Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-14-18 | Marquette +5.5 v. Indiana | 73-96 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #741 Marquette over Indiana (8:30p.m., Wednesday, November 14 FS1) The Golden Eagles are farther along than are the Hoosiers. Indiana is still in rebuild mode under second year head coach Archie Miller and they do not warrant to be this big of a favorite tonight at Assembly Hall. Indiana is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Big East teams. This should be a good game that goes down to the wire, but Marquette should be able to pull it out straight-up. | |||||||
11-14-18 | Heat -1.5 v. Nets | Top | 120-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
We think Miami will be extra motivated here tonight after dropping three straight games at home, but those were all against playoff-quality teams. They will be desperate for a win tonight, and now they face a lottery team in the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn lost one of their best players when Caris LeVert went down with a really bad foot injury last time out against Minnesota. It looks like he won’t be lost for the season, but he was really the engine for this team and see some regression from this team for maybe a few games until they can get back in the groove. The Heat have a very strong history here in Brooklyn as they are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings. This team hasn’t always played well this season and they have been somewhat of a disappointment thus far, but this is a playoff-quality club and we think this is a great spot for them to get back on track against a line that looks quite a bit short in our eyes. | |||||||
11-13-18 | Hawks +12 v. Warriors | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Going to take a shot on Atlanta here in this letdown spot for Golden State. The Warriors had a very hard-fought game last night against the Clippers that went to OT, and this one came with bickering between the teammates at the end of the game. They play Houston next on Thursday, so this out-of-conference opponent will not get much attention tonight sandwiched between games against rivals. The Hawks stink. But Golden State gets most teams’ best shot every night, and we have no doubt the young Hawks will come to play. A win here would be an accomplishment they could hang their hats on all season. We don’t see a straight up win, but we see a competitive game and a distracted home team. | |||||||
11-13-18 | Rockets +4.5 v. Nuggets | 109-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Houston has had a very rough start to the season, no doubt, but this is still the second-best team in the West and they will get it together before long. They are probably not as strong as last season, but they aren’t far off. Denver has had a much stronger start to the season, but you can’t tell me that the Nuggets are more of a championship contender than the Rockets. Houston has been overvalued at home (1-4 ATS) but they have been a bit better on the road and we think there is value in this line tonight. The Nuggets haven’t been in best form the last few games, and Houston we think will come in tonight with something to prove. | |||||||
11-13-18 | Hornets v. Cavs +9 | 89-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
We told ourselves we would stay away from Cleveland for the most part since a couple bad early-season losses, but we have to jump when the value is present, and that is certainly the case tonight. The Hornets are coming off a couple big games and they have Philly and Boston on deck, so this is a definite letdown spot. And that doesn’t even take into account that this is an inflated line and it looks like the public keeps betting into this one so there’s a chance it goes up even further. No reason to think that this won’t be a competitive game. | |||||||
11-13-18 | Wisconsin -1 v. Xavier | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #507 Wisconsin over Xavier (6:30p.m., Tuesday, November 13 FS1) Xavier is in a complete rebuilding mode this year and will have a new coach on the end line as well with Chris Mack bolting to Louisville. Wisconsin had a terrible season last year but had a couple of key injuries and everyone is back and they should be able to return to the NCAA Tournament. They have the best player on the floor in Ethan Happ and look for them to return the favor of winning this game on the road (Xavier won in Madison last year). This is an important game for Wisconsin to keep their confidence high and for their unproven coach. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 6 straight road games. Xavier is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games. Wisconsin opened as a favorite for this game and that lets me believe they are the right side for this play. | |||||||
11-12-18 | Spurs v. Kings +3 | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Sacramento is underrated and we think this is a very public line on Monday night. The Kings have one of the better offenses in the NBA right now and they can light up the scoreboard on any given night. The Kings have had some tough games lately, but this seems like a good spot for a bounce back. The Spurs are a bit down this year and they come off a big win over Houston but we don’t see this team putting together two strong games. We had this game handicapped at PK so we think there is nice value on the home dog tonight. | |||||||
11-12-18 | Middle Tennessee v. Belmont -8.5 | 73-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #754 Belmont over Middle Tennessee State (8p.m., Monday, November 12) The Kermit Davis era of success is over, and I just do not see the Blue Raiders reaching those levels anytime soon. They will lose this game by double digits tonight against the team predicted to finish in the top two of the Ohio Valley Conference. Dylan Windler should come up big again after scoring 20 points in his opening game against Illinois State. Belmont is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. | |||||||
11-11-18 | Celtics +2.5 v. Blazers | 94-100 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
This road trip hasn’t gone that well for the Celtics as they have only one win, and that was against Phoenix in OT. They really have to win this game tonight for the road trip not to be a total disaster. Despite the records, Boston is a much better team than Portland, and we love getting points with them tonight. We think they will give max effort in this spot. Boston has won and covered in all of the last three meetings between these teams. The Blazers are a solid team for sure. But they have been playing a bit over their heads to start the season. We had the Celtics handicapped at -2 in this game, so we think they have a great chance to win tonight. | |||||||
11-11-18 | Bucks v. Nuggets -3.5 | 121-114 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Denver is a tough place to play, even when the Nuggets aren’t any good. They are very good this season, however, and the Bucks have to play in the high altitude here not only on a back-to-back but on their third game in four nights not to mention they played an extra five minutes in a loss to the Clippers Saturday in a hard-fought game that had to take a lot out of them. Denver had the day off Saturday while Milwaukee was duking in out at Staples Center, and they are coming in with a two-game losing streak in which they lost two close games. We think this is a great spot for them to get back on track. | |||||||
11-11-18 | Hornets +2.5 v. Pistons | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
The Hornets have been very competitive this season, and they keep overachieving against the oddsmaker expectations as they now stand at 8-4 ATS. They have covered all but one game as an underdog this season. They were very impressive last time out in a losing effort at Philly, taking the Sixers to OT on the road. Detroit is just 2-4 ATS as a favorite this season. Charlotte has won and covered in the last two meetings between these teams, and we think they have a great chance to do both again here on Sunday. | |||||||
11-11-18 | Florida Atlantic v. UCF -21.5 | 80-79 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #520 Central Florida over Florida Atlantic (3p.m., Sunday, November 11 ESPN3) The Owls are a poor team and lost most of their talent from last season. UCF has another strong team this year with great size in the post and should be able to pull away in this game and won it by 25+ points. UCF is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games played on Sunday. FAU is 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. | |||||||
11-11-18 | Falcons -4 v. Browns | 16-28 | Loss | -103 | 117 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Atlanta Falcons over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, November 11 FOX) the new look Cleveland Browns coaching staff could not light a spark and they got blown out by Kansas City at home. Now they face another high explosive offense that is coming off their best performance of the season last week in Washington. The Browns have lost 4 straight games with 3 of those 4 setbacks being blowouts. Atlanta can score their way to a victory on Sunday and if they do not give the Browns a short field, Cleveland will not be able to keep pace. The Browns are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against teams from the NFC. Cleveland is 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games in November. | |||||||
11-11-18 | Patriots -6.5 v. Titans | 10-34 | Loss | -102 | 117 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #259 New England Patriots over Tennessee Titans (1p.m, Sunday, November 11 CBS) The Patriots in November is always a strong play and they should be healthier this week in Nashville. Tennessee is coming off a short week and had no success against the Patriots last year in the playoffs. New England has covered the spread 6 straight times with a bye week on deck. This will not be a blowout, but New England just has more talent on offense and their defense should be able to frustrate QB Marcus Mariota. Tennessee is 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played in November. New England is 5-0 ATS and straight-up in their last 5 games against Tennessee. | |||||||
11-11-18 | Cardinals +17 v. Chiefs | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 117 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #267 Arizona Cardinals over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, November 11 FOX) This is a very similar setup to Buffalo and Minnesota earlier in this season. We used Buffalo in that game and cruised to a victory (beat Minnesota straight-up). Arizona will not win this game straight-up, but I do expect them to stay below the humongous number. This is the classic look ahead situation for Kansas City, as they have the LA Rams on deck. Arizona is terrible, but they have been covering the spread of late going 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games. | |||||||
11-11-18 | BC v. Hamilton -1 | 8-48 | Win | 100 | 71 h 13 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #660. Take Hamilton -1 vs BC (Sunday November 11 @ 1:00p.m.) It's been a wild CFL Season, but we've finally reached the postseason and it's time to turn it around. Look, this game is essentially going to be how effective can the Hamilton offense be against a good BC defense. My answer? Pretty damn effective. Look, the Tiger-Cats led the East Division in points per game, averaging around 28.5 points. They are now playing a playoff game at home, with a healthy QB. A QB who finished second to last year's MOP in yards, at 5,209 and third in touchdown tosses with 28. Masoli will have plenty of weapons at his disposal and he should be able to pick apart a BC defense that has been playing poorly over the last month or so. And don't even get me started on the BC offense. That unit, led by Travis Lulay is brutal. Lulay completed just 11 of 16 passes in the season finale, for 11 and two INT's. That's exactly the kind of production you look to fade, especially on the road in the playoffs. The Ti-Cats have been a good home bet in the postseason, going 3-1-1 while the Lions have been brutal on the Road, going 0-5-1 ATS in postseason play. We expect the Ti-Cats to come out and dominate this game from start to finish and move on to the next round. | |||||||
11-10-18 | Nets v. Warriors -7.5 | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
We are getting a good line here because Curry and Draymond are out, but this is a complete team even when missing a few key pieces. The rest of the team will step up tonight, and we think there is a good chance this could be a blowout. Golden State has been one of the most dominant teams in the NBA this season, and they are coming off a loss to Milwaukee you can call embarrassing. They face a big step down in competition tonight, and we expect the motivation to be there for a bounce back minus two of the Big Four. | |||||||
11-10-18 | 76ers v. Grizzlies -2 | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
The Sixers are playing not only in a back-to-back and their third game in four nights, but they had OT last night at Charlotte in a lackadaisical performance, and we think that this is a great spot to fade them tonight. Memphis has been off for two nights, and they have the confidence in their hearts from their big upset win over Denver. We think they make it two in a row tonight. | |||||||
11-10-18 | Troy State v. St. Louis -10.5 | 58-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #728 Saint Louis over Troy (8p.m., Saturday, November 10 ESPN+) This should be the year that you see results from Travis Ford and company. He has improved each of his first two years and should have no problem winning 20+ games this season. Troy is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a victory in their previous game. Saint Louis has covered 10 of their last 13 home games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
11-10-18 | LSU v. Arkansas +14 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #200 Arkansas Razorbacks over LSU Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 10 SECN) Take a flier with Arkansas in this game as we expect lingering effects from LSU’s loss to Alabama last week to show up in this game. Arkansas is terrible, but LSU is not explosive at all on offense and thus I wonder if they can cover this big spread on the road. Look for Arkansas to take care of the football and keep this deficit under double-digits for 60 minutes. The Razorbacks have had good success against the Tigers covering the spread in 8 of the last 11 games. | |||||||
11-10-18 | Temple v. Houston -4.5 | 59-49 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #116 Houston Cougars over Temple Owls (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 CBSSN) Houston has dominated this series as AAC opponents going 3-0 ATS. This is the second straight road game for Temple and they are facing another explosive offense in Houston. The Cougars are coming off a head scratching loss to SMU last week but expect them to rebound in a big way against Temple at home. Houston is just too explosive on offense for Temple to keep pace. Houston is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Playing back-to-back road games against two explosive offenses will doom in Temple during the second half of this game. | |||||||
11-10-18 | Miami-FL +3.5 v. Georgia Tech | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #139 Miami Hurricanes over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 ESPN) Mark Richt may not be a great coach but he sure has had success against Georgia Tech and their option attack. He has beaten Georgia Tech 15 of 17 games and getting points with Miami is too good to pass up on Saturday night. Miami is in desperate need of a victory today in order to salvage their season, as they enter this game having lost 3 straight games. If they can stop the option and force Georgia Tech to pass, they will win this game straight-up. Miami has covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games against Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. | |||||||
11-10-18 | South Florida v. Cincinnati -12 | Top | 23-35 | Push | 0 | 99 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #156 Cincinnati Bearcats over USF Bulls (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 ESPN U) The Bulls are in freefall at the moment having lost two straight games after a 7-0 start to the season. They will not get out of that funk tonight against Cincinnati a team that is a sneaky 8-1 on the season. USF is getting no respect from the linemakers evident by being a big underdog two of the last three weeks. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. USF played cupcakes to open the season and their defense will provide little resistance against the Bearcats. USF is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 AAC games. This is going to be a double-digit blowout for the Bearcats and we will collect big with them in the process. | |||||||
11-10-18 | Bucks v. Clippers +4 | 126-128 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is a very good team but they can be overrated in spots, and we feel like this is one of those spots on Saturday afternoon. The Clippers are a good team also, and they are 4-1 at home this season (Milwaukee is 3-2 on the road). The Bucks are a bit banged up today, and that will hurt their depth. The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games, and we expect them to compete for the win here Saturday afternoon. | |||||||
11-10-18 | Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -11 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 92 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #124 Texas A&M Aggies over Ole Miss Rebels (12p.m., Saturday, November 10 CBS) Both teams are coming off loses but expect the Aggies to rebound at home against Ole Miss. Texas A&M has a defense and that is something lacking on the Ole Miss sideline. This is an important game for Jimbo Fisher to keep the emotions high and not let the season get away from them. The Rebels have had trouble scoring points against the top defenses in the SEC. The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in College Station. Ole Miss is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. | |||||||
