Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-10-24 | Maryland v. Ohio State -2.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #708 Ohio State Buckeyes over Maryland Terrapins (4p.m., Saturday, February 10 FS1) TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Nothing good can be said about Ohio State of late, but they did cash for us in December with our Nonconference Game of the Year against UCLA. Now they play a terrible road team in Maryland, as Ohio State is desperate for any kind of a win. The Buckeyes have lost 5 straight games, and their coach is clearly on the hot seat. But they have talent and Maryland is one of the worst shooting teams in the conference, especially from the arc. You cannot lose them all and Ohio State picks up a much-needed victory at home on Saturday. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
02-09-24 | Rockets +2 v. Raptors | Top | 104-107 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Despite the Rockets poor play on the road, we had them favored in this matchup. Toronto after the Trade Deadline looks like one of the worst teams in the NBA and they will likely be tanking the rest of the season. The Raptors will miss VanVleet for sure as he is out for likely a few games but we think that Houston has a good enough roster, plus the motivation, to win here. They looked pretty good in their first game with VanVleet sidelined as they went toe to toe with the Pacers on the road and lost by three, easily covering the 8-point spread. The Rockets aren’t going to win a lot of games on the road this season, but this looks like a very winnable game for them. They need every win they can get for the postseason so we think they will be focused here. Toronto is playing their first home game after a long road trip, and those are often tricky since players have obligations in their personal lives, and for Toronto with no hope, those probably outweigh the game tonight. The Raptors haven’t been just losing but they haven’t been covering, either, despite some generous lines from the oddsmakers. | |||||||
02-08-24 | Cal Poly +10 v. CS-Northridge | 65-78 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #843 Cal Ply over Cal State Northridge (10p.m., Thursday, February 8 ESPN+) Just do not believe the Matadors are good enough to be laying double digit in a conference game. Before beating UC Riverside, Northridge lost 5 straight games and only one of those losses was competitive. The Mustangs have lost all of their conference games this season, but they have been competitive in most of their recent games. Look for them to keep the score low and that will allow them to lose by single digits. | |||||||
02-07-24 | Spurs +8 v. Heat | 104-116 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
We think this is a real nice spot for the Spurs to play a competitive game. They catch the Heat not only on a back-to-back but playing their third game in four nights. Those came against the Clippers and in-state rival Orlando, so this game really isn’t going to move the needle for them as far as motivation goes. The Spurs have been up and down lately but are getting generous lines from the oddsmakers and they have covered more games recently than they haven’t, and they also have a better ATS record than the Heat. We think they have a great chance to keep this close. | |||||||
02-07-24 | Wisconsin -5.5 v. Michigan | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #687 Wisconsin -5.5 over Michigan (7p.m., Wednesday, February 7 BTN) The Badgers will enter this game having lost two straight games and are looking to get back on track against the worst team in the Big 10. The Badgers are the better coached team and will win this game by double digits. Juwan Howard is likely to be replaced come seasons send and Michigan is just playing out the string now. | |||||||
02-06-24 | Thunder v. Jazz +3 | Top | 117-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
We were on the Thunder last meeting between these two. The line was similar, and we had a massive play on OKC and honestly we were lucky to win that one as everything went right for us in the last 30 seconds. Utah is rested and healthy, and they have revenge here for the earlier meeting. They had a real chance to win that one outright. OKC has three nights off after this game then a trip to Dallas, and as a result they may not be full focused here. Even if they are, the Jazz are strong enough at home to beat any team, any night. | |||||||
02-06-24 | Dayton -1.5 v. St. Joe's | 94-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #637 Dayton over St Joes (8p.m., Tuesday, February 6 CBSSN) The Flyers are the best team in the Atlantic 10 and are well on their way to receiving an at-large bid for the 2024 NCAA Tournament. Never like Anthony Grant as a head coach, but his team is loaded with talent this season. They have just one loss since the middle of November and that trend will continue on Tuesday with a 6-8 point victory tonight on Hawk Hill. | |||||||
02-05-24 | Warriors v. Nets | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Brooklyn has won three of four and are playing well at the moment. They have enjoyed a light playing schedule lately and should be primed to defend the home court tonight. The same can’t be said for Golden State. While not on a back-to-back, they will be playing their third road game in four nights, and it’s not like this is the youngest bunch… so fatigue will be a factor. The Warriors are just 8-11 on the road this season. These teams played last month in the Bay Area, and Brooklyn held their own in a four-point loss. We think they match up well and will be able to get their revenge here. Golden State covered that one by just the hook, and that was their first cover in four games in this series. The Nets have actually covered in six of the last eight. | |||||||
02-04-24 | Clippers -4 v. Heat | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Love the Clippers in this spot. Miami has been underachieving lately and they have been overvalued by the oddsmakers. They have covered two straight but that followed a seven-game non cover streak. The Clippers play tomorrow also, but this team has been taking things one game at a time this season more than season’s past, and we think they will be extra focused on this very winnable game. Oh, and they have also covered in eight of the last 10 meetings. | |||||||
02-04-24 | Purdue v. Wisconsin +2.5 | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #830 Wisconsin over Purdue (1p.m., Sunday, February 4 CBS) Purdue got gifted a game earlier this week and I expect Karma to hit them on Sunday. Purdue had a huge free throw advantage last time out against Northwestern, but they will not get that against Wisconsin on the road at the Kohl Center. Wisconsin is coming off a bad loss to Nebraska last time out, a game in which they blew a big lead and lost by 8 in overtime. Wisconsin needs this game if they have any hope of winning the regular season conference championship and expect them to grind out a win late behind A. J. Storr. | |||||||
02-03-24 | Houston v. Kansas +1.5 | Top | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #702 Kansas Jayhawks over Houston Cougars (4p.m., Saturday, February 3 ESPN) COLLEGE BASKETBALL GAME OF THE YEAR Kansas at home getting points is too good to pass up. Houston does not face this type of environment in the AAC, but will see it on Saturday now they are a member of the Big 12. Kansas takes great pride in winning the Big 12 and this is a game they need to win if they have any hopes of winning the conference come March. This will be the Cougars third road game in their last four games, and they will not be able to push around Kansas in Lawrence. The Jayhawks have the much better offensive team and are coming off their best performance of conference play last time out. That was without Kevin McCullar, who is probable for this game. Kanas needs this game more, and they will get it by 6-8 points. They should never be an underdog at home and we will gladly ride them in this game. | |||||||
02-02-24 | Raptors v. Rockets -4 | Top | 106-135 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
The Rockets have been a bit back and forth lately but we think this is a good spot for them, and the line is more than fair. They seem to be locked into winning every other game lately, and good for us they lost last time out. That was against a better team, and this is a good spot for a bounce back. Toronto has been a very poor road team and have just seven wins away from home. They have covered in two straight but haven’t been good in general at covering despite some generous lines from the oddsmakers. Houston has covered in three of their last four, so they are playing a bit better than expectations. They have also covered in seven of the last nine meetings in this series. | |||||||
