Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-16-18 | Lions v. Bills -2.5 | 13-14 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions and the Buffalo Bills won't be going to the postseason this year. That doesn't mean they won't be playing this game tough. The Lions are 5-8 and in last place in the NFC North. The Lions snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at Arizona last week, 17-3. Detroit is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. The Buffalo Bills are playing tough after a rough start to the season. The Bills lost at home last week to the Jets, 23-27, but have won two of their last four. QB Josh Allen has this team competing well for head coach Sean McDermott. Since his return from injury, Allen has rushed 31 times for 335 yards, something that gives opposing teams fits. The Bills defense has also been amazing, as they lead the league now in total yards. They also have the best yardage differential in the NFL the last five games. The Lions are banged up these days with Stafford having back injuries and problems at running back. You have to go back eight weeks to find the last time the Lions scored more than 22 points and that was October 21st. I really like this situation for the Bills. Their defense is playing great and they face a hurt Lions team that isn't scoring anyways. Perfect spot for a big win today. Take Buffalo. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Packers +5.5 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The Packers have to wonder how they will score after watching the high-octane Rams get just six points at Chicago last week. Green Bay has an outside shot at a Wildcard, but too many things have to happen for that to become reality. The Bears clinch the NFC North with a win today or a Vikings loss. But for all intents and purposes, the Bears are the division champions. Have to wonder if it's time for them to start giving some rest to starters with the postseason not far off. The Packers have historically done very well vs the Bears. Just think back to the opening week when they came from way back with an injured Aaron Rodgers to win. The Packers are now 16-5 ATS in their last 21 trips to Chicago. The Packers are also 12-4 ATS in the last 16 overall meetings. I'm going to take the points in today's game with the Packers and see if they can continue to snakebite the Bears. Play Green Bay. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -3 | Top | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys hold a two-game lead in the NFC East with three games to play. The Cowboys had to go to OT last week to dispatch Philadelphia, 29-23. Now they have the Colts, Bucs and close out at the Giants. They could easily lose two of these games if not careful. The Colts bounced back from their 0-6 loss at Jacksonville two weeks ago with a big win at Houston last week, 24-21. The Colts can't catch Houston for the AFC South lead, but they are in the running for the last AFC Wildcard. Right now the Chargers have the first wildcard and four teams are tied with a 7-6 record. The Colts have been good at home against winning teams, evidenced by their 16-5-1 ATS mark their last 22 games. The favorite and the home team have each covered four of the last five in this series. I like the Colts and Andrew Luck here in today's game. Play Indianapolis. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Browns +3 v. Broncos | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 32 h 50 m | Show | |
Denver looked like a team poised at a chance to run the table for the rest of the season. Then they hit the 49ers last week and lost 14-20. Now they have the Browns today and then finish up at Oakland and at home vs the Chargers. The loss last week snapped a three-game spread win streak for Denver. The Broncos have not been good at home cover spreads of late, evidenced by their 3-7-1 ATS mark in their last 11 at Mile High. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 December games. The Browns pulled out another win last week, with a home victory over the Panthers, 26-20. That makes three wins in the club's last four games. Both teams ranked right about the same on offense with Denver 15th and Cleveland 16th. Neither team's defense all that good this year, Denver ranked 24th and Cleveland at 31st. I have to think Denver is deflated after losing a game they should have won last week. Cleveland just seems to be happy winning these days. I'm taking the points here today with the Browns. | |||||||
12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
For me, this game comes down to a few things. First, both teams have running back issues. The Chargers likely without Gordon and Eckler while the Chiefs have no Hunt and Ware is hurt. The Chargers get a big revenge game for that loss earlier this season and that really does make more difference in division games. The Chargers have the much better defense and pass rush. Plus, the Chiefs are coming off a very physical OT game last week vs the Ravens. The Chargers coasted last week vs the Bengals. For me, all the positives line up on the Chargers tonight. Take LA Chargers. | |||||||
12-10-18 | Vikings v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 140 h 55 m | Show |