11-10-18 | Kansas +12 v. Kansas State | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 92 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #142 Kansas State Wildcats over Kansas Jayhawks (12p.m., Saturday, November 10 FSN) Both teams are struggling, and Kansas has a lame duck coach that has been told he will not return in 2019. The Wildcats have won 9 straight games against the Jayhawks (7-2 ATS) and Bill Snyder needs a victory in the worst way on Saturday. K-State has had a brutal schedule, but it lightens up to close out the season and they must win all three of their remaining game to become bowl eligible. The favorite in this game is 18-5 ATS in the last 23 meetings. Kansas State has been beating Kansas by 29 points per game in the last nine meetings and expect them to win this game by 14-17 points. | |||||||
11-09-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State +3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 78 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #114 Boise State Broncos over Fresno State Bulldogs (10:15p.m., Friday, November 9 ESPN2) Cannot remember the last time Boise State was an underdog at home in MWC play (18 years!). That being said it is not warranted, as Boise State is far and away the best offense Fresno State will see this year. Fresno State has an outstanding defense, but you just do not go into Boise in a night game and expect to come out on top. If the Broncos can take care of the football, they will have a great chance to win this game straight-up. Fresno State has been on an outstanding ATS run in a variety of categories but that will all come to an end Friday night. Boise has not played many complete games this season but they will be up for this game. | |||||||
11-09-18 | Washington +10.5 v. Auburn | 66-88 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #547 Washington over Auburn (9:30p.m., Friday, November 9 SECN) Lot of points to be giving with two ranked teams doing battle in the state of Alabama. Washington can frustrate Auburn with their zone and force them to make three point shots. Washington is 6-2 ATS in their last 6 games against SEC teams. Auburn is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against PAC-12 teams. | |||||||
11-09-18 | Jacksonville State -7.5 v. Samford | 72-92 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #581 Jacksonville State over Samford (8p.m., Friday, November 9 CBSSN) | |||||||
11-09-18 | Hornets v. 76ers -5.5 | Top | 132-133 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
The Hornets have been good at covering the spread this season, but we think the price is right for the home team in this situation. The Sixers have covered in six of the last seven meetings between these clubs, and the non-cover, this season, was still a Philly win. The Sixers are playing with confidence right now and got their first road win of the season last time out in Indiana, which is a really tough place to play. We think that positive momentum will carry over here on Friday night. | |||||||
11-09-18 | Arkansas v. Texas -6 | 71-73 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #522 Texas over Arkansas (7p.m., Friday, November 9 ESPN) Mike Anderson is back for another year at Arkansas and this may be his last year there. Texas got back to the NCAA Tournament last year and always seems to have a good recruiting class under Coach Smart. Arkansas lost a lot of players from last year and paying in the state of Texas will doom them in. The Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against SEC teams. | |||||||
11-09-18 | Northern Kentucky -4 v. Northern Illinois | 88-85 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #549 Northern Kentucky over Northern Illinois (7p.m., Friday, November 9 ESPN+) The Norse won the Horizon League last year and will be one of the top teams in the league this year as well. The Huskies are a bottom feeder team in the MAC and things are not expected to improve this year as well. Northern Kentucky is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 nonconference games. | |||||||
11-09-18 | Wichita State +7 v. Providence | 83-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #567 Wichita State over Providence (6p.m., Friday, November 9 CBSSN) Wichita State laid an egg in their opening game of the year but I expect them to bounce back on Friday in Annapolis. Both teams are in rebuilding mode after losing a lot of talent from last year’s squad and thus we will grab the points in this game. Providence is 2-14 ATS in their last 16 nonconference games. | |||||||
11-08-18 | Rockets -4 v. Thunder | Top | 80-98 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
After a slow start the Rockets are really coming on now with three straight wins to start this road trip. The Thunder have won six straight as well, and there were a couple quality wins in there for sure, but for the most part they have beaten up on some dregs. And they are in a tough spot here on a back-to-back and with Westbrook questionable for tonight. This line will change once Westbrook’s status is determined as he nurses an injured ankle. We like the Rockets whether he plays or not, and he probably won’t be near 100% if he does. Not only are they on a back-to-back but they are playing their third game in four nights while the Rockets were off the last two nights. After their slow start, the Rockets can’t afford to take a night off. They need to have a real successful road trip then their slow start will be forgotten. Houston normally plays well here and is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between these clubs. | |||||||
11-07-18 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +4 | 87-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
We think the bookies are begging the public to take the Nuggets here but we think the other side is much more attractive here on Wednesday night. The Grizzlies have covered the last two meetings and four of the last six. Denver is 9-1 and they are off to a hot start but this team is overachieving a bit to start the season, and this is not the second coming of the Warriors. They played at home against Utah and Boston last two times, and now it will be hard to get motivated heading on the road to an improved Memphis team that is 5-4 ATS but has dropped two straight (both on the road). We think home cooking will do them well tonight and expect a strong performance from the home team. | |||||||
11-07-18 | 76ers +3 v. Pacers | Top | 100-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
The Sixers have yet to win or cover on the road this season, but they have had some inflated expectations to start the season. But we think those oddsmakers expectations have gone down and we love them getting points tonight in a game they will fight hard to win. They have had a really tough road schedule to start off with. In their last game, also a road game, they were blown out by the likely-lottery team Brooklyn. That has to be embarrassing for this team that has such lofty expectations. So does the 0-5 road start. Not sure that they will get it tonight, but we think they will have extra motivation to play their best, and at their best this is a better team than the Pacers. Indiana has lost two of their last three here at home, and we think there’s a good chance that they drop this one as well. | |||||||
11-06-18 | BYU +14 v. Nevada | Top | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #749 BYU over Nevada (11p.m., Tuesday, November 6 CBSSN) Nevada is ranked in the top 10 and that is deservedly so. But they have not looked sharp in the exhibition season getting blown out by Washington at home and struggling for 33 minutes against San Francisco State. They have not been shooting the ball well and struggling on defense. BYU can match their experience and this team is always pesky and used to playing in tough road environments. The Cougars are predicted to finish ahead of Saint Mary’s in the WCC Standing (2nd overall) just behind mid-major power Gonzaga. BYU is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against MWC foes. Look for a Wolf Pack victory by 7-10 points giving us the cover with the underdog. | |||||||
11-06-18 | Nets v. Suns +1.5 | Top | 104-82 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The Suns stopped a seven-game losing streak last time out as they hosted Memphis, and we think this team is a tad underrated right now. They are not a good team, don’t get us wrong. But Devin Booker is back in the mix for the Suns, and he is a star in this league and gives his team a chance to win every night. He will help their scoring against this small total (for this season in the NBA, at least). And he gives the Suns a great chance to win here at home tonight. Phoenix has played just a brutal schedule, and they have been considerable underdogs in many games this season. But they have covered three of their last four, and we think they will get the win tonight against another probable lottery team from the east. | |||||||
11-06-18 | Wizards v. Mavs +1.5 | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Dallas has covered the line in this series for years as these teams don’t play often but Dallas has covered in 10 of the last 11 meetings. We think this is one of the worst versions of the Wizards we have seen in recent years. Yes, they are off to a slow start and can play better, but this team has some problems that will haunt them all season. The Mavs have not started any better as they have the same record as Washington at 2-7. But they have had a few nights off to get over their embarrassing home loss to the Knicks and we think they will do much better here tonight. | |||||||
11-06-18 | Rider +7.5 v. UCF | 70-84 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #757 Rider over Central Florida (5:30p.m, Tuesday, November 6 ESPN 3) Rider will be the team to beat this year in the MAAC and I do not see them getting blown out tonight in Orlando. The Broncs return all five starters from last year and were 22-10. | |||||||
11-05-18 | Cavs +5 v. Magic | Top | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Neither of these teams is any good, and this is anybody’s game, in our opinion, and we have to grab the points in this matchup. Orlando is 1-4 ATS this season at home and they failed to cover in their one game as a listed favorite, while the Cavs are 3-1 ATS on the road, so they have done their best work in this situation they are in tonight. The Cavs have also covered 8 of the last 11 games here in Orlando, and we think they have a good chance to win this one outright. Orlando is a team we like to back when they are getting major points as they normally excel as a double-digit dog. But we have to fade them here in the favorites role in what we expect to be a close game. | |||||||
11-04-18 | Grizzlies v. Suns +4 | Top | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
This is a major trap game for the Grizzlies, who we don’t think are as good as their 5-2 record would indicate. They are coming off a huge win at Utah last time out, and they play at Golden State next, so we think they are due for a letdown in this matchup. And we don’t think the Grizzlies should be this big of a road favorite over anyone. And this is a major revenge spot for the Suns, who got thumped a little over a week ago in Memphis. We expect them to play much better here against a familiar opponent, and with the venue now more favorable. We think they have a great chance for the straight up win in this matchup, and we think there is value in this line. | |||||||
11-04-18 | 76ers v. Nets +4.5 | 97-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
The Sixers are winless on the road this season, and we feel there’s a good chance they fail to notch the W here on Sunday. Brooklyn is a sneaky-good team. They lost last time out against Houston, but they played much better than the final score might indicate. They have played pretty well overall here at home, in fact, despite a tough slate of opponents thus far. Philly is a tad bit overrated by the oddsmakers right now and we had them as a one-point favorite in this matchup, so we will take advantage of the extra points being offered tonight. | |||||||
11-04-18 | Texans +1.5 v. Broncos | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 120 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Houston Texans over Denver Broncos (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) Houston is clearly the team to beat in the AFC South and just picked up some added ammunition at the wide receiver position for this game. Denver is just not the same team at home in November compared to September and their head coach is likely on the way out come January. Houston is 5-0 in their last 5 games and Denver is 1-5 in their last 6 games. The Broncos do not have the same defense as they had the last few years and Houston will be able to move the football on them. Denver is 5-14 ATS in their last 20 games. | |||||||
11-04-18 | Chargers v. Seahawks -1 | Top | 25-17 | Loss | -115 | 120 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #468 Seattle Seahawks over Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) The Seahawks have been playing outstanding football of late and will enter this game having won 4 of their last 5 games. It could be 5-0 if not for a 2-point loss to the Rams. QB Wilson is getting the job done with a bunch of unheralded playmakers around him. They were dominate for three quarters last week against the Lions and look for more of the same this Sunday at home against the Chargers. LA is still banged up on both sides of the football and might be without some key playmakers for this game. LA is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye. Seattle still has a lot of home games remaining this season and I look for them to win all of them and make the playoffs as a wild card. The Chargers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Seattle has covered the spread 4 of their last 5 games. | |||||||
11-04-18 | Lions v. Vikings -4.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 117 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 Minnesota Vikings over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 4 FOX) The NFC North is still anybody’s division to win and the Vikings will bounce back in a big way against the Lions. Minnesota has already lost two games at home this season and cannot afford any more home setbacks. Detroit has a habit of getting down big early and if that happens on Sunday they will not be able to recover. Minnesota is 16-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games as a home favorite. Detroit has had some success against Minnesota in recent years but that will change on Sunday. The quarterbacks are a wash, but the Vikings defense will be the difference in this game. | |||||||
11-04-18 | Chiefs v. Browns +9 | 37-21 | Loss | -105 | 117 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #454 Cleveland Browns over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) The Browns have had an eventful week firing their head coach and offensive coordinator. The Browns have a good defense and now that their defensive coordinator is the head coach expect them to be aggressive attacking this young explosive quarterback. Just feel the Chiefs will look past this game with a game against the Rams on the slate in two games. This is the definition of a flat spot for Kansas City. They will go through the motions and win this game by 6-7 points. The underdog has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games in this match-up. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Oklahoma -12 v. Texas Tech | 51-46 | Loss | -121 | 99 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #349 Oklahoma Sooners over Texas Tech Red Raiders (8p.m., Saturday, November 3 ABC) The Sooners are starting to turn it on and put up 702 total yards against Kansas State last Saturday. They will not be able to fully shutdown the Red Raiders in this game, but I truly believe they will outscore them and win this game by double digits. Oklahoma has played two great games after losing to Texas and they have scored 53.5 points per game over their last 4. The Sooners have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games played in November. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Alabama v. LSU +14.5 | 29-0 | Loss | -105 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #420 LSU Tigers over Alabama Crimson Tide (8p.m., Saturday, November 3 CBS) Just too many points for Alabama to be giving on the road against a team full of athletes on defense. It will be important that LSU not beat themselves in this game with turnovers and special teams. Coach Orgeron is 15-4 in SEC games and this is likely the only chance Alabama has to lose a game during the regular season. There is just something special about night games in Baton Rouge and the fans into the game from the start. Alabama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of November. LSU is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. | |||||||
11-03-18 | UCLA v. Oregon -7.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 99 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #382 Oregon Ducks over UCLA Bruins (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 3 FOX) The Chip Kelly game takes place Saturday afternoon in Eugene, OR. The Ducks laid an egg last week in Tucson and need to bounce back in a big way against an inferior opponent. UCLA is in full rebuild mode and they will enter this game having lost 10 of their last 11 conference road games by an average of 16 points per game. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between UCLA and Oregon. Many fans are still skeptical about Mario Cristobal and this can be his chance for a statement win against a former coach that has great success with Oregon. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Celtics -1.5 v. Pacers | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 22 m | Show |
Both teams have been very good lately, but with the Celtics big win over Milwaukee on Thursday this team is trending up big time. Boston has been one of the most consistent teams to wager on the last couple seasons, and we really like them with this short line on Saturday. Indiana has won four of six but they have had some dregs on their schedule lately, while Boston is on a four-game winning streak against very solid competition, and their confidence is sky high after knocking the Bucks from the ranks of the unbeaten on Thursday. Boston is playing some of the best defense in the NBA right now, and that will be the difference here on Saturday. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Missouri v. Florida -6 | 38-17 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #338 Florida Gators over Missouri Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, November 3 SECN) Expect Florida to bounce back in a big way after losing to Georgia last Saturday in Jacksonville. The Tigers have trouble when playing conference opponents (0-4) and have trouble moving the football against teams with speed on defense. The Gators have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 SEC games. Florida jumps on them early and wins this game by double digits. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Georgia Southern -7.5 v. UL-Monroe | Top | 25-44 | Loss | -104 | 94 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #377 Georgia Southern Eagles over ULM Warhawks (3p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 3) The Eagles continue to cover spread (7-1 ATS run) and the oddsmakers cannot get a handle on the talent they have. They will enter this game having won five straight games and have been controlling the time of possession in nearly every game that they play. Georgia Southern has beaten ULM all three times they have faced each other as conference opponents. This selection is simple, ULM has trouble stopping the run and Georgia Southern is an outstanding triple option team. The Warhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. The Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in the month of November. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Michigan State -1 v. Maryland | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 91 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #347 Michigan State Spartans over Maryland Terrapins (12p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 2) The Spartans have the defense that can contain the Terrapins and become bowl eligible after a victory on Saturday. Maryland is 3-19 ATS in their last 22 games following a victory in their previous game. QB Rocky Lombardi appeared to give the Spartans life on offense last week and look for that to continue this Saturday. This game comes down to the fact that Michigan State is great at stopping the run and if that holds true again they will win this game going away. Maryland is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. | |||||||
11-02-18 | Rockets -4 v. Nets | Top | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
The Rockets have been playing like dog poop to start the season at 1-5. They have had an extremely tough schedule to start the season, however, playing a bunch of Western Conference playoff contenders. This is the start of a long and important road trip for the Rockets, and they need to get their act together. We have a feeling this road trip may be very good for Houston. This is their easiest game of the season thus far for sure, and this looks like a good spot to start turning things around. Brooklyn has been decent to start the season and this team plays hard on a nightly basis, but if the Rockets play their best, even without Harden, they have much better talent and should win this game going away. | |||||||
11-01-18 | Kings -2 v. Hawks | Top | 146-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
The Hawks are the worst team in the NBA, and we will go against them here on Thursday night at home. The Kings have started the season hot, and maybe this team will actually be competitive this season. They are 5-3 straight up and 6-2 against the spread, and this line has value as well. This team is in the Top 6 in the three most important offensive categories, and the Kings are lighting up the scoreboard on a regular basis. The Hawks don’t do anything particularly well, and we don’t think their offense can keep in in this game. The Hawks will get too much credit on the line here since they are at home in this matchup. But we think the Kings will take care of business here and continue their hot start to the regular season. | |||||||
10-31-18 | Pacers -5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
We were happy this line came out under 7 as we really like the Pacers tonight. The Pacers have dominated the last two meetings, winning and covering in both games. Indiana has been very solid to start the season, but they are coming off a lousy effort against Portland last time out. We think they will bounce back against a Knicks team that has been on the wrong end of several blowouts already here in the young season. Indiana is healthy and they will take care of business tonight. | |||||||
10-30-18 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 112-129 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
These are two of the three best teams in the east, and we think this one will have a playoff atmosphere tonight. Both teams will come to play, and with both teams at their best we think this is just too many points for the home team to be laying tonight. Philly blew it in their game against Boston to open the season and they won’t want to go 0-2 against the other two best teams in the east to start the season. We think they put their best foot forward tonight and expect a close game here. | |||||||
10-30-18 | Heat +4 v. Hornets | 113-125 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Charlotte has covered in only one of the last seven meetings between these squads (one push), and we think this is a very close game and we have to take the points in this one. These teams already met once in Miami, and it was a one-point Charlotte win. But that just showed how competitive this game should be, and it also sets up as a revenge spot for the road club. If the Heat hadn’t got off to such a slow start in that game they probably would have won, and we think they have a great chance for the straight up win here. | |||||||
10-30-18 | Kings v. Magic -4.5 | 107-99 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
The Kings have won and covered three straight games, but as a result we are getting some nice betting value here tonight with the home team. Sacramento enters on a back-to-back and the Magic have had two nights off. And they played pretty lousy the last couple games against much better competition so we think they will have a lot of energy tonight and give it their all in this matchup. The Magic have had problems scoring lately, but this Kings defense is giving up a ton of points and we think this rested Magic squad will take advantage in a big way. | |||||||
10-29-18 | Mavs +7.5 v. Spurs | 108-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
When these teams from Texas tangle, you have to take note when one is getting this many points. We think the Mavs are getting too many tonight. Dallas has covered in four straight meetings and in seven of the last eight. Yes, they are on a back-to-back tonight, but the oddsmakers are punishing them too much with this big line. We expect a very close game here tonight and the underdog is the right call in this matchup. | |||||||
10-29-18 | Lakers -1.5 v. Wolves | 120-124 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
We thought this Lakers team might be a team to fade heading into the season but they have gelled together much quicker than we anticipated. We really like the way this team is playing right now and they should win this game on the road tonight. The Wolves have been very disappointing to start the season and we think the Lakers are the hungrier team in this matchup and we think they take care of business tonight. | |||||||
10-29-18 | Blazers v. Pacers -4.5 | Top | 103-93 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
Love this matchup and the short line on the Pacers. The Blazers travel to Houston tomorrow, and we think they will overlook this out-of-conference opponent. Indiana is legit and 4-2 on the young season. But they don’t get respect from the oddsmakers because there aren’t many big names on the roster. But they plan great team basketball and we think they will take care of business tonight and score a win by 7 or more points. | |||||||
10-28-18 | Jazz v. Mavs +5 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
Dallas has played great at home, where they are 2-0 both SU and ATS. This team is underrated coming into the season, and they catch Utah on a back-to-back (Dallas was off Saturday) after a much bigger game against New Orleans yesterday. Dallas has played very well in this series as they have covered in five of the last six matchups. With the Jazz coming in on a back-to-back, we think that evens the playing field here and we think this will be a very close game with the home team in a good spot to pull off the outright upset. | |||||||
10-28-18 | Packers +9.5 v. Rams | Top | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 123 h 16 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #271 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 28 FOX) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK. This is one of the largest spreads you will ever see against the Packers with Aaron Rodgers has quarterback. I believe it is too big considering the Packers are coming off a bye and should be able to get some key players back for this game. The Rams have been struggling to cover big numbers despite last week’s romp against an inferior opponent (San Francisco). Expect a shootout int his game that goes down to the wire. Green Bay will have a ton of fans in Los Angeles for this game and the Rams struggled to win home games last year. 56% of the early money is coming in on the Packers and that seldom happens with an underdog with this big of a number. Green Bay has covered the spread 5 straight times against the LA Rams. | |||||||
10-28-18 | Colts v. Raiders +3 | 42-28 | Loss | -104 | 123 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #268 Oakland Raiders over Indianapolis Colts (1:05p.m., Saturday, October 28 CBS) We got a few extra points when the Raiders traded away WR Cooper early this week. The fact remains the Colts should not be giving points to any team on the road. The Colts did not look impressive at all in their last two road games against the Jets and Patriots. This is an important game for the Raiders to keep the faithful coming to games and expect a much better effort coming off a bye week after laying an egg in London two weeks ago. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against the Colts. Oakland is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a victory in their previous game. | |||||||
10-28-18 | Seahawks v. Lions -3 | 28-14 | Loss | -108 | 120 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #262 Detroit Lions over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 28 FOX) Detroit needs this home game with road games against Minnesota and Chicago on deck. The Lions are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a home favorite. Seattle has not impressed me much this year as this began a rebuild under Russell Wilson. They are 3-3 but those wins have come against Arizona, Dallas, & Oakland. If Detroit can stop the run, Seattle will have trouble moving the football. The home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings between Seattle and Detroit. The Hawks are 4-16 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games played during Week 8 of the regular season. | |||||||
10-28-18 | Redskins v. Giants +1 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #260 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, October 28 FOX) The Redskins sit atop the standing of the NFC East yet still do not garner much respect from the oddsmakers. The Giants covered the spread against the Falcons last Monday night but still to 1-6 on the season. New York played well on defense and if they can hold Matt Ryan down they can certainly hold down Alex Smith. Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. New York is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during Week 8 of the regular season. The Giants are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Redskins. | |||||||
10-28-18 | Toronto +3 v. Montreal | 10-40 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 2 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #665. Take Toronto +2.5 vs Montreal (Sunday, October 28 @ 1:00p.m.) So if the CFL gives you three-points for home-field advantage, technically the Argos would be favored by a half-point and they would be considered the better team. Despite how bad the Argos season has been, they are definitely the better team in this game and will prove it once again, by beating the Montreal Alouettes outright on their home field to complete a home-and-home sweep. The Argos season went off the rails when Ricky Ray went down with an injury in Game 2 of the season. The backups, Franklin and Thompson have done their best to fill in, but they knew it was going to be an uphill battle just to stay around .500. The Als, on the other hand, thought this year was going to be different and that the team was ready to get back to relevances and the acquisition of Johnny Manziel would spark the offense. All that went sideways and the Als find themselves in the basement of the East division with no real hope for the future. The Als will once again fall to Toronto and we'll be here to collect the winnings. Toronto is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an SU win, while the Als are 2-9 ATS vs a team with a losing record. The Argos are the better team. Take them. | |||||||
10-27-18 | Magic +10 v. Bucks | Top | 91-113 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
We have stated before that we like the Magic as a double-digit underdog, and they are 2-0 ATS in this role so far this season. We think they have a great shot to be competitive tonight against this big number. The Bucks are on a back-to-back here after a tough game at Minnesota last night and they are coming off a recent game against Philly, too, so this will be their third game in four nights. They also host Toronto on Sunday, so this makes this a major letdown spot. The Magic were off on Friday and they are well rested overall and we think the Bucks might be on upset alert tonight. | |||||||
10-27-18 | Washington State v. Stanford -3 | 41-38 | Loss | -103 | 102 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #162 Stanford Cardinal over Washington State Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, October 27 PAC-12N) Washington State is just not the same team on the road as they are when they play in Pullman. This will not be a blowout, but Stanford should be able to control the game if they can get a lead in the first half. Stanford is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 game against teams with a winning record. Washington State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on grass. | |||||||
10-27-18 | South Florida v. Houston -7.5 | 36-57 | Win | 100 | 98 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #184 Houston Cougars over USF Bulls (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 27 ABC) Houston has beaten USF three straight times and No. 4 will come by double digits on Saturday. The Bulls are undefeated and ranked yet enter as a sizable underdog in this game. That is a great indicator that we are on the right side with the Cougars. USF has played a very weak schedule thus far and they will struggle to run the football against Houston in this game. USF is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 AAC games. Houston is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 AAC games. | |||||||
10-27-18 | Wisconsin -6.5 v. Northwestern | 17-31 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #139 Wisconsin Badgers over Northwestern Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, October 27 FOX) The Badgers are going to win the Big 10 Western Division and the only game I see them losing in the regular season is at Penn State. Northwestern does not have the weapons on either side of the football to threaten Wisconsin’s quarterback or their secondary. All of Wisconsin’s 5 victories have come over today’s posted number. Wisconsin is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Northwestern is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games. | |||||||
10-26-18 | Wyoming v. Colorado State -2.5 | 34-21 | Loss | -102 | 81 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Colorado State Rams over Wyoming Cowboys (10p.m., Friday, October 26 CBSSN) We have gone against Wyoming most of the season and will continue to fade them again on Friday. They have lost 4 straight games and they same thing happens keeps happing. Their offense is terrible and if Colorado State does not beat themselves with turnovers they will win this game by double digits. The Rams have had an up and down season, but they close out the season with 4 winnable games and have an outside chance to reach a bowl game. Wyoming is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. The offense of the Rams will allow them to win this border battle. | |||||||
10-26-18 | Nets +9.5 v. Pelicans | 115-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Brooklyn is a team that we think is going to have a lot of betting success this season getting big points like we see tonight. This is a scrappy young team and they have a lot of talent. The future is bright in Brooklyn. This is a tricky game for the Pelicans. It is sandwiched in between conference matchups against the Clippers and Jazz, two teams that the Pels are going to be battling for a playoff spot this season. They probably won’t give the effort in this matchup that they did and will in the conference games. New Orleans has had one of the most impressive starts in the NBA thus far, but we think this line is inflated as a result. | |||||||
10-26-18 | Bucks v. Wolves | Top | 125-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
The Wolves have played better than expected to start the season, and even with all the Jimmy Butler drama they have been very competitive. They have covered two straight games and we expect them to complete the trifecta tonight. Last time out they were very competitive in Toronto. They will come into this game with a lot of confidence against another Eastern Conference opponent. The Bucks are coming off their big win at home against Philly. They have looked great against a home-heavy schedule but played their worst game on the road in the season opener against Charlotte. | |||||||
10-25-18 | Nuggets -3 v. Lakers | 114-121 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This Lakers team has a lot to work on. They are a team to mostly fade early in the season until they start to gel. LeBron James teams have been golden to bet against the last couple of years. We think this Lakers team will be similar, at least early. This team is in a tough spot. Denver was off last night, while the Lakers got their first win of the season. They will be not only on a back-to-back but playing their third game in four nights. And they went to OT against the Spurs, so that can add to the fatigue factor here. Denver is a very good team this year and they are 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings in this series. | |||||||
10-25-18 | Celtics v. Thunder +1.5 | Top | 101-95 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Boston has gotten off to a real slow start to the season and they are just 1-3 ATS so far on the year. This team is clearly overrated by the oddsmakers. The Thunder have yet to notch a win on the year, so they have started slow too. They are just getting Westbrook back in the mix, though, and there’s no doubt they will be hyped up for not only this opponent but to get their first win in 2018. Boston will be fine and they are one of the best teams in the East, if not THE best. But we have to take advantage of their slow start and go against them tonight. | |||||||
10-25-18 | Blazers v. Magic +3.5 | 128-114 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Just like last season, the Magic have had a real strong start to the season. They could easily be 3-1 right now as they lost in Philly by a single point. But they beat Boston on the road and they won here at home vs. Miami. We think they will continue their strong play tonight. The Blazers have played well, but this is their first foray on the road this season. We think they might come into this game a bit overconfident. We think this will be a close game that either team can win, so we will take the points with the home dog here. | |||||||
10-24-18 | Nets v. Cavs -3 | Top | 102-86 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
It’s tough to back the Cavaliers after their blowout loss to the Hawks in their home opener. That should have been their first win of the season, but instead they were embarrassed by what is the consensus pick for worst team in the NBA this season. We do like to back teams after a shameful loss like that, especially this Cavs team that has a lot of playoff experience (and pride) on the roster. Bettor confidence is at an all-time low for this team right now after LeBron left town and now 0-3 to start the year. That has created some value here, however, as we had this line at 5.5 since the Nets aren’t anything special. We think there’s a good chance that the Cavs cruise in this one. | |||||||
10-23-18 | Clippers v. Pelicans -6 | Top | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 25 h 42 m | Show |
The Clippers have had a strong start to the season, as we predicted because we have used them a bunch already. But they have enjoyed the cushy confines of Staples Center for a three-game homestand to start the season. The season gets real here, however, with this tough game followed by a trip to Houston. LA normally doesn’t play well here. They are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 visits here. And they have covered only one of the last five no matter the venue. We think this line is giving a bit too much credit for the Clippers hot start, and we have to remember there was no Westbrook in the OKC win and no CP3 in the Rockets win. But Anthony Davis brings the star power tonight, and he and his teammates should win this one comfortably. | |||||||
10-22-18 | Spurs v. Lakers +1 | 143-142 | Push | 0 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
The Lakers are winless on the season, and drama sure does seem to follow LeBron James around, doesn’t it? But we think they are in good shape to get their first win tonight. The Lakers normally play well in this series and they have actually won and covered in four straight meetings. This is the best version of the Lakers during that stretch and maybe the worst version of the Spurs, and we think the line is right here tonight. | |||||||
10-22-18 | Wizards +5 v. Blazers | Top | 125-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
The Wizards don’t want to start the season in an 0-3 hole so we think they put their best foot forward tonight in a very winnable game for them. Even though they are 0-2, they have played well in two tough games to open the season and they could have easily won either or both of those games. The Blazers finish their three-game homestand to start the season and they are 2-0 entering this contest. We think these teams are fairly even but the road team should be the more motivated of the two and we think they keep this one close if not win outright. | |||||||
10-22-18 | Magic +12 v. Celtics | 93-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
We always look for spots to take the Magic as a double-digit underdog. They have performed well in this role the last couple of years. This is a young and inconsistent team, but they normally put their best foot forward on the road against top competition. We saw this last time out when they were a huge dog at Philly and they lost by one point. And of course, in their previous game they got blown out at home in a very winnable game vs. Charlotte. We expect them to give max effort tonight like they did in Philly. | |||||||
10-21-18 | Rockets v. Clippers +7 | Top | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 32 h 39 m | Show |
We think the Clippers are very underrated this year. They don’t have any big-name players any more and the public thinks they suck. But as this team is constructed, if they stay healthy they are likely a playoff team in the ultra-competitive west. They would probably be a high seed in the east. They have some injury-prone players for sure, but this team is completely healthy right now and their injury sheet as of this writing is completely clear for Sunday night. They catch Houston in a letdown spot after their big game against LeBron and the Lakers last night. The Clippers played very hard in every game against the Rockets last season. They won two of those matchups, they covered in three, and they did not lose any of the games by more than tonight’s spread. We think there is amazing value in the underdog here tonight. | |||||||
10-21-18 | Hawks v. Cavs -7.5 | 133-111 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday this is a battle of teams looking for their first win of the season. But the Cavs haven’t won because they have faced a tough schedule on the road – this is their home opener – and the Hawks have lost because they flat-out stink and are the worst team in the NBA this season. Cleveland has been the worst betting team in the NBA the last couple years with LeBron James leading the way. They were always overvalued by the oddsmakers and they never performed well at the betting window against high expectations. But now the script has flipped. This team still has some players. And many of those players have playoff experience and the guys that have been on this team for awhile learned from LeBron and now they have a chip on their shoulder since everyone thinks they stink. The Hawks have been blown out by a couple of crappy teams in their opening games and this squad is the obvious tanking team this year. If everything comes together the Cavs could be in the playoff discussion in the weak East if everything went well. We think they will give maximum effort here in their first winnable game of the season, and the home opener, and we think this should be another blowout. | |||||||
10-21-18 | Cowboys +2 v. Redskins | 17-20 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #471 Dallas Cowboys over Washington Redskins (4:25p.m., Saturday, October 21 CBS) Dallas appeared to right the ship in a big way last week against Jacksonville. Now they head on the road to play a team that have had great success in recent years. Dallas has beaten Washington 5 straight games. Washington is just 1-6 ATS in their last 6 divisional games. The Cowboys have the better running back and the better defense and that should be enough to win this game straight-up. Washington seems to alternate wins and losses this season and expect that to continue Sunday. Dallas has covered the spread 4 straight games in Landover. The underdog is 30-10 ATS in the last 40 match-ups. Really believe that the wrong team is favored, and we will take the points with the better team. | |||||||
10-21-18 | Patriots -3 v. Bears | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 118 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #453 New England Patriots over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 21 CBS) The Patriots are following a similar formula as in past years. After a couple of losses early in the season they put it together in October and cruise to another 13-3, 12-4 season. New England is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games. The Bears just do not have the offense to attack the Patriots defense like Kansas City did last Sunday night. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Chicago is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during Week 7 of the regular season. | |||||||
10-21-18 | Panthers v. Eagles -4.5 | 21-17 | Loss | -106 | 118 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Philadelphia Eagles over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, October 21 FOX) The Eagles need to continue to win games if they have hopes of making the playoffs and defending their championship. They won last Thursday night to even their record at 3-3 and now have extra rest for this home game against Carolina. The Panthers did not play well last week against Washington and expect a double-digit road loss this week at Philadelphia. The Eagles are 17-4 at home under Doug Pederson and 13 of those 17 victories have come by more than a field goal. If the Eagles can stop the run, they should win this game easily. Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Carolina. | |||||||
10-20-18 | Rockets -3 v. Lakers | Top | 124-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
The Rockets had a head-scratching loss at home to the Pelicans to open the season. They no doubt don’t want to open the season 0-2. This team is not going to lose many games in the regular season, barring major injuries, and we think they will get back on track in a major way against the overrated Lakers. In their season opener at Portland the Lakers showed flashes, but they also showed that they aren’t ready for primetime. We think that it will take quite awhile for this team to gel and start playing like a team. LeBron James teams are always overrated by the oddsmakers, and Cleveland with him has been one of the worst bets in the NBA the last couple seasons. This Lakers team is even more raw and they have thrown together a cast of characters that will take some time to meld into a cohesive unit. We think Houston will be extra motivated tonight and expect them to win this one comfortably | |||||||
10-20-18 | Raptors v. Wizards +2 | 117-113 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a clear letdown spot for the Raptors after their hard-fought win over the Celtics at home last night. They expended a ton of energy in that game in a matchup they really wanted to win, while the Wizards were off on Friday night. Not only is this a letdown spot for the Raptors, but this is a revenge spot for the Wizards after losing to Toronto last year in the postseason. We think that this is a real good spot to take the home underdog on Saturday night. | |||||||
10-20-18 | Memphis v. Missouri -9.5 | 33-65 | Win | 100 | 97 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #398 Missouri Tigers over Memphis Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, October 20 SECN) We will side with the power 5 conference in this battle of Tigers. Memphis put a lot of effort into their game last week against UCF trying to knock them off for the first time since 2016. They feel shot in that game and I do not believe they will be able to get back up for this game in Columbia. QB Lock has picked apart non-power 5 teams and expect that to continue on Saturday. Memphis is 4-3 but they have not beaten anybody this season (UCONN, Mercer, Georgia State, & South Alabama). Missouri is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Memphis is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against SEC teams. | |||||||
10-20-18 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -3.5 | Top | 28-53 | Win | 100 | 97 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #380 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 20 BTN) TOP COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. It ends tonight! Nebraska will put together a 60-minute game against a similar opponent talent wise and record their first victory of the season and first with Scott Frost as head coach. Minnesota played well last week at Ohio State, but I just do not believe they can put forth that same effort in this game. They did not play as well the last two games before that getting blown out by Maryland and Iowa. This will be their third road game in their last four games and both of their road games have come by double digits. I still like freshman QB Martinez and believe he will have success against this Gopher defense. The favorite in Gopher games has covered the spread 9 of the last 10 games. Nebraska had a 231-32 edge in rushing last week. Today is the day the stats reflect the result and Nebraska will win this game by double digits. We will hit a big play in the process as well. | |||||||
10-20-18 | Miami-OH v. Army -7.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #330 Army Black Knights over Miami Redhawks (12p.m., Saturday, October 20 CBSSN) Army has beaten the teams that they are supposed to beat this season and expect that trend to continue Saturday afternoon in West Point, NY. The Black Knights have won 5 straight home games. Miami is 0-3 ATS in their nonconference games this season. The Redhawks have played every week of the season and it is hard to prepare for the triple option on short notice. Army is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games. | |||||||
10-20-18 | Auburn -4 v. Ole Miss | 31-16 | Win | 100 | 93 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #399 Auburn Tigers over Ole Miss Rebels (12p.m., Saturday, October 20 ESPN) Auburn is been a great disappointment of late but playing Ole Miss is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track. The Tigers dominated this game last year winning 44-23 (led 35-3 at half) and this will be another double-digit victory for a team and coach desperate to get back on track. The Rebels have been giving up 263 yards per game rushing in conference play. Auburn has the better defense in this game and Ole Miss will struggle to move the football and keep up in scoring. Auburn is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in Oxford. | |||||||
10-19-18 | Thunder v. Clippers +1 | 92-108 | Win | 102 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
We were on the Clippers opening night and they should have won that game but they just couldn’t hit the shots in the last couple minutes. But we think this team is underrated and we think they will bounce back here tonight at home against the Thunder. OKC will most likely be without Russell Westbrook tonight. We think the Clippers will give a solid team effort here and they will play strong defense and get their first win of the season tonight at the expense of the Thunder. | |||||||
10-19-18 | Celtics v. Raptors -2.5 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Toronto normally dominates this series at home and they are 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings here in Toronto. Everyone is hyped up on Boston this season, and for good reason as they really came on in the playoffs last year and now are fully healthy. But people are sleeping on Toronto a bit. They are every bit as talented as Boston and they aren’t getting enough respect with this line as we had this one handicapped at 5 and we would lean to Toronto at that number as well with the way the Raptors have played at home in this series recently. | |||||||
10-19-18 | Cavs +8.5 v. Wolves | Top | 123-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
Minnesota has so much drama surrounding the team and the Jimmy Butler situation that we think this is a team to fade until we see otherwise with their play on the court. They played well in their opener against San Antonio but failed to cover against a Spurs team that is down from what we are used to. Public bettors are down on the Cavs right now but this team will still be competitive this season, and this is too many points tonight in what we expect to be a pretty competitive game. | |||||||
10-19-18 | Hamilton -1.5 v. Ottawa | 31-35 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #651. Take Hamilton PK vs Ottawa (Friday, October 19 @ 7:00pm) It's been a rather inconsistent season for the Ottawa Red Blacks. One week they look like Grey Cup champions and then the next they look like one of the worst teams in the leagues. The RedBlacks are making the postseason and this matchup will go along way in determining which team will have home-field advantage in the playoffs. Hamilton has won two straight and they have done so by scoring a lot of points 74 combined and giving up a lot less just 30 during that span. They have an offense that is healthy and one that has a more consistent QB in Masoli. The RedBlacks have lost two straight games and their defense has gone missing. They've given up 74 points in that span and against a Hamilton team that has an extra day to of rest and preparation time, we believe the Tiger-Cats are the play in this spot. The Tiger-Cats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October while the RedBlacks are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games | |||||||
10-18-18 | Lakers v. Blazers -1 | Top | 119-128 | Win | 100 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
Cleveland with LeBron James was one of the worst bets in the NBA the last couple years. They were overbet by the betting public. They were shaded by the oddsmakers. Now LeBron is on the West Coast and we think the Lakers are a team to fade, at least early in the season. Adding him to the mix changes the dynamic of this team dramatically, and it’s going to take some time for the team to gel. Another thing working against the Lakers is that they are the biggest public team in the NBA. Bettors love to back them with their money. Now that LeBron has joined the team they are going to be even more of a public play than normal. Portland didn’t make any huge moves in the offseason. This team doesn’t have as high of a ceiling as the Lakers once this team gets a couple more players and gets on the same page. But right now they are clearly the much better team, and we expect them to win this one comfortably in the season opener. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $846 |
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
Dan Kaiser | $545 |
Joey Tron | $511 |
Sean Murphy | $430 |
Sean Higgs | $352 |
Ricky Tran | $301 |
Ray Monohan | $263 |
Matt Fargo | $220 |
Kyle Hunter | $71 |