Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-18-20 | White Sox v. Reds -113 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Sweet Spot. Chicago has the best record in the American League and clinched a playoff spot, for the first time since 2008, with Thursday's 4-3 win over Minnesota. While the White Sox are headed to the postseason, the Reds finally are playing like the playoff team they expected to be. They have won five straight games to move into second place in the National League Central which would mean a playoff spot in the extended postseason. Jonathan Stiever is set for his second career start for the White Sox. He allowed a run and two hits while striking out three and walking two in just 3.2 innings in his major-league debut on Sunday. The Reds have still not named a starting pitcher as of late Friday morning as they are debating between Tejay Antone and Tyler Mahle. Here, we play against teams when the money line is +125 to -125 off a win against a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 30-8 (78.9 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (958) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
09-17-20 | Mets v. Phillies -117 | Top | 10-6 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. We won with the Phillies on Tuesday as they snapped a four-game losing streak, but they gave it back last night in a 5-4 loss. They are now back to .500 on the season and trail the Braves by four games in the National League East. They are still in good shape to clinch a Wild Card berth with 12 games left. The Mets will need a huge push as they are five games under .500 and would have to pass six teams in order to claim a Wild Card spot. Philadelphia will turn to Aaron Nola who is 5-3 with a 2.40 ERA in nine starts this season. Nola is 1-1 with a 2.19 ERA against the Mets this season. Seth Lugo counters for the Mets and he has been solid with a 2.63 ERA through four starts, but he has made it past five innings only once. Here, we play on home teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg and batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, going up against a National League starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better. This situation is 52-20 (72.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (910) Philadelphia Phillies | |||||||
09-16-20 | Blue Jays +226 v. Yankees | Top | 2-13 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Blue Jays were hammered on Tuesday 20-6 and fell into third place in the American League East but still remain in one of the two Wild Card spots with 13 games remaining. There is little room for breathing however as five teams are right in contention for the two spots. Toronto is coming off the fourth instance of allowing 20 runs in team history and while the Blue Jays are 19-10 in their last 29 games, they have been outscored 45-9 in their last three defeats. The Yankees have won six straight games and are heavily favored with Gerrit Cole taking the hill. He is coming off a seven-inning complete game, but he has been rather inconsistent, and the Yankees are just 6-4 in his 10 starts. Tanner Roark counters for Toronto and while his numbers are everywhere, Toronto is 6-2 in his eight starts. Here, we play on road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 after a loss against opponent after 6 or more consecutive wins. This situation is 27-19 (58.7 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (963) Toronto Blue Jays | |||||||
09-15-20 | Mets v. Phillies +118 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 118 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Phillies have lost three straight games and now trail the Braves by four games in the National League East. More importantly, they are just a game and a half behind Miami for second place which carries the additional playoff spot in this shortened season. The Mets are favored here for no reason as they are five games under .500 and send Rick Porcello to the hill who has had a horrible season. They are 2-7 in his nine starts and he brings in a 6.07 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. He has a 4.50 ERA in two starts against the Phillies this season. Jake Arrieta has not been much better with his 5.54 ERA and 1.49 WHIP but brings value at home where he has pitched well with the exception of one bad outing against the Braves. He allowed two runs in seven innings in his lone start against the Mets this season. 10* (912) Philadelphia Phillies | |||||||
09-11-20 | Angels v. Rockies -130 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Rockies have lost three straight games after getting swept by the Padres, but they return home where they look to get back in the postseason race. The Angels are nine games under .500 and are -20 in scoring differential on the season. Colorado hands the ball to German Marquez who has had a solid season despite his 4.58 overall ERA. He has two poor starts this season which has inflated his numbers, but he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his other seven starts. He is coming off a great start against the Dodgers where he allowed just two runs on five hits over seven innings. Griffin Canning, 0-3 with a 4.54 ERA in eight starts, will be on the mound and he has made it out of the fifth inning in only two of those eight outings. The Angels are 5-16 in their last 21 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game while the Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. 10* (922) Colorado Rockies | |||||||
09-09-20 | Reds +142 v. Cubs | Top | 3-0 | Win | 142 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. We won with the Cubs last night but will be backing the Reds tonight with great value. Cincinnati has dropped two straight games to fall 6.5 games behind the Cubs in the National League Central. Chicago has won two straight games to remain three games in front of the Cardinals in the division. Trevor Bauer has been solid this season as he has allowed one run or less in five of his seven starts. Three of his four road starts have been quality outings and for his career, Bauer is 4-1 with a 1.41 ERA in five starts against the Cubs. Yu Darvish has become a serious Cy Young contender in the National League as he has yielded five runs and struck out 58 over 46 innings to win seven straight starts for the first time in his career. Here, we play against National League home teams that are hitting .255 or worse on the season and batting .200 or worse over their last five games going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.70. this situation is 29-9 (76.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (917) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
09-08-20 | Reds v. Cubs -101 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Chicago lost three of five fames against the Cardinals and lost a little space in the division. Chicago enters the game with a 2.5-game lead over the second-place Cardinals, a 4.5-game edge over the third-place Brewers and a 5.5-game advantage over the fourth-place Reds. Cincinnati split its weekend series with the Pirates and has now lost five of its last eight games. Tyler Mahle has had a decent start to the season but has posted a 4.32 ERA over his last three starts. Alec Mills has not looked sharp over his last two starts but he is 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in six games against the Reds. Cincinnati is 11-25 in its last 36 games after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games while Chicago is 25-6 in its last 31 home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Here, we play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs, off a loss to a division rival as a favorite. This situation is 26-8 (76.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (968) Chicago Cubs | |||||||
09-05-20 | Rockies +175 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 175 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers took the opener of this series with a 10-6 victory on Friday to make it six straight wins and improve to an MLB best 30-10. The Rockies have dropped four of their five to fall two games under .500. The contrarian play is on Colorado as we see a ton of value. German Marquez gets the ball for the Rockies and he has been lit up for a 10.13 ERA over his last three starts after posting a 2.25 ERA over his first five outings. In eight career starts against the Dodgers, he has a 2.54 ERA and 0.93 WHIP so the confidence will be back. Tony Gonsolin counters for Los Angeles and while he has been solid, he has not done far in games and the Dodgers bullpen is coming off a rough night. Here, we play against teams with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season, after a game where the bullpen was hit for four or more earned runs. This situation is 52-27 (65.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (927) Colorado Rockies | |||||||
09-04-20 | Brewers v. Indians -143 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -143 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Indians, who have both the White Sox and Twins within a game-and-a-half of their division lead, have won two in a row and 13 of their last 18 games heading into the opener of their seven-game homestand. Milwaukee has won four of its last six games but is still under .500 at 17-19. Carlos Carrasco scattered two hits and struck out six in six scoreless innings of a 2-1 victory at St. Louis on Saturday and now has a 3.75 ERA on the season through seven starts. He has allowed three runs or less in six of those seven starts with four of those being quality outings. Corbin Burnes counters for the Brewers and he has been solid as well, but his last two games came against the Pirates, one of the worst offenses in the league. Here, we play against National League teams with an OBP of .310 or worse going up against teams with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is between 1.30 and 1.35, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits per start. This situation is 36-11 (76.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (960) Cleveland Indians | |||||||
09-02-20 | Tigers v. Brewers -160 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Detroit won its sixth straight game on Tuesday with a 12-1 victory over the Brewers. The Tigers did lose JaCoby Jones to a season ending hand injury so the production that has produced at least seven runs in four of those games will come down. Milwaukee has been up and down on offense recently as it has scored one run or less in four of its last seven games. The Brewers can flourish tonight against Spencer Turnbull whose command has been bad as he has a 4.38 ERA and 1.78 WHIP over his last three starts. Adrian Houser is coming off a pair of poor outings where he allowed four runs in each game, but we can expect a bounce back tonight. Here, we play against underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 batting .315 or better over their last 5 games going up an against opponent with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games. This situation is 141-51 (73.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (968) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
09-01-20 | Cardinals v. Reds -144 | Top | 16-2 | Loss | -144 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Monday Grand Slam. The Reds were coming off a weekend split heading into the Monday opener of this series against St. Louis. They are 14-19 overall but are just five games out in the National League Central. St. Louis is also under .500 at 12-13 and had a recent four-game losing streak snapped with a win on Sunday thanks to a complete game from Adam Wainwright. Sonny Gray takes the hill for Cincinnati and he has been great, posting a 1.94 ERA and 1.01 WHIP through seven starts. He has been especially effective at home with a 1.07 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in four starts, all resulting in Reds wins. He has dominated St. Louis throughout the two years he has been in Cincinnati as he has a 1.59 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in four starts. Kwang-hyun Kim counters for the Cardinals and he has posted two straight shutout outings over six innings where he allowed just three hits each time out. But his strikeout potential just is not there, and Cincinnati can take advantage for seeing him a second time this season. 10* (902) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
08-31-20 | White Sox v. Twins +120 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Minnesota has lost five straight games to fall into third place in the American League Central. Those all came on the road and the Twins head home where they are 12-3. Chicago has moved into a tie for first place in the division thanks to an 8-2 run and they will be heavily bet based on the starting pitching recent form of Lucas Giolito. He will make his first start since no-hitting Pittsburgh in a 4-0 win on Tuesday night, the 19th no-hitter in franchise history. In his last two starts, he has allowed three hits and two walks and no runs in 16 innings while striking out 26. He is just 4-6 with a 5.34 ERA in 11 career starts against Minnesota, including a 10-5 loss in the season-opener on July 24 when he allowed seven runs on six hits in just 3.2 innings. Rich Hill has made three starts, two of which have been quality. Here, we play on home teams after five or more consecutive losses, in August games. This situation is 46-26 (63.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (968) Minnesota Twins | |||||||
08-30-20 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -145 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Blue Jays defeated the Orioles 5-4 in 10 innings on Friday and 5-0 on Saturday to improve to 5-0 against Baltimore this season and have now won three straight games. They still trail the Rays by 4.5 games in the American League East but with the 2020 playoff format, they are right in the hunt for a postseason berth. The Orioles have lost four straight games and are now -18 in run differential. Jorge Lopez will be making his first start with Baltimore since he was claimed off waivers from the Royals on Aug. 9. He has allowed seven earned runs over nine innings with Baltimore in long relief. Tanner Roark counters for Toronto and while he has been inconsistent, he has not blown up and he shut down Baltimore in his earlier start against them, allowing one run in five innings. The Blue Jays are 8-2 in their last 10 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (922) Toronto Blue Jays | |||||||
