07-20-23 |
Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 5-7 |
Loss | -120 | 0 h 20 m | Show |
Whoooooa Bargain price AND A HALF!!! |
07-20-23 |
Juan Pablo Varillas -3.5 v. Facundo Bagnis | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Might split....if he can AVOID the split...we cover easy....if he CAN'T...the bigger win sure does feel like JPV for SURE! BEST case scenario is something like 6-4 6-2.... Worst case by my numbers 5-7 6-2 6-4 and still snag that hook W! |
07-19-23 |
Yankees v. Angels +1.5 | Top | 3-7 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 49 m | Show |
What IS this line people?!?! |
07-19-23 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. A's | Top | 5-6 |
Loss | -135 | 1 h 42 m | Show |
|
07-19-23 |
Astros -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 4-1 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 53 m | Show |
VMI for the Stros of nearly +13 Gomber has a tight 4 seamer arsenal....and they LOST in Coors last night! Bielak on the road....has been aberrantly BAD....in fact.ths Astros are 1-8 SU That ends today as the v. LHP offense of 7/.371/139 good for second best in MLB for July gets to Gomber's baffling stuff haha....quick and early! |
07-19-23 |
Dominic Thiem -2.5 v. Hamad Medjedovic | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -119 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
In the THIEM....I TRUST! -200 just a smidge too big....-2.5 is a smidge scary...but Medjed is over his head....hey look we rhymed...and I think the vet keeps up the BIG MO! |
07-18-23 |
Nationals +1.5 v. Cubs | Top | 3-17 |
Loss | -138 | 1 h 32 m | Show |
Been trying to figure this out ALLLL day.... I can't...I'm stumped |
07-18-23 |
Yunseong Chung v. Steve Johnson -3 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
-3 is solid.... Under 22.5 is maybe a smidge more of a risk...but Chung ain't winning a set here and if we can avoid any tiebreaks this will ALSO be easy... I think Stevie wallops the kid here....and gets his season going in the right direction after WINNING at Bloomfield Hills Challenger...where he can crush on his serve again...ain't NO way he's getting broken...so a couple breaks and WE CASH EASY! |
07-18-23 |
Stan Wawrinka -1.5 v. Roberto Carballes Baena | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 112 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
I can't see how Stan could POSSIBLY lose a set here....AND we get + money to bet it on top on that glorious aspect! Gstaad is for serving and plays like a grassy/hard court for a Wawrinka type fella....RCB will wish it wasn't at such attitude! Beatdown 101 |
07-18-23 |
Sebastian Ofner v. Tomas Martin Etcheverry -3 | Top | 2-1 |
Loss | -113 | 35 h 7 m | Show |
Etch + clay = LET'S GET IT ON! Ofner has had a nice run of late ....but our boy Etch is having THE year.... This should be a straightforward easy W....but we'll take the spread value and trust 7-5 7-5 is a seriously worst case scenario!!! |
07-18-23 |
Timea Babos v. Anna Bondar -1.5 | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
I-N-S-A-N-E BARGAIN....Thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?! |
07-17-23 |
Eliot Spizzirri v. Corentin Moutet -1.5 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
FAAAAT price....and boy do we have a SLAUGHTER on our hands here.... -200 for straights is nasty...but this should resemble JT manhandling Kova as you read this....maybe worse....although this is BARELY possible Moutet LEGIT beat an in form Gasquet at the All England club...before losing to Safiullin....no qualms there as he made the quarters to lose to Sinner! The American here is HOME...sure....and home he will be heading in about 80-90 minutes of butchered grass court tennis! |
07-17-23 |
Abedallah Shelbayh v. R Hijikata -1.5 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 112 | 1 h 47 m | Show |
+ money for a US grass court win for Rinky....who should take Shelbayh out to the woodshed....and maybe in a grotesque type way this Afternoon!! |
07-17-23 |
Jordan Thompson -1.5 v. Aleksander Kovacevic | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show |
Kova for a set.... meh..... not a good play! |
07-17-23 |
Dragos Nicolae Madaras v. Luca Van Assche -4 | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -104 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
BLOWOUT WATCH!!! LVA wants to WIN this tourney...not worry about this Madaras kid Van Assche beat AdMan from the left side his last lefty showdown....and after making the semis at Skopie CH...he lost there and then 3 straight opening round matches....only Grain in his latest was "better" in ANY way! Anyway...long story short...Luca wallops this guy and it MIGHT include a bagel! |
07-17-23 |
Laslo Djere -3.5 v. Zizou Bergs | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -115 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
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07-17-23 |
Anna Karolina Schmiedlova -3.5 v. Polina Kudermetova | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Schmiedy beat another Kudermetova...the good one...in Paris at Roland Garros and this should be the easier of the 2 matchups....and a -4 is a cash! |
07-16-23 |
Tigers +1.5 v. Mariners | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -135 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
32-10 system good for close to +30% ROI just since the start of 2022....and $100 bettors up $800 just using 2023....11-3 RL system!!! |
07-16-23 |
Twins -1.5 v. A's | Top | 5-4 |
Loss | -106 | 2 h 18 m | Show |
RIDICULOUSLY STUPID line....thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?!?! |
07-16-23 |
Yankees -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 7-8 |
Loss | -140 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
Cole ✅✅ Chase ❌❌ Maybe more than 2 Xs deserved for the Rockies starter....and the comparison too But... I'd probably have laid -140 on -2.5 here with Coley in Coors! |
07-16-23 |
Giants v. Pirates +1.5 | Top | 8-4 |
Loss | -128 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
2 run loss....post game box score disagreed... Followed by 2 run loss....post game box score disagreed We don't EVEN need a win here to cash....and avoiding a sweep here is a HUGE boon to our RL at this price! Bido is at least = Wood and Wood has erroneously had 15+ runs scored for his team in 3 of his 4 road starts....that CAN'T continue...and as we said earlier...the Pirates have been "better" analytically on offense this series... 26-17 record in this spot winning north of 60%! |
07-15-23 |
Rays -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 4-2 |
Win | 100 | 0 h 30 m | Show |
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07-15-23 |
Guardians +1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -138 | 1 h 54 m | Show |
12 game GAP between winning the game and covering the spread when Heaney is on the mound....and we will HAMMER THE 33-21 advantageous side here....PLUS we got the kid Gavin on the mound on our side AND a full run+! |
07-15-23 |
Rays -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 6-1 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 25 m | Show |
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07-15-23 |
Padres -1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 4-6 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 39 m | Show |
Hard to describe ALL the +EV aspects here....but let's just focus on Snell and move forward... NO starter has been THIS good since the start of June... Dude has 71 Ks in 42 innings over 7 starts and a 1.66 FIP! The Dads slapped Sanchez around last night and Suarez makes it EVEN easier as his decent season has devolved immensely...posting a +1.2 FIP-ERA same time frame... Bargain price to get Snelly here with his Padres looking to right the disappointment of their season so far...following a win...and no Bryce to boot! |
07-14-23 |
Astros +1.5 v. Angels | Top | 7-5 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
ANOTHER RL bargain spot here...backed by a 16-9 RL last 25 spot going back 5 seasons....and Ohtani is 1-4 against the RL against the champs in his short career in Anaheim....AND they lost 3 of those outright....similar to the Fish |
07-14-23 |
Marlins +1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 2-5 |
Loss | -162 | 3 h 52 m | Show |
Sure is a CRAAAAZY line here to get just over a buck fitty juice on a Sandy RL....when the fish lineup is AS hot as they come....and sure we're entering our second play on a recent NL Cy Young winner here and this one ALSO has not looked the part this season a la Burnes....but the O's had some solid rep in Seattle....are HOME post break which is ALWAYS a spot I like to fade system-wise...and again ...we WIN in a close lose here...AGAINST DEAN KREMER....with a +4.71 VMI to boot! OUTRIGHT win I say....do we need to rish it....NO WAY...and shit that rhymed too! Balty in a spot that has covered the RL as home chalk just 6 of 20 last 20 system fits....good to fade for close to +11% ROI! |
07-13-23 |
Elina Svitolina +1.5 v. Marketa Vondrousova | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 48 m | Show |
Svitty wins this....and is ALL the way back....ML is a solid look....but the way Vondy beat JPeg was NOT the resounding hammer we thought it was and honestly was closer to a choke by the American... Iga couldn't POSSIBLY be getting more shit out in the world as just a NEVER good tennis player AT ALL....well If you follow me you know I vehemently disagree....and think the Svitty win was as SOLID as they come....she takes care of business here...but if it goes the way of a tough 3 setter...I think Elina is more likely to have the 6-2 set in her back pocket down the stretch....and a spread that's covered by that time and CASHED! |
07-09-23 |
Rockies v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 0-1 |
Loss | -120 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
WAY too good of a price here... We get to fade Freefall on the mound for the Rockies in the finale...we Logan Webb in a +76% ROI spot last year plus AND
Mark Ripperger behind the plate is one of our HH fellas...likes to please the crowd and see winners... 23-10 for the home chalk of -200 or bigger last 33 umpired games....and we just need a 2 run cushion Take the -1 if you feel squeamish to end the first half this way! |
07-09-23 |
Orioles +1.5 v. Twins | Top | 15-2 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 35 m | Show |
Don't threaten ME with a good time! Joe Ryan is a MONSTER and should NOT be faded until he comes back to earth... . BUT he can't do much of anything without run support! Gibson could match the success and the Twinks are limping to the break this afternoon.... If ANYONE thought I was coming OFF the O's, MLB's RL dog BEAST, well then I'm sorry but I have some solid wonderful beachfront property in Idaho for y'all! ML is worth a shot as each previous game finished as such with that recommendation, but I'm not messing with this juju....and probably the Twins are a decent bet to avoid the sweep at Target...but I sure wouldn't put ANY real actual green cash on that bet....or yours!!!! |
07-09-23 |
A's v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 3-4 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 32 m | Show |
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07-09-23 |
Rangers -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 2-7 |
Loss | -125 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
6-15 RL spot on the Nats in this spot.....good for backing a +40% ROI just since the start of 2022....$100 bettors up a full grand of cash just using this one single system! 6/6 last 6 HAMMERS in this spot.... Average a final score of 8.67 to 2.67 ROI of that perfection of +71% and removing the final game of the series aspect following a loss on the road for the BETTER team SYSTEM... STILL....only drops to a "measly" HAHA.+40% ROI......SINCE 2021! |
07-09-23 |
Andrey Rublev v. Alexander Bublik +0.5 | Top | 3-2 |
Loss | -115 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
W-I-L-D number here considering the recent past.... Booooobs is yet another....joining Chrissy Eubanks and Safi as other DOGS to back outright....just as an aside....in case y'all like them UBER DELICIOUS MONSTER MONDO MASSIVE REWARD........ TINY AS EVER RISK.SPOTS... A dime put down on Eubanks ML + Bublik ML + Safiulin ML pays...... $16K!!!! |
07-09-23 |
Marketa Vondrousova -3.5 v. Marie Bouzkova | Top | 2-1 |
Loss | -110 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
Alright Bouzy.....you knocked Caro out AGAIN....solid....nice work at the end there to avoid the extended tiebreak as well....where Garcia tends to have an edge... Welp...now on the heels of that match you get Vondy... She gonna wallop ya and it won't likely make much sense considering Marie can so consistently beat someone like Garcia....such is tennis.... Bouzy also hasn't beaten a lefty in a year! |
07-09-23 |
Christopher Eubanks +3.5 v. Stefano Tsitsipas | Top | 3-2 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
3 TBs? 4 TBs? 5......TBs???? You give me enough games....AND THE MF-ing HOOK HERE????? HOLY COW.... And yes....I think Tsitsi is more interested in a FULL FREE WEEK WITH PAULA THAN I THINK HE WANTS TO DEAL WITH A SHIT TON OF TOUGHER THAN HELL MATCHES ALL WEEK 2 AT THE ALL ENGLAND CLUB.... There.......I said it....Eubanks ML!!! Wink wink |
07-08-23 |
Braves -1.5 v. Rays | Top | 6-1 |
Win | 108 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
Strider in his last start before the break....gets the very DOWN and ready as hell for a week off....as they are slashing -9.7/.250/61....good for the MLB worst in July if there wasn't a blue and white team out of the Ozarks driving George Brett and Ned Yost CRAAAAZY in retirement! Also....a big time ump scenario hits us tonight believe it or not.... 3-0 SU & RL on road chalk in this spot with Ramon De Jesus....he like him some chalk no matter the venue...but ALSO same ump.different timeframe the Rays are in a 2-5 SU & RL spot... No matter the Braves slumping or not....the offensive numbers are wildly in favor of our side and we get +money to just win by a couple.runs or more! Too much VALUE.on the 9 ABs here and on the Braves! |
07-08-23 |
Rangers -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 3-8 |
Loss | -125 | 2 h 5 m | Show |
Heaney....somehow is a ++ ✅ nowadays after a rocky couple of stops....to say the ABSOLUTE least... Meanwhile....no team is worse in this spot at home.off a Home.Loss... 3-10 against the RL and good to fade to the tune of +47% ROI! Rangers should BUILD on the performance from last night and have a similar + VMI to face the kid Jake Irvin....he handled the Reds pretty well surprisingly, but there ain't much harder than these 2 back to back lineups to face as a rook! |
07-08-23 |
Blue Jays -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -135 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
ANOTHER MONSTER BLOWOUT COMING... 12-2 last night and a 5-1 RL spot here backing Gausman yielding +71.1% ROI!!! |
07-08-23 |
Orioles +1.5 v. Twins | Top | 6-2 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 41 m | Show |
Pretty sure the O's win again ...but with Wells on the mound after what the Twinks mustered against lowly Cole Irvin.... More likely by my numbers the O's get to Gray than the reverse....and AFTER a cover of the RL here, Balty is in a 10-4 RL spot outside.the East, adding in the division makes it 19-7-> +17% ROI and the line has STILL been large like this one a good bit of.the time! |
07-08-23 |
Ons Jabeur -1.5 v. Bianca Andreescu | Top | 2-1 |
Loss | -112 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
And JUST like that ...switch flipped....Ons is BAAAACK Bibi is SOMEHOW Still alive at Wimbledon and today....gonna be THE END! Might even be a little icky to see...with her inconsistency... 6-2 6-2 is DEFINITELY possible.....OR I'm all wet completely and old untrustworthy Ons rears her head.... However....being the solid chalk last year and basically OPENING the door for what Tennis Channel is now calling a WTA BIG 3 in Swiatek/Saba/Rybakina has to just stick in her craw like NOTHING other...and Bibi doesn't have the goods to deal with that.... |
07-08-23 |
Laslo Djere +5.5 v. Stefano Tsitsipas | Top | 0-3 |
Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
2 days against Andy ...5 crazy sets Paula had to retire ....THEN WAS CONGRATULATED by the press for her Win!!!! Things AIN'T right in the Tsitsi/Badosa household AND we're getting nearly a half dozen games....SNAG more if you can by the way....but I think this is WORST case 4 sets and the math is PRETTY good for us if Laslo is taking a set. Cressy and Shelton DID each break him twice....but at a 2 or even 3 break match...it could look something like.... 3-6 6-4 6-7 6-4 and thus a basic cruise...a la our win with Dom....if Djere snag 2 like Dom and Andy BOTH did then it's a wrap... Oh and yeah .....Laslo SHOULD be live here.....if Stef can even mentally compete with Paula out of the tourney in the way she went too |
07-08-23 |
Natalija Stevanovic v. Petra Kvitova -1.5 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This price is ABSOLUTELY INSANE....but I mean I suppose it IS that way for a reason.... I don't think Petra is QUITE ready to redux and snag a Wimbledon title...as it's been nearly a full decade since she won her SECOND of 2 Ladies' Singles Titles...but she ain't gonna lose a set to Stevanovic by our numbers... Pair this up with Chrissy Eubanks and it drops to a normal vig (or better) -110 at WORST....and that's what I'd have you do with the one here.... O'Connell should look better....but the Eubanks serve ain't stopping and is a neutralizer of the highest order....Norrie and his excellent groundstrokes....AND serious hometown hero crowd had 2...literally just 2 break point chances....he DID convert both of them....but was broken himself 4 times....and if Eubanks can stay achieving break backs and holding serve as he does....75+% won on BOTH his first and second serve today...to go with 21 aces! But again....ALL we need is a Eubanks victory of ANY kind and Petra to not drop a set for a close to + money HAMMER....and that makes it 10 UNIT WORTHY PARLAY: EUBANKS ML + PETRA KVITOVA 2:0 |
07-07-23 |
Rockies v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 5-2 |
Loss | -100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Gomber & Stripling LISTED This is a play on the San Francisco Giants to cover the RL -1.5 runs tonight...at home against the Colorado Rockies! Find yourself a -1 spot if you like to cover for a potential push and that's fair because it IS just 8 ABs....but we have some SERIOUS mojo here... Off top.....16-5 Record straight up in this spot since 2022 on the Gmen against Colorado....average a 6-4 win regardless of venue....7-4 if narrowed a smidge further...but REALLY.... This is THE VMI spot of the month so FAR...as the Rockies hitting woes.will continue... to day they have a sad nearly -11 VMI against Stripling's fastball and that's after scoring just 5 total runs in 18 innings against the Stros earlier this week...with VMI of -20 then -14... Stripling throws more 4 seamers than either Houston pitcher as well....and what's better to get a slumping Gabe Kapler offense out of a slump but Gomber and a plus VMI AND A RIDICULOUS 29 MPH GUSTING WIND OUT TO CENTER FIELD!!! This is a game where the Rockies should MAX out at 2 runs...if they can muster this much....by the numbers....and we make this is our 10 UNIT HAMMER RL VMI based play of the month so far! |
07-07-23 |
Orioles +1.5 v. Twins | Top | 3-1 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 22 m | Show |
I'm NOT a huge fan of backing much of ANYTHING that Cole Irvin does.... But the numbers AIN'T LIE... Twins are 0-4 SU with a rest advantage this season.... O's are 8-1 last 9 on the RL as this big of a dog....WINNING 5 OUTRIGHT... Thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?! |
07-07-23 |
Royals v. Guardians -1.5 | Top | 0-3 |
Win | 118 | 2 h 3 m | Show |
In Civale we trust ...the Guardians are VERY capable against lefties....JUST beat these Royals last night with a bit VMI advantage and kept Lyles streak going .. PLUS we have a +40% ROI trend in this spot regarding the situation where Lynch is off BEATING a team as big as a dog as they were against LAD |
07-07-23 |
Rangers -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 7-2 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Right off the bat let's start with the kid lefty Bradford.... Dude's stuff is LEGIT....he gets a TON of swings/misses....and from the left side to boot...oh and he has a 2.63 FIP over the last month...starts and relief appearances....and he gets the Nats lineup in a - VMI spot! Nats aren't completely hideous against LHP...but they're slashing -2.1/.299/85 and that won't cut it against a team facing Trevor Williams....one of THE best fades since June 1st....and the BEST part is he normally gets run support...to the tune of even posting a 3-1 record since June 1at!!! Not today against Bradford and when Williams himself has to face the ALWAYS daunting Rangers lineup from top to bottom...slashing 7.0/.356/128 in July! Texas is +22% ROI this season as chalk off a Loss on top of the mismatch info written above as well....ML is a fair play...but this regular vig RL is how I'm rolling BIG TIME WITH THIS PLAY! |
07-07-23 |
Marie Bouzkova v. Caroline Garcia -0.5 | Top | 2-1 |
Loss | -105 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
This line is JUST. SO. STINKY.....no that's not the week old fish you left out.... In what is now becoming a yearly occurrence... Caroline takes on Bouzy on grass...last season here at the All England Bouzy took the match 7-5 6-2 The year prior in Birmingham it was a WIPE OUT where Garcia BARELY showed up So ummm....now after a rocky start to 2023...after an AMAZING 2022 finish...she's the chalk here despite the history.... I'll be that guy that FADES THE BEG HERE....coaching change... consecutive losses to this same opponent.... Let's take the small spread and watch as Caroline REALLY steps it up in the 3rd a la Leylah and move forward here emphatically!!! |
07-07-23 |
Jule Niemeier -3.5 v. D Galfi | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -106 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Right back after it with Jule.... And yes I was somewhat fading Muchova in her first grass court match after a career highlight making the final in Roland Garros....and it was correct to do so... But I think she was given a solid draw here and can utilize what worked best for her already....and is favored like this price for a reason! |
07-07-23 |
Viktorija Golubic v. Madison Keys -1.5 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
BIG price....but sometimes thems the breaks sadly.... If you are reading thoroughly for each of my plays and always take into account what I wrote PRIOR to betting....I recommend a slightly DIFFERENT aspect here which I utilize almost EVERY SINGLE DAY but is not something we have the ability to offer on such a platform.... Maddie Keys To Win 1st Set & Match + Petra Kvitova To Win 1st Set & Match Currently EVEN money at many outs and is MUCH more valuable than even Maddie to win in straights.... Keys could WIN Wimbledon if things ever fell the right way....so I'm not saying this is a bad play....she should NOT lose a set....but as you've seen all week....many many players let the guard down in a 2 week long struggle...with the rain and everything else....so if Golubic steals a set...I'll be PISSED....but hopefully can rest easy knowing we can fall back on this other "side" bet (the parlay mentioned above of which I'm playing BIGGER than Keys 2:0) that should cash EVEN easier than just Petra+Keys to win accordingly! P.S. Super "maybe sneaky" VALUE DU JOUR KEYS 2:0 + KVITOVA 2:0 + ALEXANDROVA 2:0 is paying out at 3:1!!!!!! |
07-07-23 |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich v. Petra Kvitova -1.5 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Even if Sassy gets the lefty to a TB....this should be a clean 2 setter! |
07-06-23 |
Royals v. Guardians -1.5 | Top | 1-6 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
You don't have to be a GENIUS....or have an SDQL Doctoral "Degree" to do as follows: Enter "starter=Jordan Lyles and season=2023", hit the query button....and see the disgrace to beisbol displayed by Joe Meyer and the great folks across the interwebs of MLB trend seeking.... However....you're here for WINNERS ..so let me let you in on a "secret" Royals with Lyles so far 1-15 SU 3-13 RL Average final score is roughly 6-4 and of the 112 innings pertinent to these 16 games ..the KC team has LED for 22 innings TOTAL...and the RL against yields a +52% ROI...EPIC! By the way....Tanner Bibee as chalk.....4-2 against the RL for Cleveland... Final FUN WITH STATS aspect... ONLY Jordan Lyles has yielded MORE than +$1K fading on the RL at $1030. For those interested....Taillon for the Cubbies...is HOT ON HIS HEELS...+$975!! |
07-06-23 |
Ilya Ivashka v. Grigor Dimitrov -5.5 | Top | 0-3 |
Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
Bargain price....EVEN if Ilya keeps maybe the first set competitive....think the Sinner/Short Man match as a reference point....could be DEAD ON! |
07-06-23 |
Milos Raonic +3.5 v. Tommy Paul | Top | 1-3 |
Loss | -103 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
Square-y square play?? Maaaaybe |
07-06-23 |
X Wang v. Sofia Kenin -3 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
OOOPS... All the news is Coco lost....Gauff OUT....ETC ETC ETC Kenin moving on and being justified in doing so....hmmm.... Where's that news? Kenin having more Slam titles than Coco may EVER achieve? Welp doesn't seem like news anywhere to be found.... Should be....and this also should be a beatdown again a la round 1! |
07-06-23 |
Alycia Parks v. Ana Bogdan -3 | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -115 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
Dear GOD.... I promise....SWEAR EVEN....I'm not just here to pick on young American, promising hard hitting future stars.... But Ana gonna WALLOP Aly and it MIGHT be U-G-L-Y.....sadly....I swear! |
07-06-23 |
Maximiliam Marterer v. M Mmoh +1 | Top | 3-0 |
Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
I think FAA was fine....and maybe not AS healthy as in an ideal.world... Michael Mmoh can WIN this....but if he can't take the whole kit & kaboodle I like him to win the sets in consequence by a larger margin than his fellow MM... I see this falling in a 6-4 6-7 7-6 5-7 6-2 type manner... Michael Mmoh could become a name people KNOW this week |
07-05-23 |
Rockies v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-6 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
THIS is the spot we have on the Rockies here today.... 6 seasons.....60 occurrence.... 17-43 against the RL in those 60....average 6-3 loss....for a +30% ROI to fade... $100 bettors up $2,220 just using this sole system!! |
07-05-23 |
Diane Parry v. Petra Martic -1.5 | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Petra in straights at this price.....UGH....the temptress Parry should NOT have much for her here....but she DID take down our girl Hillary ..on her native grass....and deserves credit....but as we see a ton with these upsets early on.... Martic just MIGHT hammer this out by a 6-3 6-3 easy score! |
07-05-23 |
Jannik Sinner -7.5 v. Diego Scwartzman | Top | 3-0 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
BARGAIN basement..... Short Man really REALLY bitch slapped Kec....who people I really respect had going far in this tourney....and it was NASTY ASS too....6-0 in the first even...never close... Jannik....if he doesn't retire due to injury or completely screw around with the Short Man....this should be as easy as round 1 for Sinner...or Diego |
07-04-23 |
Rockies v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 1-4 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
Rockies have a -22 VMI to face Bielak today ...don't need a SINGLE other aspect of analysis here....ML here + Marlins ML is a solid parlay that brings the price to normalcy and I WILL BE HAMMERING SAID DUO! Actually it pays +133 at FanDuel Right now!! |
07-04-23 |
Mets -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 8-5 |
Win | 105 | 1 h 26 m | Show |
Is this line for REAL??? REAL LIFE? REALLY REALLY REAL REAL LIFE?! Max and his team get all 9 ABs AND a FULL +2 VMI against (ahem fade) Davies and the Snakes.....WHOA as Joey from Blossom would say... By the way....mentioning Joey Lawrence is a HUGE boon to +EV! |
07-04-23 |
Cardinals v. Marlins -1.5 | Top | 2-15 |
Win | 112 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
You KNOW what's coming don't y'all??? I don't OFTEN take home teams on the RL...but when I do...it sure helps to have the Jesus on your side....and a Cards lineup with an almost -5 VMI... Get THIS....Ben May as HPU hasn't presided over a home team winning a game....PERIOD....since 5/10....that's a streak for road teams of 8 in a row and due for WILD regression.... Well we have a better trend....back to the start of 2022 this spot fading the road dog on the RL gas yielded +11.2% ROI! 8-3 FINAL HERE BABY! |
07-04-23 |
Karolina Muchova v. Jule Niemeier +4 | Top | 1-2 |
Win | 100 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
I'm being "nuts" here but in Muchova's first grass match of the season I sure don't think this is her best matchup....and I like Jule to maybe win this match close to 50% of the time. Of course Muchova is an all court beast and off a FO final she HAD multiple times against the IGA....so this isn't the most sound upset pick...which is WHY we're stopping.short of saying she eliminates one of the top players.... But I think 7-6 6-3 is the FLOOR and we snag an extra game in there.... OR.....as you've already seen a TON this AM ...an entire set and we're almost entirely cashed at this point....and this is where I'm going with Jule to get us! |
07-04-23 |
Heather Watson +4.5 v. B Krejcikova | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -100 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
Hometown heroes....crowd should be intently behind Heather and her form of late deserves an inside 5 game even straight set loss....in my numbers.... +5 would be a slam dunk push is a loss spot....keep your serve against Barbora....she can't handle the heat! |
07-04-23 |
Maria Sakkari v. M Kostyuk +1.5 | Top | 1-2 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
DUDE..... Marta....with how she serves and against Sakkari of all opponents....wins a single measly set and we CASH....right off the bat as Kostyuk goes 6-3 and holds an easy 5 times....and we move on to other bets.... Too good to be true.....SURE AS HELL feels that way....but Sakkari is FAR too streaky and wishy washy not to FADE the absolute guts out of in such a spot! |
07-04-23 |
Ons Jabeur v. Magdalena Frech +5 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -117 | 1 h 48 m | Show |
WHOA.... Ons ain't in this sort of form folks! Frechy can handle a +5 and maybe cover it by flat out winning the FIRST SWT! |
07-04-23 |
Milos Raonic -0.5 v. Dennis Novak | Top | 3-1 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
Nice FAT crooked #849 next to his name....and he's a favorite Thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?!?! |
07-04-23 |
Nao Hibino +4 v. Alize Cornet | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -102 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
All anyone can remember....or so I assume by this line... Cornet SLAMMED Iga last year at Wimbledon.... Hibino already has some.All England under her belt....and I think she can WIN this match OUTRIGHT.... in my continual fade of all things Alize! |
07-04-23 |
Matteo Arnaldi -1.5 v. Roberto Carballes Baena | Top | 1-3 |
Loss | -132 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Don't SCREW this up Matteo....this should be a STATEMENT! |
07-04-23 |
M Fucsovics v. Talon Griekspoor -1 | Top | 3-0 |
Loss | -108 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
Hmmmm.....sure seems fishy.... I'll be that guy and take the bait.... How could Tallon lose this? Well I suppose by NOT breaking Fucso.... So let's lay the single game that should be fine and covered even in an outright L! |
07-04-23 |
Dominic Thiem +5.5 v. Stefano Tsitsipas | Top | 2-3 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
GOD help you if you're able to stomach holding a ticket featuring Mr. Paula Badosa as a winner...let ALONE laying the spread... I'm the crazy person who thinks Dom can add to Tsitsi's HORRIBLE couple of months....and at a price of -600 or damn close..... Joey from Blossom would say........WHOA!!! |
07-04-23 |
Emma Navarro v. Ekaterina Alexandrova -1.5 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Drova time.....and while we DO back Navarro with some vigor.... This is what Ekaterina has been ramping up toward....and she's gonna scare some.ladies during this fortnight! |
07-04-23 |
Ben Shelton -4 v. Taro Daniel | Top | 3-2 |
Loss | -117 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Come on Ben......it is TIME....to step it up.... I am a Taro guy....but this is not a good spot and Shelton with a serve plus 1 should NEVER risk a break.... -4 over 3 sets in that environment is just TOO good to pass up! |
07-04-23 |
Anastasia Potapova -1.5 v. Celine Naef | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 105 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
2:0....Pota damn well better be raring and ready to go for this opening round! |
07-04-23 |
M Brengle -1.5 v. Sara Errani | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Wow.... misprint??? No??? Cool....HAMMER TIME! |
07-04-23 |
Katie Boulter v. Daria Saville +4 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -101 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
4 games???? Just because we ain't seen Saville and she's hiding out post-injury.... Meanwhile Boulter is off a recent title... never mind she's SUCKED since raising a trophy... I think Daria pulls the upset....but take the TB begging spread here! |
07-03-23 |
Pirates +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-5 |
Loss | -140 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
Pirates are SOOOO SNEAKY....and let's be serious...WHY would the Dodgers ever be this cheap at home eh?? Especially after they've looked SO bad....oh and they have a nearly -8 VMI tonight against a SERIOUS starting pitcher....not just Pittsburgh serious either .... Only 6 Major League starters with 100+ innings on the season have a higher WAR than Keller's 2.3 Gausman/Gallen/Framber/Eovaldi/Stroman/Cole Now THAT'S a list.... So yeah...play them Buccos again...but if you're tired of normal action....skip this play and play 3/4 UNIT worthy Mitch Keller Over 5.5 Strikeouts....currently about -120 at FanDuel!!! Prop of the Day!!!!! |
07-03-23 |
Royals v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 4-8 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
We don't OFTEN take home teams on the RL....but when we do...we take them for MANY reasons....including hitting the road after WINNING a series.....NOT A TYPO....against the LA Dodgers....and doing it with vigor! Also the Twinks have a +4 or so VMI against Austin Cox....who will make his second start and let's just say it quickly and pain free....9.01 FIP in start 1... Joe Ryan is also a HUGE ✅ post a Braves beatdown (they do it to most) and a whopping 21.62 FIP he gets this fat and happy lineup of KC that might even get no hit tonight haha.... Since June 1st he's pitched SO WELL....that nearly 22 only drove his month FIP to 4.5!!! |
07-03-23 |
A Vukic -3.5 v. Daniel Altmaier | Top | 3-1 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
We're as late to this party as possible....and while I happily endorse a -185 play on Vukic....more VALUE here and I think this is a very underrated non close pickem type round 1 matchup.... As you can see by the movement....sometimes getting lost in a see of.plays! |
07-02-23 |
White Sox v. A's +1.5 | Top | 8-7 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
Oakland has EXACTLY ZERO business sweeping ANY MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL TEAM... However... caveat as we normally do....this is a series against the ChiSox...while NOT out of contention...because being an AL Central team de facto means you're NEVER out....they HAVE to enter today feeling like they've ruined the weekend! Blackburn is the best thing going for Oakland on the starting bump....Touki Toussaint has a NASTY FIP-ERA ratio and can't throw strikes... The A's starter has 5 total barrels all season long...and ONLY Max Fried and Nick Martinez, in EVEN smaller sample sizes....allow fewer hard hit balls than Blackburn's 30%... Every start is an audition and if he can make Luis Robert look silly a few times today amongst the many who ALREADY will do so...he should dominate! |
07-02-23 |
Tigers -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 14-9 |
Win | 155 | 1 h 54 m | Show |
ML here is AN EXCELLENT PLAY OF THE WEEK type spot.... But we're gonna take it a step further...as we've been on these Tigers all series....and today we have our BEST, most "normal" VMI at just under +10. Seabold is a damn near 30 ranked "tight" arsenal starter....and the Tigers have Matt Manning on the mound....who hasn't lived up to expectations, but was MUCH improved at Texas last time out and this lineup is AS different quality wise as they come for back to back starts....and they're off a 1 run effort! ALL this adds up to a spot where we see NORTH of +150 and we can't justify NOT getting after the road 9 ABs RL spot here... 3-8 spot on the Rox at home here off a disastrous offensive performance...good for a +63% ROI |
07-02-23 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | | 1-9 |
Loss | -111 | 1 h 14 m | Show |
Gonsolin BACK AGAIN on the bump.....and the Dodgers.... LITERALLY.... Lost in KC yesterday....that was the real score of a real game.... Oh baby gonna be a BIG WIN TODAY... 10-2 by my numbers! Play this HUGE |
07-02-23 |
Red Sox +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 5-4 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
23-13 RL spot here.... AND The Jays are a COMPLETE MESS....and we add to this our continued 1-8.SU and RL trend for.them at.home....after yesterday's miss on the ML...we get an ALMOST NORMAL vig spot to get.the run + AND still be road warriors with all 9 ABs guaranteed as well! |
07-02-23 |
Nationals +1.5 v. Phillies | | 5-4 |
Win | 112 | 1 h 40 m | Show |
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07-01-23 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 4-6 |
Loss | -145 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
VMI didn't bother the Dodgers last night....and they were the 3rd best.offense in the league analytics wise... Tonight the VMI is BETTER and they face Lunch....Mookie ain't slowing down...AND Urias is on the bump! |
07-01-23 |
White Sox -1.5 v. A's | Top | 6-7 |
Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Slam DUNK play of....maybe.....THE WEEK!!! Dylan Cease for the MASSACRE and revenge from last night....amongst MANY other +EV aspects of this play...HAMMER TIME |
07-01-23 |
Red Sox +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 7-6 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show |
1-7 streak here in Toronto....3-13 expanded to the whole season....and that's the SU record folks....and we get Kutter and fade Kikuchi on top of all this!!! |
07-01-23 |
Padres v. Reds +1.5 | Top | 12-5 |
Loss | -108 | 4 h 0 m | Show |
A-B-S-U-R-D price to get the home team here....resilient as ANY TEAM period! Dads on an easy coast disaster...losers of 6 in a row and facing the lefty while they send out Wacha.....THE FADE OF ALL fades in June .169 BABIP 100% LOB rate |
06-30-23 |
Astros v. Rangers -1.5 | Top | 5-3 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 19 m | Show |
I. Mean.....SHEESH folks! Astros are not THIS needy are they??? Gray is a solid tight arsenal pitcher and Houston arrives from St. Louis with a worse than a -5 VMI... Oh and Blanco is RIPE for the fade du jour... .214 BABIP as excellent to negatively regress as ANYONE... 90% LOB rate in his 4 starts...debate rages...which is MORE fadeable?? Well....ding ding ding.... His ERA is 4.70 and his FIP is 6.84 Sensing a theme here yet? ONLY Chase Anderson has a worse FIP in June than Ronel....oh and his ERA is 11 compared to his 8.6 FIP... So Ronel is THE most fadeable starter in MLB in June...let's end the month how we started it baby! |
06-30-23 |
Marlins +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 4-16 |
Loss | -117 | 1 h 15 m | Show |
Flat ...raw ...WILD......VALUE.... Fish are HITTING AND CLUTCH....and there's no way around it....plus the Soroka v. VMI spot is a HUGE boon to just the ML on Miami....but we'll take the safe as anything RL tonight! |
06-30-23 |
Brewers v. Pirates +1.5 | Top | 7-8 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 19 m | Show |
In BIDO....we trust....and this AGAIN is the price to get a FULL RUN loss here... We sure as shit aren't stopping this money train now!! |
06-30-23 |
Guardians v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 1-10 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show |
Snooze ya lose here...but the VMI is a monster + spot here....AND we can fade a bit of a beg here....this has JUMPED up a TON so we're really risking it with the home town RL... Guardians slash against LHP however.... -3.5/.262/65...last week plus... Quanitrill is ripe for the plucking even if the Cubs have been struggling....but even MORE reason. We're HAMMERING this spot... Take the ML if you want a surefire W...but I'll roll with the riskier EVEN money! 2-0 RL spot on the Cubbies...and again I'm pushing it here...as there is an excellent trend on this to be a tight game ...stand alone and everything However....fresh off the IL...Quantrill faces a Cubs lineup slapping around RH pitching the past week ...BIG TIME! |
06-29-23 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 14-3 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
Sheehan is CERTAINLY doing his thang with smoke and mirrors....and maybe he cannot replicate the trend here after a Dodgers road loss and then come right back favored by MORE....which were 6-0 and 9-0 wins ALREADY in June...but Chase Anderson is one iffy to poor start from getting the ole DFA folks... The Dodgers lineup...off a loss to piss them off...trying to keep up with 2 TEAMS in the division with one NOT being the Padres...plus an opponent with a +4.5 VMI tonight...... Just NEVER the team your tight arsenal getting hit like INSANITY of late wants to see...batter after batter after batter! This COULD and should be UGLY....also think the Over or just the LAD TT Over is a HAMMER and a HALF spot on the card tonight! |
06-29-23 |
Padres v. Pirates +1.5 | Top | 4-5 |
Win | 104 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
The Padres and Melvo and the disarray of this organization and its nearly UNSTOPPABLE lineup on paper...has AWAKENED the Pirates bats folks.... This week... Pitt has gone from dead last #30 for a long period of time..to slashing an almost WILD... 6.0/.409/159...behind ONLY the hard hitting always Rangers and the Jazz is back Fish! Musgrove is supposed.to be the stopper.today...but hmmm... The home dog in this last game series spot is a +34% ROI just this season already! Ortiz looked REALLY good last time out and the Dads are weak and a MESS... Oh and on deck....they have to worry about what the Red offense...IN Cincy is gonna do to their road trip...if.they woke up the Pirates...no team has been more dangerous to stop from scoring...for a MONTH!! |
06-29-23 |
Adrian Mannarino v. Corentin Moutet +2.5 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -100 | 2 h 54 m | Show |
I think Moutet wins this....or at least MORE than 50% of the time... Also...in this lefty v. lefty battle I love to go against the AdMan...and he oddly already faced Broady at Queen's Club and Pella the last time.out...but he faced 25 break points against in those 2 wins at 3 sets! Bargain basement here because Moutet can sneak in and take a 6-3 set to start here and suddenly we have 5.5 games to work with going forward...IF he doesn't just win OUTRIGHT.... 3-6 7-6 6-2 COVERS this damn spread...HOLY VALUE! |
06-29-23 |
JJ Wolf +1.5 v. Tommy Paul | Top | 1-2 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
JJ taking a set for SURE....or so that's how I see it...the way the march devolved yesterday against Baez is NO BUENO for him to take on his fellow American in the red hot and in form JJ Wolf! |
06-28-23 |
Yankees -1.5 v. A's | Top | 11-0 |
Win | 120 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
Bounce back for the Bombers....in a BIG WAY! |
06-28-23 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 8-9 |
Loss | -130 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
Might be ALMOST as good a system fit as last night...and that was an ABSOLUTE SNOOZE |
06-28-23 |
Padres v. Pirates +1.5 | Top | 1-7 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
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06-28-23 |
Nationals v. Mariners -1.5 | Top | 4-1 |
Loss | -135 | 1 h 31 m | Show |
Everything.... And THEN....the Nats won in extras last night to boot!! |