Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-04-22 | Browns -8 v. Texans | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
The big news in this game is the expected debut of Cleveland QB Deshaun Watson. His suspension over, the Browns stated weeks ago that when he was ready he will start. However, such a long lay I have to wonder how game ready he will be. Then again, he's facing his old team in Houston and they are not good so it's the perfect team to debut against. The Browns are 4-7 and in third in the AFC North. They still have a shot at a postseason bid, but they will have to almost win out the rest of the way. The Browns still have the NFL's 5th ranked offense, thanks to a rushing game that gets over 150 yards per game. If Watson can contribute as he once did that will make this a very formidable balanced offense. The Houston defense is ranked 29th in the NFL and last vs the rush so it will be a long day against this Browns rushing attack. That means not a lot should be required from Watson as he gets into game shape. I'll take the Browns here today as they control the ball on the ground. | |||||||
12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots +5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
Week 13 of the NFL gets underway here on Thursday with a key AFC contest as the Patriots host the Bills. The AFC East one of the best conferences in football as all four teams are above .500 on the year. The Bills are tied for first place at 8-3 with the Miami Dolphins while the Patriots are in last place with a 6-5 record. Buffalo just did get by the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day, 28-25, winning on a late field goal but failing to cover the 9.5-point line. Meanwhile, the Patriots also lost last week at Minnesota, 26-33, as a 2.5-point dog. The Bills have the NFL's third best passing offense, 8th best rushing offense and 2nd best scoring offense. The Bills will be without a key defensive player though as Von Miller (knee) has been ruled out for this game. The Pats had won three straight games and five of their last six before their loss at Minnesota. The Patriots are ranked 6th in scoring defense (21.7 ppg allowed). Both teams battling for the AFC East and AFC playoff picture here tonight. The Bills are only 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five overall. The Pats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The dog is 5-2-1 ATS their last eight in this series. I like the Patriots here today. In fact, I won't be surprised with a straight up win. Take New England. | |||||||
11-27-22 | Raiders v. Seahawks -3.5 | 40-34 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
Who would have thought starting the season that at week 12 the Seattle Seahawks would be tied for first place in the NFC West despite the departure of Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos. But, here they are 6-5 overall and tied with the 49ers. The Rams and Cardinals look out of the race at this point. The Seahawks four-game win streak was snapped two weeks ago at Tampa bay, 16-21, as a 2.5-point road dog. The Hawks had last week off to prepare for today's home game. After a 4-0 preseason, a lot of high expectations were on the Raiders and first year HC Josh McDaniels. But, to say it's been a letdown is going lightly as the Raiders are just 3-7 and tied for the bottom of the AFC West with Broncos. The Raiders did beat the Broncos in Denver last week in OT, 22-16. QB Derek Carr throwing a long TD to Davante Adams for the winning score. That snapped a three game losing streak. The Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. The home team has covered seven of the last nine games in this series. The favorite is also 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. The weather looks to be typical Seattle here on Sunday with rain and cool temps throughout the contest. It was a big win last week for the Raiders, but I don't see that continuing here this week. I'll take the Seahawks at home. | |||||||
11-27-22 | Bears +7.5 v. Jets | 10-31 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are in last place in the NFC North with a 3-8 record. The Bears have lost three straight games, all by three points or fewer including last week at Atlanta, 27-27, as a 2-point dog. The Bears held the Falcons to just 280 total yards, but could muster only 288 themselves. The defense ranks 16th overall while the offense is 22nd. The NY Jets are having an excellent season at 6-4 overall and third place in the AFC East. The Jets were tied with the Pats last week 3-3 before a New England punt return for a TD with just seconds left in the game got them the loss, 3-10 as a 3-point dog. That after their huge win the week before over Buffalo, 20-17. The Jets are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games vs a team with a losing record. The Bears are also 5-0-1 ATS their last six meetings with Jets. The Jets have benched QB Zach Wilson who will miss this game. QB Mike White looks to be the starter here on Sunday with Joe Flacco the backup. The Jets have been using their 8th ranked defense to win games this year. Still, huge change of direction for this Jets team that was 5-2 since Wilson returned from his knee injury. I'll take the Bears here today. | |||||||
11-27-22 | Bengals v. Titans +1.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Bengals are in 2nd place in the AFC North with a 6-4 record and just one game back of the Ravens. The Tennessee Titans are in 1st place in the AFC South with a 7-3 record, 3-games ahead of the Colts. The Bengals are coming off a win last week at Pittsburgh, 37-30, covering the 3.5-point favorite line. The Bengals have the 7th best offense in the league and 4th best passing game. The defense is ranked 11th overall. The Titans are coming off a win at Green Bay last week, 27-17, as a 3-point dog. The Titans have covered eight straight games. Their defense is ranked 19th overall and 2nd against the rush. The offense is ranked 29th overall, 11th in rushing. The dog is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. Not sure why Tennessee is a small home dog here today. But I'll take the points anyways and look for a Titans straight up win. Play Tennessee. | |||||||
11-24-22 | Patriots v. Vikings -2.5 | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
The Vikings really laid an egg last week at home in their loss to the Cowboys, 3-40. They had a paltry 73-yards rushing and 110-yards passing for just 183 total yards. They allowed the Cowboys 458 totals yards. It was a surprising outcome considering the Vikings were 8-1 and in first place in the NFC North at the time. Their status in the North is not in jeopardy though as the 4-6 Lions are the closest team to them. One good thing is that the Vikings are 20-6 ATS the week after they had 150 yards or fewer passing and 21-7 ATS the after a total of 250 yards or fewer. The Vikings still have a good home record against winning clubs, going 16-6 ATS their last 22. The 6-4 Patriots visit Minnesota today. The Pats are tied with the Jets in the AFC East behind both the Dolphins and Bills who sit at 7-3. The Patriots had a punt return for a touchdown with 5 seconds left in the game last week to get the win over the Jets, 10-3, in what was a very windy and cold Foxboro. The defense held the Jets to just 103 total yards in the cold weather. In fact, the defense has now allowed just 103 and 121 total yards the last two weeks and just six combined points. The defense has shot up to fourth in the NFL overall. I really do expect the Vikings to put forth a much better effort here today after that embarrassment on home field last week. I'll take the Vikings here today. | |||||||
11-24-22 | Giants v. Cowboys -10 | 20-28 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
NFC East clash between the 7-3 Dallas Cowboys and the 7-3 NY Giants. The winner takes over sole position of 2nd place in the division, with a chance to pull within one game of 1st place Philadelphia. The NFC East was one of the worst divisions in football and now it's one of the best with the last place Commanders sitting at 6-5 and in prime playoff position. The Giants lost last week at home to the Detroit Lions, 18-31, despite having more yards than Detroit, 413-325. The Giants are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NFC games and 0-4 ATS in their last four vs the NFC East. Dallas rolled to an easy win even though they played on the road at 8-1 Minnesota, easily winning 40-3. Tony Pollard showing he should be a full time #1 running back as he had over 100 yards receiving and let the team in rushing with two pass receiving touchdowns. Even though Ezekiel Elliot is back, it looks like Pollard might get the share of carries and is a prime target for Dak Prescot. The Cowboys have covered three of their last four games. Their lone loss coming in that game at Green Bay two weeks ago where they gave up a 28-14 lead before losing in OT. The Cowboys love playing on the artificial turf, now 20-7 ATS their last 27. They are also 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games vs the NFC East. The Cowboys are 9-2 ATS their last 11 vs the Giants and 4-1 ATS their last five at Dallas. Take the Cowboys here on Thursday. | |||||||
11-24-22 | Bills v. Lions +9.5 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills new home seems to be Detroit's Ford Field. The Bills played here last week as their game was moved from Buffalo do to severe snow storms. The Bills got off to slow start last week but stormed back to beat the Browns, 31-23, covering or pushing the 7.5 or 8-point line. That snapped two straight losses by the Bills to Minnesota and the Jets. The Bills are now tied with the Dolphins in the AFC East for first place with both teams at 7-3. The Patriots and Jets right behind at 6-4. The Lions pulled the improbable win last week at the Giants, winning 31-18 as a 3-point dog. The Lions only had 325 yards to the Giants 413 yards of offense. That was the third straight win for the Lions both S/U and ATS. The Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games and 6-2 ATS their last eight games vs a team with a winning home record. The dog has covered four of the last five in this series and that's who I am on here today. Play the Lions. | |||||||
11-20-22 | Cowboys v. Vikings +1.5 | 40-3 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 16 m | Show | |
Not too often you can get a 8-1 team as a small home dog. But that's the case here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys visit Minnesota to face the Vikings. The Vikings just coming off a huge win at Buffalo in OT, 33-30. That after trailing one of the best defensive teams in the league, 10-24 at the half. As for Dallas, the Cowboys led the Packers 28-14 before the Packers came back with 14 points in the fourth quarter to tie the game and then won in OT, 31-28. I'm sorry, but no way the Vikings should be any dog in this game. I'll take this price early on Minnesota. | |||||||
11-20-22 | Bengals v. Steelers +4 | 37-30 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals sitting at 5-4 and one game back of the Ravens in the AFC North. They will face last place North team Pittsburgh Steelers here today who are 3-6. The Bengals rebounded from their loss to Cleveland three weeks ago, 13-32, with a nice win two weeks ago at home over Carolina, 42-21. The Bengals had last week off to prepare for today. The Bengals offense ranks 8th overall in the NFL with the passing game at 6th. The defense comes in at 10th overall. The Pittsburgh Steelers beat New Orleans last week at home, 20-10, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Steelers rushed for a season-high 217 yards while holding the Saints to just 186 total yards (29 on the ground). The Steelers defense hasn't been that good all season, ranking 27th overall and 30th vs the pass. Though they have been good at stopping the run (6th). The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games. They are also 22-10-1 ATS their last 33 meetings with the Bengals. I'll take the points at home with the Steelers and look for an outright Pittsburgh win today. | |||||||
11-20-22 | Panthers +13 v. Ravens | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
It's AFC vs NFC here today as the NFC South Carolina Panthers take on the AFC North Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens are in first place in the division with a 6-3 record. They lead the Bengals by one game. The Ravens have won three straight games, including two weeks ago at New Orleans, 27-13, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Ravens had last week off. That makes two straight covers for the Ravens. The Ravens are just 3-9-1 ATS their last 13 games following an ATS win. They are also 1-4 ATS their last five games following a bye week. The Panthers made some wholesale changes to their team when they traded Christian McCaffery away to the 49ers. Still, they have been competitive, covering three of the last four. The Panthers also had a bye week last week after beating the Falcons the week before, 25-15, as a 2.5-point dog. The Baltimore defense ranks 19th while Carolina comes in at 25th. The Ravens are 12th on offense while the Panthers are 30-th. These teams last met in 2018 when Carolina won at home, 36-21 as a small dog. Panthers getting around 13-points here today. I believe that might be a bit much though the way the Panthers have been covering spreads. I'll take a shot with Carolina here today. | |||||||
11-20-22 | Browns +8 v. Bills | 23-31 | Push | 0 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lose their home stadium here due to the snow issues in the area. The game was moved to Detroit's covered stadium on artificial turf. Buffalo coming off two straight losses, last week they had the lead and couldn't hold on against Minnesota, 30-33, losing in OT as a 6.5-point favorite. The week before they lost to the Jets in New Jersey, 17-20. That makes three straight spread losses for the Bills. Granted, QB Josh Allen has been battling some injuries here of late. Buffalo still has the league's top rated offense overall and the 8th ranked defense. The Browns expect QB Deshaun Watson to start here today after his suspension was finally over. Jacoby Brissett has been good in the QB role though, so should be interesting to see which way they go today. Cleveland looks to bounce back after losing last week at Miami, 17-39, as a 3.5-point dog. That coming after their big win over the Bengals the week before, 32-13. The move has to hurt the Bills more than the Browns here today. I'll take the TD+ today with the Browns. | |||||||
11-20-22 | Jets +3.5 v. Patriots | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
The NY Jets might be the most surprising team this year with their 6-3 record and just one game behind the Miami Dolphins for the lead in the AFC East. But in the competitive East division all the teams are bunched up with the last placed Patriots at 5-4 and just two games back of first place. That makes a game like this today so important to both teams. Especially when you have the 6-3 Bills in the mix of things. The Jets coming off the big upset last week of the Bills, 20-17, as a 10.5-point dog. The Jets have now covered five of their last six games. The Jets have also had a very good defense, ranked 7th in the NFL. The Patriots coming off a win last week over the Colts, 26-3. They have also covered five of their last six games. The Patriots defense is 12th in the league. The Jets have an edge on offense where they are 18th in the league compared to the Patriots at 26th. I expect a close game here on Sunday. Neither team will run away with this one so the line is important. I'll take the points with a Jets team that can easily win outright. Play the NY Jets. | |||||||
11-14-22 | Commanders +11 v. Eagles | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
The Washington Commanders are in last in the NFC North with a 4-5 record. THey have the bad luck of playing in what is arguable the best division in football as the other three teams are at least 6-2 in their records. Washington coming off a game they know they could have won last week as they hosted Minnesota and lost, 17-20. The Vikings have the 2nd best record in the NFL and came within minutes of winning that contest. That makes the team 3-1 their last four games all with QB Carson Wentz out. Wentz will again miss tonight's contest with that finger issue. That means Taylor Heinicke will once again be at the helm. For me, I would rather have Heinicke at QB instead of Wentz. For me he's led this team and has performed better. The Philadelphia Eagles are the best team in the NFL right now with the only perfect record at 8-0. They lead the Giants by 1.5 games right now in the NFC East. The Eagles are coming off a win over Houston last week, 29-17, but they failed to cover the 14-point spread. Still, they are 5-3 ATS overall on the season. The Eagles have the NFL's third best offense and third best defense. Washington is 21st in offense and 14th in defense. The dog is 3-1-1 ATS the last five games in this series. I expect the Washington defense to keep them close and Heiniecki to play well enough to cover this spread. Take the double digit points with Washington. | |||||||
11-13-22 | Colts v. Raiders -6 | Top | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 58 m | Show |
Have to wonder if Raiders HC Josh McDaniels is on a short leash with his job these days. The Raiders led the Jacksonville Jaguars by 17-points, the second time this year they have blown a 17-point lead. And of course, lost to the Jags last Sunday, 20-27. Have to wonder how many big leads the Raiders can blow before the top of Mark Davis' head blows off. Well, this might be the week for the Raiders to get well. If there was one coach and team that has done worse it has been the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts had a very lackluster performance last week in their loss at New England, 3-26. In fact, it was the last straw for Colts HC Frank Reich who was fired after the game. The Colts named Jeff Saturday interim coach for the rest of the season. I believe the Colts have given up on the season and while the Raiders have blown leads, at least they have the offensive weapons to get leads. The Colts have no one right now, not even running back Jonathan Taylor who missed last weeks game with an ankle injury. Get on this one early as I only see the Raiders line going up. Play LV Raiders. | |||||||
11-13-22 | Saints v. Steelers +1 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints are 3-6 overall on the season and in third place in the NFC South. The Saints are coming off a home loss to the Ravens, 13-27. The Saints are now just 3-6 vs the spread on the season. The Pittsburgh Steelers are 2-6 overall and in last place in the AFC North. The Steelers are coming off a loss to instra-state rival Philadelphia, 13-35. The Saints are 6th in the NFL in total offense while the Steelers are 28th. The Saints are also 11th on offense with the Steelers 29th. Still, though the Saints are not having a good season. The Steelers did have last week off to rest and get ready for today. Both teams had poor first halves of the season and both played the Bengals and Bucs. The Steelers beat both those teams while the Saints lost to both. With the week off to prepare and maybe seeing the return of NFL Defensive player of the Year, TJ Watt, I'm taking the Steelers here today. | |||||||
11-13-22 | Jaguars +9.5 v. Chiefs | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars may only be 3-6 in the NFL but they have put scares into some teams this year. The Jags went on the road at beat Vegas last week, 27-20. They just lost to Denver the week before, 17-21 and New York Giants the week before that , 17-23. They have the 8th ranked offense, 7th ranked rushing attack in the league. Kansas City is 6-2 on the season and one game ahead of the LA Chargers for first place in the AFC West. The Chiefs are the only team in the West with a plus point differential (+57). The Chiefs are coming off a home win last week over Tennessee, 20-17, but failing to cover the 14-point favorite line. The Chiefs have the 2nd ranked offense in the league and top ranked passing attack. The Chiefs are now 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs the AFC and 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. Not covering at home shows how over valued the oddsmaker has made them at home this season. And today I believe they are laying too many points once again. Play Jacksonville. | |||||||
11-13-22 | Browns +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
AFC Clash here on Sunday between the Cleveland Browns and the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins are in the most competitive division in football with the Bills, Jets and Patriots, just 1.5 games separate first from last. The Dolphins are a half game in second place with a 6-3 record. Miami won on the road last week at Chicago, 35-32. It was the team's third win in a row after losing to Minnesota four weeks ago. The Dolphins have the fifth best offense in the league and the 22nd best in defense. The Browns are 15th in defense and fourth in offense thanks to their 3rd ranked rushing offense. The Browns are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games vs a team with a winning home record while Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 1-4 ATS their last five games vs a team with a losing record. I think this game will come down to the final minutes and I will take the points in this one. Play Cleveland. | |||||||
11-13-22 | Lions v. Bears -2.5 | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
NFC North contest here as last place Detroit Lions (2-6) takes on the next to last place Chicago Bears (3-6). In the North, only the Vikings have a winning record at 7-1 and 4.5-games in first place. The Lions are coming off a improbable win over Green Bay last week, 15-9. Despite having the worst defense in the NFL, the Lions held the Packers to just nine points and picked-off Aaron Rodgers twice in the end zone. The Bears are coming off a loss at home to Miami, 32-35, though they covered the four-point dog line. The Chicago defense is a bit better at 18th in the NFL. The Bears offense ranks 24th while the Lions come in at 7th. The Bears are 3-1-1 ATS their last five home games. The Bears have are also 4-1-1 ATS their last six meetings with the Lions at Chicago. Small home favorite in Chicago, I'll lay the price here with the Bears. | |||||||
11-13-22 | Seahawks +3 v. Bucs | 16-21 | Loss | -115 | 89 h 1 m | Show | |
These teams playing the first ever game in Germany on Sunday get the early start at 6:30 PT / 9:30 am ET. Who would have figured the Seattle Seahawks to be in first place in the NFC West with the defending champion Rams and the 49ers. But, they are and they are 1.5-games ahead of the Niners with a 6-3 record. Everyone kind of figured the departure of Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos would mean this was a rebuilding period for Seattle. However, Geno Smith has come in and actually played better than Wilson has for the Broncos. Another anomaly is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 4-5 with Tom Brady. But would you believe they are tied for first place in the horrible NFC South? Every team in the division has a sub-.500 record this year. Tom Brady has not looked his old self this year, but part of that is due to injuries to his receivers. The Bucs have the 19th ranked offense and last place rushing offense. They average a paltry 61 yards this year on the ground. Seattle's offense ranks 11th overall and 9th in rushing. Tampa Bay does have the 9th ranked defense, but it was much higher earlier in the season and has steadily declined week by week. Tampa Bay hasn't covered a spread since week 2 of the season vs the Saints. Since then they have gone 0-6-1 ATS. Seattle playing well, they cover spreads and don't look out of sync like the Bucs. Yet, Tom Brady gets the bettors and here the Bucs are a 3-point favorite. Not sure how that happened, but I won't look a gift horse in the mouth. I'll take the points with Seattle. | |||||||
11-07-22 | Ravens v. Saints +1.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens are in 1st place in the AFC North, a half game ahead of the Bengals. A win tonight and they are 1-game in front, a loss and they are tied. The Ravens are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven Monday night games. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs a team with a losing record. The NFC South New Orleans Saints are 3-5 and a win tonight puts them in a three way tie with the Bucs and Falcons in a very weak division. The Ravens have won two straight games after last week's win over the Bucs, 27-22 as a 2-point dog. That break a three-game spread skid by the Ravens. The Saints are coming off a dominating performance last week over the LV Raiders. They held the Raiders very good rushing game to just 38 yards and 183 total yards. They sacked QB Derek Carr four times. The Ravens have the 10th ranked offense in the league, 2nd rushing. The Saints have the 5th ranked offense in the league. The Baltimore defense is 24th and the Saints come in at 10th. The Ravens will be without a key target in this game, TE Mark Andrews who is out with a shoulder injury. They may also be without RB Gus Edwards who is doubtful with a hamstring. I like the home team here though the line is too small. I'll take New Orleans to win the game. | |||||||
11-06-22 | Seahawks +2 v. Cardinals | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
NFC West Clash here on Sunday has the 5-3 and 1st place Seahawks taking on the 3-5 and last place Cardinals. No one ever expect much out of the Seahawks after Russell Wilson departed in the offseason for Denver. But here they are with Geno Smith at QB and the 7th top rated QB the season. Smith ranks high than both Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow at this point. The Hawks are coming off a win over the Giants last week, 27-13 and have covered three straight games. The Hawks have the 12th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Seahawks have also gone over in four of their last five road games. There were high hopes in Arizona starting the season, however they find themselves in last place right now, though a big win today would close that gap greatly. The Cards are coming off a loss at Minnesota last week, 26-34, as a 4-point dog. They have now lost three of their last four games. Arizona is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. In addition they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five vs the NFC West. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games in Arizona and the road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 in this series. I'm taking the Seahawks here on Sunday. | |||||||
11-06-22 | Colts +5.5 v. Patriots | 3-26 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Longtime rivals meet up here in Foxboro, MA on Sunday as the Patriots host the Colts. Colts will start QB Sam Ehlinger today. The Colts are 3-4-1 and the Patriots are 4-4. Matt Ryan was benched in favor of Ehlinger who looks to be in that role for the rest of the season. The Colts also fired offensive coordinator Marcus Ryan and traded reserve RB Nyheim Hines to the bills for Zach Moss and a draft pick. So things are changing in Indy. The Colts trying to improve on an offense that was ranked just 18th overall. The Patriots are coming off a win at the Jets last week, 22-17, despite giving up 336 yards through the air. The Patriots have been changing QB's too, in was Mac Jones then came Bailey Zappe. Now Jones is back behind center. Jones was at the helm of their win over the Jets. Not sure the Patriots should be laying almost a TD to anyone at this juncture. Their offense ranks just 20th overall and 23rd in passing. Even the Colts offense has been better overall this year. I'll take the points in this one and expect a close finish. Play Indianapolis. | |||||||
11-06-22 | Vikings v. Commanders +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings are 6-1 on the season and cruising in the NFC North with a 3.5 game lead over the Packers and Bears. The Vikes only loss of the season coming at the hands of undefeated Philly, 7-24 in week 2. The Vikings offense is 15th overall in the league, 20th rushing. Surprisingly, the defense ranks just 28th overall, though 9th vs the rush. The Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs the NFC. The Washington Commanders will once again be without QB Carson Wentz, who will miss another game with a injured finger. QB Taylor Heinicke will make his third start of the season. Heinicke is 2-o in that role, having beaten the Packers 23-21 and then last week over the Colts, 17-16. That makes three straight wins and covers for the Commanders. For me, I think I would rather have Heinicke at QB then the way Wentz had played. Washington was 2-4 under Wentz. The Washington offense still ranks just 22nd overall with the defense coming in at 13th. The dog has covered eight of the last 11 meetings in this series. Moreover, I actually like this Washington team more with Wentz out. I'll take the points here today. Play Washington. | |||||||
11-06-22 | Chargers v. Falcons +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers coming off a home loss two weeks ago to the Seattle Seahawks, 23-37, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Chargers had last week off to get over some injuries, however they are still hurting coming into this game. Star WR Keenan Allen will miss another game with a hamstring injury. Also out is their top WR in Mike Williams who has a ankle injury. That leave QB Herbert with his top two wide receivers out of the game. The Chargers offense is ranked 8th, but 27th rushing and 4th passing. That means the loss of those wide outs will put even more stress on a poor rushing game. The Chargers defense is ranked 20th, 27th vs the rush. The Falcons have surprised many this year as they are 4-4 on he season and 6-2 vs the spread. The Falcons are coming off a home win against Carolina, 37-34, though they failed to cover the 4-point favorite spread. The Falcons are only 25th on offense, though they have one of the better rushing attacks, ranked 5th overall. Defense has been a problem though, ranked 31st in the NFL, with the worst passing defense (32nd) allowing 307 yards per game. If the Chargers had their top WR's this might be a issue, though today not as much. Atlanta has been very competitive this year. Getting a field goal at home is more than enough for me to take them today. Play Atlanta. | |||||||
11-06-22 | Dolphins v. Bears +4 | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The Miami Dolphins have won two straight games after dropping three straight. This includes last week over Detroit, 31-27, just covering the 3.5 point favorite line. The Miami offense ranks 7th overall and third in passing. This despite missing QB Tua for a few games with that concussion. The defense isn't as good, ranking 23rd overall, though 6th vs the rush. The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games. The Chicago Bears came off their win at New England two weeks ago, 33-14, with a loss at Dallas last week, 29-49. They gave up 200 yards rushing to a Dallas team that was without Ezekiel Elliot. These teams have only met once in the last five years and that was Miami win 31-28 at home back in 2018. The Bears offense ranks just 27th overall, though they have the league's top rushing attack with 189 yards per game. The defense ranks a bit better at 15th overall and 5th vs the pass. This looks to come down to the Miami rush defense vs the Chicago ground game. I'll take the points at home with the Bears. Play Chicago. | |||||||
10-30-22 | Titans v. Texans | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
AFC South matchup here on Sunday between 1st place Tennessee (4-2) and last place Houston (1-4-1). The Titans won their fourth straight game last week at home vs the Colts, 19-10. Both offenses didn't do much with Tennessee having 254 total yards and the Colts 293. Houston won their first game of the season on Oct 8th vs the Jaguars, 13-6, then had the next week off before traveling to Las Vegas last week and getting beat, 20-38. The Texans gave up 400 total yards, 164 on the ground. The Texans have been competitive though vs the number, going 3-2-1 ATS this season. They are also 4-1 ATS their last five games vs a team with a winning record and 6-2 ATS their last eight vs the AFC. The Houston Texans now have the worst defense in the NFL, allowing 412 yards per game. They are ranked last vs the rush and 21st vs the pass. No wonder the Raiders ran wild on them last week. Tennessee ranks 26th on defense with the fourth best rushing defense and 31st ranked passing defense. Both teams have been poor on offense with Houston ranked 26th and Tennessee ranked 31st. The Titans offense also got a big blow as QB Ryan Tannehill will miss today's game with an ankle injury. QB Malik Willis will make his first career start today for the Titans. Tennessee might be in 1st place, but it's more by virtue of a very weak division. I give the Texas a good shot at winning this game on Sunday. Play Houston. | |||||||
10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints +2 | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Raiders used their bye week well to rebound from their loss to the Chiefs to beat Houston last week, 38-20. The Raider offense rushed for 164 yards and passed for another 236 yards in the win. The Raiders did get banged-up though as both QB Derek Carr (Back) and WR Davante Adams (Illness) come into this game as probable but ailing. The Raiders offense has been good, ranked 9th overall in the league while New Orleans comes ranked 3rd overall. The Saints defense is ranked 14th and the Raiders 24th. The Raiders are 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS their last seven on the road. The Raiders have also gone over in their last four games and last five games in October. The Saints have gone over their last 4 and 10-1 O/U their last 11 games in October. These teams have met only once the last five years and that was back in Oakland when the Raiders won 34-24. The Raiders are a small road favorite here on Sunday, but I will be on the Saints. | |||||||
10-30-22 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Vikings | 26-34 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals tied for last in the NFC West with the SF 49ers as both teams are 2-4. However, the Rams are just a half game in front at 3-3 and the Seahawks are just one game in first place at 4-3. The Cards won at home last week over New Orleans, 42-34 as a 2.5 point favorite. The offense had just 326 total yards and the defense allowed 494 yards. But it was three turnovers by the Saints that led to the Arizona win. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Cardinals. Minnesota is the leader in the NFC North with a 5-1 record, 2.5-games ahead of the Packers and Bears. The Vikings are the only team in the division with a plus point differential (+21) this year. The Vikings had last week off after beating Miami the week before, 24-16. The only loss for the Vikings this year coming in their second game at Philly, 7-24. The Minnesota defense isn't very good, ranked just 27th overall and 28th vs the pass. The offense comes in ranked 18th overall. Arizona's offense ranks 15th while their defense is 22nd. Arizona has been good on the road, going 20-8-2 ATS their last 30 away games. The Vikings are just 1-4 ATS their last five games and 1-4 ATS their last five games following a bye week. They are also 2-8 ATS vs a team with a losing record. The dog in this series is 7-2-2 ATS and that's what I will be on here today. The underdog Cardinals. | |||||||
10-27-22 | Ravens v. Bucs -1 | 27-22 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
Who would have believed that entering week 7 in the NFL that both a Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers led teams would both have losing records? Surely not Tom Brady who has shown his frustration on the Tampa Bay sidelines with more broken tables then it seems touchdown tosses this year. The Bucs lost to the Carolina Panthers last week, 3-21 despite playing the worst defense in the NFL and a Panther's team that just traded away their star running back in Christian McCaffrey. The Bucs had just 46 rushing yards though they had 16 more offensive plays and three more first downs then the Panthers. Meanwhile, Baltimore held on to beat the Cleveland Browns last week, 23-20, though failing to cover the 6.5-point favorite line. The Browns had 336 totals yards to just 254 by the Ravens. The Ravens are the 14th ranked offensive team while the Bucs are 21st. The Bucs defense has been the best part of their team this year, ranked 7th overall, though they have dropped a few placed in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Baltimore has struggled to a 23rd ranking on defense. The Ravens are tied for the lead in the AFC North at 4-3 with the Cincinnati Bengals. Despite their poor play, the Bucs are tied for first in the NFC North at 3-4 with the Falcons. No team in the North has a positive point differential. The Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games and 1-6 ATS vs a team with a losing record. The only bright spot for bettors on the Bucs side of the ball is that they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous game. This is a matchup of first place teams, though sure doesn't seem like it. We need little more than a win with the Bucs here tonight so I'll take Brady and a better defense back on the home turf tonight. Play Tampa Bay. | |||||||
10-23-22 | Steelers +7.5 v. Dolphins | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers rebounded from their 3-38 beating at the hands of Buffalo two weeks ago with an improbable win at home over Tampa Bay last week, 20-18, as a 9.5-point dog. Miami lost it's third straight last week with a loss at home to Minnesota, 16-24, as a 3-point dog. It's also the third week they failed to cover the spread and scored fewer than 17 points. Of course this was due to the loss of QB Tua Tagovilioa who had a concussion. Tua is expected to return this week though. The Miami offense was ranked 8th because of that passing game that ranks 2nd while the rushing game is just 30th. These teams have met just once in the last five years with the Steelers winning that game in 2019, 27-14. The dog has covered four of the last five in this series. The Dolphins are now 0-6 in their last six October games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following a s/u loss. I don't know how effective Tua will be in his return here on Sunday. I'll take the points with the Steelers. | |||||||
10-23-22 | Chiefs v. 49ers +1 | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
Big news in San Francisco and potential shift in power is the acquisition of RB Christian McCaffrey from Carolina. McCaffrey returns home to the bay area where he went to college at Stanford. The Panthers in return received a host of draft picks. The 49ers lost last week at Atlanta, 14-28, after being tied 14-14 at one point. The Niners had just 50-yards rushing so the addition of McCaffrey should do wonders for the running game that has been very good overall on the year. The 49ers have the 18th ranked offense and the 11th ranked rushing offense. It's the defense that has been outstanding, ranked 1st overall in the NFL, 2nd in rushing and 2nd in passing. The Chiefs lost the rematch last week with Buffalo, 20-24 as a 2.5-point dog. That makes them 4-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. The KC offense is ranked 6th overall, 20th in rushing and 4th in passing. The defense ranks 20th overall, 4th vs the rush and 27th vs the pass. The 49ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games and 6-0 ATS in their last six overall home games. The Chiefs had issues with the Bills defense last week and they will again here with the NFL's best defense. Play San Francisco. | |||||||
10-23-22 | Lions +7 v. Cowboys | 6-24 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions had a very good offense through four games of the season. Then two weeks ago they got shut out at New England, 0-29. They had a season low in both rushing and passing. The Lions had last week off to stew over the loss and get healthy. In fact, even with that shutout the offense ranks 2nd in the NFL with a balanced attack. Their rush game is 8th and pass 7th. The defense is the problem, ranking dead last in the NFL, last in rushing and 26th in passing. Good news for the Dallas Cowboys is that QB Dak Prescott looks to return this week. His stand-in, Cooper Rush, did a great job leading the team to 4-1 record in Prescott's absence. The offense still ranked just 27th overall. The defense has been very good, ranked 8th in the NFL and 4th vs the pass. The Cowboys are 10-1 ATS their last 11 games vs a team with a losing record and 16-5 ATS their last 21 games vs the NFC. Lions getting right at a TD here on Sunday. That's a lot of points with the 2nd ranked offense in the NFL. I'll take the points. Play Detroit. | |||||||
10-23-22 | Giants +3.5 v. Jaguars | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
The NY Giants won their third game in a row after last week's win over Baltimore, 24-20, as a 5.5-point dog. The Giants have also gone 5-1 ATS on the season. The Jacksonville Jaguars lost at Indianapolis last week, 27-34, as a 1.5-point dog. That makes three straight losses since their big win at the Chargers Sept 25, 38-10. The Giants offense is ranked 17th overall while Jacksonville is 11th overall. The Giants defense is 15th while Jacksonville is 11th. The Giants are now 19-7 ATS their last 26 games on grass and 18-8-1 ATS their last 27 vs a team with a losing record. The Jags are just 4-9 ATS their last 13 at home and 3-11 ATS their last 14 games overall. I like the way the Giants have been playing and the Jags, while improved, still have a ways to go. Take the Giants. | |||||||
10-23-22 | Falcons +6.5 v. Bengals | 17-35 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Who's the only team in the NFL with a perfect spread record this year? If you guessed Atlanta you guessed right. The Falcons are 6-0 vs the spread this year and one of the surprise teams after beating San Francisco last week at home, 28-14. The Falcons rushing game has been great this year, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL. They have 151 or more yards rushing in all but one game this year. They had 168 yards on the ground against a the NFL's top rated defense in San Francisco last week. The Falcons defense is another story, ranked 27th overall in the NFL and 31 st vs the pass. Good thing the rushing game is so good, they can play keep away and not have their defense on the field as much. Cincinnati came from behind last week to win on the road at New Orleans, 30-26, just covering the field goal line. That was the fourth straight cover the for Bengals. The Bengals offense isn't as prolific this year, ranked just 20th overall, though the passing game behind Joe Burrows is ranked 8th. This looks to be an interesting matchup here on Sunday. But for me, I like this Atlanta rushing game and will take the Falcons plus the points. Take Atlanta | |||||||
10-23-22 | Colts +2.5 v. Titans | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts are 3-2-1 on the season and just percentage points behind the Tennessee Titans for the lead in the AFC South Division. That makes this game today extra special as the winner will take over sole possession of first place. The Colts have won two straight games after last weeks win over over the Jaguars, 34-27, as a 1.5 point dog. The Colts had a season high in passing yards with 389 and a season low in rushing yards with 45. The reason has been the loss of one of the best running backs in the NFL in Jonathon Taylor who has been nursing ankle injury. The good news is that Taylor is expected back this week. Meanwhile, the Titans had the week off last week after beating Washington the week before, 21-17. The Titans lost their first two games of the season but have since won three straight. The offense has yet to score more than 24 points and ranks 31st overall in the NFL even with Derick Henry rushing. The Colts offense ranks 14th overall in the NFL and 5th passing. The Colts defense is 10th overall with the Titans at 28th overall, 5th vs the rush. The Colts have covered 12 of their last 17 road games and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs a team with a winning record. The Colts have also covered seven of the last 10 meetings in Tennessee and the road team is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings. I'm taking the Colts here with Taylor returning to the rushing game. | |||||||
10-17-22 | Broncos +4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The honeymoon of Russell Wilson in Denver looks to be over as the fans must be wondering what they got for all their money as QB Geno Smith was the highest rated passer in the NFL, taking the place of Wilson. The Broncos lost for the 2nd consecutive game last week to the Colts, 9-12. They could manage just three field goals in the loss. They have scored more than 20 points just once this season and that was 23 against the Raiders in a loss. However, their defense has been great, ranking 3rd overall in the NFL an 1st in the NFL vs the pass. The offense ranks 18th overall. The Chargers have won two straight games since their loss at home to the Jaguars back on Sept 25th. They beat the Browns last week in Cleveland, 30-28 as a 1.5-point favorite. The offense ranks 5th overall in the NFL with their passing game coming in at 2nd. Should be a good matchup of the Denver passing defense against the Chargers passing offense. Denver has covered four of the last six in this series. The Broncos have had 11 days to get ready for this game. Plus all the criticism of Wilson's play might actually motivate him here tonight to play well. This is a AFC West clash and division games are usually played quite tight. I don't believe the Chargers should be this big a favorite against a very good Broncos defense. I'll take a shot with Wilson and the underdog Broncos tonight. | |||||||
10-16-22 | Cowboys +6.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 25 m | Show |
NFC East showdown here between the 5-0 Philadelphia Eagles and the 4-1 Dallas Cowboys. No one really expected much from the Cowboys when they lost QB Dak Prescot early on this year. However, Cooper Rush has come in and led the team to four wins. Who would have thought that one of the worst, if not the worst division in football in recent years would be the best this year with a pair of 4-1 teams and the 5-0 Eagles. With Rush at QB, the Cowboys are 7th ranked on offense while the Eagles are 4th ranked. Philly has the 2nd ranked defense in the league while Dallas comes in at 27th. Dallas beat the Rams last week 22-10, holding their second straight opponent to just 10 points. They held the Rams to just 38 rushing yards last week. Philly just got by the Arizona Cardinals last week, 20-17 as a 5.5-point favorite. Dallas has now covered 10 of their last 11 road games. They are also 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games vs the NFC and 22-7 ATS their last 29 vs the NFC East. The Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 trips to Philly and 7-2 ATS their last nine overall vs the Eagles. I'm going to take the points with the Cowboys here tonight. | |||||||
10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs +3 | 24-20 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
Rematch of that amazing playoff matchup last year between the Bills and the Chiefs. Maybe one of the most exciting games in NFL history as the Chiefs pulled off the comeback in Overtime to shock the Bills. Now we get to see these teams again here in Kansas City. The Chiefs had to hold off the Raiders last week and a late two-point conversion that would have given the Raiders the lead late. KC held on for the win though, 30-29 as TE Kelso had FOUR touchdown receptions in that game. The Chiefs are 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. KC also took over the top spot in the AFC West, one game ahead of the Chargers and two games ahead of the Broncos. Buffalo had little issues at home last week against the Steelers, winning handly 38-3. The Bills had their best offensive output of the season with 120 yards on the ground and 432 yards through the air. The Bills are also 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming at the hands of the Dolphins, 19-21, back on Sept 25th. The Chiefs have covered three of the last four meetings in this series. They will face a Bills team that ranks first in the NFL in offense (15 rushing and 1st in passing) and 2nd in defense (2 vs rush, 4th vs pass). Kansas City has the 6th ranked offense and the 14th ranked defense. The Bills are only 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight vs a winning team and 0-5 ATS in their last five games on grass. The Chiefs are 7-3 ATS their last 10 vs a winning team and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. The Chiefs have covered six of the last eight in this series and getting a field goal here is what I'm going to side with. Take the home dog Chiefs in this one. | |||||||
10-16-22 | Patriots +2.5 v. Browns | 38-15 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
The Patriots in that unusual position of last in the AFC East with a 2-3 record. The Patriots did snap a two game losing streak last week with a shut-out win over Detroit, 29-0, as a 3-poin favorite. New England ranks 17th overall on offense and 16th on defense. The Browns are in 2nd place in the AFC North with a 2-3 record, one game back of Baltimore. Cleveland has the 19th ranked defense and the 4th ranked offense. That offensive united has the NFL's top ranked rushing attack at 192 yards per game. These teams have met just twice in the last five years with the Patriots winning both and covering both games. The Pats are 29-10 ATS their last 39 games vs a losing team. They are also 19-9-1 ATS their last 29 games on grass. The Browns are just 2-5 ATS their last seven games and 2-6 ATS their last eight home games. The Pats are a small road dog here and I expect them to be in this game and get the straight-up win today. Play New England. | |||||||
10-16-22 | Bengals v. Saints +3 | 30-26 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals came up short last week at Baltimore, 17-19, though they did cover the 3-point dog spread. The Bengals saw their two-game win streak snapped as they fell to 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Bengals offense ranks 22nd overall, but 25th rushing. The defense is 13th overall, 7th vs the rush. The Saints beat the Seahawks last week, 39-32, covering the 5.5-point favorite line. The win snapped a three game losing streak to make them 2-3 S/U and ATS overall. The offense had their best output of the year with 438 total yards and 235 rushing yards. The Saints defense ranks 16th overall while the offense is 7th overall. The dog has covered four of the last five in this series and the Saints are a small home dog here today. QB Jameis Winston will miss another game here today with a back injury but ageless Andy Dalton will be behind center. Bengals not exactly looking like the team of last year and with that a small dog at home with the Saints looks good to me. Play New Orleans. | |||||||
10-10-22 | Raiders +7 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders finally got Josh McDaniels his first win last week at home over the Denver Broncos, 32-23. The Raiders had 212 yards on the ground and another 173 yards through the air while holding Denver to 299 total yards. Kansas City went to Tampa Bay last week and led the entire way to a 41-31 win. The Chiefs are now 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. They held Tampa Bay to just three rushing yards, though Tom Brady did get 373 yards through the air. The Raiders defense ranks 22nd overall, 10th vs the rush. The Chiefs are 13th overall and top against the rush allowing just 66 yards per game average. The Chiefs are 5th on offense with the Raiders coming in at 13th. For some strange reason, the Chiefs are only 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a losing record. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven vs the AFC. The Raiders have been in every game this year, losing by five to the Chargers, six to the Cardinals and two to Tennessee. Tonight they get at least seven points and the way this offense has played I'll take the points here with the visitor. Play Las Vegas Raiders. | |||||||
10-09-22 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Bengals have had a rough start to the season but they play in the AFC North and right now are tied with the Browns and Ravens for first place at 2-2. The Bengals started the season 0-2, losing to Pittsburgh and then to Dallas. They have rebounded though with wins at the Jets, 27-12, and last week beating Miami, 27-15. The Bengals defense has been very good, ranked 11th overall in the NFL and 4th vs the rush, allowing just 86 yards per game. The offense improving to 16th overall and 8th in passing behind Jeff Burrows. Baltimore has the 2nd most points scored in the AFC with 119, though they rank just 12th overall in yardage. Baltimore jumped out to a lead last week at home over Buffalo, but couldn't hold on as the Bills won late, 23-20. The Ravens offense was held to just 296 yards by the league's top ranked defense. It's the Ravens defense that will have to improve. They are ranked 30th in the NFL and dead last vs the pass. Now they have to face a very good Burrows and the Bengals passing attack. Cincinnati has won and covered both games last year, 41-21 at home and 41-17 at Baltimore. The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 AFC games, 6-1 ATS their last seven road games and 10-2 ATS their last 12 overall games. The Bengals have covered four of the last five in this series and the road team is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings. I don't see Baltimore stopping Burrows and the Bengals offense here today. I'll take Cincinnati. | |||||||
10-09-22 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Rams | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
The surprising Dallas Cowboys bring their 3-1 record to LA this week to take on the 2-2 Super Bowl defending Rams. The Cowboys had QB Dak Prescott go down in week 1, but since they they are 3-0 with backup QB Rush leading the team. Dallas beat the Washington Commanders last week, 25-10 as a 3-point favorite. All four teams in the NL West are at 2-2 with the Rams having come off that Monday Night loss last week to the 49ers, 9-24. Now they are on the short week as they return home to face Dallas. Dallas has a very good defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 5th vs the pass. They should give Rams QB Mathew Stafford all he can handle this week. The Rams defense ranks just 16th. Surprisingly, the Rams offense ranks 28th in the league with the rushing attack 29th. Dallas has covered their last five road games and are 16-5 ATS their last 21 vs the NFC. The Rams are 1-5 ATS their last six games. The Rams still don't look like the team that won the Super Bowl last season while the Cowboys keep winning. I'll take the road dog in this one. Play Cowboys. | |||||||
10-09-22 | Dolphins -3 v. Jets | 17-40 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Miami will be without QB Tua Tagovailoa this week as he will be out with a concussion. Up next with Tua out will be veteran QB Teddy Bridgewater. Tua has bad an excellent season with a 109.9 QB rating this season. Bridgewater took over after Tua had to leave the Bengals contest. Bridgewater finished 14-of-25 for 193 yards and a TD and one INT. Bridgewater played last season for the Broncos. Bridgewater is alwo been amazing on the road, posting a 24-6 record in his last 30 away games. The Dolphins would have been around a 6-7 point favorite in this game, but we have seen the number adjusted to 3 1/2 when Tua was ruled out. For me, that's a way over adjustment here on Sunday and I'm making a big play on the Dolphins in this game. Your free play is on the Dolphins. | |||||||
10-09-22 | Falcons +11 v. Bucs | 15-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
The NFC South is wide open with Tampa Bay and Atlanta both at 2-2 and the Panthers and Saints at 1-3. The winner here today takes over sole position in first place in the division. The Falcons have surprised many as they lead the division in points (103) with the Bucs in 2nd (82). The Falcons offense ranks just 15th, but their rushing attack is 4th. That took a hit last week when Cordell Patterson went down with an injury. He will be out this week, however, two solid rookies picked-up the slack last week and should both see lots of time today. The Falcons beat Cleveland last week, 23-20. They rushed for 202 yards, most of those with their rookie backs. Tampa Bay might be tied for first but they haven't clicked this year. QB Tom Brady has not looked all that good and the offense is ranked 25th after four weeks. The rushing game is just 31st while the passing game is 9th. The best part of the team has been the defense, which ranks 8th in the league. They are 12th rushing and 14th passing. The Falcons have now covered their last four games and are 43-20 ATS their last 63 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing the previous game. Don't expect the Bucs anemic rushing attack to do what the Browns did last week to the Falcons. The Falcons get double digits here today and for me that's too much to give to a team that has been playing very well. The Bucs have lost two straight games and while they likely won't lose today, I look for the Falcons to sneak in under the spread. Take Atlanta. | |||||||
10-09-22 | Chargers v. Browns +2 | 30-28 | Push | 0 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers rebounded from their horrendous home loss to the Jaguars two weeks ago with a win last week at Houston, 34-24. That makes them 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. The offense has been very good, despite playing without a key WR in Keenan Allen. Allen missed his second game last week and will be out again this week. The offense ranks 7th overall in the league and 1st in passing. The Browns are 4th in offense because they have the 2nd ranked rushing attack in the league. The Browns lost last week at Atlanta, 20-23. They have rushed for at least 171 yards in each of their first four games this season. The Browns are 2-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Browns 9th ranked defense will be tasked with controlling Justin Hebert and the Chargers offense. The Browns have covered six of the last eight in this series. The dog has also covered seven of the last eight in the series. It's going to be the ball control rushing of the Browns against the pass attack of Hebert and the Chargers. Whoever wins the turnover battle likely wins this game. I'll take the Browns at home with their great rushing attack to keep the ball out of the Chargers hands. Play Cleveland. | |||||||
10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers -1.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a losing record. The 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs the NFC. The 49ers have covered the last five vs the Rams and are 5-2 ATS their last seven vs the Rams in San Francisco. I'm going to take the 49ers and their very good defense here today. | |||||||
10-02-22 | Broncos +3 v. Raiders | 23-32 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are tied for first in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs at 2-1. That despite a rocky start under new QB Russel Wilson. The Broncos defense has been excellent, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL, 3rd against the pass and 6th against the run. The offense ranks 16th, 11th rushing and 18th passing. As for the Raiders, after a 4-0 preseason they are now 0-3 to start the regular season. They have lost those games by a combined 13-points. Still, have to think Josh Daniels on the hot seat after some questionable calls. Another home loss here and he might be in trouble in Vegas. The Raiders offense one behind Denver at 17th. This with Carr at QB, Adams and WR, Jacobs at RB and Waller at TE. They have the talent, but they have yet to put up the numbers. Vegas has dominated this series going back to when they were in Oakland, covering eight of the last nine times. They have also gone UNDER in eight of the last 10 games. The Raiders are now 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs the AFC. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. This game looks to be close like all the Raiders games have been thus far. But for me, I think I'd rather be on the side getting points. Take Denver. | |||||||
10-02-22 | Chargers v. Texans +6 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers off to a slow start at just 1-2. After beating the Raiders at home to start the season, the Chargers have found it rough the last two weeks. Injuries have played a part though. They lost their star WR Keenan Allen in game two with a hamstring and he could return this week but likely will miss another week. QB Justin Herbert has been playing hurt the last two weeks and it's showed. The Chargers were trounced at home last week by Jacksonville, 10-38. The Jags had 413 yards to just 312 by LA. The Jags also had 18 more plays and nine more first downs as they grinded out 151 yards on the ground. Houston is 0-2-1 S/U to start the season, but they have been competitive. They tied the Colts to start the season, then lost at Denver by seven points and last week lost at Chicago by just three points. They are 2-0-1 vs the number. The Houston offense is just 29th overall and the defense is 29th. The Chargers are 19th on defense and 12th on offense. Houston is 5-0 ATS their last five games vs the AFC. With the Chargers still dealing with some injuries they will continue to struggle here this week in Houston. Take the Texans. | |||||||
10-02-22 | Bills v. Ravens +3.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills are 2-1 and can move into a tie with the Miami Dolphins for 1st place in the AFC East with a win today. They will take on the 2-1 Baltimore Ravens who are tied with the Cleveland Browns for first in the AFC North. After that horrendous collapse in week 1 vs the Dolphins, the Ravens have bounced back with a pair of wins. Last week they won on the road at New England, 37-26, as a 2.5-point favorite. They were out-gained by the pats, 394-447, had five fewer offensive plays and three fewer first downs. The offense has been very good, ranked 4th overall in the NFL. It's their last place defense that has been the problem. Now they face Josh Allen and the Bills offense that is ranked 2nd in the NFL. The Bills also have the NFL's top ranked defense. The Bills are only 1-4 ATS in their last five road games vs a winning home team. The Ravens are 9-4 ATS their last 13 vs a winning team. Ravens have covered four of the last five vs the Bills and the home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. I'll take the Ravens plus the points here on Sunday. | |||||||
10-02-22 | Browns v. Falcons +1 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
The LA Chargers off to a slow start at just 1-2. After beating the Raiders at home to start the season, the Chargers have found it rough the last two weeks. Injuries have played a part though. They lost their star WR Keenan Allen in game two with a hamstring and he could return this week but likely will miss another week. QB Justin Herbert has been playing hurt the last two weeks and it's showed. The Chargers were trounced at home last week by Jacksonville, 10-38. The Jags had 413 yards to just 312 by LA. The Jags also had 18 more plays and nine more first downs as they grinded out 151 yards on the ground. Houston is 0-2-1 S/U to start the season, but they have been competitive. They tied the Colts to start the season, then lost at Denver by seven points and last week lost at Chicago by just three points. They are 2-0-1 vs the number. The Houston offense is just 29th overall and the defense is 29th. The Chargers are 19th on defense and 12th on offense. Houston is 5-0 ATS their last five games vs the AFC. With the Chargers still dealing with some injuries they will continue to struggle here this week in Houston. Take the Texans. | |||||||
09-26-22 | Cowboys +1 v. Giants | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
After losing in week one to the Bucs and losing QB Dak Prescot, things looked bleak for the Cowboys heading into week two vs AFC Champion Cincinnati. However, a solid passing game by backup QB Rush and a defense that held the Bengals to just 89 rushing yards and 165 passing yards, resulted in a Dallas win, 20-17. Now the Cowboys hit the road for the first time as they head to New York to play the Giants in a divisional matchup. The Giants also had a 3-point win last week at home over the Carolina Panthers, 19-16. On paper the game was almost dead even with the Panthers having 275 yards and the Giants 265 yards. The difference were the two Carolina turnovers to none by the Giants. Dallas has covered the last two in this series and eight of the last 10 meetings. The Giants have the 21st ranked offense and the Cowboys have the 25th ranked offense. Dallas has the 6th ranked defense to the Giants 12th ranked defense. The Cowboys have covered their last four road games and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs the NFC and 20-7 ATS vs the NFC East. The Giants are just 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 home games. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall games. I'll take the Cowboys here on Monday night. | |||||||
09-25-22 | Falcons +1 v. Seahawks | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 41 h 32 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons and Seattle Seahawks are both teams rebuilding after their star QB's left for other teams in the off-season. Falcons QB Matty Ryan fled to Indianapolis while Seattle QB Russel Wilson went to Denver. The Falcons opened the season with a close loss at home to the Saints, 26-27, though they did cover the spread. Then last week, another close game at home to the LA Rams, but another loss 27-31, covering the 10-point line. Seattle beat Wilson and the Broncos in week 1, 17-16. However, they were beat pretty handily last week in San Francisco, 7-27, by the 49ers. The rushing game has been horrible, with 76 yards in game one and 36 yards last week. Not surprising the Seahawks offense is ranked 31st in the NFL with the rushing attack ranked last. The Falcons are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games. Seattle is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs the NFC. The Falcons have covered four of the last five in this series and that's what I'm looking for here on Sunday. I'll take the Falcons. | |||||||
09-25-22 | Packers +1 v. Bucs | Top | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 40 h 30 m | Show |
Two future Hall of Fame Qb's will matchup here today as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers take on the TB Bucs and QB Tom Brady. Brady hasn't looked all that sharp thus far and his frustration was on full display in the Saints contest. Lucky for the Bucs, the Saints had no offensive stars left and thus it was a defensive win for the Bucs, 20-10. The Bucs managed just 260 total yards and Brady threw for just 188 yards. The Bucs defense was the star of the game with multiple sacks and five take aways in the game. Green Bay had little issue with the Chicago Bears. The Packers had 414 yards and 211 passing yards by Rodgers. They had 26 first downs to just 11 by the Bears and held the Bears to just 228 total yards. The Tampa Bay offense ranks just 24th overall in the NFL with Green Bay coming in at 11th. The Bucs defense is 5th ranked with Green Bay at 10th. The Bucs have won and covered two of the last three in this series. Green Bay is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs a winning team and 20-8 ATS their last 28 on the grass. I'm still not sold on Brady fully being back with limited targets. I'll take the points with Green Bay. | |||||||
09-25-22 | Texans +3 v. Bears | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears looked bad last week as they traveled to Green Bay and took the loss to the Packers, 10-27. The Bears managed just 228 total yards with 48 passing yards by Justin Fields. The Packers had 63 offensive plays to just just 38 by the Bears. Houston also came up short, though they gave the Broncos all they could handle last week in a 9-16 loss. All the Texas could manage were three filed goals as they totaled just 234 yards. The Broncos didn't exactly light the stat sheet with 16 points and 350 total yards. The Bears are dead last in the NFL in total offense, though 8th vs the rush and last in passing. The Texans aren't much better at 29th. These teams have met only once in the last five years and that was in 2020 when the Bears won 36-7 as a 1-point dog. The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall games. They are also 11-5 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 15 points or fewer in their previous game. The Bears are now just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. Don't expect a lot of points in this contest and as such I'll take the Texans plus the points. | |||||||
09-19-22 | Vikings +2 v. Eagles | 7-24 | Loss | -105 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
The Vikings had little issues in their week 1 game at home with a win over the Packers, 23-7. The total yards was actually close with the Vikings having the edge, 395-338. It was the two turnover that really hurt the Packers last week. The Vikings offense ranks 8th overall in the NFL. The Eagles are ranked 3rd in the offense, but 14th in passing. Minnesota also holds a slight defensive edge, ranking 14th overall while the Eagles come in at 22nd. The Vikings have won the last two in this series, including their last meeting in 2019 in Minnesota, 38-20. The dog has also done well of late in this series, going 5-1 ATS in the last meetings. This should be an excellent matchup on Sunday. I will take the couple of points with the Vikings here on Monday night. | |||||||
09-19-22 | Titans +11 v. Bills | 7-41 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The last few years has seen that no team starting 0-2 has made the playoffs. The Titans blew a 13-point lead last week and ultimately fell to the Giants. Now they face the real possibility of starting the season 0-2 as they have to go to play at Buffalo. Derrick Henry should get a full dose of play tonight and if the Titans are smart they would run him as much as possible to keep the ball out of Buffalo QB Josh Allen's hands. Good news for Tennessee is that have have done well vs the Bills of late, averaging 27.7 ppg in the last three meetings. Ryan Tannehill threw for 266 yards last week, but I'm sure he'd rather see the 93 yards rushing figure go up considerably. The Bills are coming off their road win over Super Bowl Champion LA Rams. The Bills looked very good in the win, or maybe the Rams just looked very rusty. Still, 10-points are a lot for any NFL team to get, especially a team that doesn't want to start the season 0-2. Tennessee has the talent to keep this game inside the spread and give Buffalo some challenges. I'll take the points here today. | |||||||
09-18-22 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots didn't have much life last week as they were beaten on the road by the Miami Dolphins, 7-20. The Pats could manage just 271 yards though the defense did keep them fairly close by allowing the Dolphins 307 yards. Turnovers did hurt the Pats as they turned the ball over three times to none for Miami. Now they hit the road again, this time to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh pulled off the big upset, beating the Cincinnati Bengals last week, 23-20 as a 7-point dog. The Steelers had a +5 turnover ratio in that game though they were outgained by the Bengals 267-432 yards. The Bengals also had 32 first downs to the Steelers 13. But it was the Steelers defense that bent but didn't break in the win. Both Pittsburgh and New England near the bottom of the league in offense. The Patriots have covered just one of their last five games and are 0-4 ATS in their last four away games. I'm a bit surprised the Steelers are a home dog here today. They are 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a home dog. I'll take the points and look for a Pittsburgh win. | |||||||
09-18-22 | Bucs v. Saints +3 | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay took advantage of a sluggish Dallas Cowboys offense last week and eventually forced Dallas QB Dak Prescott from the game with an injury to pull out the win, 19-3. It wasn't much of a exciting game as the Bucs had just 347 total yards and the Cowboys had 244 yards with just one touchdown scored between the teams. Dallas managed just 71 yards (3.9 rypa). Each team had 60 total plays with the Bucs holding a slight first down advantage of 18-13. Meanwhile, the Saints pulled off the road win at Atlanta, 27-26, but failed to cover the 5.5-point favorite spread. The Saints had 385 total yards to the Falcons 416 yards but won the turnover battle 2-1. The Saints have done well vs the NFC South, going 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games. They are also 35-17 in their last 52 games when installed as the dog. Bucs QB Tom Brady didn't look all that sharp but that was expected in his first action of the season. Still, I like the Saints on their home turf here Sunday plus the small points. | |||||||
09-15-22 | Chargers +4 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers spent a lot of money in the offseason to bolster their defense, with Khalil Mack now anchoring the other side of the defensive line with Joey Bosa. And they sure showed their worth last week vs Las Vegas, sacking Carr six times and getting three turnovers. They also held Vegas to just 64 rushing yards. The offense did suffer one blow when WR Keenan Allen was lost with a hamstring issue. Kansas City looked just as good as every in their win at Arizona last week, 44-21. The defense was very good, holding the Cardinals to just 282 total yards. This looks to be a great matchup tonight with the new Chargers defense against the mighty Chiefs offense. I'm going to take the points with the Chargers as I look for them to stay close and maybe pull out the straight-up win. | |||||||
09-11-22 | Packers v. Vikings +1.5 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 90 h 28 m | Show | |
The Packers took care of their own controversy when QB Aaron Rodgers signed a new contract. However, his to target in Davante Adams, arguably one of the best in the league. The Packers finished the preseason at 1-2, though that has little effect on what happens here in the regular season. The offense just feels different without Adams. Now they face an offense in Minnesota that is likely better then theirs with Justin Jefferson, Adam Theilen and Dalvin Cook leading the way. With the offensive power of this Vikings team and the issues the Packers will face with Adams departure, I'm taking the points at home with Minnesota in what I expect is a straight up win. These clubs have split their last six games. | |||||||
09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams +2.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
The LA Rams begin defense of their 2021 NFL Championship here on Thursday against one of the best teams in the AFC, Buffalo Bills. The Bills still have that finish from last year in the playoffs against the Chiefs where both teams went back and forth in one of the best finishes in NFL history. Josh Allen drove the team down the field in 49 seconds for the go ahead score, only to have the Chiefs go for the tying score in just 13 seconds to force OT. The Chiefs won the toss in OT and scored the TD for the win without the Bills and Allen even getting to take the field. The Good news for the Rams is that Matthew Stafford will play after nagging injuries all preseason. Gone are WR's Robert Woods and Odell Beckham Jr. The Rams have the 2nd toughest schedule in the NFL and this is their first big test. The Bills are hungry to get that bad taste from their mouth in their playoff loss to the Chiefs. The Rams getting 2 1/2 points at home. With their defense they should be in this game until the end. I'll take the Rams plus the points. | |||||||
01-30-22 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 64 h 20 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers hope their recent success against the LA Rams carries over into today's contest as these two teams play for the right to go to the Super Bowl. The 49ers have beaten the Rams six straight games. The dog has also covered this matchup the last six straight games. The 49ers got to this game with a win last week at Green Bay, 13-10. The 49ers offense wasn't very good in the extreme cold with just 106 yards rushing and 212 total yards. However, special teams made the difference with a blocked punt for a touchdown. Despite not having an offensive TD, the 49ers were good enough on defense and special teams. The Niners also blocked a Mason Crosby field goal. The Rams got here with a win at top seeded Tampa Bay last week, 30-27. The Rams looked like they would run away with this game, leading 27-3 at the half. But Tom Brady has a knack of bringing back teams and he did it again as they tied the game at 27 all. But Matthew Stafford did his own Brady impersonation and led the Rams to a field goal with just 42 seconds left on the clock. Stafford threw for 36 yards and two TD's. As for today's contest. I can't overlook the hold the 49ers have on the Rams of late. Plus I get 3 or 3 1/2 points. I'll take the points here with the 49ers. | |||||||
01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -7 | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
Cincinnati pulled off one of the two big upsets over the last weekend as they upended the top seed in the AFC, Tennessee by a 19-16 margin. Tennessee looked to be moving toward the game winning score late in the 4th when QB Tannehill threw an interception around mid-field. The Bengals moved the ball into field goal position and scored the game winning field goal. The Bengals held the Titans to just 353 total yards in the game despite the return of Derrek Henry. Now the Bengals have only the Chiefs in their way if they want to get to the Super Bowl. What can you say about the Chiefs win over the Bills, 42-36 other then Wow! Both teams combined for over 20 points and four lead changes in the final two minutes of the game. The Chiefs had to go over 40 yards in 10 seconds of regulation just to get the tying field goal and force the OT. Personally, the Bills might have had the worst coaching I've seen at the end of a game I've seen by allowing that to happen. Hard to go against the Cheifs at home in the playoffs as they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven in that role. They have also covered eight of their last 10 games overall. I just don't have the faith in Burrows and the Bengals who haven't been in this position for over 30 years. Meanwhile we have Mahomes and the Chiefs who have won big games like this. I'll take the experience here today with the Chiefs. | |||||||
01-23-22 | Bills v. Chiefs -1.5 | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 44 h 43 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills advanced to the divisional round with little difficulty last week in the Wild Card round. The Bills blew out the Patriots, 47-17 as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bills had 174 yards rushing and 308 passing in a very balanced attack. They held the Pats to just 89 yards rushing and 216 yards passing. That makes five wins in a row for the Bills and a 4-0-1 Spread mark. Kansas City fell behind to Pittsburgh 0-7 early but rallied for 42-14 score the rest of the way en route to their win over the Steelers, 42-21 as a 12.5 point favorite. That makes nine wins in their last 10 games and a spread mark of 7-2 their last nine games. The Chiefs have covered five of the last seven games in this series with the Bills. With the line right around 1 1/2 or 2-points on the Chiefs, we need to likely just pick the winner here. I'll lay the 1 1/2 with the Chiefs at home. | |||||||
01-23-22 | Rams +3 v. Bucs | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 113 h 7 m | Show |
The LA Rams dominated the Arizona Cardinals in the Wildcard round, winning easily, 34-11 as a 3-point favorite. The Rams defense completely dominated Arizona, especially in the 1st half and caused Kyler Murray to make many mistakes including a pick-six. The Rams held Arizona to just 61 yards rushing and 122 yards passing for just 183 total yards. Now they will take on the ageless wonder in Tom Brady. Brady and the Bucs also won easily in the WildCard round over the Philadelphia Eagles, 31-15 as a 7-point favorite. Problem though is that the Bucs offensive line is a total mess and they will be missing key cogs this week. That will allow the Rams to do what they did last week and pressure Brady into mistakes. One knock against Brady is that he doesn't like to take a hit and will make mistakes when pressured. With his OL hurting and WR's Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin both gone, like will be tough on Brady this week. I'm taking the field goal with the Rams. | |||||||
01-22-22 | 49ers +6 v. Packers | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 32 h 41 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers went into Dallas in the Wild Card round and shocked the Cowboys and sent their fans home mad with a lopsided win, 23-17. The 49ers did get a scare at the end of the game when the Cowboys last seconds drive ended around the 30 yard line as time ran out on Dallas. That was the team's third win in a row both S/U and ATS. Now they have to head to Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers got the lone NFC buy in round one and have plenty of time before this game. They did lose their last game of the regular season to the Lions, 30-37, however most of the regulars only played about a quarter of this game. The Packers opened this game a 4.5-point favorite and that has moved to 5.5-points now. The weather will be cold in Green Bay, in the 20's and dropping during the game, However, there doesn't look to be any precipitation and the winds will be somewhat calm around 10 mph. The 49ers have been winning big games of late and while the Packers have been the best in the NFC, I'll take the points here and see if the Niners can keep this game to within a field goal. Play San Francisco. | |||||||
01-16-22 | 49ers +3 v. Cowboys | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 159 h 26 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers showed a lot of guts in week 18 at the Rams. Down 0-17 they clawed their way back to tie the game in the 4th quarter and had a chance to take the lead before Rams CB Ramsey made a circus interception at the same time the refs missed a roughing on the QB. The Rams took over the ball and marched the field to score the go ahead TD. After a SF punt and defensive stand, they Niners got the ball back with not much time on the clock and no time outs. QB Jimmy Garappolo marched the Niners the length of the field for the TD and forced OT where they kicked a field goal. The Rams threw an INT on the subsequent possession and SFO goes to the playoffs. Look for the Niners to run the ball down the Cowboys throats and use a physical defense to win this game. I like the 49ers a lot in this matchup. | |||||||
01-16-22 | Eagles v. Bucs -9 | 15-31 | Win | 100 | 156 h 55 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Eagles got into the playoffs but no thanks to their last regular season game. The Eagles lost last Saturday at home to the Dallas Cowboys, 26-51. Tampa Bay had little trouble with the Carolina Panthers, winning at home 41-17. I see the key to this game as the running game for the Eagles. The Eagles need to run effectively in order to win games. Problem is they are playing one of the best run defenses in the league in the Tampa Bay Bucs. The Bucs look to start defense of their NFL Championship with Tom Brady and a patchwork of receivers. They lost Antonio Brown when he stormed off the field. The already have lost Chris Goodwin to a season-ending injury. Now they have lost Cyril Grayson who was injured in the Panthers win. But, Brady still seems to find the right receivers at the right time. I'll lay the points at home here with the Bucs as their defense comes up big in this game. | |||||||
01-15-22 | Raiders +5.5 v. Bengals | 19-26 | Loss | -108 | 77 h 22 m | Show | |
The Raiders had to win down the stretch to get here and they did it with an interim coach, something not done in 60-years. They also had a chance to tie and send the Chargers to the playoffs too, but they were able to get into Field goal range late in OT and get the win. The weather looks to be cold here on Sunday with a 50% chance of snow, something Vegas isn't used to playing in. The lowest temp Vegas has played this year was 40 degrees and that was a Vegas win at Cleveland, 16-14. The Bengals will host their first playoff game since 2015. I don't think any team has gone through as much controversy this year as the Raiders have. Yet, they seem to be able to come out all right. I like playing dogs in the playoffs and the Raiders look to have a excellent shot of winning this game today. Play the Raiders. | |||||||
01-09-22 | Chargers v. Raiders +3 | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 81 h 60 m | Show | |
The game with the most importance to both teams was moved to Sunday night as the Raiders host the Chargers. The winner of this game will get into the playoffs while the loser goes home. The Chargers coming off a win last week vs Denver, 34-13, snapped a two-game losing streak. Las Vegas has won three straight to keep their playoff hopes alive, though they do need that fourth here today. They beat the Colts last week on the road, 23-20 with Carlson hitting the game winning field goal as time expired. The good news for the Raiders is that they might get back TE Darren Waller here today who has missed time with both injury and Covid protocols. In fact, the Raiders have a number of players they might get back Sunday coming off their Covid protocols. This is a call either way, but for me I'll take Vegas as a home dog since I look for them to win this game. Play the Raiders. | |||||||
01-09-22 | Seahawks +5.5 v. Cardinals | 38-30 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
Seattle won't be going to the postseason but they hope to finish their season on a positive note with a win here today at Arizona. The Seahawks are coming off a big home win last week over Detroit, 51-29. Arizona finally got back to the win column last week with a victory over Dallas, 25-22. I don't believe records will come into play here today. The Hawks have a lot of players looking to change their fortunes for next season and they won't mail this one in. The Cardinals win the NFC title with a win here today but they also need the Rams to lose. I expect a lot closer game than most in this one. I'll take the points with Seattle. | |||||||
01-09-22 | Bengals v. Browns -5 | 16-21 | Push | 0 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals lost their slim chances at the AFC No 1 seed when the Chiefs beat Denver on Saturday. That means this game has no meaning other than the rivalry that these two Ohio teams have. The Browns won the last meeting between these teams back on week nine, 41-16 at Cincinnati. The Browns won't be going to the postseason after a 7-9 mark thus far, but this game could help those sour feelings a bit. Now that Cincinnati has nothing to play for, QB Joe Burrow won't play today. That leaves Brandon Allen to do the signal calling duties for the Bengals. Baker Mayfield will also sit out this game for the Browns with a shoulder injury. I like Case Keenum, the backup for the Browns here today. Nothing to play for, I'll take the Browns who want their season to end in a win. | |||||||
01-08-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles +4 | 51-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
Both the Cowboys and Eagles have clinched a spot in the postseason. Dallas is 11-5 on the season and the NFC East champion. They will be the No 4 seed and can improve to No 2 with some additional help. The Eagles are 9-7 and the No 7 seed. The Eagles could actually lose today and still move up in the seeding. The Eagles are 6-1 in their last seven games and look to avenge a 41-21 loss to the Cowboys earlier this season. Both teams likely will be without some players today. The snow looks to have moved on here tonight, but it's going to be cold night in Philly with the low around 20 degrees. I will take the home team here and look for some revenge for that loss earlier in the season. Play Philadelphia. | |||||||
01-02-22 | Lions +8.5 v. Seahawks | 29-51 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Reason: It's a season that the Seattle Seahawks would love to forget. They will miss the postseason with a 5-10 S/U record this season. They have averaged just 20.4 ppg with a very good QB and receivers. The running game has been suspect all year, but looked better in recent weeks with Penny back. The defense has been last or near the bottom of the NFL all year long. The Hawks have lost two straight, two weeks ago to the Rams, 10-20 and then last week at home to the Chicago Bears, 24-25 as a 7-point favorite. The Seahawks are just 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs a losing team. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five as a home favorite. They face a scappy Detroit Lions team today. Despite going 0-9-1 in their first 11 games, they have won two games since against Minnesota and a blowout win over Arizona. They have also covered two straight and six of their last seven games. Two teams that have nothing to play for here today, but the Lions look to be the team with life in each game. I'll take the points and won't be surprised by another outright Lions win. Play Detroit. | |||||||
01-02-22 | Cardinals +6.5 v. Cowboys | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Arizona has fallen into 2nd place in the NFC West standings, one game back of the LA Rams. The Cardinals look to snap a 3-game losing streak here today at Dallas. The Cards are coming off a loss to the Colts, 16-22. That was on the heals of a loss at Detroit the previous week, 12-30. The Dallas Cowboys will be the NFC West Champion with an 11-4 record and a 3-game lead over the Eagles. The Cowboys have won four straight games both S/U and ATS. Dallas still trails Green Bay in the overall best NFC record. Plus the Bucs have an identical 11-4 record. The Cardinals have been very good on the road, evidenced by their 18-7-2 ATS record their last 27 games. The Cardinals have covered five of the last six games in this series and the dog is also 5-1 ATS. I'll take the dog Cardinals here today. Play Arizona. | |||||||
12-26-21 | Broncos v. Raiders | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
The LA Raiders kept their playoff chances alive with a win at the Cleveland Browns last week, 16-14. That snapped a two game losing streak for the Raiders. They also got some good news today as two of their inured secondary will return today. The other good news is they face a Denver team they have handled quite easily in recent times. They are 7-1 ATS vs the Broncos their last eight meetings and 5-0 ATS on their home turf vs the Broncos. The Broncos will be without QB Teddy Bridewater who was carted off the field with a concussion. That leaves the signal calling duties to Drew Lock. Denver also still have a wild card shot as they sit a 7-7. For me, without Bridgwater this Broncos team is not nearly as good. The Raiders have some confidence after last week and know they can and will handle these Broncos today. Play Las Vegas. | |||||||
12-20-21 | Raiders -2.5 v. Browns | 16-14 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
This game was a victim of the Covid Protocols. Originally slated to be played on Saturday, December 18, they moved this game to tonight in hopes players could get off the Covid lists and play. Well, that didn't happen. The Browns have been hit hard and even with the two day delay, those players on protocol are ALL out. That includes Baker Mayfield and a slew of offensive and defensive starters. There are a few players that look like they will play, but were' talking a lot of backups here. That's why the line has gone from Browns as favorites to the Raiders at 2 or 3 favorites. As for the Raiders, who are 100% vaccinated, they have no players out with Covid. Throw out the numbers here today, play the healthier Raiders in this one. | |||||||
12-19-21 | Titans v. Steelers -1 | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers are in a must win situation here on Sunday. They are in last in the AFC North with a 6-6-1 record. They sit a half game back of both the Bengals and Browns and 1 1/2 games back of division leading Baltimore. Meanwhile the Tennessee Titans can extend their lead in the AFC South to two games over the Colts with a win here today. Neither defense is up to previous standards, with the Titans ranking 14th and the Steelers at 26th. Tennessee has dropped to 17th in offense since then leading rusher Derek Henry went down with an injury. The Steelers come in at 21st overall and 30th in rushing. The Titans are coming off a win at home over Jacksonville, 20-0. That snapped a two game losing streak for the Titans. The Steelers overcame a horrid first half last week at Minnesota and almost pulled off the huge comeback, but fell short at the end of the game in a 28-36 loss. This game really more important to the Steelers and I will be on that side here today. Play Pittsburgh. | |||||||
12-19-21 | Jets v. Dolphins -10 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
The NY Jets have lost two straight games as they head South to take on the Miami Dolphins today. The jets are coming off a pair of lopsided losses, both at home. They lost to Philly two weeks ago, 18-33 and then last week to the Saints, 9-30. The offense garnered only 256 yards vs the Saints and 281 against the Eagles. Won't get much easier against a much improved Dolphins team today. The Dolphins have won and covered five straight games. They are coming off a win over the Giants, 20-9. Their defense has really stepped it up, holding each of the last five opponents to 17 or fewer points. Four of those games were 10 or fewer points. I'll take the Dolphins here today as the Jets likely won't hit double digits on the score board. Play Miami. | |||||||
12-18-21 | Patriots +2.5 v. Colts | 17-27 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots have opened up a 2-game lead in the AFC East over the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots are not only 6-0 away from home this year but are on a 7-game win streak. They head to Indianapolis tonight to face the Colts. The Colts trail the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South by two games. After that, the Wild Card at this point is surely Wild and up for a number a teams to take. The Colts have the leagues 11th ranked overall offense and 2nd ranked rushing attack. New England has the leagues 16th ranked offense. The Colts have the 12th ranked defense and the Patriots have the 3rd ranked defense. This should be a excellent game here tonight. The Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. I'll take the hot team with the great road record. Play New England. | |||||||
12-16-21 | Chiefs v. Chargers +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Kansas City and the LA Chargers play a key divisional game here on Thursday. The 9-4 Chiefs lead the 8-5 Chargers by just one game. A win tonight by the Chargers and they pull into a divisional tie. A loss and they can let the Broncos tie them with a win on Sunday. The Chiefs have the league's third best overall offense, 17th in rushing and 6th in passing. The Chargers are right behind them ranked 5th overall. Defensively, the Chargers rank a bit better at 15th compared to the Chiefs 23rd. The Chiefs have won five straight and covered four in row after last week's easy win over the Raiders, 48-9. The Chargers have won and covered two in a row after their win last week over the Giants, 37-21. Short turnaround here tonight. The Chargers also get back Keenan Allen who missed last week under Covid protocols. I like the home dog here tonight. Play the Chargers. | |||||||
12-13-21 | Rams v. Cardinals -2.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals can take sole possession of the NFC standings with a win here tonight over the LA Rams. The Cardinals are 10-2 this season with the 10-3 Packers and Bucs on their heals. The Rams sit at 8-4 and right now looking for one of the those NFC Wild Card slots. The Rams are 5-7 ATS on the season and coming off a win and cover over Jacksonville, 37-7. That snapped a four-game spread losing streak. Arizona is 9-3 ATS and coming off a win and cover over Chicago, 33-22. The Rams are now just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. The Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. The favorite has been the play in this series, going 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 meetings. That's just the side I will be on here tonight. Play Arizona. | |||||||
12-12-21 | Bills v. Bucs -3 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 122 h 42 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills coming off that wind-swept loss last week to the NE Patriots, 10-14. The Bills had two straight trips into the red-zone late in the 4th quarter and came away with no points. The loss dropped the Bills to 7-5 overall and two-games back of the Patriots in the AFC East. Now the Bills face the real prospect of having to fight for a AFC Wild Card slot. The Bills have lost three of their last five games and scored 15 points or fewer in those three losses. It won't get any easier this week as the Bills have to travel to Tampa to face the NFL defending Champion Bucs. Tampa Bay improved to 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS with their win last week at Atlanta, 30-17. It was the team's third straight win after having two losses in a row. Tampa Bay also has the league's third best overall offense and top rated passing attack. Buffalo operating on a short week here today and against the Bucs that can only hurt. I'll lay the field goal with the Bucs today. | |||||||
12-12-21 | Ravens v. Browns -2 | 22-24 | Push | 0 | 118 h 18 m | Show | |
Reason: Baltimore is 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS after losing on Sunday to the Pittsburgh Steelers, 19-20. That snapped a two game winning streak. The Ravens have also now gone under in three straight games. The Ravens defense is ranked 20th in the NFL overall, but 2nd vs the rush and 32 nd vs the pass. The offense is 4th overall, 2nd rushing and 13th passing. The Browns had last week off after losing to the Ravens back on Nov 28th, 10-16. The Browns offense is ranked 16th and while their rushing is ranked 3rd they had only 40 yards on the ground in their loss to the Ravens two weeks ago. Weather can also wreck havoc in Cleveland and right now it doesn't look too bad, but that can change quickly. I look for the Browns to use that extra time off to be fully prepared for this game on Sunday. I'll take the home team here. | |||||||
12-12-21 | Cowboys v. Washington Football Team +4 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 18 m | Show | |
Key NFC West matchup here on Sunday, especially for the Washington Football team. The Dallas Cowboys lead the NFC East with a 8-4 record and the Washington Football team is in 2nd with a 6-6 record. While Washington is in the thick of the Wild Card race, they could use a big win here on Sunday in this divisional matchup. Washington is hot, winning four straight games including a last seconds win last week at Las Vegas, 17-15. The defense has played much better, allowing 21 points or fewer in each of their last four games. Dallas snapped a two game losing streak last week with a win at New Orleans, 27-17. They got a pick-six late from the defense to make the final look better than it was. The Cowboys were outgained in that win with the Saints, 379-405. That's three straight week the Cowboys out lost in the yardage total. Getting four points or more looks great to me here today when I believe that Washington can win this game outright. Play Washington. | |||||||
12-09-21 | Steelers +3.5 v. Vikings | 28-36 | Loss | -117 | 54 h 37 m | Show | |
Tonight, it's the Steelers at the Vikings in this Inter-Conference matchup. The injury report isn't good for the Vikings in this one as their star RB Dalvin Cook is questionable with a shoulder injury. At first it looked like a season ending injury, but turned out to just be dislocated. Still, without Cook this Vikings team is not the same. The Vikings have the dubious distinction of being the first team to lose to the Detroit Lions this year after last week's 27-29 setback at Detroit. That makes two straight losses for the Vikings. They will have to face a Steelers team that is playing with lots of confidence after coming from behind last week to beat Baltimore, 20-19. That improved the Steelers to 6-5-1 on the season. While the Steelers are still 3rd in the AFC North, they kept their playoff hopes alive. Getting 3.5 points here today with the Steelers looks, well like a steal since they can win this game outright very easily. Play Pittsburgh. | |||||||
12-06-21 | Patriots +3 v. Bills | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Looks like a typical late fall early winter night in Buffalo as the weather is going to be around freezing with rain that will turn to snow with very high winds that can be upwards of 30 mph. This will make for a very interesting night between the Pats and the Bills. The Patriots have been rolling too, winning six straight games. their defense has also been great, allowing 18 points or fewers in five of those games. They have also covered all six. The Bills have been hit and miss of late, going 2-2 S/U and ATS their last four games. The defense, with the exception of the 41 points allowed to Indianapolis two weeks ago has also been very good, allowing 17 or fewer in four of their last five games. I like the Patriots a lot here tonight and will take the points in what should be a game with not many scoring opportunities. | |||||||
12-05-21 | Washington Football Team v. Raiders -1 | 17-15 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
The Washington Football Team is 5-6 on the season and trails first place Dallas by 2.5 games. Washington trails San Francisco by one game for a Wild Card spot. Washington is 4-7 ATS on the season. They average 20.8 ppg while allowing 25.6 ppg. They have won three straight both S/U and ATS including last week at home over Seattle, 17-15. The Raiders are in the thick of it for both the AFC West and the Wildcard. While their changes are low, they still need every win. Vegas broke a three-game losing streak last week with a big win at Dallas, 36-33. Now they return home where they are just 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. A loss here today by the Raiders and they likely take themselves out of playoff contention. I'll take Las Vegas. | |||||||
12-05-21 | Cardinals v. Bears +7.5 | 33-22 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears have had some extra time off before today's game with their last coming on Thanksgiving Day in their win at Detroit in the last seconds, 16-14. The Bears are 4-7 on the season and out of the playoffs. But they can still put a bump in the Cardinals playoff run. Arizona QB Kyler Murray is questionable today with his ongoing ankle injury. With or without Murray, this game looks to be one that the weather could have an impact on. This will be the first time the Cardinals will have to deal with cold weather. There is a near 50% chance of rain and while it will be in the 40 degree range, the winds will be pushing 20 mph and that not only makes the wind chill much less but the rain that much colder. I believe the weather will play a factor here today, especially if Murray doesn't play for the Cardinals. I'll take the points in chilly Chicago today. Play the Bears. | |||||||
12-05-21 | Giants v. Dolphins -6 | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
The NY Giants are in last in the NFC East with a 4-7 S/U record. The Giants are 6-5 ATS and 3-7-1 O/U on the year. Won't be any better here today at Miami as the Giants will be starting QB Daniel Jones who has a neck injury. Mike Glennon looks to be the starter on Sunday. The Dolphins did have the worst defense in the NFL, but after last week have moved up to 24th in defense. The Giants beat the Eagles last week, 13-7 and had just 264 total yards of offense. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have won four straight games and their defense has allowed 17 points or fewer in each of those games. Don't look for the Giants to get much today against an improving Dolphins defense and with a backup QB. Play Miami. | |||||||
11-29-21 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team +1 | 15-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
NFC clash here on Monday Night football has two teams in desperate need of a win. The Washington Football team is 3rd in the NFC East at 4-6 and trail 2nd place Philly by one game and division leading Dallas by 2.5-games. Seattle is in an unfamiliar position, last in the NFC West at 3-7. They have lost two straight games and really are out of the race as the Cardinals sit at 9-2. Seattle has lost four of their last five games, even with the return of QB Russell Wilson from a thumb injury. They are coming off a loss at home to Arizona, 13-23 as a 5.5-point dog. The Seahawks hit the road where they are 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS. Washington brings a two game win streak into tonight's contest. They are off a win at Carolina last week, 27-21 and beat the Bucs the previous week at home, 29-19. The defense has not allowed 300 yards or more in four straight games. Seattle is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. Seattle makes the long West to East coast trip and that's always hard on the West team. I'll take Washington here tonight. | |||||||
11-28-21 | Steelers +4 v. Bengals | 10-41 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
It's a very tight AFC North Division with Baltimore leading with a 7-3 record, one game back are the Bengals at 6-4 and then comes the Steelers, 5-4-1. That makes this a key AFC North battle today. The Steelers look to avenge their loss at home back on Sept 26 to the Bengals, 10-24. They lost to Cincinnati despite having 302 yards to 268 yards. The Steelers are coming off a loss at the LA Chargers last week, 37-41 and at home to Detroit the week before that, 16-16. Cincinnati got back into the win column last week with a win at Las Vegas, 32-13. That snapped a two-game losing streak for the Bengals. I like the dog here today and that's the Steelers. | |||||||
11-28-21 | Bucs v. Colts +3 | 38-31 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs got off to a hot start, winning six of their first seven games. Since then they have lost back-to-back games to New Orleans and Washington before rebounding with a win at home last week over the Giants, 30-10. They have covered just three of their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Indianapolis Colts are one of the hottest teams in the NFL winning three straight games and now back in the playoff picture. They went into Buffalo last week as a 7-point dog and blew out the Bills, 41-15. Jonathon Taylor had five touchdowns in that win. Now the Colts are a dog at home. Yes the Bucs are defending NFL Champions, but they haven't looked all that great the last three weeks. I'll take the points here today with the home team. Play Indianapolis. | |||||||
11-28-21 | Titans v. Patriots -6.5 | Top | 13-36 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
Lots of side action in this key AFC clash. Both teams are in first place in their respective AFC divisions. The Pats are tied with the Bills for first place while Tennessee has a 2-game lead over the Colts. This will also pit mentor against mentee as Bill Belichick takes on his one time assistant in Mike Vrabel. Not sure what happened to the Titans last week as they lost ugly at home to lowly Houston, 13-22. That loss snapped a six game win streak. The Patriots have been red hot, winning five straight games as QB Mac Jones looks better and better with each game. The defense has been amazing, allowing just 10 points per game during their five-game win streak. The Titans have looked bad offensively without Derick Henry. QB Ryan Tannehill has thrown five interceptions in the last three games. I look for the Titans to struggle again on offense against one of the best defensive teams. With Jones playing well for the Pats I look for another New England win and cover today. | |||||||
11-25-21 | Bills v. Saints +6.5 | 31-6 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
Who would have expected the Indianapolis Colts to return to HC Frank Reich's old stomping grounds and put a hurting on the 1st place Hills? But they did. The Colts behind FIVE Jonathon Taylor TD's manhandled the Bills, 41-15. The Colts have four takeaways and no turnovers in the win. Now the Bills have to hit the road for a game at the Saints. Two of their last three games have not been good, beginning three weeks again in Jacksonville where they lost 6-9. Sure they rebounded an blew out the NY Jets, 45-17, but that's the Jets we are talking about. The Saints also got blown out last week, despite a mad fourth quarter rally against Philadelphia, 29-40. The Saints have the 10th ranked defense in the league, 3rd against the rush and 21st vs the pass. The Bills still have the leagues top defense, despite the blowout last week. The Bills are 8th vs the rush and 2nd vs the pass. QB Josh Allen can't do everything himself. There appears to be something wrong with this Bills offense of late and until I see more consistency, I'll take the points with the home dog here today. Play New Orleans. | |||||||
11-25-21 | Raiders v. Cowboys -7.5 | 36-33 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
The Raiders have been a team in disarray every since news broke about Jon Gruden and he was forced to resign. Since then they have lost WR Henry Ruggs and a starting defensive back - both to off field issues. And since then they are just 1-3, including last week's loss at home to Cincinnati, 13-32. The once top ranked offense now looks out of sorts and has not cracked 300 yards in the last two game (both at home). The Dallas Cowboys ran into a buzz saw last week in Kansas City and could only manage nine points in the loss, 9-19. The offense had just 276 total yards for a team that is ranked 1st in the NFL in offense. I don't expect the Raiders to get it together in this short week, but I do expect the Cowboys will. Take Dallas. | |||||||
11-22-21 | Giants +11 v. Bucs | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
The Giants had last week off to prepare for tonight's game at Tampa Bay. The Giants are coming off a win at Las Vegas, 23-16 as a 3-point dog. The defense has played much better of late, allowing 20 points or fewer in each of their last three games, though the defense still ranks just 24th. The offense is ranked 21st overall. The Tampa Bay Bucs are coming off a road loss to Washington, 19-29 as a 9.5-point favorite. It was the worst offensive output of the season for the Bucs with just 273 total yards and Brady being intercepted twice. The Giants have been very good on the road, evidenced by their 21-6 ATS mark over their last 27 away games. The road team is 6-1-1 ATS the last eight in this series and the Giants are 5-0-1 ATS the last six trips to Tampa Bay. I'll take the points here tonight with the Giants. | |||||||
11-21-21 | Colts +7.5 v. Bills | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
The Indianapolis Colts started the season 1-4, but have since won four of their last five games. They are coming off a win at home vs the Jacksonville Jaguars, 23-17, but failed to cover the 10.5-point line. The offense did sputter a bit though, with just 295 total yards to the Jags 331 yards. The Colts offense has been good, ranked 12th overall and 6th in rushing with Jonathon Taylor carrying the load. The Buffalo Bills rebounded nicely last week with a 45-17 win at the NY Jets as a 13-point favorite. They lost the previous week at Jacksonville, 6-9. The Bills can climb back into a first way tie with the Patriots with a win here today at 7-4. A loss and they drop to 6-4 and 2nd place in the division. I like the way the Colts have been playing in recent weeks and getting a TD or bit more looks very good today. Play Indianapolis. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |