters off a 5-2 road win over Montreal. Despite the most recent setback the Jets are still 6-2 in their last eight. Overall Winnipeg is 13-9 on the road, averaging 3.05 goals and allowing 2.91 in those contests. Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 21-15 with a 2.86 GAA. The Flyers won’t be rolling over here, as they’re still a poor 10-13 at home. Carter Hart is 6-6 with a 2.66 GAA though and he’s 5-3 with a 2.51 GAA when playing at home in Philadelphia this season. I think each team comes out a little “flat” after the All Star break and I look for this competent netminders to “steal the show.” This number is a little high, play the “under.” T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Jets. | |||||||
01-23-19 | Blues v. Ducks -102 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -102 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think the hungry home side finds a way to get the job done here. St. Louis is 5-4-1 over its last ten, but I think it’ll stumble here vs. Anaheim, which is just 2-5-3 in its last ten. The Blues though come in having lost three of their last four after blowing another one at home to the Kings 4-3 on Monday. The Blues average 2.79 goals per game and they allow 3.06. The Ducks average 2.39 GPG and they allow 2.92. Note though that Anaheim is 6-1 in its last seven home games following a road trip of seven or more days, while St. Louis is a poor 4-12 in its last 16 vs. teams with losing records. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Ducks. | |||||||
01-22-19 | Islanders v. Blackhawks +123 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 123 | 28 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Blackhawks (10* TRADE-MARK) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungry and improving home side. The Islanders are 29-19, but after their 3-0 home win over Anaheim, I believe they’ll fall flat here against the Hawks, who come in off a convincing 8-5 beatdown victory at home over the defending Stanley Cup champions. The Isles have been red hot defensively of late, but all good things come to an end at some point. I think this does indeed set up as a natural letdown spot for the over-achieving Isles. The Hawks can’t take anything for granted though after their terrible start. But that said, Chicago has clearly looked a lot better on both ends of the ice. Note that despite their recent “up-tick” in play, the Isles are still only 30-45 (-14.5 units) in their last 75 after a non-conference game. For all the reasons listed above, grab the home side here. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Hawks. | |||||||
01-21-19 | Blues v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -133 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Kings under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) St. Louis enters off a 3-2 home win over Ottawa and I think it’ll carry that defensive momentum over here. The Kings on the other hand will be looking to atone for a 7-1 road loss in Colorado. St. Louis goaltender Jordan Binnington is 2-1 with a 0.99 GAA on the road. Overall St. Louis is averaging 2.35 goals and allowing 2.55 on the road. The Kings are just 11-14 at home where they average 2.60 goals and allow 3.04. Note though that the under is 19-6-1 in LA’s last 26 when its opponent allows two goals or less in its previous outing, while the Blues have seen the under go 4-0-1 in their last five vs. the Western Conference. This number is a little high. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Kings. | |||||||
01-19-19 | Sharks v. Lightning UNDER 7 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -135 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sharks/Lightning UNDER (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) The Sharks are 28-21 and the Lightning are 36-12. These are two of the best in the league going head-to-head and despite not playing in the same conference, I’m expecting a very competitive and heated battle. Both teams will be looking to atone for a sloppy performance last time out, as the Sharks lost 6-3 in Arizona (likely looking ahead to this one), while Tampa is looking to atone for a 4-2 home loss to Toronto. It definitely sets up well as a more of a goaltenders battle, but additionally note that the Sharks have seen the total go under the number in 31 of its last 48 after a loss by two goals or more in their previous contest, while Tampa has seen the total dip under in eight of its last 12 after allowing four goals or more. This number is a little high. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Bolts. | |||||||
01-17-19 | Jets v. Predators -140 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -140 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nashville Predators (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think the Jets finally stumble here in this difficult road venue. Winnipeg enters having won six of ifs last eight. Overall the Jets average 3.5 GPG, while allowing 2.8. The Predators have won six of their last nine. Overall Nashville averages 3.1 GPG, while allowing 2.6. Not only do I think that this sets up as “trap/letdown” spot for Winnipeg, note that it’s already only 3-4 (-4.2 units) this season following a three-game unbeaten streak. Nashville on the other hand is 13-4 (+7.1 units) this year after a win by two goals or more. The price is right. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Predators. | |||||||
01-16-19 | Oilers v. Canucks -111 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -111 | 29 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vancouver Canucks (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Both teams come in off wins. Both teams have struggled this year. The Oilers have been better at home than on the road and I believe this will be a major factor here in this difficult West Coast road venue. These teams are currently tied for the eighth spot in the Western Conference Playoff race with Minnesota. Clearly this is a big mid-season game for these two struggling clubs. And that’s why I believe that the home ice advantage can’t be overlooked as a very real deciding factor. Note that Edmonton is just 7-8 this year after scoring four or more goals in its last contest. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Canucks. | |||||||
01-15-19 | Ducks -105 v. Red Wings | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks (10* MONEY-MAKER) After their 5-2 road win over the Wild, I think the Wings have a predictable letdown here. The Ducks on the other hand have lost 11 straight and will be risking life and limb to try and get off the schneid. Anaheim came close last time out, falling 4-3 in OT to the Jets. And despite all the losses, the Ducks are still in a four-way tie for eighth spot in the Western Conference. A date vs. the lowly, but now contented Wings is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track (note that Detroit is still just 4-16 in its last 20). I think the “hungrier” team gets the job done. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Ducks. | |||||||
01-14-19 | Blackhawks +135 v. Devils | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Blackhawks (10* TRADE-MARK) Chicago’s been playing better of late, but it’ll be focused here after a tough 4-3 OT loss to Vegas on the road. The Devils on the other hand look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after their 3-2 home win over the Flyers. Blackhawks goaltender Collin Delia is 2-1 with a 1.98 GAA on the road. Devils’ net minder Keith Kinkaid is 13-19 with a 3.07 GAA on the year. Note as well that Chicago is 14-10 (+4.3 units) in its last 24 after playing three consecutive home games. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Hawks. | |||||||
01-13-19 | Lightning v. Islanders +145 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 145 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders (10* TRADE-MARK) The Lightning came from behind to knock off the Sabres 5-3 yesterday. The Isles fell 2-1 at home to the Rangers. The Lightning have the best record in the NHL, but they were expected to be one of the best teams in the league. The Isles though weren’t expected to do much after star John Tavares left to the Leafs, but New York has been “better than advertised.” Especially at home. New York has the offense to keep pace the Lightning and it enters as the “hungrier” team. The Isles also benefit from home ice in the second game of the back-to-back scenario for both sides. A great situational play leads to a TRADE MARK signature release. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Isles. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Avalanche +109 v. Canadiens | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Avalanche (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Analysis posted shortly. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Avs. | |||||||
01-11-19 | Red Wings +210 v. Jets | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Red Wings (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think the Wings offer great value to steal one from the Jets, who enter off a tough 3-2 loss in Minnesota just last night. Detroit most recently fell 3-2 at home to Montreal. The Jets are the better team and they have the home ice advantage, but I think they’ll be “dog tired” in the second game of the back to back as the season grinds on. Note as well that Detroit is already 4-2 (+4.8 units) this season after playing three straight home games. This is a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungry dog. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Wings. | |||||||
01-10-19 | Predators v. Blue Jackets -120 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Columbus Blue Jackets (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Here’s one which doesn’t need to be overanalyzed. The Predators come in off a tough 4-3 OT win in Chicago just last night and I believe they’ll be “gassed” here. Nashville is now 12-11 on the road, but the Predators’ road play has been a weakness overall this year. Columbus is 24-18 overall, but it won’t be lacking for motivation after a 4-0 loss at Tampa Bay. Nashville goes with backup goaltender Juuse Saros, who has a 3.07 GAA on the road. Columbus is 11-10 at home. The Blue Jackets send Sergei Bobrovsky into the net and he’s 7-5 with a 2.64 GAA lifetime against the Predators. He also has a 2.72 GAA at home this season. Additionally note that Nashville is just 2-4 (-3.4 units) already this year after playing three straight road games, while Columbus is 11-5 (+3.3 units) after allowing four goals or more. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Jackets. | |||||||
01-09-19 | Predators v. Blackhawks +160 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Blackhawks (10* TRADE-MARK) The Hawks are just 16-29 and barring one of the biggest turnarounds in NHL history, they won’t be playing in the postseason again this year. But they’ve been playing better of late and I think they can take advantage of this spot against a Predators team which has for the most part struggled away from friendly confines. That said, Nashville definitely looks primed for a letdown after it’s rare 4-0 road win over Toronto in my opinion. Chicago comes in hungry after a hard-fought 4-3 home loss to the surging Flames. Nashville is still just 11-11 on the road, averaging 3.14 goals and allowing 2.82 in those games. Chicago is just 8-14 at home, averaging 2.91 GPG and allowing 3.41. Note though that the Predators are just 1-4 (-4.4 units) after playing three straight road games, while the Blackhawks are a strong 9-6 (+6.8 units) vs. division opponents. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Hawks. | |||||||
01-08-19 | Panthers +164 v. Penguins | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida Panthers (10* TRADE-MARK!) I’m all about picking underdogs when it comes to money line sports. I think the hungry Panthers offer great value at this big plus money price to pull off an upset of the “on again, off again” Penguins. Florida enters off a competitive, albeit frustrating 4-3 OT loss to Columbus, while Pittsburgh enters off a 5-3 home loss to the lowly Blackhawks. Note though that the Panthers are 7-2 in their last nine off an OT loss in which they allowed four or more goals in, while Pittsburgh is just 4-6 (-5.0 units) this season after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Panthers. | |||||||
01-07-19 | Flames v. Blackhawks +153 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Blackhawks (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Off their 5-3 win in Pittsburgh last night, I like the Blackhawks to keep the foot on the gas here and get the job done at home as well vs. the Flames. The Flames enter off a hard-fought and satisfying 3-2 OT road win over the Flyers. Calgary’s played a lot better on the road this year than in year’s past, but after their terrible start to the season, the Hawks won’t be rolling over here. In fact Chicago has won six of its last nine. Note as well that the Hawks are 7-2 in their last nine after scoring five or more goals in the first game of a back to back situation. Great value on the hungry home side. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Hawks. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Stars +152 v. Jets | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Stars (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Stars have won three of their last four. Dallas beat the Jets 5-1 at home back on October 6th and I think it offers great value here to pull of the upset on the road as well. Dallas most recently beat the Capitals 2-1 in OT on Friday night. The Stars also welcome back captain Jamie Benn to the lineup after he sat out Friday’s game. Winnipeg enters off a terrible 4-0 loss to Pittsburgh on Friday. The Jets have been waffling, going just 3-4–0 in their past seven games and they’ve scored one goal or fewer in five of those seven games. Everything points to the a comfortable upset. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Stars. | |||||||
01-04-19 | Predators v. Red Wings +172 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 172 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Red Wings (10* TRADE-MARK). The Predators have looked better of late, winning two straight after a six-game losing stretch, but they now face a hungry Red Wings team that is looking to bounce back after a 5-3 home loss to Calgary. Nashville has struggled overall this year, especially on the road where it’s just 9-10, averaging 3.05 goals in those contests, but also allowing 3.00. Detroit’s clearly a horrible team, but after six straight losses, we do not have to question the motivation levels of the home side today. Also note that while just 9-9 vs. the Predators lifetime, Wings’ net minder Jimmy Howard owns a very repeatable 2.18 GAA vs. Nashville for his career. I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the desperate and hungry home side. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Wings. | |||||||
01-02-19 | Flames v. Red Wings +152 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Red Wings (10* TRADE-MARK) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungry underdog home side. Calgary travels to the other side of the continent after a very satisfying 8-5 home win over the Sharks, while the Wings come in off a 4-3 shootout loss at home to Florida. Previous to the win over the Sharks, the Flames had dropped four of five. Calgary averages 2.85 goals on the road and it allows 2.10. Detroit averages 2.81 goals at home and it allows 2.90. Calgary though is still a terrible 7-9 (-5.2 units) this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest. As I stated at the top, I think this is a great spot to jump on the hungry home side. Great value. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Wings. | |||||||
01-01-19 | Flyers v. Predators UNDER 6 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Flyers/Predators under (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) Philadelphia comes in off a 3-1 road loss in Carolina just last night and I think it’ll have a difficult time mustering up much energy for an offensive push this evening either. Nashville enters off a very satisfying 6-3 road win in the nation’s capital. Philadelphia took the first meeting of the year 2-1 and I think we’ll see a similar, low-scoring, hard-fought affair here as well. Philly is just 8-13 on the road, averaging 2.95 goals and allowing 3.77 in those contests. Nashville is 14-7 at home, averaging 2.90 goals and allowing 2.19 in those contests. I think the overall situation points to a defensive contest. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Nashville. | |||||||
12-31-18 | Islanders +125 v. Sabres | Top | 3-1 | Win | 125 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the underdog visiting side. New York comes in with a ton of momentum after its 4-0 destruction of the Maple Leafs. Buffalo on the other hand enters off a crushing OT home loss to Boston. I think the home side is still collectively mentally dwelling on that disappointment and I expect the surging visiting side to take full advantage. The Isles are good road team, going 11-9, averaging 2.85 goals and allowing 2.65 in those contests. Buffalo is 12-7 at home and it’s averaged 3.00 GPG there and allowed 2.74. Note though that the Isles are just 14-42 in their last 56 vs. the Metropolitan, while New York is 4-1 in its last five vs. teams with winning records. Great value. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Isles. | |||||||
12-29-18 | Sharks v. Oilers +117 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Edmonton Oilers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Sharks come in complacent here after their 4-2 home win over Anaheim, while the Oilers come in hungry after their humbling 4-2 home loss to the Canucks. Note that San Jose is just 8-11 on the road this year, averaging 3.05 GPG and allowing 3.26 GPG in those contests. Despite the setback last time out, Edmonton is still 10-8 at home, averaging 2.97 goals and allowing 2.67 in those games. The Sharks’ “kryptonite” all year has been their play on the road, as evidenced by their 1-6 record in their last seven road games vs. teams with winning home records. All things considered, fantastic value in this one. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Oilers. | |||||||
12-27-18 | Red Wings +224 v. Penguins | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Red Wings (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think this is a great “spot bet.” A strategic wager that the Wings will catch the Pens “flat footed” out of the X-Mas break. Great value here in my opinion. Detroit comes in off 5-4 OT loss to Toronto, while the Pens posted a 3-0 win before the break. Wings’ goaltender Jonathan Bernier is 6-2 with a 2.48 GAA lifetime vs. the Pens as well. Pens’ goaltender Matt Murray is 2-5 with a 5.02 GAA at home this year and he’s 0-3 with a 4.08 GAA lifetime against Detroit. As mentioned off the top, the stage is set for a high value upset. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Wings. | |||||||
12-20-18 | Ducks +143 v. Bruins | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Anaheim came up short in a 3-1 setback in New York last time out, but that was the second game of a back to back and I think the Ducks will bounce back in fine fashion here. Previous to that they’d won four in a row and nine of ten. Chad Johnson is 2-0 with a 1.07 GAA lifetime against the Bruins as well. Boston’s Tukka Rask is just 1-7 with a 3.62 GAA lifetime against Anaheim. Note as well that the Ducks are 10-6 (+6.8 units) in non-conference games already this year, while Boston is just 5-7 (4.7 units) in the same position. Great value on the hot visiting side. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Ducks. | |||||||
12-18-18 | Islanders +110 v. Coyotes | Top | 3-1 | Win | 110 | 26 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think the Isles offer great value to steal this game despite playing the second game of a back-to-back. Arizona started the season strong, but it’s since lost five of its last six, including getting shutout in its latest contest by Carolina on Sunday. Arizona has scored more than three goals only once in its last seven games and overall the Coyotes are second-to-last in the NHL with an average of 2.50 GPG. Arizona is just 1-6 in its last seven at home, while New York is 4-1 in its last five when playing on one days rest. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Isles. | |||||||
12-17-18 | Ducks +151 v. Penguins | Top | 4-2 | Win | 151 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) There’s no one hotter than Anaheim right now and I think the Ducks’ll carry that momentum over here. The Ducks have won three in a row and ten of their last 12. Pittsburgh continues to struggle with consistency from game-to-game though. It enters off a much harder than expected 4-3 OT home win over the lowly Kings. Pittsburgh’s won two in a row now, but I think it’ll struggle to solve Anaheim’s strong overall current form. Additionally note that the Ducks are 9-5 (+6.2 units) in all non-conference games this year, while Pittsburgh is just 6-8 (-7.8 units) after scoring four goals or more in its previous game. Great value. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Ducks. | |||||||
12-14-18 | Avalanche v. Blues +100 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think the hungry home side finds a way to get the job done here. Colorado is 17-14, while St. Louis is just 11-18. But the Avs look more susceptible now than they have all year, coming in off back to back losses and now having dropped four of their last six. The Avs are also already a terrible 6-9 (-4.7 units) this year after scoring four goals or more in their previous game, while St. Louis is already 4-1 (+3.8 units) this season following a non-conference game. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blues. | |||||||
12-13-18 | Coyotes +128 v. Sabres | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Coyotes (10* TRADE-MARK) Revenge is a powerful motivating factor and I think it’ll be the difference maker here. The Sabres beat the Coyotes 3-0 in Arizona earlier in the season. The Coyotes come to town off a 4-3 loss in Boston, while the over-achieving Sabres look poised for a letdown here after their 4-3 OT win over the Kings. The Coyotes average 2.59 GPG and they allow 2.76, while Buffalo averages 2.97 and allows 2.94. Arizona has already done decently in this spot for bettors this year as well, going 3-1 (+3.5 units) after three or more consecutive losses. The Sabres on the other hand are still only 5-15 (-8.4 units) after playing three consecutive home games. Great price, play on Arizona. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Coyotes. | |||||||
12-11-18 | Canucks +184 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 3-2 | Win | 184 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vancouver Canucks (10* TRADE-MARK) The Canucks have been playing well of late and I think they offer great value to pull of the big upset here. Vancouver is 13-19, while Columbus is 16-13. Vancouver destroyed the Blues 6-1 on the road in its most recent action, while Columbus enters off a disheartening 4-0 home loss to Washington. Note that previous to the big win over St. Louis, Vancouver posted an impressive 5-3 home win over Nashville. The Canucks are surging and the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing. Note as well that Vancouver is 4-2 (+3.4 units) in its last six following a win by two goals or more. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Canucks. | |||||||
12-10-18 | Penguins v. Islanders +127 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Pens lost 2-1 at Ottawa in a shootout most recently and I think they’ll stumble here in Long Island as well. Pittsburgh is 5-4-2 on the road, while New York is 7-4-1 at home. The Isles have also gone a strong 8-5 ATS in front of the home town crowd. Additionally note that the Pens are just 2-7 in their last nine after falling in a shootout in which it scored only 1 or less goals. Play on the home side. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Isles. | |||||||
12-07-18 | Hurricanes v. Ducks +100 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks (10* GAME OF MONTH) I think the Ducks offer great value at home. Anaheim is getting little respect here, as it comes in having won six of its last seven. Carolina is just 5-7-1 on the road, while Anaheim is 8-3-3 at home. Off three straight losses and with three whole nights off before a home game vs. Toronto, this also sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors. Great value on the home side. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Ducks. | |||||||
12-06-18 | Islanders +171 v. Penguins | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Penguins have struggled with consistency this year and I think the hungry visiting side will take advantage. New York is 13-10-1 overall, while Pittsburgh is just 11-10-3. New York is coming off a home loss against the Jets, but improved defensive plays has been the key for the Isles early success. With a three-game road trip starting on Saturday, I think the Pens also get caught looking ahead. Take it for what you will as well, but New York is already 10-2 (+12 units) this year vs. the division. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Isles. | |||||||
12-04-18 | Jets v. Islanders +120 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Islanders (10* TRADE-MARK) I think the Islanders off great value in a slight upset role at home today. Winnipeg is primed for a letdown here after its 4-3 shootout win vs. the Rangers. The Isles enter off a 3-2 him win over Columbus. Winnipeg averages 3.46 GPG and it allows 2.92. The Isles average 3.00 GPG and they allow 2.80. The Jets though are a terrible 2-7 (-6.7 units) this season vs. teams with winning records, while the Islanders are 42-27 (+23.2 units) the L2 years following a divisional contest. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Isles. | |||||||
12-03-18 | Sabres v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sabres/Preds over (10* O/U TRADE-MARK) After winning ten straight, the Sabres come in hungry after losing two in a row. Overall Buffalo averages 3.04 GPG and allows 2.81. The Preds average 3.26 GPG and they allow 2.41. Note that Buffalo has seen the total go over in seven of ten when playing against a team with a winning record, while Nashville has seen the total go over in all three games that it’s played in this year after playing three or more straight games at home. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Predators. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Jets v. Devils +120 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Jersey Devils (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Devils “through in the towel” early in yesterday’s 6-3 defeat in the Nation’s capital, clearly getting caught looking ahead to this home contest. The achilles heel of the Jets has long been their play on the road. Winnipeg gets caught “looking ahead” here as well in my opinion and note that the Jets are just 4-5 (-3.2 units) in non-conference games this season. Home cooking is the difference in this one. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Devils. | |||||||
11-30-18 | Blues v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Avs under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Colorado comes in having won seven straight and it’ll have to be cautious to not look past its lowly divisional opponent to its upcoming road trip which starts on Sunday. The Blues are clearly desperate for a win, sitting at the bottom of the Central and off back-to-back losses. While both teams have been playing to higher-scoring affairs of late, the overall situation for this one sets up as more of a defensive battle in my opinion. Also note that St. Louis has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of its last nine divisional road contests on the heels of a two games or more losing streak. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Avs. | |||||||
11-29-18 | Rangers +110 v. Senators | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Rangers (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Ottawa broke a four-game slide with a come from behind 4-3 OT win in Philly on Tuesday and I think it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here in its first game back after the long road trip. New York broke a two-game slide with a 4-2 win over these very Senators and with a tough game at Montreal up next, clearly the Blue Shirts won’t be leaving anything to chance. It’s a great situational play. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Rangers. | |||||||
11-27-18 | Avalanche +134 v. Predators | Top | 3-2 | Win | 134 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Avalanche (10* GAME OF WEEK) Nashville’s loaded with talent, but defensive standout PK Subban isn’t in the line-up again for the home side. But Colorado comes in on top form, having won four straight. The Avs are now withing five points of the Predators for the division lead. The Preds have six straight at home, but all good things have to come to and end. Note that the Avs are 7-2 (+4 units) in their last nine trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent as well. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Avs. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Ducks +203 v. Predators | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Ducks come in off back-to-back home wins. This is the opener of a difficult road trip for Anaheim and I think it offers great value in an upset role here. The Predators lost 6-2 in St. Louis most recently and note that they’re just 2-7 in their last nine home games a favorite of -200 or higher after losing by four goals or more in their previous contest. Pull the trigger on the big dog! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Ducks. | |||||||
11-23-18 | Senators +178 v. Stars | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Senators (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I simply feel the Stars are over price here. The Senators come in off a tight 6-4 loss in Minnesota and they’ve already beaten the Stars 4-1 in early November. Dallas gets caught “looking ahead” to its tough western conference contest in Colorado tomorrow night and the Sens steal one in Dallas. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Sens. | |||||||
11-21-18 | Senators +210 v. Wild | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Senators (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). I play on the Senators a lot. That’s because I think they’re a very talented team which can on “any given Sunday” compete with any team in this league. I think this is another great opportunity for a big upset on the road as I believe the Wild will get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent (note that the Wild are already 1-3 (-3.8 units) this season in non-conference games. Additionally note that the Sens are 4-2 (+5.6 units) vs. teams with winning records this year. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Sens. | |||||||
11-19-18 | Lightning +122 v. Predators | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tampa Bay Lightning (10* TRADE-MARK) Clearly these teams are very evenly matched. After a great start to the season, each has come back down to Earth of late. The bookmakers would agree with us though, as for the most part these clubs are a “wash” up and down the line-ups and in every position. So where’s the advantage? Note that Tampa is still 24-15 (+6.7 units) in revenging a home loss against an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Bolts. | |||||||
11-17-18 | Bruins v. Coyotes -101 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -101 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Coyotes (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Arizona has lost 12 straight to the Bruins, but Boston comes in off a game in Dallas last night, and it’s the second time in a seven-day span in which its played on back-to-back nights. But the Coyotes have won four of their last five at home, most recently an impressive 2-1 win over Nashville. Great value on the home side. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Coyotes. | |||||||
11-16-18 | Blues +151 v. Golden Knights | Top | 4-1 | Win | 151 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues (10* MONEY-MAKER) I thought the Knights were over-priced last year and they defied the odds completely. The Las Vegas lines are much more accurately priced this season, but I still think the Blues are the correct call here. St. Louis has lost two in a row and they’ll look to take advantage of a Golden Knights team which is 8-10-1 so far this year. Note that St. Louis is 47-30 (+4.5 unit) against teams with losing records. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Blues. | |||||||
11-15-18 | Lightning v. Penguins +101 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh Penguins (10* TRADE-MARK) The Pens have lost five of their last six. The Bolts come in having lost two straight. Both teams are hungry for a victory and on paper and on the ice, neither has an advantage. Note though that the Lightning are just 2-4 in their last six after two or more SU losses and facing a road opponent with a winning record, while Pittsburgh is still 34-14 (+16 units) in its last 48 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Penguins. | |||||||
11-14-18 | Ducks +147 v. Golden Knights | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Anaheim plays with revenge and it comes in off a big win at home over the Predators on Monday night (that was my GAME OF THE WEEK). Note that Anaheim is 4-2 in its last six trying to revenge an in-season loss against an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Ducks. | |||||||
11-13-18 | Maple Leafs v. Kings OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Leafs/Kings over (10* O/U BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Leafs are 11-6, while the Kings are 5-11. LA has lost two straight, while the Leafs are looking to get back into the winners circle, as a loss to Boston Saturday snapped a three-game win streak. The Leafs have seen the total go “over” in 45 of their last 80 against teams with losing records, while LA has seen the total go over in three of four when playing with two days of rest. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Leafs. | |||||||
11-12-18 | Predators v. Ducks +140 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 140 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Anaheim Ducks (10* GAME OF WEEK) I think the Ducks offer great value to protect home ice here. All good things must come to an end. The Preds are 13-3-0 overall, including 8-0-0 on the road, but the Ducks are a solid 4-3-1-2 at home and with two days off to prepare, I think the home side bounces back after its loss to the Wild. Nashville gets caught “looking ahead” to its game in San Jose tomorrow night and the home side sneaks away with the victory. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Anaheim. | |||||||
11-11-18 | Avalanche +108 v. Oilers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 108 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Avalanche (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Colorado comes in having lost five straight and with the Bruins at home up next, things certainly aren’t going to get any easier for the Avs. The Oilers present the perfect opponent to get off the schneid against, as they’re off three straight loss themselves. I give the slight nod to Colorado in net and in my opinion, that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in favor of the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Avs. | |||||||
11-10-18 | Senators +261 v. Lightning | Top | 6-4 | Win | 261 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Senators (10* MONEY-MAKER) Tampa gets caught looking ahead to its two nights off before a difficult Eastern road trip. Ottawa looks to take advantage as it lays everything on the line tonight to try and score the upset, before another tough one in Florida tomorrow night against an equally as hungry Panthers side. Note that the Lightning are just 4-5 in their last nine home games as +300 or more favorite. Great spot to pull the trigger on this big/hungry dog. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Sens. | |||||||
11-09-18 | Avalanche +155 v. Jets | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Avs (10* BLOWOUT) Admittedly the Jets are a very tough home team, but I think the Avs offer great value in an upset role on Friday night. The Jets lost the second game of a home and home set against the Panthers at home, falling 4-2. With New Jersey and Washington coming to town town next, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side looking ahead here as well. The Avs though don’t have that luxury as they come in having lost four straight and have another tough one in Edmonton Sunday. Note that the Avs are 7-2 in their last nine following a four games or more unbeaten streak. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Avs. | |||||||
11-08-18 | Sharks v. Stars +104 | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Stars (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Both teams are 8-7, but I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this one. Dallas is the “hungrier” team here off two straight losses, while on the other side of the ice, the Sharks come in complacent after two straight victories. Both SJ wins came on the road and a predictable letdown here against this hungry home side is imminent in my opinion. Note as well that the Stars are 7-2 in their last nine at home. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Stars. | |||||||
11-07-18 | Penguins +110 v. Capitals | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh Penguins (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Pittsburgh comes in the “hungrier” team here and I think that’ll be more than enough to score the minor upset on the road here. The Pens have lost four straight on the road ahead isn’t going to get any easier. A date in the Nation’s capital is just what the doctor ordered to get things turned around in my opinion though as the Capitals are just 2-7 in their last nine following a win by two goals or more (4-2 win over Oilers.) T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Pens. | |||||||
11-06-18 | Devils v. Senators +120 | 3-7 | Win | 120 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Senators (8* MONEY-MAKER) Here’s a no-brainer. Clerly the Devils are the better team “on paper,” but after their huge 5-1 win in Pittsburgh last night, I believe they’re ripe for the picking here by the hungry/desperate home side. While just 5-6-3 overall, the Sens are 4-2-2 at home. After two straight losses, including a tough 4-3 OT loss to the Lightning most recently, I think the home side offers tremendous value in the slight upset role tonight. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Sens. | |||||||
11-05-18 | Flyers +115 v. Coyotes | Top | 5-2 | Win | 115 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Flyers (10* GAME OF WEEK) This is the opener of a home and home set between the teams and I think the visitors offer great value to upset the contented home side, who comes in having won four straight. The Flyers lost 4-3 in OT in San Jose most recently. Note though that Philly is 7-2 in its last nine after allowing four or more goals in an OT loss in its previous outing. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Flyers. | |||||||
11-04-18 | Sabres v. Rangers UNDER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sabres/Rangers under (10*) These two teams struggle to put pucks in the net at the best of times and I believe that will again be the case here. Sabres’ goaltender Carter Hutton is 4-0 with a 1.35 GAA lifetime against the Rangers, while New York’s Henrik Lundqvist is 20-15 with a 2.35 GAA lifetime against Buffalo. Note that the under is 4-1-1 the last six in the series as well. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Rangers. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Wild +104 v. Blues | Top | 5-1 | Win | 104 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT on the Minnesota Wild. The Wild come in off a 4-3 win in Edmonton, while St. Louis beat Vegas 5-3 at home in its most recent action. Minnesota has done well in this matchup though of late, last year it won three of four, including an 8-3 home win on February 27th in the final outing. The Wild average 2.9 GPG and they allow 2.8. The Blues are scoring 3.7 GPG and they’re allowing 3.8. St. Louis is just 1-4 in its last five following a victory as well, while Minnesota is 5-1 in its last six vs. the Western Conference. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Wild. | |||||||
11-02-18 | Hurricanes +108 v. Coyotes | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Hurricanes (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Coyotes have arguably been the biggest surprise to open the new season, but I think they’ll finally come back down to Earth here against this talented visiting side. Arizona has now won four straight, giving up just four goals over that span. But with two nights off, I think this does indeed set up as a letdown spot. The Hurricanes have had two nights off to absorb back-to-back home losses and with a tough game tomorrow night in Vegas, I expect Carolina to leave everything it has on the ice tonight. Note as well that the Hurricanes are 6-2 in their last eight road games after two or more home losses in a row previous. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Canes. | |||||||
11-01-18 | Sabres v. Senators +111 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 111 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Senators (10* GAME OF WEEK) Ottawa comes in desperate after four straight losses, including a 5-1 setback at Arizona on Tuesday. The Sens though are 3-2-1-0 at home and I expect them to find a way to get the job done here against the Sabres. Note as well that this is the opener of a home and home set between the clubs, so this essentially becomes a “must win” game for the home side. Buffalo on the other hand comes in off back-to-back deflating OT losses and I expect it to stumble in this difficult road venue here as well. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Sens. | |||||||
10-30-18 | Senators +170 v. Coyotes | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Senators (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Coyotes are coming off a 7-1 win over Tampa Bay on Saturday night and they’ve won three in a row. Can anyone say letdown spot?! The Senators come in on the other end of the spectrum, desperate and hungry after three straight road losses (they’ve been competitive in each.) Additionally note that Ottawa is already 3-1 (+4 units) this year after a non-conference game, while Arizona is a horrible 1-4 (-3.4 units) following a three-game unbeaten streak. This one has “upset” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Sens. | |||||||
10-28-18 | Senators +205 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Senators (10* MONEY-MAKER) I simply feel that Las Vegas is drastically overpriced in this spot. The Golden Knights weren’t going to go back to the Stanley Cup again this season, but their drop off from prominence in the league has been evident. The Senators have looked brilliant at times this year and very poor in others. But what else is new? The achilles heel of Ottawa over the years has been its play on the road, but regardless of that I still think the improved defensive play and goaltending that Ottawa has gotten makes the visitors the correct call here. Note as well that the Sens are already 3-0 (+5 units) this season after a non-conference game. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Sens. | |||||||
10-27-18 | Jets +120 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg Jets (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think the Jets offer great value in a slight upset role here. Toronto got off to great start, but it’s been trading good starts with bad. After a 4-2 win in Winnipeg on Thursday, the Jets are out for some revenge on Saturday. Note that the Jets are 7-2 in their last nine in the second game of a home and home set after allowing four or more goals and losing in the first. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Jets. | |||||||
10-25-18 | Capitals v. Oilers +118 | 1-4 | Win | 118 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Edmonton Oilers (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Oilers are the “hungrier” team here as they’ve once again gotten out to a lacklustre start. Edmonton most recently fell 6-5 to Pittsburgh, while Washington looks poised for a letdown here after opening up its road trip with a 5-3 win at Vancouver. With a game at Calgary up next, it’s no too hard to imagine the visitors get caught “looking ahead” here either. Note as well that Edmonton is 7-2 in its last nine after allowing six or more goals in its previous contest. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Oilers. | |||||||
10-24-18 | Lightning v. Avalanche +121 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Avalanche (10* GAME OF WEEK). These are two of the best teams in the league in the early going. I think the Avs can carry over their recent momentum though and I look for them to find a way to get the job done at home. Colorado has won three straight on the road and I don’t anticipate a letdown here against the equally as hot Lightning, who are 5-1-1 overall, but who I believe will be caught “looking ahead” to their more “high profile” game in Vegas on Friday night. Note that the Avs are 7-2 in their last nine home games following a three games or more unbeaten streak. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Avs. | |||||||
10-23-18 | Flames v. Canadiens +103 | 2-3 | Win | 103 | 28 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Montreal Canadiens (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Flames have won three of their last four, including a 4-1 victory at the Rangers on Sunday, but with two nights off before back-to-back home games against the Penguins and Capitals, I believe they’ll stumble here. Montreal endured a terrible season last year, but it’s been a lot better in the early going thus far, coming into this one with a solid 4-1-2 record, including going 3-1 at home. And with a night off before back-to-back tough road games in Buffalo and Boston, there’s no doubt in my mind that the Canadiens will be leaving everything they have on the ice tonight. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Habs. | |||||||
10-22-18 | Hurricanes v. Red Wings +129 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Red Wings (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) With four nights off after this before a home game against the Sharks, I think the Hurricanes get caught “flat-footed” here. Carolina 4-3-1 overall and 2-2 on the road, but Detroit is just 1-5-1 overall, including 0-1-1 at home. After a much needed 5-4 OT win at Florida though and with four nights off before a home game against the Jets, I believe the stage is set for a slight upset in this one. Play on Detroit. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Wings. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |