Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-09-23 | Astros v. Angels -130 | 3-1 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Angels. Two good teams that we're all familiar with. Two really good starting pitchers, but we think that Ohtani at this price at home is well worth the cost of admission. Houston continues to struggle, almost entirely due to injury issues here early on in the season. The Angels took the opener yesterday by a score of 6-4 and the can hand Houston a fourth straight series loss with another victory today. Framber Valdez is 2-4 with a 2.60 ERA, while Ohtani is 4-0 with a 2.54 ERA. LA has won six of eight and with Ohtani getting the slight nod over Valdez in this matchup, purely because of the "home field advantage," we're expecting the momentum to continue here. Great value overall, the play is LA. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
05-08-23 | White Sox -130 v. Royals | 5-12 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the White Sox. The Royals are one of the worst teams in MLB, while the White Sox have started to turn the corner with their play over the last two weeks. We're expecting both of these trajectories to continue for these team's tonight in Kansas City. Chicago is only 12-23, but it's won five of its last seven, including taking two of three at Cincinnati over the weekend. That includes yesterday's 17-4 destruction of the Reds. KC is just 9-26 this year, including only 3-16 at home. Dylan Cease is 2-1 with a 4.58 ERA for the White Sox, while Zach Greinke is 1-4 with a 5.25 ERA for the Royals. Cease is 4-3 with a 2.58 ERA in 12 career starts vs. KC, while Greinke is 10-10 with a 3.81 ERA in 31 career appearances vs. Chicago. But the "current" form of both Cease, and the surging White Sox make them worth the price of admission today in a nutshell. Lay the price with confidence, the play is CHICAGO. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
05-07-23 | Blue Jays -120 v. Pirates | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Blue Jays. "Momentum" in sports, can be a very real, almost tangible factor. It's often a factor in which we've found that the oddsmakers have a hard-time properly quantifying into a line. Toronto has snapped a five-game slide with back-to-back blowout wins here in Pittsburgh, winning 4-0 in Game 1 and 8-2 yesterday and we're expecting this "momentum" from the Jays to continue here on Sunday. The Pirates got out to the unrealistic start to the 2023 MLB season and have already now started to come back down to Earth. We say that regression continues here. Yusei Kikuchi is 4-0 with a 4.02 ERA for the Jays, while Roansy Contreras is 3-2 with a 4.09 ERA for the Pirates. With Pittsburgh continuing to deal with injuries to key players, we look for TORONTO to contiue to build its "momentum." Good luck, TIR | |||||||
05-06-23 | Dodgers +102 v. Padres | 2-1 | Win | 102 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Dodgers. For this three-game report, we're going to keep our analysis very succinct. The Dodgers six-game win streak came to an end in yesterday's 5-2 series-opening loss here in San Diego last night. The Padres have won five of their last six, but we think that LA is the correct call here on Saturday, considering the talent discrepancy between these starters. Dustin May is 3-1 with a 3.15 ERA for the Dodgers, while Blake Snell is 1-4 with a 5.28 ERA for the Padres. Great value here on LA to bounce back. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
05-06-23 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Red Sox/Phillies. For this three-game report, we're going to keep our analysis very succinct. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring outcomes of late, but that's only helped in driving today's total a little higher than it normally would be. The Red Sox have seen the total go OVER the number in four straight before yesterday's 5-3 win, which wound up being a "push." Regardless, Boston is arguably the hottest team in MLB with seven straight victories. The Phillies saw the total go OVER in three straight before yesterday's "push." The Phillies enter on the other end of the spectrum, desperate for a decent start from Bailey Falter here to help stop a five-game slide (it's interesting to note though that the Phillies have seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after five or more losses in a row.) To this point, these starters have struggled, but that just adds fuel to the fire here for both Falter and Red Sox' starter Corey Kluber. While 1-4 with a 6.44 ERA this year, Kluber is 1-0 with a 3.46 ERA in two career outings vs. the Phillies. Falter, who is 0-5 with a 5.01 ERA, faced the Red Sox last ear and three two scoreless innings of relief. The need a win here badly, and that motivation helps us out overall as well. This number is a little high considering everything, so the play here is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
05-06-23 | A's v. Royals -163 | 5-4 | Loss | -163 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Royals. For this three-game report, we're going to keep our analysis very succinct. These are two of the worst teams in the league, but the A's opened up the series with a 12-8 victory. Note that Oakland is just 2-7 in its last nine after scoring ten or more runs in a victor in its previous outing. Also note that the Royals are 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Singer gets the big nod on the bump as well over Waldichuk by six of the ten Insiders. Lay the price with confidence, the play is KANSAS CITY. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
05-05-23 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Yanks/Rays. The Yankees have plenty of ground to make up in the AL East, so what better time than now to try and do that? Tampa is an amazing 17-2 at home and won't have any mercy here. Regardless of who wins this first game, we're expecting some offensive fireworks. Jhony Brito is 2-3 with a 5.56 ERA for the Yanks. He's dropped three straight decisions overall. The home side counters with Yonny Chirinos, who is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA. He's made four appearances out of the bullpen and has looked great, but the sample size is still really small. Look for these two starters to get chased early and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
05-04-23 | Blue Jays -160 v. Red Sox | 5-11 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Jays. After four straight losses, including the first three of this four-game series here in Boston, we like Toronto to bounce back big with Kevin Gausman on the hill. Note that the Jays are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. Guaman hasn't been perfect this year (2-2, 2.33 ERA), but he has a big advantage over Brayan Bello (0-1, 6.75.) Bello has been bouncing back and forth to the minors/majors and clearly, he's been thrown to the wolves in this matchup. Considering the talent discrepancy between these starters, and taking into account these other situational and trend-based factors listed above, we actually feel that this price should/could, in fact, be a LOT larger. The value swings to the desperate Jays. The play is TORONTO. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
05-03-23 | Twins v. White Sox -117 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the White Sox. The biggest disappointment in all of MLB right now is the White Sox, as they're just 9-21 overall. The Twins are 17-13 overall, and just 7-7 on the road after dropping the opener here yesterday by a score of 3-2. If you'd have told us that we could get Dylan Cease at this price at home in this matchup before the season stared, we'd have called you crazy. Chicago won't be lacking motivation today as it faces its division rival. We think that Cease does in fact have a much bigger advantage in this matchup than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. He's 2-1 with a 4.15 ERA this season and who is 4-4 with a 4.83 ERA in ten career starts vs. the Twins. He'll be opposed by Louis Varland, who makes his second big league start of the season here today in a spot start for the injured Tyler Mahle. The advantage here for sure lies with the veteran Cease and the undervalued home side. The play is the WHITE SOX. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
05-02-23 | Guardians v. Yankees OVER 7 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Guardians/Yanks. The MLB season is a long one. For teams or individuals to maintain long-term runs of success OR failure is difficult. We believe that all good things do come to an end, and that long-term streaks of success become more and more unrealistic the longer it goes on. Here are two teams in dire need of a victory and for some offense. The Guardians are 14-15 this year and the Yankees are 15-15. New York will be desperate to snap a four-game slide, including yesterday's 3-2 setback. And so regression does seem imminent at some point for both of these starting pitchers in our opinions. The visitors go with Tanner Bibee, who is 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA, while the home side counters with Gerrit Cole, who is 5-0 with a 1.11 ERA. This O/U line is now a bit TOO low though in our opinions. The play is the OVER. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
05-01-23 | Giants v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Giants/Astros. Both sides have been playing to lower-scoring affairs, but we're expecting some offensive fire-works here on Monday night. The Giants had won five in a row, before now dropping three straight. Note that San Francisco has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last ten after losing three or more straight games in a row. Houston lost two of three to Philadelphia over the weekend, but salvaged the finale yesterday by a score of 4-3. Houston has now seen the total go UNDER the number in five straight. Note though that the Astros have seen the total go OVER the number in three of their last four after playing to five or more straight UNDRES in a row. The starters have been nothing to "write home about," as Ross Stripling is a poor 0-1 with a 6.89 ERA for the Giants, while Luis Garcia is a pedestrian 2-2 with a 4.00 ERA for the Astros. Everything points to this one flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-30-23 | Phillies v. Astros -136 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
6 OUF OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Astros. Off two straight losses to open this series, we're expecting Houston to bounce back in the finale. Neither starter has been very good this season. Bailey Falter is 0-4 with a 4.50 ERA for the Phillies, while Jose Urquidy is 1-2 with a 5.64 ERA for the Astros. Houston though is 6-2 in its last eight in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. The Astros are still down Altuve, but the Phillies are still down Harper. We finally expect Philadelphia to take a step back here as it gets caught looking ahead to its much more high-profile series starting a Chavez Ravine tomorrow night. Lay the price, the play is HOUSTON. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-29-23 | Reds -147 v. A's | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Reds. Cincinnati has won four in a row and we think it offers great value at this price to keep that momentum rolling, especially considering the current form of these teams the starting pitchers. Yesterday the Reds won the series opener 11-7. The visitors go with Hunter Greene, who is 0-1 with a 3.52 ERA, while the home side counters with Kyle Muller, who is 0-2 with a 7.23 ERA. Look for the "in form" Reds to continue to build momentum and for Greene to earn his first "W" of the season. The play is CINCINNATI. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-29-23 | Mariners v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Mariners/Jays. The Jays are now 17-9 this year, including 8-2 at home. Perhaps surprisingly though, Toronto has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine straight games. That includes in yesterday's 3-2 series opening win over the Mariners. Toronto is getting great starting pitching, but now the Jays will have an opportunity to plate a few more runs today in our estimation. Seattle has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four and in two straight. The M's though have seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five after three or more straight losses in a row. But Chris Flexen will have his work cut out for him to snap that three-game skid, as the Mariners' starter is a poor 0-4 with a ballooned 8.86 ERA. Toronto counters with Kevin Gausman, who is 2-2 with a 2.84 ERA. We like Guasman, but still say this O/U line is a bit low considering all of these other factors that all points to this being a high-scoring "slug-fest." The play is the OVER. UPDATE: Chris Flexen is now out for Seattle, and Easton McGee is now in. This is still a VALID play, as we expect the short-notice to not work any favors for McGee here. The play is still the OVER. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-28-23 | Cardinals v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Cards/Dodgers. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening in the opener of this three-game series. The Cardinals are just 9-16, including only 4-8 on the road. The broke a three-game slide with a 6-0 win at San Francisco last night. The Dodgers have lost two straight. They've seen the total go "over" the number in six straight. Over that span, this total this evening is the highest yet. And now we feel it's a little too high. We have two really strong starting pitchers going head-to-head, and we're expecting each to go deep. Joe Flaherty is 2-2 with a 3.29 ERA for the Cards, while Dustin May is 2-1 with a 3.07 ERA for the Dodgers. The correct call as far as the total is concerned, and for 9 out of 10 of The Insiders Room crew is indeed on the UNDER. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-27-23 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 8 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Orioles/Tigers. Detroit had seen the total go UNDER the number in eight straight before yesterday's "push" in the Tigers' 6-2 loss at Milwaukee. Detroit has played to several lower-scoring outcomes of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on Thursday in the opener of this series. Baltimore swept Detroit at home in three games last week, allowing a total of just three runs combined. Kyle Gibson is 4-0 with a 3.60 ERA for the Orioles, and some small amount of regression is now imminent in our estimation. Despite dominating the Tigers last week, note that Gibson is still just 11-11 with a 5.64 ERA in 26 career appearances vs. Detroit. The home side counters with Joey Wentz, who is 0-3 with a 7.56 ERA. We're expecting these starters to get chased early. This total is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-26-23 | Dodgers -142 v. Pirates | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -142 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Dodgers. We had a play on the Dodgers in their 8-7 victory here last night, as they halted the Pirates seven-game win streak. Note that those seven wins came against teams without winning records. The Dodgers have started the season injured, but they're now starting to regain their form which saw them win 111 games last season. The Pirates recent surge will prove to be just a blip on the radar. Will Pittsburgh improve from last season? It would be hard not to. Regardless, for this next contest we also like LA to build off yesterday's win, while all signs point to the Pirates now having a classic letdown here after their win skein was finally broken. Gonsolin and Contreras are pretty much a wash. The Dodgers bullpen is once again rounding into shape and all things considered, we feel the value lies in laying the price here. And that's the call, the play is LA. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-25-23 | Dodgers -114 v. Pirates | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Dodgers. After seven straight victories, we're expecting the wheels to come off the bus for the Pirates here finally on Tuesday night. After going 13-4 over a 17-day stretch, Pittsburgh had a day off yesterday, and we expect that layoff to throw a small monkey-wrench into the chemistry. Note that LA has won three of its last four. Note that during their run, this will be the Pirates first series against a team with a winning record. Sndergaard is 0-3 with a 4.92 ERA for the Dodgers, while Oviedo is 2-1 with 2.22 ERA for the Bucs. Syndergaard is coming off a hard-luck loss vs. his former team the Mets, going six innings and giving up two runs. He's 2-2 with a 2.73 ERA in five career starts vs. the Pirates. He also has a 19:4 K:W ratio already. After posting a 0.92 ERA over his last three starts, look for Oviedo to come crashing back down to Earth here. Lay the short price, the play is the DODGERS. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-24-23 | White Sox +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 2-5 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on White Sox runline. Neither starter has been great, so neither has an advantage. Lance Lynn is so far 0-2 with a 7.59 ERA for the White Sox, while Chris Bassitt is 2-2 witha 5.40 ERA for the Jays. Lynn is 2-3 with a 4.33 ERA in ten career appearances vs. Toronto. He's 0-2 North of the border, but has posted a 2.12 ERA spanning 17 frames. Bassitt is 2-2 with a 4.01 ERA in five career starts vs. Chicago. The White Sox come in desperate to break their current slide, off a sweep from Tampa Bay, they've lost four straight and nine of their last 11. While just 4-9 SU on the road, the White Sox are 7-6 with the runline. This one could go either way, but either way, we're expecting a tight battle until the end. Lay the reasonable price, the play is Chicago on the runline. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-23-23 | Astros v. Braves -130 | 5-2 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Braves. After two straight losses, including a 6-3 setback in yesterday's series opener, we like the Braves to bounce back in the decider of this two-game series. Note that ATL is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Both starters have been great so far to open the season, but we'll give the slight nod to Max Fried at home. Fried is 1-0 with a 1.08 ERA. Cristian Javier is 2-0 with a 3.68 ERA for the Astros. Javier has made three relief appearances vs. the Braves and he's 0-1 with a 12.00 ERA, giving up three home runs in three innings. The advantage swings to Fried at home here, and overall we feel we're getting a great price. The play is ATL. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-22-23 | Red Sox v. Brewers -124 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Brewers. Off yesterday's 5-3 series opening setback, we like the Brewers to bounce back here on Saturday. Boston hands the ball to Garret Whitlock, who is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA, while the home side counters with Wade Miley, who is 2-1 with a 1.50 ERA. Miley is red hot to open the season, and we don't see that surge ending today. He's struck out 14 in 18 innings with only three walks. All things considered, we view this to be the very definition of "great line value." The play is MILWAUKEE. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-21-23 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -127 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -127 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Yankees. The Jays have lost three of their last four. They lost two of three to the Astros, including an 8-1 setback in the most recent. We feel they're the ones that continue to be overpriced on the road, getting a little TOO much respect here in the Bronx. The Yahks have won four of their last five, including a 9-3 blowout victory over the Angels yesterday. Nestor Cortes Jr. went deep and the bullpen is fresh for the home side. Yusei Kikuchi is 2-0 with a 4.70 ERA for the Jays, but regression seems imminent (he's 2-3 with a 4.07 ERA in ten career appearances vs. the Yanks.) The home side counters with Domingo German, who is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA. He's 2-4 with a 3.72 ERA in seven career appearances vs. the Jays. The Yanks have limited their opposition to just 11 runs over their last five games. Look for that streak of excellence to continue here in this important early season divisional matchup. The play is NEW YORK. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-20-23 | Mets v. Giants +1.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -142 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on Giants RUNLINE. Outright win? Anything is possible, but the value here in our opinion lies with laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. The Mets go with Kodai Senga, who is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA. New York swept all three from the A's, before taking two of three from the Dodgers. Senga has been great, but the sample size is still too small (just three games.) The home side counters with Sean Manaea, who is 0-0 with a 4.76 ERA. He's faced the Mets twice in his career and gone 1-0 with a 3.55 ERA vs. them. In a game that's going to be decided late, or even in extra frames, the play here is indeed SAN FRANCISCO on the RUNLINE option. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-19-23 | Angels v. Yankees OVER 9 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Angels/Yanks. After playing to four straight UNDERS and in five of their last six, while also losing the opener of this series yesterday by a score of 5-2, we are expecting a higher-scoring outcome here finally for New York on Wednesday. Will the Yanks? Maybe. But maybe not. The bottom line is we don't really trust either starter here. Griffin Canning is making just his second start since coming off a major injury last year. While he's 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA this season, this is his first ever matchup vs. the Yanks. Johnny Brito is 2-1 with a 6.75 ERA for New York. We're expecting each to "get the hook early," and as a result, all signs point to this total going OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-18-23 | Blue Jays v. Astros +1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on Astros RUNLINE. Despite the slightly steeper price, we still feel we're getting excellent value here by grabbing the 1.5 runs of insurance. The Astros are 8-9 and still looking to get to and move past .500. Chris Bassitt is 1-2 with a 7.63 ERA for the Jays, while Jose Urquidy is 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA for the Astros. Recent performance points to us getting fantastic value here on Urquidy. Lay the price, the play is HOUSTON on the RUNLINE option. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-17-23 | Blue Jays v. Astros +1.5 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on Astros RUNLINE. A bit surprising that the Jays are the favorites here on the road, despite Kevin Gausman getting the nod. Gausman is 1-1 with a 1.35 ERA. Regression does seem imminent at some point for Gausman. Christian Javier is 1-0 with a 4.24 ERA for the Astros. Off a 9-1 loss to the Rangers yesterday, I like Houston to bounce back here in the opener of this series. I call these starters a "wash," and that in our opinion swings the value to the undervalued home dog. At this price, the play is indeed Houston on the RUNLINE option. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-16-23 | Orioles v. White Sox -139 | 8-4 | Loss | -139 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the White Sox. The White Sox just snapped a three-game slide with a tight 7-6 win yesterday, but they'll be eager to keep the momentum rolling here after starting just 6-9 so far. Baltimore is 8-7 and 4-4 on the road. This however is a big starting pitching mismatch, and because of that, we're going to have no issues laying the price. Baltimore starter Grayson Rodriguez is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA, while Chicago ace Dylan Cease is 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA (note that Cease is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA in four career starts vs. the Orioles.) This is Rodriguez's third ever MLB start and we all feel that he's been thrown to the wolves in this one. Lay the price, the play is CHICAGO. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-15-23 | Cubs v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
9 OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Cubs/Dodgers. Chicago is now 7-5, including 2-1 on the road this year after taking two of three at home over Seattle, and then the first game of this series here in LA by a score of 8-2 yesterday. While Chicago has seen the total fly OVER the number in two of its last three, we like Jameson Taillon to "right the ship" here after a shaky start to the season for the Cubs. Taillon is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA for Chicago after allowing eight runs over his first nine innings of work for his new team. Taillon though was a highly respectable 7-3 with a 4.01 ERA on the road last year, and so we're not "over-reacting" at this point. And there's also only one way for Michael Grove's (0-1, 14.73 ERA) performance to go as well today for LA. He was shelled for nine runs over three innings in a loss to Arizona in his last trip to the hill. We're expecting these hungry starters to battle deep. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-15-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Astros | 2-8 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS Rangers runline. We're getting great value here on the Rangers on the runline option. The outright win is a possibility. This is incredibly similar to our play on the Jays on the RUNLINE yesterday in their home game vs. the Rays. Toronto went on to win outright. But the value on that play was for sure to grab the extra 1.5 runs of insurance, as the price was just so good. And that's the case here as well. Houston is overpriced. This is a pitching matchup that favors the visitors. Jon Gray is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA for the Rangers. He's 1-2 with a highly respectable 3.00 ERA in four career starts vs. Houston. The home side counters with Hunter Brown (1-0, 3.09 ERA), who is coming off a strong outing, giving up one run in a 5-1 road win over the Twins. We like Gray to, at the very least, match his counterpart inning for inning. In a contest that we see being decided late or even in extras, we're grabbing the 1.5. The play is TEXAS on the RUNLINE. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-15-23 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
10/10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Pirates/Cards. Both teams have been playing to some lower-scoring UNDERS, but we're expecting some offensive fireworks in this one. Pittsburgh has now been shutout in B2B losses. Note that the Pirates have seen the total go OVER the number in still eight of their last 11 after getting shutout in their previous outing. St. Louis is playing better, now having won three straight. The bottom line here is though we don't trust either starter, and we're expecting each to "get the hook" early. Steven Matz is 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA for the Cardinals. He's just 2-3 with a poor 5.50 ERA in nine career games vs. Pittsburgh. Roansy Contreras counters for the home side and he's just 1-1 with an 8.00 ERA. While 1-0 in four career outings vs. St. Louis, he owns a pedestrian 5.02 ERA. Everything points to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-14-23 | Rockies v. Mariners -165 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 31 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10/10 CONSENSUS REPORT on the Mariners. We really like Marco Gonzalez here at home. This line could/should be larger in our opinion. Alex Gomber is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA for the Rockies after allowing seven hits over four innings to go along with five runs in a setback to the lowly Nationals in his last outing. Gomber was at his worst on the road last year, going just 2-3 with a 6.03 ERA over 15 games. Marco Gonzalez is 1-0 with a 4.22 ERA for the Mariners after allowing one run over six innings in a victory over the hard-hitting Guardians. Gonzalez has to be feeling confident here, as he finished with a highly-respectable 3.01 ERA in front of the home town crowd last season. As stated off the top, we feel this line should in fact be much larger. We're on the MARINERS. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
04-13-23 | Phillies v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | 2-6 | Win | 103 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER Phillies/Reds. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end today. Philadelphia had seen the total go OVER in three straight before yesterday's 3-2 loss to Miami. I expect another low-scoring game here with the Phillies handing the ball to Bailey Falter, who is 0-1 with a 2.61 ERA. He'll be opposed by Nick Lodolo, who is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA. Expect these two competent starters to battle deep and for that to ultimately help in driving the opener of this series well UNDER the posted number. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-12-23 | Tigers v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 10* AL TOM on the UNDER Tigers/Jays. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect that trend to end here. Detroit has lost five straight. That's signficant to note here though as the Tigers have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 after five or more straight losses in a row. The Tigers play with revenge here after falling 9-3 in yesterday's opener. I really like both pitchers. Eduardo Rodriguez won't be lacking motivation here after starting 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA for the Tigers. He most recently allowed four runs over five innings to the Astros. Rodriguez will have to be sharp, as the Tigers rank dead last in runs this season and 29th in batting average (.201). And that's bad news for the visting side and good news for Kevin Gausman and the Jays. Gausman is 1-1 with a 0.00 ERA, most recently holding the Royals scoreless over six innings. The Jays offense has been great, but I don't believe it'll have to be today. I'm expecting these starters to battle deep, and while yesterday's contest did fly over the number, all signs point to this one being more of a "duel." The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-12-23 | Astros -161 v. Pirates | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT on the Astros. I like the Astros to dig deep here and win this series. They have the better hitting line-up, better bullpen and better starting pitcher on the hill. Houston turns to Jose Urquidy, who is 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA, opening this current road trip with a no-decision after allowing one run off seven hits with six K's over 5 1/3's innings vs. the Mets. Rich Hill is 0-1 with a 10.00 ERA for the Pirates. He is coming off a no-decision as well after getting shelled for seven runs over four innings vs. the White Sox on Frida. Look for Urquidy to guide his team to a solid victory here and lay the price with confidence. The play is HOUSTON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-11-23 | Cardinals -162 v. Rockies | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MOUND MISMATCH on the Cardinals. After starting 3-7 and off back-to-back losses, including a 7-4 setback in yesterday's series opener, I like Miles Mikolas and the Cards to dig deep here and get the job done against Kyle Freeland and the home side. Mikolas (0-1, 9.64 ERA) has struggled in back-to-back starts to open the season. He had a decent spring and last year he owned a respectable 4.11 ERA on the road. I think he can bounce back here with a much better performance. Freeland is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA, but regression is imminent in my opinion. Last year Freeland was 5-6 with a 6.00 ERA at home. The moral of the story here with these starters, is not to overreact to early results. Look for the Cards to be the more desperate team here from the first pitch, and expect that to ultimately be the difference-maker in the outcome of this one. The play is ST. LOUIS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-11-23 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* RUNLINE PLAY on the Red Sox. The saying, all good things have to come to an end, could not be more apt in this particular case. Yes, Tampa won the opener of this series by a score of 1-0 and the Rays are now out to the best start in franchise history at 10-0, but the Red Sox looked pretty decent in defeat as well yesterday. At least the bullpen did. I'm expecting another tight battle here as well, but regression is imminent at some point, both for the Rays as a whole, but also for some of their starting pitchers, including Shane McClanahan, who is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA. The visitors counter with Garrett Whitlock, who makes his season debut here. He is fresh off a strong rehab in Portland. He's 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in 12 innings vs. Tampa in his career. Overall he's 12-6 with a 2.73 ERA for his entire career, now entering his third season. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, Im grabbing the 1.5 runs of insurance. The play is BOSTON on the RUNLINE option. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-10-23 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks -138 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* NL GOW on the Diamondbacks. Two teams that have gotten out to decent starts collide here in Arizona, but I believe this is one that favors the home side. The Brewers hand the ball to Wade Miley, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA after going six innings and striking out three in a victory over the Mets in his debut. Miley was limited last year due to injury, and while he was 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA at home, he was 0-2 with a 5.01 ERA on the road. Zac Gallen is 0-1 with a 7.59 ERA for the D-Backs after allowing five runs over five innings in a loss to the Dodgers in his last outing. After back-to-back duds, I think Gallen settles down here finally. Note that Gallen was 6-3 with a 2.61 ERA at home last year. I'm banking on Milwaukee taking a step back here on the road in the opener of this series. Lay the price, the play is ARIZONA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-10-23 | Cardinals v. Rockies OVER 11 | 4-7 | Push | 0 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL SPECIAL on the OVER Cards/Rockies. I think we'll see some offensive fireworks here today. Matz is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA for the Cards, while German Marquez is 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA for the Rockies. Matz gave up four runs off ten hits over five innings in a loss to the Braves in his opener. He's 1-5 with a 7.22 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Rockies and a terrible 0-2 with a 9.20 ER in three starts at Coors Field. Marquez beat San Diego in his opener, and then lost to the Dodgers on Tuesday. He's had success vs. the Cards in the past, but Coors Field is the great equalizer here. Look for these two line-ups to chase these starters early and then expect this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-10-23 | Padres v. Mets UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Padres/Mets. Two really good starters going head-to-head here and I believe that'll translate into a lower-scoring UNDER to open up this series in New York. Yu Darvish is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA for San Diego, while Max Scherzer is 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA for the Mets. This is interestingly a rematch of the Game 1 of last October's NL wild-card series. Darvish is 6-0 with a 2.41 ERA in nine career outings vs. the Mets, while Scherzer is 6-4 with a 3.32 ERA in 17-regular season starts and playoff appearances vs. the Padres. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-09-23 | Cardinals v. Brewers -140 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* FIRST FIVE INNING BLOWOUT on the Brewers. I like the way this one sets up for a FIRST FIVE innings play on Freddy Peralta (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and the home side. That said, I also really like Milwaukee for the entire game as well if you don't have access to FIRST FIVE innings picks. The Cardinals got a much-needed win last night. I was on St. Louis. But I expect an immediate step back here. Peralta goes up against Jake Woodford (0-1, 12.46.) Note that Milwaukee's pen has thrown 21 straight scoreless frames and has conceded just three runs all year, the fewest in MLB. And so, if you can't find a FIRST FIVE line, that's why I also really like Milwaukee for the FULL GAME as well. Peralta gave up two hits over six scoreless in a win over the Mets on Monday. Woodford allowed six runs over four innings (including three homers), in an 8-4 loss to the Braves on Monday. This is the final game before the Brewers embark on a ten-game road trip, and I expect them to make the most of it. The play is MILWAUKEE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-09-23 | Mariners -122 v. Guardians | 6-7 | Loss | -122 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MISMATCH on the Mariners. Seattle lost three of four to the Guardians at home to open the season, but the Mariners have taken the first two games here in Cleveland. I think the M's can now sweep the series with what I believe is the superior starter on the hill. George Kirby is 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA for the Mariners after alowing 4 runs off 9 hits over five innings in a loss to the Angels. Zach Plesac is 0-0 with a 54.00 ERA, allowing six runs over one innings in what turned out to be a fortunate no-decision vs. the A's on Monday. Kirby was 5-2 with a 3.56 ERA on the road last season, and I look for him to settle down here and for the Mariners to keep the momentum rolling. Lay the price, the play is SEATTLE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-09-23 | Marlins v. Mets -140 | 7-2 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MOUND MISMATCH on the Mets. After losing three straight at Milwaukee, the Mets have bounced back to take the first two games of this series. And now I like New York to post the series sweep in what is another favorable starting pitching matchup for them. The visitors hand the ball to Braxton Garrett (0-0, 6.00 ERA), while the home side counters with Carlos Carrasco (0-1, 11.25.) Garrett is 0-1 with a 4.08 ERA in four career games vs. New York, while Carrasco is 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA in ten career starts vs. the Marlins. I love the veteran Carrasco to bounce back big here in friendly confines and have no issues at all in laying what I feel is a very reasonable mid-sized price. The play is the METS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-08-23 | Cardinals -138 v. Brewers | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* NL GOM on the Cardinals. After four straight losses, including a 4-0 setback here in the series opener, I like the underachieving Cardinals to dig deep here and get back into the winner's circle finally. Note that St. Louis is 7-2 in its last nine off a shutout loss vs. an opponent. Jordan Montgomery (1-0, 5.40 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while Eric Lauer (1-0, 3.38) counters for the home side. True, the Brewers are rolling, but after six straight wins, I believe a small mental lapse in motivation happens here. Lauer is just 2-3 with a 6.46 ERA in seven career appearances vs. the Cardinals. Montgomery is 1-1 with a 3.52 ERA in three career starts vs. Milwaukee. Look for the desperate CARDINALS to get the job done finally. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-08-23 | Red Sox -145 v. Tigers | 14-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 9* PITCHING MISMATCH on the Red Sox. Boston is now 3-4 after opening this three-game series with a 6-3 win yesterday. The Red Sox were swept at home by the Pirates, and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas here Saturday afternoon in what I feel is a big starting pitching mismatch that works in their favor. The visitors go with Tanner Houck (1-0, 5.40 ERA), who gave up three runs and struck out five vs. Baltimore in his season debut. Detroit counters with Joey Wentz (0-1, 5.06), who allowed three runs over five innings on the same afternoon in Tampa Bay. Houck was 3-0 with a 1.85 ERA on the road last season, and I believe he's the correct call here on Saturday afternoon. Lay the price, the play is BOSTON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-08-23 | Astros +108 v. Twins | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SIDE WINNER on the Astros. It's just the start of the season, but the Astros are in need of a win here tonight, and after a slow start, I do expect a better performance all around in this one from the visiting side. Houston dropped the opener of this series 3-2 yesterday. The Twins starting pitching has been phenomenal to open the season, but I say that regression is in order after this unsustainable streak of excellence. Joe Ryan is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA this year, but note that he's 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in one career start vs. Houston last year. Houston had a six-game win streak in this series going till yesterday. Luis Garcian is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA for the Astros, but note tha the's 3-1 with a 2.66 ERA in four career outings vs. the Twins. I look for the hungrier visiting side to avenge yesterday's setback. The play is HOUSTON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-07-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels -115 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the LA Angels. Both teams are loaded with hitting talent. I just think Toronto is getting a little too much respect here on the road, as I give the nod to Patrick Sandoval in this starting pitching matchup. The Jays are 4-3 overall so far, all on the road. The Angels are 4-2 so far, and this is their first home series. Sandoval (1-0, 1.80 ERA) won just six games last year over 27 starts despite a 2.91 ERA for the Angels. He'll be opposed by Chris Bassitt (0-1, 24.30), who allowed nine runs over three innings in forgettable loss to the Cardinals. I expect Toronto to take a step back here now after three straight wins at Kansas City. Good value here on Sandoval and the hungry home side. The play is LA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-06-23 | Nationals v. Rockies -147 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL MISMATCH on the Rockies. I think Kyle Freeland and the home side are worth the price of admission in this spot. Freeland is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, while Josiah Gray is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA for the Nationals. Freeland was part of Team USA in the WBC last month and he tossed six innings total and allowed two runs, striking out tournament MVP Shohei Ohtani as a highlight. Freeland has to be feeling confident here facing Washington as well, as he's 4-2 with a 2.70 ERA in seven career outings vs. the Nats. And that's bad news for a Washington team that's scored two or fewer runs in four games this year. So far the Nationals have only hit two home runs this season. Gray is actually 2-0 against the Rockies despite a 5.03 ERA spanning four career matchups. But I say that Gray takes a step back here in this difficult road venue. Freeland could/should in fact be a much bigger fav here. Lay the price, the play is COLORADO. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-05-23 | Guardians v. A's +115 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOP DOG OF APRIL on the A's. I like the way this one sets up for the slight underdog A's, as I feel they have the superior starting pitcher on the hill. Great value on the home side. Kyle Muller is 1-0 after going five innings and allowing one run vs. the Angels in his opener. He enters with a sharp 1.80 ERA. Hunter Gaddis counters for the visitors and he's 0-0 with a 9.82 ERA after getting roughed up by the M's allowing four runs over just three innings. Muller brings over a winning mindset from his time in Atlanta and I look for him to easily get the better of his counterpart. The play is OAKLAND. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-05-23 | Braves v. Cardinals -120 | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* HOMERUN ROUT on the Cardinals. I like the Cards to bounce back in the finale of this three-game set with the Braves after dropping the first two, and before hitting the road for a difficult trip starting in Milwaukee. Miles Mikolas is 0-0 with a 13.50 ERA for the Cards after allowing five runs off ten hits over just 3 1/3's innings to the Jays on Thursday: "Death by a thousand cuts sometimes," Mikolas said. "I don't think I can remember a game where a team has made that much soft contact and had just about everything drop in for a hit. Broken bats. Just kind of rolling them through the infield." Mikolas threw 12 scoreless innings in Spring training though, so I say the Jays game is an outlier. While only 1-3 lifetime vs. ATL, Mikolas does own the respectable 3.04 ERA over those five appearances. Bryce Elder has been recalled from Triple A to make this start for the Braves. In ten big-league starts last year he went 2-4 with a 3.17 ERA. But, I still say that Mikolas is the correct call here. Look for the revenge-minded home side to find a way to salvage this final game; lay the price, the play is ST. LOUIS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-04-23 | Braves v. Cardinals -128 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Cardinals. I like the Cards to bounce back here after yesterday's 8-4 series opening loss. The Braves hand the ball to Dylan Dodd, who makes his MLB debut today. He'll be opposed by Steven Matz, who was 5-3 with a 5.25 ERA in 15 appearances last year. He's 6-3 with a 3.42 ERA in 15 career starts vs. the Braves. I think Matz and ST. LOUIS are the correct call, great value overall. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-04-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Yankees | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTROYER on the Phillies RUNLINE. Despite having some key sluggers out of the line-up still, it's "all hands on deck" for the 0-4 Phillies tonight. The Yanks are going to have a bit of a mental letdown here in my reckoning after startiing 3-1. The Phillies go with Matt Strahm, who is 4-10 with a 5.08 ERA as a starter. In ten appearances vs. the Yanks he's been good though despite an 0-2 record, sporting a sharp 2.45 ERA. The home side counters with Domingo German, who finished Spring training by going 1-1 with an 8.71 ERA. He was 2-5 with a 3.61 ERA as a starter last year, but he's 0-1 with an 8.68 ERA in three career appearances vs. the Phillies. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The play is PHILADELPHIA on the RUNLINE option. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-03-23 | Orioles v. Rangers -130 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* AL GOM on the Rangers. The Orioles are 1-2, and the Rangers are 3-0. Baltimore scored 23 runs in its opening series, and Texas had 29. Kyle Bradish was 4-7 with a 4.90 ERA in 23 starts as a rookie for the Orioles last season. He was 1-1 with a 6.61 ERA in five starts in the Spring. Jon Gray counters for the home side. I like the veteran here. He was 7-7 with a 3.96 ERA over 24 starts in 2022. In two career outings vs. Baltimore he's 1-1 with a 4.52 ERA. Gray looked great in Spring training though, going 3-1 with a minuscule 1.02 ERA over five games. All things considered, I think we're getting fantastic line value here. The play is TEXAS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-03-23 | Braves v. Cardinals +124 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* UPSET BLOWOUT on the Cardinals. Both teams enter at 2-1. The Braves looked "OK" against the lowly Nationals, while the Cardinals looked pretty dominant over the Jays. St. Louis does in fact enter with a team batting average of .373, which leads the league. Charlie Morton was 9-6 with a 4.34 ERA in 31 starts last year for the Braves. He has struggled with the Cardinals throughout his career though, going 3-12 with a 5.33 ERA in 20 starts vs. them. The home side counters with Jake Woodford, who was 4-0 with a 2.23 ERA in 2022. He had a strong spring, striking out 18 and walking five over 18 innings while allowing four runs on 13 hits, and I believe he carries that momentum over here. Great value here on the home side. The play is ST. LOUIS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-02-23 | Mets v. Marlins +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -160 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* RUN-LINE SPECIAL on the Marlins. This is the finale of a four-game series here in Miami. New York is so far 2-1. With a chance to even things up, I think the Marlins have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. However, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The Mets hand the ball to Kodai Senga, who makes his MLB debut here. He spent 11 seasons in pro ball in Japan, with a 104-51 record and 2.42 ERA. He could go on to become the next Yu Darvish, but I still think that Trevor Rogers has the slight advantage here. Rogers is only 12-21 with a 4.13 ERA over three MLB seasons and 55 starts. That's for various reasons. He come sin off a decent Spring though and he's 2-1 with a 2.76 ERA in six career starts vs. the Mets. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm laying the price for the 1.5 runs for MIAMI. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-02-23 | Giants +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -147 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Giants run-line. It's the start of the season. We'll base our picks on different criteria for this particular contest, than we will in a month from now. For arguments sake, I believe these team's line-ups are pretty much "even." It would not be hard to write a convincing argument for either team to win today based upon the quality of the bats in each team's line-up. For me this one comes down to the starting pitchers, and I believe that Ross Stripling has a clear advantage. As good as Jhony Brito has looked in Spring Training and early on, he draws a tough assignment out of the gate here in the Giants. Stripling was 10-4 with a 3.01 ERA in 32 appearances for Toronto last year. He's 0-5 with a 4.55 ERA in seven career appearances vs. the Yanks, but I say that run of futility comes to an end here. That said, the value here lies in laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket, as I see this contest being decided late, or even in extras. The play is SAN FRANCISCO on the RUN-LINE option. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-01-23 | Mets v. Marlins +1.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* RUN-LINE BLOWOUT on the Marlins. The Mets big bats have so far struggled this year. I think that will again be the case here. I give a big nod to Marlins' starter Edward Cabrera. The Mets go with Tylor Megill, who has been forced into the rotation out of necessity with injuries to Justin Verlander and Jose Quintana. He's pitched two games and six frames vs. the Fish and gone 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA. Cabrera is only 1-1 with a 7.20 ERA in four career outings vs. the Mets, but he took a big step forward last year, finishing 6-4 with 3.01 ERA. Look for the home side to once again keep this one very competitive. Clearly, the outright win isn't out of the question, but I feel the value here lies in grabbing the insurance. The play is MIAMI on the RUNLINE option. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-01-23 | Giants +1.5 v. Yankees | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ROUND-TRIPPER on the Giants RUN-LINE. I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The Judge and the Yanks earned a 5-0 win in the first game, but with a day off to focus and with what I feel to be the superior starting pitcher on the hill, I expect the visiting side to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Clarke Scmidt was 5-5 with a 3.12 ERA in 29 outings for New York last year. Three of those were starts in which he went 0-2 with a 4.63 ERA. Alex Cobb was 7-8 witha 3.72 ERA in 28 starts for the Giants last year. He's 7-5 with a 3.21 ERA in 18 career starts vs. New York. The outright is possible, but let's go with SAN FRANCISCO on the RUNLINE option. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-01-23 | Blue Jays v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOP IL TOTAL on the UNDER Jays/Cards. I really like these starting pitchers. The first game flew well OVER the number in the Jays 10-9 blowout victory. But with a day off in between, I'm expecting these capable starters to take center stage. Kevin Gausman was 12-10 with a 3.35 ERA for the Jays last year. He went 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA in two starts vs. St. Louis last season. He'll face a Cards lineup that won't have catcher Willson Contreras in it, as he took a fastball off the knee on Thursday, after collecting two hits himself earlier. Jack Flaherty has been injured off and on the last two years. Last season he was l2-1 with a 4.25 ERA in nine appearances. He was 9-2 with a 3.22 ERA in 2021. Look for these two starters to battle deep, and as a result, all signs do indeed point to a lower-scoring defensive affair. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-31-23 | Rockies v. Padres -175 | 4-1 | Loss | -175 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Padres. I play underdogs, I play totals, I play first half picks, I play parlays, teasers, and I also am not afraid to lay chalk and hammer a favorite when I think my "play on" side should in fact be a much larger fav. And that's the case here with the Padres. I think they should be more like a -275 fav in this case, so there is plenty of value to be had. Freeland has had success here in the past vs. San Diego, but Nick Martinez has a golden opportunity here to highlight his talent with injuries to starters Joe Musgrove and Yu Darvish. Martinez was 4-4 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.29 WHIP over 42 games last season. He was particularly effective against the Rockies last year, as in six appearances he posted a 3.31 ERA spanning 16 1/3's innings of work. Lay the price with condfidence, the play is SAN DIEGO. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-31-23 | White Sox v. Astros -155 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Astros. I'm going to lay the price here on the home side and expect it to dig deep and deliver after losing 3-2 as a -140 favorite. Lance Lynn has always had a hell of a time against the Astros, as he's 0-5 with a ballooned 8.80 ERA over his last five starts vs. Houston. Christian Javier is worth the price of admission here. Over 30 appearances for the Astros last year he finished with a tiny 2.54 ERA. He's only faced the White Sox once in his career (last season), and he gave up one run with five K's over five innings in a 4-3 victory. I expect another victory here today as well. Lay the price, the play is the ASTROS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-31-23 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Mets/Marlins. Yesterday's Season Opener flew OVER the total in New York's 5-3 victory, but I believe Friday's contest sets up as more of a "duel." David Peterson gets the start here because of injuries to Jose Quintana and Justin Verlander. Last year Peterson was 7-5 with a 3.83 ERA in 28 appearances. In five career outings vs. the Marlins he's 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA. The Mets bullpen looked good, getting three scoreless innings of relief. Jesus Lazardo gets the nod for the home side. He's 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA in four career starts vs. the Mets. Last year had had 18 starts and finished 4-7 with a career-best 3.32 ERA. I expect another tight, competitive affair on Friday as well, but one that stays UNDER the number. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-30-23 | Diamondbacks +159 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* UPSET BLOWOUT on the Diamondbacks. I think the Dodgers are poised to take a big step back this season after setting a franchise-record with a 111 wins last year. Walker Buehler is going to miss most of the season with Tommy John. Trea Turner is gone. Gavin Lux is out for the season with a knee injury. They still have plenty of talent on the front end, but there are big holes for sure. The Diamondbacks took a step forward last year, and they should once again take another modest step forward this season as well. Julio Urias posted a 2.16 ERA last year. Regression feels imminent to me this season though. Zac Gallen was 12-4 with a 2.54 ERA last ear. He led the NL with a 0.913 WHIP. He's 1-2 in nine starts vs. the Dodgers, but with a 2.30 ERA (that includes posting a 0.64 ERA in 14 frames vs. them last season.) Granted, Urias has had plent of success vs. Arizona as well, going 7-1 with a 1.38 ERA in eight starts. But, I think Gallen can, at the very least, match his counterpart inning for inning, and in a scenario like that, I feel the value then swings to the undervalued underdog. The play is ARIZONA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-30-23 | Angels v. A's +1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* RUNLINE BOB on the A's. Despite Shohei Ohtani getting the start here, it's always difficult to trust the Angels on the road. Ohtani was 15-9 with a 2.33 ERA last season. He pretty much dominated the A's, but I think they'll have their opportunities as this game wears on. Kyle Muller comes over from Atlanta after only going 1-1 with an 8.03 ERA in 2022. He'll benefit from an under the radar A's offense that was lighting things up in Spring Training, posting 12 runs vs. the Giants in Monday's exhibition finale. I think this one could even be decided in extras. Grab the 1.5 runs, the play is OAKLAND on the RUN-LINE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-30-23 | Blue Jays v. Cardinals +107 | 10-9 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Cardinals. All the pieces are in place for each of these teams to do well this year. The Jays go with Alex Manoah, who was 16-7 with a 2.24 ERA last year. The Cards are favored to win the NL Central this season. Miles Mikolas gets the nod, and he was 12-13 with a 3.29 ERA last year. He faced the Jays' high-powered offense last year and dominated, going seven innings and allowing three earned runs, with St. Louis winning 7-3. St. Louis has won its last three Openers and I expect that to once again be the case here. This is a difficult road venue for the Jays on Opening Day, so I say the value for sure here lies with St. Louis. The play is the CARDINALS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-30-23 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* NL TOW on the UNDER Mets/Marlins. Both of these teams struggled with offensive consistency last year. That will likely be the case again this season. This Opening Day pick though is based upon the quality of these starting pitchers. Max Scherzer was 11-5 with a 2.29 ER last year. He's 15-5 with a 2.94 ERA in 26 starts in his career vs. Miami. Sandy Alcantara was 14-9 with a 2.28 ERA in 2022 and in 14 career matchups opposite the Mets he's gone a highly-respectable 3-5 with a 2.97 ERA. Look for these two dominant starters to battle deep. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-30-23 | Tigers v. Rays OVER 6.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER TOTAL on the OVER Tigers/Rays. The odds are against the Tigers to make the playoffs this year, but I expect them to plate a few runs here on Opening Day. They hand the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, who was not the team's first pick to start on Opening Day. However, Matt Boyd is still out for a week or two with injury. Rodriguez went 5-5 with a 4.05 ERA in 17 starts for Detroit last season, suffering through injury. He's a terrible 2-5 with a ballooned 5.59 ERA in 14 career appearances vs. the Rays. Shane McClanahan was 12-8 with a 2.54 ERA for the Rays last year. He'll be leaned upon heavily this season. But that said, I expect each team to plate a few here on Opening Day, and this total is just way too low. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-30-23 | Orioles v. Red Sox -115 | 10-9 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Red Sox. It's an important early season divisional matchup. Boston let a lot of bettors down last year, but at this price, I think that Corey Kluber and the home side offer really good value. Kyle Gibson went 10-8 with a poor 5.05 ERA in 31 starts for Philadelphia this year. Gibson is on the downward trajectory of his career, and an Opening Day start on the road will prove to be difficult in my opinion. Kluber is also on the back-end of his career. He finished 10-10 with a respectable 4.34 ERA in 31 starts for the Rays last year. He's 6-4 in 16 career starts vs. the Orioles though. He's also won four of his seven starts at Fenway as a vistor to go along with a 3.53 ERA. I say the Orioles take a step back this season, while the Red Sox are poised for improvement. Those trajectories start here on Opening Day. Lay the price, the play is BOSTON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-30-23 | Giants +1.5 v. Yankees | 0-5 | Loss | -133 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* RISE AND SHINE WINNER On the Giants on the run-line. Are the Yankees overhyped this year? They took a step forward last season (I guess), but I feel that New York will also be overrated to some extent, no matter what. The Yanks should make the playoffs again. The Giants should make the playoffs again as well. Each team is loaded with talent and it's not too hard to make a convincing argument for either side to win this one. I honestly think that Logan Webb and the Giants could win this one outright. Webb and Gerrit Cole have similar/comparable numbers. But in a contest that I see being decided late, or perhaps in even in extra innings, I believe the value here lies in laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. The play is the GIANTS on the RUN-LINE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-02-16 | Cubs -111 v. Indians | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Chicago Cubs. In my professional opinion, “momentum” is a very real and tangible factor in sports. It’s a factor that the oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying into a line. For arguments sake, lets call Kyle Hendricks and Corey Kluber a “wash” today. The difference for me is clearly at the plate. The big bats of Chicago have come alive in back-to-back elimination games, while the Indians offense continues its inconsistent ways in the postseason. All things considered, I feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on CHICAGO to win the World Series! - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
11-01-16 | Cubs -141 v. Indians | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 35 h 2 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Chicago Cubs. No need to overthink this one, it’s do or die for the Cubs and Jake Arrieta already has a win in Cleveland. Josh Tomlin has been serviceable, but I think the Cubs’ big bats take advantage. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Chicago. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-30-16 | Indians v. Cubs -221 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Chicago Cubs. No need to overthink this one, down 3-1 in the World Series, it’s do or die for Chicago. Lester has been money all year and he’s been particularly awesome at home. I think the Cubs’ offense finally comes to life in this pressure packed situation and Trevor Bauer gives up a few runs. That’ll be the difference, as all signs point to this one going back to Cleveland! Lay the price. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-29-16 | Indians +121 v. Cubs | Top | 7-2 | Win | 121 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Cleveland Indians. Momentum is a very real and tangible factor in the playoffs. Corey Kluber has been unstoppable so far in the playoffs and the Indians bullpen has been second to none. John Lackey has been decent, but he’s completely outclassed here in my opinion. The value too good to turn down on the “underdog” Indians today! - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-28-16 | Indians v. Cubs -200 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -200 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Chicago Cubs. No need to overthink this one, Josh Tomlin has been decent and the Indians’ bullpen has been impressive, but Chicago now has all the momentum working in its favor and now turns to the red hot Kyle Hendricks, who would most recently get the better of the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw to clinch the World Series ticket. Hendricks is enjoying a career year and has been particularly awesome at home. Lay the price, play on the Cubs. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-26-16 | Cubs -149 v. Indians | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Chicago Cubs. No need to overanalyze this one I don’t think as I think the desperate Cubs will do just enough to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole. Jake Arrieta has struggled in the second half of the season, but I’m still giving him a big nod over the Indians’ Trevor Bauer. I think the Cubbies prolific offense responds after the Game 1 shutout and in my professional opinion, this is indeed the very definition of “great line value.” - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-25-16 | Cubs v. Indians +105 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 105 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Cleveland Indians. Kluber and Lester are a wash, both have been on absolute fire in the postseason. But the Indians bullpen has been “lights out,” posting a 1.67 ERA over 41 innings of work. I think that’s going to be the difference tonight. Play on Cleveland. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-22-16 | Dodgers v. Cubs +125 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 125 | 35 h 51 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Chicago Cubs. I think that Clayton Kershaw and Kyle Hendricks are even right now. Chicago has a big advantage at the plate though, as LA continues to struggle with offensive consistency. I like Hendricks to go deep and for the home side to do just enough to punch its ticket to the World Series. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-19-16 | Indians v. Blue Jays -175 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -175 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Toronto Blue Jays. Toronto looks to prolong what is likely the inevitable but has a big chance to make it two in a row with the clearly superior starter on the hill today. Ryan Maerritt makes his first start of the postseason after filling in well down the stretch. There’s no question that he’s been thrown to the wolves today though. Jays’ veternan Marco Estrada on the other hand has looked great in two postseason starts. He was tagged with the ALCS Game 1 setback, giving up just two runs over eight very strong innings. I’m expecting a lop-sided, wire-to-wire rout. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-18-16 | Cubs -115 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 2 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Chicago Cubs. Rich Hill has a 6.49 ERA in three career postseason starts. So far Arrieta has an 0-0, 3.00 ERA in the playoffs. Arrieta though finished as one of the best in baseball and the last time he was at Dodger Stadium, he threw a no-hitter. Hill has been good in his home games this season, but has gone through massive regression over the last month. I look for the Cubs’ to bounce back after facing the tough Clayton Kershaw last time out and to do just enough to secure the victory in Game 3. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-17-16 | Indians v. Blue Jays -183 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -183 | 35 h 25 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Toronto Blue Jays. No need to overthink this one I don’t think. Toronto needs to win this game or it’s all over the Jays. So far the big bats of Toronto have been quiet, but this is a prolific lineup which always produces front of the home town crowd. I’m laying the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-16-16 | Dodgers -121 v. Cubs | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the LA Dodgers. I like the Dodgers to bounce back and take Game 2 with their ace on the mound. It’s true that Kershaw has struggled in the postseason throughout his career. But he comes in off a seven pitch save to secure the win in Game 5 of his NLDS with the Nationals. Kershaw posted a 1.96 ERA in the regular season. Kyle Hendrickson has been superb this year and he’s had success against the Dodgers in the past. I simply think Kersahw’s experience on the big stage will prove to be unvaluable tonight and in my professional opinion, this is indeed the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Dodgers. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-15-16 | Dodgers v. Cubs -186 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Chicago Cubs. “Rookie” Kenta Maeda had a great regular season, but he struggled in his NLDS matchup against the Nationals, allowing four earned runs over three innings of work. The Cubs’ Lester pitched eight scoreless in his NLDS matchup against the Giants. Note that he’s 10-2 with a 1.74 ERA at home. Play on the Cubs. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-14-16 | Blue Jays +120 v. Indians | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 33 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Toronto Blue Jays. Let’s call these starters a “wash.” Toronto’s big bats have come alive at the most opportune of times though, they’d outscore Texas 22-10 in the three-game sweep. The Tribe got the job done with some surprisingly good pitching, but Toronto’s line-up is just too deep. The value too good to turn down in what I think will be an upset in Game 1. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-13-16 | Dodgers v. Nationals -145 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 37 h 54 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Washington Nationals. Hill has an 8.00 ERA after two postseason starts. Scherzer had a poor Game 1 outing, but has all the tools in place to get his team to the NLCS. This one highly favors the home side, I think this line should be a lot larger. Lay the price with confidence on Washington. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-11-16 | Cubs v. Giants +115 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the San Francisco Giants. I had a play on the Cubs yesterday, but that was then and this is now. I believe “momentum” is a very real tangible factor in the postseason and I think that San Fran has gotten it back. Matt Moore was awesome over the last month. Lackey has more experience, but I’ll still give Moore the slight nod in this matchup. Play on San Francisco. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-10-16 | Cubs +118 v. Giants | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Chicago Cubs. The Cubs can smell the blood in the water. Bumgarner was great in the NL Wild card game, but both he and Arrieta struggled down the stretch of the regular season. I’ll call these starters a “wash” tonight. The difference is at the plate. The Cubs’ offense is clicking and I expect that chemistry to carry over to the West Coast as they do indeed complete the three-game sweep. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-09-16 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -183 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 35 h 42 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Toronto Blue Jays. Lewis owns a 6.45 lifetime ERA against Toronto. Sanchez faced the Rangers in all five games of last year’s ALDS and went 5.1 scoreless innings. The Jays’ bats have come alive and I’m expecting them to make the most of it in front of the home town crowd. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-07-16 | Dodgers -144 v. Nationals | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 39 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the LA Dodgers. Max Scherzer has put together another great season, but I’ll still give the nod to Clayton Kershaw in this matchup. The Nats are injured though, while the Dodgers are relatively healthy and I think this will ultimately prove to be the difference tonight. Lay the price. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-06-16 | Red Sox -138 v. Indians | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -138 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Boston Red Sox. Rick Porcello put together the best campaign of his career with a 22-8 record. He’s posted a lifetime 3.61 ERA against the Indians. Trevor Bauer struggled down the stretch and has been domianted by the Red Sox’ bat throughout his career in posting a horrible 7.65 ERA against them. In my humble opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-05-16 | Giants -102 v. Mets | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 33 h 42 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the San Francisco Giants. Bumgarner has had plenty of success against New York in the past and has been dominant at Citi Field. Syndergaard owns a 3.66 lifetime ERA against the Giants. I think that experience counts in these situations, and all things considered, feel we’re getting an awesome price on San Francisco tonight. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-04-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -144 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Toronto Blue Jays. For arguments sake, lets call these starters a “wash.” Both have struggled this year at times. Tillman has been rocked by the Jays throughout his career, so too has Stroman by the Orioles. The advantage isn’t at the plate either, as Toronto’s supposed more high-powered line-up has stalled over the last month of the season. The advantage though comes from the home field factor in this one game playoff. That powerful situational factors makes this a price in which i have no issues at all in laying, play on the Jays. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-02-16 | Cubs -205 v. Reds | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Chicago Cubs. I think the Cubbies bounce back after yesterday’s defeat. Kyle Hendricks looks to cap his best ever regular season with another victory, the hard-throwing right-hander is 16-8 with a 1.99 ERA, most recently firing six shutout frames against the Pirates. Note that he owns a 2.71 ERA on the road. Counterpart Robert Stephenson just gave up five runs in a loss to the Cards. He’s been shelled for four runs or more in five of his last six starts. This is a monster mismatch, so lay the price with confidence! - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
10-01-16 | Cubs -200 v. Reds | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -200 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Chicago Cubs. Jon Lester has one last tune-up before the postseason, he’s looking to notch is 20th victory of the year, as he’s 19-4 with a tiny 2.28 ERA. Note that he’s 9-2 with a 2.86 ERA on the road. The Reds’ Tim Adleman (3-4, 3.90) is coming off a decent performance against St. Louis, but note that he owns a pedestrian 4.45 ERA in front of the home town crowd this year. Lester is the difference here, he obviously wants that 20th win very badly. I’m laying the price. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
09-30-16 | Twins v. White Sox -159 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Chicago White Sox. Tyler Duffey is just 4-5 witha 5.72 ERA on the road, while Carlos Rodon owns a 3.99 ERA at home. Lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
09-29-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -165 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -165 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Toronto Blue Jays. Ubaldo Jimenez was just shelled four five runs in his last start and owns a 5.55 ERA on the road. Marcus Stroman went seven scoreless against the Yanks in his last outing and owns a 4.50 ERA at home. I think the home side bounces back after yesterday’s tough defeat. Lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
09-28-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -129 | 3-2 | Loss | -129 | 28 h 36 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Toronto Blue Jays. Toronto has a big opportunity to keep putting distance between itself and the Orioles, as well as the Tigers, who sit one game back of Baltimore. The Jays have momentum after yesterday’s important series opening victory. Francisco Liriano has been a “gas can” for the most part this season, but counterpart Chris Tillman has also been struggling over the last month. I’ll call the starters a “wash,” for arguments sake, but give the home side the big advantage at the plate. It’s going to be a playoff like atmosphere, look for the home side to feed off that energy. Great value. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
09-27-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -144 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 28 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Toronto Blue Jays. Gausman has been rocked by the Jays throughout his career, including this season by going 0-2 with an ERA above 7. Sanchez has struggled a bit in September, but has dominated the Orioles whenever he’s faced them. This is a big series, likely determining the first and second wild card spots. Expect the home side to make a statement. Sanchez gets the big nod in this matchup. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
09-26-16 | Brewers v. Rangers -178 | 8-3 | Loss | -178 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Texas Rangers. Matt Garza owns a 5.89 ERA on the road, while Perez owns a 2.69 ERA at home. Rangers look to roll into the playoffs on fire, expect a big effort from the home side tonight. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
09-25-16 | Cardinals v. Cubs -158 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Chicago Cubs. After yesterday’s 10-4 defeat, I think the home side bounces back here. Lets call these competent starters a “wash.” Note though that St. Louis is just 39-40 (-11.4 units) this season following a victory, while Chicago is 36-19 (+3.3 units) this year following a loss. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
09-24-16 | Giants -225 v. Padres | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 30 h 9 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on San Francisco Giants. It’s almost impossible for me to see Bumgarner lose focus this close to the end of the season, the Giants’ ace will be looking to carry momentum over into the playoffs, note that he’s 9-6 with a 2.89 ERA in all night contests. Counterpart Jarred Cosart is 0-4 with a 5.63 ERA this season. Lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew | |||||||
09-23-16 | Cardinals v. Cubs -210 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 32 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Chicago Cubs. Jake Arrieta hasn’t been at his best since the All Star break, but he’s sure been a lot better than his volatile counterpart. Suffice it to say, I think that the home side gets the better of Mike Leake and rival Chicago this afternoon. Note that Leake is just 6-9 with a 4.93 ERA in all “night” games, while Arrieta owns a very respectable 2.82 ERA in front of the home town crowd. Lay the price with confidence on the home side. - The BookieKiller Crew |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,395 |
Joey Tron | $617 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Ross Benjamin | $583 |
Big Al McMordie | $401 |
Matt Fargo | $327 |
Ricky Tran | $297 |
Sean Higgs | $140 |
Jesse Schule | $98 |
Kyle Hunter | $66 |