Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-24-12 | Kansas City: W Smith v. LA Anaheim: G Richards -162 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -162 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -162 The Key: The Angels are worth the price Tuesday night as they are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite, 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter (Angels have won 12 of their last 13 overall vs. lefty starters) and 4-0 in Richards' last 4 home starts (each of those 4 wins have come by at least 2 runs). The Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games and 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. They are also 0-2 in Smith's last 2 starts. Take LA. | |||||||
07-23-12 | Baltimore: T Hunter v. Cleveland: J Mastersn -152 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -152 The Key: After losing the first 3 games of this series, I fully expect Cleveland to salvage a game tonight with Masterson on the mound. The right-hander is a perfect 3-0 versus Baltimore since the beginning of last season. Each of those wins came by at least 4 runs. Plus, he only gave up a total of 6 earned runs in 20 innings while striking out 18 and walking just 2 in those outings. The Indians are 5-2 in Masterson's last 7 starts and 32-14 in their last 46 home games versus the O's. Take the Tribe. | |||||||
07-22-12 | New York (A): C Sabathia -1.5 v. Oakland: B Colon | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -1.5 -105 The Key: We missed with the Yankees Saturday as they endured a 3rd straight 1-run defeat. I'm not hesitating to come back with them here with ace CC Sabathia on the hill. The Yanks are 4-0 in his last 4 starts, winning those by an average of 3.0 runs. They are also 4-0 in his last 4 road starts, winning those by an average of 3.8 runs. It is also worth noting that he is 7-2 on the money line in his last 7 starts versus the A's. Oakland's Bartolo Colon is 1-6 with an ERA of 5.08 in 9 home starts this season. His teams are 0-3 in his last 3 starts against the Yankees, losing those by an average of 7.0 runs. Take New York on the run line. | |||||||
07-21-12 | New York (A): P Hughes -122 v. Oakland: J Parker | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -122 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
7* MLB Game of the Week on Yankees -122 The Key: After enduring a pair of tough 1-run losses in the first 2 games of the series, I expect the Yankees to bounce back strong tonight. They are 4-0 all-time in Hughes' starts versus the A's, and he delivered a gem in his only start in Oakland, giving up just 1 run on 1 hit while striking out 10 and walking 2 in 7 1-3 innings of a 3-1 victory. The Yankees are an awesome 44-15 in their last 59 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. They are also 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Oakland. Take the Yanks! | |||||||
07-20-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. New York Mets -143 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -143 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -143 The Key: Ace southpaw Johna Santana is 5-0 lifetime in 5 starts versus the Dodgers with an ERA of 0.50. His teams have won those starts by an average of 4.4 runs. It is also worth mentioning that the Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog and 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Plus, they are 1-4 in Harang's last 5 starts, and Harang is 1-5 on the money line in his last 6 starts versus the Mets. The Dodgers have lost 6 of their last 8 to the Mets and 5 of their last 6 in New York. Bet the Mets. | |||||||
07-19-12 | Houston: L Harrell v. San Diego: E Volquez -148 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -148 The Key: Expect Houston's road struggles to continue with Harrell on the hill. The Astros are 0-3 in his last 3 road starts, 0-5 in his last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record, 0-4 in his last 4 starts as an underdog and 0-4 in his last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Padres, meanwhile, are 4-0 in Volquez's last 4 starts. And, he is 3-0 lifetime in home starts versus Houston. Pound the Padres. | |||||||
07-18-12 | Seattle: K Millwood v. Kansas City: B Chen -130 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -130 The Key: This is a great spot for the Royals to get back in the win column. The Mariners are 0-4 in Millwood's last 4 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts. The Royals, meanwhile, are 4-0 in Chen's last 4 starts as a favorite. Chen is also 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus Seattle. The Royals have won those 3 by an average of 3.7 runs while Chen has limited the Mariners to just 3 total earned runs in 21 2-3 innings during this stretch. Take Kansas City. | |||||||
07-17-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Cincinnati Reds -160 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -160 The Key: Cincy's Cueto is 3-0 (4-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.80 in 4 lifetime starts versus the D-backs, and I expect this never lost trend to be extended at home tonight. After all, the Reds are 10-1 in Cueto's last 11 home starts. Cueto gives Cincy a major advantage on the mound as Arizona scheduled starter Trevor Bauer is carrying a 5.40 ERA through his first three major league starts. I'll bet the Reds as I feel this is the biggest pitching mismatch on the board for the price. | |||||||
07-16-12 | Baltimore Orioles v. Minnesota Twins -122 | Top | 7-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Twins -122 The Key: The Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 series openers and 0-4 in Tillman's last 4 series-opening starts. They are also 0-7 in Tillman's last 7 Monday starts, 0-4 in his last 4 starts as a road underdog and 0-2 in his starts versus Minnesota. The Twins are in much better hands with Diamond, who is 5-1 on the money line in 6 home starts with an ERA of 2.01. There's a reason the Twins are favored here versus a team with 10 more wins, and that reason is Diamond. Take the Twins. | |||||||
07-15-12 | Philadelphia Phillies -122 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia Phillies -122 The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies have a big edge on the mound in this one with Cole Hamels over Drew Pomeranz. Hamels is 10-4 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.102 WHIP in 17 starts this season. Pomeranz has only made seven starts, going 1-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.359 WHIP, and he was absolutely terrible last year. His ERA is much lower right now than it will be at the end of the season. Hamels is 16-3 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. The Phillies are 55-23 in Hamels' last 78 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Phillies. | |||||||
07-14-12 | Philadelphia Phillies -123 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia Phillies -123 The Key: Simply put, the Phillies have a colossal edge on the mound in this one. Vance Worley sports a 3.00 ERA in seven road starts this year, while Jeremy Guthrie has posted a 9.53 ERA in five home starts. The Phillies are 23-9 in their last 32 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Philly is 39-18 in their last 57 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Phillies are 5-1 in Worley's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Rockies are 1-5 in Guthrie's last 6 starts as an underdog. Colorado is 36-76 in their last 112 games as an underdog. The Rockies are 0-4 in Guthrie's last 4 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Bet the Phillies. | |||||||
07-13-12 | St.Louis Cardinals +111 v. Cincinnati Reds | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
6* 23-4 MLB *CA$H COW* on Cardinals +111 The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are showing great value as an underdog in Game 1 of this series with the Cincinnati Reds. Adam Wainwright has returned to form, especially on the road where he's 3-3 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.246 WHIP in seven starts. Mat Latos is 1-3 with an 11.37 ERA and 2.105 WHIP in four career starts against the Cardinals. Wainwright is 23-4 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. Bet the Redbirds. | |||||||
07-08-12 | Cincinnati: J Cueto -154 v. San Diego: J Marquis | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -154 The Key: You'd be hard-pressed to find a starter who is pitching better than Johnny Cueto right now. So far, Cueto is 9-5 on the season, but based on his underlying stats, he should be even better. He's carrying a 2.35 ERA and 1.13 WHIP, has walked just 25 batters in 114 2/3 innings pitched and has given up only five home runs in 17 starts this season. The Reds won in San Diego last night and, behind their most effective starter this season, they easily pick up another victory. | |||||||
07-07-12 | San Francisco: Vogelsong v. Pittsburgh: J Mcdonald -116 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Pirates -116 The Key: The Pirates and young phenom James McDonald just need to keep on doing whatever it is they are doing. The Pirates are one of the surprise teams in the league, and the two biggest reasons are their incredible play at home (27-13) and an up-and-coming star pitcher in James McDonald. The youngster is already 8-3 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. At this price the Pirates are an absolute bargain against a Giants team that is just 19-22 on the road this year. Bet the Bucs. | |||||||
07-06-12 | Milwaukee: Y Gallardo -133 v. Houston: J Happ | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -133 The Key: Under manager Roenicke, the Brewers are a perfect 16-0 in the second half of the schedule versus NL teams that allow 4.8 runs or more per game. They have defeated these foes by an average of 3.2 runs. Also, Gallardo has had Houston's number. The Milwaukee ace is 7-0 in his last 7 starts against the Astros with those 7 wins coming by an average of 5.7 runs. The Astros are 0-9 in their last 9 vs. the National League Central, 6-18 in Happ's last 24 starts vs. the National League Central and 0-8 in his last 8 Friday starts. Take Milwaukee. | |||||||
07-05-12 | Baltimore: J Arrieta v. LA Anaheim: G Richards -142 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
6* Bailout on Angels -142 The Key: The Angels, who are 4-0 in their last 4 series openers, have the edge on the mound with Richards, who is 3-0 on the money line in 3 home starts this season (1.66 ERA in those starts). The O's, who have dropped 5 of their last 6 versus the Halos, are 0-8 in Arrieta's last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150, 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. the American League West. Bet the Halos. | |||||||
07-05-12 | Cincinnati: M Latos -135 v. San Diego: E Volquez | 1-2 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
6* Bailout on Reds -135 The Key: The Reds are 6-0 in Latos' last 6 starts as a favorite, 6-0 in hi last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Padres are 0-4 in Volquez's last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Also, the Padres are 0-11 in home games off an upset win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 3.2 runs in these games. Bet the Reds. | |||||||
07-05-12 | Texas Rangers -130 v. Chicago White Sox | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
7* MLB Pre All-Star Break Game of the Year on Rangers -130 The Key: The Rangers just don't get swept. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. They also have the advantage with Harrison on the hill. The Rangers are 8-0 in Harrison's last 8 starts, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs. the American League Central. Also, Harrison is 13-0 on the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the schedule over the last 2 seasons, 10-0 on the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the schedule over the last 2 seasons, 13-0 on the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the schedule over the last 2 seasons and 7-0 on the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Take Texas! | |||||||
07-04-12 | San Diego Padres v. Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
7* NL *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -1.5 +110 The Key: The Padres are 0-3 in Marquis' last 3 starts (and 1-8 in his last 9), losing those 3 starts by an average of 4.33 runs. The D-backs are 2-0 in Kennedy's last 2 starts, winning those by 5 and 6 runs respectively. The Snakes are also 6-0 in Kennedy's last 6 starts versus the Padres, winning those by an average of 3.33 runs. Take Arizona on the run line. | |||||||
07-04-12 | Minnesota Twins v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
7* AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 -116 The Key: The Twins are 0-4 in Duensing's last 4 starts (and 1-9 in his last 10), losing those by an average of 4.25 runs. The Tigers are 6-0 in Verlander's last 6 starts versus the Twins, winning those by an average of 4.33 runs. Take the Tigers on the run line. | |||||||
07-03-12 | Texas Rangers v. Chicago White Sox -118 | Top | 2-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on White Sox -118 The Key: analysis coming... | |||||||
07-02-12 | Miami Marlins v. Milwaukee Brewers -159 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
7* NL *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -159 The Key: Since the Brewers brought in Greinke, they are 14-0 in his home starts against teams with a losing record, 22-0 in his starts as a home favorite of -110 or higher and 15-0 in his home night starts. Also, Greinke is 3-0 on the money line in his career versus the Marlins. He is having a fantastic season, and I fully expect him to shut down a Miami club that the Brewers have defeated 10 times in the last 11 meetings. | |||||||
07-02-12 | LA Anaheim: J Weaver -140 v. Cleveland: U Jimenez | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
6* AL *CA$H COW* on Angels -140 The Key: The Angels are 5-0 in Weaver's last 5 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road favorite. He seems to elevate his game when matched up against an opponent that is coming off a productive game at the plate. He also seems to be sharper after a contest where the Angels pitching staff gave up a hefty amount of runs. Consider that the Angels are 9-0 in Weaver's last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game and 8-0 in his last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Take LA. | |||||||
07-01-12 | Oakland: T Blackley v. Texas: Y Darvish -1.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
7* AL Game of the Week on Rangers -1.5 -110 The Key: The Rangers are a perfect 7-0 in Darvish's 7 home starts, winning those by an average of 4.3 runs. They have won each of those 7 by 2 runs or more, which makes them a very strong choice on the run line against a club they have defeated 11 times in the last 13 meetings in Arlington. Lay the 1.5 runs. | |||||||
07-01-12 | Los Angeles Angels -148 v. Toronto Blue Jays | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
6* MLB *CASH COW* on Angels -148 The Key: The Halos haven't lost 3 in a row since May 19-21. After consecutive defeats, look for them to bounce back behind ace C.J. Wilson. The Angels are 7-0 in Wilson's last 7 starts, 6-0 in his last 6 road starts and 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite. Also, the Halos will welcome the southpaw Laffey to the mound as they are batting .276 against lefty starters and are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. | |||||||
06-30-12 | New York Mets -124 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -124 The Key: Santana is 4-0 with an ERA of 0.65 in 4 career starts versus the Dodgers. The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the National League West and 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 0-6 in Eovaldi's last 6 starts, 0-5 in hi last 5 starts as an underdog and 0-4 in his last 4 starts in game 3 of a series. The Dodgers are also 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog, 0-8 in their last 8 after being held to 2 runs or less in their previous game, 0-5 in their last 5 games following a loss and 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Mets. | |||||||
06-30-12 | LA Anaheim: G Richards -112 v. Toronto: H Alvarez | 2-11 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Angels -112 The Key: The Halos are 6-0 in their last 6 games following defeat, 5-0 in their last 5 game 3's of a series, 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 4-0 in Richards' last 4 starts. The Blue Jays are 0-4 in Alvarez's last 4 home starts and 0-5 in his last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. We'll take the hotter team with the better starter on the mound. | |||||||
06-29-12 | Cincinnati Reds v. SF GIANTS -149 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -149 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
7* NL Non-Division Game of the Year on Giants -149 The Key: The Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 road games, and I expect them to drop a fifth straight away from home versus a Giants club that is 4-0 in its last 4 overall. The low total suggests odds makers are expecting a gem from Cain. Consider that the Giants are 8-0 in their last 8 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower and 6-0 in Cain's last 6 starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The Giants are also 7-0 in Cain's last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus NL Central foes and 8-0 in his last 8 starts on regular rest (4 days). Cincy's Leake is not in the same category as Cain. Leake pitched well against San Francisco last season, but this year's lineup is much improved. The Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter, and I expect their success against righty starters (.265 average) to continue. | |||||||
06-28-12 | New York Mets v. Los Angeles Dodgers -129 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -129 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -129 The Key: The Dodgers couldn't be happier to be home following a tough road trip. They are an incredible 40-14 in their last 54 games as a home favorite and have had plenty of success against the NL East, going 7-0 in their last 7 versus NL East foes. They are in great hands with Capuano and are 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a home favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Expect the Mets, who are just 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. left-handed starters, to have a tough time against Cap tonight. Take L.A. | |||||||
06-27-12 | St.Louis Cardinals v. Miami Marlins -130 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Marlins -130 The Key: Books are begging for action on the streaking Cardinals with this line, but we won't take the bait. St. Louis has won 5 in a row but is just 2-12 after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. It is also 3-7 in its last 10 games as an underdog. The Marlins have struggled, but they clearly have the more capable starter on the mound tonight. Sanchez should be very focused here following a rough outing, which is supported by the fact the Marlins are 4-1 in his last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance. The Marlins are also 5-2 in his last 7 starts in the third game of a series. Take Miami. | |||||||
06-26-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Atlanta Braves -132 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -132 The Key: The Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus the D-backs, and I expect their home dominance to continue with Hudson on the hill. Tim Hudson has owned the snakes with a 1.36 career ERA against them in 8 starts. The Braves are 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the Diamondbacks, and he is 3-0 on the money line in 3 career home starts versus them. Arizona's Daniel Hudson is struggling, entering this contest with an 11.37 ERA over his last 3 starts. We'll bet the Braves. | |||||||
06-25-12 | New York (N): J Santana -140 v. Chicago (N): T Wood | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -140 The Key: The Mets are coming off a pair of one-run losses to the Yankees, but recent history suggests they'll bounce back with Santana on the mound. The Mets are 7-0 the last 7 times Santana has gotten the ball following 2 or more consecutive losses. They have won by an average score of 3.4 to 1.4 in this situation. Santana has had plenty of success versus the Cubs, going 3-0 with an ERA of 1.61 in 3 career starts against them. Also, the Cubs are 3-16 against lefty starters this season, losing to them by an average score of 5.5 to 3.2. Bet the Mets. | |||||||
06-24-12 | Cleveland Indians v. Houston Astros -113 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -113 The Key: Cleveland is hitting a major league-worst .216 against left-handers and is just 1-8 in its last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. This gives the big edge to Happ and the Astros today. Plus, the Indians are 16-35 in their last 51 interleague road games, 4-10 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter and 3-9 in their last 12 in the 3rd game of a series. The Astros are 36-15 in their last 51 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 9-1 in their last 10 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. | |||||||
06-23-12 | Colorado Rockies v. Texas Rangers -1.5 | Top | 11-7 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -1.5 -130 The Key: With yesterday's 4-1 loss, Colorado fell to 0-10 versus AL West foes this season. It has lost those 10 games by an average of 4.0 runs. The Rockies are also 0-7 on the season versus AL teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better. They have lost these games by an average of 4.6 runs. Lastly, Colorado is 0-9 versus AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game this season, losing to these teams by an average of 4.0 runs. Expect Colorado's struggles to continue against a red-hot Texas club that has won 7 straight (6 of those wins have come by 2 runs or more). | |||||||
06-22-12 | Chicago (N): Samardzija v. Arizona: J Saunders -145 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -145 The Key: The fact that Arizona scheduled starter Joe Saunders has a solid WHIP of 1.383 spells disaster for the Cubs as they are 0-9 in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 2.9 runs in this situation. In addition, the Cubs are 9-25 in their last 34 overall, 17-40 in their last 57 road games, 5-22 in their last 27 road games vs. a left-handed starter, 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog and 0-4 in Samardzijas last 4 starts as an underdog. The D-backs have won 7 of their last 8 at home and should earn a solid win tonight. | |||||||
06-21-12 | Miami Marlins v. Boston Red Sox -136 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Red Sox -136 The Key: Here we have two teams heading in opposite directions and I'll gladly take the one on the upswing at a decent price. The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 overall while the Marlins are 2-12 in their last 14 overall. The Marlins have lost the first 2 games of this series and are 6-20 in their last 26 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. They are 0-4 in their last 4 in the 3rd game of a series, 0-4 in their last 4 meetings with the Red Sox and 1-5 in their last 6 meetings in Boston. Zambrano has really struggled with an ERA of 9.00 over his last 3 starts. Matsuzaka, meanwhile, appears to be rounding into form. The Red Sox are 35-16 in Matsuzaka's last 51 starts as a home favorite. Bet Boston. | |||||||
06-20-12 | Minnesota Twins v. Pittsburgh Pirates -121 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
7* 61-0 Interleague Game of the Year on Pirates -121 The Key: The numbers weight heavily in Pittsburgh's favor, so heavily that I believe this is the strongest play of the entire interleague season. Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague road games versus a team with a winning record. They are 0-5 in Liriano's last 5 road starts, 0-6 in his last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game, 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog and 0-7 in his last 7 starts in the 2nd game of a series. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 home games, 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite, 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are also 4-0 in Bedard's last 4 home starts and Bedard is 4-0 on the money line in his last 4 starts versus the Twins. Take the Pirates. | |||||||
06-19-12 | Miami Marlins v. Boston Red Sox -150 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
6* MLB *CASH COW* on Red Sox -150 The Key: The Marlins, who are 2-10 in their last 12, aren't hitting (.169 average L7 games) and that puts them at a big disadvantage with the way Buchholz is dealing (1.12 ERA L3 starts). The Red Sox, who are 72-27 in their last 99 interleague games as a favorite, are 4-0 in Buchholz's last 4 interleague starts, 10-1 in his last 11 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 9-0 in his last 9 starts vs. poor power teams averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game. The Marlins are 0-5 in Buehrle's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game and 0-4 in his last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Marlins have lost 6 of their last 8 versus Boston and we'll fade them here. | |||||||
06-18-12 | San Francisco Giants v. Los Angeles Angels -105 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -105 The Key: The Giants are being overvalued on the road with Cain on the hill following his perfect game. The Giants are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings with the Angels and 1-5 in the last 6 meetings against them in Los Angeles. The Giants are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games, 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game, 12-27 in Cain's last 39 road starts vs. a team with a winning record, 2-6 in his last 8 starts as a road favorite and 2-7 in his last 9 starts in game 1 of a series. The Angels are 18-6 in their last 24 overall, 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog, 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game, 8-2 in their last 10 interleague home games and 8-1 in Williams' last 9 home starts. It's going to be a tough encore for Cain against the red-hot Angels. | |||||||
06-17-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Los Angeles Angels -125 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -125 The Key: Arizona's Kennedy is yet to find his 2011 form. He has an ERA of 4.32 on the season and has given up 4 runs or more in 4 of his last 7 starts (gave up 6 runs in 3 of those). The Diamondbacks are 2-7 in Kennedy's last 9 starts overall, 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in his last 4 interleague starts. The Angels are 11-3 in their last 14 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 7-2 in their last 9 interleague home games. Richards has been brilliant in his first two starts and has now gone 4 straight starts allowing 1 earned run or fewer. | |||||||
06-16-12 | Chicago White Sox v. Los Angeles Dodgers -124 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -124 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -124 The Key: One thing you haven't wanted to do is bet against the Dodgers on Saturday. They are a perfect 10-0 on Saturday this season, winning those games by an average of 3.4 runs. Expect their Saturday success to continue behind Billingsley. The Dodgers are 4-1 in Billingsley's last 5 starts, 6-2 in his last 8 home starts, 5-1 in his last 6 starts as a home favorite and 5-1 in his last 6 starts in game 2 of a series. The White Sox, on the other hand, are just 6-16 in Humber's last 22 starts, 1-9 in his last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 in his last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Take the Dodgers. | |||||||
06-15-12 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers -1.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
7* Interleague Blowout Game of the Year on Rangers -1.5 -135 The Key: Houston is 0-3 in Lyles' 3 career starts versus the Rangers and has lost those games by an average of 3.3 runs. The Astros are also 0-4 in his road starts this season, losing them by 3.0 runs on average. Texas is 5-0 in Darvish's home starts with a 4.8-run average margin of victory in those games. These 3 trends form an 11-0 angle that carries an average winning margin of 3.7 runs. With the way Houston has struggled on the road (18-53 in its last 71 road games) and with the way it has struggled against the Rangers (5-16 in the last 21 meetings), I love our chances here. Bet the Rangers on the run line. | |||||||
06-14-12 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Minnesota Twins -137 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -137 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Twins -137 The Key: Expect the Phillies, who are just 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter, to struggled against the southpaw Diamond tonight. The Twins are 6-1 in Diamond's last 7 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 home starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Plus, the Twins are 43-16 in their last 59 interleague home games. The Phillies are 2-9 in their last 11 overall and struggling Joe Blanton is 0-3 in his last 3 starts in Minnesota. | |||||||
06-13-12 | Los Angeles Angels -140 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -140 The Key: The Angels have the advantage on the mound with CJ Wilson. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 road starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road favorite. The Dodgers are 0-3 in Eovaldi's starts this season. Also, the Angels are 10-1 in their last 11 road games, 40-17 in their last 57 interleague road games and 10-4 in their last 14 interleague games as a favorite. The Dodgers are 8-25 in their last 33 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter and 14-46 in their last 60 interleague games as an underdog. Lastly, the Angels are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings and 7-2 in the last 9 road meetings. | |||||||
06-12-12 | Cleveland Indians v. Cincinnati Reds -1.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 130 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -1.5 +130 The Key: The Reds are showing a lot of value at home on the run line considering the advantage they have on the mound with Cueto. The Reds have won 8 of Cueto's last 9 home starts with those wins coming by an average of 3.5 runs. Plus, they are 4-0 all-time in his starts against the Indians with those wins coming by an average of 2.25 runs. He has a low 2.49 ERA in those 4 lifetime starts versus Cleveland. The Tribe's Gomez has been lit up for at least 5 earned in each of his last 3 starts. Take Cincy on the run line. | |||||||
06-11-12 | Los Angeles Angels v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 113 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
7* Interleague Total of the Year on Angels/Dodgers Under 7 Runs The Key: With both of these teams finishing over the total in back-to-back games while combining with their opponents to score double-digit runs in each of those contests, odds makers are begging for action on the over with this line. While the large majority of the betting public is obliging the books, we won't. The Dodgers' Capuano is carrying an ERA of just 1.36 through 5 home starts this season. The Angels' Richard has held the opposition to a total of 2 earned runs in his last 3 starts. The Angels gave up 8 runs in Colorado yesterday but are a perfect 7-0 this season after allowing 8 runs or more in their previous game. We have only seen an average of 6.3 runs scored in this situation. Also, these two have played to the Under in 4 of the last 5 meetings. We've seen just 7 total runs scored or fewer in 4 of those matchups. Take the Under. | |||||||
06-10-12 | Kansas City Royals v. Pittsburgh Pirates -126 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -126 The Key: The Pirates are a perfect 5-0 in A.J. Burnett's home starts this season, during which he has posted an ERA of 1.02. The Pirates are 6-0 in his last 6 starts overall. They are also 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite. Kansas City's Bruce Chen is 0-4 (0-5 on the money line) with an ERA of 6.20 in 5 career starts versus the Pirates. Plus, the Royals are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Look for Pittsburgh to pull off the sweep. | |||||||
06-09-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers -133 v. Seattle Mariners | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -133 The Key: Saturday is the day to back LA. The Dodgers are 9-0 in Saturday games this season, winning them by an average score of 5.1 to 1.9. They should have little trouble building on this impressive trend with ace Clayton Kershaw toeing the rubber. The Dodgers are 11-1 in his last 12 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 6-1 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 5-1 in his last 6 road starts overall. Take the Dodgers. | |||||||
06-08-12 | Los Angeles Angels -137 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -137 The Key: The Angels are rounding into form, and I believe they'll flex their muscles against a Colorado club that is overmatched. The Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 road games, 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite and 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games and 0-5 in their last 5 vs. the AL West. The Halos have won 4 of their last 5 versus the Rockies and 5 of their last 6 in Colorado. In addition to these trends, LAA has the definite edge on the mound with CJ Wilson (2.54 ERA). Colorado's Alex White is carrying a 5.60 ERA. Bet the Halos. | |||||||
06-07-12 | Tampa Bay Rays v. New York Yankees -150 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -150 The Key: Expect the Yankees, who have won 10 of their last 13, to keep right on rolling versus a Rays club that has dropped 6 of 8. The Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 home games, 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. They are also 22-5 in Sabathia's last 27 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take New York. | |||||||
06-06-12 | Seattle: H Noesi v. LA Anaheim: J Williams -149 | 8-6 | Loss | -149 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
6* MLB Bailout on Angels -149 The Key: Simply playing on LA starter Williams here. The Angels are 8-0 in Williams' last 8 home starts and 8-0 in his last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Also, he is 3-0 all-time with an ERA of 3.43 versus the Mariners. | |||||||
06-06-12 | Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | Top | 0-8 | Win | 120 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
7* MLB Blowout Game of the Month on Brewers -1.5 +120 The Key: Milwaukee is an unbelievable 21-0 the last 2 seasons in Greinke's starts as a home favorite of -110 or higher. It has won these by an average of 3.0 runs. The Cubs are 0-4 in Maholm's last 4 starts. Milwaukee has struck out too much this season but Maholm is 0-10 on the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. He has lost to these teams by an average of 2.8 runs. Plus, the Cubs are 0-9 in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs this season. The Cubs have lost by an average of 2.0 runs in these games. Take Milwaukee on the run line! | |||||||
06-05-12 | Tampa Bay: J Shields v. New York (A): A Pettitte -124 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
7* AL East Game of the Week on Yankees -124 The Key: The Yankees are showing excellent value at home at this price. They have had a day off to get ready for this series and that day figures to serve them well as they are 6-0 in their last 6 games following an off day. They'll also welcome Tampa's Shields' to the mound as the Rays are 0-5 in his last 5 road starts vs. the Yankees. The Yanks are 4-0 in Pettitte's last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Expect New York to continue its home success versus Shields here. | |||||||
06-04-12 | Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks -120 | 4-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Diamondbacks -120 The Key: NL home teams (ARIZONA) with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season that are up against an opponent with a cold starting pitcher - WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts - are 74-28 the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 3-0 this season. Plus, the Rockies are 4-11 in their last 15 road games and 9-24 in their last 33 meetings in Arizona. And, Saunders has had a great deal of success versus Colorado. The Diamondbacks are 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the Rockies. | |||||||
06-03-12 | St Louis: Westbrook -106 v. New York (N): J Niese | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
7* Sunday Night Baseball Game of the Month on Cardinals -106 The Key: After dropping the first two games of this series, expect the Cards to be very hungry and focused when they take the field this evening. The Cardinals are 15-7 in their last 22 road games vs. a left-handed starter, and I expect their success against lefties to continue as they are batting .276 and scoring 5.4 runs/game against lefty starters this season. NYs Niese hasn't been sharp lately, and the Mets are 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. St. Louis' Westbrook has been at his best on the road where he has a 2.81 ERA, and the Cardinals are 5-2 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite. Take St. Louis. | |||||||
06-02-12 | Chicago Cubs v. San Francisco Giants -159 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -159 The Key: The Cubs are 0-4 in Garza's last 4 starts, 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 0-5 in their last 5 Saturday games. The Giants are 5-0 in Cain's last 5 starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts in the 2nd game of a series and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts vs. the Cubs. Take the Giants. | |||||||
06-01-12 | Chicago Cubs v. SF GIANTS -162 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -162 The Key: The Giants are definitely worth the price tonight with Bumgarner on the bump. They are 4-0 in their last 4 series openers, 8-0 in Bumgarner's last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200 and 8-0 in his last 8 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Plus, the Cubs are 0-8 in their last 8 games as an underdog. We'll take the Giants. | |||||||
05-31-12 | Houston Astros -101 v. Colorado Rockies | 5-11 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Astros -101 The Key: The Astros get the call as they have the edge on the mound with Norris (5-1, 3.34 ERA). The Astros have lost 5 in a row, but they are 4-0 in Norris' last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game. They are also 6-0 since the beginning of last season when he gets the ball following 4 or more consecutive team losses. It also can't go unmentioned that Houston is 7-0 in his Thursday starts since the beginning of last season. The Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 Thursday games. Take the Astros as Norris brings another losing streak to an end. | |||||||
05-30-12 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Los Angeles Dodgers -159 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -159 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -159 The Key: I don't make a habit of laying this much juice but feel the Dodgers are well worth the price here with ace Clayton Kershaw on the rubber. The Dodgers are 14-1 in Kershaw's last 15 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Kershaw has a very low 0.903 WHIP, which is significant because the Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Plus, the bullpen has been performing at a high level. The Dodgers are 8-0 this season with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games. It has won by an average score of 6.9 to 3.5 in these spots. Also, the Brewers 0-4 in Gallardo's last 4 starts on regular rest (4 days) and 0-6 in his last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take LA. | |||||||
05-29-12 | Arizona: J Saunders v. San Francisco: Vogelsong -123 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -123 The Key: The Giants get the call at home with Vogelsong on the rubber. They are 4-0 in Vogelsong's last 4 starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts when he pitches on regular rest (4 days), 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the National League West. Also, Arizona's Saunder's is 0-4 (1-4 on the money line) with an ERA of 5.52 in 5 starts versus the Giants. We'll take San Francisco. | |||||||
05-28-12 | Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays -138 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -138 The Key: The Orioles have really struggled in Toronto where they are just 13-41 in the last 54 meetings. Expect these struggles to continue with Hunter on the hill. He is 0-2 with a 6.98 ERA in three starts at Rogers Centre. Bet the Blue Jays. | |||||||
05-27-12 | Houston Astros v. Los Angeles Dodgers -149 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -149 The Key: The Dodgers get the call again today as I expect them to continue their dominance at home. Houston's Happ is 0-3 on the money line in 3 career starts versus the Dodgers. LA isn't a team putting up big power numbers, but Happ is 0-10 on the money line the last 3 seasons in road games vs. teams averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game. The Astros are 0-8 in Happ's last 8 starts vs. the National League West, 0-6 in his last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 in his last 5 Sunday starts. The Dodgers are 10-0 vs. NL teams allowing 3.8 or less runs/game on the season this season and 13-0 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. They are also 4-0 in Capuano's last 4 home starts. Bet the Dodgers behind this massive angle. | |||||||
05-26-12 | Houston: B Norris v. Los Angeles: Billingsly -128 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -128 The Key: The Dodgers are showing value at home at this price considering they are 19-5 at home this season. They lost Friday but are 15-5 in their last 20 games following a loss. They are also 23-6 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing record, 45-16 in their last 61 games as a favorite and 5-1 in Billingsley's last 6 home starts. The Astros are 15-44 in their last 59 road games. Take LA. | |||||||
05-25-12 | San Francisco Giants v. Miami Marlins -139 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Marlins -139 The Key: Lincecum has not looked like an ace this season while Johnson is starting to. The Giants are 0-4 in Lincecum's last 4 starts, during which he has allowed 15 runs in 21 innings. The Marlins, meanwhile, are 4-0 in Johnson's last 4 starts. He has posted a 2.14 ERA and 0.952 WHIP over his last 3. Plus, Lincecum has a 8.15 ERA in 4 road starts. Take the Marlins. | |||||||
05-24-12 | San Francisco Giants +148 v. Miami Marlins | 14-7 | Win | 148 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
6* MLB Dog of the Day on Giants +148 The Key: The Giants are being way undervalued here with Vogelsong on the hill considering they are 4-0 in his last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 5-0 in his last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. The Marlins are 0-4 in Sanchez's last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 10-25 in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Lastly, the Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Miami. The Giants are showing some nice value at this price. | |||||||
05-23-12 | Detroit: D Fister -116 v. Cleveland: Mcallister | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -116 The Key: Look for the Tigers to bounce back strong behind Fister. They are 10-3 in his last 13 starts, 7-1 in his last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts when pitching on 5 days' rest. Fister is also a perfect 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus Cleveland, allowing only 2 earned runs in 23 innings while striking out 29 and walking just two. The Tigers are 10-1 in their last 11 meetings with the Indians. | |||||||
05-22-12 | Colorado Rockies v. Miami Marlins -126 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Marlins -126 The Key: The Rockies are struggling to say the least. They are 0-5 in their last 5 games, 0-6 in their last 6 vs. the National League East and 0-9 in their last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Colorado is also 0-6 in Nicasio's last 6 starts as an underdog and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as a road underdog. Plus, the Marlins are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. the National League West. Our 38-0 angle listed above is further bolstered by the fact the Marlins are 5-1 in Nolasco's last 6 starts vs. the Rockies and 5-1 in their last 6 home meetings versus Colorado. | |||||||
05-21-12 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays -143 | 6-2 | Loss | -143 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Rays -143 The Key: Besides enjoying a nice advantage on the mound with Hellickson, Tampa Bay finds itself in an extremely profitable wagering situation tonight. Favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) that average 4.5 or less runs per game and are matched up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or lower, after 5 straight games of tallying less than 10 hits, are 36-7 since 1997. This system is a near-perfect 14-1 the last 3 seasons. The Blue Jays are 9-29 in their last 38 meetings in Tampa Bay. Take the Rays. | |||||||
05-20-12 | Oakland A's v. San Francisco Giants -148 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -148 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
7* Interleague Game of the Month on Giants -148 The Key: The Athletics are 0-11 in the last 11 meetings between these two in San Francisco. The Giants are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Giants are 4-1 in Lincecum's last 5 interleague starts and 5-1 in his last 6 starts vs. the Athletics. The Athletics are 1-4 in Colon's last 5 starts. Take the Giants. | |||||||
05-19-12 | Chicago White Sox v. Chicago Cubs -135 | 7-4 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on Cubs -135 The Key: The Cubs have the edge this evening with Dempster, who has a 1.74 ERA on the season. The White Sox Danks', meanwhile, checks in with a bloated 6.46 ERA. The Cubs are 18-7 in Dempster's last 25 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-1 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Also, Dempster's clubs are 50-26 in his last 76 home starts in the first half of the season since 1997. | |||||||
05-18-12 | Boston Red Sox v. Philadelphia Phillies -140 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Phillies -140 The Key: The Phillies finally have it going. They are 5-0 in their last 5 games winning those games by an average of 2.8 runs. Hamels has had it going all year. The Phillies are 6-0 in Hamels' last 6 starts and have won those games by an average of 3.8 runs. The Red Sox are a poor 4-10 in their last 14 games as an underdog. Take Philly. | |||||||
05-17-12 | Milwaukee: S Marcum -133 v. Houston: J Happ | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -133 The Key: The Astros have been pure fade material with Happ on the hill. Fading Houston is Happ's last 40 starts has produced a 30-10 record. Also, the Brewers are 7-2 in Marcum's last 9 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Brewers are 11-2 in the last 13 meetings with the Astros and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Houston. | |||||||
05-16-12 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays -137 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Rays -137 The Key: The Rays have been a handful at home where they are 37-14 in their last 51, including 13-3 this season. They are 10-3 in Hellickson's last 13 home starts and 7-1 in his last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Red Sox are just 9-24 in their last 33 vs. the AL East and 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog. They are also 4-9 in the last 13 meetings with Tampa Bay. Take the Rays. | |||||||
05-15-12 | Arizona: W Miley v. Los Angeles: Billingsly -125 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
7* NL West Game of the Year on Dodgers -125 The Key: The Dodgers are 10-0 in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season, 10-0 in home games after 3 or more consecutive home games this season and 11-0 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. They are also 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter and 4-0 in Billingsley's last 4 home starts. The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take LA behind this massive 53-0 angle. | |||||||
05-14-12 | San Diego: T Stauffer v. Washington: R Detwiler -148 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -148 The Key: The Padres are just 7-22 in their last 29 road games and 5-21 in their last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter. We won't hesitate to fade them here as they go against the lefty Detwiler (1.04 home ERA). The Pads are only batting .199 versus southpaw starters this season. Also, the Padres are 0-6 in Stauffer's last 6 road starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as an underdog. The Nationals are 12-2 in their last 14 games as a home favorite and 9-4 in Detwiler's last 13 home starts. | |||||||
05-13-12 | Detroit: Verlander -170 v. Oakland: J Parker | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -170 The Key: I'm not hesitating to get behind Verlander here as the Tigers are a perfect 16-0 in his last 16 starts as a road favorite of -125 or more. They have won these games by an average of 2.6 runs. Take Detroit. | |||||||
05-12-12 | Chicago (N): C Volstad v. Milwaukee: S Marcum -1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 120 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -1.5 +120 The Key: The Brewers are showing nice value on the run line here as Chris Volstad's teams are 0-8 in his last 8 starts, losing each of those by at least 2 runs. Volstad's teams have also lost his last 2 starts against the Brewers by at least 2 runs. Lastly, Marcum is 3-0 lifetime versus the Cubs with each of those 3 wins coming by 2 runs or more. We'll take the Brew Crew on the RL behind this 13-0 run line angle. | |||||||
05-11-12 | Houston: B Norris v. Pittsburgh: J Mcdonald -135 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -135 The Key: We went against Pittsburgh Thursday as it suffered a 4-2 loss to Strasburg and the Nats. However, the fact it scored just 2 runs is significant and bodes well for us here. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, and the Astros are 0-7 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Just the fact that Pittsburgh lost yesterday is also significant because it is 10-1 in its last 11 games following a loss. Also, the Astros are 13-40 in their last 53 road games, 0-11 in Norris' last 11 Friday starts and 2-6 in their last 8 meetings in Pittsburgh. We'll take the Pirates. | |||||||
05-10-12 | Washington: Strasburg -165 v. Pittsburgh: K Correia | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -165 The Key: The Nats have the clear advantage with Strasburg on the bump. I don't have to give you his sick season numbers. Those are well know. I will tell you though that the Nationals are 6-1 in his last 7 road starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts in the 3rd game of a series and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. National League Central opponents. The Pirates are only 1-6 in Correia's last 7 home starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts with 5 days' rest. The Bucs are even 0-8 in his last 8 home starters versus NL clubs that score 4.3 or less runs per game. They have lost these games by an average of 5.0 runs. | |||||||
05-09-12 | Detroit Tigers -120 v. Seattle Mariners | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -120 The Key: The Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record, 9-2 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series, 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 21-8 in their last 29 games as a road favorite. They are also 4-1 in Smyly's last 5 starts. The Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 overall, 22-45 in their last 67 during game 3 of a series, 26-60 in their last 86 games as an underdog and 21-53 in their last 74 games vs. a left-handed starter. They're are 9-20 in Vargas' last 29 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take the Tigers. | |||||||
05-08-12 | Detroit: Verlander -1.5 v. Seattle: K Millwood | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 -109 The Key: I'm not hesitating to pull the trigger on the RL here since the Tigers are a perfect 15-0 in Verlander's last 15 starts as a road favorite of -125 or more. They have won these games by an average of 2.6 runs. | |||||||
05-07-12 | Texas: M Harrison -145 v. Baltimore: B Matusz | Top | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -145 The Key: The Rangers are 6-0 in Harrison's last 6 starts as a road favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Orioles, meanwhile, are 0-7 in Matusz's last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Rangers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with the Orioles and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings with the O's when Harrison gets the start. | |||||||
05-06-12 | St Louis: Wainwright -138 v. Houston: J Happ | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Cardinals -138 The Key: The Cards have the big edge on the hill this afternoon. Wainwright is 10-1 on the money line lifetime in 11 starts versus Houston with an ERA of only 1.38. Happ, meanwhile, is 2-6 on the money line lifetime against St. Louis with an ERA of 6.44. | |||||||
05-05-12 | Milwaukee: R Wolf v. San Francisco: Bumgarner -150 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Giants -150 The Key: The Giants have a sizable advantage with Bumgarner on the bump. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts overall, 7-0 in Bumgarners last 7 home starts when up against a team with a losing record and 7-0 in his last 7 starts period versus a sub-.500 foe. It's also worth mention that the Giants are 11-1 in Bumgarner's last 12 home starts and the Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 road games. | |||||||
05-04-12 | Baltimore Orioles v. Boston Red Sox -154 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -154 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -154 The Key: This is a game Boston wants badly as it was Baltimore who rallied for a 4-3 victory in last season's finale to keep the Red Sox out of the playoffs. John Lester is coming off a masterful performance and he is 14-0 (16-2 on the money line) with a 2.36 ERA in 18 career starts versus the Orioles. Boston is a perfect 8-0 in his home starts versus Baltimore, winning those by an average of 4.4 runs. Bet Bean Town. | |||||||
05-03-12 | Toronto: B Morrow v. LA Anaheim: D Haren -128 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -128 The Key: Toronto's Morrow is 0-3 on the money line in his career versus the Angels with an ERA of 4.76. Also, the Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 home games, 35-17 in their last 52 games as a home favorite and 5-1 in Harens last 6 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Bet LAA. | |||||||
05-02-12 | Minnesota: L Hendriks v. LA Anaheim: J Weaver -1.5 | Top | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
7* MLB Blowout Game of the Week on Angels -1.5 +100 The Key: The Angels are 3-0 in Weaver's home starts this season, winning those starts by an average of 4.7 runs. The Halos are also 5-0 all-time in his home starts versus the Twins, winning those by an average of 5.0 runs. Take LAA on the run line. | |||||||
05-01-12 | Miami: R Nolasco v. San Francisco: M Cain -148 | 2-1 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
6* MLB Bailout on Giants -148 The Key: Odds makers are expecting a pitcher's duel based on the low total, and that means a San Francisco club used to playing and winning a lot of low-scoring close games has the advantage. The Marlins are 0-7 in their last 7 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower, 0-4 in their last 4 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower and 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Giants are 4-0 in Cain's last 4 home starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower. Florida is really struggling. It has lost 8 of its last 9 and faces a difficult scheduling spot playing without a day of rest following a cross-coutry trip. Take the Giants. | |||||||
04-30-12 | Los Angeles: A Harang v. Colorado: J Nicasio -130 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
6* MLB CA$H COW on Rockies -130 The Key: The Rockies are 8-1 all-time in Nicasio's home starts and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus a team with a winning record. The Rockies are 9-3 in his last 12 starts as a favorite and 7-1 in his last 8 starts as a home favorite. We'll take the Rockies. | |||||||
04-29-12 | Washington Nationals -107 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-2 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Nationals -107 The Key: The Nats get the call with Gio Gonzalez on the rubber. The Nats have won each of his 4 starts this season and he checks in with an ERA of 0.00 over his last 3 starts. Going back to last season, Gonzalez is a perfect 8-0 on the money line in his last 8 starts. He's given up 1 earned run or fewer in 6 of those victories. | |||||||
04-28-12 | Washington Nationals v. Los Angeles Dodgers +108 | 3-4 | Win | 108 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
6* MLB Bailout on Dodgers +108 The Key: The Dodgers are 22-7 in their last 29 home games and 20-6 in their last 26 home games versus Washington. Also, Billingsley is 4-0 with a 2.28 ERA in 4 career home starts versus the Nats. Strasburg is one of the best young pitchers in baseball but he faces a major challenge against a lineup hitting .291 at home. The Nats are batting just .221 on the road. Take the Dodgers showing nice value in the home dog role. | |||||||
04-27-12 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Texas Rangers -132 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -132 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -132 The Key: Shields has been dealing for Tampa Bay, but I expect him to hit a road bump in Texas tonight. The Rangers are even 22-7 in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better since the beginning of last season. Shields has dropped 3 of his last 4 at Texas, giving up at least 5 runs in those losses. The Rangers, who are a terrific 40-15 in their last 55 games as a home favorite, are in good hands with Harrison, who is 3-0 with an ERA of 1.66. He's 2-0 lifetime with an ERA of 1.38 against the Rays, who are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 6-0 in Harrison's last 6 starts during game 1 of a series and 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Rangers are 20-6 in his last 26 starts overall. Take Texas. | |||||||
04-26-12 | Boston Red Sox +110 v. Chicago White Sox | 10-3 | Win | 110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
6* MLB Dog of the Day on Red Sox +110 The Key: I know Humber just delivered a perfect game, but the White Sox are only 1-7 in his last 8 home starts and Boston hit him hard last year. | |||||||
04-26-12 | TOR B-JAYS -115 v. Baltimore Orioles | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -115 The Key: The O's are 0-13 in Matusz's last 13 starts and 0-11 in his last 11 starts when the total is listed at 8.5 to 10.0. Combined, the Orioles have dropped these games by an average of 4.2 runs. | |||||||
04-25-12 | Seattle: F Hernandz v. Detroit: A Wilk -106 | 9-1 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
6* MLB CA$H COW on Tigers -106 The Key: Plenty of ammo in our favor here as the Mariners are just 15-34 in their last 49 road games, 35-84 in their last 119 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 11-25 in their last 36 during game 2 of a series and 19-52 in their last 71 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Mariners are also 2-5 in Hernandez's last 7 starts, 2-6 in his last 8 starts as a road underdog, 4-10 in his last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 in his last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. The Tigers are 39-15 in their last 54 games following a loss, 22-5 in their last 27 during game 2 of a series, 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record and 44-16 in their last 60 games as a favorite. Take the Tigers at a very nice price. | |||||||
04-24-12 | Seattle: J Vargas v. Detroit: M Scherzer -1.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
6* MLB Run Line Blowout on Tigers -1.5 +111 The Key: Scherzer has been solid since a poor start in his first outing of the season. Having not pitched since 4/18, his arm should be feeling good tonight. Keep in mind that Detroit is 11-1 in his last 12 starts when he works on 5 or 6 days' rest. The Tigers have won these starts by an average score of 6.8 to 3.3. Plus, Scherzer is 4-0 lifetime versus Seattle with an ERA of 2.00, and those 4 wins have come by an average of 5.0 runs. Take the Tigers on the run line. | |||||||
04-23-12 | Atlanta Braves v. Los Angeles Dodgers -134 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
6* MLB Bailout on Dodgers -134 The Key: You can bet the Dodgers, who are 8-1 in their last 9 games following a loss, will be very hungry tonight after suffering a 12-0 defeat to Houston. The Braves lost yesterday as well but are just 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss. The Braves are 0-8 in their last 8 games as an underdog, 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 0-7 in their last 7 games as a road underdog and 0-6 in their last 6 Monday games. The Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. | |||||||
04-22-12 | Atlanta Braves v. Arizona Diamondbacks -136 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -136 The Key: Atlanta has been favored in every game this season. Now, riding a 5-game winning streak and up against a team on a 5-game losing streak, it has been listed as an underdog. This is because Kennedy is on the hill for the D-backs, who are 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. It's also important to note that the Braves are 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog, 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Diamondbacks are 21-6 in their last 27 games as a home favorite and 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. | |||||||
04-21-12 | Philadelphia Phillies -142 v. San Diego Padres | 1-5 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
6* MLB CA$H COW on Phillies -142 The Key: The Phillies have won 13 in a row at Petco Park while outscoring the Padres 51-17. The Phillies are 41-12 in Halladay's last 53 starts and 20-6 in his last 26 road starts. The Doc is also 3-0 liftime with an ERA of 1.90 versus San Diego. | |||||||
04-21-12 | Atlanta Braves v. Arizona Diamondbacks +116 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
6* MLB Dog of the Day on D-backs +116 The Key: D-backs showing great value at this price with Saunders on the bump. He is 1-0 (2-0 on the ML) against Atlanta with an ERA of 0.68. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Saunders' last 6 home starts and 4-1 in his last 5 starts as an underdog. Saunders is also 14-4 on the money line in his career as a home underdog of +125 or less. Zona is also 6-1 in its last 7 games following losses in the first 2 games of a series and 7-2 in its last 9 home games as an underdog. Atlanta is 1-7 in its last 8 on the road when facing a a left-handed starter. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $966 |
Ray Monohan | $762 |
Joey Tron | $604 |
Big Al McMordie | $501 |
Ross Benjamin | $475 |
Jesse Schule | $471 |
Ricky Tran | $360 |
Matt Fargo | $338 |
Tom Macrina | $260 |
Jimmy Boyd | $88 |