10-24-20 |
Texas State v. BYU -28 | | 14-52 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
In this crazy college football season, many experts believe if there were ever a year a non-power conference can make the 4 team playoff this would be it. Central Florida was thought to be that team but they turned out to be frauds. Now BYU is trying to take a stab at it. To do that they have to not only win but win convincingly. Not much analysis here except BYU is good and Texas State doesn't have the talent to compete. BYU will not pull an Alabama or Clemson and take their foot off the gas because they can't. BYU covers the big number in the nightcap. The Pick: Take BYU |
10-24-20 |
Virginia v. Miami-FL -13.5 | | 14-19 |
Loss | -108 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
Miami is getting no respect in this spot after getting embarrassed on national tv against Clemson a couple of weeks back. The Hurricanes aren't in Clemson's class because only Alabama is, but the Hurricanes are head and shoulders better than Virginia. The Cavaliers seem to be regressing week to week and to make matters worse, starting QB Brennan Armstrong suffered a concussion last week and most likely won't go. The Hurricanes have too much talent on both sides of the ball and their defense will shut Virginia down. Canes win by 20+. The Pick: Take Miami |
10-24-20 |
Michigan v. Minnesota +3.5 | | 49-24 |
Loss | -109 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
Michigan lost 13 starters from another mediocre Jim Harbaugh team, their best player, wide receiver Nico Collins opted out and they are starting an unproven QB behind 4 new offensive linemen on the road against Minnesota. But because they're Michigan and college football bettors still love betting on them, they are laying 3 and a hook against a Gophers team who returns most of their offense including 3 legit future NFL players at skill positions. This line is a gift. I'm taking the points. The Pick: Take Minnesota |
10-24-20 |
Kansas v. Kansas State -19.5 | | 14-55 |
Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
The Kansas Jayhawks are one of the worst teams in the country and I'm actually surprised they aren't bigger dogs. The Jayhawks aren't just 0-4, they're a bad 0-4. They lost to Coastal Carolina by 15, Baylor by 33, Oklahoma State by 40 and West Virginia by 21. The majority of their team has contracted the coronavirus at some point, their coach Les Miles is just recovering from the virus and this week their only good player, running back Pooka Williams decided it wasn't worth it and opted out the remainder day of the season to get ready for the NFL combine. All in all it's a bad time to have to travel to play their rival Kansas State this week, a football team on a 3 game winning streak and eyeing a possible Big 12 Championship. This game could get ugly quick. I'm betting Kansas State. The Pick: Take Kansas State. More College Football Games Will Be Added
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10-22-20 |
Arkansas State +14 v. Appalachian State | | 17-45 |
Loss | -109 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
After last Thursday night's wild Sun Belt matchup featuring Arkansas State we may be in for another wild one tonight. Arkansas State beat Georgia State 59-52 last Thursday and showed why they have one of the most feared passing attacks in any of the non power conferences racking up over 551 yards and 8 touchdowns. The Red Wolves offense features a dual threat at quarterback and have two receivers who will be NFL draft picks in Jonathan Adams and Dahu Green. The Arkansas State pass defense is just as bad as their passing attack is great but I'm not worried about that as much in this game because of what Appalachian State likes to do on offense. Speaking of Appalachian State, while they are the better program and the better team in this matchup I don't believe they are really built to blow teams out this season especially one that can score like Arkansas State. Appalachian wants to run the ball down your throat then keep running it. While I think they will win this game, I see them getting off to a slow start as they have not played a game since September 26th and that was against an FCS school where many starters didn't play after halftime. So their last game against a Division 1A school was over a month ago. Look for an entertaining game that Appalachian State wins but Arkansas State covers. Appalachian is 0-3 against the spread this season and I think that trend continues. I'm betting Arkansas State. The Pick: Take Arkansas State +14 |
10-19-20 |
Cardinals +1 v. Cowboys | | 38-10 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
The Cowboys were not good with Dak Prescott in my opinion. At the time of his gruesome injury the Cowboys only win was a miracle they should have lost to the Falcons and they were well on their way to losing to the winless Giants. Andy Dalton played well leading the Cowboys back for an unimpressive win (again, it was the Giants) Dalton has now had a full week to prepare, on the flip side the Cardinals defense had a full week to prepare as well. The very talented Cardinals secondary has a week to prepare for a quarterback who was a turnover machine in Cincinnati the last couple years and The pass rush has a week to prepare for a statue in the backfield. Dalton and the Cowboys will get some wins this season and contend for a playoff berth due to the NFC East being awful, but Kyler Murray and the Cardinals will get a much needed win in this one to keep pace with Seahawks, and Rams out west. I'm betting the Cardinals. The Pick: Take The Cardinals. |
10-18-20 |
Packers -1.5 v. Bucs | | 10-38 |
Loss | -110 | 120 h 14 m | Show |
This is a fun matchup between two of the greatest QBs of all time. While Brady has looked much better than I expected ( nice to finally have weapons ), Rodgers is looking unstoppable. We have seen these type of runs from the Pack before and it’s best to ride them while you can. Devante Adams is unstoppable and he makes his return Sunday. The Bucs have an excellent run defense but they are going to struggle stopping the air attack. On the other side of the ball, Green Bay has been surprising decent on defense, in a year where defense has been non existent across the league. In the end, this could be a back and forth game but my obvious play is to ride the hot hand with Rodgers and get the money |
10-18-20 |
Broncos v. Patriots -9 | | 18-12 |
Loss | -100 | 117 h 51 m | Show |
The Patriots are slightly overrated with the public right now but they find themselves in a really good matchup and look like one of a couple double digit winners on the card this Sunday.
The Broncos are having a lot of trouble moving the ball consistently to say the least. Drew Lock returns but he really hasn’t proven to be an upgrade over Rypien or Driskel and in this case he is actually a downgrade. Belichick OWNS young QBs/rookies and this game is going to likely be a mess for Lock. The Patriots will confuse him all day. I don’t love the Broncos normally good running game either. The Patriots with 2 weeks to prepare are pretty scary. Cam is playing good football and should easily put up 25+ especially as they grind the Broncos down with the run game.
Look for a dominant performance from the Pats D and a 2+ TD win. |
10-18-20 |
Texans v. Titans -2 | Top | 36-42 |
Win | 100 | 117 h 50 m | Show |
The Texans defense can’t really stop the run or the pass which puts them in a tough position facing a team that can run you over or throw incredibly effective play action. The Titans are still somehow undervalued despite being a real contender in the AFC. Houston‘s offense has been mediocre this year. I actually didn’t expect this big a drop off after Hopkins but after 4 games I think we have a big enough sample size to judge. The offensive line is again a problem with Watson facing way too much pressure. I expect Henry to have a big game. That said, if Houston loads the box, look for lots of wide open receivers running all over their secondary. Titans are simply a much better team and this is a fair price. |
10-18-20 |
Falcons v. Vikings -3 | | 40-23 |
Loss | -125 | 117 h 49 m | Show |
There are a couple games on the slate where The line seems to be an overreaction to recent games. This is one of them. The Vikings are a pretty good team and Atlanta hasn’t been able to figure it out in over a season. Yes, Cook is out and he is excellent but Mattison is a very good backup. Atlanta cant stop the run or the pass. I mean, they REALLY can’t stop anyone. Thicken and Jefferson should put up big numbers if they have the chance. Atlanta still has a dangerous offense but they can’t seem to put it together. The Vikings are starting to blitz more and this is really helping to mask some of their issues in the back end of this d. I like the Vikings to cover this small number and Atlanta to continue to spiral. |
10-18-20 |
Browns v. Steelers -3.5 | | 7-38 |
Win | 100 | 117 h 48 m | Show |
The Browns have gotten off to a nice start, outperforming expectations. They have done so largely wish a strong run game and an efficiency start for Mayfield. The defense is solid as well. I don’t think things are going to go smoothly for Baker on Sunday though. The Steelers are getting pressure on about HALF of opposing teams drop backs. Chubb is out so the workload goes to Kareem Hunt who is good, but unlikely to have much success in this matchup. On the other side of the ball, Big Ben looks string this year and has weapons everywhere. The Browns will put up some resistance but ultimately this Steelers team OWNS the Browns and I don’t expect this Sunday to be any different. I like the Steelers to win by mire than a TD |
10-17-20 |
Central Florida -2.5 v. Memphis | Top | 49-50 |
Loss | -109 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
In what is sure to be a crazy season of shortened schedules, opt outs, reschudeled games, etc etc the Golden Knights believed they would easily run the table and have a real shot at the playoff. After building an 18 point lead against Tulsa two weeks ago, UCF seemingly forgot they are the best team not in a major conference. 18 penalties and 3 turnovers later UCF lost and their dreams dashed. I feel bad for Memphis in this one as UCF has had 2 weeks of getting laughed at for the all the talking they did. They will be out for blood and looking to blow the Tigers out. Talented Sophmore QB Dillon Gabriel (the most vocal of the Knights about a dream season) has endured the most vitriol and will have a HUGE day. UCF WINS BIG. The Pick: Take Central Florida |
10-17-20 |
Louisville +17 v. Notre Dame | | 7-12 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
Notre Dame is a good football team with an experienced quarterback in Ian Book but I'm not sure why they are favored by 17 points in this game. They weren't impressive in their season opening win against Duke and No one cares about the South Florida blowout. Last week they allowed a bad Florida State team to stick around until a late touchdown made the score look better. On the other hand Louisville isn't scaring anyone but they've played well in each game and are improving. Their 19 point loss to Georgia Tech last week was closer than it appears as Tech scored twice late. For me Ian Book isn't good enough and hasn't improved enough from last season for ND to be favored by 17 against Louisville. With no real home field advantage I'm taking the points and betting the dog to cover in a loss. The Pick: Take Louisville |
10-17-20 |
Liberty -2.5 v. Syracuse | Top | 38-21 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
The Syracuse Orange was already a mess with injuries, opt outs and just a plain lack of talent. The defense was already horrendous allowing 231 rushing yards a game but now their only good player All-American safety Andre Cisco is out for the season after a practice injury. To make matters even worse their starting quarterback Tommy Devito was lost for the season last week vs Duke and Cuse will turn to a senior backup who has 95 career attempts. It's about to be a long season for Syracuse. Liberty is one of the surprises of this weird college football season. In their first year of FBS the Flames offense has played very well under Junior transfer quarterback from Auburn Malik Willis. Willis and the Flames are more of a running team and that plays perfect in this game. The Pick: Take Liberty |
10-11-20 |
Vikings v. Seahawks -7 | | 26-27 |
Loss | -102 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
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10-11-20 |
Giants +9.5 v. Cowboys | | 34-37 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
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10-11-20 |
Bengals +13 v. Ravens | | 3-27 |
Loss | -118 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
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10-10-20 |
Florida State +21 v. Notre Dame | | 26-42 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
The Pick: Take Florida State |
10-10-20 |
Texas Tech v. Iowa State -10.5 | | 15-31 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 37 m | Show |
The Pick: Take Iowa State |
10-10-20 |
LSU -14 v. Missouri | | 41-45 |
Loss | -110 | 0 h 10 m | Show |
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10-09-20 |
Heat +7.5 v. Lakers | | 111-108 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
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10-09-20 |
Louisville -5 v. Georgia Tech | | 27-46 |
Loss | -109 | 0 h 25 m | Show |
The Pick: Take Louisville |
10-05-20 |
Patriots v. Chiefs -10.5 | | 10-26 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
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10-04-20 |
Colts v. Bears +3 | | 19-11 |
Loss | -113 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
I'm not on the Colts bandwagon at all. I just think Rivers is no longer particularly good and Taylor, although a great college RB, doesn't strike a ton of fear in me. The Bears are a BETTER team with Foles, and not by a little. Look for Foles to use the TE more as well as make less bad throws. The Bears defense is good enough to get stops at home. Catching 3 is a bonus in a toss up game PICK: Bears +3 |
10-04-20 |
Bills -3 v. Raiders | Top | 30-23 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
The Bills have had a strange year and I think that works in our advantage this weekend. They have basically blown out 3 straight opponents but let the games get close in the second half. The offense, led by Josh Allen and a bevy of weapons has been on fire but the defense has not been playing well. This week McDermott and Frazier will get that back on track against a Raiders team that is injured at WR and will rely heavily on Jacobs I expect the Bills to dare the Raiders to throw by stacking the box and slowing Jacobs. Look for the Raiders to score closer to 20 this week which isn't nearly enough PICK: Bills -3 |
10-04-20 |
Browns +4 v. Cowboys | | 49-38 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
We haven't seen much out of either of these teams yet but patterns are starting to emerge. The Browns appear to be a team that will rely heavily on the run, despite having talent at WR. Dallas can't stop anyone but has plenty of firepower. I'm expecting the Browns to stay in this game by pounding the ball to Chubb and utilizing play action to make a few big plays. Their d line ca cause enough problems to keep the Cowboys from lighting them up and they may even have a shot to get the upset PICK: Browns +4 |
10-04-20 |
Chargers +7 v. Bucs | | 31-38 |
Push | 0 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
So, this line was originally set at 4.5 a week ago. After last week's results, we get a huge swing. Basically, unless there is a major injury, I'm always going to pounce on something like this. It's short term bias and a strategy that fools follow closely. We aren't going to put more into last week than any other week. The Chargers looked terrible as a big favorite and the Bucs looked solid. I am not sold on the Bucs and they will pressure Brady enough to make this a game. Tampa without Godwin and Fournette so you should expect a lower scoring game which makes 7 a big line. I'll gladly take the TD PICK: Chargers +7 |
10-04-20 |
Ravens -14 v. Washington Football Team | | 31-17 |
Push | 0 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
I'll be the first to admit this is an insane line. I can count the number of times I have laid double digits in NFL on two hands BUT Washington simply cant score enough in this spot to make it a game. I love the Ravens coming off that Monday night embarrassment Washington has almost no firepower and the Ravens may hold them to under 10. I expect Baltimore to stack the box and dare Washington to throw on them. Thus far, Washington has been solid on defense but this is where that ends. BLOWOUT PICK: Ravens -14 |
10-03-20 |
Auburn +7.5 v. Georgia | | 6-27 |
Loss | -109 | 1 h 15 m | Show |
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10-03-20 |
LSU -21 v. Vanderbilt | | 41-7 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 0 m | Show |
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10-03-20 |
NC State +14 v. Pittsburgh | | 30-29 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
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09-30-20 |
Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | | 2-4 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Dodgers On The Run Line |
09-28-20 |
Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 34-20 |
Win | 100 | 105 h 25 m | Show |
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09-27-20 |
Lions v. Cardinals -5.5 | Top | 26-23 |
Loss | -108 | 113 h 15 m | Show |
This is a pretty square pick, admittedly. That said, I still think Kyler Murray and the Cards are underrated and Detroit is exactly as bad as they seem. There are so many terrible match-ups for Detroit but look for Drake to go off against this soft defense that has been getting run all over. DVOA has the Lions ranked 31 in rush defense and they have to deal with both Murray and Drake. Offensively, without Golloday, the Lions aren't much of a threat and they would need 25+ pts to be in this one. PICK: Cardinals -5.5 |
09-27-20 |
Jets +11 v. Colts | Top | 7-36 |
Loss | -110 | 113 h 54 m | Show |
The common opinion among sports writers and bettors alike is that the Jets are the worst team in the NFL. While I don't have high hopes for the Jets they opened the season vs the NFC champion 49ers and the playoff Bills. The colts are, no doubt, a solid team but I am NOT sold on Rivers at this stage of his career. Also, despite that 80 yard run by Mostert in week 2, the Jets are a good run defense. This means a lot of the game will be determined through the air. The Jets offense has been miserable but as they proved last year, they can also sprinkle in some good games. Darnold should do enough to keep this close. 11 is simply way too much for a mediocre offense to lay. PICK: Jets +11 |
09-27-20 |
Panthers v. Chargers -6.5 | | 21-16 |
Loss | -110 | 113 h 53 m | Show |
While I like the Chargers more if here if Herbert starts ( I have no idea what Lynn is thinking), I like them either way. The Panthers can be had on the ground or through the air with a bottom 3 rush and pass defense. We all know how the Chargers can get after the QB with Bosa and Ingram and I expect Bridgewater to be a LOT less comfortable than he has been. CMC is out, which makes the threat of the big play much, much less likely and it's hard to imagine a scenario where Carolina slugs this out with the LAC PICK: Chargers -6.5 |
09-27-20 |
Bears v. Falcons -3.5 | | 30-26 |
Loss | -108 | 110 h 50 m | Show |
This is an easy pick for me. The Falcons come in and 0-2 and the Bears at 2-0 but a closer look reveals a much different story. The Falcons lost to Seattle and Dallas - two offensive juggernauts. The Bears eked out wins against 2 of the worst teams in the NFL - Detroit and NYG. It's highly unlikely the Bears can keep up with the Atlanta offense which has the better QB and weapons all over the place. If not for their respective records, Atlanta would be favored by 6 so we have some value here PICK: Atlanta -3.5 |
09-27-20 |
Rams v. Bills -2.5 | | 32-35 |
Win | 100 | 110 h 48 m | Show |
The Bills opened at 3-3.5 but have since gone down to below 3. This movement seems largely reactionary to a poor Bills defensive performance in week 2. There are two major factors that make that week 2 performance seem worse than what we will actually see this Sunday. Firstly, the Bills were missing 2/3 of their best defensive players - Milano and Edmunds. Fitz is a smart QB and he exposed the normaly stout passing defense in the middle of the field repeatedly. Secondly, Fitz made great throws into very tight windows that simply aren't normally made. The Rams look more like the "good" Rams with their offense humming. WHile Higby and Kupp will likely cause some problems for the Bills, the match-up for the Bills offense looks promising. With Ramsey likely to draw Diggs, look for John Brown to have a couple big plays and force the Rams to be less aggressive Using advanced stats like DVOA, which takes into account the opponents, these teams stack up fairly evenly. The Bills have the home field ( even without fans) and I expect the Bills to give Goff a rougher time than he has had this year with the return of Edmunds and possibly MIlano PICK: Bills -2.5 |
09-26-20 |
Nuggets +5.5 v. Lakers | | 107-117 |
Loss | -105 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Nuggets |
09-26-20 |
Florida State +12 v. Miami-FL | | 10-52 |
Loss | -110 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
The Pick: Take Florida State |
09-26-20 |
Mississippi State +16.5 v. LSU | Top | 44-34 |
Win | 100 | 53 h 2 m | Show |
Look, LSU is no doubt the more talented team. But this year is different and I might look at this differently if they had one of those walk over games to start. As you know, LSU lost a lot of firepower in the off-season. Mainly Burrow, who is not on the Bengals. I see Mississippi St hanging around in the first half and scoring enough for this to be a game. Eventually LSU should wear them down but 16.5 is too many points for me in this one PICK: Mississippi State +16.5 |
09-26-20 |
Iowa State v. TCU +2.5 | | 37-34 |
Loss | -104 | 51 h 3 m | Show |
This game looks like it should be a defensive battle. Iowa State has a game under it's belt so that's a slight advantage but TCU has a better defense in every way. I don't see Iowa State moving the ball with much success. Brock Purdy isn't very good and the TCU front should cause him enough problems to make this ugly. TCU doesn't have an offense to right home about but they are a well coached team that will be in this and probably get the outright win PICK: TCU +2.5 |
09-26-20 |
Central Florida -27 v. East Carolina | | 51-28 |
Loss | -110 | 50 h 34 m | Show |
UCF played a sloppy game and still smoked Georgia tech last week. We are seeing that subpar performance reflected in this line. East Carolina may put up some points in this one but UCF should score 50+. ECU has a terrible secondary and they are going to get absolutely torched if they don't get pressure which they likely will now. If you are looking for a blowout in a fun game to watch, this one should do it. 4-6 TD win. PICK: UCF -27 |
09-26-20 |
Louisville v. Pittsburgh -3 | | 20-23 |
Push | 0 | 50 h 34 m | Show |
Louisville's pass defense may be even worse than we thought and that wasn't good. Miami exposed the Cards in every way. Pitt signal caller Kenny Pickett should take a big jump in production this year. That said, Louisville can sling it too. I expect there to be a good amount of scoring in this one but Pitt will ultimately make more plays - as the better team PICK: Pitt -3 |
09-26-20 |
Kentucky +7.5 v. Auburn | | 13-29 |
Loss | -110 | 49 h 30 m | Show |
This is a fascinating battle - perhaps the most interesting match-up of the week. The way I see this game is a battle of both teams respective strengths. Kentucky has a very good offensive line and Auburn, once again is very stout up front defensively. While Auburn is returning QB Nix, I'm not all that concerned about him lighting up the scoreboard. Kentucky should be able to find success running the ball because the defensive front of Auburn is talented but revamped and will take time to gel. Kentucky should be a competitive team this year. Not top 10 but perhaps top 20. I'll take the points here Kentucky +7.5 |
09-25-20 |
Mariners v. A's -1.5 | | 1-3 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 34 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The A's On The Run Line |
09-25-20 |
Heat v. Celtics -3 | | 108-121 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Celtics |
09-24-20 |
Dolphins v. Jaguars -2.5 | | 31-13 |
Loss | -123 | 35 h 38 m | Show |
The Dolphins aren't the easiest team to handicap because Fitz is one of the streakiest QBs of all time. He played very well last week against a top notch Bills pass defense. He was throwing darts with pinpoint accuracy. Miami also has some good weapons. I like the Jags in this spot because the match-up of their offense against this Dolphins defense is solid. The Dolphins will be without Byron Jones, their top corner, and I expect the Jags receivers to get going here. The defenses both stink but the offensive edge clearly goes to the Jags and Minshew, who has been very efficient. PICK: Jaguars -2.5 |
09-22-20 |
Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 | | 106-114 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Nuggets |
09-22-20 |
Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | | 4-5 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 31 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Twins On The Run Line |
09-21-20 |
Cardinals -1.5 v. Royals | | 1-4 |
Loss | -113 | 1 h 41 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Cardinals On The Run Line |
09-20-20 |
Patriots v. Seahawks -4 | | 30-35 |
Win | 100 | 106 h 46 m | Show |
It's strange seeing the Patriots as underdogs. It's even stranger to side against them getting over a FG but that's what I'm going to do here. Look, I'm sure BB will make the best out of this team but their offense is pretty bad. Scoring 21 against Miami with almost no pressure from the other offense isn't really a great accomplishment. I still view the Pats as a 7-9 win team. This Seattle team probably won't run all over the solid Patriots D but they certainly have enough offense to get it done. It seems that Wilson is going to be given more throws which is great news. Seattle wins this pretty big in a statement game. PICK: Seattle -4 |
09-20-20 |
Ravens -7 v. Texans | Top | 33-16 |
Win | 101 | 102 h 55 m | Show |
I'm going to keep this short. Houston cannot stop the run. They are playing the Ravens. End. No, but seriously, Houston probably isn't as bad as they looked last week but there is no way they get right against Baltimore. Watson is going to be under constant pressure and his weapons just aren't that great. The line is around 7 because Watson is still one of the best, but this is a bad team with a bad coach in a terrible matchup PICK: Ravens -7 |
09-20-20 |
Washington Football Team v. Cardinals -6.5 | Top | 15-30 |
Win | 100 | 102 h 43 m | Show |
So here we get the perfect betting opportunity. The Redskins pull off a strange upset over the depleted Eagles and we get to lay less than a TD at home. Haskins is certainly not a big threat and this week he travels across the country to play a team that can put up big points. Arizona moved the ball efficiently against the Niners, who may have the best unit in the league. Hopkins was targetted early and often - quelling the fears that it may take time to develop chemistry. AZ should score 27+ and it's hard to imagine Washington keeping up This is my play of the week Arizona -6.5 |
09-20-20 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | | 3-6 |
Loss | -133 | 1 h 10 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Dodgers On Run Line |
09-20-20 |
Panthers v. Bucs -9 | | 17-31 |
Win | 100 | 99 h 42 m | Show |
Brady looking kinda washed up in week 1 gives us a decent value with the Bucs here. While his best years are behind him, I expect Brady to figure out things pretty quickly against a terrible Panthers defense. Look for Godwin and Ronald Jones to go off. The Bucs have a very good run defense so they should neutralize CMC to some extent. Bridgewater and co looked good enough in vs Vegas but the Raiders are soft defensively. This will be a much more challenging opponent. In the end this should be a double digit win for Tampa PICK: Bucs -9 |
09-20-20 |
49ers -7 v. Jets | | 31-13 |
Win | 100 | 99 h 34 m | Show |
I had this game circled as JETS before week one because I assumed SF would be coming off a win and also that the Jets were like a 5-6 win team, not what they now appear to be. With Niners coming off a tough loss to an underrated AZ team, I expect they will bludgeon the Jets. Week 1 the Bills pressured the Jets on 43% of passing attempts. This Niners D line is even better and Darnold doesn't appear up for the task. While the Jets do have a stout run defense, I suspect that Shannahan will use the screen game and move the ball through the air against a putrid secondary. It's a lot of points on the road, no doubt, but SF will romp the Jets here PICK: 49ers - 7 |
09-19-20 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | | 6-1 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
the Pick: Take The Dodgers on The Run Line |
09-19-20 |
Central Florida -8 v. Georgia Tech | | 49-21 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show |
The Pick: Take Central Florida |
09-17-20 |
Bengals v. Browns -6 | | 30-35 |
Loss | -105 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Browns |
09-17-20 |
Heat v. Celtics -2.5 | | 106-101 |
Loss | -108 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Celtics |
09-14-20 |
Titans -3 v. Broncos | | 16-14 |
Loss | -115 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Titans |
09-14-20 |
Steelers -6 v. Giants | | 26-16 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Steelers |
09-13-20 |
Cowboys -3 v. Rams | | 17-20 |
Loss | -103 | 139 h 9 m | Show |
The Cowboys are an explosive team this year and it's going to show on Sunday night. We expect Dallas to score early and often. The Rams are a strange team where you never know exactly what you will get out of Goff. I'd expect him to connect with Kupp for some big plays but Dallas will get enough pressures to keep them down Look for Dallas to win this one by double digits now that they have removed the enormous dead weight named Jason Garrett PICK: Dallas -3 |
09-13-20 |
Cardinals +7.5 v. 49ers | | 24-20 |
Win | 100 | 135 h 14 m | Show |
I think we are catching a good number with the Niners coming off an amazing year and a super bowl appearance. These teams should play a competitive game. Kyler Murray is due to have an explosive year with he addition of Hopkins and another season under his belt. The niners running game is of concern but I still think that AZ will find the offense to make this a game and will gladly gobble up over a TD PICK: AZ +7.5 |
09-13-20 |
Dolphins +6.5 v. Patriots | | 11-21 |
Loss | -102 | 132 h 51 m | Show |
The Patriots are one of the more intriguing teams in the league. If the departure of Brady wasn't enough, they also had key players leave that tough defense. That said, we don't know how Newton will perform and we definitely can't count BB out. The Dolphins loaded up on young talent but aren't quite there. FOr me this game comes down to the fact that the Dolphins and Fitz have never had that much trouble with NE. I expect the fins to cause enough problems to keep this close and will take the points. PICK: Dolphins +6.5 |
09-13-20 |
Jets v. Bills -6.5 | | 17-27 |
Win | 100 | 132 h 50 m | Show |
The Bills and Jets are two franchises moving in different directions. Gase seems discontent with the players he was given ( including his young QB) and the Bills are a team on the rise. Of course the Bills will need Josh Allen to play better but Diggs will help here. The bottom line on this game is the Jets can't score enough to keep pace, even with an everage Bills offense. The Bills have an elite secondary and the Jets are depleted at WR. Look for a dominant performance from the Bills and a double digit win PICK: Bills -6.5 |
09-13-20 |
Raiders -3 v. Panthers | | 34-30 |
Win | 102 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
The Panthers are retooling and are looking pretty rough on defense. That is not good news because they are facing a Raiders offense that should put up major numbers this season. While we don't know how either defense will perform, it's hard to imagine a scenario where the Raiders don't score big in this one so we will take Vegas to cover the short number. Look for Jacobs to run wild and Waller to find his spots as well. PICK: Raiders -3 |
09-13-20 |
Bears v. Lions -2.5 | | 27-23 |
Loss | -105 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
I really see the Lions being much better than their record last season. The Bears still have a ton of question marks, not the least of which being Mitchy Biscuits. The late scratch of Golloday doesn't help the Lions any but they have enough weapons to score a reasonable amount. The home field isn't worth much but it's worth enough to take the better of the two teams in an early big game for both franchises. Stafford and co pull this one out PICK: Lions -2.5 |
09-13-20 |
Packers v. Vikings -2.5 | | 43-34 |
Loss | -107 | 22 h 19 m | Show |
It's hard to know exactly what to make of either team given their respective off-seasons but what we do know is for a decade the Packers have been mediocre on the road. You may say, "well home field isn't as important this year" and that's generally true except the Packers home field is normally so important that it skews their perception. I'm surprised this line hasn't moved to 3 and will gladly bet at 2.5. Cook should have a big game and the Vikings defense will do enough to get this W PICK: Vikings -2.5 |
09-12-20 |
Western Kentucky v. Louisville -13 | | 21-35 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
The Pick: Take Louisville |
09-12-20 |
Clemson -33.5 v. Wake Forest | | 37-13 |
Loss | -114 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
The Clemson Tigers will be one of the few things this college football season that looks as it should. Dabo returns the Best quarterback in the country in Trevor Lawrence, the best running back in the country in Travis Etienne, the best recieving corps and arguably the best defense. This from a team that has beaten Wake Forest by a combined score of 115-6 the last 2 years. This game should end pretty much the same way with Clemson scoring in the 50's and Wake struggling to score double digits. The Pick: Take Clemson |
09-12-20 |
Missouri State v. Oklahoma -42.5 | | 0-48 |
Win | 100 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
This college football season will be different from any we've ever seen but there's one thing we can count on. The Sooners led by Lincoln Riley will have one of the most lethal offenses in the country led by one of the best quarterbacks. Spencer Rattler is a 5 star recruit out of Phoenix that Riley gave a scholarship to as a freshman in high school. He has all the tools that Riley loves in a QB to lead his Spread attack and he's already a Heisman favorite. Murray State is an FCS school that went 1-11 last season and actually lost a lot of talent off that team. On the other hand Oklahoma returns 15 starters to go with their shiny new quarterback and will be ready to hit the ground running. The Pick: Take The Sooners |
09-12-20 |
Georgia Tech v. Florida State -13.5 | | 16-13 |
Loss | -104 | 2 h 36 m | Show |
The Pick: Take Florida State |
09-12-20 |
Syracuse v. North Carolina -23 | | 6-31 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Coach Mack Brown and North Carolina returns most of their starters and important skill players from an offense that averaged 33 points a game last season. Many experts expect quaterback Sam Howell will have an even better season after throwing for 38 touchdowns last year. On the other side Syracuse's top 2 running backs opted out just this past week leaving them with unproven players in nearly every offensive position besides quarterback. The Orange won't be able to keep up with UNC on the road and will likely be embarrassed. The Pick: Take UNC |
09-11-20 |
Celtics -3 v. Raptors | | 92-87 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 40 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Celtics |
09-10-20 |
Texans +10 v. Chiefs | | 20-34 |
Loss | -130 | 67 h 11 m | Show |
If you take away the few lousy games Watson still has every year, his production isn’t that much different than Mahomes. I absolutely love the Texans in this spot. The Chiefs are coming off their championship high while the Texans have something to prove. Add in the fact that there are gonna be about 20k fans ( not a traditional home field) and we will gladly gobble up these points in what should be a shootout. even if the Chiefs get off to a big lead, I’d still expect a fight. I’m pretty excited about Watson sans Hopkins as weird as that sounds. Big day coming from Fuller and the backs. PICK: Texans +10 |
09-10-20 |
Red Sox v. Rays -1.5 | | 4-3 |
Loss | -103 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Rays On The Run Line |
09-09-20 |
Clippers v. Nuggets +7.5 | | 96-85 |
Loss | -108 | 1 h 55 m | Show |
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09-07-20 |
Astros v. A's -1.5 | | 0-6 |
Win | 155 | 1 h 8 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Athletics On The Run Line |
09-07-20 |
Clippers v. Nuggets +9 | | 113-107 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Nuggets |
09-06-20 |
Rockets v. Lakers -5.5 | | 109-117 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Lakers |
09-06-20 |
White Sox -1.5 v. Royals | | 8-2 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 51 m | Show |
The Pick: Take White Sox On Run Line |
09-04-20 |
Rockets v. Lakers -6.5 | | 112-97 |
Loss | -108 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Lakers |
09-04-20 |
Bucks v. Heat +5 | | 100-115 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 58 m | Show |
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09-03-20 |
Raptors -2.5 v. Celtics | | 104-103 |
Loss | -110 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Raptors |
09-02-20 |
Padres -1.5 v. Angels | | 11-4 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Padres On The Run Line |
08-31-20 |
Rockets -5 v. Thunder | | 100-104 |
Loss | -110 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Rockets |
08-31-20 |
Braves -1.5 v. Red Sox | | 6-3 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Braves On The Run Line |
08-31-20 |
Heat +5.5 v. Bucks | | 115-104 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
|
08-30-20 |
Clippers v. Mavs +10.5 | | 111-97 |
Loss | -105 | 1 h 28 m | Show |
|
08-30-20 |
Padres v. Rockies +1.5 | | 13-2 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 7 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Rockies On The Run Line |
08-29-20 |
Blazers v. Lakers -12.5 | | 122-131 |
Loss | -108 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Lakers |
08-29-20 |
Magic v. Bucks -13.5 | | 104-118 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
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08-27-20 |
Reds v. Brewers -1.5 | | 6-0 |
Loss | -100 | 2 h 45 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Brewers On The Run Line |
08-26-20 |
Yankees -1.5 v. Braves | | 1-5 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 2 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Yankees On The Run Line |
08-25-20 |
Mavs +8.5 v. Clippers | | 111-154 |
Loss | -105 | 1 h 32 m | Show |
|
08-24-20 |
Lakers v. Blazers +7.5 | | 135-115 |
Loss | -109 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
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08-24-20 |
Bucks -13.5 v. Magic | | 121-106 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
After not playing well in the seeding games and losing game 1 to Orlando, the Bucks seem to have woken up. After dominating defense performances in games 2 and 3 the Bucks now know exactly how to shut down the Magic and I think they will in game 4 as well. There's extra motivation for them to play well as they look around the Eastern conference and see Boston and Toronto already swept their series and Miami is poised to do the same. The Bucks want to make sure to win this in 5. Look for Milwaukee to blow out Orlando. The Pick: Take The Bucks |
08-23-20 |
Nuggets +3.5 v. Jazz | | 127-129 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Nuggets |