06-09-22 |
A's +167 v. Guardians | Top | 4-8 |
Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
The Oakland Athletics have won 8 straight games in Cleveland in addition being a pretty good road team in 2022. They are 19-7 against teams with a losing record. Cleveland is just 1-6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. |
06-02-22 |
Padres v. Brewers +1.5 | Top | 4-5 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
The Padres have lost 3 of their last 8 meetings and are just 15-25 as a road dog. Milwaukee has won 7 of 9 as a home favorite. |
05-30-22 |
Rays v. Rangers +129 | Top | 5-9 |
Win | 129 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
Let's see if we can continue to ride this Rays road streak after dropping 5 of their last 7. The Rangers have won 5 straight as a home dog and 7-3 following a loss. |
05-30-22 |
Nationals +171 v. Mets | Top | 5-13 |
Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
The Nationals certainly have had their issues against the New York Mets, but this number seems to be a little peculiar. The public has jumped all over it, which is what the books want. The plus money is worth taking a taking on. |
05-30-22 |
Royals +142 v. Guardians | Top | 3-7 |
Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
There's never much to like about betting the Royals but the plus money is too much to pass up, especially against the Guardians who are 3-7 the game after scoring 2 or less runs and 2-8 against Righthanded starters. |
05-30-22 |
Padres -1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-6 |
Loss | -100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
The Padres have cashed 12 of their last 14 tickets in game one of a series ad 13 of 16 against a left handed starter. Let's continue to ride the Padres 7-3 run and see if we can cash a plus money winner here. |
05-29-22 |
Blue Jays +118 v. Angels | Top | 11-10 |
Win | 118 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
The Blue Jays have won 5 of 6 in Los Angeles and 5 of 6 overall. Toronto is 17-5 against the American League West and 20-7 in their last 27 meetings after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous meeting. |
05-29-22 |
Marlins v. Braves OVER 8 | Top | 3-6 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
The over in 5-2-1 in their last 8 meetings in Atlanta and 4-1-1 in their last 6 overall. The over is 7-3-1 in the Marlins last 11 games. |
05-25-22 |
Rangers v. Angels OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-2 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
The over is 7-1-2 in their last 10 meetings. Overall both teams have been under teams but I think this number looks off. It looks to me like the books want you to take the under but we're not falling for that. |
05-24-22 |
Cubs +1.5 v. Reds | Top | 11-4 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
The Cubs have beat up on the weaker teams in the league, winning 37 of 55 against teams playing .400 baseball or less. |
05-22-22 |
Mets -120 v. Rockies | Top | 2-0 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
The Mets have won 20 of 26 against right-handed starters and 16-5 following a loss. The Rockies are just 17-36 against teams playing .600 or better baseball |
05-22-22 |
Tigers v. Guardians -1.5 | Top | 4-2 |
Loss | -100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
The Tigers are just 18-62 in their last 80 meetings, and 12-39 in Cleveland. The Tigers are just 55-121 against the American League Central and 7-19 overall. |
05-22-22 |
Rays -165 v. Orioles | Top | 6-7 |
Loss | -165 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
The Rays have owned the Baltimore Orioles, winning 44 of their last 57 meetings and 13 of 16 in Baltimore. The Rays have won 19 of their last 26 games as a road favorite. |
05-20-22 |
Padres v. Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 8-7 |
Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show |
The over is 13-5 in their last 18 meetings and 10-4 following a Padres win. The Giants have cashed 8 over tickets in their last 10 home games. |
05-20-22 |
Reds v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -100 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
The Reds have dropped 6 of their last 7 visits to Toronto and 9 of 13 overall in the series. Reds are just 16-36 in their last 52 road games. |
05-20-22 |
Rays -141 v. Orioles | Top | 6-8 |
Loss | -141 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay Rays have dominated the Baltimore Orioles over the last few years, winning 43 of their last 55 meetings including 12 of 13 in Baltimore. |
05-20-22 |
Rays v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 6-8 |
Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
The over is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings in Baltimore and 7-0-2 when the Rays play the American League East. The over cashed 6 of 7 when the Orioles play teams who are playing .600 baseball or better. |
05-20-22 |
Braves v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 |
Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
The under is 28-8-3 when the Braves allow 5 runs or more in their previous game and 8-3 in the Marlins last 11 game one of a series. |
05-18-22 |
White Sox v. Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 2-6 |
Push | 0 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This has been an under series for quite some time. In their last 26 meetings, the under has cashed 19 times with a push, and we're getting plus money to get on that trend today. The under is 8-1 in their last 9 in KC. |
05-17-22 |
Yankees -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 5-4 |
Loss | -130 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
The New York Yankees have owned the Baltimore Orioles, winning 26 of their last 35 meetings after another beatdown last night. Overall, New York is 39-13 against the Orioles. No reason not to lay the -1.5 in this one. |
05-14-22 |
Phillies v. Dodgers -175 | Top | 8-3 |
Loss | -175 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
The Phillies took it to the Dodgers last night, and even though a starter has not been named for the Dodgers, I can't go against them having too many losing streaks this season. Phillies are just 6-14 in Los Angeles, while the Dodgers are 41-11 in their last 52 as a home favorite. |
05-12-22 |
Mets -150 v. Nationals | Top | 4-1 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
The Mets have owned the Washington Nationals, winning 12 of their last 17 meetings. New York is also 10-1 following a loss, while the Nats re just 2-11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. |
05-11-22 |
Brewers v. Reds +1.5 | Top | 11-14 |
Win | 117 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
There's very little reason to be on the Reds these days, but the number is too good to pass up. If you're going to give me runs and plus money, like yesterday, it's hard to turn away. |
05-10-22 |
Brewers v. Reds +1.5 | Top | 5-4 |
Win | 105 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
I'm going to ride with the Reds in this one. I think we may have caught this Brewers team overlooking the Reds and with the price being right, the Reds are worth another shot today. |
05-10-22 |
Dodgers v. Pirates +1.5 | Top | 11-1 |
Loss | -100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
The Pirates are now 7-2 when their opponents score 2 runs or less in their previous game. This is likely due to an over confident team thinking they can take the Pirates lightly. I'll take the run nd a half along with the plus money. |
05-05-22 |
Reds v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 5-10 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
The Reds are now just 1-7 in their last 8 meetings in addition to just being a horrible ballclub. Cincinnati is just 4-22 in their last 26 road games. |
05-04-22 |
Reds +1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 4-18 |
Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Surprisingly, the Reds have played well in Milwaukee over the years, with 9 wins in their last 13 games. This number came out lower than expected, and of course, it's been bet up to -280, but I think this is one the Reds stay close and we're getting plus money. |
05-03-22 |
Cardinals v. Royals +1.5 | Top | 1-7 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
The Cardinals have had the Royals number for quite some time but this number looks a little off to me, so I'm going to grab the insurance with a team that I think will get an outright win. The Royals are 11-5 in their last 16 games interleague games against RHP. |
05-02-22 |
Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Marlins | Top | 5-4 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Not a lot to like here about Arizona but Miami has never been a team that can be relied on to get off to a great start in a series, losing 36 of their last 52 game 1's. In addition, they've lost 7 of 9 against the NL West. |
05-01-22 |
Nationals v. Giants -161 | Top | 11-5 |
Loss | -161 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
The Nationals have dropped 7 of 8 against San Francisco and 4 of 5 in San Francisco. Washington have been a go against when facing righthanders for years (27-56) nd that's what we're going to do in this one. |
04-30-22 |
Mariners v. Marlins +1.5 | Top | 1-3 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Seattle has now lost 4 straight games in Miami and 5 of 7 overall against the fish. The Mariners have now lost 9 of 10 interleague games as a road dog. Miami has now won 6 straight games and baseball is about betting streaks. |
04-27-22 |
Royals v. White Sox -188 | Top | 3-7 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
We have to lay a little more than I would like in this one but it's a winner and that's all that matters. Don't be fooled by the Royals success against the White Sox, this number is begging you to take the Royals and Greinke. |
04-25-22 |
Dodgers -180 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 4-0 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
The Dodgers have absolutely crushed bad teams, and that's what going to happen again tonight. Against teams with a winning percentage .400 or under, Los Angeles is 47-9 and 39-15 against Arizona. The price is a little high but Los Angeles is easy money. |
04-24-22 |
Mets -157 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-2 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
The Mets have owned the Diamondbacks over the years, winning 12 of their last 15 meetings. The Mets have won 7 straight games the game after being held to 2 runs or less in their previous game. |
04-24-22 |
Orioles v. Angels -180 | Top | 6-7 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
There's nothing about the Orioles that makes me want to be on their side today. Baltimore is just 20-42 after a win and 18-38 against left handed pitchers. |
04-20-22 |
Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 6-1 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
The under has cashed 5 of 6 game sin Boston in this series. More impressive is the Blue Jays 10-1 under run on the road and 14-3-1 against a right handed starter. |
04-18-22 |
Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 4-7 |
Loss | -103 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
The OVER has cashed six straight times the game after their opponents allow 2 runs or less in their previous game and 6-2 in the Dodgers' last 8 home games. |
04-15-22 |
Braves +104 v. Padres | Top | 5-2 |
Win | 104 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
Atlanta is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings and 6-1 in San Diego. They have also been a terrific bounce-back team after a loss, winning 36 of their last 51 games. I still need to see more consistency from San Diego who has a lot of hype but not many wins to show for it dating back to last year. |
04-15-22 |
Twins v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 8-4 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
The over has cashed in 4 of their last 5 meetings and 33 of 48 when the Twins are road dogs. The Over is 19-6-1 in the Red Sox last 26 home games. |
04-14-22 |
Cubs v. Rockies -118 | Top | 5-2 |
Loss | -118 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
I'm going right back to the well with Kyle Freeland who will bounce back after a poor showing against the Dodgers in his first start, something that's going to be difficult for any pitcher this season. |
04-14-22 |
Phillies -104 v. Marlins | Top | 3-4 |
Loss | -104 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
You're going to give me plus money with Kyle Gibson? I'll take that almost every time. The Phillies have always been a team who has continued momentum after a good offensive showing, winning 18 of 26 the game after scoring 5 or more runs. |
04-14-22 |
Cardinals +130 v. Brewers | Top | 1-5 |
Loss | -100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
The Cardinals have beaten Milwaukee 6 of their last 7 meetings, including 4 straight in Milwaukee. They are 22-6 in their last 28 road games and 9-1 in their last 10 as a dog. I'm more than happy to take the plus price here. |
04-14-22 |
Mariners -114 v. White Sox | Top | 5-1 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Seattle has won 7 of their last 9 against teams with a winning record. I'm a big fan of Logan Gilbert as he makes his second start. I likely will have my money on him for most of the season as we did in game one. |
04-13-22 |
Padres v. Giants -127 | Top | 1-2 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
The Padres are off to a decent start but I still can't play them as a road dog where they were so bad last season (16-37), they are also not a team that stopped losing streaks, dropping 25 of their last 35 after a loss. |
04-13-22 |
Red Sox v. Tigers +121 | Top | 9-7 |
Loss | -100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
I still remember back to last season when Boston struggled against left-handed starters down the stretch and I'm going to carry that into this season until they show me different. Sox are off to a slow start and Detroit was real good at getting W's against teams who were struggling. |
04-13-22 |
Dodgers -160 v. Twins | Top | 7-0 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
The Dodgers have won 7 straight games against the Twins and 4 straight in Minnesota. I'll take Kershaw most times if the price is right. The Twins have dropped 11 of 13 against left handed pitching. |
04-13-22 |
Mets +100 v. Phillies | Top | 9-6 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
Not too many times we're going to get Max Scherzer at this price so let's take advantage right now. Dating back to last season the Phillies have dropped 7 of 9 against the National League East. |
04-12-22 |
Indians -105 v. Reds | Top | 10-5 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
Cleveland is 13-5 in their last 18 meetings and 12-4 in Cincinnati dating back to last season. I'll ride with Beiber for most of his starts, I'm not going to overreact to the Reds opening split against the Braves. I still think they'll prove that they're not very good. |
04-11-22 |
Mariners +121 v. Twins | Top | 0-4 |
Loss | -100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
The Mariners are still a plus money play here with the success they've had against the Twins, especially in Minnesota. Seattle was an excellent 13-3 last season in the 4th game of a series. Let's get the plus money here. |
04-11-22 |
Blue Jays v. Yankees -102 | Top | 3-0 |
Loss | -102 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
You can say one thing about the Yankees, they have crushed right-handed pitching dating back to last season. I'm not ready to jump in with the Blue Jays until I see them beat some big boys of the league. |
04-10-22 |
Marlins v. Giants -118 | Top | 2-3 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
I'm not sure why this number is as low as it is but we're going to take full advantage of the oddsmakers generosity. Nice win last night for the Marlins but the Bay is still a place where they have not found success over the years and one win isn't going to change that fact. The Giants have now won 8 of 11 against the Marlins at home. Miami is now just 14-42 in their last 56 road games. |
04-10-22 |
Mariners +126 v. Twins | Top | 4-10 |
Loss | -100 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
The Mariners have now won four straight in Minnesota against 6 of 7 overall dating back to last season. Seattle is 21-6 in their last 27 road games. |
04-09-22 |
Padres v. Diamondbacks +148 | Top | 5-2 |
Loss | -100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Although the Padres made a lot of moves to compete with the rest of the division but the reality it's been their ina ability to beat teams like the Diamondbacks that has held them back. The Padres have dropped 16 of their last 21 in Arizona. |
04-09-22 |
Dodgers v. Rockies +140 | Top | 2-3 |
Win | 140 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
When the Dodgers have to win what appears to be a low-scoring, pitching battle, they didn't fare well to end last season. Let's go back and take advantage of the plus price as we see if they can win games when their offense doesn't carry them. |
04-09-22 |
Marlins v. Giants -143 | Top | 2-1 |
Loss | -143 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
The Marlins were close last night but couldn't get the job done in extra innings. Miami is now 17-41 vs LHP's and that's going to change this afternoon. |
04-09-22 |
Mariners +128 v. Twins | Top | 4-3 |
Win | 128 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
Logan Gilbert has been a terrific pitcher to back as the Mariners have gone 16-7 when Gilbert gets the ball in his career, that's good for a cool 1208 units. I'm going right back with him today with the plus money. |
04-08-22 |
Marlins v. Giants -140 | Top | 5-6 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
To begin the season we need to see if the things we knew about teams last year, still hold true in 2022. One of those things is whether the Marlins can be a trusted bet on the road as a dog. Last season, Miami was 13-44 in their last 57 games in that situation. |
04-08-22 |
Dodgers v. Rockies +193 | Top | 5-3 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Kyle Freeland gets the ball for the Rockies as a healthy underdog, but Freeland is a guy that I like to ride all season long. Freeland when he's anything less than a -200 favorite is 62-54 but gives us a healthy 1457 units won. |
04-07-22 |
Indians -120 v. Royals | Top | 1-3 |
Loss | -120 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
Bieber is 4-0 against the Royals in 10 career starts. Cleveland has also owned KC in the show me state with 16 winners in their last 21 visits to go along with their historical dominance over the blue. |
04-04-22 |
Nationals +146 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-4 |
Loss | -100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Miles Mikolas will get the start for the Cardinals today. Mikolas has thrown well this Spring but I'm not sure how long the Cardinals will have him in there, so it always becomes a bullpen game which is why I don't lay big numbers in exhibition games. |
03-27-22 |
Tigers +130 v. Orioles | Top | 4-5 |
Loss | -100 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
Don't be scared off the Tigesr just because a few regulars will be out of the line-up. Tyler Alexander and his "filthy" change-up will get the start. I always look for underdog plays in Spring and this one stuck out. |
10-09-21 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Giants | Top | 9-2 |
Win | 160 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
Los Angeles averaged 5.11 runs per game during the season. Their .244 batting average was 11th in the league. Their .330 on base percentage was fifth, while their .429 slugging percentage was seventh. Los Angeles’ pitching was among the best during the season. Opponents had a .207 batting against the Dodgers, which was first in the league. Their 3.01 ERA also led the league, as did their 1.10 WHIP. In his last start, Urias gave up one hit and one run in 6.1 innings, leading to an 8-3 win over Milwaukee. |
10-08-21 |
Braves v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -100 | 2 h 25 m | Show |
Corbin Burnes has been pitching phenomenally this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 99th percentile in xERA, 99th percentile in xSLG, 98th percentile in chase rate, and 97th percentile in strikeout percentage. His 3.1 barrel percentage is more than half of the next-lowest season of his career. Burnes throws six different pitches (cutter, curveball, changeup, slider, sinker, fastball) and his curveball has been dominant as it has a .069 batting average and a .119 slugging percentage. |
10-07-21 |
White Sox v. Astros OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-6 |
Loss | -120 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
The White Sox were fifth in team batting average at .256, 10th in slugging percentage at .433 and scored the seventh most runs with 796. The Houston Astros finished first in team batting average at .267, on-base percentage at .339 and in runs scored with 863. Houston did not drop off much in slugging percentage as the Astros were third overall in baseball at .444. |
10-02-21 |
Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-5 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
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10-02-21 |
Indians v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-7 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
Jordan Lyles is having one of the worst seasons of his career, allowing 102 runs in 23 starts. Moreover, Lyles is allowing hard contact at will with a .274 expected opponent Batting Average, a .475 expected opponent Slugging Percentage, and a 5.43 expected ERA, all of which are among the worst for starting pitchers this season. |
10-01-21 |
Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 6-8 |
Loss | -108 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
Clayton Kershaw has been solid this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 97th percentile in walk percentage, 94th percentile in whiff percentage, 92nd percentile in chase rate, and 85th percentile in xERA. His 7.1 barrel percentage is the highest in his career. Kershaw has a four-pitch arsenal (slider, fastball, curveball, changeup) and his slider has been his best pitch as it has a .191 batting average and 107 strikeouts. |
09-30-21 |
Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-2 |
Loss | -110 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
While the Blue Jays pitching staff has stepped up, the offense has led the way all season, scoring 5.16 runs per game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is having an MVP caliber season with 46 home runs, a .313 Batting Average, a .404 On-Base Percentage, and a .598 Slugging Percentage while Marcus Semien and Teoscar Hernandez have combined for 74 home runs but the entire lineup has played well this season. Bo Bichette, Randal Grichuck, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have combined for 71 home runs as part of a lineup that has six batters with 20 home runs or more as well as six batters with an OPS+ of 100 or higher. |
09-29-21 |
Reds v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-6 |
Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
Rodon holds a shiny 12-5 record, 2.47 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 181/34 K/BB ratio through 127 2/3 innings this year. The Sox have already clinched the AL Central title and are merely working out some of the kinks before the postseason begins in a short period. |
09-29-21 |
Angels v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-2 |
Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
Janson Junk has not pitched enough to factor into the percentile rankings so we will dive into his Statcast numbers on his Baseball Savant page. He has a 15.9 barrel percentage, 88.8 MPH exit velocity, 38.6 sweet spot percentage, and 34.1 hard hit percentage. Junk throws four different pitches (fastball, slider, curveball, changeup) and his heater has been hit the most as it has a .333 batting average with four homers. He faced the Rangers once this year and lost by going 3.2 innings and allowed five runs (one earned) on six hits with a walk and two strikeouts. |
09-29-21 |
Red Sox v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | Top | 6-0 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
Nathan Eovaldi has been pitching well this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 96th percentile in walk percentage, 77th percentile in xERA, 73rd percentile in chase rate, and 71st percentile in barrel percentage. His 88.1 MPH exit velocity is the lowest of his career. Eovaldi has a five-pitch arsenal (fastball, curveball, slider, cutter, splitter) and his curveball has been his best pitch as it has a .180 batting average and a .243 slugging percentage. |
09-28-21 |
A's v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 2-4 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Chris Bassitt will start for the A's on Tuesday. He has had a terrific season to date, with an ERA of 3.16, a record of 12-4 and a WHIP of 1.04. He also has a K tally of 158. |
09-28-21 |
Brewers -113 v. Cardinals | Top | 2-6 |
Loss | -113 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
Brandon Woodruff was good in his last start. He went six innings and gave up two hits, one walk, one earned run, and struck out 10 batters in a loss in his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals. He has a record of 9-10 with a 2.52 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and a 208/43 K/BB ratio in 29 starts this season. Opposing batters are hitting just .194 against Woodruff. His record does not show how truly good Woodruff has been this season. |
09-27-21 |
Nationals v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 5-4 |
Loss | -105 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Josiah Gray earned his first big-league victory by allowing two runs over six innings Wednesday versus the Marlins. He struck out eight on the night. Gray pitched well enough to win at least a couple of his first five starts for the Nationals, but he didn't have much luck then, and he had really struggled of late, giving up 22 runs over 17 1/3 innings in his previous four starts. The Nationals have to be thrilled that he bounced back in this game as they had high hopes for the youngster. He comes into this very difficult road start against the Rockies carrying a 5.79 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, with a 52/23 K/BB ratio over 51 innings. |
09-27-21 |
Nationals +1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 5-4 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
German Marquez allowed five runs on six hits and four walks with four strikeouts over four innings in a no-decision against the Dodgers on Wednesday. Marquez ran into trouble the second time through the order on Wednesday in Colorado. |
09-26-21 |
Mets +1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 4-8 |
Loss | -135 | 1 h 33 m | Show |
Carlos Carrasco pitched well in a losing effort against the Phillies on Saturday, allowing just two runs on five hits over his six frames. The right-hander racked up five strikeouts on the evening while issuing a pair of free passes |
09-25-21 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 2-7 |
Win | 125 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
I will almost always take the +1.5 along with the plus money. |
09-25-21 |
Pirates +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 0-3 |
Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Wil Crowe limited Miami to one run in five innings to get a win as the Pirates edged the Marlins 2-1 on Friday in his last appearance. Crowe struck out five and walked one for his first win in eight starts. He improved to 4-7 and carries a 5.77 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, with a 100/51 K/BB ratio over 106 innings of work. It’s been a rough go for the youngster, but he has shown some flashes, enough to have the Pirates keep him around this year and most likely for next. |
09-24-21 |
Mariners v. Angels +1.5 | Top | 6-5 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
On paper, there's very little reason to be on the Angels side here, but I suspect the Mariners will start to realize what Los Angeles has for a long time, that their playoff hopes are realistically over. I'm going to take the runs and LA here because the Angels staff seem to be getting stringer as they prep for next season and we may catch Seattle checked out. |
09-24-21 |
Royals +1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 3-1 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Casey Mize has been struggling this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 14th percentile in barrel percentage, 15th percentile in xSLG, 18th percentile in xERA, and 24th percentile in xBA. He has a career 10.8 barrel percentage. Mize also throws five pitches (slider, fastball, sinker, splitter, curveball) and his slider has been his best pitch as it has an .186 batting average with a .335 slugging percentage. |
09-23-21 |
Rangers v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 0-3 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
The Rangers' pitching staff has been poor this season. As a team, they are bottom 10 in the league in ERA, hits allowed, runs allowed, home runs allowed, strikeouts, and batting average against. With Glenn Otto starting, this will be a bullpen game for the Rangers. Their relievers rank less than average in ERA, runs allowed, and WHIP. Texas’ relievers rank bottom 10 in hits allowed, strikeouts, and batting average against. Texas has been poor on offense this season. They are bottom five in the league in runs, hits, home runs, RBI’s, batting average, OBP, SLG, and OPS. It comes as no surprise the Rangers will not make the playoffs and have the second-worst record in the AL. They are bottom 10 in most pitching categories and bottom five in most offensive categories. |
09-23-21 |
Nationals +1.5 v. Reds | Top | 3-2 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
I think we're going to catch the Reds sleeping here. Cincinnati knows their postseason chances are slim after taking on the chin against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Washington has won 10 of their last 11 games in Cincinnati. |
09-22-21 |
Braves v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 9-2 |
Loss | -100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
The Braves hope Ian Anderson can turn a corner on the season as he is pivotal to the team's playoff success but has struggled this season, allowing 48 runs in 22 starts. Moreover, Anderson is allowing hard contact off the bat with a .241 expected opponent Batting Average, a .417 expected opponent Slugging Percentage, and a 4.53 expected ERA. |
09-22-21 |
Astros v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | Top | 9-5 |
Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
Dusty Baker’s team boasts the best ERA in the league over the past 7 days (2.41). Their pitchers have struck out 54 hitters across 56 frames, allowing just 15 earned runs and walking 19 players. Also, opposing teams are hitting just .208 against them, which is the 5th-best mark in Major League Baseball over the past week. |
09-22-21 |
Dodgers v. Rockies +1.5 | Top | 5-10 |
Win | 118 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
The Colorado Rockies will be going with German Marquez as the starter for this game. Marquez is in the middle of a solid 2021 campaign as he possesses a 12-10 record along with a 4.16 ERA. In addition, he has a 3.16 ERA at home as he has looked significantly better at Coors Field up to this point. |
09-22-21 |
Rangers v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 3-7 |
Win | 102 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Taylor Hearn yielded seven runs on eight hits over 3 1/3 innings in Friday's loss to the White Sox. Hearn gave up solo runs in the first and second innings and surrendered a single and walk in a scoreless third before the game imploded on the 27-year-old southpaw like a dying star in the top of the fourth inning. |
09-21-21 |
Mariners v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 |
Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
Paul Blackburn has been struggling this season according to his limited percentile rankings on his Baseball Savant page. He is in the eighth percentile in max exit velocity, 10th percentile in fastball velocity, 31st percentile in fastball spin, and 70th percentile in curveball spin. His 8.3 barrel percentage is the highest in his career. Blackburn throws five different pitches (sinker, cutter, changeup, curveball, fastball) and his changeup has been his best pitch as it has a .250 batting average and a .313 slugging percentage. |
09-21-21 |
Mets v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 3-6 |
Win | 130 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
While the Mets have struggled at the plate lately, and for the whole season for that matter, the same cannot be said for the Red Sox, who have averaged 8.2 runs in their five-game win streak. In their last game, they were at home and completed the sweep over the Baltimore Orioles with an 8-6 win. |
09-21-21 |
Pirates +1.5 v. Reds | Top | 6-2 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
The Reds are in a battle for the final wild-card spot in the National League. Coming into this series, they stand three games behind the Cardinals for the second spot. They have lost six of their last eight games at the most inopportune time of the year. |
09-21-21 |
Royals v. Indians OVER 9 | Top | 1-4 |
Loss | -120 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
The Royals are projected to send rookie left-hander Daniel Lynch to the mound for this road tilt. The young southpaw got charged with three runs -- one earned -- on two hits and a walk over two official innings of work in his last start against the A’s. He was pulled with the bases loaded in the top of the third. Lynch could be seen wincing as he delivered what was his final pitch of the afternoon in the top of the third inning. |
09-20-21 |
Nationals -1.5 v. Marlins | Top | 7-8 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
When the Nationals look back on their 2021 campaign they'll realize that their offense really isn't indicative of a last place team. Washington is 4th in the majors in team BA (.259) and 5th in OPS (.754) – but of course that didn't lead to a lot of wins this season (61-88). The Nats' are still a dangerous team to bet against with Josh Bell (.545 OBP) and Juan Soto (.500) reaching base a ton over the past week |
09-19-21 |
White Sox v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 7-2 |
Loss | -100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
In his last start, Lyles gave up three hits and no runs in seven innings, leading to an 8-1 win over Houston. More than happy to take the plus money along with the +1.5 |
09-18-21 |
Padres +1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 2-3 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
Yu Darvish has been pitching extremely well according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 83rd percentile in xBA, 83rd percentile in walk percentage, 81st percentile in xERA, and 81st percentile in hard hit percentage. His 8.7 barrel percentage is the highest of his career. Darvish throws seven different pitches (cutter, slider, fastball, curveball, sinker, splitter, changeup) and his cutter has been getting hit the most as it has a .341 batting average and 10 homers off of it. He faced the Cardinals twice last season as a member of the Chicago Cubs as he went 2-0 in 13 innings and allowed two runs on nine hits with one walk and 18 strikeouts. |
09-17-21 |
Phillies v. Mets +1.5 | Top | 4-3 |
Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
The Phillies pitching staff has been average this season. As a team, they are in the middle of the league in ERA, hits allowed, runs allowed, home runs allowed, walks allowed, WHIP, and batting average against. When betting, you have to take the bullpen into account, not just the starter. |
09-17-21 |
Rockies v. Nationals +1.5 | Top | 9-8 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
I'm not sure why, but I've never been a huge Marquez backer and we're not going to be today either. This game and pitching match-up looks too easy. I'm taking the insurance but we're going with Washington. |
09-16-21 |
Astros v. Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 12-1 |
Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
The Houston Astros have been one of the best offensive teams in MLB this season as their .781 OPS is second in the sport. Their lineup has been scoring runs and putting the pressure on opposing pitchers as they are scoring 5.29 runs per game this year. Houston has been hitting well as in the last 15 days (12 games) the team is scoring 5.25 runs per game while having a team slashline of .280/.350/.464 in that span. |
09-15-21 |
Astros v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 7-2 |
Loss | -100 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
Jose Urquidy was not involved in the decision on Wednesday during the Astros loss to the Mariners after allowing two runs over just three innings. The 26-year-old has failed to reach the fifth inning in each of his starts since returning from the injured list and it cost his team on Wednesday. Urquidy was pulled after reaching 70 pitches and allowed the Mariners to score six runs off the Astros' bullpen, including three off All-Star closer Ryan Pressly. |
09-15-21 |
Marlins v. Nationals +112 | Top | 8-6 |
Loss | -100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
Trevor Rogers gets the start for the Marlins on Wednesday. Rogers, a left-hander, is 7-7 on the season in 22 starts with an ERA of 2.73. Rogers suffered a loss in his last outing, a 6-2 defeat to the Braves. He allowed 4 runs on 3 hits in 4.1 innings with 6 strikeouts. The Marlins are 10th in the majors in team ERA and 12th in team WHIP. Offensively, they rank 28th in runs scored, 28th in home runs, and 24th in team batting average. Let's go against Rogers and grab the plus money. |
09-14-21 |
Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 4-8 |
Loss | -100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
Arizona has won just 47 of its 143 games and has been out of playoff contention for quite some time. However, the Diamondbacks have put on their spoiler caps. Arizona defeated Seattle in two out of three games and hurt the Mariners chances of reaching the postseason in the American League. I'm betting that the Dodgers are caught sleeping in this one. |
09-14-21 |
Reds v. Pirates UNDER 9 | Top | 5-6 |
Loss | -120 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Wade Miley takes the mound for the Reds on Tuesday. Miley is 12-5 on the season with an ERA of 2.89. In his last start, the lefthander beat the Cubs 4-3. He gave up only 1 run on 5 hits in 7 innings with 8 strikeouts. |