06-28-23 |
Camila Giorgi v. Ons Jabeur -4 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -114 | 1 h 58 m | Show |
Oh Camila.....time to head back home....Ons will STEP IT UP.... Her run to try to repeat a Wimbledon final starts with VIGOR today! |
06-28-23 |
Taylor Fritz -3.5 v. Mackenzie McDonald | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -104 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
Smaller cards...bigger +EV spots....that's how we're rolling for the remainder of the pre Wimbledon cards ... Then we can SLAUGHTER the All England fortnight!!!!! Be prepared.....today SHOULD'VE been a 3-0 sweep and I hope most y'all got that Feliciano cash OUTRIGHT!!!! Totally on me for failing to enter the play in the correct manner and pick him to win via an Over spot....also think we'll be back on him again or another Over |
06-27-23 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 5-0 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Ridiculously priced RL here....BUT 55 times this spot has popped in database history... And before we account for Kershaw and before we account for Seabold... 42-13 is the record against the RL here....for an ROI of +28.1% or $100 bettors adding just about $2300 to the bankrolls! Narrowing it down to JUST THE MOST RECENT 25 SYSTEM PLAYS... 22-3 AGAINST THE RL for +42% ROI!!!! |
06-27-23 |
Brewers +1.5 v. Mets | Top | 2-7 |
Loss | -150 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
If it ain't broke.... I ain't trying to fix nothing.... |
06-27-23 |
Bernarda Pera v. Cori Gauff -1.5 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
2:0 is all we need here....and we can trust Coco for VERY Little....but this is one I think we get hopefully with EASE! |
06-26-23 |
Nationals +1.5 v. Mariners | Top | 4-8 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
Dueling....for the SAME side 25-10 trends here... borderline REMARKABLE to find Nats are 25-10 against the RL as a dog this season ...by far the best and most lucrative....BUT The league period is ALSO 25-10 against the RL in this road dog first series game spot...and to boot the Over in the same spot....is 26-9 to the Over! Hammer Trevor the nearly impossible to back starter...to probably get an OUTRIGHT W for the Nats in this amazing trend spot and off the M's traveling JUST as much as the Nats here.... |
06-26-23 |
Tigers v. Rangers -1.5 | Top | 7-2 |
Loss | -106 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
Bochy's boys are 7-3 SU AND against the RL after consecutive losses this season....alone good enough on the RL for +45% ROI... BUT... We also have the Tigers off a division series and same travel as the home squad here...VMI favors Heaney by a wide margin....as do the offensive analytics... This is a GREAT spot to get a sneaky easy W on the Rangers...who are 7-2 SU and covering the RL when he starts as a favorite....and they've scored 9.9 runs per game in those 9 games....7 wins... 80 runs amassed in the 7 wins by the Way |
06-26-23 |
Brewers +1.5 v. Mets | Top | 2-1 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 28 m | Show |
Verlander....UGH....yes....is 0-4 as home chalk as a Met in this spot.... Rea has the Brewers 8-4 RL record as road dogs....and with the average lines it's SO cool to see how to write book folks....average RL is NO JOKE.... -133 Brew Crew might win this....but we don't NEED it!!!! Finally.... 14-6 is the record for.thr team in the Crew's spot as a "winning" team (above .500) in this spot as a road dog against the RL HAMMER TIME |
06-26-23 |
Jordan Thompson v. Richard Gasquet +2.5 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -118 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
WILD price on who I think should be favored! |
06-26-23 |
Ryan Peniston +1.5 v. Marc Andrea Huesler | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 55 m | Show |
Wrong player favored alert....BUT Huesler ALSO didn't face a SINGLE break point in his 2 quali matches to get here.... Probably a TON of holds....the Peniston has faced a BUNCH of lefties already on grass this season and has only lost once! His effort against Rune wasn't what I expected...but I think he gets a nice grueling "upset" here....and a maybe easy Over with a 7-6 7-5 type FLOOR! |
06-25-23 |
Royals v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 1-3 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 2 m | Show |
Home team RL.....that's how Sunday ROLLS!!! +6% ROI in database history...for -250 or bigger Sunday series ending chalk! Just THIS season same spot.... +36% ROI! LET'S GO GLASNOW! |
06-25-23 |
Mets v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 6-7 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 60 m | Show |
8 ABs only.....but it's Cookie v. Wheeler....and the VMI advantage we have is solid with Wheeler just an 8 for tight and the Phils are in a 10-1 SU and 8-3 RL spot... Personally I'm going to play BOTH at the same Unit size as the 10-1 is just too much to pass up and the price is fine with me....but many will cower away from a. -180 or so...so let's hammer a reverse from last night and get a 6-2 W and win in ALL ways! |
06-25-23 |
Petra Kvitova v. Donna Vekic +3 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -112 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
Petra is the SHIZNIT.....and she PROBABLY does win this like she thinks she IS the female Joker....but....damn..... I just can't see ANY value in betting on her in ANY POSSIBLE WAY! (Psst....I think Dinn has the stuff for a TITLE) Vekic beat the FAR better play when she won her only grass court title in Birmingham 6 full years ago...beating the #1 seed Konta....and while that was a while ago....I like her chances again.... resilience! |
06-25-23 |
Corentin Moutet v. Christopher O'Connell -2.5 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -120 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Now THIS is a deal.... C O'C is the man in these spots....and before we got deep in tourneys...these are WILD +EV SPOTS TO absolutely CRUSH!!! |
06-25-23 |
Lucia Bronzetti -3 v. Julia Grabher | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
This is NOT a joke.... Julia Grabher plays on grass once each year....when she makes the Wimbledon draw and then bows out in her first attempt... She did somehow manage a first round win Zavatska in 2021...but that's it... Bronzetti ain't no grass court specialist....and she should almost NEVER be a damn near $2 favorite to anyone....but that's kind of the point isn't it?! She was decent at Bad Homburg last season and should cruise here... |
06-25-23 |
Bianca Andreescu -3.5 v. Sonay Kartal | Top | 2-1 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
|
06-25-23 |
Emma Navarro v. Donna Vekic -4 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -117 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
Ummm...this CAN'T be real.... nevertheless we shall HAMMER |
06-24-23 |
A's v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 3-7 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
A's get Berrios and that's not a whole lot of fun... Jays are a whooping 10-1 when Berrios starts at home as chalk during.the day....and 9-2 against the RL there for a walloping ROI of +66.3%!!!! |
06-23-23 |
Rangers v. Yankees +1.5 | Top | 4-2 |
Loss | -175 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
24-5 system....FLAT OUT....and on top of this INSANE+ ROI 36% SYSTEM....with an 83% win rate last 29... We GET to face Dane Dunning!!!!! Thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?! |
06-23-23 |
Pirates v. Marlins -1.5 | Top | 3-1 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 13 m | Show |
We WON with this play last night ... ABSURDITY.... Tonight I just feel HORRIBLE for the Buccos and their fans.... B-L-O-O-D-B-A-T-H time... |
06-23-23 |
Elina Avanesyan v. Donna Vekic -1.5 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
STILL can't fathom how this Lucky Loser got past Kasatkina....but nonetheless she is here and I guess we should expect a "let down" after Donna walloped Rybakina? Nada.... straight sets doesn't do this justice....but it should be U-G-L-Y after Avanesyan faced 30 break points against in her 2 previous wins!!!! The match before THAT one...she lost outright....so yeah.... Elina... GET OFF MY LAWN... AND WUICKLY! |
06-23-23 |
B Krejcikova v. Linda Fruhvirtova +4.5 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
Ain't NO way I trust Krejci YET... She was hurt....she was a mess...and she was able to lose a half dozen games in a row to ANYONE and that was just that....2 months ago plus... She looked "fine" I guess beating Martincova and Bucsa....but not spectacular WHATSOEVER....and being one of the biggest favorites of the day is absolutely too much to handle....and in a 6-4 6-4 or 7-5 6-4 or 6-4 7-5 or 6-3 7-6 type straight set win for Krejcikova....which I DON'T see happening STILL covers at PLUS MONEY! USING NBA draft commentary....maybe the steal.of the day!!! (Linda might steal this match!) |
06-23-23 |
Alexander Zverev -2.5 v. N Jarry | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
Jarry COULD swipe....maybe a set and if so it's likely a deep game set...whereas Sascha can take advantage of some of the lost Tsitsi W.spot.... If Jarry wins a set against this Sascha form... it's a TB If Sascha is winning sets and forming it up his Chilean foe...it could be ANYWHERE from 6-4 to 6-3 to maaaaybe a double breaking set victory! Bargain price on THIS spread on a ML spot too right for our blood! |
06-23-23 |
Caroline Garcia +1.5 v. Petra Kvitova | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -208 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
PK in straights? You want me to just burn my money instead?!?! Ok....I guess... BUT I'll pass and take the kid to AT LEAST swallow a set...maybe the first set even and we can TURN THAT SHIT OFF AND COLLECT A BAG... But even more likely ....Kvitova handles her business and lets down big time for a lost middle set... Either way....it's crazy juiced because it's a STONE COLD WINNER Our girl Petra....in straight sets over coming into her grass court form... GET OFF OUR LAWN! |
06-23-23 |
A De Minaur -1 v. Adrian Mannarino | Top | 2-1 |
Push | 0 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
What in GOD'S NAME? Demon wins this match handily....and EVEN if he flops off a set...we PUSH?!?! JUST....WOW!!! |
06-23-23 |
Lin Zhu -3.5 v. R Marino | Top | 2-1 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Not THIS time Marino .. Lin Zhu means business and will NOT "pull a Bektas"... No way No how! Should be a cruise and I think I'd endorse the 2:0 Zhu play but safer slightly to get a 6-1 3rd set hammer if they split! |
06-22-23 |
Royals v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 6-5 |
Loss | -148 | 2 h 4 m | Show |
I'd lay the -2 or hell....even -3 here if I had the ability to put that out there....and it IS certainly worth it.....as you read this the 2 is EVEN and the 3 is +155 at FD. McClanahan coming from the left side ...facing this Royals lineup with THEIR -5 VMI to try to handle his tight arsenal....ain't gonna hit those fastballs AT ALL tonight folks! 9-0 feels more correct than ANYTHING inside 4 run margin here....wish I could play this as the PLAY OF DECADE hahaha.....I mean it's not that...but this should be nasty and messy from.the bottom of the 1st when Wander first saunters up to the plate to face Cuas before the youngster gives way to an even more youngster Austin Cox and his LOONEY TOONS .000 BABIP & 100% LOB rate.... ALL SEASON LONG so far.... B-L-O-O-D-B-A-T-H coming right up and a slam DUNK |
06-22-23 |
Talon Griekspoor +2 v. Hubert Hurkacz | Top | 2-1 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
LOVED his form...snag a set or maybe a W over Hubie and his iffy as ever form.when he's not serving! |
06-22-23 |
Red Sox +1.5 v. Twins | Top | 0-6 |
Loss | -134 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
40-14 Streak for the BoSox here... Don't threaten ME with a good time!!!! Outright win... PROBABLY....but we'll take this and run with a 3-1 series W in Minnesota for an afternoon delight! Not to mention...but we will....a 42-23 last 65 spot on the Twins to NOT win by 2 or more runs....the ROI is just +5% but that's because many of.those lines were JUICY to the tune of an average of -180!! |
06-22-23 |
Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 5-3 |
Win | 105 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
Riiiiiiight back to the well here....and WHY NOT... Tommy Henry on the bump for the Snakes and boy does his lineup LOVE to see it....they are 5-1 in his starts as chalk and 3-1 on the road... He made a MESS of his start against the Nats last time....and they scored him 10 runs to the 5 he allowed..IN D.C.! Nats STILL the worst lefty facing 9 man lineup by far - -10/.228/38 is the disgusting slash and Henry can ONLY improve! Amazing VALUE here....or play the ML if you'd rather minimize late inning risk! |
06-22-23 |
Maria Sakkari v. Aliaksandra Sasnovich +3.5 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -100 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
I'll take Sassy for a set here against a VERY volatile Sakkari.... especially in the first set! Maybe the Over 21.5 is the better play...but I'm going with both of them haha! |
06-22-23 |
A De Minaur -1.5 v. Diego Scwartzman | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
HUGE price....but it's for a reason... Demon is unlikely to be able to or even care to cover a -5....which puts him in a spot where he has to be BETTER than 6-4 6-3 and a single break with a serve swap...and that's just silly to bet... However....what ON EARTH was Mack Mac DOING against the Short Man on grass????? I mean...for REAL... Demon ain't that level and while he has haters...this is an easy W Short Man.....GET OFF MY LAWN! |
06-21-23 |
Cardinals -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 0-3 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 4 m | Show |
LITERALLY 6 of 7 covered this RL in this spot.... PLUS we get Trevor AGAINST the Cards PLUS the Nats are sliding.... PLUS we have the sub -.450 team favored by a buck fifty Allllllllll gravy |
06-21-23 |
Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 5-1 |
Win | 110 | 1 h 56 m | Show |
Don't threaten ME with a good time!!! Extremely valuable system following a big favorite of -140 or more after a series loss as a dog...same series....where they led for 6 or more innings... BOOM...that's BEFORE we get Gallen!
|
06-21-23 |
Frances Tiafoe v. Sebastian Korda +2 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
VAL.....wait for it....wait for it........ U-E!!!! |
06-21-23 |
Rockies v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 3-5 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
Bird and/or Seabold.... no bueno for the Rockies and facing THIS team....they don't care and they are not worth a fade despite the long streak... Double digits today with a win and on top of Abbott being a stud despite not missing enough bats....his offensive output is wild...and the Rockies have ONLY been bettee than KC/Oak/Washington facing lefties the last 2+ weeks...and that INCLUDES some games in Coors.... We missed this spot last night after missing it while.olauing it the night before....UGH....but Tony Randazzo behind the plate should be the nail in the coffin for the sweep here today! |
06-21-23 |
Blue Jays v. Marlins +1.5 | Top | 6-3 |
Loss | -148 | 1 h 25 m | Show |
ABSURD price....AND we get Sandy and by the way.... Toronto just the last week...slashing -6.7/.283/89 with almost ZERO power! Thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?! |
06-21-23 |
A Kalinina -1 v. H Dart | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -114 | 1 h 42 m | Show |
Dart got us s solid win yesterday....we needed it badly Today she's going down to the AK |
06-21-23 |
Linda Fruhvirtova +2.5 v. Bernarda Pera | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
She already whooped Jill AND Vondy this year...and she was in AMAZING form against Svitty... I think the kid takes Pera down...but I'll take the tiebreaker games and the hook! |
06-21-23 |
Elina Avanesyan v. Anna Blinkova -3.5 | Top | 2-1 |
Loss | -107 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
|
06-21-23 |
Lorenzo Musetti v. Ben Shelton +2 | Top | 2-1 |
Push | 0 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
|
06-20-23 |
Dream +3.5 v. Wings | Top | 73-85 |
Loss | -115 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
WRONG TEAM FAVORED ALERT! Allisha Gray and the Dream DID lose to the Wings to open the season, but they are looking like a different team ...AND last 3 games the Wings have a 118+ defensive efficiency rating....and a NET -13...ALSO 0-3 last 3 games.... Dream have won 3 in a row and also have a +6 NET during the streak.... Gray for 20+ is probably the BEST VALUE on the entire board... Over 19.5 Points at FanDuel.....HAMMER TIME!!!!! PLAY HER AT LEAST AS BIG AS THIS PLAY...also sprinkling the ML here!.... probably more than a sprinkle |
06-20-23 |
R Marino v. X Wang -1 | Top | 2-1 |
Loss | -133 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
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06-19-23 |
Rangers -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 5-2 |
Win | 135 | 2 h 39 m | Show |
Heaney coming from the left side with "reverse" stuff gets to face a ChiSox -5+ VMI tonight.... Tanner Banks is a full on FADE fest analytically for us...with a nearly +1 FIP and a ripe .241 BABIP on the whole this season! |
06-19-23 |
Rockies v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 4-5 |
Loss | -100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Very VERY slow on the trigger here.... But this is a prime A1 filet cut steak type spot here.... And amongst ALL the aspects we can look at, let's look at the fact the Reds don't have a let down....and Brandon Williamson has been DISGUSTINGLY bad...yet is very large chalk against the Rockies tonight... 4-1 SU spot on the Reds here too...9 in a row coming RIGHT UP! |
06-19-23 |
Cardinals v. Nationals +1.5 | Top | 8-6 |
Loss | -125 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
Cards 0-4 SU AND against the RL as road chalk in the first game of a series....and Josiah Gray is a close game BEAST! The Nats are 11-3 against the RL with Gray as a starter and 10-3 in same spot as a dog....4-1 when at home.... I like the Nats to win the game ...but goodness....a buck 25 is a WILD ASS PRICE to get them to Lose the game...with 9 ABs by just 1 run...with the Cards on travel...after a nice win in Citi! Aaaaaand Laz Diaz just announced as home plate umpire.... Add some units on there....hometown hero Lazzy and his 8-3 SU home record! |
06-19-23 |
Tommy Paul -1.5 v. Francisco Cerundolo | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -100 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
These 2 squared off a drain so on grass and Cerundolo took a set... However it WASN'T his first grass court match of the season. Today he gets Paul and he's in midseason grass form and any form of straight sets win is a + money proposition?! They kidding??? |
06-19-23 |
Lorenzo Musetti v. Jan Choinski +5 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 53 m | Show |
FAAAAAADE the Musetti 101... Sure....Choinski should probably get beaten with bagels or breadsticks... I think he hangs in there for a 4 & 3 loss as a worst case.... |
06-19-23 |
Diego Scwartzman v. Mackenzie McDonald -4.5 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
Thought he would fare better last week after knocking off Coric... But the Short Man....yikes this will be U-G-L-Y |
06-19-23 |
Denis Shapovalov v. Lloyd Harris +2.5 | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
Feels like an OOPS of OOOPSES... Harris should win this and the ML is enticing...but we're struggling here and need winners and nothing I'd hate MORE than... 6-3 6-7 4-6 or the like and we LOSE....the SU bet! |
06-19-23 |
Lorenzo Sonego +1.5 v. Nick Kyrgios | Top | 2-1 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
Parlay this with Jabeur or maybe even McDonald... WINNER for sure...but the price is silly...Sone-Goat time! |
06-18-23 |
Phillies -1.5 v. A's | Top | 3-2 |
Loss | -130 | 1 h 19 m | Show |
BARGAIN basement DEEP DISCOUNT COSTCO type price here.... BOOM! |
06-18-23 |
Dream v. Fever | Top | 100-94 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 9 m | Show |
INSANITY... The Fever are better now and coming into their own....winning 3 of 4 and they even beat the Dream when they were struggling earlier on... HAMMER TIME |
06-18-23 |
Russell Henley -0.5 v. Padraig Harrington | Top | 68-73 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
Thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?! Sorry Paddy...don't even need to worry about the spread here today |
06-18-23 |
Orioles -1.5 v. Cubs | Top | 6-3 |
Win | 145 | 1 h 31 m | Show |
Only 4 times this season have the Orioles lost 2 in a row and looked to bounce back....they are 4-0 SU and covered the RL 3 times....average 5-2 score.... Adding the extra RL spot here for EXTRA DOUGH....BUT ML IS THE Truest fit of the system....play both if you're following IT ALL |
06-18-23 |
Jordan Thompson v. Talon Griekspoor -2 | Top | 1-2 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
OOF.... How on EARTH did we end up here....with Jordan Thompson as a near favorite for a title....in Griek's home country.... Just.... OOOOF and not only do the numbers back this being a slam dunk snoozer of a play...my eyeballs do too....and Rinky was the wrong play... apparently injured and whatnot...and DAMN if he didn't STILL look excellent and game! |
06-18-23 |
Veronica Kudermetova -0.5 v. Ekaterina Alexandrova | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -115 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
MONSTER PLAY OF THE WEEK....MONTH.....YEAR..........DECADE?!!!!! |
06-17-23 |
Orioles +1.5 v. Cubs | Top | 2-3 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Big juice....big reason.... The O's really let the floodgates open up yesterday and got HAMMERED...well...here we are back on them...AGAIN...and Justin Steele has been excellent for the most part and should be fresh...as his last 2 starts only combined for 6 innings....and Gibson is the lesser....but the spot yields a 5-1 RL spot on the road "dog" and the ML is solid....but the RL is the system play! |
06-17-23 |
Heather Watson v. Katie Boulter -1.5 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Straights....yeah I think so....but we don't need to!!! |
06-16-23 |
Veronica Kudermetova -1.5 v. Celine Naef | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
BIG Price.....for a BIG reason....this is candy from a baby for SURE! |
06-16-23 |
Ashlyn Krueger -1 v. Viktoria Hruncakova | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -118 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
W-O-W... Push is a loss here....but I think we can possibly snag a straight sets WIN! |
06-16-23 |
H Dart +2 v. Katie Boulter | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -112 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
I think Dart should.be favored....and the fact she's only +130 makes me think the spread is the safest, best play....as Boulter could snag a set! |
06-16-23 |
M Fucsovics v. Taylor Fritz -1.5 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -118 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
Fucs will be a noble competitior, but the VALUE here is ...even IF Marty can avoid getting broken.... Fritzy will take the tiebreaks...both of them if necessary! |
06-16-23 |
Mackenzie McDonald -3 v. R Hijikata | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -117 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Good for Rinky...lucky loser and some solid wins I didn't think he could swipe.... Mac Mac gonna end that dream in a match not nearly as tough as Coric! |
06-16-23 |
Lorenzo Musetti v. Frances Tiafoe -3 | Top | 1-2 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
Musetti gonna get his ASS HANDED to him and sometime VERY SOON on grass Foe looked phenomenal against Lehecka and got better as it went on... 6-4 6-4 is worst case by my numbers....and I again find it hard to believe Tiafoe faces many, if ANY, break points at ALL! |
06-15-23 |
Nationals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-1 |
Loss | -100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
Nats v. RHP the last week plus Slash: (MLB worst...by a lot)-> -11.1/.229/39 Javier NEEDS this sort of lineup and the VMI and ADI BOTH back him.up for a role opening on the bump in Houston... A 3.07 FIP and a DEAD EVEN .300 BABIP at home.gives us a HUGE edge... Oh and for his own offense here...on a series closer against the lowly Washington almost back to the Natinals....slashing an almost league BEST: 4.5/.400/155 against LHP... Bloodbath tonight! |
06-15-23 |
Celine Naef v. Catherine Mcnally -1.5 | Top | 2-1 |
Loss | -137 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Good on Naef for fighting off ols Venus... Now the Caty bitch slapping ensues.... U-G-L-Y |
06-15-23 |
Jordan Thompson v. Milos Raonic -1.5 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -112 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
Raonic sure did come out better from a layoff than Kyrgios eh?? Sheesh....Jordan should get walloped...but fingers crossed...the analytics haven't worked very well ..let's get BACK...ON TRACK! |
06-15-23 |
Magda Linette -3.5 v. Jodie Burrage | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -110 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
Magda ..maybe needs 3 but should cover this BARGAIN |
06-15-23 |
Laslo Djere v. A De Minaur -4 | Top | 1-2 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
|
06-15-23 |
Elizabeth Mandlik +5 v. Camila Giorgi | Top | 2-1 |
Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
Twist MY arm.....sheesh.... ML sprinkle for me here!! |
06-14-23 |
White Sox v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 8-4 |
Loss | -130 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
ChiSox slashing -4.2/.198/23 against LHP over the past week plus....and striking out a (by a wide margin) MLB worse 42% of ABs! Kershaw should be able to handle them with ease...as long as the Dodger bats hit....and the trend has the Dodgers winning this series game 77% of the time...with 60ish% of it being a RL cover despite 8 ABs... Parsing this out... I like our chances here to finish this HUMPDAY off with a bang! |
06-14-23 |
Giants +1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 8-5 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
PLAY OF THE MONTH... Sure it's a little juicy...but a buck fifty is CERTAINLY worth the analytics we have on THIS ONE....pumped for this spot and we GET it...AND the Gmen just ALSO happen to be the best offense the past week...and specifically against LHP...
Slash period: 15/.373/137 best in the majors Slash v. LHP: 5.7/.442/180 (EPIC NUMBERS slaughtering lefties!!) But... 35 times this spot has arrived since the start of the 2021 season... 26-9 against the RL in this spot...good for a +28% ROI & $100 bettors up ~ $1500 Average RL by the way...for those wanting the ML...and I'm fine with that...but the average RL is -146.5! Boomslam! Favorite play of the whole first half of the month so far! For those wanting the big payout....16-19 SU record good for +12% ROI! |
06-14-23 |
Braves -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 10-7 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 45 m | Show |
A move in the RIGHT direction....I'll personally be laying -2.5 and Braves TT Over for game 1 with Strider on the mound....
Stay tuned for game 2 of the doubleheader! |
06-14-23 |
Maria Sakkari -1.5 v. Alize Cornet | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -105 | 2 h 36 m | Show |
Straight sets for the Sakkari is ALWAYS AS SCARY A BET AS THEY COME... But against the DISASTER and never bet status that IS the Alize? Thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?! |
06-14-23 |
Jiri Lehecka v. Frances Tiafoe -2.5 | Top | 0-2 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show |
Even if Big Foe comes out a smidge sluggish....this is some SERIOUS value...as we cover with a 3 game spread...meaning EVEN a tiebreak... I mean how many Americans can Jiri upset in one week right? Haha...I kid but yeah makes little to no sense he beat Giron period...let alone on grass... Big Foe is a FAR better player and should be broken or even facing break points as minimally as anyone on the courts today! |
06-14-23 |
Lorenzo Musetti v. Gregoire Barrere +2 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -120 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
I HOPE this is my pure analysis hat and NO sour grapes allowed....as Gojo pissed down his leg against Musetti ...but sheesh... Barrere is AS un-grass oriented as Musetti...who just won his first EVER match on the lawn....and getting a couple points on a guy I think should PROBABLY be a pickem at worst....favored as -130 at best... THANK YOU SIR MAY I HAVE ANOTHER? Musetti....now please... GET OFF MY LAWN! |
06-14-23 |
Hubert Hurkacz -1.5 v. Yosuke Watanuki | Top | 2-1 |
Loss | -122 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
PLAY OF THE DAY... Hubie could win the damn thing... Watanuki was impressive...I think...haha...beating the 41 year old man in his retirement effort...and I DID buy him as someone who wouldn't be able to beat Lopez on grass....so shame on me...but now he gets THIS man...
Hubie will NOT be broken in this match...and if he can just do the Tommy Paul thang and snag a quick break in each set...then this will be a snoozer...of all snoozers....and keep in mind this is just Yosuke's 4tg match on the lawn...in 2 calendar years...and he's done well to get to this point with 2 wins before Lopez. Hubie HAS to show up in Halle 2022 style though ...and I have faith he will...as Wimbledon and Stuttgart saw him bow out in round 1...losing to Fucso a year ago...let's get the lead on and slaughter this TOP PLAY OF THE WEEK... Watanuki.... GET OFF MY LAWN!! |
06-14-23 |
Ugo Humbert -1.5 v. Emil Ruusuvuori | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -107 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
OOOOPS of the....hmmm...Week???? |
06-13-23 |
Rockies v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 7-6 |
Loss | -112 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
Kutter fits our BACK system ✅ Chase Anderson fits our FIP FADE system ✅ Rockies survived the RL last night ...but the VMI tonight is -12 ✅ Maybe we will look back after a 9-1 win and wish we'd called this GOY!! |
06-13-23 |
Nick Kyrgios -1.5 v. Yibing Wu | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -124 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
Just a buck 20 or so for straights....when one of our recent faves, Yibing Wu, hasn't played yet on grass....we will be back on the Wu again later this calendar year...but tomorrow morning we celebrate the return of the wacky one... As he would say...on the court regularly... I don't give a.... I don't give a..... I don't give a..... I don't give a... Sorry Yibing GET OFF MY LAWN! |
06-13-23 |
A Kalinina -4.5 v. Nuria Parrizas Diaz | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 112 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
NPD plays the grass tourneys because they're on the schedule...but this should be U-G-L-Y!!! |
06-13-23 |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich -1.5 v. Lucrezia Stefanini | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
Thank you sir may I have ANOTHER?!?! |
06-13-23 |
Talon Griekspoor -2 v. M Ymer | Top | 2-1 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
OOF.....Ymer on grass folks.... I could bore and bore you with "stuff" but DAMN... Tallon says... you can't keep up with my power.... GET OFF MY LAWN!! |
06-13-23 |
Gregoire Barrere v. Oscar Otte -1.5 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -107 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Time to turn this season AROUND!!! NEXT up is Musetti that mess if you can win this!! |
06-12-23 |
Reds -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 5-4 |
Loss | -100 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
W-O-W... Get the road team on a REVERSE RUN LINE...on the road in KC against a struggling (and OLD) Greinke...oh and we waited to mention the Royals are 1-11 RL on the season at home.as chalk... Greinke is WORST against LH hitters....and at home...where his FIP is twice that of other situational spots...while.the Reds are SLAYING as lefties at the plate....a terrible combo for a slow lobber....and they're slashing 8.0/.401/150 in the last 2 weeks in said spot.... Yeah...so take the Reds to win....take them +1.5 as the correct "spot" fit...but reverse this bad boy for a REAL ROI HAMMER OF THOR! |
06-12-23 |
Rockies v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 4-3 |
Loss | -125 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Fade the Seabold PLUS Our VMI spot of the day....maybe the week... Rockies with a -21 after all the travel and no rest...Paxton with a tight arsenal that should give each one in the lineup fits!!!! Seabold is a sitting duck as well |
06-12-23 |
F Lopez +3.5 v. Yosuke Watanuki | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -118 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
WOW.... My main man 41 year old retirement circuit fella is WINNING this match.... getting a triple AND the hook... Looney toons....+270 will be a play for me for SURE AS WELL! |
06-12-23 |
Jule Niemeier -1.5 v. Heather Watson | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -111 | 1 h 5 m | Show |
Not a whole lot points to being confident in Jule here on the surface... BUT...she gets her game up a notch on grass and had a nice run last year in Wimbledon....beating this same foe 2 & 4 and facing just 2 break points period! This SHOULD be quite straight forward but avoiding taking her in straights and just the 2 game spread is the way to go! |
06-12-23 |
Lorenzo Musetti v. Borna Gojo +2 | Top | 2-0 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
FAVORITE PLAY OF THE ENTIRE FIRST COUPLE ROUNDS!!!! BORNA already has a couple grassy wins under his belt... Musetti is a choker and immature little man extraordinaire... Play this like it was a 10.UNIT HAMMER of the tourney....grass season +EV ✅ Musetti and your NEVER WON A GRASS COURT MATCH IN YOUR LIFE.... GET OFF MY LAWN!!!! |
06-12-23 |
Greet Minnen -3.5 v. J Ponchet | Top | 2-1 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
|
06-11-23 |
Twins v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 6-7 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 36 m | Show |
EVEN friggin' money on this play....that FITS a +19% ROI trend just this season....25-13 against the RL just since May! 31-7 SU if you wanna parlay this spot...excellent play...but I don't know which other slam dunk play I'd go with.... |
06-11-23 |
Nationals v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 6-2 |
Loss | -139 | 1 h 31 m | Show |
+EV But I mean come on.... ATL slashing 16.5/.380/145 against RHP in June....next best team sub-10 wRAA |
06-11-23 |
Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 7-5 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
Whooo buddy! 45-7 SU spot on Gallen and the Snakes in this one... BUT...-220 or bigger.....PFFFFTTT No worries... 33-13 against the RL in this spot....all 9 ABs... AND this makes for an ROI back of 25% and that's considering an average line of -140....BOOMSLAM! 9-2 FINAL HERE |
06-09-23 |
Padres -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 9-6 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
The Dads have been unable to do ANYTHING on the road in Coors the past couple seasons....in fact they are 3-12 SU & RL last 15 in Denver... BUT... We HAVE to account for Gomber...we HAVE to account for Darvish (who is 2-1 in this spot just on the Padres) and we have the road offense slashing 2.3/.361/138 against lefties in June AND have a nearly +24 VMI showing up in Coors tonight with the wind gusting out AND Gomber's "tight" stuff and his HIDEOUS 7+ FIP... Beach balls coming right down the center of the plate for the road lineup tonight....and the 6-0 SU and 5-1 RL trend we have if we REMOVE the San Diego aspect of our SDQL hammer here!!!! Unbelievable to get just -125 on this and 9 ABs... 13-4 final or something coming RIGHT...UP!! |
06-09-23 |
Nuggets v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 108-95 |
Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
Heat WERE 4-0 ATS as home dogs until the loss in game 3 Ain't happening again!!! OUTRIGHT is my prediction but a full triple and a hook |
06-08-23 |
Red Sox v. Guardians -1.5 | Top | 3-10 |
Win | 137 | 1 h 44 m | Show |
Civale came back ...and looked EXCELLENT...if in just 5 innings... The Guardians finish a Sox series at home tonight...with a VMI advantage due to the fact Dermody was selected from AAA to spot start....OOF... The value here is too good to pass up on the home team RL... ML is easily the more "correct" play here but the +140ish is MONEY BABY!!! |
06-08-23 |
Aces v. Sun +5.5 | Top | 77-94 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
A handful of points AND the Aces are still undefeated.... Yowsa... The Sun ain't no slouch and while Vegas is 8-0, Stephanie White's girls are 6-2 and that's 2 due to the fact the comeback against Vegas on Tuesday was thwarted, despite cutting 19 down to a possession... Losing by 6 and NOW a dog of less....thank you sir may I have ANOTHER? Doubt they are EVER down by nearly this many... 1-7 ATS trend here on the Aces also....BOOM! These back to back games are intriguing...and potentially dangerous...but also...very tough for the team that just won... undefeated or not! Sun outright W tonight for me....but take the points! |
06-08-23 |
Iga Swiatek -1.5 v. B Haddad Maia | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
As dumb a bet as the line is dumb...Iga in straights should probably be -500 Pairing this up with Stearns ML and Mayar Sherif ML (at Makarsha this AM) makes this close to -120 and THAT'S WHAT I'M RECOMMENDING HERE!!! |
06-08-23 |
Karolina Muchova +4.5 v. Aryna Sabalenka | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
I call this a BARGAIN.... |