Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-27-21 | 76ers v. Clippers -4.5 | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Clippers are on a 4-0 ATS run and playing very well. They have some players questionable tonight but the team is really coming together and we think they will have success tonight no matter who takes the court, and the Sixers are without their best player also. The Sixers have been racking up wins but it has come against a pretty easy schedule. We think they are in for a reality check tonight. The Clippers should be hyped to beat their former coach, who didn’t seem extremely popular with the team. | |||||||
03-27-21 | Syracuse +6 v. Houston | Top | 46-62 | Loss | -107 | 102 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #647 Syracuse over Houston (9:55p.m., Saturday, March 27 TBS) Syracuse is playing outstanding now and the same cannot be said for Houston. The Cougars needed a late run to put away Rutgers on Sunday and I do not see them blowing out the Orange in this game. The Cuse have won 5 of their last 6 games and playing against a 2-3 zone is something Coach Sampson has struggled with in the past. Syracuse is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 neutral site games when they are an underdog. | |||||||
03-27-21 | Rockets +4.5 v. Wolves | 129-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
We were on the Rockets last night when these teams met, in the same venue, and Houston was in command the most of the game until the fourth quarter when they went cold. And we mean COLD. They didn’t score a single point in the last seven minutes of the fourth quarter and barely still missed the cover. It’s tough to beat any team twice in a row on consecutive nights. Even harder when that team is as bad as Minnesota. The Rockets are probably embarrassed they let that game slip away and we expect a more complete effort from them tonight. | |||||||
03-27-21 | Elon v. Richmond -11 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308958 Richmond Spiders -11 over Elon Phoenix (4p.m., Saturday, March 27 NBC Sports Washington/FLO SPORTS) FCS GAME OF THE YEAR We have faded the Phoenix the last two weeks and easily won both games and now we look to complete the trifecta on Saturday. These two teams met two weeks ago in Elon and Richmond won that game 38-14. The selection just comes down to the fact the Phoenix are using their third or fourth string quarterback. Neither one is any good and expect the Spiders to stock the box and force them to beat them through the air, something they have not been capable of doing in 2021. Elon is getting beat up and they are 1-4 on the season with 3 of those losses coming by at least 21 points. Richmond will dominate this game for 60 minutes and win by 20+ points. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
03-27-21 | Mississippi State +1 v. Louisiana Tech | 84-62 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #631 Mississippi State (pk) over Louisiana Tech (3p.m., Saturday, March 27 ESPN) The Mississippi Bulldogs survived by the skin of their teeth on Thursday and now I expect them to advance to the NIT Finals tomorrow in North Texas. Miss State is young but they have great size and that will pose a problem for La Tech in this game. State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. | |||||||
03-26-21 | Pacers v. Mavs -4 | Top | 109-94 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
This Dallas team seems to be rounding into form after a real slow start to the season. They have had a real relaxed schedule lately so they should have a lot of energy for this game. They have wins over the Blazers, Clippers and Nuggets in their last six games, so they are battle tested. Indiana has covered only three of their last 10 games and this team just isn’t in top form right now while Dallas is playing their best ball of the season. Not to mention they have covered in six of the last eight meetings. | |||||||
03-26-21 | Celtics +6 v. Bucks | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
These teams played Wednesday, here at the same venue, and the Bucks eeked out a two-point win. Boston got the cover but not the win, and they will be motivated to play better here tonight. The Celtics have been playing well but they lost their last two, that game to Milwaukee and before in OT at Memphis (on a back-to-back). This team will go all out to win tonight as they need this game more than Milwaukee, and it’s very tough to beat a good team twice in a row. | |||||||
03-25-21 | Clippers v. Spurs +6.5 | 98-85 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
These teams played last night and the Clippers blew the Spurs out. It’s very difficult to dominate a team like that for two nights in a row, on their home court no less. And the Spurs have one of the best coaches to ever do it, so we have to imagine that Popovich will have a plan in place to have his team more competitive. The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four after a blowout loss, so we think they will bounce back strong tonight. | |||||||
03-25-21 | Mississippi State -2 v. Richmond | Top | 68-67 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #611 Mississippi State over Richmond (6p.m., Thursday, March 24 ESPN2) Richmond had know business winning their first-round match-up against Toledo but they did and now find themselves up against a better team in Mississippi State. Richmond still has injury issues and that will not go away in this game. The Bulldogs are coming off an impressive win against Saint Louis last time out (a No. 1 seed) and they are better at 4 of the 5 positions on the court with Richmond’s current roster. The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. The Spiders did not perform well down the stretch losing their final 3 games before the NIT began and that included a loss to Saint Louis, a team Mississippi State just beat. | |||||||
03-24-21 | Hornets v. Rockets +3.5 | 122-97 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
The Rockets finally ended their losing streak last time out. This team is getting healthy and with their main players this team isn’t that bad. They got the monkey off their back of that losing streak and now they can just play without that burden. The Hornets have lost three of four and aren’t in top form right now. They lost their tremendous rookie, Ball, for the season, and that has to hurt team morale. The Hornets never play well here in Houston as they are 3-14-2 in the last 19 meetings. | |||||||
03-24-21 | Celtics +6 v. Bucks | 119-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Have really been impressed with the way the Celtics have played the last couple games since their team meeting. They lost last time out but they staged a furious rally in Memphis when they just weren’t hitting shots and they lost in OT and were on a back-to-back. They showed a lot of heart in that loss. And they should have Tatum and Walker back for this game. This is a real important game for Boston and we see them bringing their A Game tonight. Milwaukee has been winning but not covering a lot of spreads. | |||||||
03-23-21 | Lakers v. Pelicans -5.5 | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
The Lakers aren’t a playoff team without LeBron and AD. They improved the roster this season around their two main guys, but this team goes as their stars do. They will play strong defense, but their offense won’t be able to get the job done. The Pelicans seem to be coming together as they have covered in four of five and have SU wins vs the Clippers (blowout) and at Denver. This team has been inconsistent but they will no doubt bring their A Game against the defending champs. | |||||||
03-23-21 | Nuggets v. Magic +7.5 | 110-99 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
The Magic have been good as a home underdog lately with a 3-0-1 ATS record. We don’t see any reason this one won’t be a close game, and the Magic are getting the hook off the key NBA betting number of 7, which always has more value than 7 or 6.5. Teams down by seven (three possessions) don’t normally foul at the end of games. Orlando had a bad game last time out but they have been more competitive and they have covered in four of their last six. The Nuggets have covered in only two of their last six and are overvalued a bit here on Tuesday. | |||||||
03-22-21 | USC -1 v. Kansas | 85-51 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #821 USC over Kansas (9:40p.m., Monday, March 22 CBS) USC has great talent and they can do damage to Kansas inside the paint. The oddsmakers know this and have installed USC as the favorite in this game despite being the lower seeded team. USC has won 3 of their last 4 games and if they make shots from the arc, they will win this game by double digits. Kansas struggled for most of their game against Eastern Washington on Saturday and this is a must more talented team than the Eagles are. USC is 17-8 ATS in their last 25 neutral site games. Kansas is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. | |||||||
03-22-21 | Celtics +2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 126-132 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
We had the Celtics as a slight favorite in this game so we think there is good value. Boston had a team meeting the other day and then came out and dominated an Orlando team that had been playing well on Sunday. They played earlier in the day, so the back-to-back here was not so brutal. Memphis had the day off Sunday but they are playing their third game in four nights just like the Celtics, so we think the rest factor is pretty even here. Memphis has lost four of their last six games, so they aren’t in top form right now. The game yesterday against Orlando for Boston might be a turning point as this team seems determined to save their season after a slow start. And you have to remember this is one of the best coached teams in the NBA and they have been one of the best betting clubs in the NBA for years. We could see them going on a run after a real slow start to the second half of the season. Boston has a strong history in this series as they are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. | |||||||
03-22-21 | Ohio v. Creighton -5 | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #820 Creighton over Ohio (6:10p.m., Monday, March 22 TNT) Much of the public is on Ohio in this game yet the line is going up. Villanova pounded a mid-major last night in North Texas and it will not surprise me if another Big East team does this same tonight. Ohio is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on Monday. Creighton is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played on Monday. If the Bluejays can make shots, they should be able to jump on early in this game and cruise to a victory. | |||||||
03-22-21 | Abilene Christian +5 v. UCLA | 47-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #829 Abilene Cristian over UCLA (5:15p.m., Monday, March 22 TBS) The PAC-12 is having a remarkable run, but this is the game that has tripped up Mick Cronin in the past. UCLA is a little banged up and did not have a strong finish during the regular season and conference tournament. ACU is coming off a big win over Texas on Saturday and they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. UCLA struggles in the role of a favorite going 2-8 ATS the last 10 times they have been expected to win. Just expect this game to go down to the wire and underdogs have been hitting a high rate thus far in the Round of 32. | |||||||
03-21-21 | Magic +8.5 v. Celtics | 96-112 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
While it hasn’t made a difference in their W/L record, the Magic are playing well right now. They just haven’t been able to close out games. But they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games. They are coming off one of their best games of the season as they beat Brooklyn last time out. The Celtics have been one of the best ATS teams in the NBA for years as they normally get the job done. However, not this season as they have one of the worst ATS records in the league and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six. We expect a close game here. | |||||||
03-21-21 | Wisconsin +6.5 v. Baylor | Top | 63-76 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #801 Wisconsin over Baylor (2:40p.m., Sunday, March 20 CBS) Wisconsin finally put together a complete game on Friday and expect that to carryover into Sunday against the No. 1 seed Baylor Bears. Baylor just has not been the same team since coming off a long pause and I do not see them blowing out this experienced Wisconsin team. The Badgers are getting better contributions from their guards and if they can make shots from the arc, they can win this game straight-up. Wisconsin is 15-5 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 22 NCAA Tournament games when they are an underdog. Baylor is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games when they are the favorite. | |||||||
03-20-21 | Kings v. 76ers -6 | 105-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Really like the Sixers here. They are coming off a tough OT loss to the Bucks and they will want to put their best foot forward here against a much weaker opponent. The Kings have been playing well but are on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. They are ending a long road trip. If Philly is motivated, and we think they will be, the Kings might just be content as they beat Boston last time and have a much easier game coming up to close out the road trip. Philly is well rested here with two days off. | |||||||
03-20-21 | Missouri +1 v. Oklahoma | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #765 Missouri over Oklahoma (7:25p.m., Saturday, March 20 TNT) Oklahoma will be without De’Vion Harmon for this game and that is a major void for them. The Sooners have been struggling down the stretch having lost 5 of their last 6 games including a loss to Kansas State, one of the worst teams in the country. Missouri has struggled down the stretch as well, but they are healthy and should be able to take down Oklahoma. The Sooner are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite. The Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played on Saturdays. | |||||||
03-20-21 | Maryland v. Connecticut -3 | 63-54 | Loss | -107 | 54 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #792 UCONN over Maryland (7:10p.m., Saturday, March 20 CBS) Just feel that Connecticut has the best player on the floor and a tradition of making runs in the NCAA tournament. Maryland has a fan base that does not embrace their current head coach. The Terrapins just made the NCAA Tournament based on the stretch of the Big 10, since a 16013 overall record and a 9-11 conference record is not that impressive. Maryland is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games. UCONN is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 NCAA Tournament games. | |||||||
03-20-21 | Iona +17 v. Alabama | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 51 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #793 Iona over Alabama (4p.m., Saturday, March 20 TBS) Iona was able to keep the scoring down during the MAAC Conference Tournament and thus we will grab the points in this game. Alabama struggled to put away teams over the weekend they were much better than and you can bet Coach Pitino is going to defend the arc in this game. Iona is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Alabama is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games when they are the favorite. | |||||||
03-20-21 | Hawks +4 v. Lakers | Top | 99-94 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
The Hawks have been playing great basketball lately and they have won seven straight games even though they don’t get the press as more popular teams around the league. They have really stepped things up on the defensive end and they are playing as a cohesive unit during this stretch. Sometimes coaching can make all the difference. The Lakers have been playing well also, but they are always overvalued by the oddsmakers and we think that is the difference here as the value lies with the visitors. We expect a low-scoring, close game here. | |||||||
03-19-21 | Mavs -3 v. Blazers | Top | 119-125 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
Dallas is quietly starting to play really well and they have won six of their last eight games overall. They are doing this pretty quietly as other stories dominate the news wire. But they are coming off a very impressive win over the Clippers on Wednesday. They also have wins over Denver and Brooklyn during this stretch, so they haven’t been playing only scrubs. Portland is coming off their rematch with New Orleans and will be playing their fifth game in seven nights. We think this is a real bad spot for Portland. | |||||||
03-19-21 | Rutgers -1 v. Clemson | Top | 60-56 | Win | 100 | 78 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #753 Rutgers over Clemson (9:20p.m., Friday, March 19 TBS) NCAA TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR I just like the talent on Rutgers better than the talent on Clemson. The Scarlet Knights are the only higher seed to be favored against a lower seed and it is for good reason. Both teams lost games they should not have lost this season but feel Rutgers will be playing with a renewed confidence, as they broke the NCAA Tournament drought of 30 years in 2021. Rutgers has great balance on offense and played in a much better conference this season. Clemson did not do much damage away from home once ACC play started and I am just not sure they can score enough points to keep pace with Rutgers. The Tigers are 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. | |||||||
03-19-21 | North Texas +7.5 v. Purdue | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 76 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #731 North Texas over Purdue (7:25p.m., Friday, March 19 TNT) Thought Purdue really overachieved this season and just do not believe they are as good as their record indicates. They were down big to Ohio State before a late rally and I just do not believe they can blow out North Texas unless they shoot it well from the arc. The Mean Green are 21-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 29 games following an ATS win in their previous game. | |||||||
03-19-21 | Wisconsin v. North Carolina -1.5 | 85-62 | Loss | -104 | 76 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #728 North Carolina over Wisconsin (7:10p.m., Friday, March 19 CBS) Couple of key stats from this game that are remarkable. Roy Williams is 29-0 in Round 1 games of the NCAA Tournament. Wisconsin has only won 4 times at Mackey Arena and that is just a building they have very little success in. Both teams have major issues, as Wisconsin struggles on offense and North Carolina does not shoot it well from the 3-point arc. But the Tar Heels rebound the ball well and have size, something that has given Wisconsin problems of late. The Badgers just do not have many quality wins on the season and the entire fan base is down on them. Wisconsin is 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 neutral site games. North Carolina is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 neutral site games. | |||||||
03-19-21 | Utah State v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 71 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #734 Texas Tech over Utah State (1:45p.m., Friday, March 19 TNT) Utah State has a solid program but they almost never win games in the NCAA Tournament. Texas Tech played in a much from difficult conference and feel playing a team outside the Big 12 will benefit them greatly. For the most part, Texas Tech beat the teams they should have beaten this season and Utah State has not faced a team this physical. The Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. Texas Tech is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. | |||||||
03-18-21 | UCLA +2 v. Michigan State | 86-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #717 UCLA over Michigan State (9:57p.m., Thursday, March 18 TBS) Very few people are giving UCLA a chance in this game. All you hear about is Coach Tom Izzo and his magic in March, but this Michigan State team is not very good. They played a little better at the end of the year, but they still lost 12 games this season. UCLA did not finish the season well losing 4 straight games but they were very competitive in those losses and feel they will come out rejuvenated today once tournament play begins. The underdog is 4-1 (1 push) in the last 6 games between UCLA and Michigan State. Michigan State is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. | |||||||
03-18-21 | Jazz v. Wizards +12 | 122-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
The Wiz Kids haven’t been playing well lately, but we still think this is too many points. The Jazz are just not playing their best basketball overall right now and are not just destroying teams like they were earlier in the season on a nightly basis. They have covered only one of their last five games. The Wizards have been a solid underdog play as they are 13-6 ATS when getting five of more points. We think this will be a competitive game and that the home team will stay within double digits. | |||||||
03-17-21 | Western Kentucky v. St. Mary's -2 | 69-67 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #708 St Mary’s (CA) over Western Kentucky (9p.m., Wednesday, March 17 ESPN2) Just do not believe the Hilltoppers will be motivated for this game after blowing a late lead on Saturday that would have gotten them into the NCAA Tournament. St Mary’s has had time to regroup, and they already knew they would not make the NCAA Tournament. The Gaels have won 3 of their last 5 games with those two losses coming against Gonzaga and BYU, both of which made the NCAA Tournament. The Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last 4 games played on Wednesdays. The Hilltoppers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played against teams with a winning percentage above .600. | |||||||
03-17-21 | Kings v. Wizards -2 | 121-119 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
These teams played earlier this month and the game was very high scoring with the total eclipsing 250. But that is very rare for teams to score that many points, and the oddsmakers made a major adjustment to this line as the last total was around 235. That was the only meeting in the last six meetings that went over the posted total. Both of these defenses are terrible. But this is just too many points as a cold shooting spell here or there will cut into this total. Since these teams played recently they will probably make some adjustments on the defensive end. We think the Wizards will pull this out as they had been playing better until they hit a real tough part of the schedule, but this is one of their most winnable games in awhile. | |||||||
03-16-21 | Wolves +8.5 v. Lakers | 121-137 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Minnesota has covered in three straight games and they are playing possibly their best basketball of the season right now. Those three covers include SU wins over Portland and New Orleans. The Lakers are banged up right now and coming off a big win over the Warriors, so they probably won’t be giving 100 percent here in this matchup. Minnesota will give LA their best shot tonight while the Lakers will probably rest on their laurels a bit and we think this will be a close game. | |||||||
03-16-21 | Pelicans v. Blazers -1.5 | 124-125 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
The Pelicans are a real inconsistent team. They can look like a championship contender one night and then lose to a basement dweller the next. We expect a letdown after their win over the Clippers last time out that was one of their biggest of the season. The Blazers are coming off a loss to the Timberwolves and they will be focused here in a very winnable game. Home court will make the difference here tonight. | |||||||
03-16-21 | Jazz v. Celtics +4.5 | Top | 117-109 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Wow we have come a long way to see the Celtics posted as decent sized underdogs at home. We will take it. The Celtics are finally getting healthy and cohesive. They have won five of their last six games. Utah has lost three of four and they aren’t playing like the dominant force that we saw earlier in the season. That’s not a knock on Utah – it’s tough to keep that level of performance up all season long and even the best teams go through down points of the season. We had this line handicapped at PK so we think there is real nice value in the home dog as we think this game is a coin flip as to who wins SU. | |||||||
03-15-21 | Clippers -1.5 v. Mavs | 109-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
We were on the Clippers last night in an absolute duck of a game as they got blown out by the Pelicans. They probably had their eye on this game, since the Mavs gave them one of the worst defeats in franchise history early in the season. That was a revenge game for Dallas last time but now the revenge angle goes to the Clippers. LA has been known to take games off this season, and they didn’t give full effort last night. But this team normally comes out with a lot better effort after one of those bad games, and we expect them to bring their A Game tonight. | |||||||
03-15-21 | Bucks v. Wizards +8.5 | 133-122 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Bucks have been overrated on the road as they are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games. We think that is the case again tonight as we had this line closer to 6. Washington has been playing better overall after a real slow start to the season. They have been hit and miss lately but they played pretty well when these teams matched up Saturday as they easily covered the double-digit spread. This team is on a 4-1 ATS run as a home underdog and we expect another close game tonight. | |||||||
03-15-21 | Kings v. Hornets -3 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
The Kings have been horrible in the underdog role as they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a lined underdog. This team is really hampered by their lousy defense, which is easily the worst in the NBA. The Hornets are playing well lately and have won three straight and four of five. They don’t get a lot of respect from the oddsmakers as they don’t have many big names on the roster. This team definitely has the capability to put up some points on this Kings defense, and their defense should get enough stops late for them to cover the number, which they have done in the last four meetings in this series. | |||||||
03-14-21 | Clippers -5.5 v. Pelicans | 115-135 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The Clippers had one of the most dominant performances of the second half of the season in their blowout of Golden State. We see this is a team that wants to start the second half with a lot of momentum after losing their last three before the break. The Pelicans are 2-5 in their last seven games and they are not in top form right now. This team is very inconsistent. The Clips are healthy besides Pat Bev, who is not on this road trip, but they have a lot of depth and they should be motivated tonight. | |||||||
03-14-21 | Celtics v. Rockets +11 | 134-107 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Just don’t think the Celtics should be favored by this many on the road. This is the biggest favorite they have been all season. They are 0-3 ATS when laying seven or more points this season. This game is sandwiched between matchups vs. Brooklyn and Utah, possibly the two best teams from each conference. They aren’t going to get super excited for this matchup and Houston will be desperate to end their losing streak. We see this as being a lower scoring game and think the Rockets can keep it within double digits. | |||||||
03-13-21 | Blazers -5 v. Wolves | 125-121 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Despite getting generous points from the oddsmakers nightly, Minnesota is still one of the worst ATS teams in the NBA. That’s hard to do and a sign of a truly terrible team that doesn’t give effort on a nightly basis and can’t string four quarters of solid play together. The Blazers are coming off a loss that followed a three-game winning streak. But we think they are playing well and the Wolves are a far cry from the Suns team that beat them last time out. A motivated Portland team should win by 10+. | |||||||
03-13-21 | Bucks -10.5 v. Wizards | 125-119 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
This will be the Wizards third game in four nights. This team is razor thin as it is, and they have been overworked and just haven’t looked good recently. They have to be running on fumes here and they looked tired already last night in getting manhandled at home against Philly. The Bucks looked great in their return after the break and put up 134 on the best defense in the league. This looks like a team that wants to start the second half with momentum, and we could see another blowout here. | |||||||
03-13-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State -1.5 | 57-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #618 San Diego State over Utah State (6p.m., Saturday, March 13 CBS) Utah State has done enough to make the NCAA Tournament and thus this is not a play-in game for them. San Diego State has a huge edge in rest for this game and I just do not believe Utah State can beat them 3 times in one season. Beating SDSU in Logan is much easier than beating them in Las Vegas. The Aztecs have won 13 straight games. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between the Aggies and Aztecs. | |||||||
03-13-21 | LSU v. Arkansas -3.5 | 78-71 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #608 Arkansas over LSU (3:30p.m., Saturday, March 13 ESPN) This is the rubber game between LSU and Arkansas on Saturday afternoon in Nashville, TN. The Razorbacks have won 9 straight games and expect them to take care of business today and advance to the finals on Sunday. They will go on a run at some point in this game and I just do not expect LSU to be able to keep pace. LSU is 3-12 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 17 neutral site games as an underdog. Arkansas is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. | |||||||
03-13-21 | Knicks -4.5 v. Thunder | 119-97 | Win | 100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
These are two of the worst offensive teams in the NBA. Neither team has the potential of a breakout night on offense. And both teams are pretty good defensively, with the Knicks at No. 1 for points allowed and the Thunder in the top half of the league defensively. The Knicks played one of their worst defensive games of the season last time out against the Bucks, and we think they will try hard in that area today and make the necessary adjustments. New York normally locks down defensively against lousy teams. We think they cover a low-scoring game. | |||||||
03-13-21 | Tennessee v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #606 Alabama over Tennessee (1p.m., Saturday, March 12 ESPN) Alabama is the best team in the SEC this season and expect them to make the finals of the SEC Tournament in Nashville, TV. Tennessee may be without John Fulkerson, as he was taken to the hospital after a brutal foul in their game Friday against Florida. That is a big loss for this team if he is not 100% and Alabama will be able to take advantage of that. Tennessee has underachieved this season and just do not have much confidence in a Rich Barnes led team. When Alabama is making three-point shots they are one of the best teams in the country and they will enter having won 4 straight games with the last three coming by double-digits. Alabama is 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win in their previous game. | |||||||
03-12-21 | Wisconsin +4.5 v. Iowa | 57-62 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #817 Wisconsin over Iowa (9p.m., Friday, March 12 BTN) Wisconsin took Iowa down to the wire on Sunday and led late in the second half. Now they get them on a neutral site with Wieskamp questionable for this game. Wisconsin played better than what the final score indicated yesterday and everyone, but Trice played well for Wisconsin which is a welcome sign. The underdog covered both meetings this year between Wisconsin and Iowa and they are 11-5 ATS (1 push) in the last 17 meetings. | |||||||
03-12-21 | North Carolina v. Florida State -2 | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #854 Florida State over North Carolina (8:30p.m., Friday, March 12 ESPN) The Tar Heels just have not shown consistency this season and they run in the ACC Tournament will end tonight. Florida State had a bad loss to North Carolina earlier this year losing despite leading up 17 points in that game. North Carolina is 6-15 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games when they are an underdog. The favorite is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in the last 11 games between North Carolina and Florida State. | |||||||
03-12-21 | 76ers v. Wizards +4.5 | Top | 127-101 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
We think this is a great spot for the home team getting points tonight. The Sixers are a very average road team at 9-9 on the season. They are missing two of their top players tonight. The Wizards got off to a real slow start to the season and they lost confidence from a lot of bettors. But they have turned a corner and have been playing much better of late. They have won six of their last 10 despite a slip up last night. They normally play well in this series and have covered in five of the last six meetings. We had the Sixers laying a single point here so nice value tonight. | |||||||
03-12-21 | Iona v. Niagara +5.5 | 70-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #880 Niagara over Iona (6p.m., Friday, March 12 ESPNN) Still believe Iona is being overvalued because Rich Pitino is their coach. They had no business beating Siena on Wednesday but got lucky and now they are too big of a favorite. The underdog has covered the spread in 5 straight games between Niagara and Iona. The Purple Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. | |||||||
03-12-21 | Ohio State -0.5 v. Purdue | Top | 87-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #813 Ohio State over Purdue (2p.m., Friday, March 12 BTN) Conference Tournament Game of the Year Ohio State is just a better all-around team that Purdue in 2021. The Buckeyes had a brutal schedule down the stretch but were able to right the ship yesterday against Minnesota. Purdue had a much easier schedule to close out the regular season and they have not played a team has strong as Ohio State since January 22. They have been feasting on bad teams of late and thus they have an inflated conference record. Ohio State is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. The favorite is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 games between Ohio State and Purdue. The Boilers will need to shoot it well form the arc to cover this spread and I do not expect that to happen. | |||||||
03-11-21 | Warriors v. Clippers -7 | 104-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Both teams lost three straight entering the break. But the Clippers just had a bad string of games and they don’t have a lot to worry about for that losing streak. They should bounce back well here against a traditional rival. The Warriors are more of a team that is still trying to figure things out. After the All-Star Break we try to look for teams in their first game out that are very motivated, and we see the Clippers falling into that category tonight. When this team brings its A Game they can beat any team in the NBA by double digits. | |||||||
03-11-21 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -5.5 | 74-75 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #678 Wisconsin -5.5 over Penn State (9p.m., Thursday, March 11 BTN) Wisconsin is pissed off how their regular season ended on Sunday at Iowa and expect them to make some noise in the upcoming Big 10 Tournament. They split the season series with Penn State winning the last game by 16 points and I see them winning this game by double digits as well. The Lions struggled to put away Nebraska on Wednesday and will not be able to stay with Wisconsin in this game. Penn State is 1-4 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 8 neutral site games. Wisconsin is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games played on Thursday. | |||||||
03-11-21 | Knicks +10.5 v. Bucks | 101-134 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Knicks are an under machine this season at 23-14 on the year so far. This team has the No. 1 defense in the NBA and they bring it on that end of the court on a nightly basis. They are a true old-school defensive team as the offense leaves a lot to be desired and is one of the least productive in the league. This team regularly goes under the century mark on offense, which is very rare in today’s NBA. Luckily for us, the Knicks went on a bit of an over streak before the break. But they are rested and they have probably been looking forward to this game against one of the best teams in the East and this matchup will be a measuring stick to where they are at right now as a team. We expect them to lock down on the defensive end and for this to be a close game. Just don’t see the Knicks engaging in a shootout tonight. And there’s a good chance that after the break that these teams could start the game rusty on offense, especially New York. The under is 7-1 in the Knicks last eight road games. | |||||||
03-11-21 | Oklahoma +2.5 v. Kansas | 62-69 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #713 Oklahoma +3 over Kansas (6:30p.m., Thursday, March 11 ESPN2) Always hard to go against Kansas when they are playing in Kansas City, but the Jayhawks are without a couple of key players today and Oklahoma just has better talent now. The underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 games between Oklahoma and Kansas. The Sooners are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. | |||||||
03-11-21 | Nevada v. Boise State -3.5 | 89-82 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #744 Boise State over Nevada (5:30p.m., Thursday, March 11 CBSSN) Nevada is a much different team at home compared to when playing outside of Reno. They are not good enough to beat this Boise State team 3 times and thus we will ride with the Broncos on Thursday afternoon. Boise State is on the NCAA Tournament bubble and this is a must win game for them to remain on it. The Broncos are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss in their previous game. Boise State has the edge at 4 of the 5 positions on the court and will emerge victorious on Thursday. | |||||||
03-11-21 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia -2 | 72-69 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take West Virginia over Oklahoma State (11:30a.m., Thursday, March 11 ESPN2) One of the more shocking results last weekend was Oklahoma State winning in Morgantown without Cade Cunningham. He is questionable for this game and the injury report is big for the Pokes in this game. Either way I do not see them beating West Virginia twice in less than a week. The Mountaineers played well down the stretch and look for that to continue in the postseason starting on Thursday. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring our Conference Tournament Game of the Year on Friday along with UFC, FCS, NBA, NHL and horse racing action. | |||||||
03-10-21 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -3 | Top | 112-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Both of these teams can score. Only one can play defense, though, and that’s Memphis. And we believe that will be the difference in the game as we expect a rested Grizzlies team to make some stops down the stretch. Both teams are rested and that should help the defense instead of the offense, which could be out of rhythm early and rusty. Memphis is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. We think they are the better team at this point and expect the defense to step up and lead them to the win tonight. | |||||||
03-10-21 | Iona v. Siena +1 | Top | 55-52 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #616 Siena over Iona (5p.m., Wednesday, March 10 ESPN+) The Saints are the No. 1 seed in the MAAC tournament this week in Atlantic City. They enter having won 4 of their last 5 games and should be able to take down the Rick Pitino led Gaels. The underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 games between Iona and Siena. The Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. | |||||||
03-09-21 | Cal Poly +5.5 v. CS-Fullerton | 87-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #819 Cal Poly over Cal State Fullerton (9p.m., Tuesday, March 9 ESPN3) The Mustangs are terrible, but they should be able to take this game down to the wire against the Titans tonight as the Big West play in games get underway tonight in Las Vegas. These teams did not play one another in the regular season and thus that should be an advantage for the Mustangs. Cal Poly has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games. Cal Fullerton is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. | |||||||
03-09-21 | Oakland v. Cleveland State -2.5 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #824 Cleveland State over Oakland (7p.m., Tuesday, March 9 ESPN) The Vikings just find ways to win games despite being down in most of their games of late. They were the top seed in the Horizon League tournament and feel that they are the best team remaining. Tough task for Oakland to have to beat Wright State and Cleveland State in consecutive nights. Cleveland State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. | |||||||
03-07-21 | Texas v. TCU +7.5 | Top | 76-64 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #738 TCU over Texas (7p.m., Sunday, March 7 ESPN+) Texas does not have much to play for in this game and thus I do not believe they will be all that motivated to play a Sunday night game in Fort Worth. Texas got blown out last year in their regular season finale in a shocking upset and I believe that this game will do down to the wire as well. TCU likes to keep games in the sixties and if they do that today they should be able to cover the spread. This will be the Longhorns fourth straight road game and that will eventually catch up with them and cause a flat spot. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings between Texas and TCU. Texas is 3-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games. TCU is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up loss in their previous game. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
03-07-21 | Wisconsin +7 v. Iowa | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #733 Wisconsin over Iowa (12:30p.m., Sunday, March 7 FOX) I just believe that they spread has finally been over adjusted on Wisconsin. We have been fading Wisconsin with top play for quite some time now, but it is too high for this game. Wisconsin will try and keep the scoring low and thus it may be hard for Iowa to cover this big of a number. The road team is 8-3 ATS (1 push) in the last 12 games between Wisconsin and Iowa. The Badgers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played on Sunday. | |||||||
03-06-21 | Duke +3 v. North Carolina | Top | 73-91 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #651 Duke over North Carolina (6p.m., Saturday, March 6 ESPN) Duke just needs this game in the worst way and it would not surprise me if they get it. North Carolina does not shoot it well form the arc and I just do not believe they are good enough to beat Duke twice this season. North Carolina has lost 2 of their last 3 games and both came against teams that will likely not make the NCAA Tournament come March. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Duke and North Carolina. The Tar Heels are 3-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 home games against a team with a road winning percentage under .400. | |||||||
03-06-21 | UC Davis v. Idaho -3.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #308938 Idaho Vandals over UC Davis Aggies (3p.m., Saturday, March 6 Pluto TV) Idaho had one of the most impressive upsets of the year beating Eastern Washington last week by 7 points. Now they face a lesser team in UC Davis and also get to face them raw, as the Aggies have yet to play a game in 2021. Idaho likes to throw the football and should find little resistance from UC Davis in this game. Throw in the fact that UC Davis is coached by noted loser Dan Hawkins and I see this being a double-digit victory for the home team. The Vandals will shutdown the run for a second straight week and make UC Davis one-dimensional. | |||||||
03-06-21 | Arizona State v. Utah -3 | 59-98 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #620 Utah over Arizona State (2p.m., Saturday, March 6 FS1) Arizona State has been one of the most disappointing teams in the country this season and I do not see things getting any better in the regular season finale against Utah. The Utes are always a tough out at home and they have beaten much better teams in Salt Lake City they what they will see today in ASU. The Sun Devils have talent but they just have not put it together this season. | |||||||
03-05-21 | Colorado State v. Nevada +1.5 | 82-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #858 Nevada over Colorado State (9p.m., Friday, March 5 CBSSN) The Wolfpack lost a pair of games in Logan last weekend, but they are a much different team when playing at home. We have seen throughout the MWC that there is not much carryover from week to week. Colorado State has a chance to win the regular season title with a pair of wins today, but I just do not see them being able to accomplish that. Colorado is 7-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games played on Friday. Nevada is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. | |||||||
03-05-21 | Georgia Tech v. Wake Forest +8.5 | 75-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #840 Wake Forest over Georgia Tech (8p.m., Friday, March 5 ACCN) Sooner or later Wake Forest will play to their potential and they are hitting Georgia Tech off a big win Tuesday against Duke. This is a must win game for Georgia Tech to remain on the correct side of the NCAA Tournament and I expect a letdown in this game. The Yellow Jackets will win this game but it will be much closer than what the experts believe. | |||||||
03-04-21 | Southern Illinois -2 v. Bradley | 73-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #767 Southern Illinois over Bradley (6p.m., Thursday, March 4 ESPN+) Everyone is tired of Bradley representing the MVC in the NCAA tournament and they will be disposed of tonight in Arch Madness. Both teams had bad years; however, the Salukis gave the top seed Loyola Chicago all that they could handle in two games last week. Expect that to carryover into this game and they will win it by 6-8 points. The Braves are 3-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games as an underdog. | |||||||
03-03-21 | Warriors v. Blazers +2 | 106-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
The Blazers scored a blowout in their last game against Charlotte. That followed a losing streak against tough competition. This is a team we were high on to start the season, but they have dealt with a lot of injuries. But we think this is a very winnable game for them. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. They will be motivated because of the recent losing streak and they need to stay afloat in the playoff race until their soldiers are all back in the lineup. | |||||||
03-03-21 | Hawks v. Magic +3.5 | Top | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
The Hawks have not been good on the favorite role as they are 0-4 in their last four as a lined favorite. They failed to top the Century Mark in their last two games against Miami, and now they face another good defensive team in the Magic tonight. Orlando has lost four straight after a three-game winning streak. This team is not as bad as they have looked at times this season, and this is a very winnable game for them as their problem is scoring and the Hawks aren’t in very good form offensively right now and we think they are ripe for an upset here. | |||||||
03-03-21 | Jazz v. 76ers +3.5 | 123-131 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
The Jazz have lost two of their last three and they aren’t in top form right now. Even the best teams in the NBA go through down turns, and Utah is not immune. Philly has won five of seven and they didn’t embarrass themselves in their two losses. We think this line is a bit of a public one and we had this game as a pickem, so we like the value here. Utah is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings here in Philly and we don’t see them bringing their A Game as this road trip wears on. | |||||||
03-03-21 | Clemson v. Syracuse -2 | 54-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #666 Syracuse over Clemson (5p.m., Wednesday, March 3 ACCN) We used Syracuse on Monday and will ride them again on Wednesday at home, this time against Clemson. The Orange are not currently an NCAA Tournament team and they need all the wins they can get now. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between Clemson and Syracuse. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. | |||||||
03-02-21 | Suns v. Lakers -1.5 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
It’s very rare we take the Lakers. We mostly look to fade them as they are often overvalued by the oddsmakers and bet blindly by public bettors. But this line tonight seems fair. The Lakers played well last two games in dominant wins. They have Schroeder back, and he is a big difference maker on this team. This squad went through a rough patch recently, and they want to keep this winning streak intact and they should be more focused. Seeding will be important in the West playoffs this season. The Lakers are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. | |||||||
03-02-21 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -2 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #644 Purdue over Wisconsin (9p.m., Tuesday, March 2 ESPN2) Sill not sure why Wisconsin is getting this much respect from the oddsmakers. Now they travel to West Lafayette, a place they have not had much success at for decades. Purdue has won 3 straight games and they have solidified their spot in the NCAA Tournament and now have a chance to improve their seed for the Big 10 conference tournament with two home wins. Wisconsin had a great chance to beat Illinois on Saturday without Ayo Dosunmu, but they came out flat. The final score of 74-69 and the shooting stats are very misleading, as they never led in that game and Trice scored 19 points in the final 2:30 of the game to make their 3-point shooting stats better than what they appeared to be. The favorite is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 9 games between Wisconsin and Purdue. The home team is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 7 games. Purdue is 9-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games. | |||||||
03-02-21 | Duke v. Georgia Tech -1.5 | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #636 Georgia Tech over Duke (8p.m., Tuesday, March 2 ACCN) Duke suffered a devastating loss on Saturday and home to Louisville. Now they might need to win both road games to close out the regular season to get back onto the NCAA bubble. Georgia Tech has won 4 straight games, and this is the game that they have had circled for quite some time. They should have beaten Duke in Durham early this season but fell apart in the last minute of that game. The favorite is 24-10 ATS in their last 34 meetings between Duke and Georgia Tech. Duke is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. | |||||||
03-02-21 | Clippers -4 v. Celtics | 112-117 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
The Clippers are coming off a loss to Milwaukee. They played well in that game but sputtered down the stretch. They did have a chance to win at the end but could not make the shots. But LA normally plays really well after a loss. The last time they lost before the Bucks, an embarrassing loss to Memphis last week, they came back the next night and dominated them. We think they will bring their A Game tonight, and Boston is a team that is just not playing well that almost lost to a Washington team that was in a very bad spot with severe lack of rest. | |||||||
03-01-21 | North Carolina v. Syracuse +2 | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #840 Syracuse over North Carolina (7p.m., Monday, March 1 ESPN) Syracuse and their 2-3 zone is not a good matchup for North Carolina. The Tar Heels usually do not shoot it well from the arc and I believe that they will have to accomplish that in this game for them to win. North Carolina is coming off one of their best performances of the season on Saturday, but they have not been able to handle prosperity much this season. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between North Carolina and Syracuse. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. | |||||||
02-28-21 | Wizards v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 110-111 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
We are going against the Wizards here just because they have had a brutal schedule lately. They are on a back to back while the Celtics are rested. They are playing their third game in four nights. They are coming off a tough road trip where they had success. But they also had a brutal back-to-back last week on Monday and Tuesday with the Lakers and Clippers. They got blown out of the building by LAC on the second end of that back-to-back, and we could see the same thing happening here tonight. The Wizards are 3-12-1 in the last 16 meetings here in Boston. Maybe the Celtics turned the corner in this season as they gutted out a win last time vs. Indiana that could be a springboard for this team to start playing better consistently. We just don’t see the Wizards having much gas in the tank for this one, and the Celtics should be extra motivated as they are coming off a bad recent losing streak. | |||||||
02-28-21 | Clippers v. Bucks | 100-105 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
The Clippers always play well in this series and are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. We think they will be primed for a great performance today, especially after their blowout loss against the Grizzlies the other night. Even though they bounced back and got revenge the next night, that loss still had to sting. And there wouldn’t be any better remedy then a big win over one of the biggest powers in the East. We had the Clippers laying a couple points as we think they are the better all around team, and we expect them to win here on the road. | |||||||
02-28-21 | Michigan State v. Maryland -2.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #796 Maryland over Michigan State (2p.m., Sunday, February 28 CBS) The Spartans are on the buttle after winning three straight games, but their good fortune is going to run out on Sunday. Michigan State got a good whistle on Thursday against Ohio State, but I do not see that being the case on Sunday. Maryland has some impressive wins on the season, and they have 3 winnable games to close out the season. The Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Terrapins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on Sunday. | |||||||
02-27-21 | Baylor v. Kansas +5 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #750 Kansas over Baylor (8p.m., Saturday, February 27 ESPN) The Bears were not impressive at all this week in the first game back after coming off a long covid pause. Kansas has been much better of late and should have beaten Texas on Tuesday in Austin. Just do not believe Baylor can run the table in the Big 12 and one of the next two games (or both) will trip them up. Iowa State is terrible, and they struggled to beat them in Waco, winning by just 5 points. The Jayhawks have won 5 of their last 6 games and I see them taking this game down to the wire with a great chance to win it. The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games between Baylor and Kansas. Kansas is 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games. | |||||||
02-27-21 | Wolves v. Wizards -4 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
The Timberwolves are a dumpster fire right now and they haven’t covered in six straight games despite some very generous odds from the linesmakers. These teams both got off to a slow start. The Wizards are a developing team that took awhile to gel, but they seem to have gotten there and lately have been playing playoff-worthy basketball though they have a lot of ground to make up, But they have covered in six of their last seven games. They are coming off a road trip that included wins over the Lakers, Nuggets and Blazers. Impressive. We had this line handicapped at 8, so there is really great value here as the home team is being lined according to record and not recent form. Not to mention the Wizards are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Washington and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall. | |||||||
02-27-21 | Louisville v. Duke -5.5 | 80-73 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #716 Duke over Louisville (6p.m., Saturday, February 27 ESPN) The Blue Devils continue to play home games and will enter this game looking for their fifth straight win. The Cardinals got back on track after getting bombed by North Carolina after a covid pause but Duke is a much better team now than Notre Dame is. Everyone wants Duke to make the NCAA Tournament this year and thus I feel they will continue to win games down the stretch. The home team is 5-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games between Louisville and Duke. Louisville is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. Duke is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. | |||||||
02-27-21 | Illinois v. Wisconsin -4.5 | 74-69 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #628 Wisconsin over Illinois (2p.m., Saturday, February 27 ESPN) If Wisconsin is ever going to make noise again this season it has to come in this game. They are catching Illinois at the perfect time, as this will be their third game in five days and they are without Ayo Dosunmu and his 21 points per game. Wisconsin has been lackluster but sooner or later they will play a complete game like they did earlier in this season. The line tells you how much Illinois will miss Dosunmu. The favorite is 20-7 ATS (1 push) in the last 28 games between Illinois and Wisconsin. The Badgers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Saturday games. | |||||||
02-27-21 | LSU v. Arkansas -4.5 | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #640 Arkansas over LSU (2p.m., Saturday, February 27 ESPN2) The Hogs are on a roll and we will continue to ride them with these low numbers. They have won 5 straight games and 8 of their last 9 games. They also have revenge in this game, as they already lost by 16 points to LSU earlier this season. The Tigers are coming off a bad loss to Georgia by 13 points last time out and things will be much tougher in this game. LSU is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. Arkansas is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. | |||||||
02-27-21 | Texas v. Texas Tech -3 | 59-68 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #606 Texas Tech over Texas (12p.m., Saturday, February 27 CBS) Texas Tech is the more desperate team in this game and they must win today in Lubbock to even up their conference record at 7-7. Texas is coming off a lucky win on Tuesday against Kansas in Austin and I question how much they have left in the tank for this game. The Red Raiders have lost 3 straight games with the last 2 coming on the road but they already have won in Austin earlier this season. Texas is 1-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games. | |||||||
02-26-21 | Blazers +5.5 v. Lakers | 93-102 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Blazers over the Lakers is always one of our favorite bets to make. LA is normally overrated by the oddsmakers. The Blazers consider the Lakers one of their main rivals but the feeling is not mutual. But Portland brings their A Game almost every time these teams play. And they have covered more often than not in this series for years. They are 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings. Portland is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog, and the Lakers just aren’t playing well right now. We expect a very close game here and either team could win this one. | |||||||
02-26-21 | Nevada v. Utah State -7.5 | 72-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #880 Utah State over Nevada (9p.m., Friday, February 26 FS1) Utah State is a strong team at home, especially being one of the few venues that allows fans into the game. Nevada has been on pause for close to 3 weeks and we have seen many teams (besides Michigan) struggle in their first game back. The Aggies has a rough series against Boise State but they will get back on track tonight. They are better inside the paint and unless Nevada goes crazy from the 3-point line they will lose by double digits. The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games between Nevada and Utah State. The Aggies are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. | |||||||
02-26-21 | Clippers -6 v. Grizzlies | Top | 119-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
We like to go with a good team that was embarrassed in their last game. We also like to go with the losing team when teams go against each other back-to-back this season. We have both scenarios tonight as these teams rematch from last night, where Memphis scored a near 30-point win. This Clippers team sometimes plays a bad game. This is the team that has looked like one of the best in the NBA many nights but yet lost to the Mavs earlier in the season by almost 50. It’s just one game. And the Clippers have shown the ability to bounce back after a bad game. This team has great depth and they are normally competitive when their stars are out or resting. The Grizzlies don’t have the same kind of depth. There are no indications that the Clippers won’t suit up their A Team tonight, and they should bring their A Game. The Clippers have been great in back-to-backs and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing on zero rest. Great chance for a dominating effort by the road team tonight. | |||||||
02-26-21 | Southern v. Alabama State +7.5 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take 208942 Alabama State Hornets over Southern University Jaguars (7p.m., Friday, February 26 ESPN3) We will follow the line movement in this game, as both teams are opening up their spring season. Southern finished 6-1 on conference play in 2019, but they did not have a ton of blowouts except when having inferior smaller level teams. They opened 2019 at 1-3 and I do not see them blowing out Alabama State tonight in a true road game. The Jaguars win by defense and running the football and thus it is hard to cover this type of number unless they get turnovers. Alabama State has a strong offense led by Michael Jefferson and with Southern having some injuries on defense this game should go down to the wire. | |||||||
02-25-21 | Wizards +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
The Wizards are playing real well lately. They are coming off a blowout loss to the Clippers. But LA is the second best team in the NBA right now and they were on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights and they were competitive to a point then just ran out of gas. But they are rested with Wednesday off and we think they will get back to the stellar basketball they have been playing, winning five of their last six, with some impressive wins on that resume. It has taken some time for this team to come together, but they are playing to their potential lately and we see them being competitive here in this road matchup as well. | |||||||
02-25-21 | Ohio State v. Michigan State +4 | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #766 Michigan State over Ohio State (9p.m., Thursday, February 25 ESPN) Michigan State is making a late run like always and should make the NCAA Tournament come March. Ohio State has some injury issues and Kyle Young will not play in this game because of a concussion. The Spartans have won 2 in a row including a dominating victory against Illinois last time out. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games between Ohio State and Michigan State. The Spartans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. | |||||||
02-25-21 | Magic +8.5 v. Nets | 92-129 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Magic have been trending to the under with four of their last five games going under the posted total. This team is strong defensively but poor offensively. We think they can slow down the Nets explosive offense a bit, and that’s the only way they can be competitive here as they are very unlikely to match Brooklyn on the offensive end. This team finishes under the century mark on offense in way too many games. The Nets have had some big games recently and we don’t think this matchup will move the needle for them to bring their A Game. Orlando is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings, and we think their defense keeps it close enough to be competitive. | |||||||
02-24-21 | Xavier v. Providence +2 | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #698 Providence over Xavier (9p.m., Wednesday, February 24 FS1) Just feel Providence is the more talented team and playing at home should allow them to emerge victorious. They have had a disappointing season, but they still have talent led by David Duke and Nate Watson. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between Xavier and Providence. The Friars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against teams with a winning road record. Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. | |||||||
02-24-21 | Alabama v. Arkansas -1.5 | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #704 Arkansas over Alabama (9p.m., Wednesday, February 24 ESPN2) Two of the top teams in the SEC are set to do battle tonight in Fayetteville. The Hogs are rested for this game and will enter having won 4 straight games. Alabama has been beating up on bad SEC teams of late and thus I feel their record is not as good as it suggests. They shoot a lot of three pointers and if Arkansas can defend the arc, they should be able to win this game. | |||||||
02-23-21 | Wizards +12 v. Clippers | 116-135 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
The Wizards are off their big OT win over the Lakers last night but this team can’t afford to take the night off as their bad start to the season has put them in a precarious position where they need to stack wins in order to get back in the playoff race. This team has won five straight and they are playing with the confidence that was lacking early in the season, and we think they will bring some solid energy despite their long game last night. This line looks about three points too high as we think the Wizards stay within double digits. | |||||||
02-23-21 | Kansas +3 v. Texas | 72-75 | Push | 0 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #643 Kansas over Texas (9p.m., Tuesday, February 23 ESPN) Shocking to nobody, Texas is once again falling down the stretch, losing 4 of their last 6 games. Kansas has been the opposite having won 5 straight games and they continue to move up the rankings. Kansas is starting to figure out their rotations and will be a tough out come March in both the conference and NCAA Tournament. The road team is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings between Kansas and Texas. Kansas is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games. Texas is 19-40 ATS in their last 59 games as a favorite. | |||||||
02-23-21 | Celtics -1.5 v. Mavs | 107-110 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
We are starting to see some more consistent play from the Celtics. Both of these teams had slow starts to the season, but we think all things being equal that Boston is the much better team. Dallas hasn’t been good in the underdog role and have failed to cover in their last four games when a lined dog. We just feel like this will be a close game throughout but the better team will pull away in the fourth. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $846 |
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
Dan Kaiser | $545 |
Joey Tron | $511 |
Sean Murphy | $430 |
Sean Higgs | $352 |
Ricky Tran | $301 |
Ray Monohan | $263 |
Matt Fargo | $220 |
Kyle Hunter | $71 |