03-16-12 |
Portland Trail Blazers +9 v. Chicago Bulls | | 100-89 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
6* Blazers +9 The Key: The Blazers traded away some key players and fired their coach but I still expect them to show up tonight following back-to-back embarrassing losses. Luol Deng's wrist isn't at full strength and Derrick Rose is expected to miss with a groin injury. The Bulls will be much more concerned with tomorrow's game against Philly, which gives Portland an excellent opportunity to cover this number. |
03-16-12 |
Ohio v. Michigan -5.5 | | 65-60 |
Loss | -109 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
6* Michigan -5.5 The Key: Expect a strong performance from Michigan as it enters the Dance motivated following an embarrassing loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten tourney. The Wolverines are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games following a SU loss and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. |
03-16-12 |
Virginia Cavaliers +4 v. Florida | | 45-71 |
Loss | -110 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
6* Virginia +4 The Key: The Cavaliers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. |
03-16-12 |
Alabama -1.5 v. Creighton | | 57-58 |
Loss | -109 | 25 h 0 m | Show |
6* Alabama -1.5 The Key: Alabama is the more athletic and more physical team and should march on here. The Creighton Bluejays are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games versus teams with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games. |
03-16-12 |
NC State -2 v. San Diego St | Top | 79-65 |
Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show |
7* First Round Game of the Year on NC State -2 The Key: The Wolfpack are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite. NC State enters the NCAA tourney with tons of confidence after an impressive showing against No. 1 seed North Carolina, and I expect it to parlay that confidence into a big win over a San Diego State team odds makers clearly don't have much respect for (#6 seed catching points against a #11). |
03-16-12 |
Texas v. Cincinnati -2 | | 59-65 |
Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
6* Cincy -2 The Key: The Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of fewer than 7 points. |
03-15-12 |
Colorado v. UNLV -5.5 | Top | 68-64 |
Loss | -110 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
7* NCAA Tournament *HEAVY HITTER* on UNLV -5.5 The Key: Colorado enters the Dance overvalued following its Pac-12 tourney title run, and I expect it to come back down to earth here. The Runnin' Rebels will be very focused following early exits in the NCAA tourney the past two seasons. UNLV's talent is unmistakable. We're talking about a team that defeated tourney teams North Carolina, Cal, New Mexico and Colorado State by double digits. The Buffaloes are only 2-10 ATS after covering the spread in 3 of their last 4 over the last 2 seasons. |
03-15-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder -1 v. Denver Nuggets | Top | 103-90 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder -1 The Key: The Thunder are 52-24-1 ATS in their last 77 games following a loss, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take OKC. |
03-15-12 |
South Dakota St +8 v. Baylor | | 60-68 |
Push | 0 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
6* South Dakota State +8 The Key: The Baylor Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. The Jackrabbits are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. |
03-15-12 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Wichita State -6 | | 62-59 |
Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
6* Wichita State -6 The Key: The Shockers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games as a favorite. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. |
03-15-12 |
Long Beach State +4 v. New Mexico | | 68-75 |
Loss | -103 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
6* Long Beach State +4 The Key: The 49ers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. |
03-15-12 |
Montana +9.5 v. Wisconsin | | 49-73 |
Loss | -108 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
6* Montana +9.5 The Key: The Grizzlies are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog. The Badgers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. |
03-15-12 |
Southern Miss +5 v. Kansas State | | 64-70 |
Loss | -109 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
6* Southern Miss +5 The Key: The Wildcats are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games when matched up against a team with a winning record. The Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. |
03-14-12 |
Western Illinois +11.5 v. Oregon State | | 59-80 |
Loss | -105 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
6* Western Illinois +11.5 The Key: The Leathernecks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record. |
03-14-12 |
Nevada v. Oral Roberts -5.5 | | 68-59 |
Loss | -105 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
6* Oral Roberts -5.5 The Key: The Oral Roberts Golden Eagles are an impressive 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games when listed as a favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. |
03-14-12 |
Bucknell +8.5 v. Arizona | | 65-54 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
6* Bucknell +8.5 The Key: Arizona is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 home games after a game in which it failed to cover the number. It has only won by an average of 5.4 points in this situation. |
03-14-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. New Orleans Hornets +5 | Top | 107-101 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Hornets +5 The Key: The Lakers continues to be overvalued on the road despite continuing struggles away from home and we'll take advantage. L.A. is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 road games when listed as a favorite. |
03-14-12 |
Northern Iowa v. St Joseph's -7 | | 67-65 |
Loss | -106 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
6* St. Joseph's -7 The Key: The Panthers are 0-6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Hawks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. |
03-13-12 |
Golden State Warriors v. Sacramento Kings -3 | Top | 115-89 |
Loss | -103 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings -3 The Key: The Warriors are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series. |
03-13-12 |
Marshall v. Middle Tennessee St -5.5 | | 78-86 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
6* NCAAB CA$H COW on Middle Tennessee State -5.5 The Key: MTSU is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. It has defeated these teams by an average of 9.6 points. |
03-12-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +4 v. Phoenix Suns | | 127-124 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
6* Timberwolves +4 The Key: The Timberwolves are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. In addition, the road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. |
03-12-12 |
Detroit Pistons v. Utah Jazz -7.5 | Top | 90-105 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz -7.5 The Key: Off consecutive defeats on the road, the Jazz are back home where they are 14-6 on the season. Expect them to bounce back strong against a Detroit team that is just 3-15 on the highway this season. The Jazz have won their last 8 at home in this series with those victories coming by an average of 9.0 points. Lay the number. |
03-11-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Denver Nuggets -6 | Top | 94-91 |
Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nuggets -6 The Key: Denver has won 8 in a row at home against the Grizzlies and is 18-1 at home all-time against the Grizzlies since they moved to Memphis. 7 of Denver's last 8 home wins against Memphis have come by at least 9 points. |
03-11-12 |
Ohio State v. Michigan State +2 | | 64-68 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
6* Michigan State +2 The Key: Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog, 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games as an underdog and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
03-11-12 |
Vanderbilt +8 v. Kentucky | | 71-64 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
6* Vandy +8 The Key: This experienced Vandy squad has played Kentucky tougher than anyone else in the SEC this season, and I expect it to give the Wildcats a game this afternoon. The Wildcats are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. The Commodores are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. |
03-11-12 |
Florida State v. North Carolina -6 | | 85-82 |
Loss | -105 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
6* North Carolina -6 The Key: This game is about payback for UNC, who was embarrassed by 33 points by FSU during the regular season. The Tar Heels are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less. |
03-10-12 |
Indiana Pacers +9.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 91-93 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year on Pacers +9.5 The Key: As if enduring consecutive losses isn't enough motivation, the Pacers will draw further incentive from losses of 35 and 15 points to Miami in the season's first two meetings. The results of those matchups will cause Indiana to be more focused than it has been all season. The Heat can't help but take the Pacers lightly here with the way they dominated the first two. The fact Miami enters off 2 days' rest is great news considering it has lost 8 in a row ATS when playing on 2 days' rest. It is only winning by an average score of 99.6 to 98.6 in this situation. This is a great spot for a hungry Indiana team against a Miami squad that will be overlooking its opponent. |
03-10-12 |
Portland Trailblazers -5 v. Washington Wizards | | 110-99 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
6* Trail Blazers -5 The Key: Portland is struggling but should be able to get back on track against the lowly Wizards. Washington came from 21 down to beat the Lakers in their last game but are 6-25 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 12.4 points in this situation. |
03-10-12 |
NC State +9 v. North Carolina | | 67-69 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
6* NC State +9 The Key: NC State is a strong 8-2 ATS when playing away from home against conference opponents this season. |
03-10-12 |
Florida +9.5 v. Kentucky | | 71-74 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
6* Florida +9.5 The Key: Kentucky is just 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when valued as a favorite of 7 to 12.5 points. |
03-10-12 |
Massachusetts v. St Bonaventure -2.5 | | 80-84 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
6* St. Bonaventure -2.5 The Key: The Bonnies are a terrific 12-3 ATS when laying points this season. |
03-09-12 |
Cal Poly SLO +5 v. Cal Santa Barbara | | 52-64 |
Loss | -115 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
6* Cal Poly SLO +5 The Key: The value lies with Cal Poly here considering UCSB is just 8-21 ATS in its last 29 games after 4 or more consecutive wins. UCSB is actually losing by an average of 2.8 points in this situation. |
03-09-12 |
Ohio v. Buffalo +3.5 | | 77-74 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
6* Buffalo +3.5 The Key: The Buffalo Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as an underdog, and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
03-09-12 |
Cal Irvine +13 v. Long Beach State | | 57-68 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
6* Cal Irvine +13 The Key: The Anteaters are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings at Long Beach State. |
03-09-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers +5 v. San Antonio Spurs | | 120-108 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
6* Clippers +5 The Key: The LA Clippers have been a solid investment when catching points, covering the spread in 5 of their last 6 as an underdog. |
03-09-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers -113 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | Top | 105-102 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers -113 The Key: Following back-to-back losses to lowly teams in which the Lakers blew double-digit leads, look for LA to drop the hammer on the T-Wolves. The Lakers are on a 17-0 run against Minnesota with 10 of those wins coming by 10 points or more. |
03-09-12 |
Kent State +2 v. Akron | | 74-78 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
6* Kent State +2 The Key: Kent State was held to 55 points in a 6-point loss to Akron on March 2, but history is on our side here. The Golden Flashes are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games when looking for revenge for a defeat in which they were held to less than 60 points. They have won by an average of 5.3 points in this situation. |
03-09-12 |
Baylor +6.5 v. Kansas | | 81-72 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
6* Baylor +6.5 The Key: Baylor, the last team to defeat Kansas in the Big 12 tourney, has covered the number in 10 of its last 14 neutral court contests when catching points. |
03-09-12 |
New Jersey Nets v. Charlotte Bobcats +1.5 | | 83-74 |
Loss | -106 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
6* Bobcats +1.5 The Key: The Nets have been a fool's gold favorite at 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in the role. |
03-08-12 |
Wyoming +9.5 v. UNLV | | 48-56 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
6* Conference Tourney Bailout on Wyoming +9.5 The Key: The Runnin' Rebels are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 1-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus the Cowboys. |
03-08-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Phoenix Suns +3.5 | Top | 94-96 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Suns +3.5 The Key: The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. |
03-08-12 |
Air Force +14.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 64-79 |
Loss | -107 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
7* MWC Tournament Game of the Year on Air Force +14.5 The Key: The Falcons are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games, 10-1 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 13.0 points or more. Also, they are on a 31-13 ATS run in road/neutral court games when out for revenge for two consecutive losses to a foe. |
03-08-12 |
Cal Irvine +7.5 v. Cal St-Fullerton | | 65-59 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
6* Cal Irvine +7.5 The Key: The Anteaters are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points while the Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. |
03-08-12 |
Pacific +10 v. Cal Santa Barbara | | 52-72 |
Loss | -107 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
6* Pacific +10 The Key: The Pacific Tigers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. |
03-08-12 |
Boise State +7.5 v. San Diego St | | 62-65 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
6* Boise State +7.5 The Key: Neutral court teams (BOISE ST) coming off 2 straight losses by 10 points or more and matched up against an opponent that scored 80 points or more last game are 111-65 ATS since 1997. Teams fitting into this system have only lost by an average of 4.7 points. |
03-07-12 |
Houston v. UTEP -3.5 | | 62-67 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
6* Texas El Paso -3.5 The Key: UTEP's defense will be the difference tonight. Dickey's teams are just 2-11 ATS when playing away from home versus good defensive teams (allowing <=64 points/game) after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. His teams have lost these games by an average of 16.0 points. |
03-07-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks +7.5 | | 106-104 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
6* Bucks +7.5 The Key: Milwaukee is 8-1 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog this season. It has won by an average of 6.9 points in this situation. |
03-07-12 |
Texas A&M +2 v. Oklahoma | Top | 62-53 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
7* Big 12 Tournament Game of the Year on Texas A&M +2 The Key: Texas A&M is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last 5 meetings with Oklahoma. It just lost at Oklahoma by 3 points on March 3, and I fully expect it to avenge that loss here. |
03-07-12 |
Northern Illinois +10 v. Western Michigan | | 54-71 |
Loss | -108 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
6* Northern Illinois +10 The Key: The Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Broncos are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games as a favorite. |
03-07-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Philadelphia 76ers -6 | Top | 71-103 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on 76ers -6 The Key: The Celtics are on an 0-7 ATS slide on the road, and we'll continue to fade them on the road here. |
03-06-12 |
E. Washington +10 v. Montana | | 66-74 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
6* Eastern Washington +10 The Key: I'll gladly get behind the Eastern Washington Eagles at this price. They are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. |
03-06-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Detroit Pistons +6 | Top | 85-88 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
7* NBA Public Massacre Game of the Year on Pistons +6 The Key: The Lakers have either lost or won by 5 points or less in all 18 of their road games this season. This creates a powerful 18-0 trend in our favor. The Pistons have either won or lost by 6 points or less in 10 of their last 12 at home. We'll take the points. |
03-06-12 |
George Washington +9 v. Dayton | | 50-67 |
Loss | -105 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
6* George Washington +9 The Key: The underdog is on a 5-2 ATS run in this series. |
03-06-12 |
Duquesne v. Massachusetts -4.5 | | 83-92 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
6* UMass -4.5 The Key: The Minutemen are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as a home favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less. |
03-06-12 |
Western Kentucky +3 v. North Texas | | 74-70 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
6* Western Kentucky +3 The Key: WKU is showing excellent value considering it is 9-1 ATS when playing away from home when out to avenge a road loss of 10 points or more to a foe. It has won these games by an average of 3.2 points. |
03-06-12 |
South Carolina St +9.5 v. Bethune-Cookman | | 53-62 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
6* South Carolina State +9.5 The Key: The SC State Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog. |
03-05-12 |
Gonzaga -2.5 v. St Marys Ca | Top | 74-78 |
Loss | -109 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
7* WCC Championship *HEAVY HITTER* on Gonzaga -2.5 The Key: This is a game the Zags want badly as St. Mary's spoiled their 11-year run at the top of the conference this season. The Bulldogs are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite while the Gaels are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games as an underdog. |
03-05-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers +3 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | | 94-95 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
6* Clippers +3 The Key: The Timberwolves 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of fewer than 5 points. |
03-05-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 | | 109-100 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
6* Cavaliers +2.5 The Key: The Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of fewer than 5 points. |
03-04-12 |
Virginia Cavaliers v. Maryland Terrapins +4 | Top | 75-72 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Year on Maryland +4 The Key: Plays against road teams (VIRGINIA) - very good team outscoring opponents by 8+ points/game, after 2 straight close losses by 3 points or less, are 34-9 ATS since 1997. These teams have lost by an average of 6.1 points in this situation. The Terrapins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. Take Maryland as it wins this one outright. |
03-03-12 |
Wyoming v. UNLV -10 | | 63-74 |
Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
6* UNLV -10 The Key: The Wyoming Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. |
03-03-12 |
Idaho v. San Jose St +4 | | 70-64 |
Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
6* San Jose State +4 The Key: The SJSU Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. |
03-03-12 |
Detroit Pistons +8 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 83-100 |
Loss | -105 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +8 The Key: The Pistons are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. |
03-03-12 |
San Diego St v. Texas Christian +2 | | 98-92 |
Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
6* TCU +2 The Key: The TCU Horned Frogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the Mountain West and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less. The SDSU Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. |
03-03-12 |
Baylor v. Iowa State -1.5 | Top | 72-80 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
7* Big 12 Game of the Month on Iowa State -1.5 The Key: Good teams are almost always overvalued following lopsided wins and Baylor has been no exception. Fading the Bears off a cover as a double-digit favorite has produced a perfect 7-0 ATS record all-time with coach Drew at the helm. The Bears have lost these games by an average of 4.3 points. Also, Baylor has never won at Iowa State (0-9 all-time). |
03-03-12 |
Colorado St v. Air Force +3 | | 75-65 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
6* Air Force +3 The Key: The Colorado State Rams have dropped 6 straight on the highway with those losses coming by 14.0 points on average. |
03-03-12 |
Southern Miss v. Marshall -2 | | 75-79 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
6* Marshall -2 The Key: The So. Miss Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Marshall. |
03-02-12 |
Missouri State -2.5 v. Evansville | | 64-72 |
Loss | -105 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
6* MVC Tourney CA$H COW on Missouri State -2.5 The Key: Neutral court underdogs that have covered the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 and are playing just their 2nd game in 8 days are 48-89 (35%) ATS since 1997. They are just 6-18 (25%) ATS the last 3 seasons. |
03-02-12 |
Saint Peter's +5 v. Marist | | 57-64 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
6* MAAC Tourney CA$H COW on St. Peter's +5 The Key: Neutral court underdogs off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival and matched up against an opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 52-22 (70.3%) ATS since 1997. This system is 13-4 (76%) ATS the last 3 seasons. |
03-02-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Toronto Raptors +4.5 | Top | 102-99 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +4.5 The Key: Toronto, which is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games, should not be catching this many points against a Memphis team that is just 6-10 away from home. The Raptors are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. |
03-01-12 |
Miami Heat v. Portland Trail Blazers +4.5 | | 107-93 |
Loss | -105 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
6* Trail Blazers +4.5 The Key: Plays on home underdogs (PORTLAND) - in non-conference games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, are 45-17 ATS since 1996. This system is a perfect 9-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. |
03-01-12 |
Louisiana Tech v. Fresno St -6 | | 75-70 |
Loss | -106 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
6* Fresno State -6 The Key: Fresno State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games overall, 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following a loss and 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or fewer. |
03-01-12 |
Utah State v. San Jose St +4.5 | | 71-61 |
Loss | -100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
6* San Jose State +4.5 The Key: The Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or fewer. |
03-01-12 |
Fla Gulf Coast +6 v. USC Upstate | | 71-61 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
6* Florida Gulf Coast +6 The Key: USC Upstate is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games overall, 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record and 1-5 ATS in its last 6 neutral site games. |
03-01-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Orlando Magic +1 | Top | 105-102 |
Loss | -108 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +1 The Key: Orlando has dominated the Thunder at home. It has won 7 straight at home against the Seattle/Oklahoma City franchise. The last 3 wins came after Seattle moved to OKC and those victories came by an average of 15.3 points. The Magic won last season's home meeting by 23 points. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
02-29-12 |
Portland Trailblazers v. Denver Nuggets -3 | | 95-104 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
6* Nuggets -3 The Key: Denver has won 6 consecutive home games against Portland by margins of 8, 16, 12, 17, 18, and 19 points. |
02-29-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Utah Jazz -2.5 | Top | 83-104 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz -2.5 The Key: We'll fade Houston tonight as plays against road teams after 3 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, are 26-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, the Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus teams with a losing road record. |
02-29-12 |
Toledo v. Northern Illinois +4 | | 61-65 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
6* Northern Illinois +4 The Key: The Toledo Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or fewer and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games versus teams with a home winning percentage of less than 40%. |
02-29-12 |
Golden State Warriors +7 v. Atlanta Hawks | | 85-82 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
6* Warriors +7 The Key: The Warriors are an impressive 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. |
02-29-12 |
Eastern Michigan v. Western Michigan -9 | | 54-53 |
Loss | -108 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
6* Western Michigan -9 The Key: The Broncos are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. |
02-29-12 |
Ohio v. Kent State -2 | | 61-68 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
6* Kent State -2 The Key: The Golden Flashes are 39-16-2 ATS in their last 57 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or fewer. |
02-29-12 |
Marquette v. Cincinnati -1 | | 61-72 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
6* Cincinnati -1 The Key: The Bearcats, who are 14-4 at home this season, are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games versus teams sporting winning percentages better than 60%. |
02-28-12 |
Texas Christian v. Wyoming -8 | | 59-71 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
6* Wyoming -8 The Key: The Wyoming Cowboys are very strong at home (14-3) and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games when valued as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. |
02-28-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Sacramento Kings -3.5 | | 96-103 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
6* Kings -3.5 The Key: The Kings are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Jazz. |
02-28-12 |
Florida v. Vanderbilt -3.5 | | 67-77 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
6* Vandy -3.5 The Key: I think odds makers have tipped their hand by making unranked Vandy this big of a favorite against the 13th ranked Gators. Vandy has won 4 of its last 5 at home with those 4 wins coming by an average of 12.75 points. The lone loss in this stretch was a dog fight with No. 1 Kentucky. |
02-28-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Detroit Pistons +4 | | 97-68 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
6* Pistons +4 The Key: The Pistons are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games while the 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. |
02-28-12 |
Toronto Raptors +10 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 85-88 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +10 The Key: The Raptors aren't getting the respect they deserve from odds makers this evening and we'll look to take advantage. Houston has been a good home team this season but has won by double digits just once in its last 5 home games. The Raptors have been playing some ball. They are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 with losses to the Heat, Lakers and Spurs (3 legit title contenders) coming by an average of 5 points. Also, none of these 3 won by more than 7 points. The Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. |
02-27-12 |
Miss Valley State v. Jackson State +6 | Top | 78-69 |
Loss | -105 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPNU) on Jackson State +6 The Key: One of the toughest things to do in college basketball is win back-to-back road games, especially when there is just a day of rest in between them. This has proved to be a nearly impossible task for Mississippi Valley State, which is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 when playing its 2nd road game in 3 days. It is losing by an average of 5.9 points in this spot. Prior to losing at MVS by 6 points last month, Jackson State had won 4 straight in the series, and it hasn't lost by more than 6 points to the Delta Devils in the last 9 meetings. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Take Jackson State. |
02-26-12 |
Oregon v. Oregon State -3.5 | | 74-73 |
Loss | -103 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
6* Oregon State -3.5 The Key: Underdogs (OREGON) that have successfully covered the spread in 6 or more consecutive games that are playing with 5 or 6 days' rest are only 10-31 ATS since 1997. These dogs have fallen by an average of 8.1 points. |
02-26-12 |
Iowa v. Illinois -5.5 | | 54-65 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
6* Illinois -5.5 The Key: Look for Illinois to bring its 6-game skid to an end versus an Iowa squad that has lost its last 5 Big Ten road contests by nearly 16 points on average. |
02-26-12 |
California v. Colorado +3 | | 57-70 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
6* Colorado +3 The Key: The Buffaloes are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Cal. They are on a 3-0 run at home in the series with those wins coming by 17, 18 and 18 points. |
02-26-12 |
St Peter's +21 v. Iona | Top | 61-98 |
Loss | -113 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Underdog Game of the Week on St. Peter's +21 The Key: Iona is 0-7 ATS in in its last 7 home games when matched up against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=20%) after 15 or more games. It has only won by an average score of 69.7 to 61.3 in this situation. Iona is also 0-6 ATS in home games in February over the last 2 seasons and 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a home favorite. Also, the Gaels are 5-18 ATS in their last 23 as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points while St. Peter's is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 as a road underdog of 18.5 to 24 points. |
02-25-12 |
Oral Roberts v. Southern Utah +7.5 | | 73-71 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
6* Southern Utah +7.5 The Key: As a 4.5-point dog in last season's home meeting, Southern Utah only lost to ORU by 2 points. As an 18-point dog at ORU in this season's first meeting, the Thunderbirds only lost by 6 points. Southern Utah clearly gets up for the Golden Eagles and I'm expecting this one to end up closer than the odds makers think as well. The Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 in Summit League play. |
02-25-12 |
Rice v. Southern Mississippi -9.5 | Top | 56-58 |
Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
7* C-USA Game of the Year on Southern Miss -9.5 The Key: Off back-to-back upset losses at Houston and UTEP, Southern Miss will show Rice no mercy this evening. The Golden Eagles have won by 18 and 16 points in their last 2 home games in this series. Plus, plays on home teams as a favorite or pickem (SOUTHERN MISS) off 2 or more consecutive upset losses on the road, in February games, are 36-12 ATS since 1997. Teams in this situation have won by an average of 12.6 points. It is also worth mentioning that this system is 7-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. |
02-25-12 |
Hawaii +4.5 v. Louisiana Tech | | 67-84 |
Loss | -105 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
6* Hawaii +4.5 The Key: The Warriors have been an exceptional underdog of late, covering the number in 8 of their last 11 in the role. Also, the Warriors are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings at Louisiana Tech. The road team is 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings and the underdog is 18-3 ATS in the last 21 meetings. |
02-25-12 |
Miami Ohio v. Buffalo -7.5 | | 74-84 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
6* Buffalo -7.5 The Key: I'll grab the home side here as it holds a 5-0-2 ATS advantage in the last 7 in this series. The Bulls have won 3 straight at home over Miami Ohio with the last 2 coming by 18 and 10 points respectively. |
02-25-12 |
Wisc-Green Bay v. Illinois-Chicago +3 | | 71-63 |
Loss | -105 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
6* Illinois-Chicago +3 The Key: Illinois-Chicago has won outright at home as an underdog against Wisconsin-Green Bay each of the last 2 seasons and I expect this trend to continue. The home side as covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 in this series. |
02-24-12 |
Idaho v. Utah State -5.5 | Top | 50-67 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Utah State -5.5 The Key: This is a last home game play on Utah State, which will be out for blood against an Idaho squad that won the first meeting by 3 points last month. The Aggies have won 8 in a row at home against the Vandals and these wins have come by an average of 16.6 points. It is also worth mentioning that all of these wins came by at least 9 points. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Lay the number. |
02-23-12 |
New York Knicks +9 v. Miami Heat | Top | 88-102 |
Loss | -104 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* (TNT) on Knicks +9 The Key: The Knicks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Heat. NY is an incredible 30-11 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons, only losing these games by an average of 1.0 point. |
02-23-12 |
Alabama v. Arkansas -2 | Top | 79-68 |
Loss | -108 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN2) on Arkansas -2 The Key: Arkansas, who is 17-2 at home this season, is 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less. The Crimson Tide are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or fewer. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. |