08-25-20 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks +100 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Arizona has dropped six straight games following a series opening loss last night against the Rockies. The offense has been nowhere to be found as the Diamondbacks have scored a total of eight runs (1.33 rpg) during this skid but we expect the bats to get going tonight. Colorado snapped a seven-game losing streak with the victory and is now a game under .500 on the season. German Marquez got lit up in his last start as he allowed 10 runs on 10 hits in five innings against the Astros. Arizona has been a tough out as he has just three wins in 15 games while posting a 4.54 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Alex Young has been decent in his two starts as his 1.17 WHIP is an indication of how he has performed. Here, we play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 off a one run win over a division rival, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts. This situation is 84-39 (68.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (978) Arizona Diamondbacks | |||||||
08-24-20 | Reds -135 v. Brewers | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Cincinnati and Milwaukee are both riding losing streaks, but the Reds have the upper hand to break their skid with the starting pitching matchup. Cincinnati has lost two straight games and three of its last four to fall to 11-15. The Brewers meanwhile have lost four straight games to also fall to 11-15 as the pitching has been abysmal. Cincinnati hands the ball to Trevor Bauer who has been sensational as he is 3-0 with a 0.68 ERA and 0.57 WHIP and he has arguably been the best starter this season in baseball. All of his starts have been quality outings and he has allowed just two home runs over 26.1 innings. Brett Anderson counters for Milwaukee and while he is coming off a quality outing last time out, he has been inconsistent. Here, we play on road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher hitting .255 or worse against a starting pitcher with an ERA between 3.70 and 4.20 hitting team batting .190 or worse over their last three games. This situation is 38-9 (80.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (909) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
08-22-20 | Diamondbacks -154 v. Giants | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -154 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Arizona has dropped three straight games following a six-game winning streak as it has fallen to 13-14 on the season and now sits 6.5 games behind the dodgers in the National League West. San Francisco has now won four straight games after taking the opener of this series last night following three straight wins over the Angels. The diamondbacks hand the ball to Zac Gallen who has a 2.25 ERA and 0.90 WHIP through five starts. Arizona is 4-1 in those five games with his last four starts being quality outings. Tyler Anderson counters for the Giants and he has struggled of late, posting an 8.10 ERA over his last two starts covering 10 innings. 10* (929) Arizona Diamondbacks | |||||||
08-21-20 | Angels v. A's +107 | 3-5 | Win | 107 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S as part of our Friday MLB Triple Play. Oakland has the best record in the American League including an 11-3 mark at home and going back to the beginning of the 2018 season, only the Yankees and Astros have better home records in the American League. The Angels have lost three straight games and seven of their last eight but come in as a road favorite. Andrew Heaney takes the hill for the Angels and he is off to a rough start with a 4.74 ERA and 1.30 WHIP which are not good numbers for an opening Day starter. The Angels are 1-4 in his five starts, including a 6-5 loss to the Dodgers his most recent time out. Mike Fiers has put up worse numbers but is coming off a quality start in his last outing to build off. Here, we play against Road teams with an on base percentage .310 or worse on the season, after allowing seven runs or more three straight games. This situation is 34-6 (85 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (976) Oakland A's | |||||||
08-21-20 | Astros v. Padres -122 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our Friday MLB Triple Play. Houston has now won eight straight games following a four-game sweep of Colorado in a home-and-home set. Injuries continue to mount however as Alex Bregman joined Yordan Alvarez and Michael Brantley on the injured list. San Diego has won four straight games thanks to an offense that became the first in Major League history to hit grand slams in four consecutive games. Garrett Richards has gotten off to a solid start with a 3.45 ERA and 1.22 WHIP through five starts. Lance McCullers has kept the Astros in games, but he has struggled for the most part to a 5.47 ERA in five outings. Here, we play against American League road teams averaging 5.4 rpg going up against a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better, after a win by two runs or less. This situation is 27-8 (77.1 percent) since 1997. 9* (974) San Diego Padres | |||||||
08-21-20 | Brewers -131 v. Pirates | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -131 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our Friday MLB Triple Play. Following a four-game winning streak, the Brewers are coming off a series loss in Minnesota. Milwaukee is now 11-12 and sits 4.5 games behind the Cubs in the National League Central. Pittsburgh has lost four straight games and owns the worst record in baseball at 4-17 as it has the worst offense in runs scored per game and OPS and second to worst in batting average. Chad Kuhl has pitched decent in two starts but the long ball has plagued him with three home runs allowed in nine innings. Adrian Houser has a 3.27 ERA through five starts, allowing three runs or less in four of those. Here, we play on road favorites with a money line of -125 or more that are hitting .190 or worse over their last three games going up against an opponent with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games. This situation is 51-11 (82.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (957) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
08-20-20 | Astros v. Rockies -125 | Top | 10-8 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Astros rolled to their seventh straight win with a 13-6 victory over Colorado on Wednesday. Houston is now 2.5 games behind Oakland in the American League West as the pitching has been outstanding. Colorado has dropped three straight games, all to Houston, and has lost six of its last seven to fall four games behind the dodgers in the National League West. German Marquez gets the ball for Colorado and he has been solid with five quality outings in his five starts. He has a 2.25 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over this stretch. Houston counters with Cristian Javier who has been solid as well with a 2.91 ERA and 0.83 WHIP and he is coming off his best start of the season but that was against the Mariners which are near the bottom in nearly every offensive category. The Astros are 0-6 in their last six games as an underdog while the Rockies are 9-4 in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (906) Colorado Rockies | |||||||
08-19-20 | Astros v. Rockies +138 | Top | 13-6 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Houston and Colorado continue their Interleague series, but they shit to Coors Field. The Astros entered Tuesday on a six-game winning streak, and they are now 12-10 on the season after a shaky start. As is usually the case, they are a better home team than road team where they are 3-6 on the season. The Rockies got off to a great start at 11-3 but have dropped six of their last eight games and are now three games behind the Dodgers in the National League West. Colorado sends Ryan Castellani to the hill as he will be making his third start of the season. He has not gone deep in his first two start but has been efficient with a 1.04 ERA and 0.58 WHIP over 8.2 innings. Framber Valdez gets the ball for Houston and he too has been solid with a 1.90 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in three starts and a relief appearance. However, this is his first time facing Colorado and more important, first time toeing it up at Coors Field. 10* (972) Colorado Rockies | |||||||
08-18-20 | Rays v. Yankees -105 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. A solid pitching matchup in New York on Tuesday with the Yankees having the edge at a short price. They have won five straight games going into Monday and send Masahiro Tanaka to the hill and he has been solid in three starts with a 2.31 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. He is 10-4 against Tampa Bay with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 0.90 in 19 career starts. Blake Snell has better numbers this season, but he is 3-6 against the Yankees with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.45. The Yankees are 50-17 in home games against American League teams with a batting average of .265 or worse over the last two seasons. 10* (912) New York Yankees | |||||||
08-17-20 | Padres -130 v. Rangers | Top | 14-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Padres have lost five straight games including the first two in this series to fall to 11-12 on the season. We played on San Diego yesterday and lost despite a solid effort from Garrett Richards as the bullpen allowed three runs in the bottom of the eighth inning to fall 5-4. The Padres turn to Zack Davies who has been solid through four starts as he has a 2.78 ERA and 0.84 WHIP as he has posted four quality outings in those for games. This includes three on the road where he had games in Colorado and Los Angeles. Texas had a four-game winning streak snapped with a 10-6 loss at Colorado. Jordan Lyles counters for Texas and he has struggled in three starts where he has a 6.91 ERA with a rough 10:11 K:BB ratio. 10* (965) San Diego Padres | |||||||
08-16-20 | Padres -115 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Padres have lost four straight games including the first two in this series to fall to 11-11 on the season. Arizona meanwhile has won three in a row to improve to 10-11 and the Diamondbacks are now 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the National League West. Robbie Ray has gotten off to a horrific start as he has yet to post a quality outing in four starts and has allowed at least five runs in each of his last three games. Garrett Richards has had much more success as he has a 3.74 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in four starts including a gem last time out as he allowed one run over six innings on Tuesday in a win over the Dodgers. 10* (927) San Diego Padres | |||||||
08-14-20 | Brewers +102 v. Cubs | Top | 4-3 | Win | 102 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Milwaukee dropped the opener of this series on Thursday to make it two straight losses and the Brewers are now 7-10 on the season. Chicago has won three straight games and owns an MLB-best 13-3 record. This is the best start for the Cubs since 1907. Pitching has been solid for Chicago and it sends Tyler Chatwood to the hill tonight. Chatwood posted two quality starts to begin the season, but the Royals hammered him his last time out for eight runs on 11 hits in 2.1 innings. Brandon Woodruff counters for the Brewers and he is 1-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.98 WHIP though four starts. Three of those have been quality outings and he owns a 26:5 K:BB ratio. 10* (917) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
08-12-20 | Cubs v. Indians -115 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Chicago took the opener of this series with a 7-1 win on Tuesday to make it seven wins in its last eight games. The Cubs are now 11-3 overall and have a 4.5-game lead over three teams in the National League Central. Cleveland remains a game out of first place in the American League Central as it sits at 10-8 thanks to great pitching. The Indians are allowing just 2.5 rpg and a .196 batting average, both of which are best in baseball. Carlos Carrasco takes the hill for Cleveland and he has put together three quality outings to open the season and overall has a 2.50 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over 18 innings. Kyle Hendricks counter for the Cubs and while he has two quality outings in three starts, those were both at home and he was shelled by Cincinnati on the road where he allowed six runs in just 4.1 innings. 10* (910) Cleveland Indians | |||||||
08-11-20 | Nationals -138 v. Mets | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Washington won the first game of the series in a 16-4 rout last night to move to 5-7 on the season. Max Scherzer gets the ball for the Nationals and he has yet to get a win this season but has a 3.29 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. He was lifted after one inning from his last start Wednesday against the Mets in D.C. due to discomfort in his hamstring but is back to full strength. The Mets fell to 7-10 with the Monday loss and they turn to Rick Porcello who is coming off a quality outing against Washington but has still struggled overall as he has posted a 6.92 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in three starts over 13 innings. The Washington bats stay hot as they get a second straight look at Porcello which is a big edge. 10* (963) Washington Nationals | |||||||
08-10-20 | White Sox -134 v. Tigers | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Monday Enforcer. Chicago has lost two straight games and four of its last five to fall to 8-8 on the season and it trails the Twins by two games in the American League Central. Detroit meanwhile has won three straight games to improve to 8-5 following two straight losses. The White Sox turn to Dallas Keuchel, who has looked very sharp so far this season, going 2-1 with a 2.55 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. The Tigers counter with Michael Fulmer who was shelled for four runs, including three home runs, in just 2.2 innings against the Royals. It was his first start since 2018 after he missed all of last season following Tommy John surgery. 10* (903) Chicago White Sox | |||||||
08-07-20 | Reds -110 v. Brewers | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Reds are coming off a brutal 13-0 loss to the Orioles which was their third straight loss and second straight shutout defeat. The offense has been abysmal, but they get a good matchup here as they face Eric Lauer who is making his first start of the season after posting 2.2 innings of relief work way back on July 26. In his career, he has a 4.36 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Milwaukee is also struggling on offense as the Brewers are averaging just 3.5 rpg and are hitting just .206. They have a much tough matchup as they square off against Trevor Bauer who has a 0.68 ERA and a 0.53 WHIP with 20 strikeouts in 13.1 innings through two starts. 10* (967) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
08-06-20 | Reds v. Indians -115 | Top | 0-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Cleveland has won two straight games, both over Cincinnati, to move to 7-6 on the season, trailing the Twins by three and a half games in the American League Central. The Indians lead the bigs in ERA at 2.37 as the pitching has led the way behind an offense that has struggled early on. Carlos Carrasco has looked great in his first two starts since May 2019 as he has a 3.75 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Both starts have been quality outings and he is a perfect 3-0 in five starts against the Reds. Cincinnati has fallen to 6-7 with the two straight losses and it turns to Luis Castillo who posted a quality outing in his first start against the Tigers but got hit hard last time out against Detroit, allowing five runs on eight hits in six innings. 10* (910) Cleveland Indians | |||||||
08-05-20 | Twins v. Pirates +162 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. This is a contrarian play where we will be backing the worst team in the league going up against one of the hottest. The Pirates own the worst record in baseball at 2-9 and ended a five-game road trip by getting swept in a two-game series at Minnesota including a 7-3 loss yesterday. Minnesota meanwhile is 9-2 which is tied for the best start in franchise history. Trevor Williams will look to right the ship after coming off a pair of average starts and he will be making his first home start of the season. Randy Dobnak counters for the Twins following two solid outings but only one of those was a quality start. The Pirates bats are due for an outburst. 10* (958) Pittsburgh Pirates | |||||||
08-04-20 | White Sox +123 v. Brewers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 123 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The White Sox have won five straight games and look to keep that momentum going tonight and we catch them at an underdog price. Milwaukee is off to a 3-4 start as the offense has been hit or miss thus far. Lucas Giolito gets the ball for Chicago and after recording just 11 outs while allowing seven runs in his first start, he rebounded Wednesday by allowing just four hits, two walks while recording six strikeouts in six shutout innings. He finished fifth in the American League in strikeouts per nine innings at 11.6 last season and Milwaukee is a team that loves to miss the ball. Brandon Woodruff counters for the Brewers and he has gotten off to a solid start but faces a tough lineup with the White Sox that are averaging 5.7 rpg which is fourth in all of baseball. 10* (917) Chicago White Sox | |||||||
08-03-20 | Mets -123 v. Braves | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. After a 3-2 start, the Mets have lost their last five games including the first three games in this four-game set with the Braves. The offense has managed just one run over the last two games but that comes around tonight. Atlanta meanwhile has won five straight games after a 2-3 start and the Braves are third in the National League in run differential at +17. New York sends Jacob deGrom to the hill and he has been solid thus far with a 1.64 ERA and 0.55 WHIP through two starts. He allowed no runs and one hit in five innings in his first start against Atlanta and he has dominated the Braves with a 1.91 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over 22 career starts. Mike Soroka counters for Atlanta and he has gotten off to a solid start as well but he has struggled at home with a 4.03 ERA in 16 starts compared to a 1.73 ERA on the road. 10* (957) New York Mets | |||||||
08-02-20 | Astros v. Angels +131 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Angels snapped a three-game skid with a 5-4 win on Saturday to move to 3-6 on the season and they look to build on that momentum to take this series. The Astros have dropped three of their last four games as the offense has been quiet since a hot start to the season. Shohei Ohtani gets the ball for the Angels and his first start could not have gone much worse. He allowed five runs on three hits and three walks without recording an out in his first start of the season, but we expect a solid comeback today. He will be opposed by Josh James who is coming off just his fifth career start and it was not a good one as he allowed three runs on three hits and walked five batters in just three innings. 10* (924) Los Angeles Angels | |||||||
08-01-20 | Red Sox +159 v. Yankees | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Boston snapped a four-game losing streak by taking two games from the Mets but lost the series opener to the Yankees on Friday. New York has now won four straight games and seem to be a bit overpriced with this line. Zack Godley gets the start for Boston after tossing four shutout innings of relief against the Mets where he allowed just four hits and no walks while striking out seven. Masahiro Tanaka gets the ball for New York and he is making his season debut after suffering a head injury during summer camp. He was 11-9 with a 4.45 ERA in 32 appearances (31 starts) last season. Last season, he was 0-1 with a 24.75 ERA in three starts against Boston, and in the past two seasons, he has a 12.67 ERA over 27 innings. 10* (969) Boston Red Sox | |||||||
07-31-20 | Mets v. Braves -132 | Top | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Braves improved to 4-3 following a pair of wins over Tampa Bay and look to carry that momentum into the series opener against the Mets. Atlanta took two of three games in the first series this season against the Mets and this is a rematch of starters in the series finale, won by Atlanta 14-1. Given an eight-run lead, Sean Newcomb was removed after 3.1 innings and failed to get the win. He was not in command, but we should expect a solid turnaround here. Rick Porcello was shelled in that game as he allowed seven runs in just two innings. He went 14-12 last year for Boston with a 5.52 ERA, highest among 61 qualified starters. 10* (912) Atlanta Braves | |||||||
07-30-20 | Royals -129 v. Tigers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Kansas City look to earn a split in this four-game series as it has dropped the last two games, each by a single run. The Royals offense has been non-existent except for a 14-run outburst in the series opener and we expect and outburst tonight. Kansas City got an excellent start from Brady Singer in his Major League debut as he allowed two runs and three hits with seven strikeouts in five innings. He was a first round pick in 2018 but was not expected to be on the roster this soon although he showed what he is capable of and why he was picked where he was. The Tigers improved to 4-2 but their offense has been inconsistent as well. Ivan Nova gets the ball for Detroit and his opener was not nearly as sharp as he allowed three runs in five innings while striking out just two. He gave up two home runs and he has been near the top of baseball over the last three years in home runs allowed. 10* (959) Kansas City Royals | |||||||
07-29-20 | Cubs v. Reds -109 | Top | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. After opening the season with a win over Detroit, the Reds have dropped four straight games including the first two in this series against Chicago. The pitching has been the detriment as Cincinnati has allowed eight runs in each of the first two games against the Cubs and that should change tonight with Sonny Gray taking the hill. He is coming off a solid opening start where he allowed one run on three hits while striking out nine over six innings. He faced the Cubs five times last season and was dominant, posting a 2.70 ERA and 0.83 WHIP over 30 innings. The Cubs counter with Kyle Hendricks who is coming off an even more dominating performance as he tossed a three-hit shutout against the Brewers. He struggles against the Reds last season, posting a 5.16 ERA over four starts. 10* (910) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
07-28-20 | Padres v. Giants +135 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. San Diego is coming off a series win against Arizona by winning three of the four games in the set including a 6-2 win on Monday. The Padres pitching has been outstanding as their 2.25 ERA is good for third in all of baseball. All four of those games were at home however and Petco Park is known as a pitcher park. Zach Davies makes his Padres debut after four decent seasons in Milwaukee where he posted a 3.91 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, nothing earth shattering. The Giants are making their home opener after splitting four games against the the Dodgers. Jeff Samardzija is coming off his best season as a Giant as he posted a 3.52 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over 32 starts. He faced San Diego four times last season and had a 3.33 ERA covering 24.1 innings. 10* (980) San Francisco Giants | |||||||
07-27-20 | Cubs v. Reds +107 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Reds won the season opener against the Tigers but dropped the last two games over the weekend. They remain home to take on the Cubs Monday in the start of a four-game set that is already important for divisional purposes in the shortened season. Wade Miley gets the ball for Cincinnati after coming off two solid seasons in Milwaukee and Baltimore. He has a 3.92 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Cubs. Jon Lester counters for Chicago and he is coming off his worst season in terms of WHIP as he posted a 1.50 which was his worst since his rookie season in 2006. He faced the Reds three times last season and went 0-1 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. 10* (908) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
07-24-20 | Brewers v. Cubs -105 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. After missing the playoffs last season, the Cubs are near the top to finish in first place in the National League Central. Milwaukee has made the playoffs the last two seasons which is keeping this price down, so we are getting great value with Chicago. Kyle Hendricks takes the hill for Chicago and he is coming off another solid season where he posted a 3.46 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over 30 starts and he has dominated the Brewers with a 3.08 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 21 career starts. Brandon Woodruff had a solid season but has struggled against the Cubs with a 6.75 ERA and 1.70 ERA in five games. 10* (962) Chicago Cubs | |||||||
10-30-19 | Nationals +125 v. Astros | Top | 6-2 | Win | 125 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The road team has dominated this series with six wins through six games and while many will be chasing the home team, we are riding the trend and the road team will sweep this series. Washington overcame a controversial interference call by taking Game Six behind a sensational effort from Stephen Strasburg and its other ace takes the hill tonight with extra rest. In postseason history, including all series and Wild Card Games, home teams are only 57-60 in winner-take-all games. That includes 19-20 in the World Series, where home teams have lost three straight Game Sevens, most recently the Dodgers to the Astros in 2017. Max Scherzer was scratched from Game Five due to a neck issue but he is back after a cortisone shot. He was good, but not great, in the first game of the series. After yielding a pair of runs in the first inning, Scherzer kept Houston off the board, with seven strikeouts and three walks. He has been better on the road than at home with a 2.46 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 14 starts with Washington going 10-4. Zack Greinke has been below average at home with a 4.84 ERA through six starts and he has had a rough postseason with a 5.30 ERA in four starts. 10* (913) Washington Nationals | |||||||
10-26-19 | Astros v. Nationals +101 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. This is the first time in 23 years that the road team has won the first three game of the World Series and we see that coming to an end tonight. After cashing in with runners in scoring position at seemingly every chance during the first two games, the Nationals bats went cold in Game Three, going 0-10 with runners in scoring position while stranding 12 runners on base. Those bats can come alive early tonight. Jose Urquidy has made two effective relief appearances in the postseason but will make his first career playoff start in this Houston bullpen game. Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Nationals and he should be in perfect form. He has spent more time pitching in relief than as a starter this month, but in the three days after a scoreless 21-pitch sixth inning in Game One, he has been able to get back to his normal routine. The Nationals went 14-3 in his 17 home starts where he posted a 3.09 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. The back of the Nationals bullpen is rested and ready after Fernando Rodney, Joe Ross and Wander Suero pitched 3.2 scoreless innings in Game Three. 10* (908) Washington Nationals | |||||||
10-25-19 | Astros -135 v. Nationals | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. History is not on the side of the Astros to make an epic comeback as in all postseason series with the 2-3-2 format, teams going down 0-2 at home have come back to win just three of 25 times. Most recently, the 1996 Yankees in the World Series against the Braves. But Houston just needs to take it one game at a time. Washington is off to a surprising 2-0 start in this series and it is the offense that has led the way. The Nationals offense erupted for 12 runs on 14 hits and three homers to carry themselves to victory in Game Two. The Nationals are no doubt red hot right now as with a win on Friday, the Nationals would become the first team to win nine consecutive games in a single postseason. That being said, we expect the Astros bats to come alive. Washington hands the ball to Anibal Sanchez and while he has been solid of late, there is concern. In two starts over 12.2 innings, he has given up just one run on five hits, with 14 strikeouts and three walks, but this will be his first start since Game One of the National League Championship Series on October 11th. Zack Greinke had a rough go of it against Tampa Bay but his last two starts have been solid as he has a 3.48 ERA over 10.1 innings. Here, we play against National League teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg going up against an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better, after a win by four runs or more. This situation is 70-34 (67.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (905) Houston Astros | |||||||
10-23-19 | Nationals v. Astros -175 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. We won with the Nationals last night as big underdogs but we will be switching sides tonight in what is essentially a must win game for Houston. History is on the Nationals side as 25 of the last 31 Game One winners have gone on to win the World Series but we cannot count out the Astros, who just lost Game One of the ALCS at home before rebounding to defeat the Yankees. We played against the Astros and Gerrit Cole and the results were as predicted. Cole managed to get through seven innings, but he allowed five runs on eight hits after giving up one run on 10 hits in 22.2 innings across his first three postseason outings. Including the playoffs, he had allowed five or more runs in only two of his previous 36 outings in 2019, and not since May 22 against the White Sox. What this means for Justin Verlander is that he has to maintain his game and not allow the Nationals to take a 2-0 series lead. While his postseason has been up and down, venue has played a role. He has a 1.32 ERA in two home starts compared to a 6.75 ERA in two road starts. Stephen Strasburg has been great all season but like the Nationals last night, we expect the Astros bats to get to him and follow up their 10-hit performance with another big offensive output. 10* (904) Houston Astros | |||||||
10-22-19 | Nationals +201 v. Astros | Top | 5-4 | Win | 201 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Tuesday Game One Sweet Spot. The National are also getting excellent value in Game One with Max Scherzer on the hill. He has been an underdog only once all season and that resulted in a win at the Dodgers are just +122 and the number is well above that here. He had another sensational regular season and Scherzer is coming off back-to-back excellent outings in the postseason, allowing a combined one run on five hits and five walks with 18 strikeouts in 14 innings. Gerrit Cole is not going to be easy to get through but the Yankees nearly did it in his last start but they stranded too runners. He is on one of the most amazing runs of any starting pitcher in recent history, going 19-0 with a 1.59 ERA, a 0.81 WHIP and 258 strikeouts in 169. innings in his last 25 starts, including the playoffs. The Astros have won each of his last 16 starts so this will not be easy for Washington but we are taking the chance. 10* (901) Washington Nationals Game One | |||||||
10-18-19 | Astros v. Yankees +132 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 132 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our MLB Game of the Week. It is now do or die for the Yankees after dropping the first two games at home to fall behind in this series 3-1. History is not in their favor as through 2018, only 13 teams out of 86 had come back to win a best-of-seven series after dropping three of the first four contests. While that may be the case, we are looking for just one win to send the series back to Houston and we are doing it going against the public. Houston has won the last three games after dropping the opener 7-0 and it turns to Justin Verlander to close the series. Since his no-hitter in Toronto on the first day of September, he has made just two starts on the road and has posted a 6.52 ERA while allowing four home runs over those 9.2 innings. James Paxton went against Verlander in the first game of this series and got the early hook as he went just 2.1 innings despite allowing only one run. He has been great at home with a 3.48 ERA and 1.17 WHIP with the Yankees going 12-4 in his 16 home starts and that includes six straight wins. Additionally, the Yankees are 6-0 in his last six starts following a team loss in their previous game. Here, we play on American League home teams averaging 5.4 or more rpg going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better, after a game where they committed three or more errors. This situation is 33-10 (76.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (922) New York Yankees | |||||||
10-15-19 | Astros -144 v. Yankees | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Astros were able to salvage a split at home after losing the opening game of the ALCS. Now they will be out to get back home field advantage in the series with a victory on Tuesday and they are in good shape with their hottest pitching on the hill.. Houston is 92-37 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last two seasons. The Yankees are in a difficult spot tonight despite posting a stellar record at home. Gerrit Cole has taken over as the Astros ace as he has been lights out. In 24 starts in the regular season and playoffs since May 27, Cole is 18-0 with a 1.66 ERA and 0.79 WHIP, striking out 251 batters in 162.1 innings in that span. The Astros are 22-2 in those starts, including 15-0 in the times Cole has taken the ball since July 17. Luis Severino is a dynamic pitcher but he is coming back from injury and has been limited as he has tossed 83 pitches or less in four starts. He is 1-2 with a 5.33 ERA in seven career postseason starts. Here, we play on favorites with a money line of -150 or more that are hitting .190 or worse over their last three games, starting a pitcher who gave up one or fewer earned runs in his last two outings. This situation is 59-9 (86.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (911) Houston Astros | |||||||
10-14-19 | Cardinals +123 v. Nationals | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Down 0-2 in this series, the Cardinals have a must win game on their hands tonight and we expect them to come through to avoid the huge 0-3 deficit. St. Louis has been unable to get through the starting pitching in the first two games and that is a big problem considering the Nationals have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.66 ERA and .266 BAA. Stephen Strasburg gets the ball for the Nationals and he came through with two solid outings against the Dodgers and he has been pitching well for a while now but the Cardinals are 5-2 in their last seven games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. Jack Flaherty has been pitching at a higher level as he has posted a 1.13 ERA since July 7th, a span of 18 starts where he has not allowed more than three runs in any of those games. Here, we play on road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are hitting .215 or worse over their last five games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 3.00 over his last 10 games. This situation is 111-73 (60.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (909) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
10-13-19 | Yankees v. Astros -154 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Astros were humbled at home last night, getting shutout 7-0 while registering just three hits. They closed at -147 favorites in a not-so-favorable pitching matchup and they are listed as slightly higher favorites tonight in a very favorable pitching matchup. Despite the win last night, the Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 playoff road games while the Astros are 6-0 in their last six games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Justin Verlander is coming off his worst outing in a while against the Rays as he allowed four runs on seven hits in just 3.2 innings but that was on the road. He has a 2.21 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 18 home starts and he has allowed two runs or less in nine of his last 10 home outings. He earned MVP honors in the 2017 ALCS after he limited the Yankees to one run on 10 hits and two walks with 21 strikeouts over 16 innings in two starts. James Paxton has been pitching better over the second half of the season but he is coming off a rough outing against the Twins, allowing three runs in 4.2 innings. His lone start in Houston this season was a disaster as he allowed five runs in four innings and going back, the Astros are 21-5 in their last 26 home games against left-handed starters. 10* (908) Houston Astros | |||||||
10-12-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals +125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Washington stole Game One of this series last night behind an epic performance from Anibal Sanchez who quietly tossed a no-hitter into the eighth inning and the Cardinals were limited to one hit the entire game. Things do not get any easier today as St. Louis has to face Max Scherzer but he is gettable here. He has been solid this postseason with a 2.77 ERA but the one thing that has clipped him throughout his career is the long ball as he has allowed three home runs in 13 innings. He has not been the same since coming back from an injury on August 22 and his worst start since then happened to be right here where he allowed five runs, including a pair of home runs, in 6.2 innings on September 18. Adam Wainwright tossed a gem against Braves, going 7.2 innings without allowing a run and giving up just four hits. He has been awesome at home with a 2.37 ERA and he faced Washington twice this season, going 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA over 13.1 innings. Here, we play on home teams averaging 4.7 rpg against a very good starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing. This situation is 87-49 (64 percent) since 1997. 10* (906) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
10-11-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals -117 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Washington and St. Louis square off in the NLCS as both are coming off underdog series wins in the NLDS. Anibal Sanchez has resurrected his career over the last two seasons in Atlanta and Washington. He had a horrible stint in Detroit but has posted a 3.09 ERA between his time with the Braves and Nationals. His numbers are up this season including his ERA that is a run higher than it was last season. He posted a solid start against the Dodgers but the bullpen let him down which has been an issue this postseason with a 6.63 ERA over 19 innings. This has carried over from the regular season where the Nationals posted a 5.66 ERA, worst in the Majors. Miles Mikolas counters for the Cardinals and he is also coming off a solid postseason start on the road in Atlanta in the NLDS. He has been great at home this season with a 3.98 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over 15 starts and he has a bullpen behind him that has been great as they finished fifth in MLB with a 3.82 ERA. 10* (902) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
10-09-19 | Cardinals v. Braves +105 | Top | 13-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Braves were four outs away from a series victory Monday afternoon, but Yadier Molina looped a game-tying RBI single in the eighth inning before lofting the walk-off sacrifice fly in the 10th that lifted the Cardinals to a 5-4 win. Game Five returns to Atlanta with a pitching rematch that we expect to come out the same. The Braves are 51-32 at home which is tied for the second best home record in the National League and we are catching an underdog price similar to that in Game Two. Mike Foltynewicz was sensational in his first start in this series and he has been pitching great for a while now. He has allowed three runs or less in his last nine starts while posting a 1.69 ERA over that stretch covering 53.1 innings. He has now allowed no runs over 13 innings in his last two starts against the Braves. Jack Flaherty was the losing pitching in Game Two but he still posted a quality outing for the ninth straight time. He is the reason the Braves are favored on the road but the Cardinals are 1-5 in his last six road starts against teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Braves are 5-1 in their last six games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. Here, we play on National League home teams averaging 5.0 rpg with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 3.00 over his last 10 games going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better. This situation is 40-14 (74.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (914) Atlanta Braves | |||||||
10-07-19 | Yankees v. Twins +138 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Yankees have a 2-0 lead in this series and can wrap it up tonight in Minnesota although we are expecting this series to go to a Game Four. New York has erupted for 18 runs in the first two games but doing that damage on the road is unlikely. The Twins offense was not nearly as potent but they have been a great bounce back teams as they are 25-8 in their last 33 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Luis Severino gets the ball for the Yankees after making just three starts in the regular season due to right rotator cuff inflammation. He will be limited as he has not thrown more than 80 pitches. He is making his seventh career postseason star and faces the team he met in his first postseason start in the 2017 AL Wild Card Game, when he pitched just one-third of an inning and allowed three runs. The Yankees are 1-4 in his last five starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Jake Odorizzi turned things around in his second year in Minnesota. After posting a 4.49 ERA in 32 starts in 2018, Odorizzi had a 3.51 ERA in 30 starts this year. He has allowed three runs or less in 10 straight starts including five straight at home. The Yankees are 0-5 in their last five road games against right-handed starters while the Twins are 7-0 in his last seven starts following a quality outing in his last start. 10* (908) Minnesota Twins | |||||||
10-04-19 | Nationals +140 v. Dodgers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 140 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Washington had an eight-game winning streak snapped with the loss in Game One last night but it was not all that surprising after its crazy win on Tuesday in the Wild Card game against Milwaukee. The Nationals have won four straight games following a loss. The Dodgers are riding an eight-game winning streak so they are clearly peaking at the right time but there is too much value on the National side. Stephen Strasburg gets the ball for Washington and is in a good spot at a great price. While Strasburg has never made a start on three days of rest in his 10-year career, Nationals manager Dave Martinez said he considers his 34-pitch outing Tuesday as a high-intensity between-start bullpen session so there will be no effect. In 11 career starts against the Dodgers, Strasburg has a 2.54 ERA and he has been impressive at Dodger Stadium with a 2.08 ERA over four starts covering 26 innings. Clayton Kershaw had another great season with a 3.03 ERA but we cannot forget his postseason struggles as he has a 4.32 ERA in 30 playoff appearances. The Nationals are 13-3 in their last 16 games against left-handed starters. 10* (921) Washington Nationals | |||||||
10-03-19 | Cardinals v. Braves -139 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -139 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Thursday NLDS Blowout. St. Louis heads to Atlanta for Game One of the NLDS after taking the National League Central. The Cardinals finished just one game over .500 on the road during the regular season which is a big reason this line has been bet up from a -119 opening at Pinnacle. While the rosters have changed somewhat, the Cardinals are 0-6 in their last six playoff road games. Atlanta was able to hold off Washington to win the National League East by four games and secure the home field edge in this series. The Braves dropped their final three games of the regular season but those were meaningless and they were on the road. Atlanta went 50-31 at home and going back, the Braves are 7-2 in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. Dallas Keuchel gets the ball for the Braves and after a great six-game run, two of his last three starts were not great but his postseason experience makes him a great Game One option. It will be the 11th career postseason appearance for Keuchel, who was expected to fill this role when he was signed as a free agent in June. He went 4-2 with a 3.31 ERA in his previous playoff games with the Houston Astros. Miles Mikolas counters for the Cardinals and he had an average season but he was way below average on the road, posting a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 17 starts. 10* (916) Atlanta Braves | |||||||
10-02-19 | Rays v. A's -133 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -133 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The home team came through last night, unfortunate for us, and tonight we will be backing the American League home team. Oakland finished the season 97-65, one game ahead of Tampa Bay to lock down the home field edge in this winner take all Wild Card game. The Athletics are 13-3 in their last 16 home games against teams with a winning record. Tampa Bay closed the season with a pair of meaningless losses in Toronto. Pitching is the strength of the Rays, similar to that of Oakland but there is a big disadvantage in a one-game scenario as with more than 250 home runs this season, the Athletics are more capable than Tampa Bay of producing those runs in bunches. The Rays are 31-66 in their last 97 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Oakland hands the ball to Sean Manaea which was a bit of a surprise due to his limited action but he was nasty. Manaea has pitched in five games since returning from surgery on his left shoulder, going 4-0 with a 1.21 ERA. He has allowed 16 hits and seven walks in 29.1 innings and struck out 30. Charlie Morton counters for Tampa Bay and he had an outstanding season. While he posted the same 8-3 record at both home and on the road, his road ERA was a full run higher on the highway, 3.59 compared to 2.59. 10* (914) Oakland Athletics | |||||||
10-01-19 | Brewers +170 v. Nationals | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our National League Wild Card Dominator. The Nationals already are, and will be going forward until gametime, a very popular play in the National League Wild Card game and it makes sense why. Washington claimed home field in the beginning of the weekend and is currently riding an eight game winning streak as it was able to overtake Milwaukee. The Brewers had a chance to win the National League Central but closed the season with three straight losses in Colorado to fall into this spot. Max Scherzer gets the ball for Washington and while he is the ace of the staff, he has not been of late. He has been at least somewhat hittable since his return from injury this year, with a 4.73 ERA in seven starts. He does have 54 strikeouts and only eight walks in that time but has been bitten by issues with the home run ball, serving up eight of them during this seven-game stretch. He is beatable, especially at home where Washington is just 6-9 in his 15 starts and he finished the season as the least profitable pitcher in the rotation at -8.85 units. Milwaukee will send All-Star Brandon Woodruff to the mound. He finished his first full season in the big leagues with a 3.62 ERA in 121.2 innings across 22 starts this season, along with a far more impressive 67 FIP. He will not be stretched out as he is coming off a pair of two-inning outings following his return from an oblique injury but this is not a bad thing as the bullpen is one of the better ones in baseball. 10* (911) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
09-27-19 | Indians +134 v. Nationals | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. After dropping two straight games to the White Sox, the Indians trail the Rays by two games with three to play for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. Those two games are going to come back and haunt Cleveland most likely but all it can do now is win and hope that they can get some help. This comes on the heels of a 7-1 run and going back, the Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Washington also has playoff implications on the line but not nearly as severe as it is playing for the home field in the National League Wild Card. Zach Plesac gets the ball for the Indians and he has been solid on the road with a 3.51 ERA and 1.17 WHIP and he has been especially good in his night starts, posting a 2.84 ERA and 1.14 WHIP with Cleveland going 9-2 in 11 starts. Austin Voth has been pitching well but has posted only one quality outing over his last six starts as he does not go deep and has gone over 90 pitches only twice in his career. Here, we play against National League home teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg with a bullpen that blows 38 percent or more of their save opportunities going up against an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 33-16 (67.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (979) Cleveland Indians | |||||||
09-25-19 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -147 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Game of the Week. After winning the 15-inning marathon game on Monday, the Blue Jays dropped Game Two last night but it is still 6-3 over its last nine games. This is the final likely winnable game of the season as they close with a series against Tampa Bay which is right in the thick of the Wild Card race. Baltimore is coming off a rare win and as mentioned Monday, it is one of four teams that have 100 losses this season. The Orioles are 17-49 in their last 66 games following a win. Jacob Waguespack gets the start for Toronto and while his numbers do not look overly appeasing, digging deeper shows why. Of his 12 starts, nine have come against winning teams, eight of which are in current playoff positions with Boston being the other. He has a 3.24 ERA in his three starts against teams with a losing record covering 16.2 innings. It has been a rough season for Gabriel Ynoa who has rotated between the starting rotation and the bullpen and neither has been particularly good. In 12 starts, he has a 6.12 ERA and since winning his first start back in May, Baltimore is 0-11 in his 11 starts since then. The Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last eight games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and they are 10-2 this season against American League pitchers with an ERA of 5.90 or worse. 10* (968) Toronto Blue Jays | |||||||
09-24-19 | Brewers v. Reds -107 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Milwaukee posted its eighth win in nine games and improved to an MLB best 17-4 in September following its 4-3 victory over Pittsburgh on Sunday. The Brewers also own a 10-2 mark since losing Christian Yelich to a fractured kneecap. They have a four-game cushion for the second Wild Card spot in the National League and are a half-game behind Washington for the first spot so winning is still the goal. That being said, they are in a tough spot here. Cincinnati is coming off a series loss against the Mets and it opens its final home series of the season with its ace on the hill. Sonny Gray has been sensational this season with a 2.80 ERA and 1.09 WHIP and has accounted for 19 of the 73 wins for the Reds. He has allowed three runs or less in nine straight starts and Gray improved to 2-0 with a 1.78 ERA in his career against Milwaukee after making four solid starts this season. Adrian Houser counters for the Brewers and he has struggled over his last few starts, tossing non-quality outings over his last six starts. The Brewers are 2-6 in his eight road starts this season. 10* (904) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
09-23-19 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -166 | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. This line came out late due to the Baltimore pitching change. This is the final homestand of the season for Toronto and this young team will want to go out like a bang. The Blue Jays had a five-game winning streak snapped over the weekend with a pair of losses to the Yankees. Toronto is 8-2 in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Baltimore closed out its home portion of the schedule with a win over the Mariners on Sunday and that could provide a letdown in what has been a disaster of a season. The Orioles are one of four teams in baseball with at least 100 losses, which is a new record, and going back, the Orioles are 17-48 in their last 65 games following a win. Clay Buchholz got lit up in his last start which happened to come against Baltimore but it was on the road where he has been awful. The Orioles counter with Chandler Shepherd who is making his second career start. His first was an average one against Toronto where he allowed three runs in four inning over 68 pitches. Not a good sign considering Baltimore has the second worst ERA in baseball. The Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 9* (958) Toronto Blue Jays | |||||||
09-21-19 | Giants +137 v. Braves | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Braves clinched their 19th division championship, and second straight, with a 6-0 win over the Giants Friday night at SunTrust Park. Celebrations went long into the evening which certainly puts them in a bad spot tonight and it is likely some players will sit but not much to play for at this points. Atlanta trails the Dodgers by 4.5 games for the best record in the National League so catching them with seven games left is likely unattainable. The Giants have dropped two straight games following a three-game winning streak and turn to Johnny Cueto to post another solid start. He has allowed no runs in two starts, both covering five innings and while he is being limited, he remains efficient. It helps having a bullpen that is fifth in baseball with a 3.83 ERA behind him. The Braves hand the ball to Max Fried who has had his moments but has struggled of late. He has allowed 10 runs over his last two starts covering just 7.1 innings. 10* (959) San Francisco Giants | |||||||
09-20-19 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -108 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Arizona was in the heat of the National League Wild Card race but a 3-8 run has dropped them five games back with just eight games remaining. The Diamondbacks are .500 on the road overall but have dropped five straight on the highway. San Diego is back home following a 1-6 roadtrip but those games were against Colorado at Coors Field and contending Milwaukee. The Padres have won four of their last six games at home and they are 19-8 in their last 27 games after batting .200 or worse over a five game span. Eric Lauer takes the hill for San Diego and while his numbers have been up and down, the down has been on the road. Lauer has allowed three runs or less in 11 straight starts at home and the Padres are 5-0 in his last five starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Merrill Kelly has tossed three straight quality starts but two of those were at home and he brings in a 5.89 ERA and 1.56 WHIP on the road. The Diamondbacks are 1-6 in his last seven road starts. 10* (912) San Diego Padres | |||||||
09-19-19 | Cardinals v. Cubs -103 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Game of the Week. A huge four-game series opens tonight in Chicago with the Cubs trying to make up three games on the Cardinals in the National League Central. Chicago has won five straight games before a pair of losses against the Reds and they remain in a tie with Milwaukee for the second wild Card spot in the National League so there is a lot going on. The Cubs are 51-26 at home which is second best in the National League and they have won their last seven series openers. St. Louis is coming off a 3-3 homestand and is just 4-5 over its last nine games. The Cardinals are nothing special on the road at two games under .500 and they are 7-20 in their last 27 road games against teams with a winning record. Jack Flaherty is the reason this line is so low and to his credit, he has been lights out. However, the offense has backed him with two runs or less in six of his last eight starts and Wrigley Field is not his friend with a 6.35 ERA over four starts. Kyle Hendricks has been dealing it as well with the exception of a couple bad road outings. He has a 1.75 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in 13 home starts with 12 of those being quality outings. Chicago has won 10 straight and 14 of his last 17 starts against the Cardinals. 10* (956) Chicago Cubs | |||||||
09-18-19 | Padres +137 v. Brewers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 137 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Milwaukee has won the first two games of this four-game series to make it four straight wins. The Brewers have won 11 of their last 12 games to fall into a tie with the Cubs for the second Wild Card spot in the National League. They are also just two games back of St. Louis in the National League Central. That being said at a short price, the public is all over them tonight and puts them in a perfect fade spot. The Padres meanwhile have lost six straight games. The pitching was a disaster early on but three of those games came at Coors Field and now it is the offense which has scored just one run in each of the first two games of this series. Dinelson Lamet gets the ball for San Diego and he has huge upside. He has allowed three runs or less in 10 of 12 starts and has struck out seven or more in half of his starts including a pair of double-digit strike out performances. He has a healthy 3.19 ERA and 1.16 WHIP on the road. Adrian Houser is having a solid season but fatigue is coming into play. He has a 6.35 ERA over his last three starts and has a max of 5.1 innings over his last five starts. The Brewers are 3-8 in his last 11 starts. 10* (909) San Diego Padres | |||||||
09-17-19 | Reds +148 v. Cubs | Top | 4-2 | Win | 148 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Cubs won the opener of this series last night and while they are trying to play their way into the playoffs, we are backing the Reds behind their ace at a great price. Chicago has won five straight games as the offense continues to be explosive, averaging 11.8 rpg over the winning streak but it has not faced a pitcher like it will tonight. Cincinnati is 3-4 on this current roadtrip but has won three of its last five and turns to its ace in Sonny Gray. He has posted a 1.29 ERA over his last eight starts and has allowed more than one run in only two of those. The Reds are 14-3 in his last 17 starts against teams with a winning record. The Cubs counter with Yu Darvish who has been pitching well but it is hard not to see his 5.14 ERA at home and be concerned. Here, we play against teams that are hitting .333 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.50 over his last five starts. This situation is 67-36 (65 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (957) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
09-16-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals +129 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 129 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. St. Louis is coming off a brutal loss on Sunday as it went into the ninth inning with a 4-3 lead but allowed a Ryan Braun grand slam and eventually lost the game 7-6. The Cardinals lead in the National League Central has gone down to two games over the Cubs and three games over the Brewers. The Cardinals are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a loss. Washington won its series finale over Atlanta to maintain its game and a half lead over Chicago for the top Wild Card spot in the National League. The Nationals have lost four straight series openers and they are 1-4 in their last five games following a win. Stephen Strasburg comes in as the favorite mostly on name alone although he is having a great season. He has not been as efficient on the road as he has been at home. St. Louis counters with Dakota Hudson who can make a strong case of being the favorite here. He has posted a 1.43 ERA over his last six starts, allowing no runs in four of those. The Cardinals are 11-3 in his last 14 starts following a quality outing in his last game. 10* 904) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
09-15-19 | Marlins v. Giants -154 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Miami snapped a five-game winning streak with a win last night but it still managed just four runs and it is averaging 2.8 rpg over its last six games. The Marlins are 12-26 in their last 38 road games against teams with a losing record. San Francisco has lost three of its last four games on this current homestand but it is in a great pitching matchup today. Elieser Hernandez has been all over the place this season as he is coming off his third straight non-quality start and he has just two quality outings over his last 12 starts. He has a 6.55 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over 33 innings on the road. Johnny Cueto had a solid effort in his first start back from Tommy John surgery as he tossed five scoreless innings while allowing just one hit and one walk. He gets the benefit of another home start in his second outing and going back, the Giants are 13-4 in his last 17 home starts against teams with a losing record. Here, we play on home favorites that are hitting .215 or worse over their last 10 games going up against an opponent that is hitting .230 or worse over their last 20 games. This situation is 49-14 (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (962) San Francisco Giants | |||||||
09-13-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals -124 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Game of the Year. Milwaukee completed the four-game sweep in Miami on Thursday to make it seven straight wins and now sit four games behind the Cardinals in the National League Central. They have won the last two without the services of Christian Yelich and he will be missed down the stretch run. while the Brewers have been hot, they have been taking to the bad teams and going back, they are 4-9 in their last 13 road games against team with a winning record. The Cardinals salvaged a game in Colorado to maintain their lead and after a disappointing 3-3 roadtrip, they head back home where they are 46-26, the second best home record in the National League. With just over two weeks left in the season, St. Louis is in good shape for a playoff berth but there is still room to fall out and a win the series opener is huge. The Cardinals are 35-16 in their last 51 home games against teams with a losing road record. While Adam Wainwright is nearing the end of a great career with St. louis, he is having his best season since 2014. His overall numbers are not impressive, but he has been dealing at home all season as he has posted a 2.43 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 13 starts where he is 7-3. The Cardinals are 10-2 in his last 12 starts and he will be out for revenge after the Brewers got to him here on 8/21 for five runs in five innings, his worst home start of the season. Adrian Houser has been very solid but he has struggled on the road with a 3.98 ERA and 1.37 WHIP and he has just one quality start on the road. The Brewers are 1-4 in his last five road starts. 10* (958) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
09-12-19 | Rays -152 v. Rangers | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -152 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Tampa Bay lost a tough game last night as it rallied from a 7-2 deficit to take the lead only to lose it late. Both the A's and Indians gained on the Rays on Wednesday, winning while Tampa Bay 10-9 to end a six-game winning streak. With 15 games remaining on their schedule, the Rays cling to the top Wild Card spot in the American League by a half game over Oakland and one game over Cleveland. The Rays are 19-7 in their last 26 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Texas has now won five of its last six games but four of those wins came against 47-98 Baltimore and the win last night was its first in its last nine home games against a winning team. The Rangers are 3-8 in their last 11 games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (919) Tampa Bay Rays | |||||||
09-11-19 | Royals v. White Sox -162 | 8-6 | Loss | -162 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. This might be considered a big number for the White Sox to be laying but the situation sets up perfectly. Chicago has taken the first two games of this four-game set behind some solid pitching and we can expect that again tonight. The White Sox are 4-1 in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Royals had won six of their previous seven games before coming to Chicago and they are now 24-48 on the highway. They send out Glenn Sparkman for his 20th start and the previous 19 have not been good. He has a respectable 4.04 ERA at home but that balloons to an 8.95 ERA in nine road starts where Kansas City is just 1-8. Reynaldo Lopez counters for Chicago and he has been pretty solid after a horrific start to the season, especially at home. He has allowed three runs or less in 10 of his last 12 starts and has posted a 1.46 ERA over his four home starts during this stretch. 9* (972) Chicago White Sox | |||||||
09-11-19 | Nationals -140 v. Twins | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Washington has lost five of its last six games to see its lead in the National League Wild Card shrink to 2.5 games over the Cubs and 3.5 games to falling out completely. Going back, the Nationals are 19-8 in their last 27 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Minnesota has been up and down of late but did win last night to keep its five-game lead over the Indians in the American League Central in place. But, the Twins are 3-7 in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning record. Stephen Strasburg is the perfect pitcher to put an end to this skid as he has tossed four straight quality starts, posting a 1.67 ERA over that stretch and three of those have come on the road. Martin Perez had a great start to the season but he has struggled of late with a 6.17 ERA over his last nine starts and the Nationals have won seven of their last nine games against left-handed starters. 10* (977) Washington Nationals | |||||||
09-11-19 | Brewers v. Marlins +133 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. We came close with Miami last night as it lost 4-3, giving up the winning run in the top of the ninth inning. Despite the loss last night, the Marlins are 34-20 in their last 54 home games against National League teams allowing 4.5 or more rpg in the second half of the season. Milwaukee has won five straight games and has moved within a game of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Brewers did suffer a massive loss though as Christian Yelich fractured his kneecap and is out for the season. Pablo Lopez gets the ball for Miami and he is coming off another solid home start where he allowed two runs over 6.1 innings and he now has a 2.28 ERA over his last seven home starts. Zach Davies has been all over the place and while he won his last two starts, he was unable to make it to 80 pitches and he has a 6.82 ERA over his last seven outings. 9* (954) Miami Marlins | |||||||
09-10-19 | Pirates v. Giants -118 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. San Francisco dropped the opener of this series last night despite a solid effort from Madison Bumgarner. The Giants fell to a surprising nine games under .500 at home but they are in a great bounce back spot tonight. The Pirates snapped a two-game losing skid with the win and going back, they are 6-13 in their last 19 games following a win. Johnny Cueto will be making his first start since last July after going through Tommy John surgery and rehab. While he will be on a pitch count, he did toss six outings in the minors and he was sensational. He threw 21 innings over six starts and had a 21:1 K:BB ratio. In two rehab starts with Triple-A Sacramento, Cueto allowed three earned runs in 10.1 innings and struck out nine batters. Lack of pitches is not an issue as San Francisco has the sixth best bullpen in baseball with a 3.91 ERA which includes a 3.81 ERA at home. Mitch Keller has made one good start this season as overall, he has an 8.18 ERA and 1.88 WHIP over eight starts. This includes an 11.81 ERA and 2.50 WHIP over four starts on the road. 9* (910) San Francisco Giants | |||||||
09-10-19 | Brewers v. Marlins +165 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Milwaukee won its fourth straight game last night with an 8-3 victory and it still sits two games behind the Cubs for the final spot in the National League Wild Card spot. Despite the victory, the Brewers are still just five games under .500 on the road. Miami has dropped three of its four games on this current homestand but is in good shape tonight. The Marlins are 34-20 in their last 54 home games against National League teams allowing 4.5 or more rpg in the second half of the season. Chase Anderson is a hefty road favorite despite having a very average season. He has a 4.58 ERA in 23 starts which includes a 5.88 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 10 road outings. For his career, Anderson is 3-3 with a 4.06 ERA in eight appearances, all starts, against the Marlins. The Marlins turn to Elieser Hernandez who is making his 14th start of the season. This year, Hernandez has been much better as a starter (3-4, 4.73 ERA) than as a reliever (0-1, 9.39 ERA). He has been solid at home with the exception of a bad start against the Dodgers as he has allowed two runs or less in three of his last four home starts. 9* (904) Miami Marlins | |||||||
09-10-19 | Braves v. Phillies +147 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 147 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. We lost with the Phillies last night and they are now three games out of the final Wild Card spot with just 19 games left and they have to take advantage of games at home where there are just eight remaining. The Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. The Braves are just three games behind the Dodgers for the best record in the National League so there is motivation there as well but they are overpriced tonight. Max Fried gets the ball for Atlanta and while he has been the most profitable pitcher in the rotation, it is due to 6.89 rpg of support which is unheard of. In his previous start, Fried tossed seven scoreless innings and gave up just one hit in a 4-2 win over the Nationals. But that was at home. He has a 4.39 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 13 road starts but has a positive return because of that run support. Jason Vargas is coming off a near quality start last time out and while he has been up and down with the Phillies, he has exceptional value on his side tonight. 10* (902) Philadelphia Phillies | |||||||
09-09-19 | Braves v. Phillies -127 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -127 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Monday Enforcer. Thanks to the Cubs 8-5 loss to the Brewers on Sunday, coupled with the Philadelphia 10-7 win over the Mets, the Phillies and Brewers are both two games behind the Cubs for the second Wild Card spot in the National League. They head back home where they are 41-31 on the season and this is a big stretch where the next 17 games are against teams all in playoff contention. The Braves remain atop the National League East, eight games ahead of Washington. The Phillies will hand the ball to right-hander Aaron Nola, who is 12-4 with a 3.63 ERA this season and 10-3 with a 2.46 ERA in 16 career starts against the Braves. He has been dominant at home with a 2.85 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 17 starts. This is a contrarian play in some respects as Mike Foltynewicz has been pitching good enough for the Braves to win his last nine starts. But he has a pedestrian 4.72 ERA over this stretch. 10* (952) Philadelphia Phillies | |||||||
09-08-19 | Rockies v. Padres -145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. San Diego snapped a four-game slide with a 3-0 victory on Saturday and we feel that momentum continues. The Padres are 18-8 after scoring and allowing three runs or less this season. The Rockies have now dropped 10 of their last 11 games and the road continues to haunt them where they have lost 17 of their last 20 games. Colorado is 4-19 in road games after scoring two runs or less this season. Eric Lauer has allowed three runs or less in five of his last six starts and he has been great at home with a 3.22 ERA in 12 outings. The Padres are 6-1 in his last seven starts when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. Peter Lambert has struggled mightily with a 7.19 ERA in 16 starts and he has actually been worse on the road than at Coors Field as he possesses a 7.47 ERA in seven road starts. The Rockies are 0-6 in his last six road starts. Here, we play against National League underdogs averaging 5.0 or more rpg with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 7.00 or worse over his last five starts going up against a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.50 or worse. This situation is 72-24 (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (914) San Diego Padres | |||||||
09-06-19 | Royals v. Marlins -128 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -128 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Miami won its road series at Pittsburgh to open the week, its first road series win since late July while snapping a 15-game rod losing streak in the process. Now the Marlins return home where they have been better than on the road as is the case with their starting pitcher. The Royals were rising a four-game winning streak going into Thursday but lost to the Tigers after blowing a 3-0 lead after two innings. Kansas City is 22-46 on the road, tied for the worst road record in baseball with the Marlins. Pablo Lopez takes the hill for Miami and he is the epitome of home/road success or lack thereof. He has a 7.71 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in eight road starts while posting a 2.66 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in eight home starts. Jorge Lopez had a horrible run through May and has not been any better since getting back into the rotation with a 7.36 ERA in three August starts. Here, we play on home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing. This situation is 62-18 (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (930) Miami Marlins | |||||||
09-05-19 | Nationals -107 v. Braves | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the WAHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Game of the Week. Washington and Atlanta begin a crucial four-game series tonight and while the Braves have a secure seven-game cushion in the National League East, Washington needs to keep winning as well to hold onto its 3.5-game lead in the National League Wild Card race. The Nationals lost yesterday against the Mets to close a series defeat but going back, they are 21-8 in their last 29 games following a loss. Atlanta has won six straight games although those all came against the White Sox and Blue Jays. Washington hands the ball to Stephen Strasburg who is having another great season and he has been especially dialed in of late with a 0.86 ERA and 0.62 WHIP over his last three starts. The Nationals are 40-13 in his last 53 road starts. Max Fried has been all over the place of late but he has been pulling out the wins thanks to superb run support. The Braves have won his last eight starts even though only three of those have been quality outings thanks to 7.9 rpg from the offense. Overall, his 7.0 rpg over 26 starts is the most in the National League and that is where the luck comes in which will not be in play tonight. The Nationals are 7-0 in their last seven games against left-handed starters. Here, we play on road teams batting .300 or better over their last 20 games, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.00 over his last three starts. This situation is 103-56 (64.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (959) Washington Nationals | |||||||
09-04-19 | Phillies v. Reds +117 | 5-8 | Win | 117 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Phillies have won the first two games of this series and three straight overall to remain two and a half games out of the second Wild Card spot in the National League. Philadelphia is still three games under .500 on the road and going back, the Phillies are 6-13 in their last 19 games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. The Reds have lost six of their last seven games and possess the third worst road record in the National League. They are still three games over .500 at home and are underdogs because of the home/road splits with the starting pitcher. While Trevor Bauer has struggled since coming over from the Indians, the damage has been on the road where he has a 14.06 ERA in four starts but in his two starts at Great American Ballpark, he has a 1.93 ERA. Aaron Nola has been dealing of late as he has tossed four straight quality outings but he does bring in a 4.35 ERA on the road and he has actually struggled against the lesser teams as the Phillies are 3-8 against National League teams with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. Here, we play against National League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are hitting 255 or less against a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.50 or worse, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.00 or better over his last five starts. This situation is 53-29 (64.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (904) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
09-03-19 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -140 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet spot. Arizona erupted for 14 runs yesterday to make it seven wins over its last eight games. The Diamondbacks are now just 3.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League and 10 of their next 14 games are against teams not in the playoff picture. San Diego had a two-game winning streak snapped with the Monday loss and the Padres are now three games under .500 on the road. Going back, the Padres are 2-5 in their last seven games against teams with a winning record. Merrill Kelly gets the ball for Arizona and while he has been up and down, he has remained consistent at home. He has a 6.00 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 14 road starts but a 3.82 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 13 home outings. The Padres counter with Ronald Bolanos who is making his Major League debut. Bolanos opened the season in Class-A Advanced and posted a 2.85 ERA through 10 starts before jumping to Double-A where he had a 4.23 ERA. He makes his debut in a very tough environment against one of the hotter teams in the National League. Here, we play against road teams batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen allowed six or more earned runs. This situation is 41-16 (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (960) Arizona Diamondbacks | |||||||
09-02-19 | Astros v. Brewers +163 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Houston is coming off a win in Toronto on Sunday to win that series behind a no-hitter from Justin Verlander and there was certainly some celebrating going on last night and a feat like that puts Houston in a massive letdown spot on Monday. Milwaukee enters the contest three games behind Chicago for the second Wild Card spot in the National League following back-to-back shutout wins over the Cubs over the weekend. We played on Adrian Houser in his last start against the Cardinals but the bullpen let him down after yet another strong performance. He has been pitching lights out as over his last four starts, he has a 1.54 ERA and has allowed just one run in all of those starts. Overall, he has a 2.83 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in five home starts. Gerrit Cole is Gerrit Cole. The Astros have won his last seven starts and while he has pitched great for the most part, getting an average of 9.3 rpg does not hurt and we do not expect that today. 10* (924) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
09-01-19 | Padres v. Giants -127 | 8-4 | Loss | -127 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. San Francisco will be out to split this series on Sunday after dropping a 4-1 decision on Saturday. The Giants are now seven games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League with 27 games left but there are only four teams in front of them so it is not that impossible. San Francisco is 16-9 after scoring one run or less this season. San Diego has won only two road series since the end of June as it comes in at 32-35 on the highway. The Padres have dropped seven of the last 10 meetings and are in a tough spot with this pitching matchup. Jeff Samardzija was only 1-2 across his five August outings, but his ERA was 1.84 as he gave up two runs in one start and one run in each of the other four last month. Going back to his last two starts in July, he has a 1.52 ERA covering 41.1 innings. The Padres are 1-10 in their last 11 games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. Eric Lauer meanwhile went 2-0 in five appearances last month but posted a 4.32 ERA. He is coming off a quality outing but tossed 110 pitches and the last time he went over 100 pitches was early June and he was rocked for five runs in 2.2 innings in his next start. Here, we play against National League road teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30 percent. This situation is 56-30 (65.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (960) San Francisco Giants | |||||||
08-31-19 | Reds v. Cardinals -130 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS Game One for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. St. Louis is coming off a series win over Milwaukee but did drop the finale 4-1 and saw its lead drop to two games over the Cubs in the National League Central. The Cardinals are 40-24 at home and have won four straight following a four-game sweep of the Rockies to end their last homestand. Going back, the Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing road record. Cincinnati is coming off a series win over Miami but it is still well under .500 on the highway. The Reds are 1-4 in their last five road games against teams with a winning record. Dakota Hudson has been the hottest pitcher in baseball as he has not allowed a single run over his last three starts covering 18.2 innings. This includes allowing no hits against the Brewers in 6.2 innings before being pulled. Hudson has a 2.97 ERA and 1.38 WHIP at home where the Cardinals have gone 10-3 in his 13 home starts. Trevor Bauer has upside but he has been a disaster since coming over from Cleveland as he has a 7.62 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in five starts. This includes an 11.30 ERA in his last three outings and a 14.25 ERA in three road starts, all Cincinnati losses. 10* (902) St. Louis Cardinals Game One | |||||||
08-29-19 | Padres -123 v. Giants | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. San Diego is coming off a 2-4 homestand, losing both series but those came against the Dodgers and Red Sox, two of the better teams in baseball. The Padres hit the road where they are just 30-34 but have shown a slight profit compared to being -14.4 units at home. San Diego is 21-10 against the money line in its last 31 games after having lost five or six of its last seven games this season. San Francisco dropped both games of its mini two-game series against Arizona and after a strong run to possibly make a playoff push, the Giants are likely done, having lost six of their last eight games to fall six games out of the second Wild Card spot in the National League. San Francisco is 32-43 against the money line in its last 75 home games after two straight losses by two runs or less. Chris Paddock was cruising along with a 2.78 ERA through his first 18 starts but then faced the Dodgers in Los Angeles and he got lit up for six runs in four innings. Three starts after that, he allowed six runs in just 2.1 innings but that came against Boston. He has allowed four runs or more only five times and those came against the Dodgers, Red Sox, Yankees and Phillies (twice). Dereck counters for the Giants and he has struggled. He posted a 5.05 ERA through his first eight starts, was sent to the bullpen for nine relief appearances and has posted a 5.21 ERA in four starts since re-entering the rotation. 10* (909) San Diego Padres | |||||||
08-28-19 | Reds v. Marlins +143 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS for our MLB Game of the Week. Cincinnati has won the first two games of this series behind its two aces Sonny Gray and Luis Castillo but it is in a more difficult spot tonight. The Reds are just 25-38 on the road despite the two recent wins ang going back, they 3-15 in their last 18 road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. Miami was coming off a series win at home over Philadelphia before these last two games and while the overall home success has been kept in check, the Marlins have had some tough luck overall by going 13-19 in one run games this season. Sandy Alcantara has also had some tough luck as he has posted a decent 4.15 ERA and 1.38 WHIP but has just four wins to show for it. He is on a huge three-game stretch with three quality starts, going at least seven innings in all three and more impressive is one game came in Colorado and the other two games came against Atlanta. Anthony DeSclafani is coming off a quality outing but he has posted just two in his last eight starts. He has a 4.96 ERA on the road and the Reds are 2-8 in his last 10 road starts against teams with a losing record. Here, we play against National League road teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30 percent. This situation is 56-29 (65.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (956) Miami Marlins | |||||||
08-27-19 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -133 | 3-2 | Loss | -133 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. This line came out late due to the uncertain status of the Giants starter but Jeff Samardzija has been listed as expected. Arizona won its second consecutive game with the victory last night in the opener of this series and it is now two games over .500 on the road. The Diamondbacks are now just four games out of the second Wild Card spot in the National League but are in a tough spot tonight. The Giants are just 4.5 games out of that Wild Card spot after having their two-game winning streak snapped. San Francisco has done its most damage within the division as the Giants are 14-5 in their last 19 games against teams from the National League West. Samardzija has been exceptional of late as he has posted a 1.49 ERA over his last six starts, allowing more than one run in only one of those games. Mike Leake was acquired by the Diamondbacks for their playoff push and he has been a disaster. He has an 8.02 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in four starts since coming over from Seattle and he has yet to post a quality outing in those games. Overall, in 13 road starts, he has a 6.14 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. 9* (910) San Francisco Giants | |||||||
08-27-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers -137 | 6-3 | Loss | -137 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. We lost with Milwaukee last night but we will be backing the Brewers again tonight. The Cardinals have won five straight games and are 14-3 over their last 17 games. The majority of the success has come at home though as they are 10-1 over their last 11 home games where they are 40-24 on the season compared to two games under .500 on the road. The Cardinals are 3-7 in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record. The Brewers are 11 games over .500 at home and they are 7-2 in their last nine home games against teams with a winning record. Milwaukee sits 2.5 games out of the second Wild Card spot in the National League. Adrian Houser has been great for Milwaukee with a 3.62 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 11 starts and 17 relief appearances. He has allowed just one run in each of his last three starts. Miles Mikolas has been on an opposite run as he has allowed three runs in each of his last three starts. His home/road splits also tell a story as he has a 2.80 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 13 home starts compared to a 6.54 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 13 road starts. St. Louis has lost four of his last five on the highway. 9* (908) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
08-27-19 | Cubs v. Mets -102 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Both Chicago and New York were swept over the weekend and their current three-game losing streaks hurt their Wild Card positions but both are still in good shape. The sweeps negated the progress both teams made at home earlier in the week, when the Mets swept a three-game series from the Indians and the Cubs took three straight from the Giants. Chicago hits the road where it is 25-39 on the season and they are 4-10 in their last 14 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Mets meanwhile are 37-24 at home and sit just two games behind the Cubs for the second Wild Card spot in the National League. The Mets are 11-2 in their last 13 games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. New York has won all four starts by Marcus Stroman since he came over from Toronto. He has yet to make a quality start but the numbers have been decent as long as he can keep the walks down. Yu Darvish is coming off a horrible start against the Giants and on the season, Chicago is just 3-10 in his 13 road starts including losses in five straight. 10* (906) New York Mets | |||||||
08-26-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers -131 | Top | 12-2 | Loss | -131 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Cardinals have won four straight games and are 13-3 over their last 16 games to increase their lead to 2.5 games over the Cubs and 4.5 games over the Brewers in the National League Central. The majority of the success has come at home though as they are 10-1 over their last 11 home games where they are 40-24 on the season compared to three games under .500 on the road. The Cardinals are 2-7 in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. Milwaukee won its series with Arizona although it did drop the series finale on Sunday. Still, the Brewers are 11 games over .500 at home and they are 7-2 in their last nine home games against teams with a winning record. Adam Wainwright is coming off a rare poor home start which happened to come against the Brewers and now he hits the road where he has a 6.64 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 12 starts. The Cardinals are 0-7 in his last seven road starts against teams with a winning record. Gio Gonzalez has been okay since coming back into the rotation and things could be better if he was stretched out more. Overall, he has a 3.64 ERA and the Brewers are 7-2 in his last nine starts against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against road teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 hitting .325 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent starting a pitcher who walked four or more hitters each of his last two outings. This situation is 37-11 (77.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (958) Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
08-25-19 | Red Sox v. Padres -112 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the San Diego Padres for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Boston has won the first two games of this series and has now won four straight games on the highway going back to its previous roadtrip. The Red Sox are now six games out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League yet have a tough task on Sunday facing a left-handed starter which they have struggled against this season. San Diego has lost four straight games and is 10 games under .500 on the season so there is not a while lot to like but the Padres have a great opportunity today. Boston used seven pitchers yesterday and will have to go back to the bullpen today with Brian Johnson taking the hill. He has not made it through four innings in his four starts since re-entering the rotation and overall he has a 6.58 ERA and 2.04 WHIP. Joey Lucchesi counters for San Diego and he is having a solid season and while his 4.20 ERA may nor show that, his 1.18 WHIP does. He has a 2.91 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 13 home starts and the Padres are 7-3 in his last 10 starts with six days of rest. 10* (928) San Diego Padres | |||||||
08-24-19 | Braves v. Mets -105 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Mets suffered a tough loss last night as the Braves won in 14 innings to snap a five-game winning streak from New York. The Mets are still 27-11 since the All-Star Break, best in the Majors, and they remain two games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. New York is a perfect 8-0 this season at home following a loss by two runs or less. Atlanta has won six straight games to remain six games ahead of Washington in the National League East and it continues to possess the best road record in the National League. That is helping with this price however in a pitching matchup we can exploit based on some skewed numbers. Max Fried is 8-1 with a 4-02 ERA on the road but he has a 1.50 WHIP in his 12 starts on the highway and the Braves have handed him 7.4 rpg in those games. Zack Wheeler has a 4.20 ERA at home but has a 1.16 WHIP in those games which tells a better story. He has struggled against the Braves this season but all three of those starts were on the road. Here, we play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 after allowing two runs or less in four straight games going up against an opponent after scoring two runs or less in two straight games. This situation 62-28 (68.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (960) New York Mets | |||||||
08-22-19 | Rockies v. Cardinals -135 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Game of the Week. We lost with St. Louis last night in a tough luck situation as the game was called after 7.5 innings due to rain. The Cardinals are now in second place in the National League Central, a half-game back of the Cubs. They currently hold the second Wild Card slot, 1.5 games up on the Mets and Phillies. The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last four home games against teams with a losing record. Colorado salvaged its series finale in Arizona with a 7-2 win over the Diamondbacks. It has been a very tough stretch for one of the best offenses in baseball but that usually pertains only to home. Overall, the Rockies are 14-30 in their last 44 games and they are 3-10 in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning record. Miles Mikolas takes the hill for St. Louis and he is coming off a pair of poor outings but he returns home where he has been sensational. He has a 2.43 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 12 home starts compared to a 6.54 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 13 road starts. The Cardinals are 11-3 in his last 14 starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. German Marquez counters for Colorado and while he is having a decent season, he hits a tough spot here as the Rockies are 2-5 in his last seven road starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (958) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
08-21-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals -107 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. St. Louis has won three straight games to remain ahead of the Cubs in the National League Central and going back, they are a perfect 6-0 in their last six home games. The Cardinals have now won six straight meetings against the Brewers by an average of 3.8 rpg. Milwaukee continues to struggle with three straight losses and it is 2-6 over its last eight games. Additionally, the Brewers are 1-8 in their last nine road games against teams with a winning record. Adam Wainwright is coming off a rare strong road performance as he went 6.2 innings against the Reds in Cincinnati and allowed three earned runs on seven hits. He was staked to a 6-0 lead after three innings which made it much easier to deal. He has been sensational at home with a 2.19 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 11 starts and the Cardinals have won seven of his last eight overall. Adrian Houser has been decent of late but is getting no support from his offense as the Brewers have averaged 2.0 rpg in his last six starts. The Brewers are 0-5 in his last five starts following a team loss in their previous game. 10* (910) St. Louis Cardinals | |||||||
08-21-19 | Nationals -143 v. Pirates | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Following a 7-1 run, Washington spoiled a solid performance from Stephen Strasburg with the bullpen allowing four runs in the eighth inning capping a 4-1 loss. The Nationals are still in the Wild Card lead in the National League as they are a game up on Chicago and three games up on everyone else. The Nationals are 26-8 in their last 34 games against teams with a losing record. The Pirates are not even close to being in contention as they possess the second worst record in the National League. The win snapped a three-game losing streak as the offense continues to struggle, averaging just 2.4 rpg over their last five games. The Pirates are 3-13 in their last 16 home games. Patrick Corbin has been a great addition to the rotation with a 3.34 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over 25 starts. His road numbers are not great but it was due to a bad stretch in late May and early June. Washington is 8-3 in his last 11 starts. Joe Musgrove has struggled this season with inconsistency and while he is coming off a quality outing, he has an 8.62 ERA over his last three home starts. 9* (905) Washington Nationals | |||||||
08-21-19 | Angels v. Rangers -123 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Angels have dropped two of the first three games of this series to fall three games under .500 on the season and five games under .500 on the road. The Angels are 1-5 in their last six games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Texas was in the thick of the American League Wild Card race but a recent slump derailed the Rangers which are just 2-5 on this current homestand. That is keeping the number down in a pitching mismatch and the Rangers are 6-1 in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. The resurgent season for Mike Minor continues as he cis coming off three straight quality outings to improve to a 2.94 ERA and 1.18 through 25 starts. His numbers at home are not as good but they are very respectable still and in his career against the Angles, he is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 36.2 innings. Patrick Sandoval counters for the Angels and he has been average in his first two starts with the team following a strong relief appearance in his Major League debut. Overall, he has a 5.79 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in just 14 innings of work. 9* (918) Texas Rangers | |||||||
08-20-19 | Padres v. Reds -153 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Reds got another solid home start from Trevor Bauer but the offense failed to get anything going as they lost their second straight game. Cincinnati is still four games over .500 at home and going back, the Reds are 6-2 in their last eight home games against teams with a losing record. After dropping the opener in Philadelphia, the Padres have won their last three road games thanks to solid pitching but the offense has still been struggling. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Sonny Gray has been everything the Reds could have asked for after getting him following his rough time with the Yankees. He has a 2.98 RA and 1.12 WHIP over 22 starts and he has been exceptional of late with a 1.59 ERA over his last nine starts which includes three straight start of allowing no runs. Cal Quantrill has been very solid in his 12 starts although he does not go deep in games and the Padres bullpen is one of the worst in baseball with a 4.89 ERA on the road. 10* (954) Cincinnati Reds | |||||||
08-19-19 | Royals v. Orioles -130 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES for out MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Baltimore enters Monday riding a seven-game losing streak while going on a 1-12 streak but seven games were against the Yankees, three against the Red Sox and three against Astros. Kansas City is coming off a 1-4 homestand and head out on the road where it is 20-41 on the season. John Means will start for the Orioles, and the left-hander has had troubles since making the All-Star team. He's dropped his last three starts and hasn't made it out of the fourth inning in any of them. That being said, the last two outings came against the Yankees and the other in hitter-friendly Chase Field against Arizona. He has been very good at home with a 3.00 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 11 starts and the six Baltimore wins in those games account for one-third of its total wins at home. Jorge Lopez is making his second start since coming back into the rotation and he was lit up by the lowly Tigers last time out, allowing five runs, four earned, in just 1.1 innings. Overall, he has a 6.51 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 11 starts and 19 relief appearances. Here, we play against American League underdogs with an OBP of .310 worse and batting .190 or worse over their last five games going up against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 or better. This situation is 61-17 (78.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (910) Baltimore Orioles |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |