Jack Jones Premium Picks

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Los Angeles Angels +139

The Seattle Mariners made a deep run in the playoffs last year.  Well, they just had their chances of making the playoffs come to an end with their 6-4 loss to the Angels on Thursday.  They followed it up with another loss to the Angels on Friday.

The Mariners have nothing to play for now, and I expect them to not show up at all for the rest of this series with the Angels as a result.  With their lack of motivation, the Mariners cannot be favored here.  The Angels continue to show up despite having the worst record in the American League.  They don't have incentive to lose, either.

Rookie Kade Anderson is 2-2 with a 4.18 ERA in six starts for the Mariners this season.  One of those starts came against the Angels on September 14th, when Anderson allowed 5 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 6-4 loss to Los Angeles.

Ryan Johnson has been solid down the stretch for the Angels.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in nine consecutive starts, including one run or fewer in six of them.  In fact, Johnson has posted a 2.39 ERA in his last nine starts, allowing just 13 earned runs in 49 innings.  Bet the Angels Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Astros/A's OVER 9.5

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento has been right up there with Coors Field as the most hitter-friendly park in baseball this season.  The A's have gone 48-28-3 OVER in all home games in 2026.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket with the Astros tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's at game time with light winds blowing out to center.

The A's will go with Jack Perkins, who is 3-12 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 16 starts and 20 relief appearances this season.  Perkins is 1-7 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.58 WHIP at home, allowing 47 earned runs and 14 homers in 60 innings.  The A's have one of the worst bullpens in baseball with a 5.31 ERA overall and a 6.52 ERA at home.

Hayden Wesneski is 5-2 with a 3.50 ERA in 10 starts this season.  He is 3-1 with a 4.39 ERA in five road starts.  The Astros have a very taxed bullpen right now and Wesneski isn't likely to go deep in this game.

Both offenses should have their way tonight.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between the Astros and A's at Sutter Health Park with 11 or more combined runs in all six meetings. This total of 9.5 is too short tonight and we'll take advantage.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Appalachian State +14

This is a brutal spot for the NC State Wolfpack.  They have to try and get back up off the mat after one of the worst losses I've ever seen against SEC foe Vanderbilt.  They were trying to take a safety and punt in the final seconds with a 3-point lead.  Instead, they fumbled in the end zone and gave up a TD  to lose on the final play.  It's the type of loss that can beat a team twice.

I don't see NC State getting back up in time to face a non-conference opponent here in Appalachian State.  Meanwhile, this is the biggest game of the season for the Mountaineers against an in-state Power 4 program.  I know they will be up for this game, and their best effort is good enough to stay within two touchdowns of NC State.

Dowell Loggains is doing a great job bringing talent to Boone and getting the most out of this team in his 2nd season.  The Mountaineers are 3-0 this season opening with a 55-3 win over Maine.  That's a Maine team that just lost by 6 to Boston College last week.  They went on the road and upset ECU 27-24 as 6.5-point road dogs in Week 2.  And last week they beat Charlotte 26-21 as 15.5-point favorites last week.

That misleading final against Charlotte has provided extra line value on App State this week.  The Mountaineers outgained the 49ers 435 to 247, or by 188 total yards.  They clearly should have won by more but Charlotte got a couple TD's in garbage time, both in the final seven minutes, including a 36-yard Pick 6.  They took their foot off the gas in the 4th quarter and were probably looking ahead to NC State.

The Wolfpack lost a lot of talent in the offseason and it showed in a 34-8 loss to Virginia as 4-point dogs in the opener.  They were crushed every bit as much as the final score showed in that game getting outgained 413 to 168, or by 245 yards by the Cavaliers.  That's the same Virginia team that just got upset as double-digit favorites by West Virginia last week.  A blowout win over Richmond and a close game against a rebuilding Vanderbilt team don't change my opinion on this NC State squad.

The Wolfpack lost all their top playmakers on offense and nine starters on defense from last season.  QB CJ Bailey is a nice talent, but he also makes plenty of mistakes as evidenced by the colossal one he made against Vanderbilt last week.  He has accounted for just 5 TD's and 4 turnovers this season.  This is probably the worst defense of the Dave Doeren era, too.

App State QB Malachi Singleton has been impressive completing 74.5% of his passes for 889 yards with 6 total TD's and only one INT.  He is averaging 9.5 yards per pass attempt.  Four different receivers have at least 116 yards receiving, so he is spreading it around well.  Sam Pickett III leads the way with 15 receptions for 229 yards and 2 TD.  The defense is holding opponents to 304.7 yards per game and 4.8 per play as well.

The Mountaineers will be 'all in' for this game knowing they have a bye on deck next week.  They will open up the entire playbook to try and get to 4-0 with an upset win over a Power 4 opponent.  This is a sandwich spot for NC State off the deflating loss to SEC foe Vanderbilt, plus with undefeated ACC title contender Louisville on deck next week.  Bet Appalachian State Saturday.

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15* Oklahoma/Georgia SEC ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 44.5

Two of the best defenses in the country square off today in this SEC opener between Oklahoma and Georgia.  I expect it to be the ultimate grinder with both defenses ahead of both offenses, and that's especially the case for Oklahoma.

Oklahoma made the college football playoff last season in spite of a terrible offense with QB John Mateer.  The Sooners allowed just 15.5 points per game last season despite the brutal schedule.  With seven starters back on D this season, they are elite again allowing just 7.7 points per game, 215.3 yards per game and 3.8 per play through the first three weeks.  Last year's leading tackler Kip Lewis (76 tackles, 4 sacks) is expected to return from injury this week to give the defense a boost.

I didn't think it was possible, but this Oklahoma offense looks even more broken this season.  They lost 17-10 at Michigan for just 27 combined points.  They only beat New Mexico 14-6 at home last week for just 20 combined points.  They are without two of their most important pieces on offense in LT Michael Fasusi and WR Trell Harris.

Georgia also has some questions on offense with leading rusher Nate Frazier and arguably their most talented receiver in Isiah Canion both questionable.  I think Gunner Stockton is a better runner than thrower, and he will finally be tested after one of the easiest schedules in the country thus far against FCS Tennessee State, Western Kentucky and the worst team in the SEC in Arkansas.  Georgia has been padding its offensive stats against some awful defenses.

Georgia has an elite defense that will step its game up this week.  The Bulldogs are allowing 13.3 points per game, 211.3 yards per game and 3.3 yards per play.  This despite them pulling starters in the 2H of most of these games thus far with them already in hand, allowing opponents to put up some points and yards late with the game in hand.  No starters will be coming out for this Georgia D today, and they will shut down Oklahoma to aid us in cashing this UNDER 44.5 ticket.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Oklahoma State/West Virginia OVER 61

Both Oklahoma State and West Virginia want to play fast and put pressure on opposing defenses with the goal of wearing them out.  There should be a ton of possessions in this game.  Oklahoma State ranks 15th in tempo snapping the ball every 23.9 seconds, while WVU ranks 33rd snapping the ball every 24.8 seconds.

Oklahoma State showed what it was capable of offensively with a 39-31 win over Oregon in Week 2.  The Cowboys gashed a very good Oregon defense for 554 yards and 6.7 yards per play.  They came back with 59 points against Murray State last week.

Rich Rod finally has an offense at WVU.  The Mountaineers put up 31 points quickly against Coastal Carolina in the opener.  They scored 52 on Tennessee-Martin in Week 2.  And last week was the most impressive, beating Virginia 38-27 for 65 combined points to improve to 3-0 OVER this season.

Oklahoma transfer Michael Hawkins has been one of the best dual-threat QB's in the country.  He is completing 68.4% of his passes with 5 TD's, while also rushing for 322 yards and 6 TD already.  Jacksonville State transfer Cam Cook is one of the best RB's in the country, rushing for 317 yards and 3 TD.

Eric Morris brought his best players from North Texas with him to Stillwater.  So far so good with QB Drew Mestemaker throwing for 882 yards and 8 TD, while also rushing for 106 yards and a score.  RB Caleb Hawkins has 261 rushing yards, and WR Wyatt Young has 218 receiving yards and 2 TD to go along with Justin Bowick, who has 281 receiving yards and 3 TD.

There will be a ton of points in this game, especially with the forecast perfect for a shootout in Morgantown.  Temps will be in the 60's with no wind or rain to speak of.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CFB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Arizona/Washington State UNDER 48.5

The Iowa State Cyclones hired Jimmy Rogers from Washington State.  The Cougars ranked 125th in tempo last season as Rogers played slow to try and give his team the best chance to win knowing he was under-manned.  The result was a 9-3 UNDER record in the regular season and 49 or fewer combined points in 10 of those 12 games.

New head coach Kirby Moore is trying to follow in Rogers' footprints.  He has Washington State playing slow again ranking 122nd in tempo, snapping the ball every 29.9 seconds.  It's easy to see why with this roster absolutely gutted in the offseason.

The result has been a 2-1 record to the UNDER and low-scoring losses to both Washington and Kansas State.  The Cougars lost 24-10 to rival Washington for just 34 combined points.  They lost 34-7 to Kansas State for 41 combined points.  And they beat Duquesne 48-7, getting to flex offensively finally against a lesser opponent.  But now they'll have to get back to a grinder this week against Arizona.

This Washington State offense is broken managing just 242 yards against Washington and 166 yards against Kansas State.  It won't get any easier against this solid Arizona defense that allowed just 19.3 points per game last season.  The Wildcats are allowing 17.3 points per game and 299.7 yards per game despite playing BYU.

Arizona's offense is in trouble with top receiver Gio Richardson out after suffering an injury early in the loss to BYU.  Richardson had 9 receptions for 113 yards in the opener against Northern Arizona, a 35-7 win that saw NAU score its only TD on a Pick 6 in the 4th quarter.  Noah Fifita is lost without him and managed just 17 points against BYU.  It will be tough sledding for Fifita and this Arizona offense this week, too.

Arizona is in no hurry either ranking 107th in the country in tempo snapping the ball every 28.9 seconds.  This total of 48.5 is too high tonight for a game involving two slow-paced offenses who are both better on defense than they are on offense.  There will be fewer possessions and fewer opportunities for points as a result.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Iowa/Michigan Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Iowa +5.5

The Iowa Hawkeyes are a sleeper to win the Big Ten this season.  They finally have a legit offense which was evidenced by putting up 507 yards on Northern Illinois in a 40-0 victory.  They led 33-0 by halftime before calling off the dogs and still put up 507 yards.

They also beat Northern Iowa 55-0 behind 640 total yards.  I know it's an FCS team, but Iowa's offense is improved and wouldn't have put up that many points and yards on NIU and Northern Iowa in the past.  I think their 16-13 win over Iowa State has them undervalued.  That rivalry game is always close, and Iowa State is better than most anticipated.

Michigan's results have been much more concerning.  They should have lost to Western Michigan, winning 13-12 as 27.5-point favorites only after the refs somehow put one second back on the clock so they got a 2nd attempt at a hail mary, which they converted.

The Wolverines then went on to beat Oklahoma 17-10.  That's an Oklahoma team that nearly lost at home to New Mexico last week in a 14-6 win.  And Michigan was outgained by 26 yards by Oklahoma.  Then last week Michigan beat UTEP 52-17.  But that was a much closer game than the final score.  Michigan only led 17-14 at halftime and had to utilize a lot of energy in the 2H to pull away.  That's a UTEP team that also lost 51-0 to Oklahoma.

Bryce Underwood is one of the most overrated QB's in the country.  He is inaccurate as a passer and more known for what he can to with his legs.  But Iowa will be prepared for it behind one of the best defenses in the country and legendary coordinator Phil Parker.  The Hawkeyes are allowing 4.3 points per game, 176.7 yards per game and 3.2 per carry.

I actually think Iowa is better on both sides of the football.  They get some key players back on offense in RB Moulton and TE Vonnahme this week from injury.  They finally have a legit NFL-caliber receiver in Tony Diaz, who has 17 receptions for 201 yards this season.  They will test Michigan physically, and I anticipate Iowa to win the battle at the line is scrimmage on both sides of the football.  I also expect them to win this game outright in a game that could easily be decided by a FG either way.  Bet Iowa Saturday.

15* Wisconsin/Penn State Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 44.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this UNDER 44.5 ticket between Wisconsin and Penn State today.  There will be 10-15 MPH sustained winds throughout, which will affect the passing and kicking games for both teams.

Penn State WR Koby Howard has been an absolute game-changer.  He has 12 receptions for 344 yards and 2 TD while averaging 28.7 yards per reception.  He has found a great connection with QB Rocco Becht.  Well, Howard suffered an injury last week that will keep him out for this game.  That's a huge blow to this Penn State offense, which will be much more vanilla and easier to defend without him.

I expect both defenses to have their way in this one.  Penn State is allowing 7.3 points per game, 201 yards per game and 3.5 yards per play this season.  Wisconsin is allowing 20.0 points per game, 289.3 yards per game and 4.7 per play this season.  And Wisconsin held Notre Dame to 350 total yards in the opener to show how good its defense can be.

Neither offense is in a hurry.  Penn State ranks 104th in tempo snapping the ball every 28.6 seconds.  Wisconsin ranks 102nd snapping the ball every 28.4 seconds.  This game will featured fewer possessions, and thus fewer opportunities for points.  The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with 41, 26 and 32 combined points.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* CFB Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Houston/Georgia Southern UNDER 57

Clay Helton is known as an offensive coach and that reputation has these Georgia Southern totals inflated dating back to last season.  Georgia Southern is now 7-2 UNDER in its last nine games overall finishing with 55 or fewer combined points in five of its last six.

Georgia Southern returned 6 starters on defense but zero starters on offense this season.  This will be Helton's best defense yet with seven of the top 13 tacklers back.  But this could be his worst offense.  Max Johnson never made it as a college QB and now he has found his way to Georgia Southern.  They have to replace a 1,000-yard rusher and a 1,000-yard receiver, plus QB JC French who transferred to Cincinnati, and all five offensive linemen.

Georgia Southern opened with a 31-0 shutout win over Charleston Southern.  The Eagles followed it up with an impressive 22-7 loss to Clemson, holding the Tigers to just 347 total yards.  And last week they held a high-powered Jacksonville State offense to just 302 total yards.  This defense is legit.

But Max Johnson and this Georgia Southern offense have been underwhelming.  Johnson is completing 65.5% of his passes with a 2-to-1 TD/INT ratio and averaging 6.0 yards per pass attempt.  He isn't going to make the big mistake, and his conservative nature plays right into our hands here being the perfect UNDER QB.

Willie Fritz has this Houston defense playing great football since joining the Big 12. The Cougars allowed 22.9 points per game in his first season in 2024 and 22.8 points per game last season.  Despite playing two great offenses already in Texas Tech and Oregon State, the Cougars are only allowing 18.0 points per game ad 316 yards per game.

Houston features a run-heavy offense and isn't in a hurry.  The Cougars are averaging 41 rush attempts per game compared to just 29 pass attempts.  They have been in dog fights with Texas Tech and Oregon State, too.  If they get a lead they will just try to run out the clock in the 2H which will aid us in cashing this UNDER 57 ticket.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* CFB Saturday Afternoon Line Mistake on Georgia Southern +18

Georgia Southern opened with a 31-0 shutout win over Charleston Southern.  The Eagles followed it up with an impressive 22-7 loss at Clemson as 19.5-point dogs, holding the Tigers to just 347 total yards.  And last week they held a high-powered Jacksonville State offense to just 302 total yards.  This defense is legit.

Off a misleading 31-27 loss to Jacksonville State in which they outgained the Gamecocks by 67 yards, the Eagles are flying under the radar.  They already showed they could play with Clemson, and I fully expect them to give Houston a run for its money at home today.  This will be one of the best atmospheres every in Statesboro with a Power 4 opponent coming to play on their field.

I think this is a flat spot for Houston.  The Cougars just lost 28-26 to Big 12 favorite Texas Tech on the road last week.  It was a big effort, but the Cougars missed a 2-point conversion to send it into OT.  It's the type of loss that can beat a team twice.  I don't think they will be able to get back up off the mat this week, especially in this massive sandwich spot with another Big 12 game against UCF on deck next week.  They would be more than happy just getting in and getting out with a win rather than running the score up.

I expect this to be a defensive grinder between two top-notch defenses and two underwhelming offenses.  It's also worth noting Houston head coach Willie Fritz is a former head coach at Georgia Southern.  He loves the program, and he won't want to run it up on them.  I think Fritz will be in for more of a fight than he bargained for today.  Bet Georgia Southern Saturday.

15* Utah/Iowa State Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 48

The forecast will aid us in cashing this UNDER 48 ticket between Utah and Iowa State this afternoon.  It will be a sloppy field due to rain, and there will be sustained 15 MPH winds throughout that will affect the passing and kicking games for both teams.

The Cyclones hired Jimmy Rogers from Washington State.  The Cougars ranked 125th in tempo last season as Rogers played slow to try and give his team the best chance to win knowing he was under-manned.  The result was a 9-3 UNDER record in the regular season and 49 or fewer combined points in 10 of those 12 games.

Rogers will have to do the same thing at Iowa State to try and make the Cyclones competitive.  His Washington State team had an elite defense allowing 20.2 points per game.  He brought his defensive coordinator with him that served under him at Washington State and also South Dakota State prior in Jesse Bobbit.  He also added offensive coordinator Tyler Roehl, who ran a run-heavy scheme at North Dakota State.

The Cyclones lose all 22 starters from last season as everyone transferred with Matt Campbell to Penn State.  I like some of the talent Rogers brought in defensively and he will have a good defense this season and everywhere he goes.  But the offense is a problem outside QB Jaylen Raynor, the dual-threat Arkansas State transfer.  But it's not like the Cyclones are going to crush it offensively at all this season.

Iowa State played to my expectations in Week 1 in a 38-10 win over SE Missouri State.  The offense managed just 303 total yards including 108 rushing on 3.5 per carry against a FCS opponent.  The defense held them to 209 total yards, including 67 rushing and 1.5 per carry.  That game finished UNDER the 52.5-point total and shouldn't have even been that close given the stats.

Iowa State came back in Week 2 with a 16-13 loss at Iowa and just 29 combined points with a 42.5-point total for yet another UNDER.  The Cyclones were held to 255 total yards, but they showed their defensive chops by holding the Hawkeyes to 284 total yards and 4.8 per play.

I think last week's 55-7 win over Bowling Green has this total inflated.  Bowling Green may be the worst defense in the country after giving up 56 points to Nebraska the week prior.  Even this poor Iowa State offense had its way, while also being aided by a 100-yard kickoff return TD, a 66-yard punt return TD and several other plays that set up Iowa State with easy scoring opportunities.  That will not happen against Utah.

The Utes lost all five starting offensive linemen and several playmakers from last year's team.  But they have an elite defense as they always do, allowing just 8.0 points per game, 239.3 yards per game and 3.8 yards per play this season.  Their offensive numbers are inflated due to an easy strength of schedule with games against Idaho, Arkansas and Utah State.  Iowa State will offer much more resistance defensively than those three teams did.

Rogers has Iowa State playing slow just like he did at Washington State.  The Cyclones rank 134th out of 138 teams in tempo, snapping the ball every 32.1 seconds.  Utah is in no hurry either, ranking 82nd at 27.5 seconds between snaps.  Both offenses are run-heavy with questionable QB play in the passing game and lack of talent at receiver.  This will be the ultimate grinder and easily stay UNDER this 48-point total, especially with the forecast.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* CFB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Sam Houston +34.5

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are one of the most overrated teams in the country after winning the down Big 12 last season.  They lost six NFL draft picks on defense and won't be nearly as good on that side of the ball.  They lost QB Behren Morton, their top two receivers and two starters along the O-Line.

Texas Tech brought in Cincinnati transfer Brendan Sorsby to replace Morton at QB, but he got in gambling trouble and is out.  That leaves Will Hammond, who while still decent is a big downgrade at QB.  That was evident in a lackluster 33-10 win over Abilene Christian as 45.5-point favorites in the opener, failing to cover by 22.5 points.

Keep in mind Abilene Christian lost to FCS bottom feeder Lamar 21-14 prior to the Texas Tech game, and then lost 26-7 to Stephen F. Austin the game after Texas Tech.  So that really puts into perspective how poor a 33-10 win over Abilene Christian really was.

More concerning was a 35-24 win at Oregon State two weeks ago as 25.5-point favorites.  The Red Raiders were life and death with the Beavers and needed to score the final 14 points to escape with victory.  Oregon State actually outgained Texas Tech 472 to 352 for the game, or by 120 total yards.  The Red Raiders were extremely fortunate to escape with the win.

Speaking of fortunate, they escaped with another 28-26 win as 7.5-point favorites over Houston in their Big 12 opener last week.  They allowed 458 yards to Houston and were outgained by 33 yards.  Now this is a sandwich spot for the Red Raiders, who have another Big 12 game on deck next week.  They won't be preparing at all for Sam Houston State and just want to get out of here with a win.  They aren't concerned with getting margin, and I don't expect them to win by 5 TD's or more as a result.

Sam Houston State looks like one of the most improved teams in college football.  The Bearkats are 1-2 SU but 3-0 ATS covering the spread by a combined 58 points in the three games.  They lost by 3 at Troy as 16.5-point dogs, by 6 to Tulsa as 12.5-point dogs and beat Nicholls State by 59 as 21-point favorites.  Those narrow losses to Troy and Tulsa look much better now when you consider Troy nearly upset Missouri on the road lost week, and Tulsa upset Oklahoma State which upset Oregon.  The Bearkats outgained both Troy and Tulsa, too.

Sam Houston QB Landyn Locke has impressive numbers, throwing for 973 yards with a 9-to-1 TD/INT ratio while averaging 9.0 per attempt.  But the improvement on defense is most noticeable.  The Bearkats are holding opponents to 15.7 points per game, 290.7 yards per game and 4.4 yards per play this season.  Locke will make enough plays to keep the Bearkats competitive, and the defense will hold this Texas Tech offense in check enough to stay within this inflated number in this clear flat spot for the Red Raiders.  Bet Sam Houston State Saturday.

15* CFB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Hawaii -2.5

I love the spot for Hawaii today.  The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a bye week to get healthy and put two weeks of focus into beating Wyoming.  After losses to Stanford and UNLV to open the season, they came back with a sense of urgency in a 29-19 win over New Mexico State as 7-point favorites.  That's a NMSU team that gave Florida State all they could handle on the road.  That urgency will be big this week as they step back into Mountain West play.

Wyoming is one of the worst teams in the country.  The Cowboys are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS this season.  They lost 35-13 at Colorado State in their opener, a rebuilding Rams team with a first-year head coach.  They struggle with FCS Northern Colorado in a 21-13 win as 23.5-point home favorites in Week 2.  That's a Northern Colorado team that was coming off consecutive losses to Weber State and South Dakota to open the season, and followed up the Wyoming loss with a OT win over lowly Northeastern State.

Last week, Wyoming lost 24-10 at Central Michigan in a physical game.  Central Michigan rushed 59 times for 339 yards on Wyoming.  That's a CMU team that barely beat Colgate 13-10 the previous week as 18.5-point favorites.  They also lost 38-7 to New Mexico in Week 1.

The Cowboys are now beat up and tired defensively.  They won't have much left in the tank for Hawaii today, and they just aren't good enough to do anything about it.  Bet Hawaii Saturday.

15* CFB Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Baylor -9.5

Baylor lost in OT after a hail mary on the final play of regulation by Shedeur Sanders and Colorado on the road in 2024.  Dave Aranda and his remaining players have not forgotten, and they want revenge at home this time around.  I fully expect them to win by double-digits to cover this 9.5-point spread.

Baylor has opened 2-1 SU & 2-1 ATS this season despite not having starting QB DJ Lagway, a Florida transfer, for the past two games.  They only lost 17-16 to Auburn as 6.5-point dogs on a neutral in the opener.  They outgained Auburn by 47 yards to show what they are capable of.  They came back with a 44-3 win over Prairie View A&M as 37.5-point favorites and a 36-19 win over LA Tech as 19.5-point home favorites.

The Bears will get a boost this week with the return of several key players, including QB Lagway.  WR Jadon Porter, S Devin Turner and LOT Logan Moore are also supposed to return from injuries this week.  The Bears are as close to full strength as they can be going into this game.

Colorado is a mess.  The 14-13 win at Georgia Tech in the opener doesn't look as good now after Georgia Tech went on to lose 45-24 at home to Tennessee.  After winning but failing to cover at home against Weber State, Colorado just got blasted 41-7 by Northwestern last week.  There is a ton of turmoil in that Colorado locker room right now.

Deion Sanders has kicked off multiple players for conduct detrimental to the team.  This team just isn't that good as it is, and Sanders may be losing the locker room.  The Bears don't care and will look to kick them while they are down.  Bet Baylor Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Wisconsin +10

Penn State is overvalued after opening 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS against one of the softest schedules in the country.  The Nittany Lions have wins over Marshall, Temple and Buffalo.  They have played the 125th-ranked schedule in the country.

Wisconsin is greatly improved this season thanks to finally having a QB in Old Dominion transfer, Colton Joseph.  He has thrown for 752 yards and 5 TD while averaging 8.8 per attempt, while also rushing for 82 yards and a score.  He is the first dual-threat QB Wisconsin has had in a long time, which opens up the entire playbook.

Wisconsin lost 41-13 to Notre Dame in the opener.  It was one of the most misleading finals of the season.  Two turnovers led directly to two quick TD's by Notre Dame.  The Badgers held the Fighting Irish to 350 total yards and were only outgained by 66 yards.  Many believe Notre Dame is the best team in the country.

The Badgers came back with blowout wins over Western Illinois by 27 and Eastern Michigan by 44.  They should still be very fresh for this game, and their offensive line is healthy now after it wasn't in the opener against Notre Dame.  I fully expect the Badgers to give the Nittany Lions a run for their money today.

Penn State WR Koby Howard has been an absolute game-changer.  He has 12 receptions for 344 yards and 2 TD while averaging 28.7 yards per reception.  He has found a great connection with QB Rocco Becht.  Well, Howard suffered an injury last week that will keep him out for this game.  That's a huge blow to this Penn State offense, which will be much more vanilla and easier to defend without him.  Bet Wisconsin Saturday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on Florida -3

The No. 21 Florida Gators are favored over the No. 4 Ole Miss Rebels today for good reason.  The Gators are a legit SEC title contender this season that everyone is sleeping on.  The Rebels are overvalued after making college football playoff semifinals last season and beating LSU last week.

And that's the key here.  This is a massive letdown spot for Ole Miss off one of the biggest wins in program history over former head coach Lane Kiffin and the Tigers.  After such an emotional 32-24 win, the Rebels will be flat as a pancake this week.  They can afford a loss now after important, narrow wins over Louisville and LSU to start the season.

Florida is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS this season with a 66-21 win over FAU as 25.5-point favorites, a 52-3 win over Campbell as 50.5-point favorites and an impressive 44-39 win at Auburn as 2.5-point favorites.  Keep in mind Florida had a 475-220 edge in total yards over Auburn last week midway through the 4th quarter before Auburn padded its stats in garbage time with two late TD's in the final 6 minutes.  Florida really dominated that game.

Florida offensive coordinator Buster Faulkner is one of the best in the country and he is proving it.  Coming over from Georgia Tech and bringing QB Aaron Philo with him, Faulkner has the Gators scoring 54.0 points per game, averaging 544.3 yards per game and 8.0 yards per play.  The playmakers are elite for Philo at receiver, and they may have the best RB in the country in Jaden Baugh, who has rushed for 458 yards and 8 TD thus far.

No question Trinidad Chambliss and this Ole Miss offense are great as well.  But this offense took a hit with an injury to one of the best RB's in the country in Kewan Lacy against LSU.  Lacy is not expected to play today.  This Ole Miss defense is clearly vulnerable too after allowing 38 points and 469 yards to Louisville in the opener.  They only outgained Charlotte by 98 yards, and Charlotte is one of the worst teams in the country.

Florida head coach Jon Sumrall is 15-4-1 ATS in his last 20 games as a single-digit favorite.  Sumrall comes over from Tulane after taking the Green Wave to the college football playoff last year.  Tulane played Ole Miss twice last season, once in the regular season and once in the playoffs, losing both.  You can bet Sumrall wants his revenge here with elite players in the SEC that can get the job done for him.  This will be the 3rd time he has prepped for Ole Miss in the last year, so Sumrall and the Gators will have the preparation advantage.

Gainesville is back.  It's going to be a hostile atmosphere for this Top 25 matchup, and home-field advantage is worth a lot more than is being factored into this line for the Gators.  This will be the first true road game for Ole Miss and I don't expect it to go well for them.  They will be flat as a pancake today off the LSU win.  Bet Florida Saturday.