02-01-24 | Pacers v. Knicks -2.5 | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Knicks are just rolling right now and we think they have the defense to slow down the Pacers. They play at one of the slowest paces in the league and they can throw Indiana off their game tonight. The Knicks are banged up right now but they have one of the best home records in the league, while the Pacers are less than a .500 team on the road. New York has covered sin six straight and they continue to be underappreciated by the oddsmakers. | |||||||
01-31-24 | Magic v. Spurs +5.5 | Top | 108-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
The Spurs are vastly improving throughout the season right in front of our eyes, and this is a team that should have great betting value down the stretch run of the season. They have covered in five of the last seven and have been underrated by the oddsmakers. Orlando started off the season great, but it looks like they may not be as good as advertised as they have fallen off quite a bit recently. San Antonio has covered in seven of the last nine meetings, so they have a strong history here. | |||||||
01-30-24 | Pacers +7.5 v. Celtics | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The Celtics expended a lot of energy last night in a rally vs the Pelicans and they honestly haven’t looked great the last couple games. Indiana has covered in six of the last nine meetings and they normally come to play when visiting Boston. Every team goes through ups and downs at points in the season and that big loss to the Clippers, who were on a tough back-to-back, has to be concerning. Indiana might get some players back tonight as well and we think this will be a close game regardless. | |||||||
01-30-24 | Texas Tech +5.5 v. TCU | 78-85 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #625 Texas Tech over TCU (7p.m., Tuesday, January 30 ESPN2) Texas Tech has been sneaky good in the Big 12 this season currently sitting at first play with a 5-1 record. TCU is coming off a marathon 3 overtime victory on Saturday and thus we expect tired legs and a little letdown in this game. We will grab the points and play the road underdog. | |||||||
01-28-24 | Chiefs +4 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 98 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #319 Kansas City Chiefs over Baltimore Ravens (3p.m., Sunday, January 28 CBS) The Ravens have the better all-around team, but the Chiefs have the best player on the field, and we will gladly back Mahomes and the points in this game. The Kansas City offense played their best game of the season last time out against Buffalo and I look for that to continue in this game as well. Baltimore has all the pressure on them, as QB Jackson will win his second straight MVP and need a Super Bowl to validate his outstanding career. The Chiefs have a strong defense that can cause issues for QB Jackson with their blitz schemes, and I look for them to take this one down to the wire. KC seems to have a knack for winning close games and Sunday should be no different. | |||||||
01-26-24 | Blazers v. Spurs -3.5 | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
They haven’t been winning a lot of games so it may not be evident to the casual eye, but the Spurs are improving a lot as the season goes on. They have had a very tough schedule recently but they have hung with some of the big boys and they have been covering more frequently. They had a real bad outing last time out in a home blowout to OKC, and that was a very good team and the first home game after a long road trip can be tricky. But now they drop down a couple levels in talent and they are settled at home and they should be primed for a comfortable win over the Blazers. | |||||||
01-26-24 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -3 | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #886 Wisconsin Badgers over Michigan State Spartans (8p.m., Friday, January 26 FS1) Wisconsin is in control to win the Big 10 regular season championship and expect them to take care of business at home against Michigan State. The Spartans have faced 3 bad opponents of late to have a winning streak, but they have struggled against the top teams in the league and the country. Wisconsin has only lost once at home this season and that streak will stay intact after Friday night. | |||||||
01-25-24 | Celtics -7.5 v. Heat | Top | 143-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Even though the Celtics already got a comfortable win over Miami at the start of the season, we are confident revenge is still on their mind from the playoff series loss. And they are in a great spot for a big win tonight. They are healthy and have had two nights off, while the Heat come in on a back-to-back. They lost last night at home to the banged-up Grizzlies in another ugly performance that marked their fourth straight loss. All those opponents were much worse teams than the Celtics. Boston should be extra motivated tonight and they won’t take it easy on the Heat just because they are struggling. We think they bring their A Game tonight and score a double digit win. | |||||||
01-24-24 | Colorado State v. Nevada -3 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #738 Nevada over Colorado State (10:30p.m., Wednesday, January 25 FS1) This is a make or break game for Nevada, as their chances to make the NCAA Tournament are slim at the moment. They have lost 3 straight games, but still have a solid 15-4 record and I expect them to right the ship on Wednesday night playing at home. The Rams are just not the same team in true road games and expect them to lose their third straight road game. Nevada is desperate and gets this game by 7-9 points. | |||||||
01-23-24 | Rangers -1.5 v. Sharks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -126 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
San Jose, surprisingly, has won two straight. They beat the Ducks and then last night beat their arch rivals, the LA Kings, on the road in OT. That was the biggest win they will likely have this season and creates a very strong letdown spot tonight. The Sharks have no reason to exert themselves on a back-to-back here. There was probably a great celebration last night. This team isn’t chasing a wild card or anything. This is the definition of a team Fat and Happy and they probably just don’t care much about this game. The Rangers have lost six of their last nine against a very difficult schedule, so this is the perfect Get Right game for them and we think this matchup will be very one-sided. | |||||||
01-23-24 | Knicks -3.5 v. Nets | Top | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
This one is a road game for the Knicks but one of the easiest road games in the NBA. These teams are going in opposite directions and we don’t see the Nets being too competitive here. They have been getting some pretty generous lines from the oddsmakers and still haven’t been covering. The Knicks are playing some of the best defense in the NBA since their big trade, and we think they will shut down the Nets inconsistent offense. The Knicks have won and covered in three straight meetings, and we expect a comfortable win tonight. | |||||||
01-23-24 | Wisconsin -3.5 v. Minnesota | 61-59 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #625 Wisconsin over Minnesota (7p.m., Tuesday, January 23 BTN) Wisconsin has dominated this series and we will gladly lay the points in this game tonight at the barn. Not sure why this line has been coming down since it was posted yesterday afternoon, as the Badgers have beaten Minnesota six straight times. Wisconsin has great depth and can score points this season in a variety of ways. Minnesota is 11-2 at home but those two losses came against Iowa and Missouri. Wisconsin is better than both of those teams, as Minnesota will enter tonight having lost 3 straight games. The Badgers have a lot of recruits from Minnesota and they always get up for playing this game. | |||||||
01-22-24 | Spurs +14 v. 76ers | 123-133 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
We are likely going to be a buyer for the Spurs in the second half of the season – in good sports of course. This team is improving and they are well coached. They are going to be much more competitive and one we will be looking at when getting a big number like this. San Antonio is 8-2 ATS in their last 10. We think there is a great chance they keep this one within single digits as this matchup doesn’t really move the needle for the Sixers. | |||||||
01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions -6 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 73 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #316 Detroit Lions over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3p.m., Sunday, January 21 NBC) NFL Playoff Game of the Year. The Buccaneers are a team that nobody wants to advance except for those in Florida and I see their season coming to an end on Sunday. Tampa Bay played well against Philadelphia last time out, but the two games prior they struggled against teams that did not even make the playoffs. Detroit will be rocking again for this game, as the Lions look to reach the conference championship round for the first time in over 30 years. The Lions have the more balanced offense this season and can beat you on the ground or through the air. Tampa Bay is reliant on the passing game and torching Philadelphia is one thing, but Detroit has a much better defense. These teams already met earlier this season with Detroit winning by a score of 20-6 at Raymond James Stadium. Detroit has been a story all season long in the NFL and that will continue with a double-digit victory at home. The Lions knocked off a hot team last week and will knock off another hot team on Sunday. This is the toughest ticket in the divisional round and the 12th man will also be a factor, as will the experience of Jared Goff (super bowl quarterback). | |||||||
01-21-24 | Michigan State v. Maryland +1.5 | 61-59 | Loss | -120 | 1 h 31 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take Maryland +1 over Michigan State (12p.m., Sunday, January 21 CBS) Michigan State is not out of their funk and Maryland is a much better team when playing at home. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
01-18-24 | Thunder -3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 134-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Utah has been playing great basketball, and OKC is coming off a pair of losses. But it is very telling that the Thunder are laying some points here on the road. Sharp bettors pounded OKC when the line was released, but there is still plenty of value at this number. Even though OKC is playing their third game in four nights, they are coming in off a night off, and this team is young, athletic, and conditioned, and we don’t see fatigue being an issue. Props to the Jazz as they have been playing great, but they are a hot team that will likely flame out in the postseason very quickly, while the Thunder are a legit championship contender. And OKC has been one of the most reliable betting teams for the last few years. The Thunder will take this game very seriously after a pair of losses to the Lakers and Clippers. Utah was supposed to play Golden State last night, but the game was postponed due to the tragedy with the Warriors coach. This blip might have thrown the Jazz off their momentum. OKC always plays well against the Jazz. They have won and covered in four straight meetings. Utah has covered in only one of the last eight meetings (one push). | |||||||
01-18-24 | Illinois -2.5 v. Michigan | 88-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #799 Illinois over Michigan (8:30p.m., Thursday, January 18 FS1) Just do not see Illinois losing two games in a row to inferior competition. Michigan is a mess and has a terrible head coach and they struggle on both ends of the court. The Illini have great balance and that will be the difference on Thursday. The Wolverines have lost 5 of their last 6 games and Illinois is a better team than all of them. | |||||||
01-17-24 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky -6.5 | 77-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #690 Kentucky over Mississippi State (7p.m., Wednesday, January 17 ESPN) Kentucky is 8-1 at home and Mississippi State will struggle during most of SEC play, especially when they are playing road games. This Kentucky team can shoot it better than past teams averaging over 10 made three pointers per game. The Wildcats are coming off a tough loss to Texas A&M last time out and they will be ready to make a statement in this game winning it by double digits. | |||||||
01-16-24 | Thunder v. Clippers -6.5 | Top | 117-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Love the Clippers in this spot. They are coming off a rare loss at Minnesota that wasn’t as close as the final score indicated, so they will want to get back on track here. OKC comes in on a back-to-back after a really tough game against the Lakers last night. They expended lots of energy in that one, so facing a better team in the second leg will be difficult. We love that this number is on the good side of the key NBA betting number of 7, as that is the point where the losing team stops fouling at the end of the game and concedes the loss. | |||||||
01-16-24 | Wisconsin -5.5 v. Penn State | 83-87 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #645 Wisconsin over Penn State (9p.m., Tuesday, January 16 BTN) Wisconsin is going to win the Big 10 this season. They already have quality road wins at Ohio State and Michigan State. Now they take a step down in class against a rebuilding Penn State team. The Lions are 2-4 in conference and should be 1-5 if not for a miraculous comeback against Ohio State, a game in which they were down big. Wisconsin is better at 4 of the 5 positions on the court and will win this game by double digits. | |||||||
01-15-24 | Spurs +8.5 v. Hawks | Top | 99-109 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
The Hawks are 9-29 ATS on the season, so you have to take notice when they are laying a number like this. We really like the way the Spurs have been improving. They are coached by one of the best to ever do it, and he is getting the most out of his club at the moment. They are no longer an easy blowout for their opponent. They have covered six straight games. This Spurs team is starting to show the recipe for a team we really like to bet on. They are underappreciated by the oddsmakers and betting public, yet they are competing on a nightly basis and covering but not winning a lot of games. So if they stay under the radar, they can produce a lot of betting profits. They have also covered two straight and three of four against the Hawks. | |||||||
01-14-24 | Washington v. UCLA | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #845 Washington (PK) over UCLA (7p.m., Saturday, January 14 PAC-12 Network) This is a straight fade against UCLA. Until they prove they can win a game we will fade them. They have lost 8 of their last 9 games. | |||||||
01-13-24 | Lakers v. Jazz +1.5 | Top | 125-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This line is just ridiculous that the Jazz are the underdog. This just shows the power of the Lakers as the public team in the NBA. They have dropped five of seven and they aren’t looking like a championship contender at the moment. The Jazz are on a B2B but they have won seven of eight and are playing as well as any team in the NBA right now. We had the Jazz handicapped at -3, so there is great value here tonight. | |||||||
01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4 | Top | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 79 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #144 Kansas City Chiefs over Miami Dolphins (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 13 Peacock) The Dolphins lost the division on Sunday Night Football and now must travel to play a night game against the Chiefs in chilly conditions. The temperature for this game will be around zero degrees and that will give the Chiefs a great advantage for this game. Miami is also banged up on defense with numerous injuries and I just do not see them coming away with a victory. These two teams met earlier this season with the Chiefs winning in London to make to 4 straight against the Dolphins. Kansas City has won 3 of their last 4 games and Miami just does not beat very many top tier teams. The Chiefs have their problems on offense, but they have a strong defense and a great home field advantage. Lay the points, as the Chiefs will win this game by double-digits. | |||||||
01-13-24 | Arkansas +8 v. Florida | 68-90 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #699 Arkansas +8 over Florida (4p.m., Saturday, January 13 ESPN) Just do not believe Arkansas is as bad as they have played of late. Also do not believe Florida is good enough to be laying this many points in a SEC game. Both teams are winless in the league, Arkansas played better last time out against Georgia. This team beat Duke earlier this season and should be able to take this one down to the wire. | |||||||
01-12-24 | Raptors v. Jazz -3 | Top | 113-145 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
The road trip languishes on for this Raptors club and they face a Utah team that has been dominant lately but doesn’t get the notice of the oddsmakers or public bettors because of the lack of big names on the team. But we think they show up tonight with their great home court advantage and a team that seems to be brimming with confidence right now. The oddsmakers have been too slow to adjust to how this team is playing right now. | |||||||
01-12-24 | Predators v. Stars -1.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
These teams played here Saturday and Nashville scored the upset win. This creates a great revenge spot. Before that game, their last two visits here resulted in 5-1 losses. When Dallas is motivated, we have no doubt they are the better team. They had won five straight meetings before Saturday. They also looked really good in their two games since vs. Minnesota and both the offense and defense seem to be clicking now. | |||||||
01-11-24 | Stanford -4.5 v. Oregon State | 88-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #839 Stanford over Oregon State (11p.m., Thursday, January 11 ESPN2) No bet against Oregon State is a bad bet. They have a lame duck coach that should have been fired long ago and a team that is just not very good. The Beavers are just 1-3 in the league and have little home court advantage. Stanford has the better talent and they should be able to win this game by double digits. | |||||||
01-11-24 | Suns v. Lakers | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
We think the Lakers are overrated and there is normally value in going against them regardless of how well they play as they are one of the biggest public plays in sports. The Suns haven’t been playing great, but we think this game is more important to them than the Lakers and we think they bring their A Game after a couple losses. | |||||||
01-10-24 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 171 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The last two meetings have both been one-sided wins by the home club and we think we will see the same tonight. Colorado has one of the best home ice advantages in the NHL. Vegas hasn’t been a strong puckline team and they are always overvalued by the oddsmakers since they are one of the most popular betting teams with the public. | |||||||
01-10-24 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -1.5 | Top | 71-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
7 Unit Play. Take #726 Ohio State over Wisconsin (8:30p.m., Wednesday, January 10 BTN) Always like to use an unranked team that is favored over a ranked team. Ohio State needs this game, as they have a strong record but do not have many quality wins on the season. The Buckeyes are coming off a loss to Indiana by 6 points in which Burce Thornton and Roddy Gayle could not make many shots. I just do not see them struggling that bad at home in a game they need to have. Wisconsin has been playing well of late but they have blowout losses against NCAA Tournament teams and Ohio State is in the field of 68. Playing on the road is tough in the Big 10 and Wisconsin will not get the calls they are used to getting at the Kohl Center. Play the home team tonight in Columbus. | |||||||
01-10-24 | Kings v. Hornets +7.5 | Top | 123-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
These teams played a week ago, in Sacramento, and the Hornets not only covered by won outright by seven points. We think they match up well here. Forget about the revenge factor. Enough time has passed since that game, and the Kings have bigger aspirations than holding a grudge over the lowly Hornets. The biggest factor here is that the Kings are on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. This isn’t the deepest team, and they have had a handful of B2Bs this season and haven’t covered a single one. The Hornets have won and covered in eight of the last ten meetings, and normally bring their A Game against the Kings. We believe that will happen again tonight and expect a close game. | |||||||
01-09-24 | Duke -5 v. Pittsburgh | 75-53 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #657 Duke over Pittsburgh (9p.m., Tuesday, January 9 ESPN) A pair of former Dukies are set to square off as one another as coaches tonight at Petersen Events Center in Pittsburgh, PA. Duke has righted the ship of late winning 6 straight games and look for that to continue again on Tuesday. Pittsburgh is just 1-3 in the ACC with their only win coming against Louisville, the worst team it he league. | |||||||
01-08-24 | Jazz v. Bucks -8 | Top | 132-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Damian Lillard will be out here for the Bucks, but that absence is already cooked into the line. The Bucks are off a tough road trip where they lost two of three, and they have lost three of four overall. So we think here, back at home against an inferior opponent, that we are going to see a very focused and determined Bucks team. If they had been playing better they might overlook this game, but they need a big performance tonight and to get far enough ahead where they won’t leave anything to chance at the end of the game. The Bucks are 16-3 at home, and Utah is one of the worst road teams in the NBA at 6-15. Utah is coming off a rare road win at Philly and they are probably Fat and Happy right now and won’t give full effort here. The Bucks have won and covered three in a row in this series, and the last two were blowouts. We see the same result happening here tonight. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Broncos v. Raiders -2.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 122 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #476 Las Vegas Raiders over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 7 FOX) I feel that the Raiders want to win this game more than the Broncos. The Raiders have an interim coach that wants the job, and the Broncos benched their starting quarterback because they signed him to a terrible contract. Las Vegas has beaten Denver 7 straight games including week 1 of the 2023 regular season. Denver is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Denver wants a better draft pick and we do not see them winning this game. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Bears v. Packers -3 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 122 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 7 CBS) The Packers find themselves in a similar situation to 2022, where they close out the season at home with a win and you’re in game. They will not make the same mistake as last year and dominate the Bears and win this game by double digits. Green Bay has beaten Chicago 9 straight times (9-0 ATS as well). Just do not trust Justin Fields to win consistently in this league and the Packers played much better on defense last week. Look for that to continue Sunday, as the Packers make the playoffs! | |||||||
01-07-24 | Jaguars -5 v. Titans | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #473 Jacksonville Jaguars over Tennessee Titans (1p.m., Sunday, January 7 CBS) The Jaguars did not finish the season on a high note, losing 4 straight games but are fortunate to close out the 2023 season against to terrible teams. They pounded Carolina last week with their backup quarterback and now get to face an equally bad Tennessee team. Jacksonville already beat them this season by 20 points and see this game following a similar path. The Titans will enter this game off 3 straight losses including a 23 point to Houston last Sunday. Jacksonville has won 3 straight games against Tennessee and has too much to play for to take this game lightly. If they win, they clinch the division and get to host a playoff game next weekend! | |||||||
01-06-24 | Bucks v. Rockets +7 | Top | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Now this is what we like to see: Houston back in the underdog role. We went against them last night and they were blown out by Minnesota. There’s a good chance they were looking ahead to this game. Even though the Timberwolves have the best record in the Western Conference, they don’t move the meter for excitement like Milwaukee does. Houston is a solid team and they are one of the best teams in the NBA ATS. We just don’t see them getting blown out two nights in a row. And the Bucks aren’t in top form right now as they have lost three of six and covered in only two of those games. In fact, the Bucks have been overrated by the oddsmakers and they are just 15-9-1 ATS on the season. Houston played the Bucks tough in Milwaukee last month but lost and didn’t cover. We think they will do better here at home. They didn’t mount any comeback last night, so they should be more fresh than normal with the lack of energy expended. And a B2B at home is much more easy to navigate than on the road. | |||||||
01-06-24 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -6 | 72-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #664 Wisconsin over Nebraska (2:15p.m., Saturday, January 6 BTN) Nebraska has improved this season, but both of their losses have been blowouts and I see this being a double-digit loss as well. Wisconsin is a bad matchup for them, as the Badgers have size and depth. If Wisconsin can shoot it well from long range, they should win this game going away. They did not play that well against Iowa this week, yet still pulled away in the second half to win by 11 points. | |||||||
01-05-24 | Wolves -3.5 v. Rockets | Top | 122-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Nothing against Houston here. We think they are a solid team and often a value bet. Heck, we took them for our 8-Unit season win total pick on the over. They have covered a lot of games this season since they were a surprise competitive team and also they were getting some generous lines from the oddsmakers. The oddsmakers have caught up with them a bit, and they aren’t surprising teams any more. Also, they are going to face the ups and downs that come with a young team coming out of its rebuild. They have lost six of their last 10 and haven’t covered in any of the losses. We think this team will make the play in tourney for sure, but across the court from them will be a team that is championship ready. Only the Celtics have a better record in the NBA. The Wolves will take this game very seriously as they are off a couple tough losses. They don’t want a three-game losing streak. They have won seven of the last eight meetings and covered in six of those. We expect them to bring their A Game tonight. | |||||||
01-05-24 | Iona -2.5 v. St. Peter's | 57-69 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #881 Iona -2.5 over Saint Peter’s (7p.m., Friday, January 5 ESPN+) The road team being favored tells me what the line makers believe about the talent of each team. But teams have similar records, but the Gaels are a traditional powerhouse in the MAAC. They need this game more in the standings and will get it in close to double-digits. | |||||||
01-04-24 | Jets v. Sharks +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
San Jose always seems to play well in this matchup and they have won six of the last eight meetings. They have played pretty well the last couple games and had a couple empty netters go against them that make the games look more lopsided than they actually are. We think the Sharks put up a fight tonight. | |||||||
01-04-24 | Bucks v. Spurs +9.5 | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Spurs have covered in eight of the last ten meetings and we think they put their best foot forward on national TV tonight. Milwaukee is on a back-to-back after playing a budding rival in Indiana twice, losing both games, and this is a letdown spot as a result. We think this is a close game and this is too many points as this will be one of the bigger games of the season for the Spurs on TNT. | |||||||
01-03-24 | Nets v. Rockets -5 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
These have been two of the best ATS teams in the league this season. But we think Houston is the better team, and they have been great at home this season, while the Nets have been bad on the road. Both teams have been struggling a bit, but Houston got a massive blowout win over the Pistons last time out, and that is the perfect thing for a confidence boost to get things back on track. They have had an incredibly tough schedule lately, and that is one of the reasons they haven’t been racking up wins. Brooklyn has been really struggling lately and has only a pair of wins over the Pistons to show for recent efforts, and they haven’t been covering lines like they did at the start of the season. | |||||||
01-03-24 | Fordham +3.5 v. George Washington | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #675 Fordham +3.5 over George Washington (7p.m., Wednesday, January 3 ESPN+) GW is 11-2 on the season and facing a 6-7 team at home, yet they are just a slight favorite. The Rams have underachieved thus far in 2023/24, but they have talent and should be able to take this game down to the wire. | |||||||
01-02-24 | Hornets +16 v. Kings | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
We always take notice when a team is getting this many points. They can lose in a blowout and you can still cover the spread. And you know the players are aware of the spread. That might give them extra motivation or help with a backdoor cover late in the game. Charlotte has won seven of the last nine meetings, and we think the Kings will overlook this one and the underdog will keep it within double digits. | |||||||
01-02-24 | Iowa v. Wisconsin -5.5 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #606 Wisconsin over Iowa (7p.m., Tuesday, January 2 BTN) Even when Iowa had good teams, Wisconsin often dominates them and this year it is the opposite. Iowa is not good and Wisconsin is a veteran team that can beat you in a variety of ways. The Hawkeyes only have a quality win against Seton Hall this season and have been pounded by teams like Oklahoma, Iowa State, and Michigan. Wisconsin is better than all 3 of those teams and expect them to take care of business tonight at the Kohl Center. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Sharks v. Avalanche -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
We think here soon that teams will once again start taking San Jose as an easy W and they will have a surge and start covering at least some pucklines. But that time is not here yet. And this isn’t the opponent. Colorado has one of the best home ice advantages in the NHL. They have won eight straight meetings. Meetings in Colorado are normally a blowout and the Avs have a +10 goal differential in the last two meetings at home. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Steelers +3.5 v. Seahawks | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 99 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #125 Pittsburgh Steelers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, January 31 FOX) Pittsburgh got some life last week by starting Mason Rudolph and I just feel they can keep the coaching streak of Mike Tomlin alive. He has never had a losing record and will need to win one of his last two games to finish 9-8. It might not happen this week, but I feel that they can take this one down to the wire. Pittsburgh is 9-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 road games. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Saints v. Bucs -2.5 | 23-13 | Loss | -125 | 96 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, January 31 FOX) These two teams are heading in opposite directions, as the Saints have lost 4 of their last 6 games. Tampa Bay has won 4 straight games and can almost lock up the division with a victory on Sunday at home. Baker Mayfield has been reborn of late, and he clearly is the better quarterback in this game. New Orleans is 2-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 divisional games. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Panthers v. Jaguars -6.5 | 0-26 | Win | 100 | 96 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #116 Jacksonville Jaguars over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, January 31 CBS) Despite losing 4 straight games, the Jaguars are still in good shape to win the division and host a playoff game. Despite the Panthers rallying late against the Packers last week, they are still a bad team with a lame duck coach and a terrible roster. Just too much on the line for Jacksonville to play poorly again and expect the home team to win this one by double digits. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Raptors v. Pistons +5 | Top | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
We said it before with our sharp ATS winner on Detroit over Boston last time out that now that the pressure of the longest losing streak in NBA history is off the Pistons, they are free to play better. And they have. They played one of their best games of the season last time out against Boston and even sent the game to OT before losing. They showed some grit in getting the game to OT in the final minutes. Now they take a big step down in competition against a Raptors team that is horrible on the road and also on a back-to-back. We thought the Pistons had the talent to possibly reach the play in before the season started so it’s not like this team doesn’t have the talent to win games. They have had major chemistry issues and injuries. We think this is a winnable game for them tonight. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Georgia -15.5 v. Florida State | 63-3 | Win | 100 | 95 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #269 Georgia Bulldogs over Florida State Seminoles (4p.m., Saturday, December 30 ESPN) ORANGE BOWL Motivation will be on display for both teams, as the Bulldogs do not get a chance to go for a 3-peet. The Seminoles did not even make the 4 team playoff despite going undefeated from a power conference and they have been hearing for a month how they got robbed. The Seminoles are missing a ton of skill players for this game on offense, and I just do not see them being able to move the football against the Dawgs in this game. Georgia has the most talented team in the country, and they have a coach that knows the importance of playing well in this exhibition game. Georgia has won the Orange Bowl in 3 of their 4 trips to South Florida. I see a 35-10 type of score with the Bulldogs dominating this game from start to finish. | |||||||
12-29-23 | Clemson v. Kentucky +4.5 | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #258 Kentucky Wildcats over Clemson Tigers (12p.m., Friday, December 29 ESPN) GATOR BOWL, COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR SEC is better than the ACC and Kentucky is the more battle tested team in this game. The Wildcats appear to have more players available for this game with the Tigers having a bunch of players sitting out for this game. Kentucky should have their quarterback and running back for this game and will be able to move the football against the Tigers. Kentucky is 3-1 ATS in 2023 when they are an underdog. The long layoff will help them in this game. Clemson’s streak of double digit wins already ended this season and I just do not see them being that motivated to play in this game. Their offense is just not as strong as it has been in year’s past. The Tigers defense was outstanding this season, but it came against weak competition and some of their talent will not be playing in this game. Motivation is the deciding factor, as Kentucky is happy to be here and travels well to their bowl games in the Southeast. With a total in the mid 40’s getting this many points with the underdog is too good to pass up. | |||||||
12-28-23 | USC +2.5 v. Oregon | 74-82 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #719 USC over Oregon (9p.m., Thursday, December 28 ESPN2) Just feel USC is the more talented team and Oregon will have no home court advantage in this game. The students are not on campus and many in the state just do not care about college basketball. Still believe USC will make a run to earn an NCAA Tournament bid and it starts tonight as conference play opens up. | |||||||
12-27-23 | 76ers +2.5 v. Magic | 112-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Great value here as Philly has a long history of success over the Magic. Yes, Embiid is out tonight and the Sixers are banged up. But this is a very deep team and we think they have the roster to win this one outright. Orlando is also coming in on the second end of a back-to-back. The word is out on the Magic and they are not going to surprise teams anymore, and Philly will want to put their best foot forward here. | |||||||
12-26-23 | Hornets v. Clippers -11.5 | Top | 104-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
The Clippers were on a nine-game winning streak but since have lost two straight. This team was banged up and overworked, and they lost by double-digits at OKC and last time out at home to Boston. But LA didn’t play on Xmas and they are at home here the day after, which is a big advantage as we are confident they will be in a better place mentally than the Hornets, on the road after the holiday. We always like to take a good team after a bad game, and the Clippers were embarrassed last time out here vs. Boston. Good teams normally up the effort after a game like that, and Charlotte is certainly a team that can be susceptible to a blowout. They have lost four straight road games by double digits. The Clippers have won and covered in four of the last five meetings. | |||||||
12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers -5 | 33-19 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #482 San Francisco 49ers over Baltimore Ravens (8:15p.m., Monday, December 25 ABC) The 49ers are clearly the team to beat when it comes to the Super Bowl and now get a chance to prove it on the field against the best teams the AFC has to offer. The 49ers are just better on both sides of the football and they want to make a statement in this game. Baltimore will be playing their second straight road game and must fly cross-country for this game. San Francisco has covered the spread in 13 of their last 17 home games when they are the favorite. | |||||||
12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 77 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Miami Dolphins over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m, Sunday, December 24 FOX) Dallas looked terrible last week against another AFC East team and expect Miami to use the same blueprint that Buffalo did. Dallas is just not the same team on the road compared to when playing at home. Dallas is likely going to be the No. 5 seed since the Eagles have a very easy schedule to close out the regular season. Miami takes this one. | |||||||
12-24-23 | Jaguars +1 v. Bucs | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #469 Jacksonville Jaguars over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 24 CBS) Just feel that Tampa Bay overachieved last week against a terrible Green Bay defense and will find it much harder to move the football this week against Jacksonville. The Jaguars gagged last week at home against the Ravens, producing zero points in the first half despite moving the football up and down the field. Jacksonville has covered the spread in 9 of their last 10 road games (London game included). Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against AFC teams. Jacksonville is desperate and needs this game in the worst way. | |||||||
12-23-23 | St. John's v. Connecticut -11 | 65-69 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #626 UCONN over St Johns (8p.m., Saturday, December 23 FOX) We saw Marquette pound Georgetown last night after suffering an embarrassing loss the previous game. Expect UCONN to follow suit and win this game by double-digits after losing to Seton Hall last time out. St Johns has a famous coach in Rick Pitino, but the roster is not championship caliber to be able to compete night in and night out in the Big East. An angry UCONN wins this game going away and we collect in the process as well. | |||||||
12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +2.5 | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 78 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #454 Pittsburgh Steelers over Cincinnati Bengals (4:30p.m., Saturday, December 23 NBC) Just feel the Steelers have one more game in them. Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season as head coach of the Steelers, but 2023 will test that theory. Pittsburgh won the first meeting this season and have gone 10-4 divisional home games played in the Steel City. Cincinnati has not won a divisional game this season (0-4) and I look for that to continue on Saturday. | |||||||
12-22-23 | Wizards +12.5 v. Warriors | Top | 118-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
The Wizards are a bad team. But they are not bad on the level of the Pistons or Spurs. They have a couple players that can make a difference, and they have been a decent bet in spots. And we think one of those spots is tonight. And we think one of those players that can make a difference is Jordan Poole, the former Warrior who was punched by Draymond Greene in practice, but he was kind of disrespected in the trade that brought Chris Paul to the Warriors. We think he will raise his game up tonight. Washington actually has covered more games than Golden State. They are on a B2B but have covered four straight after winning in Portland last night. They have three nights off after this game, so they don’t need to hold back for energy. The Warriors play on Saturday then also on Christmas at Denver, so we don’t know how focused they will be here. They have been double digit favorites twice this season and didn’t cover in either game. | |||||||
12-22-23 | Illinois v. Missouri +6.5 | 97-73 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #874 Missouri Tigers over Illinois Fighting Illini (9p.m., Friday, December 22 FS1) This game seems to mean more to Missouri and expect their players and fans to go all out to win this game. Missouri has played better of late, hanging with Kansas and Seton Hall and I feel that they can take this one down to the wire. Many of these games between these two bordering state schools have gone down to the wire and 2023 should be no different. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Fighting Illini. | |||||||
12-21-23 | Clippers v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 115-134 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
It’s tough sometimes to go against a team like the Clippers who have won nine straight and are playing as well as anyone in the league. But we think this is a real bad spot for the Clippers. They are coming in on a back-to-back. This is their third road game in four nights. This is a veteran Clippers team that has seen it all and done it all, and we don’t think they care about the streak nearly as much as the fans do. This seems like a game they might not give full effort in. Some members of the team have been sick. Kawhi Leonard has played unprecedented minutes to start the season, and he got really banged around last night. The Thunder have had two nights off and are completely healthy. They have won four of five, including a road game against the defending champs. They are one of the best ATS teams in the NBA at 17-8 on the season. | |||||||
12-21-23 | Alcorn State v. George Washington -15.5 | 75-79 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #306578 George Washington over Alcorn State (2p.m., Thursday, December 21 ESPN+) No bet against Alcorn State is a bad bet. The Braves are in the process of playing 15 straight road games and they have yet to win any of them. Their last 8 road games have been blowouts and today should be no different. This is just a cash grab playing all of these buy games and it really is not fair to the players and coaches. The Revolutionaries have played an easy schedule as well full of cupcakes, but playing the Braves is easily considered another cupcake. | |||||||
12-20-23 | Baylor v. Duke -3 | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #666 Duke Blue Devils over Baylor Bears (7p.m., Wednesday, December 20 ESPN) Baylor got exposed last time out against Michigan State. Now they travel to MSG to play Duke in a de facto home game for the Blue Devils. Duke has a great record at MSG and they cannot afford any more losses on the season, since they are just 7-3 on the season. This is not the NFL and I do not expect a bounce back from Baylor tonight. Duke gets the victory and we collect in the process as well. | |||||||
12-19-23 | Alcorn State v. Drake -21 | 55-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #306528 Drake over Alcorn State (8p.m., Tuesday, December 19 ESPN+) No bet against Alcorn State is a bad bet regardless of how high the number is. The Braves are playing a brutal road schedule to collect checks and in return are losing these games by 30+ points. They rallied late to only lose by 18 to a Northern Iowa squad, but Drake is a much better team than Northern Iowa. This is the Braves 10th straight road game. | |||||||
12-19-23 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -7 | Top | 115-113 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
Ja Morant should return to the court on Tuesday, but we think this will hurt an already struggling team in the short term. This team already has chemistry issues and now will insert a new puzzle into the mix. Morant will get his numbers but we doubt he will make the team competitive right away. Plus, the Grizzlies are massively banged up right now. This roster is paper thin. The Grizzlies have lost five straight and have failed to cover in any of those games despite generous lines from the oddsmakers. New Orleans has won seven of nine (6-3 ATS), and they are playing playoff-quality basketball right now. | |||||||
12-18-23 | Clippers -3.5 v. Pacers | 151-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Clippers are finally clicking and they are playing as well as any team in the NBA right now. After their slow start to the season they are taking every game seriously. We think with both teams playing their best that the Clippers win comfortably on the road at Indiana. After their tourney championship loss, the Pacers have not been good and have only a win and cover over Detroit as their only success in the last four games. | |||||||
12-17-23 | Nevada v. Hawaii +1.5 | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #750 Hawaii +1.5 over Nevada (10p.m., Sunday, December 17 ESPN+) The Wolf Pack have injuries and are a sinking ship now having gotten blasted by Drake last weekend. Hawaii is always a tough team to beat on the island and expect them to hand Nevada their second loss o the season Sunday night. | |||||||
12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars +3.5 | 23-7 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #330 Jacksonville Jaguars over Baltimore Ravens (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 17 NBC) Getting a desperate Jaguars team at home on Sunday Night Football is too good to pass up. This is the Jaguars third straight game against the AFC North and they lost the first two in heartbreaking fashion. Trevor Lawrence played last week despite a bad ankle injury the week prior, but he struggled throwing 3 picks and was sacked 4 times. Jacksonville is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against Baltimore. The Ravens are 5-10 in their last 15 non division road games when they are the favorite. Trevor will play better on Sunday and we will collect in the process, as this is too many points for an 8-5 team to be getting at home. | |||||||
12-16-23 | UCLA v. Boise State +4.5 | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #210 Boise State Broncos over UCLA Bruins (7:30p.m., Saturday, December 16 ABC) Boise State has hired their interim head coach and I expect them to rally and play well for him in this game. The Broncos have won 4 straight games, and they always seem to get up when playing power 5 schools from the west coast. Chip Kelly beat USC to keep his job for another year, but their offense did not do much this season and I expect them to struggle in this game as well against a strong Boise front. The Bruins will be missing some key people on defense and the Broncos will be the more motivated team in this game. | |||||||
12-16-23 | UCLA v. Ohio State -1.5 | Top | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #636 Ohio State Buckeyes over UCLA Bruins (3p.m., Saturday, December 16 CBS) NONCONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR. The Bruins still take money in the desert and thus this line is lower than it should be. UCLA has played just one game this entire month and this will be their second trip to the east coast in the last 7 days. They had to replace a ton of veterans from their squad from last season and they are really struggling to score points this season. Ohio State is coming off a bad loss to Penn State last Saturday, a game in which they led by 18 points. This is a strong offensive team and they want to get back to the NCAA Tournament after missing out last season. They should be close to full strength for this game with Roddy Gayle and Scotty Middleton available and that means they will have 3 of the 4 best players on the floor for this game. The Bruins are the second youngest team in the country among major conferences and will enter this game in Atlanta having lost 3 of their last 5 games. Ohio State is 9th in 3 points shooting and 15th in adjusted efficiency. Early in the year I will take the better offensive team compared to the team that has a higher upside come March. Ohio State wins this pick’em game and we collect in the process as well. | |||||||
12-14-23 | Warriors v. Clippers -5.5 | Top | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
The Clippers are very quietly playing as well as any team in the Western Conference right now. While other teams – including the Clippers opponent right now – have tons of drama surrounding them, Kawhi and co. have put their heads down and gotten to work. This team always had the talent, but they had chemistry issues. But they seemed to have worked those out, and this is a real championship contender now that they are playing well. There is a current circus going on in Golden State and they have not been playing well overall. We think they are in for a tough night tonight as LA should be clicking on all cylinders and they will want to put their best foot forward as they are currently tied for the season series. | |||||||
12-13-23 | Weber State v. Nevada -9.5 | 55-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #644 Nevada over Weber State (10p.m., Thursday, December 13 Local) The Wolf Pack are coming off their first loss of the season, when they got pounded by the Bulldogs in Las Vegas. Nevada is a much better team when playing at home and look for them to get back on track tonight with a double-digit victory. The Wildcats have played a super weak schedule this season and will struggle to be competitive in this game. Nevada will get to the line a bunch and look for them dominate this game. | |||||||
12-13-23 | Knicks v. Jazz +6.5 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
The Knicks’ defense has been their calling card but they are faltering in that aspect and they have given up 130+ in three straight games. They aren’t going to win a lot until they fix the defensive issues. The Jazz are getting healthy and could see Markkanen return tonight. The Knicks have covered just one of the last five meetings (one push) and we don’t see their road trip getting off to a good start tonight. | |||||||
12-12-23 | Alcorn State v. Maryland -21.5 | 65-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #306510 Maryland over Alcorn State (7p.m., Tuesday, December 12 BTN) This is a great right game for Maryland, as they are one of the worst shooting teams in the country this season. They do offense rebound well and are playing a team that cannot defend much whatsoever. The Braves will be playing their eight straight road game and they have gotten blown out in most of these buy games. That is a ridiculous schedule for a team to have to endure and I think they lose tonight by close to 30 points. | |||||||
12-11-23 | Nets v. Kings -4 | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Sacramento has won and covered two straight and three out of four. Both teams have been great ATS, but this number is more than fair for the home team that is well rested. Brooklyn has had a fairly easy schedule lately that has inflated their worth in the eyes of the oddsmakers. We expect a comfortable win for the home team tonight. | |||||||
12-11-23 | Mississippi Valley State v. Gonzaga -39.5 | 40-78 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #306610 Gonzaga over Mississippi Valley State (9p.m., Monday, December 11 ESPN+) Hardly ever see a spread this big in any sport besides college football. Gonzaga is pissed and will take out on the Delta Devils after losing to Washington last time out. This will be ugly early and often. | |||||||
12-10-23 | Michigan v. Iowa -3.5 | 90-80 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #856 Iowa -4 over Michigan (4:30p.m., Sunday, December 9 BTN) Michigan is not any good and has major coaching issues with Juwuan Howard. Iowa got blown out last time out, look for them to get back on track at home. Iowa plays much better at home. Lay the points! | |||||||
12-10-23 | Broncos v. Chargers -2.5 | Top | 24-7 | Loss | -120 | 122 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #124 Los Angeles Chargers over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 10 CBS) The Broncos came back to reality last week and Russell Wilson could not rally them late despite having a first and goal to win this game. He threw 3 interceptions in that game and now must face a more talented Charger team in their second straight road game. Los Angeles has covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 divisional home games. The last time Denver visited Sofi Stadium they lost 51-14 and the Chargers always seem to rally late in the season to get back into playoff contention. | |||||||
12-10-23 | Bills v. Chiefs -2 | 20-17 | Loss | -115 | 122 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #126 Kansas City Chiefs over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 10 CBS) The Chiefs do not lose two games in a row under Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes and look for that trend to continue this week as well. Buffalo continues to be overvalued and their roster and coach is not as good as the public thinks it is. Kansas City has covered the spread in 7 of their last 11 games. Buffalo finds ways to lose close games all season long and look for that to continue on Sunday. The Chiefs need this game to stay in contention for the No. 1 seed in the AFC and they will get it by close to double-digits. | |||||||
12-09-23 | Pacers +4.5 v. Lakers | 109-123 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Love the way the Pacers played in their semifinal game against Milwaukee. It looked in the third quarter that the Bucks would take over the game, but Indiana switched to a different gear and dominated the fourth. The Lakers had a much easier matchup against the inconsistent Pelicans. They blew out New Orleans, so the Lakers are further shaded by the oddsmakers here as the biggest public team in the NBA. | |||||||
12-09-23 | Wisconsin +10 v. Arizona | 73-98 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #659 Wisconsin +9.5 over Arizona (3:15p.m., Saturday, December 9 ESPN) This line keeps going up since many feel Wisconsin is in a letdown spot coming off back to back victories against Marquette and Michigan State. The Badgers treat every game the same and should give maximum effort for this game. Wisconsin plays a style of basketball that makes it tough to cover this big of spread, especially if they get ahead early in this game. The Badgers have the size to matchup with Arizona down low and this will likely come down to which team can shoot it better from long range. Arizona struggled to put away Michigan State and they beat Duke by just 5 points. I see Arizona winning this game, but it will be by single digits. | |||||||
12-08-23 | Rockets +9 v. Nuggets | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
The Nuggets will likely get back Jamal Murray tonight but this team is just not in playoff form right now and they are being lined too high by the oddsmakers. They are just 8-14 ATS this season, and coming in off two straight losses. While they were probably win tonight, the Rockets have been one of the best ATS squads and we think they keep this close. | |||||||
12-07-23 | Pacers v. Bucks -5 | Top | 128-119 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
We were unsure how serious teams would take the in season tournament, but some teams did take it seriously, and now that we are close to the finals we think teams will start to take it very seriously. And while the Pacers are a very solid club and their offense is almost unprecedented, with both teams playing at their best, we think Milwaukee is the much better team. They had some new pieces to acclimate on the team but you get the sense recently this team is turning the corner. They scored their highest point total of the season last time out, 146-122, against the Knicks in tourney action. New York is one of the best defensive teams in the league. While it might not be evident when looking at final scores, they have been improving on the defensive side. The Pacers are all offense but not defense. The Bucks can match the Pacers on offense but they have a defensive edge that will be the difference in this game in Las Vegas today. | |||||||
12-06-23 | South Carolina +8.5 v. Clemson | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #717 South Carolina over Clemson (8p.m., Wednesday, December 6 ACCN) This battle of South Carolina should be closer than what the experts believe. Both teams are undefeated and I just do not see a double digit victory for the home team. Carolina already has some major conference wins against Virginia Tech, DePaul, and Notre Dame. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $846 |
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
Dan Kaiser | $545 |
Joey Tron | $511 |
Sean Murphy | $430 |
Sean Higgs | $352 |
Ricky Tran | $301 |
Ray Monohan | $263 |
Matt Fargo | $220 |
Kyle Hunter | $71 |