08-16-16 |
Red Sox -110 v. Orioles | Top | 5-3 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
7* AL East Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -110
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are in an intense battle with the Orioles and Blue Jays atop the AL East. Sitting in 3rd place today, the Red Sox have a serious chance to gain some ground with an important series against the Orioles here. I look for them to take Game 1 tonight due to their edge on the mound. Eduardo Rodriquez has been pitching awesome of late with a 2.55 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Yovani Gallardo is 4-4 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.596 WHIP in 15 starts this year, including 1-2 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.470 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Gallardo is 2-2 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Boston as well. The Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during Game 1 of a series. Take Boston. |
08-15-16 |
Mets +104 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-10 |
Loss | -100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Mets +104
The Key: The New York Mets have gotten back on track with two straight victories following a big slump. Now they should not be dogs to the Arizona Diamondbacks, who were just swept in three games by the Boston Red Sox while giving up a combined 31 runs in the process. They definitely shouldn't be dogs with the advantage they have on the mound in this one, too. Bartolo Colon is 10-6 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.203 WHIP in 23 starts, including 6-3 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 11 road starts. Robbie Ray is 5-11 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.445 WHIP in 23 starts, including 3-5 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.540 WHIP in 11 home starts. Colon sports a 3.20 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Arizona. Ray is 1-10 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons. The Mets are 23-6 in their last 29 Monday games. The Mets are 9-0 in Colon's last 9 Monday starts. Take New York. |
08-14-16 |
Tigers +105 v. Rangers | Top | 7-0 |
Win | 105 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
7* MLB Dog of the Month on Detroit Tigers +105
The Key: The Detroit Tigers should not be underdogs to the Texas Rangers with the edge they have on the mound this afternoon. Rookie Michael Fulmer has been brilliant, going 9-3 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.063 WHIP in 18 starts this year. He'll be opposed by A.J. Griffin, who is 5-1 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.282 WHIP in 15 starts, including 2-0 with a 5.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. Griffin has never fared well against the Tigers, going 1-1 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.788 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. The Tigers are 15-3 in Fulmer's 18 starts this season, including a perfect 7-0 in his day starts. Take Detroit. |
08-13-16 |
Chargers v. Titans -2.5 | | 10-27 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
6* Chargers/Titans AFC *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -2.5 |
08-13-16 |
Royals +131 v. Twins | Top | 3-5 |
Loss | -100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
7* AL Central Game of the Week on Kansas City Royals +131
The Key: The Kansas City Royals should not be big underdogs to the Minnesota Twins today. That's especially the case with Tyler Duffey starting for the Twins. Duffey is 7-8 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in 19 starts this year, 3-4 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.586 WHIP in 10 home starts, and 2-1 with a 7.43 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Duffey gave up 5 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings in his lone start against Kansas City this season back on May 25. Dillon Gee is 17-9 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents lifetime. The Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games overall. Minnesota is 1-5 in Duffey's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Royals are 47-21 in the last 68 meetings and 22-8 in their last 30 meetings in Minnesota. Take Kansas City. |
08-12-16 |
Mariners +124 v. A's | Top | 3-6 |
Loss | -100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
7* AL Dog of the Week on Seattle Mariners +124
The Key: Thanks to winning 6 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall, the Seattle Mariners now have a realistic shot at chasing down a Wild Card spot in the American League. Look for them to keep rolling tonight as they should not be underdogs to the Oakland A's. The young, talented Ariel Miranda will be making his 2nd start of the season, so he's undervalued right now. His first was impressive as he held the Red Sox to just 2 runs in 6 innings of work. He'll be opposed by Sean Manaea, who is 3-7 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.350 WHIP in 16 starts this year. The A's actually had a game yesterday while the Mariners had a rest day, which also works in their favor. The A's are 1-7 in Manaea's last 8 starts following a loss in their previous game. Oakland is 4-12 in its last 16 vs. a left-handed starter. The Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 trips to Oakland. Take Seattle. |
08-12-16 |
Lions v. Steelers -3 | | 30-17 |
Loss | -105 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
6* Lions/Steelers NFLX *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh -3 |
08-11-16 |
Jaguars +2.5 v. Jets | | 13-17 |
Loss | -100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
6* Jaguars/Jets AFC *Annihilator* on Jacksonville +2.5 |
08-11-16 |
Bucs +4 v. Eagles | | 9-17 |
Loss | -105 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
6* Bucs/Eagles NFC *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay +4 |
08-11-16 |
Orioles -138 v. A's | Top | 9-6 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore Orioles -138
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles have lost 3 straight games by exactly 1 run to the Oakland A's to begin this series. They will be hungry to avoid the sweep and take Game 4 today. That shouldn't be a problem with ace Chris Tillman on the mound. The right-hander is 14-4 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.236 WHIP in 24 starts, including 6-3 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 11 road starts. He'll be opposed by youngster Alex Triggs, who only went 3 innings in his first start this year. Tillman has never lost to the A's, going 3-0 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. Take Baltimore. |
08-09-16 |
Tigers v. Mariners -108 | Top | 5-6 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
7* Tigers/Mariners American League *BAILOUT* on Seattle -108
The Key: The Seattle Mariners have made a nice push to get back into the postseason discussion. They have gone 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Wade LeBlanc continues to be one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He has gone 1-0 with a 2.88 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 4 home starts this season for the Mariners. Daniel Norris continues to struggle as a starter, posting a 5.25 ERA and 1.583 WHIP in 3 starts this year for the Tigers. Norris sports a 5.40 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against Seattle. The Mariners are 4-0 in LeBlanc's last 4 home starts. Take Seattle. |
08-08-16 |
Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 4-5 |
Loss | -100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+109)
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are coming off back-to-back poor home losses to the Atlanta Braves. That will have them hungry for a victory as they enter this series with the Cincinnati Reds Monday night. I expect them to win by multiple runs in Game 1 tonight. Michael Wacha is 7-7 with a 4.35 ERA in 22 starts this year, including 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. Wacha loves facing the Reds, going 6-1 with a 2.09 ERA in 11 lifetime starts against them. Cody Reed is still searching for his 1st win this year. He is 0-6 with a 7.30 ERA in 8 starts. That includes an 0-1 record with a 9.00 ERA in his lone start against St. Louis on August 3 in his last outing. Take St. Louis on the Run Line. |
08-07-16 |
Giants -129 v. Nationals | Top | 0-1 |
Loss | -129 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco Giants -129
The Key: I'll gladly back ace Madison Bumgarner at this price Sunday. He's 10-6 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.028 WHIP over 23 starts with 174 K's in 155 2/3 innings. Bumgarner has owned the Nationals, sporting a 2.86 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against them. He pitched a 9-inning shutout in a 5-0 victory in his last start against them. Take San Francisco. |
08-06-16 |
Rangers v. Astros -135 | Top | 3-2 |
Loss | -135 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -135
The Key: The Astros need to make up some ground on the Rangers if they want to win the division. They got off to a good start with a 5-0 win yesterday, and they are certainly thinking sweep in this series. I expect them to take Game 2 tonight behind Doug Fister, who is 10-7 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in 21 starts this season. Fister has allowed a combined 5 earned runs over 18 innings in his last 3 starts against Texas. The Rangers are 3-14 in their last 17 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Astros are 24-11 in their last 35 home games. Houston is 24-8 in its last 32 vs. AL West opponents. The Astros are 10-2 in Fister's last 12 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Houston is 13-4 in Fister's last 17 starts and 8-1 in his last nine starts vs. AL West opponents. Take Houston. |
08-05-16 |
Braves v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 0-1 |
Loss | -106 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-106)
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals need to get going if they want to make the playoffs. They have lost 4 of their last 5 coming in. A home series against the NL-worst Atlanta Braves should be just what the doctor ordered to get the Cardinals back on track. Jaime Garcia has been at his best at home this season, going 4-5 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.212 WHIP in 11 starts. He'll be opposed by Joel De La Cruz, who is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.347 WHIP in 3 starts, and 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 1 road start. The Cardinals are 11-1 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season. They are coming back to win by 3.5 runs per game in these spots. Take St. Louis on the Run Line. |
08-04-16 |
Red Sox -136 v. Mariners | Top | 3-2 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -136
The Key: The Boston Red Sox come into this game hungry for a win after losing their past 2 games to the Mariners. They should get it behind Drew Pomeranz, who is 8-9 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in 20 starts this year, and 4-5 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 10 road starts. Pomeranz has never lost to the Mariners, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.333 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against them. He has pitched 12 shutout innings while giving up only 4 base runners in those 2 starts. Look for him to shut down the Mariners again tonight and to outduel Seattle youngster Ariel Miranda. Take Boston. |
08-03-16 |
Red Sox -115 v. Mariners | Top | 1-3 |
Loss | -115 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -115
The Key: After blowing a 4-0 lead in the 8th inning to lose 5-4 to the Mariners last night, the Red Sox will certainly come back hungry tonight. They should take down the Mariners with ease due to their massive advantage on the mound. Rick Porcello is having a career year, going 14-2 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in 21 starts, including 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.818 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Porcello is 6-3 with a 3.73 ERA and 1.197 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. Hisashi Iwakuma is washed up, going 11-7 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.320 WHIP in 21 starts this year. Iwakuma has never fared well against the Red Sox, going 1-1 with an 8.18 ERA and 1.955 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. The Red Sox are 7-0 in Porcello's last 7 starts on grass. The Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a win. Take Boston. |
08-02-16 |
Twins v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 10-6 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Cleveland Indians are hungry following their 5-12 loss to the Minnesota Twins yesterday. But now they have a huge advantage on the mound today behind Carlos Carrasco, who is 7-4 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.025 WHIP in 15 starts this year. He'll be opposed by Kyle Gibson, who is 3-6 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.396 WHIP in 13 starts, including 2-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.429 WHIP in 5 road starts. Gibson is 2-3 with a 5.80 ERA and 1.587 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland as well. The Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Twins are 10-26 in Gibson's last 36 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take Cleveland on the Run Line. |
08-01-16 |
Nationals -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 14-1 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-116)
The Key: The Washington Nationals should have no problem winning this game against the Arizona Diamondbacks by multiple runs. They are hungry following back-to-back losses to the Giants over the weekend. Now they'll give the ball to one of their aces in Stephen Strasburg, who is 14-1 with a 2.68 ERA and 0.987 WHIP in 19 starts, including 7-0 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.994 WHIP in 8 road starts. Archie Bradley goes for the Diamondbacks. he's 4-6 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 14 starts, including 1-3 with a 5.15 ERA in 6 home starts. Arizona is 0-6 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive road games this season. It is losing by 4.4 runs/game in this spot. Strasburg is 17-2 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. The Nationals are winning by 3.3 runs/game in his 19 starts. Take Washington on the Run Line. |
07-31-16 |
Pirates -137 v. Brewers | Top | 2-4 |
Loss | -137 | 2 h 11 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates -137
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates get the nod Sunday as they look to avoid the sweep at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers. I like their chances with their edge on the mound in this one. Francisco Liriano is 7-6 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.336 WHIP in 16 lifetime starts vs. Milwaukee. He faced them once this season on July 21, striking out 13 and allowing only 2 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of a 5-3 victory. Matt Garza is terrible, going 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.677 WHIP in 8 starts this year. Garza is 2-4 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.573 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh. Liriano is 11-1 (+10.4 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. The Pirates are 8-1 in Liriano's last 9 Sunday starts. The Brewers are 0-11 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series. The Brewers are 1-9 in Garza's last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take Pittsburgh. |
07-30-16 |
Cardinals -110 v. Marlins | Top | 0-11 |
Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -110
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are playing very well right now. They have gone 9-3 in their last 12 games and look to win a fourth straight tonight against the Miami Marlins. They should do just that due to their advantage on the mound. Jaime Garcia is 7-7 with a 3.97 ERA in 20 starts this season. He has never lost to the Marlins, going 2-0 with a 1.99 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against them. Colin Rea is 5-5 with a 4.85 ERA in 18 starts this year, and 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA in his last 3 starts. Rea has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against them. Take St. Louis. |
07-29-16 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Angels | Top | 6-2 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-105)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are hungry for a victory after losing four straight and blowing a save in the 9th inning last night. They should have plenty of room to spare in the 9th tonight as they win this one by multiple runs. Rick Porcello is 13-2 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 20 starts, including 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Tim Lincecum is 2-4 with an 8.70 ERA and 2.267 WHIP in 7 starts this year. Lincecum is 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA and 2.625 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Boston. Porcello sports a 1.50 ERA in his last 2 starts at Los Angeles, yielding just 2 earned runs in 12 innings. Porcello is 9-0 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. He's winning these starts by 4.3 runs per game. Take Boston on the Run Line. |
07-28-16 |
Phillies -120 v. Braves | Top | 7-5 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
7* NL East Game of the Week on Philadelphia Phillies -120
The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies should be bigger favorites tonight against the Atlanta Braves. They have the advantage on the mound behind Aaron Nola, who is 5-9 with a 4.92 ERA and 1.274 WHIP in 19 starts this year with 116 K's in 106 innings. Nola owns the Braves, going 2-1 with a 1.73 ERA and 1.115 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Matt Wisler is 4-10 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.327 WHIP in 19 starts this year, including 1-2 with a 9.98 ERA and 1.696 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Wisler is 1-2 with a 5.12 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Philadelphia as well. Atlanta is 8-27 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. The Braves are 4-24 (-21.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 this season. Atlanta is 2-9 in Wisler's last 11 home starts. Take Philadelphia. |
07-27-16 |
Angels v. Royals -109 | Top | 5-7 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Kansas City Royals -109
The Key: The Kansas City Royals have a huge advantage on the mound tonight over the Los Angeles Angels. Danny Duffy is 6-1 with a 3.17 ERA in 13 starts this season, and he has struck out 34 batters while walking only 4 in his last 36 innings pitched. Matt Shoemaker is 5-10 with a 3.99 ERA on the season, and 3-6 with a 4.74 ERA on the road this year. The Angels are 1-5 in Shoemaker's last 6 road starts. But what really stands out is that Shoemaker is 0-2 with an 8.64 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against Kansas City. The Angels are 0-4 in those 4 games. The Royals are 26-9 in Duffy's last 35 home starts and 9-0 in his last 9 starts as a favorite. Take Kansas City. |
07-26-16 |
Tigers v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 9-8 |
Loss | -114 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-114)
The Key: You won't find many bigger mound mismatches than the one the Red Sox have over the Tigers here Tuesday night, which is why I expect them to win by 2 runs or more with ease. Knuckleballer Steven Wright is 12-5 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 7-1 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 home starts. He'll be opposed by Mike Pelfrey, who is 3-9 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.812 WHIP in 19 starts this season for Detroit. The Tigers are 0-14 (-14.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 over the last 2 seasons. They are losing by 3.9 runs per game on average in this spot. Take Boston on the Run Line. |
07-25-16 |
Padres v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 2-4 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-125)
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have a massive advantage on the mound tonight over the San Diego Padres. As a result, I expect them to win by 2 or more runs today with ease. Aaron Sanchez is 10-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.850 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He'll be opposed by Colin Rea, who is 5-4 with a 4.87 ERA and 1.440 WHIP in 17 starts, including 2-2 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.730 WHIP in 7 road starts. San Diego is 1-11 (-10.8 Units) against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 2.3 runs per game in this spot. Take Toronto on the Run Line. |
07-24-16 |
Tigers v. White Sox -140 | | 4-5 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
7* AL Central *HEAVY HITTER on Chicago White Sox -140 The Key: No Analysis Sunday. |
07-23-16 |
Twins v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 11-9 |
Loss | -125 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-125)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound today and at the plate, and they should win by multiple runs as a result. David Price is 9-7 with a 4.36 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 20 starts, 6-3 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.088 WHIP in 11 home starts, and 1-2 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Price is 9-3 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts vs. Minnesota as well. Ricky Nolasco is 4-8 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.352 WHIP in 19 starts this year. Nolasco sports a 4.50 ERA in 6 lifetime starts vs. Boston. Minnesota is 3-16 (-12.3 Units) against the money line after 4 or more consecutive road games this season. It is losing by 2.2 runs per game in this spot. Take Boston on the Run Line. |
07-22-16 |
Angels v. Astros -144 | Top | 1-2 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -144
The Key: Los Angeles' Matt Shoemaker is coming off his first complete game shutout of the season in his last start. Now, Shoemaker will likely be fatigued and is primed for a letdown tonight against the Houston Astros. Lance McCullers has been dominant at home over the past two seasons with the Astros. The right-hander is 7-3 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in 17 starts while striking out 119 batters in 104 1/3 innings. McCullers is also 1-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in five lifetime starts against Los Angeles. Shoemaker is 2-11 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Angels are 16-35 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Angels are 4-17 in Shoemaker's last 21 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Astros are 51-23 in their last 74 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Astros are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings. Take Houston. |
07-21-16 |
Tigers v. White Sox -117 | Top | 2-1 |
Loss | -117 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
7* AL Central Game of the Month on Chicago White Sox -117
The Key: The White Sox have the clear edge on the mound today of the Detroit Tigers. James Shields has really turned it on of late, going 1-2 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.877 WHIP in his last 3 starts while giving up just 5 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings. Mike Pelfrey has been awful all season for the Tigers, going 2-9 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.819 WHIP in 18 starts, and 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.857 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Pelfrey is 1-5 wiht a 5.81 ERA and 1.747 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts vs. Chicago. The Tigers are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take Chicago. |
07-20-16 |
Dodgers v. Nationals -110 | Top | 1-8 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -110
The Key: The Washington Nationals are hungry for a win after dropping two straight, including Game 1 of this series to the Dodgers. I like their chances with Gio Gonzalez on the mound tonight. He has great stuff and has struck out 104 batters in 103 1/3 innings this season. Gonzalez also owns the Dodgers, going 2-1 with a 1.73 ERA and 1.038 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Bud Norris is 5-7 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.33 WHIP on the season for Los Angeles. The Dodgers are 6-15 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Nationals are 15-4 in Gonzalez's last 19 Wednesday starts. Take Washington. |
07-19-16 |
Rays v. Rockies -135 | Top | 10-1 |
Loss | -135 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
7* Interleague Game of the Week on Colorado Rockies -135
The Key: The Colorado Rockies should make easy work of the Tampa Bay Rays once again Tuesday. The Rays simply cannot put the wheels back on. They have gone 4-25 in their last 29 games overall. The Rockies have the clear advantage on the mound in this one, too. Tyler Chatwood is 8-5 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in 16 starts while allowing only 6 homers in 95 2/3 innings this season. Blake Snell is 1-4 with a 3.70 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in 6 starts for the Rays. The Rays are 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Tampa Bay is 1-5 in Snell's 6 starts this season. The Rockies are 9-4 in the last 13 home meetings. Take Colorado. |
07-18-16 |
Orioles -113 v. Yankees | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -113 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
7* Orioles/Yankees AL East *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore -113
The Key: Kevin Gausman has gotten some poor run support this season, which is why he has a 1-6 record on the year. But that should change here Monday against the Yankees and starter Ivan Nova, who is 5-4 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.379 WHIP in 12 starts. Gausman sports a 4.15 ERA in 15 starts this year and a 3.37 ERA over his last 3 starts. But what really stands out are the head-to-head numbers. Gausman is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. New York, while Nova is 7-4 with a 5.34 ERA in 15 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore. Guasman has allowed just 2 earned runs over 19 innings in his last 3 starts against New York. Nova has given up 10 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against Baltimore. The Orioles are 34-11 (+19.3 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Take Baltimore. |
07-17-16 |
Marlins v. Cardinals -139 | Top | 6-3 |
Loss | -139 | 2 h 5 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -139
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals should be bigger favorites over the Miami Marlins today. We'll take advantage of this generous price and back the Cards at home as they win this series with a victory in Game 3. Michael Wacha has been on his game of late, giving up 3 earned runs or fewer in each of his last 6 starts while going 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA over that span. Miami is 4-20 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 24-10 in Wacha's last 34 home starts. The Marlins are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings. Take St. Louis. |
07-16-16 |
Brewers -101 v. Reds | Top | 9-1 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
7* NL Central Game of the Week on Milwaukee Brewers -101
The Key: We're getting a great price here with the better team and the better starting pitcher at nearly even money today. The Milwaukee Brewers clearly have the edge on the mound in this one behind Jimmy Nelson, who is 5-7 with a 3.53 ERA in 18 starts this year, including 0-1 with a 2.12 ERA in his last 3 starts. Cincinnati's John Lamb is 1-6 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in 13 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.631 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Lamb has never beaten the Brewers, going 0-2 (0-4 money line) with a 6.98 ERA and 1.499 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Take Milwaukee. |
07-15-16 |
Blue Jays -133 v. A's | Top | 7-8 |
Loss | -133 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Blue Jays -133
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays are one of the hottest teams in baseball coming out of the All-Star Break. They have won 8 of their last 9 games overall and now open a series with one of the worst teams in the AL in the Oakland A's. Marcus Stroman is coming off a couple of his best starts of the season. He has given up only 3 earned runs over 14 2/3 innings in his last two starts. Daniel Mengden is 1-4 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.374 WHIP in 6 starts this year for the A's. Stroman pitched 7 shutout innings in his only lifetime start against Oakland. The Blue Jays are 26-10 in their last 36 games vs. a right-handed starter. The A's are 3-8 in their last 11 games overall. Oakland is 17-36 in its last 53 vs. AL East foes. The Blue Jays are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Take Toronto. |
07-10-16 |
Cardinals +115 v. Brewers | Top | 5-1 |
Win | 115 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals +115
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals should not be underdogs to the Milwaukee Brewers today. Junior Guerra is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers as the starting pitcher for the Brewers. The Cardinals are 8-1 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. St. Louis is 11-4 in its last 15 road games. The Brewers are 19-40 in their last 59 vs. a team with a winning record. Milwaukee is 0-6 in its last 6 during game 3 of a series. Take St. Louis. |
07-09-16 |
Yankees v. Indians -160 | Top | 7-6 |
Loss | -160 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -160
The Key: The Cleveland Indians have been on a tear to close out the All-Star Break. They should pick up another win with ease today thanks to their advantage on the mound over the New York Yankees. Danny Salazar has been their ace, going 10-3 with a 2.36 ERA and 1.141 WHIP with 113 K's in 99 innings. He's 5-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 0.993 WHIP in 7 home starts as well. C.C. Sabathia has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with an 8.31 ERA and 1.616 WHIP in his last 3 starts while allowing 16 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings. The Indians are 45-22 in their last 67 home games. Cleveland is 7-0 in Salazar's last 7 starts overall. The Indians are 20-7 in Salazar's last 27 home starts. Take Cleveland. |
07-08-16 |
Cubs -158 v. Pirates | Top | 4-8 |
Loss | -158 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -158
The Key: The Chicago Cubs have lost 7 of their last 8 games overall heading into this series with the Pirates. It's safe to say they'll be hungry for a win in Game 1 here tonight. The good news is that ace Jake Arrieta will be taking the ball, giving the Cubs a massive edge on the mound. Arrieta is 12-3 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.062 WHIP in 17 starts this season. The right-hander is 10-1 with a 1.31 ERA and 0.753 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh. Francisco Liriano has been off all season, going 5-8 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in 16 starts, including 1-1 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.745 WHIP in his last 3. Arrieta is 20-2 (+16.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Cubs are 23-3 in Arrieta's last 26 road starts. The Pirates are 0-6 in Liriano's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Cubs are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings, including 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh. Take Chicago. |
07-07-16 |
Tigers v. Blue Jays -113 | Top | 4-5 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
7* Tigers/Blue Jays AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto -113
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays are on a tear right now. They have won 5 straight while outscoring opponents a combined 44-14 in the process. Look for their bats to stay red hot against Justin Verlander and the Tigers. Verlander is 1-1 with a 5.30 ERA in his last 3 starts. He is 3-4 with a 4.90 ERA in 10 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. Verlander has given up 12 earned runs and 4 homers over 12 innings in his last 2 starts against the Blue Jays. Drew Hutchison is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Detroit. Toronto is 14-1 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Jays are 45-21 in their last 66 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Blue Jays are 19-7 in Hutchison's last 26 home starts. Take Toronto. |
07-06-16 |
Mariners v. Astros -134 | Top | 8-9 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -134
The Key: The Houston Astros are one of the hottest teams in baseball. They have gone 28-11 in their last 39 games overall to give themselves a realistic chance of chasing down the Texas Rangers for first place in the AL West heading into the All-Star Break. I expect them to continue to roll behind Mike Fiers, who is 2-0 with a 1.12 ERA in his last 3 starts. Fiers has fared well at home this season, going 5-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 9 starts. Wade LeBlanc is getting too much respect from oddsmakers for what he has done in limited action this season. He past posted a 1.50 ERA in 2 starts. The Mariners are 3-14 in their last 17 road games. Seattle is 0-7 in its last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Astros are 7-1 in Fiers' last 8 home starts. Houston is 10-1 in its last 11 home games. Take Houston. |
07-05-16 |
Pirates v. Cardinals -153 | Top | 5-2 |
Loss | -153 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -153
The Key: Stephen Brault will make his MLB debut tonight against the St. Louis Cardinals. He's certainly going to be overmatched here by Mike Leake. Brault's fastball tops out at 91 MPH and he's only making this start due to all of the injuries to Pittsburgh's rotation. Leake is having a fine season at 5-6 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.204 WHIP in 16 starts. Leake has owned the Pirates, going 9-4 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.224 WHIP in 16 lifetime starts against them. St. Louis is 40-14 (+16.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 20-6 (+12.9 Units) against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 NL Central games. Take St. Louis. |
07-04-16 |
Yankees v. White Sox +115 | Top | 2-8 |
Win | 115 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
7* Yankees/White Sox AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +115
The Key: James Shields had a disastrous stretch there when he got traded from the Padres to the White Sox. But he has gotten it together over his last two starts, giving up just 4 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings against Boston and Minnesota. C.C. Sabathia has gone the other direction. After a tremendous start to the year, he has come back down to reality of late. Sabathia has given up 11 earned runs over 11 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts and should not be favored here. Shields sports a 4.15 ERA and 1.291 WHIP in 31 lifetime starts vs. New York. He has given up just 9 earned runs over 36 innings in his last 5 starts against New York for a 2.25 ERA. The Yankees are 2-10 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Take Chicago. |
07-03-16 |
Cubs -114 v. Mets | Top | 3-14 |
Loss | -114 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Cubs -114
The Key: I've been on the Cubs the past two days with no success. But I'm certainly not going to miss out on them picking up their only win of this series, so I'll back the Cubs against Sunday. They are 0-3 in this series against the Mets but certainly do not want to get swept. I look for Jon Lester to lead them to victory in Game 4 this afternoon. Lester is 9-3 with a 2.03 ERA in 16 starters this year, and 5-1 with a 1.73 ERA in 8 road starts. Lester is 14-1 when starting against a team that hits .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons as well. Take Chicago. |
07-02-16 |
Cubs -161 v. Mets | Top | 3-4 |
Loss | -161 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -161
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are fuming mad right now. They lost to the Mets in the NLCS last year, and now they have dropped the first two games of this series. That's OK because ace Jake Arrieta is here to save the day Saturday and get the Cubs in the win column against them. Arrieta is 12-2 with a 2.10 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in 16 starts this year, including a perfect 8-0 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.889 WHIP in 8 road starts. Arrieta is also 2-2 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. New York. Bartolo Colon has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-2 with a 3.89 ERA and 1.373 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. Arrieta is 21-2 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. Arrieta is 22-1 (+20.6 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Take Chicago. |
07-01-16 |
Cubs -110 v. Mets | Top | 2-10 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
7* Cubs/Mets National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -110
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are in revenge mode today. They lost to the New York Mets in the NLCS last year, and they blew a 3-0 lead to lose 4-3 in Game 1 of this series Thursday. Look for them to bounce back behind Jason Hammel, who is 7-4 with a 2.58 ERA in 15 starts this year, including 4-3 with a 2.45 ERA in 9 road starts. Jacob DeGrom is having a great season as well, but he's 1-2 with a 5.24 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Chicago. The Cubs are 41-16 in their last 57 during game 2 of a series. Chicago is 13-4 in Hammel's last 17 starts during game 2 of a series. The Mets are 1-4 in DeGrom's last 5 starts. Take Chicago. |
06-30-16 |
Indians v. Blue Jays +111 | Top | 4-1 |
Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Blue Jays +111
The Key: The Cleveland Indians' 12-game winning streak comes to an end tonight in Toronto. It's to the point where they are overvalued now being road favorites against a team the caliber of the Blue Jays. Plus, Cleveland starter Carlos Carrasco has never pitched well against Toronto. He is 1-1 with a 7.98 ERA and 1.840 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Meanwhile, R.A. Dickey is 4-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. Toronto is 11-1 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take Toronto. |
06-29-16 |
Blue Jays -127 v. Rockies | Top | 5-3 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
7* Interleague *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -127
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays clearly have the edge on the mound tonight over the Colorado Rockies and should roll to victory as a result, just as they did yesterday in their 14-9 victory. Aaron Sanchez has been brilliant all season, going 7-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.264 WHIP in 15 starts. Sanchez has actually been at his best on the road, going 5-0 with a 2.48 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in 9 starts away from home. Tyler Anderson has pitched well in his 3 starts this season for the Rockies, but two of them have come against the Marlins and Padres, who are light-hitting teams. He'll now be up against the best lineup he's faced this season in the Blue Jays. Colorado is 1-11 (-10.6 Units) against the money line after allowing 12 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Take Toronto. |
06-28-16 |
Cubs -1.5 v. Reds | Top | 7-2 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-140)
The Key: We'll back the Chicago Cubs to win by 2 runs or more for a 2nd consecutive day here as they take on the lowly Cincinnati Reds with a big advantage on the mound once again. Jon Lester is 9-3 with a 2.10 ERA in 15 starts, and 5-1 with a 1.83 ERA in 7 road starts. Lester has never lost to the Reds, going 2-0 (6-0 money line) with a 3.38 ERA and 0.925 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. John Lamb is 1-4 with a 4.79 ERA in 10 starts for the Reds this year. Lamb is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA in his lone lifetime start vs. Chicago. Cincinnati is 1-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot. Take Chicago on the Run Line. |
06-27-16 |
Cubs -1.5 v. Reds | Top | 11-8 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-145)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are in the midst of their worst stretch of the season. They have gone 1-6 in their last 7 games overall. But now they'll turn to ace Jake Arrieta tonight, and I'll back them on the run line to win this game by 2 runs or more as a result. Arrieta is 11-2 with a 1.74 ERA and 0.980 WHIP in 15 starts this year. The right-hander is also 4-2 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.816 WHIP in six career starts against Cincinnati. Dan Straily is 4-4 with a 3.89 ERA in 13 starts for the Reds, including 1-2 with a 5.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. Cincinnati is 1-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by an average of 3.1 runs per game in this spot. Take Chicago on the Run Line. |
06-26-16 |
Red Sox +100 v. Rangers | Top | 2-6 |
Loss | -100 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox +100
The Key: I like the value we are getting with the Boston Red Sox as underdogs to the Texas Rangers today. I don't think Martin Perez should be favored here. He has struggled recently with a 4.91 ERA and 1.528 WHIP in his last three starts. Perez is 1-1 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.938 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Boston, too. The Red Sox are 9-3 in Buchholz's last 12 Sunday starts. Take Boston. |
06-25-16 |
Nationals -140 v. Brewers | Top | 5-6 |
Loss | -140 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -140
The Key: The Washington Nationals have lost 6 straight for the 1st time this season. Now they'll be motivated for a win Saturday to stop the bleeding. I like their chances against Matt Garza, who is 0-4 with a 7.41 ERA and 1.858 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts vs. New York. Take Washington. |
06-24-16 |
Indians -107 v. Tigers | Top | 7-4 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland -107
The Key: Cleveland continues to be one of the hottest teams in baseball and they bring their ace to the mound tonight in Danny Salazar. On the season, Salazar sits at 8-3 with a 2.23 ERA in 13 starts. He'll be backed by an Indians squad that has owned the Detroit Tigers of late, notching a 6-0 record against them, including taking the last three meetings in Detroit. The Tigers are fresh off of a sweep over Seattle, but they will find this hungry Cleveland team a much tougher opponent to handle, especially with one of the great young pitchers in the game on the mound. Take Cleveland. |
06-23-16 |
Mets -143 v. Braves | Top | 3-4 |
Loss | -143 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
7* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on New York Mets -143
The Key: The New York Mets were just swept in three games by the Atlanta Braves over the weekend. That will have them hungry for a victory and revenge in Game 1 of this new series Thursday. Matt Harvey has really turned it around of late, posting a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts. Harvey sports a 3.71 ERA in six lifetime starts vs. Atlanta. Matt Wisley has gone 1-5 with a 4.50 ERA in 8 home starts this year, and he's 1-2 with a 9.20 ERA in his last 3 starts coming in. Atlanta is 2-14 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season. The Braves are 3-19 (-17.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 this season. Take New York. |
06-22-16 |
Rays v. Indians -117 | Top | 1-6 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -117
The Key: The Cleveland Indians are proving to be the best team in the AL Central behind the best rotation in the division. They have won 5 in a row to get to 40-30 on the season. The Tampa Bay Rays are reeling, having lost 6 straight coming in while scoring a combined 14 runs in the process. Trevor Bauer will keep the Rays' bats cold tonight. Bauer is 3-2 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.187 WHIP in 10 starts, including 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA in his last 3 starts. Chris Archer has been awful this season, going 4-9 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.442 WHIP in 15 starts, and 3-4 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.790 WHIP in 8 road starts. Archer has never beaten the Indians, going 0-4 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.682 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Take Cleveland. |
06-21-16 |
Giants -139 v. Pirates | Top | 15-4 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -139
The Key: I'm going to back the hottest team in baseball in the San Francisco Giants, who have won 8 of their last 9 games overall coming in. They will be up against a Pittsburgh Pirates team that has lost 10 of its last 12 games overall. There's no question the Giants have a big edge on the mound in this one as well. Johnny Cueto has been brilliant, going 10-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 1.003 WHIP in 14 starts. Cueto is 18-5 with a 2.23 ERA and 1.009 WHIP in 29 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh as well. Wilfredo Boscan will be making his season debut for the Pirates, and he's simply overmatched in this one. Cueto is 11-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Giants are 9-0 in Cueto's last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take San Francisco. |
06-20-16 |
Giants -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 0-1 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-110)
The Key: The San Francisco Giants are the hottest team in baseball right now. They have gone 8-0 in their last eight games with five of their last six victories coming by 2 runs or more. They should continue to roll tonight due to the edge they have on the mound. Ace Madison Bumgarner has gone 8-2 with a 2.01 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 14 starts this year for the Giants. Bumgarner is 3-3 with a 2.68 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh. Jeff Locke is now 5-5 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.487 WHIP in 13 starts for Pittsburgh. He has gone 1-2 with a 12.06 ERA in his last 3 starts, yielding 21 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings. Locke is 0-1 with a 9.42 ERA and 2.024 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. Bumgarner is 9-0 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games against NL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Giants are winning by 5.0 runs per game in this spot on average. Take San Francisco on the Run Line. |
06-19-16 |
Cavs v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 93-89 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
7* Cavs/Warriors NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -4.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors will win the NBA Finals with a convincing victory in Game 7. They have not played up to par their last two games, but a big reason was being without Draymond Green for Game 5. Look for them to make a statement in Game 7 and come up clutch, which is what they have done all season. They have only lost back-to-back games twice all year. They are 50-4 at home and this is the smallest favorites they have been all year. We're really getting them at a discount here tonight. Take Golden State. |
06-19-16 |
Rangers v. Cardinals -132 | | 5-4 |
Loss | -132 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -132
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals get the nod Sunday as small home favorites over the Texas Rangers in interleague action. Mike Leake has really been a nice addition to St. Louis' staff this season. He's 5-4 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in 13 starts this year. Martin Perez is no more than a mediocre starters in the big leagues. He's 1-3 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in six road starts this year. Leake sports a 2.03 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Texas. The Cards are also hungry for a victory after losing 4 straight coming in. Take St. Louis. |
06-18-16 |
Pirates v. Cubs -220 | Top | 3-4 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
7* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs -220 The Key: Lester has been dominant all season. He'll continue to shine against the Pittsburgh Pirates today. Take Chicago. |
06-17-16 |
Nationals -160 v. Padres | Top | 7-5 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
7* MLB Friday Night *BAILOUT* on Washington Nationals -160
The Key: The Washington Nationals are playing their best baseball of the season right now. They have won 9 of their last 11 games overall and don't appear to be slowing down any time soon. They're up against a San Diego Padres team that has lost 5 of its last 6 coming in. The Nationals certainly have the edge on the mound tonight behind Joe Ross, who is 5-4 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 12 starts, including 3-2 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 7 road starts. Ross is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one lifetime starts vs. San Diego, pitching 6 innings while allowing only 3 base runners and no earned runs in a 4-2 victory. Christian Friedrich has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-2 with a monstrous 10.57 ERA and 2.350 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against them. Washington is 22-7 (+11.9 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. The Nationals are 8-1 in Ross' last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Washington. |
06-16-16 |
Warriors v. Cavs -2 | Top | 101-115 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Cavs NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -2
The Key: After the home team dominated the first 3 games of this series in blowout fashion, the road team has escaped with victories in each of the last 2 contests. I find it hard to believe that the road team can win 3 straight, so I'll side with the Cavaliers in Game 6 tonight. They have to be brimming with confidence after winning by 15 points in Oakland in Game 5 thanks to a pair of 41-point efforts from Lebron James and Kyrie Irving. Look for these two to get much more help from their supporting cast at home in Game 6. The Cavs are 41-9 at home this season and 8-1 at home in the playoffs with 7 of those victories coming by 11 points or more. The Cavs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take Cleveland. |
06-16-16 |
Rangers -123 v. A's | | 5-1 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Texas Rangers -123
The Key: The Texas Rangers have gone under the radar again this season despite winning the AL West last year. They are 41-25 up to this point and will send out one of their best starters tonight in Colby Lewis. The right-hander is 5-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.083 WHIP in 13 starts this year. He has been unstoppable on the road, going 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.800 WHIP in 6 starts. Lewis is 11-4 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.167 WHIP in 25 lifetime starts vs. Oakland as well. The Rangers are 6-0 in Lewis' last 6 starts. The A's are 20-48 in their last 68 games following a loss. Oakland is 2-9 in its last 11 games overall. Take Texas. |
06-15-16 |
Indians -133 v. Royals | Top | 4-9 |
Loss | -133 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
7* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Cleveland Indians -133
The Key: The Cleveland Indians are very hungry to avoid the sweep today against the hated Kansas City Royals after losing the first two games of this series by exactly one run each. The Indians have the edge on the mound today and should avoid the sweep as a result. Corey Kluber is 6-6 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in 13 starts this year, including 4-2 with a 2.96 ERA and 0.8222 WHIP in 7 road starts. Kluber is also 6-5 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City. Ian Kennedy is 4-5 with a 4.06 ERA in 12 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 6.11 ERA in his last 3. Kennedy is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. He gave up 5 earned runs in 6 innings of a 1-7 loss to the Indians on June 4 earlier this month. Cleveland is 14-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. The Royals are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take Cleveland. |
06-14-16 |
Mariners v. Rays -111 | Top | 7-8 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -111
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays come in playing some of their best baseball of the season. They've won 7 of their last 9 games overall. The Mariners come in playing some of their worst, losers of 7 of their last 10 games overall. I believe the Rays have the edge on the mound tonight with Jake Odorizzi. He's 3-3 with a 3.47 ERA in 13 starts, including 0-2 with a 2.52 ERA in 6 home starts. Taijuan Walker is 3-6 with a 3.48 ERA in 12 starts, and 1-3 with a 5.00 ERA in 4 road starts. Odorizzi has owned the Mariners, going 1-1 with a 0.52 ERA and 0.866 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. He has allowed just 1 earned run in 17 1/3 innings over those 3 starts. Walker gave up 4 runs in 5 2/3 innings in his only lifetime start against Tampa Bay back on May 11 this year. Take Tampa Bay. |
06-13-16 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks -150 | | 2-3 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -150
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks will send ace Zack Greinke to the mound to take on his former team for the first time tonight. He'll be motivated to beat his former teammates, and he certainly looks good coming in. Greinke has won five straight starts and is 8-1 since his first two starts of the season. He is 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.727 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Mike Bolsinger is 1-3 with a 5.76 ERA in 4 starts this year for Los Angeles. Greinke faced the Dodgers prior to joining them, going 2-0 (4-0 money line) with a 2.52 ERA in 4 starts, having never lost to them. Take Arizona. |
06-13-16 |
Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 205 | Top | 112-97 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
7* Cavs/Warriors *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 205
The Key: The Golden State Warriors will no longer be able to go small with Draymond Green at center, which is their best lineup. They will have to go bigger and give Andrew Bogut more minutes. I believe that chance will make the Warriors' offense much less potent, and it will help lead to a low-scoring Game 5. These teams are now very familiar with one another after playing four games already, which also favors the defenses. Cleveland is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The UNDER is 7-1 in Warriors last eight vs. Eastern Conference. The UNDER is 19-6-1 in Warriors last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the UNDER. |
06-12-16 |
Astros -127 v. Rays | Top | 0-5 |
Loss | -127 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -127
The Key: The Houston Astros have clawed their back to near .500 on the season after a disastrous start. They will make another stride forward today in the win column considering the edge they have on the mound. Dallas Keuchel has gotten his act together of late, going 1-2 with a 3.98 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I'll gladly back him over Matt Moore, who is 2-4 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Moore has already given up a whopping 14 homers in 69 2/3 innings pitched, so he has clearly been off his game all year. The Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. The Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. The Rays are 1-8 in Moore's last 9 starts. Take Houston. |
06-11-16 |
Dodgers v. Giants -120 | Top | 4-5 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
7* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Francisco Giants -120
The Key: The San Francisco Giants get the nod today as short home favorites over the rival Los Angeles Dodgers. Jeff Samardzija looks to continue his great start to the season. He's 7-4 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.136 WHIP in 12 starts, including 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in 4 home starts. Scott Kazmir hasn't been nearly as effective for the Dodgers, going 5-3 with a 4.46 ERA in 12 starts, including 2-0 with a 5.13 ERA in 6 road starts. Kazmir is 1-2 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.548 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. In 2 starts against the Giants in 2016, he has given up 10 earned runs in 8 innings. The Giants are 17-4 in their last 21 vs. National League West. The Dodgers are 4-11 in the last 15 road meetings in this series. Take San Francisco. |
06-10-16 |
Warriors v. Cavs -2 | Top | 108-97 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Cavs NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -2
The Key: We'll stick with the home team once again in Game 4. The home team has won in blowout fashion in the first three games of this series, and I look for them to follow suit tonight. Cleveland is 41-8 at home this season and has upped its game at home even more in the playoffs. Indeed, the Cavs are 8-0 at home in the postseason with an average margin of victory of over 20 points per game. Golden State has actually been outscored by over 13 points per game in its last six road games while going 2-4 in the process. The Cavs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games coming in. Take Cleveland. |
06-10-16 |
Orioles v. Blue Jays -121 | | 3-4 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -121
The Key: Toronto comes into tonight's matchup with the Orioles with a big edge on the mound. Marco Estrada is 4-2 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.978 WHIP in 11 starts this year. He has been at his best at home, going 2-1 with a 1.30 ERA and 0.808 WHIP in 5 starts. Estrada is also 2-1 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore. Kevin Gausman has yet to win this season, going 0-3 with a 3.52 ERA in nine starts. While solid, he's not as good as Estrada. The Orioles are 4-12 in Gausman's last 16 road starts. The Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 Friday games. Toronto is 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 starts. Take Toronto. |
06-09-16 |
Indians +123 v. Mariners | Top | 5-3 |
Win | 123 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
7* Indians/Mariners MLB *BAILOUT* on Cleveland +123
The Key: The Cleveland Indians get the nod Thursday as nice-sized road underdogs to the Seattle Mariners Thursday night in the final game on the board. Josh Tomlin is killing it this season, going 8-1 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.098 WHIP in 10 starts. He has been at his best on the road at 4-0 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.867 WHIP in 4 starts. Nate Karns is 5-2 with a 4.23 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 11 starts for the Mariners and shouldn't be the favorite here. He's also 1-1 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.851 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Tomlin is 4-1 with a 3.41 ERA and 0.903 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. He pitched a one-hit shutout in his last start against the Mariners. The Indians are 17-4 in Tomlin's last 21 starts overall, including 8-0 in his last 8 road starts. Take Cleveland. |
06-08-16 |
Warriors v. Cavs +1.5 | Top | 90-120 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Cavs NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland +1.5
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers will certainly be hungry for a win in Game 3 tonight after taking it on the chin both on the floor and through the media over the past week. Now they get to return to the friendly confines of Cleveland, which is going to make all the difference. The Cavs are 40-8 at home this season. They are 7-0 at home in the playoffs with an average margin of victory of more than 20 points per game. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Golden State has lost 3 of its last 5 road games coming in while getting outscored by 10 points per game. Take Cleveland. |
06-08-16 |
Royals v. Orioles -152 | | 0-4 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Baltimore Orioles -152
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles will be extra amped up for this game after the brawl they got into last night with the Royals. Look for them to continue their solid play this season after winning 6 of their last 7 coming in. They are now 23-11 at home this season and continue to be one of the most underrated home teams in baseball. Chris Tillman is 5-0 with a 2.78 ERA in 8 home starts this year, and the Orioles are 8-0 in those contests. Edinson Volquez is 2-3 with a 6.99 ERA in 5 road starts this season for Kansas City. Volquez has never beaten the Orioles, going 0-2 (0-4 money line) with a 5.40 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Take Baltimore. |
06-07-16 |
Blue Jays -123 v. Tigers | Top | 2-3 |
Loss | -123 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Blue Jays -123
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have a huge edge on the mound tonight over the Detroit Tigers. Aaron Sanchez has been their best starter all season, going 5-1 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.216 WHIP in 11 starts, including 4-0 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 6 road starts. Matt Boyd is 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts this season for Detroit. Over his 2-year career, Boyd is 1-7 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in 14 starts and 2 relief appearances. He gave up 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings of a 3-5 loss to the Blue Jays in his only lifetime start against them last year. Toronto is 21-7 (+13.2 Units) against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. Toronto is 6-1 in Sanchez's last 7 starts. Detroit is 3-8 in Boyd's last 11 starts. Take Toronto. |
06-06-16 |
Rockies +131 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-1 |
Win | 131 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies +131
The Key: The Colorado Rockies should not be underdogs to the Los Angeles Dodgers today with the edge they have on the mound. Tyler Chatwood is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He's 6-4 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.212 WHIP in 11 starts this year, including a perfect 4-0 with a 0.53 ERA and 0.891 WHIP in 5 road starts. Mike Bolsinger is no more than a fill-in starter for the Dodgers. He's 1-2 with a 4.20 ERA in 3 starts this year. Chatwood sports a 3.68 ERA in 8 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. Bolsinger sports a 5.40 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Colorado. Take Colorado. |
06-05-16 |
Cavs +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 77-110 |
Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
7* NBA Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Cleveland +6.5
The Key: It has been a very profitable move to back the losing Game 1 team in Game 2 throughout the NBA playoffs for years. In fact, the Game 1 loser is 204-159 ATS since 1991 in Game 2. I love the Cavaliers here catching 6.5 points. They had the Warriors on the brink with a lead late, but the Warriors' bench exploded in the 4th quarter and they essentially won without Curry or Thompson needing a big game. While some will look at that as the Warriors will be even better if Curry and Thompson perform, I look at is as the Warriors will never get another game like that from their bench again. The Cavs' bench was nearly non-existent, but after getting their feet wet, I look for a lot more production from them in Game 2 so James, Irving and Love don't have to completely carry the load again. Take Cleveland in a Game 2 that they will likely win outright. |
06-05-16 |
Giants v. Cardinals -144 | | 3-6 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -144
The Key: I'll lay the juice with the Cardinals today in a game that they have a huge edge on the mound. Carlos Martinez is having a fine season at 5-5 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 10 starts. Martinez is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his lone lifetime start vs. San Francisco. Jake Peavy is one of the worst starters in the majors. He's 2-5 with a 6.354 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 11 starts this year. Peavy is also 3-6 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.394 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts vs. St. Louis. He hasn't made it past the 4th inning in any of his last 2 starts vs. St. Louis. Take St. Louis. |
06-04-16 |
Blue Jays v. Red Sox -121 | Top | 4-6 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -121
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are showing great value as only -121 favorites over the Toronto Blue Jays today. The Red Sox are extremely hungry for a victory after losing 3 straight coming in, and with their edge on the mound today, they should stop the losing streak here. Steven Wright has been awesome this season, going 5-4 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 10 starts. He has posted a 2.13 ERA and 1.184 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Toronto as well. Marcus Stroman sports a 4.46 ERA in 11 starts this year, including a 7.23 ERA in his last 3. He has given up 12 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against Boston, both of which have come this season. He'll get rocked again today. Take Boston. |
06-03-16 |
Rays -115 v. Twins | Top | 4-2 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -115
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays are hungry for a victory tonight after losing 5 straight and 11 of their last 13 coming in. I like their chances to stop the bleeding with the edge they have on the mound tonight. Jake Odorizzi is having a fine season at 2-3 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in 11 starts. he has been at his best of late, going 2-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.765 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Ricky Nolasco is 2-3 with a 5.28 ERA in 10 starts and 0-1 with a 7.54 ERA in 4 home starts. Nolasco is 3-5 with a 7.33 ERA and 1.698 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. Minnesota is 7-26 (-17.6 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. The Twins are 1-14 (-13.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. Take Tampa Bay. |
06-02-16 |
Cavs +6 v. Warriors | Top | 89-104 |
Loss | -105 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
7* Cavs/Warriors NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland +6
The Key: Cleveland is 12-2 ATS when playing just its 2nd game in 7 days over the past 3 seasons. This team has proven it plays its best on rest, and that has been the case this postseason as well. The Cavs covered the 8-point spread in Game 1 against the Hawks with an 11-point victory after sweeping the Pistons. They also throttled the Raptors by 31 as 11-point favorites in Game 1 after sweeping the Hawks. They will be their best version of themselves in Game 1 tonight against the Warriors, especially with revenge in mind from last year's NBA Finals. The Warriors could be in a tough spot mentally here in Game 1 after what they accomplished in winning the final three games to beat the Thunder in the Western Conference Finals. They are ripe for the upset here. Take Cleveland. |
06-02-16 |
Mariners -135 v. Padres | | 16-13 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
6* Mariners/Padres Interleague *BAILOUT* on Seattle -135
The Key: The Seattle Mariners are swinging the bats very well right now. They have scored a combined 31 runs in the first 3 games of this series with San Diego. They have scored at least 5 runs in 15 of their last 21 games overall as well. I expect them to tee off on Colin Rea, who is 3-2 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in 9 starts for the Padres this season. Rea hasn't made it past the 5th inning while going 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. Wade Miley has made it through the 6th inning in each of his last 6 starts against San Diego without giving up more than 3 earned runs in any of the 6. He has posted a 2.25 ERA in his last 6 starts against the Padres while only allowing 10 earned runs in 40 innings. Seattle is 7-1 (+7.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season. The Mariners are 6-1 in Miley's last 7 starts overall. The Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. San Diego is 2-9 in its last 11 interleague home games. Take Seattle. |
06-01-16 |
Pirates -105 v. Marlins | Top | 2-3 |
Loss | -105 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates -105
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates have lost 3 of their last 4 games coming in and will be hungry for a victory tonight. I like their chances with the edge they'll have on the mound here. Jon Niese is the better starter at 5-2 with a 4.42 ERA in 10 starts this year. But he's been at his best recently, going 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Adam Conley is 3-3 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.481 WHIP in 10 starts, 1-3 with a 5.91 ERA and 1.641 WHIP in 4 home starts, and 1-1 with a 5.17 ERA and 2.043 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Niese gave up 1 run and 5 base runners in 7 innings of a 5-1 win at Miami in his last start against the Marlins. The Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Pittsburgh is 4-1 in Niese's last 5 road starts. The Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. The Pirates are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings. Take Pittsburgh. |
05-31-16 |
Rays -114 v. Royals | Top | 5-10 |
Loss | -114 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -114
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays are certainly hungry for a victory here today against the Kansas City Royals. They have lost two straight and six of eight overall. But they do have the edge on the mound today to get back on track. Drew Smyly sports a 3.92 ERA and 1.048 WHIP in 10 starts, and a 3.16 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 5 road starts. Dillon Gee is 1-2 with a 5.65 ERA and 1.745 WHIP in 3 starts for the Royals. Smyly is 3-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City. The Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 Tuesday games. The Rays are 8-2 in Smyly's last 10 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Take Tampa Bay. |
05-30-16 |
Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 219 | Top | 88-96 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
7* Thunder/Warriors *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 219
The Key: The Thunder and Warriors have now squared off six straight times. It's obvious that they are familiar with one another now, and that will lead to a low-scoring battle in Game 7 that favors the defenses with everything at stake. These teams combined for 209 points in Game 6, and I look for a similar output tonight in Golden State. The Warriors have been going with a bigger lineup to counter the Thunder, which also favors the UNDER. The Under is 8-3 in Thunder last 11 Conference Finals games. The Under is 7-2 in Warriors last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Under is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 Conference Finals games. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Golden State. Take the UNDER. |
05-30-16 |
Yankees v. Blue Jays -138 | | 2-4 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -138
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays get the nod Sunday as small home favorites over the New York Yankees. That's because Marco Estrada has been brilliant all season, especially at home. Estrada is 2-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 9 starts, including 1-1 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.825 WHIP in 4 home starts. He's also 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.234 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. New York. Ivan Nova is 5-5 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. Take Toronto. |
05-29-16 |
White Sox -141 v. Royals | Top | 4-5 |
Loss | -141 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -141
The Key: The Chicago White Sox have been struggling of late, but the one thing that's certain is that they continue to win at an alarming rate with AL Cy Young contender Chris Sale on the mound. The left-hander is 9-1 with a 2.26 ERA and 0.837 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 5-0 with a 1.41 ERA and 0.809 WHIP in 5 road starts. Sale has posted a 2.80 ERA in 15 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City as well. Edinson Volquez has struggled for the most part this year, going 5-4 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.402 WHIP in 10 starts. Sale is 18-3 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in May games lifetime. The White Sox are 10-1 in Sale's last 11 starts. Take Chicago. |
05-28-16 |
Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 221 | Top | 108-101 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Thunder *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 221
The Key: The Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City Thunder are obviously extremely familiar with one another as they've played five games in this series already. That clearly favors the defenses and will lead to a low-scoring affair in Game 6. The Warriors made an adjustment and decided to go bigger for longer stretches in Game 5, and it worked, so look for them to go big again. That also favors the defenses as the Thunder prefer to play big anyways. OKC is 13-3 UNDER after two straight games where it made 9 or more 3-point shots. Golden State is 17-5 UNDER off two straight games where it made 85% or more of their free throws this season. The UNDER is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 road games. Take the UNDER. |
05-28-16 |
Orioles v. Indians -155 | | 4-11 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians -155
The Key: The Cleveland Indians have a massive advantage on the mound tonight and are worth the -155 price because of it. Danny Salazar has quickly become the ace of their staff, going 4-3 with a 2.32 ERA and 1.123 WHIP in 9 starts this season. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.773 WHIP in 3 home starts as well. He's also 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore. Ubaldo Jimenez is 2-5 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.776 WHIP in 9 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.60 ERA and 2.200 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Jimenez is 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.547 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. Jimenez is 2-11 (-10.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 0-4 in Jimenez's last 4 road starts. The Indians are 6-1 in Salazar's last 7 home starts. Cleveland is 25-12 in its last 37 games following a loss. Take Cleveland. |
05-27-16 |
Cavs -6 v. Raptors | Top | 113-87 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
7* Cavs/Raptors Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -6
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers roll into Game 6 brimming with confidence after their 38-point statement victory over the Raptors in Game 5. The Raptors come in deflated knowing that they really stand no chance of winning this series. The Cavs want to prove that they can win on the road in Game 6 here tonight and I believe they roll to victory again. They also do not want to have this series go to 7 games as they can take advantage of some extra rest if they win tonight. I was mostly impressed with the Cavs' 57-38 rebounding edge in Game 5 where they held the Raptors to only 5 offensive rebounds. Well, Toronto is 1-10 ATS off a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. The Raptors are also 0-8 ATS after scoring 85 points or less in their previous game over the last 2 years. Take Cleveland. |
05-27-16 |
Orioles v. Indians -125 | | 6-4 |
Loss | -125 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians -125
The Key: The Cleveland Indians have gone 8-3 in their last 11 games overall, while the Orioles have cooled off in losing four straight coming in. I look for the Indians to continue their momentum here due to their edge on the mound. Trevor Bauer is 2-2 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in 5 starts, including 1-2 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.232 WHIP in his last 3. Mike Wright is 2-3 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.377 WHIP in 7 starts for the Orioles, and 1-1 with a 5.94 ERA in 3 road starts. Baltimore is 2-10 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive road games this season. The Orioles are 2-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 to 4.70 over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 0-4 in Wright's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Take Cleveland. |
05-26-16 |
Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 220.5 | Top | 111-120 |
Loss | -107 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
7* Thunder/Warriors *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 220.5
The Key: The UNDER is 3-1 through the first four games of this series, yet the oddsmakers have failed to adjust enough tonight in setting this total above 220 points once again. They combined for 210 points in Game 1, 209 in Game 2 and 212 points in Game 4. I expect a similar result tonight here in Game 5 as these teams are now extremely familiar with one another, which only favors the defenses even more as this series goes on. OKC is 8-1 UNDER in road games vs. teams who outscore their opponents by 9-plus points per game this season. The UNDER is 4-0 in Thunder's last 4 road games. The UNDER is 7-2 in Thunder's last 9 conference finals games. The UNDER is 19-7-1 in Warriors last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The UNDER is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Take the UNDER. |
05-26-16 |
Blue Jays -113 v. Yankees | | 3-1 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -113
The Key: J.A. Happ has been one of the best starters for the Blue Jays this season. He has gone 5-2 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in 9 starts, including 2-1 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 5 road starts. Happ is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA in his last 2 starts against New York, giving up just 4 earned runs in 13 innings. C.C. Sabathia has also been solid on the road, but terrible at home. He is 0-1 with a 5.78 ERA and 2.141 WHIP in two home starts this season. Sabathia is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA in his last 3 starts against Toronto, giving up 12 earned runs in 18 innings. The Blue Jays are 9-4 in their last 13 meetings with the Yankees. Take Toronto. |
05-25-16 |
Raptors v. Cavs -10.5 | Top | 78-116 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
7* Raptors/Cavs Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -10.5
The Key: Home-court advantage has been huge all season long when the Raptors and Cavaliers have gotten together. In fact, the home team is a perfect 7-0 SU & 7-0 ATS in seven meetings between Cleveland and Toronto dating back to the regular season. The Cavs have won their 3 home meetings with the Raptors by an average of 24 points per game. The Cavs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games overall. The Raptors have gone 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. These three trends equate to a 16-0 angle backing the Cavaliers in Game 5 here tonight. Take Cleveland. |
05-25-16 |
Blue Jays -108 v. Yankees | | 8-4 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -108
The Key: I expect the Toronto Blue Jays' to put an end to the Yankees' six-game winning streak tonight due to the advantage they have on the mound. Marco Estrada is 1-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in 8 starts for the Blue Jays with 50 strikeouts in 51 2/3 innings. Estrada sports a 3.77 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. New York. Ivan Nova has not enjoyed facing the Blue Jays, going 5-4 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against them. Nova gave up 6 earned runs in 1 2/3 innings of a 7-10 loss in his last home start against New York. The Yankees are 2-10 (-10.5 Units) against the money line off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Take Toronto. |
05-24-16 |
Warriors -110 v. Thunder | Top | 94-118 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Thunder Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State ML -110
The Key: This is essentially the series in my opinion. Golden State must win to tie the series at 2-2 and regain home-court advantage, or this series is overall. With their backs against the wall, look for the Warriors to come out with one of their best games of the season. After all, they are 12-0 in games following a loss this season, and I expect them to be 13-0 in this situation after tonight. It was critical that Draymond Green was not suspended, and he'll have a big bounce-back performance tonight to lead the way alongside Steph Curry. Take Golden State. |
05-24-16 |
Blue Jays +120 v. Yankees | | 0-6 |
Loss | -100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays +120
The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Toronto Blue Jays as +120 road underdogs to the New York Yankees tonight. The Yankees come in overvalued due to having won five straight. R.A. Dickey has been at his best on the road this season, going 2-1 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in 4 road starts. Dickey is 1-2 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. Not to mention, he's 5-4 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.065 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts vs. New York. Those are numbers that should warrant him getting more respect than he is here tonight. Nathan Eovaldi is 4-2 with a 4.44 ERA in 8 starts this year, and 2-1 with a 4.87 ERA in 4 home starts. The Blue Jays are 20-9 in their last 29 games following an off day. The Yankees are 1-8 in their last 9 games following an off day. The Blue Jays are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Take Toronto. |
05-23-16 |
Cavs v. Raptors +6.5 | Top | 99-105 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
7* Cavs/Raptors Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +6.5
The Key: The Toronto Raptors have one of the most underrated home-court advantages in the NBA. They are 39-11 at home this season, and they rolled to a 15-point victory over the Cavaliers in Game 3 at home on Saturday. They are now 3-0 at home against the Cavaliers this season, yet they are 6.5-point dogs in Game 4. Home-court advantage has been huge between these teams in recent meetings to say the least. The home team is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. That trends continues here tonight. Take Toronto. |
05-23-16 |
Royals -121 v. Twins | | 10-4 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Kansas City Royals -121
The Key: This is a very generous price to get the defending champion Royals at Monday against the AL-worst Minnesota Twins (11-32). That's especially the case considering the Royals have a big edge on the mound here. Ian Kennedy is 4-3 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in 8 starts this year. Ricky Nolasco is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA in 8 starts for the Twins, including 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA in his last 3 starts. Kennedy is 2-1 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Minnesota. Nolasco allowed 5 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings in his last home start against KC, which resulted in a 1-6 loss. Minnesota is 1-15 (-13.4 Units) against the money line with triple revenge - 3 straight losses against opponent this season. The Twins are 1-14 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. Take Kansas City. |
05-22-16 |
Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 220.5 | Top | 105-133 |
Loss | -108 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Thunder *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 220.5
The Key: The first two games of this series have stayed well UNDER the posted total, yet the oddsmakers have failed to adjust enough in Game 3 tonight. They combined for 210 points in Game 1 and 209 points in Game 2. The total for Game 3 has been set at 220.5, and I have a hard time seeing them combining for at least 210 points again, let alone 220.5. Golden State is 21-10 UNDER in all playoff games over the last two seasons. OKC is 12-3 UNDER off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last two years. The UNDER is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 conference finals games. The UNDER is 7-2 in Warriors last 9 road games. The UNDER is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 conference finals games. Take the UNDER. |