Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-20-18 | Blues +146 v. Maple Leafs | 4-1 | Win | 146 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues (8* BARN-BURNER) St. Louis is a horrible 1-5 and Toronto is an encouraging 6-2. Despite that, I think the “hungrier” team is going to find a way to pull off the upset in TO tonight. The Blues most recently lost 3-2 in Montreal, while the Buds were blanked 3-0 by the Pens most recently. And with three whole nights off before a tough road game in Winnipeg, this does indeed set up as a “letdown” spot for the Leafs as well. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blues. | |||||||
10-19-18 | Wild +143 v. Stars | 3-1 | Win | 143 | 28 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Wild (8* SUPER-DOG SPECIAL) Neither team has gotten out to a great start, but I think the talented Wild offer great value in a slight upset role here. Minnesota enters off a 2-1 victory over Arizona and with a tough game at home tomorrow night against the Lightning, they can clearly leave nothing to chance here. Dallas was throttled 4-1 in Ottawa and then 3-0 in New Jersey and I believe it’s primed for a classic letdown here after returning home. Note as well that Minnesota is 7-3 in its last ten as a road dog in the +130 to +150 range. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Wild. | |||||||
10-18-18 | Avalanche +123 v. Devils | 5-3 | Win | 123 | 27 h 33 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Avalanche (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think New Jersey comes in a bit complacent here after its hot start, going 4-0 to open, most recently a 3-0 win over Dallas. But with a road game in Philadelphia on Saturday, I expect New Jersey to get caught “looking ahead” here. No such luxury for the Avs though, who have lost three of four, including two straight, most recently an upset loss to the Rangers. The road doesn’t get any easier for the Avs either with games at Carolina and Philly upcoming. Note though that Colorado is 7-2 in its last nine road games after back-to-back road losses and in which it’s an underdog in the +105 to +150 range. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Avs. | |||||||
10-17-18 | Bruins +100 v. Flames | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Bruins (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Bruins are 4-1 and they’ve been off for four whole nights. Tomorrow they’re in Edmonton, so I’m expecting a massive effort tonight, as it tries to secure at least one of the two in this always difficult “Alberta Gauntlet.” The Flames have been trading good games with bad ones, and they most recently enter off a very satisfying 3-2 OT win in Colorado. Boston though is 7-2 in its last nine when playing with three or more days rest. I think the Bruins are severely under-valued in this spot. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Bruins. | |||||||
10-16-18 | Sabres +165 v. Golden Knights | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo Sabres (8*) Las Vegas is getting far too much respect. The oddsmakers are having a difficult time getting a proper read on Las Vegas after its improbable Cinderella run to the Stanley Cup Final. Bufflao comes in off a 3-0 win over Arizona and it’s 3-2 overall. Vegas is just 2-4 overall after a slim 1-0 win over Phllly on Saturday, but note that they’re just 1-6 in their last seven when playing on two days rest. Great value on the hungry visitors. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Sabres. | |||||||
10-16-18 | Coyotes +141 v. Wild | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Coyotes (8*) A great situational play, as Minnesota was in Nashville just last night. The Coyotes are 1-3 and they’ll be risking life and limb here to score the upset having already suffered three shutout losses. The Wild are tired. They finished a three-game home-stand in which every contest went to OT. And then they lost in Nashville just last night. The stage is now set for an upset. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Yotes. | |||||||
10-16-18 | Oilers +160 v. Jets | 5-4 | Win | 160 | 27 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Edmonton Oilers (8*) I think the Jets 11-game home win streak comes to an end here. Edmonton has been on the road for over two weeks, starting the season off in Europe, but I don’t think the “fatigue” factor comes into play here yet at the start of the season. The Oilers come in with momentum as well off their 2-1 win in New York. Oilers’ goaltender Cam Talbot is 3-1-0 with a 2.02 GAA in four starts in Winnipeg. Jets goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is just 3-4 with a 3.26 GAA in seven lifetime match ups with Edmonton. I think the stage is set for Edmonton to finally steal one as it looks to close its road trip in style. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Oilers. | |||||||
10-15-18 | Stars v. Senators +144 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 144 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Senators (10* GAME OF WEEK) Dallas heads North of the border after a satisfying 5-3 home win over Anaheim, while Ottawa enters off a 5-1 home victory over LA. The Sens feel more confident at home though and also because of the fact that they won both meetings last year. Dallas is so far scoring 4.25 GPG and allowing 2.75, while Ottawa is averaging 4.00 GPG and allowing 4.20. However note that the Stars are just 12-15 (-5.6 units) in their last 27 after playing three consecutive home games, while Ottawa is 52-51 (+16.9 units) against teams with winning records. Great value on the home side upset. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Sens. | |||||||
10-13-18 | Sabres +121 v. Coyotes | 3-0 | Win | 121 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo Sabres (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Buffalo leaves home after a 6-1 loss to Colorado eager to atone and get back on track. The Coyotes return home complacent after a big 3-2 shootout win over the Ducks on Wednesday. Buffalo actually held the shot advantage last time out (31-30), but it would unfortunately come up short against the surging Avs. Carter Hutton stopped 24 shots in the setback, giving up two power-play goals. But as mentioned above, after securing their first win of the year, I think the Coyotes will predictably stumble here. Note that Buffalo is 7-2 in its last nine road games against a team with a losing home record and in which it’s an underdog in the +105 to +145 range. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Sabres. | |||||||
10-11-18 | Maple Leafs v. Red Wings +148 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Red Wings (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Leafs come to Detroit off back-to-back road victories, holding on for a wild 7-6 win in OT over Chicago, before then beating the Starts 7-4 in Dallas. But with a game in the Nation’s capital against the defending champs on Saturday night, I’m absolutely expecting the Maple Leafs to stumble here. Detroit on the other hand can not afford to “look past” anything at this point after an 0-3 start to the season. The Wings have been competitive, but I believe they’ll “put it all together” to score the minor upset at home on Thursday night. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Wings. | |||||||
10-10-18 | Flyers v. Senators UNDER 6 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Under Flyers/Senators (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) I’m predicting a goaltenders battle. Each team comes in off a high-scoring blowout loss and because of that, I’m expecting each of these hungry sides to “double down” on the defensive side. The Flyers loss 8-2 at home to the Sharks, while the Senators were smashed 6-3 on the road to Boston. Each team’s starting goaltender has looked shaky to start, but note that Philly has in fact seen the total go “under” the number in seven of its last nine when playing on back-to-back days, while Ottawa has seen the total go under in nine of its last 13 after playing to three or more consecutive “overs.” T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Flyers. | |||||||
10-09-18 | Sharks v. Flyers +102 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Flyers (10* TRADE-MARK) No need to overthink this one. The Sharks enter off a 4-0 loss at the Islanders last night and I think they’re ripe for the picking here in the second game of the back-to-back. Philadelphia has had two nights off to absorb a 5-2 road loss in Colorado and I like the under-valued home side to take full advantage of this very favorable spot. The Sharks on the road for the first time this year and they come into this one tired and dejected after a terrible showing against the Islanders. Philadelphia didn’t look great in its last start either, but the difference is that it’s had two nights off prepare, plus the home ice advantage. Note as well that Philly is 10-4 in its last 14 against the Western Conference. For all the reasons listed above, take the home side. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Flyers. | |||||||
10-08-18 | Golden Knights v. Sabres +120 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 120 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo Sabres (10* GAME OF WEEK) After a disastrous 5-2 Opening Night loss at home to Philadelphia, Las Vegas bounced back with a tough 2-1 shootout win at Minnesota two nights later. But with upcoming games at Washington on Wednesday and then Pittsburgh on Thursday, there’s no question that this one sets up as a classic “trap” for the Knights, who I believe won’t be able to help themselves “looking ahead” to their “rematch” with the Capitals mid-week. The Sabres on the other hand lost 4-0 to the Bruins and then they beat the Rangers 3-1. With two nights off before another home game against Colorado, the Sabres do indeed offer great value to pull off the slight upset. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Sabres. | |||||||
10-06-18 | Senators +218 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 5-3 | Win | 218 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ottawa Senators (10* TRADE-MARK) I think the Sens offer great value to pull off the upset here. Toronto looked anything but dominant in its Opening Night 3-2 OT win over the Habs. And with a tough road trip starting tomorrow night in Chicago, there’s no question that this one sets up as a classic “look ahead” spot as well for the Buds. Ottawa fought hard but fell short in OT in its opener to the Blackhawks (4-3.) With a night off before another tough game at Boston on Monday, the Sens will be laying everything they have on the line tonight. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Sens. | |||||||
10-05-18 | Sharks -103 v. Kings | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Jose Sharks (10* MONEY-MAKER) San Jose comes in in a foul mood after its 5-2 home loss to the Ducks on Opening Night (I had Anaheim in that one.) San Jose faces a Kings team which lost to the Golden Knights in the first round of the playoffs last year. Martin Jones will be in net for the Sharks and he’s 59-50 with a 2.45 GAA on the road lifetime and 9-5 with a 2.06 GAA in his career against LA. Jon Quick gets the call in net for the Kings and he’s 116-119 with a 2.18 GAA at home and 15-16 with a 2.52 GAA against the Sharks. Note though that San Jose is 55-24-1 in its last 77 following a home loss of more than three goals, wile LA is just 1-9 in its last ten at home in this series. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Sharks. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |