03-06-22 |
Knicks v. Clippers UNDER 219.5 | Top | 116-93 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
The New York Knicks have cashed 6 straight overs and 12 of 15 while the Clippers are fresh off a 243 total points performance against the Lakers. The public is eating it up, pushing this number from 216.5 to 219.5. The Knicks are 9-4 to the UNDER the game following a ATS cover while the Clippers cashed under tickets in 13 of 18 games against the worst teams in the league. |
03-05-22 |
Spurs v. Hornets OVER 238 | Top | 117-123 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
San Antonio and Charlotte rank top-ten in points per game, bottom-five in points allowed, top-four in pace in the league, which means fans will likely be in for an abundance of offensive fireworks on Saturday night. |
03-05-22 |
Miami-FL v. Syracuse UNDER 151.5 | Top | 75-72 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
I thought the public would be all over the over in this one but the books have priced this game too high for their taste and I agree. The Under is 27-13-3 in the Orange last 43 home games vs teams with a road winning percentage of .600 or more. |
03-04-22 |
High Point v. Winthrop UNDER 141 | Top | 51-68 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Both teams come into this one with over-streaks but this number is a little too rich for me considering I've seen a trend where the Panthers are more of an under team when they go up against the better competition. This is a conference tournament game and the time of year when the Eagles start to focus more on the defensive end of the court. i suspect both over streaks ending tonight. |
03-03-22 |
Bulls v. Hawks UNDER 232.5 | Top | 124-130 |
Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
No one would mistake either one of these teams to be good defensive teams, but it does appear that the oddsmakers are giving the public a low enough number to entice them to take the over. |
03-02-22 |
Notre Dame v. Florida State UNDER 139.5 | Top | 70-74 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
The Seminoles will win this game only if they protect the perimeter, this is where the Irish has lived and died for years under Mike Brey. This is a spot where I like to play the under because you have the Irish coming in off of 5 straight overs while the Seminoles have been involved in 4 of 5. This number is begging you to take the over, we're not going to fall for this. |
03-01-22 |
CS-Northridge v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 134 | Top | 61-70 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is another spot where the number is too high to bait you into taking an over. Northridge has played 7 overs in their last 9 games while the Gauchos have played in 5 of 6. Don't fall for the trap, this game is going under. |
03-01-22 |
Southern Utah v. Montana State UNDER 147 | Top | 53-69 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
Another situation where the oddsmakers set the number too high, hoping to catch the public riding the current overs streaks. The Thunderbirds have cashed 5 overs in their last 7 games with a push, while the Bobcats have played in 4 straight overs. We're not getting sucked into this bad number. |
03-01-22 |
Miami-OH v. Central Michigan UNDER 148.5 | Top | 75-61 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
This is a game that screams over but you have to know when trends will stop, and another will begin. This number is too rich for me even though the RedHawks are coming off six straight overs, while the Chippewas have played in back-to-back overs. This number is begging you to take the bait but we're going to be smarter than that tonight. |
02-28-22 |
Baylor v. Texas UNDER 135 | Top | 68-61 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Both of these teams are coming is as clear over selections, Texas has played in 9 over's in their last 13 games while the Bears have cashed 3 of 5 overs. Expect the public to be all over this trend but we're going under back by another trend that has cashed 76%. |
02-28-22 |
Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 237 | Top | 105-118 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
The Memphis Grizzlies are in relatively good shape, missing only their consistent provocateur in Dillon Brooks from their list of major contributors, and slowly but steadily pulling themselves up the defensive rankings, while continuing to field a top-five offense as well. |
02-27-22 |
Tulane v. Temple UNDER 137.5 | Top | 70-75 |
Loss | -110 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
Tulane have played six straight overs while the Owls have two straight under their belt. This number seems to be begging you to take the over but we're not going to be on that side. The under is 24-9-1 in the Owls last 34 games as a favorite. |
02-27-22 |
Iona v. Rider UNDER 142 | Top | 68-61 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
The Gaels come in playing 5 straight unders while the Broncs come in with a couple unders behind them. This is usually when i go over the total but Rider isn't reliable enough from an offensive standpoint to think they'll do their part in pushing this over. |
02-27-22 |
Canisius v. Quinnipiac UNDER 146.5 | Top | 72-67 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
Canisius is one of the worst offensive teams on College Basketball, which would make sense when you have an 8-20 record. Iona have played 5 straight unders which makes this an easy selection, right? We're going to go against what many think will be an easy over. |
02-27-22 |
SMU v. Houston UNDER 138 | Top | 61-75 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
After two straight rad overs, I suspect that this number is a little higher than I expected in this one. We've seen quality teams come into Houston and get suffocated, in fact, the under is 42-19-1 when Houston faces team with a winning road record. |
02-23-22 |
Washington v. Washington State OVER 135.5 | Top | 70-78 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
There's no other way to bet games involving the Huskies than to play the over. The over is 20-7 in the Huskies last 27 road games and 6 of 7 overall. Neither team are terrific offensive teams but this number would indicate that the pace will be fast. |
02-23-22 |
LSU v. Kentucky OVER 142 | Top | 66-71 |
Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
The over is 7-1 in the Tigers last 8 games and 41-19 in their last 60 road games. The over is 6-1 in the Wildcats last 7 road games. The Wildcats are one of the top offensive teams in College Basketball. |
02-22-22 |
St. Thomas v. North Dakota OVER 145.5 | Top | 84-74 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 55 m | Show |
This is a classic match-up between the Tommies who are certainly an under bet, against North Dakota who has been a decent over wager. This number indicates that pace of play will be fast, and I agree with that. This game goes over easy. |
02-21-22 |
Louisville v. North Carolina OVER 143 | Top | 63-70 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
The over is 6-1 in the Tar Heels last 7 games including 5 straight as a favorite. The over is also 8-2 in their last 10 overall. |
02-16-22 |
Illinois v. Rutgers OVER 134.5 | Top | 59-70 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Over is 17-8 in Fighting Illini's last 25 games following an ATS loss while the Over is 9-4 in Scarlet Knight's last 13 games following a straight-up win. |
02-16-22 |
Massachusetts v. St Bonaventure OVER 144.5 | Top | 71-83 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
The over is 14-6 in the Minutemen top 20 games overall while the Bonnies are on a small 4-1 over run in their last 5 games as a favorite. |
02-07-22 |
Charlotte v. Florida International UNDER 138 | Top | 81-68 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
The under has cashed five straight games when the 49ers play a team with a winning record, indicating that they play much tighter and slower-paced games against the better teams even against the Panthers who will try to push the tempo. |
02-06-22 |
Providence v. Georgetown UNDER 144.5 | Top | 71-52 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 31 m | Show |
The under is 11-3 in the Friars last 14 games after an ATS win while the under is 7-3 at home against teams with a winning road record. |
02-05-22 |
Duquesne v. VCU OVER 124 | Top | 62-71 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
The Over is 8-3 in the Dukes last 11 road games and 10-4 on the road as a dog. This seems like an easy under but this number is way off my power rankings. |
02-05-22 |
Northern Colorado v. Northern Arizona UNDER 150.5 | Top | 74-71 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
The game features two teams that are usually over teams but we've seen this a million times where it looks easy but it ends up the other way. This number is too high so we'll take advantage of the public mistake. |
02-04-22 |
Quinnipiac v. St. Peter's UNDER 135.5 | Top | 74-83 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
The Bobcats are known for putting up under after a SU loss, mostly they get refocused on playing defense, while the under is 24-9 in the Hawks last 33 games overall. |
02-04-22 |
Green Bay v. Cleveland State OVER 134.5 | Top | 69-85 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
Both of these teams are under plays on most nights. but the Vikings seem to play higher scoring games against teams who are in the third half of College Basketball so I'm going to ride with that trend. |
02-03-22 |
UCLA v. Arizona OVER 148.5 | Top | 66-76 |
Loss | -110 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
The Arizona men's basketball team lost their first matchup against UCLA at Pauley Pavilion in L.A. on Jan. 25, and will look to get revenge on Thursday, Feb. 4. The Wildcats had one of their worst shooting performances of the season when they faced off against the Bruins. Having Kerr Kriisa finish 0-9 didn't help. As a team, Arizona ended the game shooting 31% from the field and 25% on the 3-point line. Kriisa had his worst game as a Wildcat. Adding four turnovers to the game made it hard for them to come back in the first half. The Wildcats will be much better this time out. |
02-03-22 |
Bryant v. St Francis PA UNDER 149.5 | Top | 89-82 |
Loss | -104 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
I'm going to continue to ride the Red Flash and under, where we've cashed out in 10 of their last 11 games. The under is also 8-0-1 after SU loss by St. Francis because after a loss they get back to playing a better defensive game. |
01-31-22 |
Raptors v. Hawks UNDER 220 | Top | 106-100 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
The Raptors play at one of the slowest paces in the league, and only four teams turn the ball over less. They are one piece away from being making noise in the playoffs. But tonight, they are focused on not losing ground to the red-hot Hawks. |
01-30-22 |
Colorado v. Washington State OVER 131.5 | Top | 43-70 |
Loss | -117 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
This total game is out a little higher than I thought it would but that doesn't care me off this winner. I expect both teams to be in the '70's |
01-27-22 |
Lakers v. 76ers UNDER 218.5 | Top | 87-105 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
As of Wednesday, Danny Green (right hip pain) was upgraded to questionable for the next contest. Seth Curry (left ankle soreness), Shake Milton (back contusion), and Ben Simmons (personal reasons) remain out. The Sixers assigned rookie Jaden Springer and transferred two-way contract player Myles Powell to the Delaware Blue Coats. Paul Reed remains on assignment. After a 17-game absence for the Lakers, Anthony Davis (knee) played 25 minutes and tallied eight points, two rebounds, two assists, one steal and four blocks in their most recent game. Davis was listed as probable against the Sixers entering gameday morning. Sekou Doumbouya (G League - Two-Way), Mason Jones (G League - Two-Way), and Kendrick Nunn (right knee bone bruise) are out. Too many moving parts for both teams to produce offensive consistency |
01-26-22 |
Utah v. Washington State OVER 138 | Top | 54-71 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a number that was head-scratching but I'm not going to get scared off the game because I think it flies way over. The Cougars average almost 76 points a game on just 43% shooting. This is going to be a high-tempo game which should give us a chance. |
01-26-22 |
NJIT v. Maryland-Baltimore County OVER 138 | Top | 69-73 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
UMBC is ranked 232nd in the country with a FG % allowed is 44%. I was a little surprised to see the number this high but it doesn't scare me off. |
01-23-22 |
Celtics v. Wizards UNDER 216 | Top | 116-87 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
The Celtics are shooting just 44% this season even though we know the Wizards are still an all offense basketball team. Boston is good enough to hold the inconsistent Wizards down. |
01-22-22 |
Pacers v. Suns UNDER 220.5 | Top | 103-113 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
The under in this series has cashed 6 of the last 7 games at the Footprint Center. The Pacers are coming off a huge upset on the road against the Golden State Warriors, scoring 121 points in the win. I expect the Pacers to come back down to earth in this match-up. |
01-22-22 |
Troy State v. UL - Lafayette OVER 142.5 | Top | 59-69 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
This is one of those totals that don't add up. Neither team gives up enough to numerically show why the number is 140. Neither team turns the ball over enough to create transition basketball so expect quality possessions from both teams. When it looks to be true that's when we make the books pay for their oversite. |
01-22-22 |
DePaul v. Creighton UNDER 142.5 | Top | 47-60 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
These are two of the worst offensive teams in College Basketball. Blue Jays are ranked 276th in PPG with just 67 points a game. Greg McDermott will not coach this game so there may be some cohesion issues on the bench. I think this number is too high for two teams with that are unreliable. |
01-19-22 |
Albany v. Maryland-Baltimore County UNDER 135.5 | Top | 66-54 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
This is a match-up features the Albany Great Danes which allows Dana to use information from the College that he grew up around. The Great Danes are one of the worst offensive teams in basketball, shooting under 40% on the season. I think this number is way too high for the Albany to do their part enough to push this over. |
01-18-22 |
Utah State v. Fresno State UNDER 130.5 | Top | 54-61 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
With Fresno State being one of the worst offensive teams in College Basketball, I don't think they're going to do their part in this one. Although the Aggies are going to give us 70-75 points, I think the Bulldogs defense will douse that offensive flame some. |
01-18-22 |
Pistons v. Warriors UNDER 218.5 | Top | 86-102 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Curry has been dealing with some right (shooting) hand soreness that caused him to miss Sunday's game vs. Minnesota. Maybe that hand explains why Curry is shooting just 35.4 percent this month and 29.9 percent from deep. His scoring average is only 19.6 points in January, and he's down to sixth in the league at 26.3 ppg. Thus, the MVP race could be far from over also involving Milwaukee's Giannis Antetokounmpo (+300) and Denver's Nikola Jokic (+600). |
01-18-22 |
Wolves v. Knicks UNDER 214 | Top | 112-110 |
Loss | -104 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
The Wolves allowed fewer than 100 points for the 13th time and also held the Warriors to 39 percent shooting, marking the second time in the past six contests they held an opponent under 40 percent. Not great for the Knicks who are coming off a horrible shooting night. |
01-18-22 |
Missouri v. Ole Miss UNDER 133.5 | Top | 78-53 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
When you handicap both of these teams it's difficult to find the area that's going to hurt us by betting the under. Missouri is hitting 25% from beyond the arc and neither team is consistent at the free throw line. Both teams are decent rebounding teams so the second chance points will at a minimum. The under is the play here. |
01-17-22 |
Mercer v. The Citadel UNDER 152 | Top | 71-64 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Mercer is coached well and moves the ball well on the offensive end. They should be able to get within the 75-80 mark to push this game over. Against the Bulldogs, who we know will do their part to push this over will dictate the pace enough to carry Mercer. I mistakenly pushed the under button but this is an over play. |
01-16-22 |
Warriors v. Wolves OVER 216 | Top | 99-119 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Minnesota fell to Golden State 123-110 in the teams' first meeting this season despite a career-high 48 points from Anthony Edwards in San Francisco. Home teams have won the previous seven meetings between the two teams, with the Timberwolves winning their four previous contests at Target Center versus the Warriors. |
01-16-22 |
Bradley v. Illinois State OVER 146 | Top | 65-74 |
Loss | -120 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
The Red Birds are one of the worst defensive teams in College Basketball, allowing almost 80 points per game while averaging exactly 80 on the offensive side. This number is at least 5 points off my numbers. |
01-16-22 |
Loyola Maryland v. Lehigh UNDER 134.5 | Top | 69-57 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
Two of the worst offensive in College Basketball get together with a number that's pretty close to what I expected it to be, but I just can't imagine either stringing enough positive possessions together to push this game under. |
01-15-22 |
Bethune-Cookman v. Mississippi Valley State UNDER 141.5 | Top | 62-60 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
The Delta Devils quite possibly have the worst defensive team in the country, too bad they're playing a Wildcats team who could make the case for being one of the worst offensive teams in College Basketball. I envision a sloppy game that will easily get us another ticket cashed. |
01-15-22 |
Houston Baptist v. McNeese State UNDER 141.5 | Top | 75-78 |
Loss | -105 | 2 h 5 m | Show |
The Cowboys are finally able to get a legit home game after their arena was damaged by Hurricane Laura and Delta in 2020. Houston Baptist will be what the doctor ordered as emotions and energy will be high, I think that leads to a tough defensive game. This number is way off my power ratings with or without the excitement surrounding the arena. |
01-15-22 |
UL - Lafayette v. Texas State UNDER 137.5 | Top | 68-72 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 2 m | Show |
Sometimes it takes a minute to put my games up because I actually, wait for it, handicap games. When College Basketball hits it makes it more time consuming, so I do apologize for the plays getting out a little later. It's more important that I'm right than early, something I was taught a long time ago in the media world. The reason I bring this up is because that extra work has found this gem. I never care who's playing as long as the match is right. I have the bookmakers off at least 5-7 points in this one, so we're going to make them pay for that oversight. |
01-13-22 |
Northern Kentucky v. Youngstown State UNDER 137.5 | Top | 68-67 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
The Norse have shot 40% from the field this season making them one of the worst offensive teams in College Basketball. They're not great defensively either but they are playing a Penguins team that doesn't have enough weapons to take advantage. |
01-12-22 |
NC State v. Louisville UNDER 149.5 | Top | 79-63 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
In their earlier meeting, NC State made 50% of its two-point attempts against a pretty good Cardinal's defense, and that was despite Dereon Seabron shooting only 4-13 inside the arc. NC State has shot 50% or better inside the arc exactly one time since this game. Louisville, meanwhile, shot only 43.8% inside the arc. I don't expect either to happen again, but I do expect another under with the books making a 12-pt adjustment from game one. |
01-11-22 |
Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 221 | Top | 108-116 |
Loss | -107 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
This is the third duel of the season series between both teams, being teams from the same Conference, these duels are of vital importance for future tiebreakers at the end of the season. At the moment, the series is tied at 1 game per side, the first of them was a Memphis victory by a score of 104 to 101, while the second was a Golden State victory with a score of 113 to 104. Both duels were led to out at the Chase Center and it will be time for the Grizzlies to look to weigh the home ground. Despite the impact of the match-up in the west, the bookmakers are begging you to take the over in this one. |
01-11-22 |
Central Arkansas v. Bellarmine UNDER 150 | Top | 63-85 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
Belllarmine is one of the best teams in College Basketball at limiting opposition possessions. My sources say that pace of game will dictate that this will not come anywhere near the outrageous total. |
01-10-22 |
Western Carolina v. East Tennessee State OVER 150 | Top | 69-87 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
These are two of the worst defensive teams in College Basketball which is why the total is so high. The bookmakers are begging you to take the under but we're sharper than that because we know the pace of the game will easily be an over pace. |
01-06-22 |
Clippers v. Suns OVER 220 | Top | 89-106 |
Loss | -113 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
When they’re down a couple of guys, these Clippers have quite the knack for pulling themselves back from the brink, or beating a team they’d be expected to take some hits from even when fully healthy. On the other hand, they’ve also shown themselves capable of letting games go against sides they’d expect to be taking to task. Luckily for Ty Lue’s men, their next opponents, the Phoenix Suns, fall very much into the former category, and this squad already has the muscle memory of picking up a win against last year’s Western Conference champions with key players sitting it out on the sidelines. |
01-03-22 |
Maryland v. Iowa UNDER 151.5 | Top | 75-80 |
Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
This is an Iowa team that will put up and give up a lot of points but with this being Maryland's first true road test of the season, I'm not sure if they can do their part getting us over the total. I need to see how they react in a hostile environment when they haven't exactly been a model of consistency at home or in their Neutral site games. |
01-02-22 |
Mavs v. Thunder OVER 208.5 | Top | 95-86 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
The Dallas Mavericks will ring in 2022 and finish a five-game road trip in Oklahoma City on Sunday evening in a game that resembles a round of COVID musical chairs. A trio of Dallas Mavericks were released from the NBA's health and safety protocols on Saturday and (depending on conditioning) able to play vs. the Thunder, First-team All-NBA star Luka Doncic, starter Tim Hardaway Jr. and top rotation player Maxi Kleber were not included on the Mavericks’ afternoon injury/health update. After missing the last 10 games, Doncic back in the lineup would be a sight for sore eyes as Dallas went 5-5 without him. Jalen Brunson has stepped up in Doncic's absence, scoring in double figures in a career-best 16 consecutive games. |
01-01-22 |
Clippers v. Nets OVER 213.5 | Top | 120-116 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
The over is 6-1 in this series and the over is 5-1 when the Clippers starting five play over 160 minutes the night before. The over is 9-4 in Nets last 13 following an ATS loss. |
12-31-21 |
Heat v. Rockets OVER 216.5 | Top | 120-110 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
The Heat have the challenge of facing a healthy Rockets roster. Herro remains as one of the few standing on this Heat’s roster as the last available starter, with Duncan Robinson being placed on the COVID health protocol list. There is a possibility that the Heat may see the return of both Kyle Lowry and Jimmy Butler, which should take a large burden off of the shoulders off Herro. Nonetheless, it could be a big night for the young superstar. |
12-30-21 |
UTEP v. UAB UNDER 138 | Top | 62-75 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
I suspect that UAB will get their points but on the other side of the ball the Miners are ranked 296th in FG% going against a Blazers team who are one of the Elite defensive teams in the country. |
12-28-21 |
North Alabama v. Gonzaga OVER 143.5 | Top | 63-93 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show |
GU is coming off a 94-59 victory over Northern Arizona on Dec. 20, in which Chet Holmgren led all scorers with 20 points and grabbed nine rebounds and blocked three shots. The Zags shot 55% from the floor and 45% from deep while forcing 20 turnovers from the Lumberjacks, who were led by Jalen Cone’s 19 points. Along with being the last tune-up game before WCC play, the Zags are expected to be fully rested ahead of Tuesday’s game. The November slate that featured three games in five days, including top-5 matchups against UCLA and Duke, was a test for this young roster. It’s safe to assume that fatigue could have played a role in the nine-point win over Tarleton State at home and a loss to Alabama in Seattle. |
12-25-21 |
Hawks v. Knicks UNDER 212 | Top | 87-101 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
The NBA has five marquee matchups on Christmas, beginning with the Atlanta Hawks and the New York Knicks, who will battle at Madison Square Garden in a rematch of last year’s Eastern Conference playoffs. Yet, unlike last year’s playoff matchup, this contest will not feature Trae Young, Clint Capela, Danilo Gallinari, Kevin Huerter, Derrick Rose, Nerlens Noel, and more due to injuries and COVID-19 related issues. Atlanta will be without the majority of their normal rotation in this one, leading oddsmakers to price the Knicks as 7.5-point home favorites on the spread at online sportsbooks. |
12-18-21 |
Baylor v. Oregon OVER 134.5 | Top | 78-70 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Oregon’s plan for this game should be relatively simple: pound the ball in the paint. N’Faly Dante is coming off perhaps the best game of his career on Wednesday against the Portland Pilots, dropping 20 points and nine rebounds on 9/11 shooting. Baylor’s guard play is excellent again, despite sending three players to the NBA, but they do not have any established rim protectors under the rim. Their tallest rotation player is the 6’10 Flo Thamba, who is averaging under five points and five rebounds in just 18 minutes per game. The Bears do play physical, and they won’t just allow Dante and freshman Franck Kepnang to establish position and go to work down low, but Oregon has the depth in the frontcourt to continually pound the ball and force Baylor to guard them in the post. |
12-18-21 |
Knicks v. Celtics OVER 208.5 | Top | 107-114 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
Starting center Al Horford and forwards Grant Williams and Sam Hauser were placed in COVID protocol earlier Friday. Celtics forwards Jabari Parker and Juancho Hernangomez landed in the protocol earlier in the week. Boston guard Dennis Schroder also missed the Golden State matchup with a non-COVID illness. I've always said that players out equal offense because the defensive effort, not offensive effort will take a hit. |
12-17-21 |
Hornets v. Blazers UNDER 230.5 | Top | 116-125 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Who defends worse than the Blazers? Why, the Charlotte Hornets! The Blazers are 27th in the NBA with a defensive rating of 112.4, but the Hornets are dead last at 114.0. Woof. We are in store for a contrast of styles in how the teams give up points though. Charlotte is 29th in the league at not giving up second-chance points, while Portland is actually 5th best. The problem for the Blazers is that opponents don’t have much need for second-chance points since they score so often at the first opportunity. |
12-17-21 |
South Alabama v. Tarleton St OVER 125 | Top | 52-65 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
The Jaguars are one of the better shooting teams in the country, making 47% of their shots, I think they'll have an easy time finding shots against the Texans who have allowed teams true shooting percentage to be around 55%. |
12-16-21 |
Knicks v. Rockets OVER 213.5 | Top | 116-103 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
The Rockets are incredibly thin right now. Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green were their starting guards. Eric Gordon was the first backup guard off the bench. Danuel House Jr. is a key rotation piece, and Christian Wood is still Houston’s best big man. With so many players out, it wasn’t surprising that Houston’s defense struggled to contain Cleveland’s offense. I expect more of the same tonight. Remember, minute redistribution leads to higher scoring games because players want to impress with offense. |
12-16-21 |
College of Charleston v. Stetson OVER 147 | Top | 59-67 |
Loss | -116 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
The Cougars have been cranking out over's this season and we're going right back to the well to see if they can improve to 10-3 to the over. The numbers would indicate that both teams should go over but I've seen this too many times where the bookmaker has an opinion and they're trying to bait you into taking the other side. |
12-15-21 |
New Mexico State v. Washington State OVER 136.5 | Top | 64-61 |
Loss | -104 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
New Mexico State has been playing well of late but their 26 turnovers against Loyola Marymount le to 32 points for the Lions. If they do that against the Cougars the outcome won't be so favorable. The Cougars will put up a better effort than they did against North Dakota State after fighting through injuries and sickness. |
12-15-21 |
Lakers v. Mavs OVER 213 | Top | 107-104 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Expect the Mavericks to take less 3's than normal, which may not look great while betting the over, but with the way they've been shooting from beyond the arc, it may be a blessing. I expect the Mavericks to get to the FT line more because they''ll be more aggressive to the rim. Perhaps they'll find their touch from 3 tonight but the game plan is to scrap the bombs away approach. |
12-14-21 |
Warriors v. Knicks OVER 211.5 | Top | 105-96 |
Loss | -107 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
This game is going to get bet down because of the trouble that Golden State had getting out of Indiana. They will arrive in New York just five hours before tip-off. Many think this hurts the offense but I've always thought this is a play to the offense because the rotation is deeper with guys who want to prove themselves. First game between these two flew over the total and this will too. |
12-13-21 |
Rhode Island v. Wisc-Milwaukee OVER 128.5 | Top | 82-58 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
The Rhode Island Rams have been solid to begin this season as they are 7-3 to begin the regular season. They are being led by sophomore center Makhel Mitchell so far and that is going to help them progress throughout the regular season. They are coming off a 72-62 home win over the Sacred Heart Pioneers. The biggest problem that popped up was the fact they allowed the Pioneers to shoot 43.8 percent from the field throughout the game. The defense needs to step up more consistently as they are allowing 36.4 percent of shots to fall against them and are giving up 62.8 ppg, which is 52nd in the nation. Until I see progress on the defensive end, I will likely go over in many Rams games. |
12-12-21 |
Pelicans v. Spurs UNDER 220 | Top | 97-112 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
While the Pelicans are still waiting for former top overall pick Zion Williamson to return from an offseason foot injury (and he’s close), Brandon Ingram is leading the charge with 22.7 ppg. While they aren’t a huge offensive threat — they sit just 26th in the league at scoring with 103.9 points per game — the real threat they represent to the Spurs in on the boards. |
12-12-21 |
Mavs v. Thunder OVER 207 | Top | 103-84 |
Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
The Thunder’s opponents on Sunday are a team that is littered with unrealised potential. When the Mavericks swung a trade for Kristaps Porzingis, there was an expectation that Dallas would kick on and start making deep playoff runs. This season feels like the Mavericks are stuck in the weeds. Dallas have one of the best young stars in the sport in Doncic but he has not performed at the same level that he did last year. Luka played a full Olympic campaign with Slovenia before taking time off from basketball before returning for training camp. |
12-11-21 |
Warriors v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | Top | 93-102 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Philadelphia’s defense is not well-equipped for this matchup against the Warriors. Golden State attempts the third-most three-pointers of any team in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 20th in the league defending the perimeter this season, which was a problem in their last game as well–allowing the Utah Jazz to hit 15 shots from beyond the arc. Even though both teams come in playing well defensively, this game will fly over the total because of the Sixers perimeter defense. |
12-09-21 |
Merrimack v. Gonzaga UNDER 136.5 | Top | 55-80 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
Though the Warriors record and offense don’t necessarily jump out at you, the Warriors do have a rather interesting defense when it comes to on-ball pressure and disrupting passing lanes. They rank ninth in the country in steal rate and rank 22nd in the country in steals per game, which is notable because of the slow-as-molasses pace they like to play (350th adjust tempo in KenPom). They'll do just enough to keep this game under the total. |
12-08-21 |
Dayton v. SMU OVER 136 | Top | 69-77 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
The Flyers have dominated the paint offensively, hitting 57.9% of their 2-point attempts, which ranks 15th in the nation. They’ve struggled with taking care of the basketball, as they rank 271st in turnover percentage. Dayton owns a well-balanced offense that has seven players averaging over 6.0 points per game this season. The group utilizes its depth and saw five players score in double figures in the upset victory over Kansas. |
12-07-21 |
Nets v. Mavs UNDER 221 | Top | 102-99 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
The under has cashed four of the Mavs’ past five games played in the month of December. Though the team is 0-5 ATS in their previous five matches versus Eastern Conference opponents, and they are 1-4 SU in their prior five contests this season. Dallas has gone under the total in 10 of their previous 13 matches against Atlantic Division opponents. |
12-06-21 |
76ers v. Hornets OVER 216.5 | Top | 127-124 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
The Hornets are three games into a five-game stretch facing some of the better teams in the Eastern Conference, and they are being forced to do so now without a host of key players who are under the league’s COVID protocols. After dropping games to Chicago and Milwaukee last week the shorthanded Hornets rallied for a great road win yesterday against the Atlanta Hawks. The Hornets will now host the Philadelphia 76ers tonight and in a bizarre scheduling quirk, the two teams will play again on Wednesday in Charlotte. With players out of the line-up I've always believed that it benefits the over because players back-ups aren't usually bringing a great defensive game to the table, they want to get out and run so they can show what they can do during their chance for more minutes. |
12-05-21 |
Jazz v. Cavs UNDER 212.5 | Top | 109-108 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
In the Cavaliers last 10 games, they are 5-5, averaging 104.4 points, 46.9 rebounds, 23.7 assists, 6.0 steals and 4.8 blocks per game while shooting 44.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 101.1 points per game. |
12-02-21 |
Bucks v. Raptors OVER 215.5 | Top | 93-97 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
The Bucks are still riding high, having won 8 straight contests and catapulting themselves into a three-way tie for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference (alongside the Washington Wizards and Chicago Bulls). They remain 1.5 games behind the East-leading Brooklyn Nets, and Milwaukee’s upcoming schedule is a relatively light stretch. Over this 8-game win streak, the Bucks have rediscovered their old habits. Statistically, they’re performing up to the level we expected them to (6th in Offensive Rating, 2nd in Defensive Rating, 2nd in Net Rating), and it’s no surprise that the streak coincides with the return of Khris Middleton. |
11-26-21 |
UT-Rio Grande Valley v. Illinois UNDER 148.5 | Top | 85-94 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
The Rio Grande offensive efficiency is among the bottom in College Basketball. They own an ineffective effective FG% with 3-pt shooting not a strong part of the offense. They are going up against one of the best defenses in the country so it's hard to believe that the Vaqueros will do enough to push this game over the total. |
11-25-21 |
Belmont v. Drake UNDER 150.5 | Top | 74-69 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
These are two teams that will slow the pace down. Both teams rank in the bottom half of College Basketball in possessions per game. Even though Drake runs as an efficient of an offense as you'll see in the halfcourt, Belmont won't do enough to push this game over. |
11-22-21 |
Pacers v. Bulls UNDER 209 | Top | 109-77 |
Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
Head coach Rick Carlisle was very disappointed with his starters in the Indiana Pacers’ loss to the Charlotte Hornets. Only Malcolm Brogdon finished in double-figure scoring after Carlisle benched them for most of the second half of the game. The battle only got close because of the defense, energy and hustle of the second stringers. |
11-10-21 |
Kings v. Spurs UNDER 224 | Top | 117-136 |
Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
San Antonio owns the third-lowest foul rate in the league (17.1 PF), which has resulted in them sending their opponent to the line just 12.7 times per game this season. Playing disciplined defense has always been a hallmark of the Spurs throughout the Gregg Popovich era and despite their record we can still rely on them to be a good defensive team. |
11-09-21 |
Hawks v. Jazz UNDER 221.5 | Top | 98-110 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
Utah’s 6-1 record is every bit as impressive as their play early into the season. Coach Quin Snyder’s team ranks in the top 5 of most statistical categories on both ends of the floor. They stifle opponents on defense and can match any team’s firepower on offense. Look for the defense to carry the Jazz tonight. |
11-08-21 |
Hawks v. Warriors UNDER 222 | Top | 113-127 |
Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
The Golden State Warriors are fresh off of last night’s 120-107 smackdown of the Houston Rockets, but now a much more dangerous opponent is coming to town. The Atlanta Hawks, last year’s Eastern Conference finalist and the team that maybe ended Ben Simmons career, will be the Dubs’ foe on the second night of a back-to-back. The Hawks are 4-6 right now and looking to get on track after taking a loss to the Phoenix Suns in their last game. In that game alleged Stephen Curry clone Trae Young scored 31 points with 13 assists, but couldn’t get his team over the hump. He’ll have to deal with Golden State’s vaunted defense, currently ranked #1 in the NBA in defensive efficiency. Curry is playing arguably the best defense of his career. |
11-07-21 |
Rockets v. Warriors OVER 220 | Top | 107-120 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
The OVER is 6-1 when the Rockets are playing their second of back to back games, and 9-3 on the road against teams with a winning home record. There are many other trends that point to the UNDER but we're not falling for plays based on history. |
11-06-21 |
Hawks v. Suns UNDER 225 | Top | 117-121 |
Loss | -115 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
Against the Jazz, the Atlanta team shot at an abysmal rate from three with only 25% of their attempts converted missing 21 of the 28 attempts taken. Trae Young had 21 points with four rebounds and seven assists going 0-4 beyond the arc and only making eight of all 20 attempts. Collins, Hunter and Capela had a combined total of 40 points and the rest had below 10 points each. I need to see more consistency from the Hawks on the offensive side of the court but I do think they'll play much better on defense than they did against Utah. |
11-02-21 |
Kings v. Jazz UNDER 220 | Top | 113-119 |
Loss | -103 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
Utah is one of the best defensive teams in the league, giving up 98.3 points per game. They gave up 95 points in their last game against Milwaukee. The Kings have been disappointing from the three-point line. As a team, they are shooting 31.7% from downtown by landing 11.8 out of their 37.3 shots per game. In comparison, the Sacramento Kings opponents managed to maintain 32.9% from the three-point line. If this game goes under it will be because there was very little defense in the paint. |
11-01-21 |
Magic v. Wolves UNDER 216.5 | Top | 115-97 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
The Magic aren’t releasing much information regarding the progress of several key players on the injured list. According to Jack Robbins of the Athletic, this lack of transparency of the Magic is irking many fans. Markelle Fultz, Jonathan Isaac, and Chuma Okeke haven’t played a single game this season because of injuries. The Magic hasn’t given any timetable for all of them, which comes as a surprise to their fans. Fultz and Isaac are still recovering from knee injuries. Meanwhile, Okeke hasn’t played a single game this season due to a bone bruise in his hip. |
10-24-21 |
Warriors v. Kings UNDER 232.5 | Top | 119-107 |
Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
The under in this series has cashed tickets in 9 of the last 13 meetings, while the under is 41-20 in the Warriors last 61 games when playing against teams with a losing home record. |
10-22-21 |
Jazz v. Kings OVER 225.5 | Top | 110-101 |
Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
The Kings have returned to their high-octane, quick-moving style of basketball that has served them well in the last few seasons. They opened their new campaign with a 124-121 win against the Portland Trail Blazers on opening night. Harrison Barnes had an excellent night, with 36 points to lead the scoring. He had a career-high eight treys. De'Aaron Fox managed 27 points while Richaun Holmes had a double-double of 21 points and 11 boards. The Kings will push the pace so we know that the game will be played with an over tempo. I think the Kings get Utah into a track meet because they can't win a defensive struggle. |
10-21-21 |
Bucks v. Heat OVER 223.5 | Top | 95-137 |
Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks did not let their ring ceremony get in the way as they easily handled the Nets at home 127-104 on opening night. In his first game since scoring 50 points in a title-clinching Game 6 NBA Finals victory over the Phoenix Suns, Antetokounmpo had 32 points, 14 rebounds, and seven assists. Khris Middleton and Pat Connaughton each added 20 points to help the Bucks withstand the loss of Jrue Holiday, who sat out the second half with a bruised right heel after scoring 12 points. Bucks coach Mike Budenholzer said MRI results on Holiday were encouraging. His status for this game remains questionable |
07-14-21 |
Suns v. Bucks OVER 220.5 | Top | 103-109 |
Loss | -109 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Antetokounmpo dominated in Games 2 and as he recorded at least 40 points and 10 rebounds in each game He needs to stay aggressive despite any struggles from the foul line, limit his jump shot attempts, and put pressure on the rim as much as possible. If he can get Deandre Ayton in foul trouble again like he did in Game 3, the Bucks will be in a great spot. |
07-08-21 |
Bucks v. Suns OVER 220.5 | Top | 108-118 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
It was a great sign that Antetokounmpo was back and looked healthy in Game 1.. However, if the Bucks win Game 2, they need him to be the best player on the court and take more than 11 shots. Despite his contribution the game still flew over the total. Antetokounmpo needs to stay aggressive despite any struggles from the foul line, limit his jump-shot attempts, and put pressure on the rim as much as possible. If he can get Deandre Ayton in foul trouble (easier said than done - he has yet to pick up five fouls in any postseason game), the Bucks will be in a great spot. |
07-06-21 |
Bucks v. Suns OVER 219 | Top | 105-118 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
With Antetokounmpo unlikely to be at 100%, this significantly lowers the caliber of help defenders for the Bucks’ defense. Whether the Bucks choose to play a drop or switch more frequently as they did at the end of the Eastern Conference Finals, Paul should have opportunities to take advantage of this as he maneuvers into his patented mid-range jumpers (even if Holiday matches up against him defensively). |
07-03-21 |
Bucks v. Hawks OVER 216 | Top | 118-107 |
Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
One place where Milwaukee can make a difference is in the pace of the game, taking more shots per game. If they can get Atlanta playing in transition without Trae Young, they can also force some turnovers as well. It might be more difficult with Giannis, but the Bucks were the top team in the NBA in offensive rebounds, defensive rebounds, and total rebounds, and if they can crash the boards hard in game six, it'll generate second possessions and will allow them a better chance to stay in the game into the fourth. |
07-01-21 |
Hawks v. Bucks OVER 215.5 | Top | 112-123 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
Both teams may again be short-handed in Game 5. With a trip to the NBA Finals to play the Phoenix Suns on the line, both Milwaukee and Atlanta will need guys to step up more than ever. I've seen this before, both teams have injuries to their impact players and the public thinks that will hinder the offense. |