Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06-06-19 | Reds v. Cardinals -140 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. Cincinnati won the series opener last night behind a stellar performance from Luis Castillo and three relievers but it is still four games under .500 on the road. Additionally, the Reds are 1-7 over their last eight games following a win. The Cardinals were coming off a sweep against the Cubs to open this homestand to pull within two games of Chicago in the National League Central but it is now back to three games after Tuesday. St. Louis is 18-5 this season as a favorite of -150 or less. Anthony DeSclafani gets the ball for Cincinnati and he has had a rough stretch with four straight non-quality starts, posting a 7.79 ERA over this stretch and the Reds are 4-10 in his last 14 starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. The Cardinals counter with Dakota Hudson who has been on a roll of late. He tossed a career-high 6.1 innings in a 6-3 win over the Braves two starts back and posted five quality starts in May, including four straight. He finished with a 2.80 ERA in six starts last month. The Cardinals are 4-1 in his last five starts with five days of rest while the Reds are 13-28 in their last 41 road games against right-handed starters. 9* (906) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
06-05-19 | Giants v. Mets -127 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. We lost a tough one with the Mets last night as San Francisco put up six runs in the tenth inning to win in extras and extended their winning streak to three games. This is their third three-game winning streak on the season and have yet to win four games in a row. The Mets meanwhile have lost three straight games following an 8-4 run and despite the setback last night, they are 9-2 in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record. After a pair of rough outings, one relief appearance and one start, Jason Vargas has been very effective by posting a 2.40 ERA over his last six starts including allowing just two runs over 12 innings in his last two starts. The Giants have been horrible in this spot this season as they are hitting just .222 against lefties, third worst in baseball, including a mere .207 on the road. Going back, the Giants are 4-10 in their last 14 road games against left-handed starters. Tyler Beede posted a 13.50 ERA through one start and two relief appearances but bounced back with a quality outing last time out. However, that came against the Marlins which are the lowest scoring team in the Majors. The Mets are 7-0 in their last seven home games against right-handed starters. 10* (958) New York Mets | |||||||
06-05-19 | Twins -128 v. Indians | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -128 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Cleveland was on a 1-6 home run prior to winning the series opener last night behind another solid performance from Shane Bieber. The Indians are at .500 for the season and still trail the Twins by 10.5 games in the American League Central and come in overpriced tonight. The Twins have been the biggest surprise in baseball this season as they are 40-19 which is the best record in the American League. Minnesota also owns the best home record and going back, the Twins are 11-2 in their last 13 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Tyler Clippard will take the place of Carlos Carrasco and this will be his first start of the season and just his second since 2008. Martin Perez is coming off a poor start at Tampa Bay, his worst of the season, after coming in with a 2.95 ERA through his first eight starts. Here, we play on American League teams averaging 5.4 or more rpg and with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits per start going up against a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or better. This situation is 50-25 (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (967) Minnesota Twins | |||||||
06-04-19 | Orioles v. Rangers -127 | Top | 12-11 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Baltimore hits the road following a 2-4 homestand to drop its record to 18-41, the worst record in baseball and while it has been better on the road than at home, its -121 scoring differential is the biggest in the Majors and cannot be ignored. As bad as Baltimore has been, this price is too short and it has not been good in this situation as it is 4-15 in its last road games when the money line is +125 to -125. Texas is going nowhere in the American League West because Houston is running away again but the Rangers are three games over .500 and their 20-9 record at home only trails the Astros for the best in the American League. The Rangers are 5-0 in their last five games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Dylan Bundy gets the ball for Baltimore and he has been average with a 4.58 ERA which goes up to 4.66 on the road. This is another brutal spot as Baltimore is 0-14 in his last 14 starts against American League teams averaging 4.9 or more rpg over the last two seasons. Drew Smyly had a good May with a 3.86 ERA and while he has been favored only once this season in seven starts, it resulted in a 10-2 victory. 10* (922) Texas Rangers | |||||||
06-04-19 | Giants v. Mets -122 | 9-3 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Mets return home following a 2-4 roadtrip and despite being three games under .500, they are just 4.5 games out of first place in the National League East. They have done this by playing a tough schedule where 35 of their 59 games have taken place on the road and those 35 road games check in as the most of any team in baseball. The Mets are 15-9 at home and are 9-1 in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record. The Giants are riding a two-game winning streak which is just the third time since April 24th they have won consecutive games and come in 0-4 in their last four games following back-to-back wins. San Francisco is 3-3 on this roadtrip but the first two series have come against two of the three worst teams in the league. The Giants are 9-26 in their last 35 games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. This line is low because of Madison Bumgarner taking the hill but he has been nothing special and going back to last season, the Giants are 7-19 in his last 26 road games. Noah Syndergaard has a 4.90 ERA this season including a 4.73 ERA at home but has pitcher better than that with a 1.14 WHIP in five home starts. 9* (904) New York Mets | |||||||
06-04-19 | White Sox +240 v. Nationals | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The White Sox are coming off a 6-1 homestand to move a game under .500 overall on the season and they look to keep it going as they head to Washington for a two-game set. There are 13 teams in baseball that have shown profitable returns this season with only two of those possessing a losing record and Chicago is one of those. Going back, the White Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. Washington is having a miserable season with the third worst record in the National League and its -16 units are worst in baseball. Yet, the Nationals come in as massive favorites based on the pitching matchup but Washington is just 6-6 in the 12 starts Stephen Strasburg has made this season. The Nationals are 1-4 in his last five starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Reynaldo Lopez had a tough start to the season but has been much more effective of late as six of his last nine starts have been quality outings. Two of those non-quality efforts came against two of the top five hitting teams in baseball. The White Sox are 4-1 in his last five starts with five days of rest. 9* (929) Chicago White Sox | |||||||
06-03-19 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +132 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Los Angeles is coming off a 6-1 homestand including wins in five straight games to move to 25-7 at Dodger Stadium which is the best home record in baseball. The Dodgers are a respectable 16-12 on the road but are overpriced tonight in the role of the favorite. Arizona got swept in four games in Colorado to open last week but it was able to salvage its weekend series against the Mets by taking the last two games of the three game set. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record. Robbie Ray gets the ball for Arizona and he is having a solid season with a 3.59 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 12 starts. He has allowed more than three runs only twice, once against the Braves, the best hitting team in the National League and the other against the Rockies in Colorado. His numbers are better at home where he has a 3.32 ERA and 1.26 WHIP and going back, the Diamondbacks are 5-0 in his last five starts against teams with a winning record. Walker Buehler had tossed four straight quality outings but allowed five runs in five innings in his last start against the Mets and he allowed five runs in three innings in his lone start against Arizona this season. Arizona falls into a contrarian situation where we play against National League teams with a team on base percentage of .340 or better on the season, with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games. This situation is 48-33 (59.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (952) Arizona Diamondbacks | |||||||
06-02-19 | Angels +100 v. Mariners | Top | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Angels have taken two of the first three games of this series and look to wrap up a winning roadtrip where they are currently 4-2. While Los Angeles may be three games under .500 on the road, the Angels are 5-2 in their last seven road games against teams with a losing record. After opening the season 13-2, Seattle has gone a dreadful 12-34 since then and are dead last in the American League West. While good teams can recover from losses, the Mariners cannot as they are 8-25 in their last 33 games following a loss. Jose Suarez will be making his Major League debut today as the No. 2 pitching prospect in the organization. He went 2-0 with a 3.91 ERA in five games for Salt Lake, striking out 20 and walking 11 in 23 innings and the results were actually better because he had one poor start. Suarez has a fastball that averages 92 mph and touches 95 with late arm-side movement. His best pitch is an 81-mph changeup he throws with deception and sinking action. His mid-70s curveball is an above-average swing-and-miss pitch when he lands it, and his slider is improving. Seattle counters with Marco Gonzales who has been good at times and poor in others. He has a 4.91 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in seven home starts which is even worse considering T-Mobile Park is a pitcher friendly stadium. 10* (921) Los Angeles Angels | |||||||
06-01-19 | Blue Jays +144 v. Rockies | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Game of the Week. While the future looks bright for Toronto with a loaded pool of prospects, the present has not been so good as the Blue Jays are now 15 games under .500 following their fourth straight loss last night. Going back, they are just 2-9 over their last 11 games but the starting pitcher tonight is responsible for both of those victories. Toronto is 17-10 in its last 27 games when allowing nine or more runs last time out. The Rockies have won six straight games to move to two games over .500 for the season but they still trail the Dodgers by nine games in the National League West. They came into the Arizona game on Thursday with a 0 scoring differential so Colorado has been far from dominant despite the blowout last night as four of its last seven wins have come in its last at-bat. Marcus Stroman has had a solid season even though his record does not show it. He is 3-6 but has a 2.74 ERA in 12 starts. He is coming off three solid outings, giving up just one earned run in each of those games and has tossed four straight quality outings. The Blue Jays are 4-1 in his last five starts against teams with a winning record. Jon Gray counters for Colorado and he has been all over the place, posting a 6.21 ERA over his last six starts. Here, we play against National League teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg going up against an American League starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better, after a win by four runs or more. This situation is 67-27 (71.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (979) Toronto Blue Jays | |||||||
05-31-19 | Cubs v. Cardinals -122 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Cubs were able to salvage a game in Houston with a 2-1 win on Wednesday to move back to .500 on the road at 13-13. It was a rare win as the Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record. We won with St. Louis yesterday as it avoided the sweep in Philadelphia and snapped a three-game slide. The Cardinals head home with a 16-12 record here and are laying a good number in a pitching advantage. Miles Mikolas is another pitcher who is having a solid season although his ERA may not show it at 4.76. He has pitched to a 1.17 WHIP and that shrinks to 0.82 in six home starts and going back, the Cardinals are 10-2 in his last 12 starts against teams with a winning record. Yu Darvish has been a major disappointment since coming over from Texas and he has only tossed two quality outings in 11 starts this season. He has a 4.18 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in five road starts. Here, we play against National League teams with a starting pitcher that walks more than 2.75 per start with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season. This situation is 66-35 (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (906) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
05-31-19 | Nationals v. Reds +103 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 103 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Washington took a pair in Atlanta to snap a five-game road losing streak yet it is still just 11-17 on the highway and comes in as a road favorite here. The Nationals had Thursday off and going back, they are 1-10 in their last 11 games following an off day. Cincinnati is coming off a split against Pittsburgh to open this homestand and it remains a game over .500 at home. The Reds have won six straight games following a loss. Tyler Mahle is having a solid season although his 1-5 record and 4.15 ERA may not show it. He has a 1.24 WHIP which is excellent and the schedule has been against him as eight of his 10 starts have been on the road and he has allowed just one run in 11 innings at home. Patrick Corbin has been having a solid season as well but he has been much more effective at home than on the road. Here, we play against National League teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season but with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 8.00 the last five games. This situation is 30-8 (78.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (904) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
05-31-19 | Giants v. Orioles +103 | 6-9 | Win | 103 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Giants won in Miami yesterday to snap a seven-game losing streak but the offense remains ineffective. They have averaged 2.75 rpg over their last eight games and have scored four runs or less in 11 straight games. San Francisco is 8-20 in its last 28 games following a win. Baltimore has had its share of struggles as well with the worst record in baseball but it catches a good price. Pitching has been the big issue for the Baltimore struggles as its 5.70 ERA is worst in all of baseball and by a wide margin. While Andrew Cashner has been relatively average this season, he has performed well at home with a 2.96 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in four starts and he is responsible for 28.5 percent of the Orioles home wins. The Orioles are 4-1 in his last five home starts against teams with a losing record. Drew Pomeranz has been awful with a 6.45 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in nine starts and those numbers are nearly the same on the road. Here, we play on American League home teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season, with a bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games. This situation is 34-13 (72.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (926) Baltimore Orioles | |||||||
05-30-19 | Twins v. Rays -139 | 3-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. The best record in baseball does not belong to a team such as the Dodgers, Yankees or Astros but it is the Twins which are now 37-17 following an abbreviated 4-1 homestand to improve to 19-9 on the season at Target Field. Minnesota has been just as good on the road with an 18-8 record and that is keeping this number within reach as is the fact the Rays are playing some good baseball of its own. The Rays are just one game behind New York in the American League East as they are 34-19 following a three-game sweep of the Blue Jays to make it five straight wins. The Rays are 16-5 in their last 21 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Martin Perez gets the start for the Twins and while he is 7-1 with a 2.95 ERA, he has not pitched to that level. He has made eight starts and has gotten 8.12 rpg of support which is unheard of this late into a season and the road has been even better as he has gotten 11.8 rpg in four starts where he is 4-0 and that is fortunate as he has posted a 1.43 WHIP in those games. Charlie Morton has been great in his first year in Tampa Bay with a 2.54 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through 11 starts while going a perfect 5-0. It has been the opposite of Perez though as he is getting just 4.5 rpg including 2.8 rpg at home. Here, we play against American League teams hitting between .265 and .279 and with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 40-12 (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (964) Tampa Bay Rays | |||||||
05-30-19 | Cardinals -109 v. Phillies | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. The Phillies have won the first two games of this series to make it five wins in their last six games but there could be some lookahead today as they travel out west for a three-game set with the Dodgers over the weekend. They have been tough at home with a 20-10 record and the short price may seem misleading but it is there for a reason. The Cardinals have lost three straight games to fall two games under .500 but at still +12 in scoring differential which is actually sixth most in the National League. St. Louis is 10-4 in its last 14 games after allowing five runs or more in its previous game while going 20-4 in its last 24 games after scoring four runs or less in three straight games. Philadelphia hands the ball to Jerad Eickhoff, who is 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA but over his last three starts, he has allowed 17 hits and 13 runs in 12 innings. Eickhoff had a stellar 1.50 ERA through his first five games but has labored with a 9.75 ERA over his last three outings. After giving up zero home runs in his first 30 innings, he has surrendered seven long balls in his last three outings. The Phillies are 0-4 in his last four starts following an outing of less than four innings in his last appearance. The Cardinals counter with Dakota Hudson who has been on a roll of late. He tossed a career-high 6.1 innings in a 6-3 win over the Braves in his last outing and now has four quality starts in May, including three straight, and a 3.07 ERA over his last five games. 10* (951) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
05-29-19 | Tigers v. Orioles -116 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Detroit picked up a shutout win last night in Baltimore to snap a three-game slide but it remains 12 games under .500 for the season. It has been a lengthy poor run for the Tigers as they are 8-22 over their last 30 games and they have gone 0-8 over their last eight games following a win. Detroit is 24-43 in its last 67 games on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. Baltimore has had its share of struggles as well with the worst record in baseball but it does have a rare advantage tonight that we can take advantage of. Pitching has been the big issue for the Baltimore struggles as its 5.73 ERA is worst in all of baseball and by a wide margin. One pleasant surprise has been the arm of John Means who has a 2.96 ERA and 1.17 WHIP through eight starts, both of which are best on the team of the regular starters. He has allowed three runs or less in seven of those outings and the Tigers are 8-20 in their last 28 games against left-handed starters. Detroit turns to Ryan Carpenter who is coming off his best start of the season where he allowed one run on two hits in five innings but this came after giving up 13 runs over nine innings in his first two starts. Baltimore is hitting a solid .266 at home against left-handed pitching. 10* (918) Baltimore Orioles | |||||||
05-28-19 | Cubs v. Astros -131 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Houston took the opener of this series yesterday as it took at 6-2 lead and held on for the 6-5 victory. The Astros are 5-3 on this current homestand to move to 21-7 at home on the season, the best home record in baseball. The Astros are 23-9 in their last 32 games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. Chicago has lost two straight games but remains in first place in the National League Central by a half-game over the Brewers. The Cubs are just 12-12 on the road and going back, they are 1-6 in their last seven games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Rookie right-hander Corbin Martin will start for the Astros. Tuesday will mark the fourth career start and third at Minute Maid Park for the Houston native, who recorded nine strikeouts over 5.1 innings in his big-league debut on May 12th while beating the Rangers. Jon Lester has allowed nine runs over his last two starts covering 8.1 innings and is in a tough spot here as the Astros are ranked first in the league in wRC+ against left-handed pitchers. Here, we play against National League road teams 4.7 rpg and with a bad bullpen that blows 38 percent or more of their save opportunities going up against teams with a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or better. This situation is 43-7 (86 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (978) Houston Astros | |||||||
05-28-19 | Nationals +100 v. Braves | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. We played against the Braves on Sunday and got burned as St. Louis blew a 3-0 lead in the ninth inning to eventually lose in extra innings. Atlanta is now a game and a half behind Philadelphia in the National League East but going back, the Braves are 0-5 in their last five games following an off day. It has been a difficult start to the season for the Nationals as they are 10 games under .500 exactly one-third into the season and are 9.5 games out of first place in the division. They turn to Stephen Strasburg to snap a five-game road losing streak and he has been going strong after an uneven start to the season. He has tossed three straight quality outings and since April 21st, he has a 2.19 ERA covering seven starts. The Nationals are 14-4 in his last 18 road starts against teams with a winning record. Max Fried is having a solid season as well but he has been limited in three career appearances against the Nationals as he has only thrown three career innings against Washington and that includes on start. Here, we play on National League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are hitting .255 or worse and with a bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. This situation is 31-12 (72.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (957) Washington Nationals | |||||||
05-28-19 | Indians +183 v. Red Sox | 7-5 | Win | 183 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Cleveland dropped the opener of this series on Monday 12-5 to fall under .500 for the first time since opening the season 0-1 and 1-2. The Indians are 1-7 over their last eight games as the offense has shut down with an average of 3.43 rpg over this stretch. They come in as huge underdogs tonight based on the pitching matchup and the value is all over Cleveland. Boston has been playing much better after a bad start to the season as it has won 18 of its last 26 games but being favored at this price is simply too much. The Red Sox are 1-4 in their last five after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. This will be the Major League debut for Zach Plesac. He did not pitch in 2016 and just sparingly in 2017. Last year was his first healthy season as he combined to go 11-6 with a 3.79 ERA at Class A Lynchburg and Akron. This year Plesac went 1-1 with a 0.96 ERA in six starts at Akron. He went 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three starts at Columbus after his promotion. David Price has been solid this season but just three of eight starts have been quality outings. Here, we play against home favorites with a money line of -150 or more after a win by six runs or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 17 runs or more. This situation is 36-23 (61 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (965) Cleveland Indians | |||||||
05-27-19 | Mets +161 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Mets are back to .500 at 26-26 as they have won six of their last seven games. They now begin a seven-game West Coast swing that starts against a Dodgers team that has the best record in the National League and is coming off a 6-2 road trip. We have no issue stepping in front of that Los Angeles train backing an elite ace at a great underdog price. Jacob deGrom has had a couple poor outings this season but he will look to repeat his solid outing Wednesday against the Nationals where he gave up one run on two hits over six innings, with his eight strikeouts matching his most since April 14. Many will point out the fact he is 0-4 against the Dodgers but he has a 2.83 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 10 starts, eight of which have been quality outings. Clayton Kershaw is having a great season but he is far from dominant like he has been in the past. He has a 3.33 ERA and a 44:8 K:BB ratio, neither of which are anything special and he has proven to be hittable of late, allowing 26 hits over his last four starts. Here, we play against National League home favorites with a moneyline of -125 to -175 that are averaging 5.0 or more rpg and after scoring nine or more runs last game going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is between 3.70 and 4.20. This situation is 33-14 (70.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (907) New York Mets | |||||||
05-26-19 | Braves v. Cardinals -151 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -151 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Cardinals snapped the Braves three-game winning streak last night and look to keep that going here before hitting the road for a big series against the Phillies. St. Louis scored four runs in the eighth inning to secure the victory and that positive momentum goes forward. St. Louis is now 8-0 in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season. The Braves are now 2.5 games behind the Phillies in the National League East and despite the win last night, the Braves are 5-11 in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. Jack Flaherty gets the ball for St. Louis and he has been on a roll since a shaky start to the season. He posted a 5.25 ERA through his first five starts but has a 2.50 ERA over his last five starts. Additionally, he has a 2.48 ERA in five home starts. Julio Teheran counters for Atlanta and while he has been dominant at home, he has a 4.46 ERA on the road. Here, we play against National League teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a slugging percentage of .430 or better and with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.00 over his last three starts going up against teams with a bullpen WHIP of 1.30 or better. This situation is 123-68 (64.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (962) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
05-25-19 | Rangers v. Angels -124 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. With the series opening win last night, Texas has now won five straight games to move to two games over .500 on the season. The Rangers picked up a rare road win on Friday as they are still just 8-15 on the highway and despite that victory, they are 3-7 in their last 10 road games against teams with a losing home record. The Angels have trended in the opposite direction as they are on a five-game losing streak with the offense averaging just 3.0 rpg over this stretch. Los Angeles is 35-17 in its last 52 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Tyler Skaggs has shown some inconsistency but he has pitched better than his overall records indicate. He has been very solid at home with a 3.00 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in three starts. Mike Minor has been shockingly good for the Rangers through 10 starts with a 2.64 ERA and 1.13 WHIP but they are just 5-5 in those games including 2-3 on the road where his numbers go up considerably. The Rangers are 1-6 in his last seven starts following a quality outing in his last start. Here, we play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 off a divisional win as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 32-8 (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (924) Los Angeles Angels | |||||||
05-24-19 | Diamondbacks -122 v. Giants | Top | 18-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Arizona got swept in San Diego as the pitching did its part but the bats got nothing going to make it five straight losses for the Diamondbacks. They are still two games over .500 on the road and after having yesterday off, Arizona looks to improve upon its 6-0 record in its last six games following an off day. The Giants have not been playing well all season as they are in last place in the National League West, seven games under .500, following losses in three of four games against the Braves. That dropped San Francisco to 10-15 at home and going back, the Giants are 8-22 in their last 30 home games against teams with a winning road record. Robbie Ray gets the ball for Arizona and he is having a solid season with a 3.25 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 10 starts. He has allowed more than three runs only once and that was against the Braves, the best hitting team in the National League. Arizona is 15-4 against the money line in his last 19 National League road games against teams with a batting average of .255 or worse. Drew Pomeranz counters for the Giants and he has struggled to a 5.66 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in eight starts. His numbers improve slightly at home but the Giants have given him just 2.00 rpg in three outings. This is a good chance for the offense to get out of its slump as Arizona is hitting .277 against left-handed pitching including .271 on the road. Here, we play on all National League favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games. This situation is 58-13 (81.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (961) Arizona Diamondbacks | |||||||
05-22-19 | Marlins v. Tigers -109 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Miami won the opener of this three-game series last night 5-4 in 11 innings to increase its season-best winning streak to four games. The run is certainly a surprising one as the Marlins came in 10-31 including losses in seven straight and 10 of 11 where they averaged just 1.7 rpg prior to this run. The Marlins are 18-42 in their last 60 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. It has been a horrible homestand for Detroit as it has lost its first seven games. The pitching has gotten destroyed by allowing an average of 8.1 rpg during this skid but we expect a bounce back tonight. Daniel Norris is coming off his worst outing statistically this season as he gave up six runs on seven hits, including two homers, over 5.1 innings against Oakland on Friday. The Marlins have scored just 45 runs on the road which is by far the fewest in the league and the are 7-21 in their last 28 road games against left-handed starters. Miami counters with Jose Urena and while he is coming off a pair of quality starts, he has been inconsistent all season, allowing four runs or more in four of his nine starts. He is getting just 0.7 rpg of support on the road and Miami has dropped his last four outings. Here, we play on home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher that are batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games going up against an opponent that is batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games. This situation is 48-12 (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (978) Detroit Tigers | |||||||
05-22-19 | A's v. Indians +115 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Wednesday Afternoon Dominator. We lost with the Indians last night, dropping the first two games of this series and they will be out this afternoon to avoid the sweep in what is another positive situation with value. While Cleveland was a slight favorite last night, it is an underdog at home today despite the favorable home/road splits and going back, the Indians are 16-5 in their last 21 games after losing the first two games of a series. Oakland has now won five straight games but remains nine games behind the Astros in the American League West. Frankie Montas is a big reason this line is what it is as he has put together a fine start to the season with a 2.67 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through his first nine starts. His numbers are the same on the road but Oakland is just 2-3 in his five road starts with the wins coming against Baltimore and Detroit. Cleveland turns to Jefry Rodriguez and he has been very solid as well with a 3.45 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through five starts. He has already beaten Oakland once and here, we play against American League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are hitting .260 going up against a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or better, starting a pitcher who walked one or fewer hitters each of his last two outings. This situation is 52-23 (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (964) Cleveland Indians | |||||||
05-21-19 | A's v. Indians -124 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -124 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. This line has come down quite a bit from the opening number as the value is squarely on the Indians now. Cleveland took three of four against Baltimore to end last weekend but lost the opener of this series against Oakland last night as it tried to rally from a 3-0 deficit but came up short. The Indians are still 14-9 at home which is the fourth best home record in the American League. Cleveland is 39-16 in its last 55 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Oakland has won four straight games as it swept the Tigers and despite the four straight road wins, Oakland is 9-15 for the season on the highway. Going back, the A's are 2-5 in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The A's look to remain hot against Trevor Bauer, who aims to rebound after allowing two homers and a career-high-tying seven earned runs Thursday against the Orioles. It was the second time in three outings he yielded seven earned runs. Despite this, he has a 3.76 ERA and 1.16 WHIP on the season. And he has dominated Oakland the last two seasons with a 1.32 ERA. The A's are 7-19 in their last 26 road games against a right-handed starters. Oakland counters with Chris Bassitt who has been strong through five starts but he has yet to face a strong offensive team. 10* (914) Cleveland Indians | |||||||
05-20-19 | Phillies v. Cubs -117 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Chicago took two of three in Washington over the weekend to make it a 3-3 roadtrip and keep its 1.5-game lead in the National League Central. The Cubs head back home where they are 15-6 on the season which is the third best home record in baseball behind the Astros and Dodgers. The Cubs are 17-6 when playing against a team with a winning record this season while going 21-7 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Philadelphia swept the Rockies over the weekend to increase its lead in the National League East to 2.5 games over the Braves. While this is clearly a talented team, the Phillies have benefitted from an easy schedule as 28 of their 46 games have taken place at home where they are 18-10 compared to 9-9 on the road. Going back, the Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 series openers. Jake Arietta gets the ball for Philadelphia and he is coming off his second straight start where he allowed four earned runs and we made the mistake of playing on him last time out. His home and road splits are nearly identical and the Phillies are 0-4 in his last four road starts against teams with a winning record. Yu Darvish counters for the Cubs and while he has been inconsistent, he is coming off one of his best starts which he can carry going forward. 10* (954) Chicago Cubs | |||||||
05-19-19 | Twins v. Mariners -105 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Minnesota put up 18 runs last night as the offense continues to dominate the Mariners pitching in this series, outscoring Seattle 36-11 in the first three victories. The Twins have now won five straight games to maintain a 505-game lead over the Indians in the American League Central. We expect those bats to cool off today however as they are facing the best Seattle starter in the rotation. Seattle opened this homestand with a pair of wins against Oakland and desperately needs a win before heading out on a six-game roadtrip. Yusei Kikuchi gets the ball for the Mariners and his 3.47 ERA and 1.07 WHIP both lead the teams among starters. He is coming off a no-decision in his last start against Oakland, which he allowed three runs on five hits over six innings against Oakland. That came after an impressive 10-1 victory in New York where he held the Yankees to just one run and three hits over 7.2 innings. He has tossed three straight quality outings. Kyle Gibson counters for Minnesota and he has had his share of struggles on the road, posting a 4.44 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in five starts but has benefited from big run support. Here, we play against teams that are batting .333 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 0.80 or better over his last three starts. This situation is 37-14 (72.5 percent over the last five seasons. 10* (928) Seattle Mariners | |||||||
05-18-19 | Astros v. Red Sox +101 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. We lost a tough one last night with the Red Sox in a low scoring game that Houston stole in the eighth inning. Rick Porcello entered the eighth inning having retired seven consecutive batters and with 91 pitches on his ledger but gave up a two-run home run to cement the Astros ninth straight win. Boston comes in as an underdog once again, albeit not nearly as large as Friday, but that is where the value is once again as the Houston winning streak is playing the biggest part in this number. Despite the loss, Boston has rebounded from a bad start to the season as it is now two games over .500 after a 17-8 run over its last 25 games and the Red Sox are 4-0 in their last four games following a loss. The Astros have the best home record in baseball but they are just three games over .500 on the road and going back, they are 2-5 in their last seven road games against teams with a winning record. Corbin Martin is coming off a successful Major League debut as he limited Texas to just two runs on three hits in 5.1 innings while striking out nine. That was at home however and now he is making his first ever road start against one of the best offenses in baseball. Hector Velazquez counters for Boston and while he has been limited in his pitch count, he is coming off his best start and was stretched to his longest outing of the season which is very encouraging. 10* (974) Boston Red Sox | |||||||
05-17-19 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -142 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Arizona is coming off an off day yesterday following an 11-1 win over Oakland to temporarily put a halt to a 1-4 run. The Diamondbacks are now 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the National League West and they are catching a lower than expected line here based on their below average 10-11 record at home. The offense has picked things up on this homestand as after scoring 11 runs in four games against Atlanta, they scored 22 runs in three games against Oakland. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last five games following an off day. San Francisco is coming off a 2-3 homestand to fall six games under .500 and its -39 scoring differential is third worst in the National League. The Giants are 0-4 in their last four games following a win while going 11-35 in its last 46 road games after batting .225 or worse over a five-game span. Jeff Samardzija is having a solid season with a 3.51 ERA and 1.15 WHIP but most of the success has come at home as he has a 4.43 ERA in four road starts. The Giants are 5-18 in his last 23 road starts against teams with a winning record. The Diamondbacks counter with Merrill Kelly who has pitched well with the exception of one bad start in Tampa Bay. Take that out and his ERA drops from 4.70 to 3.64 in his other seven starts. Here, we play on National League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better. This situation is 60-18 (76.9 percent) since 1997. 9* (912) Arizona Diamondbacks | |||||||
05-17-19 | Rockies v. Phillies -117 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Philadelphia has seen its lead in the National League East shrink to a game and a half over the Braves following an off day on Thursday. The Phillies didn't have it in the final three games against the Brewers as they were outscored 22-6 in the three losses following a series-opening win. This is the second worst three-game stretch for Philadelphia as it was held to two runs in three straight losses in late April and responded with a 6-0 win next time out and going back, it is 17-3 in its last 20 home games after batting .200 or worse over a three-game span. Colorado lost in Boston on Wednesday in extra innings as a five-run rally was for naught. The Rockies have been playing better after an awful start to the season but they are still inconsistent on the road and they are 2-5 in their last seven games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. The Phillies turn to Cole Irvin for his second start of the season. He was terrific in his major league debut last Sunday at Kansas City, tossing seven strong innings and allowing five hits and one run. The Rockies counter with Jon Gray who is struggling after a great start to the season. He has a 7.16 ERA and 1.78 WHIP over his last three starts and has allowed 10 runs over 10.1 innings in his last two road starts and in two career starts at Philadelphia, he has an 8.71 ERA and 1.65 WHIP. Here, we play on National League teams averaging 5.0 or better and with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 5.20. this situation is 75-35 (68.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (904) Philadelphia Phillies | |||||||
05-17-19 | Astros v. Red Sox +123 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Two potent offenses square off on Friday as well as a rematch from the postseason last year. The Red Sox bounced the then-defending World Series champion Astros in five games in last year's ALCS on their way to their own World Series title. The Astros lead the majors in runs scored in May (102 in 14 games), and the Red Sox are directly behind them (96 in 13). Boston has rebounded from a bad start to the season as it is three games over .500 as it is 17-7 over its last 24 games and has pulled to within four games of first place Tampa Bay in the American League East. Houston has won eight straight games and is already running away with the American League West as it has an eight-game lead over Seattle. Because of the winning streak and who is on the mound, the Astros come in as favorites but the value is on the Red Sox. Rick Porcello has been outstanding since two bad starts to open the season as he has a 3.47 ERA over his last six starts. Porcello hasn't lost since April 13, winning three of his five starts in that stretch. The Red Sox are 5-1 in his last six home starts against teams with a winning record. Gerrit Cole gets the ball for Houston and while he continues to strike out a lot of hitters, he has been proven hittable. In three starts in Boston, he has a 5.82 ERA. The Astros are 1-4 in his last five starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams that are batting .333 or better over their last five games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 0.80 or better over his last three starts. This situation is 38-10 (79.2 percent) since 1997. 9* (922) Boston Red Sox | |||||||
05-16-19 | Pirates v. Padres -127 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Padres have lost three straight games to finish their most recent roadtrip at 1-4 and they head back home where they have won six of their last nine games. The starting pitching has kept San Diego within reach of the Dodgers in the National League West where it is six games back as the starters have posted a 3.27 ERA which is one of the better marks in baseball. Going back, San Diego is 11-2 in its last 13 games after getting shutout to a divisional rival. The Pirates lost their series finale in Arizona 11-1 and with the exception of a couple solid efforts, the pitching has been brutal as they have allowed 6.7 rpg through the first seven games of this current roadtrip. For San Diego, Eric Lauer will be looking to rebound from the worst start of his young career while seeking to snap a personal three-game losing streak. He allowed eight runs in three innings but that came in Colorado and prior to that, he had a 4.30 ERA, which is not great by any stretch, but did have a 1.30 WHIP through his first seven starts. The Pirates are 0-5 in their last five games against left-handed starter. Trevor Williams counters for the Pirates and he has not been sharp as he has allowed 10 earned runs in his last 19 innings and has had a hard time keeping the ball on the ground. Williams, who is a native of San Diego, is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two career starts against the Padres, giving up eight runs on eight hits and two walks with nine strikeouts in 10 2/3 innings. 10* (960) San Diego Padres | |||||||
05-15-19 | Brewers v. Phillies -108 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Sweet Spot. Milwaukee snapped a three-game slide with a 6-1 win last night behind a solid effort from Brandon Woodruff as he allowed just one hit over six innings. The Brewers remain 2.5 games behind the Cubs in the National League Central but they are still two games under .500 on the road and despite the win last night, the Brewers are 2-6 in their last eight road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Philadelphia is still 3.5 games in front of the Mets and Braves for first place in the National League East. The Phillies are 15-8 at home which is the fifth best home record in baseball yet are laying a very short price tonight. The Phillies are 6-0 in their last six games following a loss. Jake Arrieta looks to bounce back from a poor outing in Kansas City where he allowed four runs including three home runs. He opened the season with five straight quality outings and has five in his seven starts and going back, the Phillies are 4-1 in his last five home starts against teams with a winning record. The Brewers will hand the ball to Gio Gonzalez, who is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA in three starts but he has yet to post a quality outing. Philadelphia is 26-10 in its last 36 home games against left-handed starters. 10* (906) Philadelphia Phillies | |||||||
05-14-19 | Cardinals -121 v. Braves | Top | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Cardinals are coming off a rough homestand where they went 2-5 including losses in their last three games against the Pirates and they are now three games over .500 on the season. St. Louis is 3.5 games behind the Cubs in the National League Central and going back, it is 6-2 in its last eight games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Atlanta meanwhile has won three straight games to conclude a 6-4 roadtrip. The Braves are just one game over .500 overall and right at .500 at home after starting the season 4-0 at SunTrust Park. Going back, the Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 games following an off day. Mike Foltynewicz gets the ball for Atlanta and he has struggled out of the gate following opening the season on the injury list. He has a 5.94 ERA and 1.44 WHIP through his first three starts, none of which have been quality outings. He has allowed five home runs after allowing just 17 home runs in 31 starts last season. The Braves are 1-7 in his last eight home starts against teams with a winning record. The Cardinals counter with Jack Flaherty who has been inconsistent this season but his command remain dominant and he possesses a 43:13 K:BB ratio. While his ERA is 4.32, his WHIP is 1.27 which is a better indication of how he has been pitching. 10* (957) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
05-13-19 | Astros v. Tigers +145 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our NBA Monday Sweet Spot. Houston is riding a five-game winning streak while winning eight of nine including a pair of blowouts of Texas over the weekend by a combined score of 26-9. The Astros improved to 16-4 at home but they are just 10-11 on the road yet they are a significant favorite here. The Tigers won in Minnesota yesterday to split the series with the Twins and they head back home where they are 9-8 on the season. The Tigers will go with their ace, left-hander Matthew Boyd, in the series opener. Boyd has posted seven consecutive quality starts, lasting at least six innings and allowing no more than three runs. He's 4-1 with a 2.58 ERA during that span. On the season, he has a stellar 63:00 K:BB ration and even though he is facing one of the best offenses in baseball, Detroit is 7-0 in his last seven starts as a home underdog of +125 to +175. The Astros will counter with Brad Peacock. He delivered a stellar performance against Kansas City on Wednesday, tossing seven scoreless innings and striking out 12. It was his third quality start of the season but he has followed up his last two with horrible outings, allowing 12 runs over 8.2 innings. The strikeout total from the last game is misleading as came in with 14 strikeout total over his previous four starts. Here, we play against teams that are batting .333 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 0.80 or better over his last three starts. This situation is 37-11 (77.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (908) Detroit Tigers | |||||||
05-12-19 | Reds v. Giants -101 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. San Francisco looks to avoid the series sweep on Sunday and we are getting a great number in a pitching mismatch. The Giants rallied from a 3-0 deficit yesterday to take the lead only to allow two more run for their third straight loss. The Reds have won three straight games behind some solid pitching as they have allowed just four runs over those three games but this is a chance for the Giants to bust out. The Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. To his credit, Tyler Mahle has pitched well this season with a 3.69 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in seven starts but he is winless and the Reds are 1-6 in those games. This is because he is getting just 1.29 rpg of support and we do not expect that to change here as Cincinnati is hitting just .194 against left-handed pitching on the road. Going back, the Reds are 0-8 in his last eight road starts. Madison Bumgarner may not be the dominating pitcher he once was, but he is pitching better than his 3.99 ERA indicates as he has a 1.15 WHIP to go along with a 51:8 K:BB ratio. The Giants are 19-9 in his last 28 starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (958) San Francisco Giants | |||||||
05-11-19 | Phillies -125 v. Royals | Top | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Kansas City picked up a rare win last night behind a strong effort from Homer Bailey to move to 14-25 on the season. Winning streaks have been few and far between for the Royals as they are 1-6 in their last seven games following a win and pitching remains the big issue as they have a 4.99 ERA which is fifth highest in baseball. Going back, the Royals are 1-8 in their last nine games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Philadelphia had a two-game winning streak halted with the loss last night but still has a three-game lead in the National League East over the Braves. They have not exactly been dominating on the road but that is keeping this number down with a big pitching edge. The Phillies are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss. Zach Eflin gets the ball for the Phillies and with the exception of one bad start in Miami, he has been solid this season. He has a 3.00 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in seven starts and is coming off a pair of quality outings where he allowed two runs over 16 innings. It was a good start for Brad Keller but he has posted a 5.82 ERA over his last four starts and his control is a real issue with a 36:28 K:BB ratio. The Royals are 1-5 in his last six starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (929) Philadelphia Phillies | |||||||
05-10-19 | Reds v. Giants +135 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Giants lost a tough one yesterday as they nearly rallied from a 7-0 deficit after two innings but eventually fell 12-11 to conclude a 3-3 roadtrip. San Francisco heads home where it is 7-9 but is catching a significant number here that is based solely on starting pitching. The Giants are 4-0 in their last four games following a loss. Cincinnati snapped a two-game slide with a win at Oakland yesterday but it still sits just 7-14 in the road. The Reds offense has been horrible on the road as they are hitting just .190 which is dead last in baseball. The Reds are 0-5 in their last five games following a win. The reason for this line is because of Luis Castillo who has turned into the ace of the Cincinnati rotation. He has a 1.97 ERA and 0.97 WHIP through his first eight starts but the Reds are just 4-4 in those games. Those numbers increase to a 2.55 ERA and 1.25 WHIP on the road where the Reds are 1-2, giving him just 3.3 rpg of production. The starting rotation for the Giants has been underperforming for the most part and a big piece of that has been Dereck Rodriguez following two straight poor outings. However, prior to those, he had a 3.54 ERA and 1.00 WHIP after his first five starts and he will be out for revenge after Cincinnati tagged him for eight runs last time out. 10* (964) San Francisco Giants | |||||||
05-09-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals -135 | Top | 4-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Cardinals remain home after losing two of three against the Phillies which includes losses in the last two games where they managed just one run total. They have lost six of their last seven games and are now in third place in the National League Central, a game and a half behind the Cubs. The Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight home games against teams with a winning road record. Pittsburgh is a game over .500 following a 3-2 homestand but it is -28 in scoring differential which is tied for second worst in the National League. The Pirates are 0-4 in their last four games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. Michael Wacha takes the hill for the Cardinals with a great opportunity to get back on track. He has put up some average numbers this season but taking a look at who he has faced explains a lot as he has taken on Milwaukee twice, Washington, Chicago and Los Angeles. He now faced the second lowest scoring offense in baseball. Even more in his defense, he has allowed three runs or less in four of his six starts. Since 2017, he has made three home starts against Pittsburgh and posted a 0.40 ERA. Joe Musgrove opened the season with five straight quality starts but is coming off a poor effort against Oakland, allowing seven runs in just 2.2 innings. In two career starts in St. Louis, Musgrove has allowed nine runs over 12 innings. 10* (906) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
05-08-19 | Twins v. Blue Jays +100 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Twins handed the reeling Blue Jays their fourth straight loss while Minnesota picked up its eighth win in 11 games. It was also a second straight shutout as Toronto was blanked by Jose Berrios after getting dominated by Martin Perez on Monday in the series opener. It was the Blue Jays' first time getting shut out in two straight games since July 9-10, 2015. Expect the bats to wake up tonight against Kyle Gibson. He was coming off a pair of quality starts, but both were against Baltimore, which came after three shaky outings to open the season and he was roughed up against the Yankees last time out. In three career starts at Rogers Centre, he has a 7.86 ERA and 1.86 WHIP. Trent Thornton has been a solid addition to the rotation despite not having picked up a win in seven starts. He has a 4.08 ERA but a 1.19 WHIP and in those seven starts, he has allowed three hits or less four times and has gone at five innings in all of those. He has also picked up 38 strikeouts in 35.1 innings and has fared much better than he was expected to when he came over from Houston in a trade last offseason. 10* (970) Toronto Blue Jays | |||||||
05-07-19 | Nationals -102 v. Brewers | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. It has not been a great start to the season for Washington which is six games under .500 following a 1-3 start to this roadtrip including a series opening loss last night. It was a case where the Nationals No. 1 ace came in as a slight underdog and lost and we get ace No. 2 tonight as a great price in a better situation. Milwaukee has now won four straight games and sits one game out of first place in the National League Central. The Brewers hand the ball to Adrian Houser who was lit up for five runs on nine hits in four innings in his first Major League start on April 22. Stephen Strasburg counters for Washington and he has posted just bad outing this season and he is currently in his best form with a 1.25 ERA and 0.78 WHIP over his last three starts. Washington is 16-2 in his last 18 road games against NL teams with an on base percentage .325 or worse. Here, we play on National League teams averaging 4.7 or more rpg against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games. This situation is 133-75 (63.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (901) Washington Nationals | |||||||
05-07-19 | Angels v. Tigers +130 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Detroit is coming off a series win against Kansas City over the weekend and while the Royals own the worst record in the American League, the Angels are not that much better yet the Tigers come in as the home underdog to open this series. Detroit is a respectable 8-6 at home and going back, the Tigers are 7-2 in their last nine home games against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles is coming off a pair of losses against Houston on Saturday and Sunday by a combined score of 24-6 and while the Astros and Tigers are not in the same category, being a road favorite here is a bit aggressive. Griffin Canning will be making his second start for Los Angeles and while the Angels won his Major League debut he did not pitch great, allowing three runs on four hits in 4.1 innings while tossing 82 pitches showing his command was way off. Daniel Norris counters for Detroit and he has been solid through three starts, the last two coming on the road. In his lone home start, he allowed just two hits and no runs over five innings against the White Sox and he can extend that here as the Angels are 1-7 in their last eight games against left-handed starters. 9* (922) Detroit Tigers | |||||||
05-07-19 | Mariners v. Yankees -144 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Yankees remain two games out of first place in the American League East as they have been playing a lot better after a relatively slow start that has coincided with numerous injuries. Even though they are six games over .500, they are four units down in the betting win column as their early numbers were severely overadjusted but are now very playable. Seattle opened the season 13-2 but it gone into a tailspin with wins in just six of their last 22 games. The Mariners are now three games behind Houston in the American League West and they hope to rebound from the loss yesterday behind Marco Gonzales and while he has been solid, he is coming off his worst start of the season and heads to New York where his first outing was forgettable as he allowed six runs on eight hits in six innings last June. Masahiro Tanaka has been up and down but he has allowed one earned run in three of his four home starts and in eight career starts against Seattle, he is 7-0 with a 2.02 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Seattle is 2-12 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season while the Yankees are 38-13 in their last 51 home games against teams with a winning record. 9* (916) New York Yankees | |||||||
05-06-19 | Twins v. Blue Jays -104 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Minnesota lost two of three games in New York over the weekend but still holds a two-game lead in the American League Central over Cleveland. The Twins are 9-7 on the road and this is where the pitching has really struggled as they have a 5.26 ERA which is third worst in baseball. Toronto concluded a 1-5 roadtrip with a pair of losses on Saturday and Sunday in Texas and after a solid run prior to this, the Blue Jays are now four games under .500 overall. Marcus Stroman has just one win this season but he is back to his old form that we saw to start his career. He has a 2.20 ERA and 1.20 WHIP through seven starts and he has been sensational at home with a 0.76 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in four starts. The lack of wins is due to 2.57 rpg of support but this should change tonight. Martin Perez is off to a perfect 4-0 start after three relief appearances and four starts but we cannot be sold on this guy. He had only one year with a sub-4.00 ERA in seven seasons in Texas and he has struggled on the road with a career 5.03 ERA. 10* (970) Toronto Blue Jays | |||||||
05-04-19 | A's v. Pirates -103 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Oakland snapped a six-game slide with a 14-1 win in Pittsburgh with that 14-run output being just one run short of those previous six games combined. They are still just 5-11 on the road and do not have much business being even money in this spot. Going back, the A's are 3-14 in their last 17 road games against teams with a losing record. Pittsburgh had its two-game winning streak snapped with the loss last night and has now fallen to 2-9 over its last 11 games after a red hot start to the season. The Pirates have lost six straight home games which is another reason this number is as low as it is which makes the contrarian approach more value loaded. Trevor Williams is coming off his first bad start of the season as he allowed five runs in six innings but that came against the Dodgers, the highest scoring team in the National League. He had tossed five straight quality outings to open the season and we expect him to get back to that form tonight and the same form that saw him post a 3.11 ERA in 31 starts last season. Chris Bassitt has looked sharp but has just two starts heading into tonight and Oakland is just 4-9 in his last 13 road starts. Here, we play on National League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are averaging 3.5 or fewer rpg going up against an opponent starting a pitcher who has given up one or less earned runs in his last two outings. His situation is 43-21 (67.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (980) Pittsburgh Pirates | |||||||
05-03-19 | Twins v. Yankees -148 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Yankees finished their most recent roadtrip with a 6-3 record although they did lose the final two games against Arizona as the offense was shutdown with just three runs total after averaging 6.6 rpg in the first seven games. New York returns home where it is a modest 8-7 which is keeping this number down as is the rash of injuries the Yankees have endured. But they are 5-1 in their last six games here and send new ace James Paxton to the hill. He is coming off a subpar effort against the Giants and in three road starts, he has a 7.20 ERA and 1.87 WHIP but Yankee Stadium has treated him well with a 0.46 ERA and 0.61 WHIP in three outings. In five starts against the Twins, he has a 2.51 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. Minnesota has won two straight games to complete a 6-1 homestand and it now has a three-game lead over the Indians in the American League Central. Kyle Gibson gets the ball for the Twins and he is in a tough spot here. He is coming off a pair of quality starts, but both were against Baltimore, which came after three shaky outings to open the season. In eight starts against the Yankees, he is 1-5 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.55 WHIP with the Twins losing seven of those games. 10* (918) New York Yankees | |||||||
05-02-19 | Rays -151 v. Royals | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. Tampa Bay took the opener of this series but after a postponement on Tuesday, the Rays were swept in the doubleheader yesterday, getting outscored a combined 11-4. Those losses snapped a three-game winning streak for Tampa Bay which remains two games ahead of the Yankees for first place in the American League East. The Rays are 14-3 in their last 17 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Kansas City was on a 2-8 run before the Wednesday sweep and while it has been better at home than on the road, the Royals are still two games under .500 at home. Yesterday can be considered a total aberration as going back, the Royals are 6-21 in their last 27 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Charlie Morton has been a great addition to the rotation as he has a 2.76 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through six starts as he has allowed more than two runs only once and that was against the potent Red Sox. Danny Duffy counters for Kansas City and he is coming off a shaky first start of the season and could be in trouble again as the Rays are 5-0 in their last five road games against left-handed starters. Tampa Bay falls into a simple yet effective situation where we play on American League road teams allowing 3.9 or fewer rpg on the season going up against an opponent allowing 4.9 or more rpg on the season. This situation is 102-52 (66.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (961) Tampa Bay Rays | |||||||
05-01-19 | Dodgers v. Giants +131 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 131 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. After winning the series opener on Monday, the Giants lost last night 10-3 as reliever Ty Blach allowed seven runs in the sixth and seventh inning. San Francisco is now just 6-9 at home including 1-4 on this current homestand but it is catching a solid price tonight with an advatnage on the hill. We played against the Dodgers Monday as they have been a much better team at home with a 12-4 compared to a now 8-8 record on the road. Madison Bumgarner takes the hill for the Giants and while they are 1-5 in his six starts with his ERA being 4.30, he has pitched much better than that. He has a 1.12 WHIP in those games to go along with a 35:5 K:BB ratio. He has tossed eight straight quality starts against the Dodgers, posting a 2.04 ERA over 53 innings in those games. Los Angeles sends Hyun-Jin Ryu to the hill and he is having a solid season with a 2.96 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in five starts but the success has mostly come at home. He has a 4.91 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in two road start with the Dodgers losing both games and it has not helped they have scored only three runs in those two games. 10* (910) San Francisco Giants | |||||||
04-30-19 | Yankees v. Diamondbacks -130 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Yankees have won 11 of 13 since sweeping a two-game series from Boston on April 16-17 and have won four straight series. They are coming off a weekend sweep of the Giants to move to 6-1 on this current roadtrip but they will be running into their biggest test thus far. Going back to last season, the Yankees are 1-11 in their last 12 games against the money line as road underdogs of +150 or less. Arizona has won 10 of 14 games despite dropping its last two games against the Cubs and it is still just two games out of first place in the National League West. C.C. Sabathia is expect to surpass 3,000 strikeouts tonight, making him just the third left-hander to do so, but he could struggle here on the road against after a bad start in Los Angeles against the Angels. The Diamondbacks are hitting .300 against left-handed pitching which is the best in baseball and it is far from a fluke as the they have 320 plate appearances which is fourth most in baseball. Arizona also leads baseball with 51 RBIs and 165 total bases against lefties. Since getting shelled in his first start of the season against the Dodgers, Zack Greinke has made five straight quality starts, winning four, and has 13 scoreless innings in his last two games. Despite this being considered a hitters park, he is 27-12 in his last 39 home starts. Here, we play against underdogs that are hitting.333 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA less than 2.50 over his last five starts. This situation is 41-8 (83.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (978) Arizona Diamondbacks | |||||||
04-29-19 | Dodgers v. Giants +139 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 139 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers hit the road following a three-game home sweep of the Pirates to improve to 19-11 and maintained their two-game lead over the Padres in the National League West. While it is 12-4 at home, Los Angeles is just 7-7 on the road and going back, the Dodgers are 2-6 in their last eight games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. The Giants meanwhile were swept by the Yankees over the weekend but going back, San Francisco is 40-26 in its last 66 games after three or more consecutive home games. Jeff Samardzija gets the ball for the Giants and hopes to continue his decent start to the season as he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his five starts to post a 3.00 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. In two home starts, he has a 2.31 ERA and 0.94 WHIP with the Giants winning both of those games. Kenta Maeda counters for Los Angeles and he is coming off one of his worst career outings. He allowed six runs on seven hits in four innings against the Cubs and he now has a 5.20 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in five starts including a 7.53 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in three road starts. He has a 4.58 ERA in 11 career appearances against the Giants while going 0-2 with an 8.16 ERA in six appearances in San Francisco. Here, we play on National League home teams with an on base percentage of .300 or worse on the season while batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games. This situation is 156-106 (60 percent) since 1997. 10* (910) San Francisco Giants | |||||||
04-26-19 | Angels v. Royals +111 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Angels salvaged the final game against the Yankees last night with an 11-5 win and temporarily ended a 1-9 run. The Royals are back home following a 10-game roadtrip where they went just 3-7 but they are riding a three-game home winning streak. Danny Duffy was cleared for his big-league return earlier in the week after striking out seven in 5.1 scoreless innings in his rehab start for Double-A Northwest Arkansas on Saturday. In three career home starts against the Angels, he has a 2.37 ERA with all three starts being quality outings and the Royals winning all three of those. Tyler Skaggs has struggled in two road starts, posing a 6.23 ERA and 1.50 WHIP and this will be his first start since April 12 after going on the injury list with an ankle injury. 10* (976) Kansas City Royals | |||||||
04-26-19 | A's v. Blue Jays -128 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Blue Jays closed a seven-game roadtrip with a three-game sweep at Oakland to finish 6-1 but they returned home by losing both games against the Giants. Tonight will mark the highly anticipated debut of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. so the home edge will be even bigger with the crowd factor as a sellout could be expected. Oakland bounced back from the Toronto sweep by sweeping the Rangers to open the week and come in just 4-5 on the road. Marcus Stroman struggled last season but he has bounced back as he has a 1.76 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in five starts and while the Blue Jays are 1-4 in those games, it is due to 2.2 rpg of support. Mike Fiers put together a pair of great outings but has struggled over his last three games, posting a 16.20 ERA, allowing six runs in each of those games. 9* (966) Toronto Blue Jays | |||||||
04-25-19 | Braves v. Reds -134 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Cincinnati held on for a 7-6 win in this series opener before being shut down last night 3-1 behind a solid start from Mike Soroka for the Braves plus 3.1 innings of no-hit baseball from the bullpen. The Reds are now 5-2 in their last seven home games and send their ace to the hill tonight to win this series. The Braves have been an early disappointment as they are just 12-11 after winning the division last season as the pitching has been a major letdown with a 4.57 ERA, fourth worst in the National League. Julio Teheran has been a big part of that as he has a 5.61 ERA through five starts including an 8.59 ERA in three road outings. Luis Castillo has been just the opposite as he has allowed two runs or less in all five of his starts for a 1.47 ERA and 0.88 WHIP, second and third respectively in the National League. This should come as no surprise as he posted a 2.44 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 11 starts after the break last season. 10* (906) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
04-24-19 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates -115 | Top | 11-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Pirates have lost the first two games of this series and three straight overall as the offense has hit a wall by scoring just seven runs total during this skid. Pittsburgh was not necessarily lighting it up before that but had been producing much more consistently. The Pirates are now a game out in the National League Central and they will bank on their pitching against tonight while the offense has a good chance to bust out. Pittsburgh leads the National League with a 2.97 team ERA and it sends Jordan Lyles to the hill and he has been awesome. He has allowed one run or less in all three of his starts to post a 0.53 ERA and 0.88 WHIP with Pittsburgh winning all three games. Arizona is now 6-2 on this current roadtrip to move two games over .500 overall and it trails the Dodgers by a game and a half in the National League West. Merrill Kelly opened his Major League career with a pair of quality outings but he has struggled in his last two starts, allowing seven runs over 8.2 innings. He brings in a 5.59 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in two road starts. The Diamondbacks are 3-9 in their last 12 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game while the Pirates are 7-1 in their last eight games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. 10* (958) Pittsburgh Pirates | |||||||
04-22-19 | Brewers +142 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-13 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. This is already the third series of the season between the Brewers and Cardinals, with the first two taking place in Milwaukee, both series won by the home team. St. Louis remains home after a series win over the Mets and it now is tied with the Brewers for second place in the National League Central, one game behind the Pirates. Milwaukee is catching a very good price here mainly because it is starting a pitcher making his Major League debut but that does not guarantee a Cardinals win. Adrian Houser got the call for tonight and for good reason. Houser has made three starts for San Antonio and owns a 1.10 ERA. He has worked 16.1 innings, managed 18 strikeouts, walked three, and the only runs he has allowed have come off a pair of solo homers. Jack Flaherty counters for St. Louis and he has been inconsistent through four starts with the two worst coming against the Brewers where he has an 11.57 ERA over just seven innings combined. 10* (955) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
04-21-19 | Braves v. Indians -118 | Top | 11-5 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
This a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Cleveland and Atlanta split a pair of games yesterday with the Indians taking Game One and the Braves taking Game Two as they rallied from a 7-0 deficit after two innings including scoring nine runs in the top of the ninth inning to win 8-7. Cleveland looks to win the series tonight and improve upon its 6-2 record at home and make up for that disaster last night. Both starters are off to fantastic starts with Max Fried posting a 0.92 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in three starts and Shane Bieber posting a 1.71 ERA and 0.81 WHIP through his first three starts. Bieber is in better position tonight as his falls into a solid contrarian situation where we play on American League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with an on-base percentage of .320 or less against a team with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.55 or worse, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games. This situation is 48-20 (70.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (930) Cleveland Indians | |||||||
04-19-19 | Mariners v. Angels -115 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Seattle won the first game of this series 11-10 last night after nearly blowing a 10-2 lead to send the Angels to their fourth straight loss. Los Angels is now 8-11 and in last place in the American League West but most of the damage has come on the road where it is 2-9 compared to 6-2 at home, with the six-game winning streak snapped on Thursday. Seattle is now tied with Houston atop the division as its 9-1 road record is the best in baseball but we expect the seven-game run to end tonight. Marco Gonzales is making his sixth start and while he has been effective, he has not been overly dominating and this will be just his second true road start after posting a 4.33 ERA in 15 road starts last season. Felix Pena counters for the Angels and after a rough first outing against Oakland, he has been good in his last two starts despite being on a short leash. The Angels are 4-0 in his last four home starts. 10* (926) Los Angeles Angels | |||||||
04-17-19 | Indians v. Mariners +120 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. After a red hot 13-2 start to the season, the Mariners have cooled off with five straight losses and they look to salvage the final game of this homestand before hitting the road for a six-game trek. Cleveland has won two straight games after getting swept in Kansas City and it has been a shaky start for the favorites to win the American League Central. Erik Swanson will be making his first career start today in place of injured Wade LeBlanc. Swanson, who came to Seattle as part of the James Paxton trade with the New York Yankees, threw two innings of relief in his debut Thursday in Kansas City. He allowed two earned runs on three hits, while walking two and striking out four and while that stat line is not great, he got his opening jitters out of the way. Carlos Carrasco will be making his fourth start of the season and after a solid outing against Toronto in his second start, he was lit up for six runs on six hits in just two-thirds of an inning last time out against the Royals. He allowed nine runs in 8.2 innings against the Mariners in two starts last season. 10* (918) Seattle Mariners | |||||||
04-16-19 | Astros v. A's +145 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Astros have won nine straight games including a three-game sweep in Seattle over the weekend and they have taken over the lead in the American League West over Seattle which has cooled off after a huge start to the season. Oakland had a four-game winning streak snapped with a loss in Texas on Sunday which came on the heels of a four-game losing streak to open its nine-game roadtrip. Oakland has won five of its last six home games as it has been dominant with its pitching, allowing just 12 runs during that six-game stretch. The A's send Marco Estrada to the hill as he has been solid at home with a 1.59 ERA in two starts but the Oakland bullpen has let him down as he has failed to pick up a win as the A's are 0-2 in those games. Colin McHugh counters for the Astros and he has been in great form through four starts, allowing three runs or less in each. He has gone 9-1 with a 2.73 ERA in 18 games, including 12 starts, against the A's in his career. But most of that success has come at home as he's just 2-1 with a 4.98 ERA in six appearances, four as a starter, in Oakland. 10* (976) Oakland A's | |||||||
04-15-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers -131 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. We played against Milwaukee yesterday in Los Angeles as the Brewers had a two-game winning streak snapped but it remains in first place in the National League Central by a half-game over the Cardinals. The Brewers return home where they are 5-2 and hosting the Cardinals for a second time in the early part of the season. The Milwaukee starting pitching has been a liability thus far but we think it turns around against a struggling Cardinals offense. St. Louis has won six of its last seven games to move to within a half-game of the Brewers and remain a half-game ahead of the Pirates. Going back, the Brewers are 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss. Freddy Peralta looks to snap out of his early season funk as he was shelled by the Angels last time out, allowing seven runs in just 3.1 innings. That came after a gem against the Reds where he tossed eight scoreless innings and allowed just two hits while striking out 11 and walking none. That shows what he is capable of after a great first half last season. Dakota Hudson has a 2.79 ERA in his first two starts but he has a WHIP of 2.07 which is a better indication of how he is really pitching. He allowed four runs on seven hits, including three home runs, in just 4.1 innings in his first start against the Brewers. 10* (906) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
04-14-19 | Brewers v. Dodgers -137 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Despite six straight losses to fall to 8-8 on the season, the Dodgers still lead the National League in scoring differential at +16. The offense has been held in check during this skid as Los Angeles is averaging just 3.0 rpg after averaging 10.5 rpg through its first eight games. Th e power is still there as the Dodgers have homered in 28 straight home games, dating to Aug. 21, which is second-most in MLB history. The Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine games after losing the first two games of a series. The Brewers sit atop the National League Central Division by a game and a half over the Cardinals yet they have been kind of the opposite of Los Angeles as they are five games over .500 but are at 0 in scoring differential. Jhoulys Chacin is coming off his first quality start of the season but it was not a great outing as he allowed two home runs, the second time he has done that in three starts. Ross Stripling is coming off his worst start of the season which came on the road after posting a 2.31 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in his first two starts which both came at home. 10* (962) Los Angeles Dodgers | |||||||
04-12-19 | Brewers v. Dodgers -140 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot .After a red hot start to the season, the Dodgers were swept in St. Louis to start the week which snapped a five-game winning streak. Los Angeles returns home where it is 5-2 with both losses coming by a combined three runs and going back, the Dodgers are 18-7 in their last 25 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Milwaukee is now tied with the Cardinals for first place in the National League Central after suffering its third straight loss on Wednesday while getting swept against the Angels. The Brewers were 3-0 on the road prior to this but the first series came against the Reds and since then, the pitching has been disastrous by allowing 8.0 rpg over their last six games. We played against Corbin Burnes in his last start as he was shelled against the Cubs, allowing seven runs in five innings which came after a decent start in his Major League opener against the Cardinals. This will be his first ever road start and it could not come at a worse time. Julio Urias is also making his third start after being limited to just 77 and 74 pitches in his first two starts. He has been great at home with a 3.05 ERA in 14 career games. 10* (960) Los Angeles Dodgers | |||||||
04-10-19 | Yankees +104 v. Astros | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Yankees have dropped two straight games to fall back under .500 for the season and they currently sit 3.5 games behind Tampa Bay for first place in the American League East. Houston meanwhile has won five straight games, all coming at home and because of the opposing records, we are catching great value with the Yankees. The Astros are 4-0 this season in one run games so they have been pretty fortunate. The Yankees are 40-11 in their last 51 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game while the Astros are 2-5 in their last seven games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. That starter in question tonight is James Paxton who will work on extended rest in what will be his third start for the Yankees after facing Baltimore twice. He recorded nine strikeouts over 5.1 innings in his previous appearance. Paxton is 7-3 with a 2.89 ERA over 12 career starts against the Astros and won all four starts against Houston last season while pitching for the Mariners. Colin McHugh counters for Houston and he is coming off a quality outing in his last start. He is 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA over five career appearances (three starts) against the Yankees. Here, we play against home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game and with a WHIP under 1.20 the last 10 games. This situation is 41-18 (69.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (969) New York Yankees | |||||||
04-09-19 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks -132 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Rangers opened the season 5-3 but they have dropped three straight games, all on the road, while scoring a total of four runs over those three defeats. The 5-5 record is still impressive considering four of those victories came against the Cubs and Astros with two each. Texas is in rebuilding mode so the recent stretch is more indicative of what we should expect throughout the entire season. Going back, the Rangers are 1-6 in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Arizona took the first two games against Boston before getting shut out on Sunday, managing only three hits. The Diamondbacks are also 5-5 but it has been the opposite reversal as they allowed 42 runs against the Dodgers in their first four games but have given up just 4.2 rpg over their last six games. Zack Greinke got roughed up in his first start against Los Angeles but bounced back with a quality outing against the Padres and he will be making his first home start of the season. He posted a 2.55 ERA and 1.04 ERA in 17 home starts last season and he has a 3.28 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 58 careers starts at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks are 25-12 in his last 37 home starts. Mike Minor shut out the Astros for seven innings in his last game but he now makes his first road start of the season and going back, he is 0-9 in nine road Interleague starts. 9* (926) Arizona Diamondbacks | |||||||
04-09-19 | Braves v. Rockies -120 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. This is a good spot for Colorado to bounce back from what has been a rough start to the season. The Rockies lost 8-6 last night which was the fourth straight loss and they have dropped eight of their past nine games to fall five games behind the Dodgers in the National League West. It is still very early and Colorado is catching a great price tonight to notch its first home win of the season. The Braves opened the season by getting swept against the Phillies but have gone on to win six of their last seven games including their first road win on the season last night. They hand the ball to Max Fried who after two relief appearances, made his first start last Thursday against the Cubs and was outstanding as he allowed just one hit and no runs over six innings. This will be his first taste of Coors Field, however. Colorado counters with German Marquez who has opened the season with a pair of quality outings on the road and he is responsible for two of the three total wins for the Rockies. Marquez has been consistently good since the 2018 All-Star Game as he is 7-3 with a 2.38 ERA in 106 innings since then, striking out 138 while walking only 26. Here, we play on National League home teams with an on base percentage of .300 or worse, after allowing eight runs or more in two straight games. This situation is 39-16 (70.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (908) Colorado Rockies | |||||||
04-09-19 | Mariners v. Royals +101 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Mariners have scored at least five runs in 11 of their 12 games and are the first team in the majors to reach 10 victories. This certainly is not going to last we think the offense comers back down to earth tonight after putting up 25 runs over the last two games. This is a tough spot on the other side through as the bullpen had to work eight innings last night after starting pitcher Felix Hernandez had to leave after just one inning. After a 2-0 start to the season, the Royals have lost seven straight games. Through nine games this season, the bullpen has allowed 27 runs (all earned) on 36 hits in 27.1 innings for an 8.89 ERA which is second worst in baseball. Marco Gonzales is in a pressure spot for the Mariners as he will be asked to go a long way in this one to give the bullpen a break. He is coming off a quality outing in his last start but he heads to Kansas City where he has struggled, allowing nine runs in 6.1 innings over two starts. Jakob Junis is coming off a quality start in his last game and is back home where he has faced Seattle twice and has dominated, allowing just one run on five hits in two starts covering 15 innings. Here, we play on teams after a loss by six runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more two straight games. This situation is 42-20 (67.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (922) Kansas City Royals | |||||||
04-08-19 | Dodgers v. Cardinals +104 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers are off to an 8-2 start following a five-game winning streak that included a weekend three-game sweep at Coors Field where the offense erupted for 29 runs. Los Angeles leads baseball with the best average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage so the fact it is favored here should be no surprise as well as the public being all over them. The Cardinals salvaged the series finale with a 4-1 win over the Padres after dropping the first two games. They were held in check by the Padres pitching and going back, St. Louis is 16-4 in its last 20 games after scoring four runs or less in three straight games. We played against Miles Mikolas in his opening start as he lost at Milwaukee and he followed that up with a better start at Pittsburgh. He is now back home for the first time this season where he posted a 2.17 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 16 starts last season. Hyun-Jin Ryu is off to a solid start with a 2.08 ERA and 0.77 WHIP through two starts but those came at home and he has been less effective on the road throughout his career. While the Dodgers offense has been solid, they actually fall into a contrarian situation where we play against National League teams with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games. This situation is 44-16 (73.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (956) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
04-07-19 | Marlins v. Braves -145 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. A two-run home run in the ninth inning sent Miami to a 4-2 victory over the Braves on Saturday but we expect some redemption on Sunday. The Marlins broke their four-game losing streak and snapped Atlanta's four-game winning streak. Miami also ended Atlanta's nine-game home winning streak dating back to last season and snapped the Braves' nine-game head-to-head winning streak against the Marlins. After allowing 23 runs in a three-game sweep against the Phillies, Atlanta has allowed just 12 runs over its last five games and the streak was started by Sean Newcomb who did not allow a run in his opening start. He went just four innings as he logged 91 pitches against the Cubs but he has an excellent matchup here as in four starts against Miami last season, he went 4-0 with a 0.75 ER and 1.00 WHIP. Caleb Smith counters for the Marlins and he is coming off a solid opening start against the Mets but had to settle for a no-decision. This is also a good matchup for Atlanta which is the best hitting team in baseball against left-handed pitching since the start of last season. 10* (904) Atlanta Braves | |||||||
04-06-19 | Cubs +118 v. Brewers | Top | 14-8 | Win | 118 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. We lost with the Cubs last night as they fell behind big early and made two rallies only to fall short. Jose Quintana was a huge disappointment as the pitching continues to struggle but the offense remains hot despite losing six straight games. Chicago leads baseball with a .307 average and its 46 runs are tied for fifth most but it has not been enough. Milwaukee meanwhile has won six straight games to maintain its three-game lead in the National League Central as the offense scored more than five runs for the first time this season. Cole Hamels got lit up for five runs in five innings against Texas in his first start but that came in a very hitter-friendly ballpark and he has a great chance to rebound here as he is 7-3 with a 3.60 ERA in 15 career starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers counter with Corbin Burnes who is making his second start of his young career. He appeared in 30 games as a relief pitcher in 2018, and he gave up four runs in five innings in his starting debut March 31 against the Cardinals. The Cubs have a great opportunity to light it up again and get rid of this losing streak. 10* (957) Chicago Cubs | |||||||
04-05-19 | Cubs +115 v. Brewers | 10-13 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Friday Annihilator. Milwaukee is off to a 6-1 start and has an early 2.5-game lead in the National League Central. It has not been overall dominating as the Brewers have won five games by a one-run margin and one game by a two-run margin. The Cubs are off to a dreadful 1-5 start and the schedule has played a part as this is their third straight road series to open the season. Miller Park becomes "Wrigley North" during Cubs games because of the number of fans who travel from Chicago to the games in Milwaukee and since the Cubs have not had a home game in 2019 yet, a lot of Cub fans are calling this weekend's series the Cubs home opener. Chicago leads the majors with a .307 average but pitching has been the issue for Chicago as its 6.93 ERA is second highest in baseball. Jose Quintana will be making his first start but he has already pitched after the Cubs used him for a four-inning relief stint Saturday that was scripted before the game. This is a good matchup as he is 6-2 with a 1.62 ERA against the Brewers including a 4-1 record and 2.13 ERA in seven starts last season. Brandon Woodruff is making his second start after a decent outing against the Cardinals where we went five innings and allowed two runs. In two starts against the Cubs, he has a 6.23 ERA over 8.2 innings. 9* (907) Chicago Cubs | |||||||
04-05-19 | Mariners v. White Sox +116 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 116 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Friday Afternoon Dominator. The White Sox were scheduled for their home opener yesterday but it was rained out well in advance and they will get that opportunity on Friday. Chicago opened with a pair of losses in Kansas City but has won two of its last three games including an 8-3 win in Cleveland in it most recent game on Wednesday. Seattle is the surprise through the first week of the season as it is off to a 7-1 start that included a pair of wins over Oakland in Japan and then took three of four against the Red Sox followed by a pair of wins over the Angels to complete a 5-1 homestand. Yusei Kikuchi has already made two starts, the latest coming against Boston where he tossed a quality outing but was fortunate more damage was not done as the two runs he allowed were two solo home runs. This is his first true road start and it will be his first ever start in cold weather as temperatures are supposed to remain in the 40s throughout the afternoon. Reynaldo Lopez counters for the White Sox and he is coming off a rough opening start but we can expect a bounce back here as he posted a 3.63 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 15 home starts last season. 10* (922) Chicago White Sox | |||||||
04-04-19 | Rangers v. Angels -143 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -143 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Texas is off to a surprisingly good 4-2 with series wins over World Series contenders the Astros and Cubs. Both of those series came at home though and the Rangers hit the road for the first time this season. Meanwhile, the Angels had a much needed day off yesterday after losing five of six games to open the season while averaging a mere 2.2 rpg in the process. The pitching has kept them in games, especially the bullpen where its 1.47 ERA is second best in baseball. A return home is exactly what is needed. While Matt Harvey was not lights out in his Angels debut, he was effective and recorded a quality start going six innings allowing only two runs on four hits, but he got a no-decision. He made only bad mistake which came in the sixth inning when Khris Davis hit a two-run home run. Injuries have derailed what could have been a great career but pitching in warm weather will help him and after a drop in his velocity, it is back up to where it was back in 2015. Edinson Volquez counters for the Rangers and he was tagged for four runs on six hits and four walk in four innings in his opening start. It was his first since July of 2017 as he is back following Tommy John surgery. 10* (970) Los Angeles Angels | |||||||
04-04-19 | Royals -104 v. Tigers | 4-5 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS for our MLB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. After opening the season 2-0, the Royals have taken it on the chin with losses in their last three games as the pitching has been an utter disaster. The starting pitching has been adequate with a 4.08 ERA but the bullpen has posted a 7.27 ERA which is fourth worst in baseball. The good news for today is that it will be sold in Detroit, which is an advantage for the pitching and they face a Tigers offense that is hitting just .161 while scoring a total of 12 runs through seven games (1.71 rpg). Detroit is off to a 4-3 start including a pair of big underdog wins at New York against the Yankees to conclude that series. While shutting down the Yankees offense was commendable, New York is banged up so they were far from full strength. Jakob Junis is coming off a solid opening start as he was one-third of an inning away from a quality outing. He pitched great down the stretch last season with a 3.35 ERA and 1.25 WHIP after the All Star Break. Junis dominated the Tigers last season, as he went 4-0 with a 1.95 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in five starts. Spencer Turnbull had an uneven opening start and this will be his fifth career start after a late call-up last season. 9* (959) Kansas City Royals | |||||||
04-03-19 | Red Sox -138 v. A's | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Boston offense started the season lighting it up as it averaged 6.0 rpg through its first four games but has been shut out in consecutive games for the first time since 2015. The Red Sox are tied with the Angels for the worst record in baseball so the World Series hangover is firmly in place but it is just a matter of time they get back to their winning ways. Oakland has won four straight games after a 1-3 start and the pitching has been the story. They have allowed a total of three runs over the four-game winning streak and in their five wins overall, they have allowed just those three runs. Nathan Eovaldi will be making his second start of the season and while we won by backing him in his season opener, it was not because of him. He allowed six runs over five innings as the long ball did him in. He allowed three home runs after allowing the same amount over 54 innings with the Red sox last season so we should expect a bounce back here. Marco Estrada had an excellent two starts as he has allowed just two runs in 11 innings but both games resulted in losses. Facing Boston is not a good thing as he posted a 7.98 ERA in three starts against them last season. 10* (925) Boston Red Sox | |||||||
04-03-19 | Brewers v. Reds -109 | 1-0 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Wednesday Afternoon Dominator. Cincinnati has dropped the first two games of this series by identical 4-3 scores and it looks to avoid the sweep this afternoon. The Reds have dropped three games in a row after winning their season opener against the Pirates and they have scored a total of six runs over the three-game skid but have a chance to break out here. Milwaukee opened 1-1 but has won its last four games to take early control of the National League Central. The Brewers have won six of the last seven meetings but have been favorites in all of those games and they are a slight underdog here for a reason. Luis Castillo is coming off a successful debut, allowing just one run on two hits in 5.2 innings. The matchup is tougher but in three home starts against the Brewers, he has a 2.29 ERA covering 19.2 innings. Freddy Peralta did not have the same opening start as he was lit up for four runs on six hits in three innings. He faced the Reds here twice last season, where he allowed eight runs in 9.1 innings. 9* (902) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
04-02-19 | Mets v. Marlins +123 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Mets are off to a 3-1 start largely in part to an offense that has averaged 6.3 rpg but we expect that offense to slow down tonight after scoring seven runs in the series opener on Monday. That offense will likely be needed with Jason Vargas taking the hill for his first start of the season. He had an ugly season in New York last year as he posted a 5.77 ERA and 1.41 WHIP and he is coming off an average spring where he allowed nine runs over 18 innings. Since his torrid start to the 2017 season that landed him in the All-Star game, he owns a 6.04 ERA over his last 35 starts. Miami is not expected to do much this season but a 2-2 series split against Colorado to open the season was a positive for sure prior to the 7-3 loss last night. Jose Urena was the opening day starter and while he had a rough outing, that was against the potent Rockies and we can expect him to settle in here. He has put together solid back-to-back seasons, posting a 3.90 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over 65 games and the Mets have been a good target as he has a 3.38 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 14 games including 10 starts. 10* (956) Miami Marlins | |||||||
04-01-19 | Red Sox -129 v. A's | 0-7 | Loss | -129 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. We have been on Boston twice this season with mixed results as the Red Sox won the first time following a loss but they fell yesterday against the Mariners 10-8 as a late rally fell short. Rick Porcello was far from sharp but of the nine runs he allowed, only four were earned runs as a costly fielding error doomed Boston in a seven-run third inning it could not recover from. Oakland lost its first two games of the season in Japan but bounced back by taking three of four games against the Angels thanks to stellar pitching. They allowed a total of three runs in those three wins but that pitching will be challenged tonight. Aaron Brooks won the fifth spot in the rotation after posting a 4.40 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 14.1 innings. In three major league seasons, Brooks has gone 3-5 with an 8.01 ERA in 60.2 innings. Boston counters with David Price so this is another situation where we are on a top line starters going against the bottom of the rotation. He was solid last season by going 16-7 with a 3.58 ERA. Going back, the Red Sox are 23-7 in hia last 30 starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. 9* (921) Boston Red Sox | |||||||
04-01-19 | Astros -158 v. Rangers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. The Astros are looking for offense and heading to hitter-friendly Globe Life Park in Arlington should do just that. Houston scored just four runs in the last three games after winning the season opener 5-1 against the Tampa Bay, their lone win in the series. One of the favorites to get back to the World Series after winning the title in 2017, the Houston offense produced just single runs in both losses on Saturday and Sunday. Texas lost its season opener on Thursday against the Cubs but responded with a pair of wins over the weekend, the offense doing the damage by scoring 19 runs over the two games. Brad Peacock takes the hill for Houston and after a solid 2017 season, he landed in the bullpen last year because of all of the quality starters. He has a solid spring with a 2.76 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over 16.1 innings. Drew Smyly will be making his first start since 2016, working his way back from Tommy John surgery in June 2017. Houston is 32-10 in its last 42 road games after allowing three runs or less two straight games while Texas is 1-13 in its last 14 home games against American League teams allowing 3.9 or fewer rpg. 9* (919) Houston Astros | |||||||
04-01-19 | Brewers v. Reds +102 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. The Pirates knocked off the Reds 5-0 on Sunday for their first win, earning a split of their rain-abbreviated season-opening series. Cincinnati took the season opener with a 5-3 victory before a day off Friday and a rainout on Saturday which gives the Reds a starting pitching advantage with the middle of their rotation compared to the bottom of the rotation for the Brewers. Milwaukee took three of four games against the Cardinals at home mostly in part to Christian Yelich who homered in all four games. Milwaukee sends Zach Davies to the hill who won the fifth spot in the rotation despite an awful spring. After going 17-9 with a 3.90 ERA in 2017, he spent the bulk of last season on the DL with rotator cuff inflammation and made just one start. Tanner Roark counters for the Reds who has a career 3.59 ERA entering his seventh season, the first six with the National. Against the Brewers, he is 4-2 in eight games, seven starts, with a 2.68 ERA. In 2018, he was 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA against Milwaukee. The Reds are 7-1 in their last eight games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (904) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
03-31-19 | Red Sox -138 v. Mariners | Top | 8-10 | Loss | -138 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. For a second straight game, Boston scored three runs in the top of the ninth inning but unlike winning by a run on Friday, the Red Sox lost by a run last night. They are now 1-2 to open the season and after playing on them Friday off a loss, we will do the same here. The pitching has been abysmal as Boston has allowed 24 runs in three games and its 7.92 ERA is fourth worst in baseball. Rick Porcello looks to stop the bleeding and he should be able to as he has a 3.44 ERA in five starts against Seattle since coming to Boston and he is coming off a very solid spring. The same cannot be said for Wade LeBlanc who posted a 5.73 ERA during spring training over 11 innings. While the season may still be young, Boston has the second most at-bats against left-handed pitching with 59 and has the third best average among teams with at least 30 at-bats and that familiarity will pay off today. 10* (977) Boston Red Sox | |||||||
03-30-19 | Giants +119 v. Padres | Top | 3-2 | Win | 119 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Giants are off to a 0-2 start and while the pitching has been solid by allowing just six runs, the offense has done nothing by plating only one run in the two games. The game ended with Gerardo Parra and Brandon Belt both screaming at home-plate umpire Lance Barksdale over questionable called third strikes that left the bases loaded and the Giants winless. The offense can break out tonight however against Nick Margevicius who is making his Major League debut after a fairly average spring. The win marked the first time since 2011 that the Padres opened the season with two straight wins and they face Dereck Rodriguez who had a sensational rookie season and dominated the Padres in both starts, posting a 1.29 ERA and 0.79 WHIP over 14 innings. 10* (911) San Francisco Giants | |||||||
03-29-19 | Red Sox -136 v. Mariners | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The defending World Series Champion Red Sox were unable to get off to a winning start as Chris Sale was shelled for seven runs on six hits including three home runs in just three innings. They will send out Nathan Eovaldi tonight who pitched only seven innings in the spring but the main focus was to keep him healthy. His performance is the World Series run was a huge reason they even won it all, pitching several times on short rest out of the pen and even making a whole start in extra innings at one point. Seattle is off to a 3-0 start after last night and a pair of wins in Japan to start the season last week. The Mariners turn to Yusei Kikuchi who will be making his second start of the season after tossing 4.2 average innings against Oakland. This is a good historic bounce back spot for Boston as the Red Sox are 45-19 in their last 64 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (965) Boston Red Sox | |||||||
03-28-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers -101 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Opening Day Sweet Spot. Milwaukee will be out for another postseason run following a near miss last season, falling one game shy of a trip to the World Series. Unfinished business has been the theme of the offseason and we expect the Brewers to come out strong which we expect to happen opening day at a ridiculously small price. The Cardinals are coming off a disappointing season last year where they finished third in the National League Central and will be chasing once again. The lineup improved with Paul Goldschmidt coming over from Arizona and while the rotation is stable, it is still a concern when Miles Mikolas is your opening day starter and favored on the road on top of it against a team that won 96 regular season games and 102 in total. 10* (908) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
10-28-18 | Red Sox v. Dodgers -135 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Red Sox pulled off a stunning comeback last night to take a commanding 3-1 lead over Los Angeles and they look to clinch their fourth World Series since 2004. While history is on their side to take it home, they do not have a decidedly big edge tonight. Of the previous 47 times a World Series has been 3-1, the leading team has won the Series 40 times (85.1 percent) but they have won Game Five only 26 times (55.3 percent). With their backs against the wall, the Dodgers will pull out all of the stops tonight to send this series back to Boston and we are getting a great price. In somewhat of a surprising move, Alex Cora named David Price the starter for Game Five. Price will be making the start on three days of rest and inside of that, he made a relief appearance in Game Three, albeit just two-thirds of an inning but he did allow a hit and a walk over 13 pitches. He has made five appearances this postseason, including four starts, going 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA and while he pitched well against the Dodgers in Game Two, he should be seeing a different lineup this time around. Dodgers manager Dave Roberts sat his three top home run hitters and was scrutinized for it. Clayton Kershaw has been a Jekyll and Hyde throughout his postseason career. He allowed five runs in four-plus innings in Game One in Boston which was his second awful postseason start on the road. Pitching at home has been a different story though as he has allowed just run in two starts over 15 innings. 10* (910) Los Angeles Dodgers | |||||||
10-26-18 | Red Sox v. Dodgers -150 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Red Sox up 2-0 in the World Series with a lot of questions surrounding how the Dodgers went about the first two games in Boston. The Dodgers were at a big disadvantage as they faced lefties both times which took their powerful left-handed bats out of the lineup which manager Dave Roberts has been scrutinized for. Max Muncy, Cody Bellinger and Joc Pederson, the top three home run hitters on the teams with a combined 85 home runs during the regular season, all had just three at-bats during the first two games but the lineup will be stacked against right-hander Rick Porcello. The Red Sox will not back down tonight on the road as they have won all five playoff games they have played away from Fenway Park, clinching the American League Division Series at New York and celebrating an American League title at Houston. Overall, they are 26 games above .500 on the road but that is helping keep this line within reason. Porcello pitched well on the road against the Yankees, although he went just five innings but was lit up for four runs in four innings against the Astros where he allowed two home runs. That is a problem as his 27 home runs allowed during the regular season were the 14th most in baseball. Walker Buehler counters for Los Angeles, who has been dominant at home, and while there is pressure, he is not going to feel it. The Dodgers trusted him to start Game 163, a tiebreaker to decide the National League West against the Rockies, and they won. And they trusted him to start Game Seven of the NLCS, and they won that too. Here, we play on National League home favorites of -150 or more that are averaging 4.7 or more rpg and coming off a game where they had four or fewer hits going up against a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.75 or better. This situation is 50-13 (79.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (906) Los Angeles Dodgers | |||||||
10-24-18 | Dodgers v. Red Sox -135 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. With the Red Sox winning Game One, many will be backing the Dodgers in Game Two, especially those that thought they could sneak out a win last night, but this Boston team is simply too strong at Fenway Park. Boston has owned National League teams at home over the years and it is no accident. Going back to 2015, the Red Sox are an MLB-best 32-8 at Fenway Park against National League teams, including 8-3 this season after last night. Boston's +84 run differential dwarfs that of the closest team, the Astros, at +47. The uniqueness of the park makes a big difference as every Dodger that played in the outfield last night had not played there before. It will be up to David Price to continue to keep the postseason demons away as he is coming off a gem against the Astros where he allowed no runs on three hits in six innings while striking out nine and walking none. His command was spot on as he was able to change speeds to keep the Astros off balance and that is when he is at his best as opposed to trying to blow fastballs by everybody. The Red Sox are 21-6 in his last 27 home starts. The Dodgers are taking a chance with Hyun-Jin Ryu as he has not fared well on the road this season with a 4.63 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in eight starts. He has a 1.15 ERA at home, but it was decided he would get the Game Two start on the road, even though he had an 8.59 ERA in two road starts against the Brewers in the NLCS. The Dodgers are 2-12 in his last 14 road starts against teams with a winning record. Boston is now 17-4 in its last 21 games against National League teams averaging 4.5 or more rpg while going 9-0 in its last eight games against National League starters with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. The same situation from last night is in play as we play against National League road underdogs that are allowing 4.0 or fewer rpg going up against an opponent outscoring opponents by 1.0 or more rpg on the season. This situation is 104-41 (71.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (904) Boston Red Sox | |||||||
10-23-18 | Dodgers v. Red Sox -143 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The World Series opens with a classic pitching duel pitting the two best lefties in the game squaring off and based on splits, the Red Sox have the significant edge. Boston finished the regular season 57-24 at home which was the best home record in baseball and followed that up with an average 2-2 mark at Fenway Park to open the postseason. The Red Sox are hitting .284 during the postseason against left-handed pitching while the Dodgers are hitting just .207. Boston is 16-4 in its last 20 games against National League teams averaging 4.5 or more rpg while going 8-0 in its last eight games against National League starters with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Chris Sale gets the Game One start and after an impressive showing against the Yankees in Game One of the ALDS, his velocity and command were lacking in his no-decision in Game One in the ALCS against the Astros. It is safe to say that he was bothered by the stomach virus that kept him out for the rest of the series and now he some in rested and fresh. He made 11 starts on five or more days' of rest during the regular season, going 6-2 with a 1.41 ERA. Clayton Kershaw will be making his first ever start at Fenway Park and he could be in for a tough inaugural outing. He is coming off a solid outing against the Brewers in his last start but it is no secret he had had his postseason struggles. He has a 4.09 ERA and has allowed 19 home runs over 22 starts. Here, we play against National League road underdogs that are allowing 4.0 or fewer rpg going up against an opponent outscoring opponents by 1.0 or more rpg on the season. This situation is 103-41 (71.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (902) Boston Red Sox | |||||||
10-20-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +108 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Brewers put up four first inning runs last night and cruised to an easy victory to force a Game Seven in this NLCS. Wade Miley gave them what they needed which was an extended outing and the Milwaukee bullpen is in great shape for tonight. The Dodgers are 2-3 on the road in the postseason while Milwaukee is 4-1 at home yet Los Angeles comes in as the favorite, albeit slight, as the public will again be on the road team. This is a rematch of the Game Three pitching matchup that was won by the Brewers 4-0 and that was in Los Angeles. Jhoulys Chacin gets the ball for Milwaukee and he will likely be on a short leash with the magnitude of what is at stake coupled with the strong Milwaukee bullpen. But, he might not get in early trouble as he has been outstanding as he has not allowed a run across 10.1 innings this October, the workload split between two starts. He shut out the Dodgers in 5.1 innings in his last outing which was impressive considering he allowed eight runs in 4.1 innings there just two months prior. Still, he could get an early hook as the Brewers may turn to Josh Hader which is not a bad thing at all. Walker Buehler has incredible stuff but the postseason pressure has mounted and it will be even more so in Game Seven that determines a trip to the World Series. He struggled against Milwaukee at home where he is most comfortable as four of his innings were scoreless, but he also allowed four extra-base hits and all factored in the scoring. He struggled in Atlanta in his previous start and he has now allowed nine runs in 12 innings in the postseason. 10* (962) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
10-19-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +103 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 103 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. This has been a very even NLCS with the Dodgers having gotten the majority of the breaks but certainly nothing substantial. Based on this line, Milwaukee is getting no credit for its home field where it is 54-31 on the season and its 51 home wins were tied with the Cubs for most in the National League. Pitching has not been the problem for the Brewers in this series. Their starters have a 1.29 ERA through the first five games against the Dodgers although that is in limited action but overall, Brewers pitchers have a 3.02 ERA and a .220 average against, and the Dodgers have a 2.81 ERA and a .219 average against so it is pretty even. The difference has been in the clutch which can easily shift. Los Angeles is 10-for-43 with runners in scoring position and an .807 OPS after the sixth inning compared to the Brewers which are 5-for-35 with runners in scoring position and a .592 OPS after the sixth inning. With two one-run losses, Milwaukee could easily be up 3-2 in this series instead of needing to win the final two games to make it to the World Series. Wade Miley will be making his second straight start after getting pulled in Game Five after facing one batter where he issued a walk. That was the plan and now he will be asked to stretch it out. When allowed to go longer, Miley has been great this October as he is unscored upon across 10.1 innings, including 5.2 innings against the Dodgers in Game Two. Hyun-Jin Ryu was average in Game Two, allowing six hits and two runs in 4.1 innings. He has not been great on the road in limited action all season as he has a 3.66 ERA in 32 innings where he has allowed seven home runs. The Dodgers are 2-11 in his last 13 road starts against teams with a winning record while the Brewers are 8-0 in their last eight games following an off day. 10* (958) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
10-17-18 | Red Sox v. Astros -146 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -146 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Boston reclaimed home field advantage with an 8-2 win on Tuesday behind a gem from Nathan Eovaldi. Now it is up to the Astros to take home field back and most importantly, avoid a 3-1 hole heading into Game Five on Thursday. The game was close through seven innings, but the Red Sox posted five runs in the eighth inning, breaking it open and seizing back the momentum with two straight wins. The Astros loss at home in Game Three was only their second in their past 12 playoff games at Minute Maid Park since the start of last season. The Astros are 7-0 in their last seven games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Charlie Morton has been the forgotten man in this deep Astros rotation but he has a chance to show what he is capable of tonight. He pitched in the regular-season finale against the Orioles and worked just three innings by design, capping an odd final month that saw him limited to 15 innings in four starts because of lingering right shoulder discomfort. This time of year, rest is your best friend and Morton has plenty of it. He is 9-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 16 home starts. Rick Porcello has made one start and two relief appearances and he has been solid, allowing just one run over 6.2 innings but he has struck out only three. He has pitched three times against the Astros this season, going 1-0 with a 4.15 ERA. Here, we play against road underdogs with a moneyline of +100 to +150 with a winning percentage of .620 or better after having won three of their last four games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 173-88 (66.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (914) Houston Astros | |||||||
10-16-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers -148 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers failed to come through for us last night as they now have given home field advantage back to the Brewers after getting shut out 4-0. The offense had been rolling along and the key tonight for Los Angeles is to get out to a strong early start since it does have a significant pitching edge tonight. The Dodgers have been shutout four times since May 8th and they have bounced with a win in their next game all four times, averaging 5.5 rpg in the process. Additionally, the Dodgers are 7-0 in their last seven games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Milwaukee has lost only once September 19th so stepping in front of the Brewers has not been wise of late but they are going a different route tonight. The Brewers started Gio Gonzalez to open the series and he made an abbreviated start in Game One at Miller Park, when he pitched two innings and allowed only a homer to Manny Machado. He is now going back out on three-days rest and he has not pitched on short rest since his rookie season in 2008. The Dodgers counter with Rich Hill who is coming off a rare wild outing as he faced the Braves in Atlanta in Game Four of the NLDS and walked five in 4.1 innings but managed to allowed just two runs. He should be more comfortable at home and going back, he has allowed one run in 11 innings with 14 strikeouts in two career NLCS starts. Additionally, he allowed two runs in 12 innings over two starts against the Brewers, both resulting in identical 6-4 Los Angeles victories. 10* (910) Los Angeles Dodgers | |||||||
10-15-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers -173 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -173 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers avoided a 2-0 hole as they rallied from a 3-0 deficit with two runs in each of the seventh and eighth innings and they now head back home with home field advantage on their side. They have a chance to a take some control of the series with a win tonight and they clearly have the momentum from snapping the Brewers 12-game losing streak. The Dodgers are 9-0 in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. Jhoulys Chacin had a really solid season and it spilled into the postseason as he tossed five shutout innings against the Brewers in Game Three of the NLDS. During the regular season, he posted a 3.50 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 35 starts but this could be a brutal spot for him tonight. Not only is he facing the potent Dodgers offense, but it is the same offense that rocked him for nine runs in just 4.1 innings as he allowed three home runs. With that in the back of his head, that could be a cause for real concern. And it just was not a one-time thing as when he was with the Padres last season, he allowed nine runs in 3.1 innings in a start at Dodger Stadium. Walker Buehler counters for Los Angeles and he was even better with a 2.62 ERA AND 0.96 whip IN 24 GAMES. His first postseason start did not go well as he allowed five runs in five innings in Atlanta but he shut out the Rockies for 6.2 innings in the play-in game and while that was not considered the postseason, it was essentially a playoff game. At home this season, he had a 1.93 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 13 games. Here, we play against road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA less than 2.50 over his last five starts. This situation is 59-12 (83.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (954) Los Angeles Dodgers | |||||||
10-13-18 | Astros +106 v. Red Sox | Top | 7-2 | Win | 106 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Houston was expected to be challenged by Cleveland in the ALDS but that was hardly the case as the Astros swept the Indians in three games by a combined score of 21-6. While they are slight underdogs in Game One, they are favored to win this series and rightfully so despite not having home field advantage as they finished five games behind the Red Sox. Boston has the home field advantage on most days but that is not the case tonight as its 57-24 record at Fenway Park is matched by the 57-24 record on the road by the Astros. The Astros are 6-1 in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and they took two of three here back in September. This is the same pitching matchup we saw in Game One of the 2017 ALDS and while the venue is different, we expect the Astros to again take the opener. Justin Verlander gets the ball for Houston and the Astros could not be in better shape. He stymied the Indians for five innings in Game One before the bullpen was called upon as he retired 15 of the first 16 batters he faced and finished with seven strikeouts. His postseason track record is outstanding and he has been outstanding since 2013, going 6-2 with a 1.93 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP in 11 games (10 starts). Chris Sale counters for Boston and something just does not seem right. Health and stamina were concerns heading into the playoffs, as left shoulder inflammation limited him to 17 innings from July 28 through the end of the regular season. He was decent in his start against the Yankees in the ALDS but far from his dominant self and the Astros have his number. He has allowed 11 runs in 11 innings in two starts since last season including an awful effort in the ALDS opening game. Here, we play against American League teams hitting between .265 and .279 with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 37-13 (74 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (903) Houston Astros | |||||||
10-12-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +144 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 144 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Milwaukee finished the regular season four games better than the Dodgers, stormed through the NLDS with three straight wins on top of eliminating the Cubs in Game 163 and their current winning streak stands at 11 straight games yet they are getting no respect here. The betting public is all over the Dodgers in Game One with two-thirds of the tickets on their side so Milwaukee is catching a fantastic number at home. The Brewers quietly went 51-30 at home, the best home record in the National League, and they are 20-7 in their last 27 home games against teams with a winning road record. The story all season for the Brewers has been their bullpen and rightfully so. Milwaukee's 3.47 ERA in relief was second in the National League only to the Cubs. The bullpen went 2-0 with a save and a 1.17 ERA in the three-game Division Series sweep over Colorado. But Gio Gonzalez is getting overshadowed here in what is a great spot. It has been quite a rebound since being acquired in a deal with the Nationals, going 3-0 with a 2.13 ERA in five starts with Milwaukee. Gonzalez is 4-1 with a 1.89 ERA in six career starts against the Dodgers. Clayton Kershaw is the reason the Dodgers are big road favorites and he has been solid since his return from the disabled list. But the postseason demons still linger. While Kershaw has thrown 12 consecutive scoreless innings in the postseason dating back to last year's World Series, he is 2-4 with a 4.65 ERA in five career starts in the NLCS. Here, we play on home underdogs after two straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs, in October games. This situation is 41-23 (64.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (902) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
10-09-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees -119 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Divisional Series rounds have been nothing short of duds as we have seen a pair of sweeps and a near sweep with the Dodgers and it is up to the Yankees to finally have one go the distance. They were trounced last night as the Red Sox erupted for 16 runs on 18 hits as they got to every New York pitcher that entered the game as all six arms allowed at least one earned run and walked at least two. This included the use of catcher Austin Romine in the ninth inning which was a smart move to preserve pitchers for tonight. The Boston highlight was Brock Holt hitting for the first cycle in postseason history and the Yankees probably took offense to it by leaving him in as he hit a two-run home run in the ninth inning to make history. C.C. Sabathia will try to repress the Boston offense and he has a good chance to do just that as the Red Sox are hitting just .250 against left-handed pitching which is middle of the pack and they have hit just 37 home runs which is ninth lowest in baseball. Sabathia has been solid at home with a 3.12 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Rick Porcello counters for Boston and has been decent all season but this is not a good time or place. He is 0-2 with a 5.85 ERA in four postseason starts and while he was tremendous against the Yankees this season, going 2-0 with a 2.31 ERA in four starts, the ERA at home is 0.50 in three starts and 8.44 ERA in the one start in New York. Here, we play against American League teams hitting between .265 to .279 with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better. This situation is 37-12 (75.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (922) New York Yankees | |||||||
10-08-18 | Astros v. Indians -118 | Top | 11-3 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. It is do or die for Cleveland which lost the first two games of this ALDS as the offense was handcuffed by Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole. A return home should help that where Cleveland finished 49-32 during the regular season and hit .267 which was second best in the American League behind Boston. Houston possessed the best road record in baseball at 57-24 so the challenge for Cleveland to stay alive will not be easy but the price reflects that. Houston has just three wins in their last 11 playoff road games. Dallas Keuchel used to be the ace of this staff but he has taken a step back. After winning the Cy Young in 2015, he followed that up with a poor 2016 and after a bounce back last season, he has a 3.74 ERA and 1.31 WHP which are good by most standards but not his. His home/road and day/night splits are very similar but he has struggled on the road with a 5.40 ERA in his last five road starts and he comes in with a 6.23 ERA and 1.85 WHIP over his last three starts overall. He faced Cleveland twice this season and was average with a 4.91 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Mike Clevinger has been on a great run as he has a 2.31 ERA and 1.03 WHIP since the All Star Break, covering 13 starts. He made 13 daytime starts as well and posted a 2.04 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. While the Astros tagged him for eight runs in 11.2 innings, both of those were early in the season in back-to-back starts in May. The Indians are 6-0 in his last six home starts. Here, we play against underdogs after allowing two runs or less two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring three runs or less three straight games. This situation is 168-81 (67.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (916) Cleveland Indians | |||||||
10-07-18 | Brewers v. Rockies -152 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -152 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. We played on Colorado on Friday and unfortunately, a solid performance from Tyler Anderson was ruined by the offense that has suddenly gone ice cold. The Rockies have scored just six runs over their last four games but all of those games have come on the road and we know what this offense is capable of at home where it leads all of baseball in average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage. We expected a line move here after opening at -140 and it did go up but not to a point where it is unplayable as Colorado looks to avoid elimination. Milwaukee remains the hottest team in the postseason a it has reeled off 10 consecutive wins as both offense and pitching have been spot on. The Brewers are headed to a tough spot however based on venue and matchup as they will be facing one of the hottest starting pitchers in all of baseball. German Marquez was not at his finest in Los Angeles last time out but it was just two pitches that cost him, snapping a 12-game quality start streak. While going back to Coors Field for some pitchers is not a good thing, it is for Marquez as he has posted a 1.90 ERA there since July over seven starts. Wade Miley has had a breakout season but he is leaking some oil down the stretch as he has posted a 4.24 ERA over his last four starts and gets the tough task of facing Colorado at the wrong place at the wrong time. Here, we play against underdogs after allowing two runs or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring three runs or less three straight games. This situation is 67-25 (72.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (956) Colorado Rockies | |||||||
10-05-18 | Rockies +145 v. Brewers | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Game of the Week. Milwaukee took Game One of this NLDS yesterday on a walk-off single after blowing a 2-0 lead in the ninth inning and the Brewers remain the hottest of all teams still playing with nine straight wins. The offense led the way toward the end of the regular season but the pitching has carried Milwaukee of late as it has allowed just three runs over the last three games and the bullpen start on Thursday proved to be the right move. The Rockies finished with only four hits yesterday and they have scored only six runs over the last three games since ending the regular season tied with the Dodgers in the National League West. Fatigue and travel can be blamed for the lack of production but an offense of this caliber cannot be kept down for long and Friday presents a great opportunity to bust out. Jhoulys Chacin has had a great season and he has been efficient of late, allowing three runs or less in 11 straight games. The issue here is that since September, he has not gotten out of the sixth inning of any of his six starts which poses a problem for the bullpen tat was utilized a great deal yesterday. Colorado has won eight of its last 11 games against right-handed starters and it is hitting a solid .279 against right-handed pitching over its last 10 games. The backend of the rotation is in play again with Tyler Anderson getting the ball today but he has been dealing of late with a 1.83 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over his last three starts. While he has a 5.02 ERA on the road for the season, he has a 1.20 WHIP to go along with that which shows he has been pitching better than the ERA indicates and as long as he keeps the ball in the yard, he will be fine. Look for the Rockies to tie this series up before heading home for Game Three on Sunday. 10* (909) Colorado Rockies | |||||||
10-04-18 | Braves +165 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Braves ascension to the top of the National League East took less time than expected as this team went from last place in the National League East in 2016 with 68 wins to third place last season with 72 wins to winning the division this year with 90 victories. Reading some articles online about this series, I came across one and the first sentence from some dolt was "The Dodgers are really good, and the Braves are really not." That is exactly the mindset of the betting public as Atlanta finished one game worse than Los Angeles, had three more road wins than the Dodgers had home wins during the regular season and yet come in as massive underdogs for the series and for Game One. Mike Foltynewicz is getting no respect, which has been the case most of the season, and he has been an underdog higher than this price only four times this season and those came against Max Scherzer, Chris Sale, Stephen Strasburg and Scherzer again. do disrespect to Hyun-Jin Ryu, but he should not be in that group. Foltynewicz finished with a 2.85 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, good for fifth and sixth best in the National League respectively. His ERA on the road is over a half-run less than it is at home and the Braves have won four of his last five road starts. The Dodgers decided to move Clayton Kershaw out of Game One and into Game Two so he would be guaranteed the Game Five start should the series go that far and it was a smart move. Ryu has had a great season but this is an extremely tough matchup as the Braves are hitting .269 against left-handed pitching this season, third best in baseball. The Dodgers are 5-12 in his last 17 starts when playing against a team with a winning record. 10* (903) Atlanta Braves | |||||||
10-02-18 | Rockies +125 v. Cubs | Top | 2-1 | Win | 125 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Tuesday Wild Card Annihilator. Yesterday was obviously important for the Rockies and they did not come through as a dropped third strike played a big part, so instead of hosting the Braves on Thursday, they have to travel east to play another game today in a one-and-done situation. While Colorado seems to be at a huge disadvantage since the Cubs were able to stay right where they were yesterday, the Rockies are the play. The public is all over Chicago in what might be considered a short number but yesterday showed what this team has had issues with over the second half of the season and that is the offense. The Cubs had just three hits yesterday and going back to September 10th, they have averaged just 3.7 rpg over the last 21 games. The Rockies got handcuffed last night by rookie Walker Buehler but this offense can explode at any moment and why not tonight. Jon Lester has been a postseason force throughout his career so he will not be feeling any pressure tonight. But he faces a murders row of left-handed crushers with Nolan Arenado posting a .368/.451/.747 line against lefties and Trevor Story posting a .326/.389/.680 line against lefties while Ian Desmond goes from a .216 to a .280 hitter facing lefties. And then there are DJ LeMahieu at .330/.360/.540 and Charlie Blackmon at .293/.352/.464 that bring together a team that has hit 247 RBIs, the most in baseball. Not many know who Kyle Freeland is but he has quietly put together a fantastic season. The Denver native has probably dreamed of this moment since he was a kid and there will be no pressure with this scenario having been replayed many times. He has a 2.85 ERA on the season which is fifth best in the National League and his 2.49 ERA since the All Star Break is fifth best in baseball. Even better, in his last 11 starts, Freeland is 8-0 with a 2.18 ERA and the Rockies are 12-2 in his last 14 starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (937) Colorado Rockies |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |