Mike Lundin Premium Picks
Mike Lundin
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PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
Top All Sports Totals (+5014) 570-476 L1046 54%
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**Top 10 All Sports handicapper in 2014**
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**Top 10 All Sports handicapper in 2014**
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#9 ranked MLB handicapper this season!
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
MLB MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER
The Red Sox are riding a season-high seven-game winning streak after a dramatic comeback win Thursday, but this looks like a good spot to back the visiting Rays to bounce back. Tampa Bay right-hander Drew Rasmussen has been reliable all season with a 2.82 ERA, and he’s held Boston in check before, going 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA in four career starts against the Sox.
Boston counters with Hunter Dobbins, who returns from the IL and hasn't pitched since June 20 when he was tagged for four runs over four innings.
With Tampa sending the more trustworthy arm to the mound and Boston potentially due for a letdown, I like the Rays to snap the streak.
3% PLAY ON THE RAYS.
4% CLE/CWS MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY
The Guardians have bounced back from their slump in a big way, plating 21 runs across three straight wins in Houston to open the week. After a day off Thursday, their lineup should be fresh and ready for the opener of this three-game series against the White Sox.
Chicago sends Jonathan Cannon (3-7, 4.50 ERA) to the mound, and while he’s coming off back-to-back solid starts, he’s still carrying a 6.55 ERA over his last five. Cannon also gave up six runs in 5 1/3 innings in a loss to Cleveland back in May.
Guardians right-hander Gavin Williams is coming off six scoreless innings of one-hit ball against Detroit, but Cleveland still lost that game 7-2. Williams has been up and down, and with both lineups capable of making some noise, I like the over.
4% PLAY ON THE OVER.
LATE NIGHT 4% DODGERS/GIANTS MLB TOP PLAY
The Dodgers have now dropped six straight and are nearing 'chase bet' territory. That’s not typically our style, but today looks like a solid spot.
Giants' ace Logan Webb has been terrific this season (8-6, 2.62 ERA), but his career numbers against L.A. are nothing special. Dodgers right-hander Dustin May (5-5, 4.52 ERA) has handled San Francisco well in previous meetings.
This is the second biggest underdog price the Dodgers have seen all year, the other was a +118 win over Atlanta on May 30.
Given the matchup and the number, I like the value on the Dodgers here.
4% PLAY ON THE DODGERS.
SERVICE BIO
Mike "Moneymaker" Lundin's experience as a professional poker player has proven to be an immeasurable asset in sports handicapping. He's a numbers guy, with a keen eye for spotting trends and stats that just don't jive with the odds offered by the bookmakers. All Mike's plays come with write ups backing up his selection, giving you a glimpse into his process of breaking down games.
----Bankroll Management----
Mike rates his plays between 2-5* (bet with 2-5% of your bankroll) with the 5* bets being the MAX BETS.
2% = Free picks and low-confidence / high-variance plays
3% = Regular plays - most plays will be given a 3* rating
4% = Top Plays = Play of the Day and other top play releases
5% = Best Bets = Game of the Week, Month, and Game of the Year releases
Just as in cash game poker, the goal is not to win that giant pot once in a while, but to build your bankroll slowly and steadily by identifying +EV situations to exploit.
----Handicapping Methodology----
As a former online poker pro, Mike knows the value of creating systems and winning formulas through statistical analysis and math to use as a baseline, but much like poker, sports are played by human beings with emotions and feelings.
Identifying letdown spots, bounce-back spots and situational betting in general plays a big part in Mike's success in picking winners, but he's also not a stranger to locking in a bet based on stats and trends alone.
