Kyle Hunter Premium Picks

*3 Star Play Under* The Kentucky Wildcats have played much slower both in their season opener and through their exhibition schedule. Mark Pope has said by late in the season they will be pushing the pace, but they need an adjustment period with youngsters.

Kentucky had three exhibitions that played to well under this total in regulation. The Wildcats have worked on their defense quite a bit in the offseason. They also then held Manhattan to just 57 points. I don't think James Madison will be able to do very much here in this one.

James Madison prefers a slower pace with Spradlin as their coach.

Take the under here.

*5 Star Top Play Under* Brown is still being priced like a team that wants to run and gun, but Eric Reveno is looking for them to slow things down some. He said he wants the team to have discipline and stop turning the ball over so much.

Boston University has been a slow it down team for many years and I think they will be again this year.

This line is far above my projected line for this one. Take the under as a top play.

*A 5 star play down to 154- a 4 star down to 149.5 and a 3 star down to 145. Thanks and good luck*

*3 Star Play Over* FIU has a new coach who has said publicly his goal for their games to be played to a blistering pace of 90 possessions. That will be hard to do, but I do think they'll be pushing hard to press the issue and run and gun. FIU is likely to find a partner who wants to run in West Florida.

Tanner Smith is the coach of West Florida, and he said the team's advantage is they will play a ton of people and aim to force turnovers and score with lightning speed before the defense gets back.

As long as the shooting numbers are decent here- I think this one will be high scoring throughout.

Take the over.

*I would play this all the way up to 159.5. Thanks and good luck*

*3 Star Play Under* The San Diego Toreros have a new coach in Coach Blount. He's made it clear that he wants the identity of this team to be a great defense that plays with physicality. San Diego was a run and gun type team that was poor on defense in the past, and I think they will be much improved at least in time on the defensive end.

Tarleton State has a new coach in Coach Haut. I do think Tarleton will try to play fast, but I question whether they have be very efficient on the offensive end early on. They don't have a lot of clear go to scorers.

I view San Diego as an under team and I think they slow the game down when they can.

Take the under here.

*I would play this as low as 146. Thanks and good luck*

*3 Star Play Under* The TCU Horned Frogs are going in on running the football and playing at a slow tempo. TCU has played six games in a row below this posted total, and that even includes a game against West Virginia.

Arizona's defense is 13th in success rate allowed. Gonzales is a great defensive coordinator and I think they'll have a good game plan to bother Craig and the TCU offense.

TCU's defense is 6th in the nation in success rate allowed. They are 1st in standard downs explosiveness allowed. They are one of the most improved defenses in the nation.

I see this being a tight lower scoring game.

Take the under.

*I would play this down to 42.5 at the lowest*

*4 Star Play Under* The Nevada Wolf Pack defense has showed me a lot in recent weeks. Nevada held UCLA to 5.1 yards per play in their  27-0 loss. Nevada held North Dakota State to 4.9 yards per play in their loss to them as well. Nevada has quarterback problems due to injuries and poor play, and their offense is a mess.

New Mexico is among the five slowest teams in the country in terms of pace. Jason Eck's team doesn't throw the ball well at all. They'll want to run it, and they'll have some success, but Nevada has been good at not allowing the explosive plays on the ground.

A lot of running and moving clock in this one.

Take the under.

*I would play this for 4 stars down to 41 and 3 stars down to 38. Thanks and good luck.*

*3 Star Play Under* The USF Bulls rank in the bottom 20 teams in the country in pace of play. Brian Hartline’s team is moving very slowly this season. The Bulls have struggled to score all season. They did score 30 this past weekend, but that was thanks to turnovers from UAB rather than the USF offense having much success. The  Bulls only had 4.3 yards per play and 13 first downs in the game, so the offense struggled badly.

E Carolina has already had a bunch of low scoring battles this year. The Pirates defense is far ahead of their offense. They just won 17-9 over Temple this past weekend, and Temple has been in a bunch of higher scoring games.

I see both defensive fronts having success here and the opposing offense getting behind the sticks.

Take the under.

*I would play this down to 42.5 but not lower. Thanks and good luck*