Monday Night Game of the Year: The Vikings are coming off a loss at New England last week, 10-24. The Vikings are 2-2 in their last four games. The Vikings are in 2nd in the NFC North 1.5 games back of the Bears. The Vikings are still in the hunt for a WildCard spot though as they battle a host of other teams. Seattle has the unfortunate luck of being in the NFC West with the Rams.. However, right now they are 7-5 and holding onto one of the Wild Card spots. The Seahawks have won three straight after last week's win over the 49ers, 43-16. The have average over 30 points a game in their last four outings. The Vikings are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 2-9 ATS here on Monday nights. The Hawks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six vs the NFC and 22-9-1 ATS in their last32 games in December. Seattle laying 3 or 3.5-points here on Monday night. I love the way the Seahawks are playing and the Vikings on the road again here this week. Bad spot for Minnesota. Take the Seahawks. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers +4 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 39 h 47 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are still in the hunt for a Wildcard spot at 6-6 this season and one of the easiest scheduled left in the NFL. The bad news is that Emmanuel Sanders, their star WR, was hurt in practice and is out with a leg injury. The Broncos are ranked 15th in offense and 25th on defense. In fact, the 49ers rank much better on defense, 11th, then Denver. San Francisco isn't far behind in offense either, ranked 17th. Denver hasn't been the favorite all that often, in fact, just three times in the last 10 weeks. With San Francisco, Cleveland, Oakland and the Chargers left on their schedule, a 9-7 or 10-6 season is definitely in the cards. The 49ers return home today after two tough road games where they were outscored 25-70. I really like the 49ers coach and he knows how to get the most out of his teams. I'm taking the points here at home with San Francisco. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Colts +4.5 v. Texans | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 36 h 43 m | Show | |
An AFC South matchup here between the division leading Houston Texans and the third place Colts. The Colts are still in the AFC Wildcard hunt at 6-6, but every game is important. After today's game, the Colts play at home against Dallas and the Giants and then finish at Tennessee. None of those will be easy wins. The Texans have the Jets, Eagles and Jaguars left - all very winable games. The Colts season is on the line here and after they were shutout last week, 0-6 at Jacksonville, I expect a much better effort today. Take the Colts. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Saints v. Bucs +10.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -130 | 36 h 42 m | Show | |
A rematch of week one where these two teams put on a offensive explosion won by the Bucs. Now the Saints travel to Tampa and look for redemption after their worst game of the season last week. Tampa has the top ranked offense in the league with New Orleans not far behind at No 5. Problem is with defense, as the Bucs are 27th and the Saints 15th. The Saints lost last week at Dallas, 10-13, only the third time this year that the Saints have scored less than 30 points. Tampa Bay has gone back to Jameis Winston at QB. It's paid off too, with two straight wins over San Francisco and Carolina. In fact, the defense, which was once the worst in the league, has allowed just 27 points the last two weeks. I look for another high scoring game here this week, but I'm taking the home team. Play Tampa Bay. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Patriots v. Dolphins +9 | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 36 h 42 m | Show | |
It didn't seem that long ago when the Dolphins were 3-0 and went cruising into New England where they took a good old fashioned whipping, 7-38. Since that loss, it's been tough on the Dolphins, with QB Ryan Tannehill hurt and the team going 3-6. They did win last game out at home over Buffalo, 21-17. It was their second cover in a row after a 2-5 ATS string. The Patriots are cruising to another AFC East division title at 9-3. They lead the Dolphins by three games with four to play. The Pats have won two straight games after that loss at Tennessee, 10-34. They beat the Jets and then last week the Vikings, outscoring both teams 51-23. The Pats really have a easy schedule left with Miami, Pittsburgh, Buffalo and the Jets. Their only test will be that game at Pittsburgh which is next week. We might even see a bit of a look ahead spot here today with the Patriots. The home team has really been the play in this series, covering 13 of the last 16 meetings. In addition, New England is 1-5 ATS in their last five trips to Miami. I'm taking the home team here. Play Miami. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Panthers v. Browns +1.5 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 36 h 43 m | Show |
It's been a roller coaster season for the Browns, firing Hue Jackson earlier in the season and having to endure all those OT games. They have won two of their last three games with wins over the Falcons and Bengals. They did lose last week at Houston, 13-29. Now they return home for two of their last four games. They get the reeling Panthers here today. Remember back to week six when the Panthers trailed the Eagles 0-17 in the fourth quarter? Then they rallied to win that game 21-17. It looked like that could be the turnaround of their season. However, since that win, they are 2-4 both S/U and ATS and on a four-game losing streak. The Panthers lost last week to the Buccaneers, 17-24 as 3-point chalks. Now it looks like Carolina is out in the playoff picture with New Orleans twice on the schedule and Atlanta left. Browns have been tough at home and I'm taking them here today against this Panther team that is chasing its own tail at this point. Play Cleveland. | |||||||
12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans -4 | 9-30 | Win | 100 | 44 h 57 m | Show | |
Disappointing season for Jacksonville as they sit at 4-8 and last in the AFC South. This despite their win last week over the Colts, 6-0. The win snapped a seven game losing streak for the Jags. Jacksonville still has the 5th ranked defense, it's the offense that has been poor at 22nd. Tennessee was in the AFC South race until the last few weeks. The Titans are now 6-6 and tied for second, 3-games back of the Texans. The Titans did come back last week and beat the Jets, 26-22. That snapped a two game losing streak for Tennessee. Tennessee is now 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games and 6-2 ATS the last eight vs the AFC South. The Titans are 4-1-1 ATS the last six vs Jacksonville. In addition, the home team is 5-2-1 ATS the last eight in this series. Take Tennessee here on Thursday. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers -3 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
The Chargers had little trouble last week with Arizona, winning 45-10. The win got the bad taste out of their mouth from the previous week's loss to the Broncos, 22-23. The Chargers have the 6th ranked offense in the league and the 9th ranked defense in the league. The big loss though is that of RB Melvin Gordon, who is out with a knee injury. That will put all the more pressure on QB Phillip Rivers today. The Steelers enter this game with the 4th ranked offense and the 6th ranked defense. Pittsburgh lost last week to the Broncos, 17-24. The Steelers had four turnovers in that game and no take aways. They outgained the Broncos 527 yards to just 308. The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games. The Chargers are will be hard pressed to score the way they have without Gordon in the lineup. Take the Steelers here on Sunday. | |||||||
12-02-18 | 49ers v. Seahawks -10 | 16-43 | Win | 105 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers made that big splash three weeks ago with Mullens at QB when they beat the Raiders, 34-3. However, since then, they have lost to the Jets (23-27) and then lost at Tampa Bay, 9-27. The 49ers are now 7-18-1 ATS their last 26 against a team with a winning record. The Seahawks have won two straight games. Seattle is 5-1-1 ATS their last seven games. The Hawks are 12-5-1 ATS their last 18 home games vs a team with a losing record. Seattle has owned this series, going 10-2-1 ATS the last 13 games vs the 49ers and 5-1-1 ATS the last seven at home. I'm on the Hawks here today. Play Seattle. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Colts -4 v. Jaguars | 0-6 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Colts now have won five straight games with Andrew Luck throw at least three TD's in eight straight games. The Colts offense has been in high gear since week 4. They have scored 27 or more points in seven of their last eight games. Jacksonville now has lost seven straight games. The Colts now have the 9th ranked offense and the 16th ranked defense. The Jags are 22nd ranked offense and 5th ranked defense. The Colts have done well vs losing teams, posting a 32-13-1 ATS mark their last 56 games. The Jags are 0-5-2 ATS their last seven games. I like the way the Colts have been playing and the Jags are just too messed up these days to back. Take Indianapolis. | |||||||
11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Tough to go against the Saints as well as they are playing. However, the Cowboys looking better and better after their win last week over Washington 31-23. The Cowboys had a +3 tunrover ratio in that game and 404 yards of offense. This is the type of game that the Saints look on paper that they should take. But the line in my opinion is just too high for the way the Cowboys are looking right now. I'm making a very small play on the Cowboys tonight. | |||||||
11-26-18 | Titans +4 v. Texans | 17-34 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
Tennessee looking to rebound from that beating they took last week at Indy, 10-38. That loss snapped a two-game win streak for the Titans, including wins over Dallas and New England. In their defense, they ran into a red-hot Colts team and Andrew Luck. Luck has had at least 3 TD passes in each of his last eight games. Houston puts its seven-game win streak on the line here tonight. The Texans are coming off road wins at Denver and Washington (both games by two points). The Titans have covered their last seven Monday Night football games and are 6-1 ATS vs the AFC South. Conversely, the Texans have not done well on Monday Night, posting a 2-10 ATS mark their last 12 tries. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. I look for the Titans to rebound here tonight. I'm taking the 3.5 or 4 points with Tennessee. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Packers +3.5 v. Vikings | 17-24 | Loss | -118 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Two teams that were expected to compete for their division titles have both struggled this year. The Packers lost last time out at Seattle, 24-27 but pushed as a 3-point dog. The Packers have a great rushing attack averaging 109 yards per game. The Packers are 8th in the league in offense. Minnesota is 5th in the league in offense, but that is mainly through the air as they average just 92 yards on the ground. Minnesota came up short last week at Chicago, losing 20-25 and failing to cover the 2.5 point line. The Vikings have covered just four games this season. The dog has covered six of the last eight in this series and that's who I'm going with today. Take the Packers plus the points. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Jaguars v. Bills +3 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Jags have been struggling, going only 0-4-2 ATS in their last six games. They are also 0-3-1 ATS their last four games following a spread loss. The Bills are coming off a 41-10 win over the Jets. That was more points then they scored in the last three games combined. You have to go back to September 30th vs the Jets for the Jaguars to have covered a game. That means they haven't covered in their last six. Buffalo covered this meeting last year at Jacksonville, losing 3-10 but covering the 8-point spread. Jags just not playing well, I'm taking the points here with the Bills. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Panthers | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Seattle has been a good road covering team, evidenced by their 7-3-2 ATS mark their last 12 away games. In addition, they are 4-1-1 ATS their last six games and 3-0-1 ATS their last four vs the NFC. Seattle got the push last week vs the number when they beat the Packers 27-24 as 3-point favorites. After winning three straight, the Panthers have now lost two straight. They lost last week at Detroit, 19-20 and the previous week at Pittsburgh 21-52. Seattle getting points here has been a good spot for the Hawks. I don't like laying with Seattle, but they covered both times vs the Rams and now get points against a reeling Panthers squad. Play Seattle. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Giants +5.5 v. Eagles | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Seems like no one wants to win the NFC East. The Dallas Cowboys are tied with the lead with Washington at 6-5, but the Giants are not completely out of it at 3-7 and the Eagles are 4-6. Both these clubs need a win today badly. The Giants have been getting much better play from QB Eli Manning, who has looked more like the QB we saw win Super Bowls then what we have seen the last year and half. The Giants have won two straight games and scored 65 points in the process. They have lots of offensive weapons in Saqon Barkley and Odell Beckham Jr. The Super Bowl Champion Eagles got humbled last week in New Orleans by the Saints, 7-48. It was the team's third loss in their last four games. The defense has been hurting and this team is filled with injuries. Five corner backs are on the injured list and they have running back by committee right now. At this point, the Giants seem to be the team playing better and I'm getting five points. I'm on the Giants today. | |||||||
11-22-18 | Redskins v. Cowboys -7 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show | |
Big NFC EAST contest here as the first place Washington Redskins take on the 2nd place Dallas Cowboys. This division is wide open so this is a big game. The Redskins of course lose QB Alex Smith for the season with that devastating ankle injury last week. QB Colt McCoy will step into the starting spot. The issue is that the new QB has a short week to practice. That's going to cost him a couple of days of normal practice. Dallas coming off a 22-19 win over the Falcons. The Redskins coming off that loss at home to Houston, 21-23. The Cowboys have the bigger edge in this contest because of that QB situation. McCoy is a decent quarterback, but he needs those reps and he won't get them this week. Take the Cowboys. | |||||||
11-22-18 | Bears v. Lions +2.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
Tough spot here for the Bears. They played the late game on Sunday, then had to turn around and travel to Detroit to play the earliest game on Thursday. Very short week for them. Add to that the injury to QB Mitchell Trubisky. Trubisky is doubtful for this game with a shoulder injury. That means QB Chase Daniel will have to start in his place. Detroit not only played at home last week, they beat Carolina, 20-19. They didn't have to travel. That to me gives them the advantage here on Sunday. I'm taking the Bears today. | |||||||
11-19-18 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Rams | 51-54 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
What a great game we are treated to tonight as both 9-1 teams meet here at the Coliseum in LA. Originally scheduled for Mexico, this game had to be moved to LA because of field conditions. The Chiefs have been great for bettors, going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 overall and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 on grass. They have also been great on the road, covering 20 of their last 27 away games. As good as the Rams have been, they haven't been good against the spread. They are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games; 1-4 ATS their last five vs a team with a winning record and 1-6 ATS their last 7 overall. In addition, the Chiefs have covered the last six in this series. Bottom line here, you can make a case for either team. However, only one of these teams does well for bettors and that's the Chiefs. I'll take the points here with Kansas City